1 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 1: Matt Perolz. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: here on a well inconclusive day. For yesterday, I don't 6 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: know what happened because I always whine about this whenever 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: I come to the East Coast. But I don't know 8 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: how you guys do it. I don't know how I 9 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: did it. We don't even have I mean, the ball 10 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: has now even tipped off between the Tea Wolves and 11 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: the Lakers. Yet the Celtics game is teetering, going back 12 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: and forth. We've had a the live number has been 13 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: as low as two hundred, it's been as high as 14 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,559 Speaker 1: two o seven. I don't know what happened for the 15 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: Celtics game, for that matter. So and then I don't 16 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: know about the Edmonton game against the Kings because that 17 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,639 Speaker 1: game is nowhere near getting ready to start as it's 18 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: the last hockey game of the night, so completely unknown 19 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: record for the day of Friday. So I apologize for that, 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: but I have a lot of stuff going on and 21 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: I plan on being asleep in like an hour, so 22 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be awake to even know how 23 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: these plays will end up finishing. But it looks like 24 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: if I had to guess that the Celtic's game will 25 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 1: go over, I think I had to put a gun 26 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 1: to my head. I think the game probably goes over. 27 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 1: But the other two we'll see how it winds up 28 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: playing out. I actually will try to watch a little 29 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: bit of a Lakers game, but it's getting late. You know, 30 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: it's nine o'clock on the East Coast already. Don't know 31 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 1: how you guys do this. West Coast games are so 32 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: good and they start so late. I don't blame you 33 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:41,759 Speaker 1: for not watching on the East Coast, but yike's late 34 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,759 Speaker 1: late late. Okay. So I've got the return of NBA 35 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: player props. I got two that I actually really do like. 36 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: I have one NBA play I have won NHL play 37 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: to give you guys coming up here for today. But 38 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: first and foremost, let me tell you about our friends 39 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: at bet three six y' five. 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You must be present 50 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisville, North Carolina, 51 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Gambling problem called one 52 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 1: hundred Gambler or one hundred bets off if you live 53 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: in Iowa. Terms and conditions to apply. Okay, So, I've 54 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: got two NBA player props and I'm gonna give you 55 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 1: guys here in just one moment. Have you entered the 56 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 1: NBA Player Prop Contest yet? If you haven't, you really should. 57 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: It's very cool. It's free playoff prop contest. You make 58 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,360 Speaker 1: picks and compete for prizes every round in the NBA Playoffs. 59 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: The first round prize will be this Sean kempt signed 60 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 1: Personics jersey that you see on your screen, or the 61 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: grand prize is an Alan Iverson signed jersey that will 62 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: give away later on this summer in the month of June. 63 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 1: Enter for free. You just go to bettingpros dot com 64 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: slash Playoffs or go to the Betting Pros app and 65 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 1: enter today again. You play for free. It's our playoff 66 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: prop contest. You're gonna make picks and round prizes. Each 67 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: round will have its own prize, including a grand prize 68 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 1: of Alan Iverson signed jersey and the Sean kemps signed 69 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: jersey for Round one, which is currently available at the moment. 70 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: All right, let's first start with the NBA three. That's 71 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: the number for the Warriors. Remember I liked two and 72 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: a half for Houston in Game one. I've done pretty 73 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: well in this series so far. I got Game one 74 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: right with the Warriors, Game two right with the Rockets, 75 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 1: and I'm coming back with Game three. Here on the 76 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: Warriors laying the three. I think there is some real 77 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: anger in that locker room after what happened to Jimmy Butler. 78 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: Now he is questionable. I think he's going to play 79 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: but I think there's some real anger about what happened 80 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: and whether or not that play was dirty and whether 81 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler, you know, in terms of just the hit 82 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: he took on his tailbone, because that had been avoided 83 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 1: in some form or fashion. I think you've got some 84 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: bad blood going into this series. We had some bad blood. 85 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,479 Speaker 1: We know now there's some bad blood in this series. 86 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 1: And first game at home for the Warriors. Take the 87 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 1: zigzag theory if you want, but I think this is 88 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: very much a back and forth series. The first game 89 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 1: was the Rockets, favored by two. It was a ten 90 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 1: point win for the Warriors. Game number two was a 91 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 1: four point line closing line for the Rockets. They won 92 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: by fifteen. Now Here we have a Warriors favorite line 93 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: of three. And the last time these played teams played 94 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 1: at Golden State, it was a ten point loss for 95 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: the Warriors. Late in the year, they were laying five 96 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: and a half at home against Houston and they lost 97 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: by ten. So that will be clearly in the player's minds. Playoff, Steph, 98 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: I think Jimmy Butler is going to play. I don't 99 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 1: think that injury will keep him out. I think he'll 100 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: be on the court, and I think and I want three, 101 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: not three and a half. Get three here, But I 102 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: like the Warriors to win and cover here in game 103 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: number three, to take a two games to one lead 104 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: up against this Rockets, young upstart Rockets team one game apiece. 105 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: I think the Warriors win Game three, they'll cover the 106 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 1: three lay the three Warriors minus three for one point 107 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: one units. Now two NBA player props for tonight. Let's 108 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:38,279 Speaker 1: talk about Desmond bain and OKC in Memphis. I mean, 109 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 1: what was Game three? That was an absolute melt? What 110 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 1: really do you think this Memphis team is going to 111 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 1: have for Game four? I just don't see it. Desmond 112 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: Baines points, rebounds and assist prop is set at thirty 113 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: two and a half. In the last game, he only 114 00:05:56,600 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: had twenty two. In Game two he had thirty five five, 115 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: but in Game one he had eleven. I just really 116 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: can't trust this. So the numbers again in this series 117 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: have been thirty one and a half, twenty eight and 118 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: a half, twenty nine and a half, and twenty nine 119 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 1: a half. So this is Game four, he's had twenty two, 120 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: thirty five and eleven points, rebounds and assists in this series. 121 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: The prop bet cheat sheet is projecting this number way 122 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,359 Speaker 1: down here for tonight, in fact four and a half 123 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:30,279 Speaker 1: differential between the projection in what the prop is at 124 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 1: thirty two and a half. It's a little juicy at 125 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: minus one twenty, but we're talking about one of the 126 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: best defensive teams in the entire NBA. Really tough to 127 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,600 Speaker 1: get this for. Desmond Bain has said one time in 128 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: this series, I'm gonna follow the prop bet cheat sheet 129 00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:48,479 Speaker 1: here Desmond Bain under thirty two and a half points, 130 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: rebounds and assists at minus one twenty. Again the projections 131 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: for twenty eight, so find that thirty two and a 132 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,039 Speaker 1: half projection number. This is a five star and a 133 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: thirty eight percent positive ev play. It's one of the 134 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,919 Speaker 1: bets on the board according to the prop bit cheat sheet, 135 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: to go under thirty two and a half points, rebounds 136 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: and assists for Desmond Bain. We're gonna go and bet 137 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 1: that to win a half a unit at point six. 138 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: To win a half a unit coming back bet number 139 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: two different game a game I will be very closely 140 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: watching though if I'm awake. The Clippers hosting Denver. Clippers 141 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 1: destroyed Denver, killed them in game number three let's see 142 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: what happens here in game number four one, seventeen eighty three. 143 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: So in that game, prop points and rebounds was set 144 00:07:35,640 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: at twenty to twenty and a half. He got twenty two. 145 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 1: He went over. Now it's set at twenty two and 146 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: a half. And this is one of the highest numbers 147 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: we've seen for Aaron Gordon points and rebounds in a while. 148 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: He has only gone over this number in this series 149 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: one time. He went over in game one where had 150 00:07:56,840 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: thirty three points in rebounds. Game two twenty, Game three 151 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: twenty two. Now we're steid at twenty two and a 152 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 1: half because the last game was set at twenty. It 153 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 1: did go over. You look at the minutes played, He's 154 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: playing a bunch of minutes. He has scored a bunch 155 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: of points here. But I think you're gonna see a 156 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: defensive effort on him, and I really think the Clippers 157 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 1: will lock down on Aaron Gordon. Propp at chia chet 158 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: is projecting this to go pretty far under. It's not 159 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 1: one of the top plays, but the prop pet chia 160 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: Chets thinks Aaron Gordon under eighteen point six is the 161 00:08:28,840 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: projection for him twenty two and a half in points 162 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: in rebounds, that's three point nine differential. Again, this is 163 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: a thirty seven percent pods of VV play. It's a 164 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:38,679 Speaker 1: five star play against the second best defensive team in 165 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 1: the NBA. Here, head to head, only seventeen percent of 166 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 1: the time Aaron Gordon's been able to go over this 167 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: number here just one time. That was in game three 168 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,319 Speaker 1: Game two, So I don't think we're gonna have to 169 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: worry about this in terms of you know him for 170 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 1: game one rather him flying over on this twenty two 171 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: is where it was yes last game that would have 172 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 1: gone under in after Game three at fifteen points, seven 173 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,959 Speaker 1: rebounds and no assists. In game number two, he had 174 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: fourteen points, six rebounds in one assist. In Game one, 175 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 1: the game the only game one so far by the 176 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: Nuggets one twelve to one ten, Aaron Gordon had twenty 177 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: five points, eight rebounds in one assists, so that he 178 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: played forty six minutes, most manutes he's played so far here. 179 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:24,199 Speaker 1: He's manage been going down every game forty six, thirty eight, 180 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 1: thirty two. If that trend and continue, he won't be 181 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: on the floor enough to go over so under twenty 182 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: two and a half at minus one twenty Aaron Gordon 183 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:36,679 Speaker 1: points and rebounds here again, Bett points six to win 184 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:40,560 Speaker 1: a half of unit coming back on that and finally 185 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:43,559 Speaker 1: tonight we are going to wind up going to Colorado 186 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 1: and Dallas in the awesome series that's going on right 187 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 1: now in the NHL Playoffs. Colorado's down two games to one. 188 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 1: Dallas after losing seven straight, then eight straight. After losing 189 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 1: game one, they've won two straight games, including a two 190 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 1: to one overtime win over Colorado in the last game. 191 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:04,959 Speaker 1: I don't hate and underplay in this six and a 192 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: half at DraftKings. I don't hate betting under here in this, 193 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,959 Speaker 1: but Dallas wins and wins the game. I think Colorado 194 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: comes back here. It evens up this series. But it's 195 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 1: too expensive to jump in. In my opinion, it's too 196 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: expensive to take them on the money line. So instead 197 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:24,200 Speaker 1: of taking them on the money line, I want to 198 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: come in and take it in sixty in regulation Avalanche 199 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: to win in regulations only minus one fifteen. I think 200 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 1: it's a better way of playing it. I know the 201 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 1: last two games have gone to overtime. I don't think 202 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 1: this game goes to overtime. Would be surprised to see 203 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: a third straight game go to overtime, but it was 204 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 1: a five to one win for the Colorado in Game one. 205 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 1: Could very well be a very similar type of score 206 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: here in game number four, the Stars have won four 207 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 1: to three and two to one, both in overtime. I'll 208 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: take Colorado in regulation to win this game at minus 209 00:10:56,320 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: one fifteen here for one point one five units. All right, 210 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 1: so our plays for today Warriors minus three for one 211 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 1: point one units. Colorado the Avalanche in sixty in regulation 212 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: at minus one point fifteen for one point one five units. 213 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 1: Desmond Bayne points, rebounds and assists under thirty two and 214 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: a half at minus one twenty and Aaron Gordon points 215 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: and rebounds under twenty two and a half for him 216 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 1: here at minus one twenty. Tomorrow you will get another 217 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast, a Sunday episode, and then we will 218 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 1: be off for seven days. So I hope to see 219 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 1: you guys all here today tomorrow posting comments and whatnot. 220 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 1: Tell anyone that's questioning and wondering where did Matt go. 221 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:40,200 Speaker 1: I didn't go anywhere, just taking a little break, little 222 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: VK here for us, and then back on May the 223 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 1: fourth for us on that Sunday, minus Matt Parl following 224 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 1: us all my socials at Sportstock Matt every morning wherever 225 00:11:49,640 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 1: you guys get your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice.