Speaker 1: To remove dalling deep speedways past Hell. From the Baptist
Speaker 1: Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 2: This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield. He's gon my advands
Speaker 2: in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: What is up Dolphins and welcome to the Draft Time Podcast.
Speaker 1: I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,
Speaker 1: it's preview day already. It feels like I just covered
Speaker 1: a football game and here we are talking about another.
Speaker 1: One short week Dolphins host the Raiders. Will break it
Speaker 1: down as we do by matchup, by key elements of
Speaker 1: this game and everything in between. From the Baptist Health
Speaker 1: Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. This is the
Speaker 1: Drive Time Podcast. First order of business. It is Thursday
Speaker 1: night football and another good one we got here for
Speaker 1: you guys. The Commanders are.
Speaker 2: At the Eagles. I am conflicted on this one.
Speaker 1: Despite being oh, he's doing it again, he's pulling up
Speaker 1: his phone for a live reaction. One twelve and forty
Speaker 1: on the season. This is a tough week and we'll
Speaker 1: get to the rest of the picks on Friday. But
Speaker 1: I'm conflicted about like four or five of these games.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Commanders. I think they're going to win
Speaker 1: the division. That was my prediction back in August. It's
Speaker 1: my claim to fame if it happens, sin, so we
Speaker 1: have to commit to it.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 1: We'll take the Commanders after a tough loss last week
Speaker 1: to bounce back and get this win over the division rival,
Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 2: JT.
Speaker 1: I know you won't hear the podcast, but if you do,
Speaker 1: I apologize picking against the Eagles on TNF. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about the Raiders, and let's be transparent here for a second.
Speaker 1: This is the worst football team I've seen on.
Speaker 2: Tape since.
Speaker 1: Watching the Panthers last year ahead of that Week six game.
Speaker 1: I don't got much to talk about. It's going to
Speaker 1: be a shorter podcast because they're just as much here
Speaker 1: for this team. It's not gonna be short cause I
Speaker 1: did my work, but let's break it down. I just
Speaker 1: had a hard time finding things to like, really key
Speaker 1: in on because to me, this should be an absolute
Speaker 1: washout game. It's a hard rock stadium, one o'clock kickoff,
Speaker 1: Week eleven against the Las Vegas Raiders, eighty one degrees,
Speaker 1: partly cloudy, no rain, ten mile proor breeze. Should be
Speaker 1: a beautiful day for football. Come on out and watch
Speaker 1: the boys lay it down. I am so excited for
Speaker 1: this game though, because you know, it's funny. I talked
Speaker 1: about this in the show last year, going into games
Speaker 1: where we were two touchdown favorites or more. I would
Speaker 1: opine if this is how it feels when you become
Speaker 1: a really good team, where it's like, oh, this is
Speaker 1: probably going to be a win.
Speaker 2: It's definitely going to be a win.
Speaker 1: It's hard to get up for those games, and of
Speaker 1: course you know the players can never have that mentality.
Speaker 1: But as someone that hasn't missed a Finn's game this
Speaker 1: millennia and experiencing a truly dominant outfit like that was,
Speaker 1: it made my mind wonder, like, do I have to
Speaker 1: have eight, nine, ten games a year where it's like
Speaker 1: this is a walk in the park. I don't gotta
Speaker 1: worry about it? Might be kind of nice now thinking
Speaker 1: about that. And you know what do I always say
Speaker 1: on the show, here the NFL can change in a blink, man,
Speaker 1: What you know about a team this week might be
Speaker 1: totally different next Wednesday or Thursday, whatever day it is.
Speaker 1: And here we are one year later, and I am
Speaker 1: so fired up to go back to the press box
Speaker 1: where I was thinking, like, they're gonna beat the Panthers,
Speaker 1: they're gonna beat the Giants, They're gonna roll the Patriots
Speaker 1: here at home. Now, I am so excited to get
Speaker 1: one of those teams at hard Rock Stadium with our
Speaker 1: guy under center, that we are supposed to beat. And again,
Speaker 1: it's not a guarantee, it's a guarantee, but I've seen
Speaker 1: this team dominate so many of these games, and I've
Speaker 1: seen them win just about all of them, sands the
Speaker 1: Titans game last year, which of course was a major
Speaker 1: blow simply put, just for the flow of the week
Speaker 1: after playing a bunch of gut wrenching games, three of
Speaker 1: those being tough to swallow, losses that easily could have
Speaker 1: been wins. And if they were your six and three
Speaker 1: right now, you're talking about the AFC East as a possibility.
Speaker 1: Even with the sweep against the Buffalo Bills, Digress well
Speaker 1: actually would have won one of those games, they'd be
Speaker 1: one game worse and you'd be a game back with
Speaker 1: a split in the division.
Speaker 2: So whatever.
Speaker 1: But I'm excited to prep for a team that we
Speaker 1: are supposed to really really get after here.
Speaker 2: Does that track for you, guys?
Speaker 1: Because it's just been stress all year long, and now
Speaker 1: I just kind of want to sit back and like
Speaker 1: watch a twenty one point blow. That'd be nice, and
Speaker 1: let's get to know that team and it is there.
Speaker 1: He does remember doing this summer workup on these guys
Speaker 1: and loving their roster on offense and how it's grown developed,
Speaker 1: especially at the skill positions on that offense. Now, of
Speaker 1: course DeVante Adams is gone, but all of that said,
Speaker 1: like the one thing that it felt they never got
Speaker 1: to was the most important position, the quarterback. Like they
Speaker 1: didn't get a free agent signing outside of Gardner Minshew
Speaker 1: and go Koog's for sure, but it felt like they
Speaker 1: were kind of waiting in the draft and never got
Speaker 1: their guy in a class that saw five guys go
Speaker 1: with the top like eleven picks of this year's draft
Speaker 1: or thirteen pick whatever it was. But you know, is
Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew the long term solution. No, he's like a
Speaker 1: spot starter. He's like a twenty eight best quarterback in
Speaker 1: the league. Now he's not playing that good either, so
Speaker 1: maybe it's even lower than that. He's throwing six touchdowns
Speaker 1: and eight picks in eight games and seven starts. He's
Speaker 1: been benched three times, once for aid and O'Connell who's
Speaker 1: out for the year, and once for Desmond Ritter who
Speaker 1: arrived less than a month ago.
Speaker 2: And they might be.
Speaker 1: Getting a key target for Minshew back in Michael Mayer,
Speaker 1: who had his practice window open. But it's not for
Speaker 1: sure that he will be back, but he would fortify
Speaker 1: you know, the way this team was built through the
Speaker 1: idea of being a twelve personnel heavy package by using
Speaker 1: the thirteenth pick on brock Bowers this year and the
Speaker 1: thirty fifth pick last year on Mayor from Notre Dame.
Speaker 1: And on top of all that, they hired Tom to LESCo,
Speaker 1: who I mean he ran the Chargers into the ground.
Speaker 2: See let's bring him to the rival, I guess.
Speaker 1: And they also removed the interim tag off Antonio Pierce
Speaker 1: after a five and four finish and going eight to
Speaker 1: nine in total.
Speaker 2: But a lot of.
Speaker 1: Those wins were like foo gayzy man against like bad
Speaker 1: football teams. I think that Christmas Day went over the
Speaker 1: Chiefs what really solidified that. But it's not looking like
Speaker 1: it's the right move right now. And that includes you know,
Speaker 1: they they lost their quarterback in October last year, so
Speaker 1: I guess an impressive overachievement of sorts that way, but
Speaker 1: those type of overachievements just delay things like longer.
Speaker 2: They delayed the inevitable.
Speaker 1: But as they head towards another potential rebuild or it's
Speaker 1: gonna be a rebuild autter this year, and almost certainly
Speaker 1: if a quarterback in the top three or four picks,
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be number one. The Raiders fans
Speaker 1: are ready for success right now, and they should be
Speaker 1: because last year, before the playoff, or before going eight
Speaker 1: to nine, last year six and eleven, and twenty twenty two.
Speaker 1: They did make the playoffs in twenty twenty one, but
Speaker 1: it was like it was one of those you know
Speaker 1: Dolphins Matt Moore teams, and they got like beat by
Speaker 1: the Bengals pretty handily. And on wild card weekend, I
Speaker 1: think they score a touchdown lates make it close, but
Speaker 1: like ten and seven wildcard round loss eight to eighth
Speaker 1: the year prior seven and nine and nineteen, four and
Speaker 1: twelve and eighteen, six and ten and seventeen, and their
Speaker 1: last great season was in twenty sixteen, a twelve and
Speaker 1: four campaign, but Derek Carr broke his leg in the
Speaker 1: penultimate game and they had to go into that playoff game,
Speaker 1: their first in fourteen years with a backup quarterback. So
Speaker 1: they're basically like they're you know, they look at Dolphins
Speaker 1: fans like you think you have it tough. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and get into this year's team in their offense specifically.
Speaker 2: And quite frankly, I don't really know, because.
Speaker 1: They promoted Scott Turner to the position after firing Luke Getsy.
Speaker 1: Which did you watch the Bears last I sorry, I
Speaker 1: just I'm having a hard time, like not laughing for
Speaker 1: thirty minutes and calling it a show. They hired Luke
Speaker 1: Getsy after the tire fire that was the Bears last year,
Speaker 1: and they fired him after the Bengals lost. They're coming
Speaker 1: off of bye week, so I assume they'll get something
Speaker 1: relatively new ish. Maybe I don't know, because they brought
Speaker 1: in Joe Philbin and North Turner two. I don't know, man,
Speaker 1: We'll probably stay brief and focus more on the personnel
Speaker 1: because I just don't know what's gonna look like. Well,
Speaker 1: I shouldn't say that totally because he was an OC
Speaker 1: for three years in Washington under Ron Rivera, who decided
Speaker 1: he wasn't good enough to coach there and he got
Speaker 1: fired off to twenty twenty two season, where he joined
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniel's staff in Vegas for twenty twenty three as
Speaker 1: a passing game coordinator, the role he stayed in this year.
Speaker 1: This is why these soft resets don't work. Man. You
Speaker 1: can't do like bits and piece and parts? What bits
Speaker 1: and pieces and parts? Because you wind up bringing back
Speaker 1: Norv Turner like he's an offensive consultant. Then I remember
Speaker 1: him for the two years with Ricky Williams here where
Speaker 1: it was like hey, run Ricky right, run Ricky left.
Speaker 1: But he also had various influences all over the league,
Speaker 1: across multiple systems. His original influence was the Don Corriel
Speaker 1: air Coriell attack, which you know, how funny is this
Speaker 1: The description of the air Coriell has forced the defenders
Speaker 1: to cover the length and width of the field entire league,
Speaker 1: which is basically the goal of every single offense in
Speaker 1: modern football, which is usually how it goes. You know,
Speaker 1: what was once innovative eventually becomes the norm. How do
Speaker 1: you attack this scheme? We don't know what it's gonna be.
Speaker 2: Eh.
Speaker 1: I feel like I'm operating more blind this week than
Speaker 1: at any point this season, maybe in nearly a decade of
Speaker 1: doing this. From what I can tell, the offense is
Speaker 1: pretty uniform. It doesn't really want to adapt, but rather
Speaker 1: drills in core principles and sticks to them. What's the
Speaker 1: old saying from a coach Carter or Hoosiers or freaking
Speaker 1: semi pro or I don't know a basketball movie wasn't
Speaker 1: semi pro? Where something to the effect of, you know,
Speaker 1: as this coach is running the players through the point
Speaker 1: of like throwing up on the court when it's the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, you're too tired to think. You know, I
Speaker 1: want you to know this play at the back of
Speaker 1: your whatever. I think it's coach Carter. You know there's
Speaker 1: too many mother f and snakes and this mother from
Speaker 1: playing Samuel L. Jackson Tangent's aside, like this is where
Speaker 1: his podcast is going to go today, Guys like I
Speaker 1: don't got much for you by way of substance. I do,
Speaker 1: but it's going to be a blowout Tangent aside. You know,
Speaker 1: that's that's sort of this approach. And I found some
Speaker 1: literature on a Commander's website where they interviewed Ryan Fitzpatrick,
Speaker 1: and he said that Scott Turner refused to adapt his
Speaker 1: system to his players. Either you fit in or you don't.
Speaker 1: That's not coaching. And it takes the quarterback, he said,
Speaker 1: two full years to learn that system. Fitz was the
Speaker 1: quarterback there for a year when he got hurt opening day.
Speaker 1: But you get the point. I don't think it's realistic
Speaker 1: for the Raiders to expect to implement some multi layered
Speaker 1: scheme that sequencesn't evolves as we go for this game,
Speaker 1: even with the long week off, the two weeks off,
Speaker 1: that is just not how it works. Like they don't
Speaker 1: go through OTAs for the hell of it. They're trying
Speaker 1: to bank reps to build into the summer program, So
Speaker 1: trying to implement a full sale change approach in season
Speaker 1: is not going to be easy. So if I had
Speaker 1: to project, I would say they implement some concepts like
Speaker 1: all right, we're gonna run freaking you know Sale, you know,
Speaker 1: go run Sale, go run dagger, you know, go run
Speaker 1: slant flat like, And that's to me, that's going to
Speaker 1: be their offense. And it probably limits the line of
Speaker 1: scrimmage autonomy that Gardner Minshew has to build off of
Speaker 1: this game. And quite frankly, I think the Dolphins have
Speaker 1: the exact type of scheme to not just slow them down,
Speaker 1: but to really take advantage of the newness. I mean,
Speaker 1: they confuse Matthew Stafford last week has been a lead
Speaker 1: for sixteen years and in his current system for four years.
Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew two weeks into a system is not exactly
Speaker 1: the same, and that takes us into the Raiders Big three.
Speaker 1: On offense, Number one is to make Minshew make complex
Speaker 1: reads and decisions on every drop back. Do not make
Speaker 1: it easy on this man. Make him make twenty five
Speaker 1: difficult reads in this game. And the loss of Kendall
Speaker 1: Fuller makes it a little bit tougher, But man, I
Speaker 1: think we have the depth now to combat that, especially
Speaker 1: with this competition. You know, we'll have Kendall back in
Speaker 1: time for Green Bay. I imagine I think he'll be
Speaker 1: good to go by that time. But that's all the
Speaker 1: matters to me is I don't care if he plays
Speaker 1: this week or next week. But hoping the same can
Speaker 1: be the case for Bradley Chubb, at least for that
Speaker 1: Houston San Francisco matchup, because I do think we'll win
Speaker 1: three of the next four and the one could be
Speaker 1: Green Bay. If you win all four of them, you
Speaker 1: kind of have some house money going into the final
Speaker 1: four games. But Houston San Francisco could be the deciding
Speaker 1: two week portion of the season and that's why I
Speaker 1: want the key players back for But in terms of
Speaker 1: the guys we do have, I think cater has probably
Speaker 1: been the most pleasant surprise for me this year, because
Speaker 1: I thought last year was tough and I thought he
Speaker 1: really struggled to start the year, but he's really bounced back,
Speaker 1: and I think it could be because how he's being used,
Speaker 1: and it speaks to his level of buy in and
Speaker 1: the job of Anthony and Weave are to recognize his
Speaker 1: versatility and put it to use. And that's really true
Speaker 1: of the entire defense. I touched on this in the
Speaker 1: All twenty two episode, how impressive it was how many
Speaker 1: different looks they were able to get to from the
Speaker 1: same pre snap presentation, and with Javon playing what I
Speaker 1: thought was his best game of the year and wasn't
Speaker 1: a high bar, but saying for Jordan Boyer then Ramsey
Speaker 1: doing what he does every single week, I think there's
Speaker 1: a really good opportunity to pile up some takeaways in
Speaker 1: this game because of a couple of reasons. First, Minshew's
Speaker 1: game at Washington State was playing with exceptional timing and
Speaker 1: rhythm in Mike Leach's air raid offense. But that mastery
Speaker 1: is like twelve plays deep on.
Speaker 2: A cocktail napkin.
Speaker 1: That was our entire playbook, Gokus, and we saw him
Speaker 1: have success early in the NFL doing large part to that.
Speaker 1: He played in really good rhythm and saw the field
Speaker 1: and let that thing rip man and were cut off jeorts.
Speaker 1: And then I think there was some more tape on
Speaker 1: him that not only exposed some of the limitations that
Speaker 1: made him a sixth round draft pick, I think it was,
Speaker 1: but sort of created this book that he's had a
Speaker 1: hard time readjusting to. And I think there's been a
Speaker 1: lack of comfort with what he's getting this year from
Speaker 1: this Raiders offense because he's bailing on clean pockets all
Speaker 1: the time. There's a clip against the Chiefs and a
Speaker 1: critical fourth down in the low red zone where he
Speaker 1: like just runs into a sack. It was one of
Speaker 1: the weird plays I've seen from a quarterback this whole year,
Speaker 1: or where he holds the ball and passes up available
Speaker 1: reads in the progression. That's why I think that like
Speaker 1: this offensive corner change is not going to be helpful, Like, Okay,
Speaker 1: it's going to get better with a new verbiage, a
Speaker 1: new system, And that's where I think, you know, it
Speaker 1: could be a collision course. I think his pocket management
Speaker 1: has been awful, and the Dolphins do as good of
Speaker 1: a job as anybody else of making the pocket muddy
Speaker 1: and confusing you with where the rush lanes are coming from,
Speaker 1: and then just playing through some of your guys with
Speaker 1: peer power with Zach Seeler and Kalaeis Campbell, while also
Speaker 1: flashing unexpected defenders into passing lanes that shouldn't be there.
Speaker 2: Good luck, Gardner.
Speaker 1: So this is basically an attack on Minshew's lack of
Speaker 1: comfort in terms of what's on tape this season, and
Speaker 1: his lack of experience in a system that's going to
Speaker 1: be brand new to him and probably not qualified for
Speaker 1: this league, and his teammates against the defense who strength
Speaker 1: is versatility and coverage, front and mixture. Like, it's all
Speaker 1: bad news for the Raiders offense, even if something is successful.
Speaker 1: I think you can make an argument that no two
Speaker 1: plays whatever makes sense to go back to back, make
Speaker 1: Minshew make these complex reads and decisions on every single
Speaker 1: drop back in this game. They have the most giveaways
Speaker 1: in the National Football League. You should continue that theme.
Speaker 1: It's nineteen get make it twenty three. Let's go ahead
Speaker 1: and take our first break rate there, come back and
Speaker 1: finish up the offense. We'll also do the Raiders defense
Speaker 1: and how tow it can attack those boys next Draft
Speaker 1: Time podcast. Your host Travis Wingfield right to you. I
Speaker 1: don't know. Big thing Number one for the Raiders offense
Speaker 1: was to make Minshew make complex reads every single drop back.
Speaker 1: Number two is Bowers and Mayor. It sounds like an
Speaker 1: injury settlement firm who advertises heavily on the five o'clock
Speaker 1: news it's my money and I want it now, or
Speaker 1: all the local ones down here in South Florida call
Speaker 1: Steiner and Ryner at eight five.
Speaker 2: One one one one one one one one.
Speaker 1: One, like all those catchy commercials that I can't stand,
Speaker 1: but they always say, like their phone number three times
Speaker 1: over again. Uh. You know these guys, they moonlight as
Speaker 1: Bowers and Mayor esquire, but their day job is playing
Speaker 1: the tight end position really really damn well. And this
Speaker 1: will make the work on Jordan Brooks, who I think
Speaker 1: is coming off of his best game, and Anthony Walker
Speaker 1: same regarding best game as well as the safety is
Speaker 1: really important in this game. Well, it's important as it
Speaker 1: can't be, and it kind of plays off the first
Speaker 1: key in terms of constantly changing the picture. I just
Speaker 1: can't get enough of how Javon Holland was used in
Speaker 1: accordance with Cater Kohu. I think you can create matchups
Speaker 1: that way, but you also have this is this the
Speaker 1: reverse card and Uno the queen on the chessboard. I'm
Speaker 1: talking about Jalen Ramsey and where I think that having
Speaker 1: Ramsey's shadow anybody serves as to sort of sort of
Speaker 1: diminish what makes him great. Think fangioll eat your heart out.
Speaker 1: I also think that there are teams where it makes
Speaker 1: sense to do more of that, like the Chiefs with
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey when he was better than he is now.
Speaker 1: I think the Patriots make up a receiver with not
Speaker 1: having a receiver on the team with Hunter Henry making
Speaker 1: tons of sense, and here I think it does too,
Speaker 1: though I do think Jacoby Myers is one of the
Speaker 1: more underrated receivers in the NFL and has but he
Speaker 1: has the body profile that Ramsey typically matches up well
Speaker 1: with the bigger body receivers, but also I think cam
Speaker 1: Smith has the game to match up that way as well.
Speaker 1: So whether you're re routing trail technique and pass off
Speaker 1: what we saw from various alignments from Cup and Nakua
Speaker 1: on Monday night, I think this all coincides with point
Speaker 1: number one. But the point is the tight end position
Speaker 1: is the crux of the offense. Bowers has eighteen more
Speaker 1: catches than anybody else on the team. He has a
Speaker 1: buckfitty more yards than anybody else, and he's tied for
Speaker 1: a second on the team with touchdowns. It's two but
Speaker 1: him and Mayer, which mayor is not for sure going
Speaker 1: to play. He's coming off the IR this week and
Speaker 1: he was out with a personal reason. I don't know
Speaker 1: what that is. But hopefully he's okay, but he might
Speaker 1: play this week, he might not. They are thirty second
Speaker 1: and rushing twenty seventh and passing twenty ninth and off
Speaker 1: total offense and twenty fifth in points. And I mentioned
Speaker 1: the rushing there. That's thing number three. Just keep that
Speaker 1: ground game part, keep it in the garage, keep the
Speaker 1: cover on it. Don't give him the keys, don't even
Speaker 1: put in the ignition. Don't even look at it. Don't
Speaker 1: even look at me. I mentioned the thirty second ranked
Speaker 1: rushing attack, and watching this tape, it is not like
Speaker 1: an isolated issue where you can clearly point out one
Speaker 1: thinking back that that's real, that's causing all these issues
Speaker 1: here on this earth. Ted Wynn, who is on the
Speaker 1: show tomorrow, did a great breakdown on Coach Paint where
Speaker 1: he showed a bunch of reps where the assignments just
Speaker 1: either aren't properly communicated or coached or understood. I don't
Speaker 1: know if the issue is because they would consistently, you know,
Speaker 1: like they would have rules they would break. And by
Speaker 1: that I mean like you'll get a double team where
Speaker 1: you have a guard and a tackle attach with you know,
Speaker 1: the guards supposed to play off the outside shoulder and
Speaker 1: a climb to the second level and go attached to
Speaker 1: a linebacker. And then here comes the tight end who
Speaker 1: attaches to that same linebacker that the duo block or
Speaker 1: the combination block is supposed to get off an attack,
Speaker 1: and it leaves a linebacker on the other side of
Speaker 1: the formation, just like like you know, the did I
Speaker 1: just get drafted meme? Like he's doing that, Like, did
Speaker 1: I just get a free run to the BA gap
Speaker 1: with no one to block me but the running back?
Speaker 1: Like okay, cool, easy fill and tackle for a two
Speaker 1: yard game. Now we're second and eight and now Minshew
Speaker 1: has to go run around in the pocket again, and
Speaker 1: this is impaired because if they're in those third and
Speaker 1: long situations frequently, the takeaway ops are gonna you know,
Speaker 1: what do they say about adversity, It creates opportunities, Like
Speaker 1: there's gonna be plenty of adversity for this Raiders offense
Speaker 1: and plenty of opportunities for this Dolphins defense to present
Speaker 1: themselves over and over again. And my ideal game script
Speaker 1: that I would like to see, you know, complete performance
Speaker 1: in a true blowout that really gets the steam rolling
Speaker 1: here in the right direction. And I feel like that
Speaker 1: could really inspire confidence because again, it's just been such
Speaker 1: a grind the last like five or six weeks. You
Speaker 1: know that the two tight losses, the big win, the
Speaker 1: tight loss in Indye before two is return, the tight
Speaker 1: win before the bye, and then the two games without
Speaker 1: two of the like set football back thirty five years.
Speaker 1: Like it's been a lot of stressful football here in
Speaker 1: South Florida, and I think if you can beat them
Speaker 1: handily upfront on early downs, and the offense stays efficient
Speaker 1: and maybe creates a little more plays and plays a
Speaker 1: little bit cleaner than they did on Monday Night, the
Speaker 1: defense can turn this thing into a runaway by getting
Speaker 1: them into these obvious passing downs several times in this game.
Speaker 1: The Raiders run game success rate is thirty second in
Speaker 1: the NFL, in a full ten percent points lower than
Speaker 1: the thirty first ranked team, So keeping them down in
Speaker 1: that regard shouldn't be a problem, and it would go
Speaker 1: a long way towards making everything.
Speaker 2: Else I has talked about achievable.
Speaker 1: Now, all this said, I don't think it's a bad
Speaker 1: line in terms of the five individual parts. I love
Speaker 1: Jackson Powers Johnson. You guys know that he's been a
Speaker 1: good guard for them. Cody white Hair plays football, but
Speaker 1: he's keeping JPJ at guard where I think his futures
Speaker 1: at center. Colton Miller is probably their best guy at
Speaker 1: left tackle, but he's beatable. And then Thayer Munford has
Speaker 1: been in out of the lineup all year long, but
Speaker 1: when I watch him, he's got a ninety three point
Speaker 1: five pass block efficiency score and the reps where he
Speaker 1: gets beat, which is a lot.
Speaker 2: It's usually speed rushers.
Speaker 1: So hey, Chop, keep going, baby, keep proving those folks wrong.
Speaker 1: So I think Chops another in line for another big
Speaker 1: game here against this really bad Raiders offense. The running
Speaker 1: backs are Alexander Madison, who is like the definition of
Speaker 1: a jag. So Mere White can be font times but
Speaker 1: he's the number two behind Madison, and then a Mere
Speaker 1: Abdulla who's kind of like an ancillary role there. So
Speaker 1: it's bad, man, it's really, really, really bad. And guess what,
Speaker 1: let's go ahead and pivot before the break here because
Speaker 1: defense it ain't a lot better either. Things have changed
Speaker 1: with the injury to Christian Wilkins. We will not see
Speaker 1: him this week. He's on IR and will not have
Speaker 1: his window opened up before this game. But as Patrick Graham,
Speaker 1: who coached Christian here his rookie season, that calls the defense.
Speaker 1: So we know a lot more about this system than
Speaker 1: we knew about the Las Vegas offense. You'll get some
Speaker 1: heavy fronts, some of the same stuff we talked about
Speaker 1: from us against the Rams, with the bear and tight front.
Speaker 1: Where they go, they'll go, you know, three defensive tackles
Speaker 1: over the center and guards and play their walked up
Speaker 1: linebackers down off the edge and try to clog those
Speaker 1: interior gaps and free up your runners to sprint to
Speaker 1: the perimeter off the edge like a Devon Diablo or
Speaker 1: Robert splane. Now I'm doing some more background on coach Graham,
Speaker 1: and I'm literally reading a blurb about his Belichick influence
Speaker 1: and his first order of business is to find out
Speaker 1: what the opposition does well and take that away. So
Speaker 1: I think you can safely assume we'll see plenty of
Speaker 1: you know, three high looks, you know, cover three, cover six.
Speaker 1: I think we'll see minimal blitzing and forcing us to
Speaker 1: do what we've been doing in and taking the profit
Speaker 1: all the way down the field. And with you know,
Speaker 1: all of those influences in mind, it's kind of hard
Speaker 1: from a structure standpoint to classify it. Like if you
Speaker 1: look it up on True Media, they have it as
Speaker 1: sixty percent Nickel, eight percent diamond zero out of either
Speaker 1: base package. And that's because they unleashed defensive backs kind
Speaker 1: of like nobody's business. Like last week they had seven
Speaker 1: defensive backs play more than thirty percent of their snaps,
Speaker 1: So you get plenty of like dollar and a half
Speaker 1: dollar coverages with seven and eight defensive backs in the
Speaker 1: field and like a divine Diablo who plays like a
Speaker 1: hybrid linebacker safety role. And then not to mention, with
Speaker 1: no Christian Wilkins, they're trying to find enough guys and
Speaker 1: they're basically filtering in more defensive backs to replace their
Speaker 1: front seven that is awfully, awfully thin. And so I
Speaker 1: don't know, man like you'll get Amoba looks that we
Speaker 1: saw from Brian Flores back in those days, from Patrick
Speaker 1: Grhant back in those days. So the communication has to
Speaker 1: be good, but it has been good upfront, and their
Speaker 1: ability to bring rushers from different alignments I think is
Speaker 1: probably their best aspect of their defense and how it
Speaker 1: can create opportunities for Max Crosby, which of course is
Speaker 1: going to be a key we'll talk about here in
Speaker 1: just one second how to attack it. I mean, when
Speaker 1: the Rams had success on baron tight fronts, it was
Speaker 1: successful play fakes with Stafford on the boot and finding
Speaker 1: those crossers, and we saw Tua really add this throw
Speaker 1: on the move element to his game that could show
Speaker 1: open this game. So our ability to get the ball on
Speaker 1: the edge and then create some of those opportunities for
Speaker 1: ourselves and both the running pass game I think are
Speaker 1: there against this Vegas defense.
Speaker 2: Thing number one.
Speaker 1: Capitalize on overplay, and of course this is a key
Speaker 1: every single week, but if you go back to their
Speaker 1: game plan last year, they were adamant about not letting
Speaker 1: us get to the edge, especially with our cracked toss
Speaker 1: play where you'll basically have the tackle or tight end
Speaker 1: like take a track outside against outside zone, and the
Speaker 1: receiver or tighten comes back across the flow and crack
Speaker 1: back blocks the edge and they would find a way
Speaker 1: to cut under that kind of back door that crack
Speaker 1: toss and force us to bubble on the edge, and
Speaker 1: it created a lot of negative runs and runs for
Speaker 1: no gain. And they also will consistently buzz from two
Speaker 1: to high three looks like that means, you know, drop
Speaker 1: two or three safeties back and change which of those
Speaker 1: safeties comes down and plays that like fifteen yard hook
Speaker 1: coverage role where we love to feast in the middle
Speaker 1: of the football field. Not that dissimilar to what the
Speaker 1: Ramp did on Monday Night Football with some TENPA two
Speaker 1: elements as well, getting linebackers running. Vertical safety is running downhill.
Speaker 1: They're trying to find ways to populate the middle of
Speaker 1: the field. That's why Miami's ability to throw the ball
Speaker 1: to the perimeter like the League Washington play or I
Speaker 1: don't know, the Wattle sail route that he dropped like.
Speaker 1: Those throws are so critical because teams will typically give
Speaker 1: us that area of the field because they want to
Speaker 1: spam the middle of the field. And part of that
Speaker 1: is the Raiders propensity to play man coverage, especially when
Speaker 1: you get behind the sticks, and we've seen two in
Speaker 1: this offense hit their verticals against those looks, even with
Speaker 1: brackets on Tyreek, and especially if you can make them
Speaker 1: play pressman cover corner and miss, especially if that's in
Speaker 1: the boundary to your X receiver with no safety help
Speaker 1: over the top. I think I'll see the return of
Speaker 1: the home run ball for the Fins offense in this one.
Speaker 1: I have two bold predictions for this game. I'm not
Speaker 1: willing to say who it is or when, but I
Speaker 1: think we're gonna get a fifty plus yard touchdown pass
Speaker 1: in this game, one of those deep shots to Reek
Speaker 1: or Waddle maybe Obj. I don't know if you want
Speaker 1: that Bowl prediction. That's what I'm gonna go. The other
Speaker 1: one is I think we're gonna get four takeaways off
Speaker 1: the Raiders offense. That's my my two Bowl predictions, which
Speaker 1: tells you where I think the score is gonna be.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and take our last break right there,
Speaker 1: come back and do the other two big things to
Speaker 1: do for this Raiders defense or for this Dolphins offense
Speaker 1: against the Raiders defense. We'll also tell you what's at
Speaker 1: stake and predict the game with the keys to victory.
Speaker 1: That's next Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought
Speaker 1: to you by Autnation. Thing number two for the Dolphins
Speaker 1: offense against the Raiders defense. Make them play left handed
Speaker 1: and they're you know, that's not like to of left handed,
Speaker 1: but like if it was two am, they can play
Speaker 1: right handed. One of the best aspects of the Patrick
Speaker 1: Graham defense is the ability to disguise coverages. Again back
Speaker 1: to that Ted winner, They would make switches on the
Speaker 1: fly with adjustments through their top safety Trayvon Merrick, who's
Speaker 1: a very good player from TCU for in game situations.
Speaker 1: Like you'll hear Ted explain this on the Friday episode,
Speaker 1: but they essentially flipped their rotations from weak to strong
Speaker 1: because of how the Dolphins attacked them with some of
Speaker 1: those incuts, those intermediate incuts we.
Speaker 2: Love to operate with.
Speaker 1: So you're gonna see plenty of disguise and you're gonna
Speaker 1: have to to what that is. He's gonna have to
Speaker 1: be sharpen how he processes what he sees after the snap.
Speaker 1: It's also worth mentioning that the personnel is different. They're
Speaker 1: down Marcus Epps, which limits their ability to get to
Speaker 1: those three safety packages because they the typical dime safety
Speaker 1: is now a starter and he's struggling, and they haven't
Speaker 1: bumped that fourth safety into that role because he struggles too,
Speaker 1: the way you will with the third safety. So they've
Speaker 1: not been shy at all about bringing out droves of
Speaker 1: cornerbacks and playing four or five six cornerbacks at a time.
Speaker 1: Ted said on our interview that the linebacker depth has
Speaker 1: been a concern outside of Divine Diablo and Robert Spelaine,
Speaker 1: and there's some hesitancy to put the linebackers on the
Speaker 1: field beyond those guys, and that kind of has you
Speaker 1: thinking about how can you force him into that or
Speaker 1: for force him to play, you know, left handed against
Speaker 1: that look if they don't want to go with their
Speaker 1: deep personnel groupings. And it reminds me of the Bill
Speaker 1: scripts against that Nickel exclusive defense and how alec Ingole
Speaker 1: can sort of be the solution to that with his
Speaker 1: ability to go block cornerbacks off the edge all day long.
Speaker 2: It's the same thing here.
Speaker 1: Nate Hobbs is probably their best player on defense right
Speaker 1: now outside of Max Crosby. But if they stay light
Speaker 1: against our twenty one groupings and he's like a slot
Speaker 1: cornerback or even the twenty two groupings, then it could
Speaker 1: be three yards and a cloud of dust all day long.
Speaker 1: And instead of three yards, I'm talking about like seven
Speaker 1: to eight yards. And then for Graham, his challenge will
Speaker 1: be do I stick with what we do well because
Speaker 1: that would go against the principle of attacking what the
Speaker 1: opposing offense does best, but it would also get more
Speaker 1: players out there that maybe aren't his best. It's kind
Speaker 1: of a it's it's probably why they stink man, because
Speaker 1: they face that all the time. They just and also
Speaker 1: like I think we should play a lot sharper on
Speaker 1: offense because Tula can clean some things up, but also
Speaker 1: they don't have the athletes to prevent some of the
Speaker 1: big plays the way the Rams did, where we got
Speaker 1: some guys in space and they were able to rally
Speaker 1: up and make plays and prevent the explosive of the backside.
Speaker 1: And I don't think they've played that disciplined either. So
Speaker 1: I think Miami's gonna get their explosive offense really going
Speaker 1: in this game. And to do that, number three eyes
Speaker 1: on Crosby every single rep.
Speaker 2: That's it.
Speaker 1: That's that's all that matters. That they're gonna bring him
Speaker 1: on games, They're gonna rush from straight up. He was
Speaker 1: one of the He has one of the quickest first
Speaker 1: steps off the ball, he has one of the deepest
Speaker 1: arsenal of moves, He has the best motor in the
Speaker 1: entire National Football League, and he can take over games
Speaker 1: if given enough one on one on one opportunities. Now
Speaker 1: I doubt he sees those, given how we saw this
Speaker 1: coaching staff, and really that's how every offensive coach would
Speaker 1: approach a player of his caliber, by how they prepared
Speaker 1: for him on hard knocks. Last year, Crosby typically plays
Speaker 1: off the offense is right, So I think that you
Speaker 1: know slides that way and then trusting your best player
Speaker 1: on the offensive line in to Ron Armstead to block
Speaker 1: an island off the other side is probably a pretty
Speaker 1: frequent look we get in this one or some of
Speaker 1: those players where they pull like Lester Cotton around the
Speaker 1: backside and have him go help on the you know,
Speaker 1: tight end and double team that way, you know, and
Speaker 1: just have somebody attached to your right tackle all game,
Speaker 1: whether it's a tight end chip or running back chip,
Speaker 1: and just make him go around two guys or make
Speaker 1: him the unblocked defender on you your zone options in
Speaker 1: the running game, and just various ways to do this,
Speaker 1: like just take care of Max Crosby. It's really the
Speaker 1: only concern I have in this entire football game. What's
Speaker 1: at stake here the entire season. You have to keep winning.
Speaker 1: If you lose this game, it's over. And I think
Speaker 1: a blowout could do a lot for the team Psyche.
Speaker 1: So that makes me want to just go in here
Speaker 1: and just early man first draft touchdown, get a takeaway,
Speaker 1: making fourteen zip in the first quarter. Let's go into
Speaker 1: halftime like twenty four to three, and just have a
Speaker 1: fun second half. My range of outcomes, it's just a
Speaker 1: straight gas blowout dog. A one score game would feel
Speaker 1: like a loss it wouldn't because I don't care. We
Speaker 1: just need wins at this point. But with how I
Speaker 1: feel about this matchup and where I think this team
Speaker 1: can go, we talked about a lot last year.
Speaker 2: Typically good teams they have.
Speaker 1: Some blowouts on their you know, on their docket, like
Speaker 1: those Dolphins teams of old that ever blew anybody out.
Speaker 1: Even the teams that went to the playoffs and eight
Speaker 1: and sixteen, they didn't blow teams out. They just won
Speaker 1: by touchdowns by you know, making one more play in
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. Like the good, the really good championship
Speaker 1: contenders blow some teams out on their schedule throughout the
Speaker 1: course of the year. This feels like one of those
Speaker 1: spots if you want to if you want to be
Speaker 1: that team, which you have to be to go seven
Speaker 1: to one here down the stretch and get into the playoffs,
Speaker 1: this is a team that you should beat by a
Speaker 1: lot of points. So I think we get three or
Speaker 1: more takeaways. I'm gonna call it four. I think we
Speaker 1: score early. I think we run the ball. I think
Speaker 1: that we get after minshew. I'm gonna go thirty eight
Speaker 1: to fourteen fifty yard touchdown reception from somebody or and
Speaker 1: four takeaways and a four possession wins sound good. Keys
Speaker 1: to victory make Minshew make very complex reads every single
Speaker 1: time he has the football. Number two identify raiders, coverage disguises.
Speaker 1: Just let's just not turn it over as well, it'll
Speaker 1: be nice. And number three key on Brock Bowers and
Speaker 1: Max Crosby on either side of the football. That's my
Speaker 1: time under thirty minutes right there. Well, we're gonna get
Speaker 1: it right in one second for a preview podcast tells
Speaker 1: you how much I just didn't really care about this team.
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Speaker 1: Until next time, finns up, Calen and Cameron Daddy, he's coming.
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