WEBVTT - Brexit's Monty Python Impression Continues: Authers

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Penel Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney along

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<v Speaker 1>with my co host Lisa Brahma Wolds. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for you

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<v Speaker 1>and your money, whether at the grocery store or the

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<v Speaker 1>trading floor. Find a Bloomberg penl podcast on Apple podcast

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<v Speaker 1>or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com. For once the pound is not doing anything.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Lisa bram Woyds, Vince Ignarella, Bloomberg Macro Strategies, joining

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<v Speaker 1>me here up Paul Sweeney out on a much deserved vacation.

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<v Speaker 1>It has been an incredibly volatile period for the pound,

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<v Speaker 1>for sterling uh today people are not sure what to make.

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<v Speaker 1>European Union leaders are planning to offer the U hate

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<v Speaker 1>conditional Broxit extension at this week's summit in Brussels, widely

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<v Speaker 1>expected in markets. The question is though, going forward, what

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<v Speaker 1>this means for what kind of Brexit we're going to get?

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<v Speaker 1>And to answer that question and tell us exactly what

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<v Speaker 1>we can expect and look into the crystal ball is

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<v Speaker 1>John Authors, who joins is here in our interactive Broker Studios.

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<v Speaker 1>So John is the senior editor for Bloomberg Market, What

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<v Speaker 1>do you think what's going on here? How much creed

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<v Speaker 1>this do we put into a delay getting a better

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<v Speaker 1>Brexit deal a delay? Well, there's no deal that's possible

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<v Speaker 1>other than the one that Teresa May has already negotiated

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<v Speaker 1>without a delay. So if you have more of a

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<v Speaker 1>positive polyannerish attitude towards this, then plainly a delay should

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<v Speaker 1>be able to improve the ultimate outcome. So there is

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<v Speaker 1>that element of positivity. That said, the government's strategy throughout

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<v Speaker 1>has been to work on the assumption that any delay

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be seen as a betrayal. That is

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<v Speaker 1>a big part of why it doesn't want to delay

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<v Speaker 1>if it's all possible. Uh and adds to that that

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<v Speaker 1>the the clear Are deadline has been used as a

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<v Speaker 1>negotiating tactic. Now, what's interesting in the last few days

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<v Speaker 1>is that that's deadline did appear at last to be working.

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<v Speaker 1>We heard quite a number of very aggressively hard line

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<v Speaker 1>pro Brexit MPs beginning to suggest that they would vote

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<v Speaker 1>for this rather than take the risk of leaving without

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<v Speaker 1>an odeal, or perhaps more importantly for them, taking the

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<v Speaker 1>risk that they would end up without a Brexits at

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<v Speaker 1>all um. So that then leads to the very intriguing

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<v Speaker 1>UH parliamentary drama we had yesterday when the Speaker decided

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<v Speaker 1>that we wouldn't be able to have another vote on

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<v Speaker 1>this unless tourism you can get another deal. I think

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<v Speaker 1>having you wanted me to answer the question, and obviously

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<v Speaker 1>I can't, because nobody can. I think what's most I

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<v Speaker 1>think what's most likely. I think what's most likely at

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<v Speaker 1>this point is in the next week that Europe comes

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<v Speaker 1>up with something that is enough of an excuse for

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<v Speaker 1>Terisa May to ask for another vote, that we get

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<v Speaker 1>one more vote, probably next week. I think the odds

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<v Speaker 1>are still narrowly on that vote failing. I the Brexit

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<v Speaker 1>deal that we've got ahead of us, which from the

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<v Speaker 1>markets is a point of view, is a very good

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<v Speaker 1>one because it leaves Britain basically in economic terms in

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<v Speaker 1>Europe and from the point that brick Steers terms, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a very bad deal, but from market terms it's a

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<v Speaker 1>very good deal. The most likely scenario is that that

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<v Speaker 1>still narrowly gets down and at that point we have

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<v Speaker 1>to have a long delay. So with the delay in

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<v Speaker 1>the potential vote next week, there's some talk that what

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<v Speaker 1>the you will propose is making some consolation to the delay,

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<v Speaker 1>adding that to me is deal and would that be

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<v Speaker 1>enough to get past Barkau to give her the opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>for a vote next week? What do you think they

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<v Speaker 1>need to come up with something substantially different. They can't

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<v Speaker 1>come up with something substantially different in the time available,

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<v Speaker 1>and he won't he won't allow it anyway. I this

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<v Speaker 1>is we're in the realm of politics. We're in We're

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<v Speaker 1>in a country that doesn't have a constitution. Um. This

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<v Speaker 1>is a precedent. It's an extremely strong precedent that dates

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<v Speaker 1>back to the very early years of James the First,

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<v Speaker 1>who came after Elizabeth the First talking about British politics.

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<v Speaker 1>It takes its Yeah, it's fun um that. But but

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<v Speaker 1>the constitution. Our constitution is a fluid document, which is

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<v Speaker 1>to say, it doesn't exist, so you can you can

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<v Speaker 1>alter it if you absolutely have to. Berko at this

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<v Speaker 1>point is in a political situation. If it is obvious,

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<v Speaker 1>um that there is will to have a vote, he

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<v Speaker 1>probably will take an excuse to bend and vote. The

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<v Speaker 1>other important points to note is that there are ways

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<v Speaker 1>around it. If you really want a glorious British possibility

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<v Speaker 1>to it is a make could always call an enter

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<v Speaker 1>this parliamentary session and start a new one, the only

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<v Speaker 1>problem there being that she has to get the Queen

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<v Speaker 1>to agree to come and give a new speech, because

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<v Speaker 1>this is like Alice in Wonderland. This is like literally

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<v Speaker 1>the tea party at Alice in Wonderland. If she shakes

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<v Speaker 1>her hand like this and says abra cadabra, they can

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<v Speaker 1>restart it. And John Burko doesn't have like to stand

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<v Speaker 1>on this is crazy? No, why doesn't she just do that?

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<v Speaker 1>Be it is crazy? Well, she's the Queen is a

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<v Speaker 1>nice old lady in her nineties. We don't really want

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<v Speaker 1>to drag her around the streets of London and sticker

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<v Speaker 1>in the throne. It's got to wear quite a heavy

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<v Speaker 1>crown whilst he gives that speech. So so we've got

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<v Speaker 1>to be polite to polite to her while we were

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<v Speaker 1>at it. That that's that's one point. I mean. The

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<v Speaker 1>other point is thank you, and the other point for

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<v Speaker 1>anybody out there, thank you. The other points. The other point,

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<v Speaker 1>which is more serious, is that you can get Parliament

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<v Speaker 1>to vote to override the normal rule as that if

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<v Speaker 1>a majority of Parliament can vote to override the speaker. However,

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<v Speaker 1>they have to be sure that that that somebody has

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<v Speaker 1>to organize them to do that, and in principle, you

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<v Speaker 1>can only get that if you have already assured yourself

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<v Speaker 1>that a majority of people will actually use that vote

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<v Speaker 1>to change their mind. I mean you're speaking about the politics.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a rule that really hasn't been used since

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<v Speaker 1>I understand, Um. I think that's well, yes, but that's

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<v Speaker 1>partly because generally speaking, if you've lost once, you don't

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<v Speaker 1>dr going back to the world. I mean, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>you mean giving moving on from Lewis Carroll, I've I've

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<v Speaker 1>drawn the analogy and others have to to Terisa Ma

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<v Speaker 1>of Terisa Ma to Monty Python's Black Nighty has both

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<v Speaker 1>his arms and both his legs cut off and still

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't know he's beaten, and he says, come back here

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<v Speaker 1>and I'll bite your legs. Basic just a fasturants butter

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<v Speaker 1>scratch um. Most most British prime ministers are not gluttons

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<v Speaker 1>for punishments and don't actually keep putting exactly the same

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<v Speaker 1>vote to the MPs when they've lost already. So yes,

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<v Speaker 1>it hasn't been in vote since then, but in general

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<v Speaker 1>is speaking people you don't it's not something you need

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<v Speaker 1>to invoke. People don't like losing more than once on

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<v Speaker 1>the same issue. John Authors are Monty Python correspondent U

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<v Speaker 1>here at Bloomberg LP, joining us here in our eleven

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<v Speaker 1>three our studios. John Author is a senior editor of

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Markets and h Brexit does draw natural comparisons to

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<v Speaker 1>Louis Carroll and Monty Python. At this point, I was

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<v Speaker 1>actually just trying to picture the Queen with their staff

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<v Speaker 1>whacking Burko over the head for dragging her out in amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>That's absolutely amazing. With her heavy crown, I actually think

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<v Speaker 1>she would just give him the look of death. Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>it would. It would be worth it would be it

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<v Speaker 1>would be worth it. I am Lisa Bramoys, Paul Sweetie

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<v Speaker 1>on vacation, Vince Saignarella, I'm so glad to say Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Macro Strategies joining me here in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studios.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's really interesting when you talk about recycling,

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<v Speaker 1>do you ever wonder where does it go? Takes it?

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<v Speaker 1>I think this is a fascinating story. It's fascinating right

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<v Speaker 1>and and for years it was China and they have

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<v Speaker 1>stopped taking our trash, and there is a question is

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<v Speaker 1>it even worth recycling anymore? And our people recycling or

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<v Speaker 1>are frankly waste management companies just throwing the stuff away?

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<v Speaker 1>Joining us down to discuss. Brent Bell, vice president of

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<v Speaker 1>recycling at Waste Management based in Houston, joining us by phone. Brent,

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<v Speaker 1>what's the answer to this? As China refuses to take

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<v Speaker 1>our trash? Are we just throwing stuff away rather than

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<v Speaker 1>recycling it ourselves? Now? You know we're we're still recycling

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<v Speaker 1>a waste management We had had to find alternative markets though,

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<v Speaker 1>because China was accepting of the material we shipped over

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<v Speaker 1>there in historical high years. Now they're down about three percent.

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<v Speaker 1>So we really had to look worldwide to find other

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<v Speaker 1>markets for the mixed paper, the cardboard, and the fiber

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<v Speaker 1>that China was consuming for so many years. And what

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<v Speaker 1>are those markets? Are you? What are you're saying? We're

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<v Speaker 1>still exporting globally, just not to China to other countries.

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<v Speaker 1>That's that's right. So India some other parts of Southeast

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<v Speaker 1>Asia have really stepped up. We developed those markets years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>knowing that the dependence on China was was somewhat, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know something that we knew at some point we'd

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<v Speaker 1>end you know, they talked about it for years, from

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<v Speaker 1>environmental concerns due to high contamination levels on reducing the

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<v Speaker 1>amount of imports that they would take. And it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>a global issue, so it's not just us to China,

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<v Speaker 1>it's other countries going into China. We've all had to

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<v Speaker 1>shift and find alternative markets. And then even domestically, you're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing a lot of new expansion domestically in paper mills,

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<v Speaker 1>which we haven't seen in decades. Are other markets more

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<v Speaker 1>expensive than China? So I would I would say they

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<v Speaker 1>right now that prices are a lot lower than other

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<v Speaker 1>than China was China is always a premium buyer for

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<v Speaker 1>these type of materials, and other markets with it's India,

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<v Speaker 1>Southeast Asia. Even here domestically, because of the recent oversupply

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<v Speaker 1>situation caused by China, we haven't seen a lot lower

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<v Speaker 1>prices on the commodity side. So that creates a definite

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<v Speaker 1>price and balance, right if people are paying less for it,

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<v Speaker 1>but the cost of recycling goes up, that's the conundrum

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<v Speaker 1>you have as to what do you do with the

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<v Speaker 1>stuff if it just costs more to recycle than effectively

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<v Speaker 1>throwing it away. Exactly, today, are processing costs at our facilities,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, exceed the value those commodities by by you know,

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<v Speaker 1>ten to twin dollars per ton, which means that they, ultimately,

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<v Speaker 1>the customers degenerates those materials, has to pay that difference.

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<v Speaker 1>Where historically their business models, whether that's the municipality or

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<v Speaker 1>commercial customer, relied on these commodity prices. It's somewhat you know,

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<v Speaker 1>subsidize some of their budgets, and actually there was money

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<v Speaker 1>coming into them for so many years. Now it's money

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<v Speaker 1>calling out to pay for the processing costs. So, Brent,

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<v Speaker 1>there was an article in the Atlantic magazine in the

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<v Speaker 1>past a week or so. Is this the end of recycling?

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<v Speaker 1>That was the title of the article, and it was

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<v Speaker 1>talking about how Americans are throwing more and more stuff

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<v Speaker 1>away and there are fewer countries that actually want to

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<v Speaker 1>take this stuff. You are saying, you sound constructive that

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<v Speaker 1>you're still recycling, but is there sort of a diminishing effect?

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<v Speaker 1>Are people recycling less than they did, say a year

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<v Speaker 1>ago or two? So I think the big part now

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<v Speaker 1>is people are recycling as much or more, But some

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<v Speaker 1>of the materials are putting in the stream is contaminated.

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<v Speaker 1>So what we're trying to do now is go through

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<v Speaker 1>an education program to make sure that they understand what

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<v Speaker 1>the right materials are to put in those materials to

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<v Speaker 1>begin with, in their in the recycling bins to begin with.

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<v Speaker 1>But I do think that whether you're selling material or

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<v Speaker 1>paper mills are here in the US or India, they

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<v Speaker 1>all expect a much higher quality of the material than

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<v Speaker 1>ever before. So it almost seems like this should be

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<v Speaker 1>part of the conversation that everyone speaking about about green

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<v Speaker 1>deals and and green products. It does if we're polluting,

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<v Speaker 1>if you will, with plastics and recyclables certainly doing other

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<v Speaker 1>things to the environment, it's it's not a trade off.

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<v Speaker 1>It seems like we should be getting to start where

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<v Speaker 1>the problem first started, right. That's right. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>you hit the nail on the head a few minutes

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<v Speaker 1>ago when you mentioned the supply and balance is so many.

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<v Speaker 1>For so many years we've had our customers want to

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<v Speaker 1>have higher diversion rates and produce more recycling. What we

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<v Speaker 1>haven't focused heavily on that we need to is on

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<v Speaker 1>the brands and the manufacturers to use more recycled content.

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<v Speaker 1>We need to create that demand situation which has really

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<v Speaker 1>dropped off today and that's what's caused lower prices. But

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<v Speaker 1>if we can encourage our customers to use more recycled content,

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<v Speaker 1>to support brands that have recycled content in their in

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<v Speaker 1>their products and packaging, that will help create this demand.

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<v Speaker 1>It's so needed right now. Thank you so much for

0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:03.280
<v Speaker 1>being with us. UH. This is a really important issue

0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 1>and hopefully we will hear from you again. Brent Bell

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 1>is vice president of recycling at Waste Management based in Houston, Vince.

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:13.960
<v Speaker 1>I find it fascinating because this is such a consumption

0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.679
<v Speaker 1>based society and you have to wonder when you do

0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:20.720
<v Speaker 1>spend that time sorting things into the different bins, do

0:13:20.760 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>they just end up throwing it away? Yeah, and you

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 1>know you do. That pollution issue is really important because

0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 1>people don't really look at all the times at what

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:32.040
<v Speaker 1>they're recycling and they said, well, if it's plastic or

0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 1>if it's metal, then it certainly must go in the bin,

0:13:34.480 --> 0:13:37.040
<v Speaker 1>but not necessarily. And they're also is an eddication issue

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:40.160
<v Speaker 1>with respect to cleaning some of these UH plastics or

0:13:40.240 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 1>other containers. Right. We have to actually it can be

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 1>really difficult, right, especially that at the grease just sort

0:13:45.160 --> 0:13:47.320
<v Speaker 1>of like stays in the cracks. And then if you

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 1>spend a lot of time using the water, are you

0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:51.400
<v Speaker 1>wasting the water and the heat? I mean, I give

0:13:51.440 --> 0:13:54.520
<v Speaker 1>this way too much. You can tell on neurotic I

0:13:54.559 --> 0:14:15.640
<v Speaker 1>am yeah. Vince Signerella alongside me today Bloomberg Bacross strategist

0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 1>Paul Sweeney on vacation. I am so happy you're here. Uh.

0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:24.960
<v Speaker 1>We were talking about bitcoin a lot over the past

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:28.040
<v Speaker 1>eighteen months, or maybe eighteen months ago when the price

0:14:28.200 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 1>of a bitcoin was more than four times as much

0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:35.840
<v Speaker 1>as it is currently currently trading less than four thousand

0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:39.560
<v Speaker 1>dollars each. But there is a question what is the

0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:43.080
<v Speaker 1>future of cryptocurrencies as enthusiasm Waynes joining us now did

0:14:43.080 --> 0:14:46.440
<v Speaker 1>it weigh in? Is Eric Lavek. He is chief executive

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 1>of Ledger based in Paris, but he joins us here

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 1>in our Bloomberg Atta Active Broker Studios. Tell us a

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 1>little bit about what Ledger is and how it fits

0:14:54.400 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 1>into this cryptocurrency world at a time of transition. I

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 1>would argue, yeah, Ledger is a security company, technology company

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:09.320
<v Speaker 1>providing with hardware, wallets and all technologies to secure a

0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and crypto assets. Because it's a complex asset, you

0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>need to secure it, and so we are a global

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 1>leader writing solutions for individuals and enterprises. So what has

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 1>it done for your business? The fact that there has

0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>been this sort of dropped enthusiasm cbo just saying they're

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:29.120
<v Speaker 1>not going to trade futures contracts had a bit quite

0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:32.280
<v Speaker 1>anymore just in the past few days. Well, we have

0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:36.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot of enterprises and financial institutions working with us,

0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:39.520
<v Speaker 1>and we have despite the collapse of the price in

0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 1>the recent months, the strategies are still very strong. So

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 1>if cbo IS is stopping their futures, maybe first it

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 1>can push up the price because you cannot shut it anymore.

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:56.000
<v Speaker 1>But also most of the financial institutions have a very

0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:58.760
<v Speaker 1>strong strategy for the future of crypto because it's not

0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 1>only decentralized crypt occurrencies, it's also the chanization and basically

0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:07.120
<v Speaker 1>they really want to build a new backup fees based

0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 1>on this technology. Yeah. I think we were just talking

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:12.040
<v Speaker 1>about that off the year that the fact that sebo

0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 1>stepped out is actually potentially a good opportunity for bitcoin

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>to rise again because as soon as they came in

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:20.440
<v Speaker 1>with that future, it gave traders an opportunity to short

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 1>the physical uh if you will, the technology physical, and

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 1>and that is almost immediately after the price came down.

0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Is now that they've stepped out, there is an opportunity

0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 1>for traders to get back in and play bitcoin the

0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 1>way they did before. See bow Baby Sebo stepping out.

0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:37.840
<v Speaker 1>But you have firms like JP Morgan Chase stepping in

0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 1>and saying they want to develop their own digital currency.

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:42.480
<v Speaker 1>So this is definitely a positive for you and for

0:16:42.520 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 1>the future of the company. No, yeah, clearly. Uh. We

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 1>have seen a lot of ups and downs when the

0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:51.160
<v Speaker 1>price shoot to the moon. The sales of our hardware

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:53.520
<v Speaker 1>while it's went through the roof as well. We were

0:16:53.520 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 1>planning to sell sty thousand units we and it selling

0:16:56.120 --> 0:16:59.000
<v Speaker 1>one million. So with the price going down, it's the opposite.

0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 1>But we see a lot of opportunities, as always saying

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:05.919
<v Speaker 1>on the enterprises because the future is really aligned with

0:17:06.240 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrencies dochanization, uh, and they don't want to miss the

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:16.040
<v Speaker 1>next wave. There's an irony here that crypto assets are

0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:20.159
<v Speaker 1>not physical, they are digital, and yet there is a

0:17:20.240 --> 0:17:25.959
<v Speaker 1>need for a physical accessibility or or storage of a

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin in a way that can create security. Can you

0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:31.360
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about that? And now it's sort

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:35.399
<v Speaker 1>of uh, it's it's challenging for people to get the

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:39.440
<v Speaker 1>same kind of security. It is cybersetting without the physical. Yeah,

0:17:39.480 --> 0:17:42.360
<v Speaker 1>contrary to what we think when we say virtual currencies,

0:17:42.400 --> 0:17:45.160
<v Speaker 1>or used to say virtual currencies before crypto assets, it's

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>in fact very physical. When you own bitcoins or any

0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:50.399
<v Speaker 1>crypto assets, what you really own is the private key.

0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:52.600
<v Speaker 1>It's a piece of information. It's something that you can

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:54.840
<v Speaker 1>write on a piece of paper, something that you can

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.879
<v Speaker 1>even engrave in the plate of steel, input in a safe.

0:17:57.880 --> 0:18:01.520
<v Speaker 1>So it's like cash or it's physical. It's like Beerer bones,

0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 1>and so you need to protect them. You cannot have

0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:06.159
<v Speaker 1>them on your PC or your smartphone because then you

0:18:06.160 --> 0:18:10.000
<v Speaker 1>can get hacked. That's why you need a secure device

0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 1>which is built on smart cards, which is going to

0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:16.880
<v Speaker 1>allow security. It's like a fortress for your bitcoins. So

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:19.360
<v Speaker 1>like on that subject, because I just find the whole

0:18:19.400 --> 0:18:21.879
<v Speaker 1>thing fascinating. There's been so many stories of people embezzling

0:18:22.359 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 1>and and I think something that is still eight fifty

0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:29.160
<v Speaker 1>million dollars goes missing every year from bitcoin wallets here,

0:18:29.200 --> 0:18:32.080
<v Speaker 1>there and everywhere. If it's in your wallet, if it's

0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:35.040
<v Speaker 1>in your company's wallet and somebody then does hack your

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:38.240
<v Speaker 1>phone or your computer, explain to me how that remains

0:18:38.280 --> 0:18:41.080
<v Speaker 1>protected if they've they've got access to it, but they

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:44.119
<v Speaker 1>don't have access to it. Well, if you are an enterprise,

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:47.239
<v Speaker 1>you need to have governance to manage your funds. So

0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:49.800
<v Speaker 1>you really when we deploy your solutions, you will have

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 1>multi signature timelocks. You will have a lot of feature

0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:57.399
<v Speaker 1>that will prevent a single point of failure because when

0:18:57.480 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 1>you want to manage these assets as a price, you

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 1>need to have rules. And this is the technology that

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 1>we are providing because if you imagine that you will

0:19:06.840 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 1>have only a safe with one key, then the problem

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:12.920
<v Speaker 1>is not really I t The problem is the process

0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:15.240
<v Speaker 1>because to whom do you give access to the fund?

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:17.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean to the safe. What happens if there is

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:22.160
<v Speaker 1>a hostage situation, if the CFO runs with the safe itself.

0:19:22.520 --> 0:19:26.200
<v Speaker 1>That's why you need you need these layers of governance.

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 1>And when you have multi signature, then you can have

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:31.360
<v Speaker 1>like protections thanks to all the process you can put

0:19:31.400 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 1>in place and just real quickly thirty seconds. Here this

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:38.960
<v Speaker 1>product the larger nano X, which is a Bluetooth enabled

0:19:39.480 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 1>hardware wallet. You just introduced it at c e S

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:45.840
<v Speaker 1>just real quick. Was there a lot of enthusiasm? Was

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:48.320
<v Speaker 1>there more than you expected or or was there waiting

0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 1>because of what's going on in cryptoconomy. Yeah, it was

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of enthusiasm, which was very good because despite

0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>the drop in price, people are still using our products,

0:19:57.760 --> 0:20:01.199
<v Speaker 1>and the nano X with bluetooth lows management on the go.

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 1>You can have your mobile phone, your smartphone, you Apple,

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:06.720
<v Speaker 1>you Enoid, and so people are enthusiastic because they will

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 1>be able to use it much easier than before. Cryptocurrencies

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:13.919
<v Speaker 1>aren't dead yet, and people are definitely looking for ways

0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:19.119
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that their assets are not stolen. Erica K,

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with us, Chief executive

0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:23.959
<v Speaker 1>officer of Ledger, normally based in Paris, but joining us

0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:27.600
<v Speaker 1>here in New York. I'm Lisa Abramo. It's Vincegnarella joining

0:20:27.640 --> 0:20:46.560
<v Speaker 1>me today. This is Bloomberg Paul Sweeney off today on

0:20:46.720 --> 0:20:49.840
<v Speaker 1>a much deserve vacation, joining me. I'm very pleased to

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 1>say Vincegnarella, Bloomberg macro strategist. Really interesting story. Instagram is

0:20:56.040 --> 0:20:58.879
<v Speaker 1>getting into e commerce. If you like it, click it

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 1>and buy it actually on the site. Uh, this is new.

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:06.080
<v Speaker 1>They are unveiling this. It's already moving markets, with Shopify

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:09.200
<v Speaker 1>following the most in two weeks. Uh say after RBC

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:12.159
<v Speaker 1>said the e retailer could be hurt by the launch

0:21:12.280 --> 0:21:16.040
<v Speaker 1>of this program, which is called checkout on Instagram. Sarah

0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:20.280
<v Speaker 1>Fryer joining us now, who covers all things tech for Bloomberg, Sarah,

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 1>what exactly is Instagram checkout? Instagram checkout allows people to

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:31.320
<v Speaker 1>actually purchase products from their Instagram app and do it

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:33.919
<v Speaker 1>all there. In the past, they had a way for

0:21:34.000 --> 0:21:37.239
<v Speaker 1>you to see a product, identify it, and then go

0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:41.439
<v Speaker 1>to the retailer's website. Uh. Really, what checkout does is

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:44.680
<v Speaker 1>give Instagram a new line of revenue, a new line

0:21:44.680 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>of business which is going to be incredibly important to

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:50.440
<v Speaker 1>the future of the company. So, Sarah, I'm getting the

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 1>feeling there's gonna be a lot of butt buying on

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:57.359
<v Speaker 1>this app. Is there is there any sort of interface

0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:02.439
<v Speaker 1>that sorry, mom, I butt bought right. Um, Look, I

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:04.359
<v Speaker 1>had a mechanic by a card in an auction by accident.

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:06.240
<v Speaker 1>He was looking at it put in his pocket and

0:22:06.280 --> 0:22:09.199
<v Speaker 1>then he was stuck with well, first you have to

0:22:09.200 --> 0:22:11.960
<v Speaker 1>give Facebook your credit card members. I wonder how many

0:22:11.960 --> 0:22:14.720
<v Speaker 1>people will want to do that. Good point, really good points.

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:16.639
<v Speaker 1>So that I mean is that one of the is

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:18.000
<v Speaker 1>that one of the issues is that like the first

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:20.920
<v Speaker 1>thing you have to do is is turn over your well,

0:22:20.960 --> 0:22:23.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you have to purchase something on the app.

0:22:23.880 --> 0:22:27.560
<v Speaker 1>You know. Here, here's the thing. This is the most

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 1>promising business besides advertising for Facebook, and advertising is what's

0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 1>gotten Facebook into so much trouble. And of course I

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:40.320
<v Speaker 1>should note Instagram is owned by Facebook, um and and

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 1>this is this is something they can do without having

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>to collect data or um get built up into that

0:22:48.600 --> 0:22:51.600
<v Speaker 1>system that's getting so much criticism right now. So it's

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:53.800
<v Speaker 1>good for them to try something new. It's also the

0:22:54.119 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 1>news feed, the Facebook news feed is losing traction with people. Well.

0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:01.200
<v Speaker 1>But it does raise a question though on a broader level,

0:23:01.240 --> 0:23:05.119
<v Speaker 1>because Facebook, the parent company of Instagram, getting your credit

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:08.159
<v Speaker 1>card information at a time when they're under increasing scrutiny,

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:15.680
<v Speaker 1>uh for failing on privacy concerns. Really yeah, I mean

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:18.440
<v Speaker 1>it The thing. The thing you have to remember though

0:23:18.520 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 1>is consumers think of Instagram as a separate entity in

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.639
<v Speaker 1>their minds. I think of it as a separate brand.

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:29.359
<v Speaker 1>So While people might not trust Facebook, they certainly trust

0:23:29.440 --> 0:23:32.760
<v Speaker 1>and love Instagram. So it creates this weird dichotomy where

0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:36.040
<v Speaker 1>Instagram is able to launch and succeed with products that

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Facebook maybe couldn't. So we um we're getting in Jeff

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Bezos face here with the Amazon and Amazon Prime with

0:23:42.840 --> 0:23:46.920
<v Speaker 1>a product like this, It's very different because what Instagram's

0:23:47.200 --> 0:23:49.400
<v Speaker 1>check out product is going to be about is you're

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 1>scrolling for your feed, you see something that inspires you,

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:57.439
<v Speaker 1>and then you save it, maybe you shared. One of

0:23:57.440 --> 0:23:59.360
<v Speaker 1>the actions you can take is to buy it. That's

0:23:59.440 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 1>very different than an Amazon where you know exactly what

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.359
<v Speaker 1>you want, like I want more black T shirts and

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 1>you go on Amazon, you search for it and you

0:24:08.280 --> 0:24:10.440
<v Speaker 1>find the best one. This is going to be about

0:24:10.480 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 1>seeing things in a lifestyle setting that inspires you to

0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:16.040
<v Speaker 1>look like that person. Honestly, I think it's going to

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:20.639
<v Speaker 1>be so tied to the influencer market, uh, people able

0:24:20.680 --> 0:24:24.320
<v Speaker 1>to sell their own goods after they've become famous. So

0:24:24.440 --> 0:24:26.679
<v Speaker 1>more of an impulse purchase. I think more of an

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:29.320
<v Speaker 1>impulse purchase more like I want to be like that

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 1>person who's wearing this dress. What does this say about

0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Facebook strategy? More broadly, to increase revenues and sort of

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:44.919
<v Speaker 1>Claude's way back into a better, better, better opinion in

0:24:44.960 --> 0:24:49.439
<v Speaker 1>the public eye. Well, Facebook is in trouble because I

0:24:49.440 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 1>mean not if you look at their numbers, but if

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 1>you think about the future of their numbers. They're in

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:57.600
<v Speaker 1>trouble because news feed and Facebook itself is not going

0:24:57.640 --> 0:25:00.600
<v Speaker 1>to grow at the rate it used to because it's

0:25:00.640 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 1>already reached so much saturation around the world. So they

0:25:03.880 --> 0:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>have to come up with more in different business models

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:10.400
<v Speaker 1>in order to deliver to Wall Street the growth they're

0:25:10.480 --> 0:25:13.760
<v Speaker 1>used to seeing. And e commerce is something that they've

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 1>talked about, is is something that could work. They're also

0:25:16.480 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 1>trying things within messaging products. They're also trying maybe they'll

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:23.920
<v Speaker 1>do some some money exchange on WhatsApp, but e commerce

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:27.680
<v Speaker 1>is the one on Instagram that's most likely to actually

0:25:27.680 --> 0:25:32.000
<v Speaker 1>work in advertising. Sarah, what are the additional regulatory hurdles

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:37.000
<v Speaker 1>that Facebook faces when you start talking about financial products,

0:25:37.000 --> 0:25:40.040
<v Speaker 1>when you start talking about giving you over your credit

0:25:40.080 --> 0:25:44.880
<v Speaker 1>card to Facebook. Well, they've done it sort of sneakily, right.

0:25:45.040 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you've ever been asked to to

0:25:48.440 --> 0:25:53.199
<v Speaker 1>donate to a friends cause for their birthday on Facebook.

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 1>That's a way for Facebook to get your credit card number.

0:25:56.680 --> 0:25:59.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean there there's some ways that that they've tied

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 1>it in to their product that seemed very unscary, but

0:26:03.320 --> 0:26:05.679
<v Speaker 1>then when you step back and think about it, you

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:09.840
<v Speaker 1>realize what you're giving away, um, and so you know,

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:12.960
<v Speaker 1>I think that that is it's not going to become

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:17.560
<v Speaker 1>totally clear to people exactly what the consequences are for

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:20.200
<v Speaker 1>these kinds of products until a couple of years later,

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:24.720
<v Speaker 1>which is what we saw happen with Facebook using developers

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>making games on their platforms, when that didn't become a

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:31.280
<v Speaker 1>problem until years after it was over. So what I

0:26:31.320 --> 0:26:35.240
<v Speaker 1>guess the target market for this is like year olds. Yeah,

0:26:35.280 --> 0:26:38.360
<v Speaker 1>it's everyone who tries to be inspired by products on Instagram,

0:26:38.440 --> 0:26:41.639
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's the most natural place for people

0:26:41.720 --> 0:26:45.359
<v Speaker 1>to be, uh thinking about what they want to buy. Already,

0:26:45.480 --> 0:26:51.199
<v Speaker 1>people follow influencers so often for for recommendations on what

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:53.879
<v Speaker 1>to where, what to buy, what to eat, what to

0:26:53.960 --> 0:26:56.040
<v Speaker 1>put on their faces. You know, there's so many makeup

0:26:56.080 --> 0:26:59.400
<v Speaker 1>influencers out there, and so many of those high profile

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:02.800
<v Speaker 1>people now have their own product lines. If you have

0:27:02.840 --> 0:27:05.840
<v Speaker 1>a famous dog that you follow on Instagram, you probably

0:27:05.840 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 1>see that they have merchandise you can buy that. You know,

0:27:10.640 --> 0:27:13.320
<v Speaker 1>you can buy their dog face on a mug. I mean,

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:15.640
<v Speaker 1>all these things will be so much easier to do

0:27:16.600 --> 0:27:20.479
<v Speaker 1>now that that Instagram has integrated shopping into it and

0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 1>is taking a cut well. In other tech news, Sarah,

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:27.479
<v Speaker 1>and I'm gonna throw you a curveball, but I'm wondering

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:31.160
<v Speaker 1>if you have any opinion on this news coming out

0:27:31.240 --> 0:27:34.960
<v Speaker 1>the Republican Representative Devon Juniaz of at California is suing

0:27:35.000 --> 0:27:38.040
<v Speaker 1>Twitter and several of its users from more than million

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:43.720
<v Speaker 1>dollars for parity accounts of his mom, Devin uing his

0:27:43.880 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 1>mom Devnu in his cow. It's just sort of interesting.

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.800
<v Speaker 1>It shows, I mean, let's show us how personal this is. Listen.

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:55.199
<v Speaker 1>I sat in one of these hearings. Are listened to

0:27:55.680 --> 0:27:59.879
<v Speaker 1>so many of these congressional hearings on Facebook. You know,

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>people who are members of our government who say they're

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:06.600
<v Speaker 1>trying to hold Facebook accountable, and so often the question

0:28:06.640 --> 0:28:09.720
<v Speaker 1>that gets asked is why don't I get as much

0:28:09.720 --> 0:28:12.320
<v Speaker 1>reach as I used to? Why are these bad things

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:15.040
<v Speaker 1>happening to me on my account? It's basically, you know,

0:28:15.119 --> 0:28:19.640
<v Speaker 1>complaints and tech support and and people's support congressional hearings

0:28:19.640 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 1>on tech support love it is it is. I mean

0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:24.640
<v Speaker 1>it's it's like it's like, why why don't I get

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:28.359
<v Speaker 1>as many likes as I used to? And and it

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:32.360
<v Speaker 1>is really just like people don't understand how these algorithms work.

0:28:32.440 --> 0:28:35.879
<v Speaker 1>They don't understand how these products are are built in

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:40.960
<v Speaker 1>this way that is so not not human. Uh, they're frustrated.

0:28:41.320 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Sarah Fryar, thank you so much for joining us. Sarah Fryar,

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:47.720
<v Speaker 1>technology reporter for Bloomberg News. Joining us from there Bloomberg

0:28:47.880 --> 0:28:51.560
<v Speaker 1>nine sixties Studio in San Francisco. Thanks for listening to

0:28:51.600 --> 0:28:54.000
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and

0:28:54.040 --> 0:28:57.160
<v Speaker 1>listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform

0:28:57.240 --> 0:29:00.520
<v Speaker 1>you prefer. Paul Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at PTS. I'm

0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Lisa abram Woods. I'm on Twitter at Lisa abramo Woods.

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:06.120
<v Speaker 1>One before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide

0:29:06.160 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio