WEBVTT - Special Coverage: Donald Trump's Inauguration

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>It's official now, having been sworn in as the forty

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<v Speaker 2>seventh President of the United States, Donald Trump delivering his

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<v Speaker 2>second inaugural address, The.

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<v Speaker 3>Golden Age of America begins right now. From this day forward,

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<v Speaker 3>our country will flourish and be respected again.

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<v Speaker 4>All over the world.

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<v Speaker 3>We will be the envy of every nation, and we

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<v Speaker 3>will not allow ourselves to be taken advantage of any longer.

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<v Speaker 3>Every single day of the Trump administration, I will very

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<v Speaker 3>simply put America first. Our sovereignty will be reclaimed, our

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<v Speaker 3>safety will be restored.

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<v Speaker 2>As we bring our signature panel back in Bloomberg Politics,

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<v Speaker 2>contributors Rick Davis and Janie Schanzano have been with us

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<v Speaker 2>for the duration today and great to have both of

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<v Speaker 2>you with us here. Donald Trump says, the Golden Age

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<v Speaker 2>of America begins right now.

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<v Speaker 4>Rick, Is that true?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, look, I mean we have a fantastic economy, We're

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<v Speaker 5>respected around the world. Our military is second to none.

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<v Speaker 5>Why wouldn't it be a golden age of America for now?

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, American exceptionalism is adopted around the world. Everybody

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<v Speaker 5>wishes they had what we have, and so I think

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<v Speaker 5>if we could take that to the next level and look,

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<v Speaker 5>if he can make good on his promise that our

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<v Speaker 5>strength can create peace around the world, then that is

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<v Speaker 5>a worthy task to try and accomplish.

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<v Speaker 6>We want to go live now to Capitol Hill as

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<v Speaker 6>Rick and Jeanie stay with us, and please to say

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<v Speaker 6>Republican Senator Bill Haggerty of Tennessee is joining us now

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<v Speaker 6>from the Russell Senate Building. Senator, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 6>for being with us. Happy Inauguration day two. You, of

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<v Speaker 6>course are quite close with now the forty seventh President

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<v Speaker 6>of the United States, but he's going to need a

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<v Speaker 6>team alongside him. What is your expectation about just how

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<v Speaker 6>quickly you will be casting votes to confirm his cabinet nominees.

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<v Speaker 7>It's actually going to be as soon as this evening.

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<v Speaker 7>The Senate forig Relations Committee's going to meet later this afternoon,

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<v Speaker 7>four thirty five o'clock. I expect Marco Rubio to be

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<v Speaker 7>reported out unanimously from that committee. He's our next Secretary

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<v Speaker 7>of State, and I hope that our Democrat colleagues will

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<v Speaker 7>cooperate with us, go ahead and accelerate the process, and

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<v Speaker 7>let's get him appointed tonight.

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<v Speaker 4>We can do that.

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<v Speaker 7>We have the authority to do that here in the

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<v Speaker 7>Senate with Democrat cooperation. I think that's the possibility. I

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<v Speaker 7>also think that John Ratcliffe could come out of the

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<v Speaker 7>Intelligence Committee tonight. We could see the same thing this time.

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<v Speaker 7>The pace, I think is absolutely necessary given the national

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<v Speaker 7>security challenges that we face right now.

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<v Speaker 4>These two gentlemen, Marco.

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<v Speaker 7>Rubio, John Ratcliffe critical elements a President Trump's team, and

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<v Speaker 7>I'm hopeful that we'll be able to move very rapidly.

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<v Speaker 7>And similarly, just keep making this pace as rapid as

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<v Speaker 7>possible through the course of this week and next and

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<v Speaker 7>really put the core part of President.

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<v Speaker 4>Trump's team around him as soon as possible.

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<v Speaker 2>It's good to see you, Senator, thanks for joining us

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<v Speaker 2>on a very busy day here in Washington. Of course,

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<v Speaker 2>presidents push on a lot of paper today. When do

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<v Speaker 2>mass deportations begin? And what should employers who are watching

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<v Speaker 2>and listening right now prepare for So.

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<v Speaker 7>I talked to Tom Homan just shortly after the inaugural speech.

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<v Speaker 7>Tom is going to be the busiest man in America

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<v Speaker 7>starting tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 4>But I think we're going to see a lot of action. Fast.

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<v Speaker 7>Executive orders will be coming into place this afternoon, and

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<v Speaker 7>we're going to see a tremendous amount of movement because

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<v Speaker 7>this mandate has been clear. So seventy five percent of

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<v Speaker 7>Americans said this nation was on the wrong track before

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<v Speaker 7>election day.

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<v Speaker 4>The number one issue has been.

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<v Speaker 7>Immigration, the crime in our cities, the fentanyl coming into

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<v Speaker 7>towns across my home state of Tennessee. And we're going

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<v Speaker 7>to also be passing the Lake and Riley Act here

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<v Speaker 7>in the Senate. That may be the first piece of legislation.

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<v Speaker 7>I believe it will be that President Trump will sign

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<v Speaker 7>into law.

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<v Speaker 6>With all of the focus that he seems to want

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<v Speaker 6>to put on the current US borders. Senator, and with

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<v Speaker 6>your foreign policy expertise, having served as ambassador to Japan,

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<v Speaker 6>what do you make of the kind of manifest destiny language,

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<v Speaker 6>this notion of potentially expanding US borders in this administration.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, he's made a very clear point that he's got

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<v Speaker 7>America's interest. First, if you think about the conversations around

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<v Speaker 7>Greenland critical minerals, I think these conversations are extremely healthy.

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<v Speaker 7>The Panama Canal is something he's been focused on for

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<v Speaker 7>some time. I've talked with him about this on numerous occasions.

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<v Speaker 7>That should be an asset that is very favorably directed

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<v Speaker 7>toward US interest and not in any way contradictory to

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<v Speaker 7>those interests. And President Trump went through it today in

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<v Speaker 7>terms of the way our navy is treated moving through there,

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<v Speaker 7>the fact that we've got Chinese own shipyards on either

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<v Speaker 7>end of the canal, these are serious national security concerns

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<v Speaker 7>that he wants to address. He also talked about basically

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<v Speaker 7>putting us in a position to go to Mars. I

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<v Speaker 7>think that's incredibly exciting for young people.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a great challenge.

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<v Speaker 7>It's something I've talked with Elon Musk about the possibility

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<v Speaker 7>of doing. Elon told me it's a six month voyage.

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<v Speaker 7>I think we're on the cusp of being able to

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<v Speaker 7>see that happen here in America, and President Trump can

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<v Speaker 7>inspire that type of activity here in America. Were the

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<v Speaker 7>only nation that could possibly do this, I believe, and

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<v Speaker 7>I think we will.

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<v Speaker 2>Senator Thank you so much. Bill Haggerty, Republican from Tennessee.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch

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<v Speaker 1>New York station Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

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<v Speaker 8>We have the.

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<v Speaker 2>Voice of Democratic Congressman Brad Sherman of he is on

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<v Speaker 2>Capitol Hill and joins us now live on Bloomberg. Congressman,

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<v Speaker 2>it's good to see you. Before we get into some

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<v Speaker 2>of the politics at play today, I just would like

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<v Speaker 2>to start by asking you, with your district in California

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<v Speaker 2>as part of the Los Angeles area, if your family

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<v Speaker 2>are well, if you have any news on the containment

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<v Speaker 2>of the wildfires, because we're going to start talking about

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<v Speaker 2>a funding mechanism next. What's happening on the ground now.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, the Palisades fire is virtually entirely in my district.

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<v Speaker 8>So many people have lost their home, so many people

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<v Speaker 8>don't have insurance or have very little insurance. My personal

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<v Speaker 8>family is fine, But as to the fires, they're mostly

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<v Speaker 8>contained and even the portion of the line where it's

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<v Speaker 8>not officially contained hasn't grown in the last three days.

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<v Speaker 8>So I'm confident that we can put this fire out,

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<v Speaker 8>even though the winds are going to be gusting later today.

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<v Speaker 8>What really was a gut punch, though, was listening to

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<v Speaker 8>the President's inaugural speech where he says the Los Angeles

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<v Speaker 8>we are watching the fires tragically burn from weeks ago,

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<v Speaker 8>and then he says, without even a token defense. I

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<v Speaker 8>was with so many firefighters.

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<v Speaker 9>This is not a token defense. This is an incredible defense.

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<v Speaker 4>These guys are brave.

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<v Speaker 8>They are work in twelve and twenty four hour shifts.

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<v Speaker 8>And for the President to use his inauguration to say

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<v Speaker 8>it isn't even a token defense is just a stab

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<v Speaker 8>in the guts of every one of the people that

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<v Speaker 8>we rely on.

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<v Speaker 9>It's simply outrageous.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, Congressman, as they do that work fighting these blazes,

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<v Speaker 6>even once they're contained entirely, there is going to be

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<v Speaker 6>the question of rebuilding and recovery. Are you confident that

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<v Speaker 6>that aid can come through, get through both the House

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<v Speaker 6>and the Senate in Republican control, without conditions.

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<v Speaker 9>Frankly, I'm not.

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<v Speaker 8>Frankly, I think that Donald Trump's visit on Friday will

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<v Speaker 8>be important. I think if he advocates for the AID,

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<v Speaker 8>I think it will get through Congress. We have never

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<v Speaker 8>conditioned aid, but this has been an enormously expensive event.

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<v Speaker 8>So many people don't have insurance, and we're gonna need

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<v Speaker 8>the help of Congress. Now. FEMA has enough money to

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<v Speaker 8>do everything it's supposed to do for the next several months,

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<v Speaker 8>So this isn't something like it's do or die in February,

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<v Speaker 8>but we're going to need a major appropriation for the

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<v Speaker 8>programs that will allow people to rebuild. It sounds like

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<v Speaker 8>the same kind of aid that we provided for Hawaii,

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<v Speaker 8>for Louisiana and other disasters as well.

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<v Speaker 4>Well.

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<v Speaker 2>He made some references to North Carolina when he was

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<v Speaker 2>speaking to the overflow crowd as well, suggesting that FEMA

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<v Speaker 2>was unable to bring relief to that area. Congressman Donald

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<v Speaker 2>Trump saying and doing a lot today, two hundred or

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<v Speaker 2>so executive orders. We understand he focused on the border

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<v Speaker 2>quite a bit.

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<v Speaker 4>In his remarks earlier.

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<v Speaker 2>Of course, you represent a border state, and I wonder

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<v Speaker 2>if you can tell us what's coming next, what you

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<v Speaker 2>know about mass deportations and whether they may start in

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<v Speaker 2>a place like California.

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<v Speaker 8>Look, we've got to get the border under control. That's

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<v Speaker 8>what people voted for. What they didn't vote for is

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<v Speaker 8>to come into my district and find people who have

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<v Speaker 8>lived in the San Fernando Valley for ten twenty thirty years,

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<v Speaker 8>who have children, sometimes grandchildren, who are American born, American citizens,

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<v Speaker 8>and to yank them out of their homes or even

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<v Speaker 8>make them afraid that that's what might happen. Law abiding

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<v Speaker 8>long term residents of California need to be out from

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<v Speaker 8>under this tremendous fear.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, we know that in addition to executive orders, Congressman

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<v Speaker 6>Donald Trump would like to see the issues of the

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<v Speaker 6>border and immigration, as well as energy and tax policy

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<v Speaker 6>addressed through the budget reconciliation process. He was joking with

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<v Speaker 6>the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson in Emancipation Hall

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<v Speaker 6>about just how narrow the Republican majority is, with only

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<v Speaker 6>really a vote that can afford to be lost. Will

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<v Speaker 6>Democrats provide a single vote to any of that agenda.

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<v Speaker 8>There are parts of Trump's rhetoric that we can endorse.

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<v Speaker 8>We certainly want to keep the government open.

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<v Speaker 9>We know that.

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<v Speaker 8>Trump does not want to dishonor our debt by not

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<v Speaker 8>dealing with the debt limit. So there are certain elements

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<v Speaker 8>of keeping the federal government going that I think we

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<v Speaker 8>can all unite behind. And I think the country's going

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<v Speaker 8>to learn an awful lot about the very technical issues

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<v Speaker 8>involved in reconciliation, because only things in one of the

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<v Speaker 8>two reconciliation bills can get through the Senate without Democratic support.

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<v Speaker 6>All right, Democratic Congressman Brad Sherman of California, thank you

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<v Speaker 6>so much for your time today, sir.

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<v Speaker 9>We appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Blue Work Balance of Power podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Catch us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>on Apple, Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App.

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<v Speaker 6>On energy, President Trump today announcing in his inaugural address

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<v Speaker 6>plans to use executive power to lower energy prices.

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<v Speaker 3>The inflation crisis was caused by massive overspending and escalating

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<v Speaker 3>energy prices, and that is why today I will also

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<v Speaker 3>declare a national energy emergency. We will drill, Baby, Drill.

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<v Speaker 6>Joining us now for more on this here on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 6>TV and radio. As Dan Bourriette, former Secretary of Energy

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<v Speaker 6>for the first Trump administration. Mister secretary, thank you for

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<v Speaker 6>being here, he says. Drill, baby, drill or frame. We've

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<v Speaker 6>heard often from now President Trump, how easy is it

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<v Speaker 6>to make that drilling happen via executive order exclusively.

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<v Speaker 10>Well, thank you for having me today. It's actually quite easy.

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<v Speaker 10>If you think about what it takes in terms of

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<v Speaker 10>regulation to get a permit today in the United States.

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<v Speaker 10>If we can make that more efficient, we can make

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<v Speaker 10>that more easily done. If you will shorten the timetables

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<v Speaker 10>for achieving production type permits or infrastructure permits, then we

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<v Speaker 10>can increase production here in the United States. And I

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<v Speaker 10>think that's what the President wants to do. He's absolutely

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<v Speaker 10>correct about the underlying cause of inflation.

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<v Speaker 9>The rising of energy prices in early.

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<v Speaker 10>Twenty twenty one and twenty two had a devastating effect

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 10>on the US economy with regard to pricing here. So

0:12:39.040 --> 0:12:40.720
<v Speaker 10>I think he's on the right track. I think he's

0:12:40.720 --> 0:12:43.240
<v Speaker 10>going to be very effective in doing that. Each of

0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:46.040
<v Speaker 10>those cabinet secretaries, each of those cabinet agencies are going

0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:49.359
<v Speaker 10>to move very very quickly to streamline the regulatory processes.

0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:52.920
<v Speaker 2>So that's the first step, or first couple of steps down.

0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:56.120
<v Speaker 2>How easy will it be to keep producers pumping and

0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:59.920
<v Speaker 2>drilling when oil prices inevitably start to fall.

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:02.480
<v Speaker 10>Only only start to fall if demand goes down. And

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 10>what we're seeing here in the United States as well

0:13:04.280 --> 0:13:06.480
<v Speaker 10>as around the world, is that demand continues to grow.

0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:10.560
<v Speaker 10>And as we think about what technology is bringing to

0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:13.559
<v Speaker 10>the US economy and to the demand curve, you.

0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:16.200
<v Speaker 9>See a very steep upward curve.

0:13:16.640 --> 0:13:18.760
<v Speaker 10>So as long as that demand continues, and I think

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:21.040
<v Speaker 10>it will, then we need more production.

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:23.120
<v Speaker 9>As we look today and were.

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:26.280
<v Speaker 2>Not expect lower oil prices, I thought Donald Trump promised

0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:27.040
<v Speaker 2>to cut them by half.

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:28.920
<v Speaker 9>No, I think you will.

0:13:29.320 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 10>If you make that production more efficient, if you make

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:35.120
<v Speaker 10>it less costly, then consumers will be the benefit of that.

0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:36.880
<v Speaker 9>That's one of the things that we've seen.

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 10>Over the course of the last four years, our oil

0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:41.360
<v Speaker 10>and gas production has gone up. We have indeed set

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 10>new records from the twenty nineteen to twenty twenty period.

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:47.960
<v Speaker 10>We've exceeded those numbers roughly thirteen million barrels per day

0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:50.280
<v Speaker 10>here in the United States. But the challenge is that

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 10>consumers are not seeing the benefit of that increase supply

0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:56.120
<v Speaker 10>in the marketplace because we've made it more expensive to produce.

0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:58.559
<v Speaker 10>So if we can shorten the timetables, if we can

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:03.199
<v Speaker 10>reduce the gation or the you know, the judiciary burdens

0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:07.239
<v Speaker 10>that producers now face, then we can pass those consumers

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:10.760
<v Speaker 10>or pass those costs or lower cost onto consumers and

0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:13.559
<v Speaker 10>they'll be the beneficiary. And I think that's the president's

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 10>focus today.

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 6>Well, and we're obviously talking about traditional oil and gas

0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 6>and fossil fuels here, Dan bo He also has made

0:14:22.440 --> 0:14:24.800
<v Speaker 6>a number of proclamations or at least saying he intends

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 6>to do things like and wind farms and offshore wind farms,

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 6>specifically pull back the ev mandate, as he calls it,

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 6>elements of the Green New Deal. When we consider the

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:37.440
<v Speaker 6>wider energy composition in the United States, what do you

0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.880
<v Speaker 6>ultimately see as the appropriate balance for cleaner fuels versus

0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:41.800
<v Speaker 6>the traditional ones.

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 10>Well, I think you're going to see increased production from

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 10>wind and from solar as well. I think, you know,

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:50.600
<v Speaker 10>the record gets a bit skewed if you look back

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:54.040
<v Speaker 10>at the record. Twenty nineteen was actually the high high

0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 10>water mark for the installation of both solar and wind capacity.

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:01.720
<v Speaker 10>Here in the United States, and that was under the

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:04.480
<v Speaker 10>first Trump term. So you know, this notion that Donald

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:07.640
<v Speaker 10>Trump just flat out opposes renewable power, I don't think

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 10>is a correct one. I think he understands full well

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 10>that all of the above means, in fact, all of

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 10>the above. Now, should we be giving preferences to certain

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:18.520
<v Speaker 10>types of fuel in the marketplace? I think you'll see

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 10>the President say no to that, And what he wants

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:24.440
<v Speaker 10>to do is to eliminate those distortions in the marketplace

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:28.760
<v Speaker 10>that are created by either legislation or by yet sometimes

0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 10>you know, regulation as well.

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:33.200
<v Speaker 9>So I think you'll see a very in depth look

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 9>at that.

0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 2>Do you expect the executive orders that the President will

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:40.920
<v Speaker 2>be signing throughout the day to day, we understand we

0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 2>could have as many as two hundred, maybe even more.

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 2>DAN will actually address some of these matters first before

0:15:49.920 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 2>we actually see legislation writing. And I wonder specifically if

0:15:53.120 --> 0:15:56.000
<v Speaker 2>that will include a lifting of the ban on LNG exports.

0:15:56.840 --> 0:15:56.960
<v Speaker 4>Oh.

0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:59.600
<v Speaker 10>I almost certainly think that's going to be the case.

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 10>There's no question about that, and there's a number of

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 10>different reasons for it. One, our allies are crying for

0:16:06.960 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 10>us LNG all around the world. I just met with

0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 10>the Japanese ministers of energy and they were very, very

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 10>concerned about the announcement by the Biden administration that we

0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 10>were going to pause lergy exports for a period of time,

0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 10>or at least the export authorizations for a period of time.

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 10>Same thing for the Europeans. They're facing the same types

0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:28.480
<v Speaker 10>of demand curves that we are here in the United States,

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:32.160
<v Speaker 10>and that energy is absolutely critical to their meeting not

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 10>only their economic goals, but their environmental goals as well,

0:16:35.360 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 10>because in many cases, this lerg is displacing heavier hydrocarbons

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 10>like coal or dung in certain places if you're in

0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:45.400
<v Speaker 10>a developing country. So the demand for energy is going

0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 10>to continue to rise, and I think you'll see the

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:50.440
<v Speaker 10>Trump administration move very quickly to lift that pause.

0:16:52.080 --> 0:16:54.240
<v Speaker 6>So that's what we'll be exporting. But I do wonder

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:57.480
<v Speaker 6>about the energy we do still import, as he's throwed

0:16:57.560 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 6>the idea of twenty five percent tariffs on every coming

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:04.359
<v Speaker 6>from Canada, which exports a lot in terms of energy

0:17:04.359 --> 0:17:06.920
<v Speaker 6>to the United States, or what would the actual immediate

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:08.679
<v Speaker 6>impact be if that were to be implemented.

0:17:09.720 --> 0:17:11.679
<v Speaker 10>Well, I'm not quite sure what the President has in

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:14.280
<v Speaker 10>mind in terms of specifics on a tariff or whether

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:17.360
<v Speaker 10>or not it would apply to Canadian crude oil. But

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 10>the president's mission here is to increase our independence, our

0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.600
<v Speaker 10>energy independent's not our dependents. And when we think about

0:17:25.640 --> 0:17:28.320
<v Speaker 10>trade and we think about imports and exports and what

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 10>we do with various countries, there's an enormous difference between

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 10>depending upon a certain product in our marketplace and simply

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 10>trading for that product.

0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 9>Canadian crud is obviously different than US crewed.

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:43.000
<v Speaker 10>It's heavier, it's called sour crude, and refiners are set

0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:45.840
<v Speaker 10>up in the United States, certain refiners are to accept

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:48.879
<v Speaker 10>that type of crude. The United States produces light or

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:51.879
<v Speaker 10>sweet crude, and that's a good export product. So to

0:17:51.920 --> 0:17:55.320
<v Speaker 10>the extent that we can trade rather than be dependent

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:57.840
<v Speaker 10>is I think the president's goal, as you've heard them

0:17:57.840 --> 0:18:01.359
<v Speaker 10>say many many times in the past, energy security is

0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:04.520
<v Speaker 10>national security. He wants balance in the economics, he wants

0:18:04.640 --> 0:18:08.000
<v Speaker 10>balance in the trade policies all around the world.

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Dan Briat, former Secretary of Energy in the first Trump administration. Dan,

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 2>thank you so much for the insights. We appreciate that

0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:16.920
<v Speaker 2>as part of our special coverage.

0:18:16.720 --> 0:18:20.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.680
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0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 1>flagship New York station. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg. Eleven thirty.

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:39.600
<v Speaker 2>We're joined live in Washington by Lindsay Trevinsky, presidential historian

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:45.520
<v Speaker 2>and executive director of the George Washington Presidential Library. She

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 2>joins us from Mount Vernon up here in the District

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:50.919
<v Speaker 2>of Columbia. And it's great to have you back, just

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:53.800
<v Speaker 2>the voice we wanted on not just this day, but

0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 2>at this moment talk to us about the importance of

0:18:56.600 --> 0:18:58.159
<v Speaker 2>this stage of the ceremony.

0:18:58.520 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 11>Well, thank you for having me back. I'm struck by

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 11>these images. You know what caught my eye is that

0:19:03.640 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 11>former Vice President Harris said a few words to now

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 11>President Trump, and she did not do that at Carter's

0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:11.359
<v Speaker 11>funeral the last time I spoke with you all, and

0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 11>I would dearly love to know what they were saying

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:16.680
<v Speaker 11>to one another. But you know, it is an important

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:19.159
<v Speaker 11>moment because this is sort of the final capstone and

0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:22.159
<v Speaker 11>the peaceful transfer of power, which is the bedrock of

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:24.439
<v Speaker 11>what it means to be a republic. If you have

0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:27.400
<v Speaker 11>a different type of transfer, it's a different type of government.

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:30.000
<v Speaker 6>Well, and it is a start contrast to what we

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:32.560
<v Speaker 6>experienced just four years ago when Donald Trump did not

0:19:32.640 --> 0:19:35.560
<v Speaker 6>attend the inauguration of Joe Biden. And of course remarkable

0:19:35.800 --> 0:19:38.360
<v Speaker 6>as we see the Bidens making their way toward Marine one.

0:19:38.440 --> 0:19:41.119
<v Speaker 6>Now to consider that Trump and Biden rode over to

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:44.359
<v Speaker 6>the Capitol together today after having tea at the White House,

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:46.640
<v Speaker 6>a relationship between the two of them that has been

0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 6>adversarial to say the least, and that's perhaps a kind

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 6>way of describing it, Lindsay, But to see them doing

0:19:53.680 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 6>this now, as you say, a pillar of the American Republic,

0:19:57.640 --> 0:20:01.760
<v Speaker 6>Donald Trump escorting Joe Biden physically to the helicopter. Just so,

0:20:02.040 --> 0:20:03.800
<v Speaker 6>how far we've come in the last four years.

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:04.920
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think it does.

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:06.880
<v Speaker 11>You know, what you said is important is they don't

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:08.840
<v Speaker 11>have to like each other, they don't have to get along,

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:12.000
<v Speaker 11>they don't even have to necessarily enjoy the experience. But

0:20:12.080 --> 0:20:14.879
<v Speaker 11>it is a part of the process. And notably, we

0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:18.119
<v Speaker 11>didn't have this image from four years ago because Trump

0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 11>didn't attend, and instead we had a split screen where

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 11>he was leaving to go directly to Florida. And so

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:28.159
<v Speaker 11>you know, for all that we might feel about this moment,

0:20:28.240 --> 0:20:31.120
<v Speaker 11>I think it is worth noting and is admirable that

0:20:31.160 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 11>the Bidens are there because no one likes losing.

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:37.520
<v Speaker 2>This is a remarkable moment that we're witnessing here as

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:40.680
<v Speaker 2>Jill Biden just gave a hug to Malania Trump and

0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:43.960
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump was yelling over the wind to try to

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 2>say something to Joe Biden. I can only imagine what

0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:48.800
<v Speaker 2>that message was. The current President and First Lady are

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:53.000
<v Speaker 2>now walking away from the helicopter where the Bidens have boarded,

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 2>will now prepare for them to fly away, Kaylee. The

0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:02.159
<v Speaker 2>official end of his presidency career in Washington, Donald Trump

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:05.920
<v Speaker 2>has quite a bit ahead of him, still signing executive orders. First,

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:08.600
<v Speaker 2>he'll likely be addressing the crowd in that overflow room

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:10.439
<v Speaker 2>as you described it, where almost two thousand of his

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 2>supporters are waiting.

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:14.159
<v Speaker 6>As we consider now that he is president for a

0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:17.440
<v Speaker 6>second time, only the second in history to serve non

0:21:17.480 --> 0:21:21.919
<v Speaker 6>consecutive terms, and Lindsay, he described it himself during his

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:24.800
<v Speaker 6>inaugural address as something of a comeback, talking about how

0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:28.040
<v Speaker 6>he saw himself as having been politically persecuted over the

0:21:28.119 --> 0:21:30.480
<v Speaker 6>last several years, and yet he has returned to this

0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 6>highest office in the country. Just talk about that turnaround

0:21:34.280 --> 0:21:36.800
<v Speaker 6>of the political fate of Donald Trump, that he once

0:21:36.840 --> 0:21:38.080
<v Speaker 6>again finds himself here.

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:40.919
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, you've never seen anything like it. I mean, we

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 11>have had one president lose and then come back, and

0:21:43.280 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 11>that was Grover Cleveland in the nineteenth century, of course,

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 11>but he had not been indicted, he had not played

0:21:49.520 --> 0:21:54.760
<v Speaker 11>a role in inciting a violent elect a violent insurrection,

0:21:55.720 --> 0:21:59.239
<v Speaker 11>and those are very different political circumstances, and so to

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:03.639
<v Speaker 11>see this type of comeback is really unusual. It is surprising.

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.320
<v Speaker 11>I don't think anyone would have predicted it four years ago,

0:22:06.840 --> 0:22:09.440
<v Speaker 11>and I think the ramifications of it on our political

0:22:09.440 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 11>system are going to take a long time to actually unfold.

0:22:12.600 --> 0:22:16.439
<v Speaker 2>The Trump's advances waving goodbye to the bidens. Now the

0:22:16.480 --> 0:22:18.960
<v Speaker 2>stairs have been lifted, the doors closed on the helicopter,

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:22.960
<v Speaker 2>and the Trump Party is heading back indoors into the Capitol.

0:22:23.160 --> 0:22:27.119
<v Speaker 2>I'm curious, as a point of inauguration trivia, we watched

0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 2>the swearing in very closely. I don't know if you noticed.

0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 2>We didn't see Donald Trump put his hand on the Bible,

0:22:32.600 --> 0:22:34.480
<v Speaker 2>and I'm brought back to two thousand and nine when

0:22:34.480 --> 0:22:36.720
<v Speaker 2>Barack Obama decided to do it all over again with

0:22:36.760 --> 0:22:39.680
<v Speaker 2>the Chief Justice after flubbing out an abundance of caution.

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:41.879
<v Speaker 2>As he said at the time, some of the language

0:22:41.880 --> 0:22:44.040
<v Speaker 2>in the oath. Are we going to see another swearing in,

0:22:44.119 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 2>potentially of Donald Trump.

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:48.000
<v Speaker 11>I don't think we will, because they're actually not required

0:22:48.040 --> 0:22:50.159
<v Speaker 11>to take the oath on a Bible. John Quincy Adams

0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:52.040
<v Speaker 11>took it on a book of laws and copy of

0:22:52.080 --> 0:22:55.240
<v Speaker 11>the Constitution. So the oath is actually not based on

0:22:55.359 --> 0:22:58.879
<v Speaker 11>a religious foundation. It's based on a commitment to the

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:00.600
<v Speaker 11>Constitution and to the American people.

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:02.360
<v Speaker 2>This is why we have you here to answer questions

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 2>like these. As the voters turn on the helicopter, Kaylee,

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:07.120
<v Speaker 2>Joe Biden will soon.

0:23:06.960 --> 0:23:09.560
<v Speaker 6>Be taking off yep, making his way, of course, from

0:23:09.640 --> 0:23:12.680
<v Speaker 6>the Capitol Grounds to Joint Base Andrews, while another departure

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 6>ceremony will be taking places. We say goodbye not to

0:23:15.960 --> 0:23:18.280
<v Speaker 6>just Joe Biden's four years as president, but more than

0:23:18.359 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 6>half a century of service in public office. A career politician,

0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:25.840
<v Speaker 6>Frankly lindsay, in contrast to the man who is now

0:23:25.880 --> 0:23:29.560
<v Speaker 6>succeeding him, and who preceded him, Donald Trump, who was

0:23:29.560 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 6>not that when he was first elected. Now he of

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:35.679
<v Speaker 6>course is far and away seen as the leader of

0:23:35.720 --> 0:23:37.960
<v Speaker 6>the Republican Party, having not had as warm of a

0:23:37.960 --> 0:23:40.960
<v Speaker 6>reception to the political world back in twenty seventeen. But

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:44.240
<v Speaker 6>he's walking into that Capitol building with both chambers of

0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:47.440
<v Speaker 6>Congress behind him. How much power does that give him

0:23:47.440 --> 0:23:50.200
<v Speaker 6>as an executive authority, which he's planning to exercise today

0:23:50.240 --> 0:23:52.880
<v Speaker 6>through a series of executive orders, But knowing he has

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 6>basically the whole of government, including a conservative Supreme Court, at.

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:58.640
<v Speaker 11>His back, Well, normally I would say that a second

0:23:58.760 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 11>term president, with the limitation of the twenty second Amendment,

0:24:02.800 --> 0:24:05.760
<v Speaker 11>would not necessarily have that much power. Usually in the

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:09.439
<v Speaker 11>second term, a president focuses more on executive orders and

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:11.760
<v Speaker 11>foreign policy because they are a bit of a lame

0:24:11.880 --> 0:24:16.440
<v Speaker 11>duck and so their ability to shape domestic politics is limited.

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:19.560
<v Speaker 11>And yet, as you said, Trump has really remade the

0:24:19.600 --> 0:24:23.399
<v Speaker 11>party in his image. We saw this week with the

0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 11>Cabinet Secretary hearings that many of the people were willing

0:24:27.359 --> 0:24:30.159
<v Speaker 11>to do whatever he wanted, even if they disagreed on

0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 11>certain policies and so I don't know how much pushback

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:36.760
<v Speaker 11>they're actually really going to give. Now that being said,

0:24:37.000 --> 0:24:39.680
<v Speaker 11>no president achieves everything they want. It's just kind of

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:41.399
<v Speaker 11>a political rule that I think is probably going to

0:24:41.480 --> 0:24:44.280
<v Speaker 11>stand here, regardless of how much support.

0:24:43.960 --> 0:24:44.399
<v Speaker 9>He does have.

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 2>The presidential helicopter many know as Marine One is now

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:51.480
<v Speaker 2>wheels up in Washington, d C. On a frigid twentieth

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:56.960
<v Speaker 2>of January. The inaugural ceremonies largely complete for Donald Trump.

0:24:57.880 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Now Joe Biden and Joe Biden will get their life

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 2>last view of the capital Kayley as they hover over

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:08.159
<v Speaker 2>Capitol Hill, will likely fly past the White House before

0:25:08.160 --> 0:25:09.200
<v Speaker 2>making their way to join.

0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:13.560
<v Speaker 6>Bass Andrews incredible as we consider that Joe Biden wanted,

0:25:14.000 --> 0:25:17.760
<v Speaker 6>at least up until roughly seven months ago, to serve

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:19.880
<v Speaker 6>a second term as president. He was hoping it would

0:25:19.880 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 6>be his inauguration today, not that of another Democrat or

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:26.959
<v Speaker 6>of Donald Trump, but instead him, and reporting does suggest

0:25:26.960 --> 0:25:30.000
<v Speaker 6>that he is leaving this office having still believed that

0:25:30.119 --> 0:25:33.159
<v Speaker 6>he could have won this election in November. And it

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 6>does make you wonder what must be going through the

0:25:34.800 --> 0:25:37.920
<v Speaker 6>head of the now former first couple as they leave

0:25:38.240 --> 0:25:39.000
<v Speaker 6>Washington behind me.

0:25:39.160 --> 0:25:42.440
<v Speaker 2>That right, the man he replaced has now replaced him,

0:25:42.680 --> 0:25:44.280
<v Speaker 2>and you can speak to what's happening on the other

0:25:44.400 --> 0:25:47.479
<v Speaker 2>end of Pennsylvania Avenue as they prepare for the Trump's arrival.

0:25:48.160 --> 0:25:50.120
<v Speaker 11>Yes, so in just a couple of hours, the White

0:25:50.160 --> 0:25:54.439
<v Speaker 11>House undergoes a complete shift. So usually there's some staff

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 11>that stays, but there's also new staff that comes in.

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.679
<v Speaker 11>There's a whole team of volunteers that will pack up

0:25:59.720 --> 0:26:03.879
<v Speaker 11>all the Biden's belongings, including photographs and personal mementos. They

0:26:03.960 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 11>will take out a lot of the choices that the

0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:08.720
<v Speaker 11>Bidens made in terms of art and decor, especially in

0:26:08.760 --> 0:26:11.919
<v Speaker 11>the Oval office, and then all new selections will come in.

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:16.280
<v Speaker 11>Sometimes that's rugs, sometimes that's drapery, sometimes it's art and furniture.

0:26:16.520 --> 0:26:18.760
<v Speaker 11>And they will complete that entire process in just a

0:26:18.800 --> 0:26:19.680
<v Speaker 11>couple of hours.

0:26:19.840 --> 0:26:21.880
<v Speaker 6>It's incredible to consider. And also just in the next

0:26:21.880 --> 0:26:24.240
<v Speaker 6>couple of hours, we do expect Trump could sign dozens,

0:26:24.240 --> 0:26:27.399
<v Speaker 6>if not upward of one hundred executive orders. Have we

0:26:27.480 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 6>ever seen as potentially active a first day of a

0:26:30.760 --> 0:26:32.679
<v Speaker 6>presidency is what we could see today, Lindsay.

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:33.600
<v Speaker 4>We have.

0:26:33.680 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 11>Actually recent history has been quite intense in terms of

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:40.119
<v Speaker 11>executive orders. The overall number of them are not actually

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:42.680
<v Speaker 11>as high as Franklin D. Roosevelt, which was the peak

0:26:42.760 --> 0:26:45.800
<v Speaker 11>of executive orders in the presidency, but the number on

0:26:45.840 --> 0:26:49.000
<v Speaker 11>the first day does tend to have that concentration. And

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:52.120
<v Speaker 11>usually we saw this four years ago. It's a president

0:26:52.680 --> 0:26:56.160
<v Speaker 11>undoing the things that their predecessor did through executive order

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 11>because they didn't do it through legislation. Biden also swore

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:03.320
<v Speaker 11>and I think thousands of political appointees that were at

0:27:03.320 --> 0:27:06.160
<v Speaker 11>the lower level on his first day four years ago.

0:27:06.560 --> 0:27:08.960
<v Speaker 11>So I think that it's pretty common at this point

0:27:08.960 --> 0:27:11.720
<v Speaker 11>to see that type of activity. Now, the scope and

0:27:11.800 --> 0:27:14.439
<v Speaker 11>breadth and the type of executive order that might be

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:16.760
<v Speaker 11>a little bit different. I don't think that Biden or

0:27:16.800 --> 0:27:20.119
<v Speaker 11>Obama attempted to rename a body of water.

0:27:20.520 --> 0:27:20.880
<v Speaker 12>All right.

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:24.840
<v Speaker 6>Lindsay Tchervinsky, presidential historian and executive director of the George

0:27:24.960 --> 0:27:27.359
<v Speaker 6>Washington Presidential Library at Mount Vernon.

0:27:28.680 --> 0:27:32.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:36.160
<v Speaker 1>us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on Apple, Cocklay,

0:27:36.160 --> 0:27:39.199
<v Speaker 1>and Android Atto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on

0:27:39.280 --> 0:27:42.560
<v Speaker 1>demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live

0:27:42.600 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 1>on YouTube.

0:27:45.000 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 6>We're learning from the White House that he will be

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:50.200
<v Speaker 6>ending leasing to massive wind farms, bringing federal employees back

0:27:50.240 --> 0:27:52.520
<v Speaker 6>to in person work as part of the suite of

0:27:52.560 --> 0:27:55.440
<v Speaker 6>executive orders, and also the White House saying Trump will

0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 6>announce the America First trade policy, though our reporting here

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:02.440
<v Speaker 6>at Bloomberg today does suggest he's not going to immediately

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:06.360
<v Speaker 6>impost tariffs or additional tariffs on Chinese goods. And it's

0:28:06.400 --> 0:28:09.919
<v Speaker 6>on the conversation around the economic and geopolitical relationship with

0:28:10.240 --> 0:28:12.359
<v Speaker 6>China that we turned to our next guest, Shirley Marty

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:16.360
<v Speaker 6>hargas non Resident Fellow at the Atlanta Council's Global China Hub,

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:20.240
<v Speaker 6>is joining us now. Thank you for being here on Bloomberg, Shirley,

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:23.840
<v Speaker 6>as we consider just the broad threat of tariffs being

0:28:23.880 --> 0:28:26.719
<v Speaker 6>placed not on specific Chinese goods, but potentially all of

0:28:26.760 --> 0:28:29.920
<v Speaker 6>them that they export to the United States. Just how

0:28:30.000 --> 0:28:32.399
<v Speaker 6>braced for what is coming is China right now as

0:28:32.400 --> 0:28:34.800
<v Speaker 6>they watch Donald Trump take the oath of office today.

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:39.240
<v Speaker 12>Thank you, Joe and Kayley's lovely to see the both

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 12>of you again.

0:28:40.560 --> 0:28:43.640
<v Speaker 13>I was just that some of the events for the

0:28:44.120 --> 0:28:48.600
<v Speaker 13>now Trump administration last night, and there's been ample much

0:28:48.600 --> 0:28:49.959
<v Speaker 13>discussion around this topic.

0:28:50.800 --> 0:28:55.320
<v Speaker 12>I think that with the reinstatement of TikTok.

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:58.520
<v Speaker 13>Just in the last I believe fourteen hours this was reinstated,

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 13>and now we're seeing Sia Hongshu the redin app that

0:29:04.400 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 13>everybody it's it's, it's Americans and Chinese are able to

0:29:08.960 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 13>Chinese citizens are able to interface with one another. I

0:29:12.160 --> 0:29:16.960
<v Speaker 13>think these pieces also factor into how China's bracing itself.

0:29:17.080 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 13>I think Chairman, she has had a discussion already with

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:25.920
<v Speaker 13>President Trump, and we see that, yes, he declined the

0:29:26.000 --> 0:29:28.719
<v Speaker 13>invite to the inauguration, which I think was wise on

0:29:28.760 --> 0:29:31.320
<v Speaker 13>his part, but he made a good faith effort and

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:36.280
<v Speaker 13>brought in his vice President Han Jung, And so there

0:29:36.440 --> 0:29:40.520
<v Speaker 13>is clearly a it appears that there will be a

0:29:40.520 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 13>prc US interaction of some sort of mutual benefit on

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:45.800
<v Speaker 13>the front end.

0:29:46.320 --> 0:29:47.960
<v Speaker 12>And so I think that matters.

0:29:48.840 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 13>I think that matters fundamentally when we're discussing we're speaking

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 13>about how China's bracing itself for the.

0:29:53.960 --> 0:29:57.200
<v Speaker 2>Tariffs, Well, so aren't we talking out of both sides

0:29:57.240 --> 0:29:59.239
<v Speaker 2>of our mouths here a little bit? Surely that all

0:29:59.280 --> 0:30:03.440
<v Speaker 2>the tough talk, bipartisan tough talk against China, this is

0:30:03.480 --> 0:30:05.920
<v Speaker 2>the one thing Democrats and Republicans have agreed on the

0:30:06.000 --> 0:30:08.360
<v Speaker 2>last couple of years, and Donald Trump was pretty tough

0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:12.160
<v Speaker 2>on China every time he mentioned these issues, promising tariffs

0:30:12.200 --> 0:30:14.160
<v Speaker 2>on a lot more than that over the course of

0:30:14.200 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 2>the presidential campaign. But to your point, you've got the

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:20.000
<v Speaker 2>Vice President of China in attendance show too. The CEO

0:30:20.160 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 2>of TikTok was not only at the inaugural he was

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 2>in the US capital rotunda today, one of the most

0:30:26.640 --> 0:30:30.160
<v Speaker 2>precious tickets in town. What does that tell us about

0:30:30.160 --> 0:30:33.080
<v Speaker 2>the approach that this administration will actually take, not the

0:30:33.160 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 2>rhetoric but the action.

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 12>When it comes to the action itself.

0:30:38.080 --> 0:30:41.960
<v Speaker 13>I think that what Trump understands, especially as a businessman,

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 13>you have to I believe it was a couple of

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:50.600
<v Speaker 13>weeks ago when he was announced as a couple weeks

0:30:50.600 --> 0:30:51.760
<v Speaker 13>ago he may have announced.

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:57.400
<v Speaker 12>I believe on his true social that how much TikTok.

0:30:57.160 --> 0:31:01.520
<v Speaker 13>Was significant to his winning the presidential election cross board.

0:31:02.040 --> 0:31:06.720
<v Speaker 13>I do think though, that he is recognizing that that

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:10.840
<v Speaker 13>period where shall Hong Shu, the red note app was

0:31:11.080 --> 0:31:14.720
<v Speaker 13>interfacing Americans and Chinese were interfacing with one another.

0:31:15.920 --> 0:31:17.520
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that's a.

0:31:17.520 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 12>National security challenge right there.

0:31:19.960 --> 0:31:23.600
<v Speaker 13>And this is happening as Americans across the country are

0:31:23.680 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 13>upset with their TikTok being taken away.

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:29.640
<v Speaker 6>And as we see the movement through the capital. Here

0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:32.000
<v Speaker 6>we want to turn back to Shirley Marty Hargus, non

0:31:32.040 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 6>Resident Fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global China Hub. Shirley,

0:31:35.160 --> 0:31:37.360
<v Speaker 6>thank you for your patients and apologies for the interruption

0:31:37.400 --> 0:31:40.600
<v Speaker 6>as we track the events of this important day. It's

0:31:40.640 --> 0:31:44.000
<v Speaker 6>noteworthy in the remarks that Donald Trump has given, aside

0:31:44.440 --> 0:31:48.280
<v Speaker 6>from suggesting that America might be expanding its borders and

0:31:48.320 --> 0:31:50.960
<v Speaker 6>that he does not want to see the US involved

0:31:50.960 --> 0:31:54.280
<v Speaker 6>in further wards, there was a noteworthy absence of mention

0:31:54.400 --> 0:31:57.800
<v Speaker 6>of some geopolitical relationships or conflicts, whether it be the

0:31:57.840 --> 0:32:01.440
<v Speaker 6>war in Ukraine, the relationship with China, even Taiwan, and

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:05.280
<v Speaker 6>I wonder on the Taiwan front specifically, what your expectation

0:32:05.480 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 6>is as to what is going to happen with Taiwan's

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:12.120
<v Speaker 6>defense supported by the US and China's responsiveness to whatever

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 6>decisions the US makes regarding Taiwan will be.

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:20.320
<v Speaker 13>When it comes to Taiwan, we can pretty much expect

0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:25.480
<v Speaker 13>she to react. He has to, especially with FDI so

0:32:25.680 --> 0:32:30.960
<v Speaker 13>low and especially with challenges domestically with his populace, with

0:32:31.040 --> 0:32:34.840
<v Speaker 13>the economy in general, and I think that when it

0:32:34.880 --> 0:32:39.000
<v Speaker 13>comes to Taiwan, we will continue to support Taiwan. Ninety

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:43.280
<v Speaker 13>percent of our semiconductors come semiconductors and chips come from

0:32:43.280 --> 0:32:47.880
<v Speaker 13>the island. Eighty five percent of global economic output regarding

0:32:47.920 --> 0:32:51.840
<v Speaker 13>their founderies are four of those larger founderies. Largest foundaries

0:32:51.880 --> 0:32:55.720
<v Speaker 13>are on that island, and so we have significant investment

0:32:56.000 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 13>in the island. I think that I think that President

0:33:00.480 --> 0:33:02.680
<v Speaker 13>Trump has this in his mind as he's.

0:33:02.480 --> 0:33:06.640
<v Speaker 12>Engaging, as he's getting engaging. Excuse me, Chairman She. And

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:08.800
<v Speaker 12>if we cycle back to TikTok.

0:33:09.400 --> 0:33:14.720
<v Speaker 13>His his pulling back of the of the band on TikTok,

0:33:15.040 --> 0:33:18.600
<v Speaker 13>maybe because he wants to reset the stage for his

0:33:18.720 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 13>relations with with with Chairman She.

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:28.480
<v Speaker 2>Surely, what does David Purdue, Donald Trump's pick to be

0:33:28.520 --> 0:33:30.640
<v Speaker 2>the next ambassador to China bring to the table?

0:33:33.640 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 12>Business background?

0:33:35.400 --> 0:33:40.120
<v Speaker 13>Business background is substantial, and I think, I think again,

0:33:40.640 --> 0:33:46.040
<v Speaker 13>I think what's significant about having folks from the business

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:49.440
<v Speaker 13>community come into the room when it comes especially dealing

0:33:49.480 --> 0:33:53.640
<v Speaker 13>with a China business Folks know that to do business

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:58.280
<v Speaker 13>successfully in any country, you have to understand the cultural

0:33:58.960 --> 0:34:00.840
<v Speaker 13>you have to have the cultural comptancies of the country.

0:34:00.880 --> 0:34:04.000
<v Speaker 13>You have to understand how to interact and engage the country.

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:06.840
<v Speaker 13>And this is a skill set that can be leveraged

0:34:06.880 --> 0:34:12.000
<v Speaker 13>significantly in times of tension, in times of rivalry, and

0:34:12.880 --> 0:34:17.400
<v Speaker 13>I think that the strategic choice of Purdue as ambassador

0:34:17.520 --> 0:34:19.880
<v Speaker 13>to China is very much steeped in that.

0:34:20.440 --> 0:34:23.640
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. Make

0:34:23.680 --> 0:34:26.640
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0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:29.319
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0:34:29.360 --> 0:34:32.600
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0:34:32.920 --> 0:34:34.320
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