1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: Oh, welcome in our number two Clay Travis buck Sexton show. 2 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: We bring in our favorite. I'll just say it. I 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: think he would think it's affectionate. Our favorite. Data nerd 4 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 1: Ryan Gerdusky to look at the early voting numbers and 5 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: what are out there that we should all be aware of. 6 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 2: Ryan, let me bring you in here. 7 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: I'm going to hit you with the absolute latest gambling 8 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: market numbers in all seven swing states as legitimately I'm 9 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: talking to you right now. Trump the favorite in Michigan 10 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Pennsylvania fifty seven percent, 11 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: Trump the favorite in Georgia seventy one percent, Trump the 12 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: favorite in North Carolina sixty seven percent, Trump the favorite 13 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: in Wisconsin fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Nevada 14 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: sixty four percent, and Trump the favorite in Arizona seventy 15 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 1: two percent. He does not need to win all of 16 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 1: these states. But all seven of these states are early voting. 17 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: We tell all of you we want one hundred percent 18 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 1: early vote and or voting participation, So don't listen to 19 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: me and not go vote. But do you think those 20 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: are accurate? Do you think the Trump team is confident? 21 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 1: Quietly here twelve days out. Given those numbers, I just 22 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 1: ran you through gambling odds in the seven battleground states. 23 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 3: So gambling odds are a lot of times changed based 24 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 3: upon public perception a lot of us on the internet. 25 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 3: I don't follow that. I don't believe that to be 26 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 3: not that I don't believe these numbers could be accurate 27 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 3: or Trump could win them all, but I don't think 28 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,040 Speaker 3: the gambling odds are the best place to get these 29 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 3: kinds of information. Wisconsin is a very unusual thing. There 30 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 3: is no party registration and you can register to vote 31 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 3: on election day. So if a thousand Democrats wake up 32 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 3: and say hey, I've never a vote before, they can 33 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 3: register on election day. It's very very difficult to estimate 34 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 3: wiscons without party registration and with people being able to 35 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 3: register to vote up till the minute that they do vote. 36 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 3: In Michigan is not the same thing with party registration. 37 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 3: They have the same thing with party registration, so there's 38 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 3: no political parties and they don't give out race data. 39 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 3: It's just geographic and there's there, but there is a 40 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 3: cutof date. You can't register the day of. So that 41 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 3: being said, I really don't know a lot we don't 42 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 3: know a lot outside the polling in Michigan and Wisconsin, 43 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,919 Speaker 3: which is really fifty to fifty depending on what poll 44 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,399 Speaker 3: you want to look at. In the state of Pennsylvania 45 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 3: right now, which is a little different because they do 46 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 3: have information on party registration. One point one million Democrats 47 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 3: that have requested an absentee ballot and seven hundred and 48 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 3: twenty six thousand have voted in five hundred ninety seven 49 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 3: thousand Republicans have requested an appsenty ballot in three hundred 50 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 3: and sixty one thousand have voted, and two hundred and 51 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 3: forty thousand Independents and have requested a ballot. One hundred 52 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 3: and ten thousand have voted Democrats in penn Sylvania in 53 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 3: the early but will break heavily for the Democrats, probably 54 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 3: by a two to one margin. That's not unusual. That's 55 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 3: what happens in almost every election. Right now. Republicans lead 56 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 3: in absentee ballot requests in thirty five counties. I just 57 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 3: want to put that in a I want to look 58 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,959 Speaker 3: at that compared to pass elections. In twenty twenty two 59 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 3: they led in two counties, and in twenty twenty they 60 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 3: led in thirteen counties. Significant more numbers of rural voters 61 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 3: are requesting than in pass elections for the Republicans. In 62 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 3: Pike County became the first county I think it was today. 63 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 3: If not, it will happen tomorrow where there are more 64 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 3: returns and requests than in the twenty twenty election. In 65 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 3: covid that is a sixty to forty Republican county in 66 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:47,119 Speaker 3: the last election. So then you go to Florida, which 67 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 3: is not really a spring state, but Republicans are obliterating 68 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 3: the numbers. They are one point two million to one million. 69 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 3: Miami Dade could flip Republican or yet very very close. 70 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 3: North Carolina yesterday became the third state to flip to 71 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 3: a Republican lead in the absentee ballads. That was not 72 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 3: really expected because many thought the hurricane would put a 73 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 3: lot of Republican counties out, But those Republican counties in 74 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:16,360 Speaker 3: the hurricane affected areas are seeing record breaking turnout. Georgia 75 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 3: does not have party registration, but they do list results 76 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:24,039 Speaker 3: based on race. Now, I know everyone's saying this huge 77 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 3: surge of black support for Donald Trump is real, but overall, 78 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 3: something to the effect of ninety percent or eighty five 79 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 3: percent of all black voters will be voting for the Democrat, 80 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 3: and in Georgia, around eighty to eighty five percent of 81 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 3: all white voters will be voting for the Republican. That 82 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 3: is the tradition. Fifty nine point sixty six percent of 83 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 3: the vote so far as white, twenty six point five 84 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:46,280 Speaker 3: percent is black. That is a one point increase among 85 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 3: white voters and a one percent decrease among black voters 86 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 3: compared to twenty twenty, and is a tie from twenty 87 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 3: twenty two. There is a surge of Hispanic and Asian 88 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 3: voters though in the state, which is to be expected. 89 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 3: Arizona Republicans lead to Democrats by thirty eight thousand votes 90 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 3: from twenty twenty to thirty thousand more Republicans than twenty twenty. 91 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 3: There are one hundred and thirty seven thousand fewer Democrats 92 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 3: among new voters now, Arizona is unusual in the fact 93 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 3: that they give you the data based upon how often 94 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 3: someone has voted. Among newly registered voters, Democrats sorry, Republicans 95 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 3: lead Democrats by two point two thousand new registered voters 96 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 3: voters who have never voted in the state before or 97 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 3: registered in the state before. Among people who have been 98 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 3: registered but never voted. Republicans have one point nine thousand, 99 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 3: almost two thousand more voters who have been registered, just 100 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 3: never carrot decided to vote before they lead. And in Nevada, 101 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 3: Nevada was supposed to be Kamala's best swing state, that 102 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 3: state that she was never going to go, she was 103 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 3: never going to lose. Really, Republicans lead Democrats by seventeen 104 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:58,039 Speaker 3: thousand votes. There are something known as the Clark County Firewall. 105 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 3: This is something that that Harry Reid machine built up 106 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 3: in the mid two thousands where Democrats would have such 107 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 3: an enormous leading Kark County it wouldn't matter what the 108 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 3: worlds did or what was Shoa did, that they were 109 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 3: going to win because this Clark County league will be 110 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 3: tens of thousands of votes in favor of Democrats. As 111 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 3: of right now, with thirty percent of the overall vote 112 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 3: in for the election day vote with the estimated elector 113 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 3: v vote will be Republicans lead Democrats statewide by seventeen 114 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 3: thousand and Democrats only leave Republicans in Clark County, which 115 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 3: is Las Vegas, by just seven thousand votes. That is 116 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:36,840 Speaker 3: way way way under what Democrats are used to and 117 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 3: this whole idea of Kammo's amazing ground game operation is 118 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 3: really being called into question right now. 119 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 4: Ryan, I don't know if I got all of that 120 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 4: down on my notepad, but I got a lot of 121 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:49,799 Speaker 4: I know, there was a lot of no, no. 122 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 3: No no. 123 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 4: We like THEI GUR dusky around around the world with 124 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,119 Speaker 4: the data. That's fine. But if you were to pick 125 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 4: the top one or two things right now that are 126 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 4: that are a real right, that are not projections that 127 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 4: we know are happening based on the data, So you know, 128 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 4: not not including polling that is concerning to the Kamala campaign, 129 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:15,119 Speaker 4: like what is keeping the head of the Kamala twenty 130 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:18,240 Speaker 4: twenty four committee up at night right now? 131 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 3: The most so in Arizona. Arizona is the only say 132 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 3: that breaks this down. New voters are showing up in 133 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 3: big numbers. Remember a lot of new eighteen year olds, 134 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 3: a lot of immigrants, but a lot of people moved 135 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 3: around this country between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four 136 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 3: because of COVID. A lot of senior citizens moved around 137 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 3: because of COVID. I wrote my substack the National Populist newsletter. 138 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 3: Forty five percent of all new Georgia voters are over 139 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 3: the age of fifty. A lot of new voters in 140 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 3: Arizona are over the age of fifty. These new voters, 141 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 3: a lot of them retirees, are voting in big numbers 142 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 3: for Republicans. That's one thing. New voters Republicans are showing 143 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 3: up and lower pensity voters Republicans are showing up. Secondly, 144 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 3: then that's important because does this huge surge of early 145 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 3: vote by Republicans is it eating away at their election 146 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 3: day vote? Partially? It is one hundred percent partially eating 147 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 3: with their election day vote, but the surge of logro 148 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 3: pensity and new voters shows that it's not just our 149 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 3: election day voters being eaten away at. Trump's numbers on 150 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 3: election day will be smaller than twenty twenty, but he 151 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 3: will overall win election day. That's first of all. Secondly, 152 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 3: the absentee ballot requests in Pennsylvania. If Pennsylvania on election Day, 153 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 3: before election day, Democrats have less than five hundred thousand 154 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 3: votes banked over Republicans, and they will have more because 155 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 3: more Democrats are on the permanent absentee list, that is 156 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 3: a very bad sign. Democrats need about half a million 157 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 3: or more in the bank before election date because Republicans 158 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:52,680 Speaker 3: will win election day. That is extremely concerning. And then lastly, 159 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 3: if you look at where these early turnouts are coming 160 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 3: in the rural counties from Pennsylvania to Nevada to Georgia, 161 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:04,320 Speaker 3: all of them are showing tremendous strengths, even in states 162 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 3: that don't have party registration while a lot of places. 163 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 3: The worst performing county in Pennsylvania for early vote compared 164 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 3: to twenty twenty and twenty twenty two is Philadelphia. That 165 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 3: is not a good place for Democrats. Atlanta is having 166 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,079 Speaker 3: issues with the black vote. That is not a good 167 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 3: thing for Democrats. They are sitting there and very very 168 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 3: panicked and keep on saying out loud, well, they'll just 169 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 3: show up on election day. There's no guarantee they will. 170 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 3: There's no guarantee they won't, but there's no guarantee they will. 171 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,680 Speaker 1: So if you were setting up we've asked you this 172 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 1: for months now and you're talking to Ryan Gerdski, encourage 173 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 1: you to go read his populist substack newsletter. Very very good. 174 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: I'm a subscriber. I think you guys will enjoy it 175 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: as well. If you were setting odds right now, chances 176 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: Trump wins twelve days out, chances that Kamala wins twelve 177 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 1: days out. 178 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,599 Speaker 2: What do you think are reasonable projections At this point. 179 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 3: Trump is the favorite to win, but it's probably fifty 180 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 3: five percent to forty five percent. Kamala can still win 181 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 3: this race. It's not a guarantee, although a lot of 182 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 3: things are moving in his general direction. And it's not 183 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 3: a guarantee because Kamala has one group of voters that 184 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,719 Speaker 3: Trump doesn't have, which is highly educated white voters, and 185 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 3: she has the support of a lot of black voters. 186 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 3: They will be mobilized through souls to the polls on 187 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 3: the weekend before election day. For the black voters and 188 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 3: white college educated voters are the most active voters in 189 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,680 Speaker 3: the country. About almost eighty five to ninety percent of 190 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,199 Speaker 3: them show up in these kinds of elections. That will 191 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 3: be very, very beneficial in the Philadelphia Coller counties in Pennsylvania. 192 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 3: That'll be very beneficial, around the Raleigh and a Drham 193 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 3: area in Wake County, North Carolina, around Atlanta suburbs. That 194 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 3: is what she is depending on is that these people 195 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 3: are no longer afraid of COVID but will be showing 196 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 3: up and showing up big for her. So Trump as 197 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 3: the lead, it's not a tremendous lead. It's not the 198 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,079 Speaker 3: lead he had with Joe Biden, and Republicans can't act 199 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 3: like he does. But Democrats are increased becoming unhinged by 200 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 3: the numbers. 201 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 1: One more question. If you were telling us, and I 202 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: know we're twelve days out, but early voting numbers coming 203 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 1: in on election night, I think we will likely have 204 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 1: Florida complete before a lot of our listeners will go 205 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: to bed. Will Florida tell us much in your mind? Like, 206 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: if Trump wins Florida by let's say eight or more points, 207 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 1: which seems highly likely based on how voting is going 208 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:31,839 Speaker 1: so far, is that an indication for other states? Is 209 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 1: there somewhere else that you would point to that may 210 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:38,079 Speaker 1: have reliable early data that could give us a sign 211 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 1: of how the nation is voting. What would you point 212 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 1: to as, like, hey, pay you. 213 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 3: Than this so the state of Florida. No, I would 214 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 3: look at Midwestern retire communities in Florida. That was the 215 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 3: first sign that Bill Clinton got from his political campaign 216 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 3: director from nineteen ninety two that Hillary was going to 217 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,319 Speaker 3: lose in twenty sixteen because the margins in the Midwestern 218 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 3: retire Commune were explosive and they were overwhelmingly favoring Donald Trump. 219 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 3: If those numbers look like they do in this election 220 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 3: as well, it will be very very good in Pennsylvania, Michigan, 221 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 3: and Wisconsin. In Pennsylvania on election night, the early ballads 222 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:19,839 Speaker 3: will come in first, so unlike twenty twenty, so what 223 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 3: you will see is huge numbers for Democrats starting out 224 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 3: the night, and as it continues it whittling down and 225 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 3: whittling down and willing down. There is going in much 226 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 3: of the same way. There was a quote unquote read 227 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 3: mirage in twenty twenty. There will be a blue mirage 228 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 3: in twenty twenty four at the very beginning of the night. 229 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 3: Don't get panicked, wait and see as the election ning 230 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 3: numbers are counted. It will be interesting to see by 231 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:47,320 Speaker 3: how much she's winning this early vote, considering Republicans have 232 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 3: invested so much in it. In twenty twenty in Pennsylvania, 233 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 3: she was winning the early vote by something like thirty 234 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:55,640 Speaker 3: six percent. If she's winning the early vote by twenty 235 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 3: five percent, that is a very very very bad sign 236 00:12:58,520 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 3: for Kambala, Harris. 237 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 4: Ryan or Dusk everybody National Populist newsletter is his substack. 238 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 4: Clay and I are subscribers. Go check it out for yourself. 239 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,840 Speaker 4: Great insights on politics. Ryan. We're gonna have to have 240 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 4: you back before the big day, so study up. Thanks 241 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:13,439 Speaker 4: for being with us. 242 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 1: A lot of good data there, buck from Ryan, and 243 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 1: I know a lot of you are very fired up 244 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: for the election, but I also know that a lot 245 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 1: of people out there are wanting Trump to win because 246 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 1: they're concerned desperately about crime. 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Eight 270 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: four four eight two four Safe to protect your family today. 271 00:14:56,680 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: That's saberradio dot com. Sabre radio dot com. 272 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 3: Stories are freedom stories of America, inspirational stories that you unite. 273 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 2: Us all each day. 274 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 3: Spend time with Clay and find them on the free. 275 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. 276 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 4: And welcome back into Clay and Buck. We just had 277 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 4: our buddy Ryan Grodusky on. 278 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 2: He was amazing. 279 00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 4: Just you remember like around the horn and baseball where 280 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:24,960 Speaker 4: you just throw the throw the ball. I didn't play 281 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 4: much baseball, but I do remember that. Uh he did that, 282 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 4: but with all the battleground states and all the data 283 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 4: that we have so far. So if you miss that, 284 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 4: go back and if you want to be really up 285 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 4: to speed on where this election is as of today, 286 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 4: latest data, latest number is great. Uh, great rundown with 287 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 4: Ryan Gardusky on that one. But you know he's still 288 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 4: going on CNN. 289 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 3: Uh. 290 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 4: And I want to give him credit for this one too. 291 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 4: You know, we're talking behind the scenes. I keep telling him, 292 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,440 Speaker 4: don't let those communists get you down. He's like, I'm 293 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:53,600 Speaker 4: going in there fighting, like he's ready to go. But 294 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 4: he explained to them that this last minute Trump is 295 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 4: a fascist. General Kelly says, he's a fascist thing. No 296 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 4: normal people care about this. This is twenty nine play it. 297 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 5: I honestly, god like most Americans do not care about 298 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 5: General Kelly's farewell tour, where he tries to make amends 299 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 5: for working for Donald Trump since Democrats said we're gonna 300 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 5: run all these Republicans work for Trump out of town 301 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 5: unless they somehow make peace. So two weeks before election day, 302 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:23,920 Speaker 5: he runs to liberal journalist Susan Glasser about a conversation 303 00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 5: that allegedly happened four years ago. It doesn't pass a 304 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 5: smell test, and that is why people are turned off 305 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 5: to all of these stories. They remember Donald Trump's president 306 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 5: for low inflation, jobs, peace through strength, controlled borders. That's 307 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 5: why they care. No one believes Jeffrey Goldberg and the 308 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:46,640 Speaker 5: article from a publication that's owned by one of Harris's donors. 309 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 4: Total smear campaign and Ryan just nailing it like it's 310 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 4: just play. It just reeks of desperation from the Kamala camp. 311 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:02,880 Speaker 1: Speaking of desperation, Kamala has scheduled an impromptu press conference 312 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 1: supposed to start in about five minutes. I would imagine 313 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 1: she is going to call Trump hitler that CNN town 314 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: hall did not go well for her. I would also 315 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 1: imagine that all of these numbers that Ryan just ran through, 316 00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 1: the early voting numbers have Democrats incredibly nervous all over 317 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 1: the country and they are now in the panicked just 318 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: throw everything you can at the wall stage of her campaign. 319 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 1: And I think all of you need to anticipate and 320 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 1: expect and next level nastiness over the next twelve days 321 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: because they're losing. 322 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 2: They know it. 323 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 1: What you can best do is get out and vote, vote, vote. 324 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 1: When we come back, we'll give you the absolute latest 325 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 1: on whatever Kamala says and more. 326 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:55,680 Speaker 4: Look, if you're going to be going out to the 327 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 4: range anytime in the weeks or months ahead, you don't 328 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 4: want to go out there called the very a bunch 329 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 4: of rounds in the burm. You want to be ready 330 00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 4: to rock. And that's what mantis X does for you. 331 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 4: This is a firearms training tool that allows you to 332 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 4: do dry fire practice at home with high tech precision 333 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 4: so that you're actually getting better. Mantis X makes ninety 334 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 4: four percent of users see improvement in their shooting within 335 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 4: just twenty minutes of using it for the first time. 336 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:24,119 Speaker 4: You attach the mantis X to your gun like a 337 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:27,119 Speaker 4: weapon light. Download the easy to use app on your 338 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 4: phone that just follow the basic instructions. Once you get 339 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 4: set up, you'll just be working on your skills, trigger pull, 340 00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,200 Speaker 4: getting that site lined up, side alignment. You'll be amazed 341 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,679 Speaker 4: at how much you can improve your shooting accuracy with 342 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 4: the MANTISX drive fire Practice system, and you can save 343 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:46,200 Speaker 4: a ton of money on Ammo. Go to mantisx dot 344 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 4: com for yours today. That's m A n tisx dot com. 345 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:55,680 Speaker 1: Welcome back in Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all 346 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:58,680 Speaker 1: of you hanging out with us as we are rolling 347 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:03,640 Speaker 1: through the twelve days out from the election. Go get 348 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 1: your votes in all of that is extremely important, But Buck, 349 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 1: there are lots of stories that are popping. I don't 350 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: know that we're going to have a traditional October surprise 351 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:17,400 Speaker 1: because it's now more difficult to have October surprises because 352 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: somewhere around potentially thirty million of you have already or 353 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: will already have voted by the end of today. There's 354 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,440 Speaker 1: a huge number, and no matter what happens after this, 355 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,760 Speaker 1: your vote's already banked. Buck, my vote's already banked. So 356 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 1: you're chasing a diminishing return when we have election season 357 00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 1: as opposed to election day. With that in mind, there 358 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 1: are going to be stories that continue to pop. The Guardian, 359 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 1: which is a left wing publication, came out with a 360 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,480 Speaker 1: woman who says, oh, Trump growte to me thirty five 361 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: years ago, or whatever the heck it was, she waited 362 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 1: until now to tell her story. I think it's having 363 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:59,439 Speaker 1: limited impact. You have the Atlantic story where they tried 364 00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 1: to say, oh, Trump envied Hitler all these things. Again, 365 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 1: I think the impact on that has been limited. But 366 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,760 Speaker 1: were at the throw everything at the wall stage. It's 367 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 1: not just coming in one direction. The Daily Mail has 368 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 1: been willing to cover Doug Imhoff, who is the husband 369 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: of Kamala Harris, his past. They broke the story that 370 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: he had a got his nanny pregnant and that was 371 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 1: why his first marriage ended. 372 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 2: They then broke a story. 373 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,840 Speaker 1: That a woman that he was dating had been slapped 374 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 1: by him at a fancy VIP party in Can as 375 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 1: they were waiting at the valet line that woman. Early 376 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 1: this morning, Buck went public, not with her name, she 377 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:48,440 Speaker 1: wanted to remain anonymous. She evidently is a very successful 378 00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: lawyer at a major law firm. Traditional Democrat donor, I 379 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 1: think she said her husband, and she gave ten thousand 380 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 1: dollars to Joe Biden's twenty two campaign. So this is 381 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:06,440 Speaker 1: not some right wing activist. She actually is a Democrat traditionally, 382 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,719 Speaker 1: and she's just fed up with Doug m Hoff selling 383 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:14,160 Speaker 1: himself as this paragon of mel virtue. And she came 384 00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,440 Speaker 1: out with her story and she said, yes, he slapped 385 00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:20,920 Speaker 1: me so hard it spun me around and it ended 386 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: our relationship because he thought I was flirting with the 387 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 1: valet after a high end can tuxedo clad event. Most 388 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:37,440 Speaker 1: people are not talking or covering this. I think it's significant, Buck, 389 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,480 Speaker 1: and I'm curious what your take would be, because Kamala 390 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,639 Speaker 1: Harris has made a big part of her platform hashtag 391 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:46,639 Speaker 1: believe all women, and she was willing to accept that 392 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:51,280 Speaker 1: Christine Blasi ford absurd allegations against Kavanaugh. And yet, to 393 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,880 Speaker 1: my knowledge, not one media member has even asked her, 394 00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:58,040 Speaker 1: do you think that the woman who is accusing your 395 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,399 Speaker 1: husband of slapping her so hard in the face that 396 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,960 Speaker 1: it's spun her around is lying or do you believe 397 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,919 Speaker 1: her as well? This is I think significant given Kamala 398 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:09,959 Speaker 1: Harris's past characterizations. 399 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 4: I think there are a lot of reasons to be 400 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 4: offended by the notion of Kamala Harris as president or 401 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,800 Speaker 4: vice president for that matter, but certainly as president, that's 402 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 4: a whole other level, whole other league of power and influence. 403 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:28,760 Speaker 4: For me, really still the top of the heat. I 404 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 4: mean that you could say that the wanting to raise 405 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,160 Speaker 4: helping to raise money for the rioters of Minneapolis because 406 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 4: of BLM and the madness and the race riots underway 407 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,639 Speaker 4: and all of that, I mean, that's grotesque that she 408 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:42,240 Speaker 4: that she was a part of that, and we should 409 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:47,440 Speaker 4: not forget that, but her leading the charge really to 410 00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 4: destroy Brett Kavanaugh with allegations from a woman who was 411 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 4: clearly it was clearly a political send up. 412 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 2: It was a hit job. 413 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 4: She did not she could not produce a single witness 414 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:02,919 Speaker 4: to corroborate anything. She had no evidence to corroborate anything. 415 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 4: She could not remember where, she could not remember the address, 416 00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 4: she could not remember the year. Okay, and also there's 417 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,679 Speaker 4: a whole other thing too, like the conduct that she alleges. 418 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,280 Speaker 4: She's like, he tried to like corner me and then 419 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 4: grab me, and then I ran away. I'm like, this 420 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 4: is something that's so traumatic that you said you had 421 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:24,480 Speaker 4: to have two doors installed on your house. You're a 422 00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:25,480 Speaker 4: crazy person. Okay. 423 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,880 Speaker 1: Now, not only is a crazy person, Buck, I always 424 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,359 Speaker 1: when you're a lawyer, you're instructed, as part of your 425 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,600 Speaker 1: legal training to sometimes assume, and judges have to do 426 00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,880 Speaker 1: this too, that everything alleged and a complaint is true. 427 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 1: This was important, and I hammered this a lot back 428 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,439 Speaker 1: in the day, and very few people focused on it. 429 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 1: Even if everything that she said was true, and to 430 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 1: your point, manifestly much of it was not true. But 431 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 1: even if you accepted her story, as the full truth. 432 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,679 Speaker 1: It wasn't criminal behavior. There was no crime. So even 433 00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 1: her story, if you accepted it and said this is 434 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 1: one hundred percent accurate, it still wouldn't have been a crime. 435 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:06,240 Speaker 1: And and that's why I think, Look, Doug Imhoff, to me, 436 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 1: Buck does not seem like a good dude. I think 437 00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: if you get your nanny pregnant, as a general rule, 438 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 1: you're probably not that good of a dude. 439 00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:16,640 Speaker 2: Is that fairness? 440 00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 4: And I I'm this is this is sort of a 441 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 4: sensitive area. I understand all you know, infidelity is bad, 442 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 4: it's a moral It destroys families. Divorce is so painful, 443 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 4: so often it comes out of infidelity. So infidelity bad, okay, 444 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 4: But there are also levels within that, right, correct, There's 445 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 4: the infidelity, just like there's levels within murder. There's levels 446 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:42,479 Speaker 4: within everything. Okay, there's infidelity, that's the you know, I 447 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 4: was on a business trip and I got a little drunk. 448 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 2: And I did bad. 449 00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 4: That's bad, that can still destroy marriage whatever. But the 450 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:51,640 Speaker 4: nanny who is taking care of your kids and lives 451 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,719 Speaker 4: in your house. I mean, I think we can all 452 00:24:54,800 --> 00:25:00,320 Speaker 4: understand there's a level of disrespect and and just it's 453 00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:06,600 Speaker 4: just even more heinous and grows cringy and uncomfortable. And 454 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,160 Speaker 4: you can understand why if you were married to Doug 455 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 4: m Hoff and he did that, you would get divorced. 456 00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 4: I But my thing on it, Buck is just when 457 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:19,320 Speaker 4: you combine that with he slapped me so hard in 458 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 4: the face that I had to spin around, and all 459 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 4: the talk about him being creepy and unlikable to women 460 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,879 Speaker 4: in his law firm, I can't believe that the media 461 00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 4: allows that dude to lecture men in America about how 462 00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 4: we should behave and what toxic masculinity is. One of 463 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 4: my frustrations with this, and as you know, this was 464 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 4: like probably the thing that got the most virality when 465 00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:46,440 Speaker 4: I did Bill Maher a couple weeks ago, Clay, was 466 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 4: this discussion of masculinity. But one of the things I 467 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 4: think it's so funny as you sit here, the Democrats 468 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 4: are saying, like why do we have a problem with 469 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 4: masculine men? Like why can't we get their votes? Look 470 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 4: at the men they put forward. Yes, you know you 471 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 4: brought this up too. We had hung cow on yesterday. 472 00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:06,239 Speaker 4: We got a specop's veterans running for Congress joining us 473 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 4: in just a little bit here we got Sam Brown 474 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,960 Speaker 4: back joining us tomorrow. All of the guys that you 475 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 4: basically I know this is gonna be like a simplistic 476 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 4: barbarian kind of a. All of the guys that you 477 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,560 Speaker 4: would want to have your back if you were being 478 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:23,399 Speaker 4: jumped in a dark alley, without exception a Republican in politics, yea, 479 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 4: all of them. Every guy that you're like, I feel 480 00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:31,240 Speaker 4: safer walking down a dark street with this individual is 481 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,639 Speaker 4: a Republican. And all the ones that would shriek like 482 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 4: girls and run away happen to be Democrats. I think 483 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,160 Speaker 4: that's what Well said, and and I think oftentimes these 484 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 4: in the Democrat males also have no real achievement outside 485 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:49,919 Speaker 4: of politics. And I just for him to be lecturing 486 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,480 Speaker 4: all of us and for Kamala to not get asked 487 00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 4: about it. She tried to destroy Brett Kavanaugh's life with 488 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:02,440 Speaker 4: a BS allegation. She used it to elevate her profile, 489 00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,199 Speaker 4: even though she's a former prosecutor. We hear about all 490 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 4: the time, she would have understood that that prosecutor's case 491 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:15,360 Speaker 4: was garbage. I mean that individual's case. If she were 492 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,760 Speaker 4: a prosecutor and had to determine whether or not to 493 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 4: bring a criminal charge that would have been garbage. She 494 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 4: would have never been able to get that charge brought. 495 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:27,640 Speaker 4: And so for no one to say to her, hey, 496 00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:31,359 Speaker 4: do you believe the woman who says that your husband 497 00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 4: physically assaulted her? For not one reporter to ask that question, 498 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:39,720 Speaker 4: because you've said hashtag believe all women. And really, I 499 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 4: don't begrudge Kamala if she says no, I don't believe 500 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:49,200 Speaker 4: that woman. But you can't say, hey, hashtag believe all women. 501 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 4: And then when someone that you're close. 502 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:55,760 Speaker 1: To is accused of a crime, suddenly you want there 503 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,919 Speaker 1: to be some sort of fair and impartial justice. This 504 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:00,880 Speaker 1: was my thing from the get go, and I'm glad 505 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 1: we bring this up, Buck, because I think it's so important. 506 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 1: The entire purpose of a court system is for justice 507 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:11,680 Speaker 1: to be blind. Democrats made as that their closing argument 508 00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen and all through the Me Too movement. 509 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,639 Speaker 1: If a woman says it, it's true, that was their position. Yeah, 510 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 1: that's just as bad as saying if a white person 511 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,960 Speaker 1: says it, it's true, which was in the South in 512 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 1: the Jim Crow era and before the foundation of many 513 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:33,240 Speaker 1: people being convicted of crimes. Democrats have gone full circle 514 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 1: and they now are arguing that your identity, whether your sex, 515 00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,560 Speaker 1: your gender, your ethnicity, your sexual orientation, whatever it is, 516 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 1: that determines whether or not you're telling the truth. The 517 00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 1: reality is men lie, women lie, White people lie, Asian 518 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 1: people lie, Hispanic people, black people. You can't use identity 519 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: as a proxy for truth. But they never intended this 520 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 1: to be a standard. It was always just a weaponization 521 00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 1: against Republicans. It was a weapon against Republicans. It was 522 00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: never our team is also going to have to play 523 00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 1: by these rules. I mean, I'll say the maybe the 524 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 1: only exception of that is what they did to Al 525 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: Franken was I was actually surprised, but he got caught 526 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: up in the machinery of it at the moment and 527 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 1: they forced him out of office. 528 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:14,440 Speaker 4: It's like, what exactly this guy hated? 529 00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 1: And that was like a decade old the funny picture 530 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,000 Speaker 1: that he got taken on an airplane if I remember 531 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:20,520 Speaker 1: like a back in the day. 532 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean it was it was like, you know, 533 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 4: frat boy stuff. 534 00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 1: You and ile and inappropriate, but not to me the 535 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 1: determinative of whether the guy could have a political career 536 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: fifteen years later. 537 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, and of course Al frank it would never defend 538 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,000 Speaker 4: you or me or anyone else listening to this who 539 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,040 Speaker 4: was unfairly maligned in any way. But we don't care. 540 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 4: We'll say, We'll call it like it is. Kamala Harris 541 00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:48,720 Speaker 4: was willing to engage in a ritualistic reputation torture of 542 00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 4: Brett Kavanaugh in front of the entire nation, tens of 543 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:56,280 Speaker 4: millions of people watching. This also that Democrats could have 544 00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:59,520 Speaker 4: their sacred right of abortion protected. It's one of the 545 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 4: most grotesque things I've ever seen in American politics. The 546 00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 4: fact that Kamala Harris is now the Democrat nominee actually 547 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,080 Speaker 4: speaks to how powerful the god Molok is within the 548 00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 4: Democrat Party and the child sacrifice that they demand, because 549 00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 4: she definitely doesn't have a skill set beyond being absolutely 550 00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:19,959 Speaker 4: ruthless and completely free of morals. And you see who 551 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 4: her husband is. 552 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:26,520 Speaker 1: And I'm just going to say it, not surprised, Not surprised. Yeah, 553 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:30,800 Speaker 1: I think it's very valid. And again, what I would 554 00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: say is even more integral here to this story is 555 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 1: that Kama is not being asked about it at all. 556 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 1: Notice how they ran immediately with the Atlantic story, which 557 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:44,520 Speaker 1: had no substantiation, was based entirely on anonymous sources, and 558 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,920 Speaker 1: every newscast in America that is on the left used 559 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 1: it as their lead story. Almost none of them will 560 00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,719 Speaker 1: even mention the allegations of im Hoff. And he's been 561 00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:58,080 Speaker 1: interviewed all over media and nobody's even asked him directly 562 00:30:58,120 --> 00:30:59,320 Speaker 1: about it. 563 00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 2: Significant. 564 00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:02,600 Speaker 4: Well, we weren't allowed to really talk about it on 565 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 4: the Marshow play because it was you know, we don't 566 00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 4: want to be unfair. It's not verified yet. Well, it's 567 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 4: not about verified like it's not about innocence until proven guilty, 568 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,720 Speaker 4: is it. Because whenever there's an allegation, look at the 569 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:18,480 Speaker 4: allegations against Trump, they're putting stuff forward, Oh he grabbed. 570 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 2: It's always leading the news. 571 00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 4: It's it's it's absurd. I will take some of your 572 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:24,880 Speaker 4: calls here coming up. We want to hear from all 573 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 4: of you. You know, gun owners. I know you've got 574 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:28,800 Speaker 4: a lot of options out there as a ton of guns. 575 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:31,400 Speaker 4: I go to my FFL here in Florida and I 576 00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 4: look at the walls and yes, it's like kid in 577 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,200 Speaker 4: a candy store. There's a lot of stuff there. But 578 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:38,760 Speaker 4: if you're looking for a firearm company that you might 579 00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:40,400 Speaker 4: not be familiar with. Though, if you listened to the show. 580 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 4: You are, but you might not have seen that much before. 581 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 4: But you're talking about getting the best bang for your buck. 582 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 2: See what I did. 583 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 4: They're best value in terms of craftsmanship, accuracy, and also 584 00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:55,120 Speaker 4: supporting a company that stands with your values. Believe it 585 00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,480 Speaker 4: or not, there are gun companies that won't advertise on 586 00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 4: talk radio. There are gun companies out there that don't 587 00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 4: want to talk about the fact they sell AR fifteen's 588 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,400 Speaker 4: because they're scared of the Biden administration. I could name them, 589 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 4: I won't do that, but instead, let's name one that 590 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 4: stands for the Second Amendment and your freedom and makes 591 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:15,960 Speaker 4: top quality products. Bear Creek Arsenal. Bear Creek Arsenal is 592 00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:18,680 Speaker 4: the gun company you need to check out. I was 593 00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 4: firing the Grizzly nine millimeter last weekend. I have my 594 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 4: BC fifteen rifle. These are amazing guns at prices that 595 00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 4: you'll honestly just be shocked when you see it. You 596 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 4: can get a Grizzly nine millimeters, they have a compact 597 00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:32,520 Speaker 4: and they have a full size. It's like less than 598 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:35,400 Speaker 4: three hundred bucks and you're like, whoa, how good is 599 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,240 Speaker 4: this gun? I mean, I'm telling you, I'm very accurate 600 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:39,719 Speaker 4: with it and not as accurate as some of you 601 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 4: who watch. Oh I'm so whatever. It's a great gun. 602 00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,720 Speaker 4: Go check it out for yourself. Bear Creek Arsenal is 603 00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,320 Speaker 4: my favorite firearms company based here in America these days. 604 00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,360 Speaker 4: You gotta check them out. Go to Bearcreek Arsenal dot com. 605 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,600 Speaker 4: Limited time sale going on right now. You don't want 606 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,680 Speaker 4: to wait and miss out. Use my name Buck as 607 00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 4: your promo code for ten percent off your first order. 608 00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 4: Bear Creek Arsenal dot com promo code Buck for ten 609 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 4: percent off exclusions. 610 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 2: Apply cheap up with Clay and Bucks campaign coverage with 611 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 2: twenty four a Sunday highlight reel from the week. 612 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 1: Find it on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you 613 00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. 614 00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 4: Welcome back into Clay and Vock. We've got more for 615 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:24,440 Speaker 4: you on the campaign situation here and also the closing 616 00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 4: argument of the Kamala campaign which is underway. I mean, 617 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 4: they're they're really going with Trump as Hitler. I thought 618 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:34,720 Speaker 4: they were going to go more likely Clay with Trump 619 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 4: as a felon. But I think that given one of 620 00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 4: the one of the indictments dismissed Florida, Atlanta indictment told 621 00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:49,160 Speaker 4: the backle with with complete partisan imbeciles running it New York, 622 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 4: the and the only, the only case they got a 623 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:56,840 Speaker 4: conviction in is so preposterous and so unfair, such a 624 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:02,360 Speaker 4: weaponization of law that no serious person could think otherwise. 625 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 4: And then in DC, I keep sitting here, people get 626 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 4: so up, so they're like, what about the insurrection? I'm like, 627 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:09,440 Speaker 4: what is the crime that Trump committed in your so 628 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:10,320 Speaker 4: called insurrection? 629 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:11,720 Speaker 2: What is it? Really? 630 00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:15,959 Speaker 4: You're really gonna go with incitement to insurrection even though 631 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:19,799 Speaker 4: he said be peaceful in your protest, he's responsible for 632 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:25,160 Speaker 4: if he's a guilty of insiement insurrection, Democrats like Kamala Harris, 633 00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 4: who are inciting BLM riots all through twenty twenty, guilty 634 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 4: of incitement insurrection. 635 00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 1: I agree with you that it is illogical. I think 636 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:37,839 Speaker 1: they are at the desperation stage of their campaign. Her 637 00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:42,920 Speaker 1: final rally, Buck, I believe, is on the ellipse on 638 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,760 Speaker 1: Tuesday of next week, like the final Big rally, which 639 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 1: is designed to harken back to January sixth. 640 00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 2: Did you see this story? So? 641 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:54,120 Speaker 1: I think next week they're going to try to pivot 642 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:58,239 Speaker 1: back to Trump is hitler and also he's a convicted 643 00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:02,400 Speaker 1: felon and America will end if you elect him. So 644 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,680 Speaker 1: I think that's gonna be her closing argument, which is 645 00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:08,279 Speaker 1: funny because they talked about how her campaign was one 646 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:11,719 Speaker 1: of joy and effervescence. And remember feels a very long 647 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,600 Speaker 1: time ago now that we had the Brat summer when 648 00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 1: everybody was talking about how great Kamala was, and now 649 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 1: she's just falling back on Trump is hitler and January 650 00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:24,160 Speaker 1: sixth was the worst day since the Civil War in 651 00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:27,040 Speaker 1: the United States. I don't think that's going to register 652 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:30,719 Speaker 1: at all. And again, we'll give you some of the cuts. 653 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,440 Speaker 1: She just had a press conference in Philadelphia. Trump on 654 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,959 Speaker 1: his way to Arizona for a big rally out there 655 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,800 Speaker 1: as well as a big rally in Nevada, I believe 656 00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:43,799 Speaker 1: as he tries to cement the Southwest, and I know 657 00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:46,799 Speaker 1: we have some people listening in New Mexico if you 658 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,360 Speaker 1: want to kind of just think a little bit under 659 00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:53,399 Speaker 1: the radar state that nobody's paying attention to. I think 660 00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 1: New Mexico could end up pretty close because Trump is 661 00:35:56,680 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 1: doing very well in Arizona, He's doing very well in Nevada. 662 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,200 Speaker 2: Right now, everybody get out and vote, keep voting. 663 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:06,880 Speaker 1: I think New Mexico is going to be a single 664 00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,640 Speaker 1: digit state, one that is maybe a three or four 665 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 1: point margin before all is said and done. That a 666 00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:15,080 Speaker 1: lot of people. I don't even hear anybody talking about 667 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,319 Speaker 1: it at all. But if you're listening to us in 668 00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:20,279 Speaker 1: New Mexico right now, there is some really good momentum 669 00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:24,080 Speaker 1: for the Trump team and Republicans in general in your state. 670 00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 1: And I don't hear anybody talking about it, but feel 671 00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:29,120 Speaker 1: good about the momentum. 672 00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:31,520 Speaker 4: There can I throw something else out there, breaking news 673 00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,399 Speaker 4: story from today that we can get into with all this, 674 00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 4: Trump has said he's open to pardoning. Yeah, Hunter Biden, 675 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:41,560 Speaker 4: I actually think there's a lot behind this. I think 676 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:43,720 Speaker 4: we should talk about this play coming up here because 677 00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:45,760 Speaker 4: Trump is onto something