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Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up,

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Speaker 1: straight Fire, fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. This is straight

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Speaker 1: fire for Friday November. I hope everybody had a tremendous Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: Lots to be thankful for a lot of food to eat,

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Speaker 1: a lot of family to hang with or friends giving

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Speaker 1: whatever you guys, however you celebrate it. I hope it

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Speaker 1: was good. The football was well. There were two interesting games.

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Speaker 1: The nightcap stunk, but that was the bet we gave

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Speaker 1: out on what was the Tuesday's Pot. I've already forgot

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Speaker 1: Tuesday's pod. I told you the Buffalo Bills were the

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Speaker 1: one side I really liked. I loaded up on them

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Speaker 1: and Survivor. And I know you guys want before I

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Speaker 1: even tell you about our guests today or the fact

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Speaker 1: that I'll be hosting The Dan Patrick Show this morning

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Speaker 1: from nine am to twelve noon. Um, I gotta tell

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Speaker 1: you about Survivor. The Buffalo Bills are my pick. I

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Speaker 1: was nervous about it, you know, I thought about the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: I was like, no way, I can't trust Dallas, and

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Speaker 1: I went with Buffalo coming off the loss, easy winner.

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Speaker 1: So in the Survivor contest, remember there's twenty four hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty people or whatever the number is, um twelve

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Speaker 1: of them or something that had Dallas, so it's down

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Speaker 1: to forty eight. I'm one of the forty eight left.

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Speaker 1: Supposedly again according to someone who played in it last year,

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Speaker 1: the winner gets eighty two dollars or somewhere in that neighborhood. Um,

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Speaker 1: they're already talking about, Hey, you know, if you're in

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Speaker 1: the final ten, would you split it up. I'm not

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Speaker 1: willing to go there yet, but Buffalo, I'm in the clear.

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of people. They don't show the

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Speaker 1: pics of everyone else, so I don't really know who

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Speaker 1: people could have gone with other than Dallas or Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: The biggest spreads this week. I'm assuming a lot of Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I've burned them, so I don't know. Next week is

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Speaker 1: dicey Um. I'll already tell you right now. I haven't

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Speaker 1: used the Eagles, and they are playing at the Jets.

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Speaker 1: They will be going, I believe, back to the meadow lands,

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Speaker 1: and I have a feeling when you get to our guest,

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Speaker 1: alan Berg later uh he sets line for wind bet Um.

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Speaker 1: He talks a lot about this Eagles, Giants, game. I

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Speaker 1: know everybody's gonna say Eagles smashed spot favorite by three

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Speaker 1: and a half. Just listen to what he says. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is a dangerous spot for the Eagles, and I

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Speaker 1: think if they lose, I think almost certain, and there's

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Speaker 1: no major injuries, I would almost certainly take them next

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Speaker 1: week against the Jets. The look ahead line has them

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Speaker 1: six and a half. That's probably gonna be the biggest

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Speaker 1: line I have. Now, there are some big lines, but

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Speaker 1: they're teams that nobody has. And now I've said too

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Speaker 1: much about survivor and not enough about Thanksgiving and um

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Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys game, which you have to start with today, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, what just such a bad look for the league.

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Speaker 1: So think about this. Everybody's at home on Thanksgiving Day

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Speaker 1: watching football, and even if you're not a huge NFL fan,

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Speaker 1: you're sucked into football around the family and you're at

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Speaker 1: least checking it out. And what product do you get.

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Speaker 1: You get one of the most heavily penalized games in

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Speaker 1: the last eighteen years in the NFL. I mean it

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Speaker 1: was really bad, including the decisive pass interference flag on

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Speaker 1: the kid Anthony Brown, who had a nightmare day. Poor

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Speaker 1: guy's gonna wake up today. I hope people aren't inundating

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Speaker 1: him on social media. He had four pass interference penalties.

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Speaker 1: The last one was a killer on third and eighteen.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how you can throw that flag. They've

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Speaker 1: looked at it like the Bruder film, fifteen different angles.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I didn't think it was a penalty. Now again,

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Speaker 1: I just talked about Survivor. A lot of people had Dallas,

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Speaker 1: so I wasn't torn up about it. But the reality

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Speaker 1: is this was the most penalties twenty eight penalties in

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Speaker 1: a game in the last five years. So think about it,

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Speaker 1: about thirty million people watching this game and they treat

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Speaker 1: their treated to the most penalties in the game in

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Speaker 1: the last five years. The yardage two seventy six yards

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Speaker 1: third most penalty yards in a game in the last decade.

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Speaker 1: And then the other stat this is the first NFL

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Speaker 1: game in eighteen years in which both had both teams

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Speaker 1: had fourteen or more penalties and a hundred or more yards.

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Speaker 1: Like it was ugly said, like there was a holding

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Speaker 1: an important p I on every play and I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to break out the rule book and read it

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Speaker 1: on the Anthony Brown decisive p I but essentially he

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Speaker 1: had his back to the ball. And in college football,

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Speaker 1: if you don't turn around, that's an automatic flag. But

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Speaker 1: in the NFL it's not an automatic flag. And the

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Speaker 1: only reason there was contact was because it was underthrown

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Speaker 1: and you can see the receiver. I think it's Za

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Speaker 1: Jones who drew more flag then he drew flags like

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Speaker 1: he was Jerry Rice. It was comical and he got

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Speaker 1: me through it at him cowboy defender nearby, it was

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Speaker 1: like a flag and Za Jones actually pulls him in

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Speaker 1: Brown puts his arms up like I'm not touching him.

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Speaker 1: I know there's contact and I happen, I'm not touching him,

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Speaker 1: and they still threw the flag. I mean, it's really bad.

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Speaker 1: Everybody complained afterward. I mean, if you're a Raider fan

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Speaker 1: like Rob g Is, you gotta be excited. The Raiders

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Speaker 1: save their season. And frankly, I don't even know how

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Speaker 1: they did it other than penalties because they didn't look

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Speaker 1: particularly sharp. The Dallas offense was the story without Ceedee Lamb,

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Speaker 1: with out of Marie Cooper and I listen, I know

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Speaker 1: people people don't want to make this a COVID discussion,

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Speaker 1: but a Marie Cooper not being vaccinized was a killer.

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Speaker 1: You're automatically out ten days, and given the Thanksgiving week,

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Speaker 1: you're missing two days two games. That's just that's just

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Speaker 1: harsh when you're a team looking to lock up a

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Speaker 1: division and maybe the number one seed. I think you

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Speaker 1: can forget the number one seed. Now they've lost three

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Speaker 1: or four, and so Marie Cooper not being vaccinated, and

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Speaker 1: then the and then COVID spreads in the room, the

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Speaker 1: wide receiver room, and another guy had it. He was

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Speaker 1: a little further down the um depth chart. But then

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Speaker 1: you toss in the Ceedee Lamb concussion and it's like,

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Speaker 1: you know, Michael Gallup had a good game. Cedric Wilson

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Speaker 1: had ten targets. Uh, Noah Brown was solid. Shultz at

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Speaker 1: an Okay game. What I didn't understand was the excessive

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Speaker 1: use of Zeke Elliott coming in on with a bum wheel.

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Speaker 1: Had double the amount of targets that Tony Baller did.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not just saying this because I have Tony

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Speaker 1: Pollard and like a bunch of fantasy teams with my

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Speaker 1: son has Tony Pollard as well, and Pollard is way

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Speaker 1: more explosive, far more dynamic. Ran the kickoff back for

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Speaker 1: the touchdown, had another touchdown call call back, Um, well,

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Speaker 1: they called down at the one and then they handed

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Speaker 1: it to Zeke, which is a joke. But I don't

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Speaker 1: understand all these short dump offs to Zeke in overtime.

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Speaker 1: You know, you start with the penalty on the kickoff,

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Speaker 1: first down, check down to Zeke for like two yards,

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Speaker 1: screen pasted a Zeke for like one yard, and then

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Speaker 1: the incompletion. It's like you got a punt and that's

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Speaker 1: your offense. You're going screen to a guy who's injured,

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Speaker 1: back to a guy who's injured, and then I think

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Speaker 1: the other past was to Noah Brown. I didn't understand

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Speaker 1: that at all. Very curious play calls by the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: And this one has to hurt man Dallas. Listen, Dallas.

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Speaker 1: Is they're in good shape to get to the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: but they're no, they're not a lock, folks. They now

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Speaker 1: have three straight road games. They at the Saints who

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Speaker 1: are reeling, at Washington Will See, and at the Giants. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they still have to play Washington again after that, and

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals and the Eagles and what was the seven

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Speaker 1: and one? I think it was seven in one, right,

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Speaker 1: No I'm sorry. Six and one. They were six and

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Speaker 1: one cruising and then they hit that Broncos snag, the

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Speaker 1: Tyrone Smith injury, the loss of the Chiefs, and now

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Speaker 1: the receivers are beat up. Well, they better get healthy

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Speaker 1: quickly because they played the Saints next Thursday, I believe,

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Speaker 1: and if they don't have Lamb and Cooper back, I

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Speaker 1: know that. I know the Saints aren't aren't very good,

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Speaker 1: but their run defense is strong. And now you've got

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Speaker 1: Dak kind of a sitting duck in the pocket. I'm

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Speaker 1: starting to I think that it's okay to be a

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Speaker 1: little nervous for the Cowboys. Asked for the Detroit Lions.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna spend too much time on this. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Matt Campbell, I'm sorry, Matt Campbell. The Iowa state coaches

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Speaker 1: being talked about potentially going to USC. Dan Campbell of

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Speaker 1: the Lions had built up some equity this year with

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Speaker 1: fans like, oh man, he's gone playing hard. They nearly

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Speaker 1: beat the Ravens. Look at that fight. They displayed um

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Speaker 1: in a couple of other games, and they nearly beat

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Speaker 1: of Rams. They covered, they covered the spread. I think

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Speaker 1: they're six and four against the spread or something, and

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Speaker 1: they tied Pittsburgh that final two minutes again National TV game,

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Speaker 1: Island game, and the way he was calling his time

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Speaker 1: out or not calling them, it's just an embarrassment. And

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Speaker 1: even even on like what was the third and four

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Speaker 1: inside the fifteen yard line and they're playing like the

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Speaker 1: cornerbacks are ten yards off, so just giving up the reception,

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Speaker 1: Like what the Bears were not going to look in

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Speaker 1: the end zone. They just wanted to get the first down,

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Speaker 1: take a knee, set up the field goal, and get

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Speaker 1: the hell out of there. And that's what they did.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I'm not into firing coaches

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Speaker 1: after a year. You don't want to become the Cleveland

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Speaker 1: Browns and get on that cycle. But man, that was

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Speaker 1: just not pretty from Detroit there now oh ten and

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Speaker 1: one Naggie lives another day. I don't know how they're

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Speaker 1: doing that. Um they were. They did not look good

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Speaker 1: for large stretches of that game, but they got the

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Speaker 1: double and of course the Saints um in primetime kind

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Speaker 1: of got smashed. There A good, good winning bet for us,

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Speaker 1: if you heard Tuesday's pod, A nice winner. Saints have

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Speaker 1: now lost four in a row. They're five and six

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Speaker 1: on the outside looking in for the playoffs. And the

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Speaker 1: beauty of it is that I had them season win

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Speaker 1: total under for the Saints, and the reality is, you know,

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Speaker 1: this team probably was going to hit it if James

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Speaker 1: Winston had stayed healthy, and I got a little lucky

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Speaker 1: that he didn't. Um. But without further ado, let's get

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Speaker 1: to our guest who will help set up Week eleven, sorry,

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Speaker 1: Week twelve in the NFL, Alan Berg, the head trader

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Speaker 1: for wind Bet. Jason likes to think he knows everything

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Speaker 1: when it comes to sports. I know what sports dance want.

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Speaker 1: But for everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does.

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Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a

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Speaker 1: guy he knows another guy. All right, let's welcome into

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Speaker 1: straight fire. A senior trading partner from wind Bet. His

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Speaker 1: name is Alan Berg. All these lines are being set

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Speaker 1: around the country. This is the guy you need to

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Speaker 1: talk to. How are you man? Doing great? Man? How

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Speaker 1: are you? I'm excellent? You know Thanksgiving week, Um, I'm

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Speaker 1: sure it's a busy time with the public having it

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Speaker 1: safe for sure, right Alan, this is a week where

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Speaker 1: you're hanging out with your family. So what are you

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Speaker 1: gonna do go on your phone and gamble obviously, right,

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, absolutely. I mean who wants to talk to

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Speaker 1: their family, right, you gotta be you gotta bet the games? Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: So I'm not going to do any college football there.

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Speaker 1: There are some good games this weekend, obviously rivalry week

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Speaker 1: when I just wanted quickly to hit on Ohio State Michigan.

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Speaker 1: I am curious. I thought the line was a little short. Uh,

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Speaker 1: everybody in their mom thought this was gonna open out fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State kills them every year, and it opened single digits.

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Speaker 1: What are you seeing on this game so far? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean we've we've pretty much had mostly one way

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Speaker 1: traffic on o House State until we got to the

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Speaker 1: current market number. Um. Interestingly enough, we put this line

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Speaker 1: up first before Ohio State absolutely mop the floor with

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Speaker 1: Michigan State. So we had like four and a half,

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Speaker 1: which you know, turns out not a great number, But

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Speaker 1: you know, I think at some point maybe Michigan's got

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Speaker 1: something for Ohaw State, but we'll see. Um, they just

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Speaker 1: always seem to have their number in the Harbor era.

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Speaker 1: But um, we're kind of obviously going to be pulling

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Speaker 1: for the Wolverines from the book side of things. I think,

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Speaker 1: did you guys take a lot of action at four

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Speaker 1: and a half? A decent amount um, nothing catastrophic. I mean,

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Speaker 1: when you put up into a dance line, you know

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Speaker 1: you're not gonna offer the same amount of limits you

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Speaker 1: will the week for especially day of the game. So so,

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Speaker 1: but it makes sense to get that up early because

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Speaker 1: people want to bet on the game, right, so somebody's

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Speaker 1: gonna fire somewhere. And if you take a small hit,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I can't imagine you were

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Speaker 1: taking six figures uh before the Ohio State game. Definitely

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Speaker 1: not No, um, I think my boss is alone would

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Speaker 1: probably pull me out of this office if I was

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Speaker 1: taking six figures that far out. But yeah, uh. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's interesting. Sometimes you put things up early, you don't

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Speaker 1: really see action that you think you might, and then

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Speaker 1: other times you put it up you get some immediately.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes you'll end up getting two way action that ideally

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Speaker 1: is what you kind of want to see, where you

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Speaker 1: think the number's gonna lie a we're gonna end up.

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Speaker 1: Is kind of one of the advantages to put on

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Speaker 1: line up early, but it doesn't necessarily always work out

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Speaker 1: that way. Do you think this hits double figures by kickoff.

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Speaker 1: Um No, I don't think so. I think it would

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Speaker 1: be too many sharp guys that would take that would

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Speaker 1: take the ten because I know there's a few of

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Speaker 1: them that want eight and a half nine, So I

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Speaker 1: think they'll they'll be involved too much for too many

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Speaker 1: books to panic their way to move to ten. And

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Speaker 1: I think if you stay out ten flash I think

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Speaker 1: would go away pretty quickly. Yeah. I cannot imagine anybody

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Speaker 1: betting Michigan after what o' house date did last week.

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Speaker 1: You know it was just it wasn't forty nine nothing

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Speaker 1: at halftime or something insane. Um buck eys, boy, they

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Speaker 1: look like a juggernaut. I am curious. Do you have

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Speaker 1: any liability on Cincinnati to make the playoff or win

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Speaker 1: the national title? Uh? No, not really. Um. It limited

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Speaker 1: like a few bets here and there that I think

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Speaker 1: in ultimately across all our states would be like a loser,

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Speaker 1: but it's not substantial. Um. We we basically we have

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Speaker 1: the joke in the room that we're a Georgia Bulldog

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Speaker 1: book because that's that's pretty much all we can do

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Speaker 1: really well. We we set ourselves up for Georgia most

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Speaker 1: of the like other teams that you know, in theory

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Speaker 1: would win the national title aren't disasters, but we don't.

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Speaker 1: We're not going to be, you know, celebrating if they win.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's really only it's it seems like this

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Speaker 1: is anti climactic with with the four team playoff, right,

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Speaker 1: Like I don't even know who sneaks in at this stage.

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Speaker 1: Like it's got to be Alabama, right, Oklahoma State? Maybe

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Speaker 1: I don't. Yeah, they're I mean, they're they're still in

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Speaker 1: the mix. For sure. We'll probably need some help. The

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Speaker 1: one that I find interesting is I see a lot

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Speaker 1: of people talking about how, uh Cincinnati goes undefeated, that

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Speaker 1: they're they're to be over Notre Dame. I'd be very

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Speaker 1: surprised actually, just because of the prestige in order name

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Speaker 1: that they might slide in front of Cincinnati within wait

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Speaker 1: a minute, wait a minute, You think one win, one lost,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame could leap frog the team it lost to Cincinnati? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean they took it, took a national title spot

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Speaker 1: away from my Hurricanes way back in the day against

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Speaker 1: Florida States, So why wouldn't they do it for the

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Speaker 1: the fighting way. You might as well just disband the

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Speaker 1: you know, a half college football, just forget it. If

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be the case, right, Like you tell Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: go play people, they go play Notre Dame, they win,

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Speaker 1: and then they still get shafted. I wouldn't be I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be that shocked, That's all I'm saying. I I

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Speaker 1: think at the end they'll hopefully make direct choice and

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Speaker 1: put an undefeated Cincinnati And I just I'm saying that

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Speaker 1: order name is such an institution in the country, it

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Speaker 1: would not surprise me. Okay, all right, let's get to

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Alan, let's focus on, uh the Sunday lineup.

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Speaker 1: I gotta start with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this I

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Speaker 1: was a little surprised that they opened less than a

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Speaker 1: field goal in India. I'm assuming that has everything to

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Speaker 1: do with Indie destroying Buffalo on the road, but um,

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Speaker 1: the Bucketeers seemed like the clear side. One of my

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Speaker 1: favorite bits of the weekend. What are you seeing on

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Speaker 1: this game? Um? We've been kind of high on the

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Speaker 1: Colts pretty all pretty much all season. Defensively, they're they're

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Speaker 1: really well world machine and um, the only question mark

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Speaker 1: that at least I've had all season was their quarterback position. Um,

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Speaker 1: I think the key to the Colts offenses don't let

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Speaker 1: Carson Wentz do anything, and you're gonna have a lot

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Speaker 1: of success. So I think if they keep that up,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a really good game. Um. That being said,

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Speaker 1: the Colts found a really easy, I think schedule. When

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Speaker 1: it comes to like matchup wise and the way the

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Speaker 1: Bucks offense is playing, I think this is definitely a

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Speaker 1: huge test for them defensively. Yeah, but what is that

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Speaker 1: Carson Wentz didn't do anything against Buffalo. I think he

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Speaker 1: had a hundred and twenty yards passing there and they

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Speaker 1: had forty one on Buffalo. There, you go, keep the

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Speaker 1: ball off his hands and good things are gonna happen,

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Speaker 1: or he's gonna throw picks at his own goal line.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, what about And I know a wide

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Speaker 1: receiver is not gonna be worth much. Um, but Antonio Brown,

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Speaker 1: since he went out, it seemed like the Bucks kind

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Speaker 1: of bogged down there offensively. Obviously coincided with Gronk and

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Speaker 1: some secondary injuries. Um, it seems like Brown is going

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Speaker 1: to be back maybe Sunday. Gronk we know is back.

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Speaker 1: I'm just curious how you would rate the injuries for

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and and and maybe they've slowed the progress

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Speaker 1: of the Bucks just a little bit mid season. I

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Speaker 1: think it's definitely affected them just from you know, they

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Speaker 1: just had so many weapons to start the year right

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Speaker 1: that obviously it made it that much more difficult to

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Speaker 1: cover a team that Tom Brady strow in the football Um.

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Speaker 1: But but I think when you talk about a position

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Speaker 1: like wide receiver, unless it's a an elite guy that's

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Speaker 1: not surrounded by a really solid number two's, the number

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Speaker 1: three's for a solid tight end, those guys really are

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Speaker 1: going to move the number very much at all. Um.

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Speaker 1: There's occasional like running back move that you might get,

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Speaker 1: Like McCaffrey is a good example of a team. We

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Speaker 1: would maybe move point and half two points and and

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Speaker 1: that's usually unheard of to move off running backs. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Another game that I've been looking very closely at just

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Speaker 1: Rams Packers showdown. We know Matt Staffords used to Green Bay. Uh,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't seem like the weather is going to be awful,

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Speaker 1: but this is swung crossing through zero is not huge.

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Speaker 1: But the Packers had opened as small favorites, and now

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Speaker 1: it looks like the Rams are small favorites here. Um,

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Speaker 1: what's the betting action like on this one? Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: mean early in the week you're usually seeing sharp action

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Speaker 1: and and you know they they're showing that they they're

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Speaker 1: they we want to back the Rams from what we're seeing. UM.

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Speaker 1: The tricky thing is you never quite know until the

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Speaker 1: end of the week if they're moving it to get

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Speaker 1: the lumber to go towards the Packers so they can

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Speaker 1: come back and unload on the Packers. Sometimes that happens,

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Speaker 1: but I think in this case, I think the Rams

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Speaker 1: might be decided. I mean they're coming off to buy

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Speaker 1: the embarrassment to the Niners. I think that that gives

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Speaker 1: them kind of that um, that extra you know, that

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Speaker 1: extra incentive in a game where this is gonna matter

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Speaker 1: for playoffs. Spot and UM, I kind of expect the

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Speaker 1: Rams to be really strong in this in this spot.

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Speaker 1: It's interesting a lot of the professional gamblers don't respect

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Speaker 1: the Packers, even though they kicked their teeth in most

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Speaker 1: of the season. I think they were nine and one

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Speaker 1: against the spread for a minute. Um, and then even

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Speaker 1: the advanced stats don't like the Packers. D v o

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Speaker 1: A has them. I am curious though, why do you

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Speaker 1: think that the public has gravitated towards Aaron Rodgers and

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Speaker 1: the Packers is because we don't think they're great now

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Speaker 1: they've been down a lot of players defensively. But is

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Speaker 1: it simply the name the brand Aaron Rodgers Packers. It's

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Speaker 1: a note note. You don't really have to put much

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Speaker 1: thought into it. You just lay the number with him. Definitely, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's it's the brand. You know. Uh, people love betting

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Speaker 1: on the team. In the quarterback a ton and you

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Speaker 1: saw that a lot when you know, Tom Brady was

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Speaker 1: just in his last year in New England. It didn't

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Speaker 1: matter who they were playing, and as bad as their

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Speaker 1: offensive roster was, it just didn't matter because they still

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Speaker 1: had Tom Brady. And you saw it with Mahomes. I

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Speaker 1: mean they able that the chief at any number, even though, uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, the kind of power ratings we had when

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Speaker 1: they were kind of going through that poor swing that

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Speaker 1: they had were way off of like what the market showed.

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Speaker 1: So there's definitely some love from the public that isn't

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Speaker 1: was backed up by the stats. And I am curious

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Speaker 1: on the quarterback front. You know, Russell Wilson doesn't look

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Speaker 1: like the same quarterback he was earlier this season. Seattle

388
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Speaker 1: basically stinks now, shut out in Green Bay by like

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Speaker 1: a second tier defense, and then lost a copy at home,

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Speaker 1: and their offense just isn't looking good. But is the

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Speaker 1: public continuing to go to the window for Seattle? Uh?

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Speaker 1: This is the first week I've really noticed they're backing

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Speaker 1: off Seattle. Um so far our ticket account, there's more.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot more tickets, especially Parlay's that are involving

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Speaker 1: in Washington. So UM, It'll be interesting to see where

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Speaker 1: this one ends up. As far as closing line, you know,

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Speaker 1: I kind of wonder if if Wilson might look better

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Speaker 1: than he's looked in these previous two games, maybe that

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Speaker 1: hand is gonna be a little bit better this week.

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Speaker 1: We'll we'll see. It's funny you say that. It just

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Speaker 1: as you know how it works, Just as the public

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Speaker 1: backs off, that's when Seattle is going to deliver. Who

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Speaker 1: who is the public on it? Now? It's early in

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Speaker 1: the week, we're recording this on Wednesday afternoon. Who who

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Speaker 1: is the public on? For Sunday's games? So far? The

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Speaker 1: interesting one popped out of me right off the bat

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Speaker 1: was they love the Eagles big time? Um, that that

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Speaker 1: so far they have the highest ticket account for US

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Speaker 1: as far as parlays and whatnot, So that might be

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Speaker 1: one where that that could be turning into like a

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Speaker 1: trap trap game type of situation that people love to say.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a big believer in it, but every now

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Speaker 1: and then I think you're you're getting kind of two

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Speaker 1: teams at the opposite ends of the spectrum of where

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Speaker 1: I think if we go back four weeks from now,

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Speaker 1: there's no way that the Eagles are three and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites at the Giants. Yeah, it's weird. I've

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Speaker 1: seen I again. You want to monitor the movement and

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Speaker 1: the look aheads and all that. I swear, Alan, maybe

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Speaker 1: you can debunk this. It seems like the big money

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Speaker 1: gamblers are on the Eagles every single week and now

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Speaker 1: the public wants to jump on. Yeah, yeah, that that

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Speaker 1: does seem to be the case. There'll be a team

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Speaker 1: that I think the market kind of holds as an

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Speaker 1: undervalued market or an undervalued team, and uh, you'll start

426
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 1: seeing the line shift in their direction. Um. One thing

427
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,679
Speaker 1: that I think most of the bookmakers would tell you

428
00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 1: is the public doesn't really move the line. It's it's

429
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 1: moved by a sharp action. That's why when you look

430
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 1: at you know, like when that ticket council pop up

431
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,320
Speaker 1: like on our feet, and you might see that the

432
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 1: money is on one side, but the ticket counts completely

433
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,879
Speaker 1: the opposite way, and you'll wonder, well, why if the

434
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 1: money is on that side, why is the line come down?

435
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:17,919
Speaker 1: And that's the reason. That's kind of the bat signal

436
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: to h you may want to look closer at that game, right. Yeah,

437
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 1: Usually it's a it's a decent tool. Um. The one

438
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 1: thing I always tell people is that as great as

439
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 1: some of these sharp players are, and they don't they

440
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 1: don't want every time either. If we be public every week,

441
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 1: they we wouldn't have a business. So yeah, they're there's

442
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 1: still what seven maybe Yeah, yeah, I think it's fair. Um.

443
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 1: You'll see like a couple of guys will have a

444
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 1: hell of a year every now and then, um, and

445
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: then they kind of come back to earth a little

446
00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:47,920
Speaker 1: bit around those marks. You know. Fox Sports Radio has

447
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:50,880
Speaker 1: the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all

448
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,119
Speaker 1: of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com and

449
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 1: within the I Heart Radio app search f s R

450
00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,639
Speaker 1: to listen live. You said you're not a big believer

451
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 1: in like the trap games. I think that I would

452
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 1: agree that's largely more of a college thing um within

453
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:07,640
Speaker 1: the young kids and the teenagers. But I am curious

454
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,160
Speaker 1: where you are in the whole narrative of a revenge game.

455
00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 1: If you remember last year, Week seventeen, the Eagles tanked

456
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,439
Speaker 1: in the second half so that Washington could win and

457
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 1: the Giants were going to get in the playoffs and

458
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:22,399
Speaker 1: they then got eliminated. Um, if Joe Judge, you know,

459
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,399
Speaker 1: wants to keep his job, he pretty much has to

460
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 1: win this game. I know that's a lot of like

461
00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,480
Speaker 1: stuff that you can't really bake into the line. And

462
00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,199
Speaker 1: it's like, come on, these are professionals making a lot

463
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 1: of money. But where do you fall on the whole

464
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 1: like revenge narrative angle. Now you're speaking my language, man,

465
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 1: These are the type of things because because you know,

466
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 1: at the end of the day, like especially late in

467
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 1: the season, the math is the math. I mean we

468
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 1: early on in the year, you're gonna see like lines

469
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,879
Speaker 1: are way off and things don't make sense because you know,

470
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: we're basing off of a lot of like historical data

471
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 1: like from last year, the previous year. New players coming

472
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:56,480
Speaker 1: in now you've got, like, you know, eleven games that

473
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:58,919
Speaker 1: these teams have played, ten games, whatever the number is.

474
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 1: And you know that's the kind of stuff I like

475
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 1: to look for. Is is once the line starts moving

476
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 1: in against that revenge game, as you'd like to put it, Um,

477
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 1: that's where I start going. Maybe I want to get

478
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 1: involved with the Giants here. They're coming off a horrendous

479
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 1: loss as the division rival. As we've seen with division games,

480
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 1: sometimes the team that's much worse gets to win. And

481
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 1: they just fired their offensive coordinator. Um. I will have

482
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 1: to confess, like an idiot, I had the Giants in

483
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 1: in my in my contest. It was like my last pick.

484
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,119
Speaker 1: I was like, I'll go Giants double digits, Brady at Night,

485
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 1: all that nonsense. And you watched like a quarter and

486
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: you're like, this game is over. The Giants look lifeless,

487
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 1: and I think you're right out and anybody who watched

488
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 1: that game on Monday night it's gonna come away. But

489
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: there's no way I'm touching the Giants right because that's

490
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,480
Speaker 1: a national TV Island game. You know, there's nothing else on.

491
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,639
Speaker 1: Maybe some college troops, but nobody's back in the Giants here.

492
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,239
Speaker 1: I think this is the week you want to back them,

493
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 1: just as the public races to get the Eagles right. Yeah,

494
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,439
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, if you're if you're making me

495
00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 1: about the game, I'm not taking the Eagles in the spot,

496
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,719
Speaker 1: not saying that they have been playing well. They definitely

497
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,360
Speaker 1: have UM, but but you're right. I mean, I think

498
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 1: this is this is the last moment for Judge, maybe

499
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,400
Speaker 1: you know, make a case to keep his job, beating

500
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 1: a division rival at home after that embarrassing loss. Um

501
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 1: there seems again maybe I'm wrong, and you can tell

502
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 1: me what the ticking count in the bets, but it

503
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 1: looks like people are betting on the Houston Texans, but

504
00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 1: the number has come off of the three, meaning that

505
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,200
Speaker 1: there's some big money I would assume on the Jets.

506
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:29,880
Speaker 1: Is that if a fair read, it looks like Zach

507
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:31,440
Speaker 1: Wilson is going to be the guy. By the way, yeah,

508
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 1: I think I think that one was a little bit

509
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 1: more on the basis of the Wilson move just knowing

510
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 1: that he was gonna play. UM. I'm not seeing, honestly,

511
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 1: a whole lot of action in that game. I think

512
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 1: when once you get into this like week twelve, very

513
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 1: and you know, two teams are bad. You kind of

514
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:47,359
Speaker 1: gotta hold your nose if you're gonna take either side

515
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 1: of this and not be surprised if you take the

516
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 1: l either way. Have you seen a bigger adjustment on

517
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,040
Speaker 1: any team this season from the start to now than

518
00:24:56,080 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. Uh? No, they probably probably got

519
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 1: to be the one. I know, like the Eagles, kind

520
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: of mid season, they were getting kind of far out

521
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 1: there in the odds, um as far as like to

522
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 1: win the division Super Bowl, and they've been going on

523
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:11,439
Speaker 1: a run and then their schedule looks pretty good at

524
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 1: the end of the year. But um, yeah, New England

525
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: with how well they've kind of put together the offense

526
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 1: just to make things comfortable for Mac Jones, and that

527
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 1: defense is rady really high. Um, it's crazy to look

528
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 1: at that Titans line, and I mean, if you know

529
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: the Titans were healthy, there's no way at six and

530
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 1: a half, and I'm sure they were favored maybe on

531
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 1: the road in that game, but at the start of

532
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,479
Speaker 1: the year. Yeah, is this one where if it touches

533
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 1: seven you see instant buy back on the Titans. I think, well,

534
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:41,160
Speaker 1: you're you're gonna see seven's they're starting to pop up already.

535
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 1: So um, but but I definitely think that we'll see

536
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,919
Speaker 1: a couple of sharp guys get involved at that number.

537
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 1: And I don't I don't want to hammer away at

538
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: the trap look ahead thing. But New England just watched

539
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: Tennessee lose to Houston, arguably one of the worst teams,

540
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 1: well maybe the worst team in the league, got out

541
00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 1: of Detroit, and uh oh yeah, England has Buffalo next

542
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 1: week in a massive divisional game. I can't imagine Belichick

543
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 1: getting He's too good to get caught in a look ahead.

544
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 1: But what about his players? I mean, he's got a

545
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 1: rookie quarterback, a lot of free agents who haven't won

546
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 1: before anywhere else and now they come in here. Is

547
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 1: that something that could apply here? And and maybe there's

548
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 1: some value on the Titans? Sure, I think so. I

549
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,919
Speaker 1: think it's seven. It's an interesting that, Um, you know,

550
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,439
Speaker 1: you play that bad against the division rival. I mean,

551
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 1: I'm sure that's kind of kind of sparked the locker room.

552
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,480
Speaker 1: Rabel doesn't seem like a guy that's gonna take a

553
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 1: beating like that, laying down and not really work his

554
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,640
Speaker 1: team pretty hard this week in practice, and he knows

555
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,959
Speaker 1: what he's getting into with Belichick. So yeah, seven seems

556
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 1: like a pretty good play. Um, you know, as far

557
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 1: as the look ahead, I mean, I think you're you

558
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:48,239
Speaker 1: hit dead on. I don't think Belichick teams would be

559
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 1: necessarily looking ahead and next week, but um, you know,

560
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 1: it's a big game for them, So maybe there's some

561
00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 1: some people in that roster that are going to be

562
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 1: thinking about Buffalo. I am really really interested by this

563
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,240
Speaker 1: San Francisco Minnesota game, probably a game I don't want

564
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 1: to bet because these two teams are you know, schizophrenic essentially,

565
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,719
Speaker 1: uh and Zimmer loves to find ways to lose games,

566
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 1: and you know, Kyle Shanahan is a favorite as a nightmare.

567
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:15,680
Speaker 1: What are you seeing on this game? Any action or

568
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: is it about ast as you can get? Yeah? That one?

569
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,120
Speaker 1: That one't have been two way pretty much thus far,

570
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: nothing nothing too crazy. We we opened minus three even

571
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 1: money on the Niners and we're sitting three minus twenty,

572
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 1: so minor action that made us move the juice up

573
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 1: a little bit. Um, but I kind of feel like

574
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 1: it's not going to close too far away from that number.

575
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 1: Just maybe three and a half used or a little

576
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,639
Speaker 1: bit come back to three. I want to ask you

577
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 1: finally about a team that isn't playing this week and

578
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. Uh, you know, Kyler Murray's missed several games. Now,

579
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 1: they did win a couple without him with Colt McCoy.

580
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 1: Kyler should be fully healed from the high ankle sprain.

581
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 1: I am curious if you guys have a lot of

582
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 1: exposure with them to win the super Bowl. I don't know,

583
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:04,000
Speaker 1: I mean, even get to the super Bowl, it still

584
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 1: doesn't seem like people are taking them seriously yet. Yeah,

585
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:10,239
Speaker 1: I mean I really think they should. Um, we we

586
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 1: definitely have some exposure. Arizona is one of the states

587
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,640
Speaker 1: we're in, uh and and it's one of our most

588
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 1: popular states. So we'll be cashing a few super Bowl

589
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 1: tickets down there if Colin Murray gets them all the way.

590
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,399
Speaker 1: But you know, I think they have to start taking

591
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 1: this team seriously. I mean, you're winning games, like you said,

592
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,640
Speaker 1: with Culte McCoy at quarterback. When you're doing things like that,

593
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 1: that means it's not just Kylin Murray and you put

594
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 1: him back in that lineup. But I think they're they're

595
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 1: getting to where they're they might be pretty special. Mm. Interesting, Oh,

596
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 1: I forgot there was one other team just because I

597
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 1: I I'm obsessed with this team and uh the highs

598
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 1: and lows of Cleveland Browns. Um, I they've killed me

599
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,960
Speaker 1: all season. They killed me last week with with the

600
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 1: Detroit result. I don't know what to make of them.

601
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: Uh if Baker is injured, Uh, he says he's beat up,

602
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 1: but they still keep playing him. Is there going to

603
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 1: be a lot of movement on this line against Baltimore

604
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 1: on the road. Um, it's an interesting one. We we

605
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:08,440
Speaker 1: opened this one five Browns plus four and a half.

606
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,760
Speaker 1: Now we're sitting at three and a half. When they

607
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: announced Lamars is probable, no real move came, which I

608
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: found interesting. I don't think the numbers necessarily far off.

609
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 1: I had about four and a half with Lamar. So

610
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 1: can you talk me through what it's like in your room?

611
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 1: There is a you guys have like a dream team

612
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 1: that you have together, and you're like, all right, you know, Joe, Joe, Joe,

613
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:35,160
Speaker 1: sharp guy, get laid fifty on Cleveland. What do we

614
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 1: what do we have to do here? I mean three

615
00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 1: and a half is that low in the market? Uh No,

616
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 1: we're pretty much at market now. Um, we were kind

617
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,120
Speaker 1: of out a little bit because we we kind of

618
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 1: liked Baltimore in this spot. But you know, when you

619
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 1: get a good, a good solid, sharp player to come

620
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 1: through and tell you now there's actually some value with

621
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 1: the Browns here, we will traditionally respect it and get

622
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 1: to the market number. Uh and uh Lamar Jackson's illness.

623
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,600
Speaker 1: How did that fair for you guys this week? Because

624
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 1: I know the opening number they definitely didn't cover, but

625
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 1: it sounds like they did cover the closing number when

626
00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 1: it was he was officially out. Yeah, that was a

627
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 1: bit of a mess for us, um the injury bug

628
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: and trying to be able to sharp action coming in here.

629
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 1: A couple of bets on the Bears of plus six

630
00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 1: and a half that we didn't really want obviously covered

631
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 1: that spread, So that can get very tricky. Man, when

632
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 1: there's that light breaking news like that. Yeah, it's fun

633
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 1: to deal with. The quarterback stuff has just been wild

634
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 1: this year, Allen? A right? Uh? And any final thoughts

635
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 1: you want to toss in on looking forward if if

636
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 1: someone came up to you, uh this weekend over thanks

637
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 1: you break, Allen ay Man, I got an extra hundred?

638
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 1: Who should I put it on to win the Super

639
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 1: Bowl and who who you got for me? That that's

640
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 1: been a million dollar question to me. I've been right, Yeah,

641
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 1: I've been joking around. I said, I feel like the

642
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: team that that rolls into the playoffs, the hottest team

643
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 1: in football, is probably gonna win the whole thing. I

644
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 1: just don't think there's a team that's a complete football

645
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 1: team that can just you know, called the distance. I mean,

646
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: the Bucks seem to have some flaws. Colts definitely have flaws.

647
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 1: The Patriots are I mean they you know, are they

648
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 1: gonna win to shootout? If they get into one in

649
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 1: the playoffs with all the quarterbacks they're gonna go through.

650
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's what about what about just the

651
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 1: healthiest team? I mean green Bay is still down like

652
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 1: four starters, Tampa's been missing guys all over the place.

653
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,719
Speaker 1: I want I just wondered, like, I know that nobody

654
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,479
Speaker 1: really likes the Packers except the public, but I do

655
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:29,400
Speaker 1: wonder if once they're fully healthy with the offensive line

656
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:31,720
Speaker 1: buck he already gets back, are they may be the

657
00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 1: best team with Aaron Rodgers and one of the better

658
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 1: stories in sports. Given the year Rogers's head. Get me

659
00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 1: the hell out of here. Uh, I'm vaccinated, though I'm not,

660
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 1: you know, any value in the Packers going forward, Yeah,

661
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: I think so. I think they're the closest probably to

662
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 1: having a complete roster at the moment as far as

663
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball um. They definitely got

664
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 1: the story, that's for sure. Yeah. You know, I I

665
00:31:58,080 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: have a hard time still going away from the Buck.

666
00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 1: I'm just Tom Brady just keeps proving over and over

667
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:05,960
Speaker 1: again that you doubt him, and he's just gonna make

668
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,720
Speaker 1: you pay for it. So if I are, you know, twist,

669
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 1: my arm might still go with Tampa. All right, what's

670
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 1: Tampa as we look at it today on Wednesday? That

671
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: Thanksgiving eve up Bowl to win the Super Bowl? Shoot

672
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:23,080
Speaker 1: off top of my head, I think we haven't six

673
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,200
Speaker 1: to one. Let me check real quick. It's not a

674
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 1: bad pay day, yeah, I mean, I mean, geez, that's

675
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 1: that's not bad plusive fifty, we're I mean, you know,

676
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: you've got the Rams at seven to one, the Chiefs

677
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: seven and one, the Bills at seven fifty, the Cardinals

678
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: at eight to one, the Packers at nine to one.

679
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 1: I mean, it's a log jam, like there's no one

680
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: that's yeah, And you know, I don't know, even if

681
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 1: Tampa gets home field advantage, I know they're good at home.

682
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 1: They smashed the bad teams. But it feels like of

683
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 1: all those teams you just mentioned, the biggest home field

684
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 1: advantage will be Lambo, right, and of course they lost

685
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 1: last year at Lambo to Brady. Uh. You know the

686
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 1: cornerback picked on it, Desmond King? Maybe is that is

687
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,280
Speaker 1: maybe I'm Kevin King? Yeah, yeah, they were just picking

688
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 1: on all right. Anyways, Allen, Hey, thanks a lot for

689
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 1: the time began. Now we'll talk to you soon. Appreciate Jason. Thanks.

690
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

691
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports

692
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app

693
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. The only thing

694
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 1: better than sitting on your couch watching the game. He's

695
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 1: making money while you do it. Here's your best beat,

696
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 1: great stuff from Alan Berg, a win that hopefully you

697
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 1: guys can use some of what he said to your

698
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 1: vantage this weekend. On the gambling front um college football,

699
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,480
Speaker 1: I don't have a ton of picks this week, obviously,

700
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 1: I've talked about it at length. Thanksgiving is a difficult

701
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 1: week for the gambling. Just simply because you know, of

702
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 1: all the Thanksgiving, hoopla family friends, off my schedule, my

703
00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: routine of going through all the games and the injuries

704
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 1: and the injury reports and the beat writers. Anyway, you

705
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 1: can't do everything in the granular fashion. But I it's

706
00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 1: hard pressed for me not to like Ohio State. I

707
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 1: just don't see how you can pick up against against

708
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 1: them here. Hardball's history shrouds hotness. I mean, the Ohio

709
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,320
Speaker 1: States just on fire the last couple of weeks. Maybe

710
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,160
Speaker 1: Michigan looks good for a half fights hard, but I

711
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 1: just can't see it now. Penn State did look pretty

712
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 1: good against Ohio State, hung around, hung around, and then

713
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 1: eventually caved. By the way. On a side note, I

714
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 1: do like Penn State this weekend against Michigan State. I

715
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 1: took Penn State favored by two UM against Michigan State.

716
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 1: Franklin staying, Maltucker staying, but Michigan State coming off a really,

717
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 1: really rotten loss. We know they're going to a good

718
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: bowl game. Penn State gonna end strong here now that

719
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 1: they're keeping Franklin. I like Penn State, so I'll take

720
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,280
Speaker 1: Ohio State. I'll take Penn State. A couple other random

721
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 1: bets Dan Mullins see give me the Gators against Florida

722
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 1: State in the big rivalry game that's going up. It

723
00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 1: looks like I could hit three by game time. I

724
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:59,439
Speaker 1: got the two and a half. I took Washington Small

725
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 1: against Wazoo in a rivalry game. A lot of good

726
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 1: rivalry matchups this weekend, and from the Obscure files, New

727
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:10,239
Speaker 1: Mexico getting seventeen. Go ahead, have fun with it in

728
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 1: Colorado State. If you can get a four, great, looks

729
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:14,319
Speaker 1: like I set it down to three against Nevada in

730
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:16,760
Speaker 1: a really good game. Uh. Those are the college football,

731
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,840
Speaker 1: But the NFL is where I've been really really doing

732
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 1: well lately. Three in the Fox column. Three and won

733
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:24,960
Speaker 1: the last two weeks. And I don't love a ton

734
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 1: this week obviously. You know, we talked about the Bills

735
00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football. That was easy winner, first half,

736
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,399
Speaker 1: full game, everything, cake walk for the Bills to bounce back.

737
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,280
Speaker 1: Still don't think they're great, especially this Tradavious White injuries.

738
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 1: Really bad news long term, but a nice win for

739
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 1: the Bills. Good cover cashing for all of us. Um

740
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 1: So the bets that I've made as of you know

741
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 1: right now, Friday morning. Uh, the Rams. I took the

742
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:54,439
Speaker 1: Rams on the road in Green Bay. Fairly strong play.

743
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,880
Speaker 1: I would say it's almost certainly gonna be in my contest.

744
00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 1: It Packers opened his favorites. But the injuries are mounting me.

745
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 1: Offensive line is really beat up. Aaron Rodgers still complaining

746
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,120
Speaker 1: about his toe, and you guys know what the Rams

747
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,919
Speaker 1: do upfront. They get pressure on the quarterbacks. And yes

748
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,840
Speaker 1: they have Davanta Adams healthy, but the Jalen Ramsey factor,

749
00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,759
Speaker 1: I don't know if I trust many guys outside of

750
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,359
Speaker 1: Davanta against the Rams defense. The Rams are a better

751
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:19,359
Speaker 1: defense than the Vikings, that's for sure. And I think

752
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:20,960
Speaker 1: the Rams defense shows up. But I would not be

753
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:22,919
Speaker 1: surprised if Stafford had one of those games like, oh

754
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 1: he's a really good quarterback. That's right. They were seven

755
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 1: and one and he was getting m v P love.

756
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 1: So I I took the Rams at pick them. It

757
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,520
Speaker 1: looks like it's one now. I can't imagine that they're

758
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:36,240
Speaker 1: gonna be two point favorites in Lambeau. And listen, nobody's

759
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,880
Speaker 1: ever made money betting against Aaron Rodgers at home. I

760
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 1: did it last week with the Vikings. I'm going back

761
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: to the well. I like this Packers team. I think

762
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 1: they'll be better going forward, but I don't like this spot.

763
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 1: The other team, UM that I came in on for

764
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,320
Speaker 1: sure as Tampa. Remember I talked about it earlier in

765
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:51,839
Speaker 1: the week. I had looked at India. I was like, Oh,

766
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:53,879
Speaker 1: it is a good matchup, and then you just see

767
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:57,080
Speaker 1: this Quintin Nelson injury and it sounds like he's definitely

768
00:36:57,120 --> 00:37:00,279
Speaker 1: not gonna play Quentin Nelson gold. Look what happen when

769
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,040
Speaker 1: he was down earlier in the season. He missed a

770
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 1: couple of games and the run game was rattled. They

771
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 1: missed him against the Ravens and it was like Garson

772
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:10,840
Speaker 1: Wentz game. They were like, oh, we can't run without Nelson, um,

773
00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:12,640
Speaker 1: so let's throw the Taylor out of the backfield the

774
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 1: time and they basically went with Carson Wentz hasn't throw

775
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 1: him for over two hundred seventy five yards except once

776
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:22,480
Speaker 1: against the Ravens without Nelson. A lot of quick passes, UM,

777
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:25,800
Speaker 1: a lot of play action, and can Carson Wentz do

778
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,480
Speaker 1: that against Tampa. I don't really care if it's at home.

779
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 1: We've seen that home field advantage, guys doesn't mean much.

780
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 1: I mean the Superdome last night, taken out of it

781
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,919
Speaker 1: instantly by the Bills. Like home field advantage, Dallas lose

782
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 1: to the Raiders, Dallas lose to Denver, like just forget

783
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:44,080
Speaker 1: about home field. This idea, if anything, is Tampa with

784
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 1: with that very very good wide receiver group, and it

785
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:50,320
Speaker 1: sounds like no Antonio Brown, but Godwin's healthy, Evans is fine,

786
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 1: Gronk is back. I think this offense is gonna really

787
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 1: hum I would not be surprised that there's a big

788
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 1: Geo Bernard game for Tampa, assuming he's healthy. I haven't

789
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 1: seen him or heard his name much lately, but this

790
00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:04,399
Speaker 1: seems like one of those Hey cults are gonna change

791
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 1: it up. There's no way they're gonna sit back in

792
00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 1: their zone against Brady. He will pick them apart too easily.

793
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 1: I the Eberfluce is gonna have to change something up there.

794
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:17,239
Speaker 1: Their DNA does not include a lot of blitzing, and

795
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 1: they're they're very susceptible in the middle of the field.

796
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:22,600
Speaker 1: Um some of those next gen stats say they're susceptible

797
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 1: in the middle where guess where Brady makes all his

798
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 1: money in the middle of the field. Um. So you

799
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: look at some of the Football Outsider stuff and the

800
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,400
Speaker 1: next Gen stats, and this just does not look like

801
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,680
Speaker 1: a good matchup for the Colts, especially if Nelson's out.

802
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 1: By the way, Vita vea back for Tampa on that

803
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 1: defensive line, and you know, Tampa look good on Monday

804
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 1: Night football, putting away the Giants fairly easily. And you

805
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:46,760
Speaker 1: just wonder if they win this, will everybody say, boom,

806
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 1: that's the team that's the super Bowl favorite this season?

807
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 1: Because we've bounced around many teams, nobody's really separated themselves,

808
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 1: and including Tampa a couple of weeks ago, had they

809
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 1: lost to Washington a lot of injuries. I like Tampa

810
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 1: this week to go into Indie and win on the road. Um,

811
00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:05,239
Speaker 1: I don't know if it'll be easy, but I just

812
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,319
Speaker 1: have a feeling that India is overvalued because that went

813
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:10,640
Speaker 1: over the Bills. Remember, so many people just bet on

814
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 1: what they just saw. You know, Oh gosh, come on,

815
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,040
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys. They stink against Denver. I don't know. I'm

816
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 1: in a beat Atlanta and what does Dallas do to Atlanta?

817
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,360
Speaker 1: And then what happens to following week? You guys can't

818
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 1: read too much into what you just saw. Just That's

819
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:25,799
Speaker 1: one of the reasons I like the Bills a lot

820
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 1: um against the Saints, and I like Tampa a lot

821
00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 1: here um against the Indianapolis Colts. So those are two

822
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 1: for sure. If you're looking for a teaser, I think

823
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,360
Speaker 1: the Patriots will be in every teaser, right six and

824
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,399
Speaker 1: a half tea set down a half a point. They're

825
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 1: at home against Tennessee. The Titans are scrambling, they had

826
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:49,799
Speaker 1: Golden Tate. They cut Adrian Peterson Like I don't, this

827
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 1: is where they're reaching for offense. And by the way,

828
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:55,399
Speaker 1: I looked at Tannehill's numbers and I'm embarrassed. I said,

829
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:57,440
Speaker 1: like three weeks ago, hey's playing. Maybe he's got to

830
00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,279
Speaker 1: be an MVP contention. You know, he's got thirt teen

831
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 1: touchdowns in twelve interceptions, like he's been very if four

832
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:07,439
Speaker 1: picks against the Texans last week, Like come on, I don't,

833
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 1: I don't know. Tennessee's gonna have to win this with

834
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:10,959
Speaker 1: his defense. I don't see that happening. So I would

835
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: tease down the Patriots. Um, I think you tease up

836
00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 1: the Vikings against San Franz. Remember the Vikings that played

837
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 1: ten games, nine of them have been a touchdown or less.

838
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 1: That's what they do. San fran has played well the

839
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:26,600
Speaker 1: last two weeks. I'm sure they're gonna take a lot

840
00:40:26,640 --> 00:40:30,280
Speaker 1: of money here. Remember a lot of the big professionals wise, guys,

841
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:34,880
Speaker 1: the Gambles, they like San Francisco a lot earlier this season.

842
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:38,160
Speaker 1: They like Philly. They've rode them both. Now San France

843
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:40,320
Speaker 1: getting healthier. They've got two nice wins in their pocket

844
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,080
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, and I think they're loading

845
00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 1: up here. This was two and a half. It looks

846
00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 1: like it's headed towards three and a half. So juice

847
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 1: three right now. Give me Minnesota and a teaser, and

848
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 1: I would also tease Teddy covers Teddy Bridgewater up from

849
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:55,840
Speaker 1: two and a half to eight and a half. Chargers,

850
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 1: they don't put anybody away. The inability to finish teams

851
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:01,680
Speaker 1: and put their foot on their throat and really choke

852
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:03,759
Speaker 1: them out. They just can't do that. You saw it

853
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 1: against the Steelers with the block punt and then the

854
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 1: freaky interception and the leaky run defense, like they just

855
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 1: they don't know how to finish yet. Justin Herbert, obviously

856
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,520
Speaker 1: it can and is capable, but he's still a young

857
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 1: quarterback and the coaching staff is very young there. So

858
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 1: I would tease up Denver at home. You give me

859
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:22,960
Speaker 1: eight and a half, I'll take it. I know they've

860
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,799
Speaker 1: laid some eggs at home. Um they were. It was

861
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:28,759
Speaker 1: closer against Philly than that final score showed. Remember they

862
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 1: were marching down for the uh tying touchdown in the

863
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:34,400
Speaker 1: final moments of the third quarter there in the red

864
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:37,720
Speaker 1: zone and there's a fumble and big place Slate takes

865
00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 1: at eighty three yards the other way for a touchdown.

866
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 1: So it goes from Oh, we're about to tie the

867
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 1: game to we're down fourteen, and that was all she wrote.

868
00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 1: Teddy's not really built to come back from a big one. Uh.

869
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 1: And they also laid an egg against I forget the Ravens.

870
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:53,840
Speaker 1: That's right, I had I had them at home against

871
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 1: Ravens earlier this year. It's funny how we always remember

872
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 1: the losses. Um, So that that would be a teaser

873
00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:00,920
Speaker 1: that I'm interested in. I'll so like I'm looking at

874
00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 1: for the contest Atlanta, but they're taking money. It looks

875
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:07,160
Speaker 1: like it's up to two. I'm looking at Carolina as well. Um,

876
00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:09,479
Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay away from Eagles Giants. If you guys

877
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 1: heard the Allen Berg talk, I know some of you

878
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 1: just fast forward for the picks. Just go back and

879
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:16,720
Speaker 1: listen to that. This is a bit of a trap

880
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:21,000
Speaker 1: if you take the Eagles. Just know what you're getting into. Okay, Um,

881
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 1: and those are pretty much the guy I'm not touching this,

882
00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:29,440
Speaker 1: Um Ravens. Brown's game just too much wackiness. And I

883
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 1: know a lot of people are gonna want to take

884
00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:35,160
Speaker 1: Washington as they opened up as a dog at home

885
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 1: to Seattle and that has now flipped in Washington's favorite.

886
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:42,200
Speaker 1: Seattle does stink, but it does still have Russell Wilson.

887
00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:46,319
Speaker 1: This is not a divisional game. I'm I don't think

888
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:48,239
Speaker 1: I'm taking the bait here. I cannot take the bait

889
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:50,840
Speaker 1: and take Washington. I think that's what they want you

890
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:52,840
Speaker 1: to do. I mean, you can look up anything on

891
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:56,600
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, Monday Night Football, Peat Carroll Primetime games, like

892
00:42:57,080 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 1: I know you can throw some of that out because

893
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:00,400
Speaker 1: they don't have that good of a team, But I

894
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 1: just don't want to get in front of any of

895
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:03,680
Speaker 1: that nonsense. So this is a tough week. If you

896
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:07,440
Speaker 1: didn't lock up the Buffalo bills and survivor and and

897
00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:09,480
Speaker 1: get out of that Thursday like I did. Well. I'm

898
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 1: sorry for your luck, but there's always next week. We'll

899
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:13,400
Speaker 1: talk to you Monday,