1 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm 2 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: your host, Dan Harris. I'm me on Twitter at Dan 3 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: Harris eighty. It is time to tak an early look 4 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: at the week twelve NFL lines. With me to do 5 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: that is Joe Piece of Pa. Find him on Twitter 6 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: at Joe pis at PS seventeen. Joe, Almost time for Thanksgiving. 7 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: It's my favorite holiday, Joe. I'm not gonna lie. I 8 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: love the three football games. It is like I will 9 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:37,559 Speaker 1: just sit there and I don't care the fact that 10 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: the first game on Thursday might be the worst game 11 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: in the history of the NFL. I am going to 12 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: eat it up with my stuffman and my turkey, and 13 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to get into it. How are you Are 14 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 1: you ready for the big holiday? 15 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 2: I am? And that's spoken like a man who isn't 16 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 2: actually cooking Thanksgiving. This man is every year, He's always 17 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 2: doing it. So what happens is this, I typically get 18 00:00:57,520 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 2: to see the early game, which is always the Lions, 19 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 2: which is frustrated, and then then I don't see anything 20 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 2: usually again until somewhere at nine o'clock at night. So 21 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 2: I have to get always caught up on all that 22 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 2: that that Cowboys game in the middle of the day, 23 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 2: I'll like, I'll hear things from the living room and 24 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 2: I'll have to go in and say what happened? What happened, 25 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 2: and somebody will tell me. But at least now I've 26 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 2: trained my children that they are much more knowledgeable about 27 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 2: the players and what's going on. So they are actually 28 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 2: very useful now in this account. So to anybody male 29 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 2: or female out there, train your children so that when 30 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 2: you are in the kitchen and preparing Thanksgiving meal, that 31 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: they can give you updates and they actually know what 32 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: the hell they're talking about. This is an important skill 33 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 2: as a parent. I encourage you all to do this. 34 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: I'm going to go a different route, and I'm going 35 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 1: to say that what you should do is make sure 36 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: that you marry into a family who insists on somebody 37 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: else hosting Thanksgiving dinner and who has an uncle who 38 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 1: is a degenerate and just wants to talk gambling throughout 39 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: the entire Thanksgiving day. Do that as I do, and. 40 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 2: Your Thanksgiving, I think you were the degenerate. 41 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: And I am again right, and I'm coming off a 42 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: very successful week, by the way, so I'm ready to 43 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: blow it all this weekend, and we got to do 44 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 1: it right now by looking at the early lines. We 45 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: have a couple of housekeeping measures. The first is we 46 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 1: have a YouTube channel, which hopefully you guys know by 47 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: now if you're listening to this, it's YouTube dot com 48 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros. You can be watching this right now 49 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: and seeing me and Joe do this podcast live. We're 50 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: gonna be doing some prop stuff going forward, some prop videos. 51 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 1: We video all our podcasts, we video our Daily Juice podcast. 52 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 1: We're giving away a sign seq one Barkley helmet just 53 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: for subscribing. That's it. If you don't want to watch, 54 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: you don't even have to watch, I don't even care. 55 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: Just subscribe to the channel and win a sign SAQ 56 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: one Barkley helmet. When you subscribe and then you go 57 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: to Betting Pros dot com slash helmet. That's it. That's it. 58 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: It's a subscription like subscribe and close your eyes, do 59 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 1: whatever you want, or watch us and win some money hopefully, 60 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 1: but either way, subscribe to the channel YouTube dot com 61 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros and then go to Betting Pros dot 62 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 1: com slash helmet and when a sign sake one Barkley helmet. 63 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,119 Speaker 1: Also the latest offer from our sponsor bet MGM. New 64 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: customers can bet one hundred dollars in any NFL team, 65 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 1: win two hundred dollars team you bet on scores a 66 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 1: touchdown with the code Juice one hundred. Juice comes from 67 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast, our daily podcast hosted by Matt Perrault. 68 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: Again super easy about ten dollars win two hundred if 69 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 1: the team that you bet on scores a touchdown. That 70 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: is available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, Washington, DC, Arizona, 71 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 1: and Wyoming. And Joe, you have done this before. You 72 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: know what we do. We take an early look, early 73 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: reaction at the week twelve lines. We have talked about 74 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: this before we started. My friend, neither one of us 75 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: likes to look at them before we do this podcast. 76 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: This is actually the first time that we will help 77 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: see emmy lines. And I assume, Joe, do you still 78 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: do the thing where you make your own mind for 79 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: the game and so you can have that instant reaction. 80 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 2: Do you typically I have more time to do that 81 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 2: with all of the holiday I have zero Jess so 82 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 2: this is going to be live and it's going to 83 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 2: be fun. And I've got in my head already for 84 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 2: all these Thanksgiving games right off the bat, I know 85 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:00,040 Speaker 2: exactly what these lines should be in my head, so 86 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 2: to see what Vegas says. So let's get ready, I 87 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 2: want let's do it all right. 88 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: So let's start, of course with the game that everybody 89 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: wants to see, Andy Dalton versus Tim Boyle, most likely 90 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: with the Bears and the Lions. The Lions are home, 91 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: of course, and they're getting three and a half points 92 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,679 Speaker 1: right now. Total is forty two on the low side, 93 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: so Joe. Of course. By the way, we don't know 94 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: that that's going to be the quarterback matchup, but I 95 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: think we can assume. I mean, it sounds like Fields 96 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: did not have broken ribs. But it's a short turnaround. 97 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: Most people think Jared Goslin gonna be ready, and it 98 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: might not be Tim Boyle based on how he looked 99 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: now or in college. So maybe it's David Blow for 100 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 1: all we know, But what do you think. 101 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 2: He And the very first Thanksgiving I ever got to 102 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 2: do NFL television was the David Blow game, so it's 103 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 2: very special to me. I remember all also looking at 104 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: each other like, David Plow, what are we doing? Come on, 105 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:52,600 Speaker 2: David Blow. But you know what I gotta tell you, 106 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,039 Speaker 2: I thought this game already no matter who's playing quarterback, 107 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 2: because the Bears defense is actually pretty good. 108 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. 109 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 2: I think personally this number should be five on the 110 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 2: Bear side, I really do. I think it should be 111 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 2: a little bit higher than it is. I think it's 112 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:04,679 Speaker 2: starting at the three and a half, and the reason 113 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 2: you see the kicker there of the half is because 114 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 2: that's the trend where it's going. So I would say 115 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 2: the five is probably more realistic. So if you like Chicago, 116 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 2: I think you jump on this now because I do 117 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 2: think Andy Dalton is still a capable quarterback. Andy Dalton, 118 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 2: you know, shook the dust off a little bit yesterday 119 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 2: and gave you a moment or two. So yeah, I 120 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 2: actually think right now the lean for me would certainly 121 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 2: be the Chicago side of this game. And now, because 122 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 2: I do think as we get more news on whatever 123 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 2: the next quarterback situation is going to be for the 124 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 2: Detroit Lions is probably going to be closer to five. 125 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:39,159 Speaker 2: I think this number is going to move in the 126 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: next three days. Dan, what do you. 127 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: Think I'm in agreement with you. It is at four 128 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: at a couple books. Remember when I give the lines, 129 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 1: that's the Betting Pros consensus line. So Betting Pros has 130 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 1: fifteen twenty books out there that it gives you the 131 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 1: lines from all of them, so you can bet whatever 132 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: is available in your state. I'm in New Hampshire. As 133 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:57,919 Speaker 1: I have said, my book is Draftings. It's four at Draftings, 134 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 1: so it's four at a couple of spots here. I think 135 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: I agree with you it is trending in that direction. 136 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: I also like the Bears in this game. The Bears 137 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: maybe their season is over. Maybe it's Simon there three 138 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: and seven. You know who knows they can They're not 139 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: technically mathematically eliminated. But I think they want this game. 140 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: They need to win this game. Obviously, the offense looked 141 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: a little more competent yesterday with Andy Dalton, of course, 142 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:23,040 Speaker 1: than it did with Justin Fields. The one thing I 143 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 1: would say, Joe is I think if we get win 144 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 1: and the books will get win first that Blao is 145 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 1: the quarterback. I would probably hit the over at forty 146 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:34,719 Speaker 1: two forty one and a half because I do think 147 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: that Blao is at least sort of the okay with Boyle, 148 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 1: there is very little chance of them scoring many points 149 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: against the Bears, even in my opinion, absence some sort 150 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: of defensive, sort of. 151 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:46,559 Speaker 2: Fluting play with Susan Boyle. 152 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying, let's go. So I think that 153 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: if it's David Blaugh, I might be able to quickly 154 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,359 Speaker 1: hit the over because I do think that, you know, 155 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,039 Speaker 1: the Bears will put up some points and blow can 156 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: at least move the ball a little bit. But I 157 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 1: agree with you, Joe. I like the and I would 158 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: do it now as soon as sort of I saw 159 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 1: the sign second game on Thanksgiving, which you will be missing, 160 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: but your daughters hopefully will let you know how it goes. 161 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 1: This is the Cowboys, of course, at home on Thanksgiving 162 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 1: against the Raiders, laying seven and the total is fifty 163 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 1: and a half. Now we've got some question marks, of 164 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: course here, Joe. It seems Amari Cooper is all but 165 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 1: rolled out for this game, or he's officially rolled out 166 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 1: yet Ceedee Lamb not officially rolled out, but almost certainly 167 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: not gonna be able to clear concussion protocol. Zeke has 168 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: always been banged up. And on the other side you 169 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: have the flaming disaster that is the Raiders right now 170 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: as their season goes right down the tube. So on Thanksgiving, Joe, 171 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:42,239 Speaker 1: it's a touchdown fifty and a half, fairly high total. 172 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: What do you think? 173 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 2: Well for me, I A would said this number at 174 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 2: six and a half here, so very close to what 175 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 2: it is. The full seven is an awful lot of 176 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 2: confidence in a Cowboys team that's been very erradical these 177 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 2: last few weeks. You mentioned the injuries to the wide 178 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: receiving core two. The clear concussion protocol now in two 179 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 2: days is going to be very tricky for LAMB, which 180 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: means you're going to be a lot of Ezekiel Elliott, 181 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 2: a lot of Tony Pollard, Cedric Wilson. Those are the 182 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 2: kind of names are gonna see. Dalton Schultz, I would 183 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 2: imaginetting a lot of work. The first thing that came 184 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 2: to my head when you're starting to look at all 185 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 2: of that and the disarray as you put it, that 186 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Raiders are in. To me, the under 187 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 2: is actually something that's kind of appealing, Like this might 188 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 2: be a very uninspiring sort of game. It might be 189 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 2: pretty much like a because right now you say that 190 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 2: over under is what number? It is? 191 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 1: Fifty and a half fifteen. 192 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 2: Okay, I see on FANDLE they've got a fifty one. 193 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 1: Vandal is fifty one. Yeah, So I would run. 194 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 2: To wherever the highest over under I could get. If 195 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,960 Speaker 2: it's fifty one, I would take that, especially because you 196 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 2: know that that. 197 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: Is the only book, Joe fascinating. That's the only buck 198 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 1: at fifty one right now. Every other book is fifty 199 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: and a half. 200 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I would take that fifty one. And here's 201 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 2: what I would do. I think this is this feels 202 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 2: very much like a twenty seventeen kind of a game. 203 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 2: I don't think you're gonna see prolific offense in this game, 204 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 2: necessarily so. And I also do not want to muck 205 00:08:56,280 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 2: whatsoever with the seven. I don't want anything to do 206 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:02,079 Speaker 2: with that. I don't define the over unders the way 207 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 2: you go here. And if you want to make some 208 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,680 Speaker 2: money plus two sixty five on the money line for 209 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 2: the Raiders in this game. 210 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:10,719 Speaker 1: So you think that the Raiders are going to be 211 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 1: able to could win this game, then. 212 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 2: What I'm saying is they they absolutely could win this game. 213 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 2: It's not to be the first time in recent memory 214 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 2: that the Cowboys disappointed Jerry Jones on Thanksgiving. Right, Yeah, 215 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:22,679 Speaker 2: a couple of years ago, the Josh Allen bills, Right, 216 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 2: that's not that long ago, and that fact you can 217 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 2: kind of point to that it's kind of the beginning 218 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 2: of Josh Allen. Right. But I think if you look 219 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 2: at this right here with the Raiders, I mean, plus 220 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 2: two sixty five is a huge number. And who's to say, 221 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 2: with the erraticism of the Cowboys and the injuries to 222 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 2: the wide receiver corps, it's not impossible that the Raiders, 223 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 2: with a couple of bounces of the ball going their way, 224 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 2: could pull off this upset. So to me, it's the 225 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 2: Raiders on the money line and plus two sixty five 226 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 2: because that's a huge, huge number there, But it's also 227 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:50,559 Speaker 2: not out of to me, it's not so far out 228 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 2: of the foreseeable outcomes with the way the NFL season 229 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 2: has gone into twenty twenty one. But that fifty one 230 00:09:57,960 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 2: the under there is that's what I would be looking for, 231 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 2: all right, I don't had it. 232 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: So I will say that ninety percent of books are 233 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: at the seven. But I am going to point out 234 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 1: that there is one bet America that is out there 235 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: at six and a half. There's also a couple that 236 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:14,560 Speaker 1: are out there at seven and a half. I don't 237 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 1: know what to make Joe right now. Like with the Raiders, honestly, 238 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: I mean I gave it on the Betting Pros podcast. 239 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 1: I like the Raiders getting one against the Bengals this week, 240 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 1: and that was just a total misread. Without Rugs, their 241 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: offense is just totally broken at this point. But I 242 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 1: have no confidence in the Cowboys given the fact, right 243 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: I mean, You've got Michael Gallup, who had missed the 244 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: entire season up until two weeks ago. You've got Cedric 245 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 1: Wilson dropping balls like nobody's business. You've got you know, 246 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,839 Speaker 1: Zeke who every game there's a moment in the game 247 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:47,680 Speaker 1: where I'm like, all right, you're done, You're out, Zeke. 248 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: I can realize that he just lives back on. 249 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 2: I don't even think it's the Rugs thing, to be 250 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: honest with you, because I don't think that was making 251 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 2: the Raiders tick. I think it's the combination of the 252 00:10:57,080 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 2: Gruden stuff of the rug stuff. I think it eventually 253 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:01,720 Speaker 2: kind of you know, it takes its toll mentally on 254 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 2: a team. And the one thing that the Raiders have 255 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:06,439 Speaker 2: in their benefit I think actually is the short week, 256 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 2: because there's not enough time to dwell on all of that. 257 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:10,080 Speaker 2: You just got to get ready and play football. And 258 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 2: then sometimes that's actually the best thing for a team. 259 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 2: The more prep they have, the more time they have 260 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 2: the dwell on the loss and things like that or 261 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 2: where the direction is going. Sometimes that kind of ends 262 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 2: up creating more of a losing situation, whereas in this case, 263 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 2: I think you've got a shot here, short week, don't 264 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 2: think about it, go out there and play football. And 265 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 2: the Cowboys right now are all over the place, and 266 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 2: don't look now, Cowboys. But the Eagles are playing better 267 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 2: football in the last three weeks. 268 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 1: They really are, and their schedule is gorgeous. But hes 269 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 1: as somebody who is heavily invested in Nick Sirianni Coach 270 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: of the Year ticket, I am all in on that. 271 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:43,959 Speaker 1: All right, that. 272 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 2: Already goes to Bill Belichick. I think we already know. 273 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: Could you imagine a world where Bill Belichick, I mean 274 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:49,680 Speaker 2: he is like the number two guy I think on 275 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 2: the list right now. Yes, actually that's a rookie quarterback. 276 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 2: Their first place in the East. 277 00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, let's talk about the team that's in second 278 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 1: place now in the East, that is the Bills visiting 279 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 1: New Orleans. The Bills are laying four just kind of 280 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: a number of sitting out there right now, and the 281 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: total is forty six and a half. So, you know, 282 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 1: we talked so much, Joe about the Chiefs and their 283 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:13,960 Speaker 1: struggles on offense, and then it was just sort of 284 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 1: this afterthought, be like, oh, yeah, you know, the Bills 285 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:17,439 Speaker 1: are kind of going through the same thing for a 286 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 1: little while, and suddenly everybody's like, oh man, Bills look 287 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:23,439 Speaker 1: broken right now after John and Taylor just went crazy. 288 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: But on the other side, you have the Saints five 289 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 1: and five at this point, I mean, without Jameis Winston, 290 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: they're obviously struggling a bit. They've had no Alvin Kamara. 291 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: I don't know whether or not he's gonna be able 292 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 1: to come back for this game. Their defense just got 293 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,560 Speaker 1: the you know, crap beat out of them by the 294 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,320 Speaker 1: Eagles running all over them, which is really surprising given 295 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:43,680 Speaker 1: the strength to the Saints defense. So, Joe, I mean, 296 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:47,200 Speaker 1: it's gonna be rackets in New Orleans here four points 297 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: and the total of forty six and a half. 298 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 2: Saints defense is very good, but the Saints offense I 299 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 2: think has put too much pressure on them. And that's 300 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 2: the thing that oftentimes we see with very good defense 301 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 2: is you know there's only so much they can take 302 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 2: and make up four. You give them bad field position, 303 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 2: you give them turnovers, you give them situations where you 304 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 2: know they're already kind of defeated before it starts. That 305 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 2: is a problem I think for New Orleans. Now, I 306 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 2: am not surprised at all. And had I been on 307 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,439 Speaker 2: with you this past week, you had somebody else on 308 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 2: the show, I don't know who, but on your last week, 309 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 2: I would have told you I'd be very afraid of 310 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 2: this game if I was the Bill. And from a 311 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 2: wagering perspective, I think all the money should have been 312 00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 2: on the Colts. And it's not hindsight. It's because I 313 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 2: remember this past year right, and we were in the 314 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 2: playoffs where the Colts should have beaten the Bills in Buffalo. 315 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 2: In that playoff game, they push them to the limit, 316 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 2: and I know it's a different quarterback it was Philip Rivers. 317 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 2: But I think what happens to a football team is 318 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 2: when they do something like that, there's a confidence that's 319 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 2: built in them and says, hey, we can go in 320 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 2: there and beat this team because we almost did. Why 321 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 2: aren't we, you know, confident and you saw that, you 322 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 2: saw a very very confident team go out there to Buffalo. 323 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 2: And that being said, I'm going to go right back 324 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 2: to Buffalo here because I think everybody is afraid a 325 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:00,200 Speaker 2: little bit. Now, what do we think of Buffalo going 326 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 2: on Buffalo Buffalo on the road? I think Buffalo shows 327 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 2: up in this game, and I think Buffalo wins this 328 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 2: game pretty easily. To be honest with you, like, I'm 329 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 2: not concerned too much about New Orleans in terms of 330 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 2: what they're able to do. The Kamara injury I think 331 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 2: crushes them offensively on top of all the quarterback issues, 332 00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:16,440 Speaker 2: on top of the lack of talent that they have 333 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 2: in the wide receiving core. So to me go right 334 00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 2: back to the Buffalo Bills. I feel comfortable with Buffalo. 335 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 2: I will lean towards Buffalo this week without a doubt. 336 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 2: And then on top of that, I think you will 337 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 2: see a lot of people be concerned about Buffalo and 338 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 2: they shouldn't take too much out of that game because 339 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 2: Indianapolis number one is a playoff team and number two 340 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 2: is a team that played them tough. Last year was 341 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 2: right there with them in the playoffs. And you know what, 342 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 2: in a lot of ways, they're running better now than 343 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:42,840 Speaker 2: they were last year. So it should be no surprise 344 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 2: of the outcome of that game. The Tennessee game, that 345 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 2: is a surprising out game outcome, I can tell you 346 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 2: that much. That's a game you should not lose at home. 347 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 2: But I'm not surprised that they lost Indianapolis at home. Buffalo. 348 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I certainly was on the Colts getting the seven 349 00:14:55,720 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 1: without a doubt, and I bet it, and I was 350 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 1: that cash in three minutes into that game, So you 351 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: felt pretty good about it. Yeah, dude, it's it's I'm 352 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: really surprised that the Bills are struggling this much, just 353 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 1: given the talent that they have. An offense defensively that's embarrassed. 354 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 1: So I really think even on the short week, you 355 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 1: are going to see an angry bounce back from this 356 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: defense that was. I mean, people are going to be 357 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: talking about the Jonathan Taylor game for years going forward, 358 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 1: and so I really think you're going to see a 359 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 1: spirited sort of thing. I just just don't have the horses. 360 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 1: Well that's how you. 361 00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:31,640 Speaker 2: Beat the Bills, though, how you beat the Bills is 362 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 2: throwing against that Bill's secondary is tough. So if you 363 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 2: have a kind of running back where you can literally 364 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 2: run it down their throats. And and let's not forget 365 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 2: that that backbreaking play of Carson Wentz, who should have 366 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 2: been sacked for a five hours. To me, that was 367 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 2: that was the moment where that big dog was out 368 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 2: there in space running the football, and you go, that's 369 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 2: the moment where everything just the air went out of 370 00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 2: the bubble for that defense. Because it's like you have 371 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 2: that moment, you had that stop and then it came 372 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 2: back in a terrible way. So and right after that 373 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 2: it felt like then you had that other play or 374 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 2: all of a sudden two seconds later and that kickoff 375 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 2: hits fumbled, and then next thing you know, Indian apples 376 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 2: right back there like there's nothing the defense can do 377 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 2: about that, and the air just went out of the 378 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 2: building and the air went out of the defense. But 379 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 2: New Orleans cannot run the football, I think in that manner. 380 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 2: Therefore it's Buffalo I think in a ro up in 381 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 2: this game. 382 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like, And again I don't think there's anything 383 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: you have to run to bet like I think between 384 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 1: it's going to state a dead number. You know, I 385 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,000 Speaker 1: think like four to five. It doesn't really matter where 386 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: it is, so I think you're find either way. And again, 387 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: there is a three and a half out there, there's 388 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: a four and a half out there. It's early, so 389 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 1: we'll see, but I do think it sells a four. 390 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,040 Speaker 1: Take your time. I agree with you. I'm on the bills. Now, 391 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 1: let's talk about the game that people really want to watch, 392 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,080 Speaker 1: which is the Jets visiting the Texans. The Texans are 393 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: laying three points, the total is forty four. Texans off 394 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: the Giant win here against Tennessee. The Jets off another 395 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 1: boss here to the Dolphins, where they, you know, a 396 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 1: remotely competitive game for most of the game, even with Joe blackup. 397 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 1: We don't know. I assume Michael Carter is not going 398 00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 1: to be able to go here based on everything I 399 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 1: saw about his injury. We don't know who the quarterback 400 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: is going to be. Is going to be Zach Wilson, 401 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 1: is going to be Joe Flacko, is going to be 402 00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: Mike White. I don't really know if it matters Texans 403 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:05,000 Speaker 1: laying a field goal? What do you think? 404 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 2: You know? What this is? This is your basic NFL 405 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:10,120 Speaker 2: line right where you always know that the home team 406 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 2: where nobody knows what the hell is going on, is favored 407 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,719 Speaker 2: by three. That's it, and that's exactly what it should be. 408 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 2: And I think that's where I'd be comfortable. So I 409 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 2: would be more comfortable on the textan side, Taylor played 410 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:24,560 Speaker 2: pretty well. Yes, let's give him some credit. Houston could 411 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 2: easily just fold out the tents and be just useless, 412 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 2: and they weren't. They went in there deadna see, and 413 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 2: they had themselves a good game. Now you would think 414 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,639 Speaker 2: that would build a little confidence, and you would think 415 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,320 Speaker 2: the Jets on the road, that's a tough sell. So yeah, 416 00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 2: So for me, I think the Houston Texans and the 417 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 2: MIAs three is where I would lean right now. The 418 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:42,680 Speaker 2: forty four and a half or somewhere in that range 419 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 2: is the under number. That's the number that's slightly more 420 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 2: appealing to me than even the three and a half, 421 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 2: just because but but overall, you know, you can't. 422 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 1: Wait, is it appealing to you on the over the under? 423 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:55,160 Speaker 2: Oh? On the under? 424 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:55,680 Speaker 1: Okay? 425 00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:57,119 Speaker 2: Think I think on the under, I don't think we 426 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 2: can expect an offensive onslaught from either of these teams. 427 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 1: One constructive. You know, I just can't do it. 428 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 2: But you know what makes the Jets I think a 429 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 2: little bit more dangerous is if Flacco does play another 430 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:10,120 Speaker 2: game and has a full you know, practice week with everybody. 431 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:13,400 Speaker 2: You know, Flacco is capable. He's not great, No, he's capable, 432 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 2: And I think what the Jets need is just more 433 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,680 Speaker 2: capability at the quarterback position. If they have that, they 434 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:20,239 Speaker 2: can be a more competitive team. But for right now, 435 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 2: I think the lean is the Texans on the minus three, 436 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 2: and I think that's the right way. I mean, it's 437 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 2: hard to have confidence with the Jets winning out right 438 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 2: on the road. And even so, he's not exactly getting 439 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 2: like an enormous number on that like you're getting on 440 00:18:29,320 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 2: the Raiders the plus two sixty five. It's a plus 441 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:32,720 Speaker 2: one thirty here for the Jets. 442 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 1: Right yeah, I imagine gonna go out on the limb 443 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 1: and say that this is the least bet game of 444 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 1: the week, you know, in Vegas or Jersey or wherever 445 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:41,240 Speaker 1: you are. 446 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 2: On Jersey, was put the money on his Jets because 447 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 2: Flacco is good. 448 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: As said true Vega. He did throw over almost three 449 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: hundred yards against the miamiy of it to Elijah Moore, 450 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: that's true. Hey maybe again, Yeah, I lean Texans laying three, 451 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,199 Speaker 1: but it's certainly not out of the realm of possibilities. 452 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,760 Speaker 1: The Jets win this game, and you know, you could 453 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 1: see the idea the Texans could have a letdout spot. 454 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: But still, you know, to have that Giant win against Tennessee, 455 00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: like you could just see a little deflating. But first, 456 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: if it gets beyond three, certainly have no interest in it, 457 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:19,160 Speaker 1: you know, whatever either way, because I really can't back 458 00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 1: the Jets. This one's a tough one, Joe. And again 459 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 1: we're recording this on Monday, early morning, so certainly no 460 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 1: Monday night football yet with the Bucks. But the Bucks 461 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: are going to Indy. As of right now, they are 462 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 1: laying two and a half and the total is fifty one. Now, 463 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 1: this may move and it is three at FanDuel, of course, 464 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 1: because Fandel likes to be a little different than every 465 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,360 Speaker 1: other book in the market. Let's assume, Joe, we have 466 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 1: no major injuries tonight for the Bucks. Let's assume they 467 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,160 Speaker 1: look essentially as people are expecting, and they win by 468 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: ten points tonight against the Giants. No major injuries. Bucks 469 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:53,880 Speaker 1: visiting Indy two and a half, what do you think? 470 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I see the three over there on FanDuel. 471 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 1: That's why I said, yeah, it was always that, always 472 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 1: that outline, which is why I like. 473 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:02,919 Speaker 2: To wager there because I think it's a little looser. 474 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:05,720 Speaker 1: You know what's funny is DraftKings. This is a good 475 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 1: point prop bets, which is what I like to do. 476 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,520 Speaker 1: DraftKings is so like every time I have an edge 477 00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 1: though in a prop bet, like our general market, because 478 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:16,400 Speaker 1: a betting pros a game we also do like aggregate 479 00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:19,919 Speaker 1: props and stuff like that. In books betting pros line, Uh, 480 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 1: draftings line on these props is always just a little 481 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,560 Speaker 1: sharper than like every other book, And I'm like, oh, 482 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 1: I like this up to twenty six and a half 483 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,919 Speaker 1: yards and it's like twenty you know four in other books, 484 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 1: and the stupid DraftKings always twenty seven. So the different 485 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 1: books really matters. Obviously, Vandal is a little bit outlier here, Joe, 486 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 1: and like every single one, they've got a little something special. 487 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 1: So does the three to two and a half make 488 00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 1: a difference to you? 489 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,159 Speaker 2: Not so much, because this is a game already that 490 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 2: I really want no part of, and we haven't seen 491 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 2: the bucks bounce back. Yet, as you said, they play 492 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 2: Monday night football, and I think that they will. And 493 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,479 Speaker 2: I think defensively, you know, this is still a very 494 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 2: good team defense, but you still got Tom Brady. But 495 00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 2: I think the Cults are a lot better than people realize. 496 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,880 Speaker 2: And I just I think that every year, and most 497 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 2: years I'm right about because even last year, remember people 498 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 2: say that Occults are terrible team, and I'm like, I 499 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 2: don't know, man. You could see all the pieces there 500 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 2: and you could see if they all start to get 501 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,359 Speaker 2: going here. Now, the hard part about this is what 502 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,520 Speaker 2: the Cults do best, which is running the football. Jonathan 503 00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 2: Taylor is the one thing that obviously the Bucks do 504 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 2: the best, which is stop the run. So because when 505 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 2: those two things, what the the immovable object meets the 506 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,719 Speaker 2: irresistible force, irresistible force of Dan Harris, which is irresistible. 507 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,639 Speaker 2: Everybody knows that not quite That to me is always 508 00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 2: something from a wagering standpoint. When you start to look 509 00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 2: at four outcome games, which is something you and I 510 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 2: talk about quite a daity, you could see the outcome 511 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: where it's a blowout on one of these sides. You 512 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 2: could also see one of these teams winning close, and 513 00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,239 Speaker 2: I hate that. That's four different outcomes. To me, it's 514 00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,400 Speaker 2: not a vestable game. So I would just run away 515 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 2: from this game altogether because I think these two teams 516 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 2: are closer than people realize. Now, if the Bucks struggle 517 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 2: against the Giants, then maybe you start to look at 518 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 2: that plus three and that plus three or three and 519 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:02,680 Speaker 2: a half maybe becomes or I don't know, but if 520 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 2: it or maybe it's its eyes is down, excuse me, 521 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,240 Speaker 2: from sorry, not to four, two to two and a 522 00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,920 Speaker 2: half maybe Wheast. I like, it's a little bit tighter here. 523 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 2: If it gets tighter, that tells you where things are 524 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 2: going a little bit. So to me, right now, watch 525 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 2: very carefully Monday at football how good the Bucks look, 526 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 2: because if they kind of look blackluster here a little 527 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,640 Speaker 2: bit against the Giants team, then all of a sudden 528 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 2: the Coults, I think, become slightly more investible in this game. 529 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 2: They really do, and it's unfortunately you can't get ahead 530 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 2: of it because I want to see what happens to 531 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,679 Speaker 2: the Bucks after that lost to Washington. Washington might just 532 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,239 Speaker 2: be that team that has their number the way they 533 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,000 Speaker 2: almost did in the playoffs. Like there's some teams that 534 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,879 Speaker 2: just play you tougher even though they're not in your 535 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,199 Speaker 2: same class. And that happens in the NFL. For some 536 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 2: whatever reason, some teams just give other teams problems. You know, 537 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 2: why is that team giving this team problem? This team 538 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 2: is significantly more talented. It's just sometimes the nature of 539 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 2: the beast. This is a game I don't feel comfortable 540 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 2: with right now, Dan, and I don't even know after 541 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 2: the outcome of tonight's game if I'll feel more comfortable 542 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 2: with it. 543 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you and the Colts also, First 544 00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,960 Speaker 1: of all, a kudos to the Colts, who I feel 545 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 1: like and Frank right because I feel like Indianapolis the 546 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: season could have gone off the rails at like he's 547 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,280 Speaker 1: a great football coach, Dann four different points this year, 548 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 1: right backbreaking loss to the Ravens. Okay, man, you can't 549 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,440 Speaker 1: bounce back from that, right, and then they do they're 550 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,360 Speaker 1: six and five. Suddenly you've got cracks now with the Titans, 551 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: and suddenly they're like, oh, I mean the Titans obviously 552 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:19,919 Speaker 1: have won both games, so that's what it's but losing 553 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 1: that one, they just keep fighting. Man. Yeah, I agree. 554 00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:25,360 Speaker 1: I like the Colts, And again, the Bucks run defense, 555 00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,960 Speaker 1: the vaunted run defense hasn't been that great lately. And 556 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 1: again they're down Vida Vaa right now. Don't know when 557 00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 1: he's going to be able to come back. That's a 558 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 1: huge difference. And you know their secondary is not great, 559 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 1: and this could be a game where you could finally 560 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,120 Speaker 1: really you know, target Michael Pittman more than the five 561 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:41,800 Speaker 1: or six times you get it and move the ball. 562 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:43,919 Speaker 1: So it's interesting. And again the Bucks are going to 563 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 1: be coming off a short week. But I agree with you, Joe, 564 00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 1: it's just not a game I feel real comfortable. 565 00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 2: And handicapping THEFS game. It's not a good wagering game. 566 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 2: You can invest in it that way, but I'll and 567 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,680 Speaker 2: if there's a Pittman individual prop for receiving, that's something 568 00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:57,679 Speaker 2: I would strongly consider. 569 00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,959 Speaker 1: Whatever it is you're just going over, huh, I like 570 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 1: it all right. Titans visiting the Patriots, Joe, this is 571 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,400 Speaker 1: going to be a really, really intriguing game. I look 572 00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: forward to. Oh god, this is my nightmare, the Titans. 573 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 2: Let's go. 574 00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 1: The Pats are laying five and a half points. Total 575 00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 1: is pretty small here, forty four and a half. Obviously, 576 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: you have all the injuries on the Titan side, where 577 00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: I guess Nick Westbrook Akina is probably going to be 578 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,439 Speaker 1: their number one watchers this week. Given the fact that 579 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 1: aj Brown of course left the last game with a 580 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:30,600 Speaker 1: chester shoulder injury. We haven't heard anything about it, but 581 00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,399 Speaker 1: it does sound like from the people who are pining 582 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 1: on it at that moment, that he might miss time. 583 00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,399 Speaker 1: Marcus Johnson left, Julio Jones is still on ir they 584 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 1: have no running backs. Ryan Tanhel through four interceptions on 585 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 1: the other side of the Patriots, who at the moment, 586 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 1: at the moment, look like a dominant force right now 587 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 1: in the NFL. So what do you think, Joe? Is 588 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:53,120 Speaker 1: this a bilo cell high situation or are the Patriots 589 00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: just going to keep running normally? 590 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:56,359 Speaker 2: I would say it is a bilo so high. And 591 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 2: I'm not saying this because they're the Patriots and they're 592 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 2: quote team, and I do not see the world through 593 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,000 Speaker 2: the Patriot colored glasses. And that's one of the things 594 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 2: that drives Bogman crazy because I hate how rational about 595 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,639 Speaker 2: Patriots fan you are. It drives me nuts because he's 596 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,679 Speaker 2: a Steelers fan. He's like, you're the worst. But I 597 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:18,239 Speaker 2: will say this, from a defensive standpoint, you should be 598 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 2: very concerned about the Tannehill turnovers and the way the 599 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: Patriots are leading the league in turnovers right now. That 600 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,879 Speaker 2: is a terrible combination of things. And you mentioned all 601 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,639 Speaker 2: the defunct weapons. Means you're basically out of rhythm with 602 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,640 Speaker 2: the other pieces, like there's no consistency, and the consistency 603 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,960 Speaker 2: or inconsistency sometimes does lead to turnovers because guys aren't 604 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 2: running the right route, guys aren't in the right place necessarily. 605 00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,160 Speaker 2: There's a lot of those intangible things that we don't 606 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 2: talk about enough, I think in fantasy sometimes. But from 607 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:47,639 Speaker 2: a wagering standpoint, I think you could take that and 608 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:49,879 Speaker 2: put it right into this game. I think the New 609 00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:52,000 Speaker 2: England five and a half is actually a pretty comfortable 610 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 2: number right now. I think there's a chance this could 611 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,879 Speaker 2: even grow depending on how the money comes in. The 612 00:25:57,920 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 2: five and a half is something I'm comfortable with right 613 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,920 Speaker 2: now on the Patriots side, because Mac Jones is doing enough. 614 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 2: They are not a great offensive team. They are an 615 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:08,399 Speaker 2: efficient offensive team, which when you play great defense and 616 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 2: you have efficient offense and multiple guys who can run 617 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 2: the football and control clock. Forty four and a half 618 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:14,680 Speaker 2: I think is a spot on number. I want nothing 619 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:18,160 Speaker 2: to do with that. But it's very hard to imagine 620 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 2: that the Patriots aren't going to give mac Jones a 621 00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,719 Speaker 2: short field or score a touchdown of their own in 622 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 2: this game. And I think when you enter that that's 623 00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:28,720 Speaker 2: the six that I'm looking for right now. That's the 624 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,240 Speaker 2: sick point. Where am I getting that extra six points from? 625 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,000 Speaker 2: And I think it is from the defense making a 626 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 2: play and either a pick six because that's what they've 627 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 2: been doing here these last few weeks, or getting a 628 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 2: turnover in creating a short field for Mac Jones and 629 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,199 Speaker 2: this offense. And that's the extra six you need in 630 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,400 Speaker 2: this game, because I think you take that out of it. 631 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 2: This is a very close game theoretically, especially because Rabel 632 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 2: knows and I think there's a little bit of still 633 00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:55,440 Speaker 2: a little sore spot there for Rabel showing a Belichick 634 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 2: in that playoff game a few years ago and winning 635 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,000 Speaker 2: a New England. I feel like this is a game 636 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:02,360 Speaker 2: that Bill Belichick guess circled and they're gonna be ready. 637 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 2: But that extra six is what you're looking for. That's 638 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 2: where you're gonna find it, and I think you will. Therefore, 639 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:11,360 Speaker 2: I like New England in this game. Good argument, isn't. 640 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 1: It, And that's a good argument. I'm not trying to 641 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 1: make the other argument. I'm more trying to figure out 642 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,199 Speaker 1: how I feel about this, and so I think what 643 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,720 Speaker 1: I looked at, Joe is, first of all, I mean 644 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 1: I loved the Texans getting the ten. Yes, whatever, I 645 00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,760 Speaker 1: loved it. I mean, I you huge because you knew 646 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,360 Speaker 1: that you knew that the Titans were not nearly as 647 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: good as they had looked over the last couple of games. 648 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 1: I had some fluky defensive plays without Derrick Henry. Okay, 649 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:38,240 Speaker 1: then they got injured, the weather was terrible. But your point, Joe, 650 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:42,159 Speaker 1: about the fact that these backup weapons Tannehill through four interceptions. Yeah, 651 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 1: at least two of them. Seemed pretty clearly that the 652 00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 1: receiver round the wrong route because he's playing with just 653 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,800 Speaker 1: backup guys. I mean again, forget about AJ Brown and 654 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,639 Speaker 1: Julio Jones, like even Marcus Johnson like pulled up with 655 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 1: a hammy at you know, early on in that game 656 00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,680 Speaker 1: he was out. They had absolutely nothing, and chances are 657 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:00,440 Speaker 1: they're going to have nothing again. And I had no 658 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:01,680 Speaker 1: running game to speak up. 659 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:05,719 Speaker 2: As a bad scene when you have Phillips mccordy Kyle Duggar. 660 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:10,080 Speaker 2: These guys are vultures for the foot. They It's crazy 661 00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:14,200 Speaker 2: how smart they are in terms of anticipating what quarterbacks 662 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,120 Speaker 2: are going to do. And it's because of how hard 663 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 2: they work in the study. But I think you'd agree 664 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 2: with this notion. These are two teams on paper that 665 00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 2: I think are pretty close. Right, Yeah, so to five 666 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,120 Speaker 2: and a half, you have to find the extra six. 667 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 2: Where does it come from? And the extra six comes 668 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 2: from the Patriots defense creating that, and I think it's 669 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:31,160 Speaker 2: it would not be shocking to me if they create 670 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,200 Speaker 2: an extra twelve in this game. But I think they're 671 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 2: at least going to create the extra six and even 672 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,040 Speaker 2: create the extra six on your own there. This is 673 00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 2: a tough day at the office, I think for Ryan Tannehill, 674 00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,080 Speaker 2: and I think it's a tough day for the Tennessee 675 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 2: team that you know, everybody's like, oh, look how good 676 00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 2: they are without Dereck Henry. But it might have been 677 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 2: a bit of a smoke and mirrors kind of act 678 00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:47,560 Speaker 2: a little bit. 679 00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,520 Speaker 1: Seems too easy for me, honestly to take the Pats 680 00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 1: because it just looks like it. But we'll have to 681 00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,240 Speaker 1: see for me. Right now, stay away this line I 682 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 1: could see moving depending on how the injury news works out. 683 00:28:57,160 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm not to stay away. I was wrong, 684 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 1: by the way, Joe, I apologize. I said that the 685 00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 1: least bet game of the week is going to be 686 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 1: the Jets and the Texans. It might in fact be 687 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 1: the Falcons visiting the Jaguars, where the Jaguars are getting 688 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 1: a point. I like the fact that the Falcons are 689 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 1: favored by over anyone right now. The totals forty seven 690 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,400 Speaker 1: and a half. Now, again, of course we still have 691 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 1: the Will Cordero Patterson play in this game, and that 692 00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 1: does make a difference to the Atlanta offense, of course, 693 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,800 Speaker 1: and they're embarrassed on national television that you get the 694 00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: mini by here, the Jaguars are the Jaguars. Whatever, Joe, 695 00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 1: what would you like to say about this game? One 696 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,640 Speaker 1: point going to the Jaguars forty seven and a half. 697 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:42,640 Speaker 2: Give me the Falcons because I think the Falcons are 698 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 2: a better football team the Jacksonville Jaguars. They just are. 699 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:49,280 Speaker 2: And I think at this point, even though they were 700 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:53,080 Speaker 2: embarrassed by the Patriots, and I you would hope that 701 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:56,160 Speaker 2: you know, you can get enough out of Matt Ryan 702 00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 2: and this wide receiver corps of what's left of it 703 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:02,560 Speaker 2: to win this football game. And I understand it's terrifying, 704 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 2: and I'm not surprised it's a bit of a pick him, 705 00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 2: to be honest, I thought it was a two and 706 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 2: a half minus three coming in for the Falcons, but 707 00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:11,440 Speaker 2: the fact that it's closer to basically have at it, 708 00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,520 Speaker 2: I would have had it with the Falcons because I 709 00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,400 Speaker 2: do still believe in Matt Ryan with a little extra 710 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,480 Speaker 2: time to prepare. The problem is that that Falcons offensive 711 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:23,280 Speaker 2: line has been absolutely dreadful, so if Josh Allen and 712 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 2: company do get to him, that can pay some problems 713 00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 2: in this game. However, I was weirdly impressed by Quadre 714 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 2: Allison running the football. I think that he had more 715 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 2: bursts than we've seen from Mike Davis, and I know 716 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 2: we're gonna talk about this later on the way of 717 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 2: Wire Pond to get more bursts than Wayne Gallman. And 718 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:42,080 Speaker 2: I don't know how much carry he's going to get 719 00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:43,719 Speaker 2: in this game, but I think Cordello Patterson, even if 720 00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:45,760 Speaker 2: he is healthy, is needed catching the football. I think 721 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,040 Speaker 2: what you're going to have to do here is kind 722 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 2: of rethink everything. And Arthur Smith also needs to absolutely 723 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,560 Speaker 2: crush this team because of the mistakes and penalties they made. 724 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 2: They had so many bad mistakes, so many bad penalties. 725 00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 2: I think if you could just tighten that up a 726 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 2: little bit, I think you can win this book. So 727 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 2: I will take the Atlanta right now in this game. 728 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 2: I would take him to win outright if it was 729 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:06,640 Speaker 2: a better number, But it's not right now, which is 730 00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 2: kind of surprising. Like, you know, the minus one twenty 731 00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 2: is you know, if this was just even a flat 732 00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 2: like a one oh five or something like that, i'd say, yeah, 733 00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 2: let's just go that. But the minus one twenty, I 734 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 2: think it's kind of frustrating. So just take the Falcons 735 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 2: in the minus one twelve there or whatever it ends 736 00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,360 Speaker 2: up being, with the minus one right now, and I 737 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:22,959 Speaker 2: think that's the way you go, and stay away from 738 00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,280 Speaker 2: the over under because who the hell knows how that 739 00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:25,960 Speaker 2: gonna look. 740 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:29,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. Actually, you know, as you were talking 741 00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: in the instant reaction, I do agree that I think 742 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 1: the Falcons are the right play. Again, the Falcons. The 743 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 1: Patriots defense is great, so the fact that they got 744 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: shut out without Cordero Patterson, who, by the way, as 745 00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,480 Speaker 1: much as you know, whatever the ankle sprain. Is like, 746 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 1: he wasn't ruled out at that game until earlier, there's crush. 747 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 1: He wasn't rolled out that game until very very you know, 748 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 1: late in the process. So that was encouraging for a 749 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 1: Thursday game. Now it gets ten extra days if he 750 00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 1: can play. But they did move the ball at someone, 751 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,720 Speaker 1: even though Ryan was limited because he got hurt a 752 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,720 Speaker 1: little bit in that game and that the Patriots are 753 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 1: getting after him, they moved the ball into the Paths 754 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 1: territory a couple of times. They weren't that far off 755 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 1: from sort of you know, getting to Yeah, they missed 756 00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 1: it right, they got actually converted it and then they 757 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:14,160 Speaker 1: had a penalty right and then missed it. So they 758 00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,480 Speaker 1: had a chance to put up some points at least 759 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 1: against a very good defense. So yeah, I agree with you. 760 00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:20,520 Speaker 1: And if I have the chance to go against Urban Meyer, 761 00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:22,440 Speaker 1: I'm going to do it. So I like it. Eagles 762 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:25,240 Speaker 1: against the Giants again, Joe. We don't know what we're 763 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,800 Speaker 1: going to see tonight, but sounds like they're going to 764 00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 1: have pretty much everybody but Sterling Shepherd back. At this point, 765 00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 1: the Eagles are coming in ride and high, laying three 766 00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 1: and a half into New Jersey and the total is 767 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:41,080 Speaker 1: forty six and a half. Divisional game. Joe always dicey, 768 00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:41,640 Speaker 1: what do you think? 769 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:44,640 Speaker 2: I hate this. I hate to say it, but I 770 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 2: like the Eagles in this game. I think the Eagles 771 00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 2: are starting to be confident, and the defense has been 772 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 2: pretty good all year. I think we could all like 773 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 2: the defense have been okay. 774 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 1: Underrated by the way nobody talks about them. People don't 775 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 1: like them, Joe, but I always do. 776 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 2: On the Joe we talked about the Eagles defense over 777 00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:03,920 Speaker 2: there on Fantasy Pros. But yeah, you know, Bog and 778 00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 2: I had a big conversation, actually a heart to heart 779 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,360 Speaker 2: I felt like about a week or two ago about 780 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,280 Speaker 2: this Eagles defense and saying, you know what, They're starting 781 00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 2: to play better as a unit. They've always been pretty 782 00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:15,400 Speaker 2: good in terms of slowing down the run. I think 783 00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:16,720 Speaker 2: a lot of this game has to do with just 784 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:19,200 Speaker 2: how healthy Saquon Barkley is, because that's the difference maker guy, 785 00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:21,440 Speaker 2: Like he's the one weapon the Giants have that if 786 00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 2: he is truly healthy, and again we don't have that 787 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 2: input yet. So this is another reason why you're watching 788 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:28,480 Speaker 2: that game closely because it has an impact on two 789 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,560 Speaker 2: games significantly looking ahead at week twelve. But I think 790 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 2: when you're starting to look at a week eleven coming 791 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,800 Speaker 2: out of that, if sakuwon, Barkley looks fantastic again, it 792 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:39,800 Speaker 2: looks like Saquon Barkley in that game, then all of 793 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,160 Speaker 2: a sudden, this becomes a fascinating potential upset special for 794 00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,120 Speaker 2: the Giants because they are at home, and because it 795 00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 2: is the Eagles, and because this is them fighting for 796 00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 2: their season. But I have a hard time believing that 797 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:52,720 Speaker 2: and a hard time buying that until I see it. 798 00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:55,440 Speaker 2: So up until I see that, I'm going to take 799 00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:57,600 Speaker 2: the Eagle side of this game in the three because 800 00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 2: it feels just about right. We talk about it like, 801 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 2: you know, it's at three where it looks like the 802 00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:03,120 Speaker 2: better team but the better teams on the row is 803 00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 2: gonna be just a free number. I think you take 804 00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 2: that number right now, and I think the Eagles and 805 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,279 Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts is playing well, and DeVante Smith looks like 806 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,120 Speaker 2: things are clicking for him. Yeah, five thousand running backs, 807 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:15,000 Speaker 2: which means you really don't have one, but that also 808 00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,480 Speaker 2: makes it better in the sense because you have options, 809 00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 2: you have depth there at the running back position, and 810 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:21,399 Speaker 2: you have a guys who are gonna be fresh every 811 00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:22,719 Speaker 2: time you put somebody out there, and I think that 812 00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,360 Speaker 2: takes a toll of defense as well as time goes on. 813 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,080 Speaker 2: And something you saw in the Patriot game when you 814 00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,320 Speaker 2: can run Harris who runs hard, and then run Stevenson 815 00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:31,880 Speaker 2: who looks like everyone keeps talking about lager Blunt, he 816 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 2: looks a little bit more like Marshall Lynch to me lately, 817 00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,879 Speaker 2: the way he looks for contact and is knocking guys over. 818 00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 2: You have a physical back there in Jordan Howard. You 819 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,120 Speaker 2: have a Boston Scott, and then you have Howard. 820 00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:43,839 Speaker 1: Did get injured though Joe in this game he made 821 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:45,359 Speaker 1: I don't know for sure. He left in the third 822 00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 1: quarter with the knee injuries, so he maybe I don't know, yeah, And. 823 00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:50,040 Speaker 2: If so, then you're gonna go back to Miles Sanders 824 00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 2: and you're gonna go back to you know, keV Gainwell, 825 00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 2: who was inactive I believe for this past her. So 826 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 2: you have fresh legs theoretically, no matter what. And that's 827 00:34:58,200 --> 00:34:59,719 Speaker 2: the one thing at the running back position that it's 828 00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 2: hard to this time of year. The Eagles have that 829 00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:04,240 Speaker 2: have Jalen Hurts run the football. I like the Eagles 830 00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:04,680 Speaker 2: in this game. 831 00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:07,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's first of all, it's three at Fandle, 832 00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 1: it's three at DraftKings, it's three and a half everywhere else. 833 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:14,319 Speaker 1: So it's interesting. Yeah, it's everywhere else, Like I'm looking 834 00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:18,799 Speaker 1: at it right now. We bet America is the only 835 00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 1: other three out there right now. Everybody else is three 836 00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,279 Speaker 1: and a half. This seems like a pretty obvious spot 837 00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:26,919 Speaker 1: to take the Eagles, just because they are riding high, 838 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:29,279 Speaker 1: which makes me nervous a little bit about it. But 839 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:33,360 Speaker 1: their formula right now, which is we are going to 840 00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 1: run the heck out of the ball NonStop. And again 841 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,239 Speaker 1: it's made much easier by the fact that you have 842 00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 1: a running quarterback like Jalen Hurts, who carried the ball 843 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,880 Speaker 1: eighteen times yesterday. We have two guys Dallas Goddard and 844 00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:47,960 Speaker 1: Devonte Smith who when we do throw the ball we 845 00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 1: have absolute faith that they are going to be able 846 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,000 Speaker 1: to pull it in. That's a good formula, Joe, and 847 00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:54,800 Speaker 1: rely on the on the on the running. 848 00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:58,280 Speaker 2: What does this number if the Giants get obliterated tonight 849 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:02,160 Speaker 2: against Tampa. I mean, it's not gonna move to like no, no, 850 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:04,879 Speaker 2: but it's gonna move four and a half five see 851 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:06,239 Speaker 2: and that, and that's why I think if you like 852 00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,040 Speaker 2: the Eagles, you lock in the three on DK or 853 00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:08,600 Speaker 2: fan for. 854 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 1: Us we can lock into three on DK. Yes, I 855 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,560 Speaker 1: agree against the divisional game. Man, it makes me a 856 00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:17,919 Speaker 1: little word where you know, right, but yeah, let's see 857 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:21,400 Speaker 1: how things look tonight. But idalan the I think I 858 00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:22,120 Speaker 1: would have to four and. 859 00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 2: A half if the if the Giants got tobliterate it 860 00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,960 Speaker 2: and given obviously class at the box, but still if 861 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,239 Speaker 2: Saque doesn't look good, they get obliterated in this game, 862 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:31,480 Speaker 2: this line's gonna grow. 863 00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 1: And if the Giants lose this game, assuming that they 864 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 1: do against the Bucks, then you've got a fair shot 865 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,280 Speaker 1: at this being basically a home game for the Eagles, 866 00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:40,759 Speaker 1: given sort of where Philly is in Jersey and everything 867 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,000 Speaker 1: like that, right could point could be a lot of 868 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:47,080 Speaker 1: Phillies fast a lot of Philadelphia. It goes, yeah, all right, Jon. 869 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:48,359 Speaker 2: Cokes and pile them in the car and we're gonna 870 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:50,839 Speaker 2: go watch the Jalen Hurts and the Eagles gonna good 871 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:52,360 Speaker 2: Metalands gonna give you if. 872 00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:53,759 Speaker 1: You don't know Joe, if he has a chance to 873 00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,240 Speaker 1: do an accent wherever it is a phillya accent especially, 874 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,160 Speaker 1: but he'll he'll go into it. Joe, this is an 875 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:02,520 Speaker 1: interesting one. This immediately to me, other than for you 876 00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:04,560 Speaker 1: Ad Fandle because it's Ford Fandal, it's four and a 877 00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:09,160 Speaker 1: half everywhere else. This immediately screams teased this up. Maybe not, 878 00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:13,040 Speaker 1: but this is the Bengals at home taking on the Steelers. 879 00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 1: The Bengals are laying four and a half. The total 880 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 1: is forty five and a half. Now, the Bengals come 881 00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:23,879 Speaker 1: through here, beat up on the Raiders, look pretty good 882 00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:28,200 Speaker 1: doing it. Steelers have a spirited fight against the Chargers 883 00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:31,480 Speaker 1: despite the fact that they were down several very key 884 00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:35,200 Speaker 1: defensive guys who hopefully can come back here next week. 885 00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:39,120 Speaker 1: Mean if Fitzpatrick, maybe TJ. Watt. Roethlisberger looked much better 886 00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:41,680 Speaker 1: I think than I thought he would in this game. 887 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:45,799 Speaker 1: Coming off the COVID list Divisional game. It's a raw 888 00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,879 Speaker 1: rab Mike Tomlin spot. This strikes me as a game. 889 00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:50,320 Speaker 1: I'm not sure about the four and a half just 890 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,160 Speaker 1: kind of a dead number, although I lean the Steelers 891 00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:53,640 Speaker 1: a little bit because this is where I think the 892 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,279 Speaker 1: Steelers kind of do their thing. But I like this 893 00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:58,239 Speaker 1: game as a teaser piece right off the bat that's 894 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,600 Speaker 1: just my immediate reaction. What do you think about those games? 895 00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:02,719 Speaker 2: So you've got it's got Pittsburgh at four and a half. 896 00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:04,799 Speaker 1: Is that what you said, I've got Pittsburgh getting four 897 00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:06,719 Speaker 1: and a half for you at Fandle it's getting four. 898 00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:11,399 Speaker 2: Yeah. I would very much be on the Pittsburgh side 899 00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:13,600 Speaker 2: of this game. Yeah, at Pittsburgh getting points. I think 900 00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 2: you have to Now a lot of this also has 901 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:16,719 Speaker 2: to do with the health of t J. 902 00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:18,840 Speaker 1: Watt. It does, Yeah, you know that. 903 00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:20,800 Speaker 2: That's another piece. You know, we talked too much sometimes 904 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,520 Speaker 2: about the offensive pieces that matter matter and TJ. Watt's health. 905 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,240 Speaker 2: With t J Watt is t J Watt and healthy, 906 00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:29,600 Speaker 2: this defense is a completely different defense. 907 00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:32,080 Speaker 1: They just like Mica Fitzpatrick is huge too, Joe, and 908 00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:33,799 Speaker 1: he was out for this game against the Charges as well. 909 00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:35,400 Speaker 1: If he can get back as well, both of them, 910 00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:37,160 Speaker 1: that's a completely different story, don't. 911 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,800 Speaker 2: You think it is? And Mica hasn't been as impactful 912 00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:41,840 Speaker 2: in the games this year as he has in previous 913 00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:43,640 Speaker 2: years where he has big picks, those big moments. That 914 00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,480 Speaker 2: hasn't really happened yet this year. And you could see 915 00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 2: when he's done on the field, like when those guys 916 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:49,959 Speaker 2: are on the field. You know the Showbrits of the World, 917 00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:52,319 Speaker 2: and you know, we've we've talked a lot about Devin 918 00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:55,400 Speaker 2: Bush too. Bogman I actually had a big brand about 919 00:38:55,840 --> 00:38:59,120 Speaker 2: Devin Bush's lackluster play and really not becoming the player 920 00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:00,680 Speaker 2: that people thought he was going to be a couple 921 00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:02,400 Speaker 2: of years ago, where he was the signal caller a 922 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,320 Speaker 2: couple of years ago, and now he seems like a 923 00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:06,560 Speaker 2: guy who just is never in the right place at 924 00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:08,880 Speaker 2: the right time. That's a problem. So you need the T. J. 925 00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:10,360 Speaker 2: Watson the world to be healthy in this game, and 926 00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:13,040 Speaker 2: that makes you feel more comfortable. I still feel like 927 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,560 Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is a better football team than the Bengals. I 928 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,359 Speaker 2: think the Bengals are gonna be up for this game. 929 00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a fun game. I think 930 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:22,240 Speaker 2: it's gonna be close. I think it'll be really close. 931 00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:23,200 Speaker 2: And that's the point. 932 00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:24,359 Speaker 1: Give me the field game. 933 00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:26,840 Speaker 2: It feels like a field goal game in the last second, 934 00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 2: where you know, we're looking at whoever has the ball 935 00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:31,279 Speaker 2: last kind of thing. So, yeah, you get four and 936 00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,279 Speaker 2: a half on the Pittsburgh side, and like you said, 937 00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:34,759 Speaker 2: if you want to tease it, go for it. 938 00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:37,800 Speaker 1: I'm teasing this game up like nobody's business, Right, what 939 00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:39,759 Speaker 1: do you want to tease it to ten and a half? 940 00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,080 Speaker 1: I'll give it six point tas find another one, I'll go. 941 00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:45,120 Speaker 1: If you you're gonna give me above ten in this game, like, 942 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:47,040 Speaker 1: I will take that, and you can't do it because 943 00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:48,759 Speaker 1: you can only get to ten, but I will go 944 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 1: to ten and out. I'm gonna do it right after 945 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:52,279 Speaker 1: Usually I live at it on this show, Joe. I 946 00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:54,000 Speaker 1: just don't know what the second piece is gonna be. 947 00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:55,719 Speaker 2: I think the Pittsburgh size the right side to be 948 00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,040 Speaker 2: on this game. I think it's because, especially now that 949 00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:01,200 Speaker 2: Cincinnati came off that buy and looked really good against Vegas. Right, 950 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:02,719 Speaker 2: they come out with a big win, all the stuff, 951 00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 2: and now, okay, big division matchup. Maybe they've reset themselves. 952 00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:06,960 Speaker 2: But how many times are we going to go through this? Right? 953 00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:08,520 Speaker 2: You can reset all you want. Are you as good 954 00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:10,800 Speaker 2: of a football team as the Pittsburgh Steelers and do 955 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 2: you do things as well? And I'm not quite there 956 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 2: yet with the Bengals. The Bengals are vastly improved. The 957 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:20,600 Speaker 2: Bengals are incredibly dangerous, but investible against the Steelers at 958 00:40:20,640 --> 00:40:23,000 Speaker 2: this time of year. That would be a whole new 959 00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 2: Bengals team. If we can start investing in the Bengals 960 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:29,840 Speaker 2: as you know, home favorites against the Pittsburgh Steelers in November. 961 00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:33,319 Speaker 2: That's a Bengals team we haven't lived with. I don't 962 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,840 Speaker 2: know ever, or it's like a Boomers siasin. 963 00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:38,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, plain quarterbacks to buy in to that, Yeah, I'm out. 964 00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:40,880 Speaker 1: I'm out on that, man. I've been selling the Bengals 965 00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:43,120 Speaker 1: all year, to my chagrin, and again I was against. 966 00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,160 Speaker 2: I've been buying them. But this is where the rubber 967 00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:46,919 Speaker 2: meets the road. Yeah, it's a little weird. 968 00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, and an interesting one here, Joe. The 969 00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:53,279 Speaker 1: Panthers are visiting the Dolphins. The Panthers are laying one 970 00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,880 Speaker 1: on the road here in Miami. The total pretty low here, 971 00:40:57,320 --> 00:40:59,600 Speaker 1: forty two and a half. The Dolphins, obviously, I believe 972 00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:01,799 Speaker 1: they've won three in a row now, not like they 973 00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:05,120 Speaker 1: look crazy impressive here against the Jets, but they do 974 00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:08,239 Speaker 1: get the job done. The Panthers, you know, again, lose 975 00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:11,319 Speaker 1: to do I want to say, a resurgent Washington team. 976 00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,359 Speaker 2: I don't know, but it's the same what I talk 977 00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:16,359 Speaker 2: about on the pod of Wednesday. Yeah, Ron Rivera knows 978 00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,120 Speaker 2: that all the weaknesses and there's many of them. Of 979 00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 2: Cam Newton and I think, and I talk about on 980 00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,640 Speaker 2: the DFS show, is like Washington's and investable defense. Every 981 00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 2: week they're gonna get just six points no matter how 982 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:27,839 Speaker 2: you slice it, and they're the lowest ranked defense. Well, 983 00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:31,319 Speaker 2: then that's a really happy place where everything meets, right. 984 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:34,840 Speaker 2: I think right now, looking at Carolina, they're an absolute 985 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,439 Speaker 2: better team without a doubt than. 986 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,640 Speaker 1: The Miami Dolphins in my opinion, right now, I. 987 00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:42,160 Speaker 2: Think the Panthers are easy. I'm surprised this number isn't 988 00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:44,000 Speaker 2: you know, three on the Panthers side, So I would 989 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:44,600 Speaker 2: jump on the one. 990 00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I don't know if I'm not surprised 991 00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:49,920 Speaker 1: that the number is where it is, But I do 992 00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:54,000 Speaker 1: like the Panthers here. You know, look the Panthers they 993 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:57,120 Speaker 1: just seem like they're you know, they've had some terrible 994 00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:58,920 Speaker 1: quarterback play all year. They seem like they're just like 995 00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:04,000 Speaker 1: something slightly off every single game, like they're missing a beat, right, 996 00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:04,759 Speaker 1: And I think that that. 997 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,560 Speaker 2: They're not a great They don't execute because they've been 998 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,799 Speaker 2: in fluxed so much, right, you know that And that's 999 00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:11,400 Speaker 2: a hard thing. And then you turn it over to 1000 00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:14,680 Speaker 2: a new quarterback. That the huge offensive transition too. Right, 1001 00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:18,320 Speaker 2: But here's the thing. Who do the Miami Dolphins have 1002 00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,840 Speaker 2: that isn't even close to Christian McCaffrey. You have Christian 1003 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:23,960 Speaker 2: Staffrey touched the ball twenty five thirty times in this game. 1004 00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:25,759 Speaker 2: You're winning this football game, and it's not gonna be. 1005 00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 1: Close, am I YEA yeah, I do think that the 1006 00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:29,759 Speaker 1: Panthers are going to win it, So I don't mind 1007 00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,600 Speaker 1: it at all betting it early, certainly for that. But 1008 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:34,120 Speaker 1: it's not gonna move one way or another. I think 1009 00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:35,799 Speaker 1: this is basically around where it's gonna be. It's gonna 1010 00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:39,120 Speaker 1: be a nerfield, go either right. Chargers visiting the Broncos. 1011 00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,239 Speaker 1: The Chargers are road favorites here, laying one and a 1012 00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:47,040 Speaker 1: half in Denver total of forty nine. Obviously, you have 1013 00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:50,239 Speaker 1: the Chargers coming off the very large Sunday night win 1014 00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,239 Speaker 1: and the huge performance here by Austin Eckler. You've got 1015 00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,560 Speaker 1: the Broncos coming off a bye looking a little in 1016 00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:58,040 Speaker 1: disarray a little bit. What do you think here in 1017 00:42:58,080 --> 00:42:58,839 Speaker 1: this divisional game? 1018 00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:03,759 Speaker 2: You know the Broncos are you know this is one 1019 00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:06,200 Speaker 2: of those Enigma teams to me always yes, I never 1020 00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,480 Speaker 2: know what, so therefore I like to stay away. What's 1021 00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:09,359 Speaker 2: what's the number again? 1022 00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:10,600 Speaker 1: You said for this one one and a half? 1023 00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:14,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, that delgiam You've got it too. 1024 00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,200 Speaker 1: Of course, Fanda likes to be just a tiny bit 1025 00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:19,680 Speaker 1: different that the Chargers are laying too, but it's legit 1026 00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:21,280 Speaker 1: one and a half at every other thought. 1027 00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:23,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know. I mean right now, I think 1028 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:25,920 Speaker 2: I just stay away from this game because, as you mentioned, 1029 00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:28,680 Speaker 2: these individual games are always difficult from the get go, 1030 00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:32,440 Speaker 2: and then on top of that, I just have zero faith. 1031 00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:34,840 Speaker 2: And although you know, it's great to see the Chargers 1032 00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,000 Speaker 2: put up points and Thatch look really good, I always 1033 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:39,120 Speaker 2: feel like that it all comes crashing down the next week, 1034 00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:41,520 Speaker 2: like that's the thing that's not a team that's confident 1035 00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:43,960 Speaker 2: week to week, and that drives me crazy. And I 1036 00:43:44,040 --> 00:43:45,680 Speaker 2: think there's a lot of people that will jump all 1037 00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,640 Speaker 2: over the Chargers in this game, and that makes me 1038 00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,799 Speaker 2: like the Broncos more. But I don't feel good enough 1039 00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,480 Speaker 2: for the Broncos to do that. So I'm out on 1040 00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:55,320 Speaker 2: this one personally. 1041 00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:57,880 Speaker 1: No, definitely, not if I can avoid a game in 1042 00:43:58,000 --> 00:44:00,640 Speaker 1: Denver where I don't feel confident, and then I'm going 1043 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:05,080 Speaker 1: to do it as well. Four one, Yeah, I agree. 1044 00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:08,080 Speaker 1: I don't hate the under. Now it's forty eight for 1045 00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:11,560 Speaker 1: you again because you're fandle, it's forty nine for everybody 1046 00:44:11,600 --> 00:44:14,560 Speaker 1: else in the country. I don't hate the under because 1047 00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:16,319 Speaker 1: it strikes me as a little bit of something where 1048 00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:19,920 Speaker 1: you know, it's a big offensive explosion here. You know, 1049 00:44:20,080 --> 00:44:21,640 Speaker 1: you've got the Broncos kind of getting a week to 1050 00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:25,200 Speaker 1: sort of reset themselves, get a little healthier, you know, offensively, 1051 00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:27,600 Speaker 1: they play slow. They don't want to sort of, you know, 1052 00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:29,800 Speaker 1: go crazy in terms of like taking these deep shots. 1053 00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:31,879 Speaker 1: So I could see this game leaning towards the under 1054 00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:34,279 Speaker 1: a little bit, but not something I'm running out to bed. 1055 00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:37,000 Speaker 1: This next one is a game that I'm very excited 1056 00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:40,160 Speaker 1: to see. Rams are coming off of bye bad loss. 1057 00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:43,520 Speaker 1: Here they are visiting Green Bay, the Packers at home 1058 00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:47,600 Speaker 1: are laying one and a half points, and the total 1059 00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,800 Speaker 1: is forty nine and a half. Joe, I mean, Rogers 1060 00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:53,239 Speaker 1: banged up, but he played brilliantly, you know, in the 1061 00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:56,120 Speaker 1: loss to the Vikings. But he's got something worse than 1062 00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:59,439 Speaker 1: turf toe or whatever he describes it. The Rams, of course, 1063 00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 1: lot lost. Robert Woods looked a little out of sync offensively. 1064 00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:05,480 Speaker 1: But now you have another week here with the week 1065 00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:07,600 Speaker 1: off for Odell Beckham Junior to get a little more 1066 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:09,839 Speaker 1: accustomed to everything. What do you think here in this one? 1067 00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:11,960 Speaker 2: You know, this is gonna tell us who the Rams 1068 00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:12,600 Speaker 2: are this game? 1069 00:45:12,800 --> 00:45:13,239 Speaker 1: Yes now? 1070 00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:15,160 Speaker 2: And because if the Rams come out of a buy 1071 00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:17,440 Speaker 2: and go on the road and lose to the Packers, 1072 00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:19,920 Speaker 2: then I think the Rams are not the team that 1073 00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:21,719 Speaker 2: we thought they are. And I think that is something 1074 00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,120 Speaker 2: that I really, I truly believe at this point, and 1075 00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:25,960 Speaker 2: I have stuck up for the Rams, and I'm at 1076 00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:28,399 Speaker 2: that point now where it's like you need to either 1077 00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:30,440 Speaker 2: do your business or get off the pop because the 1078 00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:32,840 Speaker 2: Rams have really like they did they came out the 1079 00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:34,239 Speaker 2: first month of the season, I said, this is the 1080 00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:36,759 Speaker 2: best football team, the most complete football team. Even after 1081 00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:38,400 Speaker 2: they lost to the you know, to the box, I 1082 00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:40,400 Speaker 2: was like, this is this is a very complete football team, right, 1083 00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:42,279 Speaker 2: this is a team that you think can go out 1084 00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:45,719 Speaker 2: there and really be good. And then they struggled against 1085 00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:47,640 Speaker 2: the Lions. I was like, okay, well, you know there's 1086 00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:49,239 Speaker 2: a lot you know, tension that game. A lot of 1087 00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:51,799 Speaker 2: weird media stuff building up. Okay, give them a pass. 1088 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:54,480 Speaker 2: I'm tired of giving the Rams a pass. They've had 1089 00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:57,160 Speaker 2: more time. The Rams, theoretically, on paper, should come out 1090 00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:59,000 Speaker 2: there and they should crush this Green Bay team. They 1091 00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:01,719 Speaker 2: really should. And I'm not surprised that the green Bait 1092 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,080 Speaker 2: Packers lost to Minnesota. Minnesota beat them last year in 1093 00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:06,960 Speaker 2: Green Bay, and people forget that. And Minnesota it's a 1094 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:09,360 Speaker 2: good team right now, and Minnesota's played. They've had a 1095 00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,399 Speaker 2: lead in every single game this year, and the only 1096 00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:12,640 Speaker 2: TAM in the NFL is that all lead in every 1097 00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:15,080 Speaker 2: single game this year, and it is not surprising that 1098 00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:17,600 Speaker 2: they beat the Packers this week. And I will say this, 1099 00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:20,360 Speaker 2: I'm going to give the Rams one more shot because 1100 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:23,719 Speaker 2: I do believe they have more talent on both sides 1101 00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,600 Speaker 2: of the football than the Green Bay Packers do. So 1102 00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:28,239 Speaker 2: give me the Rams in this one. But I can 1103 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:30,640 Speaker 2: tell you right now after this, man, if the Rams 1104 00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:32,600 Speaker 2: disappointment again, I am out. I'm done. 1105 00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:36,800 Speaker 1: You're putting them on notice. Yeah, I kind of like 1106 00:46:36,840 --> 00:46:40,399 Speaker 1: the Rams here, Joe, I do. I think they're gonna 1107 00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:42,480 Speaker 1: come out and have a big game off the buy 1108 00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:45,440 Speaker 1: and again with I don't know how good the Packers 1109 00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:47,320 Speaker 1: are Joe, Like, this is the thing. I think the 1110 00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:50,560 Speaker 1: Packers are eight and three. They could easily be six 1111 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:52,400 Speaker 1: and five, like really easily. 1112 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:55,120 Speaker 2: Right, let's get a planet too you And I'm gonna 1113 00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:57,640 Speaker 2: throw this out to what what do the Rams do? 1114 00:46:57,800 --> 00:46:57,960 Speaker 1: Really? 1115 00:46:58,000 --> 00:46:59,640 Speaker 2: Well, Like, what's the one piece on defense that they 1116 00:46:59,680 --> 00:47:02,040 Speaker 2: have side Aaron Donald? Right, they have Jalen Ramsey. So 1117 00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:04,400 Speaker 2: if Jalen Ramsey can shut down DeVonta Adams then all 1118 00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,440 Speaker 2: of a sudden or even just just keep pace with 1119 00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:10,040 Speaker 2: the vantai Aams, which is hard enough. Right, if he's 1120 00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:11,960 Speaker 2: not gonna put up one hundred and fifty yard game, 1121 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:15,719 Speaker 2: then what are you beating them with? Not being them 1122 00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:17,719 Speaker 2: with Aaron Jones, Right, you're not beating them. 1123 00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:19,640 Speaker 1: I mean I assume Jones probably isn't even gonna play 1124 00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:19,759 Speaker 1: in this. 1125 00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:23,279 Speaker 2: Right exactly, Aaron Jones, So he's not there. A J. 1126 00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:26,520 Speaker 2: Dillon's a nice player. But yeah, it's good, you know, mvs. 1127 00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,719 Speaker 2: Alan Lozard Robert Tunyan. That's a lot like you're gonna 1128 00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:34,560 Speaker 2: have Rogers vintage Aaron Rodgers in order to win this 1129 00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:37,240 Speaker 2: game in theory. So that's why I've got to invest 1130 00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:38,759 Speaker 2: in the Rams. If I'm gonna invest in this game. 1131 00:47:38,800 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 2: I have to because there's such tunnel vision and such 1132 00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:46,440 Speaker 2: simplicity with that Packers offense. They don't spread the ball 1133 00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:49,279 Speaker 2: around well enough or with confidence that you can feel like, yeah, 1134 00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:50,680 Speaker 2: they can make the big plays in the big spot. 1135 00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:53,040 Speaker 2: Those guys. I mean, MVS had a big catch yesterday, 1136 00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:54,880 Speaker 2: but how many times have we've seen MVS drop that 1137 00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,040 Speaker 2: ball a lot too much? You can't do that, and 1138 00:47:58,080 --> 00:47:59,719 Speaker 2: I think I gotta go with the Rams, even though 1139 00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:02,120 Speaker 2: it's on the I'm with you. The weather is also 1140 00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:04,160 Speaker 2: probably gonna be one of issues too, where I don't 1141 00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:07,080 Speaker 2: like those LA kind of teams going into cold weather situations. 1142 00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:10,160 Speaker 2: I know everybody like they They're just not tough enough sometimes. 1143 00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:13,439 Speaker 2: But I'm gonna go with the Rams, and I'm gonna 1144 00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 2: hold my breath and I'm gonna be watching like this, 1145 00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:16,520 Speaker 2: and if they lose, I'm telling you they're going right 1146 00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:18,440 Speaker 2: to time out, right to time out for a good 1147 00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:18,879 Speaker 2: long time. 1148 00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:21,359 Speaker 1: I like the Rams too, I really do. I think 1149 00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 1: they're gonna win this game. So I mean, if you're 1150 00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:25,400 Speaker 1: getting plus money, take them on the money line, you know, 1151 00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:27,720 Speaker 1: because I do think that they are. Whatever the actually 1152 00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:28,800 Speaker 1: I don't you can look it up if you have 1153 00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:30,680 Speaker 1: a Joe, whatever, the money line odds here are there 1154 00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:32,200 Speaker 1: on the rams. But I do think they win this game. 1155 00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,200 Speaker 1: I think that, especially with the banged up Packers team 1156 00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:37,840 Speaker 1: they've got to buy coming out. They're still in control 1157 00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:40,080 Speaker 1: for that division even with this loss to the Vikings. 1158 00:48:40,120 --> 00:48:42,480 Speaker 1: But this was one and again I was on the 1159 00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,239 Speaker 1: Viking as well, where I felt like most sharpbetders felt 1160 00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:47,800 Speaker 1: like these were two evenly matched teams. And that's exactly 1161 00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:50,040 Speaker 1: what that game was, just an even game where the 1162 00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:51,839 Speaker 1: Vikings wound up with the ball at the end. So yeah, 1163 00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:55,760 Speaker 1: speaking of the Vikings, they're now visiting the resurgent forty 1164 00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,040 Speaker 1: nine ers here. Forty nine ers in San Francisco, tough 1165 00:48:59,080 --> 00:49:01,080 Speaker 1: place to play. They're laying two and a half here 1166 00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:03,279 Speaker 1: with the total of forty eight and a half. Joe, 1167 00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:05,920 Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I hate betting on or against 1168 00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,200 Speaker 1: the Vikings, like because I just I don't. They look 1169 00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:10,240 Speaker 1: like they could be the best team in football at times. 1170 00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,320 Speaker 1: At times when they play offensively. When Kirk Cousins on, 1171 00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:14,480 Speaker 1: you're like, holy cow. 1172 00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:16,960 Speaker 2: I said that yesterday to somebody. I was like, you 1173 00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:19,680 Speaker 2: watch Kirk Cousins and you go, what a great throw 1174 00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:21,239 Speaker 2: and then you can watch Kirk Cousins that you go, 1175 00:49:21,520 --> 00:49:22,560 Speaker 2: what was he thinking? 1176 00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:23,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's so. 1177 00:49:23,640 --> 00:49:26,000 Speaker 2: Frustrating, terrible. But are the forty nine ers that good 1178 00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:29,400 Speaker 2: or if they've just benefited from schedule lately, I don't know. 1179 00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:31,840 Speaker 1: I mean, they beat up on the Rams though, Joe, Like, 1180 00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:33,120 Speaker 1: I mean, the Rams. 1181 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:35,040 Speaker 2: Have some issues. The Rams have had some issues, and 1182 00:49:35,080 --> 00:49:37,360 Speaker 2: the Rams I think didn't take the forty nineers of seriously. 1183 00:49:37,520 --> 00:49:39,879 Speaker 2: They should indivision game all that stuff. But like, I'm 1184 00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:41,959 Speaker 2: not I'm not gonna sit here and wax poetic about 1185 00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:44,960 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers crushing the Jaguars, Like, no, they're 1186 00:49:45,040 --> 00:49:46,960 Speaker 2: five hundred team right now. The forty Nineers are a 1187 00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:49,520 Speaker 2: five hundred football team and the Vikings are five hundred 1188 00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:51,600 Speaker 2: football team. But the Vikings are five hundred football team 1189 00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:53,960 Speaker 2: that should probably have seven wins. 1190 00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:57,000 Speaker 1: But that's also true. That's also true. That's a good point. 1191 00:49:57,360 --> 00:49:58,600 Speaker 1: That's a good point. I think that. 1192 00:49:58,920 --> 00:49:59,520 Speaker 2: But I do think. 1193 00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:01,600 Speaker 1: I do think, Joe, I mean, if you like, from 1194 00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:03,279 Speaker 1: what I can see, like in the industry, like the 1195 00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,000 Speaker 1: sharp side of that game for the forty nine Ers 1196 00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:08,959 Speaker 1: was on the Jaguars getting six and a half points, 1197 00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:10,520 Speaker 1: And I was on the forty nine ers, and I 1198 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:12,760 Speaker 1: don't I didn't mind like the fact that I was like, Okay, 1199 00:50:13,040 --> 00:50:15,800 Speaker 1: it's not sharp, because I do think that you have 1200 00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:20,800 Speaker 1: a plausible path here with Kittle, healthy Joe, with Deebo 1201 00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:24,640 Speaker 1: playing extremely well with Brandon Aiyuk an exciting part of 1202 00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:27,280 Speaker 1: this offense. I mean, I know we crap on Jimmy Garoppolo, 1203 00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:30,759 Speaker 1: but Jimmy Garoppolo, you know, nearly won the Super Bowl 1204 00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:32,200 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. I don't think he's like 1205 00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:34,960 Speaker 1: a detriment and the defense is playing better. I don't know, man, 1206 00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:36,520 Speaker 1: this is a game, Joe where I just think I 1207 00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:38,200 Speaker 1: want to stay away because I don't have a good 1208 00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:41,200 Speaker 1: feel for you, like the Vikings on this game. The 1209 00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:44,040 Speaker 1: total of this game is forty eight and a half, 1210 00:50:44,080 --> 00:50:45,479 Speaker 1: even at your book, Joe, even if. 1211 00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:48,399 Speaker 2: Idle forty eight, I own the book. 1212 00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:48,960 Speaker 1: It's my buddy. 1213 00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:52,040 Speaker 2: Yeah and a half is the number I feel best 1214 00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:53,040 Speaker 2: about this game. 1215 00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:56,480 Speaker 1: Over under, over, over, Okay, you score game. 1216 00:50:56,560 --> 00:50:58,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, I think you get the over in this game. 1217 00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:00,879 Speaker 2: And I think the reason why the Vikings have looked 1218 00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:02,400 Speaker 2: so good in these last few weeks is because they 1219 00:51:02,440 --> 00:51:04,600 Speaker 2: have committed to Dalvin Cook when you commit to Dalvin 1220 00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:07,439 Speaker 2: Cook running the football and Dalvin Cook is healthy, that's tough. 1221 00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:09,399 Speaker 2: And the two and a half on the Vikings side, again, 1222 00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:10,960 Speaker 2: I'm still leaning on the on the Vikings. Of the 1223 00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:13,200 Speaker 2: two and a half, I like the over on the 1224 00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:15,200 Speaker 2: number as well, because I do think everything you said 1225 00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:16,759 Speaker 2: is correct. The forty nine Ers can put points on 1226 00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:19,759 Speaker 2: the board. They absolutely can, and they have, you know, 1227 00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:22,480 Speaker 2: the playmakers, and then kidle Back healthy and Deebo's bear 1228 00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:24,480 Speaker 2: and nyuks there and all that stuff. I think at 1229 00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:26,080 Speaker 2: the end of the day, the Vikings ability to run 1230 00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:27,800 Speaker 2: the football is a difference in this game. And I 1231 00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:30,840 Speaker 2: have great faith in Dalvin Cook and right now the 1232 00:51:30,920 --> 00:51:32,480 Speaker 2: face of the forty nine ers little banged up in 1233 00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:36,840 Speaker 2: that regard. So it's look, forty nine Ers are annoying 1234 00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:40,400 Speaker 2: to bet this year. They just are because they there's 1235 00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:42,719 Speaker 2: moments where you think it's gonna be tight and it's not, 1236 00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:44,279 Speaker 2: or you think they're gonna get their doors blowing off 1237 00:51:44,320 --> 00:51:46,800 Speaker 2: by the Rams and end up winning outright. But the 1238 00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:49,000 Speaker 2: Vikings right now, I've watched enough of the Vikings to 1239 00:51:49,120 --> 00:51:52,040 Speaker 2: know that the Vikings should have been better all along, 1240 00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:54,080 Speaker 2: and I think this is the Vikings team and Jefferson's 1241 00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:56,840 Speaker 2: a phenomenal talent, and they look like a team that 1242 00:51:56,960 --> 00:52:00,880 Speaker 2: is really together and really playing and after winning against 1243 00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:03,040 Speaker 2: Green Bay, it's not a letdown, it's a confidence builder. 1244 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:04,200 Speaker 2: I think this is a game where they look at it, 1245 00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:07,960 Speaker 2: we belong, there's a path for us to win this division. 1246 00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:10,600 Speaker 2: I think they smell blood in this division. I think 1247 00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:12,200 Speaker 2: they think they're a better team than the Packers, and 1248 00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,640 Speaker 2: they might be so. I like the Vikings in this game. 1249 00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:17,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, all those signs point to the Vikings coming out, 1250 00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:19,919 Speaker 1: putting up a good effort and then losing by twenty 1251 00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,080 Speaker 1: eight points is the way I see what. I'm not betting. 1252 00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:25,279 Speaker 2: Look, you would not be wrong for throwing that out there. 1253 00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,520 Speaker 1: I'm just saying the Vikings every time, man, every time 1254 00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:29,160 Speaker 1: you think they're about to go in the role, they 1255 00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:31,279 Speaker 1: sort of react differently. So we'll see. But it's a 1256 00:52:31,320 --> 00:52:33,360 Speaker 1: stay away from me, regardless of what the number is. 1257 00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:36,680 Speaker 1: Browns are visiting the Ravens on Sunday Night Football. The 1258 00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:39,600 Speaker 1: Ravens right now are laying four and a half. The 1259 00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:41,680 Speaker 1: totals forty six and a half. This is a game 1260 00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:44,880 Speaker 1: I have no interest in betting either, but I assume 1261 00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:47,680 Speaker 1: that this line factors in the fact that Lamar Jackson 1262 00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:50,399 Speaker 1: should be hopefully healthy. I mean, he was apparently sick 1263 00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:52,919 Speaker 1: as a dog here. Not COVID related, but very sick. 1264 00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,120 Speaker 1: If you listen to the reports they eked out that game. 1265 00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:59,080 Speaker 1: The Browns win in their game against the Lions, but 1266 00:52:59,200 --> 00:53:03,240 Speaker 1: it ain't pretty, and Baker Mayfield looks terrible, and Jarvis 1267 00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,560 Speaker 1: Slandry is a little banged up. So it's like Nick Chubb, 1268 00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:08,200 Speaker 1: your favorite player in the NFL, or bust for them. 1269 00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:10,480 Speaker 1: Four and a half Joe just kind of a dead number. 1270 00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:11,839 Speaker 1: There's a three and a half out there. I don't 1271 00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:13,319 Speaker 1: think books really know what to do with this. At 1272 00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:14,640 Speaker 1: this point in forty six and a half, we're in 1273 00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:15,359 Speaker 1: Baltimore again. 1274 00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:17,880 Speaker 2: What do you think here, Ravens getting four and a 1275 00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:20,480 Speaker 2: half against the Browns? No laying four and a half, 1276 00:53:20,520 --> 00:53:22,799 Speaker 2: laying for laying four and a half half? Sorry, yes, 1277 00:53:24,520 --> 00:53:28,879 Speaker 2: at home, I still think I that's it's right there, 1278 00:53:29,280 --> 00:53:30,840 Speaker 2: I guess right there. Like to me, I would have 1279 00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:33,440 Speaker 2: put this game at you know, at four probably. 1280 00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:33,759 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1281 00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:35,520 Speaker 2: The half is the thing that makes it. It's like 1282 00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:38,520 Speaker 2: the three and a half of four, you're pushing the envelope. 1283 00:53:38,560 --> 00:53:40,880 Speaker 2: Even if they give Jubb the ball at there's a 1284 00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:44,120 Speaker 2: lot of other problems here right now. I think, right now, 1285 00:53:44,239 --> 00:53:48,280 Speaker 2: if Lamar's let's paint a picture here, Lamar Jackson's healthy, 1286 00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:51,840 Speaker 2: what would you make this number? To me? 1287 00:53:52,080 --> 00:53:54,680 Speaker 1: Joe, Look, it's a divisional game, so it's a change. 1288 00:53:54,719 --> 00:53:55,719 Speaker 2: Would it be higher? Would you put it? 1289 00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:58,640 Speaker 1: I have? I think if we got to report that 1290 00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:01,560 Speaker 1: Lamar was like totally healthy, returns to practice, Joe right 1291 00:54:01,640 --> 00:54:05,040 Speaker 1: on Wednesday, good to go. I'm over my really bad cold. 1292 00:54:05,520 --> 00:54:08,000 Speaker 1: Strikes me as a five five and a half line 1293 00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:10,960 Speaker 1: like the Browns right now, given the fact that Mayfield 1294 00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:13,920 Speaker 1: is dealing with the like he's clearly banged up. We 1295 00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:17,080 Speaker 1: know the shoulder, he's got the knee. He's not looking good. 1296 00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:19,239 Speaker 1: I mean Donovan People's Jones, who everybody was like very 1297 00:54:19,239 --> 00:54:22,319 Speaker 1: excited about he was out. You know, Kareem Hunt's still 1298 00:54:22,360 --> 00:54:23,600 Speaker 1: not going to be back for this game. So it 1299 00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:26,719 Speaker 1: really is Chubb Landry Again, he was banged up in 1300 00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:29,279 Speaker 1: that game yesterday. He ran for the touchdown or whatever, 1301 00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,480 Speaker 1: but he was out of the game for a while 1302 00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:35,480 Speaker 1: with the knee. Then back. He's been battling injury offensively. 1303 00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:37,719 Speaker 1: They just don't look good. I think you've got the 1304 00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:40,480 Speaker 1: Ravens who are in a fight for I mean every 1305 00:54:40,520 --> 00:54:42,920 Speaker 1: team is in this division right now, they're all like 1306 00:54:43,120 --> 00:54:46,120 Speaker 1: right there. They need to keep winning. I think they 1307 00:54:46,160 --> 00:54:49,239 Speaker 1: would win handily, assuming, by the way, that Hollywood Brown 1308 00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:51,480 Speaker 1: as well, who also missed this last game, comes back. 1309 00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:53,799 Speaker 1: You've got the running backs, You've got a healthy Lamar, 1310 00:54:54,120 --> 00:54:57,520 Speaker 1: You've got Hollywood, You've got Rashad Bateman, You've got Mark Andrews. 1311 00:54:57,800 --> 00:54:59,399 Speaker 1: Strikes me as more of like a five to five 1312 00:54:59,440 --> 00:55:01,399 Speaker 1: and a half line if all reports are glowing here 1313 00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:02,040 Speaker 1: with the Ravens, I. 1314 00:55:02,080 --> 00:55:03,719 Speaker 2: Think you could even go to six if Lamar was 1315 00:55:03,840 --> 00:55:07,080 Speaker 2: deemed healthy for this game. Okay, therefore, I think, you know, 1316 00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:09,520 Speaker 2: as I'm listening to you talk, I think that you 1317 00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:11,239 Speaker 2: jump on the Ravens in the four or the four 1318 00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:12,759 Speaker 2: and a half now wherever you're getting it, like if 1319 00:55:12,760 --> 00:55:13,040 Speaker 2: you but. 1320 00:55:13,080 --> 00:55:15,080 Speaker 1: There's a chance that Lamar is not back. I mean, 1321 00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:15,600 Speaker 1: we don't know what. 1322 00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:17,720 Speaker 2: He's dealing with the three and a half from the Ravens, 1323 00:55:17,800 --> 00:55:19,279 Speaker 2: right yeah, the fox bed is three and a half. 1324 00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:21,200 Speaker 2: Fox bed is the most appealing one. I see that 1325 00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:22,800 Speaker 2: right now. The fox bed three and a half is 1326 00:55:22,800 --> 00:55:25,760 Speaker 2: where I would jump to right now because you assume 1327 00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:28,319 Speaker 2: in division game, and I think that's probably also why 1328 00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:31,320 Speaker 2: that they they didn't push the limit too much with 1329 00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:33,840 Speaker 2: him this Sunday, Yeah, which is can we win this 1330 00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:36,480 Speaker 2: game at home against the Bears? I think we can 1331 00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:38,239 Speaker 2: and they did so. 1332 00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:41,200 Speaker 1: So, I mean the reports Joe were from whatever his 1333 00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:43,160 Speaker 1: teammate were where he was curled up like a ball 1334 00:55:43,239 --> 00:55:44,760 Speaker 1: and didn't even know they landed. 1335 00:55:44,880 --> 00:55:47,279 Speaker 2: So it doesn't really what it got. There is a 1336 00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:49,680 Speaker 2: weird stomach for whatever the heck you've got, But you 1337 00:55:49,760 --> 00:55:52,840 Speaker 2: know what, like I got that, whatever it is, it 1338 00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:56,400 Speaker 2: should be good by next Sunday's. Yeah, So three and 1339 00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:58,759 Speaker 2: a half right now, you jump on that number, and 1340 00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:01,080 Speaker 2: anywhere else you can at the four points better. So 1341 00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:02,799 Speaker 2: I think you jump on this number because I could 1342 00:56:02,880 --> 00:56:07,839 Speaker 2: see healthy Lamar with the Ravens here at home. I mean, 1343 00:56:07,880 --> 00:56:10,200 Speaker 2: Baltimore is a tough place to play typically it is. 1344 00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:11,880 Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna go with the Ravens side of 1345 00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:12,160 Speaker 2: this one. 1346 00:56:12,600 --> 00:56:12,799 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1347 00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:16,080 Speaker 2: The longer you wait, I think, the worst it gets. 1348 00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:17,640 Speaker 1: It's a little bit more of a fade of the 1349 00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:19,560 Speaker 1: Browns for me, even though it is a bye of 1350 00:56:19,600 --> 00:56:21,399 Speaker 1: the like the Browns just right now, can't. 1351 00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:23,080 Speaker 2: But the Browns are such a mess. You just like, 1352 00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:26,840 Speaker 2: throughout all these things about the Browns being such a 1353 00:56:26,880 --> 00:56:28,520 Speaker 2: mess and not being able to do anything right, it 1354 00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:31,759 Speaker 2: feels like, I mean, they should have gone into Detroit, Dan, 1355 00:56:31,800 --> 00:56:33,799 Speaker 2: they should have just obliterated that team. 1356 00:56:34,040 --> 00:56:37,640 Speaker 1: Of course, that's where's it's. It's a fade of the Browns, 1357 00:56:37,719 --> 00:56:39,759 Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying, Like, not fading the game, You're 1358 00:56:39,800 --> 00:56:42,440 Speaker 1: just fading the Browns. Correct, fading the Browns. 1359 00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:43,040 Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying. 1360 00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:46,080 Speaker 1: Like the game, No, no, no, I like the game. 1361 00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:48,920 Speaker 1: The weird things happen in divisional games, so you never know. 1362 00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:52,880 Speaker 1: And the Browns have a, you know, a tendency to 1363 00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:55,640 Speaker 1: look like they're like the worst team in football and 1364 00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:57,840 Speaker 1: then bounce back and look good and then look terrible. 1365 00:56:57,920 --> 00:56:59,520 Speaker 1: But there's now a couple of games in a row 1366 00:56:59,560 --> 00:57:01,919 Speaker 1: here where you been like, oh god, this this looks 1367 00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:04,600 Speaker 1: really broken right now with what we've got from the Browns, 1368 00:57:04,600 --> 00:57:06,800 Speaker 1: at least offensively. So I am willing to go with 1369 00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:08,400 Speaker 1: the Ravens of four and a half right now, and 1370 00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,879 Speaker 1: certainly I do think it's gonna move up. But really, 1371 00:57:11,040 --> 00:57:13,480 Speaker 1: if Lamar is healthy, especially if Hollywood Brown is healthy 1372 00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:16,240 Speaker 1: as well, you get all that, I'm probably willing to go. 1373 00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:18,680 Speaker 1: You know, if it moves to five and a half, 1374 00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:20,480 Speaker 1: I'm still okay with that last game, Joe. I don't 1375 00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:22,560 Speaker 1: want any part of this one. I don't know about you. 1376 00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:29,000 Speaker 1: We have the Seahawks visiting the Washington football team. The Seahawks, 1377 00:57:29,160 --> 00:57:33,280 Speaker 1: despite a worst record, are road favorites. It's all over 1378 00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,760 Speaker 1: the place, Joe. It's one at FanDuel two is our 1379 00:57:36,880 --> 00:57:40,520 Speaker 1: consensus lined. It's two and a half for me. So 1380 00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:42,840 Speaker 1: this is something where bookmakers are like, we don't know, 1381 00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:45,280 Speaker 1: we don't know that two and a half. It's this 1382 00:57:45,400 --> 00:57:47,120 Speaker 1: is forty six and a half total. 1383 00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:49,760 Speaker 2: By the way, you know, I can't even invest in 1384 00:57:49,840 --> 00:57:52,240 Speaker 2: that now. I have no idea that way. I have 1385 00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:54,600 Speaker 2: no idea. This is run the other direction. It's a 1386 00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:56,520 Speaker 2: Monday primetime game, so people are gonna want it because 1387 00:57:56,520 --> 00:57:58,240 Speaker 2: I'm gonna want to watch it. I don't want to 1388 00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:02,240 Speaker 2: do something here. Yeah, I have nothing here. I got nothing. 1389 00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:04,360 Speaker 2: I have no idea at this point what the Seahawks are. 1390 00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:06,760 Speaker 2: They're three and seven the Washington football team. I'm not 1391 00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:08,640 Speaker 2: surprised that they won last week, but it would certainly 1392 00:58:08,640 --> 00:58:10,960 Speaker 2: not surprise me if Russell Wilson continue to get healthier 1393 00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:13,760 Speaker 2: and feel better, Like I'm not how he's playing right now. 1394 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:16,600 Speaker 2: I know this. So like Russell Wilson heals himself magically 1395 00:58:16,640 --> 00:58:19,800 Speaker 2: in his cryogetic chamber and it's this amazing stuff. Yeah, 1396 00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:22,080 Speaker 2: he's playing with a broken finger and he's playing through 1397 00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,840 Speaker 2: it and it's not hard. It's not hard to see that. 1398 00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:28,160 Speaker 2: And it's not easy to throw a football when you're 1399 00:58:28,200 --> 00:58:30,080 Speaker 2: not your hand is not one hundred percent. And I 1400 00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:32,080 Speaker 2: don't know, man, I just had a bad feeling about 1401 00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:33,280 Speaker 2: this game. I don't want nothing to do with it. Man, 1402 00:58:33,280 --> 00:58:33,640 Speaker 2: I'm with you. 1403 00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:37,120 Speaker 1: I have back the Seahawks the last two games, and 1404 00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:40,080 Speaker 1: I'm done doing it just because I no idea. 1405 00:58:40,240 --> 00:58:41,960 Speaker 2: You're not wrong for back of the Seahawks against No No, 1406 00:58:42,160 --> 00:58:44,000 Speaker 2: but that was that was a pathetic. 1407 00:58:44,520 --> 00:58:47,400 Speaker 1: It's very clear though that Wilson, whether it's a combination 1408 00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:49,720 Speaker 1: of Ruster or just the finger, like when Wilson's playing 1409 00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:53,080 Speaker 1: the way he is, that Seahawks' offense is broken and 1410 00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:56,240 Speaker 1: the defense is okay. But I'm just not investing in 1411 00:58:56,320 --> 00:58:58,200 Speaker 1: it one way or another. And maybe Wilson I'm. 1412 00:58:58,040 --> 00:59:01,320 Speaker 2: Both gone next year what do you think who Wilson 1413 00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:03,280 Speaker 2: and Carol? I think everybody's jumping ship. 1414 00:59:03,880 --> 00:59:06,320 Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I don't know. Come to the Jets, 1415 00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:07,960 Speaker 1: how about that? Hey? 1416 00:59:08,080 --> 00:59:12,760 Speaker 2: You know what, that would not surprise me whatsoever if 1417 00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,240 Speaker 2: everybody came in there or you know, there's even been 1418 00:59:15,280 --> 00:59:17,479 Speaker 2: some people who I just read a thing yesterday people 1419 00:59:17,520 --> 00:59:20,000 Speaker 2: were unhappy with how things are going with Trevor Lawrence. 1420 00:59:20,040 --> 00:59:22,400 Speaker 2: I'm like, they're unhappy with it. I think Trevor Lawrence 1421 00:59:22,400 --> 00:59:24,520 Speaker 2: is unhappy with how things are going with Trevor Lawrence. 1422 00:59:26,000 --> 00:59:28,000 Speaker 2: They want to start running RPO is. When I read 1423 00:59:28,040 --> 00:59:29,800 Speaker 2: this morning about that they want to and I was 1424 00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:32,560 Speaker 2: like like stop, like stop with this. 1425 00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:36,320 Speaker 1: It's the NFL is the greatest soap opera. 1426 00:59:36,680 --> 00:59:39,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, well it's not right. And if this team falls 1427 00:59:39,560 --> 00:59:42,200 Speaker 2: apart down the stretch, which is not, they lose to Washington. 1428 00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,960 Speaker 2: Now that's three and eight. Damn, that's ugly. 1429 00:59:46,320 --> 00:59:48,840 Speaker 1: Well. This last game against sarazone was really the stand 1430 00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:51,960 Speaker 1: because their schedule does light up here significantly. At three 1431 00:59:52,040 --> 00:59:54,480 Speaker 1: and seven, their playoff helps are all gone. If they 1432 00:59:54,560 --> 00:59:58,160 Speaker 1: lose this weekend, forget it, like just done, Like for sure, Joe, 1433 00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:00,760 Speaker 1: this was fantastic, Thank you for joining. I know it's 1434 01:00:00,880 --> 01:00:02,560 Speaker 1: a short week. We got a lot to cram in 1435 01:00:02,640 --> 01:00:04,600 Speaker 1: here on both the betting pro side and the fantasy 1436 01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:07,120 Speaker 1: proth side, so I appreciate you taking time out of 1437 01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:09,400 Speaker 1: you know, your busy schedule. And what do you say 1438 01:00:09,440 --> 01:00:11,080 Speaker 1: we go to another podcast in about a half hour? 1439 01:00:11,120 --> 01:00:11,520 Speaker 1: You off for that? 1440 01:00:11,920 --> 01:00:13,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll see you get in a half hour and 1441 01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:15,320 Speaker 2: just do it all again. I mean, I mean, this 1442 01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:16,840 Speaker 2: is the way I like to spend my days, just 1443 01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:20,640 Speaker 2: sipping tea and hanging out with my friend Dan Harrison 1444 01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:24,160 Speaker 2: a cold November brisk morning. This is what better than this? 1445 01:00:24,240 --> 01:00:26,760 Speaker 2: I get paid for this? What a wonderful charmed life 1446 01:00:26,800 --> 01:00:27,080 Speaker 2: I live. 1447 01:00:27,520 --> 01:00:29,120 Speaker 1: If you're still getting paid for this, I gotta go 1448 01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:31,720 Speaker 1: talk to our bosses here. But I will say this, 1449 01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:34,160 Speaker 1: we're doing this a little differently. For look, we usually 1450 01:00:34,200 --> 01:00:37,480 Speaker 1: do the look Ahead the Best Bet Show on Thursday. Thursday. 1451 01:00:37,600 --> 01:00:39,800 Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys know this, it's Thanksgiving actually, 1452 01:00:39,800 --> 01:00:41,600 Speaker 1: so it's a little difficult to do it. So here's 1453 01:00:41,640 --> 01:00:45,400 Speaker 1: what we're going to be doing on Wednesday. Okay, Pat 1454 01:00:45,440 --> 01:00:47,280 Speaker 1: Fitzmorris and I are going to be doing our bet 1455 01:00:47,320 --> 01:00:49,480 Speaker 1: the Best Bet show, but we're also going to be 1456 01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:53,320 Speaker 1: incorporating props for the Thursday Thanksgiving Games, So that's what 1457 01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,320 Speaker 1: we're going to give a couple of props. Pat writes 1458 01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,320 Speaker 1: a props article, I do a props video, So we're 1459 01:00:57,320 --> 01:00:58,720 Speaker 1: gonna be doing some props in there and we're gonna 1460 01:00:58,760 --> 01:01:00,640 Speaker 1: live stream it on the Betting pro YouTube channel, so 1461 01:01:00,720 --> 01:01:02,960 Speaker 1: be on the lookout for that from our Twitter feeds, 1462 01:01:03,160 --> 01:01:05,480 Speaker 1: from the Betting Pros twitter feed and everything like that. 1463 01:01:05,560 --> 01:01:08,240 Speaker 1: And again go subscribe to YouTube channel YouTube dot com 1464 01:01:08,320 --> 01:01:10,960 Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros. In the meantime, thanks for joining us everybody. 1465 01:01:10,960 --> 01:01:13,000 Speaker 1: Hope you enjoyed it, and I'll talk to again a 1466 01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:13,320 Speaker 1: couple of this