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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen condy forty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 1: And a kick ass block Look college football, Laura stund Us, good,

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 4: He stumbled the football the lateral turn a counter on

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Speaker 4: the inside, don't you The lad came up the veil

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Speaker 4: to night.

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Speaker 5: It's not the sage on the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 5: it's the sage of the.

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Speaker 2: Fight in the.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 4: bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Mike.

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Speaker 4: Calvarys, and this is our special bonus episode for college

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Speaker 4: football Week one. I'm joined by Action Network's own college

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Speaker 4: football insider Brett McMurphy for use and notes edition of

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Speaker 4: our podcast. We're gonna run through week zero full recap there.

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Speaker 4: I have some loose ends as we head into college

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Speaker 4: football's real kickoff weekends starting on Thursday. But first, Brett,

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Speaker 4: let's get into the first down clock rules and how

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Speaker 4: it related to the seven games that we saw over

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Speaker 4: the weekend. Unders scored out four to three, highly noticeable

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Speaker 4: in the Notre Dame Navy game. So let me just

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Speaker 4: ask you, as an observer right away. Did you pick

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Speaker 4: up on that differential with the running clock as opposed

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Speaker 4: to a full game.

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Speaker 2: They only did it in the last two minutes of

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Speaker 2: each half.

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Speaker 1: You know, it did seem different to me. I actually

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Speaker 1: put a poll on Twitter and got over I think

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Speaker 1: twenty or thirty thousand responses, which I was surprised, and

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Speaker 1: if the fans spoke out very clearly they hate it.

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Speaker 1: Fifty six percent said they did not like it, twenty

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Speaker 1: percent said they did like it, twenty four percent said

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Speaker 1: it's too early to decide. I'm with the majority, Mike,

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Speaker 1: I just don't like it.

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Speaker 2: I liked it.

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Speaker 1: College football is different. I don't want it to be

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Speaker 1: the NFL. It's becoming the NFL in a number of ways.

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Speaker 1: I don't like that. I like the way that we

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Speaker 1: stop it after every first down. Yeah, it can make

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Speaker 1: for some long games, but basically we had shorter games

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Speaker 1: but more commercials. But ultimately, I guess the guys that

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Speaker 1: crunched the numbers on this show that there really wasn't

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Speaker 1: that much difference. But perception wise to me, it did

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Speaker 1: seem maybe a bigger difference than it actually was on

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Speaker 1: the field.

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Speaker 2: I agree.

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Speaker 4: I mean, at this point with four to three to

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Speaker 4: the under, there's not a sample size whatsoever, so we

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Speaker 4: have to wait and see. Although I'm targeting games where

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Speaker 4: teams stop the big play and don't necessarily pop the

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Speaker 4: big play themselves when you see those long sustained drives

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Speaker 4: as we saw between.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame and Navy. Even though Notre.

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Speaker 4: Dame scored a touchdown on their first five drives of

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Speaker 4: the game, the game still didn't go over and a

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Speaker 4: big part of that was they averaged almost eight plays

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Speaker 4: per drive and they only hit one play over thirty

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Speaker 4: yards the entire game. So when I'm looking to try

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Speaker 4: to get an edge before books perfectly calibrate this as

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Speaker 4: relates to the new timing rules, I think you want

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Speaker 4: to look for those teams that limit the big play.

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Speaker 4: Let's get into another game from Saturday, which was USC

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Speaker 4: San Jose State. To me, the main takeaway here is

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Speaker 4: that USC's defense still isn't very good. They gave up

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Speaker 4: nearly two hundred yards on the ground. Bear Alexander had

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Speaker 4: some interesting plays where he was, you know, generating pressure,

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Speaker 4: but he only finishes the game with one tackle zero

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Speaker 4: point five tackles for loss. He was supposed to be

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Speaker 4: the big difference maker, and because last season they were

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Speaker 4: eightieth against the rut so you were hoping that you

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Speaker 4: saw an immediate difference in this Alex Crinch defense.

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Speaker 2: I didn't see it.

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Speaker 4: They were one hundred and twenty second and giving up

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Speaker 4: long plays on the ground that's runs of thirty yards

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Speaker 4: or more, and they gave up two to the Spartans.

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Speaker 4: And I'll give a shout out, you know, being one

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Speaker 4: of the co hosts of the Group of five Deep times,

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Speaker 4: Saturday State is not a tin Can, at least offensively.

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Speaker 4: They should be a top fifty offense. So I'm not

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Speaker 4: absolutely killing USC from the perspective of giving up twenty

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Speaker 4: eight points and one of them was in garbage time

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Speaker 4: one of those touchdowns, But in general, I was not

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Speaker 4: really blown away with their upgrades on that side of

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Speaker 4: the ball. Whereas their offense, it looks like it's just

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Speaker 4: plug and play, and you know that brand kid looks

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Speaker 4: super dynamic, So they once again, to me, will be

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Speaker 4: a fun team. But my takeaway from week one is

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Speaker 4: maybe not college football playoff caliber.

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Speaker 2: Do you agree with that assessment?

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Speaker 1: You kind of glossed over that was a very important

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Speaker 1: touchdown in garbage time. By the way, since Collins not

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Speaker 1: on the podcast, I will reference that I was at

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Speaker 1: Mountain West Media Days and I did talk to Brent Brennan,

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Speaker 1: and yeah, he told me that they were going to

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Speaker 1: be dynamic on offense. They have the player of the

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Speaker 1: year preseason player of the year quarterback, but he had

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Speaker 1: some concerns defensively. But yeah, Mike, I mean this shows

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Speaker 1: what USC has had issues with last year. This is why,

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Speaker 1: you know, for my bowl projections, I don't have USC

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Speaker 1: in the College Football Playoff. Heck, I don't even have

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Speaker 1: them in a New Year six game. I think they've

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Speaker 1: got too many issues defensively. We saw that last year

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Speaker 1: at the end of the year with Utah, with what

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Speaker 1: Tulane did, and again against a San Jose State team.

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Speaker 1: That's some real issues moving forward, especially when you look

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Speaker 1: at the schedule who they'll play in the Pac twelve.

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Speaker 1: And also Notre Dame. You know, Notre Dame. You know,

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Speaker 1: I take what Notre Dame did with the grain of salt.

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Speaker 1: They did what they were supposed to do. They overpowered

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Speaker 1: a Navy team that really couldn't stop them, stop the

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Speaker 1: running game. So it's not like I don't think Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame is selling a college football playoff team. But as

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Speaker 1: far as USC, yeah, I agree. USC's got some issues. Defensively,

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Speaker 1: They're going to try to outscore teams. It's going to

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Speaker 1: be like an NBA type game with USC. I think

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Speaker 1: every week team with the ball the last possession is

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Speaker 1: probably going to win.

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Speaker 4: Now, USC having such you know, fireworks offensively, they're not

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Speaker 4: going to have any problem selling tickets. Whereas you know,

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Speaker 4: some smaller schools around the country they're trying to get creative.

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Speaker 4: You know, the five year arc in terms of looking

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Speaker 4: at attendance grafts, they're all going down. People want to

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Speaker 4: be at home. The game day experience at home, for

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Speaker 4: the most part is just better. You don't have to

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Speaker 4: deal with traffic, you don't have to deal with weather.

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Speaker 4: You can watch you know, six seven games simultaneously. So

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Speaker 4: a program like Memphis is trying to get ahead of

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Speaker 4: this with I guess they're calling it a rollover promotion.

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Speaker 4: If you buy a ticket for their opener and they win,

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Speaker 4: you get another ticket to the next game, and so

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Speaker 4: on and so on.

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Speaker 2: Is it a genius idea?

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Speaker 4: Is there any like backfire element to this, Like what

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Speaker 4: is Memphis thinking? What are you thinking of someone who's

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Speaker 4: seen a lot of promotions over the years in college sports.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a great promotion. I mean, it's sixty

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Speaker 1: dollars for a ticket and that gets you into the

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Speaker 1: season opener against Bethune Cookman, and it's that simple. If

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Speaker 1: Memphis wins that game, then you get a free ticket

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Speaker 1: to the next home game, which is Navy, And if

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Speaker 1: they beat Navy, you get a home ticket the next

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Speaker 1: game to Boise. So their home schedule is Bethune, Navy, Boise,

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Speaker 1: two Lane, USF, and SMU. So if they keep winning,

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Speaker 1: you paid sixty dollars for six games. That's a pretty

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Speaker 1: good deal. Look, I think it's smart. I think schools

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Speaker 1: are having to do things differently nowadays with everybody wanting

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Speaker 1: to stay home and watch games on TV. So I

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Speaker 1: give them credit. I actually reached out to some folks

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Speaker 1: at Memphis this morning, but unfortunately I didn't hear back

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Speaker 1: from them. Curious to see how many tickets they did sell.

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Speaker 1: The bottom line is, you know, they're they're hoping that

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Speaker 1: not only will these people come back for free, but

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Speaker 1: maybe they'll bring some friends and also they'll buy some

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Speaker 1: concessions and that sort of thing. The immediate response I

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Speaker 1: saw on Twitter was like, this is genius, and a

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Speaker 1: lot of college people were pinging me saying, we need

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Speaker 1: to try this, We need to do this, especially for

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Speaker 1: some of these smaller schools that don't sell out their stadiums,

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Speaker 1: that don't sell out of all their season tickets. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a great promotion and I think you'll

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Speaker 1: see a lot more schools do this. Obviously, you're not

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Speaker 1: going to see, you know, at Georgia or a Clem Center.

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Speaker 1: Alabama need to go through this, but for other schools

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Speaker 1: that are looking to increase their fan base, absolutely, I

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Speaker 1: love the idea.

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Speaker 4: All right, next question for you. This is coming on

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Speaker 4: the heels of you mentioning media days. I know that

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Speaker 4: you were able to ask every single coach around the

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Speaker 4: country who their favorite artist was in a game that

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Speaker 4: you've dubbed the Coach Match, which you can play over

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Speaker 4: at the Action Network.

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Speaker 2: Were the coaches really into it?

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Speaker 4: I'm just interested in terms of like I would imagine,

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Speaker 4: some coaches are a little more playful.

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Speaker 2: It's the off season.

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Speaker 4: They don't mind talking about their personal lives, their personal preferences.

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Speaker 4: Did anyone like shut you down? They weren't interested?

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Speaker 1: In playing, we'd contacted one hundred and thirty three coaches

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Speaker 1: and or schools. We got answers from one hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty two. Deon Sanders did not answer. Unfortunately, he at

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Speaker 1: PACK twelve spring meetings, he was not talking to the media,

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Speaker 1: so he could not get him there, and then he

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Speaker 1: did not attend PACK twelve media days in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 1: where I was at, so I could not contact him there.

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Speaker 1: I went through officials at Colorado, explained what we were doing,

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Speaker 1: gave them several weeks to respond, and ultimately, you know,

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Speaker 1: the answer was, well, he's a pop culture icon. He

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Speaker 1: knows a lot of people. If he picks Snoop Dogg,

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Speaker 1: then you know, Whizz is mad at him, and ultimately

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Speaker 1: they at the end we went down to the wire

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Speaker 1: and I was told he's focused on camp and I'm like, well,

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Speaker 1: that's why I've been asking you for three weeks. But

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Speaker 1: other than that, the coaches are I love doing this.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what, you know the fans think of it.

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Speaker 1: I love it because you've learned about these coaches personality. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I had some amazing discussions with a lot of coaches.

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Speaker 1: Kaitlin de Boor, you know, he went with Journey. He

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Speaker 1: went old school, but then he pulled out his playlist

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Speaker 1: and he's going through everybody on his playlist. Brent Pryor

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Speaker 1: in Virginia Tech, the most passionate fan of his choice,

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Speaker 1: the Alman Brothers, by the way, he's been to their grave.

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Speaker 1: He's been to over fifty concerts. He plays their songs

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Speaker 1: and practices. I mean it was I could have talked

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Speaker 1: to him and he would have continue the conversation for

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Speaker 1: an hour about them. Dave class and loves Loves loves

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Speaker 1: the Talking Heads, which is so funny when you think

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Speaker 1: about Dave Class and you don't really kind of think

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Speaker 1: of him as a Talking Heads type guy, but.

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Speaker 2: He was unreal.

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Speaker 1: Dave Dorn one of my favorite answers, what's your favorite

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Speaker 1: kind of music? He goes, I have two kinds of music.

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Speaker 1: I listened to country and Western. He went with Merle Haggard.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, it's very funny. And then the ultimate chef's kiss,

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Speaker 1: of course from Lane Kiffin, who went with Taylor Swift.

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Speaker 1: And just to let folks know, I asked him this

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Speaker 1: question three or four years ago when he was at FAU.

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Speaker 1: So we went with bon Jovi. So I don't know

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Speaker 1: if he was prisoner of the moment or like laying

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Speaker 1: he was playing up to the Twitter crowd. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: look I love doing it, and yeah go on actionnetwork

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Speaker 1: dot com or check out my Twitter account at Brett

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Speaker 1: Underscore McMurphy. I have a link to it. We have

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Speaker 2: All right, back to the show.

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Speaker 4: We just talked about week zero being in the books,

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Speaker 4: and what's interesting to me is that you have teams

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Speaker 4: that get that extra bonus game rolling into week one.

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Speaker 2: So they get to shake off the rust.

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Speaker 4: And I think no team is a better candidate to

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Speaker 4: get that Week zero pump than Whai through a scare

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Speaker 4: into Vandy on the road.

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Speaker 2: Some books had this.

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Speaker 4: As Stanford minus ten in the opener for them against

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Speaker 4: Why playing on the island, that line is now down

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Speaker 4: to Stanford minus four, and with good reason. I mean,

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Speaker 4: we wanted to see that year over year improvement from

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Speaker 4: Timmy Chang's running shoot offense, and they looked good against

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Speaker 4: an SEC opponent. I know it's SEC in name only,

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Speaker 4: but Braden Schaeger at twenty seven for thirty five three

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Speaker 4: hundred and fifty one yards three tds. The defense also

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Speaker 4: had its moments three sacks, nine tackles for loss. You know,

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Speaker 4: they had some special teams drama there at the end

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Speaker 4: with the on site kicks, they get a late fourth

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Speaker 4: down stop. I think they did everything other than win

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Speaker 4: that game, you know, from a gambling perspective to see

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Speaker 4: them move up in the power rankings. And now they're

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Speaker 4: taking on a Stanford team that's in game one of

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Speaker 4: a new regime. What are your thoughts on this game?

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Speaker 4: You know could be classic PAC twelve. After dark drama

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Speaker 4: out there in Hawaii.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean in Vegas, I was able to talk

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Speaker 1: to Timmy Chang also, I mean, you know, last year,

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Speaker 1: they were very competitive down the stretch, and I thought

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Speaker 1: they'd be very improved. I actually went over their win

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Speaker 1: total over three and a half. Look, I didn't expect

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Speaker 1: them to beat Vanderbilt. I think they've got a great

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Speaker 1: shot against Stanford. And you know, talking to Troy Taylor

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Speaker 1: from Stanford also, he obviously has a much different fence

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Speaker 1: than what David Shaw had at Stanford. So how are

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Speaker 1: you able to get those guys too, you know, incorporated

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Speaker 1: into what you want to do with You don't have

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Speaker 1: the you don't have the right skill set. And look,

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Speaker 1: there are not very high expectations for Stanford this year.

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Speaker 1: That's that's an understatement. I really like Hawaii, you know,

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Speaker 1: getting getting points here. There's actually an angle here that

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at, not only with Hawaii, but with five

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Speaker 1: other schools. And you know, you know this is a

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Speaker 1: is a group of five. Guy. I really think so

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Speaker 1: much emphasis is put on the Power five and the

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Speaker 1: Group five that I think a nice angle to look

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Speaker 1: at is the first week we've got six group of

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Speaker 1: five teams playing at home against Power five opponents. They're

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Speaker 1: all pretty getting pretty good amount of points, about two touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Those numbers are dropping down you know, you look at Wyoming, Hawaii,

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Speaker 1: North Texas, Yukon, Colorado State, and San Jose State. I

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Speaker 1: would I would like, I would play all of those,

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Speaker 1: just blindly play them all. I think to end up

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Speaker 1: on the on the right side with most of those

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Speaker 1: because the power fives have no incentive to come in

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Speaker 1: there and beat their brains out. It's a no win

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Speaker 1: situation for those guys, and for the group of five,

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Speaker 1: this is their their chance to prove that they deserve

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Speaker 1: it at a bigger level. And also, by the way,

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Speaker 1: maybe show off so if they want to get in

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Speaker 1: the portal after the season, they can move on to

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Speaker 1: a better place. But specifically about Hawaii, I like what

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Speaker 1: Hawaii's doing. I like what they did against Vanderbilt. I mean,

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Speaker 1: look at this game is played ten times. Hawaii wins

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Speaker 1: that game. Eight times. They give up a kickoff return

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Speaker 1: for a touchdown, they throw, they throw a pick in

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Speaker 1: the end zone after a touchdown got reversed. Uh you know,

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Speaker 1: they they went for it a couple of fourth downs

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Speaker 1: where they had some field goals. So I like Hawaii

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Speaker 1: in this spot. The only the only issue or pushback

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Speaker 1: I would have on it is so much is made

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Speaker 1: about Hawaii's travel when they go to the States and

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Speaker 1: come back, or vice versa, when they go to the

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Speaker 1: States without any rest. And this is a Friday night game,

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Speaker 1: so you've got one less for preparation. How will the

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Speaker 1: body clocks be? How much will the humidity of Nashville,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee take out of him? What to find out? But yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's Hawaii or nothing on

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Speaker 1: the island.

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Speaker 4: It's also interesting with Stanford trying to remake their offensive identity.

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Speaker 4: Unlike a school like Wisconsin who went from the ground

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Speaker 4: and pound to Phil Longo's you know, more wide open

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Speaker 4: areaid attack. They are able to go to the portal,

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Speaker 4: get themselves a quarterback, get themselves. Some receivers remake their

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Speaker 4: roster in fast order, in short order, I should say,

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Speaker 4: Stanford having the issue of it being very difficult to

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Speaker 4: bring in transfers to academically qualify. I do think it's

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Speaker 4: going to be a multi year rebuild if they ever

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Speaker 4: get it going under this new coaching staff. So I agree,

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Speaker 4: I think you're going to see some growing pains where

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Speaker 4: why he's already proven it, you know, sixty minutes worth

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Speaker 4: of tape that their offense is functional, can certainly move

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Speaker 4: the football. I don't think you can make an argument

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Speaker 4: that Stanford's defense is going to be more challenging than

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Speaker 4: Vanderbilt's defense, So I agree. I think there's still value

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Speaker 4: over a field goal, so I'll probably play the bows,

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Speaker 4: either on the money line or take the points mentioned.

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Speaker 4: The opportunity for some of these group of five programs

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Speaker 4: to have a showcase game at home, get more visibility,

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Speaker 4: maybe getting the portal transfer, nil opportunities. You know who

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Speaker 4: has plenty of event il opportunities. That would be the

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Speaker 4: reigning Heisman Trophy winner, Cale Williams. He is now the

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Speaker 4: Doctor Pipper, Doctor Pepper Fansville spokesman, So can you tell

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Speaker 4: us a little bit about like what goes into this?

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Speaker 4: How much is this worth to him? I think he's

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Speaker 4: also a Wendy's pitch man. He seems to be everywhere.

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Speaker 4: This offseason didn't work out so well for DJU a

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Speaker 4: couple of years ago.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully it goes better for Williams.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, hopefully it works out for him. I mean, this

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Speaker 1: is only the third year that Fansville has had a

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Speaker 1: current athlete involved in their commercials, and you look at

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Speaker 1: the last two, you know, DJ and Bryce s Young DJ.

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Speaker 1: The year before he did the commercial, Clemson ten and

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Speaker 1: two went to the College Football Playoff, won the semifinal.

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Speaker 1: The following year nine wins Cheeze at Bowl, second in

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Speaker 1: the ACC. Bryce Young the year before the Fansville AD

411
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Speaker 1: thirteen and two, Bama gets to the College Football Tie Game.

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Speaker 1: They won the SEC. The year of the Fansville AD

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Speaker 1: eleven and two, they don't make the playoff and they

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Speaker 1: finished second in the SEC West. Is there a Fansville

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Speaker 1: curse we're gonna find out? Is it similar to the

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Speaker 1: Madden cover Jinks? You know, so far, so good or

417
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Speaker 1: so bad? I guess. So that's something to keep your

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Speaker 1: eye on. And look whether he's doing the Fansville Ad

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Speaker 1: or not. And we talked about this before the season. Look,

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Speaker 1: he had a great game Week one. I still don't

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Speaker 1: think there's any way that he wins the Heisman, but

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Speaker 1: that's fourteen weeks to go in that. But he's battling

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Speaker 1: the Heisman, Jinks and the Fansville curse. So godspeed, Caleb Williams.

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Speaker 2: That'll do it for us.

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Speaker 4: Here for the special edition of the BBOC Podcast presented

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Speaker 4: by Bett MGM. As a reminder, We'll be back with

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Speaker 4: two more episodes this week. On Wednesday morning, we'll have

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Speaker 4: our Group of five deep dive between myself and Mike

429
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,639
Speaker 4: Ainello highlighting all the best bets across the group of

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00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,800
Speaker 4: five conferences. Then again here in week one, we'll have

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00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 4: our flagship college football betting preview with Stucky in Colin

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00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 4: a day early. It's gonna drop on Thursday morning, just

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Speaker 4: in time for all the collegeable action which is taking

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Speaker 4: place Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

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Speaker 2: College ball back with a vengeance.

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Speaker 4: Some phenomenal games, particularly that LSU Florida State game on Sunday,

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Speaker 4: should be a great way to kick off the season.

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Speaker 4: For Brett McMurphy on my calibaries. This has been the

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Speaker 4: BBOC podcast. Thank you so much for listening. Action Network

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Speaker 4: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you

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Speaker 4: care about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty

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Speaker 4: four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler