1 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning 2 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:17,639 Speaker 1: edition of the Dealer Juice podcast with me Matt Parol. 3 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 4 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,320 Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM and 5 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: the offer to win ten dollars or bet ten dollars 6 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 1: to win one hundred and fifty dollars easy with a 7 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 1: new account with bet MGM. Used that promo go juice 8 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:32,160 Speaker 1: one fifty at sign up to get that offer. Audio 9 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,480 Speaker 1: wherever you get your audio podcasts YouTube for the video. Okay, 10 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 1: so we go ow in one last night. Philadelphia does 11 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: not beat the Dallas Mavericks. Big rally in the second 12 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: half for Dallas, so unfortunately we go oh in one 13 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:46,159 Speaker 1: on the night, but fine parlay doesn't hit because we 14 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 1: go one in three. Creighton got hammered. It was not 15 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: a pretty game for the Blue Jays. Utah does cover, 16 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 1: but Charlotte lost at home as well, So one and 17 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: two on the parlay. It's not a good showing there, 18 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: but that's where we've got them once. You know, every 19 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: six weeks you hit it, then we're profitable. So one 20 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: and two so far, still profitable on the parlays. But 21 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: they don't count because they're for fun. And well, I 22 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: lost it. I threw a couple of bucks Saturday, but 23 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: not a big deal. So we lose there. So losing 24 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: night on a Friday, coming back on a Saturday with 25 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 1: three bets, they happen to be on the three biggest 26 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: games for college basketball. Not betting the All Star Game 27 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,960 Speaker 1: for hockey, probably not betting the Pro Bowl on Sunday, either, 28 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,480 Speaker 1: but college basketball. I think there's like one hundred and 29 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: forty games or something going on here tonight. So three 30 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,639 Speaker 1: big ones that we're going to have bets on here tonight. 31 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: And let's start with Baylor at Kansas. I think this 32 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 1: is a pretty good spot to jump on KU here 33 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 1: at home, just laying two points at home against Baylor. 34 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: Now they're getting Kansas is getting their best player back 35 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 1: off COVID nineteen protocol in Ajibaji. You've got a Baylor 36 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: team that look they could be slowing down here a 37 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: little bit. They lost to Alabama on the road by nine. 38 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: They beat West Virginia at home only by four. After 39 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: they blew out Kansas State and blew out Oklahoma and 40 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: a big one over West Virginia. So we have to 41 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: kind of watch the injury report here a little bit, 42 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: make sure everyone we think there's going to play. It's 43 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,239 Speaker 1: going to be wind up playing here for Baylor and 44 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:11,959 Speaker 1: for Kansas. But it looks like Kansas is going to 45 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 1: be pretty close, you know, having obviously their best player 46 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 1: coming back, and look, I think this is a good 47 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 1: spot for k You a little bit of by low 48 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: spot on Kansas. People are going to come in here. 49 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: On Baylor, I think win by nine against Iowa State, 50 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: the loss to Kentucky by eighteen kind of woke them 51 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: up because it snapped a six game winning streak for Kansas. 52 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 1: I still think kau is a really good team, even 53 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: though they're just one in four against the spread over 54 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: the last five. They are five and six at home, 55 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,399 Speaker 1: Baylor five to three and one on the road Big 56 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: Twelve not being great for either team. Baylor four and 57 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 1: five against the spread against the Big Twelve and Kansas 58 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: three and five against the spread. I'm gonna take the 59 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: home team here in Kansas to kind of rise up. 60 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 1: It could be like a preview of an Elite eight matchup. 61 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the two points here. I'm taking Kansas 62 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 1: at home minus two home teams in February. I shade 63 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: a lot towards them. I really look to the home teams, 64 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: especially if it's a short number, just two points KU 65 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: minus two half the unit. I'm going with rockschalk here 66 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: Kansas at home against Baylor picked number three. Alabama at 67 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 1: home catching one and a half points against Kentucky. Alabama 68 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 1: eight and fourteen against the spread this year. Not good Kansas, Sorry, 69 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 1: Kentucky brother ten and twelve against the spread, equally not good. 70 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: Alabama is one in eight in SEC play against the spread. 71 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: That's gross. Kentucky is three and six three and six, 72 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: though not great on the road. Three and five for KU, 73 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: four and seven for Alabama at home. Both teams last 74 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: time out one but sorry, did not cover one lost 75 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: one one. Auburn ran Alabama out of the gym, killed them, 76 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 1: but they beat Baylor in their last game. They had 77 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: a three game stretch of Baylor, Auburn, and then Kentucky. 78 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: Horrible for Bama. Really tough when the threes don't fall. 79 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: Alabama struggles, but at home three point shots tend to 80 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: fall a bit more. They beat LSU, they beat Missouri, 81 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: They beat Baylor in their last three home games. Here 82 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: comes Kentucky. Kentucky has won three games in a row. 83 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: Kentucky has one was it seven of eight straight up. 84 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: Kentucky is just one in four though against the spread 85 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: over the last five four and six. Alabama one and 86 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 1: four also against the spread, two and eight against the spread. 87 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: This is a bi lo spot when it comes to 88 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: Natos's team. I think Alabama at home is a different team. 89 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: Kentucky coming in, You're gonna get Bama's best effort. They 90 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: rose up against Baylor, they laid down against Auburn. I 91 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 1: think they rise back up here at home as a 92 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: home dog, catching one and a half points. I'm gonna 93 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: ride with Alabama at home at in Tuscaloza. Here with nato's' 94 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: his team getting a win here over Kentucky, I think 95 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 1: they win the game outright, but I'll take the plus 96 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 1: one and a half points here Alabama plus one and 97 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: a half against Kentucky half unit on the Crimson tide 98 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: coming up here in the SEC. And then finally I'm 99 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: gonna go to the Big East and Villanova. This is 100 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: a must win game for Villanova. They are at home, 101 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: they are very much trying to keep themselves in the 102 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 1: running here in the Big East. We've got a bunch. 103 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: We had two units riding on Nova to win the 104 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 1: Big East. Providence is nine and one in conference. Nova 105 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,600 Speaker 1: is nine and three, Yukon six and three, Marquette in 106 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 1: between eight and four. They lose this game. They've got 107 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: two games coming up with Providence. They have not played 108 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: Providence yet. Nova cannot lose this game at home. Simply 109 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 1: cannot happen. Nova's twelve and ten against the spread this 110 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: year against the number. Yukon is ten and ten, ten 111 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 1: and ten. Coming off that loss to Creighton where they 112 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,359 Speaker 1: were ten and a half point favorites, they lost by four. 113 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 1: They were laying nine and a half against apaul and they 114 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,480 Speaker 1: won by seven. Over the last five, they're three and two. 115 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 1: Villanova's one in four over the last five. Not good, 116 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:02,679 Speaker 1: but their seven five in biggies play against the spread 117 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 1: and they're six and three at home. They're laying five 118 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 1: and a half here at home. This is a team 119 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 1: that at home against Apaul's seventeen and a half one 120 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 1: by twenty four. They're laying thirteen and a half against 121 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: Saint John's and they won by eleven. But I think 122 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: this is a huge game here for Villanova. They've got 123 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 1: to win. I think they do win. I like the 124 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 1: five and a half. If it goes to six, I 125 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 1: don't really like it, but under two possessions to keep 126 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: it as a two possession game, I think Villanova can 127 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 1: win this game here ride the home crowd. I do 128 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: think the Yukon was looking ahead to Villanova and that's 129 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: why they kind of overlooked Creighton and they got caught. 130 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: But Nova needs this game. Nova can't lose any more games, 131 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,480 Speaker 1: in particular at home. Nova can't lose any more games. 132 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: I think they get Nova's best effort here tonight. I 133 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: think Villanova is a better basketball team than Yukon. I'm 134 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 1: gonna lay the five and a half points here at 135 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: home Villanova minus five and a half for a half 136 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 1: a unit. Okay, so three bets Kansas minus two at 137 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 1: home against Baylor, Alabama plus one and a half at 138 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:04,559 Speaker 1: home against Kentucky, and Villanova minus five and a half 139 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: at home against Yukon. Three bets, half unit. Three bets 140 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: in play on a Saturday, minu is Matt Parolt. Follow 141 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each summer morning, 142 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 1: it's steels Use podcast, always being brought to you by 143 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: BETEMGM