WEBVTT - Ford Cuts Workforce Making Electric F-150s on Weak Demand

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>You're going to stay with cars a little bit with cars.

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<v Speaker 3>It does already seem like a theme of twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 3>four is the way that the American car buyer has

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<v Speaker 3>cooled when it comes to electric vehicles. The latest is

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<v Speaker 3>that Ford said it would reduce the number of workers

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<v Speaker 3>making its F one to fifty lightning truck as demand

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<v Speaker 3>for EV's continues to weaken. Fort cheers bouncing around early

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<v Speaker 3>in the session on the news, off an earlier loss

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<v Speaker 3>of one point five percent, now up nearly two percent,

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<v Speaker 3>though the stock already down eight point four percent so

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<v Speaker 3>far this year. Carol, It comes a bit over a

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<v Speaker 3>month after Bloomberg reported that Ford would cut production goals

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<v Speaker 3>for the F one fifty EV in half in twenty

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<v Speaker 3>twenty four.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's a big move, right, So what happened lessen

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<v Speaker 2>two years ago? Ford CEO Jim Farley saw the electric

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<v Speaker 2>F one fifty Lightning as a bet that the company

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<v Speaker 2>was kind of all in in terms of its way forward.

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<v Speaker 2>Ford's biggest move in fact, since Henry Ford ditch the

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<v Speaker 2>AG model to you to make way for something new.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll go to when it comes to things on forward

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<v Speaker 2>And really what's going on in the EV space is

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<v Speaker 2>our own Keith Notton.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>He actually wrote a cover story for Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 3>back in April of twenty twenty two that featured the

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<v Speaker 3>Ford CEO and the company's massive make or break bet

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<v Speaker 3>on EV's, and since then and before then, he's been

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<v Speaker 3>chronicling the ups and recently the downs of Ford's transition

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<v Speaker 3>to EV's. He joins us on Zoom from Detroit. So, Keith,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm good to have you back with us. It's always

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<v Speaker 3>good to chat EV's with you and what's going on

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<v Speaker 3>in the environment. I went back and read that April

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<v Speaker 3>twenty two cover story of Jim Farley and the debut

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<v Speaker 3>of the f one to fifty Lightning give us sort

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<v Speaker 3>of the post mortem here.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it too.

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<v Speaker 3>Early to say that this was a bet that's gone wrong?

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<v Speaker 4>It's probably too.

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<v Speaker 5>Early to go that far, Tim, but certainly it has

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<v Speaker 5>not worked out the way for imagined it would. And

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<v Speaker 5>you know, one of the comments from Jim Farley back

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<v Speaker 5>around the time of the F one fifty lightning introduction

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<v Speaker 5>kind of rings ominously now. He said this will be

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<v Speaker 5>a test of acceptance of electric vehicles in America, because

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<v Speaker 5>of course, the F series truck is America's number one

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<v Speaker 5>selling vehicles. So if you can't sell an electric version

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<v Speaker 5>of that, is America ready for evs Well, it turns

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<v Speaker 5>out they're not as ready as Jim Farley and many

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<v Speaker 5>others in the other industry thought they would be. A

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<v Speaker 5>couple of years ago. You know, the EV sales growth

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<v Speaker 5>rate has really slowed down. Now EV sales are still growing,

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<v Speaker 5>we need to be clear about that. They're growing faster

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<v Speaker 5>than the market. But last year they grew forty seven

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<v Speaker 5>percent and this year UBS says they'll grow about eleven percent.

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<v Speaker 2>So I know We've gone round and round with you

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<v Speaker 2>on this, but I'm going to go back there. So Keith,

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<v Speaker 2>it's just a matter of time or timing, and so

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<v Speaker 2>maybe the timeline is a little bit longer on the

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<v Speaker 2>ramp up to EV. Certainly here in the United States,

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<v Speaker 2>globally we're seeing certainly a pickup. But help us out here.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it is a much stronger take rate in China

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<v Speaker 5>and in Europe, but there are some you know, government

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<v Speaker 5>incentive reasons for that, particularly in China. You know, if

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<v Speaker 5>you want to get an EV in Shanghai, well your

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<v Speaker 5>license plate is free. If you want to get an

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<v Speaker 5>internal combustion engine vehicle, you have to pay twelve thousand

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<v Speaker 5>dollars for that license plate. So China has used a

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<v Speaker 5>real stick approach to become the world's largest EV market.

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<v Speaker 5>Here in the United States, consumers are saying prices are

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<v Speaker 5>still too high. The average price of an EV is

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<v Speaker 5>still around sixty thousand dollars even after all the price cuts,

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<v Speaker 5>and that the charging network is just not robust enough.

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<v Speaker 5>People are worried about being left stranded by the side

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<v Speaker 5>of the road with no charg or nearby.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and certainly the cold weather around the country hasn't

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<v Speaker 3>helped the image or the thought of that. I think

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<v Speaker 3>for a lot of people. Keith, what do you think

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<v Speaker 3>needs to happen for the US to actually consistently sell

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<v Speaker 3>more evs and make sure that it is a country

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<v Speaker 3>that's moving in that direction, Because I think what's so

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<v Speaker 3>striking about the news that we got earlier today that

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<v Speaker 3>you reported is that Ford's actually redirecting some of the

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<v Speaker 3>money that was going to EV's and actually to build

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<v Speaker 3>more of the new Ford Bronco, which is an internal

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<v Speaker 3>combustion car.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, exactly, we are going back to gas fueled cars

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<v Speaker 5>at Ford with this announcement today. They are cutting a

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<v Speaker 5>shift at the electric vehicle plant and taking some of

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<v Speaker 5>those workers and moving them over to the Bronco and

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<v Speaker 5>Ranger pickup truck plant, which are both internal combustion engine

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<v Speaker 5>vehicles that are selling well, and those are the vehicles

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<v Speaker 5>that make money for Ford, so they need them to

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<v Speaker 5>sell well so they can finance this EV future. It's

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<v Speaker 5>this very delicate balance. I think Americans have to be

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<v Speaker 5>convinced that they don't give up anything to get an

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<v Speaker 5>EV but instead they gain some and right now they see,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, convenience being sacrificed because it takes longer to

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<v Speaker 5>charge than it does to gas up a car, and

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<v Speaker 5>it's just simply more expensive.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, I'm just thinking about how hard this has got

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<v Speaker 2>to be for Jim Farley on this whole idea of

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<v Speaker 2>balancing production to meet customer demand and still being committed

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<v Speaker 2>to a future with evs, but also as a publicly

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<v Speaker 2>held company, knowing that every quarter they're going to have

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<v Speaker 2>to answer to their investors. So it's not going to

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<v Speaker 2>be easy, is it?

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<v Speaker 5>No? And they are losing billions on evs. In fact,

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<v Speaker 5>last year they initially said they expected to lose three

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<v Speaker 5>billion dollars on evs in twenty twenty three, and then

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<v Speaker 5>they had to increase that to four and a half

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<v Speaker 5>billion dollars for four point five billion dollars, and now

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<v Speaker 5>they're maybe even worse. So it's it's it's a very

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<v Speaker 5>difficult business case to make, particularly when the uptake is

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<v Speaker 5>going slower than you expected because they counted on volume

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<v Speaker 5>to really kind of turn it around.

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<v Speaker 3>Keith, is this a Ford problem or is it uh

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<v Speaker 3>systemic systematic wide problem?

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<v Speaker 6>Like? Is it?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah? Is it? Like?

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<v Speaker 3>Is it affecting the other companies the same way that

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<v Speaker 3>it's affecting Ford?

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<v Speaker 5>The EV slowdown is affecting everybody. GM has delayed the

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<v Speaker 5>launches of a couple of evs. Everybody is sort of

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<v Speaker 5>scaling back their EV spending. Even Elon Musk is cutting

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<v Speaker 5>the prices of his best sellers to try and stimulate sales,

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<v Speaker 5>but it's still seeing market share losses and margins getting compressed.

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<v Speaker 5>So there is an overall slow down in the US

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<v Speaker 5>EV market.

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<v Speaker 1>But is it hitting.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, And so to the forward point, So Ford got

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<v Speaker 5>out there early with the lightning by essentially converting you know,

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<v Speaker 5>the gas fueled F one fifty into an electric vehicle.

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<v Speaker 5>They have a second generation of EV's coming that will

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<v Speaker 5>be ground up. You know that we're designed from the

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<v Speaker 5>start as electric vehicles, and they promised those will be

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<v Speaker 5>just really advanced, lots of digital features that consumers will love.

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<v Speaker 5>Those don't come till twenty twenty five or twenty twenty six,

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<v Speaker 5>and they were just downgraded this week by UBS who

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<v Speaker 5>said that the EV payoff is going to take longer

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<v Speaker 5>than expected for Ford.

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<v Speaker 2>You know what I don't understand. We're coming off of

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<v Speaker 2>COP twenty eight, right that happened in Dubai and the agreement,

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<v Speaker 2>the big agreement that everybody pointed to, this transition away

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<v Speaker 2>from fossil fuels as part of a global stock take

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<v Speaker 2>if you were will It was the first time that

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<v Speaker 2>COP mentioned this. So it's out there, and I think

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<v Speaker 2>about the regulatory push also, so it means we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to get there again or I don't know. I try

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<v Speaker 2>to kind of make sense of it, if you will, Keith,

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<v Speaker 2>that we've got stuff like that, I think it means.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think what you're seeing is that it'll just

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<v Speaker 5>take longer to get there because you know, government regulation

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<v Speaker 5>or guidance can only go so far. It becomes a

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<v Speaker 5>pocketbook issue for consumers. We're just not going to shell

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<v Speaker 5>out sixty thousand dollars for an electric vehicle when an

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<v Speaker 5>average internal combustion engine vehicle costs thirteen thousand dollars less.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, before we go thirty seconds, who is buying or

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<v Speaker 2>who are buying evs here in the United States? What's

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<v Speaker 2>the demographic and just quickly if you can, sorry.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah it is. It is primarily men wealthy. They're buying

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<v Speaker 5>it as an extra car for their household rather than

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<v Speaker 5>as their primary daily driver.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, good stuff, as always listen, Thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 2>I always appreciate it. Have a great and safe weekend.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News auto reporter Keith Nott and joining us there

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<v Speaker 2>and again for shares if we take a look there.

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<v Speaker 2>Higher on the day on this news up about one

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<v Speaker 2>and a half percent off their earlier highs of two percent,

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<v Speaker 2>but also off their lows of the day when they

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<v Speaker 2>were down about one and a half percent.

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<v Speaker 3>And if you want some good weekend reading, and maybe

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<v Speaker 3>you missed the first time around, go check out Keith's

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<v Speaker 3>cover story about Jim Farley and Ford's bed on evs

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<v Speaker 3>back in April of twenty twenty two. It's on the

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg terminal and it's at Bloomberg dot com slash business.

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<v Speaker 2>With Yeah, that cover store is a great one.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think it's important and I love kind of

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<v Speaker 2>also hearing from Keith that you know, longer term, the

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<v Speaker 2>commitment is still there and that's the direction. It's just

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<v Speaker 2>again maybe taking a little bit longer, especially here in

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<v Speaker 2>the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>Live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

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<v Speaker 1>be love to make what lives.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, all right, Well, life is about a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>things when it comes to investing, and it often means transitioning.

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<v Speaker 2>We talked about that kind of with the EV space.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a lot going on. There's a term that I

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<v Speaker 2>came across and kind of getting ready for this segment

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<v Speaker 2>Transition finance, which is shaping up to be one of

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<v Speaker 2>the new year's most important subjects for anyone professing to

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<v Speaker 2>care about the climate crisis too.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So it's distinct from green finance, which generally targets

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<v Speaker 3>so called climate solutions like wind farms or battery plants,

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<v Speaker 3>and said, it's loosely defined as investments mainly in industries

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<v Speaker 3>and infrastructure that helped drive efforts to achieve a net

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<v Speaker 3>zero economy exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>So we've discussed about a lot of these things, and

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<v Speaker 2>we've also talked about kind of the rethink among investors

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<v Speaker 2>when it comes to esg's investing, specifically, declining in the

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<v Speaker 2>US has resulted in an overall slide in the global

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<v Speaker 2>market for ESG investing. A recent assessment by the Global

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<v Speaker 2>Sustainable Investment Alliance. They provide updates on the size of

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<v Speaker 2>the market every two years. Well, the twenty twenty two

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<v Speaker 2>review FOLKS published in late November, shows that investors had

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<v Speaker 2>thirty point three thirty point three trillion and sustainable assets.

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<v Speaker 2>That's down from thirty five point three trillion in twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty and in US you really saw a big drop

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<v Speaker 2>sustainable assets falling to eight point four trillion last year

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<v Speaker 2>from just over seventeen trillion two years earlier. According to

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<v Speaker 2>that report, a lot of it was attributed to a

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<v Speaker 2>change of methodology used to calculate the numbers. But we

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<v Speaker 2>are seeing investors kind of rethink and retrench a little bit.

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<v Speaker 3>It's not the first time we're hearing this. So here

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<v Speaker 3>to talk emerging trends in the ESG space. We got

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<v Speaker 3>more In O'Brien, SVP of Corporate Governance at Siegal Macro Advisors,

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<v Speaker 3>US based investment consultancies with combined advisory assets exceeding five

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<v Speaker 3>hundred billion dollars. She joins us on a zoom Seagle

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<v Speaker 3>Marco Advisors. I should tell you I read that incorrectly.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry, Maureen. So tell us a little bit about

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<v Speaker 3>the study and the findings here.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, thanks for having me on.

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<v Speaker 7>So every year, Siegal Market Advisors surveys our top investment

0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:31.760
<v Speaker 7>managers on emerging ESG trends. This is what they're doing

0:11:31.880 --> 0:11:36.559
<v Speaker 7>in house, how they're tracking admissions, how they're looking at DEI,

0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:40.240
<v Speaker 7>whether they're continuing to have a hybrid model. So we

0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:43.160
<v Speaker 7>ask them a variety of questions and then put those

0:11:43.280 --> 0:11:45.720
<v Speaker 7>results together in a summary report that we put up

0:11:45.720 --> 0:11:46.599
<v Speaker 7>on our website.

0:11:46.880 --> 0:11:48.520
<v Speaker 2>All right, so what were some of the summary and

0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:50.320
<v Speaker 2>why do you think it's important to kind of remind

0:11:50.320 --> 0:11:51.520
<v Speaker 2>people of what's going.

0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:53.960
<v Speaker 4>On so on climent.

0:11:54.120 --> 0:11:56.880
<v Speaker 7>As you guys were just talking about, we are seeing

0:11:56.920 --> 0:12:01.200
<v Speaker 7>some movement there of investment managers who are tracking their

0:12:01.360 --> 0:12:05.160
<v Speaker 7>emissions internally and then also tracking emissions for clients.

0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:06.400
<v Speaker 8>So what that's.

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 7>Telling us is that more retirement funds benefit funds are

0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:15.079
<v Speaker 7>seeking to establish their carbon footprint and then see how

0:12:15.080 --> 0:12:18.040
<v Speaker 7>they can reduce that footprint over time. So we're seeing

0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:21.200
<v Speaker 7>more than a majority of investment managers start to track

0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 7>those emissions and look at zero targets, which is a

0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 7>change that we're seeing incremental progress on. Another big finding

0:12:29.080 --> 0:12:32.960
<v Speaker 7>in the survey this year is on DEI during the

0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:37.040
<v Speaker 7>Black Lives Matter movement and from the follow up to that,

0:12:37.120 --> 0:12:40.440
<v Speaker 7>we saw a lot of investment managers making announcements about

0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 7>hiring and promoting women and people of color, and unfortunately,

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.880
<v Speaker 7>the survey results this year showed that those gains have

0:12:48.120 --> 0:12:49.520
<v Speaker 7>essentially disappeared.

0:12:50.120 --> 0:12:52.240
<v Speaker 8>It looks like women have.

0:12:52.360 --> 0:12:55.199
<v Speaker 7>Gone down as an overall percentage of the workforce and

0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:59.200
<v Speaker 7>a percentage of the c suite and particularly black employees

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:03.840
<v Speaker 7>have seen big reductions in the overall workforce and fifty

0:13:04.240 --> 0:13:07.640
<v Speaker 7>decrease of black representation the c suite is what the

0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:08.840
<v Speaker 7>survey found this year.

0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:11.240
<v Speaker 3>Hey, Maureen. When Carol and I talk about this, we

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:13.240
<v Speaker 3>always go back to this one idea, and it's actually

0:13:13.720 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 3>makes sense because it's earning season. When we hear from

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:22.680
<v Speaker 3>companies and we hear what moves a company's stock during earnings,

0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:26.560
<v Speaker 3>it's top line, it's bottom line, and it's what the

0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:30.959
<v Speaker 3>outlook is. They're not talking about ESG that doesn't move

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 3>the stock. It never comes out, It never comes up

0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:36.199
<v Speaker 3>in the context of it actually being something that they're

0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 3>talking about with relation to the company's stock pricer or

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:42.080
<v Speaker 3>the company's business. I don't want to say never, because

0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:45.480
<v Speaker 3>it has before, but mainly that's what we're hearing. Does

0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:47.480
<v Speaker 3>that change. Do we ever start to see some sort

0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:51.960
<v Speaker 3>of some sort of metric that actually moves a stock

0:13:52.120 --> 0:13:54.360
<v Speaker 3>relating to what you're talking about.

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.920
<v Speaker 7>Part of the difficulty when we talk about ESG is

0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:02.320
<v Speaker 7>that it's not one thing. So there's a lot of

0:14:02.360 --> 0:14:06.360
<v Speaker 7>discussion about ESG in the regulatory environment right now and

0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 7>among investors, but essentially it's being talked about. It's sort

0:14:10.920 --> 0:14:15.239
<v Speaker 7>of one concept and it's really many things. So aspects

0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 7>like worker rights and climate change are gonna affect how

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:22.840
<v Speaker 7>successful companies are. I don't think it's a clear line

0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:27.760
<v Speaker 7>between there is a good DEI program and then the

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:30.400
<v Speaker 7>next day the company is shooting the lights out compared

0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:33.880
<v Speaker 7>to the competition. These are inputs and factors that do

0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 7>have an impact over time, but they're not overnight market movers.

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 9>I guess too.

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 2>It's just, you know, it all seemed to make so

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 2>much sense early on, and I think, you know, the

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:50.560
<v Speaker 2>original idea of VESG was kind of the vulnerable vulnerability

0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:53.520
<v Speaker 2>excuse me, of companies publicly held companies when it came

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 2>to ESG metrics, right, what it meant for them, I

0:14:56.800 --> 0:15:01.200
<v Speaker 2>don't know whether media, whether what narrative change, and it

0:15:01.280 --> 0:15:03.800
<v Speaker 2>was like kind of this doing good thing. And I'm

0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.600
<v Speaker 2>not saying that they can't be both. But having said that,

0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:09.840
<v Speaker 2>all the money that has gone into ESG investing, maren,

0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 2>what what can we turn to to say, Okay, it's

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 2>really improved things, Because you just talked about that things

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:18.160
<v Speaker 2>haven't in some ways gotten better.

0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:20.960
<v Speaker 10>Yeah.

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:23.440
<v Speaker 7>I mean, the first of all, we used to not

0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 7>know right, We just didn't have a lot of data.

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 7>I mean, the only required ESG information out there was

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:36.160
<v Speaker 7>how many employees you have, so not even a breakdown

0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 7>of demographics, for example, But we didn't have any data

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:41.320
<v Speaker 7>around carbon emissions.

0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 5>We still don't have.

0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 7>A lot of data around that workplace issues. You know,

0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 7>how companies are doing with their turnover rate. You know,

0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:54.360
<v Speaker 7>companies will often say employees are their most valuable asset,

0:15:54.800 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 7>but there was no required measurement of that asset apart

0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:01.880
<v Speaker 7>from where the operations are and how many people work there.

0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 7>So a large part of ESG has just been trying

0:16:05.840 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 7>to get that data available. You've seen a huge increase

0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 7>in the number of companies that have sustainability reports, that

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 7>are joining up for organizations like CDP, the Climate Disclosure

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:23.120
<v Speaker 7>Project and other initiatives where they're voluntarily providing this data.

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 7>But it's still not at the point where the data

0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 7>is as easily comparable as it is with financial data.

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 4>So that's a big part of the problem. But that

0:16:33.240 --> 0:16:33.960
<v Speaker 4>is changing.

0:16:34.360 --> 0:16:39.040
<v Speaker 7>The SEC has a pending climate rule that is looking

0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 7>like it will require lots of information on climate and

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:46.480
<v Speaker 7>so once companies begin reporting on that, it's much easier

0:16:46.520 --> 0:16:49.440
<v Speaker 7>to do that evaluation of who are the winners and

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:52.080
<v Speaker 7>losers in this climate transition.

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 2>We want to share from our audience though some of

0:16:54.960 --> 0:16:56.920
<v Speaker 2>the stats I think that you talked about earlier and

0:16:57.000 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 2>reminding us how things haven't changed. If you look at

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 2>the workforce, you know, it's still predominantly white. So it's

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:09.359
<v Speaker 2>sixty three percent of the individuals who are working are

0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 2>are white individuals. If you look at race, right, again,

0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:15.920
<v Speaker 2>white predominantly about seventy nine percent.

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:17.399
<v Speaker 3>If you look at it, it's in the C suite.

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:18.400
<v Speaker 2>So that's a sweet yeah.

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.160
<v Speaker 3>Get so that's I mean the people making the decisions,

0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:23.640
<v Speaker 3>it's three percent black, seventy nine percent white.

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 2>Right, exactly overwhelmingly. And then again gender, which you talked

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:30.119
<v Speaker 2>about earlier, again c suite gender composition, you're talking about

0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:33.119
<v Speaker 2>only twenty six percent or women. I mean it just

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.639
<v Speaker 2>I've been doing this a long time and nothing's changed.

0:17:36.240 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Just got ten seconds here. What do you hope people

0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:41.320
<v Speaker 2>take away from this conversation? Please, if you could be quick.

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 7>Yes, it's important to set goals, track progress, and be

0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 7>public about the journey without intentionality. The historical trends do

0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 7>not reverse.

0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 2>Themselves, all right, And it's there is something to having,

0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:57.040
<v Speaker 2>like the importance of data so that you can actually

0:17:57.119 --> 0:17:57.919
<v Speaker 2>understand what's going on.

0:17:57.960 --> 0:17:58.920
<v Speaker 3>We're talking about it now.

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well we've talked for a long time. But see

0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 2>the numbers of the concrete numbers.

0:18:02.600 --> 0:18:02.959
<v Speaker 9>Marine.

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:05.440
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much. Marin O'Brien, Senior vice president of

0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:08.880
<v Speaker 2>Corporate Governance at Siegel Marco Advisors from Chicago.

0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 8>This is Bloomberg.

0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:18.960
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0:18:19.080 --> 0:18:22.000
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0:18:22.000 --> 0:18:24.960
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0:18:25.000 --> 0:18:28.280
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0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:32.119
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0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:33.560
<v Speaker 6>Well.

0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:36.119
<v Speaker 2>A billionaire couple is giving one hundred million dollars to

0:18:36.160 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 2>Atlanta's Spelman College, which the woman's school says is the

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 2>largest ever single donation to historically black college or university.

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.879
<v Speaker 2>The donation announced yesterday by Rhonda Striker and her husband

0:18:46.880 --> 0:18:50.119
<v Speaker 2>William Johnston. She is the billionaire granddaughter of the founder

0:18:50.160 --> 0:18:53.399
<v Speaker 2>of medical device maker Striker Corporation. He is the chairman

0:18:53.480 --> 0:18:56.160
<v Speaker 2>of money management firm green Leaf Trust. They live in.

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:58.880
<v Speaker 3>Michigan, Spellman said it would use seventy five million dollars

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:01.480
<v Speaker 3>to indow scholarships. The rest of the money will be

0:19:01.560 --> 0:19:04.800
<v Speaker 3>used for other purposes, including developing an academic focus on

0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:08.920
<v Speaker 3>public policy and democracy and improving student housing, a sore

0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 3>point in recent years among Spelman's students.

0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 2>We are so delighted to have with us to talk

0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:15.679
<v Speaker 2>about this historic gift in what it is a historic

0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:19.800
<v Speaker 2>here for Spelman Doctor Helene Gale, she's president of Spelman College.

0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:22.000
<v Speaker 2>She is on Zoom from Atlanta and also with us.

0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:25.240
<v Speaker 2>Delighted to have here, Bloomberg News Higher Education Finance reporter

0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:30.840
<v Speaker 2>Janet Lauren in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. Doctor Gail, congratulations,

0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 2>Thank you for giving us some time here. Can you

0:19:33.640 --> 0:19:35.359
<v Speaker 2>talk to us a little bit about how this gift

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.639
<v Speaker 2>came up, how did Ronda Striker come to be a

0:19:37.680 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 2>trustee at Spelman, and what's it like to receive the

0:19:40.800 --> 0:19:42.680
<v Speaker 2>news of a gift of this magnitude.

0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:47.160
<v Speaker 6>Well, thank you and thanks for having me on.

0:19:47.800 --> 0:19:47.960
<v Speaker 11>Well.

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:51.639
<v Speaker 10>Rando Striker is one of our longest serving trustees. She

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:56.600
<v Speaker 10>was brought on by one of my predecessors over twenty

0:19:56.680 --> 0:20:00.840
<v Speaker 10>years ago, and over the years she and her husband

0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:05.480
<v Speaker 10>have continued to contribute to Spelman and you know, have

0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 10>been incredibly generous donors, but this is clearly the largest single.

0:20:10.520 --> 0:20:11.879
<v Speaker 8>Gift that they have ever given.

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.240
<v Speaker 10>And as you said in the run up to this,

0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 10>it's the largest single gift that Spelman has ever received,

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:22.159
<v Speaker 10>and the largest gift to any HBCU. So it's pretty

0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:27.439
<v Speaker 10>exciting and you know, truly a transformational gift that I

0:20:27.480 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 10>think can make such a huge difference for Spelman, not

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:32.720
<v Speaker 10>only now but bar into the future.

0:20:33.880 --> 0:20:36.239
<v Speaker 9>So thank you again for coming. So tell us how

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:41.560
<v Speaker 9>does this donation impact your endowments long longjectivity, especially when

0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:42.800
<v Speaker 9>it comes to scholarships.

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so you know, we plan to use seventy five

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:53.280
<v Speaker 10>percent of it or endowing scholarships. We will obviously put

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 10>that money to work immediately, and you know, in a

0:20:57.080 --> 0:21:00.440
<v Speaker 10>year or so there will be returns that we can

0:21:00.560 --> 0:21:05.159
<v Speaker 10>use to start increasing our scholarships already. But you know,

0:21:05.480 --> 0:21:09.960
<v Speaker 10>as you know, endowments really really what you can do

0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:14.480
<v Speaker 10>with an endowment is to think about future generations. And

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:16.400
<v Speaker 10>so you know, we look at this as the way

0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:21.200
<v Speaker 10>that we can secure the future for right talented young

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:25.119
<v Speaker 10>women who want to get us an education. But oftentimes

0:21:26.200 --> 0:21:29.439
<v Speaker 10>are not able to because of financial barriers. So you know,

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:31.360
<v Speaker 10>we think this is going to make a difference for

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:34.840
<v Speaker 10>our students today but also for the students of tomorrow.

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:37.560
<v Speaker 9>Well, and I was looking at your most recent value

0:21:37.560 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 9>of June twenty twenty two, it was less than five

0:21:40.160 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 9>hundred million dollars. And then this gives you a huge

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:45.719
<v Speaker 9>amount of money more to invest. Can you talk about

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:49.879
<v Speaker 9>what that means for having you know, having that in

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:52.359
<v Speaker 9>the fund and to be able to build on it

0:21:52.440 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 9>and to be able to do things like help students

0:21:55.560 --> 0:22:00.080
<v Speaker 9>graduate and boost those rates and help them return the

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 9>next semester if there's trouble.

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:06.680
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, no, totally, that's exactly what you know, we hope

0:22:06.720 --> 0:22:10.239
<v Speaker 10>to be able to do. As you stated, you know,

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 10>we have an endowment that's just under five hundred million dollars.

0:22:15.119 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 10>You know, that's that is large for an age for

0:22:18.320 --> 0:22:21.800
<v Speaker 10>many of our h PCU colleagues. But you know, when

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:27.080
<v Speaker 10>we compare ourselves to similar schools, similar size, type, and

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:34.119
<v Speaker 10>similar types of populations, you know, our endowment is trails

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 10>many of our peer institutions, and so you know, we

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:41.840
<v Speaker 10>think that this which is a huge increase in our endowment,

0:22:42.200 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 10>will be able to provide scholarships for students.

0:22:45.880 --> 0:22:48.480
<v Speaker 8>As you know, we have a high need population.

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:53.880
<v Speaker 10>We've got brilliant students grade point averages to range three

0:22:53.920 --> 0:22:57.480
<v Speaker 10>point nine and above, but we have we also have

0:22:57.640 --> 0:23:01.439
<v Speaker 10>a high need population. Forty percent of our students are

0:23:01.520 --> 0:23:05.040
<v Speaker 10>pale eligible. About eighty percent of our students get some

0:23:05.080 --> 0:23:08.760
<v Speaker 10>sort of need based financial aid. So, you know, we

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:11.320
<v Speaker 10>want to be able to bridge that gap between the

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:14.720
<v Speaker 10>talent that we see walking through the door and the

0:23:15.760 --> 0:23:19.120
<v Speaker 10>you know, real gap in financial resources. You know, when

0:23:19.280 --> 0:23:24.080
<v Speaker 10>you can take this incredible talent pool and match it

0:23:24.160 --> 0:23:26.880
<v Speaker 10>with the resources that allow them to have this kind

0:23:26.920 --> 0:23:30.040
<v Speaker 10>of life changing education, you know, I think we can

0:23:30.080 --> 0:23:34.159
<v Speaker 10>make a huge contribution through this gift, and you know,

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:36.480
<v Speaker 10>hopefully many more. We hope that this is the kind

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:40.000
<v Speaker 10>of gift that will inspire others to invest not only

0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 10>in Spelman, but other HBCUs.

0:23:43.720 --> 0:23:45.879
<v Speaker 3>So, you know, I want to talk a little bit

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 3>about more about the cost of higher education because we

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 3>got some news earlier today that the President Biden is

0:23:51.359 --> 0:23:54.160
<v Speaker 3>continuing with his efforts to try to reduce the debt

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:57.600
<v Speaker 3>looad that Americans have. Whether or not that is successful

0:23:58.200 --> 0:24:00.920
<v Speaker 3>remains to be seen. But the cost of higher education

0:24:01.000 --> 0:24:03.280
<v Speaker 3>at your school is forty six thousand dollars a year

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:05.359
<v Speaker 3>for a student living on campus. I got to tell

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:07.640
<v Speaker 3>you that's a relative bargain in this day and age.

0:24:07.680 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 3>We were talking with a colleague recently who about another school,

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:14.679
<v Speaker 3>not an Ivy League school, a small liberal arts college,

0:24:14.960 --> 0:24:19.960
<v Speaker 3>over ninety thousand dollars a year. Why does the cost

0:24:20.000 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 3>of higher education continue to be so high?

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:27.680
<v Speaker 8>Doctor Keal, Well, you know, every school is different. We've

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:30.920
<v Speaker 8>tried very hard to keep our costs as low as possible.

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 10>In fact, we reset our tuition and fees a couple

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:38.400
<v Speaker 10>of years ago to be able to try to make

0:24:38.680 --> 0:24:41.240
<v Speaker 10>our education as affordable as possible.

0:24:41.520 --> 0:24:45.640
<v Speaker 8>But you know, costs continue to rise. Employment costs continues

0:24:45.720 --> 0:24:46.160
<v Speaker 8>to rise.

0:24:46.200 --> 0:24:49.159
<v Speaker 11>You know, we have to be able to attract the

0:24:49.240 --> 0:24:54.359
<v Speaker 11>kind of high caliber faculty that attracts our you know,

0:24:54.480 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 11>the student population that comes to Spelman.

0:24:57.400 --> 0:24:59.439
<v Speaker 10>We've got to make sure that we pay our staff

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:03.399
<v Speaker 10>and administer rate to support the kinds of resources and so,

0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:06.119
<v Speaker 10>you know, a lot of the cost of a college

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:10.120
<v Speaker 10>or university are the personnel costs that continue to go up.

0:25:10.320 --> 0:25:16.040
<v Speaker 10>But we also know the construction costs, other supply costs

0:25:16.119 --> 0:25:18.920
<v Speaker 10>have all continued to go up. So you know, we

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:21.680
<v Speaker 10>try as hard as we can to manage those costs

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:25.560
<v Speaker 10>to not have to increase tuition and fees.

0:25:25.760 --> 0:25:28.520
<v Speaker 8>But we also have to be competitive in today's market.

0:25:28.640 --> 0:25:30.440
<v Speaker 2>But does it feel a little crazy when it's almost

0:25:30.480 --> 0:25:34.000
<v Speaker 2>one hundred thousand dollars? I'm just you understand this world?

0:25:34.280 --> 0:25:36.399
<v Speaker 8>Well, you know, I think we've got to work on

0:25:37.720 --> 0:25:38.320
<v Speaker 8>both sides.

0:25:38.359 --> 0:25:42.760
<v Speaker 10>We have to work on making education more and more affordable,

0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 10>but we also have to look at how are we

0:25:45.359 --> 0:25:48.840
<v Speaker 10>making sure that students do have the kind of resources,

0:25:48.920 --> 0:25:53.879
<v Speaker 10>access to scholarships, access to low cost loans to be

0:25:53.920 --> 0:25:56.760
<v Speaker 10>able to afford education. So we've got to you know,

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.479
<v Speaker 10>we've got to work on both ends, and you know,

0:25:59.560 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 10>we've got work to do.

0:26:01.119 --> 0:26:03.560
<v Speaker 9>So I write a lot about fundraising, and I would

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:06.160
<v Speaker 9>love to hear how does a gift like this come about?

0:26:06.200 --> 0:26:08.600
<v Speaker 9>It must have you must have been working on it

0:26:08.600 --> 0:26:11.159
<v Speaker 9>for years and years. If you could take us through that,

0:26:11.280 --> 0:26:13.520
<v Speaker 9>And also, what's it like to get the nod? Yes,

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:16.880
<v Speaker 9>we're giving you one hundred million dollars.

0:26:16.920 --> 0:26:20.560
<v Speaker 6>Well, you know, as I mentioned, Ronda Striker has been

0:26:20.600 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 6>a long serving board member and she has seen the

0:26:25.640 --> 0:26:31.240
<v Speaker 6>transformative nature of a Spelman education you know, we we

0:26:31.320 --> 0:26:34.800
<v Speaker 6>have young women who walk through the door, you know

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:40.520
<v Speaker 6>without you know, as young women and whose lives are

0:26:40.560 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 6>transformed by the education that they get here. She has

0:26:44.800 --> 0:26:49.160
<v Speaker 6>seen the economic value that occurs when a young girl

0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 6>comes in the door leaves ready to get go.

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 8>Out into the workforce. You know, if you look at.

0:26:55.600 --> 0:27:00.400
<v Speaker 10>The statistics, HBCUs like Spellman have punched above their weight

0:27:00.560 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 10>for so many years. And I think she has seen

0:27:04.080 --> 0:27:08.600
<v Speaker 10>that the value of investing can make such a huge difference.

0:27:09.119 --> 0:27:12.800
<v Speaker 10>And so, you know, gifts come because people believe in

0:27:12.840 --> 0:27:16.200
<v Speaker 10>your mission. People who have resources who believe in your

0:27:16.200 --> 0:27:20.560
<v Speaker 10>mission have the opportunity to experience why it's so important

0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:24.199
<v Speaker 10>to invest. So Ronda Striker has had the opportunity to

0:27:24.240 --> 0:27:27.520
<v Speaker 10>see what it means when you can match the talent

0:27:27.600 --> 0:27:30.399
<v Speaker 10>pool that we have with the kind of resources that

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:34.640
<v Speaker 10>can be transformational and change lives. You know, Spelman College

0:27:34.680 --> 0:27:40.679
<v Speaker 10>has the The product is Spelman College is obvious. You know,

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:46.119
<v Speaker 10>we can rattle off the names of important leaders in business,

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:50.800
<v Speaker 10>in policy and politics and arts, entertainment, entrepreneurship, and so

0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:53.560
<v Speaker 10>we know that there's a product comes from Spelman that

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:54.480
<v Speaker 10>changes lives.

0:27:54.760 --> 0:27:58.399
<v Speaker 2>Well, thank you so much for finding time for us. Congratulations.

0:27:58.400 --> 0:28:00.240
<v Speaker 2>We know it's also an important annivers You're for you

0:28:00.280 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 2>guys in the official naming of the school, So congratulations

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:06.080
<v Speaker 2>on that, doctor Helene Gail, President of Spelman College, and

0:28:06.119 --> 0:28:07.760
<v Speaker 2>of course, Bloomberg's own Janet Lauren.

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:12.120
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:15.399
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:28:15.440 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 1>on Apple card Play and then Broun Auto with a

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:20.639
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:28:22.560 --> 0:28:26.080
<v Speaker 3>Well, Bitcoin this week down nearly two percent. Interesting to

0:28:26.119 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 3>see the given the risk on mood that we saw

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:29.760
<v Speaker 3>in equities, driving the S and P five hundred and

0:28:29.840 --> 0:28:32.280
<v Speaker 3>Nasdaq one hundred and the Dow carroll to finish at

0:28:32.320 --> 0:28:36.160
<v Speaker 3>fresh records. Since that spot bitcoin etf or I should say,

0:28:36.280 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 3>since the spot bitcoin ETFs began trading last week there

0:28:38.920 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 3>are eleven of them and spike to more than forty

0:28:41.640 --> 0:28:44.320
<v Speaker 3>eight thousand dollars per bitcoin. We're now seeing bitcoin trade

0:28:44.320 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 3>down about quite a bit at about forty one thousand,

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:52.240
<v Speaker 3>six hundred and forty six dollars per coin. Okay, so

0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:55.240
<v Speaker 3>let's get into it with Stephen mcclug, chief investment officer

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:58.760
<v Speaker 3>at Valkyrie Investments. We should note Valkyrie is one of

0:28:58.760 --> 0:29:01.600
<v Speaker 3>the eleven companies with US Bitcoin ETF. That ticker is

0:29:02.080 --> 0:29:06.040
<v Speaker 3>br r R Burr. Stephen, good to have you back

0:29:06.200 --> 0:29:10.360
<v Speaker 3>with us. First full week of trading for Spot bitcoin ETFs.

0:29:11.520 --> 0:29:14.960
<v Speaker 3>We saw bitcoin move lower for the week. Just give

0:29:15.040 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 3>us your take now that we've had a full week

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:16.720
<v Speaker 3>of this.

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:21.320
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, absolutely, and thanks for having me back. Well, first

0:29:21.360 --> 0:29:24.840
<v Speaker 12>of all, what's happening in bitcoin is what we expected.

0:29:25.240 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 12>We do expect bitcoin to be pretty range bound between

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:31.640
<v Speaker 12>about forty two and forty eight through probably closer to

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:35.360
<v Speaker 12>March or April. A lot of the risk on that

0:29:35.400 --> 0:29:37.720
<v Speaker 12>we're seeing in the markets is due to an expectation

0:29:37.800 --> 0:29:40.920
<v Speaker 12>that fed's the FED will probably start louring rates in

0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:44.840
<v Speaker 12>May or June. But with the Bitcoin Spot ETF coming out,

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 12>there's been a lot of outflows actually out of the

0:29:47.600 --> 0:29:49.280
<v Speaker 12>grayscale ET.

0:29:49.600 --> 0:29:50.040
<v Speaker 4>I saw that.

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:55.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, why is that sort of a buy the news

0:29:55.680 --> 0:29:57.560
<v Speaker 3>by the rumor sell the news. I don't even know.

0:29:57.520 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 12>The saying yeah, yeah, so I I previously was an

0:30:01.080 --> 0:30:06.800
<v Speaker 12>investor in that particular trust as well. And really what's

0:30:06.840 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 12>happening is people were locked in and couldn't get redemptions

0:30:10.360 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 12>out when the fund was trading at a at a

0:30:13.320 --> 0:30:16.840
<v Speaker 12>pretty big discount, and now that that discount is narrowed

0:30:16.880 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 12>back to zero, people are able to begin to withdraw again,

0:30:20.640 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 12>sell out, sell out of it at market. So we've

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:26.240
<v Speaker 12>seen about five billion dollars in outflows so far just

0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:29.040
<v Speaker 12>in that ETF, which which we did expect to happen,

0:30:29.600 --> 0:30:33.200
<v Speaker 12>but we are seeing positive inflows into Hours and all

0:30:33.240 --> 0:30:33.840
<v Speaker 12>the other ones.

0:30:33.920 --> 0:30:34.080
<v Speaker 5>Well.

0:30:34.120 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 2>Talk to us about that, because I'm curious if those

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:38.080
<v Speaker 2>outflows out of Grayscale are finding their way to you.

0:30:38.120 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 2>Give us an idea size and scope in terms of

0:30:40.800 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 2>the flows that you, guys Steven, are seeing into your

0:30:43.800 --> 0:30:45.720
<v Speaker 2>spot baycoin ETF specifically.

0:30:46.720 --> 0:30:49.280
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, we're seeing a very steady stream of flows in.

0:30:49.720 --> 0:30:53.880
<v Speaker 12>Ever since the first day of trading, we've probably witnessed

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:57.360
<v Speaker 12>anywhere between twenty and thirty million dollars a day for

0:30:57.400 --> 0:31:00.640
<v Speaker 12>the most part, a few exceptions, but it's a very

0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:03.400
<v Speaker 12>very constant stream coming in. I think some of those

0:31:03.600 --> 0:31:06.240
<v Speaker 12>flows out of Grayscale is coming to us, but I

0:31:06.240 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 12>think a lot of it's new money people that want

0:31:08.480 --> 0:31:12.600
<v Speaker 12>access to an ETF and now have one and have

0:31:12.720 --> 0:31:14.920
<v Speaker 12>an in their in their broker's account. It's easy to

0:31:15.160 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 12>easy to maintain. So so that's where we're probably seeing

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 12>more of our flows is new money as opposed to

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 12>flows out of greyscale.

0:31:21.760 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 2>Any money coming out of your fund though in that.

0:31:25.320 --> 0:31:28.640
<v Speaker 12>Comunity, Yeah, yeah, we haven't really seen anything coming out

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:29.280
<v Speaker 12>of our funds.

0:31:29.480 --> 0:31:29.600
<v Speaker 8>Uh.

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:30.000
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:31:30.040 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 12>We we also have a mining fund as well as

0:31:32.240 --> 0:31:37.280
<v Speaker 12>a mixed bitcoin and the futures fund, and we've actually

0:31:37.280 --> 0:31:40.360
<v Speaker 12>seen positive inflows into those as well. Particularly the mining fund.

0:31:41.160 --> 0:31:42.840
<v Speaker 12>A lot of people are looking at that as a

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:45.959
<v Speaker 12>way to gain extra beta or you know, more more

0:31:46.280 --> 0:31:48.280
<v Speaker 12>than a one x beta to bitcoin.

0:31:48.640 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 3>Do you know if any of that money going into

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:55.600
<v Speaker 3>b R r R is coming from advisors?

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 12>It is, and a lot of the financial that we

0:32:00.960 --> 0:32:04.600
<v Speaker 12>speak to they have been waiting for a Bitcoin spot

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:07.360
<v Speaker 12>etf Most of them are independent. A lot of the

0:32:07.400 --> 0:32:11.200
<v Speaker 12>advisors that work in the big wires, it's going to

0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 12>be a little bit of time before they start coming in.

0:32:13.840 --> 0:32:17.120
<v Speaker 12>You know, the firms like UBS and Morgan Stanley, their

0:32:17.120 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 12>committees have to go through due diligence on the managers

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:23.000
<v Speaker 12>on the product. Usually takes somewhat of a track record

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:26.040
<v Speaker 12>anywhere between one and three years. So that's when we

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:28.240
<v Speaker 12>see a lot of the big flows, but the independent

0:32:28.240 --> 0:32:30.680
<v Speaker 12>arias are definitely coming in, and some of them that

0:32:30.760 --> 0:32:34.400
<v Speaker 12>don't feel like they quite understand bitcoin yet are making

0:32:34.400 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 12>their moves into some of the bitcoin ecosystem funds as

0:32:37.360 --> 0:32:41.440
<v Speaker 12>well as the Bitcoin mining fund which again we've seen

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:44.080
<v Speaker 12>a lot of positive inflows into that, just as much

0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:46.520
<v Speaker 12>as we've seen into bitcoin spot.

0:32:46.680 --> 0:32:48.680
<v Speaker 2>So help me understand or how you see it right?

0:32:49.400 --> 0:32:52.200
<v Speaker 2>One would assume bitcoin and know that. Some have said

0:32:52.240 --> 0:32:54.720
<v Speaker 2>it's a safe haven like gold. Some would say no,

0:32:54.840 --> 0:32:56.800
<v Speaker 2>it's when the risk trade is on. We've seen it

0:32:56.880 --> 0:32:59.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of go each way. But I'm looking at Bitcoin

0:32:59.440 --> 0:33:02.240
<v Speaker 2>down about nine and a half percent since these Spot

0:33:02.280 --> 0:33:06.480
<v Speaker 2>bitcoin etf started trading last week. I'm looking at a

0:33:06.600 --> 0:33:09.040
<v Speaker 2>NASDAC that's up three percent. I'm looking at an S

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:11.680
<v Speaker 2>and P five hundred that is up about one point

0:33:11.680 --> 0:33:15.320
<v Speaker 2>two percent in that same time frame, timeframe we've seen

0:33:15.360 --> 0:33:19.560
<v Speaker 2>Stephen the risk trade come back. Is it surprising not

0:33:19.600 --> 0:33:26.000
<v Speaker 2>to see Bitcoin moving up and the whole group overall, Yeah.

0:33:25.920 --> 0:33:31.480
<v Speaker 12>I'm not too terribly surprised, only because of the expected

0:33:31.480 --> 0:33:35.200
<v Speaker 12>outflows that we were to see in grayscale. I think

0:33:35.240 --> 0:33:37.800
<v Speaker 12>once that has watched out a bit, we should start

0:33:37.840 --> 0:33:40.200
<v Speaker 12>seeing the market move up again. And you also have

0:33:40.240 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 12>to keep in mind that you know, in the short

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 12>run things aren't always correlated, but in the long run

0:33:45.640 --> 0:33:49.480
<v Speaker 12>they are. And in the last three months leading up

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:52.840
<v Speaker 12>to the Bitcoin Spot ETF launches, we did see bitcoin

0:33:52.920 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 12>rising price quite a bit. So I think the market

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 12>get a little bit too excited. Now it's waning down

0:33:58.920 --> 0:34:02.280
<v Speaker 12>or getting back to a level that we think is sustainable,

0:34:02.760 --> 0:34:05.520
<v Speaker 12>and once these outflows begin going out, I do believe

0:34:05.520 --> 0:34:07.480
<v Speaker 12>we'll see it again. And and on that note, I'll

0:34:07.520 --> 0:34:11.600
<v Speaker 12>also mention that you know, bitcoin acts in response to

0:34:11.680 --> 0:34:14.440
<v Speaker 12>the way that people treat it. So some people use

0:34:14.440 --> 0:34:16.560
<v Speaker 12>it as an inflation hedge or as a safe haven,

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.239
<v Speaker 12>some some use it as a as a risk on asset,

0:34:19.640 --> 0:34:22.600
<v Speaker 12>and depending on the cycle or the mini cycle, we

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:26.399
<v Speaker 12>will see bitcoin react in those various ways. I think

0:34:26.400 --> 0:34:29.600
<v Speaker 12>this short term move really is more of a reflection

0:34:29.760 --> 0:34:34.040
<v Speaker 12>of selling out of one fund, and we should probably

0:34:34.040 --> 0:34:35.920
<v Speaker 12>see it move more like a risk app set through

0:34:35.960 --> 0:34:36.600
<v Speaker 12>the rest of the year.

0:34:36.719 --> 0:34:39.160
<v Speaker 3>Heay back to the ETF. So I'm just wondering if

0:34:39.200 --> 0:34:41.360
<v Speaker 3>you're planning to do a proof of reserves or maybe

0:34:41.360 --> 0:34:44.680
<v Speaker 3>share your addresses at some point in the in the future.

0:34:45.680 --> 0:34:49.840
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, absolutely, so we actually do post, we do post

0:34:49.880 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 12>our reserves and and really simply put, we hold everything

0:34:53.600 --> 0:34:56.200
<v Speaker 12>at coinbase. So there is uh, there is a one

0:34:56.239 --> 0:35:00.719
<v Speaker 12>to one uh uh bitcoin to to what we say

0:35:00.800 --> 0:35:03.880
<v Speaker 12>is in our fun sitting at coinbase. Now we probably

0:35:03.960 --> 0:35:06.640
<v Speaker 12>won't show the address just because that's a security reason

0:35:07.160 --> 0:35:09.880
<v Speaker 12>or that's a security issue, but we can point back to.

0:35:10.719 --> 0:35:12.720
<v Speaker 2>Coinbase on Hey, can you give us twenty five seconds

0:35:12.719 --> 0:35:14.520
<v Speaker 2>on the next steps and plans you've been acquired by

0:35:14.520 --> 0:35:18.160
<v Speaker 2>coin shares. We're already seeing consolidation the crypto asset management space,

0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:20.439
<v Speaker 2>So what can you share about next steps? And again,

0:35:20.520 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 2>just got about twenty five seconds.

0:35:22.280 --> 0:35:24.719
<v Speaker 12>Oh, absolutely, And this is exactly what we expected in

0:35:24.719 --> 0:35:27.600
<v Speaker 12>the market when we launched our firm three years ago.

0:35:28.080 --> 0:35:31.879
<v Speaker 12>Once a bitcoin spot etf comes to fruition, we will

0:35:31.880 --> 0:35:35.240
<v Speaker 12>see consolidation. We'll see larger asset managers that want access

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 12>to this asset class and want expertise, and we're seeing,

0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:42.160
<v Speaker 12>just like with us, we're seeing consolidation within the space.

0:35:42.320 --> 0:35:42.640
<v Speaker 8>All right.

0:35:42.719 --> 0:35:44.919
<v Speaker 2>It's always fun to watch, that's for sure, Steven, Thanks

0:35:44.920 --> 0:35:47.200
<v Speaker 2>for taking some time out for our Stephen mclard, chief

0:35:47.239 --> 0:35:51.600
<v Speaker 2>investment Officer over at Valkyrie Investments on Zoom from Nashville, Tennessee.

0:35:51.680 --> 0:35:54.399
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Radio, and this is Bloomberg Business Week,

0:35:54.640 --> 0:35:57.520
<v Speaker 2>Carol Master, Tims Danovic, This is Bloomberg.

0:36:00.480 --> 0:36:03.320
<v Speaker 12>Come Bromack.

0:36:04.160 --> 0:36:04.840
<v Speaker 1>The journal.

0:36:05.840 --> 0:36:06.279
<v Speaker 11>Now about you.

0:36:06.320 --> 0:36:06.839
<v Speaker 13>Let me drive?

0:36:07.080 --> 0:36:11.440
<v Speaker 3>Oh no, no, no, no, alright please, I'll.

0:36:12.800 --> 0:36:13.239
<v Speaker 10>Excuse me.

0:36:13.600 --> 0:36:14.399
<v Speaker 2>I want to drive.

0:36:14.400 --> 0:36:17.480
<v Speaker 8>It's a good question.

0:36:18.000 --> 0:36:24.839
<v Speaker 1>Good, this is good. Drive to the clothes. Do a thing, well,

0:36:25.920 --> 0:36:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Don on Bloomberg Radio.

0:36:28.760 --> 0:36:30.399
<v Speaker 3>All right, well it's that time to drive to the clothes.

0:36:30.440 --> 0:36:31.680
<v Speaker 3>And before we do that, I want to get to

0:36:31.719 --> 0:36:34.760
<v Speaker 3>a headline. A redhead crossing the Bloomberg terminal. Apollo Global

0:36:34.800 --> 0:36:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Management considering making an offer for National Amusements Inc. That's,

0:36:38.520 --> 0:36:40.800
<v Speaker 3>of course, the Redstone family company that controls film and

0:36:40.840 --> 0:36:44.080
<v Speaker 3>TV giant Paramount Global. This by your own team, including Lucashaw,

0:36:44.160 --> 0:36:45.840
<v Speaker 3>Ryan Gould, and Michelle Davis.

0:36:45.960 --> 0:36:46.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:36:46.200 --> 0:36:49.120
<v Speaker 2>Interesting too, because you're seeing Apollo Global hitting a record

0:36:49.120 --> 0:36:52.400
<v Speaker 2>in today's trade. So it's been actually moving up in

0:36:52.520 --> 0:36:55.200
<v Speaker 2>the session. Nothing that that's necessarily related to this news,

0:36:55.200 --> 0:36:56.880
<v Speaker 2>but it's up about almost two percent today.

0:36:56.920 --> 0:36:58.520
<v Speaker 3>We should note that Apollo is one of a number

0:36:58.560 --> 0:37:01.719
<v Speaker 3>of investors, both wealthy individual and professional money managers that

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:05.560
<v Speaker 3>have reached out in recent weeks to BDT and MSD Partners,

0:37:05.800 --> 0:37:08.040
<v Speaker 3>the investment bank advising the Red Stones. That's according to

0:37:08.040 --> 0:37:09.680
<v Speaker 3>people familiar with the discussions.

0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:11.640
<v Speaker 2>All right, so something to track on this Friday. We're

0:37:11.640 --> 0:37:15.520
<v Speaker 2>tracking a lot on this Friday, including an equity market

0:37:15.520 --> 0:37:18.320
<v Speaker 2>that is pretty much at its best levels of the session.

0:37:18.360 --> 0:37:20.600
<v Speaker 2>So we've seen really investors, certainly on the equity side

0:37:20.640 --> 0:37:23.680
<v Speaker 2>of things come back. Nasdaq, as we heard from Denise,

0:37:23.760 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 2>really the outperformer up one point six percent. We saw

0:37:26.560 --> 0:37:29.080
<v Speaker 2>this trade yesterday. So let's get to it. Let's get

0:37:29.160 --> 0:37:31.239
<v Speaker 2>to our drive to the closed guests. Back with us

0:37:31.480 --> 0:37:34.560
<v Speaker 2>is Doug Sioca, CEO and partner at Cavar Capital Partners.

0:37:34.560 --> 0:37:37.200
<v Speaker 2>They've got over a billion in assets under management. He

0:37:37.360 --> 0:37:40.680
<v Speaker 2>is on Zoom from Leewood, Kansas. Hey, Doug's so nice

0:37:40.719 --> 0:37:42.400
<v Speaker 2>to see you. I can't remember if we've had a

0:37:42.440 --> 0:37:44.400
<v Speaker 2>chance to say Happy New Year. It's already been kind

0:37:44.400 --> 0:37:45.719
<v Speaker 2>of a busy twenty twenty four.

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:46.239
<v Speaker 9>How are you.

0:37:46.920 --> 0:37:48.839
<v Speaker 4>Yes, I'm great, happening here to you guys as well.

0:37:48.880 --> 0:37:49.799
<v Speaker 4>Thank you for having me on.

0:37:50.040 --> 0:37:51.080
<v Speaker 2>Is it cold in Kansas?

0:37:52.120 --> 0:37:56.080
<v Speaker 13>No, it's frigid and ridiculously freezing in Kansas. It's forty

0:37:56.120 --> 0:37:58.200
<v Speaker 13>three right now in dropping.

0:37:58.440 --> 0:38:01.920
<v Speaker 3>Where is it colder? Buffalo, Kansas, Kansas.

0:38:02.040 --> 0:38:04.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, let's for the game on Sunday, so the Chiefs

0:38:04.560 --> 0:38:06.200
<v Speaker 4>will We have been up in Buffalo.

0:38:06.280 --> 0:38:09.680
<v Speaker 13>Looks like twenty two and in no precipitation, so it's

0:38:09.680 --> 0:38:11.680
<v Speaker 13>gonna feel balmy after the game last weekend when it

0:38:11.719 --> 0:38:12.680
<v Speaker 13>was minus twenty seven.

0:38:12.880 --> 0:38:14.919
<v Speaker 2>It's a big game this weekend. And I got to say, Doug,

0:38:15.000 --> 0:38:16.879
<v Speaker 2>it's so great that Taylor Swift came along to help

0:38:16.920 --> 0:38:19.320
<v Speaker 2>out the Chiefs and really get Travis Kelcey on track.

0:38:19.440 --> 0:38:21.840
<v Speaker 2>I bet you're really happy that she came into his life.

0:38:23.040 --> 0:38:23.439
<v Speaker 4>I am.

0:38:23.560 --> 0:38:25.280
<v Speaker 13>I am happy for her, I'm having for the city.

0:38:26.000 --> 0:38:28.359
<v Speaker 13>It's been great to have her around town. And he's

0:38:28.480 --> 0:38:30.480
<v Speaker 13>very visible. She's got a bit of a cloak of

0:38:31.320 --> 0:38:35.359
<v Speaker 13>protection around her, which is necessary, but she's been seen

0:38:35.400 --> 0:38:38.000
<v Speaker 13>around town and it's been a lot of positive buzz

0:38:38.000 --> 0:38:39.000
<v Speaker 13>in the city and we love it.

0:38:39.360 --> 0:38:39.720
<v Speaker 4>Well.

0:38:40.239 --> 0:38:42.960
<v Speaker 2>Talk about the game, Patrick Mahomes, it's hard not to

0:38:43.080 --> 0:38:45.040
<v Speaker 2>like this guy, even if he's not your team. Every

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:47.160
<v Speaker 2>time he's in a Super Bowl I love watching is

0:38:47.280 --> 0:38:49.759
<v Speaker 2>just this great little player and just seems to pull

0:38:49.800 --> 0:38:51.960
<v Speaker 2>it out all the time. But speaking of the Chiefs

0:38:52.320 --> 0:38:55.040
<v Speaker 2>and the team and their strategy. My understanding is you

0:38:55.040 --> 0:38:56.839
<v Speaker 2>think investors should take note of what they've been up

0:38:56.840 --> 0:38:58.000
<v Speaker 2>to as well.

0:38:58.200 --> 0:38:58.399
<v Speaker 10>Yeah.

0:38:58.440 --> 0:39:00.680
<v Speaker 13>I mean it's kind of a little corny on what's

0:39:00.680 --> 0:39:04.880
<v Speaker 13>happening at Arrowhead Stadium, but our town tends to sort

0:39:04.880 --> 0:39:08.960
<v Speaker 13>of evoke the character of their sports teams, and I've

0:39:09.000 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 13>kind of made a little bit of a it's probably

0:39:11.080 --> 0:39:14.120
<v Speaker 13>a bit of an extension, but the Chiefs have some

0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:17.320
<v Speaker 13>characteristics that they also share with kind of fundamental portfolio

0:39:17.400 --> 0:39:20.399
<v Speaker 13>management at the prevailing markets. And right, we've been saying, look,

0:39:20.400 --> 0:39:22.839
<v Speaker 13>you've got to have good defense, and that's been kind

0:39:22.880 --> 0:39:25.520
<v Speaker 13>of heart and soul of the Chiefs team this year

0:39:26.239 --> 0:39:30.359
<v Speaker 13>in the bond market. Right, in this silly analogy, right,

0:39:30.719 --> 0:39:32.800
<v Speaker 13>it's offering very stout defense.

0:39:32.880 --> 0:39:35.600
<v Speaker 4>Right, you've got sound portfolio protection, robust income.

0:39:36.160 --> 0:39:39.600
<v Speaker 13>You've got to have secondarily, kind of like to your point,

0:39:39.600 --> 0:39:42.239
<v Speaker 13>this mahomes magic leadership, we need to have some tried

0:39:42.280 --> 0:39:47.000
<v Speaker 13>and true, probably tech centric gross stocks embracing AI distancing

0:39:47.040 --> 0:39:50.040
<v Speaker 13>themselves from the competition and exhibiting incredible agility in a

0:39:50.040 --> 0:39:53.359
<v Speaker 13>fast paced ententry sector. And you've got to Thirdly, you've

0:39:53.360 --> 0:39:55.840
<v Speaker 13>got to have sound diversification right in your portfolio, and

0:39:55.880 --> 0:39:58.080
<v Speaker 13>it's certainly on the football field, and you've got to

0:39:58.120 --> 0:39:59.439
<v Speaker 13>be able to score in multiple ways.

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:00.600
<v Speaker 4>Expectations are high.

0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:03.840
<v Speaker 13>Playbooks well warned this part of the season, so you

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:05.839
<v Speaker 13>got to pull all the stops and have it sold.

0:40:05.920 --> 0:40:07.400
<v Speaker 4>Like Andy Reid as our head coach.

0:40:07.680 --> 0:40:11.960
<v Speaker 13>There's never any there's ever any lack of creativity and offense,

0:40:12.000 --> 0:40:12.480
<v Speaker 13>that's for sure.

0:40:12.560 --> 0:40:13.520
<v Speaker 3>Doug, do you like football?

0:40:15.160 --> 0:40:15.960
<v Speaker 4>I love football?

0:40:16.080 --> 0:40:16.719
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I thought so.

0:40:16.920 --> 0:40:17.400
<v Speaker 1>I thought so.

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:20.560
<v Speaker 3>I just wanted to make sure, just wanted to make sure. Yeah, hey,

0:40:20.560 --> 0:40:23.000
<v Speaker 3>can can you connect to the chief season and all

0:40:23.000 --> 0:40:24.799
<v Speaker 3>of the key themes to watch for twenty twenty four

0:40:24.800 --> 0:40:28.359
<v Speaker 3>because I know you're watching certain elements here, including geopolitics,

0:40:28.400 --> 0:40:29.520
<v Speaker 3>are going on with rates.

0:40:29.360 --> 0:40:32.279
<v Speaker 13>Absolutely timid and like everybody right, like interest rates are

0:40:32.320 --> 0:40:35.080
<v Speaker 13>the are the overriding sort of priority one theme of

0:40:35.120 --> 0:40:37.120
<v Speaker 13>twenty twenty four, as they were in twenty twenty three,

0:40:37.160 --> 0:40:41.360
<v Speaker 13>as they certainly were in twenty twenty two. So interest rates, earnings, geopolitics,

0:40:41.360 --> 0:40:44.600
<v Speaker 13>and domestic politics sort of cross pollination there, and then

0:40:44.640 --> 0:40:46.640
<v Speaker 13>we really feel like in twenty twenty four we're going

0:40:46.680 --> 0:40:49.320
<v Speaker 13>to see an appreciable increase in M and A activity

0:40:49.440 --> 0:40:51.640
<v Speaker 13>so I'm happy to talk about any or all of those.

0:40:51.880 --> 0:40:54.200
<v Speaker 4>The four prong theme thematic outlook for sure.

0:40:54.239 --> 0:40:55.719
<v Speaker 2>Can we go to interest rates? We just talked with

0:40:55.719 --> 0:40:58.799
<v Speaker 2>our Bloomberg News rates reporter Michael McKenzie, and this whole

0:40:58.840 --> 0:41:04.120
<v Speaker 2>idea of you know, bond traders really very closely watching

0:41:04.760 --> 0:41:07.200
<v Speaker 2>maybe the treasury curve here in the US getting back

0:41:07.200 --> 0:41:10.480
<v Speaker 2>to normalization, This whole idea of you know, no longer

0:41:10.880 --> 0:41:16.600
<v Speaker 2>an inverted yield curve and those longer durations moving up.

0:41:16.600 --> 0:41:20.000
<v Speaker 2>But having said that, the path to getting back to

0:41:20.120 --> 0:41:21.120
<v Speaker 2>normal is it?

0:41:21.520 --> 0:41:22.279
<v Speaker 10>The question is.

0:41:22.640 --> 0:41:24.640
<v Speaker 2>Does the longer end of the yield curve go higher

0:41:24.960 --> 0:41:26.920
<v Speaker 2>or does the shorter end go lower? And I am

0:41:27.040 --> 0:41:29.799
<v Speaker 2>curious what your take is on it, because there it

0:41:29.880 --> 0:41:31.000
<v Speaker 2>means different things.

0:41:31.600 --> 0:41:31.759
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:41:31.840 --> 0:41:34.160
<v Speaker 13>So throughout last year, Carol, we saw what's called it,

0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:36.920
<v Speaker 13>it's called a bear steepening, right, and we saw as

0:41:36.960 --> 0:41:40.160
<v Speaker 13>the short end came up in the long end, I

0:41:40.160 --> 0:41:43.160
<v Speaker 13>should say that the long end barely budged and that

0:41:43.360 --> 0:41:46.840
<v Speaker 13>sort of unwound kind of going into that to midsummer,

0:41:46.920 --> 0:41:50.399
<v Speaker 13>we saw the pullback in equity markets when the expectation was, hey,

0:41:50.480 --> 0:41:53.200
<v Speaker 13>the FED may not be done right. There was a

0:41:53.239 --> 0:41:55.120
<v Speaker 13>lot of mixed messaging coming from some of the FED

0:41:55.160 --> 0:41:58.360
<v Speaker 13>governors on their speaking tours. We've actually now seen some

0:41:58.560 --> 0:42:00.920
<v Speaker 13>more of a bull steeping that's taken place. Well, the

0:42:00.960 --> 0:42:04.040
<v Speaker 13>expectation in the market, and it's begun to dissipate right

0:42:04.040 --> 0:42:07.600
<v Speaker 13>from definitely putting in six cuts next year to maybe

0:42:07.640 --> 0:42:10.719
<v Speaker 13>more like four and a half or five, if that's possible.

0:42:11.160 --> 0:42:14.000
<v Speaker 13>So you've seen the expectation that the FED might not

0:42:14.040 --> 0:42:16.880
<v Speaker 13>be cutting as much as had been anticipated. So the

0:42:16.920 --> 0:42:19.680
<v Speaker 13>two years really been pegged and all the action has

0:42:19.680 --> 0:42:21.799
<v Speaker 13>been on the longer end. Now, we did see some

0:42:22.160 --> 0:42:25.520
<v Speaker 13>normalization even on twoes and thirties earlier this week, right

0:42:25.560 --> 0:42:28.600
<v Speaker 13>where we finally saw that was kind of a refreshing deal.

0:42:28.920 --> 0:42:31.840
<v Speaker 13>We've gone from ninety eight basis points to steepness to tens.

0:42:31.880 --> 0:42:34.200
<v Speaker 13>Now we're just at like twenty three. So we're seeing

0:42:34.200 --> 0:42:36.680
<v Speaker 13>the right kind of steeping that's taken place. And why

0:42:36.840 --> 0:42:40.680
<v Speaker 13>is that right? Because everyone knows the FED is done right,

0:42:40.719 --> 0:42:43.960
<v Speaker 13>how quickly the FED cuts is really open for debate.

0:42:44.000 --> 0:42:46.360
<v Speaker 4>I saw an interesting interview this morning with Austin Goolsby.

0:42:46.920 --> 0:42:48.719
<v Speaker 13>He was saying, which I thought was really interesting, is

0:42:49.440 --> 0:42:52.280
<v Speaker 13>the investors are hinging on the words of the FED

0:42:52.560 --> 0:42:54.799
<v Speaker 13>and they need to be hinging on the data. But

0:42:54.840 --> 0:42:56.840
<v Speaker 13>at the same time, we will still raise rates we

0:42:56.880 --> 0:43:00.520
<v Speaker 13>feel like the data is inconsistent with the general trajectory inflation.

0:43:00.920 --> 0:43:03.080
<v Speaker 13>So that was a little bit of this messaging as well.

0:43:03.320 --> 0:43:05.719
<v Speaker 13>But what the market is trying to do is ascertain

0:43:05.960 --> 0:43:08.000
<v Speaker 13>two and a half to four percent GDP growth.

0:43:08.000 --> 0:43:11.800
<v Speaker 4>Boy, that's pretty good. Yeah, And labor market that's finally

0:43:11.800 --> 0:43:14.000
<v Speaker 4>coming into balance. Boy, that's pretty good.

0:43:14.680 --> 0:43:18.080
<v Speaker 13>Certain industries in the in the stock market, they're just

0:43:18.160 --> 0:43:20.040
<v Speaker 13>starting to hit kind of a sweet spot of the upswing,

0:43:20.120 --> 0:43:21.640
<v Speaker 13>of their sweet spot of the up spring of their

0:43:21.840 --> 0:43:25.520
<v Speaker 13>profit cycle. So you can see the soft landing scenario

0:43:25.640 --> 0:43:29.520
<v Speaker 13>with rate normalization without seeing like a widening of the normalization,

0:43:29.880 --> 0:43:32.520
<v Speaker 13>but just getting to where we have opportunities to pick

0:43:32.600 --> 0:43:35.080
<v Speaker 13>up turn premium. That's going to be really reassuring the

0:43:35.080 --> 0:43:36.240
<v Speaker 13>face of declining inflation.

0:43:36.400 --> 0:43:38.319
<v Speaker 2>Well, certainly something to think about as we head into

0:43:38.320 --> 0:43:40.400
<v Speaker 2>the weekend and get ready to watch a lot of football.

0:43:40.640 --> 0:43:42.600
<v Speaker 2>That's what I'm going to say, Hey, listen, be well,

0:43:42.680 --> 0:43:44.880
<v Speaker 2>great to check in with you. Dex Sioka, CEO and

0:43:44.920 --> 0:43:47.560
<v Speaker 2>partner at Kvar Capital Partners. As we mentioned earlier, they've

0:43:47.560 --> 0:43:50.160
<v Speaker 2>got over a billion dollars in assets under management. He's

0:43:50.239 --> 0:43:53.280
<v Speaker 2>joining us on zoom from Leewood, Kansas, where it's chilling.

0:43:53.760 --> 0:43:56.560
<v Speaker 3>Is he gonna, Doug? Are you gonna go to the game. No,

0:43:56.719 --> 0:43:58.759
<v Speaker 3>the game's in Buffalo, I know, but you could still go.

0:43:58.800 --> 0:44:01.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, still go. No, I will be here.

0:44:01.800 --> 0:44:05.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the kvar jet might take you.

0:44:05.200 --> 0:44:06.280
<v Speaker 4>Oh now you're talking.

0:44:06.360 --> 0:44:10.640
<v Speaker 3>Thanks, good luck this weekend. I appreciate you as always

0:44:10.719 --> 0:44:11.239
<v Speaker 3>enjoining us.

0:44:12.120 --> 0:44:12.239
<v Speaker 13>Luck.

0:44:12.719 --> 0:44:13.440
<v Speaker 9>Thank you too.

0:44:14.280 --> 0:44:18.920
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast of a Little Apple, Spotify,

0:44:19.040 --> 0:44:22.760
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0:44:22.800 --> 0:44:26.400
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0:44:26.440 --> 0:44:29.759
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0:44:29.840 --> 0:44:32.880
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