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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Poda, all Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the kick as block Book College Football World Stundar,

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 3: He stumble and football, the lateral turn, the corner of

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Speaker 3: the job. Don't you believe I tap them up the

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Speaker 3: field tonight? It's not the sage bump the dog in

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Speaker 3: the fight. It's the sage of the fight in the roll.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener nation?

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 4: Bett MGM. This is the SEC College Football Betting Preview,

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Speaker 4: Part two. I'm stuck in jining me as always my

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Speaker 4: fellow BBOC co host Colin Wilson. If you haven't already

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Speaker 4: listened to part one, make sure you check that out.

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Speaker 4: We covered the first eight teams of our SEC betting preview,

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Speaker 4: the Old SEC East plus Texas. Today we'll cover the

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Speaker 4: remaining eight, the Old SEC West plus newcomer Oklahoma, and

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Speaker 4: among those teams, Colin's beloved Hogs. I noticed you didn't

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Speaker 4: wear your neck brace for today's episode, But are you

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Speaker 4: excited to talk to some petrino ball?

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Speaker 3: Could not be more excited to talk about this side

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Speaker 3: of the SEC. You're right, this is my old Southwest

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Speaker 3: Conference stomping grounds from when I was a kid before

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Speaker 3: we took off for the SEC. No, I didn't wear

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Speaker 3: my neck brace, but I cannot see us getting out

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Speaker 3: of this podcast without a neck brace. Bet heeaded happening

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Speaker 3: before we get done.

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Speaker 4: I am extremely excited to talk about these eight teams

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Speaker 4: because while we covered Georgia and Texas, who are the

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Speaker 4: two favorites to make the college table plow both significant chalked.

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Speaker 4: Among these eight teams, there's you know, maybe four or

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Speaker 4: five that are in the mix for those other SEC

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Speaker 4: spots to make the college football play So I'm really

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Speaker 4: excited to go through all of these teams. And we

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Speaker 4: don't also don't talk about Androdil on this part, which

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Speaker 4: is always a plus. Let's start with Alabama. The Crimson

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Speaker 4: Tide are close to even money to make the College

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Speaker 4: Football playoff seven to one. I take it some money

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Speaker 4: to win the SEC win total nine and a half

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Speaker 4: juice to the under big news here obviously, no more

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Speaker 4: Nick Saban. It's gonna be really weird the first time

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Speaker 4: I see an Alabama game, especially in Tusco's a big

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Speaker 4: game and savings not on the sideline.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, everybody gets all excited about the beginning of the season.

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Speaker 5: You know it's excited about getting married, all right, But

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Speaker 5: after you're married for.

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Speaker 3: A while, you know you got to have a process

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Speaker 3: to make it work.

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Speaker 4: But you know who will be on the side on

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Speaker 4: Kaylin debor really good hire. In my opinion, all this

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Speaker 4: guy does, no matter where he's been is win Nick Sheridan,

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Speaker 4: not Ryan Gruble boc and Kane Womack highly.

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Speaker 1: I think we both respect.

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Speaker 4: A Ton comes from South Alabama to take over as

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Speaker 4: defensive coordinator. Could see some a little different of a

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Speaker 4: scheme there, more pure zone looks on the back end

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Speaker 4: instead of some of the pattern matching that you saw,

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Speaker 4: more four to two five base there. There are some

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Speaker 4: questions on this defense. It's a team that's close to

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Speaker 4: bottom ten in returning production on the defensive end. You

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Speaker 4: lose McKinstry and Arnold to the NFL. Caleb Downs his

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Speaker 4: first team SEC heat transfers, so you have more back

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Speaker 4: at safety, but the other guys in the secondary bring

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Speaker 4: in some transfers, some power for transfers, but there definitely

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Speaker 4: are some questions. Maybe some freshmen can potentially step up

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Speaker 4: the defensive line. Can they find that guy that that

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Speaker 4: that elite pass rusher, which I don't know if they

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Speaker 4: have on this roster as of right now, but if

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Speaker 4: they do, and they can find someone or somebodies to

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Speaker 4: really generate that pass rus that'll help out a secondary

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Speaker 4: that I do think has some question marks on the

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Speaker 4: offensive side of the ball, because look, the defense is

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Speaker 4: ast six six draft draft picks four in the first

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Speaker 4: two rounds. Offensive side of the ball a little bit

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Speaker 4: more continenty than the defense, led by quarterback Jaln Milroe.

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Speaker 4: You lose your running backs, but you're fine at that

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Speaker 4: position wide receiver. You know, want to see that come together,

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Speaker 4: but there's talent there. The offensive line. You lose two

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Speaker 4: guys in center McLachlin, which I don't think is a

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Speaker 4: huge deal, offensive tackle JC lath and probably a bigger loss.

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Speaker 4: So I want to see how the offensive line comes together.

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Speaker 4: There's definitely a lot of change on this team with

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Speaker 4: the new staff. It's rebuilt defense, two new offensive line,

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Speaker 4: and new skill positions. Forty players right around forty players

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Speaker 4: left for the portal or the draft. With a new staff,

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Speaker 4: it means a lot of change, a lot of uncertainty,

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Speaker 4: and the schedule it's not easy on paper. You play

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Speaker 4: five ranked SEC teams and you also go to Wisconsin

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Speaker 4: in the non Con. I do have them favored in

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Speaker 4: eleven games, but there are some tricky games here where

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Speaker 4: I have them as single digit favorites in addition to

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Speaker 4: the spot where they're underdogs at home against Georgia, those

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Speaker 4: being at Tennessee, at LSU, and at Oklahoma. I project

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Speaker 4: nine point three, so I'm pretty close to market here.

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Speaker 4: What are your thoughts on the Crimson Tide.

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Speaker 3: We need go keep out rolland until we do something

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Speaker 3: stupid exhaled. Oh absolutely love Alabama this year. And I

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Speaker 3: think we start with the coaching staff because there was

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Speaker 3: a lot of negativity around this team when the coaching changed.

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Speaker 3: Happened mostly around the fact that Kaylyn de Bor was

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Speaker 3: not going to get his offensive coordinator, Ryan Grubb to

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Speaker 3: stay on staff, who ended up leaving. But I don't

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Speaker 3: think it matters that much. Nick Sheridan has been with

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Speaker 3: Kaylen Debor for a long time. He was the offensive

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Speaker 3: coordinator at Indiana. He was a tight end coach at

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Speaker 3: tight end coach at Washington, so it's just not really

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Speaker 3: a big need learning curve here for Sheridan to come

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Speaker 3: in and maybe call plays and help with the game plan.

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Speaker 3: They're going to be very consistent. But those aspects created

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Speaker 3: a ton of negativity in the market against Alabama, giving

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Speaker 3: us some pretty good numbers that are actually having a

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Speaker 3: lot of buyback in the market right now. Now the

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Speaker 3: offensive line and the wide receiver are going to be

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Speaker 3: the focus around Jaylen Milroe. He needs to be protected.

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Speaker 3: He needs some weapons on the outside. The offensive line

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Speaker 3: did improve last year top fifty ranks and pass blocking

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Speaker 3: top twenty five and stuff rate, but now they've got

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Speaker 3: Cayden Proctor and at blindside tackle potentially, I know there's

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Speaker 3: competing for that job. Washington pipeline came through for Kaylin

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Speaker 3: to boor their center Parker Brailsford. He was great as

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Speaker 3: the eleventh highest center in all of the nation and

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Speaker 3: he was a freshman last year, so there is an

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Speaker 3: upgrade in talent over what they had before. And Jaylen

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Speaker 3: Milroe should not have any more snaps that are going

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Speaker 3: around his ankles. As far as the offensive side of

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Speaker 3: the as far as the scheme, BAM is gonna veer

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Speaker 3: away from that Bill O'Brien, Tommy Rees, twelve personnel. They're

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Speaker 3: going to go to more of an air raid and

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Speaker 3: a spread concept. And Jaln Milroe is perfect for Kaylin

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Speaker 3: de Boor's system. If you look at his deep his

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Speaker 3: big throws throws over twenty yards, twenty six big time throws,

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Speaker 3: zero turnover worthy plays. He didn't make a single mistake

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Speaker 3: last year throwing it deep. Now his biggest problem is.

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Speaker 1: Ball throwing college football last year.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, and you're matching him up with a guy

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Speaker 3: who's got a deep ball throwing kind of playbook. Ten

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Speaker 3: to nineteen yards a complete disaster, one big time throws,

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Speaker 3: seven turnover worthy plays. We'll see if de bor has

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Speaker 3: any improve on that, or if they just avoid that

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Speaker 3: in the playbook whatsoever. There's some of the routes that

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Speaker 3: Milroe had the highest efficiency and the highest explosiveness was

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Speaker 3: the same that Debor had at Washington, Crossers, outs, and hitches.

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Speaker 3: Both Washington and Alabama excelled in those three. It was

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Speaker 3: the top three, So I don't expect a drop off

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Speaker 3: here at all. I actually expect more explosiveness than what

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Speaker 3: we saw out of the offense from Michael Pennix because

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Speaker 3: you have more reason to throw downfield than you do short.

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Speaker 3: Kobe Prentiss returns to the wide receivers two point six

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Speaker 3: yards per route run. Jeremy Bernard comes from Washington. He

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Speaker 3: was big in the jet sweeps wide receiver screens. It's

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Speaker 3: going to be a new wrinkle that you're going to

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Speaker 3: see with Alabama this year. The defense. Listen. I love

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Speaker 3: Kane Womack. His nickel defense shut down Oklahoma State and

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Speaker 3: Oli Gordon last year. It's not a fluke. The year before,

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Speaker 3: South Alabama lost to UCLA by one. I mean, when

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Speaker 3: you can hang with Chip Kelly and you're a G

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Speaker 3: five guy as a head coach down at South Alabama,

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Speaker 3: that's a big deal. Alabama finished number one on coverage

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Speaker 3: grading last year per PFF. As you mentioned Malachi Moore's

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Speaker 3: back slock corner. That's critical piece that they're gonna need.

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Speaker 3: And then on the defensive line, maybe the answer is

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Speaker 3: edged him keen and he was highly ranked by PFF

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Speaker 3: in terms of past rush productivity. The schedule not a

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Speaker 3: fan of right. Half of the SEC schedule comes off

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Speaker 3: of a bye week Georgia, Vanderbilt, LSU, and Oklahoma. Now

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Speaker 3: Alabama is also off a bye against Georgia and LSU.

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Speaker 3: But that's a lot of teams that are getting two

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Speaker 3: weeks for rest and getting their best shot to take

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Speaker 3: you on. I do have Alabama as a double digit

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Speaker 3: favorite nine. I project them just over nine and a

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Speaker 3: half LSU and Oklahoma. Alabama should be favored, not not

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Speaker 3: over touchdown pretty close and george is the big underdog

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Speaker 3: spot here. If you do all the math with these numbers,

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Speaker 3: these projections you and I have, it comes out to

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Speaker 3: about a nine point three percent chance to win the SEC.

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Speaker 3: Eight to one is still minimal value, but it's still

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Speaker 3: the play to make. I project them a little over

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Speaker 3: nine and a half. The market win total has plus

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Speaker 3: money on the over. I'll take over nine and a

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Speaker 3: half plus one twenty. I like Alabama eight to one.

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Speaker 3: I think Milroad deep and Debor's playbook is going to

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Speaker 3: cover up a lot of some of the inefficiencies that

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Speaker 3: are going to get taken advantage of by other passing

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Speaker 3: offenses against their defense. But at the same time, I

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Speaker 3: have all the belief in the world that Kay Momack

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Speaker 3: can be the answer, can identify and can coach up

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Speaker 3: this defense to cover up some of those holes that

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Speaker 3: we talked about. So I'm pro Alabama this year to

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Speaker 3: win the SEC.

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Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to LSU. The Tigers win

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Speaker 4: total nine and a half heavily juiced to the under

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Speaker 4: sitting around ten to one to win the secunt plus

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Speaker 4: one twenty five as of this moment. Record this in

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Speaker 4: early August, for what it's worth for reference point plus

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Speaker 4: one twenty five to make the College Football Playoff. Major

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Speaker 4: questions on this roster will start on the offense to

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Speaker 4: think logical, to believe they're going to take least a

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Speaker 4: little bit of a step back. They were unbelievable last year,

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Speaker 4: but you lose Heisman Trophy winner Jane Daniels, and you're

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Speaker 4: two best receivers in Neighbors and Thomas, So you're gonna

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Speaker 4: need Lacey to step up. You're gonna need some younger

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Speaker 4: guys or transfers to step up at wide receiver. But

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Speaker 4: I think it's pretty safe bet that their wide receiver

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Speaker 4: room won't be as dynamic as it was last year.

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Speaker 4: Garrett nus Meyer will take over at quarterback. I think

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Speaker 4: it's also safe to assume at least take a slight

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Speaker 4: step back there. He doesn't have the mobility that Daniels

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Speaker 4: does kind of a gunslinger mentality at quarterback for neus

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Speaker 4: Meyer as a big arm. The offensive line, definitely the

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Speaker 4: strength of the offense. Center is kind of the one

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Speaker 4: position that I'm watching with likely DJ Chester stepping in there.

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Speaker 4: Tackles are really good, so that is at least something

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Speaker 4: that they can build on there. With the old off

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Speaker 4: the old quarterbacks coach taken over play calling, nus Meyer

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Speaker 4: obviously has a lot of familiarity there, so definitely some

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Speaker 4: questions on offense. The defense as even more questions. The

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Speaker 4: defense was horrific. For as good as the offense was

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Speaker 4: last year, the defense was at times even worse. It's

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Speaker 4: the team that just got absolutely shredded throughout the season.

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Speaker 4: Linebacker probably the strength with Perkins and pen returning questions

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Speaker 4: on the defensive line. You know, talked about how bad

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Speaker 4: this defense was last year and you lose Jefferson, Wingo,

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Speaker 4: and Smith all to the NFL defensive back safety, I

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Speaker 4: think I have a little more confidence in the corner,

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Speaker 4: but the entire defensive backfield, to me has questions. I

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Speaker 4: do have them favored in ten games, but I have

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Speaker 4: them eight of them, eight of their all of their

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Speaker 4: games eight of the twelve spread of ten or less,

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Speaker 4: potentially seven of seven or less, depending on how some

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Speaker 4: things play out. They do avoid Georgia and Texas the

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Speaker 4: top two, and they get ole Miss, Oklahoma, Obama all home,

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Speaker 4: plus USC in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: To start the year.

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Speaker 4: They'll be about a touchdown favorite six of their last

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Speaker 4: seven to zero against ole Miss, at Arkansas, at Sex

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Speaker 4: and m Alabama, at Florida and Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: That's not easy.

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Speaker 4: Can they get off to the expected five to zero start,

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Speaker 4: you know, including at South Carolina USC, where they'll be

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Speaker 4: favorite but not huge favorites before the schedule really does

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Speaker 4: pick up. I project eight point eight, so lean a

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Speaker 4: little bit to the under. I think the defense is

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Speaker 4: ultimately going to hold this team back. I just don't

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Speaker 4: see enough improvement. They do overhaul the whole staff. So

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Speaker 4: the hope is Blake Baker the highest coordinator contract in

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Speaker 4: collegeable history. He can come in with a brand new staff,

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Speaker 4: make some schematic changes less blown. You're probably gonna see

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Speaker 4: more blitz. Can you have fewer blown assignments? Can you

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Speaker 4: have better injury luck? Because as bad as the defense

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Speaker 4: was last year, there was some they didn't have great

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Speaker 4: injury luck there. I also worry about their special teams.

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Speaker 4: They weren't great last year. New one, proven punter to

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Speaker 4: worry about there. But I ultimately think for a team

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Speaker 4: that's in the mix for one of the SEC at

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Speaker 4: large picks, I think the defense is ultimately going to

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Speaker 4: hold him back here. What are your thoughts on LSU?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I'm in favor of execution. Maybe our

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Speaker 1: entire team needs to be executed after tonight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, same Reid. You know we lose Mike Denbrock here

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Speaker 3: at the offensive quarterator position. He goes to back to

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Speaker 3: Notre Dame. What does Brian Kelly do instead of going

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Speaker 3: out and getting higher? He says, I'm going to keep

264
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Speaker 3: this system in Joe Sloan, the quarterback coach, Cortez Hank

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Speaker 3: and the wide receiver coach, and they will now be

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Speaker 3: COCs and we'll call the offense for Garrett Nusmeyer, who

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Speaker 3: give credit to the kid waited his turn. He was

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Speaker 3: going to play in the twenty twenty one Texas Bowl,

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Speaker 3: but he would have burned his red shirt, so he didn't.

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Speaker 3: I mean, he really waited his turn here, and you

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Speaker 3: know what, I think he gets rewarded by getting something

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Speaker 3: that Jayden Daniels didn't, which is potentially the best offensive

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Speaker 3: line in the country. We know Emery Jones and Will

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Speaker 3: Campbell will probably be the first two offensive tackles off

275
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Speaker 3: the board in the NFL draft. It is a top

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Speaker 3: twenty unit in terms of pass blocking, and you have

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Speaker 3: to assume that they're going to go to more air

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Speaker 3: and standard downs. After posting a pretty balanced fifty two

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Speaker 3: percent rush rate last year with Jaden Daniels and all

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Speaker 3: that zone read. You're not running zone read with Garrett Nsmeyer.

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Speaker 3: You're gonna let the young man rip it. So I

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Speaker 3: expect standardowns to be a little bit more explosive in

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Speaker 3: the numbers that they had last year. Now you're right,

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Speaker 3: Kyri and Lacy is there. He's the number one target.

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Speaker 3: He had one hundred and fifty snaps all over the field.

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Speaker 3: He was in the slot for one hundred and fifty.

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Speaker 3: He was at the whiteout for one hundred and fifty.

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Speaker 3: So and to see where he lines up. But the

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Speaker 3: portal brought I was going to say, an explosive target,

290
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Speaker 3: more like a flaming target. Liberty flames produced CJ. Daniels.

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Speaker 3: He posted three point nine yards per route run that

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Speaker 3: is double what the bar is to be an explosive

293
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Speaker 3: wide receiver. Of course it's liberty. Of course it's an

294
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Speaker 3: easy schedule. We'll see what he can do create separation

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Speaker 3: against SEC corners. The defense is bad right LSU allowed

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Speaker 3: twenty eight points or more than six of eight SEC

297
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Speaker 3: games last year. There are one hundred and twenty five

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Speaker 3: if in defensive finishing drives, you would think that Blake

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Speaker 3: Baker is going to come in and clean that up.

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Speaker 3: I don't have a lot of faith in this defensive

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Speaker 3: coordinator to make this defense any better. Now, the good

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Speaker 3: news is Harold Perkins cam to SEC media day Lean Trim.

303
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Speaker 3: He's going to move off int a linebacker, go back outside.

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00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:18,880
Speaker 3: Brian Kelly made it a point to say that he

305
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Speaker 3: can play anywhere on the defense, and then revealed to

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Speaker 3: everybody that Harold Perkins had a major weight issue last year.

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Speaker 3: Like all of us were thinking that his production was

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Speaker 3: so bad because they moved him inside, and Kelly said, no,

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Speaker 3: he was inefficient because he was overweight the entire season,

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Speaker 3: which I never heard leak out once. As far as

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Speaker 3: wind total, I've got him at nine point nine. I remember,

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Speaker 3: I'm bearish on this team. I don't want to bet

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Speaker 3: them in favor of them, but I've got them at

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Speaker 3: nine point nine wins, and more importantly, from an SEC

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Speaker 3: competition perspective, i've got them at six point two. They're

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Speaker 3: going to be a favorite of touchdown or more and

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Speaker 3: least nine games. I'm going to focus just on the

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Speaker 3: SEC schedule. The win total in the market for the

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Speaker 3: conference is over five and a half plus one twenty.

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Speaker 3: I make it six point two. Six point two in

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Speaker 3: the conference five and a half is the market. Give

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Speaker 3: me over five and a half SEC wins plus one twenty.

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Speaker 4: I completely disagree with you there. I mean, I'm almost

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Speaker 4: like a win wull win lower than you and their

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Speaker 4: win total. I don't want no part of this team

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Speaker 4: because their defense. I think the offense is gonna take

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Speaker 4: a step back, even worried about the special teams. That

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Speaker 4: Arkansas game, that is a tough spot in between Ole

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Speaker 4: Miss and Texas A and M.

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Speaker 3: You know, we'll put ice on the field and then

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Speaker 3: no one will be able to run up right and

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Speaker 3: it'll turn into a big three to three bill go fest.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, I can't wait for that one. Let's move

334
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Speaker 4: on to a polarizing team. This offseason, the ole Miss

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Speaker 4: Rebels seen a lot of people who are some people

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Speaker 4: are high, really high on this team, some people who

337
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Speaker 4: are selling this team. So I'm curious to get your

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Speaker 4: thoughts here. Ole Miss slight favorites to make the Cultural

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Speaker 4: playoffs plus seven fifty to win the SEC over nine

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Speaker 4: and a half. I'm right around even money as of

341
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Speaker 4: right now, Jackson dart back at quarterback four lane Kiffin

342
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Speaker 4: can't talk about ole Mess without mentioning the transfer class

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Speaker 4: number one ray of transfer class added eight four or

344
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Speaker 4: five stars. You know, when I look at this team, though,

345
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Speaker 4: the win total last year they won the portal coming

346
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Speaker 4: into last year too was seven and a half despite

347
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Speaker 4: winning ten games, probably was about right. I mean, this

348
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Speaker 4: is a team that destroyed Vandy Furman and Uel Monroe. Okay,

349
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Speaker 4: who cares they lost easily versus Georgia and Bama, and

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Speaker 4: that's the question. They closed that gap a bit with

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Speaker 4: the portal, but in their other all there are other

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Speaker 4: games that they won. So there are other seven games

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Speaker 4: tied with two lane late in the third against the

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Speaker 4: backup quarterback, close in the fourth against Georgia Tech at home,

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Speaker 4: they beat LSU in the final minute. They trailed in

356
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Speaker 4: the fourth at home against Arkansas, they tied. They were

357
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Speaker 4: tied lighton third versus Auburn, they beat A and M

358
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Speaker 4: at home in the final minute. They were up three

359
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Speaker 4: in the fourth on Mississippi State, who missed two field goals.

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Speaker 4: It was a dead even game. Statistically, all seven games

361
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Speaker 4: that were coin flips went their way four and one

362
00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,879
Speaker 4: possession games plus eleven turn of a margin. So some

363
00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 4: like flashing red sale's going off, like potential regression, regression.

364
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Speaker 4: But they added a lot of talent. This team certainly

365
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Speaker 4: has talent. Added a couple offensive linemen from Washington. It's

366
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Speaker 4: a Lane Kiven offense. It's going to be super talented.

367
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Speaker 4: The defense second year of Pete Golding, so you hope

368
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Speaker 4: that there's a bump there. You add two defensive linemen

369
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Speaker 4: in the portal from the SEC, one from Texas A

370
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Speaker 4: and m one from Florida, so I think that they're

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Speaker 4: definitely improved up front. The defensive line you add Yam

372
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Speaker 4: Banks from South Alabama played like that Nickel spot. You

373
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Speaker 4: had your boy Paul at linebacker from Arkansas. Not as

374
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Speaker 4: well by the additions in the secondary, So I still

375
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Speaker 4: do have some questions on the back end of the defense,

376
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Speaker 4: even though I think the defensive line is now like

377
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Speaker 4: getting up to that quality of where you want it

378
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Speaker 4: to be, where you can compete with the upper less

379
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Speaker 4: on this conference, which they just weren't able to do

380
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Speaker 4: last year in easy losses against Georgia and Alabama. This

381
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 4: defense could start six transfers. The offensive line has a

382
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 4: ton of experience, there's a ton of talent at the

383
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 4: skill positions. They should start five and L. They will

384
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,439
Speaker 4: play firm and middle Tennessee at Wake, Georgia Southern, then

385
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Speaker 4: Kentucky at home. Then you know you're gonna be favored,

386
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 4: decent sized favorite at South Carolina, trappy spot before LSU

387
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Speaker 4: and Oklahoma, but really good chance for them to jump

388
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Speaker 4: out to six and l before this schedule gets a

389
00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 4: little bit tougher. I have them over a touchdown favorite

390
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:50,919
Speaker 4: and ten games small dogs against LSU and Georgia. If

391
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Speaker 4: you look at the hardest games on their schedule, it's

392
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Speaker 4: like Oklahoma that's at home, Georgia that's at home. So

393
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Speaker 4: these are all good signs pointing up twel miss. But

394
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Speaker 4: they do have three trappy spots like at South Kind,

395
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Speaker 4: at Arkansas, at Florida. They could be tricky. We don't

396
00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 4: know what Florida's gon look like. We don't know what

397
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 4: Artist's going to look like, so they could end up

398
00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:10,480
Speaker 4: being like dream spots right that both those teams could

399
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 4: be in turmoil, but just situationally like Arkansas in between

400
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 4: Oklahoma and Georgia, Florida after Georgia before the Egg Bowl.

401
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 4: But this team could get off to a really fast start.

402
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 4: I think they're a bit overvalued in the market. I'm

403
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 4: looking to sell them. Talk about how exactly I'm going

404
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:33,439
Speaker 4: to do that later in the show, but I'm definitely

405
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 4: on if you had a pinpoint where you are compared

406
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,159
Speaker 4: to the market, I'm definitely a little bit on the

407
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:46,480
Speaker 4: lower end for this team. Kiffin's He's coming, but I

408
00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:50,719
Speaker 4: still think that they're a step below, especially on defense,

409
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,639
Speaker 4: than the upper echelon of the SEC. But obviously this

410
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 4: is still one of the ten best teams in the

411
00:21:56,840 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 4: country and we'll be in the mix. But could be

412
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,400
Speaker 4: some aggression in those close games that they benefited from

413
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Speaker 4: all of the luck last year. What are your thoughts

414
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Speaker 4: on the Rebels.

415
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Speaker 3: Well, the transfer portal doesn't win championships. USC and LSU

416
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 3: have pulled two of the biggest classes ever since the pandemic,

417
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:17,440
Speaker 3: and it didn't turn into anything for them. But put

418
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 3: this team on paper, it's the most ridiculous. It's like

419
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 3: looking at the All Star Game, you know, I mean

420
00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:23,680
Speaker 3: it's pretty crazy. I mean dart twenty three to five

421
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 3: TD to I in ratio. He's the opposite of Jala

422
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 3: bill Road because his passes between ten and nineteen yards

423
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 3: just skyrocketed an efficiency. He really ran that offense last year.

424
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 3: Now he has an all star cast of weapons from

425
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:40,159
Speaker 3: Holdover Jordan Watkins fifty three catches, but going out and

426
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 3: getting Juice Wells from South Carolina and Trey Harris from

427
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech. Are you kidding me? Both over two point

428
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 3: five yards per route run last year? The offensive line

429
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 3: returns more than two hundred starts when.

430
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Speaker 4: You take in the too deep It's yeah, the offense

431
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 4: has a lot of confer the transfer portal king the

432
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 4: offense is a ton of continuity top twenty turning production.

433
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:04,720
Speaker 4: It's the defense where Kiffen is hoping that the portal

434
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,399
Speaker 4: really helps and takes them to the next level and

435
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 4: that they're now more physical, especially at the point of attack.

436
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 4: And that's where he's hoping that this it can prove

437
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 4: because yeah, they won ten games last year, but five

438
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 4: of them they were trailing at the half, so this

439
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,880
Speaker 4: wasn't like your normal ten win team. Kiffen is hoping

440
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 4: another year of this offense, which added some pieces in

441
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 4: the portal, definitely got more talented, but brings a lot

442
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 4: back and Kiffen is hoping that especially in the back

443
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 4: end of the defense, because I think that the defensive

444
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 4: line is going to be good with the additions there.

445
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:38,600
Speaker 4: That's how they can take the next step.

446
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:40,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, the defense, I mean, they get the man and

447
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 3: they get Walter Nolan out of the portal for the

448
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 3: prize edition from Texas. A and M on the defensive

449
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 3: line should help create some havoc. And then linebacker Princely,

450
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 3: you meant a meal in outside linebacker was Florida's best

451
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 3: on defense. They went and got him. And of course

452
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 3: you already mentioned that Chris Pooh Paul, so we play

453
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 3: a middle linebacker. He was in the middle of Arkansas's

454
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 3: defense the last couple years, which was vastly improved last year.

455
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 3: I got it as comfortable favorites in ten games. Win

456
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 3: total says it should be over the playoff numbers, the

457
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:11,040
Speaker 3: SEC numbers, all of it is justified. There's really no

458
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 3: value in this futures market. And I have to admit,

459
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 3: I like really spend some time trying to find a

460
00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 3: good bet on these guys that I had an edge on,

461
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 3: and I finally found one. It's in the game of

462
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 3: the year market. Old Miss minus six and a half

463
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 3: against Florida. Well, Old Miss is going to come off

464
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 3: a bye, They're going to have two weeks to prepare

465
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 3: for this game. Florida no buys and is directly coming

466
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:38,840
Speaker 3: off Georgia Texas LSU. And in this game against Old Miss,

467
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 3: they have overlooked a Florida state. It is possibly in

468
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 3: the game of the year market, the best advantage I

469
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 3: have seen for any team against any competitor.

470
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,399
Speaker 1: On the entire nine hundreds to be dead and just

471
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 1: in turmoil by that.

472
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,400
Speaker 3: This is one of the most unbelievable spots I've ever

473
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,199
Speaker 3: seen on any schedule in FB. Yes football, Ole Miss

474
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 3: minus six and a half game of the year against Florida.

475
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I make it a little bit over a touchdown,

476
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,440
Speaker 4: So yeah, and then when you add in the uncertainty

477
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:10,280
Speaker 4: of Florida and where they might be at that point

478
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 4: in time. Don't hate it, but I'll be looking to

479
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 4: sell Ole Miss in another way, which I'll get to

480
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:21,119
Speaker 4: in a bit. So let's move on to Texas A

481
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 4: and m The Aggies coaching change here. They bring in

482
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:33,200
Speaker 4: Mike Elko from Duke to take over from Jimbo Fisher.

483
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 3: There I go. I don't claim to be No.

484
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 1: Thirty six ac Taina.

485
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 4: Brings in new offensive coordinators, including Colin Klein from Kansas State,

486
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 4: Jay Bateman as the defensive coordinator, Connor Weeman back. Can

487
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 4: he stay healthy? Big question there? Alko's got a lot

488
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 4: to work with that right around top forty in returning production.

489
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 4: The defense loses a lot on the defensive line we

490
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,879
Speaker 4: just mentioned Nolan. I lose Jackson to the NFL, but

491
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,360
Speaker 4: there's still a ton of talent. You're bringing Scarton from Purdue.

492
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 4: I like the defensive line. I like the additions at linebacker.

493
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 4: They need some of the detransfers to just hit and

494
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 4: they need them to mesh. But I like what they

495
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 4: brought in, so I think their defense is going to

496
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 4: be just fine. I think the biggest bump here, though,

497
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 4: is that it's Mike Alco is proven. He could win

498
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 4: anywhere he goes and whether it's a defense turning around Duke.

499
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 1: But it's the.

500
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:35,920
Speaker 4: Delta between Jimbo Fisher, Jimbo Fisher running his dinosaur program

501
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 4: and what that offense look like a dinosaur offense.

502
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 1: I think that is.

503
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:45,399
Speaker 4: Nothing but upside the schedule. It's not easy, obviously than

504
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 4: the SEC. But the good thing is Notre Dame, LSU, Missouri,

505
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 4: Texas all come to college station road slate not terrible

506
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 4: at Florida, at South Carolina, at Mississippi State.

507
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 1: At Auburn would be worse. We know they have, you know, some.

508
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:10,880
Speaker 4: Arguably one of the best home field advantages in all

509
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 4: of college football. There are only three SEC home games

510
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 4: because you know you're playing Arkansas in Arlington.

511
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 3: But you know.

512
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,760
Speaker 4: I mentioned so let me I'll phrase it out like that.

513
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 4: I love Connor Wigman, I I love Alco. You know,

514
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:35,639
Speaker 4: wide receivers definitely a question. At the losing Smith and

515
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 4: Stewart and both of your tight ends, you're gonna need some.

516
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 1: They're still solid.

517
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,520
Speaker 4: I think with Thomas Walker Mohamed, you bring in a

518
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,160
Speaker 4: couple guys from the group of five Level Green comes

519
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:48,680
Speaker 4: back from injury at tight end. Do you want to

520
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 4: watch the interior of the offensive line. And by the way,

521
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 4: their win total over eight and a half minus one

522
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 4: thirty two juice to the over twelve to one to

523
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 4: win the SEC plus two forty to make the College

524
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 4: bable ploff. How I'm playing Texas A and M because

525
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 4: I project eight point eight. So I see a little

526
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 4: bit of value in the over. But there's any wigman

527
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 4: to say, Helthy, you need some of these transfers to it.

528
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 4: How do I want to play Texas A and M. Well,

529
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 4: we said four teams probably making the college football Playoff. Georgia,

530
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:26,879
Speaker 4: I think there's a lock to make it.

531
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 1: Texas.

532
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 4: We said there's some questions. They're not necessarily maybe as

533
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 4: big of a lock as the market thinks. But let's

534
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:37,959
Speaker 4: just say Georgia and Texas are in two other teams. Oh,

535
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 4: miss I just said I wanted to sell them regression potential.

536
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 4: Still questions about the defense LSU. I don't think it's

537
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,440
Speaker 4: getting there. I think their defense is going to hold

538
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 4: them back. Same thing with Missouri potential regression. I think

539
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 4: their defense takes a big step back.

540
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 1: So who's left out of the teams. It's Alabama and

541
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:57,200
Speaker 1: A and M.

542
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 4: So I'm betting you know ten up there as well,

543
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 4: but again, I think the defense is going to hold

544
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 4: them back.

545
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 1: So I'm fading all these teams.

546
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 4: That I want to fade and buying Elco, buying the

547
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 4: transition from Jimbo Fisher to Elco, and I'm buying the

548
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,239
Speaker 4: schedule with all the tough games at home. I think

549
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 4: they beat Notre Dame in the opener, which adds to this.

550
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 4: I know you disagree. Another fact is that we mentioned

551
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 4: this with Texas. If Texas is going to be one

552
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 4: of those teams, they could already have ten wins and

553
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 4: they could already be locked up before that finale, and

554
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 4: that game for A and M could be the difference

555
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 4: in them winning ten games and nine. So I'm betting

556
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 4: Texas A and M. I'm gonna sprinkle on maybe to

557
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 4: get to the SEC Championship, definitely to make the College

558
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 4: Football Playoff.

559
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 1: I'm in on this Texas A and M team. What

560
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

561
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, obviously I'm in on Texas A and M.

562
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 3: In the last game of the season against Texas. I

563
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 3: mean I wouldn't be taking an alternate team total on

564
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,400
Speaker 3: the under for Texas unless I believe that the Aggies

565
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 3: could beat them at the end, and you know, contrasting,

566
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 3: like I said, I think the last game of the

567
00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 3: season is going to be their best version. I think

568
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 3: the first game is going to be their worst version.

569
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 3: And let's talk about that real quick. Because Mike Elko

570
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 3: comes in. He was the DC here ran the four

571
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 3: two five. Yeah, I mean even he's getting a coaching

572
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 3: tree out there right now. But he gets to Duke

573
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 3: and he wins nine games. I mean, it was just

574
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:29,160
Speaker 3: shocking bull victory first season. Nine wins, pretty shocking what

575
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 3: he did as a head coach. And then there were

576
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:33,760
Speaker 3: some injury situations. You don't count what Duke did last year.

577
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 3: But the one thing that I questioned, and you know,

578
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 3: the defense is going to be great. You know, let's

579
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:40,680
Speaker 3: just let's talk about the defense. But Shamar Turner is

580
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 3: one of the best of leads at one of the

581
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 3: best defensive fronts of the nation. It's up there with Kentucky.

582
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, they look at it.

583
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 4: It's crazy how much they lost. And now right they

584
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 4: saw four guys who were probably playing on Sundays. I

585
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 4: think the secondary is more talented and they brought him

586
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 4: the number two world cuss. We just talked about Ole

587
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 4: Miss they could have eight to ten transfers that are

588
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 4: potentially starting. And we just I just mentioned Ole miss

589
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 4: by the way, in Missouri, tex A and MS is

590
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 4: the opposite of the regression, owned four and one possession games.

591
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 4: I had quarterback injuries.

592
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:09,160
Speaker 1: So look go ahead.

593
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 3: A lot of positive signs pointing up. I mean Shamar

594
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 3: Turner on the defensive interior, thirty six pressures in nineteen stops.

595
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,880
Speaker 3: That's hard to do from the interior. Nick Skirton was

596
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:22,719
Speaker 3: absolutely sought after in the portal. There must have been

597
00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:24,320
Speaker 3: a huge back because there was a huge list of

598
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:26,080
Speaker 3: teams that were trying to get him. He comes in

599
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 3: from Purdue. He produced forty two pressures from the outside.

600
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 3: Just terrorized big ten quarterbacks last year. So I don't

601
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 3: have any problems with the defense. I don't think it

602
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 3: falls off even with Ja Bateman as a defensive coordinator.

603
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 3: You know, he's Florida linebacker coach. Last year he was

604
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 3: the UNC the Army DC. You know, performances weren't that

605
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 3: great at North Carolina the Army when it gets to

606
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:46,479
Speaker 3: the end of it, but it's Mike Elko's defense. I'm

607
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 3: not worried about that side of the ball. Whatsoever. The

608
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 3: offensive side of the ball, where there was a higher

609
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 3: that I just don't understand, which is Colin Klein. Colin

610
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,440
Speaker 3: Klein's going to replicate everything that he did at Kansas

611
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 3: State and all the Wildcat features lots of twenty one

612
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 3: to twenty two personnel. You're going to see momultiple backs

613
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 3: on the field, which kind of works. I mean, the

614
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 3: running back room is full of blue chip talent with

615
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 3: Ruben Owens, Le'Veon Moss, and Murray Daniels. They got the

616
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 3: talent there. But Colin Kin's going to try to create

617
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 3: angles and space for a rushing attack on the ground,

618
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:16,960
Speaker 3: and that requires an RPO offense. Can Connord Weegman run

619
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 3: the RPO offense similar to Walker Howard to Kansas State?

620
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 3: I don't think so. You know, the wide receiver group

621
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 3: in the offensive line, they got completely wiped. They got

622
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 3: to replace a lot going there. I know that there's

623
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 3: transfers that have come in, but Weegman has one hundred

624
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 3: and fifty scramble yards in twenty twenty two. There's not

625
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 3: a lot of you know, and that's over. There's just

626
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 3: not a lot of proof in this kid's recruiting profile

627
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 3: or what he's done on the field that he can

628
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 3: run an RPO system. Look at design runs because that's

629
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 3: where I would want to know. Are you able to

630
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 3: run an RPO and are you be able to have

631
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 3: design calls minus one rushing yards in his career on

632
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:58,400
Speaker 3: design calls. To me, the better quarterback for this offense

633
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 3: is Marcel Reid. He fits the profile of what Colin

634
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 3: Clyde wants to do on offense and what he did

635
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:04,080
Speaker 3: at Kansas State.

636
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 1: So that's good because Weigman will probably be hurt by

637
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 1: week three.

638
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 3: So right he returns for a third season, he's probably

639
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 3: going to be injured again. Now you know the schedule.

640
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 3: I went back and forth. I do like this A

641
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 3: and M team, but it's one of those things where

642
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 3: it's like I love it more in the back half

643
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 3: than I do love it at the front when they

644
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 3: try to learn new offensive stuff. Softest SEC schedules. No Bama,

645
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 3: there's no Georgia, there's no Ole miss there's no Tennessee.

646
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 3: What's your toughest games? Missoo and Texas come to Kyle Field. Manageable,

647
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 3: absolutely manageable. Great spot for Bowling Green, though I will

648
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 3: say that Bowling Green gets his sandwich between Florida and Arkansas,

649
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,320
Speaker 3: and I think Bowling Green's pretty good, good enough to

650
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 3: win the Max, so love them there. I favor him

651
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 3: in seven coin flips against Notre Dame coin flip against Auburn.

652
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 3: I am pro Texas A and M. Year one. I

653
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 3: project him at eight point three. Like I said before,

654
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 3: I'm taking Texas to lose to the Aggie's in the

655
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 3: last game of season. I think Notre Dame's defensive front

656
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 3: is going to have a field day if Connor Reagman

657
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 3: tries around the RPO.

658
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 4: I like Notre Dame in week one, Yeah, I disagree,

659
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 4: We'll talk about that coming week one. I like the

660
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:09,480
Speaker 4: TEXTA and M week one. I have them favored in

661
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 4: the first eleven games now grant that's six of them

662
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 4: are under a touchdown spread. I project eight point eight,

663
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 4: so I yeah, me, I show a tad bit of

664
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 4: value on the over since it's taken some money new staff.

665
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 4: So I'd rather buy in the upside of because over

666
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,279
Speaker 4: eight and a half to make the collegewill cloff to

667
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,600
Speaker 4: go on the s talking about one extra win. So

668
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 4: I'd rather invest in the upside of A and M.

669
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:35,840
Speaker 4: By looking at the futures market.

670
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,839
Speaker 6: This podcast is presented by bet MGM. Use bonus code

671
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 6: action when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred

672
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,560
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673
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 6: not win. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

674
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:57,360
Speaker 6: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia,

675
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,680
Speaker 6: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply to be twenty one

676
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:03,800
Speaker 6: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler.

677
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 4: A team that is probably still a year or two

678
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 4: away from getting into the college football playoff discussions the

679
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 4: Auburn Tigers. There seventy five to one to win the

680
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 4: SEC win total seven and a half juice to the under.

681
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 1: I think Auburn last I checked plus six point fifty

682
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 1: to make the college football Playoff.

683
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:37,800
Speaker 4: They a Q freeze. It's going to be the play caller.

684
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 4: It's rpo based, tempo offense. He saw the OFFENSI improvements

685
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 4: after he took over and had more of a say

686
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:48,399
Speaker 4: in the offense last year. Really good recruiting class. He's

687
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:50,399
Speaker 4: building this thing back up. Auburn had a big lull,

688
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 4: especially in the trenches. But Freeze is getting them back.

689
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 4: He's closing that gap. He really fell off compared relative

690
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 4: to the top of the league. But Freeze is getting

691
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:05,320
Speaker 4: them there. Their skill positions are going to be significantly improved.

692
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:09,319
Speaker 4: You know, you add Lewis Lambert Smith, and then you're

693
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 4: if this freshman Crawford is a stud, they're gonna have

694
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:17,000
Speaker 4: a lot more talent. I still just worry about the

695
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 4: ceiling of Peyton Thorne. He's just to me, he's just

696
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:27,280
Speaker 4: not that guy to win the sec right. He's serviceable

697
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:30,640
Speaker 4: to run. He knows Freeze's offense. Now he's had another year.

698
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 4: Maybe he can take the next step as a passer.

699
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 4: But I think he just significantly lowers the ceiling of

700
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:42,839
Speaker 4: this Auburn offense. The defense does have some questions after

701
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 4: losing five to the NFL, both defensive tackles, both cornerbacks

702
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 4: in a safety defensive backfield. To me as the most

703
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:54,720
Speaker 4: questions on that side of the ball. Super young in experience,

704
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:58,240
Speaker 4: even if there is some talent there. Special teams are elite.

705
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 4: Maybe that'll help flip some of the close games. I

706
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 4: have them as my number one special teams heading in

707
00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 4: to the season. They do have eight home games and

708
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 4: they're all winnable, So that's the bullish case.

709
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 1: They go to.

710
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 4: Missouri, Bama, and Georgia. Maybe that's not the worst thing

711
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 4: because you probably weren't gonna win those games anyway. Then

712
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 4: you know, a game against Kentucky, which I have them

713
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 4: is a very small underdog.

714
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 1: So you know, the.

715
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 4: Schedule is pretty favorable for Auburn, a team that's not

716
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:32,760
Speaker 4: used to being able to say that for free wins.

717
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:37,440
Speaker 4: You know, dogs in six touchdown or a touchdown phase

718
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 4: and the other two five overall games of single digit spreads.

719
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:46,759
Speaker 4: October is brutal, but there's a really good chance that

720
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 4: this team could start four to oh with a home

721
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,360
Speaker 4: game against Oklahoma on the horizon before they have to

722
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 4: go to Georgia, which is likely a loss. What are

723
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,760
Speaker 4: your thoughts on the Auburn Tigers.

724
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, a new offensive coordinator, Derek Nicks. He was on

725
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 3: the staff at Old Missed for sixteen years. He is

726
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:08,919
Speaker 3: not going to call plays. He comes over after having

727
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 3: some time with Hugh Freeze while he was there, but

728
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:13,280
Speaker 3: he's gonna come over. Hugh Freeze is calling the plays.

729
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 3: He's taking ownership of this. So what are you going

730
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 3: to see. You're going to see Peyton Thornton run plenty

731
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 3: of outside zone red plays. He accumulated nearly five hundred

732
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:24,279
Speaker 3: rushing yards and design plays last year based on outside zone.

733
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 3: He'll be joining the backfield once again by Jarquies Hunter,

734
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 3: who increased his yards after contact from three point six

735
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:33,759
Speaker 3: to four point one. That is highly impressive. And the

736
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,240
Speaker 3: best target on this team is tight end Rivaldo Fairweather.

737
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:37,760
Speaker 3: He may be the best tight end in the SEC.

738
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:41,520
Speaker 3: He led the team to targets, receptions and receiving touchdowns.

739
00:38:41,560 --> 00:38:45,800
Speaker 3: So offensively, same old Samul Hugh Freeze bag of tricks.

740
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 4: He'll be all over but on deepen you to see

741
00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 4: the offensive line improve in pass protection, specifically like when

742
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 4: they do have to throw. But Thorn is not the

743
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 4: most prolific passer. Can he get more time on like

744
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:58,360
Speaker 4: known passing downs because last year he didn't have that.

745
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:00,839
Speaker 3: So that weren't good much. They weren't good last year

746
00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 3: eighty ninth and pass blocking one hundred and fifth and

747
00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:06,240
Speaker 3: havoc allowed. I mean they got to clean up the mistakes.

748
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 3: I think Hugh Freese knows that defense it's you know,

749
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 3: it's kind of interesting path for dj Diurkin, always running

750
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:14,360
Speaker 3: a you know, always running a nickel D with a

751
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:16,439
Speaker 3: three man front of three three five or a three four.

752
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 3: Then he goes to play. Then he goes to coach

753
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:20,880
Speaker 3: for jimbo on the defensive coordinator and he says, ye

754
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 3: have to stick to a four two five. I think

755
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:24,879
Speaker 3: we're going to move back to a three three five here.

756
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 3: But Auburn was one hundred and twelfth in on target

757
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:30,440
Speaker 3: rate allowed on target, how often do you let receivers

758
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 3: catch the ball in stride at the numbers and have

759
00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 3: them on their way. Auburn was bottom twenty in the

760
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,799
Speaker 3: nation and allowing opponents to catch the ball and run

761
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:40,719
Speaker 3: and stride. Linebacker Jalen McLeod he led the team in

762
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:43,399
Speaker 3: pressures and he finished third and stops on the team.

763
00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 3: But there's just not a lot of experience with these underclassmen,

764
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 3: especially projected at the safety positions. That worries a little bit.

765
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 3: Slot corner is Keyante Scott. Now, when you talk about

766
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,279
Speaker 3: special teams and where the beef is, why, why this

767
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 3: might be the best special teams Deyanty Scott's one of

768
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,960
Speaker 3: the best punt returners in the nation. Defensively, he provides

769
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 3: more than four and fifty snaps from a handful of

770
00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:05,520
Speaker 3: positions on the field, but we're most likely going to

771
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 3: see him in the slot corner. Now somehow everybody's getting

772
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:13,280
Speaker 3: schedules all over the place without divisions with Oklahoma, Texas,

773
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,320
Speaker 3: Auburn still drew Georgia and Alabama. I mean, they just

774
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:19,400
Speaker 3: can't get away from it. They're gonna be comfortable favorites

775
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:22,920
Speaker 3: in six home games. Non conference slate is one of

776
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:25,600
Speaker 3: the easiest by far. And hey, Sam Jackson the fifth

777
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:27,160
Speaker 3: is now a wide receiver. Here he gets to go

778
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:30,960
Speaker 3: face his old team col on September seventh. I project

779
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 3: him at seven point three, but more importantly three point six.

780
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:38,239
Speaker 3: On the SEC schedule, they're gonna be heavy favorites over Vanderbilt,

781
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 3: oh Man, cross your fingers on that. With Jerry Kill

782
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 3: they're gonna be heavy favorites on Arkansas. We'll see how

783
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,319
Speaker 3: good they're going to be. And another three conference games

784
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 3: projected Tigers within six points. I got over three and

785
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 3: a half plus one oh five. I mean they have

786
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 3: a bye week heading to Columbia, where Missouri's going to

787
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:58,560
Speaker 3: be overlooking to Alabama, that's a spot I got over

788
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,799
Speaker 3: three and a half see conference wins. It's a plus

789
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:03,399
Speaker 3: money out there right now, plus one oh five.

790
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,800
Speaker 4: I think that that probably comes down to maybe that

791
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 4: Oklahoma game, which which I don't hate them in, but

792
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 4: I project six point ninety five.

793
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:13,000
Speaker 1: So pass for me.

794
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 4: Speaking of offensive lines that could not pass protect last year,

795
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,839
Speaker 4: the Arkansas Raisingbacks, who had a fifteen percent sack rate

796
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,479
Speaker 4: in twenty twenty three, win total four and a half

797
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 4: over four and a half minus one fifteen, two hundred

798
00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:33,759
Speaker 4: and fifty to one to win the SEC thirty to

799
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 4: one to win the to make the colle twelve plow

800
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,279
Speaker 4: for my You know, for every team, I have a

801
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 4: list of positions that I have questions about. For Arkansas,

802
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 4: just to give you a peek into the window, because

803
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 4: I'll let you carry this preview, I have quarterback, So

804
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 4: Taylor Green comes in for kJ Jefferson. I just have

805
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 4: some questions about his accuracy at this level. Won't have

806
00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:58,680
Speaker 4: any issues with his athleticism. Offensive line just talked about

807
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:03,799
Speaker 4: that sacrate three starter's gone hitting the portal. So can

808
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 4: their offensive line improved? That is Sam Pittman's specialty. Kenny

809
00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:11,959
Speaker 4: improved there linebacker wenter back two special teams in depth.

810
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 4: So those are my questions for this Arkansas team. I

811
00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:18,440
Speaker 4: do like Landon Jackson. I like the defensive line. I

812
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 4: like their skill positions. I know they los Sanders and Greed,

813
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 4: but I like their running backs. It's the offensive line.

814
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:25,840
Speaker 4: On offense, it's the back end of the d.

815
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:26,840
Speaker 1: It's the depth.

816
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 4: But I will say Bobby Patrino, we love him with

817
00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:35,040
Speaker 4: his power spread rpo. Going from dan Enos to Patrino,

818
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 4: you want to talk about an upgrade. How much can

819
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:39,759
Speaker 4: he do for this offense? What are your thoughts on

820
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:41,359
Speaker 4: your beloved hogs.

821
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:43,279
Speaker 3: Whoo pig suy.

822
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 1: Absolute dumpster fined dumps. I don't know how we win

823
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,200
Speaker 1: a game the rest of the year, just following program up.

824
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 3: Give us a death sentence Collins talking razorback football. Name

825
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 3: a offense that Bobby Patrino got too, and he didn't

826
00:42:57,239 --> 00:42:59,319
Speaker 3: make it instantly better. I mean, going from dan Enos

827
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 3: to Bobby Patrina is just going to be like a

828
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:03,560
Speaker 3: light switch. It's just binary. It's one in zero. So

829
00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 3: Patrino arrives, the first phone call he makes is Taylor Green.

830
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 3: Talking to Taylor Green at SEC Media Days, he says,

831
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,480
Speaker 3: when I opened up my recruiting. The first phone call

832
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:16,840
Speaker 3: I got was Bobby Patrino at Missouri State, and his

833
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 3: pitch almost got me to go there. Taylor Green loves

834
00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,800
Speaker 3: Bobby Patrino. Patrina loves Talen Green. It is a great marriage.

835
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 3: The offense last year was a complete disaster. They failed

836
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,320
Speaker 3: to score more than twenty two points in six conference games.

837
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:31,240
Speaker 3: Next thing, you got Sam Pittman up there having postgame

838
00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:34,839
Speaker 3: press conferences about mental health, about how bad things are going.

839
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:37,880
Speaker 3: You got problems scoring against Kent State. Yeah, I mean

840
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:40,719
Speaker 3: it was bad. One hundred and thirtieth in haboc allowed Mississippi.

841
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:42,120
Speaker 3: Look at Misssippi State game too.

842
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 1: That's the worst of that was embarrassing.

843
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:47,399
Speaker 3: BYU was bad Ken State. I mean it was also bad.

844
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,040
Speaker 3: So you look at you one hundred and thirtyth and

845
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:52,359
Speaker 3: havoc aloud. The offensive line was responsible for a lot

846
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:54,200
Speaker 3: of that. The good news is only one of those

847
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 3: offensive linemen that's back, and there's a new offensive line

848
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 3: coach in Eric Matteos. He was responsible for getting to

849
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 3: the portal gating Fernando Carmono from San Jose State, Keishaan

850
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 3: Blackstock of Michigan State, and Addison Nichols of Tennessee. These

851
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 3: are a massive upgrade versus what we had on the

852
00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 3: line last year. Patrick Coutis is still there. He was

853
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,040
Speaker 3: the center of a lot of attention last year for

854
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,760
Speaker 3: poor run and pass block grading. He has to improve.

855
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 3: Apparently he has Patrino, though his personnel and scheme and

856
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:23,560
Speaker 3: run concepts are all based on the ability of the roster.

857
00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:25,480
Speaker 3: When he was there as head coach. Before you had

858
00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 3: Nile Davis up and down the field, he had Ryan

859
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:31,719
Speaker 3: Mallett back there. He plays to the strengths. He wants

860
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,240
Speaker 3: to go vertical, throw in a little bit of tempo.

861
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 3: The weapons here are massively improved. First off, Isaiah Satania

862
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 3: can be an absolute burner. He's just got to get

863
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:43,560
Speaker 3: a little bit better with the hands. Armstrong is absolutely

864
00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 3: an animal out at Whiteout, and he's going to be

865
00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:47,920
Speaker 3: the deep ball throw he his roommates with Taylor Green.

866
00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 3: I expect him to get more targets than anybody by

867
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 3: a country mile. And then Luke cause a tight end

868
00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 3: was hurt last year when he played an absolute animal.

869
00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:58,719
Speaker 3: I mean, he is a weapon. The only thing that

870
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:01,320
Speaker 3: stopped himlast year was getting in injured. I love this

871
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:05,440
Speaker 3: offense and what is Jaquinnin Jackson. He's a younger version

872
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:08,279
Speaker 3: of Raheem Sanders. There is no drop off there, both

873
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 3: of them a little bit injury prone, both of them

874
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 3: fantastic and yards after contact and just beating up on defenders.

875
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 3: There's no drop off with Rocket Sanders gone, ja Quentin

876
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 3: Jackson just as good while he was out at Utah. Defensively,

877
00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:22,239
Speaker 3: I thought Travis Williams year one was a success. They

878
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:25,240
Speaker 3: improved down the board in so many areas top forty

879
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 3: in coverage top forty, and pass rush eighteenth and tackling

880
00:45:28,520 --> 00:45:31,240
Speaker 3: per PFF compared to what they were the year before.

881
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:34,080
Speaker 3: Just night and day they improved.

882
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:35,879
Speaker 1: They do lose a lot. They do lose a lot

883
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 1: on defense.

884
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 3: They do they do they do from scheme wise, they

885
00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,479
Speaker 3: blitzed thirty seven percent, but they you said they sled

886
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:45,560
Speaker 3: Edgeland and Jackson tackle Eric Gregory very good, I mean

887
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:48,719
Speaker 3: SEC level defensive tackle there. And the linebacker unit has

888
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:52,000
Speaker 3: minimal depth. We talk about Chris Paul going on. You

889
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 3: know their starters are going to come for the portals.

890
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:55,200
Speaker 3: That's definitely area to hit. And I don't like this

891
00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:57,399
Speaker 3: secondary whatsoever. I'm not going to call out a couple

892
00:45:57,440 --> 00:45:59,520
Speaker 3: of the players that are in the secondary, I don't

893
00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,280
Speaker 3: think that they do a very good job whatsoever, especially

894
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:05,359
Speaker 3: their safeties. They built to one hundred and twenty six

895
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,520
Speaker 3: and allowing explosives and passing downs. That falls on them.

896
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:12,120
Speaker 3: But corner Jalen Braxton had seven pass breakups and an interception.

897
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 1: He is a strength rush one.

898
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:16,800
Speaker 3: He can put guys on an island. It's the safeties

899
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:20,200
Speaker 3: that I really worry about. Listen twenty first strength to schedule.

900
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:24,879
Speaker 3: But uapb UAB law tech heavy favorites wins. There's three

901
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:28,880
Speaker 3: wins right there. Touchdown dog at Mississippi State. I'm not

902
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,759
Speaker 3: really sure that the math lines up with what I

903
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:33,920
Speaker 3: think Arkansas is going to be, but they should be.

904
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:35,399
Speaker 1: T dog at Misissippi State.

905
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:37,120
Speaker 4: I don't have him that I had a close still

906
00:46:37,160 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 4: coin flip, but I'm low and mistake in the state ahead.

907
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 5: If you're familiar with football, you're familiar with Bobby Petrino.

908
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,120
Speaker 5: Bobby's been a great resource for me.

909
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:49,360
Speaker 1: We're both grown men, and I really like him.

910
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 5: And I don't know if he likes it or not,

911
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:53,719
Speaker 5: but I do make him talk to him a lot.

912
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:57,239
Speaker 3: Mathematically, I make this team four point three, But there's

913
00:46:57,280 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 3: really nothing you could do but play the over. Here

914
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:01,960
Speaker 3: is Sam Pittman on the way out the door. If

915
00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 3: they have a losing record by the bye, he's probably gone.

916
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 5: If you're familiar with football, you're familiar with Bobby Patrino.

917
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,200
Speaker 5: And we decide collectively at what's the best for the

918
00:47:10,280 --> 00:47:14,400
Speaker 5: University of Arkansas football team. We have to finish the season.

919
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:17,560
Speaker 3: But who's calling the plays. Bobby Petrino is not Dan Enos.

920
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 3: And I was told by three separate head coaches at

921
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:23,839
Speaker 3: all the media days that Bobby Petrino is worth three

922
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 3: extra wins to that schedule. I believe him. Look what

923
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 3: they did with Texas A and M last year. Bobby

924
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 3: Petrino took the worst offense in the nation at least

925
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 3: got him to mid fbs LOK who Petrino to Missouri

926
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:41,320
Speaker 3: State coming in almost beating Sam Pittman. I have ultimate

927
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:45,000
Speaker 3: faith the play is the over. But I'm also going

928
00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:47,320
Speaker 3: to take Arkansas plus eleven against Texas A and M.

929
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:51,759
Speaker 3: Because Bobby Patrino knows that defense. He just left College Station.

930
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:55,160
Speaker 3: Give me the Hogs. Woopig suey. If you disagree with

931
00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:57,400
Speaker 3: any of that, let's get our neck braces on the

932
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 3: line here. No, I mean I took four point eight,

933
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:01,520
Speaker 3: so I would slightly into the over.

934
00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 1: But it's a pass man.

935
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 4: I'm just too Look, there are there also are two

936
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:06,520
Speaker 4: to nine and one score games the last two years,

937
00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:09,760
Speaker 4: one in five last year. Sotent some potential positive regression

938
00:48:09,800 --> 00:48:11,360
Speaker 4: there for mister Pittman.

939
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:12,880
Speaker 3: The special teams.

940
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:14,040
Speaker 4: Worrying me though, Like if there are going to be

941
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:15,880
Speaker 4: some most games, are you worried about special teams?

942
00:48:16,080 --> 00:48:19,880
Speaker 3: Stanea is going to be good kick punt return, but yes, yeah.

943
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:22,160
Speaker 4: Kicker and punter specifically is what I'm worried about. Oh yeah,

944
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 4: they had a good kicker and a good punter last

945
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:26,120
Speaker 4: year they're both gone. I am just a bit worried

946
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 4: about when Taylor mun has to throw. I know that

947
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 4: Patrino is going to call great games and have great

948
00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:35,960
Speaker 4: game plans, but when he needs to throw on known

949
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:37,719
Speaker 4: passing downs one, will he.

950
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 1: Get the protection? So the offensive line needs to come together.

951
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:43,320
Speaker 4: They brought in some guys, they need to find the

952
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:47,800
Speaker 4: right unit there, but will his accuracy translate in the

953
00:48:47,960 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 4: SEC With a schedule where they're going to be a dog,

954
00:48:51,719 --> 00:48:54,440
Speaker 4: you know, potentially nine games. So I'm worried about that.

955
00:48:54,560 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 4: In the back end of the d definitely worries me.

956
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,400
Speaker 4: I also thought it was a successful first year as

957
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 4: a defensive coordinator season. I like the defensive line, but

958
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:04,960
Speaker 4: the back end of the day scares me. And then

959
00:49:06,000 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 4: I think it's a good point with like it. Maybe

960
00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 4: it's just Petrino and then it doesn't matter what happens

961
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:14,799
Speaker 4: with Pittman. You would hope that Pittman just, hey, more

962
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:18,920
Speaker 4: time with the offensive line now that you have Patrino.

963
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,759
Speaker 1: That's what it has always been his specialty, yep. And

964
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:23,400
Speaker 1: he would hope that.

965
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 4: His influence there can help that unit because that's going

966
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 4: to go a long way and determining where this office goes.

967
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:29,400
Speaker 1: So I do like the skill positions. I like the

968
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 1: running backs.

969
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 4: Jackson's I think he's super underrated, But it's just going

970
00:49:33,520 --> 00:49:35,440
Speaker 4: to come down to that offensive line if this offense

971
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 4: can reach their potential.

972
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:39,719
Speaker 3: Well, he made Dirk Cotter look like a genius. He worked,

973
00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 3: he worked there. But I will say this last thing

974
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 3: I'll say is Pittman said it media day, I take

975
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 3: responsibility on everything that happened, my hires, my coaching, my everything.

976
00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:50,320
Speaker 3: And then he ended by saying the offensive line was

977
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 3: my baby. I dropped the ball, and I won't drop

978
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:55,759
Speaker 3: the ball this year. So I got some you know,

979
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:58,279
Speaker 3: I guess some birds flying over to practice field. I

980
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 3: got some intel there, and we'll find out how the

981
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 3: practices are going. I think we're as we're recording. Today

982
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 3: was day two, so hopefully we get closer to the season,

983
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:07,480
Speaker 3: have some more info about how our offensive line is doing.

984
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:09,920
Speaker 1: One of these days, you're going to get dirt. It's cutter.

985
00:50:10,239 --> 00:50:11,640
Speaker 1: I know it looks like cutter.

986
00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 5: I know every shat backshick opportunity for a comeback to

987
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:18,440
Speaker 5: support from our razorback community is not waivered.

988
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:20,880
Speaker 3: It fuels our drive to turn things around.

989
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 4: Let's move on to Mississippi State win total three and

990
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:31,000
Speaker 4: a half, heavily juiced to the over. They are fifty

991
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:32,840
Speaker 4: to one to make the College twelve pluff three hundred

992
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 4: and fifty to one to win the SEC. They're the

993
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:37,399
Speaker 4: only team in the SEC with a new head coach,

994
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,960
Speaker 4: offensive corner, defensive coordinator, and quarterback. Jeff Levy comes in.

995
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 4: He was getting carried at the airport. He will call plays.

996
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:48,880
Speaker 4: Guy knows offense. For what it's worth, this is a

997
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:53,320
Speaker 4: team that has their replace a lot. They are outside

998
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:56,440
Speaker 4: the top one twenty in my numbers and returning production.

999
00:50:56,760 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 4: They lose their entire offense. All five starter's gone on

1000
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,360
Speaker 4: the offensive line, You've lost your top two receivers. Marx

1001
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:07,200
Speaker 4: has gone at running back, Rogers and Ryder gone at quarterback.

1002
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 4: Blake Shapin is in a quarterback better stay healthy because

1003
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:13,360
Speaker 4: there's no depth there. They're gonna be moving to like

1004
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:16,560
Speaker 4: a more pass heavy, fast paced spread offense. They're also

1005
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:18,040
Speaker 4: to be moving to like a more four to three

1006
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:21,040
Speaker 4: D so I think there's scheme changes, there's complete roster

1007
00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 4: turnover or outside the top one hundred experience. It's the

1008
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:26,399
Speaker 4: third head coach in three years. Oh and by the way,

1009
00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:29,480
Speaker 4: it's the second toughest schedule in the SEC. You look

1010
00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 4: at this schedule, two free wins over UMass and Eastern

1011
00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:39,440
Speaker 4: Kentucky at home, six double digit dogs. The rest should

1012
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:41,920
Speaker 4: be Toledo, but that's not a gimmee at home. There

1013
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:44,200
Speaker 4: are some winnable games here, but there's six you're just

1014
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 4: not going to have a shot. The problem is the

1015
00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:48,880
Speaker 4: only phase one at the bottom five, and that's Arkansas,

1016
00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:50,799
Speaker 4: and Arkansas team will be pissed off after the last

1017
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 4: year with revenge.

1018
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:55,759
Speaker 5: Our focus is to embrace the hog with pride.

1019
00:51:56,080 --> 00:51:59,759
Speaker 4: I project four point three. So if you look at

1020
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:01,319
Speaker 4: over three and a half, heavily juice to the over,

1021
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,680
Speaker 4: I'm close. I show a little bit of value on

1022
00:52:03,719 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 4: the over. But there's so many questions with this team,

1023
00:52:07,800 --> 00:52:12,240
Speaker 4: so much change, roster, staff, schemes. What are your thoughts

1024
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:13,360
Speaker 4: on the Bulldogs.

1025
00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:15,600
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, we had the Leech air raid, and then

1026
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:18,880
Speaker 3: after the passing of Leech, we went out and got

1027
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 3: Kevin Barbee who wanted to run the ball I with

1028
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:24,000
Speaker 3: the personnel that they had and the remaining roster. So

1029
00:52:24,080 --> 00:52:27,080
Speaker 3: that was a very quick little stop there for Ournett

1030
00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:29,279
Speaker 3: and Kevin Barbay. But now we are back to the

1031
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 3: air raid with Jeff Levy and you can expect pace pace,

1032
00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:34,920
Speaker 3: pace pace pace. Bulldogs were one hundred and second last

1033
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 3: season at twenty seven point eight seconds per play Oklahoma's

1034
00:52:38,600 --> 00:52:41,879
Speaker 3: twenty three point three. Levy said at SEC media Days,

1035
00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:45,319
Speaker 3: I like being the aggressor. I like having my pedal down.

1036
00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:48,800
Speaker 3: It's who we are, and that was in response to

1037
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,040
Speaker 3: being asked about defensive coordinators with tablets being able to

1038
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 3: adjust and talk to the helmet, talk inside the helmets.

1039
00:52:55,160 --> 00:52:57,680
Speaker 3: Levy's not going to let anybody get that chance. That

1040
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:00,440
Speaker 3: communication shuts off at what fifteen second lived on the

1041
00:53:00,440 --> 00:53:03,279
Speaker 3: play clock. Missippi State already have the play run by then,

1042
00:53:03,520 --> 00:53:06,360
Speaker 3: so you know, it's interesting that he's already thinking about

1043
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 3: communication into the helmets and about how he wants to

1044
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:11,640
Speaker 3: be faster. Don't know if you can run the offense

1045
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,080
Speaker 3: that he has, but he wants to be even faster, which.

1046
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,520
Speaker 1: Is kind of crazy vertical. That's what Levy wants to do.

1047
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:19,080
Speaker 3: YEP. And Blake Shapan needs to stay healthy. I mean,

1048
00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 3: if you look, you know highly touted quarterbacks behind him,

1049
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:25,360
Speaker 3: retcher freshman Chris Parson, but true freshman Michael van Buren.

1050
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:30,880
Speaker 3: They're both highly rated recruits, no experience here whatsoever. So

1051
00:53:31,239 --> 00:53:33,040
Speaker 3: we got to watch out for that. Blake Shape in

1052
00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:35,800
Speaker 3: eclipse two thousand yards last year was seventeen total touchdowns

1053
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:38,280
Speaker 3: at Baylor. He had a great ted at I int ratio,

1054
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:42,000
Speaker 3: but nearly double turnover worthy plays than big time throws.

1055
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:44,919
Speaker 3: Could we blame that on the Baylor offensive line? We could,

1056
00:53:45,560 --> 00:53:47,319
Speaker 3: but I can't remember Shape and ever having a good

1057
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 3: ratio of big time throws a turnover worthy plays. The

1058
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:54,160
Speaker 3: good news is UTEP wide receiver Kelly Akharia brings eighty

1059
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,839
Speaker 3: nine targets three yards per route run. He had one

1060
00:53:56,880 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 3: hundred STAPs from the slot and twenty five from the

1061
00:53:58,680 --> 00:54:00,920
Speaker 3: white out position. He is going to be their biggest

1062
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:03,720
Speaker 3: weapon by far. I think the offense will get it together.

1063
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:05,719
Speaker 3: Maybe need you know where they got Eastern Kentucky to

1064
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:07,920
Speaker 3: start off, No problem, they'll be humming by the time

1065
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:10,640
Speaker 3: they play Arizona State Coleman Hustler is going to be

1066
00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:13,400
Speaker 3: the defensive coordinator. He's a former Broils Award nominee. I

1067
00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:16,440
Speaker 3: didn't really understand this higher. He's been a special teams

1068
00:54:16,480 --> 00:54:19,800
Speaker 3: coach at Alabama and Old Miss. He hasn't been a

1069
00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 3: DC by himself ever. He was a co DC for

1070
00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:27,040
Speaker 3: Texas during the pandemic season and that's it. That's that's

1071
00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:28,799
Speaker 3: the only season he was even ever a co DC.

1072
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:31,880
Speaker 3: So the higher is interesting. It's got to be a

1073
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:34,279
Speaker 3: Levey thing. Connection with Levey. They're going to move to

1074
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,560
Speaker 3: a three to four. Seven of the top eight tacklers

1075
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:39,000
Speaker 3: are gone, and Corey Ellington is the most experienced holdover

1076
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:41,440
Speaker 3: with sixty six tackles. And you say all that, and

1077
00:54:41,520 --> 00:54:43,520
Speaker 3: then you look at the schedule and there's four easy

1078
00:54:43,600 --> 00:54:47,200
Speaker 3: wins on this schedule, Eastern Kentucky, Toledo, UMass, and Frankly,

1079
00:54:47,560 --> 00:54:49,960
Speaker 3: I think they're going to run Arizona State out of

1080
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:51,920
Speaker 3: their own building in Tempe, with the secondary that the

1081
00:54:52,040 --> 00:54:55,440
Speaker 3: Sun Devils have SEC secondaries that can be taken advantage

1082
00:54:55,440 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 3: of Arkansas Tennessee. I actually project these guys a litt

1083
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 3: little bit over five. I think Missisippi State over four,

1084
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:07,520
Speaker 3: Missippi State over four minus one fifty. I love that play.

1085
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:11,440
Speaker 3: I mean the non con is a joke, right, Tennessee

1086
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:14,000
Speaker 3: and Arkansas secondaries. Yeah, that's a gift from the scheduling

1087
00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:16,279
Speaker 3: gods in the SEC. Give me the over on Missispi State.

1088
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:19,239
Speaker 3: Cow Bell, Baby, I got a fever and the only

1089
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:21,359
Speaker 3: prescription is mall cow Bell.

1090
00:55:22,080 --> 00:55:25,200
Speaker 1: Yeah your way. I mean it now makes sense.

1091
00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:28,239
Speaker 4: But you had Mississippi State is much bigger favorite over

1092
00:55:28,360 --> 00:55:30,600
Speaker 4: arkansall than I did. I looked at like they didn't

1093
00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:32,360
Speaker 4: even bring in a great like the transfers that are

1094
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:35,080
Speaker 4: lying on the offensive line. You just mentioned a UTEP

1095
00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:38,040
Speaker 4: receiver like this is the SEC. Their transfer class was

1096
00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:40,720
Speaker 4: not great and they lost everybody a lot of change

1097
00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:42,960
Speaker 4: all across the board. I do show a little bit

1098
00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:44,880
Speaker 4: of value in the over, but not enough for me

1099
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:52,759
Speaker 4: to get involved. Let's close things out with our final team,

1100
00:55:53,239 --> 00:55:58,040
Speaker 4: sixteenth team in the SEC, and actually that's Oklahoma. Sooners

1101
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:01,200
Speaker 4: still feel it was weird to say, Oklahoma moving over

1102
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:02,320
Speaker 4: to the SEC.

1103
00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:04,160
Speaker 3: We're gonna be in the SEC.

1104
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:07,439
Speaker 2: Everything that we do matters, but you know what, none

1105
00:56:07,480 --> 00:56:10,760
Speaker 2: of it matters. Nobody cares. We better bring it, Okay,

1106
00:56:11,520 --> 00:56:12,400
Speaker 2: bring your mouthpiece.

1107
00:56:13,239 --> 00:56:16,560
Speaker 4: Sitting at five to one to make the coach ball

1108
00:56:16,600 --> 00:56:20,560
Speaker 4: playoff around, I think the last I saw was twenty

1109
00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:25,000
Speaker 4: twenty seven to one to win the SEC. Win total

1110
00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:30,800
Speaker 4: seven and a half. So you might look, Oklahoma, you

1111
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:34,480
Speaker 4: get already's a top fifteen team power rating wise. You

1112
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:36,839
Speaker 4: say seven and a half. How does the win total

1113
00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:39,640
Speaker 4: seven and a half? Well, it's the schedule.

1114
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:40,640
Speaker 1: Four.

1115
00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 4: If you just look at the last five games they play,

1116
00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:46,880
Speaker 4: four of their last five games are against top ten teams,

1117
00:56:47,280 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 4: and you can't even make that up.

1118
00:56:48,320 --> 00:56:49,319
Speaker 1: You got Maine in there at.

1119
00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:52,680
Speaker 4: Least as a free win five of their last seven

1120
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,239
Speaker 4: against top ten team. I mean, you can't even make that.

1121
00:56:56,360 --> 00:56:58,760
Speaker 4: They should start three now, and you do have Maine,

1122
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:02,400
Speaker 4: you have South Carolina at home, but the.

1123
00:57:02,520 --> 00:57:04,120
Speaker 1: Rest is absolutely brutal.

1124
00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:09,239
Speaker 4: It's the SEC's toughest schedule because you face Texas, Alabama, LSU, Missouri, Ole,

1125
00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:11,239
Speaker 4: miss oh And by the way, you only have three

1126
00:57:11,560 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 4: SEC home games, and of your four free wins, two

1127
00:57:16,080 --> 00:57:20,160
Speaker 4: of them are Power four teams, like they should beat Houston, right,

1128
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 4: you should beat and then you also should be Tulane.

1129
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 4: But it's not like those are the easiest opponents that

1130
00:57:28,840 --> 00:57:32,720
Speaker 4: you could ever face. So yeah, this is very tough.

1131
00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 4: I have the dogs in five games, small favorites, and

1132
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:41,320
Speaker 4: two others. I project seven point four, so I'm close

1133
00:57:41,400 --> 00:57:45,800
Speaker 4: to market. I do love this defense, which I have

1134
00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:51,080
Speaker 4: third top five in returning production. Defense should be really strong.

1135
00:57:51,160 --> 00:57:52,760
Speaker 4: It's venables specialty.

1136
00:57:53,280 --> 00:57:55,120
Speaker 2: If I'm a sooner, then I'm a sooner. I'm not

1137
00:57:55,200 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 2: sooner when it's convenient. Okay, I'm not a great fan.

1138
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:00,200
Speaker 2: When it's convenient, that means you know, we're your T

1139
00:58:00,360 --> 00:58:02,640
Speaker 2: shirts in your community, That means putting the bumper sticker on.

1140
00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:06,040
Speaker 2: If that means sending in five dollars, okay, it all matters.

1141
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:09,520
Speaker 4: Brings in Zach Alley's a new defensive coordinator from Jacksonville State.

1142
00:58:10,000 --> 00:58:14,440
Speaker 4: Maybe expect a little more aggression as far as some

1143
00:58:14,560 --> 00:58:18,560
Speaker 4: more wrinkles there. The bigger questions are on offense. Jackson

1144
00:58:18,640 --> 00:58:22,200
Speaker 4: Ronald takes over at quarterback for Dylan Gabriel. Saw kind

1145
00:58:22,200 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 4: of the highs and lows for Ronald. Really talented kid

1146
00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 4: in the bowl game against Arizona, can make every throw,

1147
00:58:28,680 --> 00:58:32,040
Speaker 4: has all the arm talent, but also made some mistakes

1148
00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:35,160
Speaker 4: that were alarming, So you hope that he can kind

1149
00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:38,920
Speaker 4: of clean some of those up. Those ultimately cost them

1150
00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:41,560
Speaker 4: the game against Arizona, much.

1151
00:58:41,480 --> 00:58:42,560
Speaker 1: To your chagrin. Cone.

1152
00:58:44,560 --> 00:58:48,600
Speaker 4: The biggest question on offense though, is the offensive line

1153
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:50,520
Speaker 4: lost all five starters two to the NFL, so they

1154
00:58:50,600 --> 00:58:53,400
Speaker 4: hit the portal hard. Still over one hundred starts now,

1155
00:58:54,000 --> 00:58:58,800
Speaker 4: but can that offensive line come together because the offensive

1156
00:58:58,840 --> 00:59:02,760
Speaker 4: lost Gabriel but he saw have you lost stoops and

1157
00:59:03,160 --> 00:59:04,640
Speaker 4: you're tight end, but everyone.

1158
00:59:04,400 --> 00:59:05,960
Speaker 1: Else else's back in. You had Burke.

1159
00:59:06,040 --> 00:59:09,240
Speaker 4: Burke's from Purdue, who I really like. So I think

1160
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:12,680
Speaker 4: they're fine with the skill position players. I think they'll

1161
00:59:12,680 --> 00:59:14,680
Speaker 4: be fine at running back. It all comes down to

1162
00:59:14,840 --> 00:59:17,760
Speaker 4: the offensive line and for what it's where Seth Latrell

1163
00:59:17,800 --> 00:59:19,480
Speaker 4: will take over as new offense coordinator. I think you

1164
00:59:19,560 --> 00:59:22,680
Speaker 4: can expect a slower, more run heavy offense. With more

1165
00:59:22,760 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 4: tight end usage than what we saw last year. Like

1166
00:59:25,840 --> 00:59:27,680
Speaker 4: I said, more blitzing on defense. The one thing I

1167
00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:28,960
Speaker 4: do want to see in that defense is just a

1168
00:59:28,960 --> 00:59:32,600
Speaker 4: little more pressure. But there's a ton of experience and

1169
00:59:32,720 --> 00:59:38,160
Speaker 4: they got really strong pieces at every level. But it's

1170
00:59:38,200 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 4: the offensive line. Can that offensive line come together and

1171
00:59:41,800 --> 00:59:44,520
Speaker 4: can they deal with the physicality of a full SEC

1172
00:59:44,760 --> 00:59:47,920
Speaker 4: schedule the defensive line, I also is right about making

1173
00:59:47,960 --> 00:59:50,400
Speaker 4: the jump to the SEC, but I like some of

1174
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,040
Speaker 4: the additions. I think the Williams get was big. I

1175
00:59:53,120 --> 00:59:56,160
Speaker 4: think they'll actually be okay on the defensive line. And

1176
00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:59,920
Speaker 4: of course they have your boy Danny Stutzman at line

1177
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:03,000
Speaker 4: where they returned their top six linebackers. That's the strength

1178
01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:05,200
Speaker 4: of defense. And then you know you have a couple

1179
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:07,080
Speaker 4: of guys that you can really count on in the

1180
01:00:07,160 --> 01:00:13,160
Speaker 4: secondary in Bowman and Washington. But what are your thoughts

1181
01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:16,360
Speaker 4: here on the Oklahoma Sooners win total seven and a half?

1182
01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:19,200
Speaker 4: Are you beting over just because they have Danny Stutson.

1183
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:20,160
Speaker 3: Just like you would expect.

1184
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:23,480
Speaker 2: The fire hose is fully inserted in my mouth here

1185
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:24,920
Speaker 2: and we've been blown and.

1186
01:00:24,960 --> 01:00:28,200
Speaker 3: Going, and so I mean I bet the over. I

1187
01:00:28,240 --> 01:00:31,920
Speaker 3: think in March when it was seven, and so I'm

1188
01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:34,440
Speaker 3: fully invested in this team, but the market has caught up.

1189
01:00:34,800 --> 01:00:36,800
Speaker 3: I mean, my projection is still seven point eight, so

1190
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:38,760
Speaker 3: there's not a lot of room left. But I would

1191
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:41,960
Speaker 3: still point to the over I think funny funny note

1192
01:00:42,040 --> 01:00:43,800
Speaker 3: for you. When I was at SEC media Days, Danny

1193
01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:45,560
Speaker 3: Stutsman was there. I had a little breakout with him

1194
01:00:45,600 --> 01:00:48,680
Speaker 3: and I almost asked, did you know you know Stucky

1195
01:00:48,760 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 3: too from the Action Network? Thanks, You're gonna win the heisman.

1196
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:52,160
Speaker 3: I couldn't get it to come out of it. I

1197
01:00:52,320 --> 01:00:54,080
Speaker 3: wanted to ask him that so bad if he had

1198
01:00:54,120 --> 01:00:56,920
Speaker 3: heard that but didn't get it out. A new quarterback,

1199
01:00:57,000 --> 01:01:00,920
Speaker 3: Jackson Arnold, five star, blue Chip, Terrible Bulgar with Latrell

1200
01:01:01,080 --> 01:01:03,840
Speaker 3: calling the plays and designing the offense, we'll see if

1201
01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:05,960
Speaker 3: that can improve it should He's got the pedigree from

1202
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:08,480
Speaker 3: his recruiting profile that says he can. I agree with you.

1203
01:01:08,560 --> 01:01:10,680
Speaker 3: The offensive line is a huge issue. I mean, you

1204
01:01:10,760 --> 01:01:12,720
Speaker 3: and I have podcasted about one hundred and thirty four

1205
01:01:12,760 --> 01:01:16,200
Speaker 3: teams now and we point out when trenches are empty. Well,

1206
01:01:16,960 --> 01:01:19,040
Speaker 3: this team just has five new faces. It's not that

1207
01:01:19,120 --> 01:01:21,080
Speaker 3: they don't have any experience. They have plenty of experience

1208
01:01:21,120 --> 01:01:23,520
Speaker 3: from the portal. They do have the best offensive line

1209
01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 3: coach and Bill Badenball, which I went everywhere and asked,

1210
01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:28,840
Speaker 3: is he one of the top five? Oh yeah, he's

1211
01:01:28,880 --> 01:01:31,439
Speaker 3: one of the best in the nation. And a former

1212
01:01:31,520 --> 01:01:34,640
Speaker 3: offensive lineman that I had a discussion with said, it's

1213
01:01:34,640 --> 01:01:37,720
Speaker 3: all about offensive line continuity. Is all about how these

1214
01:01:37,760 --> 01:01:40,600
Speaker 3: five guys get along with each other in team building

1215
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:43,240
Speaker 3: events and practice. Do they like each other? Do they

1216
01:01:43,320 --> 01:01:46,080
Speaker 3: eat together? I feel like Bill baden Ball has been

1217
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:49,680
Speaker 3: here before with Oklahoma. I think they're getting a massive

1218
01:01:49,680 --> 01:01:54,160
Speaker 3: assist from the schedule. Temple Terror maybe the worst team

1219
01:01:54,160 --> 01:01:57,720
Speaker 3: in the nation, Houston new coaching staff, Twulane new coaching staff.

1220
01:01:58,200 --> 01:01:59,680
Speaker 3: Those are the defensive lines you get to go up

1221
01:01:59,720 --> 01:02:02,640
Speaker 3: against first. That is a great start before Tennessee comes

1222
01:02:02,680 --> 01:02:03,960
Speaker 3: to town and you've got to figure out how to

1223
01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:07,000
Speaker 3: defend James Pearce. So while I would be worried about

1224
01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:08,880
Speaker 3: the offensive line and every other team in the world,

1225
01:02:08,920 --> 01:02:10,560
Speaker 3: I would I like the offensive line coach, and I

1226
01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:14,479
Speaker 3: like the soft start to this schedule. Center Branson Hickman

1227
01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:17,880
Speaker 3: from SMU was great as the eighth highest individual player

1228
01:02:17,920 --> 01:02:21,760
Speaker 3: in PFF grading. So look for Gavin Sauchuk to have

1229
01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:23,880
Speaker 3: some holes for him right there. He returns it running back,

1230
01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:27,080
Speaker 3: and you're right, Dean Berkston, Purdue tons of hype. That's

1231
01:02:27,080 --> 01:02:30,280
Speaker 3: gonna be Jackson Arnold's most explosive weapon. Now on defense,

1232
01:02:30,320 --> 01:02:32,520
Speaker 3: I love the defense too. They had tackling issues under

1233
01:02:32,560 --> 01:02:34,160
Speaker 3: ted Roof. I think that's a ted Roof thing that

1234
01:02:34,240 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 3: follows him around. Oh, you had major tackling issues last year.

1235
01:02:37,480 --> 01:02:40,200
Speaker 3: They were really bad except for one player, middle linebacker

1236
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:43,000
Speaker 3: Danny Stutsman. Stutsman did get hurt for a game. I

1237
01:02:43,000 --> 01:02:44,640
Speaker 3: believe you sat out like one and a half games.

1238
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:47,680
Speaker 3: He played seven hundred and twenty two defensive snaps last year.

1239
01:02:48,280 --> 01:02:51,160
Speaker 3: He missed eleven total tackles. How impressive is that OU

1240
01:02:51,320 --> 01:02:54,520
Speaker 3: was missing twenty tackles per game and Danny Stutsman missed

1241
01:02:54,520 --> 01:02:56,720
Speaker 3: eleven the whole year. That's how important he is to

1242
01:02:56,800 --> 01:03:00,400
Speaker 3: this defense. Demonic Williams transfers in from TCU, talked about

1243
01:03:00,440 --> 01:03:01,520
Speaker 3: him on the Big twelve podcast.

1244
01:03:01,640 --> 01:03:02,800
Speaker 1: What a is a big hear?

1245
01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:05,040
Speaker 3: What a serious air for TCU to go four man

1246
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:07,680
Speaker 3: front and lose that guy maybe the best nose tackle

1247
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:10,200
Speaker 3: that was in the portal. Now the schedule firms up

1248
01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:12,360
Speaker 3: starting a red River. I think this Oklahoma, I think

1249
01:03:12,360 --> 01:03:15,320
Speaker 3: this offensive line really gets a pass. Tennessee at home

1250
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:16,920
Speaker 3: is going to be a struggle, but really there's just

1251
01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:19,240
Speaker 3: one defensive end that you've got to prepare for going

1252
01:03:19,280 --> 01:03:22,600
Speaker 3: to Auburn. Then it gets hard. Red River is where

1253
01:03:22,600 --> 01:03:24,960
Speaker 3: it starts to get hard. Road traveled Ole, miss Missouri,

1254
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:29,200
Speaker 3: LSU a visit in Norman from Alabama, and to round

1255
01:03:29,240 --> 01:03:31,880
Speaker 3: out the second half here, the Sooners project no more

1256
01:03:31,920 --> 01:03:34,040
Speaker 3: than a touchdown underdog against any of these teams that

1257
01:03:34,080 --> 01:03:36,320
Speaker 3: I've mentioned on the schedule. I think that's the good news.

1258
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:38,240
Speaker 3: They're not going to be a heavy underdog against anybody.

1259
01:03:38,240 --> 01:03:40,800
Speaker 3: It's even Alabama coming to town. But I look at

1260
01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:45,880
Speaker 3: my numbers, you know seven, so I project seven point eight,

1261
01:03:46,600 --> 01:03:49,480
Speaker 3: seven and a half over. I'm here all the way.

1262
01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:51,520
Speaker 3: I think they have a chance to be Texas and

1263
01:03:51,560 --> 01:03:53,840
Speaker 3: red River. I don't like the game of the game

1264
01:03:53,880 --> 01:03:56,200
Speaker 3: of your market's coming down a little bit, But I

1265
01:03:56,280 --> 01:03:58,440
Speaker 3: think ou is going to have a very surprising season,

1266
01:03:59,200 --> 01:04:01,640
Speaker 3: even with the changes as a coordinator, even with Jackson

1267
01:04:01,720 --> 01:04:05,560
Speaker 3: Arnold even missing five starters on the offensive line. I'm

1268
01:04:05,600 --> 01:04:09,800
Speaker 3: saying over on the Sooners, Boomer Sooner do you know what.

1269
01:04:10,040 --> 01:04:11,520
Speaker 3: That's good. That's a good thing.

1270
01:04:12,000 --> 01:04:15,200
Speaker 2: Okay, good, good, that's good.

1271
01:04:15,960 --> 01:04:19,440
Speaker 4: I can't quite get there, but we'll recap what we did.

1272
01:04:19,840 --> 01:04:23,600
Speaker 4: Like just our favorite overall bets for the SEC, including

1273
01:04:23,840 --> 01:04:25,520
Speaker 4: the teams to talk about in part one. If I'm

1274
01:04:25,560 --> 01:04:28,760
Speaker 4: not mistaken, you like the overs on Arkansas, Miss State

1275
01:04:28,800 --> 01:04:29,360
Speaker 4: and Vandy.

1276
01:04:30,880 --> 01:04:35,520
Speaker 1: Yes, oh my god, I'm fun with those from a

1277
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:36,600
Speaker 1: numbers perspective.

1278
01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:39,320
Speaker 4: I kind of like the over in South Carolina, but

1279
01:04:40,000 --> 01:04:41,680
Speaker 4: not sure if I'll play it for reasons I talked

1280
01:04:41,680 --> 01:04:42,200
Speaker 4: about earlier.

1281
01:04:42,480 --> 01:04:42,960
Speaker 1: The unders.

1282
01:04:42,960 --> 01:04:47,760
Speaker 4: I would consider Old Miss, Missouri, UK and LSU, but

1283
01:04:48,000 --> 01:04:51,400
Speaker 4: my favorite play in the SEC is Texas Ay and

1284
01:04:51,440 --> 01:04:55,720
Speaker 4: them futures. I'm in on Mike Yalco. I'm in on

1285
01:04:55,840 --> 01:04:57,000
Speaker 4: no more Jimbo Fisher.

1286
01:04:57,280 --> 01:05:00,360
Speaker 1: I don't support you know what I'm saying, There's no

1287
01:05:00,400 --> 01:05:01,160
Speaker 1: reason to be nasty.

1288
01:05:01,600 --> 01:05:05,280
Speaker 4: I'm in on this defense. I'd rather buy the upside of,

1289
01:05:05,480 --> 01:05:08,120
Speaker 4: you know, getting to the SEC title game, making the

1290
01:05:08,160 --> 01:05:10,080
Speaker 4: College Wall playoff, then the win total because there are

1291
01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:12,800
Speaker 4: there's a lot of change, new head coach, a lot

1292
01:05:12,840 --> 01:05:14,600
Speaker 4: of portal guys that you're going to be relying on,

1293
01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:17,880
Speaker 4: so there's definitely some added uncertainty. But When I break

1294
01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:21,640
Speaker 4: down the SEC, very high level, nine teams potentially top

1295
01:05:21,760 --> 01:05:25,880
Speaker 4: fifteen in the country all in that mix for college

1296
01:05:25,880 --> 01:05:28,400
Speaker 4: footall playff spot, we said most likely four teams in

1297
01:05:28,440 --> 01:05:31,600
Speaker 4: the SEC get in. Let's assume Georgia and Texas get in,

1298
01:05:31,680 --> 01:05:34,840
Speaker 4: the two heavy favorites to get there. But Texas maybe

1299
01:05:34,920 --> 01:05:36,760
Speaker 4: not as big of a lock as we said. And

1300
01:05:36,840 --> 01:05:39,120
Speaker 4: by the way, Texas A and M gets Texas in

1301
01:05:39,200 --> 01:05:43,400
Speaker 4: the finale, maybe Texas already has ten wins. Maybe Texas

1302
01:05:43,440 --> 01:05:45,320
Speaker 4: A and M wins that game because Texas knows are

1303
01:05:45,440 --> 01:05:47,720
Speaker 4: in the collegeable playoff, and not only does that get TEXTA,

1304
01:05:47,720 --> 01:05:49,000
Speaker 4: A and M in the collegepabluff, it gets some of

1305
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:52,200
Speaker 4: the SEC championship game with a tiebreaker just thrown out

1306
01:05:52,240 --> 01:05:54,560
Speaker 4: out there. But let's say Georgia and Texas are in.

1307
01:05:55,640 --> 01:06:00,000
Speaker 4: Seven other teams Tennessee, LSU, Missouri. I think their defense

1308
01:06:00,280 --> 01:06:03,959
Speaker 4: hold them back Ole miss potential aggression. Not fully sold

1309
01:06:04,000 --> 01:06:06,920
Speaker 4: on this portal, all working out in the defense, and

1310
01:06:07,280 --> 01:06:09,240
Speaker 4: I don't see any value in their number. A lot

1311
01:06:09,360 --> 01:06:14,680
Speaker 4: of major changes at them staff roster, so not sold

1312
01:06:14,720 --> 01:06:16,800
Speaker 4: on that secondary, but they're going to be in the mix.

1313
01:06:16,840 --> 01:06:19,120
Speaker 4: In Oklahoma, I think it's the schedule, and I project

1314
01:06:19,160 --> 01:06:21,800
Speaker 4: them at seven and a half wins Texas A and M.

1315
01:06:22,280 --> 01:06:24,040
Speaker 4: By the way, among all those teams I just mentioned,

1316
01:06:24,120 --> 01:06:26,320
Speaker 4: that's the best quarterback in my opinion when he's healthy,

1317
01:06:27,440 --> 01:06:30,360
Speaker 4: plus a big coaching bump, get all their toughest games

1318
01:06:30,400 --> 01:06:34,960
Speaker 4: at home, Aggie's futures. Let's get it done.

1319
01:06:35,080 --> 01:06:37,000
Speaker 1: How about you. It's a quick summary of your favorite

1320
01:06:37,000 --> 01:06:37,640
Speaker 1: bets in the SEC.

1321
01:06:38,200 --> 01:06:39,960
Speaker 3: I got two favorite bets. I'm going to take Arkansas

1322
01:06:40,000 --> 01:06:42,080
Speaker 3: on the over four and a half. If you blindly,

1323
01:06:42,640 --> 01:06:45,120
Speaker 3: you blindly think the Bobby Petrino can increase his team's

1324
01:06:45,120 --> 01:06:47,040
Speaker 3: win total, you'd be right, because he's done it everywhere

1325
01:06:47,080 --> 01:06:51,760
Speaker 3: he's went, even the vast tattooing desert of Texas A

1326
01:06:51,840 --> 01:06:54,240
Speaker 3: and M. Offensive football, he was able to get turned around.

1327
01:06:54,320 --> 01:06:56,560
Speaker 4: So I should have worre my Missouri state shirt today.

1328
01:06:56,960 --> 01:07:00,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, you can count on here and Armstrong wrong Sitana

1329
01:07:01,360 --> 01:07:04,000
Speaker 3: Luke has Taylor Green's got a lot of weapons around

1330
01:07:04,040 --> 01:07:07,840
Speaker 3: him in a fresh offensive line with the right offensive coordinator.

1331
01:07:08,320 --> 01:07:10,000
Speaker 3: Defensive line is good. We got to watch out for

1332
01:07:10,080 --> 01:07:12,440
Speaker 3: that secondary. But I do like Arkansas over four and

1333
01:07:12,480 --> 01:07:15,160
Speaker 3: a half. I think they're gonna go bowling this year.

1334
01:07:15,840 --> 01:07:17,840
Speaker 3: I am confident in the brace.

1335
01:07:17,920 --> 01:07:19,600
Speaker 1: Bet on that that goes bowling.

1336
01:07:20,000 --> 01:07:22,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, yep, neck brace.

1337
01:07:22,280 --> 01:07:23,880
Speaker 1: Bet on the neck brace. If they go to the ball,

1338
01:07:23,920 --> 01:07:25,480
Speaker 1: I'll do it. If not, you do it.

1339
01:07:25,840 --> 01:07:27,960
Speaker 3: Arkansas loses her first seven games of the year, you

1340
01:07:28,040 --> 01:07:30,840
Speaker 3: can find me week eight in a neck brace. I'll

1341
01:07:30,880 --> 01:07:33,080
Speaker 3: do it. We'll do one segment and we'll talk about that.

1342
01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:36,520
Speaker 3: So I think outside of the wind total. I have

1343
01:07:36,680 --> 01:07:38,560
Speaker 3: to mention again the Old Miss game of the year

1344
01:07:38,640 --> 01:07:43,200
Speaker 3: spot against Florida, Poor Florida. This schedule in November is brutal.

1345
01:07:43,640 --> 01:07:45,640
Speaker 3: Not only do all of these heavy teams come in

1346
01:07:45,840 --> 01:07:48,600
Speaker 3: with a bye week, but you're gonna after playing Georgia

1347
01:07:49,000 --> 01:07:52,480
Speaker 3: and Texas and LSU, you're gonna have to line up

1348
01:07:52,520 --> 01:07:54,560
Speaker 3: and play Old Miss and they're all star squad coming

1349
01:07:54,600 --> 01:07:56,280
Speaker 3: off of a bye week. And oh, by the way,

1350
01:07:56,360 --> 01:07:58,120
Speaker 3: if you have any energy left in the tank, are

1351
01:07:58,160 --> 01:08:00,320
Speaker 3: you already thinking about Florida State the next next week?

1352
01:08:01,240 --> 01:08:03,320
Speaker 3: The team in state rival That's the biggest game on

1353
01:08:03,400 --> 01:08:06,320
Speaker 3: the schedule. Ole Miss minus six and a half in

1354
01:08:06,400 --> 01:08:08,880
Speaker 3: a game of the year. That is the absolute spot

1355
01:08:09,000 --> 01:08:10,760
Speaker 3: of the year of any team that I've seen in

1356
01:08:10,880 --> 01:08:13,240
Speaker 3: FBS football. Give me that for game of the year.

1357
01:08:13,280 --> 01:08:15,400
Speaker 3: Old miss Rebels minus six and a half against Florida.

1358
01:08:15,960 --> 01:08:17,640
Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it. It'll be a hell of

1359
01:08:17,680 --> 01:08:19,760
Speaker 1: a year in the stacked and loaded.

1360
01:08:19,600 --> 01:08:23,800
Speaker 4: Sec where it just means more. Thanks for joining me, Colin,

1361
01:08:24,560 --> 01:08:27,479
Speaker 4: Thanks to our bruss on the back end. Most fuorly

1362
01:08:27,520 --> 01:08:29,439
Speaker 4: thanks to all of you for checking out all of

1363
01:08:29,520 --> 01:08:32,640
Speaker 4: our previews. If you missed any they will all be

1364
01:08:32,720 --> 01:08:35,400
Speaker 4: out by now. If you're watching on YouTube, thank you.

1365
01:08:35,960 --> 01:08:38,040
Speaker 4: If you haven't hit subscribe at that subscribe button. If

1366
01:08:38,040 --> 01:08:40,479
Speaker 4: you're just listening and haven't gone to YouTube, go there

1367
01:08:40,520 --> 01:08:43,840
Speaker 4: and subscribe for us. Really helps us out. Wherever you

1368
01:08:43,920 --> 01:08:47,320
Speaker 4: listen to us on podcasts, subscribe on Subscribe subscribe. Tell

1369
01:08:47,360 --> 01:08:48,880
Speaker 4: friend toe on enemy Leo a five star review. It

1370
01:08:48,880 --> 01:08:51,519
Speaker 4: doesn't matter what you say. Tell us about your favorite

1371
01:08:51,560 --> 01:08:54,519
Speaker 4: win total, but I'll do a bunch of giveaways for

1372
01:08:54,600 --> 01:08:58,640
Speaker 4: anyone that leads a five star review, so appreciate that

1373
01:09:00,080 --> 01:09:02,679
Speaker 4: for what it's worth. If you listen to all these previews,

1374
01:09:04,160 --> 01:09:06,080
Speaker 4: timing you might listen to them two weeks after we did,

1375
01:09:06,200 --> 01:09:09,479
Speaker 4: numbers might have moved. We will do a recap of

1376
01:09:09,560 --> 01:09:11,679
Speaker 4: all of our favorite bets. Go through all the conference

1377
01:09:12,560 --> 01:09:15,840
Speaker 4: during the week zero betting review, So it's a good

1378
01:09:16,120 --> 01:09:18,320
Speaker 4: time to kind of Hey, let me catch up where

1379
01:09:18,360 --> 01:09:20,640
Speaker 4: everything stands. If you missed any bets you we'll talk

1380
01:09:20,680 --> 01:09:22,880
Speaker 4: about if we still see value where our favorite bets

1381
01:09:22,920 --> 01:09:25,880
Speaker 4: still lie, So make sure you check that out. Before

1382
01:09:25,880 --> 01:09:27,600
Speaker 4: we know the season will be here. But thanks for

1383
01:09:27,840 --> 01:09:31,960
Speaker 4: joining us. As always, cannot wait to sweat all season

1384
01:09:32,520 --> 01:09:34,840
Speaker 4: with all of you. Thanks for tuning in again. We'll

1385
01:09:34,880 --> 01:09:35,639
Speaker 4: catch all other years.

1386
01:09:35,960 --> 01:09:50,320
Speaker 3: Peace Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

1387
01:09:50,400 --> 01:09:52,920
Speaker 3: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1388
01:09:53,280 --> 01:09:55,880
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1389
01:09:56,000 --> 01:09:56,719
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler