WEBVTT - TechStuff Redux: How Google DeepMind Accidentally Started the AI Race

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, it's us here. I'm traveling this week and next

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<v Speaker 1>week is the fourth of July, so we won't be

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<v Speaker 1>publishing a Week in Tech episode for the next two Fridays,

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<v Speaker 1>but you'll hear from all of our favorite tech contributors

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<v Speaker 1>once again starting July tenth. In the meantime, I wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to share an episode that demystified the man behind one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most influential AI labs in the world, Google

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<v Speaker 1>Deep Mind.

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<v Speaker 2>Hope you enjoy.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Tech Stuff. I'm os Voloscan, and today we

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<v Speaker 1>get the opportunity to go behind the curtain at Google's

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<v Speaker 1>Deep Mind. For almost three years, in the upstairs room

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<v Speaker 1>of a pub in North London, journalist Sebastian Malabi met

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<v Speaker 1>regularly with the company's CEO and co founder, Demis Hasabis.

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<v Speaker 1>They spoke about artificial intelligence, philosophy, neuroscience, motivation and consequence,

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<v Speaker 1>all against the backdrop of an increasingly intense three way

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<v Speaker 1>race between Open AI Andthropic and Google to win the

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<v Speaker 1>race towards Agi so Ba see. Congratulations on your new book,

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<v Speaker 1>The Infinity Machine and welcome to tex Stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>Thank you ask great to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>You begin the book with a quote from one of

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<v Speaker 1>the scientists who work on the Manhattan Project who said,

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<v Speaker 1>what we are creating now is a monster whose influence

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<v Speaker 1>is going to change history. Yet it would be impossible

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<v Speaker 1>not to see it through. The energy source which is

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<v Speaker 1>now being made available will make scientists the most hated

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<v Speaker 1>and the most wanted citizens of any country.

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<v Speaker 3>We're reliving that now with AI. Agree. I mean, I

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<v Speaker 3>began this project wanting to capture the tingling sensation of

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<v Speaker 3>human beings like demisis ABIs creating the new version of

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<v Speaker 3>atomic weapons. Right, This incredibly powerful AI technology that has

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<v Speaker 3>enormous upsides could also be very, very dangerous. The prize

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<v Speaker 3>was I didn't have to bring it up to them.

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<v Speaker 3>They brought it up to me. I mean, it's so

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<v Speaker 3>much on their minds. And so that's why I put

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<v Speaker 3>this quotation about the Manhattan Project at the start of

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<v Speaker 3>the book, because it's kind of the It sums up

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<v Speaker 3>one of the main threads, which is this, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>scientists can't resist inventing something which is exciting technically, and

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<v Speaker 3>then they're going to be the most hated and most

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<v Speaker 3>wanted people in the country.

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<v Speaker 1>You described the question of motivation when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>Demis hanging in the air like the mushroom cloud over

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<v Speaker 1>Los Alamos, very arresting visual image. Why that image and

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<v Speaker 1>what did you want to stand in the end about

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<v Speaker 1>his motivation?

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<v Speaker 3>I think when you look at that picture of the

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<v Speaker 3>mushroom cloud over Los Alamos, you're kind of thinking both wow,

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<v Speaker 3>but also why why did human beings do this? You

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<v Speaker 3>know it's so destructive? Why did you do it? And

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<v Speaker 3>I guess you know. Part of the thread in my

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<v Speaker 3>book is he had a series of ideas about how

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<v Speaker 3>he could build AIE and make it safe for humanity

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<v Speaker 3>and beneficial for humanity, and one by one these ideas

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<v Speaker 3>become unraveled as they collide with reality. So the story

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<v Speaker 3>of demisisabass in some ways, you know a story. I

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<v Speaker 3>think there's two categories of screw up in the world. Right.

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<v Speaker 3>Sometimes you get something where basically idiots are in charge,

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<v Speaker 3>they don't understand what they're doing, and they make a

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<v Speaker 3>humongous mistake Iran War for example. Right Then you have

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<v Speaker 3>another much more interesting category of screw up, and that

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<v Speaker 3>is where intelligent people know from the beginning exactly what

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<v Speaker 3>they're doing. They can see the risks, they think they

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<v Speaker 3>can manage them, but then forces which are larger than them.

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<v Speaker 3>In this case with AI, it's a race dynamic between

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<v Speaker 3>multiple labs and multiple countries take over and they can

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<v Speaker 3>no longer control the technology that they've invented. And I

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<v Speaker 3>think those episodes where you couldn't just switch out the

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<v Speaker 3>individuals and have a better act come where the individual

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<v Speaker 3>is good, sincerely, good, intelligent, thoughtful, has foresight, and yet

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<v Speaker 3>you still end up in a bad place. That's what's

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<v Speaker 3>really fascinating. When Demis sold his company deep Mind to

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<v Speaker 3>Google in twenty fourteen, there was a condition which was

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<v Speaker 3>this will never be used for weapons. Well, you know

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<v Speaker 3>now it's twenty twenty six it is being used for weapons.

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<v Speaker 3>And you know, so in time after time he tried

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<v Speaker 3>to draw lines in the sand, and they've all been erased.

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<v Speaker 1>It's harder and harder to say what these AI companies

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<v Speaker 1>are today. I mean, for a moment last year, OpenAI

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<v Speaker 1>was the most popular social video app company in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>and now it doesn't do Sora anymore. But like, what

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<v Speaker 1>is your working definition of what deep Mind is.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's a laboratory for the invention of machine intelligence,

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<v Speaker 3>and machine intelligence is a very compacious thing. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>it goes from text to video to images to a

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<v Speaker 3>system like Alpha fold, which divined all the shapes of

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<v Speaker 3>proteins in nature, and one demis the Nobel Price. So

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<v Speaker 3>it's a huge field, and indeed the creation of it

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<v Speaker 3>is a huge thing because you bring in experts in neuroscience,

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<v Speaker 3>experts in chemistry, experts in physics, experts, computer science, ethical

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<v Speaker 3>experts who can philosophize about the personality that an AI

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<v Speaker 3>system should have. I mean, it's a very multidisciplinary thing,

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<v Speaker 3>which is part of what makes the story fascinating.

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<v Speaker 1>When did you first meet Demis Now?

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<v Speaker 3>I first met him when I'd being interested in, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>technology generally. My last book was about Silicon Valley and

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<v Speaker 3>venture capital, and in the process of writing that book,

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<v Speaker 3>I would go to tech conferences in Europe and there

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<v Speaker 3>would be this sort of diminutive figure with a big,

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<v Speaker 3>big smile and sort of a kind of boyish charm,

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<v Speaker 3>really unassuming kind of guy with you know, a sort

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<v Speaker 3>of round neck sweater and his hair falling forward in

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<v Speaker 3>a fringe, and he would get up on the stage

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<v Speaker 3>with a big grin and sort of just almost as

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<v Speaker 3>if he was talking about how he was about to

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<v Speaker 3>wash the dishes after lunch. You know, he would in

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<v Speaker 3>a very plain spoken way, talk about well, when I

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<v Speaker 3>was a child, I had two ambitions. One was to

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<v Speaker 3>understand all of science and the other was to understand

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<v Speaker 3>all of philosophy. So I resolved this dilemma by deciding

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<v Speaker 3>to build AI, which would help me to understand both.

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<v Speaker 3>And so he had this mind blowing mental reach combined

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<v Speaker 3>with this totally approachable nextdoor friend kind of attitude.

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<v Speaker 1>And when did you have the idea to pitch him

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<v Speaker 1>on being a biographical subject for you?

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<v Speaker 3>So after finishing my last book, The Power Law about

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<v Speaker 3>Venture Capital, I was thinking, in you know, this is

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<v Speaker 3>now mid twenty twenty two, what would be a good

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<v Speaker 3>next subject. And because I had met Demis several times

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<v Speaker 3>and I kind of followed what Deep Mind was up to.

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<v Speaker 3>I knew about the protein folding system, I knew about

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<v Speaker 3>Alpha Go, the go playing system before that, and so forth,

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<v Speaker 3>and I had a sense that it would probably go

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<v Speaker 3>from the fringe to the mainstream at some point in

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<v Speaker 3>the next year or so. And then it took me

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<v Speaker 3>if few months after that conversation inside my head to

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<v Speaker 3>get my act together and listen to every podcast that

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<v Speaker 3>Demis had ever done, read all his lectures, really think

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<v Speaker 3>my way into his brain, and then go and see

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<v Speaker 3>him to pitch him on giving me a ton of

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<v Speaker 3>time because I need a lot of time with people

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<v Speaker 3>if I'm going to write a book with him. And

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<v Speaker 3>I said, look, you know, I want to write this

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<v Speaker 3>book about you. And it seems to me Demists that

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<v Speaker 3>you may not want a book about you, but you've

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<v Speaker 3>said repeatedly in all of your lectures that AI will

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<v Speaker 3>be the most important invention in all of human history. Demists.

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<v Speaker 3>So that means if you're the creator of this AI,

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<v Speaker 3>you must be one of the most important people in

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<v Speaker 3>human history. And if that's the case, you don't have

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<v Speaker 3>a choice. Somebody's going to write a book, right And furthermore,

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<v Speaker 3>you should welcome this because if you're going to invent

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<v Speaker 3>a technology that is going to disrupt people's lives so thoroughly,

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<v Speaker 3>you know your job will be different, how you raise

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<v Speaker 3>your children will be different, how you think yourself as

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<v Speaker 3>a human will be different because you now have this

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<v Speaker 3>different source of intelligence competing with you. You can't disrupt

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<v Speaker 3>people from head to toe and then not explain them

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<v Speaker 3>why you did it. You need to explain your motives, right,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's that's the project I'm proposing to you. And

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<v Speaker 3>he thought about it, and he seemed well disposed to this,

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<v Speaker 3>and then one week later Chatchipt came out.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh my goodness, and.

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<v Speaker 3>My expectation of the technology going from the fringe to

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<v Speaker 3>the mainstream happened a whole lot quicker than I expected.

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<v Speaker 1>And I mean, obviously a lot of the book of

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<v Speaker 1>your interest is in the technology, how it might change

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<v Speaker 1>the world, the kind of financing and deal making shenanigans

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<v Speaker 1>that made deep mind in many ways what it is today.

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<v Speaker 1>But what other personal side of an extraordinary biographical portrait

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<v Speaker 1>to very specific parents, a prodigious talent for chess, which

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<v Speaker 1>he then gave up because he thought it wasn't in

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<v Speaker 1>some sense consequential enough. I mean, did you know when

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<v Speaker 1>you got it, you knew that AI was the next thing,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know there he was. But did you know

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<v Speaker 1>what an extra personal story he had before you really

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<v Speaker 1>got into it with him.

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<v Speaker 3>No? I didn't, And in fact, I remember very clearly

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<v Speaker 3>too early experiences in the first discussions. You know, one

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<v Speaker 3>was I was going to have this dinner I told

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<v Speaker 3>you about and he told me to read a book

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<v Speaker 3>before I came to the dinner and the book was

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<v Speaker 3>Enders a game. Now, this is a science fiction story

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<v Speaker 3>about a sort of diminutive boy genius hero who has

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<v Speaker 3>to save planet from invading space aliens. And he's at

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<v Speaker 3>the end of the book he saves all of humanity

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<v Speaker 3>from space aliens. And Demis said to me, well, I

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<v Speaker 3>wanted you to read this book because I really identify

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<v Speaker 3>with that character Ender. And I'm thinking, wait, so you're

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<v Speaker 3>telling me you're the savior of humanity. I mean, even

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<v Speaker 3>if you think that Demis, maybe you shouldn't be announcing

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<v Speaker 3>it to the person who's about to write a book

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<v Speaker 3>about you. I mean, surely that's too messianic, to over

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<v Speaker 3>the top, too ridiculous. But he's right out there with it.

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<v Speaker 3>You mean, that is how he thinks, and he's not

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<v Speaker 3>ashamed to tell you. And so that was pretty extraordinary.

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<v Speaker 3>And then and the second thing was I went to

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<v Speaker 3>see Shane leg his Scientific co founder, and he told

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<v Speaker 3>me the story about how. I said, you know, what

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<v Speaker 3>was it light to work with Demis? And he said, well,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, Demis has crazy determination. I said, well, what

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<v Speaker 3>do you mean He said, well, you know, one day,

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<v Speaker 3>according to Demis, his dad said to him during the

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<v Speaker 3>chess period of his life. Listen, you're going to go

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<v Speaker 3>play chess today. You know you just have to try

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<v Speaker 3>your best. Now, when I say that to my son,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, you know, it's fine to lose so long

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<v Speaker 3>as you try your best. The way that Demis apparently

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<v Speaker 3>interpreted it, according to Shane, was you have to try

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<v Speaker 3>your absolute, absolute, absolute best. And it's like running a

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<v Speaker 3>race and at the end of the marathon you fall

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<v Speaker 3>over the tape and you're on the ground and you

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<v Speaker 3>have to be taken to hospital because you're almost dead.

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<v Speaker 3>And if you haven't been taken to hospital, it means

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<v Speaker 3>you didn't try hard enough. That is what try your

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<v Speaker 3>best meant to Demis aged about ten or twelve, And

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<v Speaker 3>I went to see Demis the next time and I

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<v Speaker 3>replayed this back to him and said, is that really true?

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<v Speaker 3>Is that how you interpreted? He said, oh, yeah, absolutely.

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<v Speaker 3>You know you have to give it every single drop

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<v Speaker 3>all the time.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's an amazing moment where Demis describes talking about

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<v Speaker 1>hearing nature or science screaming at him and him struggling

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<v Speaker 1>to hear and to understand.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that was the most extreme expression of his desire

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<v Speaker 3>to invent AI. So one day I was with him

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<v Speaker 3>in Hampstead Heath, which is a park in North London.

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<v Speaker 3>Not in the pub, Not in the pub. This time

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<v Speaker 3>it was a nice day, so we went for this

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<v Speaker 3>cafe instead, and you know, there he was. There was

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<v Speaker 3>kind of a classic English scene. There was somebody in

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<v Speaker 3>front of me who was on his cell phone. You're

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<v Speaker 3>doing some sort of sales job, and two women behind

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<v Speaker 3>me talking about their friend who had a medical incident

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<v Speaker 3>and had to get to a hospital. So all these

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<v Speaker 3>quididian noises in the background, and there is demis a

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<v Speaker 3>sabists looking at me, talking about the creation of this

0:11:50.080 --> 0:11:52.920
<v Speaker 3>godlike machine and saying that when he's up at two

0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:55.880
<v Speaker 3>in the morning at his desk at home thinking about this,

0:11:56.280 --> 0:12:00.280
<v Speaker 3>he can sort of feel reality summoning him, streaming at him,

0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:03.439
<v Speaker 3>understand me, understand me, And you know he would then

0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:07.280
<v Speaker 3>slam the table and say, look, Sebastian, this table it's

0:12:07.320 --> 0:12:10.200
<v Speaker 3>made of atoms, buzzing around with electrons. Why should it

0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:12.600
<v Speaker 3>be solid? Why should that laptop you've got there, why

0:12:12.640 --> 0:12:15.040
<v Speaker 3>should it you know, pieces of sand and metal? How

0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:17.439
<v Speaker 3>could that turn into something which can think? I mean,

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.160
<v Speaker 3>what's going on? Here. There must be some intelligent force

0:12:20.280 --> 0:12:23.440
<v Speaker 3>designing all these things. And so he kind of basically

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 3>told me that inventing AI and understanding the universe is

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:29.920
<v Speaker 3>like getting closer to what he thinks of as God.

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:31.560
<v Speaker 1>So he's a religious man.

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:33.640
<v Speaker 3>I don't know if he would agree with religious because

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:37.160
<v Speaker 3>he doesn't go to organized religious services, but he's spiritual.

0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 3>I would say, interesting.

0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:41.439
<v Speaker 1>And I mean that scene you described could be a

0:12:41.440 --> 0:12:45.360
<v Speaker 1>scene from Oppenheimer, right, I mean, it's so cinematic. Did

0:12:45.400 --> 0:12:47.400
<v Speaker 1>you ever think is he doing this for me? Or

0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:51.319
<v Speaker 1>is he crazy? Or is it just absolutely captivating? The

0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:53.640
<v Speaker 1>energy in the sense of purpose that he brings to this.

0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:57.280
<v Speaker 3>He just exudes both energy and intelligence but also storytelling

0:12:57.360 --> 0:13:00.080
<v Speaker 3>natural talent. It's just amazing. I mean, you know, one

0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:03.080
<v Speaker 3>time I asked him about his first office in London

0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:05.959
<v Speaker 3>and Russell Square, which is a sort of storied square,

0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:08.400
<v Speaker 3>you know, near the British Museum and so forth. And

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:10.679
<v Speaker 3>you know, normally, as a writer, you are somebody to

0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:15.480
<v Speaker 3>recapture the emotion of opening their first office fifteen years ago.

0:13:16.120 --> 0:13:17.959
<v Speaker 3>It's fifteen years ago. They're going to say, oh, yeah,

0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:19.600
<v Speaker 3>it was cool. You know, That's all you'll get out

0:13:19.640 --> 0:13:22.920
<v Speaker 3>of them. But demis just flows with stories. So he said, well,

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 3>you know, I was in the attic that's where the

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 3>office was, and of course you had to come down

0:13:26.679 --> 0:13:28.440
<v Speaker 3>the stairs. They were all Rickety's. So I came down

0:13:28.600 --> 0:13:30.679
<v Speaker 3>ding ding ding ding ding, bang bang bang, And then

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:32.200
<v Speaker 3>I come out on the square and there's these beautiful

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 3>trees in front of me. Blond to the right. If

0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:36.040
<v Speaker 3>you just go three doors down, Sebastian, that's where you

0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:41.080
<v Speaker 3>see the London Mathematical Society where Turing invented the origins

0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:44.040
<v Speaker 3>of computer science, which we are now completing. And then

0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 3>if you go beyond that to the level crossing black white,

0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:50.360
<v Speaker 3>black white crossing the street, the pedestrian crossing, that is

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:54.800
<v Speaker 3>where the Hungarian nuclear scientist Zilad had the idea for

0:13:54.840 --> 0:13:57.560
<v Speaker 3>a nuclear chain reaction back in the nineteen thirties, which

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.320
<v Speaker 3>led to the atom bomb. And of course we are

0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 3>now creating the equivalent of the atom bomb with Ai.

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:06.960
<v Speaker 3>What a subject, Yeah, I mean, he is such a storyteller.

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 1>And I heard that he has a sense of humor

0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 1>or perhaps a sense of humour about himself in some

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 1>ways as well. Didn't he say when he lost the

0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:16.480
<v Speaker 1>table football competition? The office that his soul was on fire.

0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 3>He did say that, yes, you know, one can mock

0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 3>him for being too competitive and taking trivial things like

0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 3>table football seriously, but he actually really feels it.

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 1>We talked about the sort of mushroom cloud of motivation.

0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:30.840
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that doesn't seem to be so

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>motivating to him is money. I mean, there's a story

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 1>about the offer as an eighteen year old of a

0:14:37.400 --> 0:14:41.880
<v Speaker 1>half million pounds to join game development studio right, which

0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:44.400
<v Speaker 1>he turned out right, despite coming from me. I know

0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:47.080
<v Speaker 1>his mother had gone through homelessness her in her youth.

0:14:47.120 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, was that a hard decision for him? Why

0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:50.120
<v Speaker 1>did he make it?

0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 3>He said it was completely easy in today's money. It

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:55.040
<v Speaker 3>was well over a million dollars that he was being offered.

0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:57.680
<v Speaker 3>He was eighteen. As you say, his parents were not rich.

0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:01.360
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you know, any self respecting sort of Stanford

0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 3>character would at this point of fall, you know, taking

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 3>the money dropped out of Stanford and you know, written

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 3>off into the sunset with a loot. No, Demis is different.

0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 3>Demis wanted to understand science. That was his primary motivation.

0:15:13.640 --> 0:15:15.400
<v Speaker 3>That's what he's up when he's up at two o'clock

0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 3>in the morning. He's thinking, how do I understand nature?

0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:20.760
<v Speaker 3>And so he turned down the cash to go and

0:15:20.800 --> 0:15:22.240
<v Speaker 3>study computer science instead.

0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:26.360
<v Speaker 1>Fast forward a few years and he meets Peter Teel,

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 1>who gives him a A plus for science fiction and

0:15:31.520 --> 0:15:34.680
<v Speaker 1>an F for business model, but nonetheless a size skiins

0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 1>some money.

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 3>Well, actually there's a fraudulent slip there. You said an

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 3>A plus for science fiction. I think you met an

0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 3>A plus for science.

0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Science fiction, but science fiction.

0:15:45.360 --> 0:15:47.720
<v Speaker 3>Maybe that would have been better, because in fact Demis

0:15:47.800 --> 0:15:50.960
<v Speaker 3>was spinning this vision and this is twenty ten, right.

0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 3>He was saying, I'm going to invent very powerful AI.

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 3>This is at a time when AI literally couldn't recognize

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 3>the photograph of a cat. Nothing was working, and you

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:03.440
<v Speaker 3>have this character coming and say, oh, I'm going to

0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:06.680
<v Speaker 3>create artificial general intelligence. It was nuts. So it kind

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 3>of was science fiction.

0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:11.720
<v Speaker 1>What was his entree to the world of technology investors?

0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 1>And when did deep Mind actually start as a company.

0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 3>Deep Mind started in twenty ten, having raised the money

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:20.000
<v Speaker 3>from Peter Teel. The entree is very interesting because in

0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 3>fact what happened was, you know, Demis had done a

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.080
<v Speaker 3>small games company before, and he made some money. Wasn't

0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 3>a terrific success, but nonetheless it wasn't total failure. And

0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:31.400
<v Speaker 3>he went back to the same investors. They all said,

0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.240
<v Speaker 3>you must be joking. There's no product if you're doing

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:36.680
<v Speaker 3>AI and not putting money into that. So then he

0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 3>had to think again, and his entree into the world

0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:43.400
<v Speaker 3>of Peter Teel and what's called the Singularity summits, where

0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:46.960
<v Speaker 3>all these very early believers in AI would gather, people

0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:50.320
<v Speaker 3>like Ray Kurtzweil, and they would dream about a future

0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:54.120
<v Speaker 3>of an AI that totally did not exist. And when

0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:56.120
<v Speaker 3>they got up on the stage, actually they did often

0:16:56.320 --> 0:17:01.400
<v Speaker 3>draw more on science fiction novels than on science when

0:17:01.440 --> 0:17:04.159
<v Speaker 3>they were kind of imagining a future with AI. And

0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 3>so in this strange cauldron of mythology and reality with

0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 3>all kinds of weirdos trotting about, demis a Sabots, who

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 3>by this point has a computer science degree and a

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 3>PhD in neuroscience as a proper scientist, shows up and

0:17:18.320 --> 0:17:20.679
<v Speaker 3>he's asked by a journalist what do you think of

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 3>the Singularity conference? Are you a Singularitarian? And he says

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:28.040
<v Speaker 3>it's a bit Californian for me, and he's, oh, you

0:17:28.040 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 3>could sort of feel the kind of anxiety of being

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:32.960
<v Speaker 3>seen in this crowd. But that's why you had to

0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:35.360
<v Speaker 3>go to meet Peter tele And then when he met

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:37.879
<v Speaker 3>Peter Til, he had this clever trick. Peter Teel is

0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:40.600
<v Speaker 3>a chess player. Demis is a chess player. So rather

0:17:40.640 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 3>than pitch Peter tele On some idea about a company,

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:45.640
<v Speaker 3>and he said, well, I think the interesting thing about

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:50.080
<v Speaker 3>chess is that the knight and the Bishop are supremely

0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:52.719
<v Speaker 3>well balanced, and it's in that tension between those two

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.160
<v Speaker 3>pieces that much of the joy of the game resides.

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.080
<v Speaker 3>So p t is like, WHOA, that's a conversation I

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:00.760
<v Speaker 3>want to pursue. And so that got him and got

0:18:00.760 --> 0:18:03.640
<v Speaker 3>Demssus Habits an invitation to Peter Teel's house the next day,

0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 3>and then that's when he pitched him on Deep Mind

0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 3>and got the money he needed to start the company.

0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:14.840
<v Speaker 1>And then Fast forty twenty thirteen and which the excerpt

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:16.600
<v Speaker 1>in the Wall Street Journal of your book tells the

0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:20.399
<v Speaker 1>story of a birthday party for Elon Musk, replete with

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:24.040
<v Speaker 1>all kinds of costumes and strange things and fake battlements.

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:28.920
<v Speaker 1>But this is, perhaps apart from the founding, the most

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.879
<v Speaker 1>crucial moment in Deep Minds Genesis as a company.

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:34.640
<v Speaker 3>Right, yeah, that's right. So you know, by this point,

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:39.440
<v Speaker 3>Demis had raised three rounds of venture capital, including from

0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:42.000
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk, and you know, there are various people could

0:18:42.040 --> 0:18:44.480
<v Speaker 3>come in, but it was a total pain in the neck.

0:18:44.520 --> 0:18:47.879
<v Speaker 3>He hated it. You know, he would sometimes have this expression,

0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:50.320
<v Speaker 3>I don't want this part of my brain to expand.

0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:53.840
<v Speaker 3>He wanted to be doing science, and so what he

0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:57.439
<v Speaker 3>wanted was to be liberated from this hamster wheel of fundraising.

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:01.399
<v Speaker 3>And along at this party, this birthday party that Enol

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:05.960
<v Speaker 3>Musk had, along comes Larry Page from Google who's also there,

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 3>and says, let's go for a walk, and they walk

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:12.679
<v Speaker 3>around the castle grounds, and in this bizarre setting, Larry

0:19:12.680 --> 0:19:15.200
<v Speaker 3>Page says to him, well, you know, you could spend

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 3>your career building another company like Google. That's fine, but

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:21.480
<v Speaker 3>if you really want to do science, just join Google

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:25.479
<v Speaker 3>and we'll give you the resources, use our platform, and

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 3>you'll be able to do what you really love. And

0:19:28.359 --> 0:19:31.880
<v Speaker 3>Demis not only agreed with that pitch in the sense

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:34.399
<v Speaker 3>that yes, he preferred to do science than to be

0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:37.840
<v Speaker 3>a billionaire, but he felt that Larry Page himself would

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 3>have accepted that pitch, that Larry Page cared about science.

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 3>He could have been a standard professor of computer science.

0:19:44.160 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 3>So Demis really identified with Larry Page, and that was

0:19:47.840 --> 0:19:48.840
<v Speaker 3>why he sold to Google.

0:19:48.920 --> 0:19:52.399
<v Speaker 1>And Paige had his eye on Demis or this was impulsive.

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:55.479
<v Speaker 1>Had he planned out his chess game for this party

0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:57.040
<v Speaker 1>like Demis had three years before.

0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 3>He had totally planned the chess game. He'd been thinking

0:19:59.359 --> 0:20:03.720
<v Speaker 3>for a while about buying up nascent AI companies, and

0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:07.359
<v Speaker 3>he'd bought the boutique founded by the Toronto professor Jeffrey

0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:11.360
<v Speaker 3>Hinton together with Iliasaskeva and one other person. Uh, and

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:14.200
<v Speaker 3>so he was in a buying mode.

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:16.719
<v Speaker 1>It came into that was twenty twelve, right the image

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:17.880
<v Speaker 1>net team exactly.

0:20:17.880 --> 0:20:19.960
<v Speaker 3>He bought the image net team, and then the next

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:23.800
<v Speaker 3>obvious person to buy was Demis and DeepMind because they

0:20:23.840 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 3>had a different approach to AI. It wasn't just deep learning,

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:31.240
<v Speaker 3>which is the image net secret source, which is kind

0:20:31.240 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 3>of packet pattern recognition learning from data. It was also

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Speaker 3>what's called reinforcement learning, which is learning through trial and

0:20:38.920 --> 0:20:41.359
<v Speaker 3>error in a simulation. So you have a game like

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:45.200
<v Speaker 3>the Atari games or go later on and you try

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 3>lots of different the computer trysts and moves ces whies

0:20:47.560 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 3>run works and then learns through trial and error, and

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:53.159
<v Speaker 3>in some ways. Another strand in my book is the

0:20:53.560 --> 0:20:58.240
<v Speaker 3>interplay between deep learning on the one hand and reinforcement

0:20:58.320 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 3>learning on the other hand. And these two fields of

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:05.640
<v Speaker 3>artificial intelligence, you know, have their different moments in the sun.

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:07.359
<v Speaker 3>As the story progresses.

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Hinton talked, He came on tech Stuff and talked about

0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:12.719
<v Speaker 1>how he ran an auction to sell image neet with Google,

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>Microsoft and by Doo. But in the end, all he

0:21:15.400 --> 0:21:19.320
<v Speaker 1>really wanted was to go to Google for for demis.

0:21:19.880 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>He was being courted as well by others, including a

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:26.480
<v Speaker 1>dinner at Mark Zuckerberg's house in the I guess weeks

0:21:26.520 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 1>or months after this first meeting with Larry Page at

0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 1>Elon Maas's birthday party, and he submitted Mark Zuckerberg to

0:21:35.040 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 1>a test at this dinner.

0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:41.200
<v Speaker 3>Right, Yeah, that's right. So the test was a bit subtle. Predictably,

0:21:41.280 --> 0:21:44.200
<v Speaker 3>they sit down to dinner and Mark Zuckerberg, who's longing

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:47.280
<v Speaker 3>to buy deep Mind to get one over Google.

0:21:48.040 --> 0:21:50.240
<v Speaker 1>And this was not recently, this was ten years ago.

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 3>It was twenty thirteen. So Mark Zuckerberg says, well, I

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:59.119
<v Speaker 3>think AI is the most important technology in human history.

0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 3>It's extraordinary, and you know, I really hope you agree

0:22:01.600 --> 0:22:06.120
<v Speaker 3>to join me at Facebook because you know, we could

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:08.480
<v Speaker 3>just do great things together. Blah blah blah blah. And

0:22:08.520 --> 0:22:10.800
<v Speaker 3>then you know, the conversation moves on, time goes by,

0:22:10.840 --> 0:22:14.200
<v Speaker 3>and then Demis slyly says, you know, three D printing

0:22:14.240 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 3>is extraordinary, and Zuckerberg goes, yeah, I agree, you know,

0:22:17.920 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 3>incredible that that's just going to unlock so many things.

0:22:20.200 --> 0:22:23.200
<v Speaker 3>And then a bit later, Demis says, you know, artificial reality,

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 3>that really is going to be transformative, and Zuckerberg's like, yeah,

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:30.760
<v Speaker 3>it's transformative. It's so exciting. I'm so excited by that.

0:22:31.320 --> 0:22:33.600
<v Speaker 3>And then Demis's mind is whearing. Is said, Okay, he's

0:22:33.600 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 3>a bullshit artist. He does not believe that AI is

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:38.959
<v Speaker 3>the most important thing ever, he does not get it.

0:22:39.040 --> 0:22:41.400
<v Speaker 3>I'm selling to Google, Forget forget.

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Facebook, even though the more money on the table.

0:22:43.760 --> 0:22:45.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's right. In fact, Facebook was offering to make

0:22:45.840 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 3>Demis a lot richer, but he was consistent throughout his career.

0:22:48.400 --> 0:22:50.879
<v Speaker 3>Demis in turning down the money not to go to

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 3>Cambridge University, turning down the money to sell to Facebook.

0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:56.200
<v Speaker 3>It's not about the money for him. It's really about

0:22:56.200 --> 0:22:57.000
<v Speaker 3>the science.

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 1>And you mentioned him using his scientific method to see

0:22:59.040 --> 0:23:02.679
<v Speaker 1>two three years into the future. Instead, Facebook went with

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:05.920
<v Speaker 1>Yan Lacun and gave him plenty of resources, and I

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>think he was trying to poach some of Dems's employees.

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Demist told them that Google deal was going to happen,

0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:13.200
<v Speaker 1>to sit and therefore to sit tight, and they did.

0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:16.520
<v Speaker 1>But you know, fast forward to twenty twenty six and

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Yanklan has sentually been dumped from from Meta and Demis

0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>is where does he sit in Google? Is he is he?

0:23:24.119 --> 0:23:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Is he the successor to Sundar? Is he the you know,

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 1>the the ego and the ID? I mean, what is

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:30.480
<v Speaker 1>his roll in Google today?

0:23:31.119 --> 0:23:33.640
<v Speaker 3>Well, what his rold is today is to be the

0:23:33.760 --> 0:23:36.439
<v Speaker 3>chief executive of Google Deep Mind, which is the AI

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:39.159
<v Speaker 3>engine which is basically powering all the new products in Google.

0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 3>So he's super important. Sundai is the chief executive of

0:23:42.600 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 3>Albret and Google, and I would argue that the relationship

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:49.320
<v Speaker 3>between Sundar and Demis is the most important relationship in

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:53.960
<v Speaker 3>business anywhere at the moment. Because Sundar has Demiss back,

0:23:54.720 --> 0:23:57.399
<v Speaker 3>Sundar gives him the resources, Sundar takes care of the

0:23:57.480 --> 0:24:00.439
<v Speaker 3>kind of all that kind of corporate leaderships staff that

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 3>Demis is good at, but it's really not what he

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:05.919
<v Speaker 3>wants to do full time. And that gives Demis the

0:24:05.920 --> 0:24:09.800
<v Speaker 3>oxygen to pursue AI to the fullest of his abilities,

0:24:09.880 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 3>which are considerable you know, in the future, if Sundar

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:15.359
<v Speaker 3>were to go, I don't think that's happening anytime soon,

0:24:15.440 --> 0:24:17.840
<v Speaker 3>by the way, but I think if he were to go,

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:20.040
<v Speaker 3>you know, Demis would obviously be talked about as a candidate.

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:23.000
<v Speaker 3>And it's a really interesting question because he is on

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 3>the one hand, somebody who is a leader, has vision,

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 3>can motivate people, would have the credibility to lead Google

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:34.000
<v Speaker 3>as an AI company. I mean, how often do you

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 3>get somebody who's the CEO and also has a Nobel price.

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:39.440
<v Speaker 3>That would be quite something. But at the same time,

0:24:39.440 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 3>Demis has a side to him that wants to be

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:43.959
<v Speaker 3>a pure scientist that talks to me about you know,

0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:46.359
<v Speaker 3>there's too much noise in Silicon Valley. I want to

0:24:46.359 --> 0:24:49.440
<v Speaker 3>go and think I want to have a research professorship

0:24:49.480 --> 0:24:53.359
<v Speaker 3>at Princeton. That's where Oppenheimer went after the Manhattan Project.

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:56.399
<v Speaker 3>That's where Einstein went, That's where I should be. You know,

0:24:56.440 --> 0:24:59.040
<v Speaker 3>he has that kind of you know, retreat to the

0:24:59.080 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 3>idyll of abstract contemplation side to him. And he's so

0:25:03.640 --> 0:25:06.040
<v Speaker 3>good at both of these things. It's what makes him exceptional.

0:25:06.040 --> 0:25:09.639
<v Speaker 3>I mean, if you mentioned Jan Lukun no, very good scientist,

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:13.040
<v Speaker 3>but clearly not a great operator inside business. You know,

0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:15.920
<v Speaker 3>when we could talk about Simultman, a great business operator

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:18.199
<v Speaker 3>but not a scientist, dropped out of Stanford, doesn't have

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 3>a degree. You know, it's very rare to find both

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:22.800
<v Speaker 3>in the same person.

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:35.680
<v Speaker 1>After the break is Demis an evil genius stay with us.

0:25:50.960 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned earlier in the conversation this kind of journey

0:25:56.359 --> 0:26:01.280
<v Speaker 1>Demis had been on where one sort of safety mechanism

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:05.760
<v Speaker 1>after another that he believed in fell away and thus

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:11.480
<v Speaker 1>these kind of metaphors about the atomic bomb. But ironically,

0:26:12.280 --> 0:26:16.320
<v Speaker 1>in some sense, the kind of safety to the wayside

0:26:17.119 --> 0:26:21.399
<v Speaker 1>race that we're in today with Ai was kicked off

0:26:21.960 --> 0:26:24.639
<v Speaker 1>by Demis's desire for a safety board.

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:28.479
<v Speaker 3>Yes, that's a good irony, you're right. So what happened

0:26:28.600 --> 0:26:31.119
<v Speaker 3>was that, you know, Demis sold the company to Google

0:26:31.359 --> 0:26:34.320
<v Speaker 3>in twenty fourteen, and one of the conditions was there

0:26:34.320 --> 0:26:37.360
<v Speaker 3>had to be a safety oversight board whereby Google would

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:39.879
<v Speaker 3>allow Deep Mind to sort of appoint some you know,

0:26:39.960 --> 0:26:45.280
<v Speaker 3>important philosophers or other people of independent stature to make

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:49.880
<v Speaker 3>a final decision on when AI would be deployed into

0:26:49.880 --> 0:26:52.159
<v Speaker 3>the world. And the idea was this is AI is

0:26:52.160 --> 0:26:54.199
<v Speaker 3>too big just to let the corporate board of Google

0:26:54.600 --> 0:26:56.040
<v Speaker 3>do whatever it wants with it. You know, there has

0:26:56.040 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 3>to be a check. So the first of these safety

0:26:59.359 --> 0:27:03.359
<v Speaker 3>meetings arranged and Demis had the idea, we'll invite Elon

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:07.439
<v Speaker 3>Musk to chair it, and he invited Rieed Hoffmann and

0:27:07.520 --> 0:27:11.360
<v Speaker 3>various other people and they all met at SpaceX and

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:15.520
<v Speaker 3>basically what happens. Elon Musk sat there listening, absorbed all

0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 3>the presentations from deep Mind about their plans to build AI,

0:27:19.640 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 3>and a few months later he announces open Ai, which

0:27:23.760 --> 0:27:26.720
<v Speaker 3>is going to be the rival company. And so all

0:27:26.720 --> 0:27:29.679
<v Speaker 3>of a sudden, there's Singleton vision, the idea that you know,

0:27:29.760 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 3>only one AI lab would shepherd AI into the world

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:37.879
<v Speaker 3>on behalf of all humanity. That just is by the wayside,

0:27:37.920 --> 0:27:40.960
<v Speaker 3>And you've now got two competing labs, and the race

0:27:41.040 --> 0:27:42.440
<v Speaker 3>dynamic begins to set in.

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:45.240
<v Speaker 1>How did Demis feel about what Elon did?

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:49.560
<v Speaker 3>Betrayed? Elon had sat there listening to all his plans,

0:27:50.640 --> 0:27:53.080
<v Speaker 3>and he'd been invited to chair that meeting in good

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:56.320
<v Speaker 3>faith to ensure safety for the world, which, of course

0:27:56.400 --> 0:27:58.480
<v Speaker 3>is what at the time Elon was a big duma

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 3>and was constantly talking about AI safety and existential risk,

0:28:03.240 --> 0:28:07.320
<v Speaker 3>and so the idea that rather than uniting with Deep

0:28:07.359 --> 0:28:10.199
<v Speaker 3>Mind and Google in a single effort to make the

0:28:10.280 --> 0:28:14.080
<v Speaker 3>technology safe, Elon Musk preferred to go off and start

0:28:14.119 --> 0:28:17.159
<v Speaker 3>a rival in open AI to Demis. This was a

0:28:17.160 --> 0:28:20.880
<v Speaker 3>total betrayal. Of course, Elon thought of this as Demis

0:28:20.920 --> 0:28:26.200
<v Speaker 3>is dangerous, he's an evil genius, and therefore I need

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:28.680
<v Speaker 3>to be the one because you know, all of these

0:28:28.720 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 3>actors they basically say, I know that I'm a good person. Yeah,

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:34.800
<v Speaker 3>if I'm the leader of the AI race, I will

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:37.440
<v Speaker 3>make it safe because I'm good. But those other guys

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 3>over there, you can't trust those guys because you know whatever. Now,

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 3>if you quizzed Elon Musk about why did he say

0:28:44.760 --> 0:28:47.800
<v Speaker 3>that Demis was an Elon was it was an evil genius?

0:28:47.880 --> 0:28:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Your term for a Freudian slip, Elon evil genius?

0:28:53.560 --> 0:28:56.160
<v Speaker 3>Why was demisis and evil genius? Well, the only good reason,

0:28:56.240 --> 0:28:59.400
<v Speaker 3>or not a good reason, but a reason was apparently Demis,

0:28:59.440 --> 0:29:01.960
<v Speaker 3>in his gay design days, had worked on a game

0:29:02.080 --> 0:29:06.040
<v Speaker 3>called Evil Genius, which is a pretty thin basis on

0:29:06.080 --> 0:29:08.400
<v Speaker 3>which to call him an evil genius, but whatever I mean,

0:29:09.480 --> 0:29:10.000
<v Speaker 3>they all.

0:29:09.920 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 1>Had association Sean Elbows. So then that this is twenty

0:29:16.960 --> 0:29:19.480
<v Speaker 1>this is meeting is in twenty sixteen, twenty fifteen, twenty fifteen,

0:29:19.520 --> 0:29:21.680
<v Speaker 1>and when is the Alpha Go moment?

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 3>Twenty sixteen? Okay, So coming out of that moment when

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:31.520
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk decides to set up open Ai, Demis decides, well,

0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 3>I'm just going to accelerate as fast as possible. And

0:29:34.560 --> 0:29:37.560
<v Speaker 3>the first thing he manages to score is this victory

0:29:37.640 --> 0:29:42.120
<v Speaker 3>over the Korean Go champion, Lisa Dol And it's a

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 3>huge exhibition match in South Korea with all the media

0:29:46.040 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 3>in attendance, and it's kind of an it's not quite

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:52.640
<v Speaker 3>chatchy pt but it's it's a moment when Ai had

0:29:52.680 --> 0:29:56.680
<v Speaker 3>what one might call the Kaspar of Deep Blue moment

0:29:57.240 --> 0:30:00.560
<v Speaker 3>in nineteen ninety seven, first time the human champion get defeated,

0:30:01.520 --> 0:30:04.800
<v Speaker 3>and then twenty sixteen, so that nineteen years later, the

0:30:04.800 --> 0:30:05.800
<v Speaker 3>same thing happens with Go.

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:08.920
<v Speaker 1>And two hundred million people tune in and the defeated

0:30:09.000 --> 0:30:13.680
<v Speaker 1>Korean player apologizes to humanity. It's a huge moment, but

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:16.240
<v Speaker 1>it's nothing like the chat Chipet moment six years later.

0:30:16.720 --> 0:30:21.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, because go people watched. Whereas chat ChiPT you used it.

0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:23.280
<v Speaker 3>It was personal, it was visceral.

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:26.480
<v Speaker 1>And within a week of you pitching demish on the book,

0:30:26.720 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Chatchipet came out.

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:29.680
<v Speaker 3>That's right. And I went to see him right after that,

0:30:30.280 --> 0:30:33.920
<v Speaker 3>and he said, you know, this is war. Those guys

0:30:33.920 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 3>have parked their tanks in our front yard actually said

0:30:38.440 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 3>on our lawn but translating for American ordience in our

0:30:42.000 --> 0:30:46.840
<v Speaker 3>front yard. And so you could see that competitive glint

0:30:46.840 --> 0:30:48.960
<v Speaker 3>in his eye, and you knew he was going to

0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:49.760
<v Speaker 3>try and fight back.

0:30:50.160 --> 0:30:52.680
<v Speaker 1>Was he self aware about the risk of using that

0:30:52.800 --> 0:30:58.120
<v Speaker 1>language even for himself given all these Manhattan Project analogies.

0:30:57.880 --> 0:31:02.240
<v Speaker 3>You know, he's a person with many different dimensions, and

0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 3>he's both capable of worrying about safety and also using

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:09.640
<v Speaker 3>military metaphors to express this determination to crush the opposition.

0:31:10.240 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 3>And I think actually it's going to be a business

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:16.320
<v Speaker 3>school case study of how DeepMind made the comeback because

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:20.560
<v Speaker 3>they merged deep Mind the London Lab with Google Brain,

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 3>the Mountain View, Google AI lab. Normally, mergers are super difficult,

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:28.080
<v Speaker 3>they don't work. And here was a merger you had

0:31:28.120 --> 0:31:30.800
<v Speaker 3>to do in the middle of an AI race which

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:33.680
<v Speaker 3>had been kicked off by chatchapt You had eight time

0:31:33.800 --> 0:31:36.960
<v Speaker 3>zones between California and London. You had a record of

0:31:37.040 --> 0:31:40.400
<v Speaker 3>bitter rivalry between the AI scientists from Google and the

0:31:40.400 --> 0:31:43.000
<v Speaker 3>ones from deep Mind. And yet they pulled it off.

0:31:43.040 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 3>They did the merger, they blended the cultures, and within

0:31:45.680 --> 0:31:47.520
<v Speaker 3>two and a half years they had a model that

0:31:47.720 --> 0:31:49.520
<v Speaker 3>was outclassing open AI models.

0:31:49.840 --> 0:31:54.280
<v Speaker 1>See that's his extraordinary I remember when the chetchipt moment happened,

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:58.520
<v Speaker 1>and I would say up until twenty twenty beginning of

0:31:58.560 --> 0:32:00.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty five, people were saying Google is down and

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:04.520
<v Speaker 1>out Google might be over. I mean, you knew because

0:32:04.520 --> 0:32:06.600
<v Speaker 1>you were reporting along the way that probably wasn't true.

0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 1>But what the what the indications that you saw that

0:32:09.280 --> 0:32:11.760
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the world didn't that convinced you along

0:32:11.800 --> 0:32:14.920
<v Speaker 1>the way that that Demis and deep Mind might might

0:32:14.960 --> 0:32:17.440
<v Speaker 1>be roaring back into do you put them in the

0:32:17.440 --> 0:32:17.880
<v Speaker 1>first place?

0:32:17.960 --> 0:32:20.440
<v Speaker 3>Now, I think it's sort of a pretty close race

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:24.800
<v Speaker 3>between the Gemini model from Demis and then Claude is

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:27.360
<v Speaker 3>doing really well, at the moment, the anthropic model. People

0:32:27.400 --> 0:32:30.000
<v Speaker 3>love it for coding and so forth, So you know,

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:32.680
<v Speaker 3>I'm not sure that it's I think the race is

0:32:32.680 --> 0:32:35.840
<v Speaker 3>still ongoing. What I would say, though, is that you know,

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:38.600
<v Speaker 3>I'm on record as having written in The New York Times.

0:32:38.320 --> 0:32:39.880
<v Speaker 1>That are around of money.

0:32:39.920 --> 0:32:42.360
<v Speaker 3>Right, probably run ound of money. I mean, they may

0:32:42.400 --> 0:32:45.080
<v Speaker 3>put it out, but basically, in fact, since I wrote

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 3>that piece, they do seem to have focused their business

0:32:49.200 --> 0:32:52.160
<v Speaker 3>quite a bit by giving up on Soora for example,

0:32:52.240 --> 0:32:55.280
<v Speaker 3>Sura was a classic money losing idea. You know, it

0:32:55.320 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 3>costs enormous amounts to generate video, but people don't pay

0:32:58.760 --> 0:33:01.840
<v Speaker 3>you to generate, so quite rightly, they can do it.

0:33:02.440 --> 0:33:05.440
<v Speaker 3>So maybe they can cut costs enough to survive. But

0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 3>they have huge cash need and they do not have

0:33:10.080 --> 0:33:12.280
<v Speaker 3>Google's deep pockets behind them, unlike Demos.

0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:14.760
<v Speaker 1>So Demis is kind of winning. But he said to you,

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:17.800
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't necessarily feel like that, right, he said, this

0:33:17.880 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 1>is a paradoxical moment. It should feel amazing, but it

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:22.520
<v Speaker 1>doesn't feel how I thought it would feel.

0:33:23.000 --> 0:33:26.120
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, because early on he had this rather naive idea

0:33:26.120 --> 0:33:28.760
<v Speaker 3>that there would be one lab building AI and so

0:33:28.800 --> 0:33:30.960
<v Speaker 3>you could take your time about releasing the models, and

0:33:31.480 --> 0:33:33.280
<v Speaker 3>you know, if you were worried about safety, you could

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:35.800
<v Speaker 3>just take another six months to test them. And now

0:33:35.840 --> 0:33:38.480
<v Speaker 3>you have this race, and you know, the Chinese have

0:33:38.560 --> 0:33:40.680
<v Speaker 3>plenty of models, and the other thing, it's not just

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:43.240
<v Speaker 3>a race, it's actually also the open source nature of

0:33:43.280 --> 0:33:46.480
<v Speaker 3>these models, where they're being released out into the wild,

0:33:47.320 --> 0:33:51.480
<v Speaker 3>and some weird group can just download the model, have

0:33:51.560 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 3>it on their own computer, and then you can't pull

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:56.640
<v Speaker 3>it back anymore. And so there was a big cyber

0:33:56.680 --> 0:34:00.760
<v Speaker 3>attack in Mexico recently where all of the actual records

0:34:00.760 --> 0:34:04.680
<v Speaker 3>were stolen, and Anthropic realized that its clawed model was

0:34:04.720 --> 0:34:08.399
<v Speaker 3>being used. But because that model is proprietary, they could

0:34:08.400 --> 0:34:11.800
<v Speaker 3>immediately shut off access and stop the attack. You couldn't

0:34:11.840 --> 0:34:14.359
<v Speaker 3>do that with an open weight, open source model. And

0:34:14.440 --> 0:34:17.560
<v Speaker 3>yet we have open weight, you know, that's being put

0:34:17.600 --> 0:34:20.279
<v Speaker 3>out there, both by Meta and by the Chinese and

0:34:20.320 --> 0:34:23.560
<v Speaker 3>by Mestride in France. A lot of open source models

0:34:23.600 --> 0:34:27.360
<v Speaker 3>are out there, and so in many ways the way

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 3>AI is being deployed is frightening. The obvious safety measures

0:34:32.080 --> 0:34:35.000
<v Speaker 3>one might take are not happening. In addition to banning

0:34:35.040 --> 0:34:38.319
<v Speaker 3>open source, I think there should be much more powerful

0:34:38.880 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 3>sort of government oversight, so that, just like with a pharmaceutical,

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 3>before you release it to be used in people, has

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:47.680
<v Speaker 3>to go through clinical trials. So too, I think there

0:34:47.719 --> 0:34:49.239
<v Speaker 3>should be a sort of equivalent of the Food and

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 3>Drug Administration, an AI agency that can actually veto the

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 3>release of really powerful models. And we don't have that,

0:34:57.400 --> 0:34:59.680
<v Speaker 3>and we should have that, and we should be negotiating

0:34:59.719 --> 0:35:01.600
<v Speaker 3>with Chin about doing it in both places at once,

0:35:02.080 --> 0:35:04.160
<v Speaker 3>because this is a global race and both sides have

0:35:04.200 --> 0:35:07.200
<v Speaker 3>to slow down. I was in China recently for eight

0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:11.960
<v Speaker 3>days because they always published books faster, so I was

0:35:12.320 --> 0:35:17.239
<v Speaker 3>meeting AI leaders, both from industry and from academia, and

0:35:17.280 --> 0:35:19.440
<v Speaker 3>I was surprised by how much they do talk about safety.

0:35:20.160 --> 0:35:22.200
<v Speaker 3>So I think there is a discussion to be had

0:35:22.200 --> 0:35:26.960
<v Speaker 3>with the Chinese about safety, but the US administration of

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:28.360
<v Speaker 3>this moment doesn't want to do that.

0:35:28.800 --> 0:35:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, coming back to the Manhattan Project again, Demis

0:35:33.239 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>has said I think that he thinks this may end

0:35:35.640 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 1>in a bunker And what does he mean by that?

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:44.480
<v Speaker 1>And has he primed himself psychologically for an ai Hiroshima

0:35:44.520 --> 0:35:46.960
<v Speaker 1>that he may feel in some sense responsible for.

0:35:47.600 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, when I was doing the research interfering,

0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:53.080
<v Speaker 3>not just Demis, but all the scientists that he works with,

0:35:53.120 --> 0:35:55.319
<v Speaker 3>you know, one hundred or something of them. In Deep Mind.

0:35:55.760 --> 0:35:58.239
<v Speaker 3>I would hear these references to the bunker come up,

0:35:58.280 --> 0:36:02.120
<v Speaker 3>and I assumed it wasn't literally, you know, a real thing.

0:36:02.160 --> 0:36:04.799
<v Speaker 3>That Demis wanted to disappear into a bunker at the

0:36:04.800 --> 0:36:07.760
<v Speaker 3>moment when he thought the AI models were coming dangerously powerful.

0:36:08.400 --> 0:36:10.680
<v Speaker 3>And I would have these dinners every six months with

0:36:11.440 --> 0:36:14.239
<v Speaker 3>a friend who had been at Deep Mind but had left,

0:36:15.160 --> 0:36:18.799
<v Speaker 3>and I tested this on him one evening and I said, yeah,

0:36:18.800 --> 0:36:21.480
<v Speaker 3>surely this is just a metaphor bunker. He can't be serious.

0:36:22.160 --> 0:36:25.239
<v Speaker 3>And this guy said, well, actually, you know, I had

0:36:25.239 --> 0:36:28.719
<v Speaker 3>my bag packed. It was serious. There was actually this

0:36:28.840 --> 0:36:33.359
<v Speaker 3>vision that AI would become so powerful that bad guys

0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:35.319
<v Speaker 3>would try and get it off you. So you had

0:36:35.320 --> 0:36:37.480
<v Speaker 3>to hide in some place a bit like Los Animals

0:36:38.440 --> 0:36:42.360
<v Speaker 3>and develop in seat of isolation and secret, and also

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:45.400
<v Speaker 3>be isolated because you needed maximum focus on the science

0:36:45.440 --> 0:36:47.600
<v Speaker 3>to get it right when you were at this moment

0:36:47.640 --> 0:36:50.320
<v Speaker 3>of maximum danger because the model was suddenly very powerful.

0:36:51.320 --> 0:36:53.840
<v Speaker 3>And that was his vision. Now I think today he

0:36:53.880 --> 0:36:57.560
<v Speaker 3>doesn't believe that anymore, because we're so far from a

0:36:57.600 --> 0:37:02.600
<v Speaker 3>single lab, you know, midwifing AI. So I think now

0:37:02.680 --> 0:37:06.360
<v Speaker 3>he's more inclined to speak of some version of the

0:37:06.400 --> 0:37:09.680
<v Speaker 3>Center for European Nuclear Research SERAN, which is a sort

0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:14.960
<v Speaker 3>of technical agency that oversees nuclear power on a multinational basis.

0:37:15.040 --> 0:37:17.920
<v Speaker 3>I think he would like some sort of global body

0:37:18.840 --> 0:37:21.960
<v Speaker 3>to impose rules on what kind of AI should be

0:37:22.040 --> 0:37:25.560
<v Speaker 3>let out into the wild. But you know, at the

0:37:25.560 --> 0:37:28.280
<v Speaker 3>same time, he knows that politically that's not on the cards,

0:37:28.840 --> 0:37:31.920
<v Speaker 3>and he has a sense of timing about when you

0:37:31.920 --> 0:37:36.759
<v Speaker 3>should raise these issues, and so you know, whereas Dariama

0:37:36.840 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 3>Day took on the Pentagon by trying to assert safety

0:37:40.560 --> 0:37:43.719
<v Speaker 3>principles and then just got rolled, I think their miss

0:37:43.760 --> 0:37:46.359
<v Speaker 3>when he does that, is going to feel that he's

0:37:46.400 --> 0:37:49.040
<v Speaker 3>got the door is half open, and he can give

0:37:49.040 --> 0:37:51.200
<v Speaker 3>it a push and we'll see. You know, of course,

0:37:51.200 --> 0:37:54.799
<v Speaker 3>sometimes people keep their capital drive for so long that

0:37:54.840 --> 0:37:57.240
<v Speaker 3>they never use it. But we'll see if the moment

0:37:57.239 --> 0:37:59.719
<v Speaker 3>comes when he does use it, it'll be very interesting. Bess.

0:37:59.920 --> 0:38:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Just close. There was a great review of your book

0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:06.719
<v Speaker 1>in the Financial Times which ends with this, Whether and

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:11.680
<v Speaker 1>how Demis ever achieves AGI will form the defining chapters

0:38:12.040 --> 0:38:16.080
<v Speaker 1>of his extraordinary and unfinished biography. What did you think

0:38:16.080 --> 0:38:18.279
<v Speaker 1>about that? And what is the next chapter for him?

0:38:18.280 --> 0:38:19.560
<v Speaker 1>And will you write another follow up book?

0:38:19.560 --> 0:38:20.279
<v Speaker 2>Do you think? You know?

0:38:20.320 --> 0:38:22.319
<v Speaker 3>I tend not to write follow ups about the same thing,

0:38:22.400 --> 0:38:25.120
<v Speaker 3>the same person. I prefer to plower of fresh ground.

0:38:25.800 --> 0:38:28.440
<v Speaker 3>But look, I mean, you know, Demis is turming fifty

0:38:28.520 --> 0:38:31.719
<v Speaker 3>this year. He's got a lot of runway. I'm sure

0:38:31.760 --> 0:38:34.840
<v Speaker 3>he'll do more incredible things in the future. So probably

0:38:34.840 --> 0:38:38.279
<v Speaker 3>I am offering an interim report. But the advantage you know,

0:38:38.320 --> 0:38:40.360
<v Speaker 3>if you wait, I did this before with Alan Greenspann.

0:38:40.400 --> 0:38:43.680
<v Speaker 3>I wrote the definitive biography after he retired, and by

0:38:43.680 --> 0:38:46.520
<v Speaker 3>that time, you know, people are interested, but less so

0:38:46.640 --> 0:38:49.200
<v Speaker 3>than when he's stood in the seat. I think capturing

0:38:49.320 --> 0:38:52.719
<v Speaker 3>a portrait of you know, the most interesting figure in

0:38:52.800 --> 0:38:55.400
<v Speaker 3>artificial intelligence in real time while he's still in the

0:38:55.400 --> 0:38:57.799
<v Speaker 3>seat and he's still doing it is sometimes the fun

0:38:57.840 --> 0:39:00.360
<v Speaker 3>of it, right, I mean, who wants to for the

0:39:00.400 --> 0:39:03.719
<v Speaker 3>definitive biography in twenty years time? But well, next for him,

0:39:03.760 --> 0:39:05.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, I think he's going to carry on running

0:39:05.840 --> 0:39:09.080
<v Speaker 3>Google Deep Mind. There's going to be more agentic models

0:39:09.080 --> 0:39:11.800
<v Speaker 3>coming out this year. There will be you know, world

0:39:11.880 --> 0:39:16.120
<v Speaker 3>models and more robotics coming, there will probably be much

0:39:16.160 --> 0:39:19.239
<v Speaker 3>more AI for science, both in terms of drug discovery

0:39:19.280 --> 0:39:22.640
<v Speaker 3>and in terms of you know, material sciences, chemistry and

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:26.200
<v Speaker 3>so forth. So I think, you know, one day, I remember,

0:39:26.480 --> 0:39:29.959
<v Speaker 3>towards the end of my time interviewing him, he showed

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:31.920
<v Speaker 3>up at the pub and he had a backpack and

0:39:31.960 --> 0:39:34.960
<v Speaker 3>he'd pished something out of it, and he got this

0:39:35.000 --> 0:39:37.279
<v Speaker 3>little box out and he said, I got to show

0:39:37.320 --> 0:39:39.960
<v Speaker 3>you this, and he opened the box up and inside

0:39:40.080 --> 0:39:44.600
<v Speaker 3>was the Nobel Prize medal, And either at that meeting

0:39:44.800 --> 0:39:47.359
<v Speaker 3>or another one, he said to me, I wonder if

0:39:47.400 --> 0:39:49.640
<v Speaker 3>I can get another one. He's not over yet.

0:39:50.560 --> 0:39:51.560
<v Speaker 1>It's a fasting amount of me.

0:39:51.640 --> 0:40:09.280
<v Speaker 3>Thank you. It's been great fun to talk for tech Stuff.

0:40:09.320 --> 0:40:10.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm oz Voloscian.

0:40:10.640 --> 0:40:13.560
<v Speaker 1>This episode was produced by Eliza Dennis and Melissa Slaughter.

0:40:14.200 --> 0:40:17.080
<v Speaker 1>It was executive produced by me Julia Nutter and Kate

0:40:17.080 --> 0:40:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Osborne for Kaleidoscope and Katrina Norvell for iHeart Podcasts. The

0:40:21.600 --> 0:40:24.719
<v Speaker 1>engineer is Paul Bowman and Jack Insley makes this episode.

0:40:25.160 --> 0:40:26.759
<v Speaker 2>Kyle Murdoch wrote our theme song.

0:40:27.440 --> 0:40:29.839
<v Speaker 1>Please rate, review and reach out to us at tech

0:40:29.880 --> 0:40:30.919
<v Speaker 1>Stuff podcast at.

0:40:30.840 --> 0:40:32.080
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0:40:32.239 --> 0:40:33.840
<v Speaker 1>We also love to hear what you think our panels

0:40:33.880 --> 0:40:34.799
<v Speaker 1>should cover next time