1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: The Favorite podcast is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: no better place to make every moment more than with FanDuel. 3 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: I bet with FanDuel because they're safe and secure, they 4 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: offer great odds and markets across the NBA, n HL 5 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: and more, and because it's fun to combine multiple bets 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: into same game parlays. So if you're new, just download 7 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: the FanDuel Sports Book app to get started now. Sign 8 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: up with promo code Favorites so they know I sent you. 9 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:33,160 Speaker 1: You must be over in president in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, 10 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia or Louisiana. 11 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred next step or text 12 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,279 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona 13 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash 14 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: r G in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey. In Virginia one 15 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 1: eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit 16 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight seven 17 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: zero seven one one seven for confidential help in Michigan 18 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: one eight seventh s t o P in Louisiana called 19 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 1: the Tennessee Redline one eight nine or visit one eight 20 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: Gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to The Favorites. 21 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 1: I am not Chad Melman. I work for a living. 22 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Moore. I'm the senior NBA writer 23 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 1: for the Action Network for this NBA playoff edition of 24 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 1: The Favorites. Thanks for joining us from the Volume Podcast Network. 25 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:39,119 Speaker 1: The Favorites is here talk NBA Playoffs with Jason Tamp 26 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: from the Volume Podcast Network. Jason, how you doing. I'm good. 27 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? Thanks for having me on. I appreciate it. Yeah, 28 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:46,960 Speaker 1: excited to have you. I'm sure that you things have 29 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: cleared up for you. Now that the Lakers of you know, 30 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 1: finish their season in a giant ball of flame, I 31 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: get to actually watch and enjoy and talk about good 32 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: basketball now. I'm very, very excited. Also joining me is 33 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, for who I will not lavish with praise 34 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: the way that Chad Melman field and need to every 35 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: single week. Simon, I just want to let you know 36 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: I appreciate your work and I'm glad you're here. I'm 37 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 1: glad to talk basketball with you. Thanks man. Yeah, honestly 38 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: I do need it though, That's why Chad does it. 39 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: I'm very mentally weak, so every week I need him 40 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: to reaffirm our friendship. So good, But I did my 41 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: life end up where I'm here working this show and 42 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,239 Speaker 1: Chad's on vacation, and not even that, I'm got to 43 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: bring Matt Mitchell in here, who writes up our details 44 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 1: of our podcast. I looked last week someone sent to me. 45 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:34,239 Speaker 1: They called me Chad sidekick. I'm not robbing. Stop calling 46 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,519 Speaker 1: me robin to this man's batman? What is? What is happening? 47 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 1: So if I don't know if it's you met or 48 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:43,679 Speaker 1: for Drury, but who call me a sidekick? One more time? 49 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: I dare you call me a sidekick one more time? 50 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: That obviously that was me? And it's funny you'll think 51 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,040 Speaker 1: this is a lie, but I thought I'll say sidekick 52 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 1: because Simon will never read this and I didn't. Someone 53 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 1: sent it to you said your Chad sidekick. Oh my god, 54 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: that's very pleasing that you found its way back to you, 55 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: So thanks Simon. Alright, let's talk some NBA playoffs. We're 56 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: recording this on Tuesday around noon mountain time, Tuesday afternoon eastern. 57 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 1: Uh so we're not gonna talk about the playing games 58 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 1: because we have no idea who's gonna win and who's 59 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: gonna be in what spot. But we're gonna go over 60 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 1: the seas that we know and get you some ideas 61 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:23,080 Speaker 1: and some best bets on those. Let's start with Simon's 62 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 1: hometown team, those Philadelphia seventies six ers. But they're oh 63 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:28,959 Speaker 1: so delightful fans that have been my mentions for the 64 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: past four months about the m v P race taking 65 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: on the Toronto Raptors. This is, in my opinion, this 66 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: is the trendy upset pick. This is the one that 67 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: I think is going to be the public dog that 68 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: everyone's like, you know, I really like hot take here. 69 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 1: I like the Raptors, which is making me real nervous. 70 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: We'll get to my best bet on it. But look, 71 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: Joel Embiid probably gonna finish second or third in m 72 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: v P voting from nominal season. He's gonna draw off 73 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 1: fouls in this matchup. It should be the opportunity for 74 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: him to step into the spot light as a pre 75 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: eminent big man in the NBA versus a team that's 76 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: rolling out Kem Birch and Precious A Chua and Chris 77 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: Bouche at center, So this is a pretty good matchup 78 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: for them in terms of that, but the Raptors have 79 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: really given him trouble. My bigger question, though Jason is here. Look, 80 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 1: James Harden has a pretty spotty playoff history. It goes 81 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 1: back several years. He started off really great with the 82 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: Sixers and then there's kind of been a tailspin. Do 83 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,480 Speaker 1: you think that Harden can finally have the postseason that 84 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 1: everyone's been waiting on and he can help and b 85 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 1: carry this team to a title or at least path 86 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: of Raptors in the four or five matchup. I think 87 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: that ship is sailed. Man Um, there's some really concerning 88 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:45,480 Speaker 1: stuff with James Harden, even beyond the postseason now, stretching 89 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 1: into what we've seen of late. Like you referenced in 90 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: his two matchups with the Raptors this season, he's eight 91 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 1: for twenty four from the field, one for eight from three, 92 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: and he has twenty three assists to go with nine turnovers. 93 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: And the biggest issue is he doesn't have the burst 94 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: to beat people off the dribble as well as he 95 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: used to, and the people don't understand how important that 96 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: is to everything in his game because when he has 97 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: defenders on his heat on their heels, that opens up 98 00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:15,159 Speaker 1: his step back, which allows him to get separations. So 99 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: that's a quality shot. But when he's not beating people 100 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 1: off the dribble, defenders are up on their toes, they're 101 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 1: crowding him. Now he's not getting a ton of separation 102 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: on that step back. Now he's trying to draw fouls 103 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: instead of get quality shots. Not to mention the way 104 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: him getting into the paint opens up his playmaking games. 105 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 1: So like you're you know, and then we get into 106 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: the postseason, and now you're talking about the way that 107 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: limits his ability to foul grift and the amount of 108 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 1: physicality that is allowed in that setting, the way fatigue 109 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 1: plays a role. And then the other thing with James Harden, 110 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: he's a very repetitive basketball player. He doesn't have a 111 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 1: ton of variety to the way he attacks you, which 112 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 1: makes him directly susceptible to late series struggles because defensive 113 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,159 Speaker 1: players start to pick up on his cues, the little 114 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: things that he does to hint at one move or 115 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,599 Speaker 1: one read or things along those lines. In a postseason series, 116 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 1: variety is what wins. This is what has made guys 117 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: like Lebron so dominant over the years as the many 118 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 1: different ways that he can come at you. So I'm 119 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: worried about that. And then quite frankly, the Raptors are 120 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: a really really good help team. They overcrowd on ball handlers, 121 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: and they do a lot of stunting and doubling and 122 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,160 Speaker 1: and uh and crowding one side of the floor. And 123 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: the Sixers do not generate a ton of three point shots, 124 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: which is something that seriously concerns me. And the last, 125 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: but not least, Joel Embiid three matchups with the Raptors 126 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:34,799 Speaker 1: this year, only eight assists with eight turnovers in three games. 127 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 1: He's not grad at handling double teams. He's straight up 128 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: told that to JJ Reddick the other day on his 129 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: pot talking about how the Raptors were the best defense 130 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:44,559 Speaker 1: to guard him this year with their ability to crowd 131 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: him and make things uncomfortable. I will be picking the 132 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,359 Speaker 1: Raptors in this series in six games. I unfortunately it 133 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: is the trendy pick, but it is based on on 134 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: what I've seen in the basketball. I just think this 135 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 1: is a terrible matchup for Philly, in the worst possible 136 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: draw that could have got for that first yeah, you know, 137 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: the Raptors are gonna switch a lot. This is where 138 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: the part part of the problem. Harden likes to pick 139 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: on whoever the weak spot is. He wants to force 140 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 1: you has switched and then he wants to go one 141 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 1: on one and pick on you. This is a hard 142 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: one for him to do because the Raptors are just like, 143 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 1: we have like nine dudes that are all six eight 144 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: and they're all athletic, and then we have Fred van Bleet, 145 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 1: who's a pain. Who do you want like make your 146 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 1: poison deal with whatever you want? Uh, Simon before you 147 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: get the best bets. I kind of think Tyrese max 148 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: is actually gonna have a bigger impact in the series 149 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 1: than Harden. Uh if if they were to flame out, 150 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: what's the filly reaction gonna be for Harden? I mean, 151 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 1: we're all just hoping he doesn't get paid. Like to me, 152 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: I think most Philip fans like me are just looking 153 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: as a positive. It's like, yeah, Harden is not what 154 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: he was, but is he better than what Ben Simmons 155 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: was giving us? Yes, Ben Simon was a zero. So 156 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: I look at the stat that it's to me, it's 157 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 1: been Harden is more of taking a step back and 158 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 1: looked at Max. He's saying, I'm not the number two guy. 159 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 1: You are. You need to play like that. I'm the 160 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: old man over here. And I know that Philly fans 161 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: want to hear that, but that's just the way I've 162 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: looked at hard and taking a step back. And I 163 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: know we're not gonna talk about MVP race, but you 164 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: said they're in your damns about it. I think it's 165 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: just because as the Sixers fans were like, and Beads 166 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 1: being shipped on by everyone in the media because he 167 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 1: gets free throws. That's like shooting on Barry Bonds because 168 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: Barry Bonds would get walked a lot. Is it really 169 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: his fault that he's one of the most efficient players 170 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:24,680 Speaker 1: in basketball that you're big man's failing out because he's 171 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: getting into the free throw line. So I know that's 172 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: a different discussion, but I I look at this Sixers 173 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 1: team that I most years would say they're gonna flame 174 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:35,199 Speaker 1: in the first round. But because the embiid m VP stuff, 175 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be on the next level. I 176 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 1: think this Maxi has really been coming into form these 177 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, So I I see why people 178 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:45,320 Speaker 1: picking Toronto as a sleeper dog, but I really do 179 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:47,319 Speaker 1: think that's gonna benefit the Sixers and Sixers are just 180 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: gonna be slept on like they had been all year. 181 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 1: So I actually liked him this matchup, but I think 182 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 1: it's good value at what is it? Um? I don't 183 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: know what the line opened at, but I remember seeing 184 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:58,199 Speaker 1: that it started to move a little bit. Like you 185 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:00,559 Speaker 1: said the public money was coming on Toronto. Now that's 186 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 1: coming back. I guess professionals are on the six or so. 187 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 1: I'm just hearing what your best bet is here, Matt. Yeah. So, 188 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: by the way, on the drifting thing, you're absolutely right. 189 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 1: I did a big breakdown on Action Network. You can 190 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 1: find it that goes into the details. He absolutely gets fouled. 191 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 1: Like I went through and was like, he sells the 192 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: hell out of it, but he absolutely just gets fouled constantly. 193 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 1: If you do the deep dive, you'll be like, God, 194 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: he sells it so bad. But it was a foul. Yeah, 195 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,439 Speaker 1: let's talk best bets. My best bet here, I love 196 00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: wind spreads. This to me is the best market on 197 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,679 Speaker 1: these series prices. Sixers minus one and half is plus one. 198 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 1: So I'm getting the team with home court, the team 199 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: of the best player in the matchup, and I'm getting 200 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: them a plus number to basically win four two or better. 201 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 1: Here's a big key. The Raptors have the best half 202 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: court offense. They don't have shooters, Like I'm not. That's 203 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: not me saying that William lou does a great job 204 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: covering the Raptors talks about this all the time. They 205 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:57,559 Speaker 1: don't have shooters and the Sixers don't generate a lot 206 00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 1: of threes is part of Jason's argument, and he's right there. 207 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: But part of these is they've gotten a lot better 208 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: over the last since All Stars, since they added hardened. 209 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 1: Maxie was shooting like plus from three and Tobias Harris, 210 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 1: who started this season absolutely sucking and all of the 211 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: Philly hated him seven percent from three. Since All Star, 212 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 1: he's turned it up a lot. I think Max is 213 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:20,480 Speaker 1: gonna take advantage of the other side of this matchup 214 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 1: because he's got a little bit of size on those 215 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 1: other guards in terms of his quickness. For the Raptors, 216 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: I just think they're the Sixers have too much offense. 217 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: I'm actually taking six years minus one and half plus 218 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 1: one at van duel. Jason, you like the Raptors just 219 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 1: to win the series out right plus one fifty. Yeah, 220 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: and I don't I like your bet because I wouldn't 221 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: be shocked if Philly one, you know, like they certainly 222 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,719 Speaker 1: are the more talented team. The one ring because I've 223 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: been worried about Toronto's offense as well. The one wrinkle 224 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:54,439 Speaker 1: is so the lineup of uh Fred VanVleet with Gary 225 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 1: Trent Jr. O g n and Obi Pascal and Scottie 226 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: Barnes has played fewer than four minutes this year. That's 227 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: their best line up in my opinion, in terms of 228 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: a combination of offensive firepower and defensive versatility. And that 229 00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: group just hasn't been on the floor a lot this year. 230 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,719 Speaker 1: So I do think you'll face a better rap And 231 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 1: I think uh O g Na Nobe did come back 232 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 1: on Sunday, so they will both be available in this series. 233 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 1: Him and Fred vanvleeve has been dealing with some knee stuff, 234 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 1: so I'm a hundred percent with you. I do think 235 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:27,439 Speaker 1: Toronto will have a better offensive punch than they've shown 236 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 1: through much of the season. The way I look at it, 237 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,959 Speaker 1: this series is pretty much a coin flip on my end. 238 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 1: I'm just picking Toronto to win because I think that 239 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:40,319 Speaker 1: I think that what's gonna end up happening is it's 240 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: gonna come down to James Harden's ability to create offense 241 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 1: from the perimeter, and I just don't think he's gonna 242 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:46,599 Speaker 1: be able to create enough of it. Simon, what do 243 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: you like in this one? Yeah, Honestly, if I'm just 244 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 1: going off pure value, I think the best value is 245 00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: honestly on Toronto minus one and a half, just because 246 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 1: six years always choked. As a fan, I know this, 247 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: and Doc Rivers historically has choked other than that one 248 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: year with Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Out. So 249 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:05,840 Speaker 1: Sixers don't have three all of famers on their team 250 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,839 Speaker 1: right now, So I'm I'm leaning towards the Sixers losing. 251 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,679 Speaker 1: But obviously is a homer here. I've already bet Stixers 252 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 1: minus one and a half. But best value Toronto minus 253 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 1: wanting to half. Letus want to have all right, Uh, 254 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 1: let's go to Bucks Bulls. So I mean, I want 255 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 1: to ask you about this one, and we're not gonna 256 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 1: spend a lot of time on this one because this 257 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 1: is gonna be like this one's the one that's priced 258 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 1: the shortest in terms of how long the series is 259 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,680 Speaker 1: gonna go. Um, Bucks are minus eleven to win the series, 260 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: Bulls are plus seven hundred. When you got a huge 261 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: matchup in any sort of sports betting situation where it 262 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 1: just seems like everybody's like, oh they're gonna kill him. 263 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: Oh this is gonna be a complete wipe out, what's 264 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:43,440 Speaker 1: your instinct? Is your instinct to like if it's not? 265 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 1: If the market reflects that, right, It's not just that 266 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:49,319 Speaker 1: it's a trendy spot here, but the market actually shows 267 00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 1: that there's this wave in one direction. What's your instinct? 268 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: There is a better I see? I love the NBA. 269 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 1: That NBA is just keep a simple stupid. We know 270 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 1: who the best players are, we know what the best systems, Alrea, 271 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 1: you know what the best teams are. So I've probably 272 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,079 Speaker 1: talked to tender from pros that this is their biggest 273 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,680 Speaker 1: bet Bucks minus one and a half, and we've seen 274 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 1: that line running for the series price. So to me, 275 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 1: I'm all over the Bucks. The Bulls. We've seen him 276 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 1: this year. Right, every time you see them play a 277 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: good team, they lose. And that's just that's just who 278 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: they are. They just don't have the superstars to keep 279 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 1: them in games. The Bucks are locked in. They've only 280 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:25,439 Speaker 1: gotten better at this second half of the season. So 281 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 1: I don't know about you guys, but I love the 282 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 1: Bucks and you're right, keep it simple. I'm just gonna 283 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:30,959 Speaker 1: take that minus one and a half. Yeah, I got 284 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 1: minus two and a half of minus one seventy. That 285 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 1: to me is like on the series on the wind spread. 286 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:37,360 Speaker 1: That to me, I'm willing to pay the seventy cents 287 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 1: on the on the dollar. They're just I'm okay with 288 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: that because I want to be able to cover it. 289 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: If you go for the sweep, right, you can get 290 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: the sweep of FanDuel at plus two seventy. Don't mind that. 291 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 1: I get a little worried about what we call it 292 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:54,479 Speaker 1: the gentleman's sweep, which is you get back to Chicago, 293 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 1: the Bucks let up, You'll let them have one to 294 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 1: be polite, and you finish up at home. Like that 295 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,439 Speaker 1: seems possible. The Bucks play drop coverage de Rosen and 296 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 1: Lavino nuts from mid range in one of the games, 297 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 1: they win the other game in Chicago, and we're out 298 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 1: of here in five. That seems like the most likely 299 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,080 Speaker 1: scenario to me. Minus one, minus two and a half 300 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: minus one seventy. I gotta pay the seventy cents on it, 301 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 1: but I'm alright with that because it covers me in 302 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: case the Bucks just don't have And the Bucks also 303 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: have this these shooting nights where it's just like they're 304 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: getting wide open looks. Client, client, client, client client. Jason, 305 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: what's your best bet for Bucks bulls? So, I think 306 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 1: I think a sweep is very much within the realm 307 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: of possibility. I'm with you, though, I would go for 308 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: one just because of the type the type of thing 309 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: that happens in a playoff series where a team just 310 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 1: brings lackadaisical effort. You talked a lot about the Bucks 311 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: running drop coverage. Another big issue there is Vussovitch is 312 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: a great pick and pop big and one of the 313 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: best counters fort a drop coverage when the big has 314 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: to drop and the guard has to chase over the 315 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: top is to have a big flares out the three 316 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:57,880 Speaker 1: point line. He's almost always wide open. The last time 317 00:14:57,880 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 1: they played, Vukovich got a lot of really good look 318 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 1: out of that kind of stuff. The main reason why 319 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 1: I would not be surprised by a sweep and the 320 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 1: reason why I think this series is going to be 321 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: so dominant for the for the Bucks is that when 322 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:12,640 Speaker 1: you have a disadvantage in the Stars, which obviously we 323 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 1: can all agree that the top level talent on the 324 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: Bucks is way better. But usually if you're gonna be 325 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 1: able to gain some ground, it's because you have a 326 00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: team advantage, something that your team does really well that 327 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: the other team does really poorly. And the gaping hole 328 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 1: anybody who's watched the Bucks this year, the gaping hole 329 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: with the Bucks as they overhelp and they give up 330 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 1: too many threes. They give up over twenty wide open 331 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 1: threes per games, so at least six ft away the 332 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 1: defensive player. They give up more than twenty of those 333 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 1: per game, So they give up tons of open threes. 334 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 1: But the Bulls attempt the fewest threes out of any 335 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: team in the NBA, the attempt just under twenty nine. 336 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 1: So the Bulls offensive system is not set up to 337 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 1: capitalize against the bucks biggest defensive weakness. So when you 338 00:15:56,280 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 1: couple that with the Star power gap, I think that 339 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 1: this is just a signal pacutely better basketball team that's 340 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: also a bad matchup for the Bulls. But I'm with 341 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: you I'm with you, Matt, there's you just you just 342 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:10,200 Speaker 1: never know. With these Game three in Chicago, buzz saw crowd, 343 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 1: they haven't had a playoff game in forever. I could 344 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 1: totally see it going. I could totally see the Bulls 345 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: getting one. But I think this is gonna be a 346 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 1: dominant performance from Milwaukee. I don't want to be annoyed 347 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: that the Bucks client one in Chicago. I just feel 348 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: like I'm if I take the sleeve and I'm so annoyed, 349 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna I always get mad at the Bucks 350 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 1: would be in like, just hit the open shots, guys, 351 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: just your professional basketball players, please make the open shots. 352 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: Eastern Conference finals or finals. I'm sorry, eater conference title 353 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: features for just to win the conference, Bucks are plus 354 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: two thirty nets plus three thirty heat plus three nineties 355 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 1: Celtics plus five hundred sixers plus six hundred raptors. Those 356 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: are your real threats. My best bet for a futures 357 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 1: play if you're looking at the Eastern Conference is actually 358 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,400 Speaker 1: six ers plus six hundred. I've been down on them 359 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 1: all year. I don't love this team. I don't love 360 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: a lot of their defense. I have questions they're coaching 361 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: Jewell Embiad has real trouble with the double team. Like 362 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:04,919 Speaker 1: like Tim talks about, I always talk about how that's 363 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 1: an issue, but look, they're on the good side of 364 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 1: the bracket. We don't know how the play is gonna go. 365 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 1: If the Nets amount wind up an eight, then I'm 366 00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:15,120 Speaker 1: gonna be like, oh no. But but the Nets also 367 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 1: don't have anybody to guard and bad and if they 368 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,679 Speaker 1: get past the Raptors, the heat or a tough matchup, 369 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 1: but it's the one that you want. At six to one, 370 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 1: I think the value, the best value in the East 371 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: is on the sixers. Jason, what do you like in 372 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference? I love that number for Boston. I 373 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 1: was thinking about that. I was doing my plane preview 374 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 1: for the show, and I was looking at that that 375 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 1: to seven matchup with Brooklyn, and I really like Brooklyn. 376 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 1: But every every time I've watched Boston and and Dove 377 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: taking that dive into what they do, they have a 378 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:48,199 Speaker 1: system that I think is built to succeed in playoff basketball, 379 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 1: especially now that Jayson Tatum is so good at accepting 380 00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,159 Speaker 1: the double team and weaponizing it to get open shots 381 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 1: for his teammates. Obviously, the Robert Williams thing concerns me. 382 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:00,480 Speaker 1: And then you run into that issue where if when 383 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:02,679 Speaker 1: teams double Jayson Tatum, you get a lot of like 384 00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:05,479 Speaker 1: Marcus Smart taking the three, you know, or or like 385 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 1: Derek White taking it three, who has been a really 386 00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:09,240 Speaker 1: bad shooter this year. So you can see that there 387 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:13,359 Speaker 1: is some weaknesses forming there. But at that number, I 388 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 1: think Boston is every bid is capable of winning the 389 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 1: East as any other team there. So I love that 390 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:22,639 Speaker 1: that number. Simon, would you like, yeah, honestly, it's not 391 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 1: even a homer big I would just say six is 392 00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:27,120 Speaker 1: just because no team has something to counter on Beat. 393 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:30,080 Speaker 1: So if he can get hot, if Harding can oxly 394 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,880 Speaker 1: wake up and stop playing like you guys are talking, 395 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 1: you just can't hit shots right now. If h and 396 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:39,160 Speaker 1: Maxie and Beat all play at their capability the sixers, 397 00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:41,199 Speaker 1: that's like, that's a really really tough big three. And 398 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 1: then Tobias is the fourth man. So at plus six 399 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 1: D with the six ers, that's just really good value 400 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: on a team that I feel like we're getting that 401 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: number just because every year they've let people down. I'm 402 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,399 Speaker 1: still furious that we got the Gnats were in the 403 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,440 Speaker 1: play in and they're still plus three thirty. The books 404 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,159 Speaker 1: just all year like, Nope, liabilities too high and they 405 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,480 Speaker 1: got Kevin Durant, yourselves don't care. I don't not moving 406 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 1: the line. Uh, let's go to the Western Conference. The 407 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 1: Nuggets taken on the Warriors with likely m v P 408 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 1: winner odz On favorite NICOLEA. Yokis, who was surprisingly at 409 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 1: this point you would have to say, is the best 410 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: player right now in the series, which is crazy because 411 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 1: Steph Curry, who's gonna be one of the ten best 412 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,159 Speaker 1: players probably of all time based off a resume, is 413 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: gonna be in the series. Uh. Likely Steph Curry returns, 414 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 1: not for sure yet, but I think Curry is indicated 415 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 1: he feels pretty confident that that Curry's gonna be back. Uh. 416 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 1: Nuggets are plus two oh five to win the series 417 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 1: minus two fifty. The win line spreads Warriors minus one 418 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 1: and a half at minus one oh five. Um, I'll 419 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 1: just go ahead and say this. I like Warriors minus 420 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:42,959 Speaker 1: one and a half here. I cover the Nuggets locally 421 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:44,680 Speaker 1: here in Denver. But the team I see the most 422 00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,959 Speaker 1: of they're exhausted, they're tired. Jamald Murray is likely not 423 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 1: coming back. NPJ is not coming back. There's no reason 424 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 1: to think NBJ is coming back at all. There's very 425 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 1: little reason I think Jamal Murray comes back. Second best 426 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:58,399 Speaker 1: players Aaron Gordon, the Warriors gonna dare him to shoot. 427 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: Their best players, Will Barton, They're gonna dare him just shoot. 428 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,639 Speaker 1: The Nuggets have have done pretty impressive work making it 429 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:07,680 Speaker 1: this far. I like this matchup honestly for Denver. That's 430 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,920 Speaker 1: what sucks is if they are fully healthy, I would 431 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,439 Speaker 1: Hammer and Nuggets plus two oh five here if they 432 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,719 Speaker 1: just had Jamal Murray back. Forget MPJ, they just had 433 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 1: Jamal Murray. But this team ran as steam. They're exhausted. 434 00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 1: They had to play their starters heavy, heavy minutes early 435 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 1: on the season because they had the worst bench in 436 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,879 Speaker 1: the NBA. Dragged him down. So for me, I'm getting 437 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: minus one oh five on Warriors will win this in 438 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,480 Speaker 1: six or less. That's easy for me. I'm gonna be 439 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: on Warriors minus one and a half minus one oh five. Simon, 440 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,360 Speaker 1: what do you think? Yeah, I honestly wanted to really 441 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 1: bet the Warriors to win it all, But like you 442 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 1: just said, the stuff Curry injury, it's just really thrown 443 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:45,479 Speaker 1: me off because we don't know what he's gonna be 444 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: coming back, but I can't. I can't get over the 445 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,400 Speaker 1: MBP thing. The Nuggets are the sixth seed and the 446 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 1: Western Conference, the weaker Western Conference, and this man is 447 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: gonna gam VP. It is crazy. Joker's gonna win it. 448 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 1: But I don't know. I honestly, I just want to 449 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: take the Nuggets because I like I like them better. 450 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 1: But you just talked about all the matchups. They're out 451 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,479 Speaker 1: of gas, They've kind of they've kind of run as 452 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,879 Speaker 1: far as they can. So I guess I would take 453 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,000 Speaker 1: the Warriors just because Clay has been there, Draymond has 454 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,320 Speaker 1: been there, and Steph obviously has been there. So yeah, 455 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 1: I'm with you. Mightus one, mightus one and a half. 456 00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 1: I like this line, especially because it's like, do I 457 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 1: think the Nuggets can take a game? Yeah? Do I 458 00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 1: think the Nuggets can take two games? Pretty sure? Yeah? 459 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 1: Do I think they can take three? I do not. 460 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 1: I do not think they can take three off the Warriors. 461 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,400 Speaker 1: Jason de Eveleen here, Yeah, I'm with you. I would 462 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: take the Warriors in five. The thing is is personnel 463 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: limitations in particular are easier to work around in a 464 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 1: regular season than they are in the postseason. In a 465 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:45,439 Speaker 1: postseason setting, when you have the time to scout and 466 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 1: you get extra look at film, it's just easier to 467 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:53,119 Speaker 1: to counter and make adjustments when you have personnel advantages. 468 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,920 Speaker 1: And the Golden State Warriors are absolutely, unquestionably more talented. 469 00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,320 Speaker 1: I understand the did the question marks surrounding the Warriors. 470 00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:01,960 Speaker 1: There are a lot like the Lakers this year in 471 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 1: the sense that like every time one of their stars 472 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:05,920 Speaker 1: was healthy, the other one was hurt, and then one 473 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 1: one of them would come back, then the other guy 474 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: would get hurt, and then it just they never really 475 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:13,119 Speaker 1: had that continuity. But there's two reasons why that doesn't 476 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 1: scare me. One, the Golden State Warriors are a well 477 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 1: run team, and so when those personnel issues happened for 478 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:22,400 Speaker 1: them this year with injuries, they continued to run functional 479 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 1: basketball with a good amount of talent with young players 480 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 1: and a ton of athleticism there. They have like one 481 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: of the deepest arsenals of wings, athletic wings that you 482 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: see in the league, which you know, I love that 483 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 1: kind of thing. And then what the other thing too, 484 00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 1: is it was a continuity. If there's one trio in 485 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 1: basketball that you would be least concerned about picking up 486 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,399 Speaker 1: how they play on the fly. I think it'd be 487 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: Steph Klan Draymond with all of the reps that they 488 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,879 Speaker 1: have over the years. So I think personnel limitations are 489 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 1: gonna end up coming back to haunt Denver the at 490 00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 1: the end of the day, they're gonna end up probably 491 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 1: doubling Yokis for the most part. But you've got one 492 00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 1: of the best back line communicators in the league and 493 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 1: dream On Green sending people in the right direction, and 494 00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 1: a ton of athletic wings to rotate around. I think 495 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 1: Golden State's gonna to pull it off relatively easily. I 496 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,959 Speaker 1: would get Denver one game though. For sure. Game one 497 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:13,040 Speaker 1: I'm absolutely gonna be on the under Warriors defense was 498 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 1: gonna switch everything and make it tough on Denver. Yoka 499 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:18,400 Speaker 1: she is gonna have like thirty five, but nobody else 500 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,199 Speaker 1: that that's gonna be their scheme. Is there gonna be like, 501 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,720 Speaker 1: we'll have a joker she scoring forty five, and there're 502 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,159 Speaker 1: nobody else is gonna be able to get enough. And 503 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: then the Warrior's offense appressingly very middle of the pack, 504 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: very even versus a bad Denver defense. Their point of the 505 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:35,719 Speaker 1: the pack. Defense is horrible. The Warriors just haven't been 506 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:40,479 Speaker 1: good enough offensively. The numbers um money is coming out 507 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 1: on the over. I'm probably gonna go the other way 508 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 1: and take the under in game one. At least in 509 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:50,640 Speaker 1: the NBA playing tournament, there are no sure things except one, 510 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,720 Speaker 1: but at least twenty dollars in the same game parlays 511 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 1: fandel Sports Book and you'll give an instant bonus win 512 00:23:57,119 --> 00:24:00,119 Speaker 1: or lose. That's right. Not only do you get to 513 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 1: enjoy the NBA's best duking it out for the right 514 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:06,440 Speaker 1: to advance to the playoffs, but Fandels giving all customers 515 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:09,479 Speaker 1: a bonus for getting in on the action. Oh and 516 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 1: the more you bet, the bigger your bonus. For example, tonight, 517 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:18,880 Speaker 1: I'm considering a NETS money line Kevin Durant first basket 518 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 1: scorer and over same game parlay. FanDuel is an official 519 00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,639 Speaker 1: betting partner of the m b A. Their app is safe, 520 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,480 Speaker 1: easy to use, and you'll get your winnings fast. New 521 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 1: to FanDuel Sports Book sign up today with promo code 522 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 1: Favorites to make every moment more so. Don't just watch 523 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 1: the NBA play and tournament, be a part of it. 524 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,800 Speaker 1: Bet at least twenty dollars in same game parlays and 525 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 1: get an instant bonus. Winner lose must be twenty one 526 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 1: or over in present In select states only, bonus issued 527 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 1: as non withdrawable free bets that expire in seven days 528 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:56,880 Speaker 1: max bonus one restrictions applied. See terms at sports book 529 00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 1: dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling problem called gambler or visit 530 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:04,360 Speaker 1: FanDuel dot com slash r G in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, 531 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:08,400 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia, next step or tech next 532 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 1: step to five three three four two eight seven eight 533 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:16,160 Speaker 1: nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org 534 00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:19,800 Speaker 1: slash chat in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it 535 00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: in Indiana one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop 536 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 1: in Louisiana one eight seven seven eight Hope and Why 537 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,400 Speaker 1: or visit Hope and Why four six seven three six 538 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: nine in New York called the Tennessee Red Line at 539 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,399 Speaker 1: one eight eight nine nine seven eight nine or one 540 00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:39,440 Speaker 1: hundred five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming, 541 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:43,160 Speaker 1: or visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia, 542 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,200 Speaker 1: Mavericks jazz so this one was the most up in 543 00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: the air because we got Luka Dodge's calf injury. So 544 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:52,439 Speaker 1: for those that like aren't, don't pull the NBA as 545 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:54,400 Speaker 1: much in terms of the injury status. Here's the deal. 546 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: They don't have to submit an injury update on Luca 547 00:25:56,400 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: Dodge until Friday, So Friday or five thirty Eastern is 548 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:02,199 Speaker 1: the first time that they were going to have to 549 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:06,639 Speaker 1: actually give like a status for his game. They released 550 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 1: a statement today Tuesday that said that there's no timetable 551 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,280 Speaker 1: for his return. This is gamesmanship. He could be back, 552 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:15,800 Speaker 1: he could not be back. What they want to is 553 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 1: they want to make the Jazz have to prepare for 554 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,919 Speaker 1: both outcomes. They want to make them have to do 555 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:21,919 Speaker 1: more work the idea of what is the jet, What 556 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,199 Speaker 1: does the Mavericks look like with Luca, and where the 557 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 1: Mavericks looked like without him. Calf, hamstring, those types of 558 00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,679 Speaker 1: half and hamstring, those type of injuries are are It 559 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:34,120 Speaker 1: takes rest and they're slow to heal. I think there's 560 00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 1: a good possibility he doesn't play Game one. I think 561 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,159 Speaker 1: there's been a little bit of an overreaction in the 562 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,600 Speaker 1: market on the series price, which is Jazz minus one 563 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:45,320 Speaker 1: six six Mavericks plus one forty. Mavericks have got home 564 00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 1: court here. I think Lucas probably back at some point 565 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:54,119 Speaker 1: in the series. The matchups are off. Utah played Dallas 566 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 1: really well. Lucas got a bad habit of not bad habit, 567 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 1: He's got a fun habit of tying the toughest player. 568 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 1: Like he calls for the switch versus Janice, he calls 569 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 1: for the switch versus Lebron. He calls for like whoever 570 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:08,560 Speaker 1: is like this marquee do, That's who he goes at. 571 00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: So he goes at Rudy Gobert, and Gobert shut him down. 572 00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,280 Speaker 1: Easiest way to beat him. Beat the Jazz. Make Gobert 573 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: switch out onto somebody that is perimeter oriented, stick him 574 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 1: in the corner, the attack that way. But the Maps 575 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:22,560 Speaker 1: have small ball, they can spread five and more than anything, 576 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 1: the Jazz has just been imploding. I don't know if 577 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet this. You got Lucas injury casting a 578 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 1: lot of doubt Mavericks for plus one and a half 579 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,480 Speaker 1: minus one ten on the wind line. That was a 580 00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:35,479 Speaker 1: little attractive, but I want to plus number on it, 581 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:39,520 Speaker 1: and I'm not getting that right now. So yes, Luca's 582 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: injury status is a concern. I don't think he misses 583 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 1: the entire playoffs or the entire series, so I lean 584 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,679 Speaker 1: a little bit towards Dallas. But this is what I'm 585 00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: gonna stay away from because I think it is that close. Jason, 586 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,960 Speaker 1: what do you think you know? I'm so bummed about 587 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 1: this injury. Dallas was my favorite picks to potentially win 588 00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 1: the West. I I think you you got into this match, 589 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: and I'm glad you brought it up because I think 590 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,639 Speaker 1: it's so important that the the best way to attack 591 00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 1: the Jazz, if you understand that they're a weak perimeter 592 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: defense team, is get Rudy go Gobert in a position 593 00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:15,200 Speaker 1: where he can't help. So whether that's like you said, 594 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 1: getting him switched onto a perimeter player then giving up 595 00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:21,080 Speaker 1: the ball so that he's guarding said perimeter player away 596 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,960 Speaker 1: from the action, or if it's multiple rotations that's the 597 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 1: other thing, like driving kick basketball to where Rudy helps 598 00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 1: at the rim once but then has to track somebody 599 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:31,479 Speaker 1: out to the perimeter. Now a second rotation you have 600 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,120 Speaker 1: Jordan Clarkson on the back line, or things like that. 601 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,600 Speaker 1: Luca is one of the on the short list of 602 00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: players that is best equipped to put the Jazz in 603 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 1: those predicaments so that they can score at will against 604 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 1: that team. So having him out just throws everything in 605 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:48,920 Speaker 1: a loop. The one thing that's interesting is over the 606 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 1: course of the last couple of years Dallas has actually 607 00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 1: been pretty good when Lucas off the floor, which is 608 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 1: not a Luca take. It's just a credit to that 609 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 1: organization and the fact that they have a system that 610 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 1: works well fast needs me. The most about Dallas is 611 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: their ability to defend without defensive personnel. If you look 612 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 1: at their lineups all the time, they have these guys 613 00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: that are not great defensive players, Luca Doanche, Spencer, Dinwittie, 614 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 1: you know, Jalen Brunston, you know Maxine Cleber's okay, but 615 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 1: it's like they're they kind of manufacture a lot of 616 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 1: stops because they are utterly committed to the work. They 617 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: do a ton of doubling and trapping and and and 618 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:25,880 Speaker 1: and blitzing, pick and rolls and stuff like that, and 619 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,080 Speaker 1: they just run like crazy on the back end to recover. 620 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 1: I think the Jazz won't have an issue scoring necessarily 621 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 1: because of their dribble drive attack. I just I would 622 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 1: like I would pick Dallas to win this series. In 623 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 1: five or six games. If Luca is healthy, him being 624 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 1: out your right half injuries are a total crapshoot. You 625 00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 1: have no idea how his body is gonna respond. It's 626 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:50,280 Speaker 1: just it just is a huge cloud hanging over this 627 00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 1: series that makes it really difficult to predict. Yeah, Simon, 628 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:56,360 Speaker 1: I have looked at betting is both ways on going 629 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,080 Speaker 1: seven games, because you can get plus five fifty Jazz 630 00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:03,720 Speaker 1: for three plus for twenty MAVs for three. It gets 631 00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:06,320 Speaker 1: me a little yellow nervous about if if a series 632 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,200 Speaker 1: tilts in one direction, it goes rapidly in that direction. 633 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 1: It can be four one four two, especially with the 634 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 1: Luca factor. If this based off of Luca's situation, everything 635 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,960 Speaker 1: else is this? Is this bettable? Is this like something 636 00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,880 Speaker 1: we can really try and get a cap on. But 637 00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:24,200 Speaker 1: being a pros all oft picking your spots, and this 638 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 1: is a spot you just can't pick. I mean, these 639 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 1: European guys are built different. I'll never forget. I saw 640 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 1: Janice Haters a c L last year, and then I 641 00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:34,680 Speaker 1: saw him go on to win the NBA Championship, So 642 00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 1: I'm done playing the guests and game. These guys are freaks. 643 00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 1: No one knows I can. Maybe you're right. Maybe I'll 644 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 1: take him a game or two to get it right, 645 00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 1: but who really knows. Like you said, it's it's better 646 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 1: just to wait and don't try to think you're smart. 647 00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: Everyone else taking Utah because you think he is gonna 648 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 1: be out because we just don't know. Like like you said, 649 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,240 Speaker 1: no one's gonna know until Friday. So that's one of 650 00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 1: those I would just waited out, to be honest, that 651 00:30:57,400 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 1: is waiting out. I think it's the best call here, 652 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 1: and I think, well, I'm gonna do. I'm gonna assume 653 00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 1: that Luca doesn't play Game one, and if he doesn't 654 00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 1: win Game one and the Jazz win Game one and 655 00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 1: they take home court, that MAVs number is gonna spike 656 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,600 Speaker 1: in terms of a plus number, that's the spot. So 657 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: I think that's what I'm gonna wait for. Finally, the 658 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 1: Western Conference, You've got the Suns plus one twenty to 659 00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:21,240 Speaker 1: win the Western Conference, Warriors plus four hundred, Grizz plus 660 00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 1: six hundred, Jazz plus nine fifty, Nuggets plus twelve hundred, 661 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: and the Mavericks at plus hundred. My best bet for 662 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:30,880 Speaker 1: the Western Conference in terms of the future, I like 663 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 1: the Warriors plus four hundred. Simon is probably gonna take 664 00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,040 Speaker 1: Sons because it's keep it simple, stupid. Best team by 665 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:39,960 Speaker 1: a wide margin. I don't have to match up. I 666 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 1: watched all all those games this season. The Suns made 667 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,400 Speaker 1: themselves a little less diverse in what they can run. 668 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,960 Speaker 1: Jason talked about this earlier, about their diverse in terms 669 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,360 Speaker 1: of what you want playlus. You wanna be able to 670 00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: do a lot of different things. The sons of that. 671 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,240 Speaker 1: Dario Starich went, you know what, We're not gonna get 672 00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 1: like a small ball option. We're just gonna add j 673 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,280 Speaker 1: Avail McGee and bis mack and we're gonna be like 674 00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 1: super good at what we do. And it works for 675 00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 1: a regular season. You run into these switching teams and 676 00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:07,520 Speaker 1: you don't have a small ball option, that gets difficult. 677 00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 1: They don't feed eight and enough to punish the switches 678 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,640 Speaker 1: that they're going to generate with the Warriors with the 679 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: death ball Draymond at five line up. So if it's Warriors, 680 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 1: especially since the Warriors got out of that side of 681 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 1: the bracket, made me feel a lot better about it. 682 00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: Grizzer inexperienced. They don't have a good half court offense. 683 00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:27,720 Speaker 1: The Warriors path is really easy. It's a Nuggets team 684 00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,600 Speaker 1: without Jamal Murray, a Grizzlies team with a bang up 685 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 1: Job Morant that doesn't have any playoff experience, and then 686 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 1: you got the Suns. We'll see if Chris Paul stays healthy. 687 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,960 Speaker 1: At four to one, to me, the best values on 688 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 1: the Warriors, Simon, there's an value on a Western Conference future. 689 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:44,920 Speaker 1: I like we head to other Warriors. I can tell 690 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,440 Speaker 1: you the professionals they've loved the Sons all year and 691 00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 1: their biggest reason is this team in the fourth quarter 692 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: just comes back. Every time they're down in the game, 693 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 1: doesn't matter the score, They're gonna crawl back. And that's 694 00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:57,840 Speaker 1: that Chris Paul thing. It's like everywhere this guy goes, 695 00:32:57,920 --> 00:32:59,960 Speaker 1: he turns teams around, they kind of take on his idea. 696 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:03,720 Speaker 1: Any So I'm right there. Wait, if Chris Paul stays healthy, 697 00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 1: I just see this Sun's team. Anytime they're down the game, 698 00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 1: when things start getting really tense, that's when they seem 699 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 1: like they're at their best, Like when everyone else is 700 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 1: kind of like freaking out, who's gonna who's gonna do what? No, 701 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:14,880 Speaker 1: who's gonna take the ball here? Who's gonna take over 702 00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 1: this game. The Suns all players all know their roles. 703 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:19,720 Speaker 1: So yeah, if if I'm gonna bet value, you know 704 00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna take a plus one's twenty. That's no fun. 705 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 1: So I would join on that Warriors. But just because 706 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,479 Speaker 1: they're the veteran team, we trust them the most of 707 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,160 Speaker 1: all these teams. So if healthy, yeah, I love that 708 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 1: Warriors mber plus four hundred, No Lakers the bet in 709 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,240 Speaker 1: the Western Conference? Jason, who do you like to win 710 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,240 Speaker 1: the West this year? To be clear up front, I 711 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 1: think the Suns are gonna win. I think they're the 712 00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:40,440 Speaker 1: most talented team in the league. I think they're better 713 00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:43,000 Speaker 1: than they were last year. I agree with Matt. I 714 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,640 Speaker 1: think they're beatable, and they're beatable in their lack of versatility. 715 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:50,200 Speaker 1: That agree with um. What makes well makes the betting 716 00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 1: interesting is I like both of those numbers, the Warriors 717 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 1: number and the Grizzlies number. Because if you told me, like, 718 00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 1: all right, Jason, you can either take the Sons or 719 00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,880 Speaker 1: you can take the Warriors and the Grizzlies, which of 720 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,600 Speaker 1: those two groups would win, I'd say it's about a 721 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:08,000 Speaker 1: coin flipft So at a plus four hundred and a 722 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 1: plus six hundred. There's a very good chance that the 723 00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:12,799 Speaker 1: Warriors of the Grizzlies will end up coming out of 724 00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:17,040 Speaker 1: the conference. I really like how athletic and versatile defensively 725 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,239 Speaker 1: Memphis is. I also think John Murray it brings an 726 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:22,759 Speaker 1: interesting kind of like Dwyane Wade element where it's very, 727 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,200 Speaker 1: very difficult to officiate him when he comes flying through 728 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:27,280 Speaker 1: the lane. So you could see him in a pivotal 729 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:31,120 Speaker 1: playoff series shooting fifteen free throws, if in a pivotal game, 730 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 1: because just the rest don't know how to officiate a 731 00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 1: guy like that. And then Golden State, obviously with all 732 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:39,040 Speaker 1: of their their you know, all of their experience there, 733 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:41,759 Speaker 1: every bit is capable of of of coming out of 734 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,919 Speaker 1: the conference. And then you know, this is the most 735 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 1: important detail. Just like last year, we don't know what 736 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:49,879 Speaker 1: the big wrinkles are gonna be, but there are gonna 737 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 1: be three or four huge wrinkles in this playoff series 738 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,520 Speaker 1: in the form of injuries or a big team getting 739 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 1: knocked out by a bad matchup. You just don't know. 740 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,920 Speaker 1: And so there's obviously a good amount that's up in 741 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:04,919 Speaker 1: the air. And if that happens to the Sun's one 742 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,280 Speaker 1: of those teams the Grizzlies or the or the Warriors 743 00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:08,480 Speaker 1: are going to come out. I think those are the 744 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 1: only two teams in the West that are capable unless 745 00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:13,799 Speaker 1: Luca gets healthy. So I like those numbers for those 746 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:17,279 Speaker 1: two teams. Yeah. Well, I will just say this, If 747 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:20,759 Speaker 1: the Clippers win the play in in either spot and 748 00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 1: we get to Friday and Kawhile Leonard pops up on 749 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,760 Speaker 1: that injury report is questionable, I'm gonna be panic running 750 00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:28,879 Speaker 1: as if Chad Melman just found out that oat milk 751 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 1: is out of the store. Like I'm gonna be absolutely 752 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,919 Speaker 1: panicked to get in Clippers bets. If Kawhi Leonard pops 753 00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 1: up on the injury report, that team is scary. They're 754 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,360 Speaker 1: just missing. As my colleague writing Palmer calls him Robo 755 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:47,040 Speaker 1: Jordan's and in real quickly Matt, Dude, why in the 756 00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 1: world would Paul George literally needing Tommy John surgery rather 757 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,239 Speaker 1: than getting the surgery knowing that Kauai is coming back 758 00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 1: next year, so that he gave a full offseason potentially 759 00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:01,520 Speaker 1: to work on his game. Why would he come back 760 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:03,800 Speaker 1: to play in this play and run unless Kauai was 761 00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,760 Speaker 1: coming back. I just don't get it. I keep thinking about, 762 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 1: like if my elbow was missing a ligament, if I 763 00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:11,879 Speaker 1: didn't think for sure that I had a chance to win. 764 00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:14,359 Speaker 1: Right now, I'm getting the surgery because I have a 765 00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 1: lot of basketball left to play, you know what I mean, 766 00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,400 Speaker 1: So that that whole thing is fishy to me, and 767 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 1: I'm to you like, I wouldn't be the least bit 768 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:24,600 Speaker 1: surprised if Kauai came back plus Clippers to win the 769 00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,319 Speaker 1: Lesson Conference. That's insane. That's going to do it for 770 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,840 Speaker 1: the Favorites. Thanks for joining us from the Volume podcast Network. 771 00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 1: Make sure to download the Action Network app. You can 772 00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:39,000 Speaker 1: follow Jason and Simon on Twitter as well as me. 773 00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,479 Speaker 1: Thanks for joining us. Everybody, have yourselves a great week. 774 00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:45,000 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. I like you, yea