WEBVTT - SpittinSPEEDZ Week 15 Preview & #DFS 💎 0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:03.040 You are now about to witness the strength of fantasy 0:00:03.160 --> 0:00:11.600 knowledge Fantasy Sports Radio Network. You are now tuned in 0:00:11.640 --> 0:00:15.760 to the speeds and spitting Statistician on Fantasy Freestyle up 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:20.479 next on that cipher on the microphone. You know that 0:00:20.520 --> 0:00:36.479 I'm one of the best yet Martinez, you know what 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:39.080 it is. It's pot Martinez, a K. Speed t K. 0:00:39.320 --> 0:00:42.839 It's been Satistician a k A. The stable Genius and 0:00:43.000 --> 0:00:47.120 vocal minority. And welcome to another edition other Fantasy Freestyle 0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:50.280 right here on the Sports Grid Network, episode number four 0:00:50.360 --> 0:00:53.479 hundred and twenty four. It is the four hundred and 0:00:53.520 --> 0:00:56.440 twenty four convening of the Status over Beat Cipher where 0:00:56.440 --> 0:00:59.720 we help you win your leagues and win that cash. 0:00:59.800 --> 0:01:02.880 We got a good show for you today as usual 0:01:03.080 --> 0:01:05.520 on eight Thursday. Here's what we're gonna get into. All right, 0:01:05.680 --> 0:01:08.039 I'm gonna give you all the news and knows the injuries. 0:01:08.360 --> 0:01:10.440 As I know a lot of you guys are going 0:01:10.440 --> 0:01:12.640 into a semifinal. And by the way, when I say guys, 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:14.959 I mean guys and gals, right, we are an equal 0:01:15.319 --> 0:01:18.520 uh equal service here, I mean the royal guys. All 0:01:18.560 --> 0:01:21.319 of you guys you know, did you say youths? Um, 0:01:21.760 --> 0:01:24.600 A're going into a semifinals, right, and so here's what 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:26.760 we're gonna do. I gotta give you that. We'll give 0:01:26.800 --> 0:01:29.840 you some plays in DFS. We will also leave the 0:01:29.840 --> 0:01:31.959 phone lines open for the last segment of the show, 0:01:32.240 --> 0:01:33.959 all right, in case you want to call in talk 0:01:34.000 --> 0:01:36.200 to the spitting statistician. We'll do that. I'll tell you 0:01:36.240 --> 0:01:40.040 why I don't buy the projections. Um, and then we'll 0:01:40.080 --> 0:01:42.240 talk a little bit about Thursday Night football as well 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:44.880 as the Baltimore Ravens and the m v P front 0:01:44.959 --> 0:01:48.480 runner Lamar Jackson host my J E. T S Jets 0:01:48.600 --> 0:01:50.200 Jets Jets. We'll talk about how to make a little 0:01:50.200 --> 0:01:54.560 bit of extra guiche on that one as well. Um, 0:01:54.600 --> 0:01:57.320 all right, so let's dig into it all right. First 0:01:57.320 --> 0:01:59.720 of all, like I said, my poll question is up 0:01:59.720 --> 0:02:02.040 on it or Aspet and speeds. How much faith do 0:02:02.080 --> 0:02:05.280 you put in the fantasy football like projections on your website, 0:02:05.880 --> 0:02:08.880 whatever it is wherever you play. Do you go by those? 0:02:09.560 --> 0:02:13.040 Do you use your own gut? Do you use a 0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:15.800 conglomerate of all of those you call in? Do you listen? 0:02:15.840 --> 0:02:17.200 Do you put it all together? How do you go 0:02:17.240 --> 0:02:21.560 about forming that lineup? Do you just start whatever's highest projected. 0:02:22.000 --> 0:02:24.760 Do you look at them but ultimately make your own choice? 0:02:24.800 --> 0:02:27.720 You know, like free will? Um? Do you just go 0:02:27.840 --> 0:02:29.760 whatever the experts say? You know? I always wonder this 0:02:29.760 --> 0:02:32.280 because people question asked me all the time. You know, 0:02:32.280 --> 0:02:33.880 do I start this guy or this guy? Are you 0:02:33.880 --> 0:02:37.400 guys just blindly doing whatever I say? Or are you 0:02:37.400 --> 0:02:39.640 you know, taking it and running it through a pot 0:02:39.720 --> 0:02:42.640 of your own thoughts as well. I'm really interested to 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:44.880 know how you guys come up with this. And I'm 0:02:44.919 --> 0:02:48.239 gonna tell you why I don't trust the projections for 0:02:48.280 --> 0:02:50.680 this week. But let's get into it. Some injuries and 0:02:50.720 --> 0:02:53.079 what I always say on the Thursday show, you need 0:02:53.120 --> 0:02:55.040 to look at the trends, right You need to see 0:02:55.160 --> 0:02:58.359 who went from d NP too limited to full who's 0:02:58.480 --> 0:03:01.240 being downgraded as well? So here's some names to watch 0:03:01.280 --> 0:03:03.680 for throughout this week. You gotta look at the Miami 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:07.919 wide receivers, all right. Alan Hearns missed yesterday, back at 0:03:07.960 --> 0:03:11.680 practice today with an ankle. Okay, DeVante Parker is also 0:03:11.720 --> 0:03:14.440 still in the concussion protocol. Why do I bring this up? 0:03:14.600 --> 0:03:16.120 I bring this up because they played the New York 0:03:16.160 --> 0:03:18.880 Giants this week, all right? And whoever is that wide 0:03:18.919 --> 0:03:22.720 receiver whoever. Ryan Fitzpatrick is slinging it too. I want 0:03:22.760 --> 0:03:24.959 shares of you guys. Know how much I've been on 0:03:25.040 --> 0:03:30.239 Davante Parker. If he's gone, could Alan Hearns step into 0:03:30.320 --> 0:03:32.079 that role, So keep an eye out on them. Al 0:03:32.120 --> 0:03:34.920 Shan Jeffrey has been sent to i R. They're saying 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:37.360 it's gonna be at a lift Liz Frank. They're saying 0:03:37.400 --> 0:03:39.480 he's probably gonna have to have surgery. So that's a 0:03:39.480 --> 0:03:41.640 shame for al Shan Jeffrey. Remember a lot of other 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:45.400 guys are banged up there as well, Jordan Howard, Nelson, Agalor. 0:03:45.640 --> 0:03:48.080 So we gotta see about that. The production could be 0:03:48.200 --> 0:03:51.560 very concentrated to a couple of players for Philadelphia, So 0:03:51.560 --> 0:03:54.040 we'll keep an eye on that. Um, you know, everyone 0:03:54.080 --> 0:03:56.480 from Jordan Howard to I think a white Side may 0:03:56.560 --> 0:03:59.720 Or may not be on the comeback trail. Josh Jacobs 0:03:59.760 --> 0:04:03.440 is an interesting case study as well. Okay, now Josh 0:04:03.520 --> 0:04:05.840 Jacobs had an m R I on that shoulder. Remember 0:04:05.840 --> 0:04:09.480 they're saying he's playing through this fractured shoulder. M R 0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:12.000 I came back clean. But now Gruden is saying that 0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:15.200 doesn't necessarily mean he's going to play on Sunday, so 0:04:15.400 --> 0:04:19.520 that bears washing. If he's not there, Deante Washington would 0:04:19.520 --> 0:04:22.760 be the next man up. Interesting in Minnesota as well. 0:04:23.080 --> 0:04:25.040 You know, people were worried about Dalvin Cook, but now 0:04:25.120 --> 0:04:28.760 Dalvin Cook it's quote unquote healthy. And Alexander Madison didn't 0:04:28.760 --> 0:04:31.080 practice earlier in the week. He may be trending in 0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:34.120 a positive direction. See what happens with those Vikings as 0:04:34.160 --> 0:04:36.159 they take on the Chargers on Sunday. Remember it looks 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:39.039 like Adam Feeln will be back for them as well. 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:43.479 Kirk Christian Kirk limited in practice with that ankle um 0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:47.840 in Pittsburgh, a lot of situations to monitor, So Vance 0:04:48.600 --> 0:04:52.800 vans to make them dance and Samuels are missing practice 0:04:52.839 --> 0:04:55.440 earlier in the week. They were d NP yesterday, but 0:04:55.880 --> 0:04:59.080 Connor is back practicing in full. Ju Ju is back 0:04:59.080 --> 0:05:01.200 practicing as well. So they may be down Vance and 0:05:01.240 --> 0:05:04.440 Samuel's but they made Gay back Connor and Juju for 0:05:04.480 --> 0:05:07.479 that Sunday night football tilt against the Buffalo Bills. You 0:05:07.560 --> 0:05:09.280 definitely want to keep your eye on that. That's also 0:05:09.680 --> 0:05:12.640 projecting to be really bad weather. Um they're saying on 0:05:12.680 --> 0:05:14.880 Sunday in Pittsburgh. I think there's gonna be some snow there, 0:05:14.880 --> 0:05:16.920 so keep an eye out on that. I'll also talk 0:05:16.960 --> 0:05:21.120 to you about the Houston Texans and their wide receiver position. Okay, 0:05:21.360 --> 0:05:26.000 will Fuller specifically. Will Fuller was limited all week last 0:05:26.000 --> 0:05:29.000 week and then ultimately didn't play. He's limited this week, 0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:31.160 and he says he's feeling great. I think they held 0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:33.040 him out of last week because they know this week 0:05:33.080 --> 0:05:35.840 against Tennessee. Remember that's huge for the a f C 0:05:36.040 --> 0:05:39.960 South Division title. I think Fuller will go in fact um. 0:05:40.000 --> 0:05:44.560 All right, so we're gonna talk a little bit about uh, 0:05:44.600 --> 0:05:47.359 you know, home dogs, double digit dogs. We're gonna do 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:51.360 dfs um. But I gotta get into Game of inches 0:05:51.360 --> 0:05:53.360 because the playoffs, right, and I know we only got 0:05:53.400 --> 0:05:56.440 about a two minutes before the first break, But Danny, 0:05:56.520 --> 0:05:58.960 I gotta tell you something. We have what could be 0:05:59.680 --> 0:06:02.360 even worse an unseating venture as the leader in the 0:06:02.360 --> 0:06:04.960 club house house for Game of Inches. And the thing 0:06:05.120 --> 0:06:09.000 is because it's playoff time, right, Danny put up the 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:14.320 Game of inches. Wow, even just looking at it, I'm like, damn, 0:06:14.640 --> 0:06:17.400 that's close. So the muscle men who sent this into me, 0:06:17.440 --> 0:06:21.600 if you look, they lost by one hundred of a point, 0:06:22.400 --> 0:06:25.400 one hundred of a point. And then it gets worse 0:06:25.400 --> 0:06:27.359 when I tell you how it happens. The guy who 0:06:27.520 --> 0:06:29.839 lost right by the hundreds of the point. Look at 0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:34.160 his quarterback, Lamar Jackson. Danny, when you are the team 0:06:34.200 --> 0:06:36.040 that's winning and you're running out the clock, what's the 0:06:36.120 --> 0:06:38.119 last thing you do when there's just like forty seconds 0:06:38.160 --> 0:06:41.480 left on the clock. What's the play? What happens, Danny? 0:06:42.720 --> 0:06:45.720 Quarterback takes a knee. Do you know that technically that's 0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:48.640 listed as a negative one rushing yard for your quarterback, Danny, 0:06:49.160 --> 0:06:51.760 I did not know that. Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's technically 0:06:51.839 --> 0:06:55.640 negative one rushing yard. So Lamar Jackson, you know they won, 0:06:56.360 --> 0:06:59.680 and uh, Lamar Jackson kneeled down for the last two 0:06:59.680 --> 0:07:02.640 plays the game. In doing so, he lost two rushing yards. 0:07:02.800 --> 0:07:05.240 In doing so, the muscle men lost two tents of 0:07:05.279 --> 0:07:08.480 a point, and that is what costs them. Danny. They're lost. 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:10.400 But here's the thing. Check out that chat thing. It says, 0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:11.920 don't be bitter, my dude, You still in it to 0:07:11.920 --> 0:07:13.760 win it. Good luck next week. Maybe he was one 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:16.160 in one of those leagues that didn't have playoffs last week, 0:07:16.200 --> 0:07:18.600 so for me. I don't know. I need to see 0:07:18.600 --> 0:07:21.120 if this was a playoff loss. It is a damned 0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:24.120 tough loss. Hashtag game of inches. But if that wasn't 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:28.000 a playoff game, it can't be the game of inches champion. 0:07:28.040 --> 0:07:30.040 So we'll see about that when we come back. We 0:07:30.120 --> 0:07:33.280 talked about home dogs, double digit dogs, and then we 0:07:33.320 --> 0:07:35.440 turn our attention to DFS. We'll have the phone lines 0:07:35.560 --> 0:07:37.960 open for the last segment. We'll talk about the stats 0:07:37.960 --> 0:07:41.480 over Beats league and why I don't trust the projections. 0:07:41.520 --> 0:07:44.280 All right, come on back this episode four twenty four 0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:47.200 of the Fantasy Freestyle with the Stats over Beat cipher. 0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:51.400 Come on back. We'll help you win some cash Week fifteen. 0:07:51.880 --> 0:07:57.680 You know NFL season is an altana, so you can 0:07:57.720 --> 0:08:00.360 be on the eighth person to win one million dollars 0:08:00.400 --> 0:08:03.280 in a fandueler Draft Kings tournament. My sator lineup using 0:08:03.280 --> 0:08:05.960 the Daily Order dot Com DFS line of optimizers. If 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:09.120 you're playing daily Fantasy Sports and not using Daily Order 0:08:09.120 --> 0:08:11.160 dot Com, you're doing They're wrong. Sign them now for 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:15.160 the NFL Access with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, 0:08:15.200 --> 0:08:18.400 and better results into promo code action. First hendver sent 0:08:18.400 --> 0:08:21.240 discount and that's promo code action. First head for cent 0:08:21.280 --> 0:08:35.240 discount Daily Order dot com, where millionaires are made black 0:08:35.280 --> 0:08:37.959 and yellow, black and yellow, black and yellow. At you 0:08:38.040 --> 0:08:40.800 think I might be picking of Pittsburgh Steelers this week, 0:08:41.240 --> 0:08:43.200 although I don't know that that's what I'm gonna be 0:08:43.240 --> 0:08:47.400 doing in the snow on Sunday night. Uh Connor maybe 0:08:47.400 --> 0:08:52.520 back Juju maybe back no Vans looks like uh Samuels 0:08:52.520 --> 0:08:55.559 banged up as well. We will see. All right, got 0:08:55.559 --> 0:08:57.320 a great show for you. Let's get on into some 0:08:57.360 --> 0:08:59.360 of the ways to make a little bit of cash. Also, 0:08:59.640 --> 0:09:02.040 my man strong style. I think you know how I 0:09:02.080 --> 0:09:04.720 love nicknames. I think that wide receiver you're talking about 0:09:04.720 --> 0:09:08.360 on Philadelphia, I think I'm gonna call him Vicky Christina Arthega, 0:09:08.960 --> 0:09:13.240 Vicky Christina Arthega White Side. Um, Jilly Dilley, I like 0:09:13.320 --> 0:09:16.040 you channeling your inner speeds. Hearns is a smart ad 0:09:16.240 --> 0:09:18.160 if you got a little bit of wiggle room on 0:09:18.200 --> 0:09:20.600 the bottom of your roster. This is what we say 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:22.880 all the time in fantasy. Right, you don't need that 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:25.560 wide receiver five, that running back five. What you want 0:09:25.600 --> 0:09:27.720 to do is double up. So Jilly Dilley, I'm completely 0:09:27.760 --> 0:09:32.720 fine with Rostering. Alan hearns right now as the pivot 0:09:32.800 --> 0:09:36.560 in case Parker can't go. Parker is in the concussion protocol. 0:09:36.640 --> 0:09:39.440 If you have Parker, get yourself, Alan Hearns, because if 0:09:39.559 --> 0:09:42.800 not Parker, then Herne slides into that role and it's 0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:45.360 a juicy matchup against the New York Football Giants. I 0:09:45.400 --> 0:09:49.360 feel the same way about Will Fuller in Houston. Um, 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:51.959 if he doesn't go, you know, in that big matchup 0:09:52.000 --> 0:09:54.240 against Tennessee, maybe it got like Kenny Stills. Maybe you 0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:57.480 got like Kicky qt. Remember, because you know someone's gonna 0:09:57.480 --> 0:10:01.480 catch the ball. Besides DeAndre Hopkins, someone's gonna stretched the field. Right, 0:10:01.760 --> 0:10:04.319 Stills is in that role when there is no Um 0:10:04.520 --> 0:10:07.280 Will Fuller, So keep an eye on what Will Fillers doing, 0:10:07.320 --> 0:10:11.560 although my gut tells me Fuller will be active come Sunday. 0:10:11.600 --> 0:10:13.920 All right, Um, Remember guys, if you have questions for 0:10:13.960 --> 0:10:16.360 the spitting statistician, We're gonna keep the phone lines open 0:10:16.360 --> 0:10:18.240 in the last segment so that you guys can have 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:20.000 your six start questions or even if you need to 0:10:20.000 --> 0:10:22.040 look forward to the future. That's what I'm here for, 0:10:22.080 --> 0:10:25.640 all right. So let's go into the home dogs. Let's 0:10:25.679 --> 0:10:27.679 do home dogs this week, okay, because you know if 0:10:27.679 --> 0:10:30.560 your real deal stats over beat Cipher, you know that 0:10:30.720 --> 0:10:32.520 home dogs is a trend that I've been I've been 0:10:32.559 --> 0:10:34.560 I've been on for years, all right, and I've been 0:10:34.559 --> 0:10:36.800 telling you which ones are diamonds in the rough, which 0:10:36.840 --> 0:10:40.679 one's a fool gazes the ones who need to forget about. 0:10:41.080 --> 0:10:44.280 So let's start here with Cincinnati was getting ten points 0:10:44.280 --> 0:10:46.080 at home against New England. It's down to nine and 0:10:46.080 --> 0:10:49.400 a half, so it's moved a little bit. And the 0:10:49.440 --> 0:10:52.360 thing is, for me, with all this stuff about the 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:55.880 videotaping now and do your job documentary and all this 0:10:56.960 --> 0:10:59.440 this profiles to me like the Patriots dump trucking this 0:10:59.480 --> 0:11:01.680 team and boat racing this team. I don't care what 0:11:01.760 --> 0:11:04.439 stadium it's in. Remember the Bengals are still one and 0:11:04.600 --> 0:11:07.880 whatever one in twelve, right, and the Patriots are still 0:11:07.920 --> 0:11:10.920 now fighting for a bye, you know. And with all 0:11:10.920 --> 0:11:13.079 the stuff that's been out there around the Patriots for 0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:14.959 the last couple of weeks that their passing game is 0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:19.040 no as uh, you know, compromised, that there's acrimony between 0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:23.480 Bill and Tom, the Cincinnati Bengals are the perfect licks 0:11:23.520 --> 0:11:26.400 or whether you have the signals or not right, you 0:11:26.440 --> 0:11:28.760 know you can run on them. I think this could 0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:31.559 be Sony Michelle going back, Like remember how the Patriots 0:11:31.559 --> 0:11:33.480 in the playoffs went back to Sony Michelle. I wouldn't 0:11:33.520 --> 0:11:36.400 be surprised if Sony Michelle gets a couple of touchdowns 0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:38.840 in this one. But I would lay the points with 0:11:38.880 --> 0:11:41.679 New England. I think they go into Cincinnati and and 0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:43.600 and use this as an opportunity to make a point. 0:11:43.800 --> 0:11:45.520 So I would lay those points even with the Pats 0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:48.040 on the road. Another home dog is the Carolina Panthers. 0:11:48.080 --> 0:11:49.560 They were at five and a half. It's up to 0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:54.080 six last time I checked. You know, I said it 0:11:54.120 --> 0:11:56.360 on Monday. One of the things I fear about these 0:11:56.360 --> 0:11:59.560 Carolina Panthers is a severe drop in usage for Christian 0:11:59.600 --> 0:12:03.079 mccaf um. Whether you're in fantasy, whether you're in betting, 0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:05.680 whether it's in DFS. I know McCaffrey is even like 0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:08.839 eleven thousand this week on FanDuel. He's the most expensive player. 0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:13.320 But I fear um, they don't need to run him 0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:14.800 out there anymore. They don't need to chew him up 0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:16.719 and spit him out there anymore. Right, So I think 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:19.120 his usage has gone down in terms of carries. He's 0:12:19.120 --> 0:12:21.800 still a beast out of the backfield. Okay, don't get 0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.160 me wrong, but I think his usage will be a 0:12:24.200 --> 0:12:26.320 little bit less. And that's in the fantasy world. In 0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:29.080 the betting world, listen, Seattle needs this to keep pace. 0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:32.319 Seattle has gone out there to Carolina and one before 0:12:32.360 --> 0:12:36.200 they did in the playoffs. Um. It just seems to 0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:40.520 me like Carolina similar to in many ways, like Indianapolis. 0:12:40.920 --> 0:12:43.640 You know how they were holding the fort for a while. Wait, 0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:47.440 whether it's Brissette or Alan, and it hasn't looked good 0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:49.040 in the last few weeks. I think Carolina is on 0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:51.880 their way down right now. So I would lay the points, um, 0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:54.040 and I would take Seattle on the road, even laying 0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:55.320 the six, I think they win this game by a 0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:59.160 touchdow him more. Um. Another home dog is the Detroit Lions. 0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:01.200 They opened the plus four, it's now down to three 0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:04.240 and a half there at home against Tampa Bay. Listen, 0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:06.240 I think Tampa Bay. There's a lot of good things 0:13:06.280 --> 0:13:09.000 going on about Tampa Bay. But remember, good teams win, 0:13:09.120 --> 0:13:11.280 great teams cover. I don't know that Tampa can go 0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:14.720 into Detroit on the road and and cover a spread 0:13:14.800 --> 0:13:17.360 of over a field goal, all right. I know Jamis 0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:19.160 has also banged up. We don't know what kind of 0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:22.360 vintage we're gonna get there. Uh, Mike Evans is gone 0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:23.640 as well. I do think they have enough to win 0:13:23.720 --> 0:13:26.559 the game, but I don't pick them the cover, all right. Um, 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:28.679 So I will take the points with Detroit. If it's four, 0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:30.040 if it's three and a half, if it's more than 0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:31.920 a field goal, I would take the point to end 0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.640 that home dog of the Detroit Lions. Same for me 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:37.480 with Arizona. This to me is the Lincoln Riley Bowl, 0:13:37.559 --> 0:13:40.520 Kyler Murray, Baker Mayfield. I think now is when the 0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:43.079 Browns are finally effectively out of it. So now is 0:13:43.080 --> 0:13:46.480 when you're hearing these Odell Beckham stories. And I revert 0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:47.760 back to what I was saying in the first month 0:13:47.760 --> 0:13:50.280 of the season. Do you trust them on the road 0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:54.080 with little to play for? I don't. Um, I trust 0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:56.400 Kyla Murray to kind of bounce back, all right. I 0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:58.319 know people have said he's hit the wall. I think 0:13:58.360 --> 0:13:59.599 at home that I think they get it done. I 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:02.120 might take Arizona outright. I like Arizona with the points 0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:06.520 as a home dog. Um. Philly is traveling toward and 0:14:06.559 --> 0:14:09.520 this is a big line movement. Washington was plus six, 0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:11.720 They're not only plus three and a half as a 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:15.320 home dog. So maybe it's because you know, you see 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:19.080 Jeffrey out, You see now aglare out our thing on whiteside, 0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:22.320 you know, and like who is left for these Eagles? 0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:24.680 Like I mentioned, we may get Jordan Howard back though, 0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:27.120 and you know, the concentration of the offense and one 0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:29.360 or two players is not necessarily a huge thing or 0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:34.200 a horrible thing against Washington. I've been back in Philly 0:14:34.240 --> 0:14:35.840 all year. You know, I think Philly is still better 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:38.160 than Dallas. So I can't go now right, And it 0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:40.560 went down from six to three and a half. Yeah, 0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:42.720 I'll take Philly. I'll lay the points. Um. And the 0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:44.920 other one that I like as a home dog is 0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:47.800 Los Angeles Chargers. A lot of people are on Minnesota. 0:14:48.280 --> 0:14:51.440 Minnesota just had a few physical games back to back. Um, 0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:55.720 I know feelings coming back, but you know Minnesota had 0:14:55.720 --> 0:15:00.160 to struggle to be Denver recently. Um, I feel year 0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:03.400 or not fear. I wonder if that report about oh 0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.640 they would be comfortable benching Philip Rivers, if that was 0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:08.280 a spark for him at all. He had a big 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.280 time game last week against Jacksonville. Now they come home. 0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.600 I know Minnesota is a better defense, but I think 0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:17.520 you know, there's no shortage of weapons with the Chargers, 0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:20.840 and I think Rivers maybe continuing a bounce back. I 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.480 also don't like Minnesota on the road as much as 0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:26.120 I do at home. I think that defense is different. 0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.640 I think Cousins is different. Now. Granted, the Chargers are 0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:32.080 not some huge home field advantage, but I'll take the points. 0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:34.040 Give me the Chargers plus two and a half. Um 0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:36.240 Chiefs are laying a double digit number. There wasn't eleven 0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:37.800 and a half, it's nine and a half. I still 0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.560 believe in Kansas City, and I believe more now, guys, 0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:42.440 and you're gonna hear this as a thread, I believe 0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:44.880 more in this Kansas City defense. I think this Kansas 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:46.960 City defense is taking steps and I think they can 0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.760 stifle Drew Lock. Even though he put it in my 0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:52.200 eye last week against Houston, I don't think he's gonna 0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:54.160 if he does it again, I'll be here on Monday 0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:55.880 and be like, Drew Lock put it in my eye again. 0:15:56.120 --> 0:15:58.200 I don't think that's gonna happen. I think Kansas City 0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:00.800 gets up early and then they're able to release the hounds, 0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:02.240 you know what I mean. And I don't know that 0:16:02.320 --> 0:16:05.680 Drew Lock can play from behind in this way. I'll 0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:07.800 lay the points with the Chiefs, who I think are 0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:11.120 kind of starting to hit their stride. Alright, watch out 0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:14.560 for Kansas City. Everyone's on Baltimore, don't get me wrong. 0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:17.440 But if Patty is healthy and if Patty Mahomes and 0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.400 them gonna buy that defense is improving, I still like 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:23.720 Kansas City and I like that. You know a lot 0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:25.800 of people are off them now. I like Kansas City. 0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:28.480 I think they win by more than ten on Sunday, 0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:30.280 the last one I'll give you. I'm not taking the 0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.400 double digit um favorite at home and as the San 0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:35.680 Francisco forty nine. It was eleven now it's now maybe 0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:37.840 down to ten and a half. I'll take Atlanta with 0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:40.880 the points. Okay, I know San Francisco. I think San 0:16:40.880 --> 0:16:43.160 Francisco can win this game, but it wouldn't put past 0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:45.440 me for for Atlanta to hang close in the first 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:48.080 half and then San Francisco kind of wear them down. 0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:52.520 This is the Shanahan revenge game. Kevin Coleman as well. Um, 0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:54.120 But you know, this could be a little bit of 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.840 a trap. San Francisco has been, you know, the New 0:16:56.960 --> 0:17:00.320 Orleans game, the Baltimore game. Right. I can see them 0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:04.040 maybe coming out flat early, but ultimately getting the job done, 0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:07.160 just not getting it done enough to cover more than 0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:10.240 double digits. So there you have it. Cincinnati fool Gazzy 0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:13.359 as a double digit dog, Carolina as a home dog, 0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:16.399 Carolina fool gazzy as a home dog, Detroit is a 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:19.760 diamond in the rough, Washington fool gayzy. I like Arizona 0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:22.600 and Chargers as home dogs. And then I think Kansas 0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:26.159 City covers the big number, but San Francisco does not. 0:17:26.480 --> 0:17:28.040 When we come back on the other side of the break, 0:17:28.040 --> 0:17:29.480 here's we're gonna do. I'm gonna try and see what 0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:31.680 questions we have in the chat room. I'll answer them 0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:34.760 for you. We turn our attention to DFS plays. And 0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.000 then after that we opened up the phone lines. I 0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:38.760 know a lot of you guys have sits start kind 0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:41.720 of questions. I think Tom, I think Terry and New 0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:43.879 Jersey already promised she was gonna call. I was talking 0:17:43.920 --> 0:17:45.960 to her a little bit earlier on. So we'll do 0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:47.960 what we gotta do. In that last segment. I'll give 0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:51.280 you some DFS uh targets that I like when we 0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:53.239 come back on the other side of the break. Its 0:17:53.240 --> 0:17:56.960 episode number four hundred and twenty four of the Fantasy 0:17:57.040 --> 0:17:59.359 Freestyle with the Stats over Beat Cipher here on the 0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:02.440 sports grid and at work, df best leans and plays. 0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:04.960 Then we talked Thursday Night Football, how to make some 0:18:05.040 --> 0:18:09.840 money off of it, and why I can't trust these projections. 0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:13.280 I'd love to, but I can't trust them. 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