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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in Lake Kick is Live. It is

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Speaker 1: Tuesday night, October twelfth, Dear of Our Lord, twenty twenty one,

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Speaker 1: jam Pack. It is Tuesday night. It is Prediction night.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna move on three games tonight. I've got

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Speaker 1: Jesse I think at last a three more added best

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Speaker 1: best tonight. We got a brand new jpe pole tonight.

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Speaker 1: And what if I told you I just got a

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Speaker 1: whole lot of free stuff that we have earned for ourselves.

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Speaker 1: What have I told you that? Well, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: probably in like ten or so minutes, Academy coming through

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Speaker 1: for us. Thank you so much for being here. Make

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Speaker 1: sure you are subscribed to the channel. Bud Elliott was

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Speaker 1: in here earlier today and gave me a little hack.

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Speaker 1: He said that we could set the YouTube channel settings

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Speaker 1: to where only subscribers can comment. And since it's free

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Speaker 1: to subscribe, I said, heck yeah, boom, so subscribe and

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Speaker 1: you can talk all you want to in the live chat. Hey,

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Speaker 1: Like I said, we have got some things going on

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Speaker 1: with the show. Even as we speak. Profect National Lighting

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Speaker 1: team is in here. They just did all sorts of

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Speaker 1: things in here. I don't know how it works, but

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Speaker 1: so they're making our set look nice and sparkly. So

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Speaker 1: a lot of stuff's happening around here because of you.

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Speaker 1: So we always say thank you. It's not rehearsed, it's

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Speaker 1: not in a teleprompter. We genuinely mean it. Thank you,

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Speaker 1: and make sure you're following Twitter, Instagram at late Kick Josh,

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Speaker 1: because as many things as are happening right now, I

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Speaker 1: get the feeling, as our friend Jim Ross would say,

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Speaker 1: business is about to pick up. So let's dive into

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Speaker 1: tonight's show. Now, we learned a tough lesson last week.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we really learned a tough lesson. If you'll

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Speaker 1: think back to last week on the show, I told you,

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Speaker 1: and I've told you for a long time when we

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Speaker 1: do our game predictions on Tuesday, and we only predict

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Speaker 1: games where we legitimately think there's a chance both teams

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Speaker 1: could win. By legitimate I mean, like more than a

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Speaker 1: one percent chance. We did not do a breakdown for Alabama, Texas,

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Speaker 1: A and M last week, and we have slapped ourselves

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Speaker 1: on the wrist accordingly. But we've also learned the lesson,

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Speaker 1: and so tonight, yeah, we're doing Georgia Kentucky. Yeah, we're

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Speaker 1: doing Bama, Mississippi State. Certainly, we're gonna do the game

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Speaker 1: that we're gonna be at in Knoxville, which is Ole,

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Speaker 1: miss and Tennessee. Lane Kiffin's return to Knoxville. Colin a

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Speaker 1: huge Lane Kiffin fan. Director Colin, He's very excited about that.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna do all that tonight. But we're gonna

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Speaker 1: start in Athens, GA, Saturday, three thirty Eastern time that's

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Speaker 1: the kickoff, at least if you live in the Eastern

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Speaker 1: time zone. On CBS, it is Kentucky, it is Georgia.

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Speaker 1: This is a massive point spread. It is a fat line,

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Speaker 1: and a lot of you have taken umbrage with it.

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Speaker 1: And you guys know how rarely I use the word umbrage.

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Speaker 1: But yet Kentucky fans feeling the disrespect. We're gonna do

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Speaker 1: the JP pole later tonight. I off the top of

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Speaker 1: my head forgot where we ranked Kentucky or rated Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Big difference, but I guarantee you you will cry disrespect.

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Speaker 1: Maybe not after this preview. So let's dive into this.

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Speaker 1: What is the shot for Kentucky? Like I said, we

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Speaker 1: learned our lesson. We're doing the game previews. If there

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Speaker 1: is even what's another rarely used word, a monicum of

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Speaker 1: a chance that you could win a game. We're breaking

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Speaker 1: it down. Let's be realistic, though, and so you want

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Speaker 1: to win the game. If the final score here we're

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to fourteen, would it be so bad? I

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Speaker 1: don't think it would. But I understand that is not

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Speaker 1: the Kentucky mentality. This is not some cute story. You

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Speaker 1: need to understand this. If you're an outsider. Most of

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Speaker 1: you are. If you're an outsider, you haven't been watching Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: They don't view themselves as a cute story. They think

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Speaker 1: they made the right moves in the transfer portal, which

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Speaker 1: for the record, they did up to an including quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But also they got Dare Rosenthal in there. Of course,

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Speaker 1: Wando Robinson was talked about a whole lot. They made

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Speaker 1: the right moves. They know they've got the right coaching

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Speaker 1: staff up there, like they're ready to go in there

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Speaker 1: and win the game. They've looked at Georgia, they say,

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Speaker 1: good defense, we've played one before. We got a pretty

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Speaker 1: salty offensive line in our own right. We average more

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Speaker 1: yards percury than pretty much anyone you've played so far.

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Speaker 1: We feel like we are more in tune with our

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Speaker 1: identity than any team you've played. We're going to go

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Speaker 1: in there and do to you what Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M sprung on Alabama last week. That's the mentality. So

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Speaker 1: can they do it? There's a puncher's chance, there's an

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Speaker 1: outside shot. You'd have to have some things to go right.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about what would have to go right.

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Speaker 1: The approach here, I think it's pretty basic, even with

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Speaker 1: the addition of Will Levis. Let's be real, when they

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Speaker 1: beat Florida. When Kentucky beat Florida, it wasn't because of

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Speaker 1: the passing game. It wasn't because of Will Levis. I

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Speaker 1: think they failed to eclipse one hundred yards passing in

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Speaker 1: that game. By the way, it was because of a

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Speaker 1: number of things, but first and foremost, for Kentucky to

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Speaker 1: win games, they've got to establish the run. Now, this

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Speaker 1: scares a lot of people for obvious reasons. When you

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Speaker 1: talk about Georgia football and you say, well, to beat them,

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Speaker 1: we're going to have to run the ball on them,

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Speaker 1: most people they shut their laptop at that point. Most

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Speaker 1: people laugh and walk away, and let's go to a

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Speaker 1: more serious conversation. You're not going to run the ball

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Speaker 1: on Georgia. Well, no, you're not going to run it

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Speaker 1: for one hundred percent of what you normally do. You

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Speaker 1: may not even run it for like eighty percent of

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Speaker 1: what you normally do. Can you at least make them

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Speaker 1: respect your ability to run? Can you at least manufacture

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Speaker 1: enough on the ground. Can you keep Will Levis out

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Speaker 1: of third and eight all day? Can you do that?

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Speaker 1: Now here's what's interesting. You go back and watch the

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Speaker 1: Arkansas game, and I had a little more confidence in

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Speaker 1: Arkansas being able to run the ball. Then they ended

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Speaker 1: up being able to do. The Kentucky offensive line. I

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Speaker 1: was talking to a coach today, former coach, and he

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Speaker 1: was circling the Kentucky offensive line. He said, you know,

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Speaker 1: when it comes to matchups, that Kentucky offensive line is

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Speaker 1: a lot more favorable for a matchup against Georgia than

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Speaker 1: Arkansas was. They looked at Arkansas, and a lot of

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Speaker 1: people in the coaching community they look at Arkansas and

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Speaker 1: they marvel that Sam Pittman's even been able to do

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Speaker 1: what he's done with them, because they've won some games,

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Speaker 1: and they haven't done it with an influx of transfer guys.

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Speaker 1: They're largely playing with the same guys they inherited. They

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Speaker 1: put about twenty pounds on all of them. But he's

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Speaker 1: working with what he has. The Kentucky offensive line, especially

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Speaker 1: with Rosenthal left tackle, now they are a lot more

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Speaker 1: apt to be able to get a little better yard

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Speaker 1: per carry number against Georgia. Now, what does that really mean?

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Speaker 1: If you rip off one thirty five yard game on

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Speaker 1: an otherwise ineffective drive and then you punt the ball

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Speaker 1: and that's baked into a lot of other three yard drives,

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Speaker 1: it may make it look like you ran the ball effectively,

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Speaker 1: you really didn't all that much. They that's his same. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's the first thing. There are some people out there

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Speaker 1: in the football community that believe of the teams Georgie's

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Speaker 1: played so far, Kentucky does have the best shot. Here's

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Speaker 1: what I counter with, What else does Georgia have to respect?

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Speaker 1: Because if you're throwing for ninety yards on them, they

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Speaker 1: don't really respect that. I mean, Robbinson's probably one receiver

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Speaker 1: that Georgia has to pay a lot of attention to.

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Speaker 1: How many more do you have? So that would be

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Speaker 1: my counter to that. There's a lot of excitement here

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Speaker 1: about will Levis, like there should be. By the way,

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Speaker 1: ask Penn State what they would have given to have

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Speaker 1: Will Levis Saturday night. But I say that to say this,

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Speaker 1: he's gonna have to do some things that they really

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Speaker 1: haven't been able to do, at least they didn't do

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Speaker 1: against Florida. They'll have to be able to do some

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Speaker 1: of that. I mean, they'll have to be able to

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Speaker 1: test Georgia deep. And that's a lot easier said than done.

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Speaker 1: But what has to happen, and I don't care how

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Speaker 1: they do it. It could be a special team's bust, it

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Speaker 1: could be a defensive turnover turned into points, or it

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Speaker 1: could just be good old fashioned offensive scoring. They gotta

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Speaker 1: pop Georgia. Georgia has not been put in a position

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Speaker 1: all year where Stetson Bennett, JT. Daniels, either one, but

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Speaker 1: especially Bennett right now, feels any kind of pressure. Everything's

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Speaker 1: been done on their terms, cause to George's credit, they

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Speaker 1: have grabbed every game by the throat, really, even including

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Speaker 1: the Clemson game even though technically it was only one possession.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this Auburn game last week. You're watching Bureau

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Speaker 1: love it if you're watching it on YouTube right now.

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Speaker 1: When was this in doubt. I mean, when was it

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Speaker 1: really was? When was pressure applied? I was talking to

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Speaker 1: someone today about how many passes Stetson Bennett has had

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Speaker 1: to throw with less than a two possession lead, and

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Speaker 1: it's less than twenty all year. He's played multiple games now,

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Speaker 1: So I say, I mean, I get tired of this phrase.

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Speaker 1: I say that to say this, but I do say

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Speaker 1: that to say this. How do you score early on them?

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Speaker 1: Can you score early on them? Can you spring something?

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Speaker 1: Because here's what has to happen, more so than anything.

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Speaker 1: When you watched A and M Bama last week, the

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Speaker 1: group of people that had to believe the most was

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Speaker 1: that Texas A and M sideline and the crowd. Crowd's

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Speaker 1: not a factor for Kentucky this week. It's a factor

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Speaker 1: against them. But did you look at how different A

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Speaker 1: and M carried themselves once they struck Bama early and

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Speaker 1: once they realized, hey, we just we hit that thing

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Speaker 1: and it bled. Look at it. It's bleeding more and more.

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Speaker 1: No one's seeing Georgia bleed, but they can. You just

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Speaker 1: got to get close enough to them to cut them.

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Speaker 1: So how does Kentucky do that? That's up to them.

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Speaker 1: They got to answer that there's several different ways you

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Speaker 1: can do that. I don't think it's going to be

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Speaker 1: a thirteen play drive to open the game that does it,

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Speaker 1: but there are certain ways that you can do that.

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Speaker 1: They got to win first down, though, Kentucky's gotta win

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Speaker 1: first down both sides. You got to get Stetson Bennett

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Speaker 1: into positions where they do have to throw the ball.

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Speaker 1: Now they're capable of it. You're just tilting the percentages

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Speaker 1: in your favor. If you're making Toddmunkin have to call

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Speaker 1: some plays and obvious passing downs and he's not doing it.

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Speaker 1: With a three score lead or a two score lead,

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Speaker 1: you get that to happen, and then all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: you shave off some possessions on your own, ideally at

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Speaker 1: least one possession each half for Georgia, and it's it

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Speaker 1: gets really hard. It gets really hard to get some

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Speaker 1: margin on someone when you don't have the ball enough.

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Speaker 1: So let's get into what the model says, Jesse. Let's

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Speaker 1: take a look at it. I know Georgia is a

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Speaker 1: big favorite here. Our model has nailed Georgia this year.

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Speaker 1: It's nailed it to the point where I wish I

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Speaker 1: would have followed it because in all these big spread games,

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Speaker 1: it keeps saying, take Georgia. I can't remember. Georgia may

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Speaker 1: have lost one game agains spread. I can't remember. They've

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Speaker 1: covered a lot, they may be undeated, They've covered a lot.

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Speaker 1: This one. It also says roll with Georgia, and I disagree.

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Speaker 1: I will lean Georgia obviously to win the game. I

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Speaker 1: will take Georgia to win the game. I don't think

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Speaker 1: there's enough offensive firepower for Kentucky to win the game

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Speaker 1: if I'm wrong. I mean, you see the color scheme

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Speaker 1: we chose in here, so you know we're not anti

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Speaker 1: blue by any stretch. It's just I have to see

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Speaker 1: that to believe it. But I think Kentucky's gonna cover.

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Speaker 1: I think it will be a very competitive game. It'll

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Speaker 1: be hard fought. I think Georgia may walk out of

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Speaker 1: this game feeling it even more so than they felt Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Kentucky can do that to you. So I'll take Georgia

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Speaker 1: to whim. I will take Kentucky to cover, and I'm

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Speaker 1: looking very forward to even if they can't beat Georgia,

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Speaker 1: can they do some things to Georgia that no one

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Speaker 1: else is able to do. Can they put a little

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Speaker 1: better yards per carry number on the board? Can they

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Speaker 1: put a fat or rushing total on the board. Can

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Speaker 1: they complete some passes deep on the secondary? Just some

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Speaker 1: things that you file away, because this is how you

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Speaker 1: have to watch elite teams. Ohio State's this way most years,

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Speaker 1: Bama's this way, Georgie's this way. Clemson most years is

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Speaker 1: this way. Does someone in an otherwise forgettable game do

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Speaker 1: some things that you file away in your head and say, well,

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Speaker 1: that team couldn't take advantage of it, but this team,

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Speaker 1: this team, and this team down the stretch that they play,

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Speaker 1: maybe they can take advantage of it. So I'm looking

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Speaker 1: forward to that. We're not going to be at the

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Speaker 1: game because it didn't check as many of our boxes

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Speaker 1: as Ole, Miss Tennessee does, but we will be in

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Speaker 1: position to watch it before that game kicks off. Looking

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Speaker 1: forward to it. So I told you to start the show,

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Speaker 1: and I was talking on the Lake Yik Extra podcast

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Speaker 1: earlier today about the benefit of free stuff, and as

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Speaker 1: it turns out, there is no downside to you getting

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Speaker 1: free stuff, at least if it's on the up and up.

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Speaker 1: So our friends at Academy Sports and Outdoors. As I've

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Speaker 1: told you, you may have thought I was lying, but

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Speaker 1: I'm about to prove otherwise. They are. I'm talking about

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Speaker 1: jacked out of their mind at the response that they've

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Speaker 1: gotten from our audience, from the Late Cake audience. Because

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Speaker 1: you are extremely loyal. I mean, that's kind of how

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Speaker 1: we've built this entire show. We are a very unique

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Speaker 1: show in that sense, and that we kind of move together,

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Speaker 1: and so we have moved towards Academy Sports and Outdoors,

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Speaker 1: and they are our only partner here for a reason.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to clutter up the set. I just

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Speaker 1: want one big partner. They're a big partner. Well, you

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Speaker 1: guys have been patronizing them. I mean you've been hitting

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Speaker 1: them up NonStop, and you've been showing them the proof.

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Speaker 1: You've been tagging them on Twitter. You've been tagging me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter showing the receipts. One of you bought an

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Speaker 1: insane amount of merchandise from Academy the other day that

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Speaker 1: probably paid for a quarter of their ad spend already.

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Speaker 1: But Academy hit me up, I kid you not two

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Speaker 1: and a half weeks, three weeks maybe max into their

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Speaker 1: ad campaign with us, and they said what can we

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Speaker 1: do you guys and your audience has gone so far

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Speaker 1: above and beyond. We want to do more, Like we'll

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Speaker 1: do more with you in the future. What can we

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Speaker 1: do right now? That's for real, that happens. So I said,

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Speaker 1: what I know you guys want me to say. They

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Speaker 1: want free stuff. So these right here are Academy gift cards.

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Speaker 1: I'm holding a little small portion of what I've been sent.

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Speaker 1: I said, give us free stuff, and Academy said, I

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Speaker 1: check your mail in a couple of days, and sure enough,

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Speaker 1: I walk down for the bi annual check of my

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Speaker 1: mailbox at my apartment, and Academy has hooked you up,

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Speaker 1: not me. I don't think I'm even allowed to use

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Speaker 1: these sucks, but hey, it's the benefit of you. I

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Speaker 1: am gonna be in Knoxville this Saturday. A lot of

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Speaker 1: you are too, so to this point, when you meet

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Speaker 1: me on the road, it's just been, hey, how you doing,

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Speaker 1: Let's take a picture, and that's about it. I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying that's a bad thing. I'm just saying I wish

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Speaker 1: I could do more. Well, I'm gonna have a whole

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Speaker 1: pocket full of these bad boys Saturday in Knoxville and

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Speaker 1: in the coming weeks when I'm on the road, and

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Speaker 1: so if you find me, chances are you're getting some

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Speaker 1: free stuff put in your pocket. So that is what

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Speaker 1: our friends at Academy Sports and Outdoors are doing for you.

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Speaker 1: In addition to the fact that they've got everything you

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Speaker 1: need for that tailgate, they've got everything you need for

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Speaker 1: your backyard. They've got everything you need if you dress

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Speaker 1: like me for your entire closet. You can buy your

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Speaker 1: entire wardrobe at Academy Sports and Outdoors. They're the official

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Speaker 1: outdoor sporting good supplier of us at late kick of

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Speaker 1: the sec of the Big Twelve. They'll hook you up.

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Speaker 1: If you can't get to a store, Academy dot Com

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Speaker 1: has got it for you. But as I just showed you,

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Speaker 1: look at that, that wouldn't happen unless you guys were

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Speaker 1: coming through. So thank you for coming through. Continue to

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Speaker 1: do it. I have no clue where they'll stop. They

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Speaker 1: may give more free stuff away. You never know when

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Speaker 1: I open my email inbox what they could be ready

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Speaker 1: to give us next. So I would encourage you're going

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Speaker 1: to buy stuff anyway, do it from Academy and then

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Speaker 1: hit me up and let me know about it. Thank

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Speaker 1: you though, because that was a It was a pleasant surprise.

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Speaker 1: Normally it's just bills in my mailbox. Now we actually

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Speaker 1: had someone send us something rare. I could get used

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Speaker 1: to that feeling. All right, let's continue with our Week

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Speaker 1: seven previews. Oh boy, okay, So Alabama's going on the

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Speaker 1: road Saturday. They're gonna play Mississippi State in Mississippi State.

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Speaker 1: When we were doing our preseason schedule analysis, we circled

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Speaker 1: the two biggest ambush games in the SEC this year,

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Speaker 1: and Mississippi State had both of them. The first one

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Speaker 1: was Texas A and M. They were gonna go to

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M. A and M had them sandwich

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Speaker 1: between Arkansas and Alabama. Well they beat A and M.

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Speaker 1: The second one was this game right here, Mississippi State

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Speaker 1: off of bye. Bama is off back to back games

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Speaker 1: against Ole Miss and at Texas A and M. It's

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Speaker 1: their last game before a bye, and so it's just

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Speaker 1: an ambush. But now the difference is in the preseason

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Speaker 1: you thought it doesn't matter, it's Alabama Mississippi State, and

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Speaker 1: some of you may still feel that way. But I

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Speaker 1: got burned last week for not breaking down a Bama

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Speaker 1: game that they ended up losing, so I penalized myself.

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Speaker 1: Never again, Never again, Never again. Bama is favored by

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Speaker 1: as we speak, what does it say seventeen? Bama is

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Speaker 1: a seventeenth point favorite right now? This game is a

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Speaker 1: seven o'clock kickoff on ESPN, not SEC network, not ESPN two.

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Speaker 1: They're sniffing it at the worldwide leader. Who is Alabama?

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Speaker 1: So let's ask that we are what six weeks this

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Speaker 1: is the seventh week of the season. We're six games

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Speaker 1: in to the season. What is Alabama? What's that offense?

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Speaker 1: Because if you just watched that game against A ANDM,

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Speaker 1: you may not be quite sure of your answer. Are

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Speaker 1: they a running team? You could have fooled me once

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Speaker 1: they got inside the ten yard line. Are they a

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Speaker 1: passing team? Well, you got to be able to catch

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Speaker 1: the ball effectively to be a passing team. What are

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Speaker 1: we looking at here? They're not a defensive team. I

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Speaker 1: can tell you that. Not really defensive team right now?

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Speaker 1: So what are they? I think that this is a

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Speaker 1: very very important game in not only the world of

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Speaker 1: Alabama and obviously the world of Mississippi State, but also

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Speaker 1: the SEC championship picture, the college football playoff picture. It's October,

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Speaker 1: So we can talk about it now, because you're gonna

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Speaker 1: find out a lot I think about Bama Saturday. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't always mean they have to cover you just have

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Speaker 1: to find out about the competitive character of the locker room.

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Speaker 1: It bothers me that the voice of that locker room

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Speaker 1: right now is a true sophomore. That shouldn't be the

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Speaker 1: case there, but it is. Will Anderson is the guy

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Speaker 1: you always want to find the players that talk most

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Speaker 1: like Nick Saban, that carry themselves most like Saban. It's

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Speaker 1: not their seniors. It is Will Anderson. I'm gonna tell

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Speaker 1: you why. Because the worst recruiting class that Bama has

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Speaker 1: had under Saban, that is that senior group. And out

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Speaker 1: of the guys who really panned out, Certains gone, Wattle's gone.

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Speaker 1: It's just a class cycling through. I'm not saying it's

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Speaker 1: a bunch of dead weight. I'm just saying it is

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Speaker 1: not special. This last class they brought in best we've

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Speaker 1: ever seen in the history of recruiting, best we've ever seen.

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Speaker 1: A lot of them aren't ready yet. Will Anderson is

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Speaker 1: one of the best players in America right now. He's

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Speaker 1: an alpha dog. Normally they got about half a dozen

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Speaker 1: of them right now, you can count easily on one

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Speaker 1: hand the amount that have shown themselves. But it's only

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Speaker 1: halfway through the season. This is why they play all

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Speaker 1: the games. So let's see how this pans out here.

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Speaker 1: But who is Alabama? That's the first question, because if

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Speaker 1: they are that kind of team with the competitive character

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Speaker 1: to get off the deck, They've got thirty one on

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Speaker 1: the board by the half this Saturday. That is a

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Speaker 1: dot dot ellipsis, I think they call it in the

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Speaker 1: medical world. So it remains to be seen. So what's

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Speaker 1: the path here? Just like we talked about with Kentucky Georgie,

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Speaker 1: what is the path for Mississippi State? Well, you got

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Speaker 1: to keep that Alabama pressure neutralized. So obviously Mississippi eight

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Speaker 1: throws the ball a whole lot. And I can tell

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Speaker 1: you I don't know a lot of certainty about the

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Speaker 1: Alabama defense, but I can tell you one is that

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Speaker 1: I don't think you'll see the aforementioned Will Anderson dropping

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Speaker 1: back in coverage a whole lot this week, like he

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Speaker 1: inexplicably was asked to do a lot last week? They

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Speaker 1: played did Alabama a bunch of two four five two

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Speaker 1: down linemen? And that's why they got run all over.

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Speaker 1: It was in retrospect sort of a head scratcher, even

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Speaker 1: for me. And you know, I don't question play calling,

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Speaker 1: so for me to do it on both sides of

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Speaker 1: the balls a little bit atypical. But I thought it

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Speaker 1: was an atypical game plan. It was not something than

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Speaker 1: in retrospect, I think they'll want to duplicate. So Will

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Speaker 1: Anderson is one of the best pass rushers in America.

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Speaker 1: Alabama had no sacks last week. I think they had

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Speaker 1: a couple tackles for loss, not many at all, maybe

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Speaker 1: one tackle for loss. Well, that's got to get fixed. Well.

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Speaker 1: On the other side of Mississippi State, you would say, oh,

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Speaker 1: this is a perfect idea. It's a perfect situation. Bama

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Speaker 1: doesn't have to worry about the run. Mississippi State's gonna

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Speaker 1: try and throw it sixty times in the game. They're

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Speaker 1: going to rack up half a dozen sacks. Right, Maybe

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Speaker 1: maybe not, because the hallmark of a Mike Leach offense

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Speaker 1: is hut ball gone. It's not ball gone. They get

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Speaker 1: it out, they get it out really quick. So the

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Speaker 1: first thing you have to do is just that you

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Speaker 1: got to neutralize that pressure. Don't let that pass rush

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Speaker 1: get home. The second thing you gotta do is go

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Speaker 1: right back to the same well that Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M did, and let's find out about Brian Branch. You know,

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Speaker 1: let's find out even about guys like Josh Job. Josh

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Speaker 1: Job's a very good corner, but it is also good

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Speaker 1: for about a penalty or two per game. Throw the

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Speaker 1: ball on them, make them show you that they can

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Speaker 1: defend your guys and play the ball in the air

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Speaker 1: and not have yellow laundry all over the field after

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Speaker 1: they've done it, Attack them, go after them. What do

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Speaker 1: you have to lose, really, well, the answer is a

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Speaker 1: football game. But you know, you got to feel tilted

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Speaker 1: against you a little bit. You're gonna have to take

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Speaker 1: some risk here. I would go after the same suspects

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Speaker 1: the Texas A and MDM. The other thing is they've

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Speaker 1: got to at least hold serve in the ground game.

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Speaker 1: Mississippi State does not have a bad run defense. They

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Speaker 1: give up. I wrote it down three point two yards

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Speaker 1: per carry. That ain't bad. Alabama, I can assure you

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Speaker 1: is going to want to establish that and keep it established.

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Speaker 1: You know, not just for eighty yards of the field,

426
00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:39,440
Speaker 1: but maybe for all one hundred plus this week. You've

427
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:41,440
Speaker 1: got to neutralize that. And what you have to do

428
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,800
Speaker 1: is that early down situation. You've got to get them

429
00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:47,919
Speaker 1: into those third downs where Bill O'Brien does have to

430
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:49,680
Speaker 1: ask Bryce Young to throw the ball. Now, I have

431
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:53,840
Speaker 1: no doubt about Bryce young accuracy maybe a little iffy

432
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 1: at times, but we're not all mac jones. But what

433
00:19:56,880 --> 00:20:00,399
Speaker 1: I do notice is I do notice that the were

434
00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:02,680
Speaker 1: an issue last week. I don't know how you get

435
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 1: that rectified over six days. I will say this, you know,

436
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:08,720
Speaker 1: speaking of the transfer portal, I was talking about that

437
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:12,200
Speaker 1: with someone earlier today Dabos Swinny was talking about it today.

438
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,119
Speaker 1: I don't know what Dabo's gonna do. I am of

439
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:15,560
Speaker 1: the belief he's gonna end up taking a bunch of

440
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 1: transfers over the course in the next few years. But

441
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 1: this is not a Clemson segment. I will tell you this.

442
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:23,639
Speaker 1: If Bama didn't have Jamison Williams, they would be up

443
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 1: the creek right now. I don't know what they would

444
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 1: be doing. And Jamison Williams, we got bad scouting reports

445
00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,080
Speaker 1: on him when he came out of Ohio State. There

446
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,679
Speaker 1: were a lot of folks, some of my Buckeye friends said,

447
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 1: he's a good straight line speed guy. But you're getting

448
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:40,959
Speaker 1: a track star. You are not getting a dependable receiver.

449
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 1: He won't go over the middle. He'll drop the ball

450
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 1: for you. Well, I'm not telling you he's never going

451
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:50,480
Speaker 1: to drop the ball. But as I watched other Alabama

452
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 1: pass catchers get what we would very very politically correctly

453
00:20:56,800 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 1: term as alligator arms going with middle last week, Wison

454
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:05,080
Speaker 1: Williams was full speed, mouthpiece dangling. Couldn't have cared less

455
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,840
Speaker 1: going across the middle. He is the one guy they

456
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 1: got right now doing that, and let me be clear,

457
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,520
Speaker 1: the one guy doing that right now, they can at

458
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:17,800
Speaker 1: least change a game. They've got other talented receivers. I

459
00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:19,120
Speaker 1: don't know if we're going to see him. I'm talking

460
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,439
Speaker 1: about their freshman class this week. But the guys like

461
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 1: Jojo Earl, you know a Jyhull popped in the spring game.

462
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,160
Speaker 1: You haven't seen him a lot this fall. You're gonna

463
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 1: eventually have to. Christian Leary, You're gonna eventually have to.

464
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's this game, but you're gonna

465
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:33,879
Speaker 1: eventually have to. Davante Smith popped in this game a

466
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 1: couple of years ago. I don't know if you remember

467
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:37,399
Speaker 1: that name, Davante Smith. He went on to do some

468
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:39,919
Speaker 1: good things. So the third thing you gotta do one

469
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 1: of my favorite Rod Stewart song's reason to Believe. You

470
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,199
Speaker 1: gotta have your crowd singing that they gotta have a

471
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 1: reason to believe. It's the same thing A and M

472
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 1: did last week. Yeah, they sold it out, but I

473
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 1: don't even know if many of those A and M

474
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: fans showed up thinking we got to win in US tonight.

475
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,680
Speaker 1: They thought, we purchased these tickets in June and we're

476
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,399
Speaker 1: not selling them because we at least want to be

477
00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,959
Speaker 1: part of the experience. And then all of a sudden,

478
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:02,680
Speaker 1: a funny thing happened. They had a reason to believe

479
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 1: they could win, and so Mississippi State has got to

480
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:08,199
Speaker 1: do that. It's tough to go to Startville. It's the

481
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 1: loudest stadium when you factor in the artificial noise that

482
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 1: I've ever been in. Think about that because a lot

483
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 1: of you don't realize that because you've not been there

484
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:18,199
Speaker 1: in person. It sucks. If you're a road team, it

485
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,320
Speaker 1: sucks to be in there when they are ringing the

486
00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 1: artificial noise makers. We're supposed to call them cowbells. I

487
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:26,639
Speaker 1: call them artificial noisemakers. So those are the things that

488
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 1: Mississippi State has to do. Now, Jesse, let's take a

489
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 1: look at what the model thinks will happen. I'm gonna

490
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: tell you what I think will happen. So currently, the

491
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 1: Vegas number is Bama minus seventeen. If you are so inclined,

492
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,119
Speaker 1: the total is fifty seven and a half. Our model

493
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,440
Speaker 1: has this thing right in line with what Vegas has.

494
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:47,360
Speaker 1: It's got Bama minus eighteen. This is a pure principal play.

495
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,679
Speaker 1: You either think this is a rebound springboard game or

496
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 1: you don't, because there are a lot of dynamics otherwise

497
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 1: that are in Mississippi State's favor. I happen to believe

498
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 1: that it is the first category. I am not as

499
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,760
Speaker 1: down on Bbama as a lot of the country is

500
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:04,399
Speaker 1: after last week. I think there were a lot of

501
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,439
Speaker 1: factors in that game that contributed to the result of

502
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 1: that game, obviously that we will not see duplicated again.

503
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,719
Speaker 1: This is not going to be easy, but I do

504
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 1: think Bama has a three score win in them this week,

505
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,359
Speaker 1: so I will take them to win. I'm also going

506
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,160
Speaker 1: to take Alabama to cover and if they can do that,

507
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,199
Speaker 1: then obviously they have shown something and they've shown a

508
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 1: little resolved in doing it. Then they get into the

509
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 1: bye week, then I think when they come out of it,

510
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 1: that's when you see whatever version of that team. Nick

511
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,119
Speaker 1: Saban plans on saddling and riding down the stretch, and

512
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:36,119
Speaker 1: I think that's going to include some younger guys. So

513
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 1: Bama wins, Bama covers and fingers crossed, because who in

514
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 1: the world knows right now? With them, I'll tell you,

515
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:47,440
Speaker 1: I'm very excited about where we're headed Saturday. So Ole

516
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 1: miss is a three point favorite against Tennessee Saturday, and

517
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,359
Speaker 1: we're going to be there. Boy, I'm excited. We have

518
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 1: not been to Nieland Stadium. As soon as we announced

519
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 1: the Renaissance Tour was headed to niland Stadium, I guarantee

520
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 1: you athletic director there, Danny White, had to have been

521
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 1: watching the show. There's no other reason, right, couldn't be

522
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 1: a primetime game in Kneeland When they're four and two.

523
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: He announced they're going to Checker Nielan. The Checker Neelan.

524
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,120
Speaker 1: If you have not seen Checker Kneelan, it's basically where

525
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 1: the crowd looks just like the end zones. Every other

526
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 1: section is white or orange. I got a fifty to

527
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 1: fifty shot of being dressed correctly already. These are the

528
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:22,920
Speaker 1: kinds of games I love. Went to the Penn State

529
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: white out, felt right at home. I got a fifty

530
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 1: fifty shot of feeling right at home against Saturday Night.

531
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,879
Speaker 1: So this could be scratch that, it could not be.

532
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 1: It will be a wildly entertaining game. And speaking of

533
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 1: old mess, I mean just want to remind you all

534
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: quotes in this game preview are mine. We have properly

535
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 1: attributed them. I'm the one saying them. Yes, these are

536
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,359
Speaker 1: real quotes, if you know. You know. So the total

537
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 1: is in the low eighties here, let's have at it,

538
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 1: because some people still don't think that that's high enough.

539
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,679
Speaker 1: Josh Heipel, head coach at Tennessee. He was quoted this

540
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 1: week as saying, don't you just assume that this is

541
00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: going to be trading points and it's going to be

542
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 1: a barn burner shootout. Well, you're gonna have to pardon me,

543
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:05,359
Speaker 1: but I think it's gonna be every bit of what

544
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:08,120
Speaker 1: I just said. Yes, I don't know if forty points

545
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,200
Speaker 1: is good enough to win this game. So it's gonna

546
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,120
Speaker 1: be wild. It's gonna be great. It's the reason why

547
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: we're gonna be there. Bad defensive play is something that

548
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 1: keeps showing up for Ole Miss. I had high hopes,

549
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:22,040
Speaker 1: as did Rebel fans coming into this season that, of

550
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 1: course Matt Corrall and that offense was going to be

551
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: able to do some special things. And they're living up

552
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:27,280
Speaker 1: to their end of the deal. And they've run the

553
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 1: ball every game aside from Bama. Obviously they've run the

554
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 1: ball very well. Well. The problem is defensively, they have

555
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: not come as far as we hope. And remember in

556
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,920
Speaker 1: the preseason I was saying, if they could just have

557
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 1: the fiftieth best defense in the country, that would be great. Well,

558
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:44,719
Speaker 1: that's not where they are right now. And it's the

559
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,440
Speaker 1: perfect recipe if they're not careful on the Old Miss

560
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,639
Speaker 1: side for another Tennessee fast start. Tennessee eighty three first

561
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: half points the last two weeks, not total eighty three

562
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 1: first half points, which makes you wonder, had they kept

563
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 1: their foot on the gas the whole game, what could

564
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 1: they have done well? The answer is violent, violent things.

565
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:05,280
Speaker 1: Now they've gotten fat off a couple of bad defenses.

566
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 1: Look at what's coming to town this week again, ole

567
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,199
Speaker 1: miss folks. I'm not saying anything you don't already know

568
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:14,360
Speaker 1: right now, so you can expect. I think each defense

569
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:19,439
Speaker 1: not too largely just just concede the twenty to twenty space.

570
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 1: But understand that, all right. We got to make sure

571
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,119
Speaker 1: they don't score on forty or fifty yard plays. We

572
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 1: got to make them earn their way and kind of

573
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 1: chunk chunk chunk their way down into the red zone.

574
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 1: And let's just take our shots in the red zone,

575
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 1: you know, let's take chances, and let's hope we can

576
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,439
Speaker 1: either force threes or maybe in the midst of some

577
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: of the sevens, force a couple of interceptions, or let's

578
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: just see how it goes. How about that. That's how

579
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:41,920
Speaker 1: about that defensive game plan. That's probably what we're looking

580
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: at here. I will say this, though, Director Colin and

581
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 1: I were talking before and I said some things about Tennessee,

582
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 1: and the director Colin, as he is apt to do

583
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: about Tennessee, finishes the sentence before it comes out of

584
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,360
Speaker 1: my mouth. I said, Tennessee, you know, Colin, they've got

585
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,480
Speaker 1: a top fifty defense. I think they're forty fifth or something.

586
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,480
Speaker 1: Total defense right now, some other metrics notwithstanding, I just

587
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 1: want to be very general about it. Tackles for loss

588
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 1: been better the last few weeks, forcing some turnovers the

589
00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:06,640
Speaker 1: last few weeks. Now, if you do either of those

590
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 1: to any kind of successful degree Saturday, in a game

591
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 1: where you figure to have to trade points to it's

592
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,879
Speaker 1: like ping pong. You just got to keep returning, keep returning,

593
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:19,120
Speaker 1: keep returning. Well, I mean, if you can steal a possession,

594
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 1: you can force some turnovers. All of a sudden I mean,

595
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:23,439
Speaker 1: they may have thirty five on the board, you got

596
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 1: fifty three, and all of a sudden ball game, you

597
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 1: don't even have to worry about anything other than just

598
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:30,400
Speaker 1: maintaining because at a certain point in these kinds of games,

599
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 1: it was like when Bama played Ole Miss last year.

600
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,680
Speaker 1: Bama gets that lee late. Doesn't really matter. They're going

601
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,119
Speaker 1: to score every time they get the ball. It doesn't

602
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,639
Speaker 1: really matter what you do. I wonder if that's the

603
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,360
Speaker 1: kind of game we get here. I have a hard

604
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 1: time predicting games get into the fifties and sixties only

605
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: because that's ridiculous. But you know, JP angels in the outfield,

606
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,640
Speaker 1: it could happen so Ole Miss. What I was encouraged by,

607
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,359
Speaker 1: I mean greatly encouraged by with them last week is

608
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 1: they did what they couldn't do against Bama. They ran

609
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 1: the for over three hundred yards. They do that again

610
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 1: this week. You don't have to throw it fifty five times.

611
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 1: I think they have the right balance struck right now,

612
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,440
Speaker 1: because if you think about last year when Ole Miss

613
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:15,200
Speaker 1: played Arkansas and Barry Odom forced like five or six turnovers,

614
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 1: they had to have spent their entire summer thinking to themselves,

615
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 1: Everyone's going to try and do that against us, and

616
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 1: so what are we going to do about it? Well,

617
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 1: what they've done is they've emphasized the run, which they

618
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 1: were good at last year. When they pushed Bama last year,

619
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 1: they had like two hundred and fifty on the ground.

620
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,640
Speaker 1: So they've got to have that kind of game Saturday

621
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:38,960
Speaker 1: night because I think Tennessee is in the neighborhood of

622
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 1: forcing one a few, probably one or two too many

623
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 1: turnovers if they have to go about it, you know,

624
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 1: disproportionately through the air, So they it's going to be

625
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 1: a swallow your box score pride kind of game. Honestly,

626
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 1: for both defensive coordinators. So Jesse, let's take a look

627
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:54,760
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. The Vegas number, as I

628
00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 1: told you, currently Ole miss minus three. I think there

629
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 1: have been some three and a halves out there. The

630
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: total is at eighty one. I saw eighty two right

631
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: before I came on air. So yeah, take a deep

632
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 1: breath as things starts at seven thirty Eastern. Don't make

633
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: any plans before midnight. The Model disagrees with this game.

634
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 1: It almost thinks the wrong team is favored. The Model

635
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 1: is down at Pickham. I feel good about that. I

636
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 1: think the Model has a good grasp on Tennessee right now.

637
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: I think Tennessee's going to cover, and I think Tennessee's

638
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 1: gonna win the football game Saturday night. And if that

639
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 1: happens and they move to five and two in a

640
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: Checker Neeland Stadium, no less, with a bunch of A

641
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 1: Listers on hand, and even other kinds of people like

642
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 1: Brandon Walker from Barstool on hand, you know, I want

643
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 1: to clearly delineate between A Listers and our buddy Brandon.

644
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 1: But it'd be a really big deal because they will

645
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 1: have already exceeded some preseason expectation if they do that,

646
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 1: and certainly they still will have the Georgia's and Alabamas

647
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: of the world to play, but they'll also have Kentucky

648
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: coming up soon. And all of a sudden, you start

649
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 1: talking about Tennessee being in some rarefied air that certainly

650
00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 1: no one expected them to be. And by that I

651
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 1: mean Challe longing for that number three spot in the

652
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,080
Speaker 1: SEC East. Who knows Kentucky sitting there, say, what are

653
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:06,480
Speaker 1: you talking about? Number three? We're challenging for the number

654
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 1: one spot. True enough, Okay, maybe Tennessee's battling Georgia and

655
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: Florida for number two, number three. Either way, though, you

656
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 1: get what I'm saying there. This is going to be

657
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 1: a great game. This is the kind of game that

658
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 1: when people ask why are you going to that one?

659
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 1: You either get it or you don't. If you don't

660
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:25,800
Speaker 1: understand why Lane Kiffin returning to Knaxville for the first

661
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 1: time with both offenses expected to explode and a line

662
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 1: of three. If you don't get why that's appealing Kneeland

663
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: Stadium at night, they're going to sell that place out,

664
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 1: then I don't know what to tell you, but we

665
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:40,240
Speaker 1: know what we're doing. We will be there, and we

666
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 1: will be there with bells on looking forward to you guys.

667
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 1: Remember free academy stuff on the line. All you gotta

668
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: do is ask for it. But don't bum rush me, please, Okay,

669
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 1: JP pole Time. Let's take a deep breath, Colin. You

670
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 1: know what this means. This never goes well for us,

671
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 1: but yet it goes great for us because it I mean, really,

672
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 1: it just is meant to engage and conversate with you.

673
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 1: That's what it's meant to do. JP pole Time, Week

674
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 1: seven edition. What are we talking about here? Not AP ranking?

675
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 1: Let me state this clearly. If this is an AP pole,

676
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 1: I've got Iowa top three if but it's not. Okay,

677
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:16,640
Speaker 1: So Iowa is not going to be as high in

678
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 1: this as you want them to be. Let me just

679
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 1: preface every Kentucky's not gonna be as high as you

680
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 1: want them to be. This is about one thing and

681
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 1: one thing only. Who would this model favor against a

682
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,959
Speaker 1: neutral field if they play tomorrow? Little nugget for you

683
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: by the way, right now we're going to talk about

684
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,120
Speaker 1: this to end the show. There are five big ten

685
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: teams in the top ten. Right now. Some of you

686
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: scoff at that. Some of you say about time to that.

687
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,480
Speaker 1: Do you know Ohio State would be favored by over

688
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 1: a touchdown against every one of them? Now does that

689
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 1: make sense to you? Because they're not undefeated? So is

690
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 1: that disrespect Well, if you think so, then bet the

691
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 1: other side. What I'm telling you is the same kind

692
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: of rating system that would make Ohio State an eight

693
00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: or nine point favorite against undefeated Iowa is the same

694
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 1: kind of system we use to put together this poll.

695
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 1: It is a poll of one. We have one person

696
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 1: on this committee, and you're looking at him, except that

697
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 1: it's not necessarily me. It's the model that I am

698
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 1: responsible for. So I want the credit. The model takes

699
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,040
Speaker 1: the blame. I'm kind of like Edor's ron in that way.

700
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 1: So let's go to number twenty five and let's work

701
00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 1: our way down. Jesse, I've got to pull up the

702
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,200
Speaker 1: file here, Okay, the University of Tennessee is ranked, and

703
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 1: I think it's disrespectful. Since we're throwing that word around

704
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 1: liberally these days, I think it's disrespectful that Tennessee, the

705
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 1: state I reside in, is not ranked. Right now. I'm

706
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 1: sorry to all of our vallfans that are acquaintances in

707
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 1: the AP hate you we don't hate you. We respect

708
00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 1: you enough where we put you in the JP poll

709
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 1: and I got news. I don't think that Tennessee is

710
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 1: done rising in the jpepole colin Tennessee twenty five twenty four,

711
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 1: Wake Forest, they're up two spots. We got Auburn dropping precipitously.

712
00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 1: Now I looked at it because that's a big drop

713
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 1: just to to Georgia. Auburn didn't drop a whole lot.

714
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:05,480
Speaker 1: We had some movement like Nebraska's at twenty two. Nebraska's

715
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 1: unchanged last week, even though they lost. I thought Nebraska

716
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 1: was going to be higher. In fact, it is my

717
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: personal opinion that the University of Nebraska right now is

718
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:18,200
Speaker 1: underrated at twenty two. I think they're one of the twenties.

719
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 1: I think in a power rating sense, I would put

720
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 1: them in my top twenty. They have lost to Oklahoma,

721
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 1: Michigan State, and Michigan by combined thirteen points the last

722
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:30,600
Speaker 1: three weeks. They are good enough to be five and one.

723
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 1: They've played at a level to where they could be

724
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 1: five and one. Bob plays, bounces of all plays, and

725
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 1: very inopportune mistakes aka football that has brought them down

726
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: to sub five hundred but this is a power rating system.

727
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,160
Speaker 1: So Nebraska's in there, and Texas A and M moved

728
00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:46,479
Speaker 1: up a couple of spots. You would expect more, wouldn't you.

729
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 1: I would too. I don't know what to tell you.

730
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 1: A and M at twenty one. Hey, they are playing

731
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 1: Missouri Saturday, and Missouri is bad. A and m's under

732
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 1: a double digit favorite. So let's just keep an eye

733
00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 1: on that game. It's an early kickoff, it's on the road,

734
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 1: Missouri's rested. Let's just keep an eye on that game.

735
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: Number twenty is Clemson. They're floating there. I believe there's

736
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 1: probably going to come a time over the back half

737
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 1: of the season where Clemson's gonna end up top fifteen again.

738
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 1: I think they're going to play better football. The model

739
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 1: is going to pick up on it. Kentucky. Now, look,

740
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna start to try and explain this

741
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,880
Speaker 1: to you. Kentucky did not drop after they won against LSU.

742
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 1: They didn't drop. Some other teams move up to them,

743
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 1: are moved up ahead of them. I have a hard

744
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 1: time getting the words out because I do think Kentucky's

745
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 1: underrated in this model. I do think they're underrated. In fact,

746
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: I would take Kentucky over either of the three teams

747
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 1: that are listed right above them right there. For the record,

748
00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:41,640
Speaker 1: if you're listening on podcasts, that would be Michigan State,

749
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, and Iowa State. Computers all like Iowa State

750
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,560
Speaker 1: more than the eyeball does right now. It's not personal preference.

751
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 1: Although I love that the computers love them. That's not

752
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:56,160
Speaker 1: me manually bumping Iowa State up top fifteen times. Pittsburgh

753
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 1: very sneaky out there. Pittsburgh kind of anonymous, not on

754
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:02,240
Speaker 1: the national radar. Good team, though they're at fifteen. Oregon's

755
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 1: at fourteen. Oregon is kind of an enigma right now.

756
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,880
Speaker 1: They've had some injuries, They've been missing their offensive coordinator.

757
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 1: They play on a Friday night, they play Cal They're

758
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:15,800
Speaker 1: about a two touchdown favorite. Gave some consideration in the

759
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:17,480
Speaker 1: preseason to go into that game. I ended up not

760
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 1: going out there. Arkansas has not fallen a whole lot.

761
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,799
Speaker 1: They lost another game. I mean, if they hit the

762
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:25,560
Speaker 1: two point conversion and they win the game, does it

763
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:27,840
Speaker 1: make them a different team. Not really. So that was

764
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,799
Speaker 1: their third consecutive trip on the road, by the way,

765
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,520
Speaker 1: So we got Arkansas at thirteen. They have lost to

766
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 1: teams that we've got ranked ahead of them, so we're

767
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 1: not going to drop them. They're supposed to lose those games.

768
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:40,839
Speaker 1: If this model's right. Arizona State, the team I've been

769
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 1: probably the most wrong on, is twelve. Florida's at eleven,

770
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 1: and now let's go top ten. Texas is still in

771
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 1: the model's top ten. And this does not surprise me

772
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 1: because I think that now you got to start calibrating

773
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:55,280
Speaker 1: a little bit more. I'm not putt in Texas top five.

774
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:58,319
Speaker 1: Notice that top ten, So when you talk about being

775
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,720
Speaker 1: in the top ten, you don't have to be perfect.

776
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 1: In fact, if you're just high level on either side

777
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 1: of the ball this year in college football, that's good

778
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 1: enough for a power rating to have you top ten.

779
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 1: Iowa is number nine. We're gonna get a lot of

780
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 1: pushback on that. I don't know how much more playing

781
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 1: I can tell you Iowa in a power rating format

782
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 1: is not looked at the same way they are in

783
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:25,520
Speaker 1: a merit based ranking format. Iowa deserves in the playoff

784
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:27,879
Speaker 1: picture of the ap to be number two. That's where

785
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 1: I'd have them for the record, But an odds maker

786
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,919
Speaker 1: would laugh at that, and it's too totally different world.

787
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 1: So Iowa's at nine, Michigan is at eight. Look at that.

788
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,680
Speaker 1: We got some big ten flavor here. It doesn't look

789
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,439
Speaker 1: all that too dissimilar from the eight people. Ole Miss

790
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 1: is still at seven. Ole Miss has not dropped a

791
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:46,800
Speaker 1: whole lot, even though I mean they allowed fifty last week. Again,

792
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 1: we're talking about a team that's elite on one side

793
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 1: of the ball. If you're elite only on one side

794
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 1: of the ball, you're not going to be top three,

795
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,360
Speaker 1: top two, or number one. But if you can do

796
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 1: it on one side, you can be top ten. If

797
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,800
Speaker 1: you're that good, you can be Penn State's number six.

798
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,919
Speaker 1: They dropped a couple of spots. Now, look it needs

799
00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 1: to be noted this is Penn State and we have

800
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 1: basically a question market quarterback. So if Sean Clifford, number one,

801
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 1: didn't get hurt last Saturday, they would have won the game.

802
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,799
Speaker 1: I think we all understand that. And number two that

803
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,040
Speaker 1: doesn't mean anything because he did get hurt. So there's

804
00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:23,279
Speaker 1: the Iowa rebuttal and number three the model doesn't know

805
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 1: how to handle that because they are not good offensively

806
00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:30,200
Speaker 1: without him. They showed some promise with him. Basically, there's

807
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:32,759
Speaker 1: just a TBD. That's what Penn State's ranking might as

808
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,879
Speaker 1: well be. How about top five here to round it out,

809
00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:38,879
Speaker 1: Number five is Cincinnati. They are up one spot. Oklahoma

810
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 1: is starting to move. I had a suspicion this would happen,

811
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 1: and there is reason to believe Oklahoma is about to

812
00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:48,839
Speaker 1: hit a little different notch. Now we got to wait

813
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,439
Speaker 1: for Saturday to play TCU, so we got we got

814
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,560
Speaker 1: to see it validate itself. You can't just assume it's

815
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,960
Speaker 1: gonna happen. Oklahoma's at four, Ohio State's at three. I

816
00:37:57,040 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 1: told you, according to oddsmakers, would be favored by over

817
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 1: eight points against every other team in the Big Ten

818
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 1: at least eight points. Bama is at number two. We

819
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 1: now have them one and a half points behind Georgia.

820
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 1: Georgia takes the number one spot. It's the first time

821
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 1: that we have traded those teams and put Georgia at

822
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,839
Speaker 1: number one, which is pretty noteworthy because we don't see

823
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 1: that a lot that deep in the season. So Georgia,

824
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:21,440
Speaker 1: Bama won two. Got all missing there at seven, got

825
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 1: some Penn State, Michigan love Iowa, Texas I think is

826
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 1: probably I don't know the one you'd probably argue the most,

827
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 1: but I think I explained it fairly. Well. You can

828
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 1: disagree if you want. That's fine. I've had worse pushback.

829
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:35,920
Speaker 1: All right, So let's wrap it up here. I just

830
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 1: wanted to touch on something and it popped up. So

831
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:42,760
Speaker 1: let me first tell you what the Late Kick Extra

832
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: podcast is. That is exclusively in the podcast feed. You

833
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: don't get that on the YouTube channel. You don't get

834
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 1: it anywhere else. It's a mail bag. We do it

835
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,239
Speaker 1: on Tuesday morning and Thursday morning. I think it's the

836
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 1: best content we produce. I'm biased, but it's really fun.

837
00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,680
Speaker 1: It's all you, it's Q and A. And so here's

838
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:04,240
Speaker 1: your endpoint, Colin. Someone today on the Lake Kick Extra podcast,

839
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 1: they asked, do you think the Big ten is overrated?

840
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 1: And I thought about it because initially my gut was

841
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 1: to say I had to look at the ap first,

842
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 1: and I said, oh, they got one, two, three for

843
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 1: five teams in the top ten. Yeah, they're probably overrated.

844
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 1: But that's not true. That's not true at all if

845
00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 1: you think about it a little bit deeper. I was

846
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 1: kind of a prisoner of what I criticize all the time.

847
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 1: I was not judging them against the proper scale. This

848
00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 1: is what people do with great teams a lot. They

849
00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 1: do it with Bama, they do it with Ohio State,

850
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:36,320
Speaker 1: they do it with Clemson. They will judge them based

851
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 1: on past versions of those teams. Bama right now, I

852
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 1: had them number two. You probably have a huge problem

853
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:45,080
Speaker 1: with that. It's because you really subconsciously judge Bama teams

854
00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: against past Bama teams. But that's not what we're doing here.

855
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 1: We're judging any given team against the rest of the

856
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:53,719
Speaker 1: field in that given year. So let's talk about that

857
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,320
Speaker 1: within the context of the Big Ten. Big Ten's got

858
00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 1: five teams ranked in the top ten right now. If

859
00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:02,359
Speaker 1: you think that means the Big ten's overrated, here's really

860
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:05,359
Speaker 1: what you're telling yourself. What you're telling yourself is I

861
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 1: have a preconceived definition of what top ten means in

862
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 1: my mind, independent of any given year. I've just got

863
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,239
Speaker 1: a basically a scale in my mind. If you say

864
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:17,880
Speaker 1: top twenty five, I think a certain thing. If you

865
00:40:17,920 --> 00:40:20,160
Speaker 1: say top ten, I think a certain thing. And I

866
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,680
Speaker 1: don't think there are five of those teams up there

867
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:28,879
Speaker 1: that warrant that lofty consideration. But that is not how

868
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,759
Speaker 1: you define whether a conference or a team or a

869
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:35,560
Speaker 1: group of teams is overrated. You have to judge teams

870
00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:39,359
Speaker 1: in a ranking system based off the scale of that

871
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:43,279
Speaker 1: year in isolation, in a vacuum. And so we're looking

872
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:45,719
Speaker 1: right now, Iowa was number two, Ohio State six, Penn

873
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:49,680
Speaker 1: State seven, Michigan is eight, and Michigan State is ten.

874
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 1: So in order for this to be true, in order

875
00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 1: for the Big ten to be overrated as a conference,

876
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 1: or any number of these teams to be overrated, you

877
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:00,400
Speaker 1: have to show me who deserves to be higher. Now,

878
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 1: I'm not talking about power rating. So take what the

879
00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:05,240
Speaker 1: JP pole is, watt it up, throw it out the window.

880
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 1: Now we're talking about legitimate rankings. Who deserves to be higher?

881
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,480
Speaker 1: Don't bring things like Coastal Carolina. We're serious right now.

882
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,439
Speaker 1: I'm not putting wake for us in this conversation. We're

883
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 1: serious right now. Who deserves to be top ten to

884
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:21,799
Speaker 1: such a degree that these teams don't deserve to be there?

885
00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:24,799
Speaker 1: And I looked at it, and I don't think that

886
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 1: there really is an answer out there. You could go semantics.

887
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 1: I think Kentucky's eleven right now, So sure, if you

888
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 1: want to tell me you think Kentucky's better than Michigan State.

889
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 1: Have at it, flip flop. Okay, what are we talking

890
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:37,120
Speaker 1: about that point? At that point, we're saying the Big

891
00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:39,440
Speaker 1: Ten has five of the top eleven teams in the country.

892
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: My point is, I think college football has broken this

893
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,400
Speaker 1: way so far this year in such a manner that

894
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:48,319
Speaker 1: the Big Ten is not overrated. And here's really what

895
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 1: it comes down to. What it comes down to. You

896
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 1: could see this coming from a long way away. It's

897
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 1: why we started calling it the Renaissance season way back

898
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:56,960
Speaker 1: in July. Colin remember that we started talking about it

899
00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:00,279
Speaker 1: around July fourth. So this season needs a nickname because

900
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:02,399
Speaker 1: he's got a funny feeling about it. If we're gonna

901
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 1: have pack stadiums and we got all these major quarterbacks

902
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:08,960
Speaker 1: by Justin Fields, by Mac Jones, see you later, Trevor,

903
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 1: who's filling the shoes? Who's gonna take their place? You

904
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,160
Speaker 1: might as well have George Jones lay down the soundtrack.

905
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:19,359
Speaker 1: Who's gonna fill their shoes? Well, the answer is some

906
00:42:19,480 --> 00:42:23,400
Speaker 1: inconsistency has filled their shoes, and we've got dj Uyangol

907
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 1: lay that is not Trevor Lawrence. And as good as

908
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:28,319
Speaker 1: Bryce Young has been This is not mac Jones, and

909
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 1: it's not just in the vacuum. Bama also lost a

910
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 1: historic amounts of talent at receiver. And we look at

911
00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 1: Ohio State. You knew a guy who had never taken

912
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:40,280
Speaker 1: a snap in meaningful time was gonna have to replace

913
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 1: justin fields at Ohio State. And so all that's happening.

914
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:45,719
Speaker 1: Oklahoma didn't even fit in this category. But yet they've

915
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 1: already made a change at quarterback too. My point is

916
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:50,759
Speaker 1: this is a year that is ripe for the Big

917
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 1: Ten to thrive because the normal thing that was separating

918
00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:56,360
Speaker 1: the elites in college football from the Big Ten was

919
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:59,240
Speaker 1: the quarterback position. Well, they ain't got it right now,

920
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 1: and that's why I know one's pulling away. You think,

921
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 1: in your mind, be honest, you think George is the

922
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,040
Speaker 1: best team in the country right now. They've got Stetson

923
00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 1: Bennett quarterback. God blessed Stetson Bennett. And let me just

924
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:11,840
Speaker 1: give you a little side note that has nothing to

925
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 1: do with the Big Ten. One of the popular talking

926
00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 1: points in my home state right now is do we

927
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 1: even need J. T. Daniels Cause Stetson's doing what we

928
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:23,200
Speaker 1: need him to do and we've got a rock solid defense.

929
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 1: Let me be unequivocal in this. No, you don't need

930
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 1: him to beat Auburn. You will absolutely need JT. Daniels

931
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:33,439
Speaker 1: to win a national championship. Know if aewbuts about that,

932
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:35,600
Speaker 1: that coaching staff knows it. Talk to a coach the

933
00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:39,120
Speaker 1: other day. They know this. They're not winning a championship

934
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,879
Speaker 1: with Stetson Bennett. If you think they are, it's cause

935
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:44,520
Speaker 1: you got amnesia and you don't remember that far back

936
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 1: and you don't remember what wins in this game, not

937
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:50,680
Speaker 1: in November, but in late December January. When you got

938
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:52,800
Speaker 1: to win those extra couple of games. You got to

939
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:55,359
Speaker 1: be able to throw the football down the field. You're

940
00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:57,680
Speaker 1: not winning games the way they're doing it right now.

941
00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:59,120
Speaker 1: So the way they're doing it right now is great.

942
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:01,279
Speaker 1: Stetson Bennet has been great. I think he's a very

943
00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,200
Speaker 1: good quarterback. In fact, I think he was a little

944
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 1: underrated even last year. But the goal there is not

945
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:08,520
Speaker 1: to win ten games. The goal there is not the

946
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:12,200
Speaker 1: Verbo Citrus Bowl. The goal there is SEC championship, semi

947
00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 1: final win, National championship win. Yes, friend, you will need J. T.

948
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 1: Daniels to do that. So now getting back to the

949
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:21,879
Speaker 1: Big ten. No, I don't think they're under I think

950
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,719
Speaker 1: they're properly rated. I've gone down this road with Notre

951
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 1: Dame in the past, and I have beaten my head

952
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 1: against a brick wall. And it's the worst kind of

953
00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 1: argument because you're arguing your points and you go down

954
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:36,520
Speaker 1: points one through six and the guy says, mmm, okay, yeah,

955
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 1: and I see that okay, and then you say, okay,

956
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:41,719
Speaker 1: So did I change your mind? Nope, Notre Dame's overrated.

957
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:44,359
Speaker 1: You just hate. If you tell me you hate Notre Dame,

958
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:46,960
Speaker 1: that's fine. I grew up in the Deep South. I

959
00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 1: understand the hatred of Notre Dame. But the argument always

960
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:53,000
Speaker 1: with Notre Dame is, well, they got beaten by Alabama. Yeah,

961
00:44:53,080 --> 00:44:54,719
Speaker 1: I got run out of the building by Clemson. Told

962
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 1: you they were overrated. No one rated Clemson behind Notre Dame.

963
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:02,960
Speaker 1: No one rated Bama behind Notre Dame. They're properly rated.

964
00:45:03,600 --> 00:45:08,440
Speaker 1: Who did Notre Dame minister that they col We almost

965
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 1: made it, We almost made it. We're gonna time them out.

966
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 1: We're gonna tap out, and we're gonna be back next

967
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 1: week or Thursday at least. Because I have no voicemail

968
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:24,480
Speaker 1: so see you later. Thank you, oh Man.