WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2023 NFL Week 12 Guessing Lines Show 0:00:04.200 --> 0:00:06.320 The numbers told the story, and they always do. It's 0:00:06.360 --> 0:00:08.920 one of those idiots will believe in analytics. This is 0:00:08.960 --> 0:00:13.480 a numbers game with Gil Alexander Gone Vison Good Monday 0:00:13.600 --> 0:00:15.480 Morning too. It is a numbers game at Visa, the 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:17.880 sports betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, game, 0:00:17.880 --> 0:00:20.920 plus iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course the DK network. 0:00:21.200 --> 0:00:24.959 It's kill Alexander, It's Kelly Bidlin Monday Morning at bark 0:00:25.000 --> 0:00:27.320 Handed at the d Let's go, it's hattening. 0:00:27.520 --> 0:00:30.680 We've definitely been prepared and ready to do this show 0:00:30.760 --> 0:00:32.360 for thirty four minutes. 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:34.400 Now we have. We didn't just turn on the lights. 0:00:34.520 --> 0:00:37.199 Lights just turned on two seconds ago and Kelly and 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:39.159 I were like, oh yeah, lights. We could have done 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:43.280 this for an hour without realizing were on. Hey, Happy Thanksgiving, 0:00:43.360 --> 0:00:47.800 Kelly Bidley giving. What is more awkward saying Happy Thanksgiving 0:00:48.080 --> 0:00:50.600 prior to the holiday? It supplies to any holiday, well, Christmases, 0:00:50.640 --> 0:00:52.239 don't thing is people say, hey Christmas, I know where 0:00:52.240 --> 0:00:54.480 you're going. Happy Thanksgiving prior to the holiday or the 0:00:54.560 --> 0:00:57.639 day after Thanksgiving still coming out with a Happy Thanksgiving. 0:00:58.000 --> 0:01:00.640 We're kind of going Larry David the whole Happy New 0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:02.040 Year's thing. Here on me. I got you. 0:01:03.320 --> 0:01:06.240 I think I think happy Thanksgiving your you are now 0:01:06.280 --> 0:01:08.440 okay to say as of today. As of today, I 0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:11.920 get it needs to stop on after Friday. I agree, 0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:14.600 I think you get you get till sundown on Friday. 0:01:14.680 --> 0:01:16.160 I that it needs to stop. I like it. We 0:01:16.160 --> 0:01:19.520 will adhere to those rules. This is guessing lines for 0:01:19.680 --> 0:01:23.400 week number twelve in the National Football League. Happy Thanksgiving 0:01:23.440 --> 0:01:26.480 to you and yours. If you're unfamiliar with this process, 0:01:26.840 --> 0:01:29.319 I'm unfamiliar with the lines of week twelve. I'm the cocoon. 0:01:29.480 --> 0:01:31.960 I guess what they are. Kelly will tell me what 0:01:32.000 --> 0:01:35.360 they are afterwards. Within that process, we hope to extract value. 0:01:35.680 --> 0:01:40.280 It has been a spectacular process all year long. It 0:01:40.319 --> 0:01:42.440 has gotten us to winners week after week after week. 0:01:42.520 --> 0:01:44.680 One week week five, I think it was. It was 0:01:44.800 --> 0:01:47.200 terrible every other week, including this past one. Were of 0:01:47.200 --> 0:01:49.000 the two games we like the best here, or at 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:51.920 least that I did. Minnesota and Cleveland both got there. 0:01:52.080 --> 0:01:54.240 It was just plinko at the end for Minnesota for sure, 0:01:54.400 --> 0:01:56.360 and some might argue for Cleveland. I'd argue in both 0:01:56.360 --> 0:01:59.920 cases it shouldn't even got into a plinko situation. We'll 0:02:00.120 --> 0:02:02.360 get into in that whole process, we go through everything 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:05.040 that happened yesterday in the NFL as well, and what 0:02:05.160 --> 0:02:08.480 a day it was with some of these outcomes. We'll 0:02:08.520 --> 0:02:10.919 get to it all momentarily on this Thanksgiving way where 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:12.679 we've got three games on Thanksgiving, and I know we 0:02:12.760 --> 0:02:14.800 got a Black Friday game as well. I know that 0:02:14.840 --> 0:02:18.639 from Circus Survivor, And speaking of Survivor, there were six 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:22.480 hundred and nine of the of the original nine, two 0:02:22.600 --> 0:02:26.639 hundred and sixty seven entries left still alive heading into 0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:29.880 this past week in Circus Survivor, one thousand dollars of 0:02:29.919 --> 0:02:32.399 pop per entry, nine million, two hundred and sixty seven 0:02:32.440 --> 0:02:35.320 thousand dollars at steak. Of those six hundred and nine, 0:02:35.400 --> 0:02:38.600 Kelly almost forty percent thirty eight point nine two percent 0:02:38.680 --> 0:02:41.720 knocked out, two hundred and thirty seven knocked out this 0:02:42.600 --> 0:02:47.679 past Thursday and Sunday really alt Yesterday, three hundred and 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:52.120 seventy two left. Three hundred and seventy two players are left, 0:02:53.080 --> 0:02:57.120 most yesterday knocked out on the Washington Commodores. If I 0:02:57.160 --> 0:02:59.760 had had them left, I'd use them to three hundred 0:02:59.840 --> 0:03:03.400 seven teventy two left. That means eight thou eight eight thousand, 0:03:03.400 --> 0:03:05.200 eight hundred and ninety five of the nine thousand, two 0:03:05.240 --> 0:03:07.919 hundred and sixty seven eliminated ninety five point ninety nine 0:03:07.919 --> 0:03:11.960 percent eliminated, three seventy two left. Last year, at this 0:03:12.000 --> 0:03:15.359 time there was only seventy four left. Ninety eight point 0:03:15.400 --> 0:03:17.600 six percent had been eliminated, so three hundred and seventy 0:03:17.600 --> 0:03:20.040 two left. The intrinsic value of each of those remaining 0:03:20.080 --> 0:03:23.000 three hundred and seventy two entries is you're gonna tell 0:03:23.040 --> 0:03:26.760 me twenty four thousand, nine hundred eleven dollars and twenty 0:03:26.840 --> 0:03:27.560 nine cents. 0:03:27.880 --> 0:03:30.440 Do you know how many rebuy opportunities I would need 0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:32.799 at this point to still be alive. It'd be two 0:03:32.840 --> 0:03:36.440 for me, Okay, I think it would be minimum three 0:03:36.760 --> 0:03:39.040 because this one, for sure, I would have been. 0:03:38.960 --> 0:03:41.680 Out on this too. I wi did the Dallas Detroit thing, 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:43.280 and I would have had Dallas yesterday. I got Detroit 0:03:43.280 --> 0:03:46.080 on Thursday. But that the second one is a beautiful 0:03:46.120 --> 0:03:50.080 thing because the self loathing goes down to zero. Yeah, 0:03:50.080 --> 0:03:52.360 because you're so angry, you're so upset with yourself. I 0:03:52.400 --> 0:03:54.120 wasn't really with Washington, thinkuse that's how I wanted to 0:03:54.120 --> 0:03:56.000 play it. But for most when they lose in a 0:03:56.040 --> 0:03:59.360 heartbreaking fashion, you're just it's so brutal. But then when 0:03:59.400 --> 0:04:01.000 you lose the second time, you're like, yeah, it wouldn't 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:04.640 have mattered anyway. Yeah, it definitely does mentally help us, Yes, 0:04:05.120 --> 0:04:08.320 for sure. So congratulations to the remaining three hundred and 0:04:08.320 --> 0:04:10.880 seventy two. Are those that are responsible for those three 0:04:10.920 --> 0:04:14.240 hundred seventy two. Tony Farmer over there at Odds Shark 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:18.279 and apparently he is using survivor Atlas for these stats. 0:04:18.279 --> 0:04:22.240 Of the remaining three hundred and seventy two, first of all, 0:04:22.240 --> 0:04:24.000 he has two of them. But of the remaining three 0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:28.279 hundred and seventy two, Kelly, there are only forty one 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:32.479 people that have more than one entry. This gets backed 0:04:32.480 --> 0:04:37.120 again to my philosophy that having multiple entries ultimately doesn't matter. 0:04:37.240 --> 0:04:38.880 Now people are like, oh, what do you mean. Probably 0:04:38.920 --> 0:04:40.279 they had so many more and they played it than 0:04:40.279 --> 0:04:44.279 they have was in the end, everybody has one typically speaking, 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:46.440 so only forty one of those three seventy two have 0:04:46.560 --> 0:04:50.400 more than one. Only fourteen or so of those forty 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:57.479 one twenty excuse me, fourteen of those people have three 0:04:57.520 --> 0:04:59.280 plus entries. We'll tell you what. Let me do it one. 0:04:59.360 --> 0:05:01.839 Let me do it this way, let me do it systematically. 0:05:02.279 --> 0:05:06.920 Six have three left. So what is it? It's it's 0:05:07.080 --> 0:05:10.159 I'll do the math. It's twenty seven have two, twenty 0:05:10.200 --> 0:05:14.520 seven people have two entries, six have three remaining two 0:05:14.640 --> 0:05:17.760 people two have four, Two people have four entries remaining. 0:05:19.440 --> 0:05:23.080 One person has five entries remaining. Two people have six 0:05:23.240 --> 0:05:27.320 entries remaining. What one has eight and two have ten. 0:05:28.480 --> 0:05:31.840 So again only forty one with over one with more 0:05:31.880 --> 0:05:35.760 than one entry. Twenty seven have two, six have three, 0:05:35.800 --> 0:05:38.320 two have four, one have five, two have six, have 0:05:38.480 --> 0:05:42.440 one has eight, two have ten. Thank you, Tony former, 0:05:42.480 --> 0:05:45.880 Thank you survivor alas for those numbers surviving breakdown the. 0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:50.440 Deep dive like poker stack like percentage chance of those 0:05:50.440 --> 0:05:52.880 guys getting home with I mean two, you've got two 0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:55.920 to ten left. He also, you have to have a 0:05:55.960 --> 0:05:57.960 sizeable advantage over the field with that. 0:05:58.080 --> 0:06:01.320 He also had sixteen entries having no Thanksgiving favorites left 0:06:01.480 --> 0:06:04.919 No Miami, Dallas, Detroit, or San Francisco fifty six percent 0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:09.000 have Detroit available, twenty four percent, Dallas eleven percent, San 0:06:09.040 --> 0:06:12.960 Francisco nine percent Miami. Thank you for those numbers. Shall 0:06:13.000 --> 0:06:15.200 we do a Thanksgiving game here before we have to 0:06:15.240 --> 0:06:16.560 go to commercial. Yeah, let's do it. 0:06:16.640 --> 0:06:19.440 Let's get the open up at provid Yes and lines yes, 0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:22.040 lines twelve. 0:06:22.200 --> 0:06:25.200 As I check, I had to make Sucharlotte keeping my 0:06:25.680 --> 0:06:29.680 DiMaggio likes streak alive, not remembering that we have that open. 0:06:31.680 --> 0:06:35.440 That's why I'm here, man, all right. Thursday early to 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:39.039 start with the Lions Packers at Lions twelve thirty East. 0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:41.640 The four and six Packers after their win over the 0:06:41.720 --> 0:06:45.640 Chargers yesterday, The eight and two Detroit Lions. The Packers 0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:50.159 yesterday against the Chargers. They they win this game, but boy, 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:52.760 oh boy, I don't know how they did. Fourth and two. 0:06:52.800 --> 0:06:55.120 It that midfield eleven o nine left in the first quarter, 0:06:55.839 --> 0:06:58.040 green Bay with the ball one yard loss, but Joey 0:06:58.120 --> 0:07:00.680 Bosa leaves with a foot injury. At that point in 0:07:00.720 --> 0:07:02.719 the game, Chargers end up with a fourth and four. 0:07:03.120 --> 0:07:05.400 They do not convert, by the way fourth and fourth 0:07:05.400 --> 0:07:07.000 for the Charges. The green Bay forty three nine to 0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:09.040 forty one left in the first quarter, they do not convert. 0:07:09.200 --> 0:07:11.720 Herbert incompleted in tendant for Parhum. Later it's three to 0:07:11.840 --> 0:07:13.720 nothing Chargers after a Dicker twenty five yard field goal 0:07:13.720 --> 0:07:15.760 first play second quarter, Jaden Reid for thirty two seven 0:07:15.800 --> 0:07:18.160 to three. Green Bay Chargers go seventy five yard six 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:21.080 plays Herbert to Stone Smart for fifty one ten to seven. 0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:23.920 Chargers twelve sixteen left in the second quarter. It would 0:07:23.920 --> 0:07:26.960 be ten to ten at halftime after Andrews Carlson missed 0:07:26.960 --> 0:07:28.880 a fifty two yard field goal, but made a twenty 0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:31.040 eight yarder, so ten to ten at the break. Now 0:07:31.160 --> 0:07:35.160 here's where the Chargers got Chargery Allan Keenan Allen drops 0:07:35.200 --> 0:07:37.720 a sure seven yard touchdown pass. Chargers have to settle 0:07:37.720 --> 0:07:40.000 for a Dicker twenty six yard field goal thirteen to ten. Chargers. 0:07:40.080 --> 0:07:42.440 Remember that after a trade of punts, green Bay goes 0:07:42.440 --> 0:07:44.800 seventy yards Loved to Watson from eleven sixteen to thirteen. 0:07:44.880 --> 0:07:48.360 Green Bay miss Carlson pat and third quarter ensuing drive 0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:50.240 maybe the biggest play of the game. At the time, 0:07:50.760 --> 0:07:53.000 Chargers matriculate for their own twenty five second in goal. 0:07:53.040 --> 0:07:57.240 Eckler tackled Mike Anny Clark fumbles second in goal at 0:07:57.280 --> 0:08:00.640 the two. He fumbles, Rashan Gary recovers green Bay punt. 0:08:00.720 --> 0:08:02.920 Remember that play. After green Bay punt, Chargers go sixty 0:08:02.960 --> 0:08:05.800 three yards Herbert to Allen for ten twenty to sixteen Chargers, 0:08:05.880 --> 0:08:08.000 but then Green Bay goes seventy five on the following drive, 0:08:08.080 --> 0:08:10.000 Love to Dobbs from twenty four out twenty three to 0:08:10.000 --> 0:08:13.280 twenty green Bay two thirty three to go, Chargers four 0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:15.520 and out, but they had all three timeouts. Green Bay 0:08:15.560 --> 0:08:17.120 three and out. The Chargers get the ball back with 0:08:17.240 --> 0:08:19.160 one twenty seven to go at their own twenty third 0:08:19.240 --> 0:08:21.840 and six from their own thirty Herbert deep to Quenton 0:08:21.920 --> 0:08:26.360 Johnston behind the defense on his hands, drop Nope. And 0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:28.040 then on fourth and one from their own thirty five 0:08:28.080 --> 0:08:30.320 Herberts pass Baten down ball game. Green Bay wins twenty 0:08:30.400 --> 0:08:32.679 three to twenty. What's that three plays? We counted the 0:08:32.840 --> 0:08:36.360 Allen drop, the the Eckler fumble at the two, and 0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:38.480 then the Quentin Johnson dropped. Green Bay wins at twenty 0:08:38.520 --> 0:08:40.440 three twenty. Jordan Love twenty seven to forty for three 0:08:40.520 --> 0:08:43.120 twenty two two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked three times. 0:08:43.679 --> 0:08:45.880 Jayden Reid forty six on the ground, forty six receiving 0:08:45.920 --> 0:08:47.280 get a touchdown on the ground as well. And then 0:08:47.280 --> 0:08:50.319 there's Detroit first drive of the game. Chicago's seventy five 0:08:50.360 --> 0:08:52.520 yards down to Foreman in from one seven to nothing Chicago. 0:08:52.559 --> 0:08:54.880 Goff would throw a pick then Tyreek Stevenson getting it, 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:57.040 but didn't lead to anything. Chicago had to punt, but 0:08:57.120 --> 0:08:59.680 Detroit second drive golf picked again by t J. Edwards, 0:08:59.720 --> 0:09:01.400 this time on first and twenty at the Chicago forty 0:09:01.440 --> 0:09:04.280 five fourteen thirty eight left second quarter, Then two plays 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:06.440 into the Chicago and suing drive fields and Tyler Scott 0:09:06.480 --> 0:09:09.280 hit by Cameron Sudden fumbles. Alexandelone recovers of the Chicago 0:09:09.360 --> 0:09:12.000 thirty four a play after Goff almost throws a pick 0:09:12.120 --> 0:09:14.000 six that would have been his third pick of the game, 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.040 instead gives in from two seven to seven, nine to 0:09:16.040 --> 0:09:18.199 twenty three left in the second quarter. After a Santos 0:09:18.240 --> 0:09:20.440 thirty one yard field goal made it ten to seven Chicago. 0:09:20.559 --> 0:09:22.040 Detroit gets the ball at their own twenty five with 0:09:22.120 --> 0:09:24.240 one forty seven left in the half, goes seventy five 0:09:24.320 --> 0:09:26.800 yards GoF to Saint Brown from seven out fourteen ten Detroit. 0:09:26.840 --> 0:09:28.600 Half time, You're like, Okay, Detroit is just gonna roll 0:09:28.640 --> 0:09:31.800 from here. Noope. Third quarter After Detroit punt Santo's fifty 0:09:31.840 --> 0:09:34.240 three yard field goal fourteen thirteen, Detroit then ensuing kit 0:09:34.280 --> 0:09:38.120 Craig Reynolds popped fumble recovered by Demarcy's gates at the 0:09:38.160 --> 0:09:40.600 Detroit forty three plays later, fills to Dj Moore from 0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:43.719 thirty nine out, touchdown twenty to fourteen, Bears four to 0:09:43.760 --> 0:09:45.920 forty one left third quarter and suing drive third and 0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:47.800 six of their own forty six golf picked over the 0:09:47.840 --> 0:09:50.880 middle by Tremaine Edmonds goff just reverting to his old 0:09:50.920 --> 0:09:53.480 self Chicago short field starting out the Detroit forty three 0:09:53.520 --> 0:09:56.480 that leads to Santo's forty yardfield goal twenty three to fourteen, 0:09:56.559 --> 0:09:59.760 Chicago fourteen twelve to go. Another Detroit three and out, 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:02.720 Another Santo's field goal, this from thirty nine, twenty six 0:10:02.800 --> 0:10:06.600 to fourteen Chicago now four fifteen to go Detroit. Then 0:10:07.120 --> 0:10:09.520 with four minutes and fifteen seconds left in the game, Galley, 0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:12.800 they're down twelve. They wake up six plays, seventy five 0:10:12.920 --> 0:10:15.800 yards golf to Jamison Williams from thirty two, and just 0:10:16.120 --> 0:10:18.720 like that, in one minute and twenty seconds, it's twenty 0:10:18.760 --> 0:10:21.800 six twenty one Chicago. Then of course a Chicago three 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:24.600 and out. Detroit takes over down five with two thirty 0:10:24.640 --> 0:10:27.600 three to go, seventy three yards and eleven plays. None 0:10:27.600 --> 0:10:30.559 of the plays longer than thirteen yards. Here's with casual matriculation. 0:10:30.760 --> 0:10:33.480 Montgomery in from one with twenty nine seconds left, two 0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:36.640 point conversion. Good golf to Laporta twenty nine to twenty six. Lions, 0:10:36.880 --> 0:10:39.839 then fields sacked by Hutchinson, ball kicked out of the 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:42.320 back of the end zone by Darnell Right. Hutchinson kicks 0:10:42.360 --> 0:10:44.360 it to the moon after that, no flag, by the way, 0:10:44.440 --> 0:10:46.559 which could have come into play. Thirty one to twenty 0:10:46.640 --> 0:10:51.679 six Detroit ballgame. That was the most stealth come from behind. Waight, 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:55.000 what just happened finished that? I can remember? Golf twenty 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:57.080 three of thirty five for two thirty six, two touchdowns, 0:10:57.280 --> 0:10:59.280 three picks. He was sacked twice. Gibbs eight for thirty 0:10:59.320 --> 0:11:01.839 six on the ground with touchdown six catches for fifty nine. 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:05.320 They were out time of possession. The Lions were forty 0:11:05.480 --> 0:11:08.920 minutes and twenty four seconds to nineteen thirty six, and 0:11:09.040 --> 0:11:11.000 they were minus two in turnovers. But it led to 0:11:11.080 --> 0:11:15.560 only plus one Chicago net point green Bay at Detroit 0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:19.200 to start Thanksgiving, I'll say the Lions by seven even touchdown. 0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:21.600 Yeah, you are very close seven and a half right 0:11:21.679 --> 0:11:25.839 now at DraftKings. I did lay the seven yesterday. You 0:11:25.960 --> 0:11:28.640 did yeah, yeah, small and I might be involving this 0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:31.000 in teasers. This is I think you made a great 0:11:31.000 --> 0:11:33.880 point about this Lions defense becoming a little shaky, you 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:35.760 know now, kind of towards middle of the season. 0:11:35.800 --> 0:11:37.679 You brought that up last week. You don't trust him 0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:40.400 as much hearing on that. I still think this Packers 0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:43.079 team is pretty pretty terrible. That they should Packers shouldn't 0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:44.760 have won yesterday. I don't know how the Lions did. 0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:48.160 Lions are nothing there for me. Doesn't leap off the page. 0:11:48.320 --> 0:11:50.680 More of this More guessing lines Week twelve. Next Numbers 0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:57.079 game Vson the Sports Betting Network. Here are three reasons 0:11:57.280 --> 0:12:00.680 Zen is America's number one nicoteae pout. We use food 0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.559 grade ingredients. We have a wide selection of varieties and 0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:06.679 they all come in two strengths. Find Zen at a 0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:09.760 store near you morning. This product contains nicotine. Nicotine is 0:12:09.760 --> 0:12:16.160 an addictive chemical. Numbers gave on VISI these Scores Betting Network. 0:12:16.240 --> 0:12:18.560 If you haven't become a Vison Pro subscriber yet, now's 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:20.280 your best chance to sign up. It saved. Sign up 0:12:20.280 --> 0:12:22.320 on our Black Friday special today and get vsent Pro 0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:25.120 access to everything we do from now through May first 0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:28.000 for only sixty dollars. That's sixty dollars. Sign up today 0:12:28.040 --> 0:12:30.400 get access to daily best bets, unlimited access to our 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.920 exclusive betting splits, premium analysis, and twenty four to seven 0:12:33.000 --> 0:12:35.120 video access, plus all our betting guys and best bets 0:12:35.160 --> 0:12:37.600 for the upcoming College Bowls the Super Bowl in March Madness. 0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:39.800 Don't miss our best new subscriber offer of the year. 0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:42.400 Visit Visa dot com slash subscribe to sign up on 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:46.080 our Black Friday special. Now that's vsi n dot Com 0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:50.199 slash subscribe. It's kill Alexander. It's Kelly Bidlin guessing lines 0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:52.719 for week number twelve in the National Football League. As 0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:54.439 we roll in here, the music is blaring at the 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:57.400 d and this morning they were playing Bob Seekers. We 0:12:57.520 --> 0:13:00.559 got tonight, which I have annoyingly been said now in 0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.480 between every segment, every chance I get, and Kelly wants 0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:04.679 it out of his head, So I'm just gonna do 0:13:04.679 --> 0:13:06.760 it for the rest of the show. Only night move. 0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:11.760 So it's the only song loud, and we figured out, 0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:15.079 because we're geniuses, that it's the d Derek Stevens is 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:17.000 from Detroit, and they're playing a lot of Bob Seeker. 0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.280 I think we can. I think we're reading too much 0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:21.960 into it, maybe maybe because otherwise we're missing some great 0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:24.400 kid rock around here. They show enough to play a 0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:25.959 lot of Bob Singer in here. They'll tell you that 0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:28.200 one F one, I have to I have to get 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:29.400 all this in on this show. I know we have 0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:30.599 to guess lines, but I have to get all this 0:13:30.679 --> 0:13:34.319 in F one. The Formula one race here on Saturday night, 0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:38.560 we're gonna compartmentalize. There's two. There's two conversations to be had. 0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:42.320 Let's talk about the race itself. First of all, let's 0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:44.160 flash up a picture. This was my vantage point. This 0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:46.840 is on the roof of my building watching the race. 0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:49.319 Glorious Las Vegas event. Let me just say this, and 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:52.480 better than you were expecting. Right, Well, I mean, I 0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:55.520 know what my view is, but the fact that we 0:13:55.720 --> 0:13:57.839 got to see where my vantage point is is the 0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:00.160 corner of the Strip and Harmon. For those who were 0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:03.760 unfamiliar with the street names, it's right where the Cosmo 0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:06.160 and the Aria. The street right in between the Cosmo 0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:11.000 and the Aria perpendicular to Las to the Las Vegas Strip. 0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.280 So they're coming down that picture. They're coming down the 0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:17.199 strip at two hundred and forty miles an hour, And 0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:19.520 my vantage point was perfect because I'd see them at 0:14:19.560 --> 0:14:22.840 two forty, then I'd see them have to slow down. Right, 0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:24.360 We got them where they had to slow down and 0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:27.960 make not quite a ninety degree left turn, but enough 0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:29.560 so that I sound like my dad was like, what 0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:31.480 do you mean they throw the baseball one hundred miles 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:33.520 an hour? I couldn't believe, like these cars are able 0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.120 to stop so smoothly like that and turn. But we 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:40.040 got to see where, you know, La Clerk passed verstap 0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:42.400 in the first time perfectly. And I had a bunch 0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:43.880 of f on and hard os up on the roof 0:14:43.960 --> 0:14:45.200 with me, and they had their TVs and they were 0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:46.800 giving me all the play by play, so it gave 0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:48.560 great context to it. So let me just say this, 0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:52.640 the race itself, those that period of time when the 0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:59.400 race was happening was gorgeous. Las Vegas, Nevada never looked 0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:04.240 more beauty. That was the best sort of advertisement for 0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:06.880 this city that there could ever be. And let me 0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:08.600 just say the part that I watched on TV two 0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:12.840 from sky Sports. Sky Sports did a phenomenal job televising this, 0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:17.680 and American sports media that does the broad that does 0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:20.880 golf broadcasts could learn a lesson from them because they 0:15:20.880 --> 0:15:23.760 didn't just focus on the leaders. They focused on everybody. 0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:27.200 Here's someone passing, you know, for eighth place. So they 0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:29.040 did such a great job of that, and golf we 0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:31.840 see with every tournament it just wait, why aren't you 0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:33.920 showing so and so who's in third place? Can we 0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:35.880 see one? You know? And so there was a lesson 0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:37.960 to be learned from that. But Las Vegas never looked 0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:42.280 more beautiful. The race was awesome. It was electric that night, 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:44.880 like the whole thing was surreal, Like I can't believe 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:47.520 they pulled this off. And so in that respect, you 0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:52.440 got to give them props for that. However, everything else 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.640 that we endured for this, right the six months of construction, 0:15:56.360 --> 0:16:00.800 the arrogance of security that the weekend, the fact that everything, 0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:04.560 every square inch in this town was monetized. Probably some 0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:06.800 politician was greased, and nobody has the you know, the 0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:11.040 courage to do an investigation on it. It's a ten 0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:13.000 year contract. But I will tell you this what it's 0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.680 gonna come down to. They're just gonna look at the economics, 0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:20.120 did the city, did the strip make more money than 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:23.120 it otherwise would have, and all the indications by the 0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:25.720 way or that it might not have. And so we'll see, 0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:27.440 we'll see how this goes down. 0:16:27.600 --> 0:16:29.520 I mean, the only the only day I got remotely 0:16:29.560 --> 0:16:31.920 closed down there was that was Thursday night. Yeah, I 0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:33.520 was a little I don't want to say it was 0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:35.280 shocked because I knew it was Thursday. I knew it 0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:39.280 still wasn't like Friday Saturday. But crowds were light around 0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:41.400 the Caesars, the Great Caesar's Palace. 0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:44.640 It was pretty dark cool on Saturday night. Man, it 0:16:44.760 --> 0:16:47.480 was it was. I mean, like the fact that it happened, 0:16:47.520 --> 0:16:50.000 Like it's surreal that that they pulled this off. That 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:51.360 was that part is. 0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:53.640 But I mean it's not so it's not as as 0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:56.240 surreal when we've been sitting through it for seven months 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:56.720 or whatever. 0:16:56.880 --> 0:16:59.560 It's people who have been here long enough say it 0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:01.600 was war worst than that NBA All Star weekend. The 0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.520 six months of this was worth worse than that famous 0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:07.760 NBA All Star weekend. Let's do another Thanksgiving game, all right? 0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:10.720 Next up, we got the commanders at the Cowboys. Uh, 0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:16.399 the Commodes four and seven Washington commodes against the Dallas Cowboys, 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:19.800 who are seven and three. What a traditional Thanksgiving matchup. 0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:22.360 This is Detroit and Dallas, obviously with home games traditionally 0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:25.880 on Thanksgiving each and every year, Washington loses to the Giants. 0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:29.080 I do not know how this happened. First drive of 0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:33.520 the game, they sacked Tommy DeVito twice, but which would 0:17:33.520 --> 0:17:35.840 be a port of things to come. But then Howell 0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:38.560 was picked his first drive deep by first drive deep 0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:41.920 by Nick Nick McLeod, they would sack Washington would sack 0:17:42.000 --> 0:17:45.320 DeVito five times in the first quarter, the most in 0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:47.600 a first quarter by any team of opposing quarterback since 0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:50.400 two thousand and six. After Giants three and out, skin 0:17:50.480 --> 0:17:52.560 second play on the drive, Howel to Logan Thomas hit 0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:55.560 by Michael McFadden and Xavier McKinney recovers at the Washington 0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:57.600 forty seven that led to a short field and de 0:17:57.720 --> 0:18:00.000 veto to Saquon twenty four year old touchdown pass seven 0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.720 to nothing, Giants six twenty nine left in the first quarter. 0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:04.959 The one guy that can beat you, they couldn't stop him. 0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:06.760 After a sly twenty three yard field going to make 0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:08.200 it seven to three, and after a trade of punts 0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:10.000 Giants fourth and two at the Washington thirty four to 0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:13.040 ten eighteen left second quarter incomplete pass, but after the 0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:16.040 skin after Washington three and out, Giants go sixty two 0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.440 yards to veto to Darius Slayton for forty fourteen to 0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:22.800 three Higantes. Washington then goes seventy five yards howl in 0:18:22.880 --> 0:18:25.320 from eight in a on a play where he was 0:18:25.400 --> 0:18:28.919 like a pinball, knocking off players ended up on the ground. 0:18:29.440 --> 0:18:32.320 Flags were thrown fourteen to nine because Slive misses the 0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:35.359 pat that would be the halftime score. Opening kickof second 0:18:35.359 --> 0:18:38.800 half Byron Pringle fumbles for Washington. Javarius Owens recovers to 0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:41.440 the Washington thirty four, but the Giants go backwards on 0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:43.960 the seventh and eighth sacks of DeVito of the game, 0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:48.520 Skins them matriculate slide from forty two fourteen to twelve Giants. 0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:50.879 Maybe Washington could pull us off. After another three and 0:18:50.920 --> 0:18:53.400 out for the Giants punctuated by the ninth sack of DeVito, 0:18:53.800 --> 0:18:55.880 Washington has first and ten at the Giants thirty five 0:18:55.920 --> 0:18:57.680 with fifty one seconds left and the third quarter and 0:18:57.880 --> 0:19:02.280 Chris Rodriguez Juniors hit by Xavier He recovered by Micah McFadden. 0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.480 The turnovers one after another that would lead to a 0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.119 Giant sixty seven yard drive Saquon for thirty six to 0:19:08.160 --> 0:19:10.159 start it to veto to Saquon from five out to 0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:12.960 end it twenty one to twelve Giants, thirteen thirty two 0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:16.280 left Howell, then picked by Darnay Holmes when he just 0:19:16.359 --> 0:19:18.960 threw it up for grabs, led to a bullock thirty 0:19:18.960 --> 0:19:21.120