WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 NFL MegaPod Divisional Round Preview

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<v Speaker 1>Check it on Man No Down Man. Thursday, January fourteen

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<v Speaker 1>one is the Beating the Book Mega pod for Divisional

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<v Speaker 1>round playoffs in the National Football League. It's Gill Alexander. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a special one because we have more than

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<v Speaker 1>one rotating guests. Uh. The staples of the show here

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<v Speaker 1>as always Mike Palm, Derek Stephen's conciliary here at Circus Sports.

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<v Speaker 1>How you doing, Mike? Wonderful? Wonderful? Can we announce your

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<v Speaker 1>show that's coming up real quick? We cannot talk about time, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>because the visa and people didn't tell the people who

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<v Speaker 1>would affects when they're gonna tell a person he's going

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<v Speaker 1>from days to swing that they might want to tell

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<v Speaker 1>him before the day before. Should I have not brought

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<v Speaker 1>that up? It's okay, you could say it's not the

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<v Speaker 1>time slide. Okay, Well you'll have your own show. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>have a show with the Mall Shaw you will go

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<v Speaker 1>that will air Monday through. What is it called? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you right now. The working title is the

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<v Speaker 1>Nuts in U t Z I like it? Uh poker

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<v Speaker 1>reference it is um Derek wanted odds odds on with

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<v Speaker 1>Mike and am All, but Bill said, you can't protect

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<v Speaker 1>that anything with odds in it. Yeah, Bill wanted the playbook,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think that ignores them all. My personal favorite

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<v Speaker 1>is the Mayor and the Mumbai. But they said it's

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<v Speaker 1>a little risk, gay little risk. That's a really interesting

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<v Speaker 1>choice you got there for co host My kind of interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh that that voice is the other stable of the show,

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<v Speaker 1>Todd wishneb who feels as though he got snubbed. Did

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<v Speaker 1>Hashem get you again? Todd? Is this a Schem's fault?

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, For the gentiles listening again, Hashem what

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<v Speaker 1>what renounced? Orthodox Jews like Todd referred to as God?

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<v Speaker 1>My parents who are Israelian, do not use that. I

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<v Speaker 1>cannot say God. Isn't it yahweh? Oh? No? No? What

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<v Speaker 1>is yahweh? We say Yawei? I know that's something. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's though. It's something Hashim the name, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>literally Zella what our rotatings. As Aaron Schott said when

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<v Speaker 1>he famously came on this program, he goes, it's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>take me a little while to get used to the

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<v Speaker 1>rhythm of the rhythm of the show. Right, it's for

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<v Speaker 1>our offensive lineman who, for the better part of a decade,

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<v Speaker 1>played for five different teams in the National Football League. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and he's been kind enough to come on a Numbers

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<v Speaker 1>game now on the megapod. Played for Panthers, Vikings, Chiefs, Giants,

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<v Speaker 1>and Lions. Brother Mitchell plays with Kansas City Chiefs. Is

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<v Speaker 1>Jeff Schwartz. Everybody, how you doing, Jeff? I am good.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like I fitted right away. Another another Jew

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast, and we're very close to him, Minion.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's good to go. You are a true member

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<v Speaker 1>of the leaflet. You are. This is the first time

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<v Speaker 1>we've ever had a legit guy on the leaflet. By

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<v Speaker 1>the way, Jeff also has UH. He works for Serious

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<v Speaker 1>Does Things with Fox Sports. Has two podcasts. Uh. Jeff

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<v Speaker 1>Schwartz is smarter than you Apple. Name one of them. Jeff,

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<v Speaker 1>have you ever heard the Young Kipper massacre story? Okay, Todd,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm giving the intro. Can we wait for that for

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<v Speaker 1>a second? One more. He's also has a podcast called

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<v Speaker 1>Minus three with Check and Schwartz with former NFL network

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<v Speaker 1>personality Dave Damaet cousin salso was on there. What did

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<v Speaker 1>I miss? Jeff? What else did I leave? Uh? That's

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<v Speaker 1>about enough. Some one office every now and then, But

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<v Speaker 1>I want to know about the young keep massacres, one

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<v Speaker 1>of the great gambling stories. First, my first appearance on

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<v Speaker 1>the Guilt uh Numbers game show at Visa, I told

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<v Speaker 1>the Young Kipper massacre story, which is a story that

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<v Speaker 1>it can't be made up, but it has to do

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<v Speaker 1>with Jews and gambling, and you will love it. I'll

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<v Speaker 1>tell you after the after today's show. You don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to tell it, let's tell you go through the whole thing. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>but can we introduced Las Vegas Chris first, and then

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<v Speaker 1>we'll do the Young peopor Massacre. Okay, ladies and gentlemen.

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<v Speaker 1>He finished second and fifth in this year's circumillions. He

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<v Speaker 1>also finished with his two entries in the top like

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<v Speaker 1>thirty six last year. He's one contest in Las Vegas

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<v Speaker 1>over the last decade at the Palms at the Win

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<v Speaker 1>he won college football last man standing at stations in

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<v Speaker 1>uh Big Mocher. By the way, it's Las Vegas Chris. Everybody,

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<v Speaker 1>Hey doing Chris, I'm doing well doing. We bring running

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<v Speaker 1>late this morning. But one over a quarter of a

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars altogether in terms of his two entries, his

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<v Speaker 1>his quarterly prize and a hedge on that final game.

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<v Speaker 1>And more impressive than all of that were was you

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<v Speaker 1>coming on a numbers game and telling the telling the

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<v Speaker 1>story about the mistake that you made in week sixteen,

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<v Speaker 1>which was very transparent, honest, and more and even more

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<v Speaker 1>than that. And I've run this the last couple of

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<v Speaker 1>days on the radio side. You you tweeted out all

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<v Speaker 1>of your picks beyond just the contest, all the football

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<v Speaker 1>picks you've made this year, and you crushed it. There

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<v Speaker 1>were only like picks, only nineteen of which were you

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<v Speaker 1>negative closing line value on and you were seventeen and

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<v Speaker 1>two in those. Dude, that's unbelievable. Nineteen And you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to do a study on previous years for you to

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<v Speaker 1>see if that's like something you've been doing. I actually

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<v Speaker 1>got to it last night a little bit and it's

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<v Speaker 1>not looking the same. So but you you figured it

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't look the same, right I was. I was hoping

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<v Speaker 1>that it would. East Lean. I'm about a third through

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<v Speaker 1>the last season and it's uh, um about fifty fifty

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<v Speaker 1>and those that I get the worst of the line.

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<v Speaker 1>Look at look at this, Mikey, look at this. Seventeen

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<v Speaker 1>and two. Those are the only games he didn't have

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<v Speaker 1>positive closing line value on. Dude, is that's the greatest

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<v Speaker 1>season ever? Look at that? Do you remember those two

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<v Speaker 1>you lost? Green Bay my November one, Pittsburgh December seven.

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<v Speaker 1>That's it. That's the list that he lost on those,

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<v Speaker 1>but nineteen total. Good for you, man, congratulations, just grinding,

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<v Speaker 1>just grinding. You're you're the best, man, You're the best

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<v Speaker 1>in the biz. Um. All right, before we do the

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<v Speaker 1>divisional round, let's the show is only going to get

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<v Speaker 1>worse after this. The Yom Kippor massacre from Todd wishnev

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<v Speaker 1>one of the great gambling stories of baltime. Have you

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<v Speaker 1>heard this before? Oh, it's the greatest story. Go ahead, Toddy, Jeff.

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<v Speaker 1>The only reason because you say you're a Jew and

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<v Speaker 1>you played in the National Football League. Which that's why

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<v Speaker 1>this story is gonna make is going to be even

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<v Speaker 1>greater for you. And that's why I feel like which

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<v Speaker 1>should be told. So here's what happened, Todd. Stop, what

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<v Speaker 1>do you mean he says he's a Jew? What do

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<v Speaker 1>you mean by that that you doubt that he's a Jew?

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<v Speaker 1>That he's pretending to be a jew? Jeff? If that

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<v Speaker 1>is your day, that's right, you changed it to Schwartz.

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<v Speaker 1>In the In the gambling world, you deal with a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people that are not necessarily who they say

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<v Speaker 1>they are, so I have to be very careful, you

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<v Speaker 1>know what I mean. You never know. Here's a Wikipedia

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<v Speaker 1>page he played in the least hitting around bes right

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<v Speaker 1>put on anyway. So here here's what happened, Jeff. It

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<v Speaker 1>was back in two thousand and fourteen. I was betting

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<v Speaker 1>way more money than I should have been betting on

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<v Speaker 1>a particular game relative to my bank roll, and I

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely needed to win this game. First of all, it

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<v Speaker 1>happened to be yonme Kipper on the day, okay ki,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it was like October fourth, two thousand fourteen.

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<v Speaker 1>I was living in Los Angeles, and because I am

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<v Speaker 1>a renounced Jew, I do not go to temple on

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<v Speaker 1>yoham Kipper. I don't do any of that nonsense. I

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<v Speaker 1>know it's a Saturday college football. It's a holiday. Because

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<v Speaker 1>there's only about fourteen college football saturdays, you have to

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<v Speaker 1>watch football. I don't care what day it is. So

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<v Speaker 1>I go over my friend's house, who's like a phaghazy Jew,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh watching the Uh we're watching the college and

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<v Speaker 1>I have a huge bet. This is about three thirty.

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<v Speaker 1>I have a huge under thirty four and a half

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<v Speaker 1>in the second half of the Arizona State USC game. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>under thirty four now, so I'm just hoping no points,

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<v Speaker 1>no points, no points. Right, it's late in the afternoon

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<v Speaker 1>and USC and in Arizona State only scored thirteen points.

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<v Speaker 1>There's like five minutes to go. There's no way I'm

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<v Speaker 1>losing this game. This is about as easy and I

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<v Speaker 1>need to win this game. I have a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>money on this game. There's no way I'm losing this game.

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<v Speaker 1>So I said to my friend the Phaghazzy Jew, who

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<v Speaker 1>was fasting even though he's sitting there watching ledge football,

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<v Speaker 1>and you choose fast. And since he's a the gaisy Jew,

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<v Speaker 1>who wasn't actually the temple, he was just sitting there

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<v Speaker 1>in college football with me. So I said to him, look,

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<v Speaker 1>it's getting dark, you kipper, ends it dark. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I'll go around the corner and get you a sandwich.

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<v Speaker 1>Because there's no way I'm gonna lose this game. That's

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<v Speaker 1>how confident I am. I'm winning this game. I go

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<v Speaker 1>around the corner, I get him a sandwich. I come

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<v Speaker 1>back everything's fine. All of a sudden, with about like

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<v Speaker 1>three minutes to go, touchdown on site's kick, recovery, touchdown,

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<v Speaker 1>another touchdown, all these touchdowns, and I'm like starting to

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<v Speaker 1>get very very nervous. But I'm still fine. I'm still

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely fine. There's there's one play left. Arizona State is

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<v Speaker 1>at the forty eight yard line of USC. They're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>throw a hail Mary into the end zone. They'll knock

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<v Speaker 1>it down, game over. It'll be thirty four instead of

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<v Speaker 1>thirty four and a half. Everything will be fine. So

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<v Speaker 1>the quarterback for Arizona State, Mike Berkovici, goes back to pass,

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<v Speaker 1>throws it up into the air at the Los Angeles

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<v Speaker 1>Memorial Coliseum. All the USC fans are expecting him to

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<v Speaker 1>knock the ball down. I believe it was Jalen Samuel's

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<v Speaker 1>maybe jumps in the air at the two yard line

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<v Speaker 1>in front of a pack of people, catches the ball

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<v Speaker 1>falls in the end zone. The colosseum is dead quiet.

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<v Speaker 1>They can't believe what just happened. This insane win for

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<v Speaker 1>air zone stage. But I'm even more crazy because I

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<v Speaker 1>can't even believe that I lost this bet. My friend

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<v Speaker 1>just looks at me, dumbfounded. We can't even believe what

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<v Speaker 1>just happened. We can't even speak. It's just so incredible, right, Okay, fine,

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<v Speaker 1>so that's just a bad beat story. Right, So, Jeff,

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<v Speaker 1>you're gonna say that's what's so great about that story.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just a stupid, bad beat story. Right. Well, here's

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<v Speaker 1>where it gets interesting. Two weeks later, my friends at

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<v Speaker 1>the coffee shop in Beverly Hills. He goes, you gotta

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<v Speaker 1>come over here, you gotta come over here, you gotta

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<v Speaker 1>meet somebody. I'm like, okay, whatever, First he sends me

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<v Speaker 1>before he I'm sorry, I've screwed up. First, he sends

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<v Speaker 1>me an email with a picture of a college football player.

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<v Speaker 1>He's never sent me a picture of a college football

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<v Speaker 1>player in his entire life. He doesn't know anything about football.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a picture of somebody, and I say, do you

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<v Speaker 1>know who that is? He goes, no, I said, that's

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<v Speaker 1>the guy who through the Young Kipper massacre pass. That's

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<v Speaker 1>Mike Bercovici. He goes, well, I his grandfather's here at

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<v Speaker 1>the coffee shop. That's why I sent you the picture.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm like, his grandfather is at the coffee shop. He's like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you gotta come over here and tell him what happened.

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<v Speaker 1>Blah blah blah. So I go over the coffee shop.

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<v Speaker 1>This guy named his name is like Ruben. He's like

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<v Speaker 1>from Romania, very very thick accent. And we're talking and

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<v Speaker 1>and we're talking about the game. And I said, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, your grand your grandson cost me a fortune

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of weeks ago. And he's like, oh, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the the what did he call it that? He doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>call it? He goes, the Holy Moly. You're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the Holy Moly. I said, no, no, no, the Hail Mary.

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<v Speaker 1>He goes, no, the Holy Mole. He calls it the

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<v Speaker 1>Holy Moly. I go, yeah, the Holy Moli really cost

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<v Speaker 1>me the Hail Mary touchdown pass. So we're talking and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm like, wow, that was just one of the worst

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<v Speaker 1>situations of all time. He's like, I said, were you

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<v Speaker 1>at the game? You know, because the guy lives in

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<v Speaker 1>Los Angeles, The grandfather lives in Los Angeles. I said.

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<v Speaker 1>He goes, oh, yeah, I go to all those games,

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<v Speaker 1>but I wasn't at that game. I go, you weren't

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<v Speaker 1>at the game. You go to every game and they're

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<v Speaker 1>playing in l A. And now you know that he

0:11:18.880 --> 0:11:20.520
<v Speaker 1>goes to Arizona to go to the games, right, He's

0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:22.480
<v Speaker 1>not going to go to the game at the Colosseum.

0:11:23.200 --> 0:11:25.920
<v Speaker 1>He goes, oh, yeah, it was yourm Kipper. I go,

0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:30.320
<v Speaker 1>it was young Kipper. What he You're Jewish? He goes, yeah, yeah,

0:11:30.320 --> 0:11:32.080
<v Speaker 1>of course I'm Jewish. I don't go to the game

0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:34.839
<v Speaker 1>on your home Kipper. So I go, wait a second,

0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:37.960
<v Speaker 1>is your your your daughter's Jewish? You're okay? So it

0:11:38.040 --> 0:11:40.440
<v Speaker 1>turns out, you know the way the Orthodox Jews goes,

0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:42.880
<v Speaker 1>It goes to the mom. Right, if the mom is Jewish,

0:11:42.920 --> 0:11:50.640
<v Speaker 1>you're Jewish. Very clear, I am very Jewish. I understand this, Yes, okay. Anyways, anyways,

0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:55.520
<v Speaker 1>so it turns out that Mike Bercovici is Jewish. So,

0:11:55.600 --> 0:12:00.360
<v Speaker 1>now what happened here is of all the people in

0:12:00.360 --> 0:12:03.640
<v Speaker 1>the world that my friend meets, he doesn't meet any

0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:06.840
<v Speaker 1>college football grandfather's ever in his whole life, he never

0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:10.280
<v Speaker 1>has met he meets the grandfather of the guy who

0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:14.000
<v Speaker 1>threw throws the home Kipper massacre pass. And the guy

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:17.400
<v Speaker 1>is Jewish. Now, how many Jewish football players are there, Jeff,

0:12:17.440 --> 0:12:20.520
<v Speaker 1>besides you and maybe Goldberg from the Atlanta Falcons. I

0:12:20.559 --> 0:12:23.920
<v Speaker 1>can't think of too many, not many. I mean the

0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:26.440
<v Speaker 1>moll story here is don't bat, don't put a second

0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:31.760
<v Speaker 1>half under in a pack, twelve games anything, Rika co

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:34.160
<v Speaker 1>and Eddie Goldman. I mean, the Bears are full of

0:12:34.200 --> 0:12:37.560
<v Speaker 1>the Jews. You know what I didn't believe. I didn't tell.

0:12:37.600 --> 0:12:39.120
<v Speaker 1>I didn't tell the story as good as I did

0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:41.080
<v Speaker 1>when I was on Girls because I've forgotten some of

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:44.040
<v Speaker 1>the details. But the point, the point is is there

0:12:44.160 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>so few Jews in Division one college football. The guy,

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:51.560
<v Speaker 1>the guy who throws the yom Kipper massacre pass is Jewish.

0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 1>It's it's unfathomable. It's hash and telling you don't bet

0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 1>on That's what some people would say. Mike, you wanted

0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:02.360
<v Speaker 1>to say something reminds me of the great episode from

0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:05.280
<v Speaker 1>All in the Family. But Archie Bunker is talking about

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the Jews this and that, and Sally Strutler says, but

0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Daddy Jesus was a Jew, and Carol O'Connor said, yeah,

0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:16.040
<v Speaker 1>but only on his mother's side. That that, to me

0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 1>is one of the great gambling stories ever. I might

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:19.959
<v Speaker 1>have I might have bought it for you when I

0:13:20.000 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 1>said schmore BERKOVICI so I might have botched that for you.

0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:25.959
<v Speaker 1>I didn't tell it as well as as I usually

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:27.360
<v Speaker 1>do because I haven't told it at a long time.

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:30.320
<v Speaker 1>But basically the point is for people who don't understand

0:13:30.320 --> 0:13:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the significance of the story, there are no Jews in football.

0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:36.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean there are very very few. There might be

0:13:36.520 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 1>one on the screen currently, but in general, there are

0:13:39.840 --> 0:13:42.040
<v Speaker 1>no Jews in football. So of all the guys that

0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 1>you're ever going to meet their grandfather, first of all,

0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:46.080
<v Speaker 1>you're not gonna meet too many grandfather's a Division one

0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:48.760
<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks in your whole life. And two weeks after that

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 1>they throw the young Kipper massacre story. It's probably even

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 1>less likely. But on top of that, on top of

0:13:54.600 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 1>all that unlikeliness, the guy's Jewish. It's crazy perform There

0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 1>more Jewish owners in the NFL than Jewish players. I had.

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.600
<v Speaker 1>I had a trainer on a team, tell me all

0:14:05.640 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 1>the time. I used, like shorts, you should be owning

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:12.720
<v Speaker 1>the team, not playing for it. Baseball. There's still time, Jeff,

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:15.880
<v Speaker 1>there's still time. There's still time, all right, Chris, aren't

0:14:15.880 --> 0:14:18.280
<v Speaker 1>you You showed up? You showed up for this, you know.

0:14:18.320 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 1>I listened to podcasts all day long, and I kind

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:22.960
<v Speaker 1>of went off a little bit and I go, wait

0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:29.760
<v Speaker 1>a minute, I'm in this one. I take some time

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 1>to get used to the rhythm of this podcast. All right,

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 1>let's start. Let's start. I told you, I would have

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 1>told you after you No, I don't know. I loved it.

0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it was worth it. People will enjoy that. Um,

0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:41.520
<v Speaker 1>all right, let's start with the first game. We won't

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>even do We'll just do them game by game because

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.360
<v Speaker 1>people are gonna have thoughts on each We won't do

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:53.120
<v Speaker 1>the three best bets. The standards. Well it's okay, oy one, okay.

0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:55.080
<v Speaker 1>So basically, they don't want to talk about the fact

0:14:55.160 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 1>that I crushed them in the playoffs two oh and

0:14:57.240 --> 0:14:59.840
<v Speaker 1>one and both of them went oh and three. And

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:01.560
<v Speaker 1>let me just say one thing. I want to say

0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:04.360
<v Speaker 1>something sad about the Pittsburgh Steelers. Why aren't the Pittsburgh

0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 1>Steelers still playing? Because I love betting against them, even

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.720
<v Speaker 1>though I'm sad they lose. There's such an easy bet

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 1>against the Browns plus six. Baby. Listen between Tomlin going

0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:22.360
<v Speaker 1>for one instead of two down, hunting with the first

0:15:22.360 --> 0:15:24.840
<v Speaker 1>player on the first play of the fourth quarter, fourth

0:15:24.880 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 1>and short got into punt formation, sent forty five guys

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>in motion like he was gonna like he's gonna fool

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>somebody I was in the defense. That was Tomlin's candidacy

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:36.600
<v Speaker 1>for the worst end game coaching moves of the week. Uh,

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 1>Carol had about four gaps in a five minute span,

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:43.600
<v Speaker 1>challenging the Jared Golf over the line of scrimmage. Um,

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:46.560
<v Speaker 1>you know there was that. There was the whole his defense,

0:15:46.600 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, jumps off sides, first and goal at the

0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 1>tend with just over two minutes left. What was the

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 1>other Carol stuff? Oh, they kicked the field goal fourth

0:15:54.120 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 1>in one, uh twice a short fourth in two wine. Oh,

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>and then there was the other thing that dk Metcalf

0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:03.800
<v Speaker 1>was whining. So what do you do? You you forced

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:08.040
<v Speaker 1>feed the winding wide receiver pick six the game I did? Okay,

0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:10.880
<v Speaker 1>that was his candidacy. Who were forgetting Rayble fourth and

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 1>take right Rayble fourth and two, which, by the way,

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 1>a pro football perspective went back, there has never been

0:16:18.200 --> 0:16:22.240
<v Speaker 1>another instance in the playoffs in that situation database where

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 1>someone did that with that little time left in the game,

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 1>down four points, fourth and two and plus territory. And

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>then uh yeah, Reich with the fourth and goal at

0:16:30.240 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 1>the four going for it at the end of the

0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:35.400
<v Speaker 1>second quarter, and then and Josh Allen matriculates the ball

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:36.920
<v Speaker 1>down the field. I mean, what was what was worse?

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 1>Do you ever remember that many on a playoff weekend.

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Here's what I love about Chris. Chris is like, I

0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:46.080
<v Speaker 1>don't watch any of this stuff. I don't have to

0:16:46.120 --> 0:16:48.000
<v Speaker 1>deal with the ups and downs. I just just have

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>my pick and then I see the result. I watched

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:54.400
<v Speaker 1>very little bit. I will give Reich this, I thought

0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 1>right called a good game. Though even when they were down,

0:16:57.000 --> 0:16:59.000
<v Speaker 1>he still used the run. He knew he could run

0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the ball, and that's what kicked off those drives that

0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 1>got them back into the game. Was actually the running

0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:05.960
<v Speaker 1>game that set Philip Rivers into positive field position, and

0:17:05.960 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>they were able they were able to drive them. So

0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 1>from a play calling perspective, I thought Rick had a

0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:13.240
<v Speaker 1>good game. But from a game management perspective, the fourth

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:16.600
<v Speaker 1>and for whatever goal with a non mobile quarterback going

0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:19.040
<v Speaker 1>for two because off on the off sides on the

0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 1>extra point and chasing those points was poor. But from

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.359
<v Speaker 1>a play calling perspective, I thought he had a good afternoon.

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:26.680
<v Speaker 1>You're the You're the refeieve said last week the Bill's

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:30.920
<v Speaker 1>defense thinks, and I was right about that. But the

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:33.919
<v Speaker 1>third down, the third down play, by the way, was

0:17:34.240 --> 0:17:36.440
<v Speaker 1>more of a great play by Buffalo than a poor

0:17:36.520 --> 0:17:39.520
<v Speaker 1>play by the Colts. The Buffalo Bills broke a tendency.

0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:41.560
<v Speaker 1>I broke it down to my Twitter at Jeff Schwartz.

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 1>The Colts motioning guy cross thinking was a man coverage,

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:46.879
<v Speaker 1>which it was, But the Bills didn't rotate their guys.

0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:49.000
<v Speaker 1>They just kind of rotated safeties and there was an

0:17:49.040 --> 0:17:51.719
<v Speaker 1>unblocked guy and Frank Writeson afterwards. We didn't expect them

0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 1>to be there. We game plan that he would run.

0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:56.200
<v Speaker 1>So I don't really mind being aggressive because we saw

0:17:56.240 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 1>what Tomlin wasn't aggressive. Raybow wasn't aggressive, and you lose

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 1>games not being aggressive. I was fine with them going

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:03.639
<v Speaker 1>for you. I was open Pittman. He missed them on

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:06.400
<v Speaker 1>fourth down, like Rivers has just gotta be better. Missed

0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:09.000
<v Speaker 1>them because Rivers is not a Hall of Fame quarterback. Jeff,

0:18:10.160 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 1>you can you can make a good throw. You can

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:13.119
<v Speaker 1>make a good throw if you're not a Hall of

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Fame quarterback. But I mean, like he still had he

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 1>still had a guy open, he should have. I'd rather

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:20.719
<v Speaker 1>be aggressive than not, and they made back the two

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:23.760
<v Speaker 1>point conversion later anyway, So like I think we've seen

0:18:23.800 --> 0:18:26.880
<v Speaker 1>the NFL that when you play almost not to lose

0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:30.360
<v Speaker 1>when you lose, and so I'm fine with coaches being aggressive.

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:31.760
<v Speaker 1>And the coult should have won that game right, four

0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 1>and fifty yards, no no turnovers, first team NFL history

0:18:34.880 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 1>to lose a game in the playoffs with those stats,

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:38.760
<v Speaker 1>they should have won the game. That's why I like

0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:41.159
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore this weekend. We'll get to that later, but I

0:18:41.200 --> 0:18:44.320
<v Speaker 1>just think that, like they the Colts, we're okay to

0:18:44.359 --> 0:18:47.000
<v Speaker 1>be aggressive, execute it happens. This is why I like

0:18:47.080 --> 0:18:49.280
<v Speaker 1>having Jeff on the show, because he actually played the

0:18:49.280 --> 0:18:50.879
<v Speaker 1>game and knows exactly what happened. The rest of us

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:52.879
<v Speaker 1>are just pretending like we know what happened without you know,

0:18:53.520 --> 0:18:55.639
<v Speaker 1>uh the I we had this thing where I was

0:18:55.680 --> 0:18:57.679
<v Speaker 1>on a numbers game and I said Phil Rivers is

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 1>not a Hall of Fame quarterback with Lombardi and already

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>went crazy that Phil Rivers is a Hall of Fame quarterback.

0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:05.439
<v Speaker 1>There's only been twenty six Hall of Fame quarterbacks and

0:19:05.480 --> 0:19:07.760
<v Speaker 1>he's not one. And the reason he's not one is

0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:10.400
<v Speaker 1>because he missed that fourth down pass. Now granted, any

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:12.199
<v Speaker 1>of course you can make the fourth down pass. But

0:19:12.240 --> 0:19:15.680
<v Speaker 1>whenever it's a big, big, big, big big spot, Mr

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 1>Philip Rivers blows it every time. Baby, you could blows

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:21.040
<v Speaker 1>it it three time. Last thing about the last week,

0:19:21.080 --> 0:19:22.560
<v Speaker 1>as I want to get to these divisional round games,

0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:25.360
<v Speaker 1>but you're the you're the referee expert. First of all,

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:27.960
<v Speaker 1>we talked about all the bad things. Sean McDermott tried

0:19:27.960 --> 0:19:30.800
<v Speaker 1>to save his team twice and I got this all

0:19:30.840 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 1>these uh, these owners are meeting with the prospective coaches.

0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>I would I don't know how I would do this,

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:37.159
<v Speaker 1>but I would try to ascertain, like who's gonna be

0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:39.600
<v Speaker 1>my best guy? In the moment, Sean McDermott called the

0:19:39.640 --> 0:19:42.560
<v Speaker 1>time out to force the review on that Pittman fumble

0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:46.479
<v Speaker 1>didn't go his way um, and then they gave him

0:19:46.520 --> 0:19:48.320
<v Speaker 1>back the time out because they were like, hey, you

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 1>know what, it was really the replay booth that initiated

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:54.720
<v Speaker 1>or whatever, right, and then the clock wound, the Colts

0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:57.000
<v Speaker 1>didn't snap it, and then he used that time out.

0:19:57.000 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 1>He just got back. In effect like a basketball game

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:00.800
<v Speaker 1>where they have a foul to get of and they

0:20:00.800 --> 0:20:03.000
<v Speaker 1>make you have to restart the play, so from nineteen

0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:05.040
<v Speaker 1>to fourteen seconds that he quickly called the time out

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:07.240
<v Speaker 1>right before Rivers could snap it. And that was a

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:09.640
<v Speaker 1>massive five seconds. What happened there with the clock? First

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:14.600
<v Speaker 1>of all, Brady Allen fuck the clock up twice? Yeah, okay, no, no, no, no, Jeff?

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:16.439
<v Speaker 1>How can they stop the clock when they ruled it

0:20:16.480 --> 0:20:19.720
<v Speaker 1>on the wait? Wait? Can I ask the question speak?

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 1>How can he stop the clock at thirty nine seconds

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 1>when they ruled them down by contact? What stops the

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 1>clock for twelve seconds at that point? That that that

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:30.160
<v Speaker 1>era I didn't see, but the one everyone's talking about.

0:20:30.520 --> 0:20:33.359
<v Speaker 1>Pittman fumbled the ball out of bounds that the broadcast

0:20:33.359 --> 0:20:36.280
<v Speaker 1>did not cover it. He fumbled the ball out of bounds,

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:39.040
<v Speaker 1>so the clock stops, They retrieved the ball, they put

0:20:39.080 --> 0:20:42.320
<v Speaker 1>the ball back, then they run nobody that's correct. Broadcast

0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:45.480
<v Speaker 1>even even mentioned it all right, that it was a football,

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:47.960
<v Speaker 1>Like I don't think so. The referees, everyone was killing

0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 1>him on the internet, Like, I didn't see their problem

0:20:50.119 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>with that because that and and the question about why

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:54.800
<v Speaker 1>the clock they have a ten second run off to

0:20:54.880 --> 0:20:56.800
<v Speaker 1>review in that instance, right, because the Colts had no

0:20:56.880 --> 0:21:00.120
<v Speaker 1>time outs, so when there's a review with no time out,

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 1>which I don't like this rule. Really, they docked the

0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 1>team with ten seconds. That's why the clock, that's why

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:09.920
<v Speaker 1>we're from thirty. But the McDermott using that at fourteen,

0:21:10.359 --> 0:21:12.359
<v Speaker 1>that was like at five seconds that disappeared because he

0:21:12.440 --> 0:21:14.840
<v Speaker 1>used it right before the staff it was. I thought

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:17.840
<v Speaker 1>it was awesome if that play goes off and then

0:21:17.880 --> 0:21:19.879
<v Speaker 1>goes off as they played it right. He called it right.

0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:21.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean they tackle him in bounds. I don't know

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>if they can get another if they can spike the

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:25.400
<v Speaker 1>ball in time there. But the whole, the whole thing

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:27.719
<v Speaker 1>at the end was I just disagreed with why they

0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:29.720
<v Speaker 1>stopped the clock at thirty nine when you ruled it

0:21:29.760 --> 0:21:31.760
<v Speaker 1>down by contact. It shouldn't have stopped there. It should

0:21:31.760 --> 0:21:34.160
<v Speaker 1>have kept running. And then the Colts have to scramble

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:36.600
<v Speaker 1>and it's an eighteen yard pass. It's gonna take him

0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:38.360
<v Speaker 1>time to get to the line and run another play.

0:21:38.400 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>But they got the actually thirty nine. Brad Allen stopped

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:46.000
<v Speaker 1>the clock at thirty nine while they decided he was

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:48.080
<v Speaker 1>down by contact, but the ruling on the field was

0:21:48.119 --> 0:21:51.879
<v Speaker 1>down by contacts. They stopped it and then they moved

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 1>it ten seconds right for the for the runoff, and

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:56.240
<v Speaker 1>they ran it. Then Pittman fumbled, which that was a

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.479
<v Speaker 1>terrible played fumbled. Then the clock kept running and then

0:21:59.520 --> 0:22:02.320
<v Speaker 1>Philip Er completed that pass, but mcgerman called time out. Right,

0:22:02.359 --> 0:22:05.520
<v Speaker 1>So it's a about sixteen seconds is to cut off

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>the one. You can run up and spike the ball

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:09.359
<v Speaker 1>if you run a normal play, if you game plan

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:11.280
<v Speaker 1>for like, Okay, we're gonna throw the ball right to

0:22:11.320 --> 0:22:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the field and we're gonna immediately fall

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 1>down to clarselves down, you keep doing in like fourteen seconds,

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:18.840
<v Speaker 1>that's about the time you can get you can get

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 1>a spike off. That's like kind of about where it's at. All. Right, here, Jeff,

0:22:22.240 --> 0:22:24.199
<v Speaker 1>here where your seven picks from last week. We have

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:27.119
<v Speaker 1>them on the screen. We went four and three on them,

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:28.960
<v Speaker 1>and as we were talking about yesterday on the numbers

0:22:28.960 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 1>game on Visa kind of got unlucky on on one

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:34.080
<v Speaker 1>of the three, which was not unlucky, but you know,

0:22:34.119 --> 0:22:35.919
<v Speaker 1>the baker Mayfield one took on a life of its

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 1>own because that game was how it was. But here

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:40.119
<v Speaker 1>are all the correct ones. Indianapolis plus six and a

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 1>half Bears team total under which was never a problem.

0:22:42.960 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Eighteen and a half, Lamar over sixty eight and a

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:49.360
<v Speaker 1>half rushing no problem. Baltimore minus three came home. Uh

0:22:49.400 --> 0:22:51.919
<v Speaker 1>and the only ones that didn't get there under Ramseeahawks

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.000
<v Speaker 1>forty two and a half under Tampa Washington first half

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:56.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty two and a half because you got Taylor heinekeed

0:22:56.840 --> 0:22:59.879
<v Speaker 1>and then the Baker Mayfield under passing right, which again

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't know how much you can read into that game,

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:05.720
<v Speaker 1>but that was a nice job on those Let's do games, Yeah,

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:08.639
<v Speaker 1>let's do game by game. Number one in terms of

0:23:08.720 --> 0:23:11.520
<v Speaker 1>chronological order, the Rams are at the Packers. This is

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the first of the two games on Saturday, Packers number

0:23:15.080 --> 0:23:17.160
<v Speaker 1>one seed, the Rams coming off their win against Seattle.

0:23:17.680 --> 0:23:22.240
<v Speaker 1>This has gone down through the seven to the Packers

0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 1>minus six and a half. And I couldn't win, man.

0:23:25.320 --> 0:23:27.120
<v Speaker 1>When the Rams are winning that game, all I kept

0:23:27.119 --> 0:23:29.560
<v Speaker 1>saying to myself was New Orleans get it done tomorrow.

0:23:29.600 --> 0:23:31.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to see Jared goffin cold weather. Now, it's

0:23:31.680 --> 0:23:33.359
<v Speaker 1>only supposed to be twenty eight degrees not you know,

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:36.639
<v Speaker 1>mild dish for Green Bay, Wisconsin, but it's six and

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:40.320
<v Speaker 1>a half. Jeff will start with you were you surprised

0:23:40.440 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>this went down through the seven and how do you

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:45.440
<v Speaker 1>feel about this? You know, because a lot of people

0:23:45.480 --> 0:23:47.360
<v Speaker 1>just saw the Rams play, right, so they're gonna bet

0:23:47.440 --> 0:23:50.159
<v Speaker 1>on the Rams just being the Seahawks and Jared Gofflin

0:23:50.240 --> 0:23:52.320
<v Speaker 1>he was Night of nineteen. He wasn't that good, but

0:23:52.359 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 1>he played well enough for them to win the game.

0:23:53.760 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 1>They stacked Russell Wilson, then they hit him nineteen times,

0:23:56.400 --> 0:23:58.760
<v Speaker 1>but they sacked him five times. But he's saying about

0:23:58.760 --> 0:24:02.080
<v Speaker 1>cold weather, so he's only played two games under thirty

0:24:02.119 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>five degrees. He completes forty seven sevens passes passer rating

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 1>even if you go a little bit warmer weather from

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:12.480
<v Speaker 1>thirty degrees, completing passes like, he's not good in cold

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:15.240
<v Speaker 1>weather and he might not even play this weekend. They're

0:24:15.359 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 1>they're they're talking about Walford playing still, Like I don't

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:20.399
<v Speaker 1>I don't get I don't get the Rams offense. I

0:24:20.440 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 1>like the Packers here for many reasons, but mostly because

0:24:24.080 --> 0:24:25.560
<v Speaker 1>I think the Rams offense is not going to score

0:24:25.600 --> 0:24:28.200
<v Speaker 1>points in this game. Like, I know people crushed the

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 1>Green Bay defense, but they've got better watching look at

0:24:31.000 --> 0:24:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the last five weeks this season, they've got a lot better.

0:24:33.320 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 1>They can stop the run. If you make Golf throw

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 1>the ball, they're not gonna win. They're not gonna win

0:24:36.880 --> 0:24:40.399
<v Speaker 1>the game with Golf thrown the football. It's amazing what

0:24:40.400 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 1>we're even talking about. A guy with a nine figure

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:45.720
<v Speaker 1>contract and then a guy who started one game here.

0:24:46.119 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 1>It's like, we don't know who who they're going with here,

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 1>Chris zinook Las Vegas, Chris, what you got? I'm I

0:24:53.720 --> 0:24:56.359
<v Speaker 1>was very surprised that the line came down. I was

0:24:56.440 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was kind of a pump fake, uh,

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 1>that everybody went down to six and a half and

0:25:01.840 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 1>they were gonna just pound it back up. I still

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:08.480
<v Speaker 1>think it's gonna go back up. But it's really hard

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:11.800
<v Speaker 1>to stomach the rams. Uh, Like Jeff said, how are

0:25:11.840 --> 0:25:16.600
<v Speaker 1>the hell are they gonna score any points? The way

0:25:16.680 --> 0:25:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Golf throws the ball with his hand, it's sort of

0:25:19.560 --> 0:25:22.760
<v Speaker 1>like a jump ball. He feels like he's just lofting

0:25:22.800 --> 0:25:25.119
<v Speaker 1>the ball and and and it has like a club

0:25:25.200 --> 0:25:31.720
<v Speaker 1>hand or something. So, but uh, my metrics on this

0:25:31.920 --> 0:25:35.040
<v Speaker 1>uh uh seemed to actually be in line with a

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of other people. Uh, they we're getting the extra value. Um,

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:45.640
<v Speaker 1>I think this line should be around three and a half. UM.

0:25:45.720 --> 0:25:51.639
<v Speaker 1>But the Rams are are so solid on defense. They

0:25:51.680 --> 0:25:57.480
<v Speaker 1>they cover everything. They're gonna really put the pressure on Rogers. Uh. Obviously,

0:25:58.240 --> 0:26:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Uh the be able to cover Adams and they're gonna

0:26:03.000 --> 0:26:05.040
<v Speaker 1>be able to run some defensive schemes that should be

0:26:05.040 --> 0:26:08.400
<v Speaker 1>able to confuse. Uh, They're going to put pressure on Rogers.

0:26:08.440 --> 0:26:11.480
<v Speaker 1>And and uh they had five sacks last week against

0:26:12.400 --> 0:26:15.359
<v Speaker 1>more mobile Wilson, So uh that's a hell of a

0:26:15.440 --> 0:26:18.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of pressure. And a lot of people don't realize

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Green Bay played a very weak schedule. I think it

0:26:21.000 --> 0:26:25.120
<v Speaker 1>was the thirty first rank schedule in the NFL. So, uh,

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:29.280
<v Speaker 1>you know when you're playing Minnesota, Chicago and Detroit twice

0:26:29.560 --> 0:26:32.480
<v Speaker 1>and uh, it's just like last year. Again. They they

0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:35.640
<v Speaker 1>had a really nice trip. We we don't know how

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:39.520
<v Speaker 1>good this team really is, but but my metrics say,

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>uh the Rams should cover this. Um My brain says,

0:26:44.800 --> 0:26:47.239
<v Speaker 1>how the hell are they going to score? I mean, uh,

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:49.639
<v Speaker 1>they gotta win three nothing, you know, lose three nothing

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 1>to cover or something. Um. But what usually wins in

0:26:54.280 --> 0:26:59.159
<v Speaker 1>your brain versus metrics competition, Well, I find that the

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:02.840
<v Speaker 1>more painful wage or usually the the better it is.

0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:06.359
<v Speaker 1>I mean I I get very scared when I like

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 1>aside a lot. So the harder it is to place

0:27:10.119 --> 0:27:14.800
<v Speaker 1>the wage, I think, the better off um I am

0:27:14.840 --> 0:27:17.360
<v Speaker 1>in the result. So Ram supposed the point you made

0:27:17.359 --> 0:27:20.640
<v Speaker 1>that bad. I I did take the plus seven. Okay, yeah,

0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:22.680
<v Speaker 1>I took the green Bay. I took green Bay minus

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:24.080
<v Speaker 1>six and a half. And I have green Bay and

0:27:24.119 --> 0:27:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Teaser legs because I have them with Baltimore, which we'll

0:27:27.840 --> 0:27:30.720
<v Speaker 1>get to on its own, and the Teaser and I

0:27:30.760 --> 0:27:33.360
<v Speaker 1>also have them going back to Alabama. Never teach college football,

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 1>but in this case I did with Bama, so that

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:37.920
<v Speaker 1>one's already in. But I hate being on the opposite

0:27:37.960 --> 0:27:41.080
<v Speaker 1>side of you on the A T S. Mikey. The

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:43.960
<v Speaker 1>only I think break the Rams Catchers that they get

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:46.679
<v Speaker 1>the early game and it's gonna be twenty eight degrees

0:27:46.720 --> 0:27:49.000
<v Speaker 1>at three thirty in green Bay instead of if the

0:27:49.080 --> 0:27:50.960
<v Speaker 1>kickoff was at seven thirty, and you might be the

0:27:51.040 --> 0:27:54.919
<v Speaker 1>game dropping down, you know, closer to twenty degrees. But

0:27:56.160 --> 0:27:58.080
<v Speaker 1>if I play the game, I'm probably just gonna tease

0:27:58.119 --> 0:28:01.439
<v Speaker 1>green Bay down because I just don't unders stand how

0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 1>glof is going to be able to move the ball

0:28:02.920 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 1>unless they're really effective running the ball on group against

0:28:05.600 --> 0:28:08.040
<v Speaker 1>Green Bay, and I don't see that happening. Rogers has

0:28:08.040 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 1>been so good effort, just just so good, and he's

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.640
<v Speaker 1>so in control of the game and pace of the game,

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:16.160
<v Speaker 1>and that the line of scrimmage. It's just it's hard

0:28:16.200 --> 0:28:18.480
<v Speaker 1>for me to envision a scenario where the Rams win

0:28:18.520 --> 0:28:21.119
<v Speaker 1>this game. And I don't, and I would see to

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Jeff on this, but I was talking to Jeff about

0:28:23.400 --> 0:28:26.879
<v Speaker 1>this on a Numbers game yesterday. Jalen Ramsey, great, you

0:28:26.880 --> 0:28:29.320
<v Speaker 1>can look at the stats. He checks the the opposing

0:28:29.359 --> 0:28:31.480
<v Speaker 1>guide receiver number one, he's held them all less than

0:28:31.480 --> 0:28:37.919
<v Speaker 1>a hundred yards. But the Rogers DeVante telepathic connection this

0:28:38.040 --> 0:28:41.760
<v Speaker 1>year is just phenomenal. And I don't see Jalen Ramsey

0:28:41.760 --> 0:28:45.080
<v Speaker 1>being able to hold that down, do you, Jeff Um,

0:28:45.400 --> 0:28:48.240
<v Speaker 1>I think he can if if they leave Davanta Adams

0:28:48.280 --> 0:28:49.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of in one place where they move them around.

0:28:49.760 --> 0:28:52.080
<v Speaker 1>Here's one one area I found it's kind of interesting

0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:55.800
<v Speaker 1>in play action pass. So the Rams allow the most

0:28:55.840 --> 0:28:58.880
<v Speaker 1>separation of any defense against play action passed four and

0:28:58.920 --> 0:29:01.880
<v Speaker 1>a half yards almost separation on play action pass. And

0:29:01.880 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 1>we know Rogers this year, it's almost up to of

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:07.280
<v Speaker 1>his attempts are plaques passers. That's really one specific area

0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:10.840
<v Speaker 1>where Davante Adams might have a little bit of a

0:29:10.880 --> 0:29:13.960
<v Speaker 1>go against this Rams defense is getting hit on those

0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 1>play action passes. You run the ball a couple of times,

0:29:16.240 --> 0:29:18.720
<v Speaker 1>you hit that play action pass, and maybe Davanta Adams

0:29:18.760 --> 0:29:20.920
<v Speaker 1>able to get off from the slot, especially because Ramsey

0:29:21.040 --> 0:29:23.960
<v Speaker 1>doesn't always travel on the slot. I think snaps during

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 1>the slot. But I'm curious to see how the Packers

0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:29.600
<v Speaker 1>move around Adams to find ways to not have him

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 1>on Ramsey. One last thing too, Robert Tanyan, their tight

0:29:32.520 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 1>end has eleven touchdowns on fifty nine targets. All right,

0:29:36.160 --> 0:29:37.960
<v Speaker 1>if you can play him for a touchdown this weekend,

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 1>it's a pretty interesting bet because the Rams only allows seven.

0:29:41.240 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 1>They've only allowed seven touchdowns all year to wide receivers,

0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:46.200
<v Speaker 1>that's it. So the tight end might be a spot

0:29:46.240 --> 0:29:48.560
<v Speaker 1>here where you can get some value on a big

0:29:48.600 --> 0:29:51.160
<v Speaker 1>plus number to get a touchdown this game. I'm writing

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:56.920
<v Speaker 1>touchdown levin touchdowns targets? Was that the number? Jeff Yeah?

0:29:57.680 --> 0:30:00.440
<v Speaker 1>This season? Yes? And now from his mom's work atk

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:05.520
<v Speaker 1>in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Todd wishnev everybody, Um, First of all,

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 1>you can check out my Twitter at at t wishnev and, um,

0:30:09.600 --> 0:30:11.560
<v Speaker 1>if you like college basketball, you might really like it.

0:30:11.600 --> 0:30:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm currently two hundred and hundred and fifty two

0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:19.560
<v Speaker 1>for a cool six in college basketball this year on

0:30:19.640 --> 0:30:22.400
<v Speaker 1>my in game plays, So you might really like that.

0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Two and two is quite a few units up. Why

0:30:27.840 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 1>are you giggling? Hope Speterson games over five hundred? Yeah,

0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:38.640
<v Speaker 1>but there's a difference between Mett. Yeah, and I'm also

0:30:38.800 --> 0:30:42.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm also giving the real line. That's another difference. Um

0:30:42.680 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 1>so um. Anyways, at WISH, you might like it. Sometimes

0:30:46.520 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 1>we even sing um made up songs like Hell to

0:30:49.840 --> 0:30:53.400
<v Speaker 1>the Heineke. That was one of our songs last week,

0:30:53.680 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Hell Victory, Hell to Taylor Heineke. The over Cash is

0:30:59.080 --> 0:31:03.000
<v Speaker 1>for Me. That was a fantastic song from last week

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:05.680
<v Speaker 1>when Heineck put us over on the in game over

0:31:06.160 --> 0:31:08.360
<v Speaker 1>in the Washington game. By the way, did that game

0:31:08.400 --> 0:31:12.360
<v Speaker 1>not look like the other team was not really trying somewhat?

0:31:12.560 --> 0:31:14.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Jeff, maybe you can tell us is there

0:31:14.920 --> 0:31:18.280
<v Speaker 1>shenanigans going on in football? It does somebody want the

0:31:18.280 --> 0:31:22.280
<v Speaker 1>games closer for the networks? I mean, it's just what

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 1>is going on in pro football. Sometimes none of that

0:31:26.720 --> 0:31:32.680
<v Speaker 1>is happening in pro football, Like, like, what about let

0:31:32.680 --> 0:31:34.520
<v Speaker 1>me ask you this, Jeff. If a game is like

0:31:34.760 --> 0:31:37.920
<v Speaker 1>a blowout, does it seem like the refs sometimes are

0:31:37.920 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>trying to keep it a little closer or would you

0:31:39.680 --> 0:31:43.240
<v Speaker 1>think that's just total ball da dash, that's total bullshit.

0:31:43.360 --> 0:31:45.360
<v Speaker 1>There's no No one's trying to keep a game close.

0:31:45.440 --> 0:31:47.479
<v Speaker 1>They didn't get paid to keep a game close, like

0:31:47.520 --> 0:31:49.920
<v Speaker 1>they just call what they say. I think the referee sometimes,

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:52.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think trying to find penalties too often.

0:31:52.800 --> 0:31:56.320
<v Speaker 1>But um, no, no one's doing anything of that sort.

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:00.080
<v Speaker 1>That's why I wanted to ask you because you know,

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of times you watch these games and they're

0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:05.880
<v Speaker 1>just so tight and it seems like, you know, I

0:32:05.880 --> 0:32:08.640
<v Speaker 1>don't know anyways, I'm reason why the reason why there

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:10.200
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of one score games because it's hard

0:32:10.240 --> 0:32:12.240
<v Speaker 1>to win in the NFL, and they're like everyone's a

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 1>pro and everyone's out, everyone's playing hard and everyone's trying

0:32:15.800 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 1>to make their money, and you don't want to be

0:32:17.680 --> 0:32:20.240
<v Speaker 1>blown out, especially on national television. It's embarrassing to get

0:32:20.240 --> 0:32:22.920
<v Speaker 1>blown out. Everyone talks about you. And here's the thing

0:32:22.960 --> 0:32:27.280
<v Speaker 1>about it is is playing football in the NFL. It's tough, right,

0:32:27.320 --> 0:32:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Like it's it's mentally draining, physically draining, and everyone the

0:32:30.640 --> 0:32:33.160
<v Speaker 1>facility is there for one purpose, to win, and when

0:32:33.200 --> 0:32:36.280
<v Speaker 1>you don't win, everyone's depressed. Everybody, the whole facility, the

0:32:36.320 --> 0:32:38.960
<v Speaker 1>marketing people, that advertising people, because their job is worse

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:40.880
<v Speaker 1>if you don't win either. So the only thing that

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 1>makes it fun is winning. So everyone's out here trying

0:32:43.240 --> 0:32:45.800
<v Speaker 1>to win football games on Sunday. Now, you might take

0:32:46.040 --> 0:32:49.280
<v Speaker 1>Monday through Saturday with your personnel moves, that's from above

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 1>my pay grade obviously, but on Sunday, everyone's playing to

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:57.240
<v Speaker 1>win because it doesn't cost in the fourth quarter. Right.

0:32:57.320 --> 0:32:59.640
<v Speaker 1>This is why I always say when people go, oh,

0:32:59.680 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 1>this team doesn't need the game, this team is not

0:33:02.560 --> 0:33:04.640
<v Speaker 1>trying for this, And I'm like, what are you talking about.

0:33:04.720 --> 0:33:07.040
<v Speaker 1>All these guys and professionals and want to make their money,

0:33:07.120 --> 0:33:09.320
<v Speaker 1>they're all trying. And I'm glad you said that. And

0:33:09.320 --> 0:33:11.720
<v Speaker 1>that's why I brought it up because you you say

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:13.440
<v Speaker 1>that on Twitter and everyone goes, oh, yeah, for sure,

0:33:13.480 --> 0:33:16.000
<v Speaker 1>that's true, and I'm like, I'm not saying it's true.

0:33:16.200 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm saying I don't know what's going on, but I

0:33:18.400 --> 0:33:21.040
<v Speaker 1>would love to ask a real NFL player, because to me,

0:33:21.200 --> 0:33:24.400
<v Speaker 1>it seems like everyone's trying for their money. There, I'm

0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:26.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna go off topic, you want to, I just want

0:33:26.760 --> 0:33:29.520
<v Speaker 1>to off shoot to that. So I lost the survivor

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:32.800
<v Speaker 1>because the Rams lost out right to the Jets. What

0:33:32.800 --> 0:33:35.080
<v Speaker 1>what would you attribute that to, Jeff? I would like

0:33:35.120 --> 0:33:38.360
<v Speaker 1>an autopsy on that game, if you would. I think.

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean again, like the Jets are playing hard each Sunday,

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:47.000
<v Speaker 1>they might lose the game because of poor you know

0:33:47.080 --> 0:33:49.720
<v Speaker 1>of Greg, Greg Williams, you know, calling zero coverage and

0:33:49.800 --> 0:33:52.440
<v Speaker 1>it's a stupid situation, but all those guys want to win,

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Like you know, Sam Donald doesn't care whether or not

0:33:54.840 --> 0:33:58.240
<v Speaker 1>they draft justin fields next season, or he's worried about

0:33:58.280 --> 0:34:00.640
<v Speaker 1>him and he actually winning football games when saved him

0:34:00.920 --> 0:34:03.840
<v Speaker 1>from having to know from his job being lost next year.

0:34:04.000 --> 0:34:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Players don't I was going back to their left tackle.

0:34:06.880 --> 0:34:09.160
<v Speaker 1>He doesn't keece of work. He doesn't care about four

0:34:09.239 --> 0:34:11.040
<v Speaker 1>years from now. He's worried about, worried about now what

0:34:11.080 --> 0:34:12.959
<v Speaker 1>do you now? I was more about the Ram side,

0:34:12.960 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 1>like how does Aaron Donald not make a mark in

0:34:15.160 --> 0:34:18.440
<v Speaker 1>that game? Though I think there's book. I think throughout

0:34:18.480 --> 0:34:20.879
<v Speaker 1>the weeks, you just don't get up for every game,

0:34:20.920 --> 0:34:22.719
<v Speaker 1>Like it's kind of just human nature. I think. I

0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:24.239
<v Speaker 1>think even we can look back to this weekend, the

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:27.080
<v Speaker 1>Pittsburgh Steelers defensive line got dominated by the Browns right

0:34:27.120 --> 0:34:29.800
<v Speaker 1>and even had Michael Dunn playing left guard right Jewish

0:34:29.840 --> 0:34:31.880
<v Speaker 1>kid by the way, jewis kid playing left guard for

0:34:31.960 --> 0:34:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the Browns. He played really well. And you look at like,

0:34:34.239 --> 0:34:36.319
<v Speaker 1>how can the Steelers defensive line not play well? And

0:34:36.360 --> 0:34:38.480
<v Speaker 1>my whole theory about that was all weeks they were

0:34:38.520 --> 0:34:40.920
<v Speaker 1>told the fancy is not gonna be there, left guard

0:34:41.000 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 1>is not gonna be there, the officivee coach is not

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 1>gonna be there, and they just didn't kind of just

0:34:44.280 --> 0:34:46.560
<v Speaker 1>aren't is up for the game. I think the rams

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:49.319
<v Speaker 1>that situation just weren't ready to play that weekend. Yeah,

0:34:49.360 --> 0:34:53.160
<v Speaker 1>but one other thing I wanted to ask you, because

0:34:53.160 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 1>we don't get to talk to too many x NFL players. Um,

0:34:57.040 --> 0:34:59.799
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you watch these NFL games, you love

0:35:00.000 --> 0:35:02.399
<v Speaker 1>watching the talking heads go, well, the right tackles out

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:04.520
<v Speaker 1>this week and that's a disaster, and the defensive back

0:35:04.640 --> 0:35:06.640
<v Speaker 1>is out and that's a disaster. But they never talk

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:08.880
<v Speaker 1>about the fact the guy has a backup Now if

0:35:08.920 --> 0:35:12.560
<v Speaker 1>the backup is also stinky stinks, then okay, maybe it's something,

0:35:12.680 --> 0:35:15.719
<v Speaker 1>but not every backup stinks. Some backups are almost as

0:35:15.760 --> 0:35:19.160
<v Speaker 1>good as the starter, right. It depends the position, Like

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:22.120
<v Speaker 1>there's not many like backup offensive alignment, and they were

0:35:22.160 --> 0:35:23.800
<v Speaker 1>hanging out if they were that good to be playing

0:35:23.840 --> 0:35:25.680
<v Speaker 1>somewhere like that's that's part of a two, right is

0:35:25.680 --> 0:35:28.359
<v Speaker 1>there's typically if you're a backup, your backup for a reason.

0:35:28.440 --> 0:35:30.319
<v Speaker 1>You're a starter for a reason. And so are are

0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:32.760
<v Speaker 1>certain positions where you can get by with a backup.

0:35:32.840 --> 0:35:34.480
<v Speaker 1>You know, like in a wide receiver if you're missing

0:35:34.480 --> 0:35:36.759
<v Speaker 1>one guy, you have multiple other guys. But you know,

0:35:36.800 --> 0:35:39.680
<v Speaker 1>offensive line for example, if you're missing one, sometimes it's

0:35:39.719 --> 0:35:41.560
<v Speaker 1>tough to play because you're a unit. Have to play

0:35:41.560 --> 0:35:43.520
<v Speaker 1>as a unit, right, So I I think there are

0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:46.200
<v Speaker 1>reasons why injuries do play a role in how you

0:35:46.320 --> 0:35:49.120
<v Speaker 1>view games on the weekends. Jeff, can I ask you

0:35:49.200 --> 0:35:52.359
<v Speaker 1>an off topic question? Yeah, what is the effect of

0:35:52.400 --> 0:35:55.759
<v Speaker 1>moving the umpire two behind the offensive line been on

0:35:55.800 --> 0:36:00.759
<v Speaker 1>the NFL game? Um? Well, you FL? I mean this

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:02.520
<v Speaker 1>year has just said they're not gonna call holding, right,

0:36:02.600 --> 0:36:04.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean they can kind of pick and choose how

0:36:04.680 --> 0:36:06.879
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna do it. Um. You know what it has

0:36:06.920 --> 0:36:08.880
<v Speaker 1>affected a little bit is there's you know, the defensive

0:36:08.880 --> 0:36:10.920
<v Speaker 1>holding doesn't get called on the defensive line. They hold

0:36:10.960 --> 0:36:13.279
<v Speaker 1>the ship of us sometimes, um, and just makes it

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:15.200
<v Speaker 1>easier for them to call holding because they're right there.

0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:17.160
<v Speaker 1>They see our hands and see where we're at. You know,

0:36:17.160 --> 0:36:18.719
<v Speaker 1>when the umpires in the middle, he kind of just

0:36:18.760 --> 0:36:21.239
<v Speaker 1>has the inside three guys. You can get distracted by

0:36:21.640 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 1>your bodies flying around the place. But look, the NFL

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:26.000
<v Speaker 1>has made a concerned effort this year not called holding.

0:36:26.040 --> 0:36:27.480
<v Speaker 1>It's very simple. I mean you can tell you you

0:36:28.040 --> 0:36:31.040
<v Speaker 1>can see by the numbers that holdings are down and

0:36:31.040 --> 0:36:33.640
<v Speaker 1>maybe that's why scoring is up sometimes. Um. But I

0:36:33.640 --> 0:36:36.799
<v Speaker 1>don't like that. I don't like that you could just say, hey,

0:36:36.800 --> 0:36:39.680
<v Speaker 1>don't call this. My whole theory with with officiating is simple.

0:36:39.719 --> 0:36:41.719
<v Speaker 1>If you see it, call it, like, don't go out

0:36:41.760 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 1>there looking to call a penalty there. I feel like

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:46.040
<v Speaker 1>sometimes they look to call op I too much, like, oh,

0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that's a pick play. We're calling that just cold as

0:36:48.560 --> 0:36:50.440
<v Speaker 1>you see it if it's a pickpoint. If it is,

0:36:50.480 --> 0:36:52.640
<v Speaker 1>if it's not, they don't call it that sneat pick

0:36:52.680 --> 0:36:56.400
<v Speaker 1>play with something else this past weekend. Uh, Todd, did

0:36:56.440 --> 0:36:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you give your pick? No, I'd like to give my pick.

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 1>I'd like to take I take the under. We're just

0:37:01.080 --> 0:37:05.400
<v Speaker 1>talking about the stage. I think this is an under game. Obviously,

0:37:05.400 --> 0:37:08.080
<v Speaker 1>you guys have talked about why the Rams stink um.

0:37:08.120 --> 0:37:10.120
<v Speaker 1>The Rams are gonna have a real tough time scoring,

0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:13.000
<v Speaker 1>and obviously defensively they could probably hang in. Plus, you know,

0:37:13.040 --> 0:37:15.239
<v Speaker 1>the Packers have had a lot of games where they

0:37:15.280 --> 0:37:17.319
<v Speaker 1>go on these long drives and hold the ball. I

0:37:17.360 --> 0:37:19.880
<v Speaker 1>can remember a number of games where the Packers are

0:37:19.920 --> 0:37:21.839
<v Speaker 1>on like an eight minute drive to start the game.

0:37:22.120 --> 0:37:25.440
<v Speaker 1>The Atlanta game comes to mind early in the season. Um,

0:37:25.520 --> 0:37:27.799
<v Speaker 1>So to me, this is gonna have to be. The

0:37:27.880 --> 0:37:29.799
<v Speaker 1>Rams are gonna have to also try to run the

0:37:29.800 --> 0:37:32.080
<v Speaker 1>ball and keep the score low. They know they've got

0:37:32.080 --> 0:37:34.040
<v Speaker 1>to keep it low. They're not gonna stay with the Packers.

0:37:34.040 --> 0:37:36.640
<v Speaker 1>So I like the under, and you know, probably the

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:40.480
<v Speaker 1>team total. Um. Here in Pennsylvania you have team total

0:37:40.560 --> 0:37:44.120
<v Speaker 1>in games, so the options are limitless here. But if

0:37:44.120 --> 0:37:45.640
<v Speaker 1>I had to bet it before the game, I'd probably

0:37:45.640 --> 0:37:47.680
<v Speaker 1>take the under nineteen and a half with the team

0:37:47.719 --> 0:37:49.920
<v Speaker 1>total with the Rams because I don't see how they're

0:37:49.920 --> 0:37:52.640
<v Speaker 1>gonna score the ball obviously, like everybody else has said,

0:37:52.640 --> 0:37:55.240
<v Speaker 1>it's not that you know, it's not rocket science Jared Goff.

0:37:55.520 --> 0:37:58.080
<v Speaker 1>You know everyone's giving the statistics of what's Jared Goff?

0:37:58.160 --> 0:38:00.800
<v Speaker 1>And in degrees? What's he in for the six degrees?

0:38:01.160 --> 0:38:04.440
<v Speaker 1>What's he in regular degrees? He's not good in regular degrees.

0:38:04.680 --> 0:38:07.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't care what you he stinks in regular degree.

0:38:08.640 --> 0:38:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Game two on Saturday, Uh, we go to the a

0:38:11.000 --> 0:38:13.320
<v Speaker 1>f C. Baltimore at Buffalo. This has been an interesting

0:38:13.360 --> 0:38:16.960
<v Speaker 1>line because a lot of Baltimore money early on in

0:38:17.000 --> 0:38:18.839
<v Speaker 1>this dip to all the way to too even saw

0:38:18.880 --> 0:38:20.800
<v Speaker 1>some one and a halfs here in favor of the Bills,

0:38:21.160 --> 0:38:24.080
<v Speaker 1>and then it went the other way. Now it's Buffalo

0:38:24.160 --> 0:38:27.439
<v Speaker 1>minus two and a half extra juice, so we may

0:38:27.480 --> 0:38:30.279
<v Speaker 1>see three yet again between the Bills, who beat the

0:38:30.280 --> 0:38:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Colts this past week by a field goal and Baltimore

0:38:33.640 --> 0:38:36.400
<v Speaker 1>vanquished the Tennessee Titans. I'm telling you man that Baltimore

0:38:36.440 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 1>game that when they were down ten to nothing and

0:38:38.640 --> 0:38:42.160
<v Speaker 1>it was third and long for Lamar Jackson. If I

0:38:42.200 --> 0:38:44.760
<v Speaker 1>can't prove this, but if he doesn't throw the seventeen

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:47.040
<v Speaker 1>yard played Andrews where he gets flushed out of the pocket.

0:38:47.360 --> 0:38:50.000
<v Speaker 1>Who knows how that game goes from that point for

0:38:50.200 --> 0:38:52.440
<v Speaker 1>we'll never know. Um, Jeff, we start with you. What

0:38:52.480 --> 0:38:56.080
<v Speaker 1>do you like here? So I like the Ravens just

0:38:56.239 --> 0:38:57.839
<v Speaker 1>money line, I'll take I'll be a tack to two

0:38:57.840 --> 0:39:00.080
<v Speaker 1>and a half. But my favorite playing this game is

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:02.200
<v Speaker 1>is Lamar Jackson over rushing. I think it's like sixty

0:39:02.239 --> 0:39:04.960
<v Speaker 1>and a half and guys, the Bills rushed defense. This

0:39:04.960 --> 0:39:06.319
<v Speaker 1>is one I think that Ravens will win this game.

0:39:06.320 --> 0:39:09.480
<v Speaker 1>There twenty three according to EPA or yards per tempt

0:39:09.840 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 1>and the ranked thirty one by Pro Football Focus. If

0:39:12.160 --> 0:39:13.960
<v Speaker 1>just watched the games they play, they played four close

0:39:14.040 --> 0:39:16.840
<v Speaker 1>games in the last three months, the Chiefs, the Cardinals

0:39:16.840 --> 0:39:19.160
<v Speaker 1>which they lost, the Patriots who they beat by three.

0:39:19.520 --> 0:39:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Remember Camp was driving down to win that game and

0:39:21.480 --> 0:39:24.680
<v Speaker 1>they fumbled. And last weekend. What's the common theme. The

0:39:24.680 --> 0:39:28.560
<v Speaker 1>opponent rushes the ball very well, hundred eighty yards, two yards,

0:39:28.600 --> 0:39:30.600
<v Speaker 1>two or twenty five yards. What do the Ravens do.

0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:33.719
<v Speaker 1>They rushed the ball extremely well. The Bills don't stop

0:39:33.760 --> 0:39:35.239
<v Speaker 1>the run. It's it's not what they do. And they

0:39:35.280 --> 0:39:37.759
<v Speaker 1>have a Ravens team who feeling themselves after finally winning

0:39:37.760 --> 0:39:40.160
<v Speaker 1>a playoff game. I think they go into Buffalo and

0:39:40.239 --> 0:39:41.799
<v Speaker 1>rush for over three hundred yards. Like I just think

0:39:41.800 --> 0:39:44.680
<v Speaker 1>they dominate on the ground. And the one concern I

0:39:44.719 --> 0:39:47.080
<v Speaker 1>have though, is that Josh Allen is really good against pressure,

0:39:47.120 --> 0:39:50.080
<v Speaker 1>like really good, and the Baltimore defense brings a ton

0:39:50.120 --> 0:39:52.960
<v Speaker 1>of pressure number in the NFL and blitz right, But

0:39:53.000 --> 0:39:55.360
<v Speaker 1>we saw the end of the Colts game, Josh Allen

0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:57.799
<v Speaker 1>still has that Yolo in him where he still just

0:39:57.920 --> 0:40:00.399
<v Speaker 1>makes those stupid ass plays where he fumbled the ball

0:40:00.440 --> 0:40:02.520
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the game. I'm telling you, man,

0:40:02.840 --> 0:40:05.040
<v Speaker 1>you could sense it coming. You could see it coming

0:40:05.040 --> 0:40:07.040
<v Speaker 1>and end of that game. If this game is close

0:40:07.080 --> 0:40:10.319
<v Speaker 1>at the end, I think that they will force him

0:40:10.320 --> 0:40:12.520
<v Speaker 1>into one of those stupid players again. But my favorite

0:40:12.520 --> 0:40:15.160
<v Speaker 1>play of the weekend is Lamar Jackson over at sixty yards.

0:40:15.160 --> 0:40:17.680
<v Speaker 1>I think like that to me feels like it's way, way,

0:40:17.719 --> 0:40:21.120
<v Speaker 1>way too low. He averages over eleven yards when he

0:40:21.200 --> 0:40:24.160
<v Speaker 1>keeps the ball on his own read That's incredible. That

0:40:24.200 --> 0:40:26.160
<v Speaker 1>feels way too low for me. That's my favorite play

0:40:26.200 --> 0:40:27.759
<v Speaker 1>in this game. But I'll take Baltimore anyways. You know

0:40:27.800 --> 0:40:30.400
<v Speaker 1>what I love about the Lamar Jackson prop over rushing

0:40:30.640 --> 0:40:33.279
<v Speaker 1>is I don't see a game script or game flow

0:40:33.320 --> 0:40:36.080
<v Speaker 1>where that doesn't happen, whether they're up or down. I

0:40:36.120 --> 0:40:38.080
<v Speaker 1>think that happens because you can make a case for

0:40:38.200 --> 0:40:40.319
<v Speaker 1>four and a half though it's up to seventy four

0:40:40.320 --> 0:40:43.799
<v Speaker 1>and a half. That well, I I got it like

0:40:43.920 --> 0:40:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Draftings at seventy four and a half over Wow, I

0:40:46.880 --> 0:40:49.000
<v Speaker 1>gotta like six. I gotta like sixty y earlier this

0:40:49.040 --> 0:40:51.360
<v Speaker 1>week on my one of my I think on my

0:40:52.200 --> 0:40:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Fox stuff. But that's crazy. Yeah, So I mean seventy

0:40:54.680 --> 0:40:58.879
<v Speaker 1>four half is much different than sixty obviously, um wow, yeah,

0:40:59.000 --> 0:41:00.440
<v Speaker 1>that's still that's a lot. But I think he does.

0:41:01.360 --> 0:41:05.799
<v Speaker 1>Maybe Fandel has something different. That's what DraftKings has, Vandel has.

0:41:06.080 --> 0:41:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Let's see if they have it up Lamar Jackson rushing

0:41:09.280 --> 0:41:13.200
<v Speaker 1>seventy I mean Fox Fox Bet has it at sixty

0:41:13.200 --> 0:41:17.800
<v Speaker 1>two and a half. I was last night. Wow, someone

0:41:17.840 --> 0:41:20.759
<v Speaker 1>looks it was yesterday, Jeff. Someone listened to us on

0:41:20.800 --> 0:41:25.600
<v Speaker 1>a numbers if they did someone, So I think even

0:41:25.600 --> 0:41:27.439
<v Speaker 1>at seventy five, I don't know. I haven't I didn't

0:41:27.480 --> 0:41:29.800
<v Speaker 1>do research on now. I think that's still not that babby.

0:41:29.840 --> 0:41:32.040
<v Speaker 1>He's their offense, like if they if they move the ball,

0:41:32.080 --> 0:41:36.880
<v Speaker 1>it's because of Lamar Jackson. All right, Chris, don't go

0:41:37.000 --> 0:41:42.120
<v Speaker 1>appo here oppo, I have to go appo. What's really

0:41:42.120 --> 0:41:47.880
<v Speaker 1>interesting about this is last week I bet Baltimore or

0:41:48.920 --> 0:41:59.040
<v Speaker 1>indian or Indianapolis and Baltimore. This week, I'm switching. I

0:41:59.080 --> 0:42:04.200
<v Speaker 1>did her You like Buffalo? I like Buffalo. I uh

0:42:04.440 --> 0:42:08.239
<v Speaker 1>they I like Baltimore a lot. I think they're a

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:11.440
<v Speaker 1>great team. You know, they went through their slump. They

0:42:11.440 --> 0:42:13.400
<v Speaker 1>had a ton of injuries during the middle of the season.

0:42:13.440 --> 0:42:17.279
<v Speaker 1>They tried the pocket passer Jackson experiment for a bunch

0:42:17.320 --> 0:42:22.120
<v Speaker 1>of games, and uh, that didn't work. So uh, you know,

0:42:22.160 --> 0:42:24.760
<v Speaker 1>we we saw it all coming weeks and weeks ahead

0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:27.960
<v Speaker 1>of time because they had a soft scheduled and and

0:42:28.440 --> 0:42:32.000
<v Speaker 1>and everybody knew it. So they've been beating up on

0:42:32.080 --> 0:42:38.120
<v Speaker 1>teams like Cincinnati, the Giants, the Jaguars, Dallas. Uh. They

0:42:38.400 --> 0:42:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the miracle win against Cleveland, which was very stressful since

0:42:41.560 --> 0:42:43.880
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't watching. I was watching on Twitter, and I

0:42:43.880 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 1>couldn't tell exactly what was going on, so through me

0:42:46.560 --> 0:42:48.239
<v Speaker 1>not so it was a big wager for me too,

0:42:48.280 --> 0:42:51.560
<v Speaker 1>So it was stressful. Uh. And then last week, and

0:42:52.760 --> 0:42:56.600
<v Speaker 1>how do you only scored twenty points against Tennessee. I

0:42:56.640 --> 0:43:03.560
<v Speaker 1>mean suspect defense. Yeah, I mean it's it's every Tennessee.

0:43:04.200 --> 0:43:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Everybody scored more than twenty points except New England, who

0:43:08.640 --> 0:43:13.120
<v Speaker 1>has no offense. And uh, um, I forget who the

0:43:13.200 --> 0:43:17.759
<v Speaker 1>other team was, but only another horrible offensive team. So

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:22.360
<v Speaker 1>I think that that's kind of uh, you know, telling

0:43:22.400 --> 0:43:24.840
<v Speaker 1>that they couldn't put points up on the board against Tennessee.

0:43:25.480 --> 0:43:28.799
<v Speaker 1>And my trailing six weeks, I'd like to see how

0:43:28.880 --> 0:43:32.280
<v Speaker 1>teams are doing over the previous six weeks, and Baltimore

0:43:32.320 --> 0:43:35.920
<v Speaker 1>has improved slightly, but his only game three quarters of

0:43:35.920 --> 0:43:38.600
<v Speaker 1>a point of value in my in my metrics. And

0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Buffalo quietly, they've gained almost seven points of value over

0:43:43.600 --> 0:43:46.759
<v Speaker 1>the last six weeks. And uh, you know, they've only

0:43:46.800 --> 0:43:50.200
<v Speaker 1>lost that one Hail Murray game. Uh in their last

0:43:50.200 --> 0:43:53.920
<v Speaker 1>eleven games, their ten and one. Uh, they're my highest

0:43:54.000 --> 0:43:58.280
<v Speaker 1>rated a FC team. Uh. Their number one in offense,

0:43:58.400 --> 0:44:01.160
<v Speaker 1>number ten in defense, and number ten and defense is

0:44:01.200 --> 0:44:04.840
<v Speaker 1>pretty good because they were wallowing in the mid twenties.

0:44:05.120 --> 0:44:07.360
<v Speaker 1>I couldn't believe how bad their defense was, you know,

0:44:07.400 --> 0:44:10.239
<v Speaker 1>at the half point of the season. So um, I

0:44:11.520 --> 0:44:14.560
<v Speaker 1>like both teams, but I I see the value. I

0:44:14.800 --> 0:44:18.239
<v Speaker 1>took Buffalo on the money line should land on three.

0:44:18.600 --> 0:44:21.120
<v Speaker 1>So I hope we both went because I got Baltimore

0:44:21.160 --> 0:44:23.399
<v Speaker 1>in the teaser, like we can both win this. It's

0:44:23.440 --> 0:44:25.560
<v Speaker 1>like e text that he goes, well, one person's listening

0:44:25.560 --> 0:44:27.200
<v Speaker 1>to a numbers game. All He's like, well, one person

0:44:27.239 --> 0:44:30.440
<v Speaker 1>picked Buffalo, for God's sakes, because Baltimore became very trendy

0:44:30.600 --> 0:44:34.800
<v Speaker 1>this week. Um. By the way, By the way, Denver

0:44:34.920 --> 0:44:37.080
<v Speaker 1>was the other team that did not score against Tennessee

0:44:37.160 --> 0:44:39.640
<v Speaker 1>opening game. They only scored I think like sixteen or

0:44:39.680 --> 0:44:46.840
<v Speaker 1>fourteen somewhere in there the field gold That's rights game, Mikey.

0:44:46.920 --> 0:44:50.040
<v Speaker 1>I liked the game over. I think Baltimore is able

0:44:50.080 --> 0:44:52.920
<v Speaker 1>to run the ball here, and I think Josh Allen

0:44:53.000 --> 0:44:55.920
<v Speaker 1>makes some big plays against the blitz against Don Martindale's

0:44:55.920 --> 0:44:57.440
<v Speaker 1>blitz is I think he'll be able to, you know,

0:44:57.440 --> 0:44:59.120
<v Speaker 1>if they can pick up the blitz and he's gonna

0:44:59.160 --> 0:45:01.640
<v Speaker 1>have some opportunities to big plays. And I think this

0:45:01.680 --> 0:45:03.440
<v Speaker 1>will be a very competitive game. But I think the

0:45:03.480 --> 0:45:05.839
<v Speaker 1>game plays into the upper twenties or thirties. I think

0:45:05.880 --> 0:45:09.239
<v Speaker 1>both teams offenses will will be flattered by the defensive

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:12.200
<v Speaker 1>matchup that they have, so it's tough to pick this game.

0:45:12.239 --> 0:45:14.359
<v Speaker 1>I would if I tease, I tease Baltimore up, I don't.

0:45:14.400 --> 0:45:16.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't think this game lands more than a touchdown

0:45:16.360 --> 0:45:19.680
<v Speaker 1>either way. But the overs might play is where that

0:45:19.800 --> 0:45:22.439
<v Speaker 1>is right now? Todd, you said you like Buffalo. Yeah

0:45:22.440 --> 0:45:26.439
<v Speaker 1>this Uh, Chris said exactly what I was gonna say,

0:45:26.440 --> 0:45:30.880
<v Speaker 1>which is Tennessee defense is not even a defense. And me,

0:45:31.000 --> 0:45:33.440
<v Speaker 1>you and Mike could play better defense than Tennessee against

0:45:33.520 --> 0:45:37.680
<v Speaker 1>most NFL teams and they could only get twenty points

0:45:37.719 --> 0:45:42.160
<v Speaker 1>against Tennessee. That's not good. And here's the thing you

0:45:42.239 --> 0:45:44.160
<v Speaker 1>heard me say last week. I didn't like the Bills

0:45:44.239 --> 0:45:47.480
<v Speaker 1>defense because when they played anybody good, they gave up

0:45:47.480 --> 0:45:49.279
<v Speaker 1>points just like they did against the Colts, which is

0:45:49.320 --> 0:45:53.440
<v Speaker 1>what we thought was gonna happen. But the Tennessee is

0:45:53.440 --> 0:45:56.319
<v Speaker 1>not a good defensive team and Baltimore can't score on them.

0:45:56.440 --> 0:45:58.759
<v Speaker 1>So if Baltimore can't score on Tennessee's defense, what are

0:45:58.760 --> 0:46:00.680
<v Speaker 1>they gonna do against the Bills defe which is maybe

0:46:00.680 --> 0:46:03.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit better than Tennessee's. So I don't see

0:46:03.000 --> 0:46:05.880
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore scoring big here. And the Bill's offense is the

0:46:05.920 --> 0:46:10.279
<v Speaker 1>elite offense behind Kansas City in a FC. So while

0:46:10.320 --> 0:46:12.560
<v Speaker 1>the Ravens are good on defense, I don't see them

0:46:12.600 --> 0:46:15.160
<v Speaker 1>stopping the Bills cold. I mean, you only have to

0:46:15.160 --> 0:46:17.560
<v Speaker 1>win the game by two and a half points. Even

0:46:17.560 --> 0:46:20.080
<v Speaker 1>if it's a tight game, you know, if it comes

0:46:20.120 --> 0:46:22.880
<v Speaker 1>comes down to the end, you want Lamar Jackson driving

0:46:22.920 --> 0:46:24.680
<v Speaker 1>down for you having to throw the ball, or you

0:46:24.719 --> 0:46:26.879
<v Speaker 1>want Josh Allen having to throw the ball to me.

0:46:27.160 --> 0:46:29.600
<v Speaker 1>I want Josh Allen in a late game situation. I

0:46:29.640 --> 0:46:32.759
<v Speaker 1>do not want Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson, that's all he

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:35.160
<v Speaker 1>can do is run. He still can't throw the football,

0:46:35.360 --> 0:46:37.439
<v Speaker 1>So give me the Bills. I just want to bring

0:46:37.480 --> 0:46:39.239
<v Speaker 1>up what I brought up last week on the show,

0:46:39.280 --> 0:46:41.040
<v Speaker 1>and I think on a numbers game, also, the Pro

0:46:41.080 --> 0:46:45.400
<v Speaker 1>Football focused that Josh Allen the most, the most turnover

0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:50.520
<v Speaker 1>worthy plays, the guy who's been the most fortunate on

0:46:50.560 --> 0:46:53.480
<v Speaker 1>those that it hasn't gone against him. So it's just

0:46:53.640 --> 0:46:56.440
<v Speaker 1>they're just there's an accident waiting to happen out there

0:46:56.440 --> 0:46:59.719
<v Speaker 1>at some point. I don't know when, but we'll see

0:46:59.719 --> 0:47:01.319
<v Speaker 1>if it's this week or not. What other way, one

0:47:01.320 --> 0:47:04.960
<v Speaker 1>other thing didn't the vault More Ravens defense give up

0:47:05.000 --> 0:47:07.640
<v Speaker 1>forty two points in a very big Monday night football

0:47:07.640 --> 0:47:10.520
<v Speaker 1>game to another team like Buffalo that can move the ball.

0:47:10.640 --> 0:47:13.600
<v Speaker 1>Cleveland scored forty two on this defense. You don't think

0:47:13.640 --> 0:47:17.799
<v Speaker 1>the Bills can move the ball? Bill's baby Bill? Okay, Well,

0:47:17.800 --> 0:47:21.400
<v Speaker 1>as long as you said it like that. Uh. Sunday,

0:47:22.040 --> 0:47:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City starts things off the Chiefs uh ten point

0:47:25.480 --> 0:47:28.160
<v Speaker 1>favorites against the Brownies. That's a three oh five. Remember

0:47:28.200 --> 0:47:31.000
<v Speaker 1>these are staggered a little earlier on Sunday Saturday. It's

0:47:31.000 --> 0:47:34.200
<v Speaker 1>four thirty five Eastern than eight fifteen Eastern into the night. Sunday,

0:47:34.239 --> 0:47:36.279
<v Speaker 1>it starts at three oh five Eastern with Kansas City

0:47:36.280 --> 0:47:40.240
<v Speaker 1>ten point favorites hosting the Cleveland Browns. Total fifty seven.

0:47:40.400 --> 0:47:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Mr Schwartz, I'm not touching the ten. I have no

0:47:44.760 --> 0:47:46.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm a Chiefs fan, so I try to stay away

0:47:46.520 --> 0:47:49.440
<v Speaker 1>from like taking their game just because I'm kind of

0:47:49.440 --> 0:47:51.840
<v Speaker 1>irrational times with them. UM and they haven't covered in

0:47:51.880 --> 0:47:55.200
<v Speaker 1>what like nine weeks. I said, come crazy number like that? UM,

0:47:55.239 --> 0:47:58.360
<v Speaker 1>I do like two things here. So their team total,

0:47:58.440 --> 0:48:00.600
<v Speaker 1>what we talked about yesterday on the show is thirty three.

0:48:00.600 --> 0:48:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Is that what it's at right now? Okay, So they've

0:48:06.000 --> 0:48:09.040
<v Speaker 1>they've played six games with Andy Reni and Pathomes. After

0:48:09.200 --> 0:48:14.040
<v Speaker 1>by they scored forty five and thirty five, and those

0:48:14.040 --> 0:48:16.240
<v Speaker 1>thirty one games were against the Niners and the Colts.

0:48:16.239 --> 0:48:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Way back in. The Colts out a good defense that year.

0:48:19.040 --> 0:48:21.200
<v Speaker 1>I think they're gonna score a ton of points in

0:48:21.239 --> 0:48:24.400
<v Speaker 1>this game. Pat Mahomes talked about how him and Travis

0:48:24.520 --> 0:48:27.120
<v Speaker 1>Kelsey spent the weekend going over early the week the

0:48:27.120 --> 0:48:30.160
<v Speaker 1>previous week, going over every defensive could possibly face in

0:48:30.480 --> 0:48:33.200
<v Speaker 1>the next round, and writing out game plans for them

0:48:33.239 --> 0:48:36.239
<v Speaker 1>before they even got to this weekend. Their offense has

0:48:36.280 --> 0:48:40.640
<v Speaker 1>not played well recently, but the Browns defense is pass

0:48:41.520 --> 0:48:44.680
<v Speaker 1>down passes to the tight end um. I actually like

0:48:44.760 --> 0:48:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Travis Kelsey over I got eighty and a half. I

0:48:46.640 --> 0:48:48.799
<v Speaker 1>don't know what what what you guys have. He's been

0:48:48.840 --> 0:48:52.080
<v Speaker 1>really good after By two, averaging about niney yards a game.

0:48:52.480 --> 0:48:54.920
<v Speaker 1>I think Chiefs just scored ton of points. But my worry,

0:48:54.920 --> 0:48:56.560
<v Speaker 1>of course, is that the brown scored ton of points

0:48:56.600 --> 0:48:59.000
<v Speaker 1>as well. I think the Chiefs go off on offense

0:48:59.040 --> 0:49:00.680
<v Speaker 1>like they've been waiting for the all you have. Talk

0:49:00.719 --> 0:49:02.080
<v Speaker 1>to those guys there, They're like, we're waiting for the

0:49:02.080 --> 0:49:04.480
<v Speaker 1>playoffs to be great, which worries me. A little bit.

0:49:04.760 --> 0:49:06.839
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna lie about that, but I think that

0:49:06.880 --> 0:49:12.040
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna score just all games, just continually score. I

0:49:12.040 --> 0:49:13.680
<v Speaker 1>don't think can cover though the tense. I'm gon stay

0:49:13.680 --> 0:49:16.640
<v Speaker 1>away from that. We should be listening to Jeff, particularly

0:49:16.760 --> 0:49:19.359
<v Speaker 1>keenly when he's talking about the Chiefs with familial ties there.

0:49:19.840 --> 0:49:25.640
<v Speaker 1>That's interesting. Uh, Las Vegas, Chris sir getting back before

0:49:25.719 --> 0:49:28.279
<v Speaker 1>Las Vegas Chris goes. Travis Kelsey is eighty six and

0:49:28.320 --> 0:49:31.160
<v Speaker 1>a half on the receiving yards, Thank you, thank you.

0:49:32.320 --> 0:49:35.680
<v Speaker 1>I actually getting back to Todd's point of um with

0:49:35.760 --> 0:49:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City having the number one offense, I actually had

0:49:37.920 --> 0:49:42.360
<v Speaker 1>them number two behind Buffalo, So I think Buffalo is

0:49:42.440 --> 0:49:46.759
<v Speaker 1>that strong. But I've ridiculed and made fun of the

0:49:46.800 --> 0:49:51.920
<v Speaker 1>Browns the entire season, and they were highly ranked in

0:49:51.960 --> 0:49:54.319
<v Speaker 1>some of the glamour categories early on, and we're getting

0:49:54.320 --> 0:49:57.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot of attention, but I look at a lot

0:49:57.719 --> 0:49:59.799
<v Speaker 1>of the other little things that are you know, are

0:49:59.800 --> 0:50:04.319
<v Speaker 1>not glamour stats, and and uh, you know, they may

0:50:04.360 --> 0:50:06.440
<v Speaker 1>have finished eleven and five, but they had the second

0:50:06.440 --> 0:50:09.520
<v Speaker 1>worsting against the spread record, So they made me money

0:50:09.600 --> 0:50:13.759
<v Speaker 1>all year long. Yeah, And uh, I got off of

0:50:13.760 --> 0:50:17.399
<v Speaker 1>them at the perfect time and uh, um to give

0:50:17.440 --> 0:50:20.760
<v Speaker 1>them credit that they they've actually uh on the metrics,

0:50:20.960 --> 0:50:23.799
<v Speaker 1>done a very good job of improving throughout the course

0:50:23.840 --> 0:50:28.480
<v Speaker 1>of the season. UH. And Mayfield, you know, he's I'm

0:50:28.520 --> 0:50:30.120
<v Speaker 1>not sure he's getting any of the credit just because

0:50:30.320 --> 0:50:33.200
<v Speaker 1>his reputation of I don't think people want to give

0:50:33.239 --> 0:50:35.680
<v Speaker 1>him credit. But he's got nine out of ten games

0:50:35.680 --> 0:50:39.840
<v Speaker 1>without a turnover. So UH, that's very that's very important.

0:50:40.680 --> 0:50:45.120
<v Speaker 1>But you know, the the only thing that I can

0:50:45.120 --> 0:50:47.800
<v Speaker 1>look at in this game is is the the total,

0:50:47.840 --> 0:50:52.880
<v Speaker 1>which is the over. Because the point spread, anything can happen. Now,

0:50:52.880 --> 0:50:54.759
<v Speaker 1>there's just no way you can touch it. It doesn't

0:50:54.800 --> 0:50:56.719
<v Speaker 1>matter where you put the number. You can put it

0:50:56.760 --> 0:50:59.120
<v Speaker 1>at seven, you can put it at thirteen. I don't

0:50:59.120 --> 0:51:02.400
<v Speaker 1>want anything to do with the game. So but the

0:51:02.400 --> 0:51:08.920
<v Speaker 1>did the over. Uh. Cleveland's offensive stats would be much

0:51:08.960 --> 0:51:11.279
<v Speaker 1>better if they hadn't played the weather games. They had

0:51:11.320 --> 0:51:15.040
<v Speaker 1>a handful of cluster games that don't show up in

0:51:15.080 --> 0:51:17.520
<v Speaker 1>the metrics that you have to factor in. UM. And

0:51:17.520 --> 0:51:22.839
<v Speaker 1>it also improved their defensive stats. So UM, they're much

0:51:22.840 --> 0:51:28.560
<v Speaker 1>worse than they're showing on defense. UH and UH eleven

0:51:28.600 --> 0:51:31.239
<v Speaker 1>and five and they were outscored. How do. How do

0:51:31.280 --> 0:51:34.239
<v Speaker 1>you get outscored for the entire season? The Atlanta The

0:51:34.280 --> 0:51:40.279
<v Speaker 1>Atlanta Falcons went into week seventeen five and ten and

0:51:41.480 --> 0:51:46.960
<v Speaker 1>head out had outscored their opponents so high. Yeah, so

0:51:47.920 --> 0:51:51.120
<v Speaker 1>it just goes to show you, you know, anything can

0:51:51.200 --> 0:51:54.000
<v Speaker 1>go on, you know, with these Browns games, and they

0:51:54.560 --> 0:51:57.200
<v Speaker 1>put up forty points two games in a row, they're

0:51:57.200 --> 0:52:01.520
<v Speaker 1>they're firing on offense. Um, and Kansas City is going

0:52:01.600 --> 0:52:04.000
<v Speaker 1>to certainly be able to have their way with their defense.

0:52:04.440 --> 0:52:07.160
<v Speaker 1>So the open is the only look I can do.

0:52:08.000 --> 0:52:11.479
<v Speaker 1>Seven is what it is. The Pythagorean theorem record should

0:52:11.480 --> 0:52:13.360
<v Speaker 1>have been eight and eight based on their point differential.

0:52:13.560 --> 0:52:19.000
<v Speaker 1>For those who enjoy baseball metrics converted to football, Mike Palm,

0:52:19.080 --> 0:52:23.680
<v Speaker 1>no play, no play, Todd wish Neev By the way, Um, Jeff,

0:52:23.719 --> 0:52:26.080
<v Speaker 1>great job with the Lamar because I checked Fox. Bet

0:52:26.080 --> 0:52:29.680
<v Speaker 1>there it's seventy five too. So when you're getting better

0:52:29.680 --> 0:52:32.440
<v Speaker 1>than the line, you did a fantastic job with that one.

0:52:32.480 --> 0:52:34.919
<v Speaker 1>You don't see that crazy. I might need to tell

0:52:35.480 --> 0:52:37.400
<v Speaker 1>my producer for a show that because we got to

0:52:37.400 --> 0:52:38.879
<v Speaker 1>talk about this in like an hour and it's still

0:52:38.920 --> 0:52:45.680
<v Speaker 1>at sixty two. So maybe not on Fox. It's not okay, good,

0:52:45.880 --> 0:52:49.239
<v Speaker 1>it's seventy five on Fox Bet now yeah, we gotta yeah, well,

0:52:49.280 --> 0:52:53.640
<v Speaker 1>I gotta make that change. Good, Thank you for telling me. Anyways, Um,

0:52:53.680 --> 0:52:59.880
<v Speaker 1>I like the I actually like an hour. I like

0:53:00.040 --> 0:53:02.439
<v Speaker 1>the under. In the Kansas City under fifty seven under

0:53:02.440 --> 0:53:05.120
<v Speaker 1>fifty seven and a half, they're steaming it like crazy

0:53:05.200 --> 0:53:09.239
<v Speaker 1>to the over. Um to me, I think Stefanski is

0:53:09.280 --> 0:53:12.520
<v Speaker 1>not a dumbbell, and I think Stefanski knows that he

0:53:12.640 --> 0:53:17.120
<v Speaker 1>better give a steady, steady, steady diet of those hammering

0:53:17.239 --> 0:53:20.800
<v Speaker 1>running backs to run to slow this game down, because

0:53:20.800 --> 0:53:23.400
<v Speaker 1>the only chance you have in hell of being the

0:53:23.480 --> 0:53:26.000
<v Speaker 1>Chiefs is a slowdown game. If you want to start,

0:53:26.320 --> 0:53:29.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, scoring with them, forget about it. So I

0:53:29.320 --> 0:53:31.480
<v Speaker 1>think they're gonna be smart enough to know that we've

0:53:31.480 --> 0:53:34.040
<v Speaker 1>got to run the ball here a lot with Chubby

0:53:34.120 --> 0:53:36.680
<v Speaker 1>and Kareem Hunt and all that. So I think they're

0:53:36.680 --> 0:53:40.640
<v Speaker 1>gonna try to slow the game down. And um, Kansas City,

0:53:40.920 --> 0:53:45.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, Kansas City, they're they're fantastic, obviously, but and

0:53:45.480 --> 0:53:47.920
<v Speaker 1>it looks almost like they're not trying half the time.

0:53:48.120 --> 0:53:50.040
<v Speaker 1>And in the playoffs, you know, we saw what they

0:53:50.040 --> 0:53:52.200
<v Speaker 1>could do last year when they were down seven in

0:53:52.200 --> 0:53:54.280
<v Speaker 1>the first half against one of the great NFL coaches

0:53:54.280 --> 0:53:57.120
<v Speaker 1>of all time, Bill O'Brien, and then they were able

0:53:57.160 --> 0:54:00.840
<v Speaker 1>to just incredibly come over the top with it with

0:54:00.920 --> 0:54:04.160
<v Speaker 1>insane amount of points. So obviously Kansas City could score.

0:54:04.520 --> 0:54:08.480
<v Speaker 1>I just think fifty seven is a tremendously high number. Um,

0:54:08.560 --> 0:54:10.400
<v Speaker 1>So I'd like to take the under here because I

0:54:10.400 --> 0:54:12.279
<v Speaker 1>think Cleveland's gonna have to try to slow the game

0:54:12.280 --> 0:54:14.799
<v Speaker 1>down with the running game, because I mean, who goes

0:54:14.840 --> 0:54:17.040
<v Speaker 1>into a Kansas City game going okay, yeah, let's try

0:54:17.040 --> 0:54:20.080
<v Speaker 1>to score outscore them Rowden Jon Growdon did and he

0:54:20.120 --> 0:54:23.239
<v Speaker 1>beat them. That's the I just want to say, I'm

0:54:23.239 --> 0:54:25.920
<v Speaker 1>glad you brought that up, because I think the idea

0:54:25.920 --> 0:54:28.120
<v Speaker 1>of running the football is great against Kansas City, but

0:54:28.160 --> 0:54:30.279
<v Speaker 1>those have to end in seven points. You can't run

0:54:30.320 --> 0:54:32.759
<v Speaker 1>the football end in field goals. And what happens when

0:54:32.760 --> 0:54:36.120
<v Speaker 1>you're down? Are you still run the football like that?

0:54:36.200 --> 0:54:38.879
<v Speaker 1>And that's conundr about running the ball, right. The Titians

0:54:38.960 --> 0:54:41.000
<v Speaker 1>last year supposed to run the ball, Well, they're down,

0:54:42.120 --> 0:54:44.360
<v Speaker 1>and I run the ball. The more the Niners supposed

0:54:44.360 --> 0:54:46.640
<v Speaker 1>to run the football, they were actually winning the game,

0:54:46.840 --> 0:54:48.600
<v Speaker 1>and the chief shut them down at the end in

0:54:48.640 --> 0:54:50.680
<v Speaker 1>the rushing game. So the idea of running the football

0:54:50.719 --> 0:54:53.440
<v Speaker 1>is great only if it ends in seven points. If

0:54:53.480 --> 0:54:55.359
<v Speaker 1>ants in three, it means nothing. It does not help

0:54:55.360 --> 0:54:57.480
<v Speaker 1>you win the game, okay, Jeff. So then let's go

0:54:57.600 --> 0:54:59.960
<v Speaker 1>under first half. That's a great point. That's a great

0:55:00.040 --> 0:55:02.640
<v Speaker 1>point where you're saying let's go under first half then,

0:55:02.920 --> 0:55:05.840
<v Speaker 1>because the first half is gonna probably be over twenty

0:55:05.880 --> 0:55:08.440
<v Speaker 1>eight and a half or something ridiculous, right, So in

0:55:08.480 --> 0:55:10.920
<v Speaker 1>the there definitely could come out early and run the

0:55:10.920 --> 0:55:13.640
<v Speaker 1>ball and try that. Right, they're gonna try to slow

0:55:13.640 --> 0:55:15.279
<v Speaker 1>it down, I'll agree with you. In the second half

0:55:15.320 --> 0:55:17.040
<v Speaker 1>they're not gonna be able to if they're down too much,

0:55:17.200 --> 0:55:18.919
<v Speaker 1>but in the first half they're certainly going to try

0:55:18.920 --> 0:55:21.280
<v Speaker 1>to slow it down. So let's go under first half.

0:55:21.320 --> 0:55:23.160
<v Speaker 1>We get a big long drive on the first drive

0:55:23.239 --> 0:55:25.359
<v Speaker 1>ends in the field goal, you're in great shape. Under

0:55:25.400 --> 0:55:31.319
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight is a twenty eight and a half, Gilly,

0:55:31.520 --> 0:55:33.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you could find a twenty eight and a

0:55:33.160 --> 0:55:35.000
<v Speaker 1>half because they're steaming the hell out of this game

0:55:35.040 --> 0:55:37.200
<v Speaker 1>to the upside. So if you can get under twenty

0:55:37.239 --> 0:55:39.319
<v Speaker 1>eight and a half first half, I would take that,

0:55:39.400 --> 0:55:41.239
<v Speaker 1>And that's a great point by Jeff. In the second half,

0:55:41.239 --> 0:55:42.840
<v Speaker 1>they probably won't be able to do that, but I

0:55:42.840 --> 0:55:44.319
<v Speaker 1>think they'll be able to try it in the in

0:55:44.360 --> 0:55:51.520
<v Speaker 1>the first half, I agree with. I just sensed that

0:55:52.000 --> 0:55:53.839
<v Speaker 1>one or both of these teams are going to get

0:55:53.840 --> 0:55:57.080
<v Speaker 1>off to one of these slow starts and uh, you know,

0:55:57.160 --> 0:55:59.719
<v Speaker 1>kick a field goal or something's gonna slow it down

0:55:59.880 --> 0:56:03.799
<v Speaker 1>or lie. Alright, Actually might be Kansas City who starts slow.

0:56:03.840 --> 0:56:06.239
<v Speaker 1>We've seen them even off these boys. They scored ton

0:56:06.239 --> 0:56:08.920
<v Speaker 1>of points, but they kind of do start slow early on.

0:56:09.000 --> 0:56:12.000
<v Speaker 1>But I think this Brown's defense, though, is just so

0:56:12.040 --> 0:56:15.040
<v Speaker 1>we'll see how how slowly. The last year, by the way, Jeff,

0:56:15.120 --> 0:56:17.279
<v Speaker 1>last year, they were down seven in the first quarter

0:56:17.280 --> 0:56:19.400
<v Speaker 1>against the Hall of Fame coach Bill Bryan. You know,

0:56:19.440 --> 0:56:22.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think it was actually nothing, which twenty

0:56:22.160 --> 0:56:25.480
<v Speaker 1>one nothing, and Brian didn't go fourth and inches, called

0:56:25.480 --> 0:56:26.920
<v Speaker 1>the time out and then said he didn't have a

0:56:26.920 --> 0:56:28.440
<v Speaker 1>good fourth down play and kicked the field goal to

0:56:28.600 --> 0:56:31.000
<v Speaker 1>up nothing. You know what he was great at though,

0:56:31.320 --> 0:56:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you know what, it was great at being a GM

0:56:33.080 --> 0:56:37.560
<v Speaker 1>though that's better. It was better as a coach. You know,

0:56:37.600 --> 0:56:39.839
<v Speaker 1>nobody mentioned I thought there was only one NFL coach

0:56:39.880 --> 0:56:41.200
<v Speaker 1>of all time. It was better than him, and that

0:56:41.239 --> 0:56:45.680
<v Speaker 1>was Mike Tys of the Minnesota Vikings Circuit something. By

0:56:45.719 --> 0:56:47.520
<v Speaker 1>the way, last thing about that, Jeff, I thought you

0:56:47.520 --> 0:56:50.040
<v Speaker 1>gave the best single bit of advice betting wise last week,

0:56:50.239 --> 0:56:52.160
<v Speaker 1>which we never got a chance to even get into,

0:56:52.200 --> 0:56:57.919
<v Speaker 1>which was stef Stefanski's absence being you know, wouldn't matter

0:56:58.000 --> 0:57:00.520
<v Speaker 1>the first fifteen plays, and then after that it would

0:57:00.920 --> 0:57:03.000
<v Speaker 1>And that game was such a runout from the beginning

0:57:03.000 --> 0:57:04.840
<v Speaker 1>that we never got a chance to make that actionable.

0:57:04.880 --> 0:57:07.120
<v Speaker 1>It was just unbelievable. Well, I but I, but I

0:57:07.120 --> 0:57:09.160
<v Speaker 1>did think we see We saw though in the third

0:57:09.160 --> 0:57:11.600
<v Speaker 1>and fourth quarter when things got really tight, it's a

0:57:11.640 --> 0:57:14.520
<v Speaker 1>Steelers starts sing. They went three and out, three and out.

0:57:14.719 --> 0:57:17.080
<v Speaker 1>It was like, and then I had gone four in

0:57:17.080 --> 0:57:18.560
<v Speaker 1>the fourth down, maybe it would have been different. But

0:57:18.600 --> 0:57:20.640
<v Speaker 1>the first the first half of that game, they were

0:57:20.640 --> 0:57:22.000
<v Speaker 1>all in the red zone. They just ran the ball

0:57:22.040 --> 0:57:24.440
<v Speaker 1>rand the ball ran. It wasn't much thinking to do

0:57:24.880 --> 0:57:26.560
<v Speaker 1>from from you know, from the play color that was.

0:57:26.640 --> 0:57:29.840
<v Speaker 1>That was Doug Williams and Washington's quarter number two in

0:57:29.960 --> 0:57:33.919
<v Speaker 1>nineteen Super Bowl twenty two. Who could forget thirty five

0:57:34.280 --> 0:57:37.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty five un answered? Remember it like it was yesterday. Alright,

0:57:37.880 --> 0:57:41.720
<v Speaker 1>final game, Tampa Bay, New Orleans. Yeah, it's three, although

0:57:41.760 --> 0:57:44.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm seeing some two and a half some some spots. Now,

0:57:44.240 --> 0:57:46.880
<v Speaker 1>hold on, hold on, it's going the other way, Gil.

0:57:47.120 --> 0:57:49.840
<v Speaker 1>It's two and a half now right, No, I haven't

0:57:49.880 --> 0:57:54.080
<v Speaker 1>going three minus fifteen, three minus twenty. I am looking

0:57:54.120 --> 0:57:56.960
<v Speaker 1>at bookmaker right now. Oh sure it's two and a

0:57:56.960 --> 0:58:01.800
<v Speaker 1>half and uh four responsive responses. So I don't know.

0:58:01.880 --> 0:58:03.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can find this in all kinds of

0:58:03.440 --> 0:58:06.280
<v Speaker 1>places right now. But you're right, Todd, I'm looking. Consensus

0:58:06.280 --> 0:58:07.959
<v Speaker 1>is three, but there is a two and a half

0:58:08.000 --> 0:58:10.720
<v Speaker 1>out there. Um are you sure you're not looking at

0:58:10.800 --> 0:58:13.720
<v Speaker 1>like um steale line, because I don't first half? You're

0:58:13.760 --> 0:58:16.000
<v Speaker 1>on first half still? Oh you're right, I was on

0:58:16.040 --> 0:58:18.440
<v Speaker 1>first half still, thank you, Chris. Chris is not not

0:58:18.480 --> 0:58:21.240
<v Speaker 1>even looking at my computer and knew exactly where was

0:58:21.520 --> 0:58:23.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry, No, I thought i'd have the lock of

0:58:23.800 --> 0:58:25.960
<v Speaker 1>the century coming in. The line was moving against me.

0:58:26.040 --> 0:58:29.080
<v Speaker 1>So that's right. No, it's three. I'm sorry. I'm ridiculous

0:58:29.080 --> 0:58:31.800
<v Speaker 1>it's minus three minus one. I want no part of

0:58:31.800 --> 0:58:34.280
<v Speaker 1>this game. I think it's probably a field goal either way. Jeff,

0:58:34.360 --> 0:58:37.560
<v Speaker 1>let's start with you here. Yeah, I had to write

0:58:37.560 --> 0:58:39.560
<v Speaker 1>about this game, and I was, like I said, my

0:58:39.560 --> 0:58:41.800
<v Speaker 1>first line is, admittedly I have no feel for this game.

0:58:42.000 --> 0:58:44.000
<v Speaker 1>I have no idea what's gonna happen. I think the

0:58:44.080 --> 0:58:45.440
<v Speaker 1>under if I were to take a play would be

0:58:45.480 --> 0:58:47.160
<v Speaker 1>under fifty two. The last I saw the number. I

0:58:47.160 --> 0:58:49.800
<v Speaker 1>don't know what's at now we have to we have

0:58:49.880 --> 0:58:52.160
<v Speaker 1>two really good defenses, and this line has moved up

0:58:52.200 --> 0:58:55.160
<v Speaker 1>now three points as well from we have two really

0:58:55.160 --> 0:58:57.120
<v Speaker 1>good defenses. And there's a reason why the Sames defense

0:58:57.120 --> 0:58:59.360
<v Speaker 1>has played well against Tampa this year. Now, Tampa's offense

0:58:59.440 --> 0:59:03.160
<v Speaker 1>is different out they've changed. But Marshall Montimore in his

0:59:03.200 --> 0:59:06.200
<v Speaker 1>time against Mike Evans since since is only about of

0:59:06.240 --> 0:59:08.360
<v Speaker 1>nine catches total. That's it. And all the games they

0:59:08.360 --> 0:59:10.959
<v Speaker 1>played against each like, they kind of have Tampa Bay's number.

0:59:10.960 --> 0:59:13.440
<v Speaker 1>And there's a reason why teams typically win the third

0:59:13.480 --> 0:59:16.800
<v Speaker 1>game in this rematch because they're just a better football team.

0:59:17.080 --> 0:59:19.040
<v Speaker 1>But I don't really trust the Saints offense right now

0:59:19.080 --> 0:59:21.080
<v Speaker 1>in the last four playoff games, whatever reason they don't

0:59:21.080 --> 0:59:24.160
<v Speaker 1>score from points, I don't I don't really. I just

0:59:24.200 --> 0:59:26.200
<v Speaker 1>hate this game. I under the only thing I'd play

0:59:26.240 --> 0:59:29.600
<v Speaker 1>this game, um either team can win. I have no idea.

0:59:29.760 --> 0:59:31.520
<v Speaker 1>I wish you could do more. Just it's funny you

0:59:31.560 --> 0:59:33.280
<v Speaker 1>brought that up, because you just jogged something in my head.

0:59:33.320 --> 0:59:36.640
<v Speaker 1>I asked Aaron Shots, creator Football Outsiders before this last season,

0:59:36.640 --> 0:59:39.479
<v Speaker 1>when he made his Pro Football Guide before the season started.

0:59:39.520 --> 0:59:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I said, what was the most surprising thing, even to

0:59:41.640 --> 0:59:43.160
<v Speaker 1>you when you did all your research, give me one

0:59:43.160 --> 0:59:45.320
<v Speaker 1>stat that just leap leapt off the page. And he goes,

0:59:45.360 --> 0:59:47.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's funny you asked that. In in the

0:59:47.760 --> 0:59:54.720
<v Speaker 1>saints last three playoff losses, Michael Thomas caught three passes

0:59:55.160 --> 0:59:57.880
<v Speaker 1>total on third downs. He said, that was the one

0:59:57.920 --> 0:59:59.960
<v Speaker 1>that jumped off the page. He's like, that's why they

1:00:00.040 --> 1:00:03.120
<v Speaker 1>got Emmanuel Sanders. That's at least the theory behind it.

1:00:03.120 --> 1:00:05.480
<v Speaker 1>But that was the single thing that surprised him the most.

1:00:05.480 --> 1:00:08.280
<v Speaker 1>That Michael Thomas just disappeared on high leverage blaze in

1:00:08.280 --> 1:00:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the playoffs games that they lost. Interesting. Um, Chris, Well,

1:00:13.560 --> 1:00:15.960
<v Speaker 1>they didn't look all that impressive last week, and and

1:00:16.000 --> 1:00:17.520
<v Speaker 1>I put them in the same category. I should have

1:00:17.560 --> 1:00:20.480
<v Speaker 1>mentioned this. I've been talking about Buffalo. I fully expected

1:00:20.520 --> 1:00:24.200
<v Speaker 1>Buffalo to be rusty and and just start off that

1:00:24.800 --> 1:00:27.520
<v Speaker 1>last game, just because all the pressure was on them

1:00:27.560 --> 1:00:30.680
<v Speaker 1>and they were kind of walking on eggshells, and Indie

1:00:30.760 --> 1:00:34.160
<v Speaker 1>just gave them all the breaks they needed to change

1:00:34.200 --> 1:00:37.360
<v Speaker 1>that game. But I expected the same thing from New Orleans. Also,

1:00:38.280 --> 1:00:41.560
<v Speaker 1>why did they need to show anything? Uh that you

1:00:41.600 --> 1:00:44.800
<v Speaker 1>know this is they played ten quarters the entire season

1:00:44.800 --> 1:00:47.960
<v Speaker 1>with there with the big three on the offense, so

1:00:48.560 --> 1:00:53.120
<v Speaker 1>you had the acclamation of of getting them all working together.

1:00:53.600 --> 1:00:56.960
<v Speaker 1>And you know they're trying different things. They you know,

1:00:57.040 --> 1:01:00.360
<v Speaker 1>they have to you know, integrate proper. Really. I mean

1:01:00.400 --> 1:01:02.840
<v Speaker 1>every time you introduce new new players, it takes a

1:01:02.840 --> 1:01:07.280
<v Speaker 1>little bit of an adjustment. So, um, I this is

1:01:07.360 --> 1:01:10.160
<v Speaker 1>do or die for for the Saints. The front office

1:01:10.200 --> 1:01:12.920
<v Speaker 1>is gonna get rated, breeze is gonna be gone. You

1:01:12.920 --> 1:01:14.800
<v Speaker 1>don't know what's gonna go on with the camp issues.

1:01:15.360 --> 1:01:18.960
<v Speaker 1>Uh so there's there's gonna be a sense of urgency

1:01:18.960 --> 1:01:23.000
<v Speaker 1>with the Saints. I think, um, this is it, and

1:01:24.520 --> 1:01:27.120
<v Speaker 1>I think that there's value here. Also because a lot

1:01:27.120 --> 1:01:29.680
<v Speaker 1>of people follow the d v A d v A

1:01:29.760 --> 1:01:34.360
<v Speaker 1>O stats Stevo A yeah, and you do not, No, no,

1:01:34.440 --> 1:01:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't. But I know where you're going with this.

1:01:38.200 --> 1:01:42.080
<v Speaker 1>That they have Tampa rated at number two and that's

1:01:42.160 --> 1:01:46.800
<v Speaker 1>simply not even remotely true. Yeah, it's it's not remotely true.

1:01:46.840 --> 1:01:49.640
<v Speaker 1>They've chronically over rated them all year. Well, and that's

1:01:49.640 --> 1:01:52.680
<v Speaker 1>how I was able to take the game's last week

1:01:53.280 --> 1:01:58.400
<v Speaker 1>because Tennessee was rated too high in Indianapolis was rated

1:01:58.720 --> 1:02:03.320
<v Speaker 1>way too low. They had Indianapolis at tenth, which is absurd. Um.

1:02:03.760 --> 1:02:06.200
<v Speaker 1>And that's how I is he able to find value

1:02:06.200 --> 1:02:09.920
<v Speaker 1>in games last week and then switched to the complete

1:02:09.920 --> 1:02:12.960
<v Speaker 1>opposite side the following week. You know, if people are

1:02:13.000 --> 1:02:16.960
<v Speaker 1>gonna follow data that's wrong, Um, you're gonna get the

1:02:17.000 --> 1:02:19.240
<v Speaker 1>skewed lines and you're gonna get the support that that

1:02:19.320 --> 1:02:22.840
<v Speaker 1>brings this line down. I'm surprised this line is a

1:02:23.160 --> 1:02:30.800
<v Speaker 1>flat three. Uh it should be higher. Um. But like

1:02:30.600 --> 1:02:35.120
<v Speaker 1>like previously referenced, the Saints crushed Tampa twice already this

1:02:35.240 --> 1:02:40.479
<v Speaker 1>year by double digits, and uh they have their number.

1:02:40.480 --> 1:02:45.520
<v Speaker 1>They match up well, and people think, well, Okay, Tampa's

1:02:45.520 --> 1:02:46.960
<v Speaker 1>a different team than they were in the middle of

1:02:46.960 --> 1:02:50.000
<v Speaker 1>the season. Uh they're they're doing much better and u

1:02:50.720 --> 1:02:53.360
<v Speaker 1>um they're on a roll. But who did they beat?

1:02:54.080 --> 1:02:58.600
<v Speaker 1>They struggled with Washington, they beat Atlanta twice. Uh, they

1:02:58.600 --> 1:03:02.560
<v Speaker 1>played Detroit, minnes Soda, They got the miracle cover against

1:03:02.600 --> 1:03:09.360
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City. That game wasn't that close. So I like

1:03:09.520 --> 1:03:11.439
<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay. I mean, you know, this is a problem

1:03:11.440 --> 1:03:13.040
<v Speaker 1>when you get to the playoffs. You get a teams

1:03:13.080 --> 1:03:16.480
<v Speaker 1>that you like betting on, uh that match up, and

1:03:16.600 --> 1:03:18.840
<v Speaker 1>you gotta pick, you know, one or the other. So

1:03:19.960 --> 1:03:22.360
<v Speaker 1>I definitely lean the Saints here. I think the the

1:03:22.440 --> 1:03:29.680
<v Speaker 1>value the wagered in. Okay, Mike, I already laid three

1:03:29.720 --> 1:03:32.560
<v Speaker 1>with the Saints. Ah, this is my strongest player of

1:03:32.560 --> 1:03:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the weekend. Really yeah, for many reasons. I think they

1:03:35.960 --> 1:03:38.040
<v Speaker 1>match up well with them. I think the Saints are

1:03:38.040 --> 1:03:40.160
<v Speaker 1>the best team in football fully healthy. I think they're

1:03:40.160 --> 1:03:43.800
<v Speaker 1>better interest, they're balanced, their balanced, The defense is nasty.

1:03:44.560 --> 1:03:47.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't think Brady is I don't think Brady is

1:03:47.080 --> 1:03:49.560
<v Speaker 1>an elite quarterback at this point. I mean, he made

1:03:49.640 --> 1:03:51.560
<v Speaker 1>some throws, He's got some weapons this year, and that's

1:03:51.560 --> 1:03:54.120
<v Speaker 1>what that's what that that gives him an ability to

1:03:54.160 --> 1:03:56.760
<v Speaker 1>be more productive. But I think he's gonna have real

1:03:56.760 --> 1:04:00.000
<v Speaker 1>trouble in this game. And the Tampa defense. We're all

1:04:00.080 --> 1:04:02.560
<v Speaker 1>still remember how they played against Rogers. They haven't played

1:04:02.560 --> 1:04:05.480
<v Speaker 1>to that level since they blitzed Creek Rogers in the

1:04:05.520 --> 1:04:07.640
<v Speaker 1>second quarter. That game. They haven't played well. To Chris,

1:04:07.800 --> 1:04:10.360
<v Speaker 1>they haven't played a high level. Atlanta went up and

1:04:10.360 --> 1:04:11.760
<v Speaker 1>down the field, and in the first half of that

1:04:11.800 --> 1:04:15.080
<v Speaker 1>game in Atlanta, okay that they dominated that first Dave

1:04:15.120 --> 1:04:17.240
<v Speaker 1>and then they rallied. But I don't think this is

1:04:17.280 --> 1:04:20.240
<v Speaker 1>close in terms of a talent level of these two teams.

1:04:20.760 --> 1:04:24.200
<v Speaker 1>And I personally make this number six. So I laid three,

1:04:24.440 --> 1:04:27.200
<v Speaker 1>all right. I think I think there's a coaching issue

1:04:27.240 --> 1:04:31.120
<v Speaker 1>that's gonna I think is important also because there's a

1:04:31.160 --> 1:04:33.200
<v Speaker 1>lot of things about both of these teams that make

1:04:33.240 --> 1:04:37.280
<v Speaker 1>them pretty similar on the surface. And uh, it's very well,

1:04:37.440 --> 1:04:39.840
<v Speaker 1>well may come down to coaching and who are you

1:04:39.920 --> 1:04:45.400
<v Speaker 1>going to trust Peyton versus Arians Left which um offensively

1:04:46.280 --> 1:04:49.439
<v Speaker 1>you know on that side, Tampa only one only beat

1:04:49.480 --> 1:04:52.960
<v Speaker 1>one team over five hundred the whole season, one in

1:04:53.000 --> 1:04:55.360
<v Speaker 1>five against teams with a winning record. You know, do

1:04:55.400 --> 1:04:58.120
<v Speaker 1>you like any of those coaching matchups one side to

1:04:58.160 --> 1:05:01.600
<v Speaker 1>the other? Jeff are I have a quest? So how

1:05:01.680 --> 1:05:03.480
<v Speaker 1>much do you guys like? And then maybe it's just

1:05:03.560 --> 1:05:05.040
<v Speaker 1>like the former player to me where I kind of

1:05:05.040 --> 1:05:06.800
<v Speaker 1>look at like how a team plays in the playoffs,

1:05:06.840 --> 1:05:08.440
<v Speaker 1>like you guys factor that at all into like the

1:05:08.480 --> 1:05:11.080
<v Speaker 1>Saints just seemed to like just something about the playoffs

1:05:11.080 --> 1:05:12.720
<v Speaker 1>are just not as good as you guys ever think

1:05:12.760 --> 1:05:14.840
<v Speaker 1>about that. It just it doesn't. It's just every year

1:05:14.880 --> 1:05:19.200
<v Speaker 1>is different, Every years different. Yeah, interesting, would you would?

1:05:19.400 --> 1:05:20.760
<v Speaker 1>But let me ask you back, do you think there

1:05:20.840 --> 1:05:25.480
<v Speaker 1>is something to that? Well, they definitely played not as

1:05:25.480 --> 1:05:28.480
<v Speaker 1>well in the postseason, is at least offensively the last

1:05:28.520 --> 1:05:31.040
<v Speaker 1>four games, like whatever it is. Look they have they've

1:05:31.080 --> 1:05:34.280
<v Speaker 1>only won They've only won two playoff games in the

1:05:34.360 --> 1:05:36.240
<v Speaker 1>single seasons. It's two thousand nine to get them on

1:05:36.280 --> 1:05:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the super Bowl. They haven't won more than two in

1:05:38.400 --> 1:05:40.560
<v Speaker 1>any of that time. And they've had four eleven one

1:05:40.600 --> 1:05:42.800
<v Speaker 1>seasons in a row now, like they have not one

1:05:43.360 --> 1:05:45.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot of playoffs. They lost last year against Minnesota

1:05:45.640 --> 1:05:47.800
<v Speaker 1>is almost a touchdown a favorite. They lost the year

1:05:47.800 --> 1:05:50.360
<v Speaker 1>before at home against the Rams. Yeah, I get the interception,

1:05:50.400 --> 1:05:52.600
<v Speaker 1>but they also had the ball first and overtime and

1:05:52.640 --> 1:05:54.360
<v Speaker 1>allowed an interception, Like they had a chance to win

1:05:54.400 --> 1:05:56.880
<v Speaker 1>that game multiple times, didn't do it gets the Bears.

1:05:56.920 --> 1:06:00.320
<v Speaker 1>The Bears defense is good, but they're not like that good.

1:06:00.360 --> 1:06:03.000
<v Speaker 1>And the Saints kind of just look me again, and

1:06:03.040 --> 1:06:04.560
<v Speaker 1>so I just I just feel like in the in

1:06:04.600 --> 1:06:07.160
<v Speaker 1>the postseason for whatever reason, and I can't put my finger.

1:06:07.200 --> 1:06:08.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what it is. I don't think as

1:06:08.520 --> 1:06:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Drew Brees getting older, maybe his arm is not as

1:06:10.960 --> 1:06:13.560
<v Speaker 1>good in the postseason. There's like not as good an offense.

1:06:14.200 --> 1:06:15.840
<v Speaker 1>How do you feel about the Tasom Hill miss you

1:06:15.920 --> 1:06:19.600
<v Speaker 1>guss when it happens, I cannot. I swear, I swear

1:06:19.640 --> 1:06:21.720
<v Speaker 1>that guy has like has like nude picture to Shaan

1:06:21.760 --> 1:06:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Kaine on the said, don't get it. I don't get it, Okay.

1:06:27.080 --> 1:06:29.400
<v Speaker 1>I talked to a defensive coach in the NFL. He said,

1:06:29.400 --> 1:06:32.000
<v Speaker 1>the reason why they do it is to make defenses prepare.

1:06:32.040 --> 1:06:35.120
<v Speaker 1>For sure. That's very valid, right, so the defense have

1:06:35.200 --> 1:06:37.080
<v Speaker 1>to spend an extra ten fifteen minutes a day of

1:06:37.160 --> 1:06:41.360
<v Speaker 1>practice working on the Taysom Hill plays. All fair, it's

1:06:41.680 --> 1:06:44.000
<v Speaker 1>all fair. But the problem is that when you put

1:06:44.080 --> 1:06:46.160
<v Speaker 1>him in the game, you typically do it after Drew

1:06:46.160 --> 1:06:47.680
<v Speaker 1>Brees has have like three good plays in a row.

1:06:47.960 --> 1:06:50.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't get it. He's playing like between it fascinatus.

1:06:50.880 --> 1:06:52.840
<v Speaker 1>Here it comes Tasom Hill and then he just give us,

1:06:52.960 --> 1:06:54.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, and then he just hitches eight times in

1:06:54.360 --> 1:06:57.280
<v Speaker 1>the pocket and throws interceptions like, I don't see the

1:06:57.400 --> 1:07:00.520
<v Speaker 1>value in playing him like this. Who who takes out

1:07:00.520 --> 1:07:03.280
<v Speaker 1>of Hall Dame quarterback to put in a thirty year

1:07:03.280 --> 1:07:05.240
<v Speaker 1>old tight end. I don't get him, man, I do

1:07:05.360 --> 1:07:07.000
<v Speaker 1>not understand it. It makes no sense to me. What

1:07:07.280 --> 1:07:09.520
<v Speaker 1>I feel so much better because every time it happens,

1:07:09.560 --> 1:07:11.360
<v Speaker 1>a little part of me dies inside. I'm like, he's

1:07:11.360 --> 1:07:13.080
<v Speaker 1>not as good as Breeze of throwing, he's not as

1:07:13.080 --> 1:07:15.360
<v Speaker 1>good as came running, he's not as good as Thomas Catch.

1:07:15.480 --> 1:07:17.120
<v Speaker 1>Like everything he does seems like a down grade. I

1:07:17.160 --> 1:07:20.560
<v Speaker 1>just feel like Sean Payton is feeding his own headlines

1:07:20.600 --> 1:07:23.360
<v Speaker 1>with that. Sometimes he wants to be smarter than everyone else.

1:07:23.400 --> 1:07:25.680
<v Speaker 1>That's what it is. Here's another guy wants to be

1:07:25.720 --> 1:07:28.480
<v Speaker 1>smarter than everybody else, Todd wishing of everybody. I was

1:07:28.520 --> 1:07:32.560
<v Speaker 1>waiting for you to try that perfect seg. That's real nice.

1:07:32.720 --> 1:07:35.240
<v Speaker 1>The difference between me and him is one actually is

1:07:35.360 --> 1:07:43.360
<v Speaker 1>smart as what has a better resume? Yes, exactly him

1:07:43.400 --> 1:07:47.760
<v Speaker 1>get invited to the court addict. Um, okay, I'm just

1:07:47.760 --> 1:07:49.360
<v Speaker 1>trying to get on the under here in the team

1:07:49.360 --> 1:07:53.080
<v Speaker 1>total and they cal Bears against Colorado Buffaloes. Cal Bears

1:07:53.240 --> 1:07:56.080
<v Speaker 1>under fifty seven and a half team total folks get it. Well,

1:07:56.120 --> 1:08:00.000
<v Speaker 1>it's hot anyways. Uh. The thing I wanted to say,

1:08:00.040 --> 1:08:02.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, Chris brought up a great point and this

1:08:02.200 --> 1:08:05.440
<v Speaker 1>is this is one that I'm always on the crusade about,

1:08:05.680 --> 1:08:09.120
<v Speaker 1>and that is the models are not enough. You cannot,

1:08:09.280 --> 1:08:13.360
<v Speaker 1>especially in football. You cannot just be statistical oriented in football.

1:08:13.600 --> 1:08:17.280
<v Speaker 1>You have to understand the game. The Pittsburgh Steelers data

1:08:17.760 --> 1:08:22.200
<v Speaker 1>from the Cleveland Browns game is completely the gazzy folks.

1:08:22.640 --> 1:08:26.240
<v Speaker 1>They did not. All that offense was against prevent defense.

1:08:26.560 --> 1:08:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Every single bit of that offense was not against the

1:08:29.760 --> 1:08:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Cleveland Browns defense that was trying until maybe it was

1:08:34.320 --> 1:08:36.720
<v Speaker 1>so all that offense you could just throw it in

1:08:36.760 --> 1:08:40.600
<v Speaker 1>the garbage. Okay, So all this this this modeling nonsense,

1:08:40.680 --> 1:08:43.000
<v Speaker 1>and I love modeling, I'm all for it, but you

1:08:43.120 --> 1:08:46.799
<v Speaker 1>have to realize that it's polluted, and it gets polluted

1:08:46.800 --> 1:08:49.360
<v Speaker 1>because of games like Pittsburgh Cleveland last week, which was

1:08:49.439 --> 1:08:53.519
<v Speaker 1>absolutely not the real statistics. I mean, Ben, good modelers

1:08:53.560 --> 1:08:55.920
<v Speaker 1>to your point, we'll we'll have to manually go in

1:08:56.080 --> 1:09:02.759
<v Speaker 1>and remove dirty data like that where the game. Okay,

1:09:02.880 --> 1:09:09.639
<v Speaker 1>let's Jeff's got another show here, let's throw I'm sorry,

1:09:10.800 --> 1:09:14.759
<v Speaker 1>you know, the buster forever. So okay. Anyways, the uh

1:09:14.880 --> 1:09:16.720
<v Speaker 1>the other thing I was gonna say is this is

1:09:17.040 --> 1:09:19.280
<v Speaker 1>I always say the NFL in game is the way

1:09:19.280 --> 1:09:21.640
<v Speaker 1>to go. You shouldn't play these games pre game. You

1:09:21.720 --> 1:09:24.120
<v Speaker 1>might as well go in game. This game, of all

1:09:24.200 --> 1:09:26.759
<v Speaker 1>the games, is an in game because if the Saints

1:09:26.760 --> 1:09:29.640
<v Speaker 1>are putting pressure on t B twelve, lights out for

1:09:29.680 --> 1:09:32.280
<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay. If the Saints are not putting pressure on

1:09:32.320 --> 1:09:34.760
<v Speaker 1>t B twelve, then maybe it's gonna be a tight game.

1:09:35.000 --> 1:09:37.280
<v Speaker 1>So this is the kind of game where I'm gonna see,

1:09:37.640 --> 1:09:40.760
<v Speaker 1>are the Saints giving him a hard time? You gotta

1:09:40.760 --> 1:09:44.080
<v Speaker 1>get on the Saints. So, um, you know Tampa Bay's defense,

1:09:44.720 --> 1:09:46.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm not. I don't see what's so great about Tampa

1:09:46.640 --> 1:09:49.599
<v Speaker 1>Bay's defense. Hey, Niki moved on them, The Giants moved

1:09:49.600 --> 1:09:52.120
<v Speaker 1>on him. Tons of teams move on Tampa Bay. So

1:09:52.120 --> 1:09:54.600
<v Speaker 1>I'll be surprised if New Orleans, even if they have

1:09:54.600 --> 1:09:56.679
<v Speaker 1>Taysom Hill in the game, is not able to move

1:09:56.720 --> 1:09:59.120
<v Speaker 1>the ball on Tampa Bay. I think they'll be able

1:09:59.160 --> 1:10:01.000
<v Speaker 1>to move the ball into the big So to me,

1:10:01.160 --> 1:10:03.280
<v Speaker 1>this game just comes down to one thing. Are the

1:10:03.320 --> 1:10:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Saints pressuring tea BEA twelve? Are they not pressuring him.

1:10:06.160 --> 1:10:08.640
<v Speaker 1>If they are, it's all Saints all the time. If

1:10:08.680 --> 1:10:11.760
<v Speaker 1>they're not, maybe it's a close game. All right, we've

1:10:11.800 --> 1:10:14.240
<v Speaker 1>done all we can do. We're real quick. The best

1:10:14.240 --> 1:10:18.200
<v Speaker 1>bet for everybody, Jeff, your single best bet was I'll

1:10:18.200 --> 1:10:21.080
<v Speaker 1>go I'll stay with Lamar Jackson over rushing yards. Chris.

1:10:21.960 --> 1:10:24.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna go against the team playing their fourth road

1:10:24.840 --> 1:10:29.519
<v Speaker 1>game in five weeks, and that would be Saints against

1:10:29.520 --> 1:10:32.400
<v Speaker 1>the Saints. Yeah. No, against the team playing against the Bucks.

1:10:32.520 --> 1:10:35.160
<v Speaker 1>The Bucks are playing Florida, So Saints minus three is

1:10:35.160 --> 1:10:41.559
<v Speaker 1>your favorite Stus three Ravens Packers teaser for me? Um,

1:10:41.600 --> 1:10:45.200
<v Speaker 1>I'll take the Bills those minus two and a half. Uh.

1:10:45.360 --> 1:10:48.360
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Schwartz, thank you so much. We've kept you long

1:10:48.520 --> 1:10:51.760
<v Speaker 1>and we appreciated. Jeff Schwartz again. The name of the podcast,

1:10:52.160 --> 1:10:55.120
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Schwartz is Smarter than you. The gambling related podcast

1:10:55.200 --> 1:10:57.280
<v Speaker 1>once again is called um, I'm not let me get

1:10:57.280 --> 1:10:59.360
<v Speaker 1>it right, I want to make it right. Minus three

1:10:59.400 --> 1:11:03.479
<v Speaker 1>with in the Schwartz hold on Todd after the sentence,

1:11:03.640 --> 1:11:06.120
<v Speaker 1>Minus three with Check and Schwartz with Dave, Damna, Check

1:11:06.160 --> 1:11:08.679
<v Speaker 1>and cousin Sal makes appearances as well. It is Jeff

1:11:08.720 --> 1:11:11.400
<v Speaker 1>Schwartz g e O f F s c h A

1:11:12.200 --> 1:11:14.880
<v Speaker 1>r t z uh s c h w A r

1:11:14.960 --> 1:11:17.599
<v Speaker 1>t z pardon me, Um, I couldn't thank you enough. Jeff,

1:11:17.600 --> 1:11:19.639
<v Speaker 1>I know you have another show to do. We appreciate it. Man,

1:11:19.640 --> 1:11:21.680
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. You're glad to be here. Take

1:11:21.720 --> 1:11:24.599
<v Speaker 1>care of everyone you too, last years Christ Mike Paul

1:11:25.880 --> 1:11:29.040
<v Speaker 1>alone not on on Thursday, but still we appreciate it.

1:11:29.160 --> 1:11:32.040
<v Speaker 1>And Todd Wishev thanks everybody for listening. Good luck with

1:11:32.160 --> 1:11:34.280
<v Speaker 1>everything Divisional round weekend from all of us on the

1:11:34.280 --> 1:11:38.559
<v Speaker 1>megapod right here live from the d Bar, Canada, Bark, Canada,

1:11:38.840 --> 1:11:39.799
<v Speaker 1>right here in last pegas