WEBVTT - Elevate Your Portfolio With Marijuana ETFs

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to a trillions. I'm Joel Webber and I'm Eric Belchioness. Eric,

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<v Speaker 1>do you smoke marijuana? Not not present tense, but um, definitely.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean I was in college in the nineties. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of interest in marijuana. Maybe you've noticed you think, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's definitely. You can just you can feel

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<v Speaker 1>it and you can tell you smell it sometimes and

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<v Speaker 1>other times you can't smell it because it's a vaporiser.

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<v Speaker 1>Right in the e t F circuit quote unquote, it

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<v Speaker 1>comes up more And is there a potty t F

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<v Speaker 1>was one of the top things that I would be

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<v Speaker 1>asked about, just from people internally here knowing you know

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<v Speaker 1>that I'm et F guy, like, Hey, my wife is

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<v Speaker 1>wondering is there a potty t F? For many for

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of years that was a question. I got

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<v Speaker 1>a lot and there are, yeah, more than one. And

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<v Speaker 1>there was a big moment recently where Canada just legalize

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<v Speaker 1>this nationally. So it's the first G seven country to

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<v Speaker 1>legalize marijuana, recreational marijuana. Not only that, several states in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States are doing it, and obviously there's federal issues,

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<v Speaker 1>but you could kind of feel the cat out of

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<v Speaker 1>the bag to a degree. And I think this A

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people argue it's like the inpro prohibition, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a big deal. When an industry goes

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<v Speaker 1>from no sales or nothing, or an underground market comes

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<v Speaker 1>to the surface and now is all you know, you

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<v Speaker 1>can capture that in terms of a new industry. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's major. So knowing all of that, Rachel Evans, Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>News reporter who we've teamed with multiple times, we asked

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<v Speaker 1>her to go go check this out for us, and

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<v Speaker 1>she went up to Canada did a little slew thing,

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<v Speaker 1>And this episode is all about Rachel booting the ground,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to figure out what's going on with marijuana ets

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<v Speaker 1>this weekend trillions, elevating your portfolio. Hello, can I'll possibly

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<v Speaker 1>get a coffee from you? Guys? Can I get a larteum?

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<v Speaker 1>Can you decare for me? Double? Be good? Actually? And

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<v Speaker 1>do you have any food at first? Next? The Cannabis

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<v Speaker 1>and Coffee Cafe in downtown Toronto isn't the most obvious

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<v Speaker 1>choice for a business meeting. Luridly colored bombs line the walls,

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<v Speaker 1>and leaflets promoting the pain relieving benefits of weed dot

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<v Speaker 1>the counter. But this is no ordinary rendezvous. I'm here

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<v Speaker 1>to meet Christine or Hum Bloomberg's dedicated marijuana reporter for

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<v Speaker 1>a virtual tour of the companies and products that are

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<v Speaker 1>thriving now that Canada's legalized weed. How's again, can see

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<v Speaker 1>you freezing? It's not too cold out it was. Unless

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<v Speaker 1>you've been hires a kite for the last twelve months,

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<v Speaker 1>you'll have seen, heard, or read something about this nascent industry.

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<v Speaker 1>Potstocks jumped a whopping this year, but it's been a

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<v Speaker 1>volatile ride, with as many lows as highs. But while

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<v Speaker 1>you can now smoke away your losses with state endorsed weed,

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<v Speaker 1>Toronto and the rest of Ontario won't sell it from

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<v Speaker 1>stores of cafes until next year, much to the disappointment

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<v Speaker 1>of my barristas, that is a beautifully depicted Cannabisly, if

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<v Speaker 1>you guys are very clever, do you ever said? Instead,

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<v Speaker 1>Christine and I take a scroll through a government run

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<v Speaker 1>website called the Ontario Cannabis Store, the only place in

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<v Speaker 1>Toronto where you can legally buy a weed. Here, anyone

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<v Speaker 1>over nineteen can choose between Sativa or Indica strains of

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<v Speaker 1>cannabis pre rolled joints or oils and compare prices across

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<v Speaker 1>scores of different brands. It's about ten Canadian dollar is

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<v Speaker 1>program roughly the amount needed for two joints, and you

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<v Speaker 1>can buy up to thirty grams about and ounce at

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<v Speaker 1>any one time. There are a lot of rules where

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<v Speaker 1>the logo company's logo can't be figured that this giant

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<v Speaker 1>THHC warning signs, so they're really and the it has

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<v Speaker 1>to be like plain pasting they have. They're really circling

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<v Speaker 1>like the colors and decoration they can use, so it

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<v Speaker 1>looks very law. You're very restricted in what you can

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<v Speaker 1>say about the products, so you can't say our marijuana

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<v Speaker 1>will make you feel amazing, or you know this show

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<v Speaker 1>people having a good time while smoking, and so how

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<v Speaker 1>do you raise brand awareness? Well, for a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people are just reportedly coming from the black market. They

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<v Speaker 1>know a stream that they like, they're finding in the

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<v Speaker 1>store buying it, and they don't care what, what company

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<v Speaker 1>or what brand is coming around. Shopping for online is

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<v Speaker 1>a strange experience. Antique illustrations of marijuana leaves jostle with

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<v Speaker 1>warnings about health risks, and many of the most popular

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<v Speaker 1>products have already sold out. The breadth of the market

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<v Speaker 1>is certainly apparent, but so is the difficulty for both

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<v Speaker 1>smokers and investors in differentiating between a bad trip and

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<v Speaker 1>green gold. Enter exchange traded funds, there are I think

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and forty or so publicly traded canabis companies,

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<v Speaker 1>and that that will very completely narrowed down to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a dozen clear winners, right, so you're gonna see a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of consolidation, and you're gonna sees bankruptcies inevitably. I

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<v Speaker 1>think these companies are not always to survive. Rather than

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<v Speaker 1>trying to guess who the winners and losers are going

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<v Speaker 1>to be, to invest in a basket of stocks and

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<v Speaker 1>just say what I'm doing is anything about on the

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<v Speaker 1>industry as a whole. Steve Hawkins started the world's first

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<v Speaker 1>marijuana ETF in April two seventeen. The chief executive of

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<v Speaker 1>Horizons ETFs has always been something of a maverick, specializing

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<v Speaker 1>in the leverage and inverse products that inspire love or hate.

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<v Speaker 1>So the controversy around a potty t F held no fair.

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<v Speaker 1>The deviation returns from peak to traff that we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>on individual names is astronomical. It's just crazy, but when

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<v Speaker 1>you own the e t F, you're owning party exposure

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<v Speaker 1>to that party, exposure to this. It's still extremely volatile,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's still more lead. You even keeled standard deviation

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<v Speaker 1>of returns on a relative basis. I met Steve at

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<v Speaker 1>his offices a few blocks from the coffee shop to

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<v Speaker 1>learn how the Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences e t F

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<v Speaker 1>came to life. A blog his company ran for investors

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<v Speaker 1>kept throwing out requests for a potty TF. So in

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<v Speaker 1>the fall of he set about making that dream reality.

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<v Speaker 1>From the get go, it was a challenge. It was

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<v Speaker 1>a very new precedent for me in you know, having

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<v Speaker 1>launched you know, fifty six products over the past five years. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>this was something completely different we've never seen before. Did

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<v Speaker 1>anyone think you were a little bit nuts when you

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<v Speaker 1>kind of came to them with this and said, you

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<v Speaker 1>know what, we want to put marijuana stocks in an? Absolutely? Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>And that's why it was. It was extremely sensitive subject matter.

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<v Speaker 1>There's such a negative stigma at that point in time

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<v Speaker 1>that was still associated with marijuana. Even with the development

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<v Speaker 1>an approval of medical marijuana and how integrated into Canadians lifestyle,

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<v Speaker 1>it was becoming you know, it was there was a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of silence on the other end of the phone

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<v Speaker 1>lines when when you asked the question, and it's like

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<v Speaker 1>all you could hear in the in the background was

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<v Speaker 1>the wheels clicking and people thinking, really you want to

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<v Speaker 1>do this? Wow, that's not something that we have traditionally

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<v Speaker 1>ever done. And you know, we went through, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>several layers of beer cratic approval at every single third

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<v Speaker 1>party service provider we went to, like, you know, it

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<v Speaker 1>didn't just stop at the partner or if it really

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<v Speaker 1>had to get escalate it to their boss and then

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<v Speaker 1>their boss. Eventually he persuaded an index custodian and market

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<v Speaker 1>maker to get on board, but Steve still needed buy

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<v Speaker 1>in from the Toronto Stock Exchange. The exchange had listed

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<v Speaker 1>a handful of cannabis companies, but anyt F of those

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<v Speaker 1>companies still made it squirm. Even once we've got all

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<v Speaker 1>the third party service providers lined up and the index

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<v Speaker 1>providers done, and we have figured out how we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to launch this and how we're going to management, then

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<v Speaker 1>I had to go through a very long process of

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<v Speaker 1>approval with the t SEX. Normally, with the t SEX,

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<v Speaker 1>it's pretty much switch and it's here's the information, here's

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<v Speaker 1>our application, here's our filing fee. Thank you, Steve, We've

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<v Speaker 1>got all the documentation switches on. It was a many

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<v Speaker 1>week process and dealing with the exchange their lawyers and

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<v Speaker 1>our lawyers. Numerous conference calls, numerous discussions. There was a

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<v Speaker 1>whole negotiation procure, but it was worth it. After eight months,

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<v Speaker 1>Steve's fund, which goes by the ticker h M m J,

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<v Speaker 1>launched a wave of publicity. I didn't want to be second.

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<v Speaker 1>I wanted to be the world's first, and we did

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<v Speaker 1>accomplish that. In hindsight, we probably could have waited to

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<v Speaker 1>four twenty or something like that, but you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>were We felt we were in competition with a group

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<v Speaker 1>in the US that was trying to launch a similar

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<v Speaker 1>product um and from a time in perspective, if I

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<v Speaker 1>had approval, I wanted to go. That fear didn't materialize.

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<v Speaker 1>In the US, cannabis remains illegal under federal law, and

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<v Speaker 1>want to be issuers of pop funds have struggled to

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<v Speaker 1>convince federally regulated companies like banks to supply back office

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<v Speaker 1>support Jeff's sessions. The U s Attorney General is stepping down,

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<v Speaker 1>apparently at the request of President Trump. This is a

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<v Speaker 1>huge moment for the cannabis industry. You might remember earlier

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<v Speaker 1>this year, back in February yourself, u acceptions laid down

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<v Speaker 1>the gauntlet on the cannabis industry. Uh he. With the

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<v Speaker 1>Attorney General Jeff Sessions now ousted, the cannabis industry has

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<v Speaker 1>outlasted one of its most vocal foes, but the Trump

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<v Speaker 1>administration probably won't budge overnight. Consequently, while there are a

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<v Speaker 1>handful of pot tyts in Canada, the US has just one,

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<v Speaker 1>The e t f MG Alternative Harvest TTF, which goes

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<v Speaker 1>by the ticket MJ started life as a Latin American

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<v Speaker 1>real estate fund, side stepping the startup challenges that to

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<v Speaker 1>plague the ambitions of others. It's it's very unfortunate for

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<v Speaker 1>the US cannabis industry that the government really hasn't been

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<v Speaker 1>able to see the writing on the law as we

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<v Speaker 1>have in Canada, and Canada was the first G seven

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<v Speaker 1>country to go recreational approved, and I think there will

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<v Speaker 1>be more to follow long before the US. Right now,

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<v Speaker 1>we have the ability to go outside of Canada to

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<v Speaker 1>put boots on the ground operations, to export product into

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<v Speaker 1>these companies or countries on a worldwide basis. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>creating a globalization of the cannabis industry. And it's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>that it's Canada that's driving it, not the US, and

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<v Speaker 1>we have a significant competitive advantage over the Americans. Right now,

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<v Speaker 1>we've got our footh hall, but the winds of change

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<v Speaker 1>may be blowing. More than six of Americans support legalization,

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<v Speaker 1>and more and more states are putting medical and even

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<v Speaker 1>recreational use on the ballot. Some estimate that the U

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<v Speaker 1>s pot market could grow to billion, and the global

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<v Speaker 1>market could eventually be worth a hundred and fifty billion.

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<v Speaker 1>But for others, the pots stock craze is just that,

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<v Speaker 1>a craze that won't last long. That's the thinking of

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<v Speaker 1>Jared Dillion, who ran the ETF desk at Lehman Brothers

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and eight. Now editor of the Daily

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<v Speaker 1>Dirt napp and market newsletter, He's seen his fair share

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<v Speaker 1>of bubbles and thinks the pot industry's potential is limited.

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<v Speaker 1>Even in the US. Culturally, we have already reached peak

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<v Speaker 1>acceptance of marijuana um even though it's not completely legal.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the highs and acceptance. The projections are understandable,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, given how optimistic people are about how widespread

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<v Speaker 1>or pervasive use of this stuff could get. People like

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<v Speaker 1>the dream big in certain trades, and this is a

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<v Speaker 1>trade where you can dream big. But the problem is

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<v Speaker 1>is that the stocks basically priced in all that growth

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<v Speaker 1>almost immediately. Valuations are certainly looking to the future. Till Ray,

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<v Speaker 1>which was worth fifteen billion dollars at the height of

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<v Speaker 1>the potstock rally, has only about ten million dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>revenue last quarter. Steve Can sees that there's a lack

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<v Speaker 1>of hard data, but it's bullish on the market over

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<v Speaker 1>the long term. This is an extremely rumor mill driven industry.

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<v Speaker 1>There's no doubt of it. I've never seen anything like

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<v Speaker 1>it from history. You know, you can have every stock

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<v Speaker 1>down and then there's a little rumor about coke and

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<v Speaker 1>such and such are Pepsi and such and such are

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<v Speaker 1>Molson Coors and such and such, and that company stock

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<v Speaker 1>is up in literally five minutes, and and that has

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<v Speaker 1>a waterfall effect to all the companies in the industry.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the industry is still new. There's still isn't

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of known quantitative facts with respect to how

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<v Speaker 1>big the industry is going to grow from here. With

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<v Speaker 1>the recreational approval, and it will be very very interesting

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<v Speaker 1>to see where this company stands when these cannabis companies

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<v Speaker 1>have to do all their financial regulatory reporting and we

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<v Speaker 1>actually start to see hard financial results that you get

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<v Speaker 1>introduced by the analysts on the street and um, and

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<v Speaker 1>what these companies are you know, actually producing so um.

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<v Speaker 1>If you want to invest in this space, it's not

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<v Speaker 1>for the faint of heart. You need to check the

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 1>batteries and your pacemaker and you have to look at

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:09.120
<v Speaker 1>it from my perspect give as a long term investment. Okay,

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.680
<v Speaker 1>so let's come down off that high. Rachel, thanks for

0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 1>doing this trip to Canada for us. Thanks for having

0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 1>me again. So what have you learned about this space

0:14:18.200 --> 0:14:21.280
<v Speaker 1>both through the reporting for this podcast and also leading

0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 1>up to it. I think what I really took away

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 1>from this it is kind of like what potential and

0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>yet also how hard it is to actually estimate how

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:32.080
<v Speaker 1>big that potential is going to be. It's like reality

0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:35.640
<v Speaker 1>versus potential exactly, and that's everybody's trading off the potential

0:14:35.680 --> 0:14:37.680
<v Speaker 1>at the moment, and that's why you're seeing where you saw,

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:40.520
<v Speaker 1>I guess this huge potstock rally earlier in the year,

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:43.120
<v Speaker 1>but talking to kind of some people around the industry,

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:46.360
<v Speaker 1>it really depends on how that translates into actual sales

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 1>of weed now that weed is legal in Canada, and

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>how that translates into revenue. I thought was really interesting

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 1>stat that I mentioned the report Tilray had a market

0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 1>capitalization of fifteen billion at its peak, but it's revenue

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.640
<v Speaker 1>last quarter was only ten million. I mean that shows

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 1>you kind of like how much these things have been

0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 1>inflated in terms of their valuation, and we won't actually

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>start to see kind of like financial reporting until next year.

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:11.240
<v Speaker 1>That's when we're going to start to really see that

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 1>the rubber hit the road, as it were, and see

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:16.200
<v Speaker 1>whether some of these valuations really hold up. I have

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a question for you, Well, one thing I thought was

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 1>interesting was you said this caught pain relieving benefits, And

0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:24.840
<v Speaker 1>to me, this is one of these big points because

0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:28.200
<v Speaker 1>if this can be put forth as a substitute for

0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 1>the for opioids, which is a huge problem here, it

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 1>almost feels like you can maybe win over even the

0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 1>most conservative people that would did that come up a lot?

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Is that a big point? I mean, this was the

0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 1>topic of the leaflets in the cafe. I went to

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:44.000
<v Speaker 1>CBD um. This is kind of like the property within

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:46.440
<v Speaker 1>cannabis that allows you to kind of like ease away

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:48.960
<v Speaker 1>some of those pains. And yeah, the opioid point really

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 1>did come up. I was chatting with one of the baristas,

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 1>a guy called Joe, and he was telling me that

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:55.480
<v Speaker 1>he used to be addicted to opioids. He had some

0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:56.960
<v Speaker 1>after he had I think it was a car crash,

0:15:57.000 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 1>he said, And he was addicted to opioids for about

0:15:59.080 --> 0:16:02.240
<v Speaker 1>five to seven years. Is then he started smoking marijuana.

0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 1>And as he said, it wasn't so much a gateway drug,

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 1>is an exit drug for him. That allowed him to

0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 1>come off the hard arapioids. That's powerful because that will

0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:11.520
<v Speaker 1>win over the people who just look at it as

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 1>a good time. Still not legal in the US everywhere,

0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean certain places, right, but you can still invest.

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:22.640
<v Speaker 1>It is legal to invest. A great ticker here, m J, right,

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:25.080
<v Speaker 1>so MJ is the one in the US. Let me

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 1>give you a few caveats here. First of all, the

0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 1>way MJ happened was a little unusual. It was a

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:34.360
<v Speaker 1>ticker called Layer, which was a Latin America real estate

0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:36.440
<v Speaker 1>and it was from a white label issuer who I

0:16:36.480 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>guess had ultimate power and decided, we don't like what

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 1>Layers doing. It doesn't make money. Let's just switch it

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:44.840
<v Speaker 1>over the strategy, the name, and the ticker, everything, and

0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 1>we'll make it a potty t F. And I think

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 1>it was last December, you just woke up, and I

0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:53.240
<v Speaker 1>think it was after Christmas. American Now I owned marijuana

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 1>the good nobody really owned Layers, So there probably was

0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 1>maybe the guy's family weren't was in it maybe at best.

0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 1>And then MJ immediately I think it got a couple

0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:04.399
<v Speaker 1>hundred million right off the bat. There was definitely it

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:09.000
<v Speaker 1>tapped into to some demand. Now there's since then, Uh,

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:12.879
<v Speaker 1>there's issue with the company's custodian. This company is also

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:17.679
<v Speaker 1>dealing with a lawsuit multiple I think, and this company

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:19.960
<v Speaker 1>has always kind of got this sort of cloud over it,

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:25.720
<v Speaker 1>and I just think that's important to know here with yeah, um,

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 1>but you know, at this time, MJ is a ticker,

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 1>it trades, it tracks the index, although we actually looked

0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 1>at MJ and it does trail the index by about

0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:38.520
<v Speaker 1>ten percent over the past year. The reason is is

0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>because their custodian wasn't letting them do securities lendings. So

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:44.040
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't able to make any money back, and til

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:45.879
<v Speaker 1>Ray was so hard to buy when they tried to

0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:48.879
<v Speaker 1>rebalance into it that they were the index doesn't have

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:51.400
<v Speaker 1>to actually buy stocks, and it's like lives in a vacuum.

0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 1>The e t F was unable to buy until Ray

0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:56.359
<v Speaker 1>fast enough to match the index, so it lags a

0:17:56.359 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 1>little bit. But those are just some caveats to know,

0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:03.360
<v Speaker 1>but it because it's the only one, UH, people overlook

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:05.800
<v Speaker 1>almost all that. One thing interesting to kind of like

0:18:05.840 --> 0:18:07.680
<v Speaker 1>just chime in on that is with h mm J,

0:18:07.960 --> 0:18:10.240
<v Speaker 1>that the one in Canada. I got talking to see

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.480
<v Speaker 1>a bit about who owns that, and it was really

0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:15.840
<v Speaker 1>interesting to me. I think he said, like sevent is

0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:18.760
<v Speaker 1>owned by Canadians, but the other thirty percent is owned

0:18:18.760 --> 0:18:21.040
<v Speaker 1>by non Canadians. They get some of that data through

0:18:21.040 --> 0:18:23.800
<v Speaker 1>their transfer agent because they have to report it in Canada,

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 1>which I thought was fascinating. He said that they've seen

0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:29.840
<v Speaker 1>buyers from the UK, from Israel, from Asia, so there's

0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:33.200
<v Speaker 1>clearly interest in buying h MMJ, not just within Canada,

0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:36.640
<v Speaker 1>but actually externally as well. UM, and you know hm

0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 1>m J, the one in Canada that was the first

0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:41.160
<v Speaker 1>to market in the world, Um. What was interesting about

0:18:41.200 --> 0:18:44.440
<v Speaker 1>that one is it came out and obviously I think

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:46.440
<v Speaker 1>it got I don't know, I want to say, five

0:18:47.119 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 1>million dollars pretty quickly, and then it fell. Um it

0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:52.040
<v Speaker 1>came out after a long run in part, but then

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:54.320
<v Speaker 1>after the e t F came out, it dropped. And

0:18:54.480 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 1>normally when a new e t F comes out, especially

0:18:57.040 --> 0:18:59.920
<v Speaker 1>a high flyer goes down, people leave, they don't stick around.

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:03.719
<v Speaker 1>But nobody left. The assets stuck stuck there, and it's

0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 1>highly unusual. That's why pot investors maybe the best investors.

0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:12.240
<v Speaker 1>If you're an issuer, they either forgot or again. They're

0:19:12.240 --> 0:19:14.439
<v Speaker 1>tapping into people who believe in the story for the

0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:17.120
<v Speaker 1>long term. And I think that that's just an interesting

0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:19.400
<v Speaker 1>data point about h M m J. And that's something

0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:21.760
<v Speaker 1>that that Steve brought up of horizons as well. I mean,

0:19:21.800 --> 0:19:23.720
<v Speaker 1>he was saying that, you know, this is a very

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:27.159
<v Speaker 1>volatile play. If you're going into potstocks, even in an

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:29.080
<v Speaker 1>e t F form, you need to be very well

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 1>aware that you could go very far down as well

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:34.560
<v Speaker 1>as very high. So you need to be thinking about

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:36.000
<v Speaker 1>that when you invest in his His thing is you

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:37.959
<v Speaker 1>check your pacemaker. If there's got to be in there

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 1>for the long hall. Right on that note, in terms

0:19:40.240 --> 0:19:42.720
<v Speaker 1>of hanging there during volatility, I thought what Christine said

0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:46.119
<v Speaker 1>the reporter from Canada that a hundred and forty publicly

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:48.840
<v Speaker 1>traded cannabis names will be narrowed down to a dozen.

0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Consolidation that E t F isn't is could be really

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:55.720
<v Speaker 1>helped out by M and A, especially if you see

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.800
<v Speaker 1>that kind of consolidation UM from especially these big tobacco

0:19:58.840 --> 0:20:01.840
<v Speaker 1>companies start buying up these small pot stocks. Um, that

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:04.600
<v Speaker 1>was a good point. What will that look like? Uh

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:06.480
<v Speaker 1>in the e t F. Then as that starts to

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:09.560
<v Speaker 1>happen as an allist, how do you look at that? Well,

0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:12.119
<v Speaker 1>when you have these small ETFs like um, that a

0:20:12.200 --> 0:20:14.679
<v Speaker 1>stock could go up fifty in a day, you have

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 1>no way knowing that targets are the ones that benefit, right,

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:20.520
<v Speaker 1>So uh, we would see a big bump in the

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 1>e t F. Although diversification helps you obviously in downturns,

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:25.800
<v Speaker 1>but it also limits your up so you wouldn't feel

0:20:25.800 --> 0:20:27.680
<v Speaker 1>all that fifty percent. You might feel like might lift

0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the e t F like six percent, but that's a

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 1>that's better than not and that's the thing I mean.

0:20:32.359 --> 0:20:34.560
<v Speaker 1>Christine also mentioned that you know, there there will be

0:20:34.600 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 1>some people out there that will be the you know,

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the equivalent of the Apple investors. Oh, I was there

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:40.520
<v Speaker 1>in the beginning. I owned Apple, But you know, and

0:20:40.560 --> 0:20:42.640
<v Speaker 1>people will be doing that with certain pot stocks. But

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:44.640
<v Speaker 1>if you want to take a long term play on

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>pots and you don't know which of the companies out

0:20:47.280 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 1>there are going to be targets or acquirers, then you

0:20:49.680 --> 0:20:51.280
<v Speaker 1>might as well think about this from a kind of

0:20:51.320 --> 0:20:54.439
<v Speaker 1>broad diversification sector. I mean, that's what an ETF does, right.

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>What I liked about this was the physical nature of it,

0:20:58.520 --> 0:21:00.400
<v Speaker 1>and I sometimes think a part in bit point they've

0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:02.719
<v Speaker 1>always been linked to, like you know, stuff that's been

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 1>a craze in the last five years. But bitcoin, you

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 1>there's no stores, you can't touch it. It's not usually

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:12.320
<v Speaker 1>as currency. Here you went to stores, there's there's people

0:21:12.359 --> 0:21:15.800
<v Speaker 1>working there, you can buy it. Did did did it

0:21:15.920 --> 0:21:20.120
<v Speaker 1>change for use? Like actually seeing it literally there physically.

0:21:20.200 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>I Mean the thing in Ontario is is that it's

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:24.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of like in transitionary phase, right. I Mean, you've

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:26.960
<v Speaker 1>still the only place you can legally buy weed is

0:21:27.000 --> 0:21:29.679
<v Speaker 1>online in Ontario, So that's kind of strange. Let's go

0:21:29.720 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 1>through a government website, and by part like it feels

0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:35.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of, you know, like you're stepping over a boundary there.

0:21:36.200 --> 0:21:38.240
<v Speaker 1>But I mean you could still buy it from dispensaries

0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:40.280
<v Speaker 1>that were on the streets that were selling it illegally.

0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:42.119
<v Speaker 1>I think they are cracking down on that because now

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>obviously we'd equals tax dollars, so that's something they want

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:46.240
<v Speaker 1>to kind of push out. But I thought it was

0:21:46.280 --> 0:21:48.480
<v Speaker 1>really interesting. I mean that the coffee shop I went

0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:51.399
<v Speaker 1>to was called Cannabis and Coffee. People are ready for

0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 1>when weed is available to be sold as edibles and

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:57.120
<v Speaker 1>coffee shops, and they want to have a dispensary also

0:21:57.160 --> 0:21:59.800
<v Speaker 1>in in that coffee shop upstairs. Then you can actually

0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 1>buy you know, how to paper bag and take it

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:05.040
<v Speaker 1>home with you. As as it stands, now, you can

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 1>buy specific e t F s that are in this sector. Right.

0:22:09.200 --> 0:22:14.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm also interested in will will these stocks or aspects

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:17.240
<v Speaker 1>of the e t F enter into broader products so

0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:19.960
<v Speaker 1>that it's like you just get a little hint of

0:22:20.200 --> 0:22:23.480
<v Speaker 1>marijuana somewhere in a larger product. Do you think that's

0:22:23.560 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen? Of course, the if you own a big

0:22:27.680 --> 0:22:30.760
<v Speaker 1>mainstream et F like v t I, the total market. Um,

0:22:30.880 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, you're gonna feel a little this. The problem

0:22:33.160 --> 0:22:36.840
<v Speaker 1>is the indec like a contact hie. Yeah yeah, you yeah,

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:39.119
<v Speaker 1>you're like maybe ten yards away from the smoke. Because

0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:43.120
<v Speaker 1>the problem with these big indexes and these fledgling industries

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:45.840
<v Speaker 1>like robotics or pot or any of these it takes

0:22:46.119 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 1>these indexes are very conservative with when they take a

0:22:48.560 --> 0:22:50.800
<v Speaker 1>stock in, it's got to have all kinds of requirements.

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:54.160
<v Speaker 1>You miss a lot of the toddler growth spurts, and

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:56.760
<v Speaker 1>again you also missed the vaultility and that's a payoff.

0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:58.760
<v Speaker 1>So I would say that, yeah, if you held just

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:01.760
<v Speaker 1>regular stuff, you'll eventually fuel pot, but you will probably

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:04.280
<v Speaker 1>have missed a lot of the um you know, teenage

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 1>years or toddler years of the growth of these companies

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:15.600
<v Speaker 1>that you would can get in the specific ets. Okay,

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 1>So Canada has done this. The US obviously there are

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:22.760
<v Speaker 1>different states from the Colorado's and California's and Oregons and

0:23:22.880 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>Washington's and now Missouri of all places like, so we've

0:23:27.320 --> 0:23:31.119
<v Speaker 1>seen this evolution. Obviously, there's federal laws that are different

0:23:31.160 --> 0:23:35.000
<v Speaker 1>than state laws. How do you see the investing landscape

0:23:35.080 --> 0:23:38.280
<v Speaker 1>changing in the US? That is the big question that

0:23:38.320 --> 0:23:41.320
<v Speaker 1>I think it's on everybody's mind in Canada. Canadians have

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:43.919
<v Speaker 1>an advantage here, right they are first out of the gates,

0:23:44.119 --> 0:23:46.440
<v Speaker 1>But there's a certain level of skepticism or I guess

0:23:46.520 --> 0:23:49.800
<v Speaker 1>caution perhaps about what happens when the US does come online.

0:23:50.040 --> 0:23:51.560
<v Speaker 1>And one of the ways in which you know you've

0:23:51.560 --> 0:23:54.760
<v Speaker 1>seen sort of Canadian companies listing both in on the

0:23:54.800 --> 0:23:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Canadian Stock Exchange and on the US stock exchanges is

0:23:57.359 --> 0:24:00.440
<v Speaker 1>providing that they don't have businesses in the US. So

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:03.280
<v Speaker 1>that means that when we do see legalization come through

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 1>in the US, that could put them at a disadvantage

0:24:06.000 --> 0:24:09.040
<v Speaker 1>and actually taking advantage of that. We currently have ten

0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>states I believe that have fully recreational legalized cannabis, and

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:16.159
<v Speaker 1>I think it's thirty two or thirty three where you

0:24:16.200 --> 0:24:19.639
<v Speaker 1>have medical marijuana legalized. That I believe it's about seventy

0:24:20.040 --> 0:24:22.840
<v Speaker 1>of the American population in a state where cannabis is

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 1>legal in some respect. That's huge, but you've got to

0:24:25.720 --> 0:24:28.480
<v Speaker 1>remember that from a federal perspective, it is still illegal.

0:24:28.760 --> 0:24:32.399
<v Speaker 1>And the Trump administration has definitely been against marijuana. You know,

0:24:32.440 --> 0:24:34.440
<v Speaker 1>you've seen that through number of speeches kind of coming

0:24:34.440 --> 0:24:36.520
<v Speaker 1>out from them over the last few months. So it

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:40.600
<v Speaker 1>really depends on whether after mid terms we see shift

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:42.640
<v Speaker 1>in tone and we start to see a move towards

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:46.520
<v Speaker 1>for legalization, or we could see something coming through from Congress.

0:24:46.560 --> 0:24:49.320
<v Speaker 1>There's an act there that could pass called the Strengthening

0:24:49.320 --> 0:24:53.840
<v Speaker 1>the Tenth Amendment through Entrusting States Act, which that needs

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<v Speaker 1>a nickname. The nicknames states. Yeah, very clever, But that

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<v Speaker 1>is the US to give you know, sort of state

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<v Speaker 1>se confidence to have their own rules on cannabis and

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<v Speaker 1>not worry too much about the kind of federal illegality.

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 1>There's also little things like I think New York they

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<v Speaker 1>stopped arresting people right if you smoke it on the streets,

0:25:13.880 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 1>and I live in Philly, I'm telling you I smell

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<v Speaker 1>it way more people are just not as it's just

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<v Speaker 1>the cats out of the bag. It just I don't know,

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<v Speaker 1>I decided feels like it. We have a code for

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<v Speaker 1>that in my house, we say smells like Colorado. Rachel Evans,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for joining us in trillion, Thanks for having me,

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to trillions. Until next time. You can

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<v Speaker 1>find us in the Bloomberg Terminal, Bloomberg dot Com, Apple Podcast, Spotify,

0:25:42.440 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 1>and wherever else you like to listen, we'd love to

0:25:44.560 --> 0:25:47.840
<v Speaker 1>hear from you. We're on Twitter, I'm at Joel Wepper Show,

0:25:48.200 --> 0:25:51.360
<v Speaker 1>He's at Eric Baltunist and you can find Rachel at

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:56.360
<v Speaker 1>Rachel Evans Underscore and Why Trillions is produced by Magnus Hendrickson.

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<v Speaker 1>Francesca Levy is the head of the Bloomberg podcast five