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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P joe Pisapia, and it's

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Speaker 1: time for Week three in the preseason, which means we're

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Speaker 1: getting closer and closer to actual football that matters.

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Speaker 2: But any football we can bet on matters to us.

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Speaker 1: And to help me break down Week three and give

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Speaker 1: some of his favorite future picks is my good friend

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, who's gonna be joining us not just on

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Speaker 1: the Fantasy pro side of things, but also on the

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Speaker 1: betting pro side this year as well, talking props, using

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Speaker 1: that big brain of yours to win us all some money.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited about that, Andrew Erickson. I know last year

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Speaker 1: we did some prop shows together on FP and now

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Speaker 1: we're gonna take that same vibe and we're gonna drop

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Speaker 1: it here BP style, and I think the people are

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Speaker 1: going to be very excited about it.

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Speaker 3: Ae.

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Speaker 1: Are you excited about the market that's coming here with

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Speaker 1: NFL Props Because to me, that is the storm that

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Speaker 1: we are going to ride through and make some cash.

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Speaker 4: I mean, in a former lifetime they called me the

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Speaker 4: props profit. So I'm looking forward to it.

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Speaker 3: Joe. I'm very excited. I gotta live up to.

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Speaker 4: The name that Wasna Well.

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Speaker 1: You know, if you don't have a nickname in the

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Speaker 1: betting world, are you even an analyst anymore.

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Speaker 2: I'm Joey Futures. You're the prop profit. That's good.

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Speaker 1: I love this, and you know what, it's because we're

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Speaker 1: having fun. We're taking the betting seriously. We don't take

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Speaker 1: ourselves too seriously. That's the difference between us and everybody else.

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Speaker 1: That's why you're watching hanging out with us, because we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have more fun and we're betting along right with you.

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Speaker 1: We want you to follow us to bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash ericson Betting pros dot com slash Joe. That's how

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Speaker 1: you get to follow us over on VP. And don't

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Speaker 1: forget also the new redesign of the entire website, the

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Speaker 1: entire the app that's out there now. It's just incredible.

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Speaker 1: Our dev team has done such a phenomenal job. Go

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Speaker 1: check it out if you haven't already, sink all of

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Speaker 1: your sports books and start betting smarter, not harder ericson.

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Speaker 1: I know it's week three of the preseason, and I

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Speaker 1: know this gets a little wacky. Now, in the past,

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Speaker 1: we used to have the four weeks, so this was

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Speaker 1: typically the one where you get the players to play

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Speaker 1: the most. So now it's changed because that last week

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Speaker 1: of the preseason was always no but he played. But here,

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Speaker 1: I still like teams are still trying to figure things

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Speaker 1: out and put stuff together. So what has your attention

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Speaker 1: in week three that you are saying, Okay, this game

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Speaker 1: is something that I feel good enough with the knowledge

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Speaker 1: of what's going on to actually make some investments.

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Speaker 4: So for me, I'm going to start with the Cardinals

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Speaker 4: and the Vikings going under in this game at thirty

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Speaker 4: six and a half is the total of the Cardinals.

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Speaker 4: Don't know what they're doing on offense. I don't know

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Speaker 4: if they're doing on offense when it comes to week

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Speaker 4: one of the real seasons. So in the preseason, you

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Speaker 4: know they've been putting up very low totals on offense

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Speaker 4: eighteen points in Week one and then they got killed

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Speaker 4: by Kansas City last week just put scoring ten points,

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Speaker 4: So they're not gonna score a lot of points. The

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Speaker 4: Vikings are own eight over their last three preseason seasons.

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Speaker 4: Basically over their last eight games, own eight. Kevin O'Connell

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Speaker 4: doesn't care about trying to win preseason games because it

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Speaker 4: comes from the Sean McVay tree.

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Speaker 3: He's not playing any of his starters.

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Speaker 4: So you have two bottom ten offenses basically going head

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Speaker 4: to head. I can't figure anything out on offense, so

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Speaker 4: I'm going under here thirty.

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Speaker 3: Six and a half.

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Speaker 4: Look usually again that magic thirty seven number that you

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Speaker 4: guys have talked about on the show before. I'm leaning

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Speaker 4: towards the under here, begs. I don't have any confidence

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Speaker 4: that these offens are going to figure it out, especially

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Speaker 4: in the preseason.

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Speaker 3: Week three.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes a lot of sense to me.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to the number two bet that you have

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Speaker 1: for everybody this week going into week three in the preseason.

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Speaker 4: Look, man, I was so excited to see that this

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Speaker 4: was here for me, Seahawks money line playing at the Packers.

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Speaker 4: I get to bet on Drew lock lock it in

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Speaker 4: Baby Seattle's two and oh straight up versus spread this

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Speaker 4: preseason twenty three points per game, and Green Bay has

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Speaker 4: basically had one game where they scored points. It was

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Speaker 4: the first preseason game of this year against the Bengals,

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Speaker 4: but over their last eight preseason games, two five and

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Speaker 4: one overall. So I'm taking the points with Seattle and

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Speaker 4: go on money line, lock it in, Joe, with Drew Lock,

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Speaker 4: go Hawks.

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Speaker 1: Lock it in, and with Drew lock the words that

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Speaker 1: I never thought I would hear from you today.

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Speaker 2: But you know, this is always the fun of.

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Speaker 1: The preseason is trying to find these these little tiny

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Speaker 1: nuggets that Andrew just dropped here, and trying to find

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Speaker 1: these little pathways where things just make sense. And of

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Speaker 1: course we all know chaos that ensues, obviously, that's that's

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Speaker 1: part of what happens. But that's why again, when you

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Speaker 1: are following us on Betting Pros and you're downloading the app,

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Speaker 1: you could stay on top of any news that's going

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Speaker 1: to break too, because the notifications are really important. So

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Speaker 1: if you are invested in the game and then you

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Speaker 1: get some other piece of news here and you see

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Speaker 1: the line move, that could change the way you invest

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Speaker 1: in it.

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Speaker 2: Maybe you want to.

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Speaker 1: Double down on it because the line's moved in New

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Speaker 1: York favor even better, or maybe things have changed and

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Speaker 1: you want to reconsider it. That's why, again, stay on

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Speaker 1: top of everything with the VP app. All right, number three,

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Speaker 1: Then we'll get to mind and then we're going to

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Speaker 1: talk about some fun futures bets ahead for Andrew Ericson.

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Speaker 2: I can't wait to get to those. I don't even

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Speaker 2: look at the ones you have. I'm so excited to

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Speaker 2: see him. Ericson, what do you have? Preseason Week three,

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Speaker 2: last one.

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Speaker 4: Going to the Raiders and Cowboys. Raiders minus four and

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Speaker 4: a half at minus one ten. Look Las Vegas. I

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Speaker 4: would expect to win a lot of regular season games,

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Speaker 4: but so far in the preseason an O'Connell, baby, he

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Speaker 4: has fired up PFF's second highest graded quarterback during the preseason.

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Speaker 4: Las Vegas is six and oho over their last six

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Speaker 4: preseason games. The Raiders are out for blood in these

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Speaker 4: exhibition contests, So would I not be backing them against

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Speaker 4: Dallas zero to two straight up and versus spread during

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Speaker 4: the preseason. They lost by over five points in both

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Speaker 4: of their preseason losses. They're not playing any of their starters,

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Speaker 4: and Vegas is trying to paint a picture of hey,

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Speaker 4: like we've got things figured out, like we're doing really

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Speaker 4: well in the preseason, and when you just look historically

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Speaker 4: like teams that go like undefeated in the preseason, I

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Speaker 4: think that Lions team that didn't win a single game,

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Speaker 4: went undefeated the preseason that year. So the Raiders are

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Speaker 4: going to continue that trend, be an elite preseason team

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Speaker 4: and be a total dumpster fire as I get into

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Speaker 4: some of my futures bets in the regular season. So

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Speaker 4: for me, Vegas caps off the perfect preseason covering the

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Speaker 4: spread minus four and a half against the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna start with mine, which actually has

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Speaker 1: some breaking news attached with because Jerry Judy got carted

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Speaker 1: off the field today. So now we have to keep

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Speaker 1: an eye on this because originally I was in here

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Speaker 1: on the Rams and Broncos in the over on thirty

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Speaker 1: six and a half. I'm still in on it at

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Speaker 1: the minus one ten I want to see because it's

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Speaker 1: pulled off the board right now as of us doing

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Speaker 1: this because we weren't sure how long people are gonna

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Speaker 1: play anye, I don't know if it's going to really

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Speaker 1: move all that much. If anything, I think it might

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Speaker 1: go down a little bit, in which case I might

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Speaker 1: like it even more ericson because I don't know how

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Speaker 1: much Jerry Judy was really going to play in this

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Speaker 1: one anyway. Necessarily, I would imagine a couple series that's

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Speaker 1: probably would be earmarked for I don't think he'll really

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Speaker 1: pushed the envelope. But now now the calculus changed a

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Speaker 1: little bit, and I got to say, you know, nobody's

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Speaker 1: played more snaps here a quarterback than Steat's e Bennett

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Speaker 1: here for the Rams. So let's go Stet's embedded is

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Speaker 1: getting real familiar with this offense? Any better be because

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Speaker 1: we don't really know if Matthew Stafford can withstand the

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Speaker 1: entire season here, so we hope for the best. Hell

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Speaker 1: for Stafford, he's a great dude, he's a great quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But being realistic, it's good to get Stet's embedded some

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Speaker 1: reps and he's been getting a lot of them this preseason.

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Speaker 1: And I think the Rams have a lot to work

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Speaker 1: on here. Sort of the Broncos too, I think is

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Speaker 1: they're learning Sean Payton's offense. So I think this thirty

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Speaker 1: six and a half, when it comes back up on

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Speaker 1: the board, it's going to be maybe at thirty five

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Speaker 1: and a half. I think it could move a little

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Speaker 1: bit a whole point there potentially, So keep a close

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Speaker 1: eye on this one.

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Speaker 2: But I'm still in the overuse.

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Speaker 1: I think that is just too small of a number

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Speaker 1: at the end of the day, as some of these

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Speaker 1: games tend to sometimes get out of hand as things

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Speaker 1: go on. What do you think of that approach to

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Speaker 1: of maybe just waiting here we have about choice really

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Speaker 1: but waiting and then this number going down ericson because

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to just a little bit potentially.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, No, I like that approach, especially because we didn't

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Speaker 4: never even really knew how much Jerry Judy potentially play

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Speaker 4: in this game. So if people are going to overreact

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Speaker 4: and be like, oh well, if Jerry Judy's out, like

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Speaker 4: le Bronco's office is going to tank, it's like, I mean,

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Speaker 4: he may have played like one.

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Speaker 3: Drive and they may everybody scored.

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Speaker 4: So I don't think it really good makes a difference,

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Speaker 4: And if anything, people will probably overreact, And I think

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Speaker 4: it's a good opportunity to buy on the dip.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, could be thirty six, could even be thirty five

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Speaker 2: and a half. We'll see.

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Speaker 1: That's why you have to go look for the best

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Speaker 1: lines you could possibly get. Also, you know, in talking

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Speaker 1: about all these things, I cannot wait Erickson for the

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Speaker 1: betting pros NFL contest that we got going on here,

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Speaker 1: because if you go to Betting Pros dot com slash

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Speaker 1: NFL Contest. We're going to be doing weekly and season

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Speaker 1: long winning boards. We're going to be doing all sorts

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Speaker 1: of stuff there. Every week, you make five NFL picks,

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Speaker 1: okay when you join this community here, then after that

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Speaker 1: you have to have a minimum of one hundred picks

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Speaker 1: in the entire season to qualify for the grand prize.

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Speaker 1: A grand prize winner or is even autograph Jackson Smith

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Speaker 1: in Jigba Jersey. And we're gonna have numerous weekly winners,

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Speaker 1: monthly winners here. So if you feel like, ah, you know,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna win the whole thing, we still want

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Speaker 1: you to play every single week because you can still

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Speaker 1: win some cool stuff. We're giving away Fantasy Pros shop swag,

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Speaker 1: BP swag. We're also giving away a one year premium

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Speaker 1: upgrade on Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. So go to

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Speaker 1: the community tab at Bettingpros dot com or just go

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Speaker 1: to Bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest. Joy Now, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna be in there. Fitsy's gonna be in there, Ericson's

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Speaker 1: gonna be in there. I want you to be in there.

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Speaker 1: I want to play against you. It's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: good time. We can give each other crap on the shows.

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Speaker 1: That's what we're here for. We're here to have fun,

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Speaker 1: We're here to make some wagers. We're here to talk NFL.

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Speaker 1: My next one here is the Texans and the Saints.

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Speaker 1: The Saints are three and a half point dogs here. Actually,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, am three and a half point favorites. Pardon

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Speaker 1: me minus one oh five. And the reason why I'm

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Speaker 1: going to be on this year for the Saints is

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Speaker 1: I think like the Saints have a lot to continue

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Speaker 1: to prove and figure out here with Derek Carr and

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Speaker 1: I think the three and a half considering how the

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Speaker 1: Texans have looked so far this preseason, which is kind

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Speaker 1: of all over the place, I think the Saints are

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Speaker 1: going to handle some business here, So I actually think

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Speaker 1: they're going to cover this number. I think that the

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Speaker 1: Texans really are continuing to show you they are a

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Speaker 1: huge work in progress on offense.

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Speaker 2: Will Anderson's gonna be a huge piece of that defense.

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Speaker 1: But with the Saints being the three and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites, I think I'm going to take the three

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Speaker 1: and a half there, and the Saints and stay on

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Speaker 1: that side, because I do think that at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, they're gonna be able to win this

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Speaker 1: one handily, regardless of whatever expectations we have of the

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Speaker 1: Texans starting to turn things around this year. Andrew, I

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a very slow process, don't you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I don't think it's gonna necessarily be something that happens

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Speaker 4: right away, So slow burn, but it it'll.

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Speaker 2: Be good, all right. Speaking of slow burn, Okay, I

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Speaker 2: got burned last week. I flew too close to the sun.

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Speaker 2: Too many Ravens bets. You know, did this all last year?

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Speaker 2: Did in Week one? Felt good?

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Speaker 1: In fact, I even liked that wager last week that

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Speaker 1: was on the board with the perfect preseason for the

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Speaker 1: Ravens of plus one hundred.

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Speaker 2: Hey why not?

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Speaker 1: Well, unfortunately it came back to bite us. But that

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Speaker 1: doesn't mean I'm off the Ravens, especially when they're playing

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Speaker 1: the Bucks. The Ravens are plus one ten on the

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Speaker 1: money line to win out right.

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Speaker 2: Against the Bucks. The Bucks.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I know the Ravens shouldn't care so much about

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Speaker 1: the preseason, but you know what they care about execution,

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Speaker 1: And I think that goes to John Harbaugh, preseason is

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Speaker 1: about execution, just like practice is about execution. So I

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Speaker 1: know some coaches devalue it or undervalue it, but I

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Speaker 1: think the Ravens bounce right back and go out there

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Speaker 1: and just start a new streak. Eric said, I know

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Speaker 1: last week is disappointing. You think the Ravens get back

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Speaker 1: on the horse, because I am betting that they do.

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Speaker 3: I agree with you.

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Speaker 4: I mean, look the way that John Harbaugh talked about

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Speaker 4: the streak after the game and talked about it was

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Speaker 4: basically calling out reporters saying, like, you guys don't know

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Speaker 4: what it's like to play in the preseason, Like these

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Speaker 4: games do matter to the players that are out there

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Speaker 4: on the field, that are looking up next to their boys.

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Speaker 4: They're sweating and they're trying to make rosters, and just

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Speaker 4: the emotion. It's like I would not be surprised that

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Speaker 4: they come out and just try to like absolutely blow

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Speaker 4: the doors off the.

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Speaker 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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Speaker 2: I think so too.

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Speaker 4: At plus money with everything just talking about the streak,

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Speaker 4: the streak, the streak.

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Speaker 3: Oh they've lost the streak. Well, hey, time to start

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Speaker 3: a new streak. In week three of the preseason.

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Speaker 1: Let's go agreed, all right, So we're right back on

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Speaker 1: the horse there for better or worse.

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Speaker 2: But again, the Bucks Baker Mayfield is.

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Speaker 1: The starting quarterback Week one, and I really afraid intimidated, No,

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Speaker 1: I'm not. Ravens defense is also something I believe in.

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Speaker 1: I want to know what Andrew Erickson believes in. So

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Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about his three favorite futures bets because

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Speaker 1: that way we do with everybody over here. And I

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Speaker 1: also want to remind people too. Along with that new

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Speaker 1: betting pros app that we've got going on on iOS,

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Speaker 1: you have that community section that we talked about before.

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Speaker 1: You also have the bet tracking so you can track

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Speaker 1: all your bets. You could follow people who are doing

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Speaker 1: really well in the NFL market getting on what they're

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Speaker 1: getting in on, which is great. So we're all betting

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Speaker 1: together the prop bet hit rates, which is gonna be huge.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about that so much in season with

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Speaker 1: Andrew when he's on the show on Fridays. And we're

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Speaker 1: gonna sort out the prop bet cheat sheet too, which

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Speaker 1: is my favorite tool. So if you haven't gotten familiar

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Speaker 1: with the prop bet cheat sheet, now's a good time

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Speaker 1: to do that. You can see it in the preseason,

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Speaker 1: but it's gonna be a big deal for us going

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Speaker 1: into in season. So I want y'all to get familiar

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Speaker 1: with that tool because that's gonna give you the fantasy

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Speaker 1: pros projections against what the actual potential lines they are

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Speaker 1: for the props. So when you have the best fantasy

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Speaker 1: advice in the world helping you with the betting advice,

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Speaker 1: I think that's a perfect marriage and I can't wait

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Speaker 1: for Andrew to be a part of that and to

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Speaker 1: help us out there. Just figure all that out. Also,

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Speaker 1: don't forget to drop a comment below here. I want

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Speaker 1: to know what you guys are in on too, and

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Speaker 1: you can win a signed Aaron Jones Green Bay Packers, Jersey.

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Speaker 2: So do that again again.

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Speaker 1: All you have to do drop a comment, subscribe to

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube bone by a Being.

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Speaker 2: That's it. That's all you gotta do.

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Speaker 1: So do that and click that little belt to that

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Speaker 1: goes ding so we can notify you if you're the

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Speaker 1: big winner. Andrew, Futures time, I want to hear from you.

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Speaker 1: Give me three of your favorite futures bets that you

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Speaker 1: are in on, so everybody else here at VP community

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Speaker 1: can get in on it too all.

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Speaker 4: Right, I'm gonna go back to the Raiders talk about

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Speaker 4: how good they are in the preseason. I'm not that

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Speaker 4: excited about them in the regular season. So I'm trying

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Speaker 4: to alternate their win total basically as low as I can.

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Speaker 4: So at DraftKings Sportsbook, you can get it under four

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Speaker 4: and a half wins at plus two point fifty. Look,

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Speaker 4: so most of the win totals are at seven or

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Speaker 4: six and a half. But like, I'm just trying to

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Speaker 4: move this number down as low as possible because every

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Speaker 4: year we're gonna get a couple teams that just.

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Speaker 3: Really bottom out.

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Speaker 4: You know, looking over the past two seasons, so seventeen

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Speaker 4: games sample sizes, so average one a half teams have

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Speaker 4: won five games, two and a half teams have won

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Speaker 4: four games, and two teams have won three games. So

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Speaker 4: there's a lot of teams that actually don't even get

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Speaker 4: to five wins. So it's more than one, two or

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Speaker 4: three teams. I mean, I look at the Raiders versus

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Speaker 4: some of those other kind of bottom dwelling teams such

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Speaker 4: as the Commanders, Buccaneers, Colts there. Those teams don't play

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Speaker 4: in the AFC West, Like, who are the Raiders going

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Speaker 4: to who are their easy opponents to beat, Like even

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Speaker 4: teams like Denver who have a new head coach, Like

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Speaker 4: we're expecting them to bounce back. You know, Chargers Chiefs

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Speaker 4: twice a year. Are the Raiders going to compete with

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Speaker 4: those teams? I don't think so. So I'm leaning towards

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Speaker 4: building into the Raiders being a total dumpster fire. Jimmy

356
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Speaker 4: Garoppolo can't stay healthy. You talked about an O'Connell. But

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Speaker 4: we'll see how it happens in the regular season versus

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Speaker 4: the preseason. So for me, the Raiders are a team

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Speaker 4: that I think could be contending for the number one

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Speaker 4: overall pick when it's all said and done, and that

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Speaker 4: means they're probably going to win fewer than four and

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Speaker 4: a half games. So at plus money, I'm betting on

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Speaker 4: the Raiders being a dumpster fire in twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Sounds like a good bet to me. Man, it's a

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Speaker 1: tough division. I think they're gonna miss Derek Carr more

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Speaker 1: than they realized. Josh McDaniels already on the hot seat.

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Speaker 1: I mean, if they could have fired him last year,

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Speaker 1: I think maybe they would have, but all the money

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Speaker 1: situation I.

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Speaker 2: Mean it is.

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Speaker 1: It really is a difficult situation they're in, and I

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Speaker 1: think they're just going to probably ride out the year

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Speaker 1: with him, because I'm sure if they ride out the

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Speaker 1: year or him is probably easier to swallow all though

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Speaker 1: than actually paying him and not being the coach during

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Speaker 1: the season. But Jimmy Garoppolo is a downgrade, you know,

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Speaker 1: from Derek Carr. I'm sorry, folks, it just is. So

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Speaker 1: let's get to number two here. What else he in

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Speaker 1: on in the futures market In twenty twenty three, ericson this.

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Speaker 4: Is my favorite MVP bet and it's on Baltimore Ravens

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Speaker 4: quarterback Lamar Jackson at plus sixteen hundred over at fan

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Speaker 4: Duel Sportsbook. And because MVP comes down to basically two

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Speaker 4: simple principles. The best quarterback of the team with the

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Speaker 4: best record, like that's what you're looking for, and Lamar

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Speaker 4: Jackson bis based on the odds, like he's the he's

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Speaker 4: the best bang for your buck. In my opinion, when

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Speaker 4: I'm looking at the Ravens are a team that has

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Speaker 4: a projected win total over ten and a half games,

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Speaker 4: so like they're up in the they should win double

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Speaker 4: digit games. That's where the betting markets have them along

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Speaker 4: with the Bengals, Eagles, Chiefs, Bills, forty nine ers, and

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Speaker 4: also the Jaguars. So, okay, check one. He plays on

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Speaker 4: a good offense that should win a lot of games.

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Speaker 4: And number two, can he be the best quarterback? Well,

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Speaker 4: I would argue that he's in the best situation to

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Speaker 4: repeat when he did in twenty nineteen, when he has

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Speaker 4: the best offensive personnel to date since twenty nineteen. So

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Speaker 4: for me, I look at Lamar and the other interesting

399
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Speaker 4: odds that kind of stood out to me were he

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Speaker 4: has the shortest odds to win Offensive Player of the

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Speaker 4: Year among quarterbacks. So the betting market is literally telling

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Speaker 4: me like, hey, we really like this quarterback, but you

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Speaker 4: can get his MVP odds a good pot much cheaper,

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Speaker 4: even though MVP almost always always goes to the quarterback

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Speaker 4: on the best team. So for me, Lamar he's a

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Speaker 4: winning quarterback seventy four percent win rate as a starting quarterback.

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Speaker 4: He averages twelve and a half wins in his seventeen

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Speaker 4: game season. So I think that if you're making an

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Speaker 4: MVP bet that's not.

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Speaker 3: A total long shot. I think Lamar is the best

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Speaker 3: way to spend that type of money.

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Speaker 1: I think think that's a really interesting and very astute

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Speaker 1: way of looking at it, Andrew, because we just had

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Speaker 1: this conversation about Offensive Player of the Year with FITZI

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Speaker 1: earlier in.

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Speaker 2: This week on the show.

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Speaker 1: If you missed that, go back and listen wherever you

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Speaker 1: get your pods and go back and watch on the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. And you know, I'm still very much on

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Speaker 1: you know, Jamar Chase for that award this year. I

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Speaker 1: was very much on JJ last year forward and AJ

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Speaker 1: did win. Now you know, you've seen this trend where

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Speaker 1: it's gone away from the quarterbacks the last few years.

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Speaker 1: Typically it was like the other quarterback we didn't win

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Speaker 1: MVPN one List award, and now all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: we're giving it to wide receivers and running backs is

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Speaker 1: starting to push away from that. So it is very interesting.

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Speaker 1: I'm still on Mahomes and Hurts. Those are my two investments.

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Speaker 1: But you make a good case, and it's not like

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is a capable of winning the favor for

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Speaker 1: this award, because guess what, a couple of years ago

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Speaker 1: he won it.

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Speaker 2: So I like the I like the thing you put

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Speaker 2: together there. It's very good very cagey.

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Speaker 1: All right, last one, give me another futures bet that

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Speaker 1: you're excited about making in twenty twenty three.

437
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:39,000
Speaker 4: All right, everyone, Okay, so we did more real braize.

438
00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:41,680
Speaker 4: So now it's time for the long shots. We're going

439
00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,680
Speaker 4: defensive player of the year again. It's probably gonna Mica

440
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,520
Speaker 4: Parsons that wins it if he stays healthy for the

441
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:47,200
Speaker 4: entire season.

442
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,800
Speaker 3: I'm very much on that with you. Joey p Yes,

443
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:50,920
Speaker 3: it moved already.

444
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,080
Speaker 1: We talked about that on the show at Fits. It

445
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,200
Speaker 1: started at seven hundred. It's down to plus five fifty. Already,

446
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,280
Speaker 1: get in, Get in now, folks.

447
00:17:58,320 --> 00:17:59,840
Speaker 3: It's going problem is going to be Parson.

448
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,400
Speaker 2: He's holding out still for a contract.

449
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:04,520
Speaker 1: Like I thought he would be back by this week,

450
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:06,320
Speaker 1: and he was still a bunch of nonsense going on.

451
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,160
Speaker 2: So just keep an eye on that.

452
00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 4: Go ahead, Eric, But for me, I like playing some

453
00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 4: of these long shots. So there are two defensive players

454
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 4: that really stick out to me that I think could

455
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,400
Speaker 4: potentially win it, just based on looking at sack totals.

456
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:19,680
Speaker 4: You know, That's what FITSI brought up on the show earlier,

457
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,320
Speaker 4: where who puts up the most sacks on like a

458
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 4: recognizable defense, like they have a good shot of winning

459
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:25,600
Speaker 4: Defensive Player of the Year. So the two guys that

460
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 4: stand out to me as long shots. So Jalen Phillips

461
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,480
Speaker 4: for the Miami Dolphins edge rusher plus five thousand. You

462
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 4: look at what he did last year, sixth and total pressures,

463
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,560
Speaker 4: netted just ten sacks, marked fifth and PFF pass rush grade.

464
00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:41,399
Speaker 4: So if this Vic Fangio led Dolphins defense takes a

465
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,119
Speaker 4: step forward, I could see Jalen Phillips being the guy

466
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 4: that puts a double digit sacks and potentially has a

467
00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:49,800
Speaker 4: big year. And then my other one, which is even longer,

468
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:53,919
Speaker 4: believe it or not. Plus twenty thousand Josh Allen for

469
00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:57,240
Speaker 4: the Jacksonville Jaguars pass rusher to win Defensive Player of

470
00:18:57,240 --> 00:18:58,760
Speaker 4: the Year. Now hear me out, joeyp you must be

471
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:00,880
Speaker 4: thinking angel the first time we're on the show.

472
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 2: Okay, I play in IDP leagues. You're pretty sure the

473
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:05,200
Speaker 2: choir here.

474
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:05,960
Speaker 3: Okay, cool.

475
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,560
Speaker 4: So for me again, looking at what he did last year,

476
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 4: he was six and total pressures again tied with Jalen Phillips,

477
00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,199
Speaker 4: but netted just seven sacks, but he was third in

478
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:18,720
Speaker 4: overall quarterback hits behind Nick Bosa and Max Crosby. Josh

479
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,960
Speaker 4: Allen's getting to the quarterback, but just wasn't putting up

480
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,920
Speaker 4: the sack numbers. But everyone is expecting the Jaguars to

481
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,679
Speaker 4: take this massive leap. Who's going to be the face

482
00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 4: of their defense right now? They don't really have that guy. Now,

483
00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 4: they drafted someone really high in the draft. But what

484
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 4: if it's not him that did step forward that doesn't

485
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,399
Speaker 4: generate the big sack numbers. Why can't it be the

486
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 4: other first round pick that they drafted in twenty nineteen,

487
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,560
Speaker 4: Josh Allen, who's entering a contract year that could take.

488
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:44,440
Speaker 3: A significant leap.

489
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 4: And I don't think it hurts his chances, either that

490
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,720
Speaker 4: he's already been in the betting circles or in terms

491
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 4: of the voting. You know, he's earned Defensive Rookie of

492
00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,760
Speaker 4: the Year awards back in twenty nineteen, so people have

493
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:58,119
Speaker 4: already voted for him. And this is the other thing

494
00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:00,760
Speaker 4: I'm thinking about too, It does it hurt him that

495
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 4: his name is also Josh Allen, Like when people are

496
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,560
Speaker 4: looking up Josh Allen, like, oh man, there's another guy

497
00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 4: in Josh Allen. Josh Allen's on Madden this year, that's

498
00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:12,200
Speaker 4: going to help him in the grand scheme of just

499
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,560
Speaker 4: media hype about the Jaguars defense, Like, oh yeah, I

500
00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:16,359
Speaker 4: heard about this Josh Allen guy. Oh man, like this

501
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,400
Speaker 4: guy's got fifteen sacks, like not the.

502
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:21,879
Speaker 1: Well, but I think everybody remembers the Josh Allen on

503
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:23,800
Speaker 1: Josh Allen crime from a couple of years ago where

504
00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 1: he sacked him was a four times in one game.

505
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:26,120
Speaker 2: I think it was kind.

506
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:29,840
Speaker 1: Of crazy, and I guess, you know, here's you know,

507
00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:32,879
Speaker 1: here's the It's a good point because like this is

508
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:36,159
Speaker 1: a very media award, public award, that's how these are

509
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 1: given out. The best stat that you gave out there

510
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 1: was the fact that he was gritting real close to

511
00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:43,640
Speaker 1: having more sacks last year and that expected sack total

512
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:44,040
Speaker 1: should have.

513
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:44,680
Speaker 2: Been a little higher.

514
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 1: And the Jaguars, let's face a team that made the

515
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:47,880
Speaker 1: playoffs last year, and I think I have a lot

516
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,160
Speaker 1: more expectations and we'll have a lot more spotlight on

517
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,000
Speaker 1: them this season. You know, we're not used seeing Jaguars

518
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:55,879
Speaker 1: playing in you know, primetime games.

519
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:56,360
Speaker 2: Last year.

520
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:57,720
Speaker 1: They had that game towards the end of the season

521
00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: that got flex do you remember, you know, against the Jets,

522
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 1: that was an important one.

523
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 2: Like you're starting to see, you know that.

524
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence Jaguars, things start to build a little bit

525
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 1: in the marketplace. So Josh Allen's gonna be one of

526
00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:12,320
Speaker 1: those guys. Look, I know you know FITZI says he

527
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 1: loves sauce, but I'm with you. It's a sack guy

528
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 1: for the most part, or somebody who just completely just

529
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 1: reeks havoc on the football field, like Parsons is going to.

530
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,000
Speaker 1: I think Allen is a really fun long shot. I

531
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,360
Speaker 1: gotta tell you, I think it's good stuff. Andrew Erickson

532
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 1: of course never disappoints. Of course, go follow him on

533
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 1: the Twitter machine and also don't forget drop the comment below.

534
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,840
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535
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Speaker 1: We want to get you in a week one. That

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Speaker 1: JSN Autograph Jersey, but still weekly prizes, monthly prizes. Whenever

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Speaker 1: there with you. We're gonna be the lifeguard. So Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros and click that community tab on the app

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Speaker 2: Find it there to that NFL contest.

549
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 1: Will be back again on Monday to talk more Betting Pros.

550
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,840
Speaker 2: Enjoy the football this weekend. We're getting closer and closer

551
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 2: real football.

552
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,919
Speaker 1: I'm so excited. That'll do it for us. But the

553
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson. I'm

554
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,000
Speaker 1: Joey P. We'll see you next time.

555
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:25,399
Speaker 2: Kids,