1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,279 Speaker 1: Chris Aalman joining us right now, friend of the program 2 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: and chief investment officer over at Calsters, and I do 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: want to start just in the moment right now, Chris, 4 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:09,880 Speaker 1: because we came into this day and we saw the 5 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: market open higher. Since we started our program about an 6 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: hour ago, the market has dipped into the red and 7 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,959 Speaker 1: there's been a lot of questions about the sustainability of 8 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: this rally and more importantly, what investor sentiment is really 9 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 1: signaling right now? 10 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 2: You know, Romain, So it's good to talk to you. 11 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 2: A tough day for Baltimore, and so our heart goes 12 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 2: out to them. I've got a bridge right next to 13 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 2: me that's building nineteen eleven, so our infrastructures old in America. 14 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 2: But listen, I think that investors are running out of gas. 15 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 2: The market is certainly priced near perfection PE adjusted around 16 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 2: twenty one according to my trade desk, so it's not 17 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,840 Speaker 2: out of the question. But I think that we've seen 18 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 2: lots of gains already this year, and it's not unusual, 19 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 2: even in a bull market year to have some pullback. 20 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 2: So I don't know when, but the secuity market isn't 21 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 2: going to go right to the moon. So yeah, I 22 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: think that we should have some slow periods. Seems like 23 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: we're in one this week as we wait for inflation. 24 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: Hey, Chris, we were talking earlier to do Akiser over 25 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: at City about. 26 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 2: Do you do stocks or do you do bonds? 27 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: Like, yeah, if you want the straight up income play, 28 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: maybe you want to buy the long end, but in 29 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,039 Speaker 1: terms of price appreciation, that's really a stock play. 30 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 2: What say you, Alex, I'm going to play off your 31 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 2: earlier come at a family joke of ours. Is it 32 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: twizzlers or licorice? Answers, Yes, it is stocks and it's bonds. 33 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 2: We're going to do bold and we are both, you know. 34 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 2: So I'm going to play off Larry Fink's letter that's 35 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 2: coming out on retirement in America. America needs to have 36 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 2: a balanced portfolio, and that, you know, when the equity 37 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 2: market runs like this, that's when people need to take 38 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 2: some profits and actually rebalance. Bonds have a yield. You 39 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 2: can actually make a decent return out of a bond portfolio. 40 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 2: And I think it is time for people to have 41 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: some bonds, not one hundred percent of one or the other. 42 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 2: The answer is and yes, I want both. I want 43 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 2: bonds and I want equities. 44 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: It's interesting you bring up Larry Fink. I mean, there 45 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: was so much talk about his comments about the retirement crisis, 46 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,639 Speaker 1: and David Wesson had a chance to sit down with him, 47 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: and he talked a lot about just fiscal issues and 48 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 1: a lot of things that I'm sure you know, Chris 49 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: As and we the Royal, we have kind of kicked 50 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: the can down the road for years, if not decades. 51 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 1: Is it as imminent and dire as he made it seem? 52 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 2: Hey, I haven't kicked it down the road. I don't know, Romayne. 53 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 2: If you're implying alex Is kicked it down the road, 54 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 2: I'm just saying we always blame all Yeah, I know, 55 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 2: we wait the Royal. We I didn't know he became 56 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 2: royal on Bloomberg. But that's okay. Let's go with yes 57 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 2: and yes, it is a crisis, you know, And I'm 58 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,519 Speaker 2: going to emphasize something not just about infrastructure, which is 59 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 2: on our mind today, but the four A Wooden case. 60 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: You know, obviously I'm a defined benefit plant. I believe 61 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 2: in mixing together all the liabilities, and as Larry points out, 62 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 2: longevity is a serious risk. At Calsters, we have over 63 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 2: four hundred retirees that are over one hundred years old 64 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 2: still getting a pension. So I understand the longevity risk, 65 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 2: and I think that for one case, we have a 66 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 2: real serious risk of the baby boom running out and 67 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:18,119 Speaker 2: outliving their money. 68 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 1: And we should point out this is a global phenomenon. 69 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:21,679 Speaker 1: And we only have a couple minutes left, Chris, but 70 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: I want to get your thoughts about that shift in 71 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: pension investments, the idea that we went from those sort 72 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 1: of define payment plans to more of a contribution plans 73 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: and for some cases no plan at all, you're just 74 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: on your own. How much of that maybe led to 75 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: the comments that we heard from Thing today. 76 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 2: Well, it's that, and you know, in the backdrop is 77 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 2: sole security. It's not exactly in good footing as the 78 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 2: baby boom my generation starts hitting into it. So it's both. 79 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 2: I think Larry sings that the average American family, as 80 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 2: you said, has very little in savings, barely four hundred 81 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: dollars for an emergency, and people generally don't save enough 82 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 2: for retirement. So hard to get the attention of a 83 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 2: twenty and thirty year old and get them to save 84 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 2: for their future. They think about it when they're fifty, 85 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: but frankly it's too late. The power of compounding, you 86 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 2: know this, Romayne, The power of compounding is amazing and 87 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 2: investing in this equity market and compounding is the key. 88 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: All Right, Chris, got I leave, but they are always 89 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: great to talk to you. Christopher Allman, Chief investment officer 90 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: over at Calster's