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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcasts PODCA.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the court.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds of matings.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna just go throw up to the basket. Under

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Speaker 2: the basket. It's the croup for the wind God a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I chuck the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: Welcome everyone to another episode of The Big Bets on

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Speaker 3: Campus Podcasts, sending by our fine sponsor bet MGM. Matthew Cox,

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Speaker 3: one third of the three man week organization here coming

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Speaker 3: through the airwaves, joined by my.

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Speaker 1: Other two cohorts. Let's talk hoop fellas. The show structure.

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Speaker 3: It's the same boilerplate that we're always used to for

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Speaker 3: those who join us the first time. It's a six

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Speaker 3: pack of sections. We'll go through mid majors, power games, underdogs,

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Speaker 3: large favorites, and you little spotlight on futures. At the

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Speaker 3: end of the pro m. We all started with our

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Speaker 3: moneyline dog of the week, mister McKinnon. And before we

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Speaker 3: actually go into this week's slate of options, let's quickly

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Speaker 3: recap how we did last week. We were heavily leveraged

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Speaker 3: on me Chigan in Towson, Michigan got it done for

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Speaker 3: us at Northwestern as we continue to kind of fade

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Speaker 3: this Northwestern swoon. Betowson did not be tastra in that

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Speaker 3: in their quest for colonial vengeance. There so one in

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Speaker 3: one in terms of our consensus. A few others hit,

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Speaker 3: a few others missed. But hey, let's not dwell in

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Speaker 3: the past. Let's move ahead. Where's mine? Where's Mine? Wednesday

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Speaker 3: and Thursday with the focus of our money line options

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Speaker 3: today Wednesday, we're starting off with Memphis at South Florida

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Speaker 3: and u n C Wilmington at Charleston. Two best options

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Speaker 3: I picked off the board here.

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Speaker 4: I like the Bulls.

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Speaker 3: I'm calling them the Running of the Bulls because they

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Speaker 3: were running this year. It's not you know, it's not

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Speaker 3: your your mother's South Florida Bullet. It's a team that

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Speaker 3: can actually score, get up and down a little bit.

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Speaker 3: They're hosting Memphis. Kempom has this at six. I kind

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Speaker 3: of think the Bulls can pulling off here against the Tiers.

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Speaker 3: But Jim, the other one here I think is probably

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Speaker 3: a little bit more enticing is the UNC Wilmington going

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Speaker 3: back to Charleston after that awesome game at Trash Arena

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Speaker 3: earlier this year. Wilmington looking for revenge. Charleston looking mortal

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Speaker 3: as of late, but they're still holding on to those

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Speaker 3: at large hopes. Even if these two on one day

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Speaker 3: catch your eyes, Jim, I'll go to you first.

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Speaker 5: Honestly, the South Florida one would have caught my eye

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Speaker 5: if Memphis had pulled out the two lane game in

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Speaker 5: overtime on Saturday, that coming off a forty five minute

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Speaker 5: war where they barely sneak over and get that victory,

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Speaker 5: and they would have won six in a row at

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Speaker 5: that point, it would have been enough to like, I

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Speaker 5: kind of want to sell high in this team. South

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Speaker 5: Florida could catch them a little bit, maybe looking ahead

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Speaker 5: to a Temple game where Temple is actually up near

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Speaker 5: the top of that league. But since they did lose

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Speaker 5: to Tulane, might be the wake up call that keeps

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Speaker 5: them focused on this one. You don't want to lose

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Speaker 5: two in a row because they are drifting back towards

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Speaker 5: the bubble. Kai, And so, unfortunately I can't quite.

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Speaker 2: Sign off on either of these, Matt.

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Speaker 5: There are a couple other's on Wednesday I'm intrigued by,

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Speaker 5: but neither of these two.

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Speaker 4: Kai.

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Speaker 2: What about you?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I thought about South Florida and In Game one,

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Speaker 6: South Florida had a ten point lead with seven minutes

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Speaker 6: to go against Memphis. They can certainly do this, certainly

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Speaker 6: get it done, but I agree spot's not there after

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Speaker 6: the two lane game for Memphis and Charleston. Frankly, I

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Speaker 6: think they're just woken up. You know, they lost a

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Speaker 6: surprising game Drexel after a host loss, and they destroyed Delaware.

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Speaker 6: I think they're going to run the table rest of

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Speaker 6: the way, and I love my Cougar's Matthew, I can't

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Speaker 6: do it.

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Speaker 4: Thursday. I got some choices, but not those two.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you.

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Speaker 3: I actually have passed on both these as well, so

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Speaker 3: I want to tee them up for you guys and

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Speaker 3: the listeners. I think those are intriguing, but not worth

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Speaker 3: investing my personal coin. In the next two though, I'm

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Speaker 3: going to ride this WCC hard swinging pendulum thing where

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Speaker 3: the results kind of oscily back and forth very violently.

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Speaker 3: On Thursday, there's two matchups here, Saint Mary's at Loyola

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Speaker 3: Marymount and then BYU at Pepperdine. Now Saint Mary's one

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Speaker 3: of the most obvious potential letdown spots you'll find. With

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Speaker 3: the overtime win against the big bag and Zaga Bulldogs

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Speaker 3: fresh in the rearview at their building. Now they traveled

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Speaker 3: down to La La Land to play very very talented,

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Speaker 3: high octane scoring LMU offense that beacon Zaga at the kennel.

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Speaker 3: Still shocking to say that out loud. And then BYU

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Speaker 3: goes down to play Pepperdine, who Pepperdine just got their

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Speaker 3: first WCC went of this season. Amazing to think that team,

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Speaker 3: with all their talent has only a mass one league win.

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Speaker 3: But such as the case in Malibu, Hi b Yu

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Speaker 3: at Pepperdine, Saint Mary's at LMU.

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Speaker 1: I'm right with both home teams here.

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Speaker 3: I think there is a there's a good letdown angle

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Speaker 3: here for LMU, who's already proven they can rise to

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Speaker 3: the occasion and beat the big boys in this league.

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Speaker 3: And I like Pepperdine kind of getting the old monkey

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Speaker 3: off their bag, kind of ride some juju. And again

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Speaker 3: I like that talent. I'm stubbornly you know, attached that talent.

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Speaker 3: So I took both WCC home dogs to win.

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Speaker 6: Outright, and my money line dog of the week, Yeah,

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Speaker 6: I actually am going to take swings on both them

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Speaker 6: as well. Matthew I agree, it is a big letdown

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Speaker 6: spot here for Saint Mary's. Ellen you has proven it

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Speaker 6: can beat the top teams in this league by beating

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Speaker 6: Gonzaga on the road. It's an impressive win. There can

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Speaker 6: definitely score. Can they shoot a little bit better than

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Speaker 6: they did in the first game against Saint Mary's. You

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Speaker 6: gotta hope so, because that's the only way they're going

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Speaker 6: to beat this excellent defense and then Pepperdine. But the

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Speaker 6: way they can shoot and the way they can score,

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Speaker 6: they can beat literally, but literally anybody in this league.

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Speaker 6: They've only beaten one team this year. But it's a

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Speaker 6: pretty enticing money line play, right, a high variance dog,

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Speaker 6: especially with the BYU team that's much better at home.

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Speaker 6: So I'll take swings with both WCC home dogs as well.

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Speaker 1: Matthew all right, I'll be the party pooper out west here.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take neither one.

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Speaker 5: The one that treats me more is definitely Pepperdine, just

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Speaker 5: because of how erratic they can be, that talent like

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Speaker 5: they still are getting people like Oh Houston, will that

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Speaker 5: second round pick Max lewis probably not lottery but first rounder,

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Speaker 5: And yet they can't win a WCC game doesn't say

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Speaker 5: wonderful things about mister Romar on the sideline if they're

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Speaker 5: not able to even break this seal. They finally did that,

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Speaker 5: But so I'm close on Pepperdine definitely team it's better

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Speaker 5: at home. I just think Saint Mary's is this good guys,

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Speaker 5: I can't totally endorse it. Kyle, you mentioned that LM

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Speaker 5: you didn't shoot well in that first meeting where Saint

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Speaker 5: Mary's won by fourteen. Saint Mary's is four for eighteen

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Speaker 5: from three two. They didn't shoot the ball well either.

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Speaker 5: It wasn't some you know, shooting splits type of game.

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Speaker 5: Saint Mary's just suffocates teams. I'm too impressed with them, Matt.

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Speaker 5: I think I think mister Randy Bennett, one of the best,

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Speaker 5: most underrated coaches in the country, will have them back up.

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Speaker 5: So I am not signing off on any of these four,

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Speaker 5: but I will have one or two for the people.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it just kind of helped they have four nights

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Speaker 3: off to you know, get their hangover, you know, put

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Speaker 3: it behind them, perhap.

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Speaker 1: Curetti for another game here.

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Speaker 3: I'm still riding with the volatility in the home dogs

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Speaker 3: here a the wcc A couple other Cannet you guys

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Speaker 3: wrote down here Jim tell us why you're I and

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Speaker 3: a few of these other ones in New Mexico State

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Speaker 3: at Grand Canyon, Binghamton and New Hampshire and Monmouth at

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Speaker 3: stony were the late ads to our candidates.

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Speaker 5: Well, for me, I added Monmouth plus six at Stonybrook

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Speaker 5: on Wednesday. Stony Brook could still be missing Tyler Stevenson

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Speaker 5: more their best and most high highest usage player plays

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Speaker 5: like every minute when he's healthy. That will probably mean

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Speaker 5: this spread is not six as ken Palm has it.

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Speaker 5: But Monmouth is also rolling a team that we had

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Speaker 5: given up on and maybe thought we could get back

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Speaker 5: in on, and then given up on again. But over

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Speaker 5: this recent stretch three straight wins, including on the road

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Speaker 5: at NCA and t Delaware Tacksville at home, I've been

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Speaker 5: really impressed by them, A young team maybe finally starting

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Speaker 5: to trend up with King Rice, so Kai, I am

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Speaker 5: backing Monmouth.

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Speaker 2: As one of my money line dogs and then one

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Speaker 2: of your choices. Here. I'm going to join you on Binghamton.

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Speaker 6: Binghamton, they whooped New Hampshire in the first game. They

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Speaker 6: beat him by eighteen. Binghamton, this is the team that

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Speaker 6: was supposed to be top five in the America East,

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Speaker 6: supposed to be a little bit of a team on

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Speaker 6: the rise this season.

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Speaker 4: They certainly have.

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Speaker 6: Not lived up to that, but they can beat New Hampshire,

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Speaker 6: a team that's really really hangs their hat on defense

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Speaker 6: and physicality, and they can certainly get cold. If they

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Speaker 6: can't score, they can't win. So I like Binghamton as

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Speaker 6: well New Mexico State. They are much better at home.

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Speaker 6: But man, two wins in a row in the whack

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Speaker 6: here against very good teams Seattle and Stephen F. Austin

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Speaker 6: have proven to me that, Okay, this team's not quite dead,

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Speaker 6: and we know they have the talent to beat Grand Canyon.

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Speaker 4: Ultimately, I'm gonna not.

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Speaker 6: Officially take that one for the show, but it's an

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Speaker 6: intriguing on Matthew I wanted to bring to the table.

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Speaker 3: No, you're right, like that's you're getting like maybe the

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Speaker 3: most talented team in that conference at like a garage

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Speaker 3: sale penny stock price just because of how poorly they've played.

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Speaker 3: So I certainly like that, especially from a moneyline angle,

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Speaker 3: but officially I'm only taking those two WCC pups. Kai

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Speaker 3: You're on me on those two as well as Binghamton

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Speaker 3: gym is well on Binghamton and King Rice in the

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Speaker 3: squad looking to ride that mojo. The young Hawks up

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Speaker 3: and coming after a disasters start to their season.

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Speaker 1: We move along on section.

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Speaker 2: Would be Monmouth To clarify, what did I say? People?

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I just didn't say would have been.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, King Rice, Mammoth they should be Sononymous for those

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Speaker 3: of listening, But yes, mom with is wu Jim is

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Speaker 3: taken there to clarify. Move along section number two here

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Speaker 3: blowout City. Not a lot of options here this laden

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Speaker 3: conference play. But whenever Houston is on the sleigh playing

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Speaker 3: against a bottom feeder of the acc UH, they will qualify.

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Speaker 1: And Tulsa is ac aac What did I say? Acc

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Speaker 1: acc aac?

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Speaker 3: Thank you, Jim. Tulsa qualifies as a bottom peter. They

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Speaker 3: are lurking in the basement below basements here. Ken Pom

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Speaker 3: has this as Houston minus twenty seven at home. Houston

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Speaker 3: obviously had a little bit of low there. They seem

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Speaker 3: to be back on track high. Is there any reason

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Speaker 3: to think Tulsa competes in this game?

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Speaker 6: No, I actually kind of made it higher than twenty seven.

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Speaker 6: Whether I'm going to lay that many points is TBD,

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Speaker 6: because laying that many points is very risky my opinion.

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Speaker 6: Lots of variants obviously happens. But Tulsa's literally the worst

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Speaker 6: ATS team in the country this year. They're three and

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Speaker 6: seventeen against the number three and seventeen. You do very

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Speaker 6: well this season if you just faded them every single

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Speaker 6: game and Houston won game won by forty nine excuse me,

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Speaker 6: thirty nine points on the road. Houston can absolutely blow

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Speaker 6: the doors off this team. Tulsa cannot compete. I will

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Speaker 6: think about actually playing this game. Yes, they're that bad.

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Speaker 2: First half, I will play it first half. I love

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Speaker 2: Calvin Sampson teams. In the first half.

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Speaker 5: I think they can just absolutely undress Tulsa as much

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Speaker 5: as they want, and then maybe they'll go to sleep

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Speaker 5: in the second half. But that's not really a samsuon Mo.

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Speaker 5: They're usually very tuned in. Effort is pretty much always there.

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Speaker 5: But man, yeah, they'll dominate the glass here, won't turn

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Speaker 5: the ball over, and they will force a bevy of

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Speaker 5: them against Tulsa. The biggest thing is that the battle

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Speaker 5: on the glass is going to be an embarrassment. Matthew,

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Speaker 5: I think Houston can grab every offensive rebound they want.

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Speaker 5: First half spread of probably around fifteen there. I'm relatively

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Speaker 5: comfortable taking laying fourteen and a half fifteen.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're at Houston taking their foot off the gas.

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Speaker 3: They just played four like really tough AC teams, so

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Speaker 3: now they get like the you know, the easiest cupcake

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Speaker 3: on there. Maybe they sleep walk, but I think you

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Speaker 3: think they're too good. There's no ay tuls competezer. Really

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Speaker 3: disastrous season for Eric Conkle in his first go round.

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Speaker 3: After a stellar resime, he wrecked up at Louisiana Tech

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Speaker 3: for Thursday. Mister mccannon, there are two options. I honed

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Speaker 3: in and packed twelve land Arizona traveling to cal Ucla

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Speaker 3: traveling to Oregon State, the two cellar dwellers of that conference.

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Speaker 3: And you're reasing to think calor Oregon State compete here.

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Speaker 3: Or are Arizona usuly.

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Speaker 4: Going to take these two to the woodshed?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 6: I think it's a woodshed type of thing. More confidence

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Speaker 6: in Arizona just because they've been a freight train last

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Speaker 6: three games. They beat Washington by fifteen, in Oregon State

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Speaker 6: by thirty two points. They've been rolling. I expect them

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Speaker 6: to keep rolling against cal Ucla. Yeah, they probably do

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Speaker 6: the same thing. Organ State can be a little bit

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Speaker 6: scrappier and UCLA doesn't have the same in my opinion,

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Speaker 6: blowout ability that Arizona has.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's kind of interesting thing with both these squads

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Speaker 5: because they're sort of in the mix for the PAC

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Speaker 5: twelve title. Like UCLA has the definite advantage right now, Arizona's.

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Speaker 2: A game behind them.

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Speaker 5: UCLA has to go down the Mountain trip still, so

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Speaker 5: they're both definitely still playing for that, and they're also

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Speaker 5: in the mix for the final one seed.

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Speaker 2: Arizona definitely closer.

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Speaker 5: Interestingly, despite not leading the league, UCLA needs to rack

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Speaker 5: up more quality wins to get there. But I think

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Speaker 5: there is very much an incentive for both these teams

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Speaker 5: to continue winning and winning by a lot. So yeah,

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Speaker 5: I could see both these ones turn a little bit ugly,

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Speaker 5: Matt despite being on the road. Well, PAC twelve after

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Speaker 5: dark on Thursday might not be that exciting to watch.

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Speaker 3: Or in Saints some better at home and they beat

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Speaker 3: Colorado there. They competed somewhat against Arizona there. I still

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Speaker 3: don't think they have the horses though to pull off

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Speaker 3: the upset, but just something to know, and Cal's kind

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Speaker 3: of mini surge was but short lived. You know they

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Speaker 3: have to me injuries at this point. It's just not

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Speaker 3: a not a you a basketball team.

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Speaker 5: and New York.

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Speaker 3: From bad Power Conference games to good Power Conference games.

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Speaker 3: Let's get to talking the big boys.

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Speaker 2: Here oh, I could feel it.

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Speaker 3: Wednesday Thursday, we have three games picked out here, bluntly,

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Speaker 3: not a ton of like Marquee Magas showdowns this week.

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Speaker 3: It kind of feels like just a weird lull in

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Speaker 3: the schedule. But there are a few big ones We're

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Speaker 3: gonna bestow the Mountain West a power conference league for

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Speaker 3: this discussion only, mister kay in center. San Diego State

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Speaker 3: going to Utah State battle for first place atop the

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Speaker 3: standings here. The Aztecs is the one game lead. You

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Speaker 3: toss State at eight and three, You tossed an at home.

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Speaker 3: The spectrum magic is real. The deal will be rocking.

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Speaker 3: Can they ride that wave make enough shots? Or did

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Speaker 3: the Aztecs keep their defensive dominance rolling here on the road?

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Speaker 1: Hi to you.

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Speaker 6: I'm leaning towards Utah State in this game, Matthew, I

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Speaker 6: do love them at home now. They lost the first

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Speaker 6: matchup pretty handily, lost by ten on the road, but hey,

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Speaker 6: that's tough to do against Viaeha Center, San Diego State,

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Speaker 6: strong court of their own. Utah State has proven it

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Speaker 6: can score against anybody. They even scored against San Diego State.

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Speaker 6: They had over one point one points per possession of

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Speaker 6: that first game their top fifteen offense. Now, can they

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Speaker 6: stop San Diego State on the other end, Probably not.

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Speaker 6: But when you can shoot and score the way Utah

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Speaker 6: State can, you have a chance to be anybody, especially

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Speaker 6: at home.

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Speaker 4: So leaning towards the aggies here.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that one turned into a laugh for in the

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Speaker 5: first half because Adam Seko couldn't miss a three, seven

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Speaker 5: for nine for the game, and San Diego State ultimately

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Speaker 5: hit fifty five percent of the threes. Utah State's the

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Speaker 5: best three point shooting team in the country and they

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Speaker 5: were only eleven for thirty three. So this is actually,

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Speaker 5: I would say, more sustainable performance from Uta State in

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Speaker 5: the first one, much better team at home. They are

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Speaker 5: backs against the wall for an NCAA tournament bid. They

347
00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:17,920
Speaker 5: don't have a Q one win yet and they have

348
00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:20,800
Speaker 5: two Q four losses, run out of chances to get one.

349
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Speaker 5: They don't have any big roadshots anymore. This is it

350
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Speaker 5: for UTA State.

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Speaker 2: Not like a Mayke or break game, but it's really

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Speaker 2: close to it.

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Speaker 5: Matthew, I love the Aztecs. I think they're going to

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Speaker 5: out athlete them on the glass some. But Utah State's

355
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Speaker 5: execution at home in front of that crowd. I do

356
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Speaker 5: lean towards the aggies.

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00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, curious what this spread opens. Kem pom has a

358
00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:42,160
Speaker 3: Utah state minus one. I should probably round a pick

359
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,520
Speaker 3: I kind of like the II is just on the spot.

360
00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,520
Speaker 3: We talked about how important these large home coat these

361
00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:49,720
Speaker 3: large home courts have been in big spots, so I

362
00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,280
Speaker 3: might just continue to ride that trend.

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00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,000
Speaker 1: Other one here on Wednesday.

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Speaker 3: Now, this spread doesn't indicate it's going to be some

365
00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,520
Speaker 3: barnburger matchup, but I'm inclined to think it might be

366
00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:02,040
Speaker 3: closer than average. Alabama is hosting Florida.

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Speaker 6: Hi.

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00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,399
Speaker 3: Kempom has this at minus eleven. I gotta think ALA's

369
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,480
Speaker 3: gonna laying double digit as good as they've played. However,

370
00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:10,080
Speaker 3: the market and the odds makers have been all over

371
00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 3: Florida recently, so you got to think it might be

372
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,760
Speaker 3: shaded down a few points, maybe minus eight. We will

373
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:18,080
Speaker 3: see when it eventually pops. But Gators quietly six and

374
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Speaker 3: four in sec play defending their little tushies off right now.

375
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:23,680
Speaker 1: Can't score always, but they can guard.

376
00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,120
Speaker 3: Can they muck it up and bring Bama down into

377
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:27,320
Speaker 3: the mud? Keep this one close?

378
00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:30,119
Speaker 6: Yeah, the offensive end is what I'm worried about for

379
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,159
Speaker 6: the Gators. They really just can't score. And Alabama's defense

380
00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:36,480
Speaker 6: is legit top five in the country right now, second

381
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:39,640
Speaker 6: best in the SEC behind Tennessee, who is the best

382
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,040
Speaker 6: defense in the entire country. I just don't I just

383
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Speaker 6: think it's too much for the Gators to handle, you know.

384
00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,200
Speaker 6: On the other end, Florida's defense has been great, for sure,

385
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,199
Speaker 6: but Alabama can still score. I just have more confidence

386
00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,639
Speaker 6: than getting points, especially at home, and I fear for

387
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,200
Speaker 6: the Gators and how they're going to manufacture scoring against

388
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:57,360
Speaker 6: such a great defense in Alabama.

389
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Speaker 5: Jim, Yeah, the side's tough for me to figure out.

390
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 5: I've been a huge fan of Bama all year. They're

391
00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,840
Speaker 5: kind of above even what I expected at this stage.

392
00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,760
Speaker 5: But the defense I think is super real and I'm

393
00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:14,080
Speaker 5: trying to pull up right now. Florida's over under splits recently,

394
00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:17,480
Speaker 5: especially in league play, have trended way more towards the under.

395
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:20,679
Speaker 5: That's actually what I think I would bet here. I

396
00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:23,520
Speaker 5: think they can kind of slow down the Alabama attack.

397
00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:28,239
Speaker 5: So yeah, over the last fifteen games, Florida has had

398
00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:30,840
Speaker 5: twelve unders. That tells you how the defense is playing.

399
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:33,360
Speaker 5: Twelve and three to the under of the last fifteen.

400
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 5: I think they know they can't run with Alabama. They

401
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:37,720
Speaker 5: know they need to take away the paint. I like

402
00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,159
Speaker 5: the under their Matthew one hundred and forty five and

403
00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,000
Speaker 5: a half. I'm an early opener what I'm seeing right now.

404
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,399
Speaker 3: I would take that under, I'd say, and Florida's going

405
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,560
Speaker 3: to be hyper focused on taking away transition obviously into Alabama.

406
00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:51,680
Speaker 3: That's easier said than done, but I just knowing that

407
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 3: that's where Todd Golden's focus will be from a coaching

408
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 3: in prep perspective, I like that angle. I think that

409
00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,520
Speaker 3: does correlate with my lean of Florida. If there are

410
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,439
Speaker 3: ten points or more dog, I'll probably take the Gators

411
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 3: small kind of Thursday, we go another kind of inflated spread,

412
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:10,440
Speaker 3: at least on the surface, but for justifiable reasons. Perdue

413
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:14,040
Speaker 3: has been awesome. They're hosting Iowa off that tough loss

414
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 3: at Indiana. I think they played pretty well, given how

415
00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:19,640
Speaker 3: how hype of a spot that was for the Hoosiers,

416
00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:22,040
Speaker 3: how badly I you needed that win. They're back at

417
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 3: home in front of Mackie. They're faithful there. Iowa comes

418
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 3: to town. Hempoun hasn't been a nine point game. I

419
00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 3: gotta think the spread opens pretty close to that little

420
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,520
Speaker 3: trip down memory lane. Iowa beat Purdue in the Big

421
00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:37,920
Speaker 3: Ten Title a conference tournament title game last year, after

422
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 3: Purdue swept them in the regular season final chess match.

423
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:45,520
Speaker 3: Here between the Zach Edy Burley big of Purdue versus

424
00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 3: the spacey bigs of Iowa, what do you think gives?

425
00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:52,639
Speaker 6: Yeah? I like Purdue. I like them off lost Indiana.

426
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 6: I like them coming back to Mackie, and I like

427
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:57,359
Speaker 6: the fact that they will not be stopped on the

428
00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 6: offensive end, best offensive rebind team the conference by far

429
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 6: against one of the worst defensive rebounding teams. Iowa's defense

430
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 6: has been terrible this season, just like it usually is

431
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,600
Speaker 6: n a fan McCaffrey and Purdue just will score.

432
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Speaker 4: It will.

433
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 6: On the other end, you know, I would cold certainly

434
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,200
Speaker 6: put up points produced. Defense has been better this season,

435
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:17,879
Speaker 6: But the other end is where there's such a big

436
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,640
Speaker 6: mismatch that I have to lean towards Purdue here, Jim.

437
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, we joke about Fran mcaffrey's defenses, but

438
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:26,800
Speaker 5: he's been there thirteen years. This is his third or

439
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 5: second worst defense. Like it's not even just fran McCaffrey bad.

440
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,879
Speaker 5: It's bad for Fran McCaffrey, which is a special degree

441
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 5: of bad. That is a real concern. The offense is

442
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:40,119
Speaker 5: somehow better than years with Luca Garza and Keegan Murray.

443
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 2: There.

444
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 5: Sanford trending up has really helped, given them a lot

445
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:47,960
Speaker 5: of perimeter shooting, and Pat McCaffrey's been really, really invaluable.

446
00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:49,280
Speaker 5: They've gotten him back in the lineup.

447
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 2: That's helped.

448
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,560
Speaker 5: I could see that maybe making this line a little

449
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:54,959
Speaker 5: too high, But man, Matt, I have no interest in

450
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 5: fading angry Purdue off a lostit art rival.

451
00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 2: I just I can't quite get there.

452
00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't even especially with their uh you know,

453
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,159
Speaker 3: their big ten lead is safe right now. But you know,

454
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,439
Speaker 3: if Rutgers wins tonight when we're recording this Tuesday, it

455
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,440
Speaker 3: gets one one game closer. So I think produce locked

456
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,959
Speaker 3: and I think they dominate here. Just as a general

457
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,119
Speaker 3: fan perspective, this will be one of the more aesthetically

458
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,720
Speaker 3: pleasing games to watch. Neither team Bowls ever think the

459
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 3: number one and number two defensive foall ry in the country.

460
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,639
Speaker 3: So if your eyes are still bleeding from watching Tarletan

461
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 3: versus U t Arlington last time on Monday. This will

462
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 3: be a good kind of palate cleanser for you, kaind

463
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:30,679
Speaker 3: of so good.

464
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 4: Point, Matthew, Yes, thank you.

465
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 3: And now we pivot to the mid major game in

466
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:37,880
Speaker 3: the week section. Again, not a ton of great options,

467
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 3: but on Thursday there.

468
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,879
Speaker 1: Are two barn burners. We are all over the Conference

469
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 1: USA in this section.

470
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 3: I think we talked about u AB and North Texas

471
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 3: a few different times. Here we're gonna go back to

472
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 3: that well because you av comes back to Denon, Texas

473
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 3: to take on the me and Green, who Kempom has

474
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 3: as a four point favorite Gym Blazers. Maybe trending up

475
00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 3: now at Jelly Walker back in the mix. They got

476
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:00,760
Speaker 3: the Florida Atlantic winning their pot. Do they keep it

477
00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 3: going against the mean Green at the super Pit?

478
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, and perhaps Andy Kennedy has sorted out any locker

479
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 5: room issues they had after a couple suspensions of guys

480
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 5: further down the rotational spectrum, and yeah, four straight wins,

481
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 5: including the Florida Atlantic win. North Texas did win the

482
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 5: first one completely controlled the pace, slowest game UAB has

483
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 5: played all year by eight possessions, and then a couple

484
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 5: of closer to that, but drag them into the mud

485
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 5: the way North Texas does want to do. That might

486
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,680
Speaker 5: be the case again here because it's at North Texas. Kai,

487
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 5: I usually like the whole team to control the tempo.

488
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,919
Speaker 5: Usually like the slower team to control the tempo. Just

489
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 5: a little easier to slow teams down than speed them up.

490
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 5: I'm only towards the Mean Green. I don't like laying

491
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 5: that many points with them because it's not some devastating

492
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 5: offense that can get hot and bury you. But it

493
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 5: feels a little bit crock potty for my good friends

494
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 5: the Mean Green.

495
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm going to AB. Jelly Walker missed that game

496
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 6: against North Texas. UAB was one for ten from three

497
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:01,360
Speaker 6: in that game. I just think they have it much

498
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 6: better outing here. And you said at four points a

499
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 6: lot to lay in my opinion for North Texas against

500
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 6: such a good team in UAB.

501
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,680
Speaker 4: That's still at its peak, could be the best team

502
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 4: in this conference.

503
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,200
Speaker 6: With apologies to FA, you isolated of the best team,

504
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 6: but UAB has that ability, has that talent, So I

505
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 6: think towards you Av.

506
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,400
Speaker 4: You're matt if the spreads indeed four.

507
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:20,879
Speaker 3: I kind of do too, And I've been sort of

508
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 3: selling UAV, but I think Jim headed the Kennedy figured

509
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 3: out some locker room stuff. It seems like they're back

510
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 3: on track. The one issue at U A B. Which

511
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 3: I've seen them falter in multiple times this year if

512
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:33,439
Speaker 3: they get pressed late. They have really been poor handling pressure,

513
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 3: which is kind of It's an old basketball anecdote. You

514
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 3: press a pressing team, you kind of give a dose

515
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 3: here on medicine, and maybe Granma Cassen unleashes that in

516
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 3: this one, but that's certainly not their m You got

517
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 3: to think they sit back and do what they do.

518
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 3: Jolly Walker makes threes from twenty eight to twenty five

519
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:48,679
Speaker 3: feet out. I think they're on a good chance to

520
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 3: this one. And the way Gaines is playing as well,

521
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 3: So yeah, lots to like about the way the players

522
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 3: this team is playing.

523
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 2: Awesome.

524
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,400
Speaker 3: Yep, all right, we head west for our second mid

525
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,399
Speaker 3: major till our first spotlight on the Big West.

526
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:01,640
Speaker 1: I think, so far.

527
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:05,439
Speaker 3: This season, Long Beach is hosting you see Santa Barbara,

528
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 3: so Beach is currently I think tied for second place

529
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 3: Santa Babs Kai. Your squads HiT's a top leader more

530
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 3: at nine to two, eighteen and four overall Joe Pasternak,

531
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 3: a ton of down transfer talent there, experienced ball club

532
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 3: come off a tough loss to the mad Dors of

533
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,160
Speaker 3: Calistate Northridge. What lost to Northridge?

534
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: Yeah?

535
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 3: No, they bounce back here and a pretty short travel

536
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 3: there from Santa Barbara's down a Long Beach.

537
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 4: I do lean towards Santa Barbara. Here.

538
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 6: Long Beach has been good lately. They've won six straight.

539
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:37,199
Speaker 6: They're seven and one without Joel Murray, who was arguably

540
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 6: their best player, and he's been out and out for

541
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 6: the rest of the year. They figured out life without him.

542
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 6: But if you look at the conference efficiency numbers in

543
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,120
Speaker 6: both ends, Barbara dominates this league. Their number one on offense,

544
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 6: number two on defense. Long Beach is kind of the

545
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 6: middle of the league at middle of the pack in

546
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,880
Speaker 6: both ends. They've certainly been manufacturing wins, but I think

547
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 6: when they face a team like Barbara, I think they falter.

548
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 6: I like the Babs here, Jim, the Gauchos.

549
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, I like the spot too. Beach just knocked off Irvine,

550
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:06,959
Speaker 5: one of them. They're actually in second place right now

551
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 5: in the league. Santa Barbara had this absolutely befuddling loss

552
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,879
Speaker 5: that you already mentioned. I'm gonna be betting Santa Barbara

553
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 5: here if it's one pick minus two Ala. It might

554
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:18,880
Speaker 5: be a little different than that because of the Joel

555
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 5: Mary factor with him not being in there to see

556
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 5: the market, taking it to UCSP minus two. But when

557
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 5: we get to our betting recap at the end of

558
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,120
Speaker 5: the show, I will be including Santa Barbara and they're Matt.

559
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,199
Speaker 5: I just think they're categorically better, especially in this version

560
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 5: of Beach.

561
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:33,400
Speaker 2: Yeah.

562
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 1: I agree, they're healthy too. They were banged up to

563
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 1: start the year.

564
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 3: They had a couple of low efforts in the non

565
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 3: con in tough travel spots, so I'm with you. I

566
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:44,399
Speaker 3: think they bounce back for sure. And I'll be going

567
00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 3: to the trash Man pick of the week, our fifth.

568
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: Section, the trash Man pick of the week. I'm the

569
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and

570
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 1: you know it, totally unreliable, undependently it that's it. You've

571
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 1: been told off.

572
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 3: How do you like that? Good one that we'll try

573
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 3: and fly through because it pains us to discuss these

574
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 3: two teams, but it's always the NEC We hate to

575
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 3: pick on this conference, but as bad as it is

576
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:10,119
Speaker 3: this season, that's where the garbage piles lot, and so

577
00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:11,240
Speaker 3: that's where we go to scoop.

578
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:11,639
Speaker 1: Them up to discuss.

579
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:16,880
Speaker 3: And this week Kayat's Wagner at Saint Francis Brooklyn. The Terriers.

580
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 3: I like Wagner. I have all year, they haven't played well.

581
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:22,280
Speaker 3: I have a future on them to win this conference.

582
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 3: I think they smack Saint Francis on the road. It's

583
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 3: a short spread, so under, yes, I like Under, but

584
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 3: I think the side is where I'm leading in this matchup.

585
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 3: Do you have any profound thoughts on a game that

586
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 3: probably two people listening to this podcast will actually watch.

587
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:41,119
Speaker 6: I hate Saint Francis Brooklyn because they have cost me

588
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,120
Speaker 6: a little bit of money this year. Despite the fact

589
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 6: that Rob Higgins has been out, They've been somehow competitive

590
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 6: winning games. They don't even play at home right now, man,

591
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 6: their home court is closed currently they're playing in a

592
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,639
Speaker 6: different place. It looks like a rec center, frankly, and

593
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 6: not a good rec center like your your neighborhood y

594
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 6: or something like that.

595
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 5: It's called the Pope pe Center. It is literally like

596
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 5: a fayed like physical education place.

597
00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 4: Yeah.

598
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 6: It's terrible, it really is, And you know that shouldn't

599
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 6: be part of the handicap. Maybe it even helps them

600
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:12,119
Speaker 6: to be honest. But I lean towards Wagner here, Matthew,

601
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 6: I just refuse to believe Saint Francis is competitive without

602
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 6: those two guys in the lineup.

603
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:18,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right, Land.

604
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 5: I almost want to bet Wagner here, especially if we

605
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,359
Speaker 5: can get confirmation that Higgins and Mareno are both still

606
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 5: out for SFC. Their key pieces, and they've sort of

607
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 5: reshaped their identity recently been competitive, actually one.

608
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 2: Three in a row.

609
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 5: But they beat Wagner at Wagner and I think there's

610
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:35,960
Speaker 5: some revenge factor coming back here for the Seahawks.

611
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 2: I kind of think they could smack them.

612
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:38,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think so too. I think this is the

613
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: start of a Wagner run.

614
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,400
Speaker 3: I'm hoping to see Wagner in Stonehill square off toward

615
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 3: the end of the season for a potential outright berth.

616
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:46,639
Speaker 1: But that's very wishful.

617
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 3: Thinking for a team that's still three aims back in

618
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 3: the title spot. And we moved to section number six,

619
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 3: a spotlight on futures. Talking title futures feels like a

620
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,400
Speaker 3: good time to reset and discuss a handful of teams

621
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 3: that have had some either very impressive resume building wins

622
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,440
Speaker 3: that puts them in good favorable seeding spots to make

623
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,720
Speaker 3: a deeper run, or just teams that are playing better

624
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:14,399
Speaker 3: kind of agnostic of you know, resume building wins. Obviously

625
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,440
Speaker 3: there's some overlap there. But here's for your resist thoughts

626
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 3: on the value of these five teams, and feel free

627
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,160
Speaker 3: to pepper in any additional ones you think are worth adding.

628
00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 3: Right now, Saint Mary's at thirty to one in Indiana

629
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 3: at thirty to one, both with huge, huge wins over

630
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 3: the weekend. I think the time to add both was

631
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:34,640
Speaker 3: before they played. So if you missed before the Gonzaga

632
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 3: game In Pretty Game Gym, is there so any value

633
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 3: left on the Gales at thirty to one and at

634
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 3: the Hoosiers at thirty to one? The Gals are creeping

635
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 3: up the seed lines to I mean they're going to

636
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 3: be looking at what a potential top top five right yeah?

637
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:47,560
Speaker 4: Your thoughts?

638
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 2: Yeah? Or five? Yeah?

639
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 5: I don't know if I can find any value where

640
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 5: they're currently at. I mean, if you really are a

641
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 5: buyer in predictive analytics, then getting Saint Mary's at this

642
00:28:57,120 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 5: value is probably insane. I just think there are still

643
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:04,959
Speaker 5: some athleticism questions against higher level teams still go back

644
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 5: to the losses they took out in a year New Mexico,

645
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 5: Colorado State, Washington. Maybe two of those are definitely not

646
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,640
Speaker 5: tournament teams. New Mexico barely in at the stage, but

647
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 5: I think they're still vulnerable to some of that. And

648
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 5: despite the terrific analytics and the emergence of Aide Mahanian

649
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 5: to an actual star on the ball, and Grandy Bennett's

650
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 5: expert coaching, I think thirty is fine and correct, not

651
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 5: something where I'm like buying, give me this, give me

652
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 5: this value.

653
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 4: What do you think, Kai, Yeah, yeah, it's tough.

654
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 6: I agree, they're seventh in kem Pom, so you're getting

655
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 6: the number seventeen for ken Pom for you know, a

656
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 6: team that's ranked twentieth or something in these odds here.

657
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 6: Can they make a run. Yeah, I just don't see

658
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 6: them winning the title. I agree the athletics is an issue,

659
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 6: and the loss they've taken this year not pretty Indiana

660
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 6: met no thank you as well. You know, I know

661
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 6: Zavira Johnson's coming back soon, and they're a good team,

662
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 6: certainly one that can make a run, but you know,

663
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:05,720
Speaker 6: at the same price, I'd rather have Xavier and you.

664
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 4: Have to switcha wow, Yeah, I would rather have Xavier.

665
00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 1: Indiana.

666
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 4: What seed are they looking at currently?

667
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 6: You know it might not be top four seed, and

668
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 6: even behind them, Kansas State right now is looking at

669
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 6: like a three seed, you know, maybe a four, but

670
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 6: currently a three seed, and they're forty to one.

671
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 4: I'd almost rather have them on the draw than Indiana.

672
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you have to look at the seating

673
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 3: projections like that's such an undervalued part of the futures

674
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 3: market when you're betting at this late in the year,

675
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 3: when you actually have like a pretty clear indication as

676
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 3: to where teams can fall. I think in an actum

677
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 3: have Indiana over Xavier Kaid. But but the seating angle there, certainly,

678
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 3: you know, plays a factor, and when Saint Mary's starting

679
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 3: to climb that that will better.

680
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 5: For their out I want I want over both of them.

681
00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 3: Yes, at that price you're saying in that price range, yep,

682
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:53,480
Speaker 3: Creighton one.

683
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I was going to say that, But they're eight,

684
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 6: eight or seven seed right.

685
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,360
Speaker 5: That's where they're at right now. But they've got some

686
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 5: home win possibilities down the stretch here. I think there's

687
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,920
Speaker 5: going to be some Oh look how good they were

688
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 5: with KLK Brewner. Look how high they are in predictive analytics.

689
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 5: This team could vault up the seed list pretty quickly,

690
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 5: I think, and suddenly be a four seed or something.

691
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 5: And at that stage you have a top ten Ken

692
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 5: Poume team that has I think more raw talent than

693
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 5: Saint Mary's does, and I'll take that, so that one's

694
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:26,520
Speaker 5: a little bit more of a gamble. Saint Mary's is

695
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 5: like this sure thing is going to be a four seat,

696
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 5: almost certainly four or five. But man, I'm buying the

697
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 5: upside of Creighton.

698
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 2: After being the preseason all. You can't call them a

699
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 2: top five team automatically. I see it.

700
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 1: I see the vision now, Matthew, Yeah, I need to.

701
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 6: It's what you have to do right now, right is

702
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,320
Speaker 6: make a guest, like Jim is saying, on, make a gamble,

703
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 6: because there are eight games left in the year, this

704
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 6: could look completely different, right. You know, I'm kind of

705
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:54,959
Speaker 6: going against my point just a second ago. The seeds

706
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 6: are definitely fluid right now, right, Creighton could be a

707
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 6: three seat if they win the next eight games, for instance.

708
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,959
Speaker 6: So it is true you could or you need to

709
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 6: look forward and take it, take that gamble and look

710
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 6: at the upside.

711
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 3: Kind of in the same vein as team that was

712
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 3: high preseason had a lull not finding it stride. I

713
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 3: put Kentucky at forty to one odds courtesy of our

714
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 3: fine sponsored bet MGM. I still see the upside with

715
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 3: the Big Blue Nation. I don't know if it's quite

716
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 3: as high as we thought preseason. They're still not all

717
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 3: the way healthy, but they've been very impressive in the last

718
00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 3: few weeks. I think forty to one is certainly worth

719
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 3: a shot here. I know Kentucky fans are probably gonna,

720
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 3: you know, roll their eyes at that one, but Jim,

721
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 3: I think forty one is a pretty good bet.

722
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 5: Here, I totally disagree. I think forty is not a

723
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 5: great value because this team is barely in the field

724
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 5: right now. They have one Q one win. They're legitimately

725
00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 5: like a bubble team like Dayton type of squad, and

726
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 5: so I just don't think the value is very good

727
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 5: at forty to one. So I'd rather have Miami Florida

728
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:52,960
Speaker 5: at one hundred to one than Kentucky at.

729
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 3: Four, just for safer Yeah, it's true again, going it's

730
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 3: my initial point out seating. I think most bracket matrix

731
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 3: has them what the eleven seed, so that they shually

732
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 3: they could slip into playing game status.

733
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:02,480
Speaker 1: For sure.

734
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 3: I am banking on a very very impressive surge which

735
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: kind of bolts them into that.

736
00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 1: But even then, right that still gets into what to

737
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:10,080
Speaker 1: eight nine?

738
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 3: You got to play a one seed second round even

739
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 3: you know you're on that seven to ten two seeds,

740
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 3: So dice there once you get if you got past

741
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 3: that you feel pretty about some potential hedging opportunities.

742
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 1: I'll throw on two.

743
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 3: More here Rutgers at sixty six to one in San

744
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 3: Diego State at one hundred and one. I think the

745
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 3: latter I like the most of this bunch here just

746
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,959
Speaker 3: because I like the way the Astets were playing. They

747
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,720
Speaker 3: had a little bit of a lull around December and

748
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 3: a ton of guys with minor, minor injuries. It's a

749
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 3: team that I think is built to make a deep

750
00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 3: run because they can defend, but they also have some

751
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,959
Speaker 3: upside this year with Tremmelle and Bradley. Guys that can

752
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 3: make shots, can get hot, can carry you on the

753
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 3: back of that sturdy defense that Dutcher has always constructed.

754
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 3: Kai thoughts on the Scarlet Knights see pikel similar identity

755
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 3: there too, But I actually kind of like the value

756
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 3: better for the as Tikas. Yeah, if you look at

757
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 3: just pure seeding to value to odds, San Diego State

758
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 3: and Miami problem.

759
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 1: We lost to Kayomi is making excellent horns r anymore.

760
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:10,799
Speaker 5: He's just hammering some fantastic points. Unfortunately, No, Matt, I'll

761
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,200
Speaker 5: kind of step in there because he mentioned Miami and

762
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:14,840
Speaker 5: that's the team I had just mentioned a.

763
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:15,359
Speaker 2: Little bit too.

764
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,320
Speaker 5: They're like a six seed in projections. Team went to

765
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 5: the Elite eight last year. They have arguably the best

766
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 5: perimeter in the country, Like you can make that pitch

767
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,920
Speaker 5: with Nigel Pack, Isaiah Wong, count Jordan Miller's perimeter guy.

768
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 5: The emergence of Woga.

769
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 2: Starting a lot better.

770
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that they are somebody that is really

771
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:39,160
Speaker 5: worth considering a lot.

772
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:39,840
Speaker 2: Of these longer shots.

773
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,919
Speaker 5: Met I like to, you know, hunt for final four

774
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 5: odds rather than title odds, even one hundred to one.

775
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,160
Speaker 5: I think, is you know something that you can easily

776
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 5: hedge off later if you.

777
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,680
Speaker 6: Need to test test my back He's back. I was

778
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,720
Speaker 6: going to say, if you look at Bracken matrix. Compared

779
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,239
Speaker 6: to the odds market, San Diego State and Miami are

780
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 6: probably your best value in a seating for perspective to

781
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 6: where they are priced in the market right now. Rutgers

782
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:06,759
Speaker 6: I liked until Mowatt mag got announced out for the

783
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,640
Speaker 6: Yeah just now so ye, while they are ranked fifteenth

784
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:11,360
Speaker 6: in Kimpum, I just don't think they're going to be

785
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 6: the fifteenth best team going forward. I don't even think

786
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 6: that the fifteenth best team now where.

787
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 1: They mostly seated.

788
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:17,279
Speaker 4: By the way, what's ruckers griding?

789
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:20,439
Speaker 6: They're five right now, They're probably going down. San Diego

790
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:22,440
Speaker 6: State at Miami is still the upside at one hundred

791
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 6: to one. Yeah, that's pretty good value there. There's other

792
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 6: flyers out there. I'm sure in aight c is going

793
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,440
Speaker 6: to make the final four like the last couple of

794
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,239
Speaker 6: years and nuts in there, you know, the tournament and such.

795
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 6: But yeah, I would say to Santego, it's a good

796
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 6: value there.

797
00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 3: In Miami, I think has that slightly unorthodox style where

798
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 3: I think Larynega found something last year with that run.

799
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 3: He's basically just replicated that. He built the roster very

800
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 3: similar to last year's run, right, So he's kind of

801
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 3: running back just with a couple of different pieces interchange.

802
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:51,719
Speaker 3: But Jordan Miller's still kind of X factor guy. You

803
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 3: still got wall and you got packed, So I like

804
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 3: the way that's set up on your eye with the

805
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 3: seating to price discrepancy. One of the better bets on

806
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 3: the board that seed to price value lens. That's all

807
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 3: we got so far. Any final late toss any any hell.

808
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:08,799
Speaker 1: Mary, Missy, what's Zoo's current? I don't know where. I'm

809
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:10,959
Speaker 1: not that Mosser one hundred and fifty to one, but yeah,

810
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 1: got any more value to anywhere already got him way higher.

811
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:16,360
Speaker 4: Than that, Matt, don't worry.

812
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:17,359
Speaker 1: What do you have, Fie?

813
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 4: Why'd you guys have something like that?

814
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:20,760
Speaker 2: Yeah? I have a five hundred one?

815
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 1: Huh.

816
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,479
Speaker 3: All right, don't plam out around one, which I'm sure

817
00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 3: will definitely not happen.

818
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:26,279
Speaker 2: All right.

819
00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 3: That concludes our program. Thanks for one for stopping by.

820
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,600
Speaker 3: Thank you to Vetam Jim for making this all possible.

821
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:35,200
Speaker 3: We'll be back next time, same time, same place for

822
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:38,359
Speaker 3: another big Bets on Campus episode. Until then, good luck

823
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 3: on your wagers this weekend, and uh, let's get winners.

824
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or

825
00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:00,160
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem. How was

826
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:03,240
Speaker 3: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred gambler