1 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:06,400 Speaker 1: Welcome to brain Stuff production of I Heart Radio. Hi 2 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: brain Stuff. I'm more in vogel Bomb and this is 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: another classic episode from the brain Stuff archives. We first 4 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: aired this one back in which feels like a million 5 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: years ago, but wasn't really that ancient. Nonetheless, some of 6 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: the predictions it made are already outdated. But I still 7 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: think the question that this episode poses is an interesting one. 8 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: What technology is going to replace the smartphone? Hi brain Stuff, 9 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: Lauren vogel Bomb. Here. Today, nearly eight in ten Americans 10 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: own a smartphone, and we've become accustomed to using them 11 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: for everything from listening to podcasts, taking pictures, reading news, 12 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: and posting on social media, to shopping and making financial transactions. 13 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 1: For many people, smartphones have even taken the place of 14 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: once common everyday implements like tape measures, flashlights, maps, and 15 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: wrist watches. Smartphones have transformed everyday life so much that 16 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 1: it's easy to forget that they only became popular a 17 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: little bit more than ten years ago. That's when Apple 18 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: released the iPhone, which combined mobile internet access and computing 19 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 1: power with a multi touch screen interface, making it possible 20 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: to do pretty much everything by tapping and flipping with 21 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: one fingertip or two. A recent survey found that smartphone 22 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: users now spend about five hours a day using their devices, 23 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: which is why it's tough to walk down a crowded 24 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 1: sidewalk in any major city without bumping into someone fixated 25 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: upon hit or her screen. But with technological process moving 26 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: at broadband speed these days, we have to think that 27 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 1: the smartphone as we know it has a limited life expectancy. 28 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 1: Survey of smartphone users across the world by Ericsson, the 29 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: Swedish communications technology and services company, found that one in 30 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: two people expected that the smartphone would become obsolete by 31 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: which leads to the big question, what's going to replace 32 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: the smartphone? Prognosticators predict that advances in technologies such as 33 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: virtual reality, augmented reality, artificial intelligence, and wearable electronics will 34 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: spawn a new generation devices that could change our everyday 35 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: existence even more than the smartphone did. We spoke with 36 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: Jack Aldrich, a futurist who helps business people figure out 37 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: how to understand and benefit from emerging trends. They said, 38 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: the transition we're about to experience is that we're going 39 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: to go from accessing the internet to living in the internet. 40 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 1: We don't have a suitably zeitgeisty name for those gadgets, 41 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: but it's a pretty safe bet that they won't be 42 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: palm sized rectangles with glass screens, or with any screen 43 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: at all, for that matter, and they may not even 44 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: be a single gadget. Brad Barons, the chief strategy officer 45 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: for the Center for the Digital Future at the University 46 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 1: of Southern California, predicts that the smartphone will give way 47 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:43,240 Speaker 1: to personal area networks, clusters of tiny gadgets concealed in beads, 48 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: in a necklace, or built into eyeglasses or contact lenses. 49 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: Such devices will use VR and a R to project 50 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: information into our field of vision, eliminating the need for 51 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: a screen. And just as we control apps on today's 52 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 1: smartphones by moving our fingers, will be able to manipulate 53 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 1: our next generation personal area net works through voice commands 54 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 1: or by gesturing in the air, perhaps with the help 55 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: of haptic technology like that buzz when you get a text, 56 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: to help sipulate the sensory feedback of touching actual objects. 57 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: Typing may not ever become a completely extinct skill, but 58 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,399 Speaker 1: it may someday become as rare as someone who writes 59 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:20,920 Speaker 1: an elegant Longhand with calligraphy pens. But increasingly we won't 60 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,440 Speaker 1: have to input as much information as we once did. 61 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: That's because next gen intelligent assistance, imagine a vastly more 62 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: intuitive version of Siri, Alex or Kirtana, will learn to 63 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: figure out what we want to know or do, sometimes 64 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: before we realize it ourselves. Aldrich predicts that in the 65 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: near future, our personal gadgetry will study our eye movements 66 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: in order to make predictions. Staring at something for two seconds, say, 67 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: might prompt it to give us more information about that thing. 68 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: Barrens and visions that the intelligent assistance of the future 69 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: will continually whisper in our ears and project messages that 70 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: only we can see that might help us in a 71 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: lot of ways. If we encounter a person and can't 72 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: recall their name, for example, doctor John Smith might flash 73 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: before our eyes to remind us. It's also conceivable that 74 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: our future devices and intelligent assistance may interact with other 75 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: people's digital assistance, possibly taking the place of some of 76 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 1: our interaction with actual people. That's a prospect that Baron's 77 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:18,160 Speaker 1: finds both interesting and disturbing. He points to current trends 78 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 1: like texting instead of calling or using apps like Tinder 79 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 1: to avoid having to walk up to that cute person 80 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: in the bar with no introduction. Baron said, some of 81 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:28,720 Speaker 1: this is good, but it also means that people can 82 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,839 Speaker 1: increasingly live in their own little worlds inside what author 83 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: Eli Pariser has dubbed filter bubbles, where you don't need 84 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,479 Speaker 1: to recognize that there are other points of view about things. 85 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: But next generation personal communication devices may also change us 86 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: in other ways that we haven't yet envisioned, as with 87 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: the smartphone, we'll have to start using them to find out. 88 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: Today's upisode was written by Patrick J. Kaiger and produced 89 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:55,479 Speaker 1: by Tristo McNeil and Tyler Clang. For more on this 90 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: and lots of other tech topics, visit house toff works 91 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: dot com. Brain Stuff is production of I Heart Radio 92 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: or more podcasts My heart Radio visit the heart Radio app, 93 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. 94 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 1: H