1 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you. It's a Friday. What's up? 2 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: Matt Peroult with you. It is the Daily Juice Podcast 3 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: here on Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought to you 4 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 1: by bet MGM. Make sure you're entering into that contest 5 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,279 Speaker 1: to come Here to Vegas. Told you about that last night, 6 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:26,280 Speaker 1: that contest. Make sure you opt into the contest, opt 7 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: into the promotional offers when you sign up for a 8 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: bet mgm account using Juice one hundred for that promo code, 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: and you will get an entry. Every single time you 10 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: bet twenty five bucks on a game at betmgm, you 11 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,839 Speaker 1: were entered into the big grand prize trip to Here 12 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:42,959 Speaker 1: to Vegas coming up on March the tenth. They'll pull 13 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: the name and you'll find out who comes here. And 14 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: if you're twenty you guys, well I'll come say hi 15 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: for sure. Okay, So we are rolling fourteen and four 16 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: over the last four days. Okay, we went two and one, 17 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: then we went five and one, then three and one, 18 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: then four and on. Okay it's fourteen and four. Run. 19 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: These are the good times. These are the times I 20 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: tend to remember a mind and tell you guys that 21 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: when we're hot, remember this when we're not okay, because look, 22 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: we're gonna have the downside. This weekend was horrific, one 23 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: eight and one. Right, we were losing every day for 24 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 1: three straight days. It was just like, oh my gosh. 25 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,039 Speaker 1: And then we turn things around and now we've been 26 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: rolling and yesterday, well we get the under for plus 27 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: one oh five for Toronto and Vancouver three to one 28 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: win for the Canucks. Got that for half a unit. 29 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: We got the Jets on the money line plus one 30 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 1: thirty two in overtime, they get that one over the 31 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: Canadian Ens half a unit. Okay, two plus money bets, 32 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: so we're up over a unit plus there, just on 33 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: those two bets. Player props. Well, I think we're five 34 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: and one now. I think I'm six and one personally, 35 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: and I'm five and one on the podcast taking player props. 36 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: I think that's right. So Michael Porter Junior over fourteen 37 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 1: and a half points, easily scored twenty four points. Tatum 38 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: gets over twenty four and a half, he got to 39 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 1: twenty seven. We got to Zach Levine over twenty nine 40 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: and a half. We got that right, and then we 41 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: got Jahn Morant that right. So that's one two three 42 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: four in one, so four and one, so five to 43 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 1: one because I had one personal play with the James 44 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: Harden over, so five and one, so I'm five and one. 45 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: The pot is four and one on NBA player props. 46 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 1: The only thing we got wrong was West Virginia. They 47 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: had it, man, they had it for a sweep. We 48 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: could have gotten a five and o night. Instead it 49 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: goes to a four and one night down the half 50 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: of unit there because TCU well at the end of 51 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: the game, just some bad turnovers and just some bad luck. 52 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: West Virginia wins the game, but then it'll cover the 53 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 1: thirteen points unfortunately for us, but we do get the 54 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 1: win on the four other wagers, including the plus money. 55 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:52,679 Speaker 1: Bryson Dashambo continues to play. Hopefully well. He shot well 56 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: in round one. Ricky Fowler not so much. So hopefully 57 00:02:56,160 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: Bryson comes in the top ten tomorrow. Just a heads up, 58 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 1: I am going to be heavily involved in UFC two 59 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 1: fifty nine. I got a bunch of plays, a bunch 60 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: of things I'm going to do here on the podcast. 61 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: I know we've got conference tournaments going on already. I 62 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,080 Speaker 1: know there's college basketball, but there's no NBA because the 63 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: NBA is on the All Star Break, so just a 64 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: heads up. Tomorrow's pod will be a little bit MMA heavy, 65 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 1: and I don't know if I'll bet anything else besides 66 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: the UFC card, because I just I cannot wait for 67 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: UFC two fifty nine. The card is incredible. It is 68 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 1: so stacked. There's so many good fights to watch, so 69 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: many good fights to bet on. I cannot wait for 70 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: it tomorrow. So fourteen and four is really good. So 71 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: today we're going to do a couple of things today. 72 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: I have two hockey plays going today and I have 73 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: got two college basketball bets, but one I cannot make 74 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 1: yet until probably the morning. And if you're listening to this, 75 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 1: you got to get to this bet early. This is 76 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: a nine am tip time on the West Coast noon 77 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 1: Eastern eleven am. Okay, this is an early game in 78 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley Conference. And I might add later in 79 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 1: the day. I may add a game. You probably know 80 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: where I'm what I'm going to add, right, You probably 81 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: know where I'm gonna go. But I want to watch 82 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: the line movement a little bit here for the Drake 83 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: Bulldogs before I get involved with Drake and their game 84 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: coming up in the Missouri Valley Conference. But their games 85 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 1: at night, it's a five pm tip time Central time. 86 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 1: That is significant. I'll explain more here in just one 87 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: second as to why I think that is really significant 88 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 1: and why often the Creighton Blue Jays, who have won 89 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 1: twelve Valley Tournaments in their career, why they often won 90 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 1: it from the two seed not the one seed. So 91 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:40,479 Speaker 1: explain more here in a second. But all right, so 92 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: let's talk hockey here. I'm not going to go overly 93 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: in depth here. You guys know how I feel about 94 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 1: the Ducks. I don't think the Ducks are very good, 95 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 1: all right. The Ducks are bad. The Ducks haven't scored much. 96 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: The offense is a mnemick. They're on the road at Colorado. 97 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: Huge favorites to the Avalanche are the only way to 98 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: bet this game is taking the money line. It's plus 99 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: one oh five here in Vegas. I've seen as high 100 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 1: as plus one fifteen. I'm not gonna break this down 101 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 1: too much. Colorado is really good, that maybe the best 102 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: team in the NHL. The Ducks are not okay, the 103 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: Ducks are bad. The Ducks are reeling, the Ducks can't score. 104 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: We're going Colorado on the puck line at plus one 105 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 1: oh five. I don't think I need to go too 106 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: in depth here. Just the I posted a trend in 107 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 1: the Discord channel that comes from ESPN's puck Daddy, greg Orzinski, 108 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 1: talking about the average margin of victory in the NHL 109 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:28,919 Speaker 1: is down a little bit this year, but it's still 110 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: over two goals. The average margin of victory is still 111 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,359 Speaker 1: over two. So the puck line, it's still very profitable. Okay. 112 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: The puck line is still when you have a good 113 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: team versus the bad team, chances are the good team's 114 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 1: gonna win by more than one goal. Okay, it just happens. 115 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: So the margin of victory very often in the NHL. 116 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 1: Last year it was two point one. Now it's two 117 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 1: point zero six, I think, but it's still over two 118 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: goals for the average margin of victory in the NHL. 119 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 1: So we're going Colorado on the puck line plus one 120 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 1: oh five. Second play the Boston wins taking on the 121 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 1: Washington Capitals. Man, this is tough. Washington's playing really really well. 122 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: And Washington's thirteen five and four. They're first in the division. 123 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: Boston is twelve five and three, they're third in the division. 124 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,720 Speaker 1: The key to this game to me is that Boston 125 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 1: has to stay out of the penalty box. You cannot 126 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: allow a Vechkin in this power play to get going 127 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 1: because well, one you're gonna lose, but two, my BET's 128 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: not gonna cash. So really, my bet here and you 129 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: probably guess where I'm going, is all dependent on the 130 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: Bruins staying out of the power play. They are way 131 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 1: too adapted to taking penalties and it's killing them. So 132 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 1: they are third in the NHL with most penalty minutes 133 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: ten point eight minutes per game in the box. Really bad, Okay, 134 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 1: that just that can't happen here. The Bruins when it 135 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: comes to where they are right now, they're four and 136 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 1: one to the under over the last five games as 137 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 1: a home favorite. They are a home favorite here today 138 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 1: against Washington, they're four and one and they'll last five 139 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 1: games overall. Okay, Washington is hot. Okay, they are a 140 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 1: team that you know, coming off a win five and 141 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: one to the over. You look at where they've been 142 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 1: scoring goals and how they've been putting bucks in net. 143 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 1: It's it's a little interesting because to me, the Bruins 144 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: have to play defense and really have to be careful 145 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 1: the Bruins cannot get into it. I don't think I 146 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 1: know a back and forth battle here with the Capitals. 147 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:29,560 Speaker 1: It's also the return of Zadano Chara that is a 148 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 1: significant storyline in Boston. I don't know how much of 149 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 1: a storyline it is for this game too much, but 150 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:37,160 Speaker 1: it's it's a significant storyline to me that the Bruins 151 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: now are going to have zadanal Shara. Well, I guess 152 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: it's the second game for Chara to play in Boston. Sorry, 153 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: it's not the first game. It's the second game. So 154 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: his first game was was yesterday or to two days ago, 155 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: a round on the third and the Capitols won the 156 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: game three to two to one. So now Chara is 157 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: coming back again. And you look at this the way 158 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: these games have played. So Boston lost the first game 159 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: two to one. Second the other game was previously Boston 160 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: won four to one over the Rangers, six to two 161 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: over the Rangers, seven to lost to the Islanders, and 162 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: seven to three to the Philadelphia Flyers. That's not Boston 163 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: Bruins hockey. On the other side, the Capital's won two 164 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: to one, three to two, five to two, five to two, 165 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: and three to two. Okay, six is the total six. 166 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 1: The under is only mis one oh five. The over 167 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: is mis one fifteen. Played an under last night, I'm 168 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: gonna come back with an under here, and I need 169 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: the Bruins to play well, whether be Rask or Hallak. 170 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 1: I need good goaltending on both sides. I need Boston 171 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: to stay out of the penalty box. But six at 172 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: least gives us a chance to push, so we're more 173 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: inclined to get involved with the total here. When it 174 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 1: comes to six versus five and a half for six 175 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:45,719 Speaker 1: and a half, I'm gonna go under the Bruins and 176 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: the Capitals under six goals here, and hopefully Bruins they 177 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:51,559 Speaker 1: play their typical grind it out style and stay out 178 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: of the penalty box and don't give a Washington chance 179 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: to put up a bunch of goals. I know a 180 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 1: lot of people who like the Capitals to win this 181 00:08:57,240 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 1: game outright, But if the Bruins win, and they're favorite 182 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,439 Speaker 1: at home Ruins win, I don't see them winning a shootout. Okay, 183 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna I think it's gonna be a 184 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 1: lower scoring hockey game, three to one, two to one 185 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 1: type of hockey game, which is pulling our guts out 186 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 1: like we always talk about. But I'm going Colorado puckline Bruins, 187 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 1: Washington Bruins, Capitals under six goals for minus one oh five, 188 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: both those for a half a union. All right. I 189 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 1: have the parlor today. By the way, I do have 190 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: the parlay, so don't worry about that. I've got the 191 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 1: three legs six to one parlay return if you want 192 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:27,200 Speaker 1: to play it, but I don't play it. But if 193 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 1: you want to, it's we're two and seven on that. Okay, 194 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: So we're still technically okay. If you had bet one 195 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 1: hundred dollars, don't bet one hundred dollars, you'd be down 196 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:37,559 Speaker 1: seven hundred dollars in the lost column, but you'd be 197 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:39,559 Speaker 1: up because the two times hitting at six to one, 198 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: you would be up about five hundred bucks. So still 199 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 1: don't think you should do it. But two and seven, 200 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 1: we're not have them in that bad with the parley. 201 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: Don't bet parlays, but if we want to, I'll give 202 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 1: it to you. Let's talk about the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. Okay. 203 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 1: So the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament is going on right now. 204 00:09:55,600 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: There is a long standing trend about what happens to 205 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: the one seed, and the conference tournament schedule is funky. Okay, 206 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: it's funky. This game is at noon noon Eastern time. 207 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 1: It is a eleven am Central Time start for Southern 208 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 1: Illinois at Loyola. Southern one last night they played last night, 209 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 1: Loayola hasn't played on the court. Layola kind of doesn't 210 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: know what to make of what's going on. There's no 211 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 1: line for this game currently right now, okay, But when 212 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:36,720 Speaker 1: the line comes out, Southern Illinois first half plus the points. 213 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: In the first meeting between these two teams, the number 214 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 1: was nineteen and a half. Southern was at home catching 215 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:46,560 Speaker 1: nineteen and a half. They lost by eight. In the 216 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 1: second meeting, it was nineteen. They lost by seven. My 217 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: guess is the number is going to be somewhere around 218 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: fifteen tonight tonight, okay, So we have a chance to 219 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 1: get Southern Illinois probably plus seven, plus eight, somewhere in 220 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:01,840 Speaker 1: that range for the first half against Loyola. It is 221 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 1: an early star time. There is a long standing upset 222 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 1: ridden tradition of the number one seed in the Valley 223 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: Tournament having a tough time in this game because it's 224 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: early and the team that played last night. They went 225 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 1: to bed immediately, they didn't get right back up, and 226 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 1: they know they're playing for their lives. They've got to 227 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 1: come out like gangbusters. And they've already played Loyola Chicago 228 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 1: and they played them pretty well. This is something just look, 229 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 1: I can handicap this and break it down from a 230 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 1: number perspective and player to player and whatnot. I'm just 231 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:35,719 Speaker 1: telling you as I've been to I think it's now 232 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:38,199 Speaker 1: I've been to seven of these of the Valley Tournament. 233 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: This game early in the morning, game one on Friday 234 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: for the number one seed is a house of horrors 235 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:49,360 Speaker 1: for them. Normally the two seed. The Creighton Blue Jays 236 00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 1: won the majority of their Missouri Valley Conference Tournament titles 237 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:56,560 Speaker 1: under Dane Ohlmand, twelve of them from the two seed 238 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:00,320 Speaker 1: because the two seed plays at five PM, so you 239 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 1: have a chance to watch the one seed play and 240 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 1: maybe get upset or get pushed and you're like, WHOA, 241 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 1: that's crazy, and you're on upset alert. So you come 242 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: out and play a little bit differently. You come out 243 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,200 Speaker 1: and play a little bit more focused. And Darren Devrees 244 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:15,680 Speaker 1: knows this. He was on Dan Altman's staff for the 245 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 1: majority of those championships. D Rock knows what to do 246 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 1: in this tournament. You want to be the two seed, 247 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:24,199 Speaker 1: not the one in the Valley Tournament. Just telling you, Okay, 248 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: Southern Illinois plus the points in the first half half 249 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 1: a unit, you want to take Southern on the money line. 250 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: Not a horrible idea. I'm not gonna do it officially, 251 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 1: but not a horrible idea. I'm telling you right now, 252 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:38,959 Speaker 1: Southern could be in this game late and Southern could 253 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 1: pull pull off the upset and knock out Layola Chicago. 254 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 1: If they're gonna lose, this is the game they lose today. Again, 255 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 1: Southern Illinois in the second round or quarterfinals of the 256 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: Missouri Valley Conference Tournament aka Arch Madness. I gotta see 257 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 1: the Drake line. I probably would be involved. I probably 258 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 1: would take Drake coming up, and I'm looking forward to 259 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 1: seeing what Drake looks like. Again, this is a similar 260 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 1: situation where they're playing a team that already played and 261 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: sometimes in the first half I may add in, I 262 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: haven't really determined and you know, decided what I'm gonna 263 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 1: do yet with that, But like a part of me says, 264 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:19,080 Speaker 1: just do the same thing and bet on Drake, not 265 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: to cover the first half line. But it's against Northern Iowa. 266 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: I don't know how good Northern Iowa is, but Northern 267 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: Iowa is a team that could potentially hang around and 268 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 1: cause Drake some problems. So you know, I don't know. 269 00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 1: I got to think about Drake and you and I 270 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:35,640 Speaker 1: a little bit more. But the time, to me, the 271 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: time is a real, real big deal. Okay, the time 272 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 1: is a very very big deal for this game between 273 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: Southern Illinois and Layola Chicago. So whatever that number is, 274 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:49,160 Speaker 1: half a unit, we're going there, Okay, other half a unit. 275 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Toledo, Toledo and Ball State. All of 276 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 1: a sudden, ball State is fifteen and five to the over. 277 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:57,720 Speaker 1: They're one of the best teams in the country to 278 00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 1: the over. Toledo's fifteen to eleven. They're not horrible, but 279 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 1: they're not fifteen and five on the road Toledo or sorry, 280 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:05,959 Speaker 1: Ball State on the road at Toledo. The line is 281 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: eight and a half. The total right now is one 282 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 1: fifty two and a half for this total. And let 283 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: me double check on the number I bet because I 284 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: think the number just move while we were talking. Let 285 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 1: me make sure that I let's see I got yeah, 286 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 1: okay and a half. Yeah right, So it's fifty one 287 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 1: two and a half. And it went up from one 288 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: fifty two one foot two and a half. But I 289 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: bet I bet one fft of two and a half, 290 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 1: and I'm guessing the number is gonna climb. Okay, because 291 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 1: here's why, because you look at Toledo and you look 292 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 1: at ball State. So fifteen and eleven for Toledo, fifteen 293 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 1: and five for ball State on the road, ball State 294 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: eight and two, they're eight and two to the over. 295 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:46,240 Speaker 1: Toledo is seven and five. Interesting point here, So the 296 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: last four games and five out of six have gone 297 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 1: over for ball State. In the first matchup against Toledo, 298 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: it was one forty seven at home. By the way, 299 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 1: Toledo got killed in that game. They only scored sixty 300 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 1: seven points. Ball State ran away with it and the 301 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: over hit by one point. Just got there, but it 302 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: got there. Toledo is not going to score sixty seven 303 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: points at home against ball State, no way. Toledo probably 304 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: scores eighty, and I think ball State scores eighty. I 305 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 1: think we're going over here. I think we're getting a 306 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: one sixty. We're going over ball State at Toledo over 307 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 1: one fifty two and a half. We're going over between 308 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:26,360 Speaker 1: these two teams here for a half of units and 309 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 1: expecting a whole lot of points. Last game against Central Michigan, 310 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: the total was one fifty nine for Toledo. It went 311 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 1: over against Michigan. Against Western Michigan it was one forty three. 312 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: It didn't go over. They won ninety one forty four. 313 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 1: That was on Western Michigan. Game before that won sixty 314 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 1: two and a half against Buffalo. We had that we 315 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: were wrong. One to fifty was the total. Eighty to 316 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: seventy the win for Toledo over Buffalo. But before that, 317 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 1: five out of six had gone over, including games against 318 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 1: MIAMU of Ohio, akron Ball State last time my time, 319 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 1: like remember less did they play Bowling Green in Miami, Ohio. 320 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:04,680 Speaker 1: We're going over one fifty two and a half for 321 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: Ball State and Toledo, and that takes us to the parlay, 322 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 1: and the parlay is interesting. We're going mac overs, all right, 323 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: mac overs, I'm trying to give you a winner here. 324 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: I'm really I'm trying to not just like give you 325 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: three plays. I'm trying to give you a winner. Okay, 326 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 1: So we're going Toledo, Ball State over over okay one 327 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: fifty two and a half over Miami and Akron. Total 328 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 1: is one forty six right total one forty six and 329 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: a half Miami and Akron one forty six and a 330 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:38,920 Speaker 1: half both these at MIAs one ten. All these are 331 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 1: mis one ten okay, so one forty six and a 332 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: half for matt for Akron and Miamu Ohio thirteen and 333 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 1: eight Miamun Ohio to the over ten and nine Akron 334 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 1: to the over. Last two games have gone under, but 335 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 1: before that five of six had gone over for Akron. 336 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 1: Three of the last four and six of the last 337 00:16:56,960 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 1: eight for Miami Ohio have gone over, including Bowling Green. 338 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 1: First time these two teams played one forty two the 339 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,439 Speaker 1: over win. It cleared the over by seventeen points. So 340 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: we're going Ball State Toledo over Miami, Akron over and 341 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 1: one more over and it's Kent State in Buffalo. This 342 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 1: might be the most shaky of them all, just because 343 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 1: it seems like it's a high number for these two. 344 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 1: It's like one fifty three is a really high number, 345 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:29,080 Speaker 1: but it's one fifty three forge ball State, so two 346 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,679 Speaker 1: and a half for ball State and Toledo one fifty 347 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 1: four and a half for Kent State in Buffalo. So 348 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 1: it's a point and a half or two points high 349 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 1: or rather over Kent State in Buffalo. But here's why 350 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 1: I'm taking the over on this one as well. Kent 351 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 1: State is eleven and nine to the over, Buffalo is 352 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 1: ten and nine to the over. And you look at 353 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 1: how these teams have gone. Buffalo has been on an 354 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 1: under train. Okay, so this is the one I told 355 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 1: you it's a little scary. It's been under train five 356 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: and the last six have gone under for Buffalo, and 357 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: two of the last five for Kent State have on 358 00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 1: under three lass three and two to the over for 359 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,640 Speaker 1: Kent State. But these two teams when they played before, 360 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 1: eighty four eighty one, okay, eighty four eighty one, one 361 00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,920 Speaker 1: sixty four and a half was the total in that one, 362 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 1: and it cleared it by just a half a point. 363 00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:19,879 Speaker 1: This total is lower, Okay, it's a lower total, even 364 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,160 Speaker 1: though it is one fifty four and a half. I 365 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: think the over is gonna hit. These two teams won't 366 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,440 Speaker 1: play any defense. They are both really high in pace 367 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: of play, they both go really up and down. So 368 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: I'm going with the over for Kent State at Buffalo. 369 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,159 Speaker 1: Hopefully Buffalo gets back to their scoring ways and we 370 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,400 Speaker 1: see a lot of offense coming up here for these 371 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: two teams. With Kent State in Buffalo, so three bets, 372 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: three legs, it's a six to one plus six hundred 373 00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:48,240 Speaker 1: return on the over for the Mac. We're playing three 374 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:52,960 Speaker 1: overs Kent State against Buffalo. Let me read overtime. So 375 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 1: it's ball State at Toledo over one fifty two and 376 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 1: a half. That's the bet for half a unit, Kent 377 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:00,919 Speaker 1: State at Buffalo over one fifty four and a half 378 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 1: and Miami at Akron at one forty six and a 379 00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: half as well, three legs six to one parlay for 380 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: the don't play parlay's parlay on a Friday, Okay, real 381 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: quick before we wrap, we made the donation to the 382 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,439 Speaker 1: Ronald McDonald house. You may have seen my post on 383 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt where I put it up. 384 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,640 Speaker 1: I've put a picture of my daughter now and then 385 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:25,600 Speaker 1: back when Juice in the hospital, and now with the 386 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Cookie, we've raised over five thousand, five hundred 387 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 1: dollars thanks to you guys, the owners of betting pros, 388 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 1: the listeners of the Daily Juice, just a really big 389 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:38,360 Speaker 1: heartfelt thank you, and we wrapped it up. We made 390 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 1: the donation. We'll do it again, We'll do something else. 391 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:44,840 Speaker 1: This community is incredible. We're doing good. We're making a 392 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 1: positive impact on our communities, and it's special. It's just 393 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 1: just know what we're doing as special. Just know what 394 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 1: you guys are doing as special. Not me, but you guys. 395 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 1: What has become the Daily Juice community in less than 396 00:19:56,960 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: nine months. It's just really special. So it's really really cool. 397 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,199 Speaker 1: Thank you, thank you, thank you, so cool, really really exciting. 398 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:06,000 Speaker 1: We made that donation, so we close up the fundraiser. 399 00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: We'll do another one at some point time in the 400 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 1: near future. All Right, once again, the plays Colorado puckline 401 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 1: plus one oh five against Anaheim Bruins and the Capital's 402 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 1: under six goals at minus one oh five ball State 403 00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 1: Toledo over half a unit first half. We're going Southern 404 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:27,200 Speaker 1: Illinois plus the points against the Ola Chicago early game, 405 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,919 Speaker 1: noon start time, Eastern time. Heads up on that early 406 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 1: start time, and I don't know the number yet. I'm 407 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: guessing it's plus seven plus eight, but I'll tell you 408 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: officially in the morning. I'll wake up and i'll say, Okay, 409 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:39,640 Speaker 1: this is the number I'm I'm gonna take. I'm gonna 410 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 1: take plus seven plus eight, whatever it might wind up 411 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 1: being for Southern Illinois against the JOVA in the first 412 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 1: half and then later in the later in the day. 413 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 1: Check back for the Drake in the discord channel at 414 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 1: bettingpro dot com s last chat to get in. I'll 415 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,000 Speaker 1: at everybody. I'll say if I'm taking Drake first half, 416 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 1: or I'm betting against Drake first half, or I'm betting 417 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: on Drake for the game, I'll have a play on 418 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: Drake coming up today at some point in the near 419 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,320 Speaker 1: future in the afternoon before Drake plays at five o'clock. 420 00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: They play at five pm Central time, six pm Eastern, 421 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:09,639 Speaker 1: so three pm my time. I'll have a bet in 422 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:12,360 Speaker 1: the in that game for sure for Arch Madness two 423 00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:15,479 Speaker 1: plays Arch Madness. Let's go college basketball. How about that 424 00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 1: my school? U Mass, I want to bet yesterday I 425 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 1: was hot yesterday you Mass. It was laying four and 426 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,919 Speaker 1: a half and they scored a hundie. They scored one 427 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:25,000 Speaker 1: hundred and may have to get back involved with you 428 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 1: Mass come up in the attend tournaments. But that's for 429 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 1: a different time and a different conversation. My name is 430 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz, following me on Twitter at sports doc Matt. 431 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 1: Every morning, it's the Day Juice podcast on bettingpros dot Com, 432 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM