WEBVTT - Super Bowl, FFW Style 0:00:01.520 --> 0:00:06.360 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:07.360 --> 0:00:11.600 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:11.680 --> 0:00:15.640 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:15.720 --> 0:00:18.400 whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:18.840 --> 0:00:20.840 Now here's your host, Paul Charchion. 0:00:22.120 --> 0:00:26.520 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a super Bowl edition. It's 0:00:26.560 --> 0:00:30.280 the last chance we're gonna have to break down games 0:00:30.920 --> 0:00:34.800 for like six months. That's crazy more. Yeah, well yeah, 0:00:34.800 --> 0:00:37.960 about six months, seven months, something like that. My co 0:00:38.040 --> 0:00:40.760 host today, Brian Johnson, been all a while, Welcome back. 0:00:42.320 --> 0:00:46.720 Hey, charge, how's it going. Yeah, it's uh, it feels 0:00:46.800 --> 0:00:50.800 like a super Bowl that should have been played weeks ago, right, Yeah. 0:00:50.880 --> 0:00:55.080 I think it's because the offseason content is just over 0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:57.800 the years. It's just like the season never ends. In 0:00:57.840 --> 0:01:01.360 the past, there's there's been an end, but there's no end. Yeah, 0:01:01.440 --> 0:01:02.880 crazy football nowadays. 0:01:02.920 --> 0:01:05.160 So it's uh, they got it all figured out. 0:01:06.400 --> 0:01:08.840 They do. Let's put a bow on this this season 0:01:08.880 --> 0:01:09.480 for sure, though. 0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:12.240 Yeah, it's I'll be honest, it's not the super Bowl 0:01:12.280 --> 0:01:15.479 I wanted, it's not the teams I wanted. And it's 0:01:15.520 --> 0:01:17.360 not to say that I have a problem with either teams. 0:01:17.360 --> 0:01:19.640 I don't, but I just think the league is healthy 0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:22.559 year when Patrick Mahomes is not in every Super Bowl, 0:01:23.000 --> 0:01:27.920 when there's a little more drama involved, and I was 0:01:28.000 --> 0:01:30.480 rooting for a I was rooting for the Lions to 0:01:30.520 --> 0:01:34.199 get in, but no such luck. We've got We've got 0:01:34.240 --> 0:01:38.319 a rematch from our twenty nineteen Super Bowl. Jimmy Garoppolo 0:01:38.360 --> 0:01:42.039 will not be overthrowing anybody in this game. Let's break 0:01:42.080 --> 0:01:46.560 it down Fantasy Football Weekly Style, Brian. The Chiefs come 0:01:46.600 --> 0:01:48.880 into this game with an offense that had sputtered through 0:01:49.080 --> 0:01:53.880 most of November and December, and really in totality, the 0:01:53.920 --> 0:01:56.720 offense hasn't even looked great in the in the postseason, 0:01:56.840 --> 0:01:59.800 but the defense has been great. So let's talk through 0:01:59.840 --> 0:02:01.240 the Chiefs side of us. 0:02:01.320 --> 0:02:05.680 Let's start there, all right, per usual, I like to 0:02:05.720 --> 0:02:09.880 start with the running backs, and we'll obviously get into 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:12.560 Christian McCaffrey later, but that just feels like a game 0:02:12.600 --> 0:02:15.400 where we're focused on the running backs more than the 0:02:15.400 --> 0:02:15.959 passing game. 0:02:16.000 --> 0:02:17.960 I'm gonna be three that tip my hand on this. 0:02:18.160 --> 0:02:22.359 Yes, yeah, especially on the forty nine ers side. But 0:02:22.400 --> 0:02:24.640 we're talking the Chiefs now, of course, so I'm gonna 0:02:24.639 --> 0:02:28.680 start with a B grade for Isaiah Pachecko has played 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:32.120 over seventy percent of the snaps in the playoffs, averaging 0:02:32.160 --> 0:02:35.760 twenty three touches. We love that, Yep, that's great, but 0:02:35.840 --> 0:02:40.160 only ninety four combo yards so far. Pachecko is averaging 0:02:40.160 --> 0:02:42.760 the season in the playoffs, but they've been tough matchups, 0:02:42.919 --> 0:02:47.120 and most recently with the Bills and the Ravens. Of course, 0:02:47.240 --> 0:02:49.480 the forty nine Ers, believe it or not, could be 0:02:49.840 --> 0:02:53.160 a bit of a reprieve for Pachecko since Week fifteen, 0:02:54.080 --> 0:02:57.680 San Francisco allowing the sixth most rushing yards per game, 0:02:58.120 --> 0:03:02.840 the fourth highest explosive run rate, the third highest yards 0:03:04.400 --> 0:03:07.960 after contact per attempt. So it's a pretty nice matchup 0:03:07.960 --> 0:03:11.679 for Pacheco. And in the NFC Championship game against the 0:03:11.760 --> 0:03:16.360 forty nine ers Jamior Gibbs David Montgomery, they combined for 0:03:16.720 --> 0:03:19.160 one hundred and thirty eight rushing and two touchdowns on 0:03:19.200 --> 0:03:22.040 the ground. Yeah, also combined for five catches for what 0:03:22.040 --> 0:03:24.880 it's worth, and it's certainly worth something when you're only 0:03:25.240 --> 0:03:29.160 comparing two teams. On two teams, I think there's back 0:03:29.200 --> 0:03:30.320 to the divisional round. 0:03:31.000 --> 0:03:33.480 Sorry, go ahead, there's I think there's an opportunity here 0:03:33.520 --> 0:03:37.440 for Pachecko through the air he can catch, and I 0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:39.200 think they may have to find some creative ways to 0:03:39.200 --> 0:03:41.440 get the ball in his hands. And I can see 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:45.440 a scenario where Pachecko gets three, four or five receptions 0:03:45.440 --> 0:03:48.200 in this game. Maybe Clyde Edwards a Laird, yeah, you know, 0:03:48.280 --> 0:03:50.720 knocks in one as well. 0:03:51.000 --> 0:03:55.040 Certainly worth mentioning. Jerick McKinnon was rumored to maybe come 0:03:55.040 --> 0:03:57.960 back with the Super Bowl, but that seems very very 0:03:58.040 --> 0:04:01.840 unlikely at this point. There'll be no Jared McKinnon. Just 0:04:01.920 --> 0:04:05.360 furthermore on Pochecko. Why it's a great matchup going back 0:04:05.400 --> 0:04:07.560 to the Green Bay game in the Divisional round against 0:04:07.600 --> 0:04:11.520 the forty nine ers Aaron Jones and Emmanuel Wilson for 0:04:11.800 --> 0:04:14.600 those who recall him being the backup one hundred and 0:04:14.600 --> 0:04:17.479 twenty four rushing yards on twenty two carries. So a 0:04:17.520 --> 0:04:19.680 great matchup for Pachecko. He gets a B for me, 0:04:20.400 --> 0:04:23.479 and like I just said, McKinnon on the bench or 0:04:23.520 --> 0:04:25.640 he's he's not gonna play, most likely, But I got 0:04:26.080 --> 0:04:29.280 Clyde Edwards letter on the bench just playing twenty five 0:04:29.320 --> 0:04:32.560 percent of the snaps, averaging just under five touches per game. 0:04:33.520 --> 0:04:35.560 I mean, he's like a DFS start if you want 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:37.920 to throw one to be contrarian or like in any 0:04:38.040 --> 0:04:41.480 time touchdown type just dart throw. 0:04:41.800 --> 0:04:42.000 Yeah. 0:04:42.040 --> 0:04:43.560 I don't know what his rushing prop is. We're not 0:04:43.600 --> 0:04:45.400 going to go into props too much because this is 0:04:45.440 --> 0:04:49.600 still a fantasy show, not a gambling show. So h 0:04:49.720 --> 0:04:54.520 on the bench Travis Kelsey, though not on the bench 0:04:54.920 --> 0:05:02.280 locker there, right, Yeah, a grade for Kelsey. It's crazy 0:05:02.320 --> 0:05:04.680 to think we were all calling him washed at the 0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:08.080 end of the preseason, right charge, like pack it. 0:05:08.160 --> 0:05:11.160 Out at the end of the preseason or the regular the. 0:05:11.120 --> 0:05:14.400 Regular season, Okay, that's how long. That's how long the season. 0:05:14.640 --> 0:05:16.840 Well, I wouldn't say washed. We just all felt I 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:19.520 think we felt like he was he was, you know, 0:05:19.600 --> 0:05:21.560 on the wrong side of his career. I don't think 0:05:21.560 --> 0:05:24.400 anybody was saying like Travis Kelson needs to retire. 0:05:26.480 --> 0:05:28.720 We didn't say he needs to be need to retire. 0:05:28.880 --> 0:05:32.120 But it was bad. But the playoffs have been great, 0:05:32.560 --> 0:05:36.760 starting with Miami ten targets, seven catches, seventy one yards 0:05:37.160 --> 0:05:41.560 against Buffalo, five catches seventy five yards, two touchdowns against 0:05:41.560 --> 0:05:45.720 Baltimore two weeks ago. Eleven targets, eleven catches, one hundred 0:05:45.760 --> 0:05:49.440 and sixteen in a touchdown. He also averaged five yards 0:05:49.480 --> 0:05:52.880 per carrying that game against the Ravens. Okay, yeah, I've 0:05:52.880 --> 0:05:55.400 got rush, so we'll throw that in there. And I'm 0:05:55.400 --> 0:05:57.119 not going to mention any of the off the field 0:05:57.160 --> 0:05:59.679 stuff with with Travis Kelsey. 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:04.440 Yeah, but can if you're so inclined to believe that 0:06:04.480 --> 0:06:07.120 the fix is in on this whole thing, take the 0:06:07.160 --> 0:06:10.000 Travis kelce over everything, right, I mean, you know, then 0:06:10.160 --> 0:06:13.080 you know, if you think that there's gonna be an emphasis, 0:06:13.120 --> 0:06:18.039 he'll he'll We'll see what eight Travis Kelcey commercials on Sunday. 0:06:18.960 --> 0:06:21.600 So you know the likelihood of you know, there are 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:24.200 gonna be some if you believe that the whole thing's 0:06:24.200 --> 0:06:27.920 for ragged or whatever, then Kelsey sitting down a gigantic game. 0:06:27.920 --> 0:06:31.440 They're gonna want that to tie into their their promotional plans. 0:06:32.279 --> 0:06:36.760 He just seems like the most unfadable. I'm speaking from 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:39.760 a DFS perspective right now. When it becomes you know, 0:06:39.839 --> 0:06:43.960 like when when you when you're fading a player, it's 0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:46.559 like a highly owned player. And seems that's what Christian 0:06:46.600 --> 0:06:49.400 McCaffrey's a Travis Kelsey's. He seems like the most unfadable 0:06:49.440 --> 0:06:52.080 player to me though, to gain like you cannot fade 0:06:52.160 --> 0:06:56.119 Kelsey in this game. Sam Laporta nine catches for ninety 0:06:56.160 --> 0:06:59.320 seven yards against the forty nine ers and NFC Championship 0:06:59.400 --> 0:07:02.680 game on thirteen targets, and the porta was not one 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:05.320 hundred percent. I mean, I don't know. We don't have 0:07:05.320 --> 0:07:08.400 to get into Travis Kelty two more. The the angle 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:13.360 is if you're rolling over unders on minimal yardage or 0:07:13.960 --> 0:07:16.160 a cheap DFS option is Noah Gray? 0:07:16.720 --> 0:07:17.200 Yeah? 0:07:17.240 --> 0:07:20.680 And a great a great matchup, I think, George, I 0:07:20.720 --> 0:07:23.320 heard you had some interesting things to say. 0:07:23.080 --> 0:07:23.920 About I do. 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:25.680 Let me give you let me give you some mill 0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:26.360 on the spot. 0:07:26.480 --> 0:07:28.080 Oh, I've got it all right. Here might know a 0:07:28.160 --> 0:07:31.280 great data for you right here. Of the final five 0:07:31.320 --> 0:07:35.400 weeks of the regular season, San Francisco ranked dead last 0:07:35.640 --> 0:07:37.040 in tight end yards allowed. 0:07:37.640 --> 0:07:38.200 How about that? 0:07:38.240 --> 0:07:40.160 I mean, we think of this great defense you mentioned 0:07:40.560 --> 0:07:43.360 one game ago, Detroit's tight ends piled up one hundred 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:46.440 and five combined yards. And here's the really weird part 0:07:46.480 --> 0:07:49.000 for Noah Gray and why he could have a be 0:07:49.040 --> 0:07:53.240 a factor in this game. San Francisco weirdly gives up, 0:07:53.320 --> 0:07:57.920 over gives up, gives up big games to backup tight ends. 0:07:58.560 --> 0:08:01.480 And if you want to go back, going all the 0:08:01.480 --> 0:08:04.560 way back to week eleven, here are guys that put 0:08:04.640 --> 0:08:10.160 up at least double digit yards. Payne, Durham, will Disley, 0:08:10.360 --> 0:08:14.920 Colby Parkinson, Elijah Higgins, Jeff Swain, Charlie Kohler, Bryce and 0:08:15.040 --> 0:08:18.440 Hopkins in the playoffs, a hobbled Luke m musk Grave 0:08:18.680 --> 0:08:21.600 and then last week Anthony Firkster nearly went double digits. 0:08:21.640 --> 0:08:25.040 He got eight yards. Noah Gray's betting line is like 0:08:25.080 --> 0:08:29.320 eleven yards. That feels extremely comfortable here. He runs eighteen 0:08:29.440 --> 0:08:33.760 routes per game. He averages ten yards per catch anytime touchdown, 0:08:33.800 --> 0:08:35.320 by the way, plus nine to fifty. Again not a 0:08:35.320 --> 0:08:38.360 betting show, but yeah, I like I like Noah Grady 0:08:38.360 --> 0:08:41.679 get'll be a small factor in this game that you know, 0:08:41.720 --> 0:08:43.640 not somebody you necessarily want to have to count on 0:08:43.920 --> 0:08:46.520 from a fantasy standpoint. But I think he I think 0:08:46.520 --> 0:08:47.800 he gets a little something done here. 0:08:50.240 --> 0:08:52.240 I love it. I was like, you got a nugget, right, 0:08:52.280 --> 0:08:54.560 you had Like that was like a twelve piece of nugget. 0:08:57.640 --> 0:09:02.240 Maybe wants some the Polynesian saw some chicken. I like it. Yeah, yeah, 0:09:02.840 --> 0:09:05.120 great matchup for both tight ends. We had no great 0:09:05.280 --> 0:09:08.960 sneaky play prop wise DFS wise. Not so sneaky as 0:09:09.040 --> 0:09:12.360 Rashi Rice, who has broke out in the playoffs on 0:09:12.400 --> 0:09:16.560 everyone's radar. Give him a B grade, but popped up 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:21.239 on the injury report on Thursday with injured ankles emphasis 0:09:21.240 --> 0:09:25.120 on the l ye not just one ankle. But hopefully 0:09:25.160 --> 0:09:28.240 it wasn't like a stepping out of the shower wrong 0:09:28.520 --> 0:09:31.240 type incident. I don't know, but he should be good 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.319 to go on Sunday, hopefully, So a B for a 0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:36.880 right for Rashi Rice. In the playoffs, the forty nine 0:09:36.960 --> 0:09:40.880 ers have utilized too high safety coverage on sixty plus 0:09:40.960 --> 0:09:44.080 percent of their snaps since Week twelve. Against too high 0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:46.800 Rice has lived the team in target share percentage. So 0:09:47.320 --> 0:09:49.120 Rice has been on the heater. He gotta love him 0:09:49.160 --> 0:09:52.240 in this one. And really the only other wide receiver 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:55.800 I like for the Chiefs is I don't want to 0:09:55.800 --> 0:10:00.079 say like, but he's playable as Marcus valduzs Scantlet and 0:10:00.559 --> 0:10:03.240 you know, really people were calling for his head in 0:10:03.320 --> 0:10:05.440 the in the middle of the in the season, but 0:10:05.800 --> 0:10:09.120 he's shown up in the playoffs and again against on 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:11.720 this too high coverage that the forty nine ers run 0:10:12.440 --> 0:10:16.880 the majority of the time, MVS leads the Chiefs in 0:10:18.679 --> 0:10:23.640 air yard share percentage and at his price in daily 0:10:23.880 --> 0:10:28.040 and whatever is over under is is anytime touchdown odds 0:10:28.040 --> 0:10:30.440 are gonna be in your favor. He just needs that 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:32.480 one play to pay off. It's not gonna cost you 0:10:32.520 --> 0:10:35.800 a lot in any format. So I'll give MBS the 0:10:36.320 --> 0:10:39.920 TA com grade if you must. He gets the very 0:10:39.960 --> 0:10:41.880 soft seakay for me, and. 0:10:41.960 --> 0:10:45.160 That's It feels like, if there's ever a spot for 0:10:45.320 --> 0:10:50.520 Marquez Valdez scant Link to really disappoint, it's a super Bowl. 0:10:52.679 --> 0:10:56.560 You know, all the history of the epic drops that 0:10:56.600 --> 0:10:59.440 he's had throughout his career. It just feels like it's 0:10:59.480 --> 0:11:05.040 the perfect stage for Marquez Valdez Scantling to just disappoint 0:11:05.120 --> 0:11:07.240 on the grandest possible scale. 0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:12.400 Let's ride the positive narrative though the last two games, 0:11:12.440 --> 0:11:14.920 the last in their playoff games. Of course, he's been 0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:18.160 clutched and you're like, I cannot believe MDS is showing up, 0:11:18.200 --> 0:11:21.479 So why not? Why not the complete the epic turnaround? 0:11:21.520 --> 0:11:21.920 All right? 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:24.040 For MVS. I want to put this out there just 0:11:24.120 --> 0:11:27.320 really quick. I said MBS was the last wide receiver 0:11:28.000 --> 0:11:31.600 I quote unquote liked for the Chiefs. But if you're 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:37.040 the Daily the Daily Player playing Showdown, Richie James is option. 0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:41.320 They're cheap. If you we're gonna get into the forty 0:11:41.400 --> 0:11:44.319 nine er side of things with you. I know, on offense, 0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:47.840 you have to like the Chiefs defense. When between the 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:51.440 two defenses in this game, Richie James is intriguing where 0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:54.960 he runs enough routes, sees enough targets three to four 0:11:55.320 --> 0:11:59.040 per game, but he also returns kicks. He plays special 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:01.760 teams for the for the Chiefs. So if you're gonna 0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:04.560 roll the show Down and you like the Chiefs defense, 0:12:04.600 --> 0:12:07.160 you might just well throw a Richie James out there. 0:12:07.880 --> 0:12:11.040 Because he returns to the kick for a touchdown, whether 0:12:11.080 --> 0:12:12.840 it be a punt return or a kick return, you 0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:16.920 double up on the points with the Chiefs defense. So 0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:18.560 I'm just gonna throw it out there, and I don't 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:21.679 want to get into Patrick Mahomes a whole lot. Just 0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:25.720 one thing to say. He has last thrown for more 0:12:25.760 --> 0:12:28.880 than two touchdowns in Week seven. Patrick Mahomes. 0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:31.240 Yeah, that's amazing, isn't it Wow. 0:12:32.600 --> 0:12:34.400 Yeah, I remember twelve games ago. 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:37.559 Yeah, I remember he's top. 0:12:37.440 --> 0:12:41.520 Two hundred and eighty yards passing only twice. That's all 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:44.000 I say. He used to go to eighty and three 0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:49.920 every game. It's uh, so the ceiling is capped for Mahomes. 0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:51.800 I like the Chiefs to win. I'm gonna I'm gonna 0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:52.959 end there and LEGITD. 0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:54.480 But what's the letter great on Mahars. 0:12:55.920 --> 0:12:58.040 I'll give him a bee just because he's not an a. 0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:01.439 He's you know, he hasn't put up a eight numbers 0:13:01.960 --> 0:13:07.960 basically all year fantasy wise, which is somewhat explainable, but uh, 0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:11.439 you can't put it past them. But just from a 0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:12.760 on paper, he's a bet. 0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:18.120 I can recall at the end of the Fantasy Football Weekly, 0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:21.640 you know, like week sixteen, Week seventeen, we were talking 0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:25.920 about how many quarterbacks had had a three touchdown game 0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:28.520 since Patrick Mahomes had had a three touchdown game, and 0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:31.960 we were into like the thirties and forties of three 0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:34.680 touchdown games before Patrick Mahomes. That one need stells An 0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.600 had one, which is amazing. Let's go to the San 0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:43.520 Francisco side. Lots of rushing coming. We already alluded to 0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:46.760 this Brian Christian McCaffrey sitting up potentially a very big 0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:49.080 game here. The way to beat the Chiefs is on 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:55.080 the ground, as reverse exemplified by Todd Munkins moronic scheme 0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:58.360 in that last game, only giving his runner six carries 0:13:58.920 --> 0:14:00.839 and then he scored ten points. And if you go 0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:03.199 back to the wild card round, Rahie Morris, lead back 0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:07.240 for the Dolphins, got eight carries and Miami scored seven points. 0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:09.200 So maybe you want to score more than seven or 0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:11.240 ten points, so you gotta run the ball, and you 0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:15.079 got Christian McCaffrey. Then I just think in totality, if 0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:18.320 you're Kyle Shanahan trying to avoid going zero to two 0:14:18.320 --> 0:14:22.800 in Super Bowls, aren't you gonna put your more faith 0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:26.040 into Christian McCaffrey than you are brock Purty. 0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:31.560 Yeah, like so much faith into CMC where I would 0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:36.880 almost let him play quarterback over Rocks, right, And I 0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.720 don't direct snap. That was either a handoff to McCaffrey 0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:42.400 or a direct snap to McCaffrey. And yeah, like. 0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:46.760 Yes, I just I just see a very And it's 0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:48.760 not we don't hate on brock Purty here. It's that, 0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:50.880 isn't it. You're and you're gonna hear me say some 0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:53.480 reasonably nice things about him in a minute. But the 0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:57.920 game plan here goes through Christian McCaffrey. In Chief losses, 0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:02.600 teams average twenty three carries and almost five full yards 0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:05.680 per carry. So again, I just I feel like, you know, 0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:07.400 if you're going to try to put the Chiefs on 0:15:07.440 --> 0:15:10.880 a loss, you gotta give somebody plenty of carries, and 0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:12.239 it's gonna be Christian McCaffrey. 0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:12.560 You know. 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.240 I don't think they're gonna fool round with any of 0:15:14.280 --> 0:15:17.280 the backup running backs and any meaningful numbers here and 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:19.840 the five times that an opposing runners hit at least 0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:23.680 nineteen carries, the Chiefs only won two of those five games. 0:15:23.720 --> 0:15:26.880 They lost three Niners finished number one in run blocking 0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:29.480 by Pro Football Focus, Chiefs were dead last and run 0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:32.680 stuff win rate. And CMC probably helps you through the 0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:35.400 air too. Nine of the ten past Chiefs opponents have 0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:39.240 had a runner top twenty receiving yards. So McCaffrey's going 0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:41.320 to be a huge part of this game in my opinion, 0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:45.880 and an absolute eight grade, which you would have guessed anyway. Now, 0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:48.920 if I like McCaffrey that much, that's and I keep 0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.080 telling you running game, running game, running game. That means 0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:55.360 I've just got C grades on Brock Purty, Deebo Samuel 0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:59.920 George Kittle. For those guys, I think there's a reason 0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:04.120 for concern. Let's uh, let's start with the party side. 0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:08.120 Kansas City's pass defense is awesome, Brian. They've allowed over 0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:11.920 the past twelve games. Here's the touchdowns passing touchdowns Kansas 0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:15.600 City is allowed over the last twelve games. One one 0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:21.560 one zero one zero one one three one zero one. 0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:25.400 Sounds like I'm just talking binary. No, that's passing touchdowns 0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:27.880 allowed over the past twelve games. It's just you get 0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:31.720 zero one almost every game. The average passing yards against 0:16:31.800 --> 0:16:34.000 Kansas City over the past eleven games just one hundred 0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:34.960 ninety two yards. 0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:35.560 That's it. 0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:39.120 They rank third best in yards per completion, so you 0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:42.200 don't even get long passes completed, you get it's just 0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:45.920 short stuff. And Kansas City's number two in pressures and 0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:49.480 pressure rate, So that suggests that Perty's not gonna be 0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:52.320 able to set up long downfield passages. You're gonna have 0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:55.200 to get rid of the ball quickly. So I don't like, 0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:57.800 I don't think Perty's gonna get a ton done here. 0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:01.480 I'm not talking about a total raveling where Perty's gonna 0:17:01.480 --> 0:17:04.919 cost his team the game, but I don't love that 0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:07.639 now where he could be helpful as a runner. Kansas 0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:12.000 City struggled against mobile quarterbacks lately, allowing five straight quarterbacks 0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:15.199 to run for twenty five or more yards, and the 0:17:15.280 --> 0:17:19.920 Chiefs ranked dead last in quarterback rushing attempts against them 0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:23.960 and twenty fourth in quarterback rushing yards allowed twenty per game. 0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:26.960 So I think Purdy is is gonna do a little 0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:29.280 bit with his feet, not enough you can count on that. 0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:31.680 And we've only got the C grade on party. Hero 0:17:31.840 --> 0:17:35.840 is sitting on maybe like a one touchdown game. Let's 0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:38.480 go to Brandon Ay. Yeah yeah, go ahead. 0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:41.639 Real quick to Purdy on the ground. Of course, Perty 0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:44.080 is ne Lamar Jackson. No one is a Lamar Jackson. 0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:48.480 But there were multiple times in the AFC Championship game 0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:53.560 where it was evident Lamar Jackson had like fifteen yards 0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:56.240 of green space in front of him if he didn't 0:17:56.280 --> 0:17:59.679 take advantage of it. So if they were yielding that 0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:02.520 kind of real estate to Lamar Jackson, just think of 0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.080 the the uh they're gonna be dropping back there. They're 0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.399 gonna be begging Perdy to run in this game. So 0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:11.119 I love that angle. I'm in full agreement there. I 0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:15.600 love the over on perties anything pertty rushing rushing yardsal 0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:16.640 factor on the ground for. 0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:19.119 Sure, He's got better wheels than I think people realize. 0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:23.640 Oh yeah, Brandon Ayuk's got a fascinating matchup against Lagerius Snead, 0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.840 who might be the hottest cornerback in football. Sneed's gonna 0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:29.520 follow him around the field almost certainly is gonna be 0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:34.040 is going to be getting shadow coverage on Ayuk. Snead's 0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:37.440 average game allowed in his coverage is two and a 0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:40.920 half catches for twenty eight yards. That's it. And if 0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.919 they try to break Ayuk away from Snead by putting 0:18:44.960 --> 0:18:47.320 Ayuk in the slot and he does run from the slot, 0:18:47.440 --> 0:18:53.080 s then he's gonna face first rounder Trent McDuffie, who 0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:56.240 also gives up just twenty eight yards in his coverage. 0:18:56.400 --> 0:18:58.200 So you don't have you don't really have anywhere to 0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:01.920 bring Ayuk to put him on a big game. There's 0:19:01.920 --> 0:19:06.280 nowhere to find easy coverage against Ayuk. The Chiefs finished 0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:09.840 the regular season third best in touchdowns allowed to wide receivers, 0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:13.600 fourth best in yards allowed to receivers, and in the playoffs, 0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:16.040 listen to these subdued numbers that the Chiefs gave have 0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:19.440 given up to good receivers like Brandon Ayuck Tyreek Hill 0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:24.320 sixty two yards, that's it, Jalen Wattle thirty one yards. 0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:28.639 Even worse then, they've placed played Buffalo Stefan Diggs twenty 0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:32.280 one yards. Then against Baltimore they gave up a fifty 0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:36.600 four yard bomb to Zay Flowers but otherwise held them 0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:40.359 to sixty yards. So there's I just think Gyu's sitting 0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:42.760 on a really, really tough matchup here, Brian, what do 0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:43.120 you think? 0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:47.760 What I'm thinking right now is how much more fun 0:19:47.800 --> 0:19:53.440 were the Chiefs when they had an awful secondary shootout 0:19:54.280 --> 0:19:56.560 right and then Mahomes had to come out and chase 0:19:56.600 --> 0:19:59.760 the I don't like the Chiefs with Lagarious Steed and 0:20:00.400 --> 0:20:03.840 it's not fun anymore. They're not a fun team. But yeah, no, this, 0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:09.000 I mean, you're harping on it and there's no looking 0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:12.639 past it. This game is gonna run through the ground 0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:15.360 for San Francisco. It's a brutal matchup. 0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:19.040 It is through the air. So let's start. Let's tuck 0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:23.400 Deebo Samuel for a second here, he he's this is 0:20:23.440 --> 0:20:26.200 this is really intriguing. So he runs from the slot 0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:29.920 most often, but not always by any stretch. He still 0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:33.280 runs outside plenty. He's got a in the slot. He's 0:20:33.320 --> 0:20:35.439 got this tough matchup with Trent McDuffie, who I mentioned 0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:37.760 just twenty eight yards per game allowed in his coverage 0:20:38.000 --> 0:20:41.800 and Deebo Samuel. Really five of his last six games 0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:45.240 have been pretty darn quiet in terms of yardage. Anyway, 0:20:45.920 --> 0:20:47.680 he can find his way into the end zone, which 0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:52.160 we love. Tough matchup with McDuffie, and again like him 0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:54.760 if they if they break him outside, then he'd get 0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:59.320 Charvarius Award, which is a oh no, I'm sorry. Charvaria's 0:20:59.320 --> 0:21:01.240 award is on his own When is on his own team, 0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:03.359 he'll get Williams. And that would be an easier matchup 0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:07.880 for Samuel because he'll avoid Snead and all probability if 0:21:07.920 --> 0:21:10.439 he goes outside, and Ayuk is outside as well, so 0:21:10.880 --> 0:21:13.639 there might be some opportunities there. I don't love him here, 0:21:13.640 --> 0:21:15.080 but you know where I do really like him is 0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:18.080 on the ground. Kansas City saw the fifth most wide 0:21:18.119 --> 0:21:21.560 receiver rushing attempts in the regular season and in the postseason. 0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:24.600 Jalen Waddles run against him. Stefan Diggs has been run 0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:28.639 against them. Say Flowers got carries against him. And obviously 0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.840 Samuel's a really good runner, averaging five point eight yards 0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:34.960 per carry. I mean there's a running back numbers three 0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:37.560 point four yards after contact. So I've got a B 0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:39.560 grade on Deebo Samuel. If you can roll together the 0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:43.520 rushing and the receiving, he's got an easier pathway to 0:21:43.640 --> 0:21:46.320 a big game than Ayuk does, and so he might 0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:48.119 be able to get a little something done there. What 0:21:48.119 --> 0:21:49.000 do you think about Debo? 0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:54.080 Well, when it comes to a rushing wide receiver, is 0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:56.960 Debo the greatest ever? 0:21:57.320 --> 0:22:01.760 Yeah? I mean probably yes, Yeah, I mean Cordero Patterson. 0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:04.960 Why am I banking at corridor Old Patterson? And why 0:22:05.000 --> 0:22:09.359