Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. We'll drive me to the Great
Speaker 1: episode four nineteen. As always, this episode of What's Right
Speaker 1: When the Grid has brought to you by our friends
Speaker 1: at boost Mobile. A reminder to everyone, please like great
Speaker 1: subscribe to the show. A reminder all our lines are
Speaker 1: from our good friends at hard Rock Bet. And this
Speaker 1: weekend Monday, I got crushed and I was watching the
Speaker 1: game from a sportsbook in Philly where I had been
Speaker 1: playing poker in the morning, and the Bills game that is,
Speaker 1: and I just kept betting the Bills because I was
Speaker 1: so sure I was on the right side of it.
Speaker 1: And then I just left four very sad tickets at
Speaker 1: the little booth I had set up at the sportsbook afterwards.
Speaker 1: So here's how we've done. The playoffs have ruined us,
Speaker 1: and I have made an executive decision that my season
Speaker 1: law record and my playoff record are separate entities. So
Speaker 1: I know the graphic is about to tell you that
Speaker 1: the season long record, I'm now four games under five hundred,
Speaker 1: But the reality is for the season I was exactly
Speaker 1: five hundred. For the playoffs, I'm guaranteed a stone loser.
Speaker 1: But this regular season is where the circa contest is
Speaker 1: just regular season. Me versus Danny is just regular season.
Speaker 1: This is what we call coping because I'm not doing well.
Speaker 1: Here were my four picks this weekend. I had the
Speaker 1: Bills plus one at Denver. I don't think I was
Speaker 1: on the wrong side of it. They they At one
Speaker 1: point it looked like before Josh Allen threw the final interception,
Speaker 1: they were about to be the first the second team
Speaker 1: in eighty seven playoff games to lose the turnover battle
Speaker 1: by three and win anyway. They turned the ball over
Speaker 1: five times and lost by a field goal in overtime.
Speaker 1: But that it's a loser. I can't so much say
Speaker 1: I was on the right side of San Francisco plus
Speaker 1: seven at Seattle. That might be Deman's the shortest amount
Speaker 1: of time anyone's ever been covering a bet. I was
Speaker 1: getting seven points, so you start off covering Seattle, returned
Speaker 1: the opening kickoff for a touchdown, and then just covered
Speaker 1: the whole way. That was a stone loser. New England
Speaker 1: minus three against Houston. I was again, I mean I
Speaker 1: won it and I was on the right side of it.
Speaker 1: And the Rams minus four at Chicago. They're up seven.
Speaker 1: It's fourth down. Caleb Williams is retreating forty yards backwards
Speaker 1: for a nice little cover and we lose. So again,
Speaker 1: I feel like I liked my process on three of
Speaker 1: the four doesn't matter. I went one and four and
Speaker 1: then or one and three, and then to add a
Speaker 1: little twist to the knife, I got greedy in the
Speaker 1: National Championship game. I had that game clocked exactly right
Speaker 1: that I thought Miami was very live, that Miami was
Speaker 1: better than people thought that Miami could get. Oh, I
Speaker 1: don't know with stand a punt blocked for a touchdown
Speaker 1: and still have a chance to win the game. But
Speaker 1: instead of taking the eight and a half points, I
Speaker 1: bet them on the money line at plus two sixty. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and that's another loser. So you, on the other hand,
Speaker 1: UH had the same two losers as me and Bills
Speaker 1: and Niners, but you had New England as a winner,
Speaker 1: the Bears as a winner, and Miami plus eight and
Speaker 1: a half. So your gambling success continues. I'm happy for you.
Speaker 1: Just brutal, Just brutal. I don't know what if we're
Speaker 1: gonna be on the same side on these two conference
Speaker 1: championship games, we're gonna get to those in a moment.
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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee vir all right, demon's time now
Speaker 1: for Knicks picks. We will start with the NFC Championship game.
Speaker 1: Go ahead, man.
Speaker 2: The NFC Championship game has the Seahawks and Rams, who
Speaker 2: have seen each others twice this year, and both of
Speaker 2: those were tightly contested games. You going as far to
Speaker 2: say that this is the de factos Super Bowl? Do
Speaker 2: you care to explain that?
Speaker 1: Yeah? I just I think that there are certain times
Speaker 1: when it's very clear that one of the conference championship
Speaker 1: games is going to determine is the of the three
Speaker 1: games remaining, the two best teams aren't going to be
Speaker 1: playing in the Super Bowl. They're playing this weekend, and
Speaker 1: I would be stunned if the winner of this game
Speaker 1: does not win the Super Bowl. And this was the
Speaker 1: case in ninety four when we had Niners Cowboys NFC
Speaker 1: Championship game with the Chargers waiting on the other side
Speaker 1: of it. This was the case in six when we
Speaker 1: had Patriots Colts AFC Championship game with the Rex Grossman
Speaker 1: Bears waiting on the other side of it. And that's
Speaker 1: what I think we have this weekend. And I you know,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do this, I guess a little clunky. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna tell you my pick in this game now, and
Speaker 1: then I'll explain why I think the Rams win. So
Speaker 1: I'll take the Rams plus two and a half. I
Speaker 1: Seattle has been unbelievable all year, and they are in
Speaker 1: some very impressive historical territory as far as teams that
Speaker 1: score as many points per game as they do more
Speaker 1: than twenty five and allow as few points per game
Speaker 1: as they do less than seventeen. Their defense is awesome,
Speaker 1: their coach is awesome. They do have home field advantage.
Speaker 1: With that said, and Darnald you know, has earned at
Speaker 1: the very least everyone's respect, even he hasn't quite earned
Speaker 1: everyone's trust. With that said, Stafford is in such a
Speaker 1: different tier as than donald and McVeigh. As great as
Speaker 1: Mike McDonald is, I think mcveigh's the second best coach
Speaker 1: in the NFL, and some of mcvay's game management stuff
Speaker 1: late can be a little vexing, but I have felt
Speaker 1: like the Rams were the best team all year long.
Speaker 1: I should say all year long, but there's certainly the
Speaker 1: best NFC team throughout most of the year, and the
Speaker 1: best team overall the last few months. I don't mind
Speaker 1: demons that they haven't played their best game in these playoffs.
Speaker 1: I think that I know what their best game looks like.
Speaker 1: I know they have it in them. I've seen them
Speaker 1: play their best defensive game of the season against Seattle
Speaker 1: when they forced the four interceptions, and I saw them
Speaker 1: play their best offensive game of the year against Seattle
Speaker 1: when Stafford threw for four point fifty that game on
Speaker 1: Thursday night. That was a that was for the one seed. Essentially,
Speaker 1: it was criminal the Rams lost that game. They were
Speaker 1: in full and total control of that game. Rashid Shahed
Speaker 1: returns a pump for a touchdown. They have another like
Speaker 1: reverse was I think it was to Shahied where he
Speaker 1: gets them down inside the ten. There was the really
Speaker 1: fluky backward pass two point conversion, remember where they then
Speaker 1: pick the ball up in the end zone and they
Speaker 1: get the two point conversion. And then in overtime Stafford
Speaker 1: drives right down the field, they score a touchdown and
Speaker 1: they can't get a stop on Darnold, who at that
Speaker 1: point was playing great. I just believe I think this
Speaker 1: is the Rams year. I think that Stafford has cemented himself.
Speaker 1: Stafford is going to be. If I'm right that he's
Speaker 1: winning the MVP, he has cemented himself as a Hall
Speaker 1: of Famer league MVP plus super Bowl championship plus the
Speaker 1: counting numbers, is gonna be a Hall of Famer. If
Speaker 1: he makes another Super Bowl, much less wins another super Bowl,
Speaker 1: then you do start having interesting historical discussions of Stafford
Speaker 1: versus Big Ben Stafford versus Drew Brees, like though, that's
Speaker 1: the territory that he starts to eke into. And so
Speaker 1: I like the Rams in this spot. And I'm not
Speaker 1: gonna say demonse that I think Darnald is gonna melt,
Speaker 1: but I think melt is more likely than awesome game
Speaker 1: I might. And so I Seattle's a tough place to play,
Speaker 1: and the Rams trying to do something only a handful
Speaker 1: of teams have done, which is three straight road games
Speaker 1: and route to the super Bowl. But I think they
Speaker 1: can do it. I like the Rams plus the two
Speaker 1: and a half, where the the where.
Speaker 2: You are one, I'm on Seahawks minus the points. I
Speaker 2: think this will actually be like more of a low
Speaker 2: scoring game. And I believe in Seattle's defense a little
Speaker 2: bit more than I believe in the Rams. I just
Speaker 2: I think it will be tightly contested. Seahawks will be
Speaker 2: able to pull it off.
Speaker 1: Seattle's defense is unbelievable and it wouldn't stun me at
Speaker 1: all if they you know, if they win it, the
Speaker 1: Seattle can make the case, guys, we've been the best
Speaker 1: team in the league start to finish that the first
Speaker 1: game of the year, we lost a weird one to
Speaker 1: the Niners where Darnold fumbled when they looked like they
Speaker 1: were going to be going in for the game winning touchdown.
Speaker 1: We lost another weird one to the Bucks thirty eight
Speaker 1: to thirty five, where we had it we were up
Speaker 1: thirty five twenty eight with a minute ten left and
Speaker 1: then gave up a touchdown, turned the ball over Bucks
Speaker 1: field goal. And we lost that one game to the
Speaker 1: Rams twenty one to nineteen, where we lost by two
Speaker 1: points despite the fact that our quarterback turned it over
Speaker 1: four times. Seattle has a legit claim the starting to finish,
Speaker 1: they've been the best team. I just believe in the
Speaker 1: Rams this weekend, all right.
Speaker 2: Next, So the Patriots find themselves facing that Denver defense
Speaker 2: and no bo Nicks. They're in a decent situation right now.
Speaker 2: They got Jared Stidham, What are your thoughts on this one?
Speaker 2: I think this could be spicy.
Speaker 1: So I do too. So I think that the combination
Speaker 1: of the shakiness of the Pats offensive line plus how
Speaker 1: loose Drake May has been with the football, plus the
Speaker 1: crowd noise in Denver, which is going to help the
Speaker 1: Broncos pass rush immensely because the Patriots are gonna have
Speaker 1: to go to a silent count Drake May's first career
Speaker 1: road playoff game. All of that means this is a
Speaker 1: game that I think could be played in the teams.
Speaker 1: And if it's a game that's going to be played
Speaker 1: in the teams and I'm getting five and a half
Speaker 1: points with it with the home team, all take those
Speaker 1: five and a half points. I think the Stidham piece
Speaker 1: of this. Demanse is super interesting because he only has
Speaker 1: four career starts, he hasn't started in two years, and
Speaker 1: he's getting his first start in a conference championship game.
Speaker 1: All of that is horrifying. However, he's twenty nine years old,
Speaker 1: so he's experienced. Sean Payton made it a priority to
Speaker 1: go get him and right when he got to Denver
Speaker 1: and then re sign him after two years his first
Speaker 1: career start ever came against a really good Niners team.
Speaker 1: He put up three hundred yards and three touchdowns. There
Speaker 1: is something there where you know what I mean. And
Speaker 1: we saw Denver throughout the year in games bo Nicks
Speaker 1: didn't play well, we saw Denver keep it close and
Speaker 1: find a way to win. Now. I don't expect Stidham
Speaker 1: to be as good on you know, when these clutch
Speaker 1: drive situations as bo Nicks had been, but I do
Speaker 1: think he will be passable, and I think that. I
Speaker 1: think Drake May is more likely to turn the ball
Speaker 1: over in this game than Sidham is. The Patriots are
Speaker 1: more likely to be able to overcome that, but I
Speaker 1: like the Broncos plus the points. I think this is
Speaker 1: a seventeen thirteen twenty one to seventeen seventeen fourteen type
Speaker 1: of game where New England wins. I do think the
Speaker 1: Patriots win, but I think the Broncos cover. They're the
Speaker 1: biggest home dog in a championship game since the merger.
Speaker 1: They're the first home dog in a championship game in
Speaker 1: a decade. The last one was the Broncos hosting the Patriots,
Speaker 1: with Peyton Manning hosting Old Peyton Manning hosting Tom Brady,
Speaker 1: and I had. As much as it pains me, I
Speaker 1: have to give Sean Payton credit. He hauled his shot
Speaker 1: on this team and he's been right. And the Broncos
Speaker 1: just won an unbelievable game against Buffalo. They earned the
Speaker 1: one seed, and I think that they are gonna be
Speaker 1: able to greatly impact to the Patriots passing game. So
Speaker 1: even though I think the Patriots find a way to
Speaker 1: win and we get a Super Bowl of the one
Speaker 1: and two MVP finalists, Stafford in May, I'll take Denver
Speaker 1: plus the points. Where do you fall on that?
Speaker 2: I'm taking Denver with the points, and I honestly think
Speaker 2: they can end up winning this game. I think they
Speaker 2: They definitely went up playing the game five and a half,
Speaker 2: definitely comfortable with. But yeah, and I honestly think Stidham
Speaker 2: is it's like that that feeling when nobody expects anything
Speaker 2: of you, and just like I don't think anybody expects
Speaker 2: him to deliver out there, So if he does, he does,
Speaker 2: and I don't think they they might not find themselves
Speaker 2: in this situation where they are having to come back
Speaker 2: because he wasn't playing bad the whole game.
Speaker 1: Well, you do raise an interesting point, which is, this
Speaker 1: is the only scenario the Patriots could have found themselves
Speaker 1: in where they're on the road in the AFC Championship game,
Speaker 1: in Drake May's second year as a starter, in Mike
Speaker 1: Rable's first year as a head coach, and all the
Speaker 1: pressure is on them. Yes, and so I do find
Speaker 1: that at least somewhat interesting. Real quick, you guys, ever,
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Speaker 1: All right, Demon's a teasers are tough in the playoffs
Speaker 1: because you don't have you usually have the whole league
Speaker 1: to look through. And so now and you're a little
Speaker 1: bit forced. Last week you tease Seattle of plus one
Speaker 1: stone winner, Buffalo to plus nine winner, Houston to plus eleven,
Speaker 1: and CJ just killed you, just killing.
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, should have tease the Patriots there, obviously,
Speaker 2: but but yeah, so that one's a loser three. So
Speaker 2: this one's a little weird. This one's more man made.
Speaker 2: It's a three point eight point alternate line parlay at
Speaker 2: minus one o two. So I'm teasing New England up
Speaker 2: to plus two and a half and the Rams to
Speaker 2: plus ten and a half, and then I'm taking the
Speaker 2: under on the Rams Seahawks game, and that's at fifty five.
Speaker 1: Okay, you added points to the total as well. Okay,
Speaker 1: uh let me can I can? I mean, you're a
Speaker 1: change what you just nought New England. You just thought
Speaker 1: New England could that the Broncos could win. I did,
Speaker 1: And now you're teasing the Patriots tough.
Speaker 2: I mean I trust that I trust the Patriots. No, no, no,
Speaker 2: I trust the Patriots to keep it close more than
Speaker 2: I trust the Broncos to win the game. Like I think,
Speaker 2: even if the Patriots were to lose the game, I
Speaker 2: still think it'd be a close game, and I believe
Speaker 2: New England will win it. But I also wouldn't be
Speaker 2: shocked if Broncos.
Speaker 1: If the Broncos, no, I buy all that, which is
Speaker 1: why if that if on the screen right there it
Speaker 1: said New England plus three and a half, I would
Speaker 1: feel better. But just because you're saying keep it close,
Speaker 1: you can be the Patriots lose by three.
Speaker 2: Yeah, or I could just right I could just tease
Speaker 2: the Broncos up in that direction. But I guess I'm
Speaker 2: telling them myself.
Speaker 1: I will get here.
Speaker 2: I might believe in New England more, but I do.
Speaker 1: I got the game. I gotta tell you, I this
Speaker 1: is a This is why Tea's in the playoffs so hard.
Speaker 1: Five and a half points. A five and a half
Speaker 1: point spread is the nutlow, the single worst point spread
Speaker 1: for an eight point teaser. Because you tease the face,
Speaker 1: you tease the favorite, you don't get the field goal
Speaker 1: because you're a plus two and a half, you tease
Speaker 1: the dog, you don't get two full touchdowns, you're at
Speaker 1: plus thirteen and a half. You're just it's just the
Speaker 1: worst possible number to have to tease on. So I'm
Speaker 1: not I'm not there. You don't have a lot of
Speaker 1: options here. It's just a rough one. Speaking of rough ones, yeah,
Speaker 1: last week, I was like, I'm not giving you one touchdown, Genie,
Speaker 1: I'm doing a three touchdown Genie parlay of uh Davante, Adam,
Speaker 1: Josh Allen and Pooka Akua and those three guys all
Speaker 1: didn't score a touchdown. I guess that's better than going
Speaker 1: two for three. Ye and so I mean Kyron Williams
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown plus one twenty five, That's what I'm going with. Okay,
Speaker 1: Kyron Williams Rams running back anytime touchdown, That's the one
Speaker 1: I'm going with. I also took an offer last week,
Speaker 1: a totals offer that also went over two. That was bad.
Speaker 1: I had under and Niner Seahawks. This Niners scored six
Speaker 1: points and the under did not come in. I had
Speaker 1: the over and Rams Ben actually that game, that game
Speaker 1: went to overtime and the over didn't come in. Stone Losers.
Speaker 1: I'm giving America really really rough week, to which I say,
Speaker 1: I'm not taking anybody stupid all. I'm not doing it.
Speaker 1: I don't want to hear it. I'm not taking it.
Speaker 1: I have no animation. I'm not doing it a reminder
Speaker 1: everybody like rate, subscribe, review, enjoy Championship weekend. Thank you
Speaker 1: to boost hard Rock Bet. Thank you to our great
Speaker 1: friends at the Volume and at Blue Dock. Talk to
Speaker 1: you guys soon. What's right,