1
00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,960
Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of his information.

2
00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:05,600
Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?

3
00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:10,480
Speaker 1: A great five dollars? This is a rattles coping they

4
00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:17,079
Speaker 1: tackle ship one. Man, You're saying that humans need fantasy

5
00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:22,560
Speaker 1: to make life bearable, humans need fantasy to be human.

6
00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:25,760
Speaker 1: My goodness, that miss speak.

7
00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 3: I suppose the best, relentless refusing to give up.

8
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:36,360
Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, babe less there. What's up

9
00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:40,519
Speaker 2: everybody and Welcome to the Week nineteen aka the Wildcar

10
00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:44,400
Speaker 2: Weekend Fantasy Flex main Slate podcast presented by Prize Picks.

11
00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,000
Speaker 2: I'm your host, Chris Raybon, joined as always by my dude,

12
00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,920
Speaker 2: Sean Kerner. Sean, that was that's pretty exciting Week eighteen.

13
00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,440
Speaker 2: I must say, yeah, I love it. I think I

14
00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,000
Speaker 2: only lost one prop and it was a tenth of

15
00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:59,200
Speaker 2: a unit. I put on Isaiah McKenzie to get the

16
00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,560
Speaker 2: first touchdown for the bills of twenty two to one.

17
00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:03,959
Speaker 2: But other than that, I think I'm in like eight

18
00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,440
Speaker 2: o nine and oh overall and props, thank you for

19
00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:10,240
Speaker 2: putting together that incentive document and milestones.

20
00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:10,920
Speaker 1: That was huge.

21
00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,399
Speaker 3: I think we both attacked, yeah, a lot of those

22
00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,080
Speaker 3: props and came out like way on top.

23
00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,040
Speaker 1: So you had another You had a good week as well. Yeah,

24
00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:19,320
Speaker 1: it was.

25
00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,240
Speaker 2: It might have been my best week considering like the volume,

26
00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,160
Speaker 2: because I had about twenty two bets I think and

27
00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:26,760
Speaker 2: one fourteen or fifteen of them. Yeah, so yeah, it

28
00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,640
Speaker 2: was just like volume wise, it was a huge week.

29
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:31,640
Speaker 2: And then obviously anytime you can win like two thirds, uh,

30
00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:35,720
Speaker 2: the Cooper Cup was the only sweat, right, Yeah, you know,

31
00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,399
Speaker 2: so I actually did take some I put a unit

32
00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:40,600
Speaker 2: on you know, his regular prop and I put like

33
00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,679
Speaker 2: what to win a unit on the over one thirty

34
00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,040
Speaker 2: five and a half on all market, So I bear

35
00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:47,640
Speaker 2: I got, you know, I got, I got a little

36
00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,120
Speaker 2: bit of profit off that, but I actually didn't get

37
00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:49,480
Speaker 2: as much.

38
00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:51,760
Speaker 1: But the niners came through though still too outs. Oh

39
00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,480
Speaker 1: yeah in Acuti. You didn't get an over under like

40
00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:57,200
Speaker 1: one eighteen and a half, did you? No, I got

41
00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,960
Speaker 1: it over under one fifteen a half. I bet. I

42
00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:01,560
Speaker 1: was waiting. I mean I was like.

43
00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,680
Speaker 2: Refreshing all the books, like on whatever day it is,

44
00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:07,120
Speaker 2: like Thursday, you know, Thursday afternoon or whatever.

45
00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:09,480
Speaker 1: It was like waiting. Yeah, it went up to like

46
00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:11,960
Speaker 1: one twenty then it went down. I was just kind

47
00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:12,440
Speaker 1: of waiting too.

48
00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:14,200
Speaker 3: I thought it would go up and then once it

49
00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,400
Speaker 3: hit one sixteen, I said, okay, I'm going over now

50
00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,920
Speaker 3: and just barely, just barely, and I had the Niners

51
00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,320
Speaker 3: plus three and a half plus four as well, and

52
00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:25,639
Speaker 3: it was crazy how we kind of needed that touchdown.

53
00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,239
Speaker 3: It was like a swear touchdown to go over and

54
00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:30,919
Speaker 3: then you know, trust Jimmy g to mart. But just

55
00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,639
Speaker 3: overall fun weekend and just I wish we could have

56
00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:36,280
Speaker 3: Week eighteen every week.

57
00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:37,720
Speaker 1: It's just that much fun.

58
00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:39,440
Speaker 2: That was beautiful, and it was like it was like

59
00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:40,799
Speaker 2: a week where you could we could I know, we

60
00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:42,639
Speaker 2: do it on this show a lot more, but in

61
00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,160
Speaker 2: the regular prop market, it was a week where you

62
00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:46,960
Speaker 2: can bet over. It's a lot more confidently, I think.

63
00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, so yeah, yeah, Like Davonta Smith, I took that

64
00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:53,919
Speaker 3: thirty seven and a half over and he just went

65
00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:56,200
Speaker 3: He barely went over by like four yards. So it

66
00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,079
Speaker 3: was like Jamar Chase almost the same thing, right, he

67
00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:01,919
Speaker 3: just played a couple of plays. But we just know

68
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,760
Speaker 3: that these guys do go for these incentives and milestone.

69
00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:09,040
Speaker 3: So till next season hell yeah, but uh yeah, we

70
00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:10,800
Speaker 3: got it. We got the playoffs to get to here,

71
00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,839
Speaker 3: and so we'll do it. On this show, we'll break

72
00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,920
Speaker 3: down the Saturday slate and the Sunday slate. Those are

73
00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:19,320
Speaker 3: the two kind of big slates, you know, instead of

74
00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,680
Speaker 3: the three days slate that's kind of there's not as

75
00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:24,600
Speaker 3: many prizes there, so you obviously can kind of put

76
00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:26,560
Speaker 3: two in new together. Yeah, you know, as we talk

77
00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:28,839
Speaker 3: through these, but we'll still be doing a Friday show

78
00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,959
Speaker 3: as well with props, and then we'll cover this week's

79
00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,720
Speaker 3: Monday night game on that show, which is the Cardinals

80
00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:37,440
Speaker 3: and the Rams, because that slate isn't posted yet anyway

81
00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,040
Speaker 3: as we record this, so you know, we'll wait till

82
00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:40,840
Speaker 3: later in the week for that.

83
00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:45,760
Speaker 2: But yeah, let's get into the Saturday slate here. We

84
00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,680
Speaker 2: got the Raiders at the Bengals. Bengals are six point favorites,

85
00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:51,880
Speaker 2: the total at forty nine, and then you got the

86
00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,360
Speaker 2: Bills posting the Patriots. The Bills are four point favorites

87
00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:57,840
Speaker 2: with a total of forty three and a half.

88
00:03:58,680 --> 00:03:59,960
Speaker 1: What are you thinking at quarterback?

89
00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:05,240
Speaker 3: So, yeah, the Bill's Patriots game is probably a fade

90
00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:08,080
Speaker 3: for me, although it could be a conturing game to stack.

91
00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,920
Speaker 3: But just you know, two teams like that facing for

92
00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,000
Speaker 3: the third time this late in the season. It's probably

93
00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,160
Speaker 3: gonna be a lower scoring than people expect, So I'm

94
00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,480
Speaker 3: attacking this Bengals Raiders game. I think Burrow's going to

95
00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,000
Speaker 3: be very popular, rightfully, so I think Derek Carr is

96
00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:23,840
Speaker 3: the play on this late.

97
00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:25,640
Speaker 1: He's going to be too cheap.

98
00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:29,320
Speaker 3: The Raiders have the second highest pass rate win trailing.

99
00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:31,200
Speaker 3: I think they're going to be trailing for much of

100
00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:33,840
Speaker 3: this game, so this could be a sneaky game for car.

101
00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:37,359
Speaker 3: He just got Darren wallerback, he has a ton of weapons.

102
00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:39,960
Speaker 3: Maybe we'll see Deshaun Jackson get a big play in

103
00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:42,000
Speaker 3: this game. But I just think based on this late,

104
00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:44,560
Speaker 3: I think Derek Carr is the sneaky play at QB.

105
00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to talk about Burrow a little bit

106
00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,239
Speaker 2: because he he's interesting. I think on FANDL he's definitely

107
00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:55,000
Speaker 2: to play. At seventy eight hundred, he's ten one thousand

108
00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:58,960
Speaker 2: dollars keeper than Josh Allen on draftings, though Allen's only

109
00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,040
Speaker 2: I think five or six hundred more expensive than Borrow.

110
00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,440
Speaker 2: I'm I'm thinking of just going Allen and taking the

111
00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,640
Speaker 2: floor because I think even if you know, obviously we

112
00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,560
Speaker 2: respect the Belichick defense, I've talked about it. They'll probably

113
00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:14,960
Speaker 2: do what they can of limit Stefan Diggs, but you

114
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:18,760
Speaker 2: know Maddy Sanders back healthy playoff game, I still think

115
00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:20,560
Speaker 2: you're going to see an aggressive Bills offense.

116
00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:22,400
Speaker 1: I think he's still going to see Allen run the

117
00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:23,080
Speaker 1: ball if he has to.

118
00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,320
Speaker 2: So what do you think of kind of that price

119
00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,760
Speaker 2: discrepancy on DraftKings where it's a lot closer.

120
00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:31,120
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, No, I still think Josh Allen has a

121
00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,960
Speaker 3: super high four end ceiling. I mean, he's rushed for

122
00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,640
Speaker 3: over sixty yards each of the past three games. Then

123
00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:40,320
Speaker 3: he had one hundred and nine yard rushing game before that,

124
00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,800
Speaker 3: so you just imagine the playoffs. He's not gonna hold back,

125
00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:45,880
Speaker 3: so he's gonna scramble run even more.

126
00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:46,640
Speaker 2: So.

127
00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, despite the tough matchup, I still love Josh Allen here,

128
00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,280
Speaker 3: just based on his ceiling. I think his roster ship

129
00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:54,400
Speaker 3: might be a little bit lower too because of the

130
00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,480
Speaker 3: tough matchup. So I'm with you here, especially. You know

131
00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:00,280
Speaker 3: a site, like you said, fandals five hundred dollars, different.

132
00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,880
Speaker 1: Bandel it's a thousand. So that's where I'm thinking about.

133
00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:06,880
Speaker 2: Burrow's only seventy eight hundred on fan and Alan's eighty

134
00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:11,039
Speaker 2: eight hundred, but on DraftKings, Allen is seventy nine hundred,

135
00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,880
Speaker 2: I believe, yeah, and then Burrow's seventy three.

136
00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,360
Speaker 1: So that's like that's a that's like, you know, and

137
00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,560
Speaker 1: you don't really need the extra cash on you know, DraftKings.

138
00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:21,080
Speaker 2: The way they kind of priced everyone, there's like this

139
00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:24,160
Speaker 2: huge gap between I think it's Jakobe Myers and then

140
00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:27,400
Speaker 2: Ke Higgins. I want to say it is so you

141
00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,440
Speaker 2: could kind of you know, you don't really need to

142
00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:30,440
Speaker 2: be saving those few.

143
00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,840
Speaker 1: Hundred Yeah, exactly. Yeah, No, I'm all about that.

144
00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:34,839
Speaker 3: And I think you know, even though they're five hundred

145
00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:37,960
Speaker 3: dollars apart, I think Burrow will still be pretty popular, right,

146
00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,960
Speaker 3: I mean, he everyone's gonna want to play Jamar Chase

147
00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:42,520
Speaker 3: and then you want to stack him with Burrow.

148
00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,520
Speaker 1: So I do think that Josh Allen might be contrarion an.

149
00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,960
Speaker 3: He's you know, good value wise, So yeah, I could

150
00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:49,680
Speaker 3: definitely get behind Josh Allen as well.

151
00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,280
Speaker 2: And I mean, and this is something the other thing

152
00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:54,680
Speaker 2: that's kind of hanging over this whole thing is we

153
00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:57,560
Speaker 2: know Josh Allen's healthy, like we we think Joe Burrow

154
00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:58,279
Speaker 2: is healthy, but.

155
00:06:58,440 --> 00:06:59,560
Speaker 1: Like we don't know for sure.

156
00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:02,320
Speaker 2: The last we saw him, he was like limping around

157
00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,800
Speaker 2: out of that Kansas City game you know had. You know,

158
00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:06,840
Speaker 2: I think, what did he They got to win, but

159
00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,039
Speaker 2: he was like limping around, and then he doesn't play

160
00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:12,480
Speaker 2: the next week, and it's like, obviously they're not going

161
00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:14,840
Speaker 2: to tell us if he's not one hundred percent because

162
00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,360
Speaker 2: they wouldn't want to give up a competitive advantage.

163
00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:20,120
Speaker 1: But there's a possibility that he's not one hundred percent.

164
00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, there is that possibility. Now he did have a

165
00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:26,760
Speaker 3: full practice today. But you know, I take your point. Luckily,

166
00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:29,200
Speaker 3: you know, we don't when it comes to his playing style.

167
00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:33,240
Speaker 3: He doesn't need to be too mobile, so I think, yeah,

168
00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:35,680
Speaker 3: he's probably gonna be fine. But still, like you said,

169
00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:37,960
Speaker 3: Josh Allen, we know for a fact is fully healthy.

170
00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:42,560
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to running back here, and there's

171
00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,720
Speaker 2: not as much I think we will. I mean, there's

172
00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,440
Speaker 2: some interesting plays and tournaments, but I don't know. In

173
00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:50,120
Speaker 2: cash games, I feel like it's a pretty clear like

174
00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,440
Speaker 2: you have to go mix in Singletary Jacobs as like

175
00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,720
Speaker 2: you're in like the flex is like your three cash

176
00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,000
Speaker 2: game backs, Like, I mean, is there anyone else you

177
00:07:58,000 --> 00:07:58,920
Speaker 2: would consider playing?

178
00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:02,680
Speaker 1: No? For So for me, Joe Mixon all the way.

179
00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:04,800
Speaker 1: I like pairing him with Derek Carr.

180
00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,000
Speaker 3: I think that's going to be the game script here is,

181
00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:09,040
Speaker 3: you know, the Bengals get a lead and then they're

182
00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,280
Speaker 3: going to just run the show the ball at Joe Mixon,

183
00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,760
Speaker 3: I would certainly not be surprised if he gets over

184
00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:15,520
Speaker 3: twenty rushing tests, but this could be one of those

185
00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,560
Speaker 3: games where he gets like thirty. Why would they hold

186
00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,400
Speaker 3: back at this point? So I love Joe Mixon. I

187
00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:22,520
Speaker 3: agree that it's it's kind of a rough running back

188
00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,280
Speaker 3: slate if you go way further down the list. I

189
00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:29,000
Speaker 3: like Jalen Rashard just based on expected game script. He

190
00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:32,320
Speaker 3: could be sneaky. You know, he ran arount on forty

191
00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:35,840
Speaker 3: three percent of Derek Carr's dropbacks last week. Of course

192
00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:39,000
Speaker 3: he had that third and twenty three amazing run to

193
00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:41,640
Speaker 3: get that conversion, but he was out there for the

194
00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:44,599
Speaker 3: entire two minute offense. So in a game like this,

195
00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:46,599
Speaker 3: you know where they might be in comeback mode, he

196
00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,480
Speaker 3: might be on the field more than we expect. So

197
00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,040
Speaker 3: I think Jalen Rashard at like mind price is pretty

198
00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,840
Speaker 3: sneaky on a full PPR site like DK.

199
00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:55,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that call.

200
00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:57,920
Speaker 2: And you have to play guys like that because yeah,

201
00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:00,480
Speaker 2: you know, obviously, I think the three guys I just

202
00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,719
Speaker 2: mentioned mixed and Jacobs and Singletary will be the three

203
00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:04,760
Speaker 2: most popular players.

204
00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:05,160
Speaker 1: Anyway.

205
00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:09,199
Speaker 2: I like the Rishard call. I like Brandon Bolden is

206
00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,600
Speaker 2: another guy the same deal. Like, Yeah, you might see

207
00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:15,560
Speaker 2: the Patriots fall behind early in the game, He's gonna

208
00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,120
Speaker 2: be there, pass down back over Stevenson and Harris. And

209
00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,719
Speaker 2: we we've seen the twenty point upside with Boldener. I

210
00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,319
Speaker 2: think we saw it this week actually, So he's another

211
00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,240
Speaker 2: guy that you know, can kind of produce that. And

212
00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,640
Speaker 2: they're not afraid, if you know, the Patriots sometimes the

213
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:29,400
Speaker 2: will go hurry up things like that. They're not afraid

214
00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:31,760
Speaker 2: to weave him in at the goal line if they're

215
00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:33,520
Speaker 2: just happened to be going hurry up because they don't

216
00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,120
Speaker 2: want the defense to be able to sub. So he

217
00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,079
Speaker 2: can get a couple of goal line carries too, you know,

218
00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:40,640
Speaker 2: if he's on the field. So it kind of all

219
00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:42,640
Speaker 2: works out for him to where if the game script

220
00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:44,640
Speaker 2: goes right, it usually goes very right for a guy

221
00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,439
Speaker 2: like Brandon bold Yep. Agreed, All right, let's go to

222
00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:52,160
Speaker 2: wide receiver here. This is it's a tough slate like

223
00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,640
Speaker 2: this is one where I I because of the you know,

224
00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,640
Speaker 2: the running backs. I think they're higher floor guys. It's

225
00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:00,439
Speaker 2: really tough to justify, you know, pay it up super

226
00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:03,559
Speaker 2: high receiver. I think T Higgins looks really good. It's

227
00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,520
Speaker 2: like kind of your wide receiver one for this absolute

228
00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:10,640
Speaker 2: and then another guy is Tyler Boyd. I think he's

229
00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,040
Speaker 2: you know, he's come on really strong these last handful

230
00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:15,440
Speaker 2: of games. I know he rested in week seven, Week eighteen,

231
00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,959
Speaker 2: but he's had double digit performances, you know, over the

232
00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:22,000
Speaker 2: last month and kind of emerges a really stable guy

233
00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:22,880
Speaker 2: in that past offense.

234
00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:24,520
Speaker 1: So those are the two guys probably going to be

235
00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:27,559
Speaker 1: the building blocks. What about you?

236
00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love T Higgins. Of course, it's been a

237
00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:34,040
Speaker 3: few games since his eruption game twelve catches from one,

238
00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:36,559
Speaker 3: four and two touchdowns, so I think, you know, that

239
00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,280
Speaker 3: might not be on people's minds. He's too cheap here.

240
00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:42,360
Speaker 3: I always love T Higgins. Raiders do play a ton

241
00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,640
Speaker 3: of zone, so typically that's when we want to target

242
00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,520
Speaker 3: T Higgins, So love him back on the T Higgins train.

243
00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:50,800
Speaker 1: I also, I'm sticking with Zay Jones.

244
00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:53,160
Speaker 3: I feel like I said this every week, but that's

245
00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:56,040
Speaker 3: five straight games now with five plus catches. I think

246
00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,040
Speaker 3: Waller's going to impact one Hunter, Renfros target chirpf anything.

247
00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:01,200
Speaker 3: We saw that happen all right, So I think Zay

248
00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:03,599
Speaker 3: Jones is still pretty safe. And if I'm mistaken, like

249
00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:06,160
Speaker 3: he almost caught like a long touchdown pass from Carr,

250
00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,719
Speaker 3: Carr overthrew like Zay Jones is wide open, and Car

251
00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:12,560
Speaker 3: like still try to lead him. So I'm blaming Carr

252
00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,360
Speaker 3: on that one. Zay Jones could have had an even

253
00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:17,120
Speaker 3: bigger game. So I love Zay Jones here again this

254
00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:20,000
Speaker 3: I'm expecting a pass heavy game script for the Raiders,

255
00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:22,800
Speaker 3: So love Raiders pass catchers, and this could be a

256
00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:25,920
Speaker 3: spot like I like to choose my spots with Nelson Agaloor,

257
00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:27,960
Speaker 3: but this is one of those spots where he could

258
00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:31,600
Speaker 3: be sneaky. I think he's been price and I thought

259
00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,640
Speaker 3: they're going to ease him in after coming off a

260
00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:35,920
Speaker 3: two game absence from the concussion, but he ran her

261
00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:39,439
Speaker 3: out on ninety seven percent of mac Jones dropbacks last week.

262
00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,520
Speaker 3: So honestly like this where you might not need much

263
00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,360
Speaker 3: and certainly he's a low floor player. He could still

264
00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:48,280
Speaker 3: get you that one or two big catch game here

265
00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,319
Speaker 3: to kind of break this slate. So this is a

266
00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,920
Speaker 3: rare time where I'm kind of like cherry picking Nelson

267
00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:56,160
Speaker 3: Agular just a few lineups at least I.

268
00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:58,480
Speaker 2: Would play Nelson Aguar in cash games on draft Wow,

269
00:11:58,559 --> 00:11:59,160
Speaker 2: you would play him?

270
00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:01,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, she guys, no, because listen, he can.

271
00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:03,400
Speaker 2: He lets you get up to everyone else you need

272
00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:07,920
Speaker 2: to up on, like you have to punt somewhere on DraftKings, right,

273
00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:09,840
Speaker 2: And so like, if I get agal Ar and I've

274
00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,240
Speaker 2: already looked at this, I can get Josh Allen, Joe Mixon,

275
00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:16,560
Speaker 2: Josh Jacobs, T Higgins, Tyler Boyd, Aaron Waller, and Devin Singles.

276
00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:17,840
Speaker 1: Tim Oh, there you go. Right.

277
00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:21,199
Speaker 2: So it's like at this point Agalar could goose it,

278
00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:23,640
Speaker 2: and I really don't. It doesn't it doesn't really matter

279
00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:26,160
Speaker 2: to my line up. It's like because I'm getting all

280
00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:29,120
Speaker 2: essentially all of the other top plays in there, except

281
00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:31,160
Speaker 2: like a Jamar Chase, you know, maybe a Renfro, but

282
00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:33,480
Speaker 2: like not everyone. It's the same thing for everyone else,

283
00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:36,520
Speaker 2: but other people might you know, not feel comfortable with

284
00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,719
Speaker 2: Agalar if you if you play Jones on DraftKings he's

285
00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:42,760
Speaker 2: four k, then it complicates it a little bit on

286
00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:45,520
Speaker 2: Fandel Jones is that's where I think you play Jones

287
00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:47,960
Speaker 2: on Fandel because Jones is fifty three hundred, so he's

288
00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:51,120
Speaker 2: like the easy wide receiver three call on FanDuel. But

289
00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:54,360
Speaker 2: on DraftKings, I think you have to punt one of

290
00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,880
Speaker 2: the spots and wide receiver three because you're getting Waller

291
00:12:56,960 --> 00:12:58,720
Speaker 2: so cheap. Anyway, we'll talk about that in a second.

292
00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:01,320
Speaker 2: Like you it's the tight end spot you would punt,

293
00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,800
Speaker 2: but like here, it's like you're getting water at like

294
00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,800
Speaker 2: fifty seven hundred, So it's like now you're just punting

295
00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:08,800
Speaker 2: that high variant wide receiver three spot.

296
00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:12,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, and he's not like he's not even goosegging

297
00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,320
Speaker 3: this year, Like his floor is still. You know, he'll

298
00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,680
Speaker 3: get you two catches for twenty five yards. He won't

299
00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:18,640
Speaker 3: do much more than that, but at least he has

300
00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:20,640
Speaker 3: a ceiling. This is a game script for the Patriots

301
00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:22,760
Speaker 3: could be forced to throw. So yeah, I could get

302
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,719
Speaker 3: behind Aglor and cash when you put it that way.

303
00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:27,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just yeah, once you start fiddling with the lineup,

304
00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:30,360
Speaker 2: I mean, there's not many other choices to like get.

305
00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:32,120
Speaker 1: All of the other guys in there. So yeah, like

306
00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:32,800
Speaker 1: I love that.

307
00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:38,000
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to tight end and yeah, I

308
00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:42,000
Speaker 2: mean on on on DraftKings, you know, Waller fifty seven hundred,

309
00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,560
Speaker 2: he's sixty three hundred on FanDuel, I think you got to.

310
00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:45,480
Speaker 1: Get him in cash games.

311
00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:47,040
Speaker 2: They kind I don't know, I don't I wouldn't say

312
00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:48,719
Speaker 2: they eased them back in in the last game. He

313
00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:51,680
Speaker 2: just was a little rusty. Yeah, you know, not quite

314
00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,480
Speaker 2: on the same page. I think he dropped one where

315
00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:56,199
Speaker 2: he kind of turned up field. But let's be real,

316
00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:59,120
Speaker 2: like Cincinnati, they've kind of I know, they're a little

317
00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:02,000
Speaker 2: bit healthier at linebacker than they were down a stretch,

318
00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,360
Speaker 2: but this has still been a team that struggled kind

319
00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,080
Speaker 2: of in the in that spot, you know, linebacker, safety,

320
00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,679
Speaker 2: middle of a field with with tight end. You know,

321
00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:12,240
Speaker 2: so they have some talent of players there, but they

322
00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,160
Speaker 2: still have struggled with tight ends for whatever reason.

323
00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:15,720
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Waller.

324
00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:19,920
Speaker 2: It's kind of the probably the most owned, you know,

325
00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:23,040
Speaker 2: most overweight ownership rostership for me anyway.

326
00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love that call, and they certainly didn't ease

327
00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:27,640
Speaker 3: him in. He ran hero out on ninety three percent

328
00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,840
Speaker 3: of cards dropbacks. But like you said, he certainly looked rusty.

329
00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:33,120
Speaker 3: He just was on the same page. But I bet

330
00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,600
Speaker 3: they figured that out real quick. So he's a great

331
00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:38,120
Speaker 3: play this week. Also, like Hunter Henry on a slate

332
00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:40,960
Speaker 3: like this, just the touch on upside doesn't provide too

333
00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,360
Speaker 3: much more than that, But just a slay like this,

334
00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:45,240
Speaker 3: a touch on for a guy like Henry is huge.

335
00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,280
Speaker 3: And then what about c j Uzoma. This is kind

336
00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,120
Speaker 3: of like a leverage play if if you're going to

337
00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,040
Speaker 3: spend down at tight end. He's probably the only guy

338
00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:53,080
Speaker 3: I would spend down.

339
00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:53,640
Speaker 1: On, right.

340
00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,560
Speaker 3: I don't see any like one of our famous like

341
00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,360
Speaker 3: backup tight ends to target here, but he's he's the

342
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,480
Speaker 3: only guy to kind of spend down at I think.

343
00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:03,880
Speaker 1: I mean, it's tough with you, sol.

344
00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:06,160
Speaker 2: Hma because he's he's not good against his own and

345
00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:07,920
Speaker 2: that's all the Raiders plays.

346
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:11,000
Speaker 1: So I mean, this was crazy. But what about a

347
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:12,200
Speaker 1: guy like John hw Smith.

348
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,560
Speaker 2: He's only gonna get like maybe twenty thirty percent of

349
00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,080
Speaker 2: the route, but he's gonna get a couple of carries,

350
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,000
Speaker 2: and one of those might come in the red zone.

351
00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,440
Speaker 2: He's been getting carries out here, So I mean on

352
00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:23,440
Speaker 2: a slate like this, you know how the Patriots they

353
00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,280
Speaker 2: like they're like, ah, like whip a guy out that

354
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:27,720
Speaker 2: they've had on ice like all year.

355
00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:30,280
Speaker 1: And it's like because like, if I'm not mistaken, there

356
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:31,920
Speaker 1: was let me let me look it up. But there

357
00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,360
Speaker 1: was a game where John hu just like came out firing.

358
00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 1: Let's see, let's see what it was.

359
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,120
Speaker 2: Not recently, right, Yeah, I think it was the Tennessee game.

360
00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,120
Speaker 2: He got like forty nine yards and I think he

361
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,080
Speaker 2: might have got banged up in that game. But he's

362
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:50,600
Speaker 2: gotten to carry in five straight games, so that's you know,

363
00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:52,560
Speaker 2: that's oh no, four to five of the last six

364
00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:53,520
Speaker 2: games he's gotten to carry.

365
00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:54,520
Speaker 1: And then.

366
00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:58,120
Speaker 2: You know, like anything else, you're just hoping maybe he

367
00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,960
Speaker 2: gets that little touchdown. So he's a guy that I

368
00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:02,840
Speaker 2: would I think you saw much fine too, but I

369
00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:06,760
Speaker 2: think you limit him to uh burrow stacked right, So

370
00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:10,240
Speaker 2: you're trying to get differentiation on the field where a

371
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,880
Speaker 2: lot we're gonna have burrow and then he's gonna throw.

372
00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:16,520
Speaker 1: If he he pays off, he's breaking need three touchdowns

373
00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:21,200
Speaker 1: or so one of them do that? Yeah right, yeah, yeah,

374
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:22,160
Speaker 1: I love the Jona call.

375
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,680
Speaker 3: I just looked at that right now, Yeah, they could

376
00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:26,840
Speaker 3: get creative and whenever he's out there, like he doesn't

377
00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:28,680
Speaker 3: run that many routes, but when he does, they usually

378
00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:31,320
Speaker 3: target him. So he's he's kind of a high upside

379
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 3: guy where yeah, if you're gonna spend down, he could

380
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:33,800
Speaker 3: be sneaky.

381
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,080
Speaker 2: All right, Uh, let's go to these Sundays. Oh no,

382
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:40,520
Speaker 2: that's actually because it's we have some time and it's uh,

383
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,280
Speaker 2: you know defense. Yeah, let's talk some defense real quick.

384
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:48,440
Speaker 2: Just because so for for for draftings another just like

385
00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,040
Speaker 2: you know, playing Agalar, I think you might want to

386
00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:54,480
Speaker 2: play the Raiders and just like because again it's one

387
00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:56,200
Speaker 2: of those things where what you get up to everyone else.

388
00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,080
Speaker 2: But also I actually have the Raiders about point six

389
00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:03,240
Speaker 2: high than the Patriots and my projections because even though

390
00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:06,600
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow has been great this year, they've been very

391
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:11,239
Speaker 2: mistake prone. Like their interceptions, their sacks. They are near

392
00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:13,000
Speaker 2: the top of the league in both of those categories.

393
00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:16,040
Speaker 2: So you know, it's not like the matchup is great,

394
00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:18,119
Speaker 2: but the Bengals are still one of those teams that

395
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,760
Speaker 2: you know they'll turn the ball over they and that

396
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:23,840
Speaker 2: you know that's all you need on a four games slate,

397
00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:26,560
Speaker 2: is like, you know, you're not really like trying to

398
00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:28,800
Speaker 2: get the most points out of your defense. If you

399
00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:30,800
Speaker 2: can just get like a couple of those like you know,

400
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,720
Speaker 2: turnovers or whatever, fumble, recovery, something sack, that adds up.

401
00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:36,679
Speaker 2: So what do you think of the Raiders here as

402
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:38,120
Speaker 2: like a contrarian hunt.

403
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:41,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's it's certainly contraern I wouldn't do it,

404
00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:43,960
Speaker 3: but that then again, it's defense, Like what do we know,

405
00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,359
Speaker 3: it's very volatile, So I don't mind taking stabs like

406
00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:49,760
Speaker 3: this when it comes to defense, especially on a slight

407
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:52,119
Speaker 3: this small. So certainly, if you want like a unique

408
00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,200
Speaker 3: contraying lineup, go for it. I'm going on the other

409
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,480
Speaker 3: side here, I think the Bengals are sneaky at their price.

410
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,560
Speaker 3: Like I said, I won't do this in any team

411
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:03,960
Speaker 3: where I'm actually playing Derek Carr and Waller and all that,

412
00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,800
Speaker 3: But you know, this could be a pass heavy game

413
00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 3: script for Derek Carr, so the potential for more interception

414
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:13,040
Speaker 3: sacks goes up. So I like the idea of, you know,

415
00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 3: pairing the Bengals defense with Joe Mixon, who will probably

416
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,520
Speaker 3: be on every single one of my teams. So that's

417
00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,199
Speaker 3: why I do like the Bengals here. They're cheaper, their

418
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,440
Speaker 3: rostership might be high, so I don't know if they're

419
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,520
Speaker 3: a great tournament play. So certainly I think your Raiders

420
00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:28,119
Speaker 3: call is definitely a GPP worthy.

421
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:30,760
Speaker 2: The Bengals are have given up the third most sacks,

422
00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,439
Speaker 2: so you just know, like Crosby and those guys are

423
00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,280
Speaker 2: going to get after it. Yeah, and even if you

424
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:40,160
Speaker 2: see like you know, the Bengals are rightfully favorite. So yeah,

425
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,320
Speaker 2: it's one of those slates. But let's get into the

426
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:46,000
Speaker 2: Sunday slate. We got Philly at Tampa. Tampa is eight

427
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,879
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, the total forty nine. San

428
00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,520
Speaker 2: Francisco at Dallas, Dallas a three point favorite, the total

429
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 2: fifty and a half. And then Pittsburgh at Kansas City.

430
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 2: The Chiefs are twelve and a half point favorites. The

431
00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 2: total is just forty six and a half. So what

432
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 2: are you thinking at quarterback?

433
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 1: I'm thinking Dak all the way for this slate.

434
00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:10,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, just Mahomes and Brady they're you know,

435
00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:12,680
Speaker 3: both games could be blow ups, they could lean on

436
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:14,640
Speaker 3: the run more. I just think there's ceilings a little

437
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,600
Speaker 3: bit lower and Dak. This this is a great matchup.

438
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,200
Speaker 3: It's you know, past funnel defense in the Niners. I

439
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,920
Speaker 3: think Zeke's going to struggle to move the ball on

440
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,320
Speaker 3: the ground, so it could be a Dak game. It

441
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,320
Speaker 3: was kind of perplexing to see them play Dak for

442
00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:32,040
Speaker 3: pretty much the entire game on Saturday through for five touchdowns.

443
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 3: So you know, I don't think his roster ship is

444
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 3: going to be too low, especially after that performance. But

445
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 3: this is out of all the games, this is a

446
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 3: spot where I want Dak and pair him up with

447
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,560
Speaker 3: you know, Ceedee Lamb, Mark Cooper, Cedric Wilson, Dalton Schultz.

448
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,160
Speaker 3: I think just for this slate, I'm going Dak.

449
00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:48,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Dak. That's going to be the cash

450
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:52,159
Speaker 2: game guy. But in tournaments obviously got to diversify. I

451
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:55,200
Speaker 2: think one guy that's interesting is Galen Hurts, just because

452
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:58,680
Speaker 2: usually we're talking about the Eagles that they're going to

453
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 2: come in with a run heavy game point and they've been.

454
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,560
Speaker 2: They've been pretty good down to stretch, so they haven't

455
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 2: been in a bunch of trailing game scripts, obviously the

456
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:10,560
Speaker 2: Dallas game being an exception. But this Tampa Bay team,

457
00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 2: I mean, it's they're tough to run against, and they're

458
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 2: probably gonna score points. So now you're looking at a

459
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 2: situation where maybe you get you know, two hundred and

460
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:21,480
Speaker 2: fifty three hundred, three hundred and fifty yards passing out

461
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 2: of Jayalen Hurts one way or another due to the

462
00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 2: game script.

463
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 1: So, uh, he's a guy that kind of sticks out.

464
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 2: He's even cheaper than Dak, and you know, I don't

465
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,639
Speaker 2: know where people will be at with him when you

466
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,200
Speaker 2: have the big names like Brady and Mahomes on the

467
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,960
Speaker 2: suite as well. So I love the rushing upside, and

468
00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:38,639
Speaker 2: I love the fact that we might actually get a

469
00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:42,919
Speaker 2: decent passing game, even if it's just volume induced from Hurts.

470
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:45,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love that. And I like that he got

471
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:47,280
Speaker 1: the week off to rest his ankle.

472
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,440
Speaker 3: He should be much much closer two hundred percent, So

473
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,000
Speaker 3: I'm I'm dialing back his rushing usage a little bit.

474
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 3: But we just haven't seen that of late, So yeah,

475
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,159
Speaker 3: I think he could be overlooked here. This could be

476
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,879
Speaker 3: one of those classic Hurts games where he throws for

477
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 3: over two fifty and still runs for over fifty yards.

478
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,520
Speaker 3: I remember he bombed the first time they faced the

479
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 3: the Buccaneers. He only threw one fifteen, but I think

480
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,680
Speaker 3: he'll bounce back. I think he has the weapons and

481
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 3: so yeah, I love Hurts as well.

482
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and in that game, I mean he still threw.

483
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 2: He still ran ten times for forty four yards and

484
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 2: two touchdowo touchdowns yep, so you know, and he has

485
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 2: a he has a three touchdown game on his resume

486
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 2: this year, rushing, just rushing. So yeah, this guy, think

487
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:31,120
Speaker 2: you got it. He's probably my favorite tournament play. Let's

488
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 2: go to running back. This is interesting because you got

489
00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 2: you know, where are you ranking for Nett? You know,

490
00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:38,919
Speaker 2: looks like he's going to be activated and come back.

491
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 2: Are you are you projecting him to kind of take

492
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 2: over again? Is that like playoff Lenny lead back?

493
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 3: Oh? Yeah, yeah, playoff Lenny. You just have to figure

494
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,399
Speaker 3: they're going to feed him the ball. We need to

495
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 3: see what's up with Ronald Jones. There's a lot of them,

496
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: certainly there, but right now I only have Nause Harris

497
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 3: with a higher production because I think he will get

498
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 3: a ton of receptions here. But right now, Lenny is

499
00:21:58,080 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 3: my number two back. If we get word that he's

500
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 3: in were near one hundred, he could leap frog Nauji.

501
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 3: So I am dialing back Lenny's uses just a little bit.

502
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 3: But I have no reason to fade him if he's playing.

503
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 3: If he's playing, we're gonna get playoff Lenny.

504
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 1: Sign me up. So love Lenny on this slate. Yeah.

505
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,840
Speaker 1: I think another interesting one is Elijah Mitchell.

506
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:20,360
Speaker 2: You know, the only thing is they are an underdog

507
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:22,239
Speaker 2: in this game, and but I think they know they

508
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:23,920
Speaker 2: have to lean on a run. I mean, Dallas plays

509
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 2: a lot of man covers. That is not San Francisco's strength,

510
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:27,880
Speaker 2: you know, throwing against the man covers. They're really good

511
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 2: against zone teams like the Rams, not as good against

512
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 2: man teams like the Cowboys. So I think you could

513
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 2: still see like a twenty Harry game for Mitchell and

514
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 2: them try to just bleed the clock, especially after Dallas

515
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 2: throws for what five touchdowns, puts up.

516
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: Fifty points from second time in three weeks or something like.

517
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,199
Speaker 1: It's they're gonna look at it like, hey, we got

518
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,080
Speaker 1: to keep this offense off the field.

519
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 2: So Elijah Mitchell really stands out and it's pretty affordable

520
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:53,120
Speaker 2: as well.

521
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you, Like I was gonna say

522
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 3: the same thing, like they're gonna lean on him to

523
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:01,080
Speaker 3: kind of kill the clock. The the Niners love to

524
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 3: have these long drives, and especially against the Cowboys, they're

525
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 3: going to want to keep Dak and the offense on

526
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 3: the sideline. So they're going to lean on Mitchell and

527
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 3: possibly Deebo Samuel out of the backfield. Oh yeah a

528
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 3: lot here. So yeah, even though it's a tough matchup,

529
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:17,159
Speaker 3: Elijah Mitchell should see twenty plus touches. So yeah, I

530
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:18,680
Speaker 3: love him on the slate as well. I think it's

531
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,360
Speaker 3: really just Mitchell, Fournette, and Harris, right, and then it's

532
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 3: kind of up in the air after that.

533
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I worry a little bit about Harris. I

534
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,879
Speaker 2: mean negative game script, you know, Pittsburgh. I mean, and

535
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 2: he's he's priced up right, Like it's not like the

536
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 2: other slate where the guys you're paying the like a

537
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 2: mix and you're paying up for him, but they're a

538
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 2: six point favorite. Here, you're a twelve and a half

539
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,919
Speaker 2: point dog. So it could get ugly for a guy

540
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 2: with Harris. I think one guy that's interesting is Darryl

541
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 2: Williams because we know they trust him in these type

542
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 2: of playoff games.

543
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 1: Quite Edwards A Laiir we think he will be back,

544
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 1: but how healthy is he?

545
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 2: And we've seen Williams a lot of times steal some

546
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,720
Speaker 2: of that goal line work anyway, and he's been really

547
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 2: good as a pass catcher, So this could be one

548
00:23:57,560 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 2: of those games where if Edwards Hilaire doesn't get in

549
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:01,680
Speaker 2: like you know, three full practices or he's just not

550
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 2: one hundred percent, Williams could be like the veeder and

551
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 2: snaps in that backfield and they as they kind of

552
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 2: leave Edwards aware on ice, especially if they're.

553
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:11,160
Speaker 1: Blowing him out, you know, the twelve and a half

554
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 1: picks spread.

555
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 2: So I think he's really sneaky as a guy that

556
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:17,160
Speaker 2: you know, could put up like a touchdown, maybe even

557
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:20,640
Speaker 2: two touchdowns as given the spread in this kind of game.

558
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 1: But of course he's got to be healthy too.

559
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 3: I know I was gonna say he has said to

560
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,280
Speaker 3: Andrew like, we're gonna just have to see who they

561
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 3: send out there. So either way, like hopefully, well not hopefully,

562
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 3: just it will have more clarity if Clyde Edwards hlier

563
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:35,879
Speaker 3: if they hold him out for one more game, like

564
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 3: I don't think they need him to beat the Steelers,

565
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 3: so I wouldn't be surprised if they hold him out,

566
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 3: then I will be all over Darrell Williams.

567
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 1: But you know, if both of them are banged.

568
00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 3: Up, Derek core I keep saying, like a game script

569
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 3: like this where the you know, the Chiefs could be

570
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 3: up in the second half. It would not surprise me

571
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 3: if Derek Corer dominates later in the game, depending on

572
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 3: who's healthy and who's active. But this is situation that

573
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 3: I think it's worth monitoring because it's such an easy matchup.

574
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 3: The Chiefs are what twelve thirteen point favorites now, so

575
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 3: even though we don't know who's going to be getting

576
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,119
Speaker 3: the touches for Casey, we definitely want to invest in

577
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 3: the stackfield this week.

578
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 2: And how are you looking at the Eagles backfield, you know,

579
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 2: miss Covid. I mean, I think Sanders are sneaky because

580
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 2: they had something with him in that last game. And

581
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 2: I think his rostership will be relatively low just because

582
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 2: you know, people might have forgotten about him after he

583
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 2: sat out, and there's still probably going to be four

584
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,399
Speaker 2: active running backs. And I think they just signed Huntley

585
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 2: to the active rosters. Oh shit, So I yeah, I

586
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 2: don't know what's going on there. I mean that maybe

587
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 2: that's bad news for Sanders. But one way or another,

588
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 2: if he's active, I would I would. I think I

589
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:39,239
Speaker 2: would bet on him, especially against that tough Tampa Bay

590
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:39,800
Speaker 2: run defense.

591
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,920
Speaker 1: It's not like a Jordan Howard type of matchup.

592
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:45,159
Speaker 2: For the most part, I think Sanders he hasn't been

593
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 2: playing as much in the passing game, but he can't

594
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 2: like he's not he's not, as you know, his hands

595
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 2: are a little shaky. But I think in this kind

596
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,119
Speaker 2: of matchup, do you do you go with the rookie

597
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 2: gain Well, I don't know.

598
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,959
Speaker 3: So yeah, no, it's it's tough. I think if if

599
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 3: Sanders is active, he's certainly in play. He's too cheap,

600
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 3: and I agree this is really a Jordan Howard spot.

601
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,359
Speaker 3: They'll probably be trailing for much of the game, so

602
00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:06,680
Speaker 3: maybe Ganel would be sneaky, and you know, Sanders is

603
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 3: coming off a broken hand, so I think they would

604
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:10,359
Speaker 3: limit him to just early downs.

605
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:11,639
Speaker 1: Like I don't think they're gonna have.

606
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,240
Speaker 3: Him blocking on third down or anything, so it could

607
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 3: be a bust In Scott game Ganel. I mean, who

608
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 3: the hell knows. But hopefully we'll have a better idea,

609
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 3: uh you know, come the weekend. But right now, it's like,

610
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 3: all fight, Well, Huntley's not in play, but he certainly

611
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 3: he was probably called up.

612
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,000
Speaker 1: Because teams and things like that.

613
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 2: Now, No, because I think our white side went on

614
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 2: ir so it might be a special teams type situation.

615
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:39,879
Speaker 2: But regardless, it's just you know, anytime you see another ball,

616
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 2: it's like you kind of wonder if there's maybe some

617
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 2: concern because they could have also called up a wide

618
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:44,439
Speaker 2: receiver up.

619
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:46,880
Speaker 3: It's just I got to go back to that tattoo

620
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,119
Speaker 3: I have right, never trust the Negles running back. This

621
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 3: might be the week to live by that much.

622
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, unfortunately the favorite big underdogs, excuse me against the Bucks. Yeah, uh,

623
00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:03,480
Speaker 2: all right, let's go to wide receiver. I mean it's

624
00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 2: wide open here. I think Mike Evans stands out. I

625
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 2: think Ceedee Lamb stands out. But I really like a

626
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 2: guy on the low and like Juwan Jennings.

627
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 1: You know the Cowboys.

628
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 2: I mentioned they play a lot of man coverage, and

629
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 2: Jennings is actually second on the forty nine ers in

630
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 2: yards per route run against man coverage. He averages more

631
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 2: yards per route versus man coverage than George Kittle, Deebo,

632
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 2: Samuel and Brandon at the only guy that averages more.

633
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 1: Is Trace Sermany.

634
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 2: He has only eight four targets, So wow, Dwan Jennings

635
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 2: is actually their best receiver against man coverage.

636
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 1: And why is that? Because he's going to be open,

637
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: He's going to be single covered, you know.

638
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 2: So I think he's really intriguing, especially after he kind

639
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 2: of gained some trust with the Big Game.

640
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 1: The only thing, I mean, I.

641
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 2: Worry that he'll be kind of maybe more highly roster

642
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 2: than you know, he would have been if he didn't

643
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 2: have the Big Game. But I still don't know how many,

644
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 2: like with all these other names on the slate and

645
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 2: like people wanting to stack Brady and people wanting to

646
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 2: stack Dack.

647
00:27:58,359 --> 00:27:59,920
Speaker 1: Like I just I still don't think he'll get his

648
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,360
Speaker 1: much as he is he deserves. Yeah.

649
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 3: No, And I've been saying like for a month now,

650
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 3: he's essentially the Kendrick Borne role, so you know, three

651
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 3: catches for thirty yards a game with a touchdown, like

652
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 3: he is one of their top red zone weapons. And

653
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 3: last week, you know, just he blew it out of

654
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 3: the water. But you know, they they hooked up with

655
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,719
Speaker 3: him on critical third downs like he was huge for them.

656
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,920
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm wondering if after that game his rostership

657
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:25,679
Speaker 3: will be a little bit high, But I don't care.

658
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 1: I'm with you here.

659
00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 3: I think there's a great sneaky play. And also, you

660
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,960
Speaker 3: know we call it last week Cedric Wilson. Yeah, like

661
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 3: you know, just making projections for him. It's crazy how

662
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 3: he's essentially Michael Gallup in my model, Like he's that good.

663
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 3: So definitely interested in Cedric Wilson as well.

664
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 1: In Ceedee Lamb. I think Ceedee Lamb's do his rostership.

665
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 3: Might be a bit lower just because he's been quiet

666
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 3: for like over a month now, But this is a

667
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 3: past funnel defense in San Francisco, and you know, he

668
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 3: hasn't scored a touchdown since Week ten, So I think

669
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 3: this is a good Bilo opportunity on Lamb. And you know,

670
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 3: having Cedric Wilson with my Dax Stacks, I think I'm

671
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 3: gonna be pairing those two guys with Dak the most.

672
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, and remember the San Francisco team, according to Football Outsiders,

673
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 2: eighty eight point one schedule adjusted receiving yards per game

674
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: allowed to opposing number one wide out. Now, that is

675
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:22,640
Speaker 2: almost eight yards higher than the second worst team, So

676
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 2: this is.

677
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,719
Speaker 1: If there was and ceedee Lamb, you know me who

678
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 1: number one wide receiver though? Lamb, well, yeah, I mean

679
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 1: we ran around on ninety seven percent of Dak dropbacks.

680
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 1: Ninety seven. I think that was a season high. Actually

681
00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 1: there was a while he was running like eighty percent.

682
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 1: Yeah he was.

683
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 2: He was more of like the slot receiver at times.

684
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 2: You know, he would like come off the field and

685
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,080
Speaker 2: then would be like the other two. I don't know,

686
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 2: I got to look up his like run blocking off

687
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 2: the top. I don't think he's that he's batter and

688
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 2: run blocking, but maybe he is.

689
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 1: I don't know. Run on the floor, you don't run

690
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 1: on the forty niners. It doesn't really matter.

691
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 2: But yeah, no I like that Lamb clause. Well, I

692
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,719
Speaker 2: think Lamb is quote unquoe do. But just the matchup

693
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:03,160
Speaker 2: is really good. And the playoffs are where you go

694
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 2: to your stars, right, you know that's you know, we're

695
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 2: talking about guys like Jettings because we need value, but

696
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 2: the playoffs, more often than not, the stars are going

697
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 2: to eat.

698
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 1: So yeah, how about the ancillary receivers for the Chiefs?

699
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 3: Any opinions there, like the hardman's springles, Oh God forbid,

700
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 3: DeMarcus Robinson's of the world.

701
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on them?

702
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 2: I like, I don't know how to project these guys,

703
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 2: even like laps Wise, probably not Josh Gordon, I'll say that.

704
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: You know, I think you still have to kind of

705
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 2: lean toward Pringle because he's been that clear number two

706
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 2: now for the last month and a half or so.

707
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 2: Hardman kind of exploded, but that's because he was playing

708
00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 2: in place of Tyreek for a lout of that game,

709
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 2: I think, and I've looked at this and we'll talk

710
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 2: about it, you know, in the Elite Entry segment, but

711
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:52,360
Speaker 2: oh no, we won't talk about it.

712
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 1: Let me talk about it now.

713
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 2: Actually, so, Hardman's yardage per game in the playoffs has

714
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 2: gone has decreased precipitously from the regular season, and I

715
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 2: think that's because during the regular season he does play

716
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 2: a lot of that Tyreek row so in twenty nineteen,

717
00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 2: and remember they played three playoff games each of these

718
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 2: two years, so it's a larger sample than you're used

719
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 2: to for the playoffs. His rookie year thirty three point

720
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 2: six yards per game in the regular season, nine point

721
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 2: seven yards per game in three playoffs. Last year thirty

722
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 2: five yards per game in the regular season, twenty two

723
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 2: yards per game in three playoffs. So it's gone down

724
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 2: by double digits in terms of the yard is that

725
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 2: the targets and the receptions have all gone down. And

726
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 2: remember he was only playing like twenty thirty forty percent

727
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 2: of the snap this last these last few weeks until

728
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 2: Tyreek got banged up.

729
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm still lean. I still win Pringle.

730
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 2: I think you just have to go in order of

731
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 2: projected playings on so it would be Pringle, then Robinson,

732
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 2: den Hardman, then Gordon, then Kemp.

733
00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: What about here?

734
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, same, I noticed that too, Like Hardman is the

735
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 3: direct replacement for Tyreek, so you know, if you ever

736
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 3: missed his time, he's the guy we want a roster.

737
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 3: But Kringle's been steadily in that seventy to eighty percent

738
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 3: routes run range. He got banged up to last week,

739
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 3: but he's still aded with you know, five catches for

740
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 3: fifty six yards. That's good enough on a site like this.

741
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 3: So I think Pringle would be the guy. If you're

742
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 3: gonna go outside of Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce, it'll

743
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 3: be Pringle for me.

744
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think in the post game press conference,

745
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 2: Andy Reid did not even mention Pringle in terms of

746
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 2: given updates on the injured guy. So I think he's

747
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:28,320
Speaker 2: like shaking up, but I think he's good. So yeah,

748
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 2: uh okay. Tight end on the Sunday slates, the guy

749
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 2: that stands out to me is your boy, Dallas Goddard.

750
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 2: You know, he's one of the somehow one of the

751
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 2: cheaper tight ends on the slate because there's all these studs.

752
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 1: I mean, you got Gronk, you got yeah, this is

753
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 1: this is a loaded wellh my gosh.

754
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:51,680
Speaker 2: Yeah so you know fire yeah, yeah, yeah, it's a yeah.

755
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 2: So it's one of those slates where you just have

756
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 2: a lot of options. But daughter is the guy that

757
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 2: stands out to me. I love me some Gronk too.

758
00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 2: I've been I've been saying, like, they're gonna get Gronk.

759
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,360
Speaker 2: So he's incentives and but they're also just playing him

760
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 2: a lot more than they were early in the year.

761
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:06,239
Speaker 2: You know, remember how we thought they might leave him

762
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 2: on ice like they're in the first half of the season.

763
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:09,800
Speaker 1: It turns out that they were because.

764
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:11,640
Speaker 2: He was running around on like seventy five percent of

765
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 2: the dropbacks, seventy seventy five.

766
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 1: Even lower some games, and now it's been up above eighty,

767
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 1: mid eighties even low.

768
00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:20,640
Speaker 2: Nineties for the last you know, month and a half

769
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 2: two months, So uh, they're kind of turning him up

770
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 2: right right in time, and now they really need him,

771
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 2: you know with uh, you know, no Godwin, no Antonio Brown,

772
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 2: maybe no Cyril Grace.

773
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 1: It even so.

774
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 2: Philly twenty seven in Dvoa against tight end, So this

775
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 2: is a this is a Gronk smash spot. But I

776
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 2: think both of those guys in that game are going

777
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 2: to be my two high most highly rostered.

778
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: Gronk smash spot punt intended. Yeah, of course, I mean

779
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:49,400
Speaker 1: this is literally this He's my.

780
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 3: You already mentioned it, like all the top tight ends

781
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:56,600
Speaker 3: are on this slate or are playing this weekend, and

782
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 3: Gronk is my number one tight end right now. Yeah,

783
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,959
Speaker 3: even over in Kelsey, Like, how could you project him

784
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:03,760
Speaker 3: for anything less than five and a half or six

785
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:04,520
Speaker 3: catches right now?

786
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 1: It's just insane.

787
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 3: I mean, he found the CBD Fountain of Youth or something,

788
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 3: because he has looked like even better than I remember him. Like,

789
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 3: so yeah, when it's playoff time with Brady, obviously, when

790
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 3: they get in the red zone. He's gonna be looking

791
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 3: for Gronk, just Gronk all the way for me. Although

792
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,919
Speaker 3: I do like your Goddart call, I agree, he's too cheap,

793
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 3: even with all these stud tight ends, he's too cheap.

794
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,480
Speaker 3: So if you're gonna make some non Gronk lineups, you know,

795
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 3: I'm sure I'm gonna go with Goddard and then you

796
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 3: could spend up elsewhere. But just this is a loaded

797
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 3: tight end slate, so you know, you probably don't want

798
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:41,720
Speaker 3: to load up on just two tight ends. You probably

799
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,720
Speaker 3: want to spread it out a little bit. But certainly

800
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have like mainly Gronk lineups this.

801
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 2: Week, and then Friar Moot is probably by default just

802
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 2: like the third best guy. Just he's going to be

803
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 2: the cheapest and most lowly uh Rock touched out. He

804
00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: has touched on upside right, So that's that's why you

805
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 2: would go with him. But I mean, even like a Shultz,

806
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,680
Speaker 2: how do you pass him up? No, Jarwin's back, so

807
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 2: that that I mean, I think, I mean hey, and

808
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 2: I mean San Francisco's also what number two against Titans? No,

809
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 2: actually don't they dropped to five? Oh yeah, because Higby

810
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,400
Speaker 2: went off. Yeah, so yeah, that's actually that's actually a

811
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 2: good yeahs.

812
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,520
Speaker 1: Was banged up. Yeah, that's true.

813
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 3: He's been dealing with the drawing injury, so it was

814
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:24,960
Speaker 3: like when he was out, they were going to Higby.

815
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:27,839
Speaker 3: I don't know, he's he's the guy where if he's active, yeah,

816
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 3: I don't want to say tight ends, but if he's out,

817
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 3: he's kind of the tight end stopper. So uh, he

818
00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:34,799
Speaker 3: looks like he's a true game time decision this week,

819
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,800
Speaker 3: So that might impact my final Schultz projection.

820
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,319
Speaker 1: And if I mean, I think here's an interesting one.

821
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 1: If Tampa Bay.

822
00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 2: You know, we saw you know, Sterio Grays didn't get

823
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 2: banged up, and we also saw Cameron Brake come on

824
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 2: in the playoff last year. I think Brat was an

825
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,239
Speaker 2: interesting one just because he gives you a differentiated stack

826
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 2: for Brady that's super cheap, and he's also high leverage

827
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 2: on Bron right. So like if bron gets you know,

828
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:00,880
Speaker 2: his like five catches for seventy five or whatever, but

829
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 2: no touchdowns and Brake does get a touchdown, yeah, that

830
00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 2: that could kind of swing the slate a little bit

831
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,880
Speaker 2: if you have if you have breat instead. So I

832
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 2: think He's always worth mentioning on these kind of slates

833
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 2: because again, Billy bad against tight end, that's that's a

834
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 2: good matchup for all of them.

835
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I love Bray.

836
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 3: His routes run per dropback dipped heavily last week, but

837
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 3: whenever he's on the field, he gets targets.

838
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 1: Like his targets per round rate.

839
00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,279
Speaker 3: Has been over like twenty five percent and let me

840
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:30,840
Speaker 3: see one, two, three, four five.

841
00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:31,719
Speaker 1: Of the past.

842
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,759
Speaker 3: Nine games, which is really good. So he's the kind

843
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,080
Speaker 3: of guy where if he sees any spike in playing time,

844
00:36:38,560 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 3: he has a good chance of getting three to four catches.

845
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 3: Like you said, he could vulture Gronk for a touchdown

846
00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:45,560
Speaker 3: and that would, you know, be a slate breaker. So

847
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 3: I'm okay with sprinkling and some break to differentiate.

848
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:50,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, of course it's routes were rent down

849
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 2: when Gronk's playing for a million bucks. Gronk, I think

850
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 2: I had like a season high in routes last week,

851
00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 2: Like like no of the tight end they called up

852
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 2: Darren Fells, probably thinking they might rest Gronk, and like

853
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 2: no other Titan really played. It was just Gronk ran

854
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,480
Speaker 2: a route on ninety percent of dropbacks that was a

855
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:12,240
Speaker 2: season high last week in the probably the most meetingless

856
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 2: game to a lot of you know, other guys on

857
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 2: the team. I know they wanted to get that franchise

858
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 2: record for wins as well with thirteen, but like that's

859
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 2: that tells you what they were doing last week.

860
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 1: They were going for that record.

861
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:26,920
Speaker 2: He was going for those Yeah, yeah, okay, let's go

862
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:28,359
Speaker 2: oh yeah, let's talk some defense here.

863
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:30,440
Speaker 1: I like the Cowboys. I don't know about you.

864
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 2: I mean, I think another team that just generates turnovers

865
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 2: and San Francisco forty nine ers, and I don't know

866
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 2: how you feel about them. I think they're getting some

867
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 2: action on the on the spread. People are liking them

868
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 2: at plus three. I don't know. I think this might

869
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 2: be a Dallas Cowboy game right here, because I look

870
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 2: at San Francisco last week. We loved them against the Rams,

871
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,240
Speaker 2: right San Francisco ten point one yards per target against

872
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:56,560
Speaker 2: zone coverage, seven point nine against man. So that's a

873
00:37:56,600 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 2: two point two yard difference. The Dallas Cowboys are. You're

874
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 2: the top of the week in man coverage, right, so,

875
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 2: and we know they can do it. And every time

876
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,959
Speaker 2: Jimmy g drops back the past It's like, yes, Deebo,

877
00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:11,719
Speaker 2: Samuel and George Kittle and you and Jennings even have

878
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 2: all been excellent, but these passes have like such little

879
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:16,919
Speaker 2: margin for error that I feel like in this game,

880
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 2: especially if Dallas is able to you know, get it

881
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 2: going through the air with Dak Prescott, that like, I mean,

882
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:23,960
Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see some turnovers from the Niners.

883
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Dallas really stands out to me

884
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 2: as that as that number one defense. I know the

885
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 2: Chiefs are obviously the biggest favorites. Dallas is the smallest favorite,

886
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:33,759
Speaker 2: but I don't know. I mean taught me out of

887
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 2: Dallas here. Oh yeah, I feel the same way.

888
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 3: I even commented on Stucky's tweet on Sunday night, I

889
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,320
Speaker 3: thought Dallas would open like minus five mins five and

890
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 3: a half and I was gonna hammer the Niners. So

891
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:47,399
Speaker 3: when I opened my eyes three, I just backed off.

892
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 3: I don't know what's going on here. It's kind of

893
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:51,879
Speaker 3: early in the season. When the Ravens opened up minus

894
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 3: thre against the Chargers at the same reaction, I just

895
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 3: stayed away, So right now I'm staying away. I do

896
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 3: like the Niners here. However, like since I had the

897
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 3: Niners this weekend. I watched that game pretty closely, and

898
00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:07,000
Speaker 3: you know, Jimmy g made some really bad throws, like

899
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,760
Speaker 3: obviously the thumb was an issue on a few throws.

900
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, I agree, like the Cowboys could get a

901
00:39:14,040 --> 00:39:19,120
Speaker 3: few turnovers here. I think that they're gonna be chalky.

902
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 3: I don't know, but I think the Chiefs are probably

903
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 3: my favorite defensive play, just because I watch a lot

904
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 3: of that Steelers game.

905
00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:28,319
Speaker 1: To Big Ben.

906
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 3: Oh my god, he sailed a couple of passes in

907
00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 3: the Ravens. I think they fly out dropped like too

908
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:37,760
Speaker 3: sure interceptions. So I mean, Big Ben has looked terrible

909
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 3: in his last two games, so this could get ugly.

910
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:43,359
Speaker 3: I feel bad for him. This could be his last game.

911
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:46,160
Speaker 3: But the chief defense could feast on Big Ben here,

912
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:48,440
Speaker 3: and you know, would not surprise me if he throws

913
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,920
Speaker 3: a pick six in this game. So you know, I

914
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:53,440
Speaker 3: like the Cowboys obviously, but I will have quite a

915
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:54,839
Speaker 3: bit of Chiefs exposure as well.

916
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think the Chiefs a safer play.

917
00:39:57,480 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 2: You know, it's just like you have probably very shocky too, right, Yeah,

918
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 2: but I mean Dallas Leeds the week thirty four turnovers

919
00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:05,800
Speaker 2: force that just screams Niners to be like any because

920
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 2: you know, anyone who's a Niners man just knows. It's like,

921
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:09,719
Speaker 2: we do not want to play a team like this,

922
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 2: Like we don't want to play a team. Yeah that

923
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:13,840
Speaker 2: specializes in creating turnover.

924
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 3: If Trent Williams is out, I will upgrade to one

925
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 3: hundred percent Cowboys defense.

926
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 1: How about that? That's fair? I mean, hey, I got

927
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 1: a little scared too when Trent was out last year.

928
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,399
Speaker 1: I was like, oh, man, now think Ram's finally gonna

929
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 1: do this. And then they got up seventeen nothing.

930
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 2: I was like, oh, here goes now. I think now

931
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,759
Speaker 2: Jim's gonna have to drop back and they have no Williams.

932
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 2: But somehow they pulled it out even with that interception

933
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 2: that great n O by Ramsey.

934
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,719
Speaker 1: That was that was pretty good. Oh that was insane. Yeah.

935
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 2: Next up here on the Fantasy Flex is a segment

936
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:44,799
Speaker 2: we call Elite Entry, where Seawan and I dive into

937
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:47,800
Speaker 2: the Prize Picks app and compare our player projections to

938
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:51,400
Speaker 2: the props to build some entry. Sean start us off

939
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 2: with your first prize to the lead entry for today.

940
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,279
Speaker 3: So I'm going to Joe Mixon over sixty five and

941
00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 3: a half rushing yards against the Raiders. This is the

942
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:02,800
Speaker 3: perfect for Joe mix and the Bengals are six point favorites,

943
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 3: which means I'm projecting them for twenty five and a

944
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 3: half rushing attempts for a team. And this is a

945
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 3: spot where he could see seventy five eighty percent of

946
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:13,880
Speaker 3: the rush tempts, so I'm projecting him for nineteen half

947
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 3: carries for seventy five yards.

948
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 1: So I love the over here.

949
00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:20,279
Speaker 3: It is one of those game scripts where it would

950
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:22,719
Speaker 3: not surprise me if we see him rush twenty plus

951
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 3: times here as the Bengals try lock up their first

952
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:27,960
Speaker 3: playoff win in over three decades. So give me Joe

953
00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 3: Mixon over sixty five and a half rushing yards. Yeah.

954
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 2: Well, have mixing these my RB one Across Bowl to

955
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,879
Speaker 2: go back this weekend for my first prize pickle Weed entry.

956
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,840
Speaker 2: For today, I'm going with my guy, MVP bow Damuel

957
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:43,360
Speaker 2: over twenty five and a half rushing yards.

958
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:45,759
Speaker 1: He's been over this, oh, I don't know, just.

959
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,480
Speaker 2: In a cool seven of his last eight games, and

960
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,760
Speaker 2: when you look at the playoffs, I think his usage

961
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 2: in the run game is going to increase even more.

962
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: We look back to the twenty nineteen Super Bowl run.

963
00:41:57,080 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 2: During the regular season, Damuel average point nine at tempt

964
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 2: per game. In the playoffs, that more than doubled to

965
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 2: two attempts per game, and his yardage went from ten

966
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:08,399
Speaker 2: point six per game to's thirty four per game.

967
00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 1: So not only are his.

968
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 2: Attempts probably going to rise, but they'll probably have the

969
00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:15,279
Speaker 2: most creative schemes in order to spring him for a

970
00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 2: big play in this game. And then you have the

971
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:22,799
Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys defense, which ended the year the number two

972
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:26,919
Speaker 2: defense against the pass, but just sixteenth against the run.

973
00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:31,880
Speaker 2: So this is a great spot for another big running

974
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 2: game for Deebo Sanders will give me over twenty.

975
00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:37,560
Speaker 1: Five and a half. All right, where are you going

976
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:40,239
Speaker 1: for your second prize? Pick? Weit entry four today, Sean.

977
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 3: I'm going Zay Jones over thirty five and a half

978
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 3: receiving yards against the Bengals, And I like.

979
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:47,600
Speaker 1: Pairing this with the Joe Mixon prop as well. I

980
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:48,520
Speaker 1: think they four or eight.

981
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,080
Speaker 3: Pretty nicely because I'm expecting the Raiders to be in

982
00:42:52,120 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 3: a trailing game. Script should be pass heavy, and yes,

983
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,439
Speaker 3: Darren Waller returned and that could eat into Zay Jones

984
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,120
Speaker 3: target shair bit, but I think Waller's target share is

985
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:04,120
Speaker 3: going to impact Hunter Renpro mainly. So Zay Jones has

986
00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:06,399
Speaker 3: caught five more catches in five straight games.

987
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 1: He's one of.

988
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:10,560
Speaker 3: Carr's trusty targets and he's been leaving some yards on

989
00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 3: the field. Car just missed him on a deep ball

990
00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:16,839
Speaker 3: against the Chargers. So you know, Zay Jones, he's been

991
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 3: a very high floor player of late. In a game

992
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 3: script like this, I love him even more. So give

993
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 3: me over thirty five and a half of seniors. I'm

994
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 3: projecting this culture to forty five and a half. So

995
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 3: I think this line's ten yards off.

996
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:32,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, really consistent lately, we should somewhat out of the blue.

997
00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 2: But yeah, it's good for him, all right. For my

998
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,239
Speaker 2: second price pigled entry four today, I'm going with Dak

999
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 2: Prescott over two hundred and seventy and a half passing

1000
00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 2: yards against the Niners. And this is more to do

1001
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:45,759
Speaker 2: with the matchup and and everything being on the line.

1002
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 2: Just like Dallas is number two in pass defense and

1003
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,400
Speaker 2: sixteenth against the run, San Francisco is number two in

1004
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 2: run defense and sixteenth against the pass. So this is

1005
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:57,680
Speaker 2: a pass funnel defense that allows a ton of production

1006
00:43:57,760 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 2: to number one wide receivers.

1007
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 1: I think Dak gets over this number in this kind

1008
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 1: of game.

1009
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 2: I have him just over to eighty in this spot,

1010
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:08,000
Speaker 2: and he's been playing really well as of late after

1011
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 2: a mid season slump, and I think you're gonna see

1012
00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:13,319
Speaker 2: Lamb and Cooper out there for every snap, which hasn't

1013
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 2: been a case much of the season.

1014
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:16,160
Speaker 1: Those guys have been kind of in and out of

1015
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 1: the lineup.

1016
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:18,680
Speaker 2: So give me Dak over two hundred and seventy and

1017
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:20,800
Speaker 2: a half passing yards against the nine. All right, So

1018
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 2: that's our prize pickle Weed entry for today. As a recap,

1019
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:26,360
Speaker 2: John is going with Joe Mixon over sixty five and

1020
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 2: a half rushing yards and Dave Jones over thirty five

1021
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 2: and a half For steven yards, I'm going with Deebo

1022
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,800
Speaker 2: Samuel over at twenty five and a half rushing yards

1023
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 2: and Dak Prescott over two hundred and seventy and a

1024
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:41,479
Speaker 2: half passing yards. As a reminder, prize picks markets do move,

1025
00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:43,560
Speaker 2: so you want to get on it fast in order

1026
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 2: to lock in the best number. If you haven't created

1027
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:48,680
Speaker 2: a Prize Mix account yet, check out the link in

1028
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 2: our episode description. And they will match your first deposit

1029
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,959
Speaker 2: up to one hundred dollars, or you can visit prize

1030
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 2: picks dot com and use the promo code Action ten.

1031
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:02,680
Speaker 1: That's actiown one on zero. All right, now back to

1032
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 1: the show.

1033
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 2: So let's let's do some props here and we'll start

1034
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:09,640
Speaker 2: with quarterback. How about this, Sean, I'll ask you some

1035
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,280
Speaker 2: props and you tell me whether you're.

1036
00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:13,040
Speaker 1: Over and under.

1037
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:18,399
Speaker 2: So you mentioned that you were a little bit worried about,

1038
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 2: you know, Brady in a run heavy script.

1039
00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:22,279
Speaker 1: Though, the lineup Prize Picks for Brady right now is

1040
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 1: two ninety.

1041
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 2: Five and a half. Of course, if he gets to

1042
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:27,520
Speaker 2: three hundred, he gets that three point bonus on DraftKings,

1043
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 2: which is crucial on a slate like this. So are

1044
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:32,360
Speaker 2: you over under two ninety five and a half for

1045
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:33,400
Speaker 2: Brady against the Eagles?

1046
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 3: I am right in line with this. I have two

1047
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 3: ninety five. I think you know, the final projection will

1048
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 3: depend on Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones health. Right, If

1049
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,880
Speaker 3: they're both healthy, then I'll probably lower this, you know,

1050
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 3: five to ten yards. But you know, if ral Jones

1051
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:52,960
Speaker 3: is out land for or out is you know banged up? Yeah,

1052
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 3: I'm gonna raise a little bit more so right now,

1053
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:56,719
Speaker 3: it's two ninety five. But if you go like ten

1054
00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 3: yards either direction based on the running backs, how about you?

1055
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:00,920
Speaker 3: Are you in line with this as well?

1056
00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 1: I'm a little bit over. It's crazy. I don't oh yeah,

1057
00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:05,520
Speaker 1: I don't doubt to go.

1058
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 2: It's like, well, I won't even talk about our Super

1059
00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 2: Bowl odds draft look out for that.

1060
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 1: And actually, but let's go to running back. Here's an

1061
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: interesting one for you because this is the guy we

1062
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:19,840
Speaker 1: got through this.

1063
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 2: Whole podcast, and we did not mention his name once,

1064
00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 2: but he's a big name and his team is a

1065
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 2: home favorite. So are you over under Ezekiel Elliott forty

1066
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:33,919
Speaker 2: seven and a half rushing yards on prize picks? Keeping

1067
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:36,840
Speaker 2: in mind that the reason we didn't bring him up

1068
00:46:37,160 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 2: in all likelihood is because the Niners are number two

1069
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:41,399
Speaker 2: in DVOA against the Rum.

1070
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:44,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I know it's a tough matchup. We'll have

1071
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:47,400
Speaker 3: to see what's up with Tony Pollard. But right now

1072
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:52,680
Speaker 3: I'm projecting Zeke for right around looks like fifty. So

1073
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 3: I'm slightly over, but this is not one I want

1074
00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 3: to take the over four. I just think he has

1075
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:00,840
Speaker 3: a low four here. This is a brutal matchup. I

1076
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 3: think Dallas is gonna have to lean on the pass

1077
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 3: here or even get a guy like Pollard in there.

1078
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,640
Speaker 3: I think Zeke might be more effective as a pass

1079
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:10,520
Speaker 3: catching back in this game. So even though I'm projecting

1080
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 3: it slightly over, I do not want anything to do

1081
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:13,840
Speaker 3: with his over how about you.

1082
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it at fifty one. I have his

1083
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,279
Speaker 1: yards per carry pretty down though, you know where do

1084
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:22,360
Speaker 1: you have it at now? Three and a half? Again this? Yeah, yeah, no,

1085
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:23,319
Speaker 1: that's that's about right.

1086
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:27,200
Speaker 3: I have them about three point seven, but like fourteen

1087
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:31,520
Speaker 3: rush attempts. Again, this depends on Pollard's availability. That'll either

1088
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,799
Speaker 3: bump Elliott like up one or two carries are down

1089
00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 3: possibly a carry, So pollard status certainly impacts this prop

1090
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:38,520
Speaker 3: for me.

1091
00:47:38,920 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Elliott at fourteen and a half to

1092
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,360
Speaker 2: fifty one. So oh, pretty much we're in line. I mean,

1093
00:47:42,400 --> 00:47:44,440
Speaker 2: it's going to be right around here. But that's just

1094
00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:46,719
Speaker 2: a you know, a strikingly low number for like a

1095
00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:49,160
Speaker 2: home favorite star quote unquote star.

1096
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 1: I mean he's you know, I think a lot of.

1097
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:52,799
Speaker 2: His coming down to injury and the fact that power

1098
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:54,319
Speaker 2: is also played well like I think I don't think

1099
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 2: Zeke is like washed or anything like the way you

1100
00:47:56,239 --> 00:47:58,200
Speaker 2: know some running backs you start getting a little bit

1101
00:47:58,239 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 2: older and it's like, oh it's over for them.

1102
00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:01,640
Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean I think Zeke.

1103
00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 2: Getting Zeke right will be a key to this weekend, right,

1104
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 2: you know, because he has that two touchdown upside their

1105
00:48:08,120 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 2: home favorites. They could move the ball well through the air,

1106
00:48:11,360 --> 00:48:12,960
Speaker 2: but if they handed off a couple of times with

1107
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 2: the you know, the two, you know, Zeke could pay

1108
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:16,719
Speaker 2: off in a big way.

1109
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:19,640
Speaker 1: So yeah, keep keep keep.

1110
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 2: Checking our Action network dot com projections, our Fantasy Labs

1111
00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:25,239
Speaker 2: models projections for Zeke, because yeah, he'll be a key

1112
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:26,719
Speaker 2: guy for this week.

1113
00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:28,080
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to.

1114
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 2: Wide receiver and uh, another guy that we did not

1115
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,360
Speaker 2: mention the entire pot Well, I think I might have

1116
00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:38,959
Speaker 2: mentioned him once, but we always kind of talk about

1117
00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 2: Bill Belichick how well he schemes on opposing top wide receivers.

1118
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:49,640
Speaker 2: This season, the New England Patriots are number two in

1119
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:53,520
Speaker 2: DVOA against opposing wide receiver ones. They're also number two

1120
00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 2: in fewest schedule adjusted receiving yards allowed at just under

1121
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 2: fifty per game to opposing number one wide receivers are

1122
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:03,960
Speaker 2: quoting two football outsiders. So the line here, remember they're

1123
00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:06,719
Speaker 2: allowing around fifty is New England. The line here for

1124
00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:09,360
Speaker 2: Diggs is seventy and a half on prize picks.

1125
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:12,719
Speaker 1: Are you going over under? That's probably a bit too high.

1126
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:17,680
Speaker 1: You'll never guess where I have Digs ranked right now. Fifth. Yes,

1127
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:20,000
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter how big the slate is.

1128
00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:22,279
Speaker 3: He's always number five for me to begin the week.

1129
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:25,799
Speaker 3: But yeah, yeah, this is a spot where I'm going

1130
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,120
Speaker 3: to go with the under here. I project this closer

1131
00:49:28,160 --> 00:49:30,200
Speaker 3: to sixty seven and a half, sixty six and a

1132
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:33,080
Speaker 3: half because, like you said, Belichick will probably be scheming

1133
00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:35,480
Speaker 3: up to slow Digs down. And you know, I had

1134
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,560
Speaker 3: to kind of adjust some of my numbers because last

1135
00:49:38,560 --> 00:49:41,279
Speaker 3: week he had all those incentives, so he's going for that.

1136
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:42,799
Speaker 3: We kind of knew he would have a big game,

1137
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,799
Speaker 3: so I try not to weigh that. You know, last week,

1138
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:49,480
Speaker 3: you know too heavily. So yeah, they could have standards

1139
00:49:49,560 --> 00:49:51,840
Speaker 3: back this week, spread it out, spread it around a

1140
00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:55,840
Speaker 3: bit more. The guys like Gay Davis, Cole Beasley, Dustin Knock.

1141
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think Diggs, just especially just this season,

1142
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,879
Speaker 3: he do have a lower floor you've been pointing that out,

1143
00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:03,359
Speaker 3: so I'm gonna go with the under here.

1144
00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:06,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's actually my wide receiver seven on you know,

1145
00:50:06,080 --> 00:50:09,319
Speaker 2: the entire course slate right just outside that's always Oh,

1146
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:10,880
Speaker 2: I mean, there's how interesting is it?

1147
00:50:10,920 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 3: Though?

1148
00:50:11,040 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 2: They're like almost every top like pass catcher is like

1149
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:18,839
Speaker 2: on this slate though, you know, yeah, here's a bye.

1150
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:21,319
Speaker 1: He's in the postseason. So yeah, I don't hear it much.

1151
00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 2: I don't hear as much chirping about that. Oh all

1152
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:25,120
Speaker 2: these teams that run made it to the postseason. It's like,

1153
00:50:25,840 --> 00:50:29,520
Speaker 2: you know, but yeah, I think I actually have the

1154
00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:31,400
Speaker 2: projection very close to this, so it's not like I

1155
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 2: think it's an egregious line.

1156
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:33,640
Speaker 1: I have it like seventy.

1157
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:36,399
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think that there is a lower floor

1158
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 2: than there is a high ceiling in this game, just

1159
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 2: because uh, this is the playoffs and we know they're

1160
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:41,960
Speaker 2: going to pull all out.

1161
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 3: Obviously it's way too early in the week, But do

1162
00:50:44,080 --> 00:50:46,400
Speaker 3: we have any kind of like weather report for these games?

1163
00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 3: Is there going to be snow or something that we

1164
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 3: need to know about too soon?

1165
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:52,439
Speaker 1: I'll bring no. No, I'm never weather.

1166
00:50:52,440 --> 00:50:55,120
Speaker 2: It's never just like just like we're doing this podcast,

1167
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,800
Speaker 2: you know for a weekend games on a Tuesday that

1168
00:50:57,960 --> 00:50:58,680
Speaker 2: is true to come.

1169
00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:00,320
Speaker 1: Out on Wednesday. The weather people, you know, they have it.

1170
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:05,239
Speaker 1: That's the Where are we playing in Buffalo Sunday? Oh

1171
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:07,000
Speaker 1: you're just straight up looking at the weather dot com.

1172
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:07,560
Speaker 1: That's smart.

1173
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:12,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, twenty twenty eight degrees. You got some solid nine

1174
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 2: mile p hour wins, so yeah, nothing too crazy. But Saturday, no,

1175
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 2: because this is no, it's a Saturday game. Saturday game.

1176
00:51:19,160 --> 00:51:20,640
Speaker 2: Oh no, it's ten degrees. It's supposed to be ten

1177
00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 2: degrees with a low of one Sorry, sorry, sorry, got

1178
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:28,120
Speaker 2: your hopes out there. No, no, it's it's supposed to

1179
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 2: be pretty cold, but not is windy. It's still ten

1180
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:35,239
Speaker 2: miles per hour. That's not too worrisome, but yeah, super cold.

1181
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 2: And it's the Cincinnati Yeah, the sight I usually use

1182
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 2: doesn't have the matchups that That's what happened.

1183
00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:43,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, same, And the other games are in a dome,

1184
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:46,240
Speaker 3: so it's like Kansas City is the only other game.

1185
00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:48,560
Speaker 2: That might Yeah that's interesting because okay, so yeah, so

1186
00:51:48,600 --> 00:51:55,799
Speaker 2: we in Cincinnati, cloudy, twenty nine degrees with a low

1187
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 2: of nineteen and ten mile hour winds ten percent chance

1188
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:03,400
Speaker 2: so yeah, not the greatest weather, and then let's check

1189
00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:06,400
Speaker 2: Kansas City for Sunday. But that's another thing to keep

1190
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:08,680
Speaker 2: in mind, you know, especially if you're playing these the

1191
00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 2: three games slate or the two games slate or whatever

1192
00:52:11,080 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 2: it is, you might want to trend towards some of

1193
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:16,200
Speaker 2: these games with the played indoors.

1194
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:20,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, Kansas City looks like it looks fine. Yeah, thirty nine,

1195
00:52:20,600 --> 00:52:21,759
Speaker 1: since that he's the only game.

1196
00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:25,720
Speaker 2: Oh no, Buffalo, Buffalo, Yeah, Buffalo, I mean ten degrees,

1197
00:52:25,760 --> 00:52:29,239
Speaker 2: that's not that's true because like Josh Allen hasn't played

1198
00:52:29,280 --> 00:52:31,600
Speaker 2: well in this bad weather. That's one thing, is like,

1199
00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:34,640
Speaker 2: that's why I had that under into Jets game just Bills,

1200
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:37,200
Speaker 2: is because like Allen's two worst games of coming like weather, Now,

1201
00:52:37,239 --> 00:52:39,160
Speaker 2: this isn't the wind isn't crazy, and it doesn't.

1202
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:40,600
Speaker 1: Look like it's gonna be snowing. So maybe it's a

1203
00:52:40,600 --> 00:52:41,160
Speaker 1: little different.

1204
00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:44,440
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think definitely something to keep in mind

1205
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:46,439
Speaker 2: on the large slates on the Saturday, it doesn't matter

1206
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:47,919
Speaker 2: because both games are a bad weather.

1207
00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go. Let's get a tight end prop. Gronc

1208
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:54,319
Speaker 1: is that's seventy five and a half.

1209
00:52:54,880 --> 00:52:57,520
Speaker 2: Kelsey's at sixty and a half, So I'm gonna give

1210
00:52:57,520 --> 00:53:03,600
Speaker 2: you it this way, Bronk plus fifteen and a half

1211
00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:09,880
Speaker 2: versus Kelsey plus. That's that's the difference. It's fifteen fifteen.

1212
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:11,239
Speaker 2: I'll give you, I'll give you.

1213
00:53:11,239 --> 00:53:12,640
Speaker 1: Fourteen and a half. Ack, I' give you four. I'll

1214
00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 1: take I'll take Kelsey. Yeah, I mean, what do you have?

1215
00:53:15,640 --> 00:53:18,799
Speaker 3: So I have Gronk projected for sixty nine yards nice

1216
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:22,959
Speaker 3: and Kelsey sixty four, So I like, I have Gronk

1217
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:26,279
Speaker 3: rank number one, but it's still pretty close. But yeah,

1218
00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:29,719
Speaker 3: fourteen and a half yards spread is probably a bit

1219
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:30,160
Speaker 3: too high.

1220
00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:33,880
Speaker 2: I've Gronk at seventy three and a half and Kelsey

1221
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:37,000
Speaker 2: at sixty four.

1222
00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 1: And a half.

1223
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 2: So I'm actually I'm nine I'm nine off. I think,

1224
00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:43,680
Speaker 2: I just I just think that the Chiefs are at

1225
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:46,520
Speaker 2: a bigger risk for being able to take the air

1226
00:53:46,560 --> 00:53:48,600
Speaker 2: out of the ball. I think we've seen the with

1227
00:53:48,680 --> 00:53:50,239
Speaker 2: the you know, the Bucks against this zone kind of

1228
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:50,840
Speaker 2: Philly defense.

1229
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:52,520
Speaker 1: I think they're just gonna I think they're still gonna

1230
00:53:52,520 --> 00:53:52,920
Speaker 1: throw the ball.

1231
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:55,200
Speaker 2: I mean, regardless of four Nette, like you put the

1232
00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:57,280
Speaker 2: ball on Brady's hands or as the Chiefs. The spread

1233
00:53:57,360 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 2: is so big and like Mahomes's numbers have been down

1234
00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:03,239
Speaker 2: in any way compared to the that Yeah, I think

1235
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:06,360
Speaker 2: there it warrants like a bigger spread than than usual.

1236
00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:09,600
Speaker 2: But yeah, fifteen yards at price six, that's.

1237
00:54:09,480 --> 00:54:13,000
Speaker 1: That's pretty interesting. For Yeah, why did way wider than

1238
00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:13,640
Speaker 1: I thought it would be.

1239
00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 3: So I probably won't take Gronks under despite being five

1240
00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:21,840
Speaker 3: or seven yards lower. But you know, Kelsey over sixty

1241
00:54:22,120 --> 00:54:25,240
Speaker 3: I consider that because you know, if tyrk Kill's playing,

1242
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:27,160
Speaker 3: he could be more of a decoy. We talked about that.

1243
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:30,480
Speaker 3: You know, why does me Coole Hardman's yards drop off

1244
00:54:30,520 --> 00:54:33,440
Speaker 3: in the pase? It's because Mahomes is targeting Kelsey or

1245
00:54:33,560 --> 00:54:36,400
Speaker 3: Tyreek more so, I just think Kelsey at sixty and

1246
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:38,960
Speaker 3: a half probably a little bit too low. And you

1247
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:42,120
Speaker 3: remember last year I convinced Chad to take Kelsey under

1248
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:44,200
Speaker 3: one oh eight and a half receiving yards and it

1249
00:54:44,280 --> 00:54:47,920
Speaker 3: was gone by the first half. So you know, playoff

1250
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:49,879
Speaker 3: Kelsey is a real thing. So sixty and a half

1251
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 3: that's something I look out for. Even though I'm not

1252
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:54,800
Speaker 3: projecting way over that, I would definitely lean towards that

1253
00:54:54,920 --> 00:54:58,680
Speaker 3: over as the Gronk numbers insanely high.

1254
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:02,280
Speaker 1: But rightfully so I'll go I'll give you a defense

1255
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:04,400
Speaker 1: one since they have those of defense. Yeah, they have

1256
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 1: the defense the Fantasy score section of Fantasy Score. Yeah,

1257
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:09,239
Speaker 1: so we can go with here.

1258
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:13,239
Speaker 2: I'll give you this one City minus one over any

1259
00:55:13,280 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 2: other defense on Saturday or Sunday, because that's how they

1260
00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:16,200
Speaker 2: have it at price.

1261
00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:18,400
Speaker 1: But they're seven and a half and no other defense

1262
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:20,800
Speaker 1: is more than six. And wait, let me make sure that.

1263
00:55:21,000 --> 00:55:23,840
Speaker 1: Oh so I can take take the field.

1264
00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 2: The field, at least one team in the field has

1265
00:55:27,719 --> 00:55:29,840
Speaker 2: to be within one point of Kansas City or Kansas

1266
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:32,600
Speaker 2: City ere Centry, taking Kansas City to lead the field.

1267
00:55:33,160 --> 00:55:37,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm taking the field just because defense is so volatile.

1268
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 3: Obviously Casey is the number one defense this weekend, but

1269
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:44,880
Speaker 3: just getting the entire field, I can't pass that up,

1270
00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:48,880
Speaker 3: especially I'm getting plus one. Yeah, okay, yeah, can I

1271
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:51,440
Speaker 3: can I make a real side action here? One hundred

1272
00:55:51,640 --> 00:55:56,080
Speaker 3: two hundred, one hundred dollars Yeah, okay bucket?

1273
00:55:56,719 --> 00:55:59,440
Speaker 1: Oh oh like this is oh on Yeah, I'll send

1274
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:00,759
Speaker 1: you on Venmo. Yeah.

1275
00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:03,279
Speaker 3: I was like, I thought you were making another bet,

1276
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:06,160
Speaker 3: like a different no, no, no ski ball bet, just

1277
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:07,279
Speaker 3: straight up babe.

1278
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:09,800
Speaker 2: Like, oh that's the terrible I thought you're going a

1279
00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:12,560
Speaker 2: different bet on the spot. That's a terrible bet for me.

1280
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:15,640
Speaker 2: I mean, okay, all right, as long as you know that, okay,

1281
00:56:15,640 --> 00:56:18,600
Speaker 2: I think no, no, I mean yeah, but no, you

1282
00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:20,440
Speaker 2: just said you just said you like Kansas City. So

1283
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:22,000
Speaker 2: I was just trying to, you know, see if you

1284
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:23,080
Speaker 2: like how much you liked it.

1285
00:56:23,280 --> 00:56:24,120
Speaker 1: Essentially, I take it.

1286
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:28,040
Speaker 3: I'm taking the phil plus one against your casey one

1287
00:56:28,160 --> 00:56:28,799
Speaker 3: for one hundred dollars.

1288
00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:30,120
Speaker 2: Okay, how about this? How about how would I give

1289
00:56:30,120 --> 00:56:32,359
Speaker 2: you I'll make this bet. I'll give you a it's

1290
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,520
Speaker 2: I think it's a fairer bet. Kansas City is at

1291
00:56:34,520 --> 00:56:36,839
Speaker 2: seven and a half, Dallas is five and a half.

1292
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:40,920
Speaker 2: Kansas City over Dallas by two zero point one. Oh,

1293
00:56:41,120 --> 00:56:44,319
Speaker 2: Kansas City by two two point one. So if if

1294
00:56:44,360 --> 00:56:47,799
Speaker 2: they win by exactly two, you win. If they win

1295
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:49,759
Speaker 2: by more than that, I mean, I.

1296
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:52,920
Speaker 3: Don't think I'll take I'll take Kansas City in that situation.

1297
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 1: Okay, so we can we can do a suicide action

1298
00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:58,520
Speaker 1: on that Dallas within two points of Kansas City. Yeah,

1299
00:56:59,680 --> 00:57:01,200
Speaker 1: that's all. Would say. This is a queen flip, which

1300
00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 1: is boring. I don't think there's any well, yeah, I'm

1301
00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:05,920
Speaker 1: not going to give you a field and like even money.

1302
00:57:07,120 --> 00:57:08,839
Speaker 2: I was just trying to see if you like the cheat,

1303
00:57:08,840 --> 00:57:12,280
Speaker 2: how much you truly like the cheat the highest projected defense?

1304
00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:16,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, obviously I think this is a much fairer bet. Okay,

1305
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 3: I would agree.

1306
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 2: All right, that is going to do it for the

1307
00:57:21,080 --> 00:57:25,439
Speaker 2: Fantasy Flex Week nineteen Mainslate podcast. We will be back

1308
00:57:25,720 --> 00:57:29,280
Speaker 2: on Friday with the props and the breakdown of the

1309
00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:33,400
Speaker 2: Cardinals Rams Monday Night Slate. Be sure to leave us

1310
00:57:33,400 --> 00:57:35,520
Speaker 2: a five star rating and review on Apple or Spotify.

1311
00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:38,640
Speaker 2: You can find Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker.

1312
00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:41,000
Speaker 2: You can find me at Chris Raybond, and you can

1313
00:57:41,040 --> 00:57:45,240
Speaker 2: find our DFS models, tools and content at fantasyabs dot com.

1314
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:47,000
Speaker 1: So next time you get this month