WEBVTT - AI Payoff in Focus During Tech Earnings Bonanza

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and Ever though in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 3>Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft all out with earnings and

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<v Speaker 3>big AI dreams.

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<v Speaker 4>Four companies ED are expected to spend as much as

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<v Speaker 4>seven hundred and twenty five billion dollars in twenty twenty six,

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<v Speaker 4>but the key question being whether that massive spending is

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<v Speaker 4>providing tangible results. We'll discuss throughout this hour, and we

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<v Speaker 4>fixate on these numbers.

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<v Speaker 5>And you said it best. It was in seventy seconds.

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<v Speaker 5>The fire hose ensued last night and Alphabet is the

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<v Speaker 5>clear winner. We're at a record high.

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<v Speaker 4>Google really posting strength in its cloud division one than

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<v Speaker 4>sixty percent growth. Yes, they are opping their capital expenditure

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<v Speaker 4>to one hundred and ninety billion dollars. Amazon also committing

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<v Speaker 4>its capital expenditure. Look all together, this is actually growing GDP.

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<v Speaker 4>We saw the numbers for the US economy strengthen on

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<v Speaker 4>the business outlaws that Amazon puts to work with again,

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<v Speaker 4>growth in its aws twenty eight percent growth. That was enough,

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<v Speaker 4>but still maybe we're coming off of our near record

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<v Speaker 4>highs in that stock.

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<v Speaker 3>All four have the capital expensure story in common alphabet,

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<v Speaker 3>Amazon and Microsoft. They had the cloud growth metric in common.

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<v Speaker 3>Azure grew forty percent in the quarterer. Their briefing modest

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<v Speaker 3>acceleration of cloud growth in the second half of this year.

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<v Speaker 3>Meta is the outlier. It is down nine percent on

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<v Speaker 3>one point, on track for its biggest drop since October.

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<v Speaker 3>It told us the capital expenditures up to one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>and forty five billion dollars this year. It gave us

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<v Speaker 3>an outlook for sales that was in line with consensus.

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<v Speaker 3>But then there was not that one extrametric about how

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<v Speaker 3>AI is being justified, how the payoff is translating to

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<v Speaker 3>them with their go to market.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, let's try and translate therefore, because yesterday's frenzy and

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<v Speaker 4>offered eight glimpse and just how some of the world's

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<v Speaker 4>biggest tech companies are doing in AI. And this is

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<v Speaker 4>what some of the big tech leaders had to say

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<v Speaker 4>post earnings release.

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<v Speaker 6>Looking ahead. Our ability to invest in this moment and

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<v Speaker 6>stay at the frontier, you know, I think puts us

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<v Speaker 6>in a strong position, and I think we are doing

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<v Speaker 6>it based on tangible demand signal sphere, seeing.

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<v Speaker 7>Nobody has a better sort of chips across AI and

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<v Speaker 7>CPU workers in aws with training and Gravitan.

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<v Speaker 8>And we're unusually well positioned for this AI inflection.

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<v Speaker 4>We're in the early stages of experiencing.

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<v Speaker 5>From CEOs to the investor. Take Ioka.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, that's portfolio consulting director at Wealth Enhancement Group, who

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<v Speaker 4>I'm pleased to say has exposure to all of the

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<v Speaker 4>four names. I Okay, let's start with a winner. Alphabet

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<v Speaker 4>blew the market away. Is it justified the increase in.

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<v Speaker 9>Spending absolutely, you know, they continue to see this exponential

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<v Speaker 9>demand in AI, whether it was through Google Cloud or

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<v Speaker 9>through their backlog doubling quarter over quarter. So yes, the

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<v Speaker 9>spending is definitely justified. And they've been doing a great

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<v Speaker 9>job of being a low cost token provider for AI.

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<v Speaker 9>So we continue to think that there is some momentum

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<v Speaker 9>here with Alphabet.

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<v Speaker 4>And in many ways that's because of the vertical integration

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<v Speaker 4>one that is replicated over at Amazon and we're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>a huge backlog more than three hundred and sixty billion

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<v Speaker 4>dollars worth of coming to business for Amazon and AWSKA.

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<v Speaker 4>What did you make of Amazon's numbers in the flywheel effect.

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<v Speaker 9>Sure, Now, it's great to see that acceleration in AWS growth.

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<v Speaker 9>I mean we're talking big numbers here, and so to

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<v Speaker 9>see an acceleration of AWS growing twenty eight percent year

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<v Speaker 9>every year versus last quarters twenty four percent, we haven't

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<v Speaker 9>seen these kinds of acceleration in these growth rates from

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<v Speaker 9>AWS in quite some time, and so it's really nice

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<v Speaker 9>to see, and it really sort of doubles down on

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<v Speaker 9>the demand that everybody is seeing on the AI front.

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<v Speaker 3>MG, give me the capital expenditures numbers for all four

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<v Speaker 3>and let's show shares of Nvidia, and now YOURKO explain

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<v Speaker 3>this to me, right, the overall CAPEX environment has been

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<v Speaker 3>raised for twenty twenty six. Nvidia, which you think would

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<v Speaker 3>be the biggest beneficiary, is down three and a half

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<v Speaker 3>percent in the in the session and one of the

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<v Speaker 3>biggest point drags at the index level.

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<v Speaker 9>Why so, I think there was so much conversation yesterday

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<v Speaker 9>regarding you know, whether it's Trainium, Graviton, Google talking about

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<v Speaker 9>their TPUs, you know, customs, Silicon and you know, the

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<v Speaker 9>sort of shift as we move more towards inference that

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<v Speaker 9>is really going to be a benefit to you know,

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<v Speaker 9>things like companies like Broadcom right, and so I think

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<v Speaker 9>perhaps people are thinking that Nvidia isn't going to be

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<v Speaker 9>the beneficiary as this infrastructure continues to build out. But

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<v Speaker 9>I do think Nvidia is going to be the base

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<v Speaker 9>layer here and you're going to continue to need to

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<v Speaker 9>build out those large language models. You're just going to

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<v Speaker 9>get that added additional benefit from CPUs as well going forward.

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<v Speaker 3>So I wanted to take that sort of halftime pause

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<v Speaker 3>before we move on to the other two Microsoft and

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<v Speaker 3>Meta Microsoft, I guess it was an issue of language, right,

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<v Speaker 3>they showed forty percent Azure growth and said modest acceleration

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<v Speaker 3>into the second half of this year. The stock is

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<v Speaker 3>actually down more than you might think it would be.

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<v Speaker 9>Absolutely with Microsoft, you know, I think it was still

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<v Speaker 9>a very solid earnings growth number, and it's it's you know,

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<v Speaker 9>it got caught up and a lot of the software

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<v Speaker 9>downdraft that we saw in the first quarter of this year.

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<v Speaker 9>But Microsoft is continuing to you know, deliver solid earnings.

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<v Speaker 9>We think that, you know, this is a great opportunity

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<v Speaker 9>to continue to own these shares and that acceleration you'll

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<v Speaker 9>see in the back half. I think Copilot is you know,

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<v Speaker 9>one of the AI use cases in which enterprise are

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<v Speaker 9>going to gravitate towards first, and so we continue to

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<v Speaker 9>think there's some value there.

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<v Speaker 4>So you would be adding to Microsoft in this weakness

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<v Speaker 4>because actually it was one of the only names that

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<v Speaker 4>was down on the year leading into these numbers.

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<v Speaker 9>Absolutely. I mean, you know, I think the biggest issue

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<v Speaker 9>for all of these companies is the free cash flow numbers.

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<v Speaker 9>You know, as the CAPPAC spend continues to rise, you know,

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<v Speaker 9>despite these double digit revenue growth numbers that they're posting

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<v Speaker 9>along with solid profit margin and expansions, the free cash

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<v Speaker 9>flow continues to sort of dwindle. And I think that's

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<v Speaker 9>the biggest issue in terms of how much do you

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<v Speaker 9>pay for these companies as that free cash flow continues

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<v Speaker 9>to be pressured and how long will it continue to

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<v Speaker 9>be pressured.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, so let's the three of us try and unpick

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<v Speaker 3>what happened with Meta. The stocks down ten perent on

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<v Speaker 3>track for its biggest drop since October thirtieth. The outlook

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<v Speaker 3>for revenue in the current period was a range of

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<v Speaker 3>fifty eight to sixty one billion dollars, basically bang in

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<v Speaker 3>line with consensus, and then there wasn't another number right,

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<v Speaker 3>There wasn't another metric Yoko that said all of this

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<v Speaker 3>investment into AI is paying off.

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<v Speaker 2>You know.

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<v Speaker 9>I think we saw some nice numbers in terms of

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<v Speaker 9>ad pricing. You know, that was up twelve percent, and

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<v Speaker 9>so I think it was it was solid, but not great.

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<v Speaker 9>I think it wasn't a blowout or some sort of

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<v Speaker 9>acceleration there. And then we haven't had some you know,

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<v Speaker 9>great efficiency numbers or any kind of quantifiable, tangible numbers

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<v Speaker 9>coming out of news Spark and what that means.

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<v Speaker 5>So you know, just I.

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<v Speaker 9>Think there's a little bit of impatience relative to investors

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<v Speaker 9>for Meta, but I think that that's going to come

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<v Speaker 9>around and again metas in control of that cat back spend,

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<v Speaker 9>so they can dial it back if they need to.

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<v Speaker 9>I think the higher CAPBAC spend does reflect a lot

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<v Speaker 9>of the additional costs that you're seeing from an in perspective,

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<v Speaker 9>whether it's energy or memory chips, those are all flowing through,

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<v Speaker 9>So I'm not sure they're intentionally spending that much more.

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<v Speaker 9>I think a lot of this is that cost a

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<v Speaker 9>push that is impacting CAPBAC spend.

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<v Speaker 4>Yees seasonly talking about those component PRICESCO pushes forward you

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<v Speaker 4>alsow an a Apple comes after the bell. Can they

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<v Speaker 4>show some resilience that they can compete in the AI

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<v Speaker 4>space even if they're not having to invest in the

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<v Speaker 4>same solch fog.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 9>Now, Apple's been, you know, a great follower in technology, right.

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<v Speaker 9>They tend to perfect the user experience when it comes

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<v Speaker 9>to new technology, and so we continue to think that

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<v Speaker 9>they're working on that, whether it's with new enhancements to Siri,

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<v Speaker 9>and you know, we do think that they continue to

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<v Speaker 9>be very diligent when it comes to their free cash flow,

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<v Speaker 9>and you continue to see that they're not spending as

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<v Speaker 9>much when it comes to this arms race for ai.

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<v Speaker 3>Oyoko Yoshioka from Wealth Enhancement Group, thank you very much

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<v Speaker 3>for joining us on Bloomberg Tech. Another story out of Asia.

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<v Speaker 3>Overnight Samsung shares actually kind of modestly lowered down two percent,

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<v Speaker 3>but record profits over the March quarter. In fact, we're

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<v Speaker 3>talking about the chip division where profits sored forty eightfold.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a story about AI spending, just as we've been discussing,

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<v Speaker 3>but also what Bloomberg's now call calling the memory chip

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<v Speaker 3>super psychle Samsung exposure to both on the fab side,

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<v Speaker 3>on the memory side, as well shares kind of in

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<v Speaker 3>career pretty muted Cara.

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<v Speaker 4>Now Quilcom's got exposure to both, and this is a

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<v Speaker 4>story of trying to pivot into the world of AI

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<v Speaker 4>spending and more away from the complete exposure it had

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<v Speaker 4>to mobile phones up seventeen percent, stop us down after hours.

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<v Speaker 4>The volatility is extraordinary. We've all focused on this mystery

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<v Speaker 4>leading Hyperscala Customs silicon engagement that they've got that they

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<v Speaker 4>say is on track initial shipments later.

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<v Speaker 5>This calendar year.

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<v Speaker 4>This is the pivot that many want to see in

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<v Speaker 4>the Avesta base. Yes you're in automotive, Yes you're in

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<v Speaker 4>the phones, Yes you're in the IoT space, but are

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<v Speaker 4>you in data centers? They're saying they're going to be soon.

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<v Speaker 4>And look at the CEO, Christiano Amon's going to be

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<v Speaker 4>joining us later. This out to tell us a little

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<v Speaker 4>bit more what a ride Now coming up, we're all's

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<v Speaker 4>going to be diving into anthropics ride, the push to

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<v Speaker 4>ramp up fundraising, weighing a fresh round that would value

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<v Speaker 4>the startup more than nine hundred billion dollars. That was

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<v Speaker 4>your conversation that you had ed with Anthor. Well, you've

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<v Speaker 4>been helping focus on throw. But you're also be having

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<v Speaker 4>a conversation with the Stripe president John Collinson.

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<v Speaker 5>After the company.

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<v Speaker 4>Announced new AI tools and a new partnership with Google.

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<v Speaker 5>There's a blueberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 3>Anthropic has begun weighing a fresh funding round that could

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<v Speaker 3>value the AI developer at more than nine hundred billion dollars,

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<v Speaker 3>according to sources, potentially over taking long time rival open

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<v Speaker 3>Ai is the world's most valuable AI startup. Bloomberg's and

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<v Speaker 3>the Sasha Mascaraneus part of the team that break the

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<v Speaker 3>story with us. Now, I think we've got to be

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<v Speaker 3>very specific with this. This is investors going to Anthropic

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<v Speaker 3>and saying, let's do this, but take that and give

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<v Speaker 3>us the details that we have so far.

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<v Speaker 10>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>Sure.

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<v Speaker 10>So last week we talked about unsolicited term sheets getting

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<v Speaker 10>headed Anthropics way at around an eight hundred billion valuation.

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<v Speaker 3>Which we said Anthropic rebuffed. They basically said no, thank

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<v Speaker 3>you exactly.

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<v Speaker 10>The update now is that Anthropic is actually engaging in

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<v Speaker 10>those conversations at her nine hundred billion valuation even higher.

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<v Speaker 10>But no term sheet has been signed. So this is

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<v Speaker 10>not one of those deals where we expect to see

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<v Speaker 10>a press release.

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<v Speaker 5>The ink dry by end of day.

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<v Speaker 10>This is one of those deals where Anthropic is hearing

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<v Speaker 10>his offers and is responding to the investors that have

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<v Speaker 10>approached them, And it comes in the backdrop of you know,

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<v Speaker 10>Google and Amazon putting tons of capital into Anthropic at

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<v Speaker 10>around a three hundred and fifty billion valuation. So to me,

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<v Speaker 10>this is a really interesting example of there being kind

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<v Speaker 10>of two tales of capital raising at the same time.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Natasha, why the change of hot? Is it a

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<v Speaker 5>change of hot?

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<v Speaker 4>Is there a need that the fool they could tap

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<v Speaker 4>the public markets because we're all been talking about an

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<v Speaker 4>IPO for this.

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<v Speaker 5>Year, you know.

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:28.479
<v Speaker 10>It's it's pretty much the standard dance in AI fundraising

0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:31.800
<v Speaker 10>these days, is how I see it. When investors approach

0:12:31.880 --> 0:12:34.480
<v Speaker 10>a company with an offer to invest a million, things

0:12:34.520 --> 0:12:36.719
<v Speaker 10>could be you know, wrong, so to speak. It could

0:12:36.760 --> 0:12:40.040
<v Speaker 10>be the wrong investor, the wrong price. With Anthropic, we

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:43.520
<v Speaker 10>all know very clearly that they need capital to fund

0:12:43.559 --> 0:12:47.000
<v Speaker 10>their compute needs. It's why they've brought on so many strategics.

0:12:47.040 --> 0:12:50.040
<v Speaker 10>It's also what financial investors are frankly, you know, taking

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.440
<v Speaker 10>advantage of by saying, listen, we'll come to you before

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 10>you go public. We'll offer you a fresh you know,

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 10>tranch of capital, get it all ready and then go public.

0:12:59.520 --> 0:13:02.120
<v Speaker 10>And so is it a change of heart? I would say, yeah,

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 10>It's different than them completely ignoring the offers. These are

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:09.199
<v Speaker 10>serious investors that are approaching them with real capital offers.

0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:11.920
<v Speaker 10>The next thing to break is who they'll accept and

0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:14.000
<v Speaker 10>at what price. Like we said right now, it's at

0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:18.000
<v Speaker 10>above a nine hundred billion valuation, which if accepted, would

0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:19.720
<v Speaker 10>surpass their biggest rival, Open AI.

0:13:20.360 --> 0:13:21.560
<v Speaker 5>Natasha Mascariness.

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:24.800
<v Speaker 4>It's great reporting along Psyde colleagues, including ed we appreciate it.

0:13:24.880 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 3>Now.

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:28.200
<v Speaker 4>Sticking with anthropic, the National Security Agency has been testing

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 4>the startups new AI model Mythos to find cybersecurity vulnerabilities

0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 4>in popular software, including Microsoft products.

0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:34.360
<v Speaker 11>Now.

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:36.800
<v Speaker 4>That's according to a US official and a source who

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 4>say that an essay officials studying the Mythos model, well,

0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.760
<v Speaker 4>they've been impressed. Right speed is sufficiency in searching for

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:44.599
<v Speaker 4>potential security flaws it.

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:49.360
<v Speaker 3>White House officials have spent months preparing a memo that

0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:53.640
<v Speaker 3>outlines requirements for AI deployment by national security agencies.

0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:55.040
<v Speaker 2>Sources help bloombag.

0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:58.880
<v Speaker 3>The wide ranging policy will touch on issues that have

0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:00.920
<v Speaker 3>been at the center of the feud between the Pentagon

0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:05.800
<v Speaker 3>and Anthropic. Let's get more with Bloomberg's Maggie Eastland in DC. Maggie,

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 3>what are you reporting?

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.120
<v Speaker 12>Yeah again, Ed, as you said, the White House is

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 12>preparing this National Security memo. It aims to essentially set

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:18.840
<v Speaker 12>one standard for how a swath of agencies can work

0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 12>with and contract with AI companies. But what's especially interesting

0:14:23.360 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 12>is it addresses each of those key fault lines that

0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 12>we saw come up as Anthropic and the Pentagon we're

0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:32.760
<v Speaker 12>in this very tense feud that resulted in a legal

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:34.080
<v Speaker 12>supply chain designation.

0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:37.120
<v Speaker 5>So the fault lines, let's dig in.

0:14:37.160 --> 0:14:41.600
<v Speaker 4>Does this end up allowing federal agencies a workaround here,

0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 4>an ability to keep on using Anthropics technology.

0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:49.960
<v Speaker 12>Some officials said that they do view this as a

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 12>workaround now. One senior official that we talked to disputed that,

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:56.440
<v Speaker 12>but they one of the key terms here is this

0:14:56.520 --> 0:15:00.960
<v Speaker 12>idea that it directs agencies to diversify the model companies

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:03.520
<v Speaker 12>that it's working with. Now, some view this as a

0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:06.840
<v Speaker 12>way that the Pentagon could drop some of the more

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 12>extreme legal measures that would force it to fully excise

0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:14.080
<v Speaker 12>Anthropic and instead point to this memo, which says that

0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:16.600
<v Speaker 12>the supply gene risk can be dealt with simply by

0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:19.840
<v Speaker 12>working with other AI providers, which the Pentagon is already

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 12>doing in its agreements with open Ai and Xai.

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:26.880
<v Speaker 4>Totally fascinating reporting Bloomberg's Maggie Eastland, thanks for bringing it

0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 4>now to another closely watched AI story. Elon Musk is

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:32.880
<v Speaker 4>set to take the stand again today in his lawsuit

0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 4>over open AI's pivot from a charity to a for

0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:36.360
<v Speaker 4>profit business.

0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 9>Now.

0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:41.000
<v Speaker 4>Elon Musk became visibly irritated during cross examination yesterday, clashing

0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 4>with open AI's lawyer over the exact amount he contributed

0:15:44.160 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 4>to the startup. Now, the billionaire is set to wrap

0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 4>up his testimony today, and we followed by his longtime

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 4>well maybe we call him Fixer and Neuralink CEO Joed Burchill.

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.600
<v Speaker 3>Stripe is partnering with Google to let businesses transact inside

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 3>of AI mode and the Gemini app. This was part

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:09.960
<v Speaker 3>of a slew of announcements made a Stripe's annual customer conference.

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 3>We cut up with stripe president and co founder John Collison.

0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 7>I think when people talk about this it seems really

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:20.000
<v Speaker 7>far off, and maybe part of that is, you know,

0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:25.400
<v Speaker 7>the the examples people give almost sounds incredibly far off

0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:27.520
<v Speaker 7>where it's like, oh, I'll just have my AI agent

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:31.080
<v Speaker 7>plan my entire summer vacation. You know, in transfer, it's like, no,

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:33.000
<v Speaker 7>you love planning to the subberfication, you want to do

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 7>that yourself. Whereas if you say, okay, you just give

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:41.000
<v Speaker 7>your AI this is the recipe I'm making tonight by

0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 7>the things I don't have in the fridge already. Like

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 7>that's the kind of delegation that you know, people are

0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:48.360
<v Speaker 7>much more comfortable with, and so we think people and

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 7>AI services will kind of work their way up the

0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:53.560
<v Speaker 7>trust curve. Where again, it's already the case that the

0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 7>research you're doing, the research you're doing, you do within

0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 7>the AI app. You're probably still confirming that directly, but

0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 7>it might get the case where you're allowing the AIS

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:05.200
<v Speaker 7>make small decisions for you and especially as it gets

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:07.159
<v Speaker 7>to know you. And so again, on the developer side,

0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:10.159
<v Speaker 7>imagine you're building a website and you need a hosting

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 7>provider or you need to buy a domain name for us.

0:17:13.520 --> 0:17:15.280
<v Speaker 7>Today it's the case that you go and you like

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:17.640
<v Speaker 7>find the domain name buying service yourself, and you could

0:17:17.640 --> 0:17:19.479
<v Speaker 7>go fill out the form and everything like that. You

0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:21.159
<v Speaker 7>just want a domain name, you can get it for

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:24.399
<v Speaker 7>multiple providers. You'd probably be okay with cloud code or

0:17:24.400 --> 0:17:28.000
<v Speaker 7>Codex or cursor, you know, whatever you're using actually choosing

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:30.640
<v Speaker 7>how to buy a domain for you. And so it's

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:32.200
<v Speaker 7>already the case that people are doing a lot of

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 7>interactive buying with AIS where they're improving the final step.

0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:38.520
<v Speaker 7>We think people are already starting to have a little

0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 7>bit in a huge amount of what we announced today

0:17:40.440 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 7>is those little decisions. People are delegating them to the

0:17:43.600 --> 0:17:45.639
<v Speaker 7>ice buying your domain name. Again, it's the example I

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:47.960
<v Speaker 7>would give, and then as they start to see that

0:17:48.000 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 7>it works really well, people will just give them more

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 7>and more.

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:51.399
<v Speaker 9>Rope.

0:17:51.560 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 3>Google has not historically led in payments. The partnership that

0:17:56.920 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 3>you've been through today and the changes in integrating Stripe

0:17:59.840 --> 0:18:03.520
<v Speaker 3>in to AI mode in Gemini, does that change their

0:18:03.560 --> 0:18:04.879
<v Speaker 3>fortunes in that market.

0:18:06.359 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I think Google has done a phenomenal job

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:12.200
<v Speaker 7>in commerce generally, and I mean again, Google pay is

0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:15.439
<v Speaker 7>very large and successful within the Android ecosystem, and so

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:18.480
<v Speaker 7>I don't think that will be quite a fair characterization.

0:18:18.560 --> 0:18:21.600
<v Speaker 7>I think they've done a phenomenal job enabling commerce. And again,

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 7>this is a new tool in the toolbox for them

0:18:25.119 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 7>where now they're enabling within Gemini these amazing agenda commerce experiences,

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:31.359
<v Speaker 7>which again we think just has to be the future

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:34.359
<v Speaker 7>because it's so much more convenient for consumers. It's never

0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:36.480
<v Speaker 7>been the case in technology when you get a way

0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.920
<v Speaker 7>more convenient way of working for consumers. But they picked

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:40.880
<v Speaker 7>the less convenient one.

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 2>It's never happened.

0:18:42.080 --> 0:18:45.399
<v Speaker 4>That was Strike President co founder John Collison, creat interview ed.

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:48.119
<v Speaker 4>Now we've got to get back to earnings. We're going

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:49.720
<v Speaker 4>to be getting back with them with Brad Erickson from

0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 4>OBBC Capital Markets. To believe Alphabet's future growth and multiple

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:57.000
<v Speaker 4>expansion are constrained some extent not constrained on the market

0:18:57.119 --> 0:19:00.679
<v Speaker 4>right now, are we alphabet best point added to to

0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:03.240
<v Speaker 4>then as that one hundred leads the way and we're

0:19:03.240 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 4>at a record high.

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:08.920
<v Speaker 3>We're trying to find the common story between all four companies, right,

0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:12.240
<v Speaker 3>Capital expenditures is probably it, but I think that you

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:14.600
<v Speaker 3>know what all four companies said is that they are

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:18.919
<v Speaker 3>constrained in capacity, right, they cannot build the infrastructure that

0:19:18.960 --> 0:19:21.840
<v Speaker 3>they need quick enough to service. In the case of

0:19:21.840 --> 0:19:25.520
<v Speaker 3>alphabt Amazon and Microsoft external demand and one thing carry

0:19:25.560 --> 0:19:29.399
<v Speaker 3>you probably get this right, you know, Meta is internal

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:34.600
<v Speaker 3>demand for workloads, not necessarily something that's consumer facing, and it's.

0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:35.400
<v Speaker 5>Getting more expensive.

0:19:35.440 --> 0:19:37.560
<v Speaker 4>Maybe the one hundred and forty five billion dollar that

0:19:37.600 --> 0:19:40.520
<v Speaker 4>they guided to gets less banned for the buck when

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:43.879
<v Speaker 4>memory prices have sawed, when component prices have sawed. This

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:46.200
<v Speaker 4>is something that we saw Susan Lee really talk about

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:47.919
<v Speaker 4>the fact that pricing pressure is going up, and so

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:49.960
<v Speaker 4>maybe that impacts how much capex they have to spend.

0:19:50.040 --> 0:19:52.760
<v Speaker 4>What's interesting there is the kapux is firm for the

0:19:52.800 --> 0:19:53.720
<v Speaker 4>infrastructure layer.

0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:55.520
<v Speaker 5>Why then is Nvidio down.

0:19:55.840 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 4>It seems as though a lot of them are talking

0:19:57.640 --> 0:19:59.399
<v Speaker 4>up their own inn house chips.

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 3>Things could be true. It could be that the TPU

0:20:02.800 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 3>is coming for them, as outlined on the call last night.

0:20:05.240 --> 0:20:08.160
<v Speaker 3>It could be sell the news, and it could be Qualcom,

0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:10.320
<v Speaker 3>which we'll get to later in the programs. They are

0:20:10.480 --> 0:20:15.120
<v Speaker 3>the data center business.

0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:20.200
<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech and let's take a look

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 4>at today's big number. We've talked about it already, seven

0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 4>hundred and twenty five billion dollars. That is how much Amazon, Alphabet, Meta,

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:31.400
<v Speaker 4>Microsoft together alone are expected to spend in twenty twenty six,

0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 4>upping their AI spending plans after their March quarter, but

0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:39.080
<v Speaker 4>with still a key question when will we see return

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:41.800
<v Speaker 4>on all this AI spending. Well, we saw it from

0:20:41.840 --> 0:20:45.359
<v Speaker 4>Alphabet and people are applauding the numbers because Google Cloud

0:20:45.400 --> 0:20:47.879
<v Speaker 4>on farm more than sixty percent growth and we're seeing

0:20:47.920 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 4>really it doing the flywheel effect because they're vertically integrated

0:20:51.640 --> 0:20:53.640
<v Speaker 4>business model and the fact that you people are using

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:56.920
<v Speaker 4>their AI tools up seven percent record high Amazon, that

0:20:57.000 --> 0:20:59.879
<v Speaker 4>fly will effect are still there. They create and have customs.

0:21:00.240 --> 0:21:03.280
<v Speaker 4>But of course they're also making moves on Cloud Aws

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:04.720
<v Speaker 4>twenty and eight percent growth.

0:21:04.960 --> 0:21:06.080
<v Speaker 5>But maybe we come off near.

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:08.960
<v Speaker 4>Record highs on that share price down five percent is

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:09.840
<v Speaker 4>Microsoft and.

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:10.600
<v Speaker 5>That's more interesting.

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:13.399
<v Speaker 4>Yes, they also are spending more, leaning into one hundred

0:21:13.400 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 4>and ninety billion dollars spend for the year. They're also,

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:19.080
<v Speaker 4>though maybe not managing to ramp up the asual growth

0:21:19.119 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 4>as much as people anticipated, but it's still going to

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:22.840
<v Speaker 4>be a healthy forty percent in future quarters. It's at

0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:25.760
<v Speaker 4>thirty nine percent of this particular quarter. Move on and

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:28.720
<v Speaker 4>see what's happened. In terms of Meta. I'm afraid we

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:32.159
<v Speaker 4>are not applauding Meta's commitment to capital expenditure because they

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:33.399
<v Speaker 4>don't have a cloud offering.

0:21:33.440 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 5>Thus yet let's just have a little listen to what

0:21:35.640 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 5>Mark Zuckerberg really had to.

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:41.159
<v Speaker 4>Say about well, where his spending is going yesterday.

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:44.680
<v Speaker 8>We are increasing our infrastructure capex forecast for this year.

0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:48.680
<v Speaker 8>Most of that is due to higher component costs, particularly

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:52.360
<v Speaker 8>memory pricing. But every sign that we're seeing in our

0:21:52.440 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 8>own work and across the industry gives us confidence in

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:59.680
<v Speaker 8>this investment. That said, we are very focused on increasing

0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:01.439
<v Speaker 8>thefficiency of our investments.

0:22:03.320 --> 0:22:06.120
<v Speaker 3>Let's get into it with RBC's Internet analyst Brad Erickson,

0:22:06.119 --> 0:22:10.479
<v Speaker 3>whose pre earnings report flagged metas quote elevated investment cycle.

0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:12.000
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, that's what we got.

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:16.679
<v Speaker 3>Meta is a company that operates social media platforms and

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:19.720
<v Speaker 3>it makes money from advertising, and at the same time

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:21.600
<v Speaker 3>it will spend at the high end one hundred and

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:26.040
<v Speaker 3>forty five billion dollars in infrastructure to support its work

0:22:26.040 --> 0:22:30.679
<v Speaker 3>in AI. For me, there just wasn't that number that

0:22:30.880 --> 0:22:34.159
<v Speaker 3>explained this is the result of that investment. This is

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:37.520
<v Speaker 3>how our AI work is getting traction with the world.

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Is that your tape, Brad, Yeah, I.

0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:45.200
<v Speaker 13>Think that's a very fair way to sort of look

0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:49.560
<v Speaker 13>at it. You know, each quarter that ticks off with

0:22:49.680 --> 0:22:53.040
<v Speaker 13>all of these companies, right, we fair or unfair, We

0:22:53.119 --> 0:22:55.199
<v Speaker 13>have to evaluate kind of what have you done for

0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 13>me lately relative to that spend. And clearly the cloud

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:04.120
<v Speaker 13>commercial cloud vendors last night are the ones showing sort

0:23:04.160 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 13>of the best return, particularly with that margin upside, whereas

0:23:07.880 --> 0:23:11.280
<v Speaker 13>with Meta you've got a deceleration. Just start there, right,

0:23:11.320 --> 0:23:13.840
<v Speaker 13>the revenue was fine in the quarter, but you do

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 13>have a little bit more deceleration in their guidance for

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:19.359
<v Speaker 13>Q two, And then they were the only ones to

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:22.959
<v Speaker 13>raise the capex guide at least on an organic basis, Right,

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:25.679
<v Speaker 13>Amazon and Google. Google had to raise their capex, but

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.200
<v Speaker 13>it wasn't It was because of an acquisition, not because

0:23:28.200 --> 0:23:31.119
<v Speaker 13>of higher component pricing. So yeah, it's just a tough

0:23:31.320 --> 0:23:34.959
<v Speaker 13>combination for you know, kind of that next day stock reaction.

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:39.560
<v Speaker 3>I use Meta AI. I'm sure Caroline uses Meta AI too,

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:41.360
<v Speaker 3>but I don't pay for it. I use it within

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:44.879
<v Speaker 3>the Instagram app for example. Or I'm awarer of ray

0:23:44.960 --> 0:23:47.840
<v Speaker 3>Ban metas and you know voice based assistant version of

0:23:47.840 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 3>Meta AI. A parallel example was Alphabet giving us data

0:23:51.920 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 3>quarter on quarter for Gemini's enterprise growth. You know, Meta

0:23:56.440 --> 0:23:59.879
<v Speaker 3>doesn't have that sales channel, so what is it that

0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:03.200
<v Speaker 3>Mark Zuckerberg can say other than meuse spark The latest

0:24:03.200 --> 0:24:06.640
<v Speaker 3>model is making ads better that will convince the street. Yeah,

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:07.639
<v Speaker 3>let's keep going with this.

0:24:08.760 --> 0:24:11.639
<v Speaker 13>Yeah sure, yeah, I mean there's always going to be optimization, right,

0:24:11.680 --> 0:24:15.600
<v Speaker 13>They drive you know, more content recommendation gets people staying

0:24:15.600 --> 0:24:18.720
<v Speaker 13>on there for longer, they show more ad impressions, they

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 13>find people with better ads that convert more. So there's

0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:25.240
<v Speaker 13>all sorts of value creation that's still going to happen there.

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.120
<v Speaker 13>But yeah, I kind of agree with you. I think,

0:24:28.200 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 13>you know, clearly, on the enterprise, there's a far more

0:24:30.280 --> 0:24:35.840
<v Speaker 13>compelling argument for you know, enterprise developers adopting things like

0:24:35.920 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 13>Gemini or Anthropic or chat GPT, where I think the

0:24:40.960 --> 0:24:43.199
<v Speaker 13>idea though, that we're kind of broaching for people. We

0:24:43.280 --> 0:24:46.040
<v Speaker 13>call it born on Meta, and what it means is

0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:50.040
<v Speaker 13>we actually think there's big opportunities that are probably underappreciated

0:24:50.480 --> 0:24:54.000
<v Speaker 13>for meta to almost start to like help small businesses

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 13>start exist and execute entirely on meta.

0:24:58.600 --> 0:25:00.840
<v Speaker 2>We think that's a possibility in the future.

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:04.560
<v Speaker 13>Right today, you start a small business somewhere else, you

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:05.800
<v Speaker 13>come to Meta to market.

0:25:05.880 --> 0:25:07.480
<v Speaker 2>It's certainly helpful for the business.

0:25:07.800 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 13>But they've only participated in kind of that advertising portion

0:25:11.000 --> 0:25:15.679
<v Speaker 13>of it. Imagine if meta ai started like helping you idate, originate,

0:25:15.920 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 13>literally start businesses on the platform that were specifically geared

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:24.360
<v Speaker 13>around success with the ads. Right, Like, there's a connection

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 13>there that I think the Superintelligence group is aiming to make.

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:30.600
<v Speaker 13>And I think it's subtle at this point, but it's

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:33.320
<v Speaker 13>a topic we're kind of trying to elevate for people

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:35.840
<v Speaker 13>because I think that might be the more compelling way

0:25:35.880 --> 0:25:37.600
<v Speaker 13>that they use meta AI in the future.

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:42.120
<v Speaker 4>Briefly, there was lip service given by in a statement

0:25:42.680 --> 0:25:45.680
<v Speaker 4>Susan Lee that there's the regulatory overhang and that could

0:25:45.760 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 4>impact future revenues. How much is that What if you

0:25:49.040 --> 0:25:52.320
<v Speaker 4>at the moment, Brad, you.

0:25:52.240 --> 0:25:55.120
<v Speaker 13>Know, that's a you know you're here to it referred

0:25:55.119 --> 0:25:57.480
<v Speaker 13>to as kind of the big Tobacco moment. I mean

0:25:57.480 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 13>that would be relative to kind of social media usage

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:04.520
<v Speaker 13>broadly in today's world, that would be such a seismic change.

0:26:05.200 --> 0:26:08.879
<v Speaker 2>It's a risk. We worry about a lot of stuff

0:26:08.920 --> 0:26:09.520
<v Speaker 2>on stocks.

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:12.680
<v Speaker 13>That's something that's completely out of sort of everyone's control

0:26:12.720 --> 0:26:15.239
<v Speaker 13>at this point. But yeah, if that happens and they

0:26:15.280 --> 0:26:18.240
<v Speaker 13>are forced to kind of throttle usage for users below

0:26:18.280 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 13>a certain age. It will absolutely meaningfully impact the business.

0:26:22.560 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 13>It's also just one of those things. A it's totally unpredictable.

0:26:25.920 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 13>Be you know, there will be like years of appeals involved,

0:26:29.480 --> 0:26:31.960
<v Speaker 13>and so I don't want to say a fine or

0:26:32.000 --> 0:26:34.760
<v Speaker 13>a settlement looks more likely, but historically we've seen that

0:26:34.880 --> 0:26:38.120
<v Speaker 13>be kind of the primary outcome of these types of situations.

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:41.080
<v Speaker 4>Obviously's Internet analyst Brad Erics. I'm really glad we could

0:26:41.080 --> 0:26:43.640
<v Speaker 4>dig into metal with you, Thank you very much. Indeed, look,

0:26:43.720 --> 0:26:47.320
<v Speaker 4>we've got more earnings Apple reports later today its first release.

0:26:47.440 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 4>Is the iPhone maker really announced the hardware chief, John Turners,

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:52.000
<v Speaker 4>will succeed the CEO, Tim Cook.

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:53.920
<v Speaker 5>Let's get the details of what to expect.

0:26:54.000 --> 0:26:56.440
<v Speaker 4>Mumbo's Mark Gumman like almost is it a sideshow of

0:26:56.520 --> 0:26:57.160
<v Speaker 4>the earnings?

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean this is going to be quite interesting.

0:27:01.280 --> 0:27:03.359
<v Speaker 14>Right a week ago they announced that Tim Cook is

0:27:03.359 --> 0:27:07.440
<v Speaker 14>stepping down September first, being replaced by John Turnis.

0:27:07.520 --> 0:27:08.680
<v Speaker 2>As we anticipated.

0:27:09.280 --> 0:27:11.879
<v Speaker 14>I'll be looking out for any other new color on

0:27:11.920 --> 0:27:14.160
<v Speaker 14>the transition. If Turnus is going to speak and gives

0:27:14.240 --> 0:27:17.600
<v Speaker 14>some insights to Wall Street for the first time, I'm

0:27:17.640 --> 0:27:18.640
<v Speaker 14>going to be interested.

0:27:18.359 --> 0:27:19.919
<v Speaker 2>To see how that all gets split.

0:27:20.000 --> 0:27:20.160
<v Speaker 9>Up.

0:27:20.320 --> 0:27:25.000
<v Speaker 14>Obviously, from a numbers perspective, we're expecting some pretty numbers, right,

0:27:25.320 --> 0:27:27.920
<v Speaker 14>thirteen to sixteen percent year every year revenue increases. What

0:27:27.960 --> 0:27:31.680
<v Speaker 14>Apple guided a few key factors in there. The biggest

0:27:31.680 --> 0:27:35.760
<v Speaker 14>one is pent up demand for iPhones seventeen, Pro and

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:39.160
<v Speaker 14>Promax that launched last September. Obviously, but there were some

0:27:39.160 --> 0:27:42.280
<v Speaker 14>supply chain constraints through the tail end of the first quarter,

0:27:42.720 --> 0:27:46.520
<v Speaker 14>which means that some sales led into the second quarter,

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:49.320
<v Speaker 14>so we'll see a bit of an iPhone increase because

0:27:49.359 --> 0:27:50.240
<v Speaker 14>of those products.

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 2>And then they had their wave.

0:27:51.880 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 14>Of new Mac and iPad and iPhone seventeen launches very

0:27:56.560 --> 0:27:58.480
<v Speaker 14>much at the tail end of the March quarter, which

0:27:58.520 --> 0:28:01.840
<v Speaker 14>obviously contributed as well. The MacBook Neo has been a

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:04.440
<v Speaker 14>strong seller, so you're likely to see a big jump

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:05.480
<v Speaker 14>in Mac revenue as well.

0:28:06.680 --> 0:28:09.520
<v Speaker 3>Mark, I think we're showing Apple shares up modestly half

0:28:09.520 --> 0:28:12.280
<v Speaker 3>percentage point, treading water until tonight, but we should probably

0:28:12.320 --> 0:28:15.920
<v Speaker 3>address how much of a leading indicator Qualcomm is right

0:28:15.960 --> 0:28:18.760
<v Speaker 3>they told us that the Android market in China will

0:28:18.760 --> 0:28:21.840
<v Speaker 3>bottom in Q three. Memory pricing is clearly an issue.

0:28:22.320 --> 0:28:26.440
<v Speaker 3>What data do we have about Apple facing similar issues?

0:28:27.520 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 14>You know, the Qualcom stuff is interesting. Actually, it's hard

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:34.879
<v Speaker 14>to put two and two together at this point, just

0:28:34.920 --> 0:28:38.680
<v Speaker 14>because the android market is not selling well in particular

0:28:39.080 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 14>parts of the world like China. You know, there's no

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:43.560
<v Speaker 14>telling if that means that the iPhone is also not

0:28:43.720 --> 0:28:46.320
<v Speaker 14>selling well. It's possible if the android market is not

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:49.400
<v Speaker 14>selling well because people are buying iPhones instead. So I

0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:51.400
<v Speaker 14>probably wouldn't read too much into.

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:54.600
<v Speaker 3>It, Okay, bluebos Mark Gunman on deck after the market

0:28:54.640 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 3>closed today for a big Apple print, Thank you very much.

0:29:03.960 --> 0:29:06.800
<v Speaker 3>One three seven Ventures as raised seven hundred million dollars

0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:10.160
<v Speaker 3>split across two new funds. The firm has put money

0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:15.240
<v Speaker 3>behind some familiar names like Anderil, Gusto Ramp, and SpaceX.

0:29:15.560 --> 0:29:19.440
<v Speaker 3>Justin Fishner Wolfson, founder and managing partner at one three seven.

0:29:19.440 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 2>Joins us here in San Francisco. Good morning.

0:29:22.320 --> 0:29:24.200
<v Speaker 3>This is interesting how you've done this.

0:29:24.200 --> 0:29:24.720
<v Speaker 6>This is.

0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:30.160
<v Speaker 3>Two funds where each sub's a purpose. It takes your

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 3>assets on the management to fifteen billion dollars. And I

0:29:32.960 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 3>mean this justin with respect. Your firm's gone a little

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 3>under the radar and now here you are arriving at

0:29:39.040 --> 0:29:39.560
<v Speaker 3>this moment.

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:42.840
<v Speaker 15>I mean, I think we've just been focused on investing.

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:46.640
<v Speaker 15>So maybe I think within the venture ecosystem people know us.

0:29:46.920 --> 0:29:49.040
<v Speaker 3>I want to talk about one of the funds in particular.

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:51.600
<v Speaker 3>I find this very interesting. The idea of some of

0:29:51.640 --> 0:29:56.240
<v Speaker 3>the capital is that you offer liquidity right to founders,

0:29:56.280 --> 0:30:00.720
<v Speaker 3>that you back their employees in different forms, why specifically

0:30:00.720 --> 0:30:01.880
<v Speaker 3>earmarks some money for that.

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:04.520
<v Speaker 15>So if you kind of rewind the clock, right, we

0:30:04.560 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 15>started the firm about sixteen years ago, and you know,

0:30:08.320 --> 0:30:11.080
<v Speaker 15>our thesis was that companies were going to stay private longer,

0:30:11.360 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 15>and the challenge of companies staying private longer was going

0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:19.320
<v Speaker 15>to be that founders, executives, employees were going to need liquidity.

0:30:18.920 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 2>Like working capital. I mean, look, if.

0:30:21.960 --> 0:30:23.760
<v Speaker 15>You start a company when you're twenty five and then

0:30:23.960 --> 0:30:26.120
<v Speaker 15>you know you end up being thirty five, right, Like

0:30:26.440 --> 0:30:28.320
<v Speaker 15>your life is different, Maybe you want to buy a house,

0:30:28.800 --> 0:30:31.080
<v Speaker 15>right in the same way, like all these companies need

0:30:31.120 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 15>more growth capital, right, And so we've seen the availability

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 15>of that expand in the private markets. And so you know,

0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:38.600
<v Speaker 15>our general view is if companies stay private longer, they're

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:40.560
<v Speaker 15>going to be more opportunities to invest in them.

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:41.800
<v Speaker 5>And opportunities.

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 4>Boy did you take you first invested in SpaceX for example,

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:49.040
<v Speaker 4>in twenty ten, you've written two dozen checks. It tells

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:52.560
<v Speaker 4>me into SpaceX since how much now do you own

0:30:52.880 --> 0:30:54.120
<v Speaker 4>a SpaceX if you're.

0:30:53.960 --> 0:30:54.600
<v Speaker 5>Able to do that.

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 15>I mean, I think at this point where I think

0:30:57.880 --> 0:31:00.360
<v Speaker 15>we own well over ten billion dollars, So it's a

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 15>it's a pretty big position for us. And we've had

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 15>a lot of conviction in the business over the last

0:31:05.280 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 15>fifteen sixteen years.

0:31:06.400 --> 0:31:07.880
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, we're excited.

0:31:08.160 --> 0:31:10.000
<v Speaker 4>I mean, if you were in in twenty ten, what

0:31:10.040 --> 0:31:12.880
<v Speaker 4>sort of returns can the LPs be expecting on this?

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:18.320
<v Speaker 15>Oh gosh, some of those some of those investments I

0:31:18.320 --> 0:31:21.240
<v Speaker 15>think are probably like kind of X investments at this point.

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:25.520
<v Speaker 3>It's interesting. You know, ten billion dollars of position is

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:29.200
<v Speaker 3>SpaceX I think would be around one percent of the company. Yeah,

0:31:29.240 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 3>but you've got a decision to make. So if we're

0:31:31.680 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 3>right and Bloomberg's reporting that a label the rook is

0:31:34.720 --> 0:31:39.360
<v Speaker 3>always right, Bloomberg is very often right. But we're reporting

0:31:39.360 --> 0:31:41.880
<v Speaker 3>that SpaceX, you know, goes public in late June and

0:31:41.960 --> 0:31:45.280
<v Speaker 3>evaluation of let's up to two trillion whatever, it ends

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:48.840
<v Speaker 3>up raising seventy five billion dollars. You keep talking about

0:31:48.840 --> 0:31:51.320
<v Speaker 3>the whole point of the firm is to invest in

0:31:51.400 --> 0:31:54.760
<v Speaker 3>companies over that longer time horizon. In that case, companies

0:31:54.800 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 3>were staying private longer. What do you do for your

0:31:57.720 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 3>LPs or for your firm in an IPI scenario? Do

0:32:00.720 --> 0:32:02.840
<v Speaker 3>you stick with it or what's the strategy?

0:32:03.560 --> 0:32:06.840
<v Speaker 15>I mean, I think the exciting part about SpaceX is

0:32:06.920 --> 0:32:09.320
<v Speaker 15>like the next twenty years of the business. And so

0:32:10.000 --> 0:32:13.920
<v Speaker 15>I agree with your question. I think it's a hard decision. Ultimately,

0:32:14.000 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 15>let's see where we get to. Right, We'll find out

0:32:15.840 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 15>what the company price is at. As you know, these

0:32:18.240 --> 0:32:20.960
<v Speaker 15>things tend to happen that night before, right, So I

0:32:21.000 --> 0:32:23.160
<v Speaker 15>think there's a lot of information between now and when

0:32:23.200 --> 0:32:25.760
<v Speaker 15>the IBO happens, and I think we're going to be

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:28.560
<v Speaker 15>happy with all outcomes, but we're sort of excited for

0:32:28.560 --> 0:32:29.440
<v Speaker 15>the next couple decades.

0:32:29.640 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 3>I wanted to look backward a little bit. You know,

0:32:31.920 --> 0:32:34.480
<v Speaker 3>the first investment around twenty ten. You had already had

0:32:34.520 --> 0:32:37.240
<v Speaker 3>a history of SpaceX from your time at Founder's Fund.

0:32:37.600 --> 0:32:40.600
<v Speaker 3>But if you did do two dozen checks over fifteen

0:32:40.680 --> 0:32:43.480
<v Speaker 3>sixteen years, what was that like. We make a lot

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:47.800
<v Speaker 3>on this program of Google and Fidelity Founders Fund coming

0:32:47.840 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 3>in in these bigger rounds, but you were able to participate.

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:54.120
<v Speaker 15>I mean, I think really the thing that we did

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:54.920
<v Speaker 15>is consistency.

0:32:55.000 --> 0:32:55.160
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:32:55.240 --> 0:32:57.480
<v Speaker 15>We were excited about the business, We had conviction about

0:32:57.520 --> 0:33:00.360
<v Speaker 15>the business, and so we kept investing, right, and some

0:33:00.400 --> 0:33:03.120
<v Speaker 15>people wrote it one check and that obviously was a

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 15>huge outcome. But we kind of showed in your We

0:33:06.040 --> 0:33:09.560
<v Speaker 15>showed up, you're in, you'ar out, and that's really paid off.

0:33:10.000 --> 0:33:15.840
<v Speaker 4>And now new people show up SPV access to retail.

0:33:16.680 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 4>Is that what naturally has to happen if we're going

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:22.920
<v Speaker 4>to get these companies staying private longer, what's the tension there?

0:33:24.640 --> 0:33:27.480
<v Speaker 15>I mean, once the company is public, obviously everyone will

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:30.040
<v Speaker 15>have an opportunity to invest in it. I think, you know,

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 15>as we've seen more capital become available in the private markets.

0:33:33.200 --> 0:33:35.160
<v Speaker 15>I mean you've seen, you know, some of the large

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:38.040
<v Speaker 15>crossover funds get involved. So I mean there's just there's

0:33:38.080 --> 0:33:41.200
<v Speaker 15>an incredible increase in the amount of capital available in

0:33:41.240 --> 0:33:43.680
<v Speaker 15>the private markets relative to you know, ten or fifteen

0:33:43.720 --> 0:33:45.560
<v Speaker 15>years ago. And so I do you think some of

0:33:45.560 --> 0:33:47.840
<v Speaker 15>these things are sort of the natural evolution of the

0:33:47.840 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 15>private markets.

0:33:48.880 --> 0:33:52.040
<v Speaker 3>Well, I SPVs, Sorry, I just wanted to you know,

0:33:52.080 --> 0:33:54.280
<v Speaker 3>I want to get an answer to your question because

0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:57.640
<v Speaker 3>on the show, we talked a lot about claimed ownership

0:33:58.240 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 3>of company SpaceX as a prime example, but Anderils sorts

0:34:01.600 --> 0:34:04.440
<v Speaker 3>about this as well. There are people out there purporting

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 3>to have a position, but they bought in through some

0:34:06.520 --> 0:34:10.000
<v Speaker 3>SPV structure ahead of an IPO. What's the reality of that.

0:34:10.080 --> 0:34:13.080
<v Speaker 3>What happens when when the real ownership becomes clear?

0:34:13.239 --> 0:34:14.799
<v Speaker 15>Well, I mean, I think the greater concern is just

0:34:14.840 --> 0:34:17.320
<v Speaker 15>fraud in the private markets, right, and so just because

0:34:17.560 --> 0:34:22.040
<v Speaker 15>people there's clearly been fraud in the SpaceX market, in

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:24.160
<v Speaker 15>the andro market, and you know, so I think that

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:27.000
<v Speaker 15>people need to be thoughtful about why who they're partnering

0:34:27.040 --> 0:34:29.399
<v Speaker 15>with and who they're doing business with, because I think

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:32.640
<v Speaker 15>we'll find out, I don't know, a year after the IPO,

0:34:32.719 --> 0:34:35.440
<v Speaker 15>when people think they're getting shares and they don't get them, right,

0:34:35.880 --> 0:34:37.920
<v Speaker 15>what actually happened that as of a lock up period.

0:34:38.360 --> 0:34:39.919
<v Speaker 15>There'll be some kind of lock up period or whatever.

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:41.800
<v Speaker 15>But I just think it takes a while for people

0:34:41.800 --> 0:34:44.560
<v Speaker 15>to like actually actually start demanding the shares that they

0:34:44.560 --> 0:34:46.360
<v Speaker 15>thought they owned. And I think that's going to be

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:49.560
<v Speaker 15>an unfortunate consequence of you know, some somember of bad

0:34:49.560 --> 0:34:51.120
<v Speaker 15>actors in the market and a.

0:34:51.040 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 4>Big claim and one I'm sure regulated to be looking

0:34:53.080 --> 0:34:55.239
<v Speaker 4>at one Blue Meg will continue to report on justin

0:34:55.280 --> 0:34:57.120
<v Speaker 4>Fishtahls and it's great to have some time with the

0:34:57.480 --> 0:35:01.759
<v Speaker 4>founder managing partner at one three seven Venture Now investors

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:07.000
<v Speaker 4>look at how they're cheering Qualcomm's entry into AI, sparking

0:35:07.000 --> 0:35:10.280
<v Speaker 4>the biggest inter day rally after their earnings since October.

0:35:10.320 --> 0:35:12.680
<v Speaker 4>This is after the company revealed it will ship custom

0:35:12.719 --> 0:35:16.080
<v Speaker 4>aichips to a major hyperscaler later this year, joining US now.

0:35:16.400 --> 0:35:22.840
<v Speaker 4>Qualcom CEO Cristiano a'mon, who is the Hyperscala Christiano.

0:35:23.880 --> 0:35:25.839
<v Speaker 11>I'll tell you all about it on June twenty four.

0:35:26.080 --> 0:35:28.279
<v Speaker 11>It's going to be It's going to be three days

0:35:28.320 --> 0:35:31.080
<v Speaker 11>after my birthday, June the twenty fourth.

0:35:31.120 --> 0:35:33.640
<v Speaker 4>We've got to hold on to But what does this

0:35:33.680 --> 0:35:36.640
<v Speaker 4>signal about? You have been a man who's committed to

0:35:36.680 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 4>telling the market that you are expanding the market. It's

0:35:39.640 --> 0:35:43.000
<v Speaker 4>not just about mobile phones while Qualcom has really dominated

0:35:43.040 --> 0:35:46.040
<v Speaker 4>the market share, but chips now in automotives, in IoT,

0:35:46.360 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 4>but really in the data center. What sort of town,

0:35:48.280 --> 0:35:51.080
<v Speaker 4>what sort of expansion of Colcom's business will this.

0:35:51.040 --> 0:35:51.440
<v Speaker 5>Mean for you?

0:35:52.440 --> 0:35:55.200
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, look, you know this is a great question, and

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:59.200
<v Speaker 11>I want to maybe start the answer by saying, you

0:35:59.239 --> 0:36:03.160
<v Speaker 11>know why we're not anybody you know bet on qualcom

0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:05.840
<v Speaker 11>diversification efforts. We started as a mobile company. If you

0:36:05.880 --> 0:36:08.120
<v Speaker 11>look at what we're doing right now, we expanded into PC,

0:36:08.320 --> 0:36:11.760
<v Speaker 11>we became one of the largest providers of semiconductor to automotive,

0:36:11.800 --> 0:36:14.120
<v Speaker 11>We're going to industry, we're going to robotics, we're going

0:36:14.200 --> 0:36:17.640
<v Speaker 11>to broadb in a networking and I think the data

0:36:17.640 --> 0:36:20.080
<v Speaker 11>center was a natural thing. We have been working on

0:36:20.120 --> 0:36:22.520
<v Speaker 11>this for the past couple of years. We've been consistently

0:36:22.560 --> 0:36:26.320
<v Speaker 11>saying we're building assets, we acquire companies psy Alpha Wave,

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:30.160
<v Speaker 11>we have a pretty good CPU, a very good accelerator.

0:36:30.280 --> 0:36:33.640
<v Speaker 11>We're not a small company. We shipped forty billion chips,

0:36:33.640 --> 0:36:36.480
<v Speaker 11>So I actually I don't know why people will bet

0:36:36.480 --> 0:36:39.200
<v Speaker 11>against Qualcom, but I think it's okay. We're just being

0:36:39.320 --> 0:36:42.560
<v Speaker 11>on this road to execution like we have done on

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:45.160
<v Speaker 11>the other business, and we're very exciting because I think

0:36:45.200 --> 0:36:48.360
<v Speaker 11>what's really happening right now as we enter this next

0:36:48.360 --> 0:36:51.880
<v Speaker 11>phase of AI. We went from training to inference now agents,

0:36:51.920 --> 0:36:56.040
<v Speaker 11>which actually would generate demand for tokens. It provides an

0:36:56.080 --> 0:36:59.920
<v Speaker 11>opportunity across the entire Qualcum business. All of those devices

0:37:00.000 --> 0:37:02.959
<v Speaker 11>where people are going to have agents running, where there's

0:37:03.040 --> 0:37:06.880
<v Speaker 11>phones and PCs, they're auto, they're going to go to

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:09.759
<v Speaker 11>an upgrade cycle, and then from the assets that we

0:37:09.800 --> 0:37:11.560
<v Speaker 11>build create opportunity for data.

0:37:11.320 --> 0:37:17.719
<v Speaker 3>Center Christiano, specificity is so important here you said, and

0:37:17.800 --> 0:37:19.360
<v Speaker 3>you can correct me if I'm wrong. You said it

0:37:19.400 --> 0:37:23.360
<v Speaker 3>was an asick product, which I think the markets looked

0:37:23.360 --> 0:37:26.319
<v Speaker 3>at and is a little bit surprised. So you are

0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:29.800
<v Speaker 3>not doing your own chip, you're not doing merchant silicon,

0:37:30.520 --> 0:37:32.640
<v Speaker 3>your own designs for market. You're doing an a sick

0:37:32.719 --> 0:37:34.600
<v Speaker 3>with someone.

0:37:35.320 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 11>So we have said that our data center product and

0:37:39.200 --> 0:37:40.920
<v Speaker 11>I need to make sure I don't front run my

0:37:41.480 --> 0:37:45.600
<v Speaker 11>investor day, but trying our data Yeah, I understand that

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:50.840
<v Speaker 11>my data center. My data center product offering includes twe vectors.

0:37:51.640 --> 0:37:55.399
<v Speaker 11>One is CPU. We are developing a CPU and we're

0:37:55.480 --> 0:37:58.520
<v Speaker 11>very flexible. We can provide we can provide a full

0:37:58.640 --> 0:38:01.440
<v Speaker 11>so SoC we can provide chip. So that's one asset.

0:38:02.040 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 11>The other asset is an accelerator. We have the accelerator

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:11.520
<v Speaker 11>with innovative memory architecture. We don't need HBM for the

0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:15.319
<v Speaker 11>disaggregated inference. The other one is the ability to do

0:38:15.440 --> 0:38:19.640
<v Speaker 11>custom chip, which when we acquire Alpha Wave, they have

0:38:19.800 --> 0:38:22.759
<v Speaker 11>both a lot of IP which is important for CUSTOMERSIC

0:38:22.880 --> 0:38:25.399
<v Speaker 11>as well as a custom chip team. When you put

0:38:25.440 --> 0:38:28.560
<v Speaker 11>everything together, it creates a lot of opportunities for Qualcom.

0:38:28.600 --> 0:38:32.960
<v Speaker 11>Now here's what is important to understand. The data center

0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:37.760
<v Speaker 11>market is highly concentrated. Is correctly there are but six

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:40.960
<v Speaker 11>to eight companies that represent the majority of it. And

0:38:41.040 --> 0:38:43.279
<v Speaker 11>when you see what's happening in the market right now,

0:38:43.320 --> 0:38:46.920
<v Speaker 11>a lot of solutions are becoming bespoke. They're no longer

0:38:47.520 --> 0:38:51.320
<v Speaker 11>just merchant solutions. So I think as Qualcom entered the space,

0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:53.640
<v Speaker 11>you should expect that we will offer a lot of

0:38:53.680 --> 0:38:58.440
<v Speaker 11>flexibility and we'll leverage our supply chain and our design

0:38:58.560 --> 0:39:02.000
<v Speaker 11>capability to do spoke products. And I think that's what

0:39:02.040 --> 0:39:02.600
<v Speaker 11>we're doing.

0:39:03.239 --> 0:39:06.040
<v Speaker 3>Four to six companies. That's interesting. So this depends on

0:39:06.080 --> 0:39:10.040
<v Speaker 3>your definition of hyperscaler. Like, for example, Meta is not

0:39:10.160 --> 0:39:14.200
<v Speaker 3>a cloud computing company, but it operates at hyper scale

0:39:14.760 --> 0:39:17.879
<v Speaker 3>its own data center infrastructure. So maybe that's what we're

0:39:17.880 --> 0:39:20.600
<v Speaker 3>talking about here, the definition of what is or is

0:39:20.680 --> 0:39:21.600
<v Speaker 3>not a hyperscaler.

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:26.640
<v Speaker 11>Look, I'm just gonna cut to the chase. We're talking

0:39:26.680 --> 0:39:30.000
<v Speaker 11>about a large hyperscalers. You should be thinking about one

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:34.080
<v Speaker 11>of the large cloud companies day we have today. It's

0:39:34.120 --> 0:39:37.760
<v Speaker 11>a scale business, so I think that's what we're talking about.

0:39:38.640 --> 0:39:40.760
<v Speaker 5>Oh, getting closer.

0:39:42.000 --> 0:39:44.640
<v Speaker 4>The potential customers therefore are four to six, but they're

0:39:44.719 --> 0:39:47.279
<v Speaker 4>huge and maybe they're even more than that. So just

0:39:47.440 --> 0:39:51.080
<v Speaker 4>can you get specific about how big the opportunity is

0:39:51.120 --> 0:39:53.400
<v Speaker 4>for this particular part of the business, how much you

0:39:53.440 --> 0:39:55.400
<v Speaker 4>think it could ramp up revenues, So that's something you're

0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:58.360
<v Speaker 4>able to push ahead before the investment meeting.

0:39:59.280 --> 0:40:01.959
<v Speaker 11>Look, we're not getting I don't want to get ahead

0:40:02.000 --> 0:40:05.319
<v Speaker 11>of our skis. We're executing. We're very pleased with the

0:40:05.360 --> 0:40:08.759
<v Speaker 11>engagement and what we said is it will be material

0:40:08.960 --> 0:40:11.640
<v Speaker 11>in fiscal twenty seven. Now, if you look at the

0:40:11.680 --> 0:40:15.319
<v Speaker 11>skill of the Quocom revenue base, so I think you know,

0:40:15.400 --> 0:40:19.160
<v Speaker 11>anything material to Qualcomm is probably in the multiple of

0:40:19.280 --> 0:40:22.600
<v Speaker 11>billion dollars in physical twenty seven. But look, we're just

0:40:22.640 --> 0:40:25.200
<v Speaker 11>starting and we're very happy with the progress we're making.

0:40:26.680 --> 0:40:29.440
<v Speaker 3>Christian, I think back very fondly to when you and

0:40:29.440 --> 0:40:31.560
<v Speaker 3>I are on stage together at the Bloombog Tech Summit.

0:40:31.560 --> 0:40:33.640
<v Speaker 3>I think it was three years ago now, and we

0:40:33.760 --> 0:40:37.000
<v Speaker 3>talked about the world where we switch to inference running

0:40:37.040 --> 0:40:40.480
<v Speaker 3>on device. But actually Qualcomm's story has really changed in

0:40:40.520 --> 0:40:43.239
<v Speaker 3>that time. Right, So in this world where we're moving

0:40:43.280 --> 0:40:46.520
<v Speaker 3>to inference and we're moving to a gentic how are

0:40:46.520 --> 0:40:47.800
<v Speaker 3>you positioning Qualcomm?

0:40:47.920 --> 0:40:48.040
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:40:48.080 --> 0:40:51.360
<v Speaker 3>The CPU is important, but you must think differently to

0:40:51.960 --> 0:40:53.120
<v Speaker 3>how you did three years ago.

0:40:54.440 --> 0:41:01.480
<v Speaker 11>Look, frankly, it's it's actually playing out actually the way

0:41:00.840 --> 0:41:04.160
<v Speaker 11>we thought. And I know we have a limited time.

0:41:04.200 --> 0:41:06.600
<v Speaker 11>But when you start running agents, and when you start

0:41:06.680 --> 0:41:12.160
<v Speaker 11>running things like open Claw and a bunch of other claws, Actually,

0:41:12.160 --> 0:41:14.960
<v Speaker 11>what is fascinating to see what's happening in the phone industry.

0:41:15.120 --> 0:41:19.880
<v Speaker 11>Every Android OEM right now is launching their own claw.

0:41:20.440 --> 0:41:24.920
<v Speaker 11>And the way agents work, they actually operate your device

0:41:25.000 --> 0:41:27.560
<v Speaker 11>for you. So what you're going to see at the end,

0:41:28.000 --> 0:41:30.520
<v Speaker 11>you're going to see a lot of activity in the cloud,

0:41:30.960 --> 0:41:33.080
<v Speaker 11>and you're going to see also activity on the device

0:41:33.160 --> 0:41:35.880
<v Speaker 11>and it's all going to magically work. I almost like

0:41:36.000 --> 0:41:38.799
<v Speaker 11>to say this, I am sure you have probably two

0:41:38.920 --> 0:41:42.120
<v Speaker 11>hundred apps on your phone or close to that. We

0:41:42.400 --> 0:41:45.239
<v Speaker 11>never have a discussion, we never have a discussion about

0:41:45.320 --> 0:41:48.080
<v Speaker 11>how much each app is doing on the cloud or

0:41:48.120 --> 0:41:49.040
<v Speaker 11>doing on the device.

0:41:49.239 --> 0:41:50.280
<v Speaker 2>It just works.

0:41:50.320 --> 0:41:52.600
<v Speaker 11>And I think that's how we see those agents working.

0:41:53.000 --> 0:41:54.920
<v Speaker 11>They look at your data, they look at things on

0:41:54.960 --> 0:41:57.200
<v Speaker 11>your device, they do things for you, and they do

0:41:57.280 --> 0:41:59.279
<v Speaker 11>stuff on the cloud. And I think that's why I

0:41:59.360 --> 0:42:02.880
<v Speaker 11>believe this actually builds into the Qualcom assets and the

0:42:02.920 --> 0:42:06.760
<v Speaker 11>factor are present everywhere our engagement with the cloud companies

0:42:06.800 --> 0:42:09.920
<v Speaker 11>right now they look at our devices at endpoint for AI,

0:42:10.400 --> 0:42:12.920
<v Speaker 11>and that's also exciting. I think we're talking with all

0:42:12.960 --> 0:42:15.640
<v Speaker 11>the AI companies about their new and exciting devices.

0:42:15.800 --> 0:42:18.080
<v Speaker 4>What's less exciting is when supply chain disruption. But you

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:20.320
<v Speaker 4>were really clear with investors and they liked it quickly.

0:42:20.320 --> 0:42:23.200
<v Speaker 4>With thirty seconds memory, you see an endpoint at least

0:42:23.200 --> 0:42:23.600
<v Speaker 4>in China.

0:42:25.120 --> 0:42:25.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:42:25.640 --> 0:42:30.760
<v Speaker 11>Look, the reality is everything needs memory, and AI drives

0:42:30.800 --> 0:42:32.719
<v Speaker 11>more memory demand. If we drove a lot of the

0:42:32.719 --> 0:42:35.840
<v Speaker 11>men of the data center, it CAUs a crunch on

0:42:36.440 --> 0:42:39.600
<v Speaker 11>the consumer electronics. The good thing is we now see

0:42:39.600 --> 0:42:41.960
<v Speaker 11>the bottom, as I said in the call, where under

0:42:42.120 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 11>shipping market demand, we look at customer activations of devices

0:42:46.480 --> 0:42:49.799
<v Speaker 11>and cell thual data, we see how what the demand is.

0:42:49.880 --> 0:42:52.399
<v Speaker 11>That's now we can call the bottom and you know

0:42:52.480 --> 0:42:55.520
<v Speaker 11>there's going to be more supply and more suppliers and

0:42:55.560 --> 0:42:57.160
<v Speaker 11>we'll see how this is going to play out.

0:42:58.200 --> 0:43:00.839
<v Speaker 3>The market is taking this really serious. See Qualcomm having

0:43:00.880 --> 0:43:04.640
<v Speaker 3>its best day since April twenty nineteen. Qualcom's Christiana, I'm on.

0:43:05.120 --> 0:43:08.600
<v Speaker 3>Thank you very much, Caroline, that I don't know for

0:43:08.680 --> 0:43:11.920
<v Speaker 3>me in the ten years I've been here in extraordinary

0:43:11.920 --> 0:43:14.920
<v Speaker 3>Technology earnings twenty four hours and that does it for

0:43:14.960 --> 0:43:16.160
<v Speaker 3>this edition of Bloomberg Tech.

0:43:16.600 --> 0:43:19.960
<v Speaker 4>Super Bowl seventy second super Bowl. All came yesterday, but

0:43:19.960 --> 0:43:21.400
<v Speaker 4>there's more to come. There's the second half of the

0:43:21.400 --> 0:43:24.320
<v Speaker 4>super Bowl. It's Apple Tonight. Don't forget check out our podcast.

0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:26.160
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0:43:26.160 --> 0:43:29.239
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0:43:29.719 --> 0:43:30.480
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