1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest Vetting Podcast or radio 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the 3 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan. All right, 4 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: here we go. 5 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty. 6 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 3: Kicks block Look college football world stander. Oh my goodness, it's. 7 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 4: Stumbles, the lateral turn, a corner of the side. 8 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 5: Get you the lad. 9 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 6: Table of the fail to night. 10 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 5: It's not the sage of the game, it's the sage. 11 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 2: Of the fight. 12 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:01,279 Speaker 5: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. 13 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 5: This is the Bull Betting Preview, Part four. I'm stuck 14 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 5: in with me as always is Colin Wilson now no 15 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 5: longer with New Year's Eve plans because twenty twenty's last 16 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 5: middle finger canceling the Texas Bowl, which was going to 17 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 5: be the primetime bowl game on New Year's Eve? So 18 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 5: what have you? You've revised your plans? Are you still 19 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 5: just deciding to go down there? Have you got refunds? 20 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 5: What's going on now? 21 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: A ticketmaster has decided sixty days I will get my 22 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 1: money back as sixty days. I've heard some complaints from 23 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 1: other people that had Bowl cancelations, a few Iowa folks 24 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:44,919 Speaker 1: and my dms telling me that they were getting credit 25 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: through their ticket brokers for a future sporting event to 26 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: buy through their website as the where ticket Master is 27 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: going to give you my money sixty days later. So 28 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: you know, Pandemic wins again. Pandemic is undefeated, you know, 29 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: and we got a Duke Maio Bowl broken. We're just 30 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: trying to get to the end of the football season 31 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: here without anything. 32 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:06,559 Speaker 5: Catstrop never trust grammar Us with anything in his hands. Sorry, 33 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,239 Speaker 5: if you had Wake that was I mean that would 34 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 5: have Wake had like three hundred more yards Wisconsin. I 35 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 5: think I had five drive, five touchdown drives under thirty 36 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 5: five yards. We'll catch up on the last couple of 37 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 5: nights of bowl games. Just if you want to throw 38 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 5: any comments out there. It's been a good start to 39 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 5: bowl season for me. I'm take eleven and six overall 40 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 5: with halftimes parlays, the whole should bang. But last night 41 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 5: I whiffed. I mean I was I had Miami in 42 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 5: a round robin, which doesn't look great now, and that 43 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 5: they were the better team. They dominated that game and 44 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:41,839 Speaker 5: then just no turn I mean they had the rest 45 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 5: were horrendous for them. They had three fumbles all recovered 46 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 5: by Oak State, an interception that was incorrect that should 47 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 5: have helped stood for Miami. Just had an awful, awful, 48 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 5: unlucky game for Miami. You should have won that game. 49 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 5: But then I had Colorado and the under way awful 50 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 5: those because little did I know that the backup quarterbacks. 51 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:02,080 Speaker 5: I thought I was safe, Sam Allen Jo wasn't coming 52 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 5: out for the second half, and then this kid Thompson 53 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 5: comes in throws four touchdowns in the half and start 54 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 5: the Texas height. It's been a good start, but it's 55 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 5: all about your next bet and how you finish. Hopefully 56 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 5: Oklahoma can get it done tonight at plus three. Any 57 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 5: thoughts on do you buy Texas national title features before I. 58 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: Get to Texas. But it's been I just say it's 59 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 1: been that way for ball season for me. Like you 60 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:24,919 Speaker 1: make a good call on Liberty, but then you bet 61 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 1: on Marshall and there's a ration of turnovers you bet on. 62 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 1: It's not been the easiest to predict of a ball season. 63 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 1: A motivation COVID setouts. I mean, think about how that 64 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: worked against us last night with Texas. Right we were 65 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: told this person's out, this person's out, Eagles, SI, all 66 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: these huge pieces are out. And then if I was 67 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: to tell you pregame without you knowing anything that Sam 68 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: Ellinger was going to go out, would you not have 69 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: bet the house on Colorado, especially at that line. And 70 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: it turns out that it seems like everybody that's in 71 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 1: a backup position for the University of Texas is a 72 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: five star like blue blood. I mean like it looks 73 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: like an all star team. And I have to sit 74 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: there and question what Tom Herman is doing with his 75 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 1: program that you can plug all of these missing holes 76 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: and look like you should be winning a national championship. Now, 77 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: I did read that Colorado was below four players below 78 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 1: the minimum needed to go to a bowl game. Now, 79 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: obviously that's stop teams like TCU from wanting to go 80 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 1: to a bowl game. Colorado. I don't know if they 81 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 1: just needed the pub the recruiting, whatever money's associated. I 82 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:31,839 Speaker 1: don't know why Colorado would play even though they fell 83 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: below the standard. But I mean to look at Texas's 84 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 1: second and third string do what they did. The hype 85 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 1: has already started, by the way sarcasm font the win 86 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 1: total is not going to be twelve and the National 87 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 1: Championship ods are not gonna be minus one fifty, but stuck. 88 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,280 Speaker 1: We've been through this before. The hype is going to 89 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,880 Speaker 1: be insane in the spring, The national championship talk is 90 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: going to be in July, the Herman train, he's going 91 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,239 Speaker 1: to bulldoze his kids in August, probably play the wrong people. 92 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: You know, we've been here before. So yeah, Texas will 93 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 1: be good next year. But they should be good considering 94 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 1: their backyard, which they get to pluck recruits from. What 95 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 1: they showed last night is what they should always be. 96 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 5: Ravery s. 97 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:14,799 Speaker 3: Guys are wide and hut deep in the high Texas. 98 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, look, I have to give Texas credit. 99 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 5: Sometimes you're trying. They showed up from the start and 100 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,600 Speaker 5: Herman wins another Bowl, and yeah, it's twenty twenty. You're 101 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 5: gonna have some great, some absolutely spectacular bowl calls. You're 102 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 5: gonna get breaks that go away, You're gonna people that 103 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 5: sit out there the team. You're gonna have some clunkers. 104 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 5: You just have to accept that. That's usually the case 105 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 5: in Bull season, but especially this year. All Right, so 106 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 5: let's get to this weekend. We have six additional bowls 107 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 5: to get to and the two college football playoff semifinals, 108 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 5: which we'll get to at the end. Let's start on Friday, 109 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 5: January first, twenty twenty one. Hopefully we can start out 110 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 5: twenty twenty one with a winner. We're starting off noon 111 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:07,799 Speaker 5: Eastern on ESPN seven and two. Georgia ranked eighth against 112 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 5: nine and ow Cincinnati. Maybe slight at Cincinnati. This is 113 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:16,840 Speaker 5: the Chick fil A Peach Bowl at bet MGM. Right now, 114 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 5: George's a six and a half point favorite over under 115 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,479 Speaker 5: fifty and a half. This game noon Eastern on ESPN 116 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 5: in Atlanta at Mercedes Benz Stadium. When I look at 117 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,600 Speaker 5: this game, there's a couple questions that I have that 118 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:35,080 Speaker 5: maybe you could help me answer. I took the plus 119 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:40,360 Speaker 5: seven with Cincinnati. I think that they're going to come 120 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 5: here fired up. Fickle always has his team ready, Marcus 121 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 5: Freeman with some time to prep with this defense, and 122 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 5: this defense is very good. This three three five, it's 123 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 5: number two in pass efficiency defense. You have a Garner 124 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 5: and Brian at corner. You have three really good safeties 125 00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 5: and Hicks Forrest and Wiggins, and they're really stout up 126 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 5: front too. They can get pressure on the edge without 127 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 5: even blitzing, but they will blitz, will play a lot 128 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 5: of pressed man on the outside. You know, Sanders and 129 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 5: Potter off the Edgerric great. Their linebackers are just really solid, 130 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 5: a little undersized, but they don't really make mistakes in White, 131 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 5: Deblanco and Vin Rinkle. It's just a really good defense 132 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 5: and well coached. And Marcus Streeman will probably come up 133 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 5: with a new wrinkle here with Tynan Berbert, as he 134 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 5: normally does, is one of my favorite coordinators in college football. 135 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 5: They run a three three five or they've ran it 136 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 5: three three five for most of the year. I think 137 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 5: in the AEC Championship they were a little fatigued and rusty. 138 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 5: They were all for a while without COVID, so I 139 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 5: think a lot of that will go away, and they 140 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 5: will be going up against a Georgia offense that has 141 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 5: seemingly found its footing with JT. Daniels at quarterback. I mean, 142 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 5: this is a Georgia offense that was very underwhelming with 143 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 5: Stetson Vennet at quarterback. But the question is with JT. Daniels, 144 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,559 Speaker 5: he what he threw for like eight hundred and thirty 145 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 5: eight yards, nine touchdowns and one interception a three games 146 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 5: and he can push the ball down the field more 147 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 5: Southern Ben, and that's what you have to do against 148 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 5: the Sincy teams. You're gonna play press man on the outside. 149 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 5: You have to beat them deep. But he The question 150 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 5: is is Daniel's in this offense for real or is 151 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 5: it more of a factor of who they've played. You know, 152 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 5: they played Missouri ninety first in pass efficiency defense, South 153 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 5: Carolina one hundred and eighteenth, miss State eighty second since 154 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 5: the number two, so this is obviously a big step 155 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 5: up Georgia's defense. Three man front, Davis Herring Wott up front. 156 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 5: They don't get a ton of pressure or Philip Destatui, 157 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 5: but they plug holes, they take up blocks, and they 158 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 5: open up space for Georgia's linebackers, mainly Monty Rice, but 159 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 5: he's out. There's also a lot of other outouts with Georgia. 160 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 5: Trey Hill, Ben Cleveland Trail has been out with an injury. 161 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 5: But Ben Cleveland's gonna play in the NFL starting guard 162 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 5: he's out. Their corners Eric Stokes and DJ Daniel both 163 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 5: are out, so you're basically just gonna have one normal 164 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 5: starter and someone new uh in at corner for Georgia. 165 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 5: Jermaine Johnson's second in sacks, he's out. It does look 166 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,959 Speaker 5: like Ojo ORLEI will play who leads the team in sacks, 167 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 5: the count their star state. He's gonna try and come back. 168 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 5: I think I imagine that he'll be limited. But basically, 169 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:15,839 Speaker 5: when I look at this game, I think that since 170 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 5: he's gonna play the disrespect card, they're gonna show up. 171 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 5: Does Georgia two years ago some of the opt outs 172 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:24,319 Speaker 5: that came out flat? Last year they had some off 173 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 5: that's not this many, and they were able to win 174 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 5: and beat Baylor. What this comes down to to me 175 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 5: is Ken Cincinnati Ken desert because George's run defense is 176 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 5: excellent and they're built to stop like a power run game. 177 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,319 Speaker 5: Passive paste doesn't been that great, and now they have 178 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 5: guys out and Desmond Ritter in this RPO and the 179 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 5: intermediate passing attack attack this Georgia secondary and on the 180 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 5: flip side, then J T. Daniels beat the Cincinnati defense deep. 181 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 5: I think there's value the number the opt outs for Georgia. 182 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 5: I knew they were coming, so I took Cincy plus seven. 183 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 5: I like them at seven or above. I think they'll 184 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 5: have a shot to win this game. 185 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:03,959 Speaker 1: Let's say you, yeah, seven is the number that you want, 186 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: and I think since he is the side that you want, 187 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 1: you know, Desmond Ritter has been explosive both with his 188 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: legs and through the air, and you're going to have 189 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: success against Georgia who's eighty first in the country and 190 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 1: defensive passing success rate. And Richard LeCount is the biggest 191 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:19,599 Speaker 1: name that you mentioned there. He's out was out with 192 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: a concussion, talk of maybe he'll play in this game. 193 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: I can't understand why he would considering, you know, if 194 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,439 Speaker 1: he's not clear from concussion protocol. So we'll see. But 195 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: there's just a lot of loss on the Georgia side 196 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:32,439 Speaker 1: of the football with the defense, and I think that 197 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: plays in a Desmond who's been just a one man 198 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 1: wrecking crew through AAC play and that kind of brings 199 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: up the point of strength to schedule. Like Cincinnati strength 200 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: of schedules eighty first, George's is seventh. So when you 201 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 1: throw out the stats like Cincinnati's thirteenth and finishing drives, 202 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 1: you got to consider the competition that they went up against. 203 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: Despite all of that, I think Cincinnati is going to 204 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 1: cover this game. But I think the sneaky play on 205 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: this is the over. You think of Cincinnati, you think 206 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 1: one of the best defenses, definitely the best defense in 207 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: the group of you think at Georgia. They were being 208 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 1: branded as the best defense in the country leading into 209 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: that Alabama game. But if you go up against these 210 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 1: two what they've done recent recent games. Georgia's gone over 211 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 1: in six of their last seven games. Cincinnati's gone over 212 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: in four of their last five. Now on the Georgia side, 213 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 1: that's all JT. Daniels. JD daniels last three games. I mean, 214 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 1: he is getting better and better, more health I mean, 215 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 1: I guess now we can see the reason why it 216 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: took so long to get him in and Stephan Bennett 217 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 1: had to play in that Alabama game. What would life 218 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:31,719 Speaker 1: be like if he was there for Florida, if he 219 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: was there fully healthy for Alabama. I guess we'll have 220 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:37,079 Speaker 1: to wait next year and see. And frankly, this is 221 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:39,199 Speaker 1: a big game for me to watch JT. Daniels to 222 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 1: assess what the Georgia futures are going to be next year. 223 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 1: I'm not really sure how much the run ratio is 224 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 1: going to be On the Georgia side. They did run 225 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 1: at fifty seven percent throughout the year, but the tendency 226 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 1: has kind of fallen too the pass since JT. Daniels 227 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: has gotten more healthy, and I think they're going to 228 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: have success there throwing through there. I think both teams 229 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:00,320 Speaker 1: are going to have success with explosive plays. Retractable roof 230 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:02,319 Speaker 1: going to be closed. There is rain the area, but 231 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 1: it's retractable roof. It's going to be closed or whatever 232 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: that thing is. It's not a retractable roof. It's kind 233 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 1: of like a portal looking thing. But it should be 234 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: a fast track and I think that plays into some scores, 235 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 1: some explosiveness coming from both offenses. The defensive numbers for Cincinnati, 236 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,679 Speaker 1: I mean they can be scored on. I know their 237 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 1: pass coverage grade is second, and I know they're finishing 238 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 1: drives on defense is seventh. But you got to look 239 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 1: at the slate of offenses they've gone up against. It 240 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 1: just it hasn't been a real dynamic set of you know, 241 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 1: explosive weapons. And this is a huge, I mean size 242 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 1: wise physicality. This is some Cincinnati may not be prepared for. 243 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:38,319 Speaker 1: My favorite play in this game is the over. I 244 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 1: like Cincinnati to keep up with Georgia every step of 245 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 1: the way. 246 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean Cincinnati does face some good passing offenses 247 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,079 Speaker 5: in the AAC at least, right I'm really interested to 248 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 5: see what Freeman draws up here. There is a chance 249 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 5: that Georgia just doesn't show up. I think that they 250 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,839 Speaker 5: will from everything that I've read. Look, they're playing Cincinnati, 251 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 5: a group of five team. They don't want it to 252 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:02,479 Speaker 5: be embarrassed. But we've seen to SEC teams after disappointing 253 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 5: years lose in this spot to Central Florida, another AAC team. 254 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 5: So I think that I know that since will show 255 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 5: up with something to prove. There's a slight chance that 256 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 5: Georgia just kind of goes through the motions that has 257 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 5: to work in Sincey's favor as well. 258 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 1: The mindset though, you got to remember the mindset with 259 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: these SEC teams. LSU played Central Florida last year, two 260 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 1: years ago and beats the livid shit out of them. 261 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:27,679 Speaker 1: And why is that? Because LC wasn't expected to go 262 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: to the SEC Championship. They didn't lose SEC Championship game, 263 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 1: they didn't have any expectations coming in other than hearing 264 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:36,440 Speaker 1: that Central Florida was the greatest team in the history 265 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,719 Speaker 1: of non Power five schools and LSU beat them and 266 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:42,839 Speaker 1: covered the spread. Now in Georgia or any other SEC 267 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:46,280 Speaker 1: team loses their conference championship game and then they end 268 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,560 Speaker 1: up going to these New Year six games. They suck. 269 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 1: I mean, they could beat they they can't win games, 270 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:52,599 Speaker 1: they can't cover, they can't do anything. As we you 271 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:54,719 Speaker 1: and I are talking right before the Florida kick. These 272 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: SEC championship game losers are the ones that are given 273 00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 1: the bad rap. These teams that don't have SEC championship expectations, 274 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,839 Speaker 1: like Georgia is in this case, should show up and 275 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: they have in the past. 276 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, Kirby spart two years ago when they got drilled 277 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 5: by Texas, they had a bunch of guys that they 278 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 5: were a couple guys that set out that came with 279 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 5: the team. And then last year another disappointing year. And 280 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 5: at the end of the season when they beat Bail 281 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 5: they had a couple guys set out, but he got 282 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 5: them away from the team and he did that again 283 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 5: this year, and I think that that's his approach which 284 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 5: works for the better for just the entire mindset of 285 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 5: the team. So it should be a fun one. 286 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 2: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want 287 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 2: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network. 288 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 2: Locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team. 289 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You were locked 290 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 1: own of the Dallas marriage. Can everybody to the Lockdown 291 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 1: Lakers podcast? Let's go? 292 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 2: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who 293 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 2: know your team better than anyone and give you the 294 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 2: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search 295 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 2: locked on your favorite team, subscribe to your locked on podcast. 296 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 5: All right, let's move on and stay on Friday and 297 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 5: we'll go to another SEC team. 298 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: You're gonna have to drink for this one, right, I 299 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 1: mean I'm gonna be at least a bottle of champagne 300 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: deep to watch Northwestern Auburn play offense. 301 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, this is gonna be ugly. Northwestern Auburn in the 302 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 5: Citrus Bowl Camping World Stadium, Orlando, fart A, one pm 303 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 5: Eastern on ABC at bet MGM. Right now, Northwestern's a 304 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 5: three point favorite over under forty three and a half. 305 00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 5: There are some opt outs actually on both sides. On 306 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 5: Northwestern to their number one corner, Greg Newson wasn't a 307 00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 5: first team all. I think it was first team All American. 308 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 5: He won't play, one of their best pass rushers won't play, 309 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 5: and potentially their best receiver. They also using the running game. 310 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 5: He entered the transfer portal. And then on the Auburn side, 311 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 5: you have three recent opt outs in safety Jamien Sherwood, 312 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 5: wide receiver Anthony Schwartz he's kind of the burner, and 313 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 5: then their starting nickelback Christian Todd. They're all out Northwestern. 314 00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 5: Their defense has been very good, especially their their pass coverage. 315 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 5: But they will be without Newsom, which is worth noting. 316 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 5: But the other players in the secondary have been very 317 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 5: good all year. I think the only team that score 318 00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 5: over twenty two points against them all year with Michigan State. 319 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 5: That's pretty crazy considering they they Ohio State defense has 320 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 5: been really good. The offense has been disgusting. There's nothing 321 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 5: good you can say about this offense. They're a little 322 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 5: better than last year with Peyton Ramsey. He's the efficiency 323 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 5: in the passing game is a little better, but they 324 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 5: can't run the ball. There's no explosive there's nothing downfield. 325 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 5: The offensive line isn't great. It's fish Ramsey. Can you 326 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:41,000 Speaker 5: quick pass and sustain some drives? That's basically it. But 327 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 5: the defense is excellent. They're gonna be great in the 328 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 5: red zone as normal. They're gonna ugly up, muck up games, 329 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 5: find a way to stay in games and try to 330 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 5: find a way to win lad that's the Batfit shild way. 331 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 5: Auburn interim coach here Kevin Steel their defensive coordinator because 332 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 5: Gus Mazan is gone oh next season in full. 333 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 4: Effect season then full effect. 334 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 5: The offense for Auburn has been okay on the ground, 335 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 5: lacking through the air. Bo Nicks has not had a 336 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 5: great year, but he can use his legs. Tank Bigsby 337 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,160 Speaker 5: can use his legs, and if you're going to move 338 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:19,359 Speaker 5: the ball in this Northwestern defense, you have to do 339 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,359 Speaker 5: it on the ground. So how much success can Auburn 340 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 5: have there? Because rewind back to the Big Ten Championship, 341 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 5: Trey Sermon went right for three hundred yards against Northwestern. 342 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:32,159 Speaker 5: That's how you have to beat this team, especially when 343 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:35,400 Speaker 5: you have an anemic passing attack like Alburn. Maybe Seth 344 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 5: Williams can have a day without Greg Newsom out there, 345 00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 5: but you just can't really rely on this Alburn passing attack, 346 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:42,440 Speaker 5: especially against a good pass defense like Northwestern. What do 347 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:42,919 Speaker 5: you see here. 348 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: Well, I mean the biggest thing is like who's calling 349 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,359 Speaker 1: the place for Auburn, right, Gus Maleson's out, Chad Moore's 350 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 1: is out. Kevin Steele interim coach for this, we're in 351 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: a lame duck situation with Brian Harrison coming in from Boise. 352 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: I think the players are, you know, probably in the 353 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,640 Speaker 1: mindset that they got to show off for their new coach, 354 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 1: or maybe they're competing for spots. It was a tough 355 00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:05,240 Speaker 1: year for Auburn in the first place, replacing everybody in 356 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 1: the trench on both sides of the ball, so they 357 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: were immediately behind the eight ball when it comes to, 358 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,560 Speaker 1: you know, trying to build from you know, the trench 359 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 1: out in the sec which you really kind of have 360 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 1: to do. Auburn is always in trouble, and now with 361 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 1: Shorts not there that it really you know, puts focus 362 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 1: on the other weapons that Bonix has. Northwestern is good 363 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 1: at making you look bad on offense. It's what they 364 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,959 Speaker 1: did to justin Fields without Chris Olave, Fields at times 365 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: could not find some of his other targets. And you know, 366 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:36,120 Speaker 1: Northwestern has been pretty good at coming up clutch when 367 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 1: their backs are up against the end zone. The problem 368 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 1: is that the offense is just absolutely disgusting, and so 369 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 1: the question should be at Camping World Stadium, are we 370 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 1: going to take an under on a game, you know, 371 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 1: this early in the day, on New Year's Day, with 372 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,480 Speaker 1: a number you know, so low at forty three. I 373 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 1: project a number at forty eight. But I mean, we're 374 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: really looking at a special teams play, which Auburn is 375 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: twenty second special teams, or we're looking at an Oski 376 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:03,719 Speaker 1: a picks, you know, getting taken back and scoring from 377 00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: that route. I mean this, it's really tough for me. 378 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,879 Speaker 1: I know that Auburn is fantastic at tackling, Northwestern is not. 379 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 1: I think there's a motivation factor here. I'm not sure 380 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 1: Auburn's players want to be here. A Northwestern, on the 381 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: other hand, I mean, Pats Cats. He's gonna have them 382 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:19,639 Speaker 1: riled up, ready to go. 383 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 4: Cats Cats. 384 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 1: As far as the side, I make the game a 385 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,159 Speaker 1: coin flip, so you know, I would absolutely end up 386 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 1: taking the doggie. I think points are you know, definitely 387 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 1: at a premium in this game, which makes sadly taking 388 00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:35,920 Speaker 1: Auburn the side. I projected it one and a half 389 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 1: for Northwestern to be the favorite, so three and a 390 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 1: half is a little bit high. But for me, I 391 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 1: don't know how you don't take it under. I would 392 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 1: take a first half under here absolutely. I don't know 393 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 1: who is scoring points. If you look at the advanced numbers, 394 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 1: Auburn has a third strength of schedule in Northwestern twenty ninth. 395 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: Really short, really short schedule there in the Big Ten 396 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 1: for Northwestern. Not much to lean back on. But there 397 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,120 Speaker 1: are things that we can see that Northwestern is really 398 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 1: bad at. One of them is lyneyards a hundred. It's 399 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 1: almost dead last on the nation. They can't rush the 400 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: ball whatsoever. 401 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 5: They're good at. 402 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: Protecting Peyton Ramsey, they're not really good at getting the 403 00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 1: ball pass ten yards down the field. So I don't 404 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: see a route for a ton of points. I'd love 405 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,159 Speaker 1: to make the case for the over. The only way 406 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 1: I can make the case for the over is if 407 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 1: there's turnovers or if they're special teams, and that's almost 408 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,360 Speaker 1: impossible to handicap. So I'm gonna stick with a first 409 00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:24,240 Speaker 1: half under. I still don't know who's calling the place 410 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:28,160 Speaker 1: for Auburn, Like I literally Chad Morris Gus males On out. 411 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,919 Speaker 1: What is the playbook gonna be you know, missing Schwartz. 412 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,160 Speaker 1: I mean there's part of your screen pass most most 413 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 1: of the targets and your screen pass game are gone. 414 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,120 Speaker 1: I don't know what's gonna happen on Auburn's offensive side, 415 00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 1: but I do know that Northwestern is incapable of scoring points. 416 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 1: And take this. I mean we're not. This isn't a 417 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 1: podcast that relies on trends or anything, but these teams 418 00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:53,960 Speaker 1: they combined this year to go three and fifteen to 419 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:58,080 Speaker 1: the over. Three of the eighteen games these these teams 420 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,639 Speaker 1: were involved in went over the to Auburn. More specifically, 421 00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:03,919 Speaker 1: they never went over the total away from home. They 422 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,040 Speaker 1: never went over the total away from Jordan Hare. Northwestern 423 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 1: one and seven on the season to the over. So 424 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 1: you know, these are two extremely under teams considering the 425 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 1: day of the year it's being played on and the 426 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 1: early earliness in the day, and there's no offensive coordinator around. 427 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: I'm just taking a blindly taking a first half under. 428 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think north West is going to miss McAllen too. 429 00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,199 Speaker 5: I mean he's their second leading receiver. They use him 430 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 5: in the run game as well. I think he carried 431 00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 5: like twenty five times six yards of carry. But the 432 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 5: difference here for Northwestern could have could end up being 433 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 5: the third downs. Now they you know the reason that 434 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 5: the sackoverers are good. They just a quick passing attack. 435 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 5: Ramsey can be a decently efficient in that department. Alburn's 436 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 5: third down defense is horrendous, giving up conversions on fifty 437 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:52,800 Speaker 5: percent of opponent attempts, and Northwestern's defense, as you might 438 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:56,359 Speaker 5: expect on third downs, is a lot better. So will 439 00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 5: north at Western be able with that short passing attack 440 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:02,640 Speaker 5: be able to sustain drives a little better than Aubourne. 441 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:04,160 Speaker 5: That could end up being the difference. 442 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 2: If you hate ball games, go listen to NPR. 443 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 4: Right. 444 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:13,440 Speaker 5: We have two Contowell plaoff games on Friday as well. Unfortunately, 445 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 5: the appetizers Alburn, Northwestern, at least Georgia Cincinnati's a good 446 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 5: aptizers and they're kind of simultaneous. But we'll come back 447 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 5: to those. Let's get let's cross off. We'll go pretty 448 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 5: quickly through the four bowls on Saturday. We will start 449 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 5: Saturday at noon in the tax Slayer Gator Bowl NC 450 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:36,600 Speaker 5: State against Kentucky at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida, 451 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 5: noon Eastern on ESPN these teams went once back in 452 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 5: the seventies. Kentucky one twenty seven to two. It's a 453 00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 5: pretty trying season for Kentucky. Just a lot of really 454 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:53,000 Speaker 5: emotional things happening, and losing a coach, that kid, medical diagnosis, 455 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 5: just a lot of emotional things about a deal with 456 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,360 Speaker 5: in the COVID year they were talking to They working 457 00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 5: to accept the ball, but they did. They will play 458 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:03,479 Speaker 5: in ce State. They're seeking their third straight Bowl victory. 459 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:05,720 Speaker 1: And the records in here. 460 00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 5: Don't be fooled by the records. Kentucky's four and six, 461 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 5: they're two and a half point favorites that betum GM 462 00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 5: over under fifteen and a half. NC State's eight and three. Well, Kentucky, 463 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 5: for their six losses came against teams in the top 464 00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,880 Speaker 5: eight of the final College to Wall playoff rankings. NC State, 465 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 5: who last made a ball in twenty eighteen. Actually here 466 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:26,159 Speaker 5: at the Gator Bowl. They got drilled by Texas A 467 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,439 Speaker 5: and M, who they really beat. Liberty is their best win. 468 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 5: Should have lost. They they've They're four to zero in 469 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 5: one possession games. I think their average winning margin is 470 00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 5: like plus one point, so they've won a lot of 471 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 5: close games. They've beat up on the bottom of the 472 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 5: barrel in the ACC. I'm not a fan of this team. Now, 473 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,240 Speaker 5: what you should be a fan of with NC State 474 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 5: is their defensive line. They play a unique three three 475 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,119 Speaker 5: to five defense. They're gonna blitz from all over. Alneil 476 00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:58,360 Speaker 5: is a monster at nose tackle. It's gonna play on Sundays. 477 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 5: He just eats blocks, eats blocks, the athletic freak too, 478 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,400 Speaker 5: and then he freeze up Peyton Wilson at linebacker, who 479 00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 5: just makes a million tackles led the ACC of tackles. 480 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 5: They were fifth in the nation in tackles for lost 481 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 5: ninth and sacks per game. So it's a really good 482 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 5: pass it's a really good pass rush. The defense overall 483 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,879 Speaker 5: is not great, but Kentucky has a really good offensive line. 484 00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 5: They can handle this front, and Kentucky is not really 485 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 5: gonna be passing. Now. It's worth noting that there's a 486 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,920 Speaker 5: new coordinator, Big Dog Vince Mara has taken over play 487 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 5: calling for Kentucky, who fired their offensive coordinator. But what 488 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 5: this Kentucky team was They have no passing game, zero none. 489 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:39,800 Speaker 5: I mean, maybe they try to throw it, but I 490 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 5: doubt they do so. Like the NC State pass rush 491 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 5: just kind of neutralized here. It's not gonna matter. You 492 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 5: can beat this NC State team with ground and pound, 493 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 5: which is what Kentucky can do. In the three games 494 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 5: NFC State lost, it gave up an average of two 495 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 5: hundred and seventy six rushing yards per game. Kentucky also 496 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:59,399 Speaker 5: has familiarity with seeing this defense. Mississippi State three three 497 00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:04,439 Speaker 5: five similar stack. They faced it this year Tennessee Martin 498 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,439 Speaker 5: I forget someone they faced last year and an SCS 499 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 5: team played a similar defense, so they have experienced seeing it. 500 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 5: They'll have extra time to prepare here. I think that 501 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,719 Speaker 5: they can have success on the ground, and Kentucky's defense 502 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:21,440 Speaker 5: kind of a ben don't break defense. They really kind 503 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 5: of blow up in the red zone. They don't get 504 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,440 Speaker 5: up any explosive plays, and that's really how NC State 505 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,200 Speaker 5: makes their living. It might look funny to see Kentucky 506 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 5: two and a half point favorites here. I know my 507 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,920 Speaker 5: voicemail caller, the Dave Dord fan isn't gonna like this, 508 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 5: but I'm kind of leaning towards the Cats here. What 509 00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 5: say you? 510 00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:40,639 Speaker 1: Yeah? I like the Cats. I power in it. You know, 511 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 1: minus two and a half, So I think there's not 512 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: much value here on Kentucky, but I really like the 513 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 1: under for a lot of things that you said that 514 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:52,360 Speaker 1: favor Kentucky, and and that is limiting explosiveness. And that's 515 00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,320 Speaker 1: the reason that we have backed Kentucky in certain spots 516 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 1: of the season is because of their defense. Offensively, they're 517 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,360 Speaker 1: extremely slow seconds per one hundred and eighteenth in the nation. 518 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,160 Speaker 1: They can control the trench their top twenty and rushing 519 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: success right on offense, so you know, and they run 520 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 1: the ball sixty three percent of the time. So this 521 00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 1: is a team that can assert their will on the 522 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,200 Speaker 1: ground on the offensive side at a very slow pace. 523 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,520 Speaker 1: And then defensively their top twenty five in tackling their 524 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:21,240 Speaker 1: nineteenth against rush exposiveness, they're eighth against pass exposiveness. They're 525 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: going to be able to shut down anything the wolf 526 00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,720 Speaker 1: Pack wants to do down the field. Now, Kentucky doesn't 527 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:27,720 Speaker 1: take the ball away from you, so I'm not expecting 528 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:29,359 Speaker 1: them to come up with a bunch of turnovers and 529 00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,920 Speaker 1: creating quick scoring opportunities like we've seen that as some 530 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 1: of these other bowls. But I think it's really important 531 00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 1: to note also that Kentucky hass faced the eight strongest 532 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:42,120 Speaker 1: strength of schedule this season and it's he stayed sixty eight, 533 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,040 Speaker 1: So I think it's a you know, even though we 534 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,000 Speaker 1: put these numbers up against each other and the numbers 535 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,240 Speaker 1: say the Kentucky's defense is going to shut down Nasty State, 536 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:52,920 Speaker 1: consider the numbers that Kentucky put together were against SEC play. 537 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 1: So I like Kentucky in this game. I think the 538 00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: fifties should be closer to around forty seven. I like 539 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: the under. We'll see how much more floats. But but yeah, 540 00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 1: definitely here going going with SEC over in C State 541 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 1: and INC State's kind of been smoking mirrors all season. 542 00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 5: Completely a great if you don't bet on a bowl, 543 00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:16,159 Speaker 5: the bowl even exist. All right, let's move on to 544 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,639 Speaker 5: another SEC team. We gotta talk some Lane Train twelve 545 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 5: thirty Eastern on ABC, The Outback Bowl. That's a restaurant 546 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 5: that you loved as a kid and then you get 547 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,399 Speaker 5: older and you're like, eh, I don't know. 548 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 1: I eat all his bread and fried fried bloomin onion. 549 00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 5: I do love I mean the bloomin onion. Yeah, if 550 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,000 Speaker 5: you put the Bloomin onion in front of me, I'll 551 00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 5: fuck with it. But I love their guilty pleasure, their 552 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:44,479 Speaker 5: Austin cheese fries. I remember reading one time they were 553 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:46,680 Speaker 5: like it was like the unhealthiest foods in the world 554 00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,200 Speaker 5: from like chain restaurants, and that that was like the 555 00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 5: Austine cheese fries were like four trillion calories. Altec Steakhouse, 556 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,840 Speaker 5: no rules, just right, all right, But it's the out 557 00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 5: Back Bowl Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. We have ole 558 00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:04,240 Speaker 5: Miss two third Eastern ABC. Ole Miss at bet MGM 559 00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:08,960 Speaker 5: is a nine point underdog against Indiana over under sixty 560 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,240 Speaker 5: five and a half. I mean, look, there's not much 561 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 5: that I can really say about ole Miss's It's pretty 562 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,119 Speaker 5: They're pretty easy to describe. Their offense all year has 563 00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 5: been unbelievable through the air, just an extremely efficient passing 564 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,560 Speaker 5: tack But now they're without two of their best receiving receivers. 565 00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 5: They also had a couple other injuries to a few 566 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 5: of their other skill position players in their finale against LSU. 567 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:36,439 Speaker 5: But the offense has been really good. The defense has 568 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,840 Speaker 5: been so bad. It's almost hard to explain how bad 569 00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 5: this defense has been for a Bowl team. I mean, 570 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 5: this has to be the worst BOWLD defense we've ever seen. Like, 571 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,040 Speaker 5: if you go down the list of like metrics, you're 572 00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 5: seeing ole Miss sometimes in like the bottom five. Those 573 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 5: teams don't usually make a Bowl. So their defense is horrendous. 574 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 5: They go really fast, but they're not a full strength 575 00:28:56,240 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 5: on offense. Now Indiana, They're offense has been really bad. 576 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 5: They've been fortunate in turnovers. I believe they've been out 577 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 5: gained on the year, but it's it's been a good 578 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 5: year for Indiana. Their defense has been okay, but there's 579 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 5: flaws on this team. This is a really hard game 580 00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:15,680 Speaker 5: for me to cap ole Miss. Their offense is it's 581 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 5: just not it's still not a full strength. They were 582 00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 5: still able to move it against LSU, but the defense 583 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 5: is just so bad. I don't know if I can 584 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,800 Speaker 5: trust them. But is Indiana the team to exploit it? 585 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:26,200 Speaker 5: Help me? Help me out here in this game. It's 586 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:26,719 Speaker 5: a tricky one. 587 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is because Lane Kiffin has said every single 588 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 1: day that we are going to have a real problem 589 00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:35,360 Speaker 1: making this Bowl game because of the number of COVID 590 00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 1: issues that we're having. And that's just you know, flashing 591 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: red lights to me that I don't care what this 592 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 1: number is. If it's seven, if it's eight, if it's nine, 593 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 1: How can I back all miss up when I know 594 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 1: Elijah Moore is not going to play. I know their 595 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,000 Speaker 1: tight end is not going to play. I don't know 596 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:52,480 Speaker 1: what they're gonna put on top receivers, yeah, two top receivers. 597 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 1: I don't know what they're gonna put on the field 598 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 1: and stucks right. Everything on their defensive side is blood red. 599 00:29:57,280 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 1: Some of the worst numbers, I mean almost dead last 600 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: and defensive drives. You look at Indiana powered by their 601 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,240 Speaker 1: defense the entire season. There was really, you know, some 602 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 1: luck and some field position that I'm not going to 603 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 1: say they are a lucky offense. I'm going to say 604 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,960 Speaker 1: that they had great field position, they came up big 605 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 1: when they needed to on third downs. I don't want 606 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: to call them lucky because they're not. They were talented 607 00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 1: and they've been decent, you know, ever since the Ohio 608 00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 1: State game and getting points up on the board. 609 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, it's worth voting that. Like their third quarterback now 610 00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:28,720 Speaker 5: hasn't been their quarterback all year. 611 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: And when you look at total and when he showed 612 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 1: up to play, he was just as efficient as you 613 00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 1: know in some parts as Michael Pennix junior. So he 614 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:40,480 Speaker 1: is capable of running the offense. So What that tells 615 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,480 Speaker 1: me is that when I have an ole Miss defense 616 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,360 Speaker 1: that I know is terrible, and I'm not talking like 617 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 1: just bad a SEC, I'm talking bad as like on 618 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 1: a U MES level, and I have an Indiana offense 619 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 1: that is capable, then I don't want to mess with 620 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 1: the full game total which is falling in the market, 621 00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,320 Speaker 1: and I don't want to mess with an inflated spread. 622 00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 1: I want an Indiana team total over. I feel feel 623 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 1: confident that they're going to get enough possessions. I feel 624 00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 1: confident they're going to move the ball on this ole 625 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 1: Miss offense. And because Old Miss is the third fastest 626 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,520 Speaker 1: tempo in the nation, we could be looking at seventeen 627 00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:13,160 Speaker 1: possessions here for Indiana. I think in Indiana team total 628 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,760 Speaker 1: over is a wiser player than taking a completely inflated spread. 629 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 1: We have no clue how Old Miss is coming into 630 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,600 Speaker 1: this game, who's going to be available, other than they're 631 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: missing their top two targets. For me, it's hoosiers and 632 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,760 Speaker 1: points and just isolate the bet on that and call 633 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 1: it a day. 634 00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe you'll convince me to go there after the 635 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,000 Speaker 5: College to Wall playoffs ONIM My final though, for everyone 636 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 5: wondering I've been twinnking some home court. It's full speed 637 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 5: ahead with college basketball on a daily basis, so I 638 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,240 Speaker 5: will probably have a big card on Saturday. But yeah, 639 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 5: I mean, out of all the options, that might be 640 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 5: the wisest one. 641 00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:49,720 Speaker 7: Full game theater. Catch it all, right, Let's. 642 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,960 Speaker 5: Move on to the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl four pm Easter 643 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 5: and Saturday on ESPN in State Farms Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. 644 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 5: Iowa State Oregon at BETMGM. Iowa State four and a 645 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 5: half point favored over under fifty seven and a half 646 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 5: seeing you know, look, I had a lot of questions 647 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 5: about the Pac twelve this year. It was hard to 648 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,880 Speaker 5: figure out who teams were. Small sample size of the games. 649 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:17,600 Speaker 5: They got a late start, and I think that these 650 00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 5: a lot of these teams were behind the eight ball 651 00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 5: kind of all season. And then seeing Colorado doesn't give 652 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 5: me much faith in how the Path twelve looks. The 653 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:34,000 Speaker 5: Oregon defense was pretty bad all year. The one thing 654 00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,760 Speaker 5: that they did was they didn't really give up explosive 655 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 5: plays through the air. But that's not really what Iowa 656 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,560 Speaker 5: State does. Iowa State should be able to from an 657 00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,200 Speaker 5: efficiency standpoint, through the air with rock Party and those 658 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 5: tight ends moved the ball efficiently and then brace Hall 659 00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:52,479 Speaker 5: on the ground should have a day against this Oregon 660 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 5: defense that lost a lot, and the offense they had 661 00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:01,920 Speaker 5: some good numbers. But let's look at the competition in 662 00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 5: the PAC twelve. In the PAC twelve Championship against USC, 663 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,720 Speaker 5: they they wouldn't even throw it downfield. I wouldn't even 664 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:12,520 Speaker 5: trust Shuck to throw it downfield. And they're going up 665 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 5: against a very good Iowa State defense. It's hard for 666 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,720 Speaker 5: It's gonna be hard for me. Not the back October. 667 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:23,959 Speaker 5: Here in this January, Brockuary, what do you see here? 668 00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 1: I'm taking orgon in this game, and I'm taking the 669 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 1: over did some research. Wow, Listen, I've been in the 670 00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,640 Speaker 1: casino before, I've been gambling, and when I'm on house money, 671 00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 1: it just seems to keep rolling, you know, I mean 672 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:40,400 Speaker 1: like you have when you feel peeled of any pressure whatsoever, 673 00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 1: which Oregon arguably shouldn't have been in the PAC twelve 674 00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 1: Championship game, but they didn't get a chance to face Washington. 675 00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:49,320 Speaker 1: That game with Washington was gonna turn determine who played USC. 676 00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:53,440 Speaker 1: They get the buy into the Pactorald Championship, they win 677 00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: the Pac Twelve Championship and now they're in the Fiesta Bowl. 678 00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:00,400 Speaker 1: They're on house money, Christ of Ball, Joe moorehead, you 679 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 1: know Andy Abolos, who's being pressured by Boise to come 680 00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:05,720 Speaker 1: back and be the head coach there. These three head 681 00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 1: coaches should be commended for the way that they finished 682 00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 1: the season. Now, if you look at this schematically, Iowa 683 00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 1: State and really I just kind of did this in 684 00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:16,520 Speaker 1: some of my research for the Big twelve Championship. It 685 00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 1: really came up here. How they have gotten better, especially 686 00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:21,960 Speaker 1: on the offensive side of the ball this year, where 687 00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 1: it's not just been take Rock party in October, it's 688 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,600 Speaker 1: you know, it's been Iowa State, you can trust them 689 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,840 Speaker 1: all year round. Is that they have thrown in so 690 00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:33,719 Speaker 1: much more thirteen personnel and if you're not familiar with 691 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:36,000 Speaker 1: what that is, that's a three tight end set. And 692 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,479 Speaker 1: the reason why they did that is because brock Perty 693 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,120 Speaker 1: is one of the worst quarterbacks in the nation. With pressure, 694 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,840 Speaker 1: he turns them all over. He's inaccurate, he's just not 695 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,239 Speaker 1: the same. But when he has a clean pocket and 696 00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 1: he has a good look, kids amazing. And so they 697 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,720 Speaker 1: started running last year. I think they ran somewhere around 698 00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 1: five percent of plays we're in the thirteen this year, 699 00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,000 Speaker 1: twenty five percent. Twenty five percent of plays were with 700 00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,160 Speaker 1: a three tight end format, and they're using a lot 701 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,839 Speaker 1: of prestat motion. It has given him extra time, it's 702 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,719 Speaker 1: giving him extra blockers, and if you look at this 703 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:12,040 Speaker 1: Oregon defense, I don't think they're right there yet to 704 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 1: be able to stop anybody. The only thing on this 705 00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:18,240 Speaker 1: Oregon defense that is a constant is Cavon Thibodeau. Thibodeau 706 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,280 Speaker 1: is one of the most menacing pass rushers in college 707 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 1: football right now. I know that Oregon sacrate is ninety 708 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,760 Speaker 1: fourth in the country, but Thibodeau is a legit monster. 709 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:29,959 Speaker 1: I think he's going to get some pressure on Brock 710 00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:32,960 Speaker 1: pretty but at the same time, Purty's releasing the ball 711 00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:35,400 Speaker 1: a lot faster. The three tight end set has been 712 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,120 Speaker 1: real helpful for him to get points on the board. 713 00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:40,239 Speaker 1: I love the over end this game. Joe Moorehead what 714 00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,760 Speaker 1: he's been able to do with a completely clean slate. 715 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,480 Speaker 1: This was the lowest returning production in all of college 716 00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:49,720 Speaker 1: football this year. Morehead steps in a completely different scheme 717 00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:53,520 Speaker 1: from Marcus Arroyo, completely different what he's been able to 718 00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:56,719 Speaker 1: do and get Tyler Shubb, you know, connecting their top 719 00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,680 Speaker 1: ten and rushing success right top set. You know, the 720 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,640 Speaker 1: top twenty in passing success rate, top twenty in explosiveness. 721 00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 1: And that's where the handicap in this game comes. Because 722 00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:09,359 Speaker 1: Iowa State is one hundred and eleven the defending pass 723 00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:13,280 Speaker 1: explosiveness and Oregon is sixteenth at getting it down the field. 724 00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,000 Speaker 1: You better bet that Joe Morehead is going to have 725 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:19,440 Speaker 1: Tyler Schuk throwing this ball over that back five of 726 00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:22,320 Speaker 1: the three three five. I think this game has explosive 727 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 1: plays written all over it, and Thibodau is gonna get 728 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 1: his shots in on Brock Party. I love Oregon in 729 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:29,720 Speaker 1: this game. I think there's a ton of points. 730 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:31,719 Speaker 5: I'm going to disagree with you here. We've been on 731 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 5: the same page pretty much. But I mean Oregon's defense. 732 00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:38,719 Speaker 5: I don't see how they get any stops. Thibodeau have 733 00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,279 Speaker 5: like twelve sacks. This defense is really bad. Not all 734 00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:43,840 Speaker 5: of it was their fault. They had a bunch of 735 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,920 Speaker 5: opt outs of pros on the back end. But I 736 00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:50,200 Speaker 5: mean Oregon's you say, and you're right with their past 737 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:54,520 Speaker 5: explosive numbers, but they played Washington State u CLA Oregon 738 00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:58,160 Speaker 5: State cal USC, and they couldn't even throw it against USC, 739 00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,920 Speaker 5: So I don't necessarily think that, you know, it might 740 00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:05,719 Speaker 5: be kind of fraudulent numbers based on the competition, because 741 00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:09,120 Speaker 5: Iowa State is clearly the best defense they faced all year. 742 00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:13,680 Speaker 5: So I'm not fully sold on Chuck yet, and i 743 00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,400 Speaker 5: was States obviously going up against good offenses in the 744 00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:17,040 Speaker 5: Big Twelve. 745 00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:20,480 Speaker 1: If you think Texas is getting the national championship publicity, 746 00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:23,839 Speaker 1: you wait till Andy Avolos tells Boise State, no thanks, 747 00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:26,479 Speaker 1: I'm staying at Oregon and organ returns every single player 748 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,000 Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. I can't believe I'm 749 00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:31,959 Speaker 1: even saying this, but I'm exactly where it was twelve 750 00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:33,359 Speaker 1: months ago when you and I were in the West Gate. 751 00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:37,640 Speaker 1: I am looking for Oregon futures going into twenty twenty one. 752 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:40,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, well I had an Oregon features so but then 753 00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 5: everyone outed out. I also have accident all Oregon State futures. 754 00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:50,040 Speaker 5: All right. I probably will end up on party somehow, 755 00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:52,400 Speaker 5: but I'll dig into it. You make some good points, 756 00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:54,440 Speaker 5: aren't you, Like five and zero against me and balls. 757 00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 5: I think you got me pretty good. Let's see, I 758 00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:58,840 Speaker 5: was on at Marshall. 759 00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:00,920 Speaker 1: I think you had Buffalo, right, yeah. 760 00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,920 Speaker 5: We're both on meat meat you did you have Houston? 761 00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:04,960 Speaker 1: Yeah? 762 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:07,280 Speaker 5: And Hawaii? Did you have Tulane? 763 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:07,919 Speaker 1: Yeah? 764 00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:14,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, Nevada. All right, so we got a while to go. Wait, 765 00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,160 Speaker 5: well we both on it. We're both on We're both 766 00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:20,000 Speaker 5: on Oklahoma the Night right, Oh yeah, big time. Miss State. 767 00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:21,040 Speaker 5: We're both on Miss State. 768 00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:22,319 Speaker 1: Yea, both on Miss State. 769 00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:24,160 Speaker 5: You're ball state. 770 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:28,480 Speaker 1: No, No, I can't trust that offensive line. Nope, Armie, No, 771 00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:29,640 Speaker 1: I took West Virginia. There. 772 00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:33,920 Speaker 5: I know you're you're going against the seventh cabin of ball. 773 00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:34,920 Speaker 5: It's another l for you. 774 00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,040 Speaker 1: Since I haven't made a play on the app I mean, 775 00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:41,359 Speaker 1: I know I'm taking the over and and uh. 776 00:38:41,680 --> 00:38:42,840 Speaker 5: You know, not taking Georgia. 777 00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:44,360 Speaker 1: No, I'm not taking Georgia. 778 00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:47,920 Speaker 5: Okay, well, yeah, I haven't made any place on Saturday. 779 00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,879 Speaker 5: We agree on Kentucky. It looks like we just don't 780 00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:52,920 Speaker 5: disagree in Iowa State. So yeah, it looks like our 781 00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:57,720 Speaker 5: next West Virginia, West Virginia, Army to Virginia. 782 00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:00,360 Speaker 1: You're gonna sweep me in disagreements. I just can't happened. 783 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,560 Speaker 5: So all right, Well, so we got some more maybe 784 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,080 Speaker 5: some more disagreements coming up, but that we have to 785 00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,799 Speaker 5: get to one last game on Saturday before we get 786 00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 5: to the ConTroll cloff. The Capitol One Orange Bowl Texas 787 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,080 Speaker 5: A and M North Carolina Bet MGM. Texas A and 788 00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:16,600 Speaker 5: M's a six and a half point favorite over under 789 00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,040 Speaker 5: sixty five and a half is a hard rock stadium 790 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:23,000 Speaker 5: in Miami Gardens, APM Eastern or ESPN. You know, when 791 00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:24,800 Speaker 5: you first you talk about this game, you have to 792 00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:28,759 Speaker 5: mention the North Carolina opt outs. Their leading receiver, one 793 00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,720 Speaker 5: of their top backs of the two headed monster, like Ocarter, 794 00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:35,200 Speaker 5: he's out. One of their best defenders, Sarah, he's out. 795 00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 5: So they have some really key opt outs going against 796 00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:41,759 Speaker 5: the Texas A and M team. You could argue that 797 00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,920 Speaker 5: they want to come out here under Jimbo and show everyone, look, 798 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,600 Speaker 5: we deserve to be in the controllable playoff. You also 799 00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:51,480 Speaker 5: could argue they thought that they should be in the 800 00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:55,759 Speaker 5: ConTroll clalf and they're not, and they're now playing in 801 00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 5: the Orange Bowl. It's primetime Saturday night. But against the 802 00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:01,120 Speaker 5: North a lot of team with a bunch of popouts, 803 00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:02,800 Speaker 5: and maybe they come off flat. I don't know. I 804 00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,440 Speaker 5: don't think there's a great motivational angle here. But I 805 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:10,920 Speaker 5: do think when you look at Texas A and M's offense, 806 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:16,680 Speaker 5: pretty easy to explain. Very good offensive line, can run 807 00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:18,800 Speaker 5: the ball as well as any team in the country. 808 00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:22,800 Speaker 5: Very efficient passing attack, extremely efficient on third downs. No 809 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:27,160 Speaker 5: explosiveness in this offense. But if you want to move 810 00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 5: it on the ground and control the line of scrimmage 811 00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,680 Speaker 5: against North Carolina, Texas you can do that, and Texas 812 00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,520 Speaker 5: A and M certainly has the personnel to do that. 813 00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:38,560 Speaker 5: The strength of North Carolina's defense is getting to the quarterback. 814 00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,880 Speaker 5: That the strength of Texas A and M's offense is 815 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,480 Speaker 5: protecting the quarterback. They get rid of the ball, quick run, 816 00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 5: heavy attack on the other side of the ball. Look, 817 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,600 Speaker 5: Texas A and M's defense has been very good. They're 818 00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:51,440 Speaker 5: a little vulnerable on the back end. We saw that 819 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,480 Speaker 5: against Alabama to big explosive passing place. But North Carolina 820 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:56,839 Speaker 5: is not going to have brown. North Carolina offense has 821 00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:59,879 Speaker 5: obviously been excellent. I mean North Carolina, the opt outs 822 00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:02,840 Speaker 5: are pretty extreme. This is a team that had one 823 00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:05,759 Speaker 5: of the best, maybe one of the best running back 824 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 5: duos in acc history. I don't know, I just threw 825 00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:11,600 Speaker 5: that out there. I have to really think about it, 826 00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:13,839 Speaker 5: but they both Carter Williams both ran for over one 827 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:17,480 Speaker 5: thousand yards. Carter evers eight yards per carry, Williams everge 828 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:20,879 Speaker 5: seven point three at nineteen touchdowns rushing. Their third leading 829 00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 5: rusher was Sam Halle one hundred and twenty one yards. 830 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,680 Speaker 5: So they're missing their top two backs. They're also missing 831 00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:29,480 Speaker 5: their top receiver, Brown who caught he went over one 832 00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:33,760 Speaker 5: thousand yards. Newsome was next with six hundred and sixteen, 833 00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:35,839 Speaker 5: and then guess who was third. Williams their running back, 834 00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:37,719 Speaker 5: so with three hundred and five he was even a 835 00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:40,320 Speaker 5: thrown out of the backfield. So this North Carolina offense 836 00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,280 Speaker 5: has really took a hit from an opt out perspective. 837 00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:45,440 Speaker 5: They also lost one of their best defenders. How do 838 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:46,319 Speaker 5: you see this playing out? 839 00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:49,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean when you lose your top two running 840 00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,000 Speaker 1: backs who were the Lions Cherry, I'm not even talking lit. 841 00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:54,360 Speaker 1: I mean you're stuck. Say Howel's a third leading rusher, 842 00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,279 Speaker 1: that's the quarterback. North Carolina runs the ball fifty eight 843 00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:58,960 Speaker 1: percent of the time, and when you wipe out those 844 00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:00,799 Speaker 1: two running backs, are you really going to turn around 845 00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:03,120 Speaker 1: hand the ball off to a bunch of unprovens on 846 00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:05,120 Speaker 1: the team, and I think the answer is no, especially 847 00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:07,600 Speaker 1: when you have Sam Howe's arm. Now, I know that 848 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 1: Diami Brown is out, but Das Newsom is still there, 849 00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:12,440 Speaker 1: and so I think this is going to be a 850 00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:17,080 Speaker 1: very pass heavy attack from North Carolina, which makes me 851 00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,400 Speaker 1: want to take the over here. I know Texas A 852 00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 1: and M is one hundred and twenty third and seconds 853 00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:23,719 Speaker 1: per play. They are a snail. They're one of the slowest, 854 00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:27,080 Speaker 1: those grinding teams to watch all season. But think about 855 00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:28,600 Speaker 1: their defense in the four to two five and with 856 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,960 Speaker 1: Mike Elko runs the you know, the middle line. The 857 00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:34,640 Speaker 1: linebackers for them are you know, I've said this before, 858 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:39,320 Speaker 1: these are run stoppers. They are good at filling gaps. 859 00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:43,239 Speaker 1: They're terrible in past defense. Their coverage grades are some 860 00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,680 Speaker 1: of the worst in the SEC. So I think North 861 00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:47,360 Speaker 1: Carolina is going to see that and they're going to 862 00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:49,200 Speaker 1: attack over the middle, and they're going to attack deep. 863 00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:50,920 Speaker 1: I think Daz Newsom is going to have a big day. 864 00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,800 Speaker 1: Sam Howese should be all throwing first second down. I 865 00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,880 Speaker 1: can't see any reason why North Carolina is going to 866 00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,040 Speaker 1: run the ball. I do like the tar heels with 867 00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:01,719 Speaker 1: the hook at seven. It becomes questionable with the opt 868 00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 1: outs that they've had. You know, A and M not 869 00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:06,200 Speaker 1: the game that they wanted to be in. But it 870 00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,880 Speaker 1: is a new year six for Jimbo. Uh, he's going 871 00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:10,680 Speaker 1: to show up. You know, Kellen Mond, They're gonna they 872 00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:13,120 Speaker 1: have one of the highest success rates and offenses in 873 00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,880 Speaker 1: the country tenth and rushing success rate fourteenth and passing 874 00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:21,120 Speaker 1: success rate. They can't. They have no explosiveness whatsoever. They're 875 00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:23,960 Speaker 1: they're just never Texas A and M is a program. 876 00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:25,879 Speaker 1: You're never going to be able to figure it out 877 00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,000 Speaker 1: until you find guys that can do what Texas did 878 00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 1: in their bowl, which is get it down the field 879 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,799 Speaker 1: in seventy yards in one or two plays. And until 880 00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:35,480 Speaker 1: Texas A and M figures that out, you're just not 881 00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:37,759 Speaker 1: going to bust it into the college football playoff. So 882 00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:40,200 Speaker 1: I do like North Carolina in the spot because I 883 00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:42,239 Speaker 1: think it's going to be a heavy passing attack and 884 00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:44,120 Speaker 1: that is going to be able to take advantage of 885 00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:47,360 Speaker 1: what is a soft coverage grade in the middle of 886 00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:50,239 Speaker 1: the A and M defense against that four twenty five 887 00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:51,040 Speaker 1: that Elco runs. 888 00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:51,560 Speaker 5: Uh. 889 00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:54,560 Speaker 1: So I like North Carolina with the hook, but I'm 890 00:43:54,600 --> 00:43:56,440 Speaker 1: more than likely I'm gonna be on the over in 891 00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:56,839 Speaker 1: this game. 892 00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, I only they could only concern there with the 893 00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 5: Texas him over in a big number, like, Look, the 894 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,160 Speaker 5: North Carolina defense isn't great, but a text saying them 895 00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:07,600 Speaker 5: total with sixty five and a half, what do you 896 00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:09,400 Speaker 5: have to worry about? Number one text at him is 897 00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:11,439 Speaker 5: a snail. Now. I think that they'll be efficient. They'll 898 00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:13,719 Speaker 5: be able to efficiently move the ball up and down 899 00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,640 Speaker 5: the field on the ground with spilling that offensive line 900 00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 5: and then mon in the short passing attack. But it's 901 00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:23,680 Speaker 5: gonna take some time. But the real fear here. Look, 902 00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:28,400 Speaker 5: taking back to Auburn against Northwestern, maybe Auburn changes things 903 00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,880 Speaker 5: up because Gus mills On is traditionally very conservative, so 904 00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:34,040 Speaker 5: maybe Auburn goes for more fourth downs. But Jim O. 905 00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:39,200 Speaker 5: Fisher is a very conservative coach. So if it's you know, 906 00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:42,120 Speaker 5: fourth and one at the one, he's gonna kick. He'll 907 00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:44,040 Speaker 5: kick a field goal. If it's fourth and one at 908 00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:46,160 Speaker 5: the forty, he'll punt it. So that's the only thing 909 00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:49,000 Speaker 5: you have to be concerned about. Hopefully he knows he's 910 00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:51,560 Speaker 5: playing a high powered offensive attack and it's a bowl game, 911 00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:54,359 Speaker 5: not the coachboll playoff for you know, a meaningful game 912 00:44:54,360 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 5: in the regular season, and he'll be a little looser 913 00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:58,640 Speaker 5: in the ball. But that's something just to keep in mind. 914 00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:03,359 Speaker 8: The NFL season is upon us and our friends at 915 00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:07,319 Speaker 8: BETMGM Sports are offering Action Network podcast listeners a great 916 00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:10,239 Speaker 8: sign up offer. Just make your first deposit using the 917 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:14,280 Speaker 8: bonus Code Action Pod and receive one hundred percent deposit 918 00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:18,320 Speaker 8: match up to five hundred dollars. 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Gambling problem called one eight hundred five 927 00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:46,800 Speaker 8: to two two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada, 928 00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:49,120 Speaker 8: one eight hundred gambler in New Jersey and West Virginia, 929 00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 8: or one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana. Promo 930 00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:55,000 Speaker 8: offer not available in Nevada. And now back to the show. 931 00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:00,719 Speaker 5: Let's move on to why most of you are probably here, 932 00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:04,600 Speaker 5: and that's the College Football Playoff. A breaking news guys. 933 00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:08,000 Speaker 5: We have like it's twenty twenty. Things are really weird. 934 00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:13,479 Speaker 5: Nothing is normal, everything is strange. So wait, never mind. 935 00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:15,600 Speaker 5: Now the College World Playoff. It's the same teams we 936 00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:20,279 Speaker 5: always have in here, Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Notre Dame. 937 00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,719 Speaker 5: It's kind of your your wild card, your fourth one. 938 00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:24,759 Speaker 5: I look, I just want to get this out here 939 00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:28,439 Speaker 5: right now. It's We're gonna start with Alabama Notre Dame 940 00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:32,640 Speaker 5: at BENMGM. Alabama is a twenty point favorite over under 941 00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:34,960 Speaker 5: sixty five and a half and we're gonna get to 942 00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:39,759 Speaker 5: Ohio State Clemson next. Look, battle Clemson has been fun, 943 00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:43,120 Speaker 5: but I don't know, I think I want to see 944 00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:45,520 Speaker 5: something different. I'm gonna love it if it's Alabama Clemson, 945 00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:47,840 Speaker 5: but I'm kind of getting sick of it anyway. Just 946 00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:50,360 Speaker 5: throwing that out there, and that's them, and that's clearly 947 00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,359 Speaker 5: the favorite that the odds on, favorite matchup that we get. 948 00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:56,200 Speaker 5: But let's start with the first semifinal. Alabama twenty point 949 00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:59,480 Speaker 5: favorite over under sixty five and a half. Look, I 950 00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:02,200 Speaker 5: make this game right around two touchdowns, So there's value 951 00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,520 Speaker 5: in Notre Dame just from a pure numbers perspective, and 952 00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:06,839 Speaker 5: you might be saying value Notre Dame want spender day. 953 00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:08,600 Speaker 5: I mean, looks the Collegewold clauffs. It's the four best 954 00:47:08,640 --> 00:47:10,920 Speaker 5: teams and ive alb is a two touchdown favor That's 955 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:12,800 Speaker 5: there's a big difference between these two teams on a 956 00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:15,200 Speaker 5: neutral field. But it's hard for me to make a 957 00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:18,240 Speaker 5: real case for Notre Dame. One of Alabama's best offensive 958 00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:21,279 Speaker 5: linemen is out that maybe that helps them. Notre Dame's 959 00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:24,560 Speaker 5: defensive front is really good. It's really stout, really strong. 960 00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:27,400 Speaker 5: We said all year that there were some questions on 961 00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:30,040 Speaker 5: the back end of that Notre Dame secondary, and then 962 00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:32,160 Speaker 5: they kind of sucked me in that North Carolina game. 963 00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:34,200 Speaker 5: I still don't know how they just completely shut down 964 00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:38,040 Speaker 5: North Carolina that entire game. But then we saw some 965 00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 5: signs of cracks against Clemson with their backup quarterback, and 966 00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 5: then Clemson really exploited it in the ACC Championship. So 967 00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:48,920 Speaker 5: it's really hard for me to see how clark Lee 968 00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,279 Speaker 5: and company are going to come up with a game 969 00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:54,719 Speaker 5: plan to slow down this Alabama attack, which is just 970 00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:59,280 Speaker 5: amazing all over the place. Devanta Spith is unreal. Okay, 971 00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:01,600 Speaker 5: the cult words describe how good he's been, and Mac 972 00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:04,160 Speaker 5: Jones been been unbelievable. The offensive line is great, the 973 00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,840 Speaker 5: whole offense is record setting. On the other side of 974 00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,840 Speaker 5: the ball of Bama's you know, secondary we knew about 975 00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:13,480 Speaker 5: certain has been better than advertised. I think the defense 976 00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:14,960 Speaker 5: has been pretty good, but it's just that you have 977 00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:16,480 Speaker 5: to keep up with them. They're gonna get a couple 978 00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:18,920 Speaker 5: of stops and then no one can stop them. And 979 00:48:18,960 --> 00:48:20,719 Speaker 5: I'm curious to see how you think this game plays out. 980 00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:22,719 Speaker 5: I Book's gonna have to use his legs a lot. 981 00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:25,200 Speaker 5: Bama likes to play man coverage and they can be 982 00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:28,080 Speaker 5: susceptible times to running quarterback. Books gonna have to use 983 00:48:28,120 --> 00:48:31,040 Speaker 5: his legs. I think that Notre Name's game plan here 984 00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:33,759 Speaker 5: has to be let's way to the beginning of the 985 00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:38,600 Speaker 5: year when Notre Dame was just grinding, like just clock speeding, 986 00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:42,239 Speaker 5: running it eighty percent of the time, shortening games. That's 987 00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:44,040 Speaker 5: just because they don't want to show anything. That's what 988 00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:45,640 Speaker 5: they're gonna have to do here. They're gonna have to 989 00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,759 Speaker 5: sustain drives. Keep the bottle of Bama's hands, right, run 990 00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:51,319 Speaker 5: it a ton, try to have success on the ground 991 00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:54,719 Speaker 5: and sustain long drives, right. I mean, that's I think 992 00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:57,600 Speaker 5: their best hope here. Look, if I will say it, 993 00:48:57,680 --> 00:49:00,160 Speaker 5: if Notre Dame against the twenty one, I'm gonna have 994 00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:03,480 Speaker 5: to take them. I can probably talk myself out of 995 00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:05,839 Speaker 5: the value here, just because I don't see a ton 996 00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,600 Speaker 5: of advantages. But there's a twenty one. There'd be too much, 997 00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:11,719 Speaker 5: and we could get there with public money. But and 998 00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:13,480 Speaker 5: look at twenty one, it's easy to see you have 999 00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:15,560 Speaker 5: a back It's such an easy chance for a back door. 1000 00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:19,279 Speaker 5: Florida was what catching I got them at eighteen, they 1001 00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:21,480 Speaker 5: don't even need the backdoor. But at twenty one, you're 1002 00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:23,719 Speaker 5: down twenty four late, even down twenty eight, you can 1003 00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:25,920 Speaker 5: get a touchdown for a push twenty one and a half. 1004 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:30,080 Speaker 5: I'm definitely in on Notre Dame twenty one. Probably I 1005 00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:32,520 Speaker 5: probably can't lay it with Bama here at twenty just 1006 00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:36,600 Speaker 5: I make the number closer to two touchdowns. I'm starting 1007 00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,759 Speaker 5: to look at the under just because of how I think, 1008 00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:41,600 Speaker 5: just because of how I think Notre Dame is going 1009 00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:43,560 Speaker 5: to approach this game. But playing an under with this 1010 00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,800 Speaker 5: help offense that can just hit eighty yard touchdowns for 1011 00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,440 Speaker 5: fun with one flick of the wrist from Mac Jose 1012 00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:52,320 Speaker 5: is scary. Break this game down for us. I know 1013 00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:54,239 Speaker 5: you have a great right up on actionework dot com 1014 00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:56,400 Speaker 5: and the Action Network app. Run well with it. What 1015 00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:56,839 Speaker 5: do you see? 1016 00:49:57,400 --> 00:49:59,680 Speaker 1: Of all the pieces I wrote for Action Network this year, 1017 00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,680 Speaker 1: this week was probably my most fun to write up. 1018 00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:03,799 Speaker 1: I thought Clemson in Ohio State would be the one 1019 00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,600 Speaker 1: that I would come up with some really good, you know, 1020 00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:09,960 Speaker 1: fact finding nuggets. But it was actually this game, and 1021 00:50:10,040 --> 00:50:11,400 Speaker 1: I had no clue I was going to go this 1022 00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:13,359 Speaker 1: direction when I started my research, and by the time 1023 00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:16,480 Speaker 1: I got done with it, I was betting way more 1024 00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:17,600 Speaker 1: than I thought I would be. 1025 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:17,840 Speaker 3: In. 1026 00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:20,759 Speaker 1: The play on this game was to take the under, 1027 00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:23,440 Speaker 1: and the more research that I did here, I just 1028 00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:25,239 Speaker 1: I couldn't get over some of the things that I 1029 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,840 Speaker 1: was seeing. Now, let's talk about college football playoff history. 1030 00:50:27,920 --> 00:50:30,800 Speaker 1: First off, if you like a team to win the 1031 00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:33,960 Speaker 1: game and they're the favorite, swallow the points. If you 1032 00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:37,600 Speaker 1: like a dog, you probably don't need the points. Consider 1033 00:50:37,680 --> 00:50:41,440 Speaker 1: the fact that Kyler Murray at Oklahoma against Alabama a 1034 00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,760 Speaker 1: couple of years ago was the first underdog in college 1035 00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:48,239 Speaker 1: football playoff history to finally cover the spread and not 1036 00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:50,680 Speaker 1: win the game where the points spread actually mattered. The 1037 00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:53,040 Speaker 1: point spread has never mattered in the College ball Playoff 1038 00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:56,680 Speaker 1: or the national Championship until Oklahoma played Alabama a couple 1039 00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,440 Speaker 1: of years ago. You think back last year, LSU no 1040 00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:03,399 Speaker 1: problem against Clemson, Clemson didn't need the points against Ohio State. 1041 00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:06,279 Speaker 1: The list just goes on and on. So here we are. 1042 00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:08,160 Speaker 1: This is the highest spread of This is the highest 1043 00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:11,280 Speaker 1: This is the highest spread, and it is completely inflated. 1044 00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,360 Speaker 1: And if you get sucked into the thought of I 1045 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:16,279 Speaker 1: think it should be fourteen, which is where I'm at. 1046 00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:18,759 Speaker 1: If you get sucked into that thought, then you're going 1047 00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:22,000 Speaker 1: to get into you know, uh takelock. And this is 1048 00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:24,040 Speaker 1: where I got with Clemson and LSU last year and 1049 00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:26,759 Speaker 1: never recognizing the fact that what LSU did last year 1050 00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:29,520 Speaker 1: was something that just couldn't be stopped. So we fast 1051 00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:32,120 Speaker 1: forward to this year and we talk about how great 1052 00:51:32,160 --> 00:51:36,800 Speaker 1: that that LSU team was Alabama's better. LSU's offense, powered 1053 00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:39,719 Speaker 1: by Joe Burrow, finished with an offensive success rate of 1054 00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:42,759 Speaker 1: fifty four point nine percent. That was for the entire 1055 00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:48,360 Speaker 1: season with Vanderbilt, with non conference Alabama eleven game schedule. 1056 00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:51,360 Speaker 1: Oh and by the way, Alabama didn't play Vanderbilt in 1057 00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:54,560 Speaker 1: South Carolina this year. Right, two teams that combine for 1058 00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:58,600 Speaker 1: what two wins South Carolina's wins Alabama fifty five point 1059 00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:04,440 Speaker 1: three percent offensive success rate that eclipses LSU from last season. 1060 00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:07,080 Speaker 1: What Alabama has done this year has been nothing short 1061 00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:09,200 Speaker 1: of amazing. So when you say is that number two 1062 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:13,320 Speaker 1: high mathematically, yes, but we couldn't catch up to LSU 1063 00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:15,040 Speaker 1: and now we can't catch up to Alabama. 1064 00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:17,080 Speaker 5: And I'm gonna tell you what, if I had a 1065 00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,520 Speaker 5: barometer up yards to say whether you were give an 1066 00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:21,640 Speaker 5: effort or not, it was about fifty percent. 1067 00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:24,120 Speaker 1: Why did you push yourself? And the thing is is 1068 00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:26,600 Speaker 1: like even Sagarn, Like even if you go to Sagarn, 1069 00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:28,600 Speaker 1: they have their own ratings and everything Jeff Sager. In 1070 00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:31,920 Speaker 1: USA today they have a recency poll like which is 1071 00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:35,120 Speaker 1: based upon as a heavyweight towards your last couple of games. 1072 00:52:35,560 --> 00:52:38,759 Speaker 1: They still make this game like sixteen. So nobody makes 1073 00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:40,560 Speaker 1: it as high as this. And the question is is 1074 00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:43,719 Speaker 1: you know what are we gonna do about Alabama. Now, 1075 00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:46,040 Speaker 1: there's lots of things to dive into with this, and 1076 00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:47,840 Speaker 1: I think the thing that we need to pay attention 1077 00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:50,680 Speaker 1: to is Pete Goulding and Nick Saban had a press 1078 00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:53,279 Speaker 1: I had a presser earlier this week and they talked 1079 00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:55,879 Speaker 1: about how they had a come to Jesus meeting, which 1080 00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:57,520 Speaker 1: is a great term. I love to use that with 1081 00:52:57,640 --> 00:52:58,880 Speaker 1: my sons. I said, We're gonna have to come to 1082 00:52:58,960 --> 00:52:59,479 Speaker 1: Jesus meeting. 1083 00:52:59,520 --> 00:52:59,759 Speaker 5: Boys. 1084 00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:01,719 Speaker 1: Uh, they had a come of Jesus meeting. After the 1085 00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:04,960 Speaker 1: Old Miss game Old Miss twenty one missed tackles in 1086 00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:10,120 Speaker 1: that game. Alabama has been fantastic since only one time 1087 00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:13,719 Speaker 1: have they missed more than eight tackles. Since that Old 1088 00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:18,239 Speaker 1: Miss game, the defense has been on point. They've been 1089 00:53:18,280 --> 00:53:21,360 Speaker 1: shutting people down. And more importantly, I mean Patrick certain 1090 00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:23,719 Speaker 1: is going to be able to assert himself here. Uh 1091 00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:26,040 Speaker 1: and really Malachai Moore should be going to get a 1092 00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:28,719 Speaker 1: shout out here at a cornerback. He is ranked, I 1093 00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:31,719 Speaker 1: believe in YEP ranked in the top twenty in PFF 1094 00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:35,279 Speaker 1: slot coverage. So whatever Notre Dame decides to try to 1095 00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:36,759 Speaker 1: throw over the middle. 1096 00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,920 Speaker 5: Got great weapons on the outside, like they don't playpool and. 1097 00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:44,400 Speaker 1: That that formula they used to attack Clemson in the 1098 00:53:44,440 --> 00:53:46,759 Speaker 1: middle in that first game this season was to go 1099 00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:50,040 Speaker 1: over the middle where Skowski wasn't there. Uh, that's not 1100 00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:52,560 Speaker 1: going to work against Alabama. It's not gonna work whatsoever. 1101 00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:55,520 Speaker 1: So I don't see Notre Dame having any success running 1102 00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:57,800 Speaker 1: the ball. I don't have Notre Dame have any success 1103 00:53:58,160 --> 00:54:00,400 Speaker 1: passing the ball. And you're right. If they're gonna get 1104 00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:02,719 Speaker 1: any yardage whatsoever, it's because Ian Book decides to take 1105 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,080 Speaker 1: off on his own. So with that being said, you 1106 00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:07,680 Speaker 1: have to look and say, how did a ten to 1107 00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:10,719 Speaker 1: zero Notre Dame team go into the AC Championship and 1108 00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,760 Speaker 1: just get obliterated like they looked like a peewee squad 1109 00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:18,239 Speaker 1: thirty four to ten. How does that even happen? And 1110 00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:20,239 Speaker 1: when you look in the box score, when I started 1111 00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:22,840 Speaker 1: digging into it, I thought to myself, well, obviously Trevor 1112 00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:26,759 Speaker 1: Lawrence just had big explosive plays right wrong. They were 1113 00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:30,359 Speaker 1: blown away in standard downs and specifically on the rush 1114 00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:35,680 Speaker 1: by Travis Etn. On standard downs, Clemson averaged nine yards 1115 00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:39,480 Speaker 1: per play, Travis Etn average twelve yard, twelve and a 1116 00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:42,200 Speaker 1: half yards of carry and he had around nine. He 1117 00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:45,239 Speaker 1: averaged nine yards after contact. We haven't seen that from 1118 00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:48,240 Speaker 1: Travis Etn all year, and Clemson must have seen something 1119 00:54:48,320 --> 00:54:53,920 Speaker 1: on tape because Trevor Lawrence ran himself crazy in twenty nineteen. 1120 00:54:54,200 --> 00:54:56,080 Speaker 1: He ran with his legs all the time. We never 1121 00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:58,839 Speaker 1: saw that. This year against Notre Dame, Trevor Lawrence took 1122 00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:01,520 Speaker 1: off score and touchdowns out running the Notre Dame defense 1123 00:55:02,080 --> 00:55:04,400 Speaker 1: like it was no Tomorrow. So Clemson saw something in 1124 00:55:04,560 --> 00:55:07,360 Speaker 1: Notre Dame to where they said, I think we can 1125 00:55:07,480 --> 00:55:10,600 Speaker 1: run on you. I think we can expose you. I 1126 00:55:10,680 --> 00:55:12,440 Speaker 1: think Sark's going to see the same thing, and I 1127 00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,480 Speaker 1: think Sark is going to try to do the same thing. 1128 00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:17,839 Speaker 1: So if you look at that game plan, what if 1129 00:55:17,880 --> 00:55:21,520 Speaker 1: we run Nase Harris, if we average nine yards per 1130 00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:25,000 Speaker 1: play on standard downs, first and second down, we'll always 1131 00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:27,000 Speaker 1: have short third downs and we'll always be able to 1132 00:55:27,040 --> 00:55:30,920 Speaker 1: have the big pass wide open for Mechi, for DeVonta Smith, 1133 00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:33,319 Speaker 1: for mac Jones, if you could get pressure on them, 1134 00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:36,120 Speaker 1: which it doesn't matter because mac Jones has been cool 1135 00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:38,440 Speaker 1: as a cucumber under pressure. But I don't think it's 1136 00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:41,560 Speaker 1: going to come down to that Notre Dame getting blown 1137 00:55:41,680 --> 00:55:44,360 Speaker 1: to pieces on standard downs is what the difference was 1138 00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:47,799 Speaker 1: why Clemson was able to dominate them in the ACC championship. 1139 00:55:48,280 --> 00:55:50,880 Speaker 1: And so I think Sark. If I was Sark and 1140 00:55:51,040 --> 00:55:53,640 Speaker 1: I was the offensive coordinator, I would run the ball. 1141 00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:55,880 Speaker 1: I would run the hell out of Nause Harris. And 1142 00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:58,160 Speaker 1: if I could get nine yards per carry on first 1143 00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,520 Speaker 1: and second down, and I could limit how much I 1144 00:56:00,560 --> 00:56:03,280 Speaker 1: show in my playbook, if I can go completely vanilla 1145 00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:06,360 Speaker 1: in the passing game, saving it for a possible national championship, 1146 00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:09,239 Speaker 1: I would. And I think that's exactly what's going to happen. 1147 00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:11,600 Speaker 1: So A, I don't think Notre Dame is going to 1148 00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:15,200 Speaker 1: be able to contribute to the total whatsoever. B Clemson 1149 00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:18,760 Speaker 1: expose Notre Dame for not being able to contain the rush. 1150 00:56:19,280 --> 00:56:21,399 Speaker 1: Now let's get to the third element in this game. 1151 00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:24,600 Speaker 1: Is there a track record that suggests that Saban may 1152 00:56:24,680 --> 00:56:27,879 Speaker 1: take his foot off the pedal. If you're LSU, you're 1153 00:56:27,920 --> 00:56:29,759 Speaker 1: gonna get your ass run out of the building by 1154 00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:32,160 Speaker 1: Nick Saban. If you're Auburn, you're gonna get your ass 1155 00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:33,680 Speaker 1: run out of the building by Nick Saban. But if 1156 00:56:33,680 --> 00:56:36,520 Speaker 1: you're Brian Kelly, you might have a pass. These two 1157 00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:40,760 Speaker 1: teams met in the twenty thirteen National Championship Game. Anybody 1158 00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:43,120 Speaker 1: doesn't remember the history, I'll go ahead and brief you. 1159 00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:46,680 Speaker 1: Alabama twenty eight to zero at halftime. Eddie Lacy, Eddie Lacy, 1160 00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:50,200 Speaker 1: Eddie Lacy, over and over and over. Alabama dominated Notre 1161 00:56:50,239 --> 00:56:52,439 Speaker 1: Dame through the first half. What happened in the second half. 1162 00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:56,040 Speaker 1: Alabama ran thirty two plays, twenty two of them were 1163 00:56:56,120 --> 00:56:59,480 Speaker 1: rush more Eddie Lacy, and what happened was is they 1164 00:56:59,560 --> 00:57:02,640 Speaker 1: scored fourteen points apiece by both of them. And it 1165 00:57:02,800 --> 00:57:05,720 Speaker 1: was an extremely rush dominant second half by Nick Saban. 1166 00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:07,759 Speaker 1: He had no reason to run the score up after 1167 00:57:07,840 --> 00:57:10,359 Speaker 1: he got up twenty eight to zero going into half. 1168 00:57:10,640 --> 00:57:13,640 Speaker 1: I think Alabama is absolutely going to be up by 1169 00:57:13,840 --> 00:57:16,560 Speaker 1: three scorers in the first half. I don't think Notre 1170 00:57:16,600 --> 00:57:18,840 Speaker 1: Dame is gonna contribute any points, and then I think 1171 00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:21,920 Speaker 1: it's going to be all Nase Harris backup offensive line. 1172 00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:23,959 Speaker 1: We don't need any more injuries on the offensive line. 1173 00:57:24,520 --> 00:57:26,960 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be not as an exciting 1174 00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:29,200 Speaker 1: of a game as people are gonna think. I think 1175 00:57:29,320 --> 00:57:32,600 Speaker 1: once Alabama gets a three possession lead, Saban knows he 1176 00:57:32,680 --> 00:57:34,440 Speaker 1: can sit on it because this Notre Dame offense has 1177 00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:37,600 Speaker 1: no chance of catching up, no chance under. Is the 1178 00:57:37,680 --> 00:57:41,520 Speaker 1: play absolutely taking under in this game. I'm not gonna 1179 00:57:41,600 --> 00:57:45,200 Speaker 1: mess with the points spread, but I will throw history 1180 00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,800 Speaker 1: in and say college football playoff teams that are dogs, 1181 00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:50,960 Speaker 1: they don't need the points. College football playoff teams that 1182 00:57:51,000 --> 00:57:53,080 Speaker 1: are favorites, they're covering, no problem. 1183 00:57:53,840 --> 00:57:57,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean Notre Dame I think can stop the 1184 00:57:57,280 --> 00:58:00,440 Speaker 5: run if they completely sell out to do so, but 1185 00:58:00,560 --> 00:58:03,200 Speaker 5: you can't do against Alabama otherwise you're going to get 1186 00:58:03,240 --> 00:58:04,280 Speaker 5: burnt over and over again. 1187 00:58:04,720 --> 00:58:05,280 Speaker 1: Do you think that? 1188 00:58:06,080 --> 00:58:09,080 Speaker 5: So from a total perspective, do you agree or disagree 1189 00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:12,280 Speaker 5: with my hypothesis that the only way that Notre Dame 1190 00:58:12,680 --> 00:58:15,560 Speaker 5: can stay in this game is through Book runs? And 1191 00:58:15,600 --> 00:58:19,600 Speaker 5: then heavy runs are going very slow and that might 1192 00:58:19,680 --> 00:58:23,160 Speaker 5: lend itself to an under and under with Bama's petrifying 1193 00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:25,600 Speaker 5: But is that the side you would is that the 1194 00:58:26,160 --> 00:58:27,800 Speaker 5: side you would lean in the total under? 1195 00:58:28,880 --> 00:58:32,080 Speaker 1: Absolutely under right here? And it's because once Saban gets 1196 00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:34,600 Speaker 1: a three possession lead, he knows that Ian Book can't 1197 00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:36,959 Speaker 1: bring him back, they can't touch him, they can't get close. 1198 00:58:37,000 --> 00:58:39,760 Speaker 1: So yeah, sure sell out, bring it up in the 1199 00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,520 Speaker 1: box because it's just going to take one flick of 1200 00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:46,400 Speaker 1: mac Jones's wrist to add another score up on that scoreboard. 1201 00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:49,080 Speaker 1: I absolutely think with the National Championship game yet to 1202 00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:50,680 Speaker 1: be played, you and I are about to discuss who 1203 00:58:50,720 --> 00:58:52,320 Speaker 1: you think is going to win that game. I don't 1204 00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:55,560 Speaker 1: think they want to expose anything in the Mechi DeVonta 1205 00:58:55,640 --> 00:58:58,919 Speaker 1: Smith department. I think once I get a three touchdown lead, 1206 00:58:59,240 --> 00:59:01,080 Speaker 1: maybe naj Hair is a running the ball, maybe the 1207 00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:03,880 Speaker 1: second string offensive line is back, so Leatherwood's healthy gets 1208 00:59:04,000 --> 00:59:06,160 Speaker 1: you know. And by the way, Jalen Waddell isn't in 1209 00:59:06,240 --> 00:59:07,920 Speaker 1: this game. Even if he was available, I don't think 1210 00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:11,520 Speaker 1: he would play. So I'm telling you this is a 1211 00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:14,520 Speaker 1: game where Nick Saban wants to get a three possession 1212 00:59:14,600 --> 00:59:17,200 Speaker 1: lead and then sit on it, and Notre Dames I 1213 00:59:17,240 --> 00:59:19,240 Speaker 1: could be able to do anything, maybe a backdoor at 1214 00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:21,600 Speaker 1: the end of the game. I'd be shocked. And Brian 1215 00:59:21,760 --> 00:59:24,000 Speaker 1: Kelly was trying to make a statement in the fourth 1216 00:59:24,080 --> 00:59:27,400 Speaker 1: quarter down three touchdowns because of the mutual respect between 1217 00:59:27,400 --> 00:59:30,760 Speaker 1: these two who have met before and did not run 1218 00:59:30,840 --> 00:59:31,560 Speaker 1: it up on each other. 1219 00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:33,480 Speaker 5: Well, here's the last question of the game. If it 1220 00:59:33,520 --> 00:59:34,960 Speaker 5: gets that not a name plus twenty one and a half. 1221 00:59:34,960 --> 00:59:35,800 Speaker 5: Would you take not or Dame? 1222 00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:41,400 Speaker 1: No, I'm not. I'm telling you, but I'm not going 1223 00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:43,240 Speaker 1: to play it either. Like I shouldn't say I'm a 1224 00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:45,080 Speaker 1: proponent if I had to pay make up, Okay, I 1225 00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:47,320 Speaker 1: think if you're asking, like if I had to make 1226 00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:50,400 Speaker 1: a play in a pool, right because I'm not touching 1227 00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,080 Speaker 1: the spread. I think if Alabama wants to cover, they will, 1228 00:59:53,560 --> 00:59:55,080 Speaker 1: But I think at the same time, they're going to 1229 00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:57,200 Speaker 1: have a national championship game to think about. If I 1230 00:59:57,320 --> 01:00:00,920 Speaker 1: was in a pool, I absolutely would take note because 1231 01:00:00,960 --> 01:00:03,000 Speaker 1: I go back to the mathematician part of it, the 1232 01:00:03,160 --> 01:00:05,960 Speaker 1: power rating part of it, the over inflat. When you 1233 01:00:06,040 --> 01:00:09,600 Speaker 1: get blown out of your ACEC championship game and Alabama 1234 01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:12,800 Speaker 1: gets done dominating Florida, of course you're gonna have inflation 1235 01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:15,480 Speaker 1: in the market. From a mathematic perspective, you have to 1236 01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:18,120 Speaker 1: play Notre Dame. But for me personally, with my money 1237 01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:20,720 Speaker 1: and my investments, I just don't feel like lighting any 1238 01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:22,200 Speaker 1: of that shit on fire. So I'm not going to 1239 01:00:22,240 --> 01:00:23,120 Speaker 1: play the points right here. 1240 01:00:23,400 --> 01:00:24,960 Speaker 5: All right, good stuff there, Let's move on to the 1241 01:00:25,080 --> 01:00:32,800 Speaker 5: second semi final. Friday, January first, twenty twenty one, Ohio 1242 01:00:32,920 --> 01:00:35,600 Speaker 5: State happen m gym Sevendy half one underdog over under 1243 01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:39,920 Speaker 5: sixty six and a half against Clemson. Look, we talked 1244 01:00:39,920 --> 01:00:44,880 Speaker 5: about Ohio State's potential struggles in the secondary ad nauseum. 1245 01:00:44,920 --> 01:00:47,080 Speaker 5: This year, they lost three pros in the secondary. They 1246 01:00:47,120 --> 01:00:49,440 Speaker 5: really missed Jordan Fuloyd as a single high safety. I 1247 01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:52,160 Speaker 5: don't think our corners are anywhere as close to as 1248 01:00:52,160 --> 01:00:54,640 Speaker 5: good as they were last year. Obviously, when you were 1249 01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:57,919 Speaker 5: replacing pros, you're replacing a generational pass rusher like Chase 1250 01:00:57,960 --> 01:01:00,800 Speaker 5: Young as well as dominating nfla's rookie year. So the 1251 01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:05,040 Speaker 5: defensive questions that maybe Clemson can't exploit, but from a 1252 01:01:05,120 --> 01:01:07,880 Speaker 5: pure numbers perspective, and I was very comfortable playing this 1253 01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:11,040 Speaker 5: game because I just know that I know the talent 1254 01:01:11,120 --> 01:01:13,560 Speaker 5: that is there. I know how well coached Ohio State is. 1255 01:01:13,680 --> 01:01:15,920 Speaker 5: They're getting more time now to work on some things. 1256 01:01:16,920 --> 01:01:21,000 Speaker 5: I know how great Justin Fields is and that offense. 1257 01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:24,040 Speaker 5: So I make this line like between three and a 1258 01:01:24,080 --> 01:01:27,360 Speaker 5: half and four. So I grabbed seven and the hook 1259 01:01:27,560 --> 01:01:30,479 Speaker 5: right away. Big play for me. Now you have word 1260 01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:34,400 Speaker 5: that Tony Elliott is not going to be there for Clemson, 1261 01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:37,360 Speaker 5: which is I let you speak to this more. But 1262 01:01:37,800 --> 01:01:39,640 Speaker 5: I think it's really important because one of the things 1263 01:01:39,640 --> 01:01:41,640 Speaker 5: that Clemson has had that Alabama hasn't had in the 1264 01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:46,080 Speaker 5: past few years is coordinator continuity, and for the first 1265 01:01:46,160 --> 01:01:50,240 Speaker 5: time in a while this year they didn't have that 1266 01:01:50,880 --> 01:01:54,240 Speaker 5: sort of They lost one of their co offensive coordinators 1267 01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:57,320 Speaker 5: to South Florida, but they still have Tony Elliott. Well 1268 01:01:57,360 --> 01:02:02,080 Speaker 5: now they won't have either for this semi final. And 1269 01:02:03,040 --> 01:02:07,040 Speaker 5: Davio he stays away from scheme and this scheme and 1270 01:02:07,120 --> 01:02:09,960 Speaker 5: play calling stuff, so it's gonna go down to the 1271 01:02:10,040 --> 01:02:11,720 Speaker 5: quarterback coach. I believe it's been there for a while, 1272 01:02:11,800 --> 01:02:15,320 Speaker 5: but it's definitely a big change. Look, Clemson is the 1273 01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:18,000 Speaker 5: better team here. And by the way, getting over the 1274 01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:20,440 Speaker 5: hook getting seven in the hook. If you're down fourteen 1275 01:02:20,520 --> 01:02:22,040 Speaker 5: late and you need Fields and company to go down 1276 01:02:22,080 --> 01:02:23,520 Speaker 5: and get your score to get in the back door 1277 01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:26,720 Speaker 5: you're down ten, you can get that here. But I 1278 01:02:26,760 --> 01:02:28,680 Speaker 5: think there's too much value to Hio State to pass 1279 01:02:28,800 --> 01:02:32,160 Speaker 5: up on. Give me the Buckeyes. I think this line's inflated. 1280 01:02:32,920 --> 01:02:36,400 Speaker 1: What say you, Yeah, the line is completely inflated. You know, 1281 01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:39,600 Speaker 1: when Ohio State is without Chris Olave and Justin Fields 1282 01:02:39,640 --> 01:02:41,960 Speaker 1: has you know, to look at new targets, you know, 1283 01:02:42,040 --> 01:02:43,600 Speaker 1: and he got picked off a couple of times. That 1284 01:02:44,320 --> 01:02:48,880 Speaker 1: tends to burn in people's memory. And when Clemson makes 1285 01:02:49,040 --> 01:02:51,720 Speaker 1: Notre Dame look like they should be joining the MAC, 1286 01:02:52,640 --> 01:02:54,840 Speaker 1: that tends to burn an image in people's minds too. 1287 01:02:54,960 --> 01:02:59,040 Speaker 1: And so this number was and is shocking to me. 1288 01:02:59,240 --> 01:03:00,880 Speaker 1: It's something that I'm I think three and a half 1289 01:03:00,960 --> 01:03:02,560 Speaker 1: or four. So seven and a half to me is 1290 01:03:02,600 --> 01:03:04,760 Speaker 1: a gift. I've hit it twice. I hit it again 1291 01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:07,320 Speaker 1: today on the Action app after the notes about Tony Elliott. 1292 01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:09,680 Speaker 5: You think that's a big deal, Elliott, Oh, I think. 1293 01:03:09,560 --> 01:03:11,840 Speaker 1: It's a monster deal. I think it's a monster deal 1294 01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:14,120 Speaker 1: that Tony Elliott is not calling this game. Let's take 1295 01:03:14,120 --> 01:03:16,920 Speaker 1: a look at the history here. Jeff Scott, Tony Elliott 1296 01:03:16,960 --> 01:03:19,439 Speaker 1: co coordinators. One of the booth, one of the field, 1297 01:03:19,480 --> 01:03:21,520 Speaker 1: both of the booth. That's all it's been since Chad 1298 01:03:21,560 --> 01:03:24,080 Speaker 1: Morris left to go to smu Is, Tony Elliott and 1299 01:03:24,160 --> 01:03:26,040 Speaker 1: Jeff Scott. Now, I know the quarterback is going to 1300 01:03:26,040 --> 01:03:29,120 Speaker 1: be making is going to be making the play calling right, 1301 01:03:29,240 --> 01:03:31,600 Speaker 1: and maybe he could do that on a script. But 1302 01:03:31,760 --> 01:03:34,920 Speaker 1: guess what what's going to happen at halftime when you 1303 01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:36,760 Speaker 1: need to make adjustments. What's going to happen after one 1304 01:03:36,840 --> 01:03:38,960 Speaker 1: or two drives and Ohio State's got you figured out. 1305 01:03:39,480 --> 01:03:43,680 Speaker 1: It's not like Ohio State is not capable or has 1306 01:03:43,800 --> 01:03:46,080 Speaker 1: the same level of talent to be able to hang 1307 01:03:46,200 --> 01:03:48,280 Speaker 1: with you. And by the way, there's a precedent that's 1308 01:03:48,320 --> 01:03:51,880 Speaker 1: already been said here. Jeff Bram got COVID couldn't coach Purdue. 1309 01:03:52,320 --> 01:03:54,600 Speaker 1: Brian Bram, his brother, never called a play in his life, 1310 01:03:54,960 --> 01:03:58,200 Speaker 1: assumed roles and called plays. Brom was not allowed to 1311 01:03:58,320 --> 01:04:02,120 Speaker 1: have a zoom meeting, a phone call. He wasn't allowed 1312 01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:04,640 Speaker 1: to have any contact with the team during halftime to 1313 01:04:04,720 --> 01:04:08,800 Speaker 1: make any kind of adjustments whatsoever. So this quarterback coach 1314 01:04:09,320 --> 01:04:11,520 Speaker 1: who's never called a play in his life, in a 1315 01:04:11,600 --> 01:04:13,960 Speaker 1: program where Tony Elliott and Jeff Scott have been in 1316 01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:17,920 Speaker 1: complete control forever, that's a problem, especially in the second half. 1317 01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:19,560 Speaker 1: So if you don't want to touch Ohio State until 1318 01:04:19,560 --> 01:04:23,480 Speaker 1: the second half, that's understandable. But that is a serious, 1319 01:04:23,600 --> 01:04:26,120 Speaker 1: serious issue. And I'm still shocked as you and I 1320 01:04:26,120 --> 01:04:27,520 Speaker 1: are recording. I mean, the news is only a couple 1321 01:04:27,600 --> 01:04:29,880 Speaker 1: hours old, but I mean this is to me, this 1322 01:04:30,040 --> 01:04:32,640 Speaker 1: is a really big deal. Now, if you want to 1323 01:04:32,680 --> 01:04:33,400 Speaker 1: get into live. 1324 01:04:33,640 --> 01:04:36,000 Speaker 5: If you get Clems against the ball, first scores a touchdown, 1325 01:04:36,160 --> 01:04:39,440 Speaker 5: it should be a high scoring game. Then you can 1326 01:04:39,520 --> 01:04:40,640 Speaker 5: jump in on hot state two. 1327 01:04:40,720 --> 01:04:43,560 Speaker 1: Then yeah, crazy note though Clemson is Clemson was the 1328 01:04:43,920 --> 01:04:46,120 Speaker 1: champions of the world the last five or six years 1329 01:04:46,200 --> 01:04:49,000 Speaker 1: of Middle eight, and this year they've been very pedestrian, 1330 01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:51,800 Speaker 1: vanilla middle of the FBS, very very strange. And I 1331 01:04:51,880 --> 01:04:53,560 Speaker 1: wonder how much of that is Jeff Scott or how 1332 01:04:53,640 --> 01:04:56,320 Speaker 1: much of that is Dabbo interesting going on with the 1333 01:04:56,360 --> 01:04:57,760 Speaker 1: Middle eight, that this is one of the years that 1334 01:04:57,800 --> 01:04:59,000 Speaker 1: they're not tops in the nation. 1335 01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:01,840 Speaker 5: By the way, for those off last four of the 1336 01:05:01,920 --> 01:05:03,640 Speaker 5: first half, first four of the second half. 1337 01:05:03,960 --> 01:05:05,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, And got to clarify that because I know I 1338 01:05:05,840 --> 01:05:07,320 Speaker 1: put that out on Twitter and people are like, what 1339 01:05:07,360 --> 01:05:09,280 Speaker 1: the hell are you talking about? The Middle eight is. 1340 01:05:09,800 --> 01:05:12,040 Speaker 1: To be honest with you, this is something I picked 1341 01:05:12,120 --> 01:05:16,160 Speaker 1: up from Belichick years ago. Belichick managed the clock all 1342 01:05:16,200 --> 01:05:17,880 Speaker 1: the time to make sure he d back to back 1343 01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:20,680 Speaker 1: possessions coin toss. Sure, I'll give you the ball, and 1344 01:05:20,800 --> 01:05:22,680 Speaker 1: then is a live better if you know you're getting 1345 01:05:22,680 --> 01:05:24,919 Speaker 1: two possessions in a row. It's a huge, huge deal 1346 01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:26,720 Speaker 1: for making a decision when you want to bet live. 1347 01:05:26,800 --> 01:05:29,320 Speaker 1: So middle eight is the point differential of the last 1348 01:05:29,360 --> 01:05:31,280 Speaker 1: four minutes of the second corep the first four minutes 1349 01:05:31,320 --> 01:05:34,120 Speaker 1: of the third quarter, and it can present a very 1350 01:05:34,200 --> 01:05:36,680 Speaker 1: nice opportunity for live betting. So middle eight's a really 1351 01:05:36,720 --> 01:05:40,960 Speaker 1: big deal and something that Clemson had mastered for years, years, 1352 01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:42,919 Speaker 1: and this year they're kind of run in the middle 1353 01:05:42,920 --> 01:05:44,760 Speaker 1: of the pack. As far as you break down this game, 1354 01:05:45,560 --> 01:05:47,480 Speaker 1: I mean, there's no love loss between these two teams. 1355 01:05:47,800 --> 01:05:49,400 Speaker 1: This is a true rivalry. 1356 01:05:49,120 --> 01:05:52,960 Speaker 5: From eleven Dabo, right though I stayed eleventh. 1357 01:05:53,600 --> 01:05:57,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, Dabo, who did not like Urban Meyer whatsoever and 1358 01:05:58,640 --> 01:06:01,120 Speaker 1: shut them out of a College Football Plaoff semi final 1359 01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:06,720 Speaker 1: before decided to rank Ohio State eleventh in the Coach's Poll. Listen, 1360 01:06:07,040 --> 01:06:10,160 Speaker 1: there's a lot of talk about Ohio State about do 1361 01:06:10,280 --> 01:06:12,520 Speaker 1: they deserve to be here? Did they play enough games? 1362 01:06:13,040 --> 01:06:14,800 Speaker 1: The one thing you're going to hear, you're not going 1363 01:06:14,840 --> 01:06:17,080 Speaker 1: to hear a slight on Ohio State is if they 1364 01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:20,080 Speaker 1: have a talent or if they don't have the players 1365 01:06:20,120 --> 01:06:23,120 Speaker 1: to be They absolutely have the pedigree and the talent 1366 01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:26,080 Speaker 1: to be in the College Football Playoff, But everybody's undermining 1367 01:06:26,120 --> 01:06:27,760 Speaker 1: all of that by saying, well, you just haven't played 1368 01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:30,200 Speaker 1: enough games. Well, I've seen enough games out of Texas 1369 01:06:30,240 --> 01:06:32,560 Speaker 1: A and M and know that they don't belong. Ohio 1370 01:06:32,640 --> 01:06:36,240 Speaker 1: State absolutely from a success rate and explosiveness standpoint on 1371 01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:39,440 Speaker 1: the offensive side of the ball, has a completely legitimate 1372 01:06:39,480 --> 01:06:42,960 Speaker 1: statement to being here in this position. It's not their fault. 1373 01:06:43,120 --> 01:06:45,960 Speaker 1: Michigan got COVID, it's not their fault. Penn State sucks, 1374 01:06:46,400 --> 01:06:49,960 Speaker 1: it's not their fault. So you know, when you get 1375 01:06:50,000 --> 01:06:52,560 Speaker 1: past that, Dabo ringing them eleventh is just something that 1376 01:06:52,680 --> 01:06:54,640 Speaker 1: Ryan Day has got. Another thing that Ryan Day has 1377 01:06:54,640 --> 01:06:56,760 Speaker 1: got to deal with. And Ryan Day has been dealing 1378 01:06:57,280 --> 01:07:00,080 Speaker 1: with this whole Clemson bullshit for years, and you say, well, 1379 01:07:00,080 --> 01:07:02,120 Speaker 1: what are you talking about? Ryan Day was the OC 1380 01:07:02,280 --> 01:07:05,080 Speaker 1: at Boston College and there was an interview that came 1381 01:07:05,120 --> 01:07:08,680 Speaker 1: out on Yahoo about Brett Vinnables stealing signs and it's 1382 01:07:08,720 --> 01:07:12,160 Speaker 1: been a problem forever that Brett Vinnables has a team 1383 01:07:12,200 --> 01:07:16,640 Speaker 1: of analysts that steals signs offensively. And what you'll notice 1384 01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:19,040 Speaker 1: about the Clemson defenses is they all stand there and 1385 01:07:19,200 --> 01:07:21,880 Speaker 1: stare at Brett Vinables and they get a lass and 1386 01:07:21,960 --> 01:07:24,760 Speaker 1: they stare at at the DC and he'll give some 1387 01:07:24,840 --> 01:07:27,880 Speaker 1: sort of signal and they'll line up and boom, magically, 1388 01:07:27,960 --> 01:07:30,120 Speaker 1: Clemson knows exactly where the ball is going to go. 1389 01:07:30,600 --> 01:07:33,680 Speaker 1: Huge advantage for Clemson. All these years. In the games 1390 01:07:33,680 --> 01:07:37,640 Speaker 1: where Clemson has struggled, you will notice that it's been 1391 01:07:38,240 --> 01:07:41,680 Speaker 1: because of up tempo or sugar huddle. Now, if you're 1392 01:07:41,680 --> 01:07:44,360 Speaker 1: not familiar with what a sugar huddle is, it's a 1393 01:07:44,600 --> 01:07:47,120 Speaker 1: you know, quarterback comes into the huddle, he calls a play, 1394 01:07:47,640 --> 01:07:50,000 Speaker 1: the center leaves the huddle, the guards and the tackles 1395 01:07:50,080 --> 01:07:52,959 Speaker 1: leave the huddle. The wide receivers then leave the huddle. 1396 01:07:53,040 --> 01:07:55,840 Speaker 1: It's like a cascaded event to get everybody out of 1397 01:07:55,880 --> 01:07:57,760 Speaker 1: the huddle and get them up to the line to 1398 01:07:57,840 --> 01:08:00,920 Speaker 1: kind of show a formation that keeps breat venables guessing. 1399 01:08:01,280 --> 01:08:05,360 Speaker 1: And Ryan Day has been very clear that them stealing signs. 1400 01:08:05,640 --> 01:08:07,240 Speaker 1: They had to adjust for it last year in the 1401 01:08:07,320 --> 01:08:10,640 Speaker 1: Fiesta Bowl because everything was being stolen from them. So 1402 01:08:10,880 --> 01:08:12,680 Speaker 1: you're going to see a lot of sugar huddle out 1403 01:08:12,720 --> 01:08:14,760 Speaker 1: of Ohio State. You're going to see some up tempo. 1404 01:08:14,960 --> 01:08:17,160 Speaker 1: You're going to see them change things up offensively so 1405 01:08:17,240 --> 01:08:20,000 Speaker 1: they can take advantage of the Clemson defense. And I 1406 01:08:20,080 --> 01:08:23,439 Speaker 1: absolutely Ryan Day's got enough experience here with bread venables 1407 01:08:23,479 --> 01:08:26,200 Speaker 1: that I think he's going to be successful. And let's 1408 01:08:26,240 --> 01:08:28,960 Speaker 1: be honest, Ohio State had a sixty percent post game 1409 01:08:29,000 --> 01:08:32,080 Speaker 1: win expectancy last year. I know it's different players, but 1410 01:08:32,200 --> 01:08:34,920 Speaker 1: that Fiesta Bowl turf was slippery as hell and it 1411 01:08:35,040 --> 01:08:38,960 Speaker 1: benefited Clemson the whole way. And Justin Fields was right 1412 01:08:39,000 --> 01:08:41,920 Speaker 1: there to score the game winning touchdown. And you know, 1413 01:08:43,160 --> 01:08:46,240 Speaker 1: you know, Clemson pulled it off. Different track, different team, 1414 01:08:46,320 --> 01:08:49,479 Speaker 1: different players, but Ryan Day is completely prepared to put 1415 01:08:49,560 --> 01:08:52,519 Speaker 1: up with bread venables in this game. So I think 1416 01:08:52,560 --> 01:08:54,880 Speaker 1: when you look at it, you know, Ohio State is 1417 01:08:54,920 --> 01:08:58,200 Speaker 1: second in line yards, their top twenty five in defensive havoc. 1418 01:08:58,479 --> 01:09:00,240 Speaker 1: They have what it takes. I know those numbers on 1419 01:09:00,280 --> 01:09:01,920 Speaker 1: a short schedule. I know they came up against a 1420 01:09:01,920 --> 01:09:03,920 Speaker 1: Big ten, not even the best of the Big ten teams, 1421 01:09:04,360 --> 01:09:07,160 Speaker 1: but they have what it takes to handle this offense, 1422 01:09:07,800 --> 01:09:10,040 Speaker 1: and they have what it takes to handle the defense. 1423 01:09:10,400 --> 01:09:13,000 Speaker 1: And I think they're going to be highly successful here. 1424 01:09:13,360 --> 01:09:14,479 Speaker 1: And I think the other thing that we need to 1425 01:09:14,520 --> 01:09:16,839 Speaker 1: talk about is Trey Sermon. Now, how do you beat Clemson? 1426 01:09:17,240 --> 01:09:19,600 Speaker 1: I'll mention this in the article, but I'll tell you 1427 01:09:19,680 --> 01:09:21,600 Speaker 1: guys here now. But if you go and read on 1428 01:09:21,640 --> 01:09:25,320 Speaker 1: the Action Network for this playoff preview. The way to 1429 01:09:25,439 --> 01:09:29,040 Speaker 1: beat Clemson is to beat them in standard downs. They 1430 01:09:29,080 --> 01:09:33,880 Speaker 1: are ninety fourth in in defending standard downs. Explosiveness. Take 1431 01:09:34,040 --> 01:09:37,519 Speaker 1: a shot on first down, take a shot on second down. 1432 01:09:38,040 --> 01:09:40,479 Speaker 1: It's when you will have your most success. Clemson will 1433 01:09:40,479 --> 01:09:43,080 Speaker 1: pound you in passing downs. They won't let you do anything. 1434 01:09:43,600 --> 01:09:45,800 Speaker 1: And I think Ryan Day is going to be able 1435 01:09:45,880 --> 01:09:48,960 Speaker 1: to go for the home run with justin Fields and 1436 01:09:49,080 --> 01:09:53,400 Speaker 1: if not, Trey Sermon, who just played the absolute game 1437 01:09:53,600 --> 01:09:56,479 Speaker 1: of his life against the Northwestern defense three hundred and 1438 01:09:56,479 --> 01:10:00,479 Speaker 1: thirty one total yards, seventeen avoided tackles in one game, 1439 01:10:01,240 --> 01:10:04,559 Speaker 1: six point eight yards after contact. What Trey Sermon did 1440 01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:08,280 Speaker 1: against Northwestern is what I was bitching to stuck you 1441 01:10:08,280 --> 01:10:10,000 Speaker 1: about back in the summer that I don't think these 1442 01:10:10,080 --> 01:10:12,439 Speaker 1: running backs have WoT it taste. Goot Ohio State to 1443 01:10:12,479 --> 01:10:14,720 Speaker 1: the finish line, completely done, a one to eighty on that. 1444 01:10:15,040 --> 01:10:17,800 Speaker 1: I think Ohio State has the explosiveness. They're gonna do 1445 01:10:17,880 --> 01:10:20,960 Speaker 1: it early. They're gonna sugar huddle and up tempo their 1446 01:10:21,000 --> 01:10:23,720 Speaker 1: way around bread venables. It's a coin flip game. Either 1447 01:10:23,760 --> 01:10:25,720 Speaker 1: team could win, and I think plus seven and a 1448 01:10:25,760 --> 01:10:26,679 Speaker 1: half is a gift. 1449 01:10:27,160 --> 01:10:30,320 Speaker 5: I concur you said it. Well, nothing else to add 1450 01:10:30,439 --> 01:10:33,080 Speaker 5: Ohio State plus seven and a half grab the hook. 1451 01:10:33,680 --> 01:10:35,760 Speaker 5: We'll have great content out on an Action Network app 1452 01:10:36,200 --> 01:10:39,160 Speaker 5: and Actionnework dot com. Al Before we get out here, 1453 01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:40,200 Speaker 5: let's go three and out. 1454 01:10:43,000 --> 01:10:45,080 Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out. 1455 01:10:46,600 --> 01:10:50,120 Speaker 5: On first down here, we would normally at some point 1456 01:10:50,200 --> 01:10:53,639 Speaker 5: to our favorite underdog, Buddy Line parlay Kyle, you finished hot. 1457 01:10:54,520 --> 01:10:58,760 Speaker 5: We were gonna do this, but there's only what eight 1458 01:10:58,880 --> 01:11:02,280 Speaker 5: total games between Friday and we both wanted Ohio State, 1459 01:11:02,720 --> 01:11:05,120 Speaker 5: so you can't. Unfortunately, you can't parley Ohio State money 1460 01:11:05,160 --> 01:11:07,720 Speaker 5: line with Ohio State money line, but the Ohio State 1461 01:11:07,720 --> 01:11:10,960 Speaker 5: would have been the choice. Uh. Second down here, we'll 1462 01:11:11,000 --> 01:11:15,040 Speaker 5: go quickly predictions. We won't we won't necessarily go with 1463 01:11:15,200 --> 01:11:18,120 Speaker 5: national champion, but we'll go with winners of this game. 1464 01:11:19,080 --> 01:11:23,559 Speaker 5: I'm clearly going with cute the Notre Dame fight song. 1465 01:11:25,479 --> 01:11:33,160 Speaker 6: Oh Johnny, the pipes, the pipes are calling. 1466 01:11:33,840 --> 01:11:37,400 Speaker 1: From Glen to Glenn down. 1467 01:11:37,360 --> 01:11:41,320 Speaker 5: The mountain side kidding. I can't even say with a 1468 01:11:41,320 --> 01:11:45,120 Speaker 5: straight face, Alabama. Maybe this is me just wanting something 1469 01:11:45,200 --> 01:11:47,360 Speaker 5: new Alabama against Ohio State. 1470 01:11:48,160 --> 01:11:50,519 Speaker 1: I can't say that I disagree with you, it's gonna 1471 01:11:50,520 --> 01:11:52,760 Speaker 1: be Alabama Ohio State, and I'm gonna come up with 1472 01:11:52,880 --> 01:11:55,920 Speaker 1: a prediction of four and a half to be the opener. 1473 01:11:56,880 --> 01:12:01,479 Speaker 5: Wow, I'm gonna say it was open higher. I think 1474 01:12:01,520 --> 01:12:03,439 Speaker 5: it would open it at if. I mean, we have 1475 01:12:03,520 --> 01:12:06,400 Speaker 5: to remember that a Albama beats that her name, who cares? 1476 01:12:06,479 --> 01:12:07,640 Speaker 5: I mean, how much more of a bump are they 1477 01:12:07,680 --> 01:12:10,439 Speaker 5: going to get their twenty point favorites? But if Ohio State, 1478 01:12:10,920 --> 01:12:12,920 Speaker 5: in fairness, if I States beats Clempson, they're gonna get 1479 01:12:12,920 --> 01:12:16,080 Speaker 5: a big bump in the you know, in people's power ratings, 1480 01:12:16,160 --> 01:12:20,120 Speaker 5: in market perception. So I still think it would be 1481 01:12:20,160 --> 01:12:23,840 Speaker 5: around a touchdown. But hopefully we're able to see if 1482 01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:29,080 Speaker 5: that comes to fruition. We can test our predictions. We're 1483 01:12:29,080 --> 01:12:32,680 Speaker 5: all Ohio State fans this weekend and thair down. We 1484 01:12:32,760 --> 01:12:35,800 Speaker 5: had a little something a little different this week. I 1485 01:12:35,880 --> 01:12:38,639 Speaker 5: want to again voicemail. I'll forget about voicemail this weekend. 1486 01:12:38,640 --> 01:12:40,559 Speaker 5: You can do during college basketball oring NFL playoffs too 1487 01:12:40,560 --> 01:12:43,120 Speaker 5: as well. Thanks to everyone for calling in to the 1488 01:12:43,160 --> 01:12:46,320 Speaker 5: voicemail hotline this season. It's one of my favorite parts 1489 01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:51,439 Speaker 5: of our Monday episode. And here are some of our 1490 01:12:51,479 --> 01:12:53,760 Speaker 5: favorite voicemails, and by the way, we'll share more during 1491 01:12:53,800 --> 01:12:57,559 Speaker 5: our National Championship preview episode next week and get out 1492 01:12:57,600 --> 01:13:00,640 Speaker 5: some awards. If you hear your voice any time in 1493 01:13:00,720 --> 01:13:03,160 Speaker 5: this segment or the next one when we share our favorites, 1494 01:13:03,720 --> 01:13:08,439 Speaker 5: email our producer at podcasts at actionnetwork dot com and 1495 01:13:08,479 --> 01:13:11,080 Speaker 5: they'll send you a prize. You have reached the voice 1496 01:13:11,120 --> 01:13:12,240 Speaker 5: nail box of my. 1497 01:13:12,360 --> 01:13:13,760 Speaker 1: Action Network podcast. 1498 01:13:14,240 --> 01:13:16,360 Speaker 7: Leave a message after the bleed. 1499 01:13:18,160 --> 01:13:20,479 Speaker 5: Hey, do me a favor. Don't bleep this out. 1500 01:13:20,920 --> 01:13:23,960 Speaker 6: Jim Harbaugh is the mother for that. 1501 01:13:25,280 --> 01:13:28,720 Speaker 7: I've lost more money on that mother since the day 1502 01:13:28,800 --> 01:13:33,519 Speaker 7: he set foot into Michigan with a stupid mother, kakis 1503 01:13:33,600 --> 01:13:38,519 Speaker 7: and glasses that can't cover for I hope he doesn't 1504 01:13:38,520 --> 01:13:40,880 Speaker 7: even come out on the tunnel for the second half 1505 01:13:41,000 --> 01:13:43,639 Speaker 7: this piece of hockey. 1506 01:13:43,760 --> 01:13:47,280 Speaker 3: Colin, let's talk about bad beat hol from above the 1507 01:13:47,439 --> 01:13:51,759 Speaker 3: Southern Alabama defense. To have four guys who weighed fifty 1508 01:13:51,880 --> 01:13:54,280 Speaker 3: hundred pounds not be able to tackle. 1509 01:13:54,439 --> 01:13:55,920 Speaker 7: Why couldn't he just speak the guys. 1510 01:13:56,120 --> 01:13:58,160 Speaker 3: This is a disgrace of going to take a path. 1511 01:13:58,600 --> 01:13:59,840 Speaker 4: You step kidding me. 1512 01:14:00,360 --> 01:14:02,320 Speaker 2: Please get the fuck out here. 1513 01:14:02,439 --> 01:14:04,640 Speaker 4: I offed out of the season. I will be the 1514 01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:07,920 Speaker 4: additional op out for the Yellow Shutagers. 1515 01:14:08,439 --> 01:14:10,120 Speaker 6: I have to start off this call with a big 1516 01:14:10,680 --> 01:14:14,200 Speaker 6: hu to leach in the Mississippi State Bulldogs giving. 1517 01:14:14,080 --> 01:14:16,800 Speaker 4: Up one hundred and sixty yards. 1518 01:14:16,560 --> 01:14:21,960 Speaker 6: On defense and lose by more than twenty two points them. 1519 01:14:22,320 --> 01:14:25,960 Speaker 4: I really must love torturing myself because I threw in 1520 01:14:26,080 --> 01:14:28,400 Speaker 4: a play on you mass plus thirty one. 1521 01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:32,439 Speaker 7: It's like I hate money, this pathetic team. I can't 1522 01:14:32,479 --> 01:14:35,720 Speaker 7: believe this. I got a sleeping baby on me, so 1523 01:14:35,840 --> 01:14:36,439 Speaker 7: I can't yell. 1524 01:14:37,160 --> 01:14:37,799 Speaker 4: Lame Giffen. 1525 01:14:38,080 --> 01:14:39,479 Speaker 6: Take that last time out that. 1526 01:14:39,560 --> 01:14:40,920 Speaker 7: You took with you at the end of the game 1527 01:14:41,280 --> 01:14:42,280 Speaker 7: and go fix. 1528 01:14:42,120 --> 01:14:42,760 Speaker 1: Yourself with it. 1529 01:14:43,200 --> 01:14:48,439 Speaker 4: Are you guys serious? The San Jose State Air Force over, 1530 01:14:48,960 --> 01:14:53,960 Speaker 4: it's past. I'm nineteen beers deep. This zero to zero. 1531 01:14:54,680 --> 01:14:56,760 Speaker 4: I don't listen to you guys for an hour and 1532 01:14:56,800 --> 01:14:59,080 Speaker 4: a half on Monday and then another hour and a 1533 01:14:59,080 --> 01:15:02,799 Speaker 4: half on Friday. Just untail all these dudes on partying 1534 01:15:02,880 --> 01:15:07,360 Speaker 4: with to hit this over. Yeah, I'm sorry, fellas, nineteen 1535 01:15:07,400 --> 01:15:11,000 Speaker 4: beers deep. That's more points or score tonight, you know what. 1536 01:15:11,640 --> 01:15:13,880 Speaker 6: Hugh Brian Kelly for going for it and trying to 1537 01:15:14,400 --> 01:15:17,160 Speaker 6: stick it to Georgia Tech even more Hugh Irish, But 1538 01:15:17,400 --> 01:15:19,760 Speaker 6: just pick a knee, just those pieces of ship. 1539 01:15:20,439 --> 01:15:24,240 Speaker 4: You can't have a badass name like Rocky Lombardi and 1540 01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:29,599 Speaker 4: play this bad Oh Rocky cup, You'll never be fed 1541 01:15:29,800 --> 01:15:31,080 Speaker 4: by me again. 1542 01:15:32,400 --> 01:15:35,120 Speaker 5: I just said, oh this Saturday, get off my couch 1543 01:15:35,360 --> 01:15:36,519 Speaker 5: and take a try just. 1544 01:15:36,560 --> 01:15:41,680 Speaker 3: The cool down Appalachian State plump seating five or come 1545 01:15:41,760 --> 01:15:43,680 Speaker 3: hing for fifty nine minutes and. 1546 01:15:46,560 --> 01:15:50,280 Speaker 5: Oh my god, I don't know what else they need 1547 01:15:50,400 --> 01:15:50,519 Speaker 5: to do. 1548 01:15:50,840 --> 01:15:53,519 Speaker 4: I picked up every piece of dogs my dog has, 1549 01:15:54,520 --> 01:15:56,240 Speaker 4: Like there's many times no one was looking. 1550 01:15:56,280 --> 01:15:57,880 Speaker 5: I could have left it, but for good comrade, I 1551 01:15:57,960 --> 01:16:00,240 Speaker 5: picked it up. And it's supposed to be paying and 1552 01:16:00,320 --> 01:16:02,000 Speaker 5: it's not. Hey, what up? Nick? 1553 01:16:02,400 --> 01:16:05,879 Speaker 1: After Jerry Garantano has gone, you're officially the worst quarterback 1554 01:16:05,920 --> 01:16:10,240 Speaker 1: in the NCC. Now that, man, I don't. 1555 01:16:10,120 --> 01:16:12,960 Speaker 7: Even know what that anymore. My life is disgusting and 1556 01:16:13,080 --> 01:16:16,400 Speaker 7: disgusted for my entire life everything. 1557 01:16:16,520 --> 01:16:20,000 Speaker 4: I guarantee I will never watch a match game again 1558 01:16:20,720 --> 01:16:22,040 Speaker 4: until next two days. 1559 01:16:23,760 --> 01:16:26,719 Speaker 5: All right, that'll do it for us, Colin. I'm excited 1560 01:16:26,760 --> 01:16:29,080 Speaker 5: to go head to head with you on It looks 1561 01:16:29,120 --> 01:16:31,400 Speaker 5: like your last chance is going to be West Virginia. Yep, 1562 01:16:32,160 --> 01:16:39,720 Speaker 5: row maybe Oregon, maybe Oregon. I might be on my 1563 01:16:39,880 --> 01:16:41,840 Speaker 5: Iowa State, so keep an eye on the actually our cap. 1564 01:16:42,560 --> 01:16:44,160 Speaker 5: But we are both on the same page on the 1565 01:16:44,240 --> 01:16:46,439 Speaker 5: number of other games this weekend, including Leech. 1566 01:16:47,200 --> 01:16:49,040 Speaker 1: You know, I hope there's bigfoot. 1567 01:16:49,120 --> 01:16:51,360 Speaker 5: I don't think there is. The reason I don't think 1568 01:16:51,439 --> 01:16:54,679 Speaker 5: there is because we've found bones of dinosaurs and everything else, 1569 01:16:54,760 --> 01:16:58,280 Speaker 5: but we haven't found bones that I've heard of of bigfoot. 1570 01:16:58,640 --> 01:17:02,080 Speaker 5: Most importantly, Ohio State. Let's get it done, buck guys, 1571 01:17:02,320 --> 01:17:05,040 Speaker 5: and uh, don't forget about the voicemail. Don't forget to 1572 01:17:05,160 --> 01:17:08,760 Speaker 5: subscribe on subscribe, subscribe, tell a friend, tell enemy, leave 1573 01:17:08,800 --> 01:17:11,920 Speaker 5: a review. We're gonna give do more getaways on the 1574 01:17:11,960 --> 01:17:16,320 Speaker 5: Monday episode. Good luck this weekend. Let's close Bold season strong. 1575 01:17:16,400 --> 01:17:18,080 Speaker 5: We'll catch you all later. Happy New Year. Cheers. 1576 01:17:18,520 --> 01:17:20,639 Speaker 1: Oh h, I owe pace out. 1577 01:17:30,600 --> 01:17:31,679 Speaker 5: We're finished talking