1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,160 Speaker 1: Hey, Dina, Hi Mark. So what are we talking about today? 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: We are going to talk about bioplastics. Specifically, we're going 3 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: to be talking about a report called Bioplastics Primer Market 4 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: Overview by being a fantaist called il Hansa Vout. So 5 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,799 Speaker 1: when I read this yesterday, I feel like I understood it, 6 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: you know, I got it, but I don't think I 7 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: quite got it right. It didn't click for me until 8 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: last night. So I was home cooking dinner, listening to 9 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: the news as I always do, and it kind of 10 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: throw away story caught my attention. It was really, you know, 11 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: just a few lines stating that Malaysia was sending back 12 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: three thousand tons of illegally imported plastic waste to the UK, US, Australia, Japan, 13 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: France and Canada. The Environment Minister of Maljia said Malaysia 14 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: will no longer be a dumping ground of the world, 15 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: and it seems other countries are following me suit. So Thailand, 16 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: the Philippines, Indonesia are all sending back plastic waste to 17 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: all these places um and refusing to accept more. Now, 18 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 1: what does make it into these countries often gets illegally 19 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 1: incinerated or sits in the landfill, so only a small 20 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: fraction gets recycled. So bioplastics, this seems what happened, or 21 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 1: what well could happen when Western countries are forced to 22 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: reckon with not being able to sweep their plastic under 23 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: the rug anymore. It's really coming from everywhere. Yeah, we've 24 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: we've got materials everywhere, and the reality is that when 25 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 1: you throw something away, there is always in a way. 26 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 1: So whether that a way is us shipping it to 27 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:22,479 Speaker 1: different country, whether that away is it unfortunately ending up 28 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 1: in the ocean. So there have been a lot of 29 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 1: there's been a lot of recent attention on social media 30 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 1: and in the news about the Pacific guy or so 31 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: if you've not heard of this, uh, this is a 32 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: Texas size lump of floating plastic waste in the ocean. 33 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:42,680 Speaker 1: And it's typically followed up with some sort of picture 34 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 1: of something like a sea turtle that's wrestling with a 35 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: single use plastic bag or a straw, and you know, 36 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: it's it's this very confronting image of human waste going 37 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 1: into what we consider, you know, pristine natural spaces that 38 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: are no longer pristine become because of it. So I 39 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: think we can spend a lot of time talking about waste, 40 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: but hopefully today what we're gonna do is really actually 41 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: get much more into bioplastics and what some of the 42 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: innovators are doing to create different materials both from different 43 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,399 Speaker 1: sources or can be ultimately because of how they're made 44 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: treated differently end of life bioplastics. There's just an existing 45 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,639 Speaker 1: small part of the market right now, but let's explore 46 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,920 Speaker 1: what the future could potentially hold on this and really 47 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: what bioplastics are, because that's something that until I read 48 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: this note, I wasn't clear on and I thought I was. 49 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: So if you want to read Bioplastics Primer Market Overview 50 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 1: by Ihan Savut, you can find it on biennef dot 51 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,640 Speaker 1: com or biennfs mobile app by just searching for the 52 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: title of the note, or on the Bloomberg terminal at 53 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: b an ef go. If you're not a client, shoot 54 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:52,519 Speaker 1: us an email at sales dot BNF at Bloomberg dot net. 55 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: And just a quick reminder that BENNF does not provide 56 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: investment or strategy advice, and you can hear a full 57 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 1: disclaimer at the end of our show. So I'm Dana 58 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: Perkins and I'm Mark Taylor and you're listening to Switch 59 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 1: on the NF Client podcast. Joining us today is Dr 60 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: Julia Atwood, who is our head of Advanced Materials here 61 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 1: at b n EF. Welcome to the show, Julia, thanks 62 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: for having me back. Guys, can you start us off 63 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: today by by just telling us what bioplastics are? I mean, 64 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: so we read the note, we think we get bioplastics. 65 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: I read it twice. Okay, there you go. It's still 66 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: use this question. Okay. It's a complicated space, so it's 67 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,959 Speaker 1: totally understandable that you guys are needing to read it over. 68 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:33,239 Speaker 1: It's complicated because there is an entire world of plastics. 69 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: So we're going to break it down into four types. 70 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: There's the regular everyday plastics that you see all the time, 71 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: and they're made from fossil fuels and they do not biodegrade. 72 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: Then you have some very very special fossil fuel based 73 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 1: plastics that do biodegrade. They're called PBS and p BAT. 74 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: They're a little weird. We're not going to talk about 75 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: them too much. Then you have your bio based world 76 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: of plastics. Plastics are just made up of carbon and 77 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: hydrogen and a bunch of other additives. So really they 78 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: can come from any source where you have those two things, 79 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: and a lot of those are bio based, like old 80 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: biomass or sugarcane or corn. So within the plastics that 81 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: are made from biosources, you have the ones that will biodegrade, 82 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 1: and they are called substitutes, and these are brand new plastics. 83 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: And then you have your bio based plastics that are 84 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: called drop ins, and they are chemically identical from the 85 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 1: standard polypropylene polyethylene that you would get from a fossil field. 86 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 1: So they're called drop ins because you can just put 87 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: them straight into your product, no different treatment required once 88 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 1: you get the material made. Now, my understanding of bioplastics 89 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 1: when I heard the term was they were going to 90 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: be this universe of things that we interact with that 91 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:51,880 Speaker 1: are both made from organic materials and biodegrade fairly quickly. 92 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,279 Speaker 1: Is there a ven diagram of these things or does 93 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: everything sit in one of these two buckets that you 94 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 1: just described. There is a vend diagram, especially in terms 95 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: what happens at the end of its life, because some 96 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 1: plastics you can just put out in your compost heap 97 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 1: and then they will disappear, and that's like the home 98 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:11,159 Speaker 1: composting space. But a lot of them, especially the ones 99 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: like p l A that are used very commonly, they 100 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: have to go into a special industrial compost. So you 101 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: still need to send it off with your city recycling 102 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 1: so that it can go to a special facility. So 103 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 1: do they want the people who are actually taking this 104 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: and composting it or incinerating it and creating energy from it, 105 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 1: whatever they're doing with it, do they want it because 106 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: they get the byproduct at the end? Because I'm having 107 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: these flashbacks to being a kid and having this you know, 108 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: soda can and taking it in in California and getting 109 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,679 Speaker 1: five cents back and saying thinking, suddenly I'm rich because 110 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: I have a bag of soda cans. Um. Are there 111 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 1: people on a much bigger, more industrial plastics exactly? No, 112 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: But are there companies that are seeing this as a 113 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 1: really great opportunity for them to collect a new type 114 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: of waste induced something with it at the end, Well, 115 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:04,839 Speaker 1: that's a tough one because really bioplastics are a tiny, 116 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: tiny fraction of the market there like one percent of 117 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: the plastics market, and what we normally see for creating 118 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 1: a new way stream and creating the business models around 119 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 1: that is that you need to have like five to 120 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 1: ten of what you're selling being that. So before you 121 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:25,479 Speaker 1: have like a bio based polyethylene specified recycling stream, you 122 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 1: need to sell a lot more of it. Most of 123 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 1: the people who are buying these bioplastics are doing it 124 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 1: for sustainability reasons, or because there are extended producer requirements legislations, 125 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 1: or because there are extra taxes that they can escape 126 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: by using a bio friendly plastic. So what's the political 127 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: momentum to get it to that five percent? Is it 128 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: one of these things where everybody is really looking at 129 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:53,039 Speaker 1: this is a is a new industry and governments are 130 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 1: wanting a plastic alternative or they kind of been different 131 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 1: to it, or is it what we talked about in 132 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: the intro? Is it? Is it the Philippines and Indonesia? 133 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 1: And yeah, it's a combination of those things. I would 134 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 1: say the policy is not as developed as it was 135 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: for something like biofuels, where you had these blending requirements. 136 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: We're not seeing anything like that yet, partly because the 137 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: environmental lobby is split between the people who want to 138 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: encourage recycling and the people who want to encourage bioplastics. 139 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: So where we do see governments getting behind this, it's 140 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: typically where there's a big national champion and a lot 141 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 1: of agriculture. And the country that is sticking in my 142 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 1: head here is really Brazil. So brass Cam makes most 143 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: of the world's biopoly athlete. They're by far the dominant producer, 144 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: and that's because there's just so much biomass in Brazil, 145 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: so it's great for them, and then people who want 146 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: to get off oil. So Japan has some legislation around it, 147 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: but really the policy has focused much more on you 148 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: have to have plastics with SAT recycled material in it, 149 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 1: or we're going to tax you. That's what they're suggesting 150 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: in the UK that there are a lot of ways 151 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 1: to deal with the waste issue. End of life. I mean, 152 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: I think I was reading yesterday UM statistic that in 153 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: two thifteen I'm sure the number is different now of 154 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: plastic waste was just discarded and not actually dealt with. Now, 155 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: whatever that actual number is for each individual locale, there's 156 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: definitely a lot of stuff that needs to be dealt 157 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: with end of life read I read yesterday the stat 158 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: now is only nine gets recycled. Yeah, that's because some 159 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 1: people sometimes consider incinerating plastic as recycling it because it's 160 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 1: being used for power. It is having another use, but 161 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 1: it's not going back into anybody's supply chain. Okay, So 162 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: that's the way to deal with that. End of life's 163 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 1: a bit of a stretch, isn't It depends on what 164 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: you want to incentivize. If you just do not want landfills, 165 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 1: at least you're getting something out of it. And the 166 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 1: end of life is so tricky for bioplastics because we 167 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: were talking about the methane earlier, and I mean, you 168 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: guys will know methane is a much more potent greenhouse 169 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: gas than carbon dioxide. So there are people in the 170 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: other eye of the lobby who say, yeah, but we're 171 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: locking carbon away in plastic from a fossil fuel and 172 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: it sits there in a landfill inert, doesn't do anything, 173 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: doesn't release any carbon, whereas these biodegradable ones at the 174 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: end of their life, Yeah, you took carbon out of 175 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 1: the air, but you put it straight back up or 176 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:18,080 Speaker 1: you create this mething. And so the end of life 177 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: is something that people argue about a lot around bioplastics. Well, 178 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,960 Speaker 1: and let's talk a little bit about the traditional plastics 179 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 1: that were used to dealing with and they sit in 180 00:09:27,520 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: the landfill and presumably do nothing for a while unless 181 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: they make their way into the ocean, and then we've 182 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: got a different thing on our hands. But it was 183 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: the Plastics Industry Association I think you were saying, referred 184 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 1: to the term biodegradable as being equivalent to the word yummy, 185 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 1: because it doesn't actually mean much of anything because it 186 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 1: has to do with what timeline we're looking at. Now. 187 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: I'm not saying I agree or disagree with that definition 188 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 1: of the word, as I think biodegradable actually does have 189 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 1: a pretty good definition. But um, they do have a 190 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: point there. If these bioplastics make their way into your 191 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: home compost or more importantly, into the oceans, what happens 192 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:09,080 Speaker 1: to them? Do we need these end of life cycle 193 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 1: people to really be thinking about what we're going to 194 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:14,440 Speaker 1: do with them or does it really vary? It's really 195 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 1: not just to throw it away and we're good type 196 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: thing like you would think of a banana peel. Because 197 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: so many plastics are used to contain food and that 198 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:26,959 Speaker 1: means they're in contact with water. It often means they're 199 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 1: in contact with heat and water and heat are kind 200 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 1: of the things that you think about when something is degrading. 201 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 1: So it's difficult for the producers because they want to 202 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:39,599 Speaker 1: make something that's easily biodegradable, but they have these mechanical 203 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:43,000 Speaker 1: and temperature requirements that they have to fulfill. So say 204 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: p L A, which is the most common, one of 205 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 1: the most common biodegradable plastics, if that ends up in 206 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,840 Speaker 1: the ocean, it's actually pretty water resistant. It's probably going 207 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 1: to sit there for a very long time. And by 208 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:56,880 Speaker 1: a very long time, you mean hundred years, five hundred years, 209 00:10:56,920 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: a thousand years, probably the scale of years. Because in 210 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: ideal conditions, the technical standard for being biodegradable is that 211 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 1: nine of the carbon contained in that material has to 212 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,560 Speaker 1: have been released as carbon dioxide after a hundred and 213 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: eighty days. So there is a definition, there is, but 214 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 1: it's a very it's a pretty loose one and it 215 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 1: doesn't specify the conditions. Okay, so I'm thinking about where 216 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 1: I've actually seen this stuff. So we're talking a bit 217 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: about the end of life, but what about everybody who 218 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:38,679 Speaker 1: wants to make this stuff? So I'm thinking Christmas time, 219 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: actually there was this vestas wind turbine made by Lego 220 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 1: that my son really wanted from Santa Claus. You've raised 221 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 1: your children well, Dana. It was. It was really fun 222 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 1: because finally what mommy does for a living was cool, um, 223 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: and he asked for it from Santa of all people. 224 00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 1: And one of the things they had pretty heavily advertised 225 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 1: on the box was this bioplastic little the trees were 226 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 1: made of bioplastics, and they're toying around with this idea 227 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:08,200 Speaker 1: of creating bioplastics, and who knows what that will end 228 00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: up doing too, Legos manufacturing I can't even begin to guess, 229 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 1: given we've got mounds of Lego plastic in our house 230 00:12:16,040 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 1: right now. Um. But what other companies you mentioned in 231 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 1: the note that Coca Cola potentially has skin in the 232 00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: game here, and I'm thinking this is an opportunity. But 233 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 1: but for who on the demand side, Anybody who's close 234 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: to the consumer is now under a lot of pressure 235 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 1: to make their products more sustainable. They have come under 236 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: a lot of fire for plastics in the oceans, for 237 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 1: port labor practices in some cases, for you know, artisanal 238 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 1: mining in Africa. So everybody has this at the front 239 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 1: of their mind, and bioplastics are a nice way for 240 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 1: them to keep a material that's incredibly important to the 241 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 1: consumer sector. Think about everything in your life it's made 242 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 1: of plastics, while making it more sustainable. So Coca Cola 243 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 1: was really the company that got the whole ball rolling 244 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 1: on the bio pet side of things, because what the 245 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 1: people making bioplastics desperately, desperately need is a champion. You 246 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 1: have to have somebody raising their hand and saying I'm 247 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:18,079 Speaker 1: going to take fift your capacity before they will build 248 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:21,440 Speaker 1: a plant. I think the other companies that are likely 249 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:23,680 Speaker 1: to get into it are people in the clothing sector, 250 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 1: people making packaging, the brand owners people like Unilever, Procter 251 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:31,440 Speaker 1: and Gamble, Nike, and from clothing, you mean because of 252 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 1: all the packaging that comes in it, or actually to 253 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: make the clothing itself, because what is it, something like 254 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 1: six the world Economic forms at six of all the 255 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: clothes that are manufactured have some sort of synthetic fiber. Yeah, 256 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 1: there's a huge amount of signetic synthetic fibers out there. 257 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 1: Not a lot of them are bio based at the 258 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:55,320 Speaker 1: moment um, but things like shoes, they're really interesting because 259 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 1: they have a lot of different plastics in them. Um, 260 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 1: and yeah, it's something that people are willing to spend 261 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 1: quite a bit of money on. I know, my daddy's 262 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 1: a big runner. He spends a ton of money on 263 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 1: running shots. So it's a high value product and it's 264 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,760 Speaker 1: consumer base is pretty conscious of these things. The interesting 265 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 1: outlier for me though, is Forward. Either of you guys 266 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 1: drive a Forward, not as much as I'd like, so 267 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 1: Forward is actually using bioplastics quite a bit. They're starting 268 00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: to blend them into the interiors, into the other plastic 269 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:33,440 Speaker 1: parts that they have in their car. You know, stuff 270 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:37,480 Speaker 1: is a little away from the engine. So that's an 271 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: industry that hasn't made as much of a move towards bioplastics. 272 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 1: But if Ford can kind of show them the way 273 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 1: in terms of the supply chain and the design standards, 274 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 1: then there are quite a few plastics and cars these days, 275 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 1: and there's going to be more. Now, how about the 276 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 1: other forms of packaging that I've been getting kind of 277 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: some interest recently, well actually for a long time. So 278 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: it what comes to mind from my standpoint is tetrapack, 279 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: or how with all these plastic bag bands you're seeing 280 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: a lot of places. Uh, the alternative seems to be 281 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 1: paper bags, which instantly have a much higher carbon footprint, 282 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: are bioplastics. And I know it's really hard to kind 283 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: of extrapolate this out, given there are only one percent 284 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: of this plastics market right now. But do you foresee 285 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: them potentially encroaching in on the plastics market or do 286 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 1: you see them encroaching in on these alternative things materials 287 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 1: also biopackaging from paper or other things. If we want 288 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: to give it another term, um, where do you see 289 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 1: it really going or is it just gonna add additional 290 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 1: capacity because I mean the world's going to go from 291 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 1: seven billion to potentially ten or twelve billion people, and gosh, 292 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 1: we need, we want materials. I think the alternatives that 293 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 1: we have right now, some of them, like paper bags, 294 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 1: I think they're a bit of a band aid measure 295 00:15:56,520 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 1: because while there are people who can make bioplast sticks, 296 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 1: there isn't actually that much active capacity, So the people 297 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 1: who are buying them are worried about security of supply. 298 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: So I think when you see a plastic bag band 299 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:14,000 Speaker 1: a lot of these companies, their first instinct is, oh 300 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 1: my god, let's switch to paper because everybody knows where 301 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: to get plastics, ready to get paper bags. Um, but 302 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,520 Speaker 1: the paper isn't as good a packaging material as plastics 303 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 1: because you know, if your eggs break or your milk leaks, 304 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: it starts to get really weak and then all of 305 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 1: your oranges and bananas followed to the bottoms, So doesn't 306 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:39,080 Speaker 1: last as long. That's that's the thing. Plastics last forever. Yet, Um, 307 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: those single used plastic bags, they can be used a 308 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 1: couple of times, whereas a paper bag you get it 309 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 1: wet toast. Yeah, and you've hit on exactly. The problem 310 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: is that utilization has a huge impact on the overall 311 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 1: carbon footprint of something, because when you think about a 312 00:16:57,000 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 1: reusable water bottle that has a much much lower urban footprint, 313 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 1: even though you need more and higher performance materials to 314 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:06,880 Speaker 1: make the thing in the first place, if you can 315 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:11,800 Speaker 1: kill demand for a lot of other things, then that 316 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 1: gives you a big benefit in terms of carbon. So 317 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:19,199 Speaker 1: I might actually bypass that whole question and say I'm thinking, 318 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 1: you know, cloth bags and getting everything delivered to your 319 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,120 Speaker 1: door in crates that you then put immediately into your fridge. 320 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 1: Maybe the future, So on the performance end of things 321 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,719 Speaker 1: you reference in your research that they've cut kind of 322 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,959 Speaker 1: different performance characteristics. Could you talk about some of the 323 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 1: benefits that bioplastics actually provide as And I don't know 324 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 1: which of the two categories of bioplastics, but but which 325 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 1: of these two categories has kind of a superior value 326 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:49,399 Speaker 1: to it that a consumer or even that a manufacturer 327 00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:52,000 Speaker 1: may want in the market. The thing to remember is 328 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:56,880 Speaker 1: that the bio based plastics, so like biope biopet, it's 329 00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 1: exactly the same as So we're not going to notice 330 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 1: the forens except I think I've interacted with some and 331 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 1: they're slightly matt finish. Yeah, that's the only differences. The 332 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 1: only avantage there for the substitution. This is the substitution 333 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 1: is one right now, this is the drop in the 334 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,400 Speaker 1: drop in, so sorry, it's the only advantage there that 335 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 1: you're not using oil to make it. Yes, and for 336 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 1: some of them it's not even that they're totally oil free. 337 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:22,360 Speaker 1: So biopet, for example, is only bio based, so there's 338 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:24,200 Speaker 1: still quite a lot of oil in there. There are 339 00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 1: bio routes, but they're not commercially mature. So yeah, I 340 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 1: mean the people who are making the packaging and using 341 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:33,919 Speaker 1: these materials. They see it as a benefit that they 342 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 1: don't have to change their process at all. But on 343 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 1: the other hand, the reason why the substitutes, so these 344 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:40,800 Speaker 1: are the new things like p l A and p 345 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,360 Speaker 1: h A, the reason why they can have better properties 346 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 1: is because you're designing a brand new material, and so 347 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,480 Speaker 1: you can use additives or different processing methods to give 348 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 1: you stuff that you didn't have before, so like better 349 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 1: temperature resistance or better formability, or it can just be 350 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: stronger and stiffer um or if you want them matt finish, 351 00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 1: you can have Matt initially a Christmas tree. So there 352 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 1: are plastics engineers out there saying let's make packaging all 353 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 1: kinds of different things, because we might just be able 354 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:13,880 Speaker 1: to make some more interesting stuff. Yeah, exactly, when you're saying, 355 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,640 Speaker 1: just what is a bioplastic, red flags went up in 356 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 1: that seems like there's some dark secrets here. So land 357 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 1: use water use food competition. Can you comment on that 358 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 1: at all. Let me start with the food competition thing. 359 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:30,199 Speaker 1: They've started by using foods like corn and sugar and 360 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 1: soybeans because that's the easiest thing to make it from. 361 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:35,439 Speaker 1: You know, it's a pretty rich source of the oils 362 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,720 Speaker 1: that they need. But there are a ton of startups 363 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:41,760 Speaker 1: out there who are working on second, third, fourth generation 364 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:45,800 Speaker 1: feedstocks like potato peel waste and carrot waste, all the 365 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,360 Speaker 1: stuff you don't want to use. I get a magazine 366 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 1: that comes in a potato peel waiste sac. It's a 367 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 1: children's magazine, but all saying, I'm imagining brown burlap coming 368 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,919 Speaker 1: through the hill plot. We do a dress water and 369 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 1: land use in the note. So we have a chart 370 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 1: where we're looking at the cradle to gate carbon footprint 371 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: and comparing it to Patrick chemicals, and we have like 372 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 1: a line and it's basically anything below this line is 373 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,719 Speaker 1: better for the environment. We take into account water and 374 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:20,640 Speaker 1: land using carbon footprint, but it's extremely lucation dependent. If 375 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:24,960 Speaker 1: you were growing all of your bioplastics feedstocks in a 376 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: greenhouse on the middle of a rock face in Newfoundland, 377 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: then that's not interfering with your food supply um or 378 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,639 Speaker 1: if you're using the waste stuff like the second and 379 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 1: third generation feedstocks, then that's a positive as well. It's 380 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 1: better than burning it. I've put about people locating these 381 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,919 Speaker 1: like in Wyoming near or excuse me, Idaho, where all 382 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: the potatoes are or in Maine or something like that. Yeah, 383 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,920 Speaker 1: it makes sense, there's that to consider. We still see 384 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,399 Speaker 1: most bioplastics being below the line, so better than the 385 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 1: petro chemical alternatives. But then it really depends on what 386 00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 1: happens to it at the end of its life. Now, 387 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 1: quick moment for definitions. You said cradle to gate. I 388 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 1: read it a couple of times in the note and thought, 389 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,200 Speaker 1: surely this is a type of she means cradle to 390 00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:11,680 Speaker 1: grave because I've heard that time before. But what gate 391 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 1: are you going? I am wrong, You're going up to 392 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:18,679 Speaker 1: the factory gate. Okay, so they see there, I suppose 393 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,880 Speaker 1: from the supplier's point of view, that's when their responsibility ends. 394 00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 1: They have made this thing in the most responsible way possible. 395 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,680 Speaker 1: They've used a biofeed stock, They've powered their plant using 396 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,120 Speaker 1: wind and solar. That's like all they can do. They 397 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: hand it over to the supply, delivered the little plastic pellets. 398 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 1: Deliver the pellets, and then it's like your move, guys, um, 399 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: and then it's up to the brand owner of the 400 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 1: person making the packaging to a make it so that 401 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 1: it's easy to recycle or to compost. So make it thin, 402 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 1: make it out of one material and then be get 403 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,919 Speaker 1: the consumers to treat it properly at the end. So 404 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 1: what do you think it's going to take to give 405 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: this industry a real inject the injection that it needs 406 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,960 Speaker 1: to be more than one person in. What's going to 407 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,879 Speaker 1: get it to five of total materials? And where does 408 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 1: that opportunity kind of come from? Yeah, it comes from 409 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 1: a big international champion saying you just need several Cokes, 410 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 1: like you need an Amazon, Yeah, and you need one 411 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,119 Speaker 1: person per bioplastic almost, so you need someone who's going 412 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: to say I'm all biope, I'm all bio p a um. 413 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 1: Because Coke can run its segment of the biopet market 414 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 1: right now. But the only thing that's going to get 415 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 1: it beyond there is all of these big international companies 416 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 1: saying oil is not interesting to us anymore. You're starting 417 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 1: to see those kinds of moves with Apple around aluminum, 418 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 1: so that's they're big things. They want to make the 419 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:52,400 Speaker 1: Iphonet of aluminum. So they want recycled or green aluminium. Yeah, 420 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 1: they don't use very many plastics, but they've committed to 421 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 1: everything being recyclable or renewable. So once they get through 422 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: their aluminium supply chain companies like that are going to 423 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,399 Speaker 1: start looking at plastics and they're going to say, okay, 424 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 1: do I go recycled or do I go bioplastics, And 425 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:10,159 Speaker 1: those two aren't mutually exclusive. I mean a lot of 426 00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:14,160 Speaker 1: people would say the gold standard is to have a 427 00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 1: bio based renewable feedstock biope say that you then recycle 428 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: at the end of its life. So then so long 429 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: as your power in your manufacturing with clean energy, no 430 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: patrick chemicals involved, and low energy because recycling is typically 431 00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: less energy intensive. So Part one was on the market 432 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: opportunity of the market overview, and there's a part two 433 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 1: coming on that, right, Yes, there is a part two. 434 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:45,160 Speaker 1: Part two looks into each of the different plastics in detail, 435 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 1: so it talks about who are the major producers, what 436 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 1: are the technical challenges, how are they made, how are 437 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 1: their costs going to change, which is pretty important in 438 00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 1: something that we actually haven't talked about today. And then 439 00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 1: there's also going to be a couple of case studies. Julia, 440 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 1: thanks for joining. Thanks so much, guys, this is fun. 441 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 1: Bloombergin e f is a service provided by Bloomberg Finance 442 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,159 Speaker 1: LP and its affiliates. This recording does not constitute, nor 443 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 1: it should it be construed, as investment advice, investment recommendations, 444 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: or a recommendation as to an investment or other strategy. 445 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,480 Speaker 1: BLOOMBERGINN e F should not be considered as information sufficient 446 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,720 Speaker 1: upon which to base an investment decision. 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