WEBVTT - The Ultimate Infield Guide: Sleepers, Busts, and Must-Have Targets (Ep. 926) 0:00:06.000 --> 0:00:09.520 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the 0:00:09.560 --> 0:00:12.680 Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me Joey p joe Pisapia 0:00:12.760 --> 0:00:15.040 with me of course is the Welsh. And it's time 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:18.079 to hit the guides. That's right, it's time for the 0:00:18.160 --> 0:00:20.320 Ultimate infield Guide. We're gonna go through the positions, give 0:00:20.320 --> 0:00:22.720 you a little overview of the top guys at the position, 0:00:23.040 --> 0:00:25.680 give you our favorite sleepers, our busts, and our must 0:00:25.720 --> 0:00:28.480 haves at those positions. And of course, if you're looking 0:00:28.480 --> 0:00:29.720 to check out the ranks for yourself, you can go 0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:32.400 to Fantasypros dot com to do so, and we encourage 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:34.600 you to do that, of course all the time. 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And don't forget to sink your 0:01:02.920 --> 0:01:05.600 leagues for free, because the draft software will go right 0:01:05.760 --> 0:01:09.040 to your league and help you make recommendations. It'll help 0:01:09.080 --> 0:01:11.120 give you expert advice. You can use the pick predictor 0:01:11.160 --> 0:01:14.440 the cheat sheets, all kinds of amazing tools, but that 0:01:14.600 --> 0:01:16.440 only comes when you download the Draft Wizards, So do 0:01:16.480 --> 0:01:18.440 it right now. War head over to fantasypros dot com 0:01:18.440 --> 0:01:21.920 slash MLB Draft Wizard today. All right, Welsh, let's start 0:01:21.920 --> 0:01:23.640 at first base. I don't want to start a catcher. 0:01:23.680 --> 0:01:26.440 Catcher is a little me boring for me. I doubt 0:01:26.520 --> 0:01:29.119 right exactly. So first base it is today, and we're 0:01:29.120 --> 0:01:31.080 gonna run through the top guys at the position here 0:01:31.120 --> 0:01:33.280 and give you a little overview. At the top, of course, 0:01:33.360 --> 0:01:36.960 Vlad Junior going at sixteen overall right now currently in 0:01:37.080 --> 0:01:40.800 adp Bryce Harper, Freddy Freeman, Matt Olsen, Pete Alonzo. Then 0:01:40.840 --> 0:01:43.920 I think there's a dip here. You have guys like Diazu. Again, 0:01:44.080 --> 0:01:47.160 I'd rather be a catcher than at first base. Josh Naylor, 0:01:47.360 --> 0:01:52.440 Christian Walker. Two guys that have moved locations here, Cody Bellinger, 0:01:52.680 --> 0:01:57.920 Spencer Steer, Tristan Cassis, Vinnie Pascuentino. So there's definitively a 0:01:57.920 --> 0:02:00.400 group at the top of sluggers. After that a group 0:02:00.440 --> 0:02:02.240 where you think you can probably get some power out 0:02:02.280 --> 0:02:05.240 of guys like Nailer and guys like Christian Walker Cody 0:02:05.240 --> 0:02:07.800 Bellinger hopefully on a balance back. And then it's kind 0:02:07.800 --> 0:02:09.160 of a little bit of a leap of faith, maybe 0:02:09.160 --> 0:02:12.560 with costs in Pascalentino, but to me, first basis a 0:02:12.560 --> 0:02:14.080 little bit more of a priority. I like to hit 0:02:14.080 --> 0:02:14.480 it early. 0:02:14.480 --> 0:02:16.840 How about you, Yeah, I think for the most part, 0:02:16.880 --> 0:02:20.359 I've got these clumps. Obviously, Vlad and Bryce Harper make 0:02:20.400 --> 0:02:23.240 a lot of sense. I'm a little bit faidie of 0:02:23.360 --> 0:02:27.160 maybe Freeman. I'm not super super interested in Olsen and Alonzo. 0:02:27.320 --> 0:02:29.200 So it's like, you know, I'm gonna have to essentially 0:02:29.240 --> 0:02:31.720 pick a second round for a first baseman or then 0:02:31.720 --> 0:02:34.440 I'm skipping for a while. Then we go into that 0:02:34.600 --> 0:02:37.000 like third tier of first basement, which you talk about, 0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:38.960 which I think is gonna be my sweet spot and 0:02:39.000 --> 0:02:41.600 something I have to target, and then another just deep 0:02:41.600 --> 0:02:43.520 thing to think about. We're gonna talk about it here. 0:02:43.720 --> 0:02:46.960 Third base depth isn't fantastic. So if you have a 0:02:46.960 --> 0:02:50.360 corner infield spot. I'm personally trying to fill my corner 0:02:50.360 --> 0:02:53.680 infield spot from first base, and you can go deeper 0:02:53.760 --> 0:02:56.160 if you want, because I think there's some nice sleepers. 0:02:56.160 --> 0:02:58.720 We're gonna talk about some of those guys. But even 0:02:58.760 --> 0:03:01.280 if you wanted to take away from that core top twelve, 0:03:01.360 --> 0:03:03.480 top fourteen a first baseman, you're just not going to 0:03:03.560 --> 0:03:06.080 hurt yourself if you invested in let's just say first 0:03:06.080 --> 0:03:09.040 basement number six and first basement number ten because the 0:03:09.120 --> 0:03:12.200 cost is a little depreciated with really great return. So yeah, 0:03:12.200 --> 0:03:13.920 I don't want to wait too too long in my 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:17.040 investment on first base, but I'm going in tiers and 0:03:17.080 --> 0:03:19.239 little chunks of the guys that are my targets. 0:03:19.440 --> 0:03:21.480 All right, let's talk about sleepers too, because obviously a 0:03:21.520 --> 0:03:23.320 lot of leagues have corner spots. And a guy that 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:25.560 I like at the corner spot is Alec Burlson of 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:27.640 the Saint Louis Cardinals. That was one of our favorite 0:03:27.639 --> 0:03:30.200 waiver wire pickups last year. He really took off. He's 0:03:30.240 --> 0:03:32.560 got position flexibility too, which is also a nice thing 0:03:32.600 --> 0:03:34.920 to have for a player when you're drafting them a 0:03:34.960 --> 0:03:36.800 little later, and if you look at what he did 0:03:36.840 --> 0:03:39.720 last year, Welsh, I mean across the board, incredibly productive 0:03:39.720 --> 0:03:42.520 on a team that was really underwhelming. He cracked seventy 0:03:42.600 --> 0:03:45.520 runs and seventy rbi. He had nine steals, he had 0:03:45.520 --> 0:03:48.240 two sixty seven twenty one home runs. To me, he's 0:03:48.280 --> 0:03:51.320 kind of like the modern day version potentially of ben Zobris, 0:03:51.440 --> 0:03:52.560 like a guy who just kind of gives you a 0:03:52.560 --> 0:03:56.120 little to everything. Is he spectacular, No, but certainly a 0:03:56.160 --> 0:03:58.560 guy that can be productive. And I do expect some 0:03:58.760 --> 0:04:02.040 incremental improvements from Saint Louis year over a year, because 0:04:02.040 --> 0:04:03.840 I think last year was a little bit of an anomally. 0:04:03.920 --> 0:04:05.560 I think some of these kids, hopefully we'll start to 0:04:06.000 --> 0:04:07.960 get it. Maybe this will be the Jordan Walker year, 0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:10.040 maybe Mason Wins and of the other guys really start 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:12.440 to take the next step forward. Berlson's a guy for 0:04:12.560 --> 0:04:14.080 me who's a sleeper for you at first. 0:04:14.080 --> 0:04:15.560 Basically, one thing I want to point out with Birlson 0:04:15.640 --> 0:04:18.160 I like this one too deeper league play, and the 0:04:18.160 --> 0:04:21.599 Cardinals have lost so many players into free agent. They're 0:04:21.640 --> 0:04:23.880 the only team as we record this that has not 0:04:23.960 --> 0:04:25.960 signed a single free agent then signed a single free 0:04:25.960 --> 0:04:28.600 agent of all MLB teams are just crazy, So Burlson's 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:30.799 going to get an opportunity to move up in the lineup. 0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:33.280 It's kind of a. 0:04:32.440 --> 0:04:35.719 All of what is it? All tides rise the boats? 0:04:36.040 --> 0:04:39.400 That is that thing you are so close is born 0:04:39.640 --> 0:04:44.560 all A rising tide raises all shifts boats. 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:47.680 There you go, okay, and the tide here is all 0:04:47.720 --> 0:04:49.720 of these guys coming out and then moving up in 0:04:49.760 --> 0:04:53.279 the lineup. So that's my great analogy here. I'll do 0:04:53.360 --> 0:04:55.479 something better than analogies. I'll give you a sleeper that 0:04:55.520 --> 0:04:56.400 I really like instead. 0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:59.080 I can tell you I can hear the analogies all day, 0:04:59.120 --> 0:05:00.360 but I'll take a sleep. Yeah. 0:05:00.400 --> 0:05:02.640 Yeah, I couldn't handle the comments all day. But the 0:05:02.640 --> 0:05:04.359 guy I'm gonna go with because I like your Burlson here, 0:05:04.400 --> 0:05:07.039 I'm gonna go with Michael Tolia with the Colorado Rockies. 0:05:07.360 --> 0:05:10.000 I've talked about totallya a decent amount of this offseason 0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:13.280 that the overall like big hit profile is pretty enormous. 0:05:13.279 --> 0:05:15.640 He had a seventeen percent barrel rate with a fifty 0:05:15.640 --> 0:05:16.600 percent hard hit rate. 0:05:16.600 --> 0:05:18.159 Those are monstrous numbers. 0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:21.440 Now, he's got a strikeout problem, and he had a 0:05:21.440 --> 0:05:23.880 batting average problem. He only hit two eighteen last year, 0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:26.080 and he had a thirty two percent strikeout rate. Those 0:05:26.160 --> 0:05:29.800 stink the positives though, take that hitting profile. He had 0:05:29.800 --> 0:05:32.920 an expected batting average of close to two forty, which 0:05:32.920 --> 0:05:35.520 I really really like. And he hits in Colorado it's 0:05:35.520 --> 0:05:37.880 the most hit or friendly environment you can have. And 0:05:38.080 --> 0:05:40.320 one of my main points to this is his ADP's 0:05:40.320 --> 0:05:42.719 around like one seventy or so. I don't believe you 0:05:42.720 --> 0:05:44.400 know he's in the top twelve of who you mentioned, 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:48.040 or even top fifteen. Power is can be hard to 0:05:48.040 --> 0:05:50.039 come by. Like I think we all pick and choose 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:53.160 these different things. Okay, I got to focus on stolen bases. 0:05:53.200 --> 0:05:55.200 No longer do we care about trying to find stolen 0:05:55.240 --> 0:05:58.480 bases late. You can find it all the time. The 0:05:58.520 --> 0:06:00.720 two pieces that seem harder in the hitting world to 0:06:00.800 --> 0:06:03.919 find later in drafts are a batting average, which he 0:06:03.960 --> 0:06:06.800 doesn't help you with, but be elite power, not just power. 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:09.440 Alec Burlson twenty homer is awesome, great, he has better 0:06:09.480 --> 0:06:12.239 batting average, but finding thirty five plus home run power 0:06:12.279 --> 0:06:14.919 outside the top one fifty, it's not one hundred percent 0:06:14.960 --> 0:06:17.200 there totally. It does provide that totally you could be 0:06:17.200 --> 0:06:19.880 a forty home run hitter. He can't hit two twenty again. 0:06:20.080 --> 0:06:22.760 But I think the hitting profile works really well in Colorado, 0:06:22.800 --> 0:06:24.760 where he should be hitting again higher in a lineup, 0:06:24.760 --> 0:06:26.440 hopefully there's RBI opportunities. 0:06:26.720 --> 0:06:27.599 Think he's a sleeper. 0:06:28.120 --> 0:06:30.080 He fits for all teams, and I really think there's 0:06:30.080 --> 0:06:33.440 a possibility that that batting average doesn't become some big 0:06:33.520 --> 0:06:35.760 albatross to your team like a Joey Gallo. 0:06:35.839 --> 0:06:37.320 So Tolia is a sleeper for me. 0:06:38.160 --> 0:06:39.960 By the way, one more known on Burlson too before 0:06:39.960 --> 0:06:42.440 we move on to the bus. Looks like he's projected 0:06:42.440 --> 0:06:45.800 at number two in that order, two between Contreras and 0:06:45.839 --> 0:06:48.080 then Win at the top. So I also like that too. 0:06:48.200 --> 0:06:51.000 Lineup spot matters a lot, and that's what whils she's 0:06:51.000 --> 0:06:53.279 talking about his guy in Colorado. Two. Okay, so there's sleepers. 0:06:53.320 --> 0:06:56.760 There's also a bus at the position for me, Ryan 0:06:56.800 --> 0:07:00.000 Mintcastle and Ryan Mountcastle. I know that's Mike Mayer's favorite player, 0:07:00.080 --> 0:07:01.359 and I know he's going to get very mad at 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:03.720 me for saying this, But three years in a row, 0:07:03.800 --> 0:07:06.560 declining home runs and declining power, and you know, some 0:07:06.560 --> 0:07:08.000 of the games played the last couple years be a 0:07:08.000 --> 0:07:09.880 little limited to now he's still hitting that at two 0:07:09.920 --> 0:07:12.200 seventy range. But my old thing is I feel like 0:07:12.240 --> 0:07:15.480 he's about to get squeezed out of Baltimore. Potentially Kobe 0:07:15.480 --> 0:07:16.960 Meyo eventually going to come up, and that's going to 0:07:17.000 --> 0:07:18.720 create some sort of logjam at the corners because you 0:07:18.720 --> 0:07:22.120 gotta have the DH spot kind of locked up. Me 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:24.280 he could playm at DH two, But I don't know. 0:07:24.320 --> 0:07:27.840 I just feel like the new blood of the Baltimore 0:07:27.840 --> 0:07:30.600 Orioles is really pushing forward there and it's going to 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:33.120 continue to push this year. And I feel like Mountcastle 0:07:33.240 --> 0:07:35.200 might be a guy that has dealt at some point 0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:38.160 by the trade deadline. Potentially if some more of these 0:07:38.200 --> 0:07:41.720 young guys push him out or worse, he gets in 0:07:41.760 --> 0:07:44.480 this weird rotational thing where he's not like an everyday player, 0:07:44.520 --> 0:07:48.080 and that to me is also potentially bust worthy. So 0:07:48.160 --> 0:07:50.360 Maltcowsle is a guy that I'm personally avoiding in twenty 0:07:50.400 --> 0:07:52.600 twenty five, wells, who are you avoiding? In first base? 0:07:53.040 --> 0:07:58.000 Ces Christian Incarnacion's strand And I could eat my words 0:07:58.080 --> 0:08:01.960 on this one because last year just wasn't great. 0:08:02.000 --> 0:08:04.160 There's a ton of miss time. There really wasn't a 0:08:04.200 --> 0:08:05.000 ton of it bats. 0:08:05.400 --> 0:08:08.040 The hitting profile was completely different. But I think in 0:08:08.120 --> 0:08:09.840 theory you could chalk that up to the. 0:08:09.920 --> 0:08:11.600 Injury, and that's kind of the big thing. 0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:14.840 There's a couple guys that I'm just not really buying 0:08:15.120 --> 0:08:16.800 bounce backs. We're going to talk about a guy in 0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:18.320 a little bit at third base. It's kind of the 0:08:18.320 --> 0:08:22.440 same thing because in this past year, barrel percentage dipped, 0:08:22.760 --> 0:08:26.400 expected batting average dipped strikeouts were still incredibly high, and 0:08:26.440 --> 0:08:29.880 he stopped walking whatsoever. But comparative to the year prior, 0:08:30.640 --> 0:08:33.680 Strand had an ten percent barrel rate, forty eight percent 0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:35.760 hard hit rate, which was elite. He walked two percent 0:08:35.800 --> 0:08:37.400 more of the time, and he had an XBA of 0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:40.199 two seventy after he hit two seventy. So it was like, oh, 0:08:40.600 --> 0:08:43.160 this might be a power hitter with batting average. The 0:08:43.200 --> 0:08:44.959 injury depleted some of that, so it could be one 0:08:44.960 --> 0:08:46.680 of those two ways. I watched him in the Arizona 0:08:46.679 --> 0:08:50.559 Fall League. It doesn't it doesn't seem comfortable still. Positionally, 0:08:50.600 --> 0:08:51.760 they don't know where he's going. 0:08:51.800 --> 0:08:53.160 They were talking about the outfield. 0:08:53.200 --> 0:08:55.199 He doesn't want to be there, and the Reds are 0:08:55.280 --> 0:08:59.480 collecting players like its pokemon. There Austin Hayes are trying 0:08:59.480 --> 0:09:02.360 to trade for Police Robert. They're getting everybody, and it's 0:09:02.360 --> 0:09:04.360 looking like a situation where Strand is going to be 0:09:04.400 --> 0:09:08.640 put in at best maybe maybe a situational player. So 0:09:09.040 --> 0:09:11.000 I'm just not in on it. The profile what I 0:09:11.040 --> 0:09:12.400 saw on there is in a fall league was kind 0:09:12.400 --> 0:09:15.880 of athletically. I don't know if the Reds fully trust him. 0:09:16.080 --> 0:09:18.120 His cost is still kind of up there, so I 0:09:18.160 --> 0:09:20.079 am going to be busting Cees. 0:09:20.320 --> 0:09:21.640 No thanks, all. 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:23.560 Right, must haves. I don't spend too much time on 0:09:23.559 --> 0:09:25.160 this guy, because we talked about him in some of 0:09:25.160 --> 0:09:27.520 our undervalue shows that we just did. The Undervalued Hitter 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:29.280 Show should be up there on the YouTube channel. Go 0:09:29.360 --> 0:09:32.560 check that out. But Tristan Cassas, he's gonna have Durham 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:34.480 and Devors hitting ahead of him. Think he's gonna see 0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:35.760 a lot of fastballs this year, and I think he's 0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:37.960 in a really good spot. Projected hit third in that 0:09:38.000 --> 0:09:40.600 lineup right now over on Fangrafts and the roster resource there, 0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:42.360 and I think that when you look at some of 0:09:42.360 --> 0:09:44.800 the projections, you see zips As with twenty nine home runs. 0:09:44.800 --> 0:09:48.080 Steamer's got him a twenty eight if you somehow miss 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:51.079 out on the Christian Walker Josh Naylor grouping right, you 0:09:51.120 --> 0:09:53.400 don't get the elite guys, and then man, that run happens, 0:09:53.400 --> 0:09:55.559 and you miss out the way to make up for it. Like, 0:09:55.600 --> 0:09:57.360 who's a guy that can hit two sixty and thirty 0:09:57.360 --> 0:09:59.400 home runs? I think it's Tristan Cassas, and I think 0:09:59.440 --> 0:10:02.000 that's just an easy win for me. And you've seen 0:10:02.080 --> 0:10:04.880 I've drafted him in some of our mocks already because 0:10:04.880 --> 0:10:07.080 I feel like that's also a really good return on investment. 0:10:07.080 --> 0:10:09.160 If I can't get the elite power at the price 0:10:09.240 --> 0:10:12.400 that I want early on, then the pivot there is 0:10:12.559 --> 0:10:15.480 hoping that he can deliver that same promise. Who for 0:10:15.600 --> 0:10:18.600 you is a must have at first base in twenty 0:10:18.640 --> 0:10:19.280 twenty five? Welsh? 0:10:19.320 --> 0:10:21.720 Yeah, remember I talked about these three buckets. There's like 0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:24.120 the number one, which is lad and Harper. You probably 0:10:24.120 --> 0:10:26.440 throw Freeman in there, and then two is kind of 0:10:26.440 --> 0:10:28.400 that Ulsen Alonzo range. 0:10:28.480 --> 0:10:28.960 No thanks. 0:10:29.200 --> 0:10:32.080 That third bucket starts in with I think Costas is 0:10:32.240 --> 0:10:34.440 the end of it. Naylor is in there. The guy 0:10:34.480 --> 0:10:36.280 that I want is in that bucket, and you mentioned 0:10:36.360 --> 0:10:38.880 him Christian Walker, So Christian Walker is the start of it. 0:10:39.200 --> 0:10:42.520 He's a must have for me. The cost isn't prohibitive 0:10:43.120 --> 0:10:45.240 really with whatever you've done. Obviously, if you went and 0:10:45.440 --> 0:10:47.440 drafted vlat it wouldn't make a ton of sense. But 0:10:47.720 --> 0:10:49.600 you know, Walker goes from a nice hitting environment in 0:10:49.640 --> 0:10:52.520 Arizona to an even better hitting environment in Houston. He 0:10:52.559 --> 0:10:54.880 had twenty six homers last year with a two fifty 0:10:54.920 --> 0:10:58.199 one average, but you've got an even shorter porch, which 0:10:58.240 --> 0:11:02.200 looks like from a projected standpoint, Baseball Savant does the like, 0:11:02.280 --> 0:11:05.160 how many homers would they hit if they were here? 0:11:05.360 --> 0:11:07.400 He had twenty only in this one ballpark. He had 0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:10.040 twenty five homers in Arizona projected to be twenty eight, 0:11:10.080 --> 0:11:12.640 so a three homer in boost in Houston by virtue 0:11:12.679 --> 0:11:14.480 of that. But it's just such a great short porch. 0:11:14.559 --> 0:11:17.400 Is an incredible offense around him as well. You're gonna 0:11:17.400 --> 0:11:20.000 have Altuve, you've got Jordan Alvarez. He should hit it 0:11:20.040 --> 0:11:22.760 a prominent spot in the lineup. He's one hundred RBI guy, 0:11:22.800 --> 0:11:24.760 gold Glove, He's always going to be out there. I 0:11:24.800 --> 0:11:26.960 just think Christian Walker just went into as good of 0:11:26.960 --> 0:11:29.800 a situation as you could possibly have in a ballpark. 0:11:30.000 --> 0:11:32.160 That is going to feed to how he hits the 0:11:32.200 --> 0:11:34.760 ball in general. So for him to be going around 0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:36.800 you know, like seventy eighty or something like that, he's 0:11:36.840 --> 0:11:39.360 an absolute must have at first or you want to 0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:42.240 you want to be like the one percenters, You want 0:11:42.280 --> 0:11:44.800 to be Richie Rich. Get him at a quarer infield. 0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:46.200 Go and take one of the top guys and then 0:11:46.240 --> 0:11:49.320 take him off the board. Thirty one hundred with I 0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:51.320 think a boost in batting average is in play, maybe 0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:53.160 in the two seventy range for Walker this year. 0:11:53.360 --> 0:11:54.880 Got to have him, all right. 0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:57.040 Let's continue our trip around the diamond here to second 0:11:57.080 --> 0:11:59.440 base before we do a quick shout out to fan Tracks, 0:11:59.679 --> 0:12:02.760 the whole home of fantasy sports. Year round engagement, offseason trades, 0:12:02.800 --> 0:12:06.520 real time updates, and seamless player transactions keep the excitement 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:08.880 alive at fan Tracks three hundred and sixty five days 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:12.640 a year. They have the most incredible dense dynasty program 0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:15.800 you're ever gonna see. Automated salaries, contracts, you name it, 0:12:15.840 --> 0:12:19.119 they've got it there. Multi team trades. 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But this is a 0:13:20.000 --> 0:13:22.040 new year, it's a new time, and you don't go 0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:25.520 from being arguably the number one prospect in baseball typically 0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:27.920 to being a complete and utter boss. And he's being 0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:30.120 drafted right now in a situation where if you start 0:13:30.160 --> 0:13:32.520 to look at some of the second basement, I'm going 0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:34.680 to run down them here. Mookie Bets at the top again. 0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:37.840 Position flexibility there could tell Marte great, Jose al Tuove, 0:13:37.960 --> 0:13:41.079 Ozzie Albi's, Marcus Simeon. The very solid group there some 0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:43.440 real veterans, but some health issues with I think all 0:13:43.480 --> 0:13:46.600 three of those guys Jordan Westberg, Matt McClain also health 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:50.560 issue coming back, Bryce Terrang, Luis Garcia, Nico Horner, Xander Bogarts, 0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:54.240 Bryson Stott, Rafaela and Jmenez right on that peripheral. And 0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:55.680 then you have to go all the way down to 0:13:55.760 --> 0:13:59.360 the seventeenth guy overall at the position in Jackson Holiday, 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:01.880 and I'm looking at I'm thinking to myself, can Jackson 0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:06.719 Holiday potentially outperform Rafaela, Jimenez, guys like Bryson Stott. I 0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:09.360 think he absolutely can. So to me, that makes him 0:14:09.360 --> 0:14:10.800 a sleeper. This year he got rid of the big 0:14:10.840 --> 0:14:12.600 leg kick two going to that toe tap. I think 0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:14.880 that will help him a little bit. I think really 0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:17.360 it was just pushed a little bit too soon and 0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:20.080 unfortunately didn't go well. But I think twenty twenty five 0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:21.720 might be a different story. And this is when I'm 0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:23.640 buying the dip in the post hype. I think it's 0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:25.880 the perfect situation. Give me a sleeper for you at 0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:27.320 second base and what you think of the position. 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:30.080 Yeah, I'm also gonna tell you this is probably the 0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:32.280 first one so far in this show where it's like, oh, 0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:34.000 you took a guy that I probably would have put, 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:35.800 so sometime I'm trying to pivot off not give the 0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:39.200 mack Hines. Yeah, I would have put Jackson Holiday, great barrel, 0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:43.160 good hard hit, struggled against Slider's young young dude who 0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:45.880 got pushed up four levels in a year year prior. 0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:48.240 I think there's a pretty easy work like that. 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:48.720 You know. 0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:50.920 It's like, like you said, you're changing and getting into 0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:52.880 the toe tap. You're gonna work on hitting some of 0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:56.000 that offspeed breaking stuff because he can hit fastballs. He's 0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:57.440 done it in the minors, and he has a really 0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:00.800 good underlying hit profile. So I'm there with I'm totally 0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:03.240 there with you on him as far as the position goes. 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:06.640 In general, you know, second base always has this kind 0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:09.840 of weakness that it feels. I think it is deeper 0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:13.200 than some years prior, but I think that deepness more 0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:16.280 speaks to middle infield. You know, getting your starter, I don't. 0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:18.440 I still don't want to wait and be like, all right, 0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:20.640 I'm the last guy that got a second basement, because 0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:22.880 now then you're going to be swimming in a pool 0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.360 that's just not going to feel great. You know, you're 0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:26.880 you're going to be playing from behind, and then you're 0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.600 probably gonna have to try to maybe up take a 0:15:29.640 --> 0:15:30.080 short step. 0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:31.360 Now. The only reason maybe you could do. 0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:34.280 It is if you double tap shortstop. Sometimes people will 0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:37.760 go shortstop early and then shortstop in middle, and maybe 0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:40.800 that middle infield shortstop can make up for some deficiencies 0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:43.400 that you might have had at second base. But you know, 0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:45.480 I'm not really sure that you want even as much 0:15:45.520 --> 0:15:47.360 as I love Luis ran Gifo, you want him as 0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:49.680 like your starter or even Bryce Terrain unless you're chasing 0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.120 stolen bases. So I'm trying to attack it a little 0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:55.400 bit early if I possibly can. If you don't, we'll 0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:57.600 go to my sleeper. I think this is a solid 0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.640 deeper league middle infield player that I'm going to targeting 0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:03.880 former potential twenty twenty player. It's Jonathan India, who was 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:06.800 traded over to the Kansas City Royals. India last year 0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:09.520 when it really wasn't a great year. Fifteen homers, thirteen 0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:13.200 stolen bases, hit just under two point fifty, had best 0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:15.400 OBP over the last couple of years. In fact, twelve 0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:18.440 point six percent walk rate, highest of his career, in 0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:19.240 top three. 0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:22.520 Percentile of the league. Why does that matter. He's going 0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:25.000 to go potentially hit leadoff for the Royals. 0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:28.000 You've got Bobby Witt Junior, You've got Salvador Perez hitting 0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:31.040 behind you. You have any pass Quintino that opens up 0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:35.640 a huge opportunity for runs. This team also runs on 0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:39.239 the base path, so you might see that uptick. Projections 0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:42.160 aren't really putting that in play. Atc projections are pretty 0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:44.480 light on him. Run a two to fifty batting average, 0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.440 homers and stolen bases are both under fifteen. I think 0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:50.440 there's a legit shot that Jonathan India can get into 0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:53.360 that twenty twenty range. The profile in general is pretty solid, 0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:56.280 almost eight percent barrel. His expected batting average was close 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.440 to two seventy, so it was higher than it was 0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.040 last year. He struck out under twenty percent of the time, 0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:03.640 and he walked a ton. Hey, you're at the top 0:17:03.720 --> 0:17:07.080 of that Royals lineup with a bunch of monsters behind you, 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:11.000 you might jump into ninety RBI. You steal twenty plus bases, 0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:13.280 you get some homers. All of a sudden, he goes 0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:16.080 from a guy that is going two fifty, two twenty 0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:18.680 or something like that into maybe being a top one 0:17:18.800 --> 0:17:21.000 fifty overall player. So I think India is a really 0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:22.240 nice second base sleeper. 0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:25.879 All right, let's talk about bust at second base. Bryson 0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:27.560