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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me Joey p joe Pisapia

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Speaker 1: with me of course is the Welsh. And it's time

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Speaker 1: to hit the guides. That's right, it's time for the

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Speaker 1: Ultimate infield Guide. We're gonna go through the positions, give

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Speaker 1: you a little overview of the top guys at the position,

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Speaker 1: give you our favorite sleepers, our busts, and our must

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Speaker 1: haves at those positions. And of course, if you're looking

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Speaker 1: to check out the ranks for yourself, you can go

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Speaker 1: to Fantasypros dot com to do so, and we encourage

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Speaker 1: slash MLB Draft Wizard today. All right, Welsh, let's start

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Speaker 1: at first base. I don't want to start a catcher.

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Speaker 1: Catcher is a little me boring for me. I doubt

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Speaker 1: right exactly. So first base it is today, and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna run through the top guys at the position here

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Speaker 1: and give you a little overview. At the top, of course,

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Speaker 1: Vlad Junior going at sixteen overall right now currently in

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Speaker 1: adp Bryce Harper, Freddy Freeman, Matt Olsen, Pete Alonzo. Then

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Speaker 1: I think there's a dip here. You have guys like Diazu. Again,

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Speaker 1: I'd rather be a catcher than at first base. Josh Naylor,

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Speaker 1: Christian Walker. Two guys that have moved locations here, Cody Bellinger,

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Speaker 1: Spencer Steer, Tristan Cassis, Vinnie Pascuentino. So there's definitively a

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Speaker 1: group at the top of sluggers. After that a group

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Speaker 1: where you think you can probably get some power out

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Speaker 1: of guys like Nailer and guys like Christian Walker Cody

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Speaker 1: Bellinger hopefully on a balance back. And then it's kind

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Speaker 1: of a little bit of a leap of faith, maybe

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Speaker 1: with costs in Pascalentino, but to me, first basis a

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Speaker 1: little bit more of a priority. I like to hit

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Speaker 1: it early.

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Speaker 2: How about you, Yeah, I think for the most part,

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Speaker 2: I've got these clumps. Obviously, Vlad and Bryce Harper make

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Speaker 2: a lot of sense. I'm a little bit faidie of

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Speaker 2: maybe Freeman. I'm not super super interested in Olsen and Alonzo.

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Speaker 2: So it's like, you know, I'm gonna have to essentially

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Speaker 2: pick a second round for a first baseman or then

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Speaker 2: I'm skipping for a while. Then we go into that

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Speaker 2: like third tier of first basement, which you talk about,

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Speaker 2: which I think is gonna be my sweet spot and

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Speaker 2: something I have to target, and then another just deep

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Speaker 2: thing to think about. We're gonna talk about it here.

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Speaker 2: Third base depth isn't fantastic. So if you have a

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Speaker 2: corner infield spot. I'm personally trying to fill my corner

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Speaker 2: infield spot from first base, and you can go deeper

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Speaker 2: if you want, because I think there's some nice sleepers.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about some of those guys. But even

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Speaker 2: if you wanted to take away from that core top twelve,

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Speaker 2: top fourteen a first baseman, you're just not going to

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Speaker 2: hurt yourself if you invested in let's just say first

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Speaker 2: basement number six and first basement number ten because the

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Speaker 2: cost is a little depreciated with really great return. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I don't want to wait too too long in my

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Speaker 2: investment on first base, but I'm going in tiers and

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Speaker 2: little chunks of the guys that are my targets.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about sleepers too, because obviously a

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Speaker 1: lot of leagues have corner spots. And a guy that

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Speaker 1: I like at the corner spot is Alec Burlson of

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Speaker 1: the Saint Louis Cardinals. That was one of our favorite

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Speaker 1: waiver wire pickups last year. He really took off. He's

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Speaker 1: got position flexibility too, which is also a nice thing

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Speaker 1: to have for a player when you're drafting them a

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Speaker 1: little later, and if you look at what he did

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Speaker 1: last year, Welsh, I mean across the board, incredibly productive

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Speaker 1: on a team that was really underwhelming. He cracked seventy

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Speaker 1: runs and seventy rbi. He had nine steals, he had

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Speaker 1: two sixty seven twenty one home runs. To me, he's

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Speaker 1: kind of like the modern day version potentially of ben Zobris,

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Speaker 1: like a guy who just kind of gives you a

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Speaker 1: little to everything. Is he spectacular, No, but certainly a

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Speaker 1: guy that can be productive. And I do expect some

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Speaker 1: incremental improvements from Saint Louis year over a year, because

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Speaker 1: I think last year was a little bit of an anomally.

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Speaker 1: I think some of these kids, hopefully we'll start to

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Speaker 1: get it. Maybe this will be the Jordan Walker year,

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Speaker 1: maybe Mason Wins and of the other guys really start

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Speaker 1: to take the next step forward. Berlson's a guy for

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Speaker 1: me who's a sleeper for you at first.

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Speaker 2: Basically, one thing I want to point out with Birlson

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Speaker 2: I like this one too deeper league play, and the

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Speaker 2: Cardinals have lost so many players into free agent. They're

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Speaker 2: the only team as we record this that has not

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Speaker 2: signed a single free agent then signed a single free

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Speaker 2: agent of all MLB teams are just crazy, So Burlson's

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Speaker 2: going to get an opportunity to move up in the lineup.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of a.

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Speaker 3: All of what is it? All tides rise the boats?

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Speaker 1: That is that thing you are so close is born

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Speaker 1: all A rising tide raises all shifts boats.

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Speaker 2: There you go, okay, and the tide here is all

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Speaker 2: of these guys coming out and then moving up in

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Speaker 2: the lineup. So that's my great analogy here. I'll do

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Speaker 2: something better than analogies. I'll give you a sleeper that

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Speaker 2: I really like instead.

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Speaker 1: I can tell you I can hear the analogies all day,

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Speaker 1: but I'll take a sleep. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I couldn't handle the comments all day. But the

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Speaker 2: guy I'm gonna go with because I like your Burlson here,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Michael Tolia with the Colorado Rockies.

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Speaker 2: I've talked about totallya a decent amount of this offseason

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Speaker 2: that the overall like big hit profile is pretty enormous.

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Speaker 2: He had a seventeen percent barrel rate with a fifty

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Speaker 2: percent hard hit rate.

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Speaker 3: Those are monstrous numbers.

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Speaker 2: Now, he's got a strikeout problem, and he had a

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Speaker 2: batting average problem. He only hit two eighteen last year,

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Speaker 2: and he had a thirty two percent strikeout rate. Those

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Speaker 2: stink the positives though, take that hitting profile. He had

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Speaker 2: an expected batting average of close to two forty, which

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Speaker 2: I really really like. And he hits in Colorado it's

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Speaker 2: the most hit or friendly environment you can have. And

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Speaker 2: one of my main points to this is his ADP's

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Speaker 2: around like one seventy or so. I don't believe you

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Speaker 2: know he's in the top twelve of who you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: or even top fifteen. Power is can be hard to

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Speaker 2: come by. Like I think we all pick and choose

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Speaker 2: these different things. Okay, I got to focus on stolen bases.

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Speaker 2: No longer do we care about trying to find stolen

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Speaker 2: bases late. You can find it all the time. The

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Speaker 2: two pieces that seem harder in the hitting world to

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Speaker 2: find later in drafts are a batting average, which he

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Speaker 2: doesn't help you with, but be elite power, not just power.

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Speaker 2: Alec Burlson twenty homer is awesome, great, he has better

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Speaker 2: batting average, but finding thirty five plus home run power

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Speaker 2: outside the top one fifty, it's not one hundred percent

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Speaker 2: there totally. It does provide that totally you could be

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Speaker 2: a forty home run hitter. He can't hit two twenty again.

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Speaker 2: But I think the hitting profile works really well in Colorado,

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Speaker 2: where he should be hitting again higher in a lineup,

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Speaker 2: hopefully there's RBI opportunities.

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Speaker 3: Think he's a sleeper.

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Speaker 2: He fits for all teams, and I really think there's

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Speaker 2: a possibility that that batting average doesn't become some big

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Speaker 2: albatross to your team like a Joey Gallo.

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Speaker 3: So Tolia is a sleeper for me.

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Speaker 1: By the way, one more known on Burlson too before

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Speaker 1: we move on to the bus. Looks like he's projected

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Speaker 1: at number two in that order, two between Contreras and

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Speaker 1: then Win at the top. So I also like that too.

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Speaker 1: Lineup spot matters a lot, and that's what whils she's

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Speaker 1: talking about his guy in Colorado. Two. Okay, so there's sleepers.

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Speaker 1: There's also a bus at the position for me, Ryan

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Speaker 1: Mintcastle and Ryan Mountcastle. I know that's Mike Mayer's favorite player,

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Speaker 1: and I know he's going to get very mad at

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Speaker 1: me for saying this, But three years in a row,

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Speaker 1: declining home runs and declining power, and you know, some

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Speaker 1: of the games played the last couple years be a

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Speaker 1: little limited to now he's still hitting that at two

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Speaker 1: seventy range. But my old thing is I feel like

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Speaker 1: he's about to get squeezed out of Baltimore. Potentially Kobe

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Speaker 1: Meyo eventually going to come up, and that's going to

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Speaker 1: create some sort of logjam at the corners because you

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Speaker 1: gotta have the DH spot kind of locked up. Me

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Speaker 1: he could playm at DH two, But I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I just feel like the new blood of the Baltimore

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Speaker 1: Orioles is really pushing forward there and it's going to

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Speaker 1: continue to push this year. And I feel like Mountcastle

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Speaker 1: might be a guy that has dealt at some point

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Speaker 1: by the trade deadline. Potentially if some more of these

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Speaker 1: young guys push him out or worse, he gets in

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Speaker 1: this weird rotational thing where he's not like an everyday player,

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Speaker 1: and that to me is also potentially bust worthy. So

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Speaker 1: Maltcowsle is a guy that I'm personally avoiding in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five, wells, who are you avoiding? In first base?

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Speaker 2: Ces Christian Incarnacion's strand And I could eat my words

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Speaker 2: on this one because last year just wasn't great.

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Speaker 3: There's a ton of miss time. There really wasn't a

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Speaker 3: ton of it bats.

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Speaker 2: The hitting profile was completely different. But I think in

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Speaker 2: theory you could chalk that up to the.

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Speaker 3: Injury, and that's kind of the big thing.

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Speaker 2: There's a couple guys that I'm just not really buying

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Speaker 2: bounce backs. We're going to talk about a guy in

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Speaker 2: a little bit at third base. It's kind of the

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Speaker 2: same thing because in this past year, barrel percentage dipped,

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Speaker 2: expected batting average dipped strikeouts were still incredibly high, and

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Speaker 2: he stopped walking whatsoever. But comparative to the year prior,

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Speaker 2: Strand had an ten percent barrel rate, forty eight percent

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Speaker 2: hard hit rate, which was elite. He walked two percent

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Speaker 2: more of the time, and he had an XBA of

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Speaker 2: two seventy after he hit two seventy. So it was like, oh,

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Speaker 2: this might be a power hitter with batting average. The

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Speaker 2: injury depleted some of that, so it could be one

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Speaker 2: of those two ways. I watched him in the Arizona

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Speaker 2: Fall League. It doesn't it doesn't seem comfortable still. Positionally,

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Speaker 2: they don't know where he's going.

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Speaker 3: They were talking about the outfield.

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Speaker 2: He doesn't want to be there, and the Reds are

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Speaker 2: collecting players like its pokemon. There Austin Hayes are trying

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Speaker 2: to trade for Police Robert. They're getting everybody, and it's

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Speaker 2: looking like a situation where Strand is going to be

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Speaker 2: put in at best maybe maybe a situational player. So

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Speaker 2: I'm just not in on it. The profile what I

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Speaker 2: saw on there is in a fall league was kind

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Speaker 2: of athletically. I don't know if the Reds fully trust him.

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Speaker 2: His cost is still kind of up there, so I

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Speaker 2: am going to be busting Cees.

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Speaker 3: No thanks, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, must haves. I don't spend too much time on

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Speaker 1: this guy, because we talked about him in some of

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Speaker 1: our undervalue shows that we just did. The Undervalued Hitter

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Speaker 1: Show should be up there on the YouTube channel. Go

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Speaker 1: check that out. But Tristan Cassas, he's gonna have Durham

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Speaker 1: and Devors hitting ahead of him. Think he's gonna see

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Speaker 1: a lot of fastballs this year, and I think he's

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Speaker 1: in a really good spot. Projected hit third in that

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Speaker 1: lineup right now over on Fangrafts and the roster resource there,

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Speaker 1: and I think that when you look at some of

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Speaker 1: the projections, you see zips As with twenty nine home runs.

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Speaker 1: Steamer's got him a twenty eight if you somehow miss

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Speaker 1: out on the Christian Walker Josh Naylor grouping right, you

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Speaker 1: don't get the elite guys, and then man, that run happens,

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Speaker 1: and you miss out the way to make up for it. Like,

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Speaker 1: who's a guy that can hit two sixty and thirty

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Speaker 1: home runs? I think it's Tristan Cassas, and I think

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Speaker 1: that's just an easy win for me. And you've seen

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Speaker 1: I've drafted him in some of our mocks already because

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Speaker 1: I feel like that's also a really good return on investment.

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Speaker 1: If I can't get the elite power at the price

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Speaker 1: that I want early on, then the pivot there is

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Speaker 1: hoping that he can deliver that same promise. Who for

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Speaker 1: you is a must have at first base in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five? Welsh?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, remember I talked about these three buckets. There's like

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Speaker 2: the number one, which is lad and Harper. You probably

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Speaker 2: throw Freeman in there, and then two is kind of

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Speaker 2: that Ulsen Alonzo range.

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Speaker 3: No thanks.

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Speaker 2: That third bucket starts in with I think Costas is

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Speaker 2: the end of it. Naylor is in there. The guy

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Speaker 2: that I want is in that bucket, and you mentioned

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Speaker 2: him Christian Walker, So Christian Walker is the start of it.

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Speaker 2: He's a must have for me. The cost isn't prohibitive

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Speaker 2: really with whatever you've done. Obviously, if you went and

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Speaker 2: drafted vlat it wouldn't make a ton of sense. But

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Speaker 2: you know, Walker goes from a nice hitting environment in

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Speaker 2: Arizona to an even better hitting environment in Houston. He

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Speaker 2: had twenty six homers last year with a two fifty

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Speaker 2: one average, but you've got an even shorter porch, which

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Speaker 2: looks like from a projected standpoint, Baseball Savant does the like,

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Speaker 2: how many homers would they hit if they were here?

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Speaker 2: He had twenty only in this one ballpark. He had

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Speaker 2: twenty five homers in Arizona projected to be twenty eight,

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Speaker 2: so a three homer in boost in Houston by virtue

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Speaker 2: of that. But it's just such a great short porch.

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Speaker 2: Is an incredible offense around him as well. You're gonna

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Speaker 2: have Altuve, you've got Jordan Alvarez. He should hit it

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Speaker 2: a prominent spot in the lineup. He's one hundred RBI guy,

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Speaker 2: gold Glove, He's always going to be out there. I

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Speaker 2: just think Christian Walker just went into as good of

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Speaker 2: a situation as you could possibly have in a ballpark.

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Speaker 2: That is going to feed to how he hits the

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Speaker 2: ball in general. So for him to be going around

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Speaker 2: you know, like seventy eighty or something like that, he's

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Speaker 2: an absolute must have at first or you want to

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Speaker 2: you want to be like the one percenters, You want

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Speaker 2: to be Richie Rich. Get him at a quarer infield.

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Speaker 2: Go and take one of the top guys and then

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Speaker 2: take him off the board. Thirty one hundred with I

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Speaker 2: think a boost in batting average is in play, maybe

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Speaker 2: in the two seventy range for Walker this year.

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Speaker 3: Got to have him, all right.

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Speaker 1: Let's continue our trip around the diamond here to second

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Speaker 1: base before we do a quick shout out to fan Tracks,

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Speaker 1: slash Fantasy pro Welsh on to second base and the

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Speaker 1: sleeper might make people laugh for me, but it's Jackson Holiday.

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Speaker 1: Why because last year everybody was falling all over themselves

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Speaker 1: with Jackson Holiday. I of course pumped the brakes a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Oh gee whiz, I wasn't quite ready for

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Speaker 1: the big leagues. For those of you who watch Leading Off,

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Speaker 1: you know what that voice is. But this is a

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Speaker 1: new year, it's a new time, and you don't go

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Speaker 1: from being arguably the number one prospect in baseball typically

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Speaker 1: to being a complete and utter boss. And he's being

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Speaker 1: drafted right now in a situation where if you start

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Speaker 1: to look at some of the second basement, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to run down them here. Mookie Bets at the top again.

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Speaker 1: Position flexibility there could tell Marte great, Jose al Tuove,

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Speaker 1: Ozzie Albi's, Marcus Simeon. The very solid group there some

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Speaker 1: real veterans, but some health issues with I think all

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Speaker 1: three of those guys Jordan Westberg, Matt McClain also health

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Speaker 1: issue coming back, Bryce Terrang, Luis Garcia, Nico Horner, Xander Bogarts,

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Speaker 1: Bryson Stott, Rafaela and Jmenez right on that peripheral. And

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Speaker 1: then you have to go all the way down to

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Speaker 1: the seventeenth guy overall at the position in Jackson Holiday,

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Speaker 1: and I'm looking at I'm thinking to myself, can Jackson

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Speaker 1: Holiday potentially outperform Rafaela, Jimenez, guys like Bryson Stott. I

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Speaker 1: think he absolutely can. So to me, that makes him

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Speaker 1: a sleeper. This year he got rid of the big

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Speaker 1: leg kick two going to that toe tap. I think

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Speaker 1: that will help him a little bit. I think really

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Speaker 1: it was just pushed a little bit too soon and

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Speaker 1: unfortunately didn't go well. But I think twenty twenty five

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Speaker 1: might be a different story. And this is when I'm

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Speaker 1: buying the dip in the post hype. I think it's

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Speaker 1: the perfect situation. Give me a sleeper for you at

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Speaker 1: second base and what you think of the position.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm also gonna tell you this is probably the

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Speaker 2: first one so far in this show where it's like, oh,

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Speaker 2: you took a guy that I probably would have put,

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Speaker 2: so sometime I'm trying to pivot off not give the

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Speaker 2: mack Hines. Yeah, I would have put Jackson Holiday, great barrel,

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Speaker 2: good hard hit, struggled against Slider's young young dude who

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Speaker 2: got pushed up four levels in a year year prior.

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Speaker 2: I think there's a pretty easy work like that.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: It's like, like you said, you're changing and getting into

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Speaker 2: the toe tap. You're gonna work on hitting some of

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Speaker 2: that offspeed breaking stuff because he can hit fastballs. He's

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Speaker 2: done it in the minors, and he has a really

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Speaker 2: good underlying hit profile. So I'm there with I'm totally

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Speaker 2: there with you on him as far as the position goes.

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Speaker 2: In general, you know, second base always has this kind

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Speaker 2: of weakness that it feels. I think it is deeper

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Speaker 2: than some years prior, but I think that deepness more

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Speaker 2: speaks to middle infield. You know, getting your starter, I don't.

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Speaker 2: I still don't want to wait and be like, all right,

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Speaker 2: I'm the last guy that got a second basement, because

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Speaker 2: now then you're going to be swimming in a pool

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Speaker 2: that's just not going to feel great. You know, you're

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Speaker 2: you're going to be playing from behind, and then you're

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Speaker 2: probably gonna have to try to maybe up take a

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Speaker 2: short step.

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Speaker 3: Now. The only reason maybe you could do.

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Speaker 2: It is if you double tap shortstop. Sometimes people will

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Speaker 2: go shortstop early and then shortstop in middle, and maybe

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Speaker 2: that middle infield shortstop can make up for some deficiencies

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Speaker 2: that you might have had at second base. But you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm not really sure that you want even as much

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Speaker 2: as I love Luis ran Gifo, you want him as

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Speaker 2: like your starter or even Bryce Terrain unless you're chasing

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Speaker 2: stolen bases. So I'm trying to attack it a little

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Speaker 2: bit early if I possibly can. If you don't, we'll

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Speaker 2: go to my sleeper. I think this is a solid

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Speaker 2: deeper league middle infield player that I'm going to targeting

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Speaker 2: former potential twenty twenty player. It's Jonathan India, who was

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Speaker 2: traded over to the Kansas City Royals. India last year

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Speaker 2: when it really wasn't a great year. Fifteen homers, thirteen

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Speaker 2: stolen bases, hit just under two point fifty, had best

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Speaker 2: OBP over the last couple of years. In fact, twelve

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Speaker 2: point six percent walk rate, highest of his career, in

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Speaker 2: top three.

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Speaker 3: Percentile of the league. Why does that matter. He's going

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Speaker 3: to go potentially hit leadoff for the Royals.

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Speaker 2: You've got Bobby Witt Junior, You've got Salvador Perez hitting

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Speaker 2: behind you. You have any pass Quintino that opens up

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Speaker 2: a huge opportunity for runs. This team also runs on

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Speaker 2: the base path, so you might see that uptick. Projections

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Speaker 2: aren't really putting that in play. Atc projections are pretty

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Speaker 2: light on him. Run a two to fifty batting average,

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Speaker 2: homers and stolen bases are both under fifteen. I think

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Speaker 2: there's a legit shot that Jonathan India can get into

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Speaker 2: that twenty twenty range. The profile in general is pretty solid,

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Speaker 2: almost eight percent barrel. His expected batting average was close

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Speaker 2: to two seventy, so it was higher than it was

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Speaker 2: last year. He struck out under twenty percent of the time,

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Speaker 2: and he walked a ton. Hey, you're at the top

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Speaker 2: of that Royals lineup with a bunch of monsters behind you,

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Speaker 2: you might jump into ninety RBI. You steal twenty plus bases,

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Speaker 2: you get some homers. All of a sudden, he goes

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Speaker 2: from a guy that is going two fifty, two twenty

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Speaker 2: or something like that into maybe being a top one

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Speaker 2: fifty overall player. So I think India is a really

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Speaker 2: nice second base sleeper.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about bust at second base. Bryson

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Speaker 1: Stott is one for me. He's in the nine hole

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Speaker 1: in that Phillies lineup. The power is limited. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I know he had fifteen homers in twenty throw and

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Speaker 1: three but went back down to eleven last year. The

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Speaker 1: strikeout rate went up last year or two. I get it.

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Speaker 1: In rotal leagues, you cover at the stolen basis. So

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Speaker 1: I totally understand why he's still in that top twelve range.

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Speaker 1: But I keep going back to who's a superior hitter

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Speaker 1: in my opinion? Is it Bryson Stotta, which Jackson Holiday

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Speaker 1: can be? You know or guys like that that are

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Speaker 1: going after Bryson Stott. So for me, it's a no brainer.

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Speaker 1: I thought that he's a bad player. I think also

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Speaker 1: had some big moments in the postseason two which I

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Speaker 1: think might little bit overinflate his value artificially, So I

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Speaker 1: want to stay away from that. I don't like when

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Speaker 1: that happens. Very small sample size. So Welsh, who's the

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Speaker 1: guy you're avoiding at second base?

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Speaker 2: Man, I'm having a realization that, like, I'm picking on

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Speaker 2: a lot of Reds players, and I'm gonna probably pick on.

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Speaker 1: Some, I mean, seems to be your guy. And now

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Speaker 1: where you're gonna pick.

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Speaker 3: On, I'm gonna pick on Matt McClain. And I will

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Speaker 3: tell you.

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Speaker 1: I like McLain. I'm buying back in AFL coming back

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Speaker 1: from the injury. I think it's gonna take a little

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Speaker 1: bit of time, but I think he'll be okay.

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Speaker 3: It's part of the problem.

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Speaker 2: So like I also like Matt McClain. Here's what I

429
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:27,240
Speaker 2: don't like. There's no discount he's being going. He's going

430
00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 2: inside the top one hundred right now. I don't like

431
00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,800
Speaker 2: the discount. He did not play last year except in

432
00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,400
Speaker 2: the aarson A fall league where I saw him personally

433
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:37,800
Speaker 2: every single day and he still had some of the warts.

434
00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,120
Speaker 2: That was my hope if you're gone for an entire year.

435
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,919
Speaker 2: You know, he was during instructs. I actually caught him

436
00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 2: at Red's instructs. You know he had been out.

437
00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 1: There working when instructs.

438
00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:50,600
Speaker 2: But well, it's the instructional league where there's nothing going on. Uh,

439
00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:52,000
Speaker 2: you would have hoped during that time.

440
00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,400
Speaker 3: Maybe let's take a look at the year prior. Let's

441
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:55,080
Speaker 3: get some fixes.

442
00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:58,199
Speaker 2: Specifically, what I'm talking about is that strikeout rate. It

443
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,200
Speaker 2: looked as bad as ever in the Arizona Fallay. Now,

444
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,080
Speaker 2: maybe that's you know, you lost the whole season. You're

445
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:05,840
Speaker 2: trying to be hyper aggressive, anything super high on fastballs, attack,

446
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,960
Speaker 2: swing through, he's striking out. He was just eating low

447
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,399
Speaker 2: breaking stuff outside the zone. And my problem with that

448
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 2: is he had a twenty eight and a half percent

449
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,640
Speaker 2: strikeout rate the year prior when he played. Now how

450
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:18,840
Speaker 2: he got through that. He barreled the ball ten percent,

451
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 2: forty two percent hard hit rate, and his expected batting

452
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 2: average was there, Like he gets stuff done. He's kind

453
00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,200
Speaker 2: of like Spencer Steer. In fact, if you look at

454
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 2: it as a whole. I'm just worried that maybe it

455
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 2: is the same thing like Steer. Can he get to

456
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 2: twenty twenty, Absolutely, but I'm worried it's going to be

457
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 2: like at a two twenty or two thirty batting average,

458
00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 2: he's going to have big swings. He's coming off of

459
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 2: this injury where he missed a year and he looked

460
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 2: rusty in the Arizona Fall League. So for me to

461
00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:45,440
Speaker 2: pay a top one hundred value or cost on that,

462
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,840
Speaker 2: I'm not super interested, especially by the way I just

463
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 2: mentioned a guy like Jonathan India. Jonathan India could put

464
00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,600
Speaker 2: up I don't know ninety percent of what Matt McClain

465
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 2: is at like one hundred and fifty picks later. So

466
00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,119
Speaker 2: I'm going to be fading Matt McClain this year. I'm

467
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,280
Speaker 2: where the strikeout rate is going to have an ultimate

468
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:04,280
Speaker 2: effect on his total value.

469
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:05,640
Speaker 3: And I don't know how.

470
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:07,600
Speaker 2: Terry Francona is going to just sit around and just

471
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 2: all right, let's let him get through it. Mcclan might

472
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:11,840
Speaker 2: be hitting lower in the lineups as well. They might

473
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:16,040
Speaker 2: start platuning, because again, it's Pokemon. For Terry Francona, it's

474
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:19,119
Speaker 2: Pokemon Go. He is out there and he sees mystery player,

475
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 2: He signs them, picks them up, and he puts them

476
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:23,919
Speaker 2: in the rotation for the Reds. I am just personally

477
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 2: going to be out on drafting Matt McCain inside the

478
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:26,600
Speaker 2: top one.

479
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,920
Speaker 1: Hundred, all right. I'm still probably in right around there.

480
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 1: But so far in the drafts i've seen, it's been

481
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 1: a little bit of a discount the ones I've been

482
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,840
Speaker 1: in so far. You know this grouping too, and we're

483
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:39,120
Speaker 1: going to get to the must haves here, you know, wholesale.

484
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:40,760
Speaker 1: Two V is still going as a third guy. I

485
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,239
Speaker 1: still prefer Albi's probably Simon two. I mean, how two

486
00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:44,920
Speaker 1: V's thirty four years old, and I think at certain

487
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,040
Speaker 1: point in time you got to start taking that into effect.

488
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:48,159
Speaker 1: That's going to be even more declined.

489
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 3: You say the third or first guy.

490
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 1: He's typically going as the third guy. Oh yeah, yeah,

491
00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,160
Speaker 1: And I'm just saying, you know, I'd rather have Albi's

492
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,040
Speaker 1: or Simion probably over That's me. That's my rankings personally

493
00:20:58,119 --> 00:20:58,879
Speaker 1: going into the season.

494
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 2: I think Simeon is a huge value because you didn't

495
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,520
Speaker 2: say Marquez, So it threw me off, like can tell Martes.

496
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:05,680
Speaker 1: Because I said this one first too, the clear cuts

497
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 1: Betts and it's Marte. It's a clear shelf there. But

498
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:11,919
Speaker 1: then I look at the stat line last year for

499
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:13,680
Speaker 1: Altub and I look at the stat line this year

500
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:15,680
Speaker 1: for Luis Garcia Junior, and I keep coming back to

501
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 1: the same thing, and I know he's my guy this year,

502
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 1: and I'm going to pound the table every show for him.

503
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 1: But eighteen homers, twenty two a stone bass, excuse me,

504
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:28,200
Speaker 1: seventy rbi last year, fifty eight runs scored, And I think,

505
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,639
Speaker 1: you know, this lineup for the Nationals is going to

506
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:32,800
Speaker 1: be far improved. You're gonna get a whole season of

507
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 1: James Wood, You're hopefully going to get a productive season

508
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 1: form Dylan Cruz. We can only hope that Nathaniel Lowe

509
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,399
Speaker 1: is going to add a little bit more presence of

510
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 1: that lineup along with Bell. So I think he's in

511
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 1: a good, solid lineup. And it's funny because when we

512
00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:47,399
Speaker 1: started hyping him up, he was about I would say,

513
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,640
Speaker 1: one hundred picks different than jose Al Tuve. That gap

514
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,360
Speaker 1: is closing about seventy five in an nfbcceed right now

515
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,160
Speaker 1: drafts it's even less. So clearly people are also starting

516
00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 1: to pick up on that same fact there with him.

517
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,640
Speaker 1: So who's your must have? Guy Garcias on who's yours

518
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 1: at second base?

519
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,440
Speaker 3: Interesting thing too, A couple of notes is just throw

520
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 3: in there.

521
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:06,879
Speaker 2: Altuve has apparently been working in the outfield the rumors

522
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:10,160
Speaker 2: that were to signed, so you could some more musician eligibility.

523
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 2: And also want to point out Mooki bets I believe

524
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: should only qualify second base in Yahoo he had I

525
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 2: think it.

526
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,480
Speaker 3: Was eighteen games at second bastion.

527
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, excuse me, Ivery wont to ask you a question.

528
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 1: Do you like that more? Because sometimes when guys move positions,

529
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 1: especially all star like, it doesn't always go like Craig

530
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 1: Bigio like where it's it's like, yeah, it's fine. You

531
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:28,439
Speaker 1: know some guys who they go and they move, they

532
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: struggle in the transition from infield to outfield specifically.

533
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,119
Speaker 2: Oh okay, So I thought you were gonna ask like

534
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 2: the positions because like Tatist did this and he got

535
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 2: outfield eligibility and he was still really good.

536
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 1: And much different body type, much different athlete, I think too.

537
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:43,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think it could be weird.

538
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 2: I'm not sure it's going to affect the game, but

539
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 2: I'm also pretty open to like the external things like

540
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 2: that can affect these players, Like you know, sometimes like

541
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 2: a guy that was always a hitter going in D

542
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 2: eight something to think about with like Mike Traut, like.

543
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 1: Eligibility could changing that mindset. Sometimes the confidence level gets

544
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:00,919
Speaker 1: shaken a little bit. I don't know. I'm just saying, like,

545
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,480
Speaker 1: it's not always sunshine roses when a guy changes position.

546
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 3: Sure, and it might not be, especially at.

547
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:07,399
Speaker 1: This stage in his career he's an older player.

548
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, and then again, just the Mookie Bets thing. Eighteen games.

549
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,399
Speaker 2: I believe at second base, so yahoo, he will qualify.

550
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 2: He shouldn't in some of the other spots. I also

551
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,959
Speaker 2: personally believe we should change the qualifications to not twenty,

552
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,159
Speaker 2: but not five, so make it ten or fifteen. But

553
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:22,440
Speaker 2: that's just me, all right, my guy, I'm gonna go

554
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 2: go with a guy that have played a bunch of

555
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 2: games at two different positions. I think people consider him

556
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 2: on the other side because that will be his position,

557
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 2: but he qualifies at second base, so I must have.

558
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,400
Speaker 3: Is Jordan Westburg. I've talked a bunch about him.

559
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 2: He's going around like the I think it's like the

560
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 2: seventh or eighth or maybe even sixth second baseman. The

561
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 2: point is is you can draft him, and that's why

562
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 2: he becomes a must have. This isn't like saying, guys, Kutolmarta,

563
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 2: you've got to have no Jordan Westberg.

564
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 3: He's a must have.

565
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 2: Eighteen homer, six dolen bases, two sixty four batting average

566
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 2: last year, great hitting profile. You know, I love over

567
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 2: ten percent barrel and forty five percent.

568
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,320
Speaker 3: Hard hit rate. He hits that lowered to strikeout yate

569
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 3: rate the year prior.

570
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,440
Speaker 2: Hits the ball really hard one point one average exon

571
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 2: velocity and the orioles they're bringing in that left field.

572
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 2: I've said to a bunch on shows to make it

573
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,080
Speaker 2: a little bit more hitter friendly. So you've already got

574
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: this kind of like monster profile that hit the ball

575
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 2: really well. By the way's expected batting average was around

576
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 2: two eighty, so it was even better with this great profile,

577
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 2: better expected batting average, lowering the strikeouts. He can run.

578
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,120
Speaker 2: He can hit legitimate shot at twenty five to ten.

579
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:25,119
Speaker 2: Maybe it's going to go thirty fifteen somewhere in there.

580
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,399
Speaker 2: The ballpark's becoming better. He's going to hit in a

581
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 2: prominent spot for the Orioles lineup, so I'm really into it.

582
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 2: Jordan Westburg with third and second base qualification as man

583
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,439
Speaker 2: must have second basement all right over to the hot corner.

584
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 1: The third baseman looked like this over on Fantasy Pros

585
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 1: Consensus ADP, which again you can find over fantasypros dot Com.

586
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,919
Speaker 1: Jose Ramirez over at the top top five player overall

587
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:47,959
Speaker 1: my opinion, still maybe even top three. I mean, if

588
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: you want to get to that argument when you look

589
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 1: at third base as a whole. Vlad Gurow Junior, Jazz Chisholm,

590
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 1: Rafield Devers, Austin Reiley. This is interesting because I think

591
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,040
Speaker 1: there's warts on all these guys. Although they all have

592
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 1: incredible talent and have all been super productive at one

593
00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 1: time or another. You could pick each one apart and

594
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,439
Speaker 1: find a negative on each one. Know, Dever is coming

595
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,879
Speaker 1: off a down year, Jazz Chisholm's injury history last year,

596
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 1: Austin Riley looking lost then getting hurt, and Vlad, who

597
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 1: has struggled at times and maybe the pressure of a

598
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 1: contract year does get to him, maybe it doesn't. Second

599
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,480
Speaker 1: half last year was brilliant after that, Manny Machado at

600
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 1: six mark Vientos at seven. Who is my favorite thing?

601
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 1: In twenty twenty five? Jordan Westbrook Junior Caminaro, Royce lewis

602
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 1: very risky in the top ten as a recording. This

603
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 1: still winning for Bregman to sign somewhere. Jake Berger, Matt Chapman,

604
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 1: U Haino Suarezho was awful in the first half and

605
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: then all of a sudden a completely different human being

606
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 1: at fourteen. So that's kind of like your your rough

607
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 1: version there of the top twelve issue at the position.

608
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,199
Speaker 2: One thing to add, like Mookie Vladd will only qualify

609
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 2: at third base in Yahoo. He played twelve games at

610
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 2: third base, which was I was shocked when I actually

611
00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:54,720
Speaker 2: saw because I saw the qualification. I was like, would

612
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 2: he play five? No, he played twelve at.

613
00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:59,400
Speaker 1: Thirty he looked at third base ones, so.

614
00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 2: Only Yah, who should be the one that has the

615
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:06,119
Speaker 2: third base qualification anywhere else ESPN and FBC. I believe

616
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 2: CBS are all twenty game eligibility, so he wouldn't be

617
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 2: the top third baseman. But Yahoo, you'll get that extra

618
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 2: little push.

619
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, So look, looking at this again, I'm willing to

620
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: let this market come to me because I think there

621
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 1: is a very strong middle there, Riley Machado, Viento's those

622
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,680
Speaker 1: are all really strong guys, and for me, a sleeper

623
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:26,920
Speaker 1: as a corner guy to me once againstoc paraitis right,

624
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,480
Speaker 1: he's going to be hitting in a good spot potentially

625
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 1: in this order. Now Bregman signing could maybe change a

626
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,240
Speaker 1: little of this. We're still waiting to find that out,

627
00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:37,399
Speaker 1: but as of right now, Meregman is not back with

628
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,879
Speaker 1: the Houston Astros, and there's a chance here that you

629
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: could see Paritas hitting in that two spot, which I

630
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 1: think is terrific for that run scored total. He is

631
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,159
Speaker 1: not that far removed from a big time power season.

632
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: We know all the stats about well, if you dropped

633
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: him in last year, all those home run totals have

634
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 1: have been a lot higher year over a year. So

635
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: there's a lot of reasons to like Parretis. And he's

636
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,840
Speaker 1: a lot younger too than people realize, which I think

637
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: you know people take for granted he's kind of been

638
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 1: around a while. But if he is sandwich between al

639
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,640
Speaker 1: Tuove and Alvarez man Welsh, that's a really good spot

640
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 1: to be. Who's a sleeper for you in twenty twenty

641
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:08,120
Speaker 1: five at the hot corner.

642
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:10,119
Speaker 3: Chalk it up that this is one hundred percent going

643
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:11,120
Speaker 3: to be mine. This was mine.

644
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,639
Speaker 2: Joey beat it to it. I completely co sign on

645
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:17,359
Speaker 2: this one. His draft stock is just low again like

646
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 2: what he did in Tampa Bay. I think is in

647
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 2: play here for Esach Praatus because it's a low porch.

648
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 3: He is a pole.

649
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,399
Speaker 2: He doesn't have a good hitting profile, that's the thing,

650
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 2: and that's why the Cubs he was exposed. It was

651
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,520
Speaker 2: just like, doesn't Barrel doesn't hit the ball hard, like

652
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 2: what's going on? But what he does is he pulls

653
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,439
Speaker 2: fly balls twenty two percent launch angle, and now you're

654
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 2: gonna go in one of the best places to do

655
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 2: that in Houston. So like Bradiy's is just undervalued. I

656
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 2: like that not picking pretis. I went with someone that

657
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,480
Speaker 2: I have a high rank on. I will be frank

658
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,200
Speaker 2: this could change because there could be a wrinkle thrown

659
00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 2: into it, but I'm gonna go with Matt Shaw.

660
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:49,680
Speaker 3: Matt Shaw.

661
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 2: Everyone trying to figure out position qualifications for him as

662
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 2: far as like what he did in the Miners, but

663
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 2: Shaw is coming off of a twenty homer thirty stolen

664
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 2: based season in the Miners. He is perceivably set to

665
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 2: be the third baseman for the Cubs this year, where

666
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 2: he is not going to have to be like praide

667
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 2: Is and he's not like a bad hitting profile guy

668
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 2: that's just going to have wall scraping homers Like No,

669
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 2: the guy can dominate. I mean, the stolen based numbers

670
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 2: have actually been pretty shocking. He finished up last minor

671
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 2: league season by going and playing in the Premieer twelve

672
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:22,639
Speaker 2: USA Tournament where he was the best player and you

673
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,639
Speaker 2: had like Carson Williams playing there, Tamar Johnson, he was

674
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 2: hands down the best player offensively, crushing more home runs.

675
00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 2: He is ready, and there's a reason why they moved

676
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,280
Speaker 2: off of Praideres to do it. But if Bregman were

677
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 2: to sign there, it does really kind of throw a

678
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,639
Speaker 2: wrinkle into stuff because they'd have to trade Horner to

679
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 2: get Matt Shaw back in there. But his cost is

680
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 2: really really efficient. I think, by the way, he's number

681
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 2: two in NL Rookie of the Year voting, yet I

682
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 2: believe his ADP is outside the top two hundred. So

683
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 2: you know, if you think that he is going to

684
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 2: play all season long, he's going to beat projections. He's

685
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 2: going to be close to a twenty twenty guy, and

686
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:56,840
Speaker 2: he is a definite sleeper that you can get at

687
00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 2: like corner infield cost and he'd qualify I think infield

688
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 2: in some spots a shortstop.

689
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the busts here on the

690
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 1: other side of the coin here. And look, I know

691
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: Baltimore kind of had a glut of prospects, so they

692
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: can afford to move a couple. But you know, when

693
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,959
Speaker 1: you love a prospect quote unquote, and then you move

694
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 1: on from him, sometimes I think that's a bit of

695
00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: red flag. I also don't like the lineup where this

696
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 1: player ended up either hitting in Miami. Now it's kind

697
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 1: of norby. And it's not because I don't think he

698
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 1: can be a productive player. I do. I think it's

699
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 1: far too early. He's only twenty five years old, you know,

700
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 1: to think that he can't be a good, solid, everyday

701
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 1: player for the Marlins. He can be. The thing is,

702
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,680
Speaker 1: you know, it's one thing to be an up and

703
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 1: coming prospect in an organization and you end up in

704
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 1: a lineup that's got a lot of protection, a lot

705
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,920
Speaker 1: of help, and you can easily be productive and make

706
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 1: a transition. I think it's much harder in a place

707
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 1: where the talent is a little less or in this case,

708
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 1: a lot less. You know, I just don't feel like Norby,

709
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 1: despite the fact that he's probably hitting two, is going to

710
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 1: deliver on the promise, at least not this year. I

711
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 1: think it's going to be a tough transition. And you know,

712
00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 1: I always go back to a great example of this

713
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 1: is Jad Martinez early in his career, right with the

714
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 1: Astros when they were so bad and there was nobody

715
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: around him, and then he got traded to Detroit and

716
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 1: he got dropped in a line up there with the

717
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 1: protection of Miguel Cabrera, and his career because completely took off.

718
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 1: And I'm just saying it's just much harder for young

719
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 1: players to not have proper lineup production and reach their

720
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 1: ceiling quickly. So, wels, who are you out on potentially

721
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 1: this year in twenty twenty five at third base?

722
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 2: By the way, that's an interesting one because I feel

723
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 2: like his cost is so low it's hard.

724
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 3: For him to be a bust.

725
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 2: He also has some really good underlying profile metrics, but

726
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 2: it's of one of the worst.

727
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 1: Tis still buzzy, like, oh kind of normy prospect guy

728
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 1: like you know what I mean, Like, and we all

729
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 1: know those dynasty circles that they run hot all the

730
00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 1: prospect names and people go, this guy's gonna be really useful.

731
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 1: I just don't know if he's going to be useful.

732
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 1: But you're right, it's not gonna cost you too much

733
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 1: to find out. But also there is a name I

734
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 1: just want to be dangerous of that.

735
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, and there's not a ton there.

736
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 2: That was the other thing that's like on your side,

737
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:54,840
Speaker 2: it's like there's not a lot of support, there's not

738
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,080
Speaker 2: a lot of RBI opportunities, So I don't know what

739
00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 2: that's going to look like. There could be some k problems.

740
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 2: So that's a really interesting Mine comes back similar to

741
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 2: strand this is me and this is why, Like I

742
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: don't think I can be right on all these guys

743
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 2: that I'm picking on from this mentric, so one of

744
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 2: them is going to be wrong, and I would counter

745
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 2: to my own point. This is kind of like what

746
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 2: I just said with Norby that Josh Young who I'm

747
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 2: picking as my bust here, he's kind of free is

748
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 2: ADP is at like right around the two hundred range,

749
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 2: So like how much can you really bust when you're

750
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 2: outside the top two hundred. But I am picking on

751
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 2: him because I will say I found this the hardest

752
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,239
Speaker 2: of the infield positions to pinpoint, like who is going

753
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 2: to be my actual bus?

754
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 3: Royce Lewis came to mind.

755
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 2: I think the top guys they're so chalky, and then

756
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 2: there's this big jump and it's like, I just don't

757
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 2: feel like you're getting a lot of busts in there.

758
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,720
Speaker 2: Matt Chapman is like amazing value. So I picked Josh

759
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 2: Young again. This is the twenty twenty three was great.

760
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:51,120
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty four absolutely atrocious, especially with especially with.

761
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 3: Some of the hitting profile. I'm maybe not.

762
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 2: Absolutely atrocious, but two sixty four seven homers, four stolen

763
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 2: bases with Josh Young. Strikeout rate came down a tiny bit,

764
00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 2: but a lot of the actual hitting metrics came down.

765
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 2: Barrel went down, hard, hit absolutely tanked. He had a

766
00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 2: two forty expected batting average. Don't like any of that.

767
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 2: He was struggling with an injury, and I think he's

768
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 2: gonna get moved down the lineup. So I'm not a

769
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 2: big Josh Young guy, but I really found this to

770
00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 2: be tough, and it might just be wrong because if

771
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 2: he returns back to what he was in twenty twenty three,

772
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 2: by the way, almost a fifty percent hard hit rate,

773
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,280
Speaker 2: twelve percent barrel. He had some strikeout problems, but he

774
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 2: was absolutely crushing the ball in a really good environment.

775
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 2: So I might eat my words on this, but you know,

776
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 2: like you had to go Norby, I had to go

777
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 2: young because this was a tough spot to like pinpoint

778
00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 2: the bust.

779
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 1: All right, My must have at third base is simple.

780
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 1: It's Mark Vientos of the New York Mets. You saw

781
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 1: a star being born last year in twenty twenty five.

782
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: That guy was unbelievable. And going back to last year's shows,

783
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 1: we talked about his performance in spring training, and you

784
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 1: know how an amord eye was of him in spring training.

785
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 1: I said, he's finally ready. I think he's finally got it.

786
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 1: And then the Martinez thing happened. He took over at

787
00:32:55,720 --> 00:33:00,160
Speaker 1: DH and he was very visibly upset about this, and

788
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,120
Speaker 1: he took it personally, and he went down and he raked,

789
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:04,200
Speaker 1: and he got called up and he did nothing but

790
00:33:04,320 --> 00:33:05,959
Speaker 1: rake at the major league level and then had some

791
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,479
Speaker 1: huge moments of the postseason. Now you're putting him behind

792
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:13,720
Speaker 1: Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor, and I don't think there's

793
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 1: any way if he stays healthy, he doesn't drive in

794
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 1: one hundred runs this year, I think he's gonna hit

795
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 1: over thirty home runs. And if again, if Pete Alonzo

796
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 1: comes back and you sandwich him between Pete Alonzo and

797
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 1: Juan Soto in that third spot, oh my god, Mark

798
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 1: Viento's is going to be an all star. Mark Viento's

799
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 1: is gonna be a guy that is going to become

800
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 1: a rock star in twenty twenty five. I mean he

801
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 1: could even approach thirty five or forty home runs. That's

802
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 1: how good I think Vientos is as a power hitter.

803
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 1: And with all those fastballs you might see and all

804
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: those guys on base ahead of him, it could be

805
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: an incredible year for Viento's. I'm going to be aggressive

806
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 1: on him in twenty twenty five. Well, Foozier must have

807
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 1: at third base.

808
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that one a lot. Mine is probably

809
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 2: guy that's gonna play first base. He's on the other side. Hell,

810
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,640
Speaker 2: maybe he'll play third base and he'll play more third

811
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 2: base this team and knock off Josh Young. It's Jake

812
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 2: Berger some kind of staying in that same team where

813
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 2: I don't seem to like a ton of the Reds.

814
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,239
Speaker 2: For whatever reason, I have been enamored with a lot

815
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:10,799
Speaker 2: of the Rangers players. Jake Berger is just going into

816
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 2: a fantastic spot. We've talked about everybody's talked about it.

817
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,240
Speaker 2: He's coming off a twenty nine homer season.

818
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:16,760
Speaker 3: He's hit two fifty.

819
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 2: By the way, he's the new Chorris Davis K Chris

820
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,320
Speaker 2: with a K. He's hit two fifty three straight seasons.

821
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 2: Jake Berger has He's a thirty homer lock and now

822
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 2: he's going into one of the better hitting environments out there.

823
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 2: He's coming off of hitting with the White Sox and

824
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 2: the Marlins. He's now with the Rangers. As long as

825
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,479
Speaker 2: he doesn't hit in that eighth spot or seventh spot

826
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 2: that like roster resources.

827
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 3: Putting twelve percent.

828
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 2: Barrel forty seven percent hard hit, he lowered his strikeout rate.

829
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,680
Speaker 2: He's got an expected average that's around almost two sixty.

830
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:48,919
Speaker 2: Jake Berger is in a phenomenal environment where, by the way,

831
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 2: let's just for a minute pretend that he could hit

832
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 2: four or five. You've got Marcus Simeon, Corey, Seeger Wyatt,

833
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 2: Langford in your top three spot against righty's are probably

834
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 2: gonna put Jock Peterson. We'll see what they do with

835
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:02,520
Speaker 2: guys like Adulies.

836
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 3: If he bounces back.

837
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,400
Speaker 2: You do have Josh Young, but Berger is an opportunity

838
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 2: to hit higher in the lineup. He's already hitting thirty homers.

839
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 2: Now the RBIs boost up and he's going outside the

840
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 2: top one hundred. Must have multi corner infield qualifications for Berger.

841
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 3: Got to have him. This is one of my favorite

842
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:17,919
Speaker 3: ones we've done so far.

843
00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:20,280
Speaker 1: I love this acquisition for the Rangers in the offseason.

844
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 1: I thought it was really sharp on their point too.

845
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 1: Just give them a little bit more insurance there for

846
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,359
Speaker 1: the Corey Seekers and Marcus Simeans if they miss more

847
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,799
Speaker 1: time again in twenty twenty five. Let's move on to

848
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 1: short stuff. Before we do a quick reminder. Take these

849
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:33,880
Speaker 1: names we're giving you and put them on your cheat sheet. Well,

850
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 1: how do you make a cheat sheet, I'll tell you.

851
00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 1: Using the cheat sheet Creator, you can enhance your fantasy

852
00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 1: baseball strategies with the cheat sheet Creator seamlessly integrating and

853
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 1: merging rankings from all the experts that you choose. That's right,

854
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,240
Speaker 1: the experts that you agree with, not just any expert,

855
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 1: or you can take the consensus in with your own

856
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 1: and you can organize players into tiers, personalized notes and

857
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,279
Speaker 1: streamliner and decision making process. So when you hook up

858
00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:00,479
Speaker 1: your Draft Wizard and sink it to you your league,

859
00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 1: you've got your cheat sheets right there with you in

860
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,319
Speaker 1: the draft. It's what you need right now. Fantasypros dot

861
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,279
Speaker 1: Com slash cheat Sheet. If you want to dominate your

862
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,400
Speaker 1: league's cheat sheets are a great way to do that.

863
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 1: And you check him out today. The Fantasy Baseball Draft

864
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:16,120
Speaker 1: Wizard app is available. I'll just remind you again, fanacypros

865
00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:19,240
Speaker 1: dot com slash Mlbdraft Wizard, or wherever you get your apps,

866
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: download that bad boy, because it's the ultimate cheat code.

867
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,759
Speaker 1: Let's get to the shortstops. Welsh and a guy that

868
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:27,640
Speaker 1: I just took in our most recent draft, a guy

869
00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 1: that I even mentioned in our Undervalued show, and he's

870
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:32,800
Speaker 1: gonna come up here again because he really is a sleeper.

871
00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 1: I think I don't hear anybody talking about Jeremy PanAm.

872
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:38,879
Speaker 1: And when you start to look through this list here,

873
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:41,680
Speaker 1: you've got Bobby Witt at the top, You've got Ellie

874
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: de la Cruz, you've got Gunner, Henderson, Mookie Bets, Francisco Lindor,

875
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 1: huge names. I think that is the number one tier.

876
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 1: Then you got the Trey Turner, Corey Seeger. Okay, we're

877
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:53,520
Speaker 1: starting to get into a little bit more shaky ground,

878
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:57,040
Speaker 1: but still big time talent. On'eal Cruz a guy once again,

879
00:36:57,080 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 1: another guy moving positions, going to the outfield. But it's career.

880
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:02,400
Speaker 1: That stuff doesn't worry me nearly as much as the

881
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:06,440
Speaker 1: veterans when they start to move off positions. CJ. Abrams, Williadomas,

882
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 1: Matt McClain, who you already voiced some concern about, bobashett

883
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:13,520
Speaker 1: A twelve. Then right on that peripheral, you've got Nico Horner,

884
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,920
Speaker 1: Anthony Volpi, Tovar all in that group. Tovar was my

885
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 1: favorite guys last year had a really good season. But

886
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 1: what's so fascinating is I look at the production of

887
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 1: Jeremy Pania last year fifteen homers, seventy seventy. I think

888
00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 1: he could easily be a seventy five seventy five guy,

889
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:30,800
Speaker 1: maybe even push that home run total closer to twenty.

890
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 1: Gave you twenty steals last year, hit to sixty six

891
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 1: and I'm thinking Anthony Volpi hasn't given me anything quite

892
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,439
Speaker 1: like that. I'm thinking to myself, I'm looking around. Matt

893
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,360
Speaker 1: McClain's coming off a major injury, Nico Horner lots of

894
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,919
Speaker 1: stolen bases, but doesn't give me quite maybe the power

895
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,960
Speaker 1: ceiling I think he might have. And then guys like

896
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:51,480
Speaker 1: Xander Bogart's Bryce and Stott Like, these guys are kind of,

897
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 1: I think a little bit underwhelming to me. I know,

898
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:56,759
Speaker 1: some of them give you a little bit more stone bases,

899
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 1: and I understand why that's coveted in the Rodos and

900
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: the head to head Rodo Man. Well, Jeremy Pinia just

901
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,160
Speaker 1: seems like a guy at my middle infield spot that

902
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 1: I think I could plug and play and be very

903
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 1: happy with for one hundred and sixty two.

904
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, there were two guys that came to mind when

905
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:09,680
Speaker 2: we did this, and by the way, I do think

906
00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:12,879
Speaker 2: this floats between sleeper undervalued, however you want to look

907
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 2: at it. Number one was Jeremy Pania and then I

908
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 2: saw you had him, so I'm like, I can't put

909
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:18,239
Speaker 2: Jeremy Pene on there because I.

910
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 1: Used the advantages of making the sheet up.

911
00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, you got to it first, completely agree. It's

912
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,240
Speaker 2: just like somewhere between, you know, twenty stolen bases, fifteen homers.

913
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 2: By the way, ATC projections on him, pretty good average

914
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 2: at two sixty two fifteen homers, seventeen stolen bases with

915
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 2: a sub twenty percent K percentage in Houston.

916
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 3: Love it.

917
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 2: And by the way, he's in some instance has been

918
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 2: a lead off hitter. And now you got Tucker out

919
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,359
Speaker 2: of that lineup, so we'll see what happens. Number two

920
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:44,839
Speaker 2: on that list for me, though, was Mason Winn when

921
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 2: I couldn't pick Jeremy Penia. Mason Winn is coming off

922
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,760
Speaker 2: of a solid season. He had two sixty seven, fifteen homers,

923
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,680
Speaker 2: eleven stolen bases. He sent he spent the off season

924
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 2: working at a lot of those bat clinics, getting in

925
00:38:57,160 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 2: some more body mass, adding muscle, working on bat speed

926
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:02,280
Speaker 2: as they usually do. He's been working with Jordan Walker.

927
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 2: And you know, Mason wins profile was sub eighteen percent

928
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 2: K percentage, that's relatively elite. Gets the ball in the air,

929
00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 2: thirteen degree launch angle, that's solid.

930
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 3: He's walking a.

931
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:16,960
Speaker 2: Bit, but he doesn't have that big explosive barrel, hard hit.

932
00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 2: So how does he get it done well. There's a

933
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:21,239
Speaker 2: lot of guys in baseball CJ. Abrams, Has and Kim

934
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,280
Speaker 2: I use them as always my examples Estock Brady's technically

935
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,279
Speaker 2: that have these low barrel like wind does low hard hit.

936
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 3: So what do they do.

937
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 2: They get under the ball and they get it in

938
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 2: the air. Launch angle sweet spot as well as a

939
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 2: metric that Baseball Savant does and that had a huge

940
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,720
Speaker 2: boost this past year twenty six to thirty three percent

941
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 2: the launch angle. He hits it on the perfect spot

942
00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:44,320
Speaker 2: to get the ball up in the air. Mookie Betts

943
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 2: does that and now his launch angle went up. So

944
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 2: my whole point of this is is that's where you're

945
00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:50,840
Speaker 2: going to start optimizing and getting some home runs. And

946
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 2: that's why you can project him in the fifteen. He's

947
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,640
Speaker 2: also aggressive base stealer. He's got a really good hitting

948
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:58,800
Speaker 2: profile where he doesn't strike out and make contact. Projections

949
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:00,839
Speaker 2: are around fifteen to fifty teen and like a two

950
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 2: fifty to sixty average on him. I think there's a

951
00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,840
Speaker 2: legitimate opportunity that he can jump up. Average can go

952
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 2: up into the two eighties. He could be a twenty

953
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,239
Speaker 2: twenty guy and he's going you know, one seventy five

954
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 2: to two hundred right now. So Mason Win is a

955
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 2: definite sleeper, kind of must target player at shortstop.

956
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny, Welsh, because I took penny from you,

957
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 1: but my second choice would have been Win. So we're

958
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 1: seeing eye to eye on the sleepers here. Yeah, absolutely

959
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 1: the bust. This one was easy for me. I could

960
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:30,919
Speaker 1: not wait to put this name in Trevor's story. When

961
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,360
Speaker 1: is enough enough for everybody? I don't. I don't get this, Welsh.

962
00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:37,399
Speaker 1: I don't understand it. I like it, And uh, well

963
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 1: you're gonna tell me why, because I'm gonna give you

964
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 1: all the reasons why I don't, and then you get

965
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:41,799
Speaker 1: to try to sell me as best you can't.

966
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:43,400
Speaker 3: But yeah, go ahead.

967
00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:45,400
Speaker 1: Well, I mean he hasn't played one hundred games in

968
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 1: three years since he's been a Red Sox. First of all,

969
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:50,920
Speaker 1: the top out was ninety three. Uh, his splits in

970
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 1: Colorado were always massive. I was never a big fan

971
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:55,680
Speaker 1: of his in Colorado either. I find him to be

972
00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 1: a very overrated player that would have some hot streaks. Sure,

973
00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 1: the numbers were always better because it was Colorado, But

974
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 1: I hated this signing when the Red Sox did it,

975
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 1: and it was so weird because it's like, you're gonna

976
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:06,800
Speaker 1: pay Trevor's story, but you're not gonna playing Mookie Betts.

977
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 1: And it's turned out to be one of the worst

978
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 1: decisions this organization has ever made. And now they've got

979
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 1: these kids coming, They've got the Roman Anthonis coming, They've

980
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,719
Speaker 1: got the Casses to come, and they've got Christian Campbell come,

981
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:19,960
Speaker 1: and they've got Rafaela, and they got all these kids.

982
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:21,920
Speaker 1: I think story is gonna get pushed out. I know

983
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: he's only like thirty two years older. Whenever he's turning

984
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 1: this year, I'm out on Trevor's story. It's this name

985
00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:29,279
Speaker 1: brand thing like Chris Bryant was still relevant in every

986
00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:31,000
Speaker 1: draft for a couple of years. Like when do we learn,

987
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:33,400
Speaker 1: like just because a guy was good once upon a

988
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 1: time doesn't make him good now or even investible. I

989
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 1: think that's the problem. I don't think the guy's even

990
00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 1: investible at this stage. What are your I know he

991
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 1: is still going late and I get that's probably what

992
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:47,280
Speaker 1: you're gonna say, but he's free. But at the same time,

993
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 1: I Christian Campbell, Matt Shaw going after him, and I

994
00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: think you would agree I'd rather take a shot on

995
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 1: those guys.

996
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have them higher. So yeah, that's not right.

997
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 2: Well for me, that's not a disagreement. I completely am

998
00:41:59,200 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 2: with you.

999
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:01,280
Speaker 3: But he's free.

1000
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,840
Speaker 2: He is the epitome of He literally doesn't get drafted

1001
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 2: in many twelve team leagues. There's I'm gonna say this,

1002
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:10,160
Speaker 2: and it might be like someone might be able to

1003
00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 2: answer it better, but I'm just.

1004
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 3: Gonna say it with like, you know, authority.

1005
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:17,520
Speaker 2: There's no player that's not being drafted that has twenty

1006
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 2: twenty upside if they play the whole season than Trevor Story. Like,

1007
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 2: I can't think off the top of my head a

1008
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:24,840
Speaker 2: guy that would be on the wire that would go

1009
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:26,520
Speaker 2: out of your draft not being drafted.

1010
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:27,640
Speaker 3: That lockdown.

1011
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:29,439
Speaker 2: If I said, hey, you're getting one hundred and forty

1012
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 2: games at a Trevor Story, You're getting twenty twenty. That's

1013
00:42:31,640 --> 00:42:33,520
Speaker 2: what you're going to get out of him. There's just

1014
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 2: no other players. So that's why I'm in on it.

1015
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,320
Speaker 2: But he can't stay healthy, So I don't disagree with that,

1016
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:40,919
Speaker 2: but it's you know, I mean, there's just murderer's row

1017
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:44,080
Speaker 2: after murderer's row of those guys, Like I still like

1018
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:44,800
Speaker 2: the hitting profile.

1019
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:45,520
Speaker 3: He's young enough.

1020
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 2: He's just absolutely free if he doesn't work out, cut him,

1021
00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:50,319
Speaker 2: see you. But there is twenty twenty tens.

1022
00:42:50,320 --> 00:42:51,840
Speaker 1: I just I don't want to waste draft picks. I

1023
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:54,400
Speaker 1: guess that's where I'm at. At Ah, who's your bust

1024
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 1: for this section?

1025
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 2: My bus is a big name, and it's more about

1026
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 2: my disinterest Abrams. Everything is still in his favor. He

1027
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:05,359
Speaker 2: came off of a twenty thirty season two forty six

1028
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:09,440
Speaker 2: batting average. I mean, obviously insane. The hitting profile still

1029
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:12,480
Speaker 2: has some you know, questions. He is barreling. He struck

1030
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:14,160
Speaker 2: out a little bit more. He hit the ball harder.

1031
00:43:14,200 --> 00:43:16,359
Speaker 2: Like I said before, he optimizes it, gets the ball

1032
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:20,040
Speaker 2: in the air. But he comes in an absolute premium cost.

1033
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:22,879
Speaker 2: And he ended the season being suspended for staying out

1034
00:43:22,920 --> 00:43:25,719
Speaker 2: all night gambling. And that is a clear issue that

1035
00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 2: is going on. Maybe that doesn't carry over, maybe that's

1036
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:31,400
Speaker 2: completely fixed. He's had two really good fantasy seasons. I

1037
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 2: just got to tell you, like it's the stage we've

1038
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 2: talked about the world of overpaying for like a lot

1039
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 2: of strikeouts.

1040
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:38,200
Speaker 3: It's just not there for me.

1041
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:40,400
Speaker 2: He's going around a guy like Corey Seeger, who I

1042
00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 2: think is an elite four category player that does have

1043
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 2: some injury questions, but he doesn't have suspension questions. He

1044
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 2: also doesn't have a bad hitting profile. I'm just worried

1045
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,279
Speaker 2: when things go wrong for Abrams, it'll go wrong bad.

1046
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:54,440
Speaker 2: There's also some off the field stuff, and I just

1047
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 2: don't feel the need that I want to pay for

1048
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,279
Speaker 2: extreme stolen bases. But still at the same time, like, hey,

1049
00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:00,840
Speaker 2: well shut up, was twenty thirty.

1050
00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:02,759
Speaker 3: I get it. I'm just not into the cost. So

1051
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:03,880
Speaker 3: that's why he's my bust.

1052
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 1: Well, it's funny because he was a win for a

1053
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:09,839
Speaker 1: sleeper last year on both of our lists, and now

1054
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 1: a look a year later, we're like, okay, you know,

1055
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:14,799
Speaker 1: and that happens sometimes for us, Like we love a player,

1056
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:16,279
Speaker 1: we love the value, we love the upside, and the

1057
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,359
Speaker 1: next year sometimes the cost is a little bit too much.

1058
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: But it's amazing how much difference, you know, a year

1059
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:23,840
Speaker 1: can make for a player. All right, I must have

1060
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:25,759
Speaker 1: as a guy Welsh already hates at this position. I'm

1061
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 1: gonna say, Matt McLain. I've been doing a lot of

1062
00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 1: homework on Matt McClain to see where he's at reading

1063
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:31,840
Speaker 1: all the articles, reading all the stuff coming out of

1064
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 1: his mouth. Arizona Fall League. He had four home runs.

1065
00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 1: The slugging was there, the timing and the batting average

1066
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:38,680
Speaker 1: wasn't there yet. But I assume that because he hasn't

1067
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 1: played baseball a long time. This is a guy that

1068
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:42,759
Speaker 1: is very crucial what he does in spring for me.

1069
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:44,320
Speaker 1: I want to make sure he has a good spring.

1070
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:46,360
Speaker 1: If he does, I feel really good about where he

1071
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,439
Speaker 1: is despite the fact the ADP is Welsh pointed out,

1072
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:50,839
Speaker 1: is still relatively high. And here's the big reason why

1073
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 1: I want to take shots on twenty five twenty four

1074
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: year old guys who are gonna hit potentially, you know,

1075
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:02,279
Speaker 1: somewhere in the two eighty range. But more importantly, you

1076
00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:04,399
Speaker 1: go back and you look at the OBP around four

1077
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:06,840
Speaker 1: hundred in his minor league track record and five hundred

1078
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 1: of this slugging. A guy that's got power in a

1079
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:11,399
Speaker 1: small ballpark with on bass skills. I want that guy

1080
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:15,359
Speaker 1: on my team. So Matt McClain, that's your counterpoint for him.

1081
00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:17,719
Speaker 1: Welsh gave you the negatives, I give you the positives.

1082
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:19,880
Speaker 1: Give me a must have for you in twenty twenty

1083
00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 1: five at this position.

1084
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:22,839
Speaker 3: But if he If he hits two eighty, I will

1085
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:23,439
Speaker 3: eat my word.

1086
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 2: I do not believe there's a world where he's gonna

1087
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 2: hit two eighty, But if he does, I'm wrong as

1088
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 2: hell on Matt McClain.

1089
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:31,640
Speaker 1: My pick, well, he's gonna be HiT's two sixty and

1090
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:34,920
Speaker 1: gives me a three eighty on bays than a five

1091
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,319
Speaker 1: hundred slugging man. That's gonna be a good player. That's

1092
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:38,280
Speaker 1: gonna be a real good player.

1093
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 2: Well, the guy I'm gonna pick at shortstop is going

1094
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 2: after Matt McClain, and he used to be like a

1095
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:47,000
Speaker 2: third round pick in drafts. He seems boring now because

1096
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,680
Speaker 2: he's coming off of his literal worst season ever.

1097
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 3: I'm saying Bobashett is the guy.

1098
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 2: Bobashett is going massively late in drafts because he just

1099
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:57,680
Speaker 2: hit two twenty six or two twenty five with four

1100
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,280
Speaker 2: homers and five stolen bases in half of a year

1101
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: with a bunch of misstime. But that's coming off of

1102
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:05,080
Speaker 2: the season where he hit three hundred with twenty homers,

1103
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 2: and he was going in like the third round because

1104
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 2: what if he runs a little bit more And my

1105
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 2: main thesis across the board is more about like the

1106
00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 2: anomaly is last season, compared to his career, he was

1107
00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:19,959
Speaker 2: nine percent nine percent, nine percent barrel just year after

1108
00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:23,040
Speaker 2: year forty four fifty, hard hit all of a sudden.

1109
00:46:23,120 --> 00:46:26,400
Speaker 2: Last year, hard hit absolutely tanks, barrels cut in half,

1110
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:29,400
Speaker 2: everything fell apart. Even so, his expected batting average was

1111
00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:31,759
Speaker 2: still around two fifty, but he's around our career two

1112
00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:34,480
Speaker 2: ninety guy. He didn't strike out more, he walked a

1113
00:46:34,520 --> 00:46:38,920
Speaker 2: little bit, and he just ended up underperforming specifically against

1114
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:40,799
Speaker 2: some of that aw speed and breaking stuff. I think

1115
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 2: those things are going to change this year. I think

1116
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:45,239
Speaker 2: that was the anomaly, and I think his cost is

1117
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:47,879
Speaker 2: so depressed batting average is going to boost back up.

1118
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 2: I really think he just helps your team. He can

1119
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 2: play more as a middle infielder if you need to.

1120
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,360
Speaker 2: Projections have him hitting two seventy four with sixteen homers

1121
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 2: according to atc SO, I think Boba shed at his

1122
00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:00,520
Speaker 2: cost as a must buy position.

1123
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 1: Here the catcher spot and the top twelve look like this.

1124
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 1: William Contreras at the top, Adlie Rutchman next, then Yander

1125
00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:09,799
Speaker 1: Diez sal Perez cal Rawley coming in at five. That's

1126
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:11,920
Speaker 1: your top five, which is a pretty strong group. I

1127
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:14,720
Speaker 1: would say, but for me, I'm still especially in single

1128
00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:17,160
Speaker 1: catcher leagues twelve team fifteen league, I don't care. I'm

1129
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 1: waiting two catcher leagues. Obviously, the calculus changes. Logan o'happy,

1130
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 1: excuse me, Will Smith at six, then Wilson Contreras, Logan

1131
00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:27,359
Speaker 1: Ohappy at eight, Shay Langeliers at nine, J T Real

1132
00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:31,080
Speaker 1: Muto at ten, Tyler Stevenson at eleven, Francisco Alphaez at twelve,

1133
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:32,879
Speaker 1: and then on the peripheral you got Austin Wells, Sean

1134
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 1: Murphy looking for a bounce back season with Atlanta, like

1135
00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 1: the entire Atlanta Braves, Steve it seems like kybrit Ruiz

1136
00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:41,520
Speaker 1: at fifteen, and then Connor Wong at sixteen. As you

1137
00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 1: get a little deeper. So again, it's always the same

1138
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 1: with me. Number one, I hate two catcher leagues. I

1139
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 1: think they're stupid. I don't think there's any reason for

1140
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:51,759
Speaker 1: him number two. Single catcher leagues twelve to fifteen. There's

1141
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:53,440
Speaker 1: twelve to fifteen guys there that I can live with,

1142
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 1: and I just don't want to put the investment ahead

1143
00:47:55,880 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 1: of time in one of these bigger catchers unless somebody

1144
00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:01,719
Speaker 1: really dramatically falls. So that's the easy look for me

1145
00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:04,880
Speaker 1: and the sleeper in this list. I can't believe I

1146
00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:06,759
Speaker 1: got two mets on the list I'm going to talk about.

1147
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 1: I mean, talk about a difference a year makes. But

1148
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:10,880
Speaker 1: Francisco Alvarez, I don't think we've seen the best out

1149
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,360
Speaker 1: of him yet. Francisco Alvarez is a big time power

1150
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:16,840
Speaker 1: potential here, and he could easily pop twenty five to

1151
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 1: thirty home runs in twenty twenty five if everything broke right.

1152
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:21,480
Speaker 1: I think a lot of last year for him was

1153
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:25,839
Speaker 1: really getting acclimated to managing the pitching staff and understanding

1154
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 1: what needed to happen there. And I think sometimes he

1155
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:30,440
Speaker 1: also got frustrated with get into slumps and he was

1156
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 1: having a hard time turning things around. If you go

1157
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:34,040
Speaker 1: back and look at the minor league rack record of

1158
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:37,319
Speaker 1: this guy, this was a bat first catcher, right, you know.

1159
00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 1: And it turns out the framing improved and all the

1160
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:42,359
Speaker 1: other things improved. But everybody talked about Alvarez for the bat,

1161
00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:45,120
Speaker 1: not so much of the defense. And I think Alvarez

1162
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:48,480
Speaker 1: in this lineup potentially could finally have that breakout season.

1163
00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:50,960
Speaker 1: So he's my sleeper at the position. Who's yours Welsh.

1164
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:51,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I was looking.

1165
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 2: By the way, I believe there's like nine on ATC

1166
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 2: catchers projected for twenty or more homers. Francisco Alvarez is

1167
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:01,600
Speaker 2: the lowest cost of all of those projected catchers. I

1168
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:04,239
Speaker 2: think this is a fantastic one, probably the one I

1169
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:06,400
Speaker 2: would have picked as well, because it's low costs. I

1170
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,880
Speaker 2: have my narrative here with catchers. I just play him

1171
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:11,080
Speaker 2: late because I play single catcher leagues. I don't want

1172
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:14,440
Speaker 2: to pay high costs at all. The catcher that I'm

1173
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:17,000
Speaker 2: going to end up picking, though, is Austin Wells. Trevino

1174
00:49:17,360 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 2: out of town. I think that opens up more opportunities.

1175
00:49:19,520 --> 00:49:20,480
Speaker 3: For Wells to be out there.

1176
00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:24,000
Speaker 2: ATC projections have him around eighteen homers. I was going

1177
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 2: to pick Ivan Herrera, who had a really nice underlying

1178
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,880
Speaker 2: hitting profile, and he's going to be I don't know

1179
00:49:29,920 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 2: if he's going to be the guy though, because I

1180
00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:33,839
Speaker 2: got Pedro Pajas, because Wilson Gatrez is going to move over.

1181
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:36,400
Speaker 2: But if he were to get like the primary amount,

1182
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 2: it might be Herrera. But Austin Wells I think is

1183
00:49:38,560 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 2: locked because I don't think there's enough competition there. I

1184
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 2: think they want him to be the guy. There's a

1185
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 2: lot of power, it's a great hitting environment, and he's

1186
00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 2: going outside the top twelve.

1187
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:47,040
Speaker 3: So give me a late catcher in Austin Wells to

1188
00:49:47,080 --> 00:49:48,520
Speaker 3: the Yankees, all right?

1189
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,200
Speaker 1: For me? The bust is j tirol Muto. I don't

1190
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:53,360
Speaker 1: like investing in older catchers. I think I saw a

1191
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 1: lot of the client in him and just watched him

1192
00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 1: last year, and he's a guy like he's played so

1193
00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 1: many games at the position. I know he floats around

1194
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:03,200
Speaker 1: sometimes in other spots too. You've seen the stolen bases

1195
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 1: drop off a cliff, you know, from twenty one to

1196
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:07,840
Speaker 1: sixteen and then to just two last year. I know

1197
00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 1: we only played ninety nine games. But again, he's gonna

1198
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:12,440
Speaker 1: be thirty four years old. I know the Phillies are

1199
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:15,040
Speaker 1: still a really good team. I'm just out on real mewtwo.

1200
00:50:15,120 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 1: I think this is another one where you're paying for

1201
00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,279
Speaker 1: the past of name brand value. Welsh, Who is a

1202
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,359
Speaker 1: catcher that you don't want? Or should I say what

1203
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:25,000
Speaker 1: kind of catcher don't you want? On draft day?

1204
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:28,239
Speaker 2: Good way to phrase it, Joe, any catcher inside the

1205
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 2: top one hundred I don't want NFBC ADP listen. William

1206
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:36,240
Speaker 2: Contreri's is a monster. I love him, smaller guy to catcher,

1207
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:40,760
Speaker 2: lots of power. He's at top twenty five NFBC EIGHTYPECE

1208
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 2: in January first. But it's a two catcher I get it.

1209
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:46,040
Speaker 2: But still, uh, in standard leagues, who are the guys

1210
00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:46,759
Speaker 2: that are going to be in there?

1211
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:47,080
Speaker 3: Adlely?

1212
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:49,520
Speaker 2: Maybe yanire Diaz William Contreras is going to be the

1213
00:50:49,600 --> 00:50:52,279
Speaker 2: number one. I'm not saying they can't come close to

1214
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:55,040
Speaker 2: returning value. I just don't think the difference of the

1215
00:50:55,160 --> 00:50:57,359
Speaker 2: value on the guys you would invest in the top

1216
00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 2: one hundred compared to the other hitters or pitches you

1217
00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 2: could take, then moving down into taking the guy I'm

1218
00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:05,640
Speaker 2: gonna have as a must have or J two Ramuto

1219
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 2: or you know, I mean handfuls of guys. I just

1220
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:10,360
Speaker 2: don't think the production difference makes enough sense. So I

1221
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 2: think investing in the top one hundred in a single

1222
00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:15,120
Speaker 2: catcher league, I'm not there. I'd also say even in

1223
00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 2: the two catcher league, investing in the top fifty is

1224
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:19,440
Speaker 2: really not something I want to do, kind of like

1225
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 2: even in closers, I would just rather have a little

1226
00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 2: bit more value. You're gonna have to pay like closer

1227
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:26,239
Speaker 2: seven or eight in the two catcher league is going

1228
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 2: to still go inside the top one hundred, but late

1229
00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:30,719
Speaker 2: I'd rather do that, But no inside the top one

1230
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 2: hundred catchers.

1231
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 1: Please.

1232
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 3: Sometimes I say clear.

1233
00:51:32,800 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 1: Agree one thousand percent with everything you're saying. I must

1234
00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:38,680
Speaker 1: have guy. Actually, if I'm in Herrera is the everyday

1235
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 1: catcher like we come out of spring, that's the guy

1236
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,600
Speaker 1: that I do want. But as Welsh said, that might

1237
00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:45,040
Speaker 1: be a little bit of a muddy situation there. So instead,

1238
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:48,240
Speaker 1: once again, whatever's old as new again it's logan, OHSPI,

1239
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:50,600
Speaker 1: he's gonna be twenty five years old. Look, I got

1240
00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:53,240
Speaker 1: my dudes, and you know what, like had my dudes

1241
00:51:53,320 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 1: last year. I'm like camon Aro's my Durans, Like those

1242
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:58,520
Speaker 1: are my guys. I'm just sticking to my guns. And

1243
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:00,879
Speaker 1: I think that's important for everybody to do when they're

1244
00:52:00,920 --> 00:52:02,799
Speaker 1: going into a season. Identify the players you want, and

1245
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:05,160
Speaker 1: then just drill it into yourself that those are the

1246
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:05,799
Speaker 1: guys you want.

1247
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:07,000
Speaker 2: Uh.

1248
00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 1: Look, the same thing as a guy with power in

1249
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:11,200
Speaker 1: the minor leagues hit for better average in the minor leagues,

1250
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:13,680
Speaker 1: like I just think he had his finally as full season,

1251
00:52:13,760 --> 00:52:16,200
Speaker 1: first full major league season, he's gonna be twenty five

1252
00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 1: years old. I think there's just a lot of upside

1253
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:20,759
Speaker 1: there for him to outperform as ADP. He's not going

1254
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:22,320
Speaker 1: to the top one hundred catcher, so I'm allowed to

1255
00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:24,640
Speaker 1: take him. But Welsh, is there somebody just outside the

1256
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:26,600
Speaker 1: top one hundred that if you did want to take

1257
00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:28,120
Speaker 1: a catcher, who would it be?

1258
00:52:28,480 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I definitely want values, and I'm not sure

1259
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:33,640
Speaker 2: if this guy's going to be a value because people

1260
00:52:33,680 --> 00:52:35,440
Speaker 2: are in on it. But he's right around those middle.

1261
00:52:35,560 --> 00:52:36,680
Speaker 2: And I know this is funny and me's saying I

1262
00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 2: want Lake catchers. I do, But if I were taking

1263
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:41,719
Speaker 2: and having a little bit more investment, is Wilson Contreras.

1264
00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:44,480
Speaker 2: Wilson Contrares with the Cardinals is moving off of catcher.

1265
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 2: He's going to be their first baseman for this year.

1266
00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:49,080
Speaker 2: So that means you're gonna get all the games. We're

1267
00:52:49,120 --> 00:52:51,640
Speaker 2: not looking at, you know, four hundred at bats, which

1268
00:52:51,640 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 2: he had in twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three.

1269
00:52:53,719 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 2: He only had three hundred and actually three hundred and

1270
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:59,160
Speaker 2: one at bats last year, and he still hit fifteen homers.

1271
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:01,720
Speaker 2: So you're getting a guy that qualifies a catcher playing

1272
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:02,839
Speaker 2: first base every day.

1273
00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:04,920
Speaker 3: That's the type of guy that I'm willing to invest in.

1274
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:06,840
Speaker 3: So Contreras would be the must have.

1275
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:10,080
Speaker 1: Okay, so who are your must haves? Who's your sleepers,

1276
00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:12,160
Speaker 1: who's your bust? What's the infield look like to you?

1277
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 1: Drop your comments below let us know what you're thinking.

1278
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:17,759
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Speaker 1: course ring the belt to the ghosting for notification so

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Speaker 1: you never miss a moment of fantasy baseball talk here

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Speaker 1: on the channel. That'll do it for us, But the

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Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Welsh. I'm

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Speaker 1: Joey P. We'll see you next time kids, Happy drafting.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

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