1 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am 3 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: Eastern on Applecarclay, and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. 4 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch 5 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: Eli Lilly, it. 7 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 3: Had a salespaper. Shares are taken ahead, Yeah, Lily shares 8 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 3: it down about fourteen percent. There is something overshadowing that. 9 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:33,919 Speaker 3: For that, we're going to bring in Damien Gardett's Bloomberg 10 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 3: News health reporter. Damian, thanks for joining us here in 11 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 3: the studio. So it looks like this experiment, this drug experiment, 12 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 3: the weight loss pill, and that's the thing here. It 13 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 3: didn't do as well in the study as Wall Street had. 14 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 4: Expected exactly so it met its goals and it helped 15 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 4: people lose weight, which was the whole point of it. 16 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 4: This was enrolling people with obesity, but that weight loss 17 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 4: was about eleven percent of body weight, and Wall Street 18 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 4: was hoping to see something more kin to fourteen to 19 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 4: fifteen percent, which would match what's seen with the injectible 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 4: GLP one weight loss medicines like with GOVI from rival 21 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 4: Novo Nordisk. So despite the trial being a success, and 22 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 4: despite this pill seemingly on the path to winning FDA 23 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 4: approval and hitting the market as early as next year, 24 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 4: the reaction, as you mentioned, was dramatically negative formulaly because these, 25 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 4: you know, single digit percentage differences are perceived to be 26 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 4: massively important to the ultimate financial future. It's medicine. 27 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 5: Here's the thing for me knowing someone that does this 28 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 5: GLP one thing, whatever it is. You gotta reduce the 29 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 5: side effects of the nausea, and this one didn't. And 30 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 5: that was the I know people that use it and 31 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 5: use the injection or saying, boy, when the oral one 32 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 5: comes out, I'm told that the side effects will be 33 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 5: dramatically less, which is a huge selling point, and I 34 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 5: guess that's not what they saw here. 35 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 4: Basically, in this study, they saw gastro intestinal side effects 36 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 4: that were comparable to the injectible one, which your point 37 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 4: could be viewed as a negative. There was a I 38 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 4: think there was a home run scenario where Lily's pill 39 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 4: would both lead to a greater percentage of body weight 40 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 4: loss and as you mentioned, have fewer of the nausea 41 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 4: vomiting field. 42 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 5: Plus that were we being the pharmaceutical biotech, and we're 43 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 5: in the early innings of this GLP type obesity thing. 44 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 5: I can't imagine why it's not going to get better 45 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 5: and better and better and better, or I don't know 46 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 5: the science. Maybe we're already at that limit. We are 47 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 5: at the limit of this whatever this thing is. 48 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:31,239 Speaker 4: I don't think so. I mean, in granted, you know 49 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 4: clinical trials need to play out. Science biology famously unpredictable, 50 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 4: but I would say the space is moving in two directions. 51 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 4: One combination medicines that add GLP one to other things 52 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 4: that can lead to more dramatic weight loss, and then 53 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 4: two more convenient things like pills that you can take 54 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 4: that maybe don't have the same effect on body weight, 55 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 4: but that would be cheaper to manufacture, presumably cheaper to 56 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 4: acquire for patients because these injectables have list prices of 57 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 4: inexcess of one thousand dollars a month. So in the 58 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 4: best case scenario, let's say five years from now, there 59 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 4: will be an armamentarium of weight loss medicines. If you 60 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:05,799 Speaker 4: an armamentarium, which I think I stumbled over a whole 61 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 4: bunch of them, like in an armory. Let's say so 62 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 4: a physician yes, a physician, could you know, diagnose a 63 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 4: patient and say, for some people you will need an 64 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 4: injectable that you can lose twenty five percent of your 65 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 4: body weight on. For some people you may be good 66 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 4: with an oral medicine where you lose a single digit 67 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 4: or even ten percent of your body weight, or mixing 68 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 4: and matching using one for maintenance and the upside being 69 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,919 Speaker 4: theoretically this will one become a massive one hundred billion 70 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 4: dollar market for the pharmaceutical industry, but two have knock 71 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 4: on beneficial effects for people's health. 72 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 3: So where do we stand with the pills? I mean, 73 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 3: what other competition is out there? Who else is working 74 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 3: on one that we should keep an eye on as well. 75 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 4: So Novo Nordisk has an oral version of the injectable 76 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 4: week govy. It is not as convenient or I would 77 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 4: say innovative frankly, as Lily's pill, because it's basically just 78 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 4: a bunch of wgovy shoved into a tablet that you 79 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 4: eat and it sits in your gut and administers the 80 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 4: drug there. And that it comes with restriction. You can't 81 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 4: take it with food, you have to do it in 82 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 4: the morning. It's not really as attractive a commercial product, 83 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 4: I think it's fair to say as Lilies, but there 84 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 4: are other oral options from smaller biotech companies that we 85 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 4: may see them progress to the market. There's also a 86 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,479 Speaker 4: lot of m and a speculation around these firms that 87 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 4: a company like Pfizer, for example, which kind of crashed 88 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 4: and burned with its first attempt to make a GLP 89 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 4: one pill, might acquire them. So this is very much 90 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 4: a space to watch. I would say a year from now, 91 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 4: it's quite likely that it will look demonstrably different than 92 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 4: it looks right now. 93 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 5: So as I look at the PGeo table, which kind 94 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 5: of breaks down where the revenue comes from Lily, where 95 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,679 Speaker 5: is the cardio metabolic health is at the sector again, 96 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 5: now that's that sector is sixty five percent of total revenue. 97 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 5: So that's a big deal for Lily. 98 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 4: And that's not inclusive of this oral drug which isn't 99 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 4: even approved yet. So I mean, as you mentioned these 100 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 4: data overshadowing, Lily had like a blowout quarter. They're approved 101 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 4: medicine for obesity and the same thing is sold for diabetes. 102 00:04:57,320 --> 00:05:00,080 Speaker 4: Both of them beat estimates, they raised revenue guide and 103 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 4: profit guidance. They're doing very very well, but I think 104 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 4: the stock reaction today is sort of an illustration of 105 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 4: just how much is baked into the potential of these medicines. 106 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 4: Lily has flirted with being a trillion dollar valuation company. 107 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 4: They're not there anymore, but that's strictly a reflection of 108 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 4: what people believe will come of this class of medicine. 109 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:20,360 Speaker 3: So, speaking of the potential, then, so why is the 110 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 3: science behind these pills? Why is it such a challenge. 111 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 4: I mean, getting what you can do in an injectable medicine, 112 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,720 Speaker 4: getting that down into a pill has been deviled the 113 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 4: drug industry for many, many years because there are safety concerns, 114 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 4: there are dosing concerns. The ideal product is like a 115 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 4: superpill that prolongs your life and et cetera. But there's 116 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 4: a reason we have so few of those, and it's 117 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 4: basically just the trial and error and the unpredictability of biology. 118 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,159 Speaker 4: And I think these companies are always trying to bend 119 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 4: the curves of failures. But like it remains true that 120 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,279 Speaker 4: roughly one in ten medicines actually makes it from the 121 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:57,599 Speaker 4: lab to the pharmacy. 122 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 5: My freshman year college chemistry lab partner went on to 123 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 5: become like this crazy smart dude played a wide receiver 124 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 5: in the NFL. Then he became a signist an astronaut 125 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 5: space shuttle crazy and I was like, I was like, dude, 126 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 5: can you carry me in this chemistry classic because I'm 127 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:22,039 Speaker 5: not really into it? And he was super smart. So 128 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 5: and then that he didn't peak there, he didn't He 129 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:26,599 Speaker 5: didn't peak in the NFL. I guess he peaked the 130 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 5: flying around in space. 131 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: So good. 132 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 5: There. What's the next thing that you're looking for in 133 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 5: a pharmer's space here? What's the next big mover here 134 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 5: on a company level that you're looking. 135 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 4: At for weight loss specifically or just more broadly. 136 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think everything. 137 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 4: Actually MRK is working on. Speaking of pills, they're working 138 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 4: on a pill version that would be basically a superstat 139 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 4: It would lower bad cholesterol to a level that cannot 140 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 4: be done with oral medicines that exists right now, and 141 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 4: that it kind of follows this same trajectory that I 142 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 4: think we're seeing big pharma company years ago after statinshe 143 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 4: generic kind of moved away from primary care medicines because 144 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 4: it's difficult, you have to run big trials, it's expensive. 145 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 4: If they fail, you lose a lot of money. And 146 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 4: move toward oncology and rare diseases. I feel like we're 147 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 4: seeing and I think GLP one was sort of the 148 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 4: trojan horse in some ways of this. We're seeing the 149 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 4: major drug companies move back toward primary care, trying to 150 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 4: invent medicines that would be taken by millions of people 151 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 4: and they would actually address the number one killer of Americans, 152 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 4: which is heart disease. So I think that's a trend 153 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 4: that I'm following, and we'll get data from that murk pill, 154 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 4: I believe by the end of the year. 155 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 5: All Right, I mean you and Sam Fizzelli, you guys, 156 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 5: do whatever you do in that healthcare thing. Just tell 157 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 5: us when something important is happening. Damien Gardelli, a healthcare 158 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 5: reporter for Bloomberg News, joinings life here in our Bloomberg 159 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 5: Interactive Broker studio. You know, back in my trading days, man, 160 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 5: I'd go to my healthcare guy, I say, hey, can 161 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 5: I buy Lily today? It's down fifteen percent. I mean, 162 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 5: it feels like an entry point to me, and hopefully 163 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 5: Mianas will have a good idea what's going on space. 164 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 3: I mean, you hear the GLP ones are supposed to 165 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 3: lower cholesterol, but then you have other He was just 166 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 3: talking about another cholesterol, yes, and coming out. 167 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 5: But I mean these GLP things have been I see 168 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 5: a new story every day. How they help this, they 169 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 5: cure this, they lowered the risk of this. It's not 170 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 5: just so I don't know what's going. Healthcare space is 171 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 5: a tough, tough one to invest in. I think that's 172 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 5: why there's mds and PhDs all over the place in 173 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 5: investment firms investing in that space. 174 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 175 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto 176 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you 177 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 178 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 5: Almost the last time you went to a movie at 179 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:37,559 Speaker 5: a movie theater, oh, it was a. 180 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:38,959 Speaker 3: Tough We were supposed to go to the other weekend 181 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 3: and see like Superman, but that didn't happen. I watch 182 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 3: a lot of them, like I stream them, like for example, Minecraft, 183 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 3: like I saw at home and then I didn't go 184 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 3: to the theater to see it. Right, that's what like 185 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 3: Warner Brothers is dealing. 186 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly right, So but I'm Warner Brothers Discovery they 187 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 5: put out results. I don't know. I mean, my expectations 188 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 5: are really low for this company, but they I thought 189 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 5: they were pretty decent stocks. Trading off a little bit here, 190 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 5: let's get the latest on what's happening at One Brother's 191 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 5: Discovery and even maybe a little bit on our friends 192 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 5: at Peloton. Jen Sherman's my buddy there. She's a person 193 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:11,959 Speaker 5: I drink with. Of course, either wrong anah in us. 194 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 5: I'm not gonna do it with some dude. I mean, 195 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 5: you know, why would you do that. She's your friend 196 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 5: in your head exactly exactly where friends so githerrang and nothing. 197 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 5: She actually is the analyst on all this media stuff. 198 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 5: She's down there in our Princeton University sprawling campus. Hey, Gaeta, 199 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 5: talk to us about Warner Brothers Discovery, because there are 200 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:30,319 Speaker 5: like a lot of traditional media comedies trying to make 201 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 5: that transition from the good old days of linear television, 202 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 5: cable television, all that kind of stuff to the streaming world. 203 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 5: What did you learn from Warner Brother's Discovery. 204 00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, so, Paul, what we really saw was, you know, 205 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 2: a continuation of the same. So the streaming business is 206 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:48,439 Speaker 2: doing really well. The studio business is doing extremely well. 207 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 2: But TV Networks, which is really eighty percent off their ibadah, 208 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 2: is still struggling, and we saw a twenty five percent 209 00:09:55,840 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 2: slump in their TV Networks ibadah. So you know, that 210 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 2: continues to be a pain point. And while there was 211 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 2: initially some you know, obviously some excitement about the turnaround 212 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 2: and both the streaming and the studio businesses, the fact 213 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 2: that there is absolutely no respite inside for TV is 214 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 2: extremely distressing and that's. 215 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:18,560 Speaker 3: Why their shares are down like seven percent. Okay, So 216 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 3: talk to me about the companies in the process of 217 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 3: splitting itself into two separate entities, right, So where do 218 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:26,959 Speaker 3: we stand with that? What are the pros and cons 219 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 3: that go along with that? 220 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:30,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is you know, one of the best 221 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 2: ways for them, or at least you know, the fact 222 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: that they've kind of decided to do this really follows 223 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 2: a pattern in most of the media landscape where they're selling. 224 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,199 Speaker 2: They're kind of separating the low growth assets from the 225 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 2: slightly higher growth assets. The low growth or the low 226 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 2: growth assets being the TV business. That for Warner Brothers, 227 00:10:48,920 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 2: that split will happen in the middle of next year, 228 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 2: and really the strategy here is to unlock shareholder value 229 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 2: because you know that, you know, they combine their Warner 230 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 2: Brothers business with a Discovery you know networks. Of course 231 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 2: that really hasn't gone anywhere. And so finally everybody in 232 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 2: the in the in the media world is doing this 233 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 2: where they're kind of separating out the secularly challenged TV networks. 234 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 6: Uh. 235 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 2: The only problem here is that we still really don't 236 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 2: have a very clear strategy. So they have to really 237 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:20,719 Speaker 2: outline that, and I think that is part of the 238 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 2: reason why we're also kind of seeing this the decline 239 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 2: and shares this morning. 240 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 5: All Right, they had the studio had a good quarter here, 241 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 5: a couple in some some hits like Sinners, a Minecraft movie, 242 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 5: Final Destination, Bloodlines and things like that. Talk to us 243 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:39,320 Speaker 5: about the studio and maybe it's kind of it's forward slate. 244 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 5: How does that look for the company? 245 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 2: The forward say it, Actually, it looks really good, Paul. 246 00:11:43,920 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 2: You know, they just had their major DC reboot with Superman. Uh, 247 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 2: and they're what they're really trying to do now going forward. 248 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 2: I mean, they didn't have a Superman movie for years. 249 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 2: Their DC strategy was in a mess. You know, it 250 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 2: was a mess. They had so many movies out there, 251 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 2: it was all confusing lines. But I think finally they've 252 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 2: kind of they're going to write that ship. So they've 253 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 2: committed to a pretty strong slate of about twelve to 254 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:12,080 Speaker 2: fourteen movies going forward. The big thing for them is 255 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,440 Speaker 2: to really get Studio EBITDA to about three billion dollars, 256 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 2: and they seem to be well on their way. I mean, 257 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:20,840 Speaker 2: last year was a complete mess. This year definitely much 258 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 2: much better. They're actually if you just look at box 259 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 2: office performance overall, they already have about a twenty five 260 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 2: twenty six percent share of the domestic box office, so 261 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 2: they're only very slightly behind Disney. So they're definitely doing 262 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 2: well and their strategy is working. They have a pretty 263 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 2: good content pipeline. 264 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,640 Speaker 3: All right, let's switch over at Peloton. How is this 265 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 3: company doing? I mean, is there subscribers? Are they continuing 266 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 3: to come in? Are people still using this equipment as 267 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 3: much as they used to? 268 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 2: So for Peloton, really and the story has not been 269 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:54,680 Speaker 2: so much on subscribers, unfortunately. It has really been more 270 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 2: about trimming the fat literally at the company and kind 271 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 2: of getting profits into full focus. And if you just 272 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 2: saw this quarter's results and what they reported for the 273 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 2: full year. For fiscal twenty twenty five, I mean, the 274 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 2: progress that they've made in terms of profitability has been 275 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 2: absolutely outstanding. So they reported adjusted IBADAH that came in 276 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 2: about nineteen twenty percent higher than guidance and consensus their 277 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 2: forward guidance, So fiscal twenty twenty six suggested EBITDA guidance 278 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 2: is also was also way above consensus. So the way 279 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 2: that they're kind of optimizing their operating expenses has been 280 00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 2: absolutely stellar. You know, just everything in terms of workforce reduction, 281 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 2: in terms of inventory management, you know, op X costs, 282 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 2: marketing expenses, everything has been absolutely top notch. The only 283 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 2: problem for them is reintegrating demand. And that's where you know, 284 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 2: we're kind of really kind of seeing this disconnect because 285 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 2: the financial metrics are really good, but the subscriber metrics, 286 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 2: unfortunately are not. 287 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:57,079 Speaker 5: Is there a credible plan there to reignite growth there? 288 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 5: I just kind of it feels like, you know, everybody 289 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 5: who's got one's got one. How did they think talk 290 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 5: about that part of the story. 291 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's really going to be a little bit hard. 292 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:11,719 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, on the margin, I think they can 293 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 2: do some things to kind of reignite a little bit 294 00:14:14,160 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 2: of the hardware sales, but in terms of a sustainable 295 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 2: go forward strategy that is really still pretty unclear. Paul, So, 296 00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 2: I think right now, what they're really trying to do 297 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 2: is again really get you know, more costs out of 298 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 2: the system, maybe increase subscription prices a little bit, so 299 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 2: kind of pad that top line a little bit. But 300 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:36,080 Speaker 2: in terms of you know, the overall subscription growth story, 301 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 2: I'm not so sure that's really going to be a 302 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 2: volume story. I think it's it's going to you know, 303 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 2: focus more on kind of rates and price and improving 304 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 2: pricing and either how much. 305 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 3: Of that, you know, cutting costs includes cutting jobs. 306 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, they did actually you know, announce a six percent 307 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 2: workforce reduction as well, so a lot of it is 308 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 2: going to come down to cutting jobs. 309 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 5: All right, Just one quick thing on Warner Brothers Discovery. 310 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 5: What's the timing of this separation it's. 311 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 2: Going to So they announced the formal plan in June. 312 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 2: It's going to happen by Midge twenty twenty six, so 313 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 2: by middle of next year. 314 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 5: Okay, all right, we'll keep an eye on that. Gith 315 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 5: Throng and at and she covers all the media stuff 316 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 5: for Bloomberg intelligence down there for them to display. 317 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:21,440 Speaker 3: I mean, you see Comcasts do it right. 318 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it is simply because you hope that 319 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 5: the two parts have more total value than they do together, 320 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 5: and so you're concerned that the high growth business is 321 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 5: being pulled down by the slower growth cable networks. So 322 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 5: you split them out and see how far this, you know, 323 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 5: the streaming business in the studio can fly, I guess 324 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 5: is kind of the thought there. So we see it 325 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 5: all the time and lots of different industries, and there 326 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 5: was a time, you know, when all these assets made 327 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 5: sense to be together. But the fortunes, the economic fortunes 328 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 5: of the cable network and broadcast network business have been 329 00:15:56,240 --> 00:16:01,480 Speaker 5: permanently damaged, and it gets worse every year. So you know, 330 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 5: you just got to cut those out and see how 331 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 5: they trade on a standalone basis. Maybe ultimately they get acquired, 332 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,880 Speaker 5: or maybe some of these networks maybe get together the 333 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,880 Speaker 5: Comcast stuff. Maybe we'll get together with the Warner brother 334 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 5: stuff and just become bigger and get some cross energy. 335 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 5: So we'll see how that plays out. But we're seeing 336 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 5: that across the media space. 337 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 6: Here. 338 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 339 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,800 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarclay, and Android Auto 340 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you 341 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 342 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 5: Intel coming into the crosshairs of President Trump day, particularly 343 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 5: the CEO saying he's got to go. I mean, I 344 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 5: have no idea where that came from. I'm guessing Man 345 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 5: Deep Sing is read up on this. If nothing else, 346 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 5: Man Deep seeing senior tech analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence, President 347 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 5: Trump calling for this CEO of Intel to quit not 348 00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 5: He says he's conflicted. Can you give us the backstory 349 00:16:58,320 --> 00:16:59,640 Speaker 5: what's going on here? As far as you know? 350 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 6: I mean, most likely it has to do with the 351 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 6: minority investments that the Intel CEO has in companies within China, 352 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 6: and they may have some ties to the Chinese government 353 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 6: in some way. And look, he used to be a VC, 354 00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:23,359 Speaker 6: so this guy has had multiple roles. He used to 355 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 6: be the CEO of Cadence, then he was a VC 356 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 6: with you know, multiple investments in startups across the globe. 357 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 6: So I'm guessing the board Intel board before they appointed 358 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,399 Speaker 6: him as the CEO, did their due diligence in terms 359 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 6: of looking at all these aspects, and to my mind, 360 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:47,719 Speaker 6: I mean, it obviously is a surprise that, you know, 361 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,760 Speaker 6: I mean, his credentials are being questioned here given the 362 00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 6: reputation he has in the valley. 363 00:17:54,520 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 7: Is the American citizen I'm not sure, probably, but I mean, 364 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 7: those are the type of things he would expect the 365 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,199 Speaker 7: board to do their due diligence on. 366 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 6: For a company like Intel, which has had multiple CEOs 367 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:13,479 Speaker 6: and clearly is looking for a big turnaround, A lot 368 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 6: of people felt this guy had the credentials, you know, 369 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:19,399 Speaker 6: in terms of having the experience to turn around a 370 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 6: big ship like Intel. And I mean, so far, it's 371 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 6: too early to call out how good of a job 372 00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 6: he was doing. Still early days with his strategy, but 373 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 6: clearly he has plans to keep the foundry business and 374 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 6: turn around the core chip design business, and he has 375 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 6: raised a lot of cash. So I would say still 376 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:47,159 Speaker 6: early days with his strategy. But this clearly puts, you know, 377 00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 6: a wrench in terms of his strategy. 378 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 5: Just as per Wiki Wikipedia, it says that he is 379 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:58,400 Speaker 5: a Malaysian born American business executive. So that's all I got. 380 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,679 Speaker 3: Well, something you brought up that they probably you know, 381 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 3: people already knew about this. You know, this is no secret. 382 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 3: My question is why now? Why bring this up? 383 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 2: Now? 384 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 3: Why the timing now? And the company has been struggling, right, 385 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 3: it's chairs now or down what they're down three percent 386 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 3: this morning? But why do you think this has taking 387 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 3: place now? 388 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,919 Speaker 6: I think it's because Senator Tom Cotton, he wrote a 389 00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 6: letter to the Intel board. They obviously found out some 390 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 6: things that he the Senator highlighted, you know, the links 391 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 6: to some of the Chinese companies, small companies that had 392 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:39,200 Speaker 6: ties to the Chinese government. And I think the board 393 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:42,320 Speaker 6: probably has to come up with an answer in terms 394 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,920 Speaker 6: of the you know, the concerns that were raised by 395 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 6: a senator. 396 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 5: Has the company responded at all to the senator or 397 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 5: the president? 398 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 6: I mean they have in terms of the initial response, 399 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 6: But to the best of my knowledge, I think the 400 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:03,359 Speaker 6: board clearly is defending uh, you know, the credentials of 401 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:09,120 Speaker 6: their CEO and uh there's nothing here that would put 402 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:13,400 Speaker 6: a question mark around the future of libbutan in terms 403 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,120 Speaker 6: of running Intel at least for now. 404 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 2: Well, that's what I say. 405 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 3: Do you think he would would step down? How long 406 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 3: has he been in a position? 407 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 6: Not few months? 408 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly? Yea. 409 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,359 Speaker 5: So how is the Intel call here? I mean the 410 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 5: stock obviously underperforming, under underperforming pretty dramatically here. It's you know, 411 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 5: flat year to date, but you know, relative to Tech 412 00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 5: that's just losing ground. 413 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 6: Germanic they are. And this brings back, you know, some 414 00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 6: of the discussions we were having a few months back 415 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 6: before Libbutan was appointed as a CEO that Intel may 416 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:51,560 Speaker 6: be broken down, Qualcom may be looking to buy parts 417 00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 6: of Intel, and then the foundry business would be separated. 418 00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 6: I feel if for some reason this CEO has to 419 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 6: step down and you know, so someone else is appointed, 420 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:05,199 Speaker 6: then it brings all those discussions back into play, because 421 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:09,160 Speaker 6: so far, what lib Bhutan had maintained was he wants 422 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,159 Speaker 6: to keep the foundry business. He wants to turn around 423 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:16,280 Speaker 6: through a strategy that involved keeping the chip design and 424 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 6: the foundry business together. But if that wasn't to be 425 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,520 Speaker 6: the case, and if there's somebody new, then I would 426 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 6: say that whole aspect around breaking up Intel comes back 427 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 6: into play. 428 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 7: All right. 429 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:30,480 Speaker 5: Stock is down three percent today, so it is feeling 430 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,439 Speaker 5: the impact of that many i've seen. Thank you so 431 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,360 Speaker 5: much for joining us, Senior techanost for Bloomberg Intelligence. Joining 432 00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 5: us here in our studio again. The headline Trump urges 433 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:43,719 Speaker 5: quote conflicted Intel CEO ten to resign immediately. 434 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 435 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:53,480 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each weekday, 436 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 1: ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, the 437 00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You 438 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:04,280 Speaker 1: can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and 439 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: always on the Bloomberg terminal