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Speaker 1: You're about to listen to the Late Round Fantasy Football Show,

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Speaker 1: which originally aired yesterday on YouTube. If you'd like to

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Speaker 1: catch it live, you can find it on the Late

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Speaker 1: Round Fantasy Football YouTube channel at one pm Eastern every

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Speaker 1: Friday during this twenty twenty five season. That's on YouTube

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Speaker 1: dot com slash at Late Round FF. So, without further ado,

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Speaker 1: here's this week's episode.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in everybody to the Late Round and Fantasy Football Show.

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Speaker 2: David Kitchen alongside JJ zachar Reeson and boy, what a

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Speaker 2: day we have had. What a past twenty four hours

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Speaker 2: we've had.

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Speaker 3: JJ.

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Speaker 1: Really, I'll tell you what. I'll tell you what. Man.

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Speaker 1: I was in the middle of just an absolute tilt

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Speaker 1: fest last night, an absolute tilt fest with that game,

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Speaker 1: the way things went down. We'll talk about it in

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Speaker 1: the news section. But you know what, this is fantasy football.

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Speaker 1: This is what we come you signed up for. It's

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Speaker 1: what we signed up for and what we've come to love.

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Speaker 1: The one thing that always grounds me this time of

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Speaker 1: year is to remember that only one team wins a

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Speaker 1: fantasy championship. You know, when you're in a big tournament too,

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Speaker 1: only one team is going to win that tournament. But man,

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Speaker 1: it would be really nice in those best Ball streets

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Speaker 1: to be able to just have a team in the final,

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Speaker 1: you know, and just be able to sweat some of that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it'd be nice to Like I was trying to

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Speaker 2: explain this to my home league, you know, where their

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Speaker 2: their normies. Was just trying to explain to them, like

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Speaker 2: Best Ball, Like, hey, you spend the whole summer drafting

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Speaker 2: these teams and talking about things, and literally the Thursday

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Speaker 2: night game the first day of week fifteen, and you

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Speaker 2: just feel like, oh, I'm dead.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm ned. My team's dead. It's toast so tough.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it is, it is. You know. It's one

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Speaker 1: of those things too, where you sort of forget what

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Speaker 1: you signed up for. I was having this, Yes, I

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Speaker 1: was having this conversation with you earlier today where you're like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I advanced a lot of you know, I had. I

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Speaker 1: had I advanced forty seven for those of you who

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Speaker 1: didn't see on Twitter, like, I had I advanced forty

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Speaker 1: seven of my one hundred and fifty million teams when

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Speaker 1: expectations twenty five, right, So I had a good advance

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Speaker 1: rate for these these millionaire maker teams, and uh, so

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Speaker 1: when you see that, you're like, oh, well, well, certainly

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Speaker 1: things will go well, but you have to remember the

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Speaker 1: way that these are all situated and set up is

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Speaker 1: that you're merely increasing your odds. It's not a guarantee

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Speaker 1: that things will go a certain way. And unfortunately, only

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Speaker 1: three of those forty seven had Kyle Pits, so, you know,

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Speaker 1: which is not as bad as it could have been.

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Speaker 1: Because I've seen others in the space who have forty

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Speaker 1: plus teams that had no Kyle Pits. You know, it

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Speaker 1: could have been really really bad. But yeah, I mean

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Speaker 1: I wish I had like six Kyle Pits teams. That

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Speaker 1: would be nice.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, of course, But I mean one of the reasons

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Speaker 2: why you don't have any Kyle Pitts teams is because

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Speaker 2: he wasn't that great during the season.

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Speaker 1: He was just fine. You know, he was a fine pick.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't an amazing pick. And you know, we we

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Speaker 1: can obviously talk about this when when we recap Thursday

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Speaker 1: Night Football. But one of the toughest parts for me

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Speaker 1: and why I was personally tilting, is that, like I

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Speaker 1: try to like when I tilled, it's usually when I

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Speaker 1: have like deep thought about stuff. It's not just like, oh,

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Speaker 1: I'm facing Kyle Pitts and this sucks, you know, just period.

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Speaker 1: It's more so like I think about the extension of

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Speaker 1: why Kyle Pitts is doing what he's doing, and a

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Speaker 1: big piece of that is Drake London being sidelined. And

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Speaker 1: guess who has a lot of Drake London across all

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Speaker 1: of my leagues and Best Ball leagues and touted him

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Speaker 1: as someone to target in the draft guide and it

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Speaker 1: was looking great. He was looking like a league winning

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Speaker 1: type wide receiver before that injury. And he goes down

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Speaker 1: and Kyle Pitts and now I can look at the

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Speaker 1: data again when we talk about the news, but Kyle

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Speaker 1: Pitts has seen an uptick in work with Drake London sidelined,

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Speaker 1: and it's just sort of like this double whammy, just

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Speaker 1: a gut punch where you know, you're excited about Drake

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Speaker 1: London and week whatever eleven, you know, and things are

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Speaker 1: trending in such the right direction, and then all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden, you know, he goes down and Fantasy football happens,

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Speaker 1: and then Kyle Pitts puts together one of the greatest

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Speaker 1: tight end performances in the history of fantasy football period.

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Speaker 1: I mean the best in our history since we've started playing.

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Speaker 1: And that's that's just how it goes sometimes.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 2: All Right, I will we will talk more about the

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Speaker 2: Thursday and football game because there was other other like

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Speaker 2: notable performances in that game as well. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: Pitt's performance was just like legendary, like I mean since

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Speaker 2: overshadows everything. Yeah, like two thousand and two or two

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Speaker 2: thousand and one, like a long time since the tight

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Speaker 2: end has done that what he did. So just a

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Speaker 2: little bit of housekeeping today we had the Mailbag episode.

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Speaker 3: Go listen to that. And also if.

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Speaker 2: You have been in the Late Round Patreon, if you've

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Speaker 2: been a Late Round discord, you know Subverted Down is

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Speaker 2: a guy from Reddit who has been referenced many times

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Speaker 2: and JJ he was today's Perspective episode, our guest.

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Speaker 1: He was he was, I should I should add it was.

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Speaker 1: It's been a kind of like a bit within the

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Speaker 1: discord with Subverted Down because I do obviously I do

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Speaker 1: defenk rankings. I don't do kicker rankings. Maybe that'll change

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Speaker 1: next year with Godula on board, but uh so, I

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Speaker 1: don't do kicker rankings, So people naturally go to Subverted

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Speaker 1: Down because he does really great streaming, kicking stuff, kicker stuff,

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Speaker 1: he has a model and all this kind of stuff,

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Speaker 1: and then they would start citing like his defensive rankings,

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Speaker 1: and then I had this fake like beef with Subverted

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Speaker 1: Down in the discord, just joking around because I mean,

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Speaker 1: I didn't know the guy. And so it's been cool

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Speaker 1: because over the last few months we've connected. You know,

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Speaker 1: I've seen him on Reddit plenty of times because I'm

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Speaker 1: on Reddit and like to you know, talk to people

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Speaker 1: and have conversations on there, and I've seen him plenty

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Speaker 1: on there. And so the three of us were able

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Speaker 1: to have a meeting like a month or two ago

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Speaker 1: and got to know each other a little bit, and

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Speaker 1: I was like, yo, dude, you've got to come on

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Speaker 1: perspectives like this would be amazing to just have a

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Speaker 1: great conversation with you about the models and like what

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Speaker 1: goes into them and all that kind of stuff. And

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Speaker 1: so he said yes graciously and we recorded it and

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Speaker 1: it was his first ever podcast, which is sweet because

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's awesome from my perspective that I

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Speaker 1: was able to, you know, be that platform for him

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Speaker 1: to get out there. You know in the podcasting streets

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Speaker 1: because he's been doing such awesome work over on Reddit

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Speaker 1: and on his site, subverted down dot com. So it's

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Speaker 1: just been like a long time coming and like a

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Speaker 1: really fun story for myself and the subscribers of Late Round,

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Speaker 1: and it's just funny overall, and I'm in and so far.

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Speaker 1: You know, I think that that people who have listened

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Speaker 1: to it have really enjoyed it because it's just been

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Speaker 1: like it's a really really nerdy. It's like a very

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Speaker 1: nerdy episode.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but I enjoyed it.

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Speaker 2: I enjoyed it, even though I'm not, you know, as

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Speaker 2: nerdy as as you guys are. I enjoyed listening to it.

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Speaker 2: And for his debut on the show that that was fun. Also,

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Speaker 2: I just want to let people know that the schedule

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Speaker 2: is changing a little bit. You know, we're going into

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Speaker 2: the holidays. We are just gonna be winding down, focusing

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Speaker 2: on like the key key points to get you to

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Speaker 2: your Fantasy Championship.

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Speaker 3: So things dwindling down just a little bit. Sign up

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Speaker 3: for the newsletter.

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Speaker 2: Though, if you haven't already, yeah, because we'll have plenty

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Speaker 2: of stuff there.

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Speaker 3: All right, JJ, are you ready? Let's do it? Are

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Speaker 3: you sure, let's do it.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Today's fantasy news.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's start was a Thursday night football recap.

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Speaker 3: I mean, this is just this game for me.

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Speaker 2: I had a few Pits teams, but they weren't even

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I had one of the teams that

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Speaker 1: I was kind of sweating to get into the playoffs

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Speaker 1: in the league has Pits and naturally, you know, this

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Speaker 1: was the week that he that he did what he did.

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Speaker 3: But you put you were playing against Pits.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the King's Classic League Andrew Cooper. Love love that

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Speaker 1: I got to. Not only did I lose the bye

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Speaker 1: on the last week because all my guys were on

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Speaker 1: by and not only did I have the most points

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Speaker 1: in the league throughout the season, but then the last

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Speaker 1: week was so bad that I dropped into fourth from second,

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Speaker 1: and I had some really bad beats throughout the year.

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Speaker 1: And then I'm playing against Coop, and I love, I

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Speaker 1: love Coop. So that's one opponent that I'm actually not

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Speaker 1: that annoyed that I would lose to. Like, so if

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Speaker 1: it was like Denny Carter or something, I'd actually be

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Speaker 1: even more upset. But since it's Coop and Coop is cool.

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Speaker 1: You know, I already took the L. It's already gonna happen.

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Speaker 2: And uh, you think it's like emotional hedging, like in

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Speaker 2: case you do win, it'll be it'll feel like this

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Speaker 2: Marati let's come back.

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Speaker 1: But he scored forty eight PPR points or forty five

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Speaker 1: however many PPR points. It's not. There's no emotional hedging

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Speaker 1: when you face a random double digit round tight end

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Speaker 1: in a fourteen team league with deep rosters who scores

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Speaker 1: forty plus PPR points. There's no emotional hedging there. You're

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Speaker 1: just being realistic. I took the y L. It's done,

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Speaker 1: it's over, it's.

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Speaker 2: Over all right, it pits I mean insane, insane week.

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Speaker 3: But Bjon also good week, Mike good. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it was a it was a really like interesting

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Speaker 1: game realistically where I mean the the Buccaneers deserve to

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Speaker 1: lose that game the way they played defensively. Yeah, and

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Speaker 1: you know, I thought that Kirk Cousins looked probably the

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Speaker 1: sharpest that he's looked since, you know, coming and becoming starter, uh,

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Speaker 1: since Michael Pennock's injury. Obviously, Kyle Pitts was just finding

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Speaker 1: areas in these like short parts of the field. There

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Speaker 1: were just no defenders even close to him. And then

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Speaker 1: obviously he was this red zone threat for them, which

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Speaker 1: has not been the case for Kyle Pitts throughout his career.

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Speaker 1: But naturally he scores three touchdowns. So the Falcons offense,

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Speaker 1: I thought, you know, look good against a bad defense.

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Speaker 1: And then on the buck side, I think there's some

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Speaker 1: interesting storylines here. You know, people were tilting a mecha

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Speaker 1: Buka a little bit in the discord last night. I

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Speaker 1: get it, but I think a four for sixty four

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Speaker 1: line is not It is pretty much what you would

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Speaker 1: expect from a projection standpoint, just that he didn't find

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Speaker 1: the end zone. And look, the one thing I actually

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Speaker 1: talked to you about this too, But the one thing

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Speaker 1: that I think that people should wrap their heads around

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Speaker 1: when they look at like a projection and you know,

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Speaker 1: maybe you can allude you can understand this a little

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Speaker 1: bit too if you listen to me and subverted on talk.

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Speaker 1: But touchdowns are a binary event when they actually happened, right,

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Speaker 1: you either scored or you didn't score in a game,

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Speaker 1: and that's either zero points from touchdowns or six or

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Speaker 1: twelve or eighteen points from touch downs. And so when

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Speaker 1: a guy doesn't score a touchdown, he's not getting those

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Speaker 1: six points. But when we're projecting a touchdown or projecting something,

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Speaker 1: he might have point three five touchdowns that he's projected

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Speaker 1: for and so that projection might be thirteen PPR points

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Speaker 1: and then he scores ten and a half and you're like, oh,

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Speaker 1: he underperform, but he didn't find the end zone. Like

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Speaker 1: that's that's one of the main reasons, you know, that's

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Speaker 1: why we look at target share. We look at these

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Speaker 1: things and these indicators of what could come in the

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Speaker 1: future for a touchdown score. And so, you know, I

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Speaker 1: think Abuca was fine. And there were some really bad

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Speaker 1: throws from Baker to Abuca last night, but it wasn't

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Speaker 1: as bad as it's been, you know, over over the

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Speaker 1: last handful of weeks. So it was it was encouraging enough.

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Speaker 1: I thought Mike Evans looked like himself. You know, I

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Speaker 1: wish I was more aggressive in ranking him because I

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Speaker 1: was thinking earlier in the week I was going to

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Speaker 1: be and then there was that report that he was

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Speaker 1: going to be more on more of a snap count. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and so you know I adjusted a little bit based

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Speaker 1: on that, which was you know, a mistake in hindsight,

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Speaker 1: because he had, you know, a great game. And that's

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Speaker 1: the thing too, is that like it's a colorbone injury,

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Speaker 1: it wasn't. It wasn't like a knee injury or him

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Speaker 1: coming off in acl or something. So those kinds of

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Speaker 1: injuries I'm usually not as concerned about. And I think

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Speaker 1: Evans is gonna be like a wide receiver two type,

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Speaker 1: you know, low end two maybe rest of season. And

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Speaker 1: then you know, Baker looked fine. He hasn't really been

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Speaker 1: himself since Week four or five. U you know, Chris

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Speaker 1: Godwin got kind of involved. We saw Jayleen McMillan get

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Speaker 1: kind of involved. So I think the pecking order is

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Speaker 1: gonna be Evans, Abuka, Godwin, McMillan. And then the backfield

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Speaker 1: is also interesting, where we saw Sean Tucker get a

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Speaker 1: lot of green zone work, which you know, I'm I'd

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Speaker 1: be a little bit concerned if I if I had

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Speaker 1: Bucky Irving. With that being said, you know, Irving still

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Speaker 1: dominated ground game touches for the most part. I think

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Speaker 1: he had like an eighty or like a in the

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Speaker 1: seventies high seventies percent running back rush are you know,

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Speaker 1: he saw some looks through the air, And I do

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Speaker 1: wonder if next week, because they play Carol and it's

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Speaker 1: such a big game for both teams, if they if

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Speaker 1: they just really ride Bucky Irving because he's the best

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Speaker 1: and most talented, you know running back they have in

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Speaker 1: that backfield.

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Speaker 2: Can I ask you about the Bijon Robinson Tyler Algier shares,

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Speaker 2: like why yesterday, Like was it so pronounced you had

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Speaker 2: Bijon with nineteen carries, Algier with only two carries.

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Speaker 3: One was late in the game.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, honestly, It's just like they just waited

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Speaker 1: till our fantasy playoffs were like starting, and they're like, okay, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean I think I think Bijon was playing really

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Speaker 1: really well, and they you know, coaches have these like

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Speaker 1: they go off vibes and that's what the hot hand

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Speaker 1: approach is all about, right, and so yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 1: like this is the really frustrating part of being a

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Speaker 1: fantasy analyst and trying to predict this stuff is that,

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Speaker 1: you know, running back usage comes down to coaching decisions.

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Speaker 1: There's some teams where that running back usage is at

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Speaker 1: least consistent, so you know, once once week three or

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Speaker 1: four hits, we kind of know how the backfield is

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Speaker 1: going to be split for the most part. But then

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Speaker 1: there's some backfields, you know, to a degree Atlanta, but

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Speaker 1: to an even stronger degree Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's a backfield where

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Speaker 1: you know, it could be Kenneth Gainwell one week and

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Speaker 1: then Jalen Warren could have an eighty percent running back

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Speaker 1: rush are the next week. It's just it's it's completely

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Speaker 1: you know, they'll say that it's just due to the

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Speaker 1: game flow of that particular game, but I call that

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Speaker 1: kind of BS because they can control what they want

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Speaker 1: to control. I mean, they're they're coordinating these offenses. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean that's just that's just the way that it

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Speaker 1: goes with this game.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get onto some other news items. No,

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Speaker 2: Marvin Harrison Junior.

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Speaker 3: Ah shucks. Everyone is disappointed.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, like how many. It's really strange to me, like,

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Speaker 1: were there, Like I've never talked to anyone who was

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Speaker 1: like overweight on Marvin Harrison Junior this year.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think it's like people enjoy like he's

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Speaker 2: just he was so frustrating to start and the same

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Speaker 2: thing with like the if you think about the beginning

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Speaker 2: of the season, we were thinking that Kyler to IMHJ

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Speaker 2: and now it's completely flipped on its head where we're

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Speaker 2: one of those guys to be out so that we

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Speaker 2: can get Jacoby Brissett to Michael Wilson.

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Speaker 1: I had that trend this week that I do think

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Speaker 1: was kind of interesting and hopefully it came across and

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Speaker 1: you guys thought it was interesting. But essentially like Jacoby

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Speaker 1: Brissette seems to be locking in on what whoever the

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Speaker 1: top wide receiver is because when Marvin Harrison Junior was

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Speaker 1: healthy with Brissett, Marvin Rison Junior was seeing the highest

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Speaker 1: first retarget chairs of his season, you know, even when

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Speaker 1: he like higher than what they were with Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 1: which tells me that Brissette is number one locking in

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Speaker 1: on his top receiver. Number two maybe not going through

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Speaker 1: his progressions the same way that Kyler would. And then

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Speaker 1: number three, I think that that Jacoby Brissett's a more

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Speaker 1: aggressive thrower and he'll throw into those tight windows a

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Speaker 1: little bit more than Kyler Murray would. Now this week

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Speaker 1: kind of tough. I mean, they get Houston, so I

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Speaker 1: don't know exactly how well it's going to go, but

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Speaker 1: tell you this, if I had Michael Wilson. I would

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Speaker 1: have a very hard time benching Michael Wilson just based

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Speaker 1: on what he's done. You know, I think matchups can

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Speaker 1: can only go so far. You got to look at

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Speaker 1: at usage first and foremost, and he's almost a lock

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Speaker 1: to see a thirty percent target share and then offense

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Speaker 1: without Marvin Harrison Jr. So if you have Michael Wilson,

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Speaker 1: I think you should be in your lineup.

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Speaker 3: All right, do you know what this one? This next

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Speaker 3: one is.

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Speaker 1: So it says q R s U V w y Z.

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Speaker 1: Yeah qure s t UV you missed, you missed the

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Speaker 1: T so no T no T Higgins, Yeah you got it? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: uh yeah, no T Higgins this week. So Jamar Chase

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Speaker 1: to the moon.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 1: You know it's funny speaking of that matchup that I

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Speaker 1: have with with Coop, all three guys that we've talked

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Speaker 1: about so far he hasn't his on his roster is

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Speaker 1: Jamar Chase, Michael Wilson, and Kyle Pitts. So I'm I am.

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Speaker 1: That's another reason why I am. Yeah, But yeah, no

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Speaker 1: T Higgins. I would expect Jamar Chase to see a

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Speaker 1: hefty target share. You know, it's really important to not

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Speaker 1: just take what we saw the last time these guys

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Speaker 1: played and just say this is how it's going to

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Speaker 1: go this this time. You know, Mitchell Tinsley the last

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Speaker 1: time they played, had nine targets in that game on

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Speaker 1: like a sixty four percent route share. Andre Yosibosh I

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Speaker 1: think is the guy that I'd still play over Tinsley

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Speaker 1: just because the route share is a little bit more stable.

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Speaker 1: And then Mike Kasiki is is one that you know,

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Speaker 1: he's now a more reliable streamer. I had tea in

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Speaker 1: my last rankings update in and Gasiki fell to like

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Speaker 1: tight end twenty or something even even lower than that

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Speaker 1: because his route share is not strong. I mean it's

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Speaker 1: only like forty to fifty percent. It's it's not Mike

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Speaker 1: Kasiki is not out there because they have no a fan.

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Speaker 1: They have these other tight ends. Mikeasiki's not out there

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Speaker 1: running tons and tons of routes, and so what you

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Speaker 1: need is that when he is running routes to have

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Speaker 1: a high targets per out run rate, and without T Higgins,

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Speaker 1: that's going to improve naturally. So I do think that

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Speaker 1: he can be a a more reliable streamer this week

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Speaker 1: than he would be you know, if t Higgins were playing.

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Speaker 2: All right, I got the alerts this morning. No Justin Fields,

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Speaker 2: No Tyrod Taylor. They're gonna let Brady Cook. Brady Cook

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Speaker 2: gonna be the starting quarterback for the New York Jets

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Speaker 2: this week.

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Speaker 1: Jet JJ Yeah. I mean my response to that is, well, also,

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Speaker 1: Mason Taylor's out in that gu Yeah. So I'm hoping

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Speaker 1: cross your fingers for Breeze Hall Love, That's what I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna say, because Breecee has oddly had really low target

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Speaker 1: shairs ever since Braylan Allen went down. And it's bizarre

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Speaker 1: because you would think, oh, he's gonna be on the

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Speaker 1: field more, he'll see more looks through the air. Hasn't

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Speaker 1: really been the case because he had he was playing

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Speaker 1: like a very specific role for and he had like

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Speaker 1: more first red targets back then, and things have just

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Speaker 1: changed in that offense. But no Mason Taylor in this game.

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Speaker 1: Not that Mason Taylor was like, you know, lighting up

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Speaker 1: the world, but like there's just no one in that

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Speaker 1: offense to rely on outside of like an eighty Mitchell,

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Speaker 1: maybe a John MATCHI, but I I think that that

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Speaker 1: Breise Hall, you know, could hopefully it's a really tough

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Speaker 1: It's not a really tough matchup, but it's a tougher matchup.

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Speaker 1: I think he could get by by just seeing like

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Speaker 1: seven or eight targets of things, you know, kind of

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Speaker 1: go in his favor.

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Speaker 2: All right, See Lamb is cleared. So I was pleasantly

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Speaker 2: surprised by this. Uh he gets to play this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the the extra rest helped, right, that's what. Yes,

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Speaker 1: what mileageaction is yea extra rest for the win. Got

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Speaker 1: a start him this week, even though it's a tough matchup.

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Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is the worst matchup by justin points

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Speaker 1: allowed to wide receivers this year, a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a ding to George Pickens as well. But like I

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Speaker 1: talked about in the ten Trend show, you know, Dallas

398
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Speaker 1: has been a team that has really done well against

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Speaker 1: a tough schedule, passing schedule, and so you know they

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Speaker 1: still have the high implied team total. I like both

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Speaker 1: sides of this game. Like I I think Justin Jefferson

402
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Speaker 1: is just underrated this week. You know, I think JJ

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Speaker 1: McCarthy's a reasonable streamer if Jordan Addison plays, he's got

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Speaker 1: this achilles injury. But if Jordan Addison goes. I think

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Speaker 1: he's a great sleeper. It could, you know, like we

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Speaker 1: should be interested in any game that the Dallas Cowboys

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Speaker 1: are playing in because they're they're usually relatively high scoring.

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Speaker 2: All right, no Nick Chubb at practice today? We're going

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Speaker 2: all in on.

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Speaker 1: Oh I didn't see that report. Is it official that

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Speaker 1: Nick Chubb did not practice today?

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Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure now you're.

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Speaker 1: Double checking, because.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I have been checking. Yeah, Texans Friday practice,

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Speaker 2: No Nick Chubb. Aaron Wilson tweeted that.

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Speaker 1: Well, I need a lot of Woody. I'm very excited

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Speaker 1: for that. I'm gonna say, like, I think ninety running

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Speaker 1: back rush share is in play for what he marks.

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Speaker 1: He saw that last week against Kansas City. Over his

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Speaker 1: last like five or six we're going to talk about

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Speaker 1: this on the main event, but over his last like

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Speaker 1: five or six games, he's averaging almost twenty rush at

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Speaker 1: times per game. And now he gets Arizona, great matchup.

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Speaker 1: You gotta play what he marks this week.

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Speaker 3: Okay, now for this one, Philip Rivers.

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Speaker 1: Philip Rivers, I.

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Speaker 2: Mean again, then Kyle Pitts sing and it makes me

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Speaker 2: a little bit mad because it's just overshadowing everything in

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Speaker 2: the fantasy football world. This was the story earlier this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, do you think.

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Speaker 3: He starts this week?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I do. I think he's gonna play. I think

433
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 1: he's gonna play against one of the toughest defenses in football.

434
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,399
Speaker 1: And what like I said in the mailbag this week,

435
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 1: if I take a stand and I say, as an analyst,

436
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be lower on Indianapolis than we were before

437
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,080
Speaker 1: or just in general, like, I'm not gonna be bullish

438
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 1: on this Colts offense and a forty four year old

439
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:53,200
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers who hasn't played in almost five years, if

440
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:57,840
Speaker 1: he's the one who comes in and he's awesome, I'll

441
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 1: bet against that all day long. Of course, just rationally

442
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,679
Speaker 1: and logically. I'm gonna root for him, though, because the

443
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 1: story itself is gonna be made out of It is

444
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 1: gonna be made into a movie if they make the plays,

445
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: you know, like I want to. I want to see

446
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 1: this thing go down. But man, I mean, he's heftier

447
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 1: than he was before.

448
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 3: He uh, aren't we all?

449
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,919
Speaker 1: So Yeah, yeah, five years in your middle age, you're

450
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,160
Speaker 1: gonna gain a little lb. You know, some LB's, But yeah,

451
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 1: like I'm I'm excited to see what this looks like

452
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 1: and how this goes down that they're probably gonna feed

453
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor. And like I kind of talked about on

454
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 1: the live stream this week for for patrons, I kind

455
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,919
Speaker 1: of whenever we see a player like this step in

456
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 1: where I'm worried about arm strength, I'm worried about them

457
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 1: getting the ball down the field, just go by a

458
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:43,600
Speaker 1: dot and kind of work your way down as to

459
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 1: who would see worse work. So like Alex Pierce I'm

460
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 1: really concerned about than Michael Pittman, you know, and then

461
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,159
Speaker 1: it would be maybe a Josh Downs, Tyler Warren and

462
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: then Jonathan Taylor because they can still dump it off

463
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 1: to him and he can still be okay enough. But

464
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,360
Speaker 1: Taylor is no longer a top five running back rest

465
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 1: of season in my opinion, just based on schedule, based

466
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 1: on this, if we see something this week from Rivers,

467
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 1: great we can feel better. But look, I'm just saying

468
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,160
Speaker 1: based on sentiment, because you're not making moves right now.

469
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 1: You know you're playing Jonathan Taylor if you have him,

470
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 1: and you're not making any moves. I'm just saying, like,

471
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,360
Speaker 1: just be realistic and probably temper expectations.

472
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 2: Okay, report today, this not really any groundbreaking news, but

473
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 2: the the Chargers planning used the hot hand for running

474
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 2: back this week, So I put hot hamp But you

475
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 2: got to Hampton and.

476
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:37,200
Speaker 3: Vidal this week? What are you doing with them?

477
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,639
Speaker 1: I'm really not interested in either of them because the

478
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 1: matchup's not that great. Like, for instance, I'm playing Woody

479
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 1: Marks pretty confidently over Marion Hampton in a league this week, and.

480
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 3: I'm actually crazy yeah, oh.

481
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean like comfortably over Marion Hampton. The one

482
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 1: that I that's if here is DeAndre Swift. But I

483
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 1: feel I feel okay about DeAndre Swift over Hampton too,

484
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:01,120
Speaker 1: just because you know, eleveland's been a little bit worse

485
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 1: against the run of late and they're playing a tough

486
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 1: Chiefs team that absolutely needs a win. A little bit

487
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,120
Speaker 1: worried about that. I thought Hampton looked good. The thing

488
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,439
Speaker 1: that was bad was the pass pro stuff, and that's

489
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 1: that's the issue with him, you know, maybe staying on

490
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:17,959
Speaker 1: the field more. And Kamani Videll has been great throughout

491
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 1: the second half of the season or basically since Hampton

492
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 1: went down. So I say, what even is hot hand?

493
00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:28,400
Speaker 1: Just because it's so subjective and it's just so there's

494
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 1: just no like, it's just a vibes bas thing on

495
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 1: how that coach is feeling at that moment. But yeah,

496
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 1: I would say if I were projecting this, I think

497
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 1: Hampton sees sixty sixty five percent of the team's running

498
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: back Rushes Videll gets the rest, and then maybe the

499
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 1: snap shares is more fifty fifty because Videl will be

500
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:46,360
Speaker 1: out on the field and more of those long, down

501
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 1: and distant snaps.

502
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 2: All Right, this one just came out since we recorded,

503
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:52,680
Speaker 2: since we started recording the show.

504
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 3: In Djokui and Samson elt this week for the Browns.

505
00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 1: My response is that's massive for Quinnjahn Judkins. Massive.

506
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 3: Ir.

507
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 1: Yes, massive for Judkins. The one area where he needs

508
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,199
Speaker 1: to get more work is as a pass catcher, and

509
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 1: so Jerome Ford out already, he's on IR. Dylan Samson

510
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: is the backup who has played plenty of pass catching.

511
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: You know, has gotten that and played that role throughout

512
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 1: the season. I mentioned this in the Sleeper Show, but

513
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 1: he's played basically twice as many two minute snaps and

514
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 1: down in distance snaps as Quinn show Judkins. So he

515
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 1: was going to step in and get more of that

516
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 1: work for the Browns, and this is a negative gamescript

517
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: waiting to happen against Chicago. I mean, hypothetically speaking, it's

518
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,199
Speaker 1: a good matchup too, I think Judkins. I mean, I'm

519
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 1: gonna move Judkins up in my rankings just based on

520
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 1: the fact that this could be the one of those

521
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 1: weeks where he sees like a seventy percent routehare. Hypothetically

522
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: like it very very well can happen today's data.

523
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,400
Speaker 2: All right, let's get on to today's data, and you've

524
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 2: got some yards allowed stats.

525
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. I just thought this could maybe

526
00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:10,399
Speaker 1: be interesting for people as they're making decisions for you know,

527
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: who to start over the next couple of weeks. Now

528
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 1: that we have fifteen or fourteen weeks of data, So

529
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 1: basically what I'm looking at here is this is by

530
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:22,440
Speaker 1: team defense adjusted passing yards allowed. So all this does

531
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,719
Speaker 1: is takes passing yards, It looks at their opponent, and

532
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 1: it finds the delta between their opponent's typical rate and

533
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 1: what they've allowed. So, for instance, you know, the Bengals

534
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 1: this year have allowed forty five point seven more passing

535
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 1: yards to their opponents through the air. Obviously to quarterbacks

536
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:43,440
Speaker 1: only quarterbacks, than what those opponents season long average has been.

537
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:47,439
Speaker 1: So the Bengals the Cowboys are number one, forty eight

538
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 1: point eight they've allowed. So let's say a player average

539
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,879
Speaker 1: two hundred passing yards per game he went up against Dallas,

540
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: we would expect him to throw for two hundred and

541
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 1: forty eight point eight passing yards, which is not insignificant

542
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: because more passing yards doesn't just mean oh two more

543
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 1: fantasy points. It means more potential for touchdowns than such. Right,

544
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 1: And then on top of that, I look at adjusted

545
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 1: pass rate allowed, which is not pass rate over expected.

546
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 1: That's a different metric. Adjusted pass rate allowed says, Okay,

547
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:17,280
Speaker 1: when a team faces this defense, what does that offense

548
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 1: look like from a pass rate perspective? Like how much

549
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,360
Speaker 1: does their pass rate change in terms of just raw

550
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,600
Speaker 1: percentage points from a normal game to a game against

551
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 1: that defense. Now, for instance, you know, when a team

552
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:31,680
Speaker 1: faces a good team, their pass rate's probably going to

553
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 1: increase because of game script, because they're trailing and they're

554
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 1: trying to come back, all that kind of stuff. So

555
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 1: you see a team like New Orleans, a team like

556
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 1: Minnesota teams against when they face those teams, they're running

557
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 1: the ball a lot more because those teams have been

558
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: losing throughout the year. And also personnel is going to

559
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 1: dictate that too, because Minnesota secondary has been playing well.

560
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:52,360
Speaker 1: But what I did was I kind of had another call,

561
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: added another column and just called it pass funnels. And

562
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 1: I just looked at these two metrics and I said, Okay,

563
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,640
Speaker 1: what teams are allowing more passing yards adjusted ranked opponent

564
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,719
Speaker 1: and what teams are allowing higher pass rates when adjusted

565
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:06,199
Speaker 1: for strength of opponent. Those teams are sort of the

566
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 1: pass funnels that we have in the NFL right now,

567
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 1: where when an offense faces them, they're going to throw

568
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 1: the ball a lot more. So. We have Baltimore as one,

569
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 1: we have Dallas as an obvious one. Indianapolis has been one.

570
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: Sauce Gardner obviously has been banged up. Jacksonville has been

571
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 1: one where they're adjusted passing yards allowed isn't that much

572
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,680
Speaker 1: over expected, but the teams are throwing a lot against jams.

573
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 4: Jed that was that one kind of Well, they've also

574
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:37,119
Speaker 4: been pretty good against the run, and they and you

575
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 4: look at the adjusted numbers allowed to running backs this year,

576
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 4: they've been pretty good against running backs, but they it's

577
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 4: mostly because they just allow.

578
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 1: Like teams are throwing the ball against them so much.

579
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 1: And then you look at New England as kind of

580
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 1: a pass funnel. Pittsburgh is definitely a pass funnel because

581
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 1: they're allowing about thirty five yards over expected and two

582
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 1: point seven percent increase in pass rate. San Francisco kind

583
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 1: of a pass funnel. And then last night you saw

584
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 1: this doesn't even include last night's data, but Tampa Bay

585
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 1: a very obvious pass funnel, allowing twenty two passing yards

586
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 1: from quarterbacks over expected and a bump in about four

587
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 1: percentage points in pass rate. So you know, those two

588
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: things obviously go hand in hand. You know, like there's

589
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 1: gonna be more passing yards when there's more pass attempts.

590
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 1: But you know, sometimes you're gonna see some fluky stuff

591
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 1: because teams are just really like Cincinnati, for instance, they're

592
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:26,400
Speaker 1: just when teams face Cincinnati, they're actually more run heavy

593
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:29,360
Speaker 1: than they are in a typical game. But Cincinnati is

594
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 1: still allowing forty six passing yards over expected because they're

595
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 1: so inefficient defensively, you know, but when you can combine

596
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 1: volume and just overall, you know, effectiveness, that's when you

597
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 1: get one of those past funnel defenses.

598
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 3: Cool, let's get on to the main event.

599
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 1: It's the late round, main event, all right.

600
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 3: These are players as you like.

601
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: More of the consensus this week, starting with Grandma Golf

602
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 2: Jared Golf. This is not a surprise though, because you

603
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 2: mentioned earlier Golf after I forget what game it was,

604
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 2: but he had like five games.

605
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:06,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, he had like six or seven games the end

606
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 1: of the season.

607
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 3: That we're all on a dome in a dome.

608
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I really do favor dome environments and domed

609
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 1: environments in my rankings and stuff, so it's not a

610
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 1: huge surprise. I also look at game total and team total,

611
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,360
Speaker 1: and this game could be higher scoring twenty four and

612
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:27,400
Speaker 1: a half point implied team total for the Lions. The

613
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 1: Rams are are basically an average opponent for quarterbacks by

614
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 1: justin points allowed. Like I said, it's indoors. He's been.

615
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,040
Speaker 1: He's had one game under sixteen points over his last

616
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 1: six and that one game was that outdoor game against

617
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:42,440
Speaker 1: Philadelphia when that offense just looked absolutely horrific. So I

618
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 1: like Golf this week. You know, I'm only three spots.

619
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 1: I had a consensus, but I think that's enough to

620
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: call him out.

621
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, there are some good games this week.

622
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, this game has fifty four and a

623
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 2: half total, Like, that's gonna be a solid game, especially

624
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 2: if I don't know you're going up against someone like

625
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 2: you know a.

626
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 1: Lot of bet I don't have any rams on that team.

627
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 3: So yeah, all right, next guy. We've already talked about

628
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 3: what he marks.

629
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have him three spots ahead. I haven't met

630
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: as a fringe ARBI one right now, and I think

631
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: you could even bump him up a little bit more

632
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 1: it people don't like what he marks because he's not

633
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:19,880
Speaker 1: been that effective on the ground and he's really not

634
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 1: meant for this role in my opinion, just based on

635
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 1: his like overall prospect profile. With that being said, he's

636
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:28,440
Speaker 1: gonna probably get a lot of this work. Al A

637
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:31,880
Speaker 1: Goomba walle will mix in no doubt, and and my

638
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 1: I do have some fear that there's going to be

639
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 1: you know, some of Goomble Walley stealing some some work

640
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 1: through the air, because you know, when you get this

641
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:41,200
Speaker 1: rotation of running backs, like when you when you when

642
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: one guy's out, another guy steps in. Sometimes that guy

643
00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 1: who's stepping in we saw this in Arizona all year long.

644
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 1: Sometimes the guy who's stepping in, you know, will then

645
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:52,560
Speaker 1: lose the more valuable touches and fantasy, which is the

646
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:54,479
Speaker 1: pass catching stuff, right just because they want to give

647
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 1: him a break. And the guy who happens to be

648
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 1: the third stringer is good in that kind of role.

649
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 1: And that's what we have in Gumballe. But I haven't

650
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 1: met RB fourteen this week. What he marks consensus is

651
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 1: about three spots lower. Love this match up against Arizona.

652
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: They were just absolutely destroyed by the Rams last week.

653
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 1: Multiple top ten performances allowed to running backs. It's just

654
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 1: one of the best matchups by adjusted points allowed to

655
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 1: running backs. So what he marks I think should be

656
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: in most people's lineups this week.

657
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 2: I felt bad for him last and I've got a

658
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 2: lot of woody, but I felt bad for him last week,

659
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: all those inside rushes like it was, and then like

660
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 2: for every one his body Yeah, after everyone, he's like

661
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 2: getting up.

662
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 3: I'm like, is he gonna make it?

663
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 1: Yeah? You know who. It kind of reminds me. I

664
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 1: only remember this because I sent a gift about this

665
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 1: whenever he was just getting crushed and injured all the time.

666
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 1: But Matt Brida used to do this for San Francisco

667
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 1: where he would just get destroyed and then he'd come

668
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 1: back and he'd keep going. And there's always a point

669
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 1: in every game when you watch what he marks where

670
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:56,479
Speaker 1: he leaves the game with an injury and then he

671
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 1: comes back and he you know, gives you at least

672
00:32:58,280 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 1: some sort of usability.

673
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 3: Is breed it with the Vikings as well.

674
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 1: Brita played for Miami. I know that he played for

675
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 1: a little bit. I think he played for the Bills.

676
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 3: Bills, yeah, yeah, okay, and the Giants.

677
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, he did the Giants at the end of his career. Yeah.

678
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 2: You got Stefan Diggs the last time that they played Buffalo.

679
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying.

680
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 3: It was personal.

681
00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,360
Speaker 1: It was personal, and this is a huge game. The

682
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 1: Stefan dig stuff is really difficult. I'll be completely honest.

683
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: Diggs is so hard speaking of like coaches just making

684
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 1: a choice, right, Ye. Diggs over the last two games

685
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 1: has had rout chairs of fifty four sixty one percent. Right,

686
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 1: It's just it's just been not great. His yards para

687
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 1: run is still strong, but if he has that kind

688
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 1: of rout share again this week, it's probably not going

689
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 1: to be very pretty, but we saw him crush Buffalo

690
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: last time. This is a huge game between these two teams.

691
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 1: I mean massive, massive game, So I would imagine maybe

692
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 1: they were saving him a little bit and they're like,

693
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,719
Speaker 1: all right, Stefan, this is your game. Let's just go

694
00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 1: do that again, and we'll target you at a really

695
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,799
Speaker 1: high rate. Maybe you'll have an eighty percent route share

696
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:11,280
Speaker 1: because it's so important and you're the best wide receiver

697
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 1: on our team. That's what I think they probably will

698
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 1: end up doing. Is this a little bit vibes based

699
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 1: and projection? Yes, I mean like yes, I have to

700
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 1: use some sort of ball knowledge whenever I'm doing this stuff,

701
00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 1: and that's where my brain kind of goes. They have

702
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 1: a strong twenty four plus point applied team total, so

703
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 1: I have digs only two spots head of consensus. But

704
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 1: I did kind of want to talk about him on

705
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 1: today's show.

706
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:38,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, like if they if the Patriots beat they're tied

707
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 2: right now with Denver, and if they beat the the Bills,

708
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 2: then they've got one more game versus the Ravens and

709
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 2: then they close out versus the Jets.

710
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:52,960
Speaker 3: And the Dolphins.

711
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so that one seed as we know for

712
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 2: teams with a playoff buy.

713
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:04,839
Speaker 3: Didn't in the King's Classic, you don't.

714
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 1: You don't want to go into the wildcard round and

715
00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:09,759
Speaker 1: face Kyle Pitts. Guys, all right, it's not it's not

716
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 1: an unfeeling, you know.

717
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 3: Would have messed it up at all. All right. For

718
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 3: tight end, you've got Daldon Kinkaid.

719
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't really know why. This is what I

720
00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: like sometimes in my rankings because like, like ETN last week. Remember,

721
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 1: by the way, last week's main event was pretty sweet.

722
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,480
Speaker 2: I was about to say last week you had ETN,

723
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 2: you had for the tight end Kobe Parkinson, who scored

724
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:30,959
Speaker 2: a touchdown did yes?

725
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:31,400
Speaker 1: Yes?

726
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 3: And and the Vikings scored a thirty burger.

727
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 1: The Vikings did did score put put a thirty burger up? Yeah,

728
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 1: that's I've only done that for two teams this year,

729
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 1: and both of them hit because the one was weak

730
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:45,839
Speaker 1: two with with Detroit Detroit forty burger. Uh. Dalton Kinkaid, Though,

731
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,760
Speaker 1: I don't really know why I have him ranked higher,

732
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 1: But I mean, I'm just ranking him based on the

733
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:55,200
Speaker 1: combination of you know, projection and vibe and subjectivity. But uh,

734
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 1: I think he does have a tilting route share you know,

735
00:35:57,520 --> 00:36:00,919
Speaker 1: usually under that sixty percent mark. But again, really really

736
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 1: important game for both of these teams. New England, like

737
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 1: I just shared, they're kind of a pass funnel defense

738
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,960
Speaker 1: plus four percent pass rate when teams face them, eleven

739
00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 1: passing yards overexpected through the air from quarterbacks, and New

740
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 1: England's a top ten opponent for tight ends by justin

741
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:17,280
Speaker 1: points allowed. So Kinkaid kind of eased back last week potentially,

742
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,880
Speaker 1: and now you know, maybe they give him that sixty

743
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 1: percent plus rout chair.

744
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the bold predictions, starting

745
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:27,800
Speaker 2: with Christian Watson.

746
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say Christian Watson scores fewer than six PPR

747
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:35,799
Speaker 1: points this week. Okay, he's on a heater. I said

748
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:37,719
Speaker 1: won a heater. I meant on a heater. There's a

749
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 1: typo there. He's on a heater. But but Jayden Reid

750
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 1: came back last week, and I know Christian Watson did

751
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 1: his thing. He also had four targets in a nineteen

752
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 1: percent target chair. Not bad but certainly not great. We

753
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 1: know that Denver's defense and secondary is really good, top

754
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 1: five against wide receivers. They're also top five and deep

755
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 1: ball completion rate. Allowed in terms of like in a

756
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:03,840
Speaker 1: good way, like they're good at stopping deep ball passes,

757
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 1: and Christian Watson has has created and generated some of

758
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,799
Speaker 1: those big plays. So I'll say he's gonna score fewer

759
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 1: than six PPR points this week. That's my bold prediction.

760
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 3: All right, you got chim Mary DK.

761
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I did this for you, thank you. Yeah. I

762
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 1: threw out a tight.

763
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 2: Feel a top twenty four receiver this week, which is

764
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 2: saying like a whole lot, but for.

765
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,920
Speaker 1: All Chim ray DK I is at top okay, here here, okay,

766
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,800
Speaker 1: we'll change it right now, top twenty wide receiver.

767
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:35,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, there you go. Top twenty sends a lot better

768
00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:36,719
Speaker 3: than top twenty four.

769
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,120
Speaker 1: All right, fine, Jim ray DK is a top twenty

770
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,359
Speaker 1: wide receiver this week. He had a thirty two percent

771
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 1: target shair last week. He's lining up in the slot

772
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 1: now that elic Iamaner's back. That's something you've always got

773
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:49,320
Speaker 1: to pay attention to, is when like Wanda Robinson's a

774
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,319
Speaker 1: good example of this, when Darius Slayton's out, Robinson's not

775
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,799
Speaker 1: in the slot nearly as much, and then Slayton comes

776
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:57,840
Speaker 1: back and wandall will play you know, ninety eight percent

777
00:37:57,840 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 1: of the routes and he'll be out there all the time.

778
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 1: But he's able to go in the slot more when

779
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 1: they're in eleven personnel because they have another perimeter wide

780
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 1: receiver who can play that role. And it's similar with

781
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 1: Tennessee and lic I Amnner and so I am anders

782
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 1: healthy and you know they have guys that can play

783
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:16,239
Speaker 1: in the perimeter. And he's been lining up in the

784
00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 1: slot on about seventy percent of his snaps. Jim ray

785
00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 1: DK has well. San Francisco allows the second most adjusted

786
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 1: targets and fantasy points to slot receivers when you look

787
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:26,799
Speaker 1: at just the raw numbers there first, and I think

788
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:28,839
Speaker 1: I cited the raw numbers on the Sleeper show. That's

789
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 1: my bad. But when adjusted their second, Chicago's first and

790
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 1: adjusted fantasy points allowed the slot receivers. So negative gamescript

791
00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 1: is probable for Tennessee this week in San Francisco. Great

792
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: slot matchup. That's where Chim ray DK has been playing

793
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:44,240
Speaker 1: top twenty wide receiver.

794
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 3: All right, look ahead wherever we wire.

795
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 2: And again, these are just a bunch of names, no

796
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:52,960
Speaker 2: particular order, usually by position.

797
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 3: He started with JJ McCarthy.

798
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:58,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm also seeing Ben Johnson and chat say, Watson

799
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: put up a measly twenty five PR points last week

800
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,319
Speaker 1: after JJ's wide receiver one call and JJ turns heel

801
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: on him. Smy, that was to be fair. That was

802
00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:08,399
Speaker 1: Joey Wright on Perspectives who said that Watson would finish

803
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 1: as the wide receiver one last week, and it was close.

804
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 1: I mean, he was very close to that. So shout

805
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 1: outs to Joey. But yeah, man, I mean, this is

806
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 1: the way that things go in fantasy football, where I

807
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 1: don't think that I think Watson's a great like you

808
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 1: probably have to play him, you know in most leagues,

809
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 1: Like he's probably a decent wide receiver three for you.

810
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 1: But you know, we know that bad games can happen

811
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: with like non elite elite players. All right, look ahead,

812
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 1: waiver wire JJ McCarthy. Hypothetically he comes out this week,

813
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:41,440
Speaker 1: he is a good game. They're playing Dallas. It's very possible. Okay,

814
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,239
Speaker 1: you might consider playing him against the Giants next week

815
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,120
Speaker 1: because it's another great matchup on paper, and then they

816
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,880
Speaker 1: get the Lions in week seventeen, like they have a

817
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 1: great rest of season schedule, the best in the league

818
00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 1: for a passing attack. If he's competent at all. I

819
00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,440
Speaker 1: think we're gonna see Justin Jefferson look better down the stretch.

820
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 1: Jordan Addison. There's a lot to like Marcus Mariota. You

821
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:04,560
Speaker 1: could get ahead of things and pick him up now,

822
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 1: not only to use this week, potentially you're not using

823
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:08,640
Speaker 1: them next week. I can't remember who they're playing, but

824
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:12,799
Speaker 1: it's someone tough. It might be Philadelphia. I think it

825
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:18,280
Speaker 1: is Philadelphia. But in week seventeen they do get Dallas,

826
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 1: and so that's obviously a great matchup, the best matchup

827
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 1: for quarterbacks on paper, and Jane Daniels maybe he gets

828
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 1: shut down and Marcus Mario is just their starter rest

829
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 1: of season. Bryce Young gets Tampa Bay next week, obviously

830
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:34,239
Speaker 1: a pretty good matchup after what we saw last week.

831
00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:37,080
Speaker 1: And Aaron Rodgers gets Detroit in a dome, so that'll

832
00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:40,840
Speaker 1: be kind of interesting for Rogers. I think that Mariota

833
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,480
Speaker 1: for week seventeen is a great pickup here. Bryce Young

834
00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:46,479
Speaker 1: is probably safer against Tampa Bay, but I don't mind

835
00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:50,399
Speaker 1: the other guys either. Get your handcuff running backs. Non

836
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 1: handcuffs would be like Bam Knight because Trey Benson is

837
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 1: officially Donzo and they get Atlanta and Cincinnati in week

838
00:40:57,120 --> 00:41:01,320
Speaker 1: sixteen and seventeen. Emmanuel Wilson, even Josh Jacobs plays, this

839
00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:04,400
Speaker 1: is a handcuff, yes, but I'm calling him out in

840
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,799
Speaker 1: particular because Jacobs has his lingering knee and if something

841
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 1: gets worse, you don't know what's gonna happen in week sixteen.

842
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 1: So ad Emmanuel Wilson, Jalen Wright, you know, same deal

843
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 1: with Devon Chan and they get Cincinnati next week, man

844
00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:19,320
Speaker 1: Plea and I have Dylan Samson here, but he's not playing,

845
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 1: so I'll take him off this list. Man. I'll tell

846
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 1: you what, Devin ah Chan, I have a lot of

847
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 1: buys with a Chan and I need him to be

848
00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 1: healthy for next week. Devon Ahan against Cincinnati is is

849
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:33,040
Speaker 1: what this world needs.

850
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 3: Yeah.

851
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, Josh Downs gets San Francisco next week. I called

852
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:41,880
Speaker 1: him out just because of that slot matchup, but I

853
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 1: don't think that that's only a very deep league play.

854
00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:46,359
Speaker 1: Kayshawan Boody, still out there in a lot of leagues,

855
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 1: gets Baltimore. That's a plus matchup. Luther Burden talked about

856
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:53,239
Speaker 1: him enough. Ady Mitchell. Maybe Tyrod Taylor's back next week.

857
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:58,080
Speaker 1: Darren Waller gets Sincy next week. Isaiah likely has just

858
00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,520
Speaker 1: been playing pretty well seventeen percent targets here since Lamar

859
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 1: Jackson came back. Mika Sicki gets Miami coming up, and

860
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,360
Speaker 1: then you can see what his usage kind of looks

861
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:09,359
Speaker 1: like here in week fifteen to see if you should

862
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 1: play him next week, and then two defenses. New Orleans

863
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:15,080
Speaker 1: gets the Jets in Minnesota getst the Giants. There's not

864
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:16,760
Speaker 1: yet a ton of New Orleans.

865
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 3: You know who New Orleans has in Week seventeen.

866
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,560
Speaker 1: They hang on, hang on that that would be? That

867
00:42:21,600 --> 00:42:24,239
Speaker 1: would Uh I'm trying to th oh, is it is

868
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:25,280
Speaker 1: it Vegas?

869
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:25,959
Speaker 3: No?

870
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:26,759
Speaker 1: Who is it?

871
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 3: Titans?

872
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 1: Oh? That's right, that's right. I knew that.

873
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 3: So they get they get the Jets, and then the

874
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:33,239
Speaker 3: Titans they should be.

875
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,160
Speaker 1: Yeah they could. I mean they're not great defensively, but

876
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:37,399
Speaker 1: yeah they could. They could.

877
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 2: I do wonder some of these games where teams are

878
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:42,359
Speaker 2: trying to I don't know, they're not trying to tank,

879
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 2: but like these games do have meaning with the NFL Draft,

880
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 2: Like Week seventeen, you've got the Titans and the Saints

881
00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:53,480
Speaker 2: and you've got the Raiders and the Giants. Yeah, like

882
00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:56,600
Speaker 2: we thought they would have meaning for our best ball teams.

883
00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 3: Really they've got meaning for the NFL.

884
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 1: But in the wrong way, right, yes, Like you.

885
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:03,640
Speaker 3: Don't want you don't want to win those games.

886
00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 1: Like here's at least with Atlanta they traded theirs a way,

887
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:08,480
Speaker 1: so it's whatever, you know.

888
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, I think that's uh, that's it. Let's

889
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,839
Speaker 2: let's move on to the quad boxes. We have a

890
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:22,360
Speaker 2: lot of games.

891
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 3: To uh to talk about as far as like you

892
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:26,479
Speaker 3: got a limit to just four?

893
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:39,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, So here are the games. Jets, Jags, Cardinals, Texans, Titans,

894
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers, Browns, Bears, Ravens Bengals.

895
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 3: That might be one.

896
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:47,600
Speaker 1: Are you going first? If I know what I want,

897
00:43:47,640 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 1: if I go.

898
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:50,280
Speaker 3: First, You're going Lions and Rams first?

899
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:52,800
Speaker 1: Yeah? Do you want to go first? Though? No, you

900
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:57,200
Speaker 1: can go first, all right, Lions Rams. Okay, it's gonna

901
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:57,919
Speaker 1: be a really fun game.

902
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:04,720
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with that. That Ravens Bengals game. Okay,

903
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 2: I think that that could be fun.

904
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 1: Good total in that game. I am going to go

905
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 1: Bill's Patriots next.

906
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was gonna be mine. I feel like you

907
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:19,400
Speaker 2: went really chalky with yours.

908
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:21,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean there's there's three. Those are the three

909
00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 1: best games. I think I might put Bill's Patriots over

910
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:27,919
Speaker 1: Ravens Bengals, but those are the three best, like intriguing,

911
00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 1: you know, some playoff implications and fantasy implications.

912
00:44:32,200 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, let me go with Vikings and Cowboys.

913
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that would be my other one too,

914
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,239
Speaker 1: just because we could have done Colt Seahawks just to

915
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:42,839
Speaker 1: just for the Philip Rivers Bowl.

916
00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's true. You know, you can still change yours

917
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:47,439
Speaker 3: if you want.

918
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 1: I'm definitely not changing, But I'm one watching Bill's Patriots

919
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:56,080
Speaker 1: over over Philip Rivers getting destroyed by Seattle's.

920
00:44:55,560 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 2: Defense, Vikings and Cowboys Sunday night football watching Justin Jefferson

921
00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:06,000
Speaker 2: getting two catches for you know, twenty two yards.

922
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:10,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have. I have Jefferson in a first round

923
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 1: playoff matchup this week too.

924
00:45:12,040 --> 00:45:15,319
Speaker 2: That Dolphin Steelers game looks kind of gross, but big

925
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:18,520
Speaker 2: implications on the Monday night football Hammer game.

926
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:21,399
Speaker 1: So I'm actually picking up Boswell in a kicker league

927
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 1: just so I can sweat something. Boswell was the like

928
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 1: ever boy for the late run perspective. No, I feel

929
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 1: like I feel like the world is telling me. The

930
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,320
Speaker 1: universe is telling me to use Chris Boswell this week,

931
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: and so I'm going to add him and I'm going

932
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 1: to use him over Harrison Bucker.

933
00:45:35,920 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 2: How do you feel as a as a Steelers fan

934
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 2: for where things are right now?

935
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 1: I mean, you say Steelers fan. Look, I like the Steelers.

936
00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:48,600
Speaker 1: I want them to win. It's not a very like

937
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:53,080
Speaker 1: hardcore fandom anymore. But I'm very are you Are you

938
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 1: disavowing the Steelers right now? No? I mean if I

939
00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:57,760
Speaker 1: hadn't seen the root for it's obviously the Steelers. Yeah,

940
00:45:58,000 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 1: you don't.

941
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:02,000
Speaker 3: Know what's what's you're You don't what yours on the team.

942
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:03,719
Speaker 1: You don't grow up in Pittsburgh and not have that

943
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 1: in you, right Like it's just a part of uh.

944
00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 1: But I think that they're an absolute disaster right now. Still,

945
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,480
Speaker 1: even after last week's game. Last week's game was one

946
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:15,880
Speaker 1: of the most predictable outings in a Mike Tomlin of

947
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 1: the Mike Tomlin era. He did this against Indianapolis. I

948
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:20,240
Speaker 1: called both of them on the Living in the Stream

949
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:23,439
Speaker 1: podcast because he just this is what he does. It's

950
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:27,720
Speaker 1: just it's this is what the Steelers do. But Miami

951
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 1: is still technically in it, and they've been playing better defensively.

952
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 1: It's gonna be kind of an interesting game, genuinely. So

953
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,480
Speaker 1: I'm I'm I'm excited to watch that on Monday night.

954
00:46:37,320 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 3: Waller versus Rogers. That's what you know, this is. This

955
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:43,320
Speaker 3: is like the week where we are a little bit nostalgic.

956
00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:46,480
Speaker 2: Have you seen some of the memes about like stuff

957
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,439
Speaker 2: happening in the NFL and how like our nineties two

958
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:50,440
Speaker 2: thousands are back?

959
00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 1: I did not have not, but it feels that way.

960
00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:58,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, like Rivers is back, Rogers? What was it? Another one?

961
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 2: Like the the like Yeah, I mean all all sorts

962
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 2: of stuff as far as like the how it feels

963
00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:08,160
Speaker 2: like it was when our childhood.

964
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 3: All right, JJ, that's that's it for the show. It's

965
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:14,919
Speaker 3: a you know, kind of a shorter show.

966
00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:18,040
Speaker 1: This We were a short show this week. Yeah, but

967
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 1: yeah it was good. Good to I mean it's good

968
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:22,160
Speaker 1: for you. You got to rest up, you know, get the

969
00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:22,959
Speaker 1: man cold going.

970
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:25,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, chill out, And this is what happens. I

971
00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 2: put it in the newsletter last week. I said that

972
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 2: I had a normal voice, you didn't last week on

973
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 2: the show.

974
00:47:31,880 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 3: And then immediately I get I get hit with it.

975
00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:37,200
Speaker 1: So I only I only have gotten because it went

976
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:39,160
Speaker 1: from in my throat to then early this week it

977
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:41,040
Speaker 1: was kind of in my like, I had a headache

978
00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 1: for a couple of days just from like, but today

979
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:44,880
Speaker 1: was was a turn the corner kind of day. I

980
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:48,040
Speaker 1: feel a lot better today, even though I tilted like crazy.

981
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:49,839
Speaker 1: I couldn't even I couldn't even go to bed last

982
00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:55,400
Speaker 1: night because of going through Best Ball. I think we

983
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:57,759
Speaker 1: should explain this a little bit, okay for for people

984
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:02,440
Speaker 1: who don't play Best Ball right like, So essentially, with

985
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,840
Speaker 1: like a lot of these contests, like the Milli for instance,

986
00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:07,920
Speaker 1: you can max enter one hundred and fifty teams, and

987
00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:10,480
Speaker 1: that's what becoming a Best Ball bro was all about,

988
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 1: was sort of me documenting max entering the milli and

989
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty teams. And then also there's another

990
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 1: contest that you and I both had a decent amount

991
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:21,319
Speaker 1: of lineups in and teams in like that fifty nine

992
00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:23,920
Speaker 1: dollars one. You know, you have a couple, you have

993
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:26,760
Speaker 1: a five to five to five team that's still alive

994
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:30,319
Speaker 1: and going well. But regardless, the first round you can

995
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:32,640
Speaker 1: think of it ash and Best Ball is weeks one

996
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 1: to fourteen. So your goal in your twelve team league

997
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:38,920
Speaker 1: that you drafted with your goal is to get in

998
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 1: the top two because then you move on into the playoffs,

999
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:44,960
Speaker 1: and then there's gonna be different playoff rules depending on

1000
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 1: each tournament. But you know, the MILLI for instance, you're

1001
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:51,400
Speaker 1: now in a new pod, a new league with eleven

1002
00:48:51,440 --> 00:48:54,319
Speaker 1: other teams, and you're trying to get first to then

1003
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 1: move on to Week sixteen. And so last night, so

1004
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:00,719
Speaker 1: I had forty seven Milli teams that had moved on,

1005
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,840
Speaker 1: and last night I was looking through to see how

1006
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:05,719
Speaker 1: many Kyle Pits teams I had. I had three of them,

1007
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:08,320
Speaker 1: and then I had one in the fifty nine dollars

1008
00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:11,640
Speaker 1: contest out of seventeen teams in advanced out of forty one.

1009
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:14,719
Speaker 1: But I was going through, and I'm going through just

1010
00:49:14,760 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 1: to see. You know, they call it pod luck. I'm

1011
00:49:17,120 --> 00:49:20,440
Speaker 1: explaining this well as a best play. Yeah, they call

1012
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:23,719
Speaker 1: it pod luck because each pod, each league that you

1013
00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:27,600
Speaker 1: join in week fifteen, that's randomized. You don't know what

1014
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:30,520
Speaker 1: these other teams draft. There could be seven Christian McCaffrey

1015
00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:33,480
Speaker 1: teams in that pod, and you might think that you

1016
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:35,279
Speaker 1: have an edge with Christian McCaffrey, but you really don't.

1017
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,200
Speaker 1: So every pod has this sort of like unique economy

1018
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,919
Speaker 1: almost and unique circumstances where like.

1019
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:42,879
Speaker 2: You and I got thrown into the same we were

1020
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 2: in two different leagues, we won those leagues. We got

1021
00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:49,800
Speaker 2: thrown into the same pod this week, and Kyle Pitts

1022
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:50,479
Speaker 2: isn't in that.

1023
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:53,280
Speaker 1: Pod, right and we're in we're in that in that tournament,

1024
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 1: that particular contest, Yeah, to two out of twelve advance

1025
00:49:57,280 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 1: and right now after Thursday night game, we're first and second.

1026
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 1: Just because we had some exposure to that game. Did

1027
00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:05,360
Speaker 1: I think I'd Bejon? Did I have Bejon in that

1028
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 1: in that one?

1029
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:06,920
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1030
00:50:08,239 --> 00:50:12,320
Speaker 1: Regardless, Uh, we're sweating the fact that, like you know,

1031
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:16,520
Speaker 1: last night, I'm sitting here and I'm like, I really

1032
00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:18,239
Speaker 1: hope I don't have a lot of Kyle Pits in

1033
00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:20,880
Speaker 1: my pods because he just went off. And what do

1034
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 1: you think is advance rate's going to be? So by

1035
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:26,040
Speaker 1: advance rate, folks, I mean, how many Kyle Pits teams

1036
00:50:26,080 --> 00:50:29,160
Speaker 1: are going to win one of those pods of twelve? Right?

1037
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:29,480
Speaker 3: Yeah?

1038
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:31,600
Speaker 1: Like, how how frequently do you think Kyle Pitts is

1039
00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 1: going to move on? Is it going to be over

1040
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:33,400
Speaker 1: fifty percent?

1041
00:50:33,640 --> 00:50:35,719
Speaker 3: I'd say, yeah, fifty was the number that I had

1042
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:36,040
Speaker 3: my mind.

1043
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:37,759
Speaker 2: I think it's just crazy when you think of one

1044
00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:42,320
Speaker 2: player out of twenty that you draft right, accounting for

1045
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 2: a fifty advance.

1046
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:46,400
Speaker 1: Rate, right, But then you have to play the game theory.

1047
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 1: And I was talking to to Liam about this earlier

1048
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 1: today chess Liam on on Twitter and he, you know,

1049
00:50:51,080 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 1: he was saying, how the nice part is though that

1050
00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 1: if you get a team through that doesn't have Kyle Pits,

1051
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:58,680
Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, you have a really really

1052
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:01,440
Speaker 1: nice edge. And we sixteen because if Pits doesn't have

1053
00:51:01,480 --> 00:51:03,720
Speaker 1: a big game and you don't have you're not relying

1054
00:51:03,760 --> 00:51:07,040
Speaker 1: on Pits, then all of a sudden, you know, you like,

1055
00:51:07,040 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 1: like the thing is that these teams, there's gonna be

1056
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:11,239
Speaker 1: some really dead teams that can move on when these

1057
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:14,319
Speaker 1: big performances happen because the rest of their roster might

1058
00:51:14,320 --> 00:51:16,760
Speaker 1: not look that great, but they got this huge forty

1059
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 1: eight point performance from Kyle Pitts, so they're able to

1060
00:51:20,040 --> 00:51:21,840
Speaker 1: make noise and move on to the next round. But

1061
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,320
Speaker 1: then the next round their team might not have unless

1062
00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:26,920
Speaker 1: Pitch just keeps doing this, But the next round they

1063
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 1: might not have the right players. Right, So you if

1064
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 1: you can make it, but that's the problem. So I

1065
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:36,560
Speaker 1: went through each of my forty seven pods today this morning.

1066
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 1: I was trying to do it on my phone last

1067
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:39,960
Speaker 1: night when I was lying in bed, like not being

1068
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 1: able to go to sleep, And uh, he's in seventy

1069
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:47,440
Speaker 1: five percent of my milli pods, Which do you think

1070
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:49,879
Speaker 1: that's probably around at like sixty five to seventy five

1071
00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 1: percent is probably around the average at this point, yeah, probably, Yeah, So, like,

1072
00:51:54,560 --> 00:51:56,080
Speaker 1: you know, you want to be lower obviously if you

1073
00:51:56,080 --> 00:51:57,880
Speaker 1: don't have him, and then I have him in a

1074
00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 1: few other teams had in two of the three and

1075
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:03,400
Speaker 1: my million whatever. You just kind of go through all

1076
00:52:03,440 --> 00:52:05,479
Speaker 1: these iterations and you have no idea what's gonna happen.

1077
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:08,120
Speaker 1: But you know, usually you root for, or at least

1078
00:52:08,160 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 1: I do. I root for like nothing crazy. I don't

1079
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 1: love when crazy stuff happens, and obvious unless I have

1080
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:17,439
Speaker 1: like a lot of exmotor now, you know, but even

1081
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:19,800
Speaker 1: from like as an analyst, I don't like when crazy

1082
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:23,640
Speaker 1: outlier things happen because it just makes yes, we love

1083
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:26,840
Speaker 1: the game for this, but also it makes things just

1084
00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:30,200
Speaker 1: not as fair isn't the right word, but it's the

1085
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 1: one that's coming to mind. And so it's just gonna

1086
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 1: be one of those things where now I'm rooting for

1087
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:37,799
Speaker 1: more of those types of games this week. We need,

1088
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:40,160
Speaker 1: you know, I really need Jackson Smith and Jig But

1089
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:42,680
Speaker 1: to just go absolutely bonkers this weekend, you know, or

1090
00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:46,240
Speaker 1: or really it's later round players like a Rico Dubtle

1091
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:48,920
Speaker 1: or something who I'm heavily exposed to to just have

1092
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,320
Speaker 1: great games because you need to make up the lost

1093
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:54,879
Speaker 1: points that you are now behind to all the Kyle

1094
00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:55,520
Speaker 1: Pitts teams.

1095
00:52:56,960 --> 00:53:00,719
Speaker 2: I mean, crazier things can happen. This could just be

1096
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 2: an insanely high scoring week. Yeah, and you have twenty

1097
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,320
Speaker 2: players that have a team to pick the optimal plays

1098
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:08,120
Speaker 2: for each one.

1099
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:09,880
Speaker 1: Slay.

1100
00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:13,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I was trying to tell you this morning, Like, hey,

1101
00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:15,160
Speaker 2: it's not all over. Like I mean, I was trying

1102
00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:16,640
Speaker 2: to pick you up. I was sick, but I was

1103
00:53:16,640 --> 00:53:17,719
Speaker 2: still trying to pick you up.

1104
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:18,799
Speaker 3: I just come here for.

1105
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:21,320
Speaker 1: I just you know, I put a lot of pressure

1106
00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:23,920
Speaker 1: on myself to do well, you know, I know, and

1107
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 1: part of it is just a journey that we're on.

1108
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:26,120
Speaker 3: You know.

1109
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:29,960
Speaker 2: It's when you when you're drafting all these teams and

1110
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 2: then you realize, Okay, statistically speaking, yeah, I did have

1111
00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:37,080
Speaker 2: advance a good advance rate, but like statistically speaking speaking,

1112
00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:39,200
Speaker 2: actually I should only advance like three or four teams.

1113
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, realistically, if I have forty seven teams, I should

1114
00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:44,359
Speaker 1: only advance three or four four, let's just say, because

1115
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:46,200
Speaker 1: that would be forty eight to it by twelve but before.

1116
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:49,400
Speaker 1: So realistically I should only have four million teams after

1117
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:52,520
Speaker 1: this week, and if I get three to five, then

1118
00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 1: that's that's what should have happened, you know. But it

1119
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:57,719
Speaker 1: is a little bit of a letdown because you just

1120
00:53:57,760 --> 00:53:59,880
Speaker 1: won as many as many teams in there as you

1121
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:02,160
Speaker 1: possibly can do to have a chance, you know, to

1122
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:04,000
Speaker 1: win that big prize in week seventeen.

1123
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:09,040
Speaker 3: All right, any final thoughts.

1124
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:13,400
Speaker 1: No, I appreciate everybody listen to this diverted down episode.

1125
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:16,279
Speaker 1: So far, the feedback's been awesome because it's a really

1126
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:20,239
Speaker 1: nerdy episode. And I tried to ask the questions that

1127
00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:22,760
Speaker 1: you guys might have had about his modeling and stuff,

1128
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:25,960
Speaker 1: and he gave some great answers. It was his first

1129
00:54:26,000 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 1: ever podcast, and he was great and I really enjoyed

1130
00:54:29,160 --> 00:54:30,920
Speaker 1: doing it, So give that a listen.

1131
00:54:31,560 --> 00:54:35,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, he did great, and yeah, I will just say

1132
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:40,319
Speaker 2: in your Week fifteen matchups. Some have already lost. Presumably

1133
00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 2: it's okay. It's what we signed up for. This, We

1134
00:54:43,800 --> 00:54:50,399
Speaker 2: signed up for crazy outcomes that are unpredictable.

1135
00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:53,560
Speaker 1: Just remember here's my advice, because I try to do

1136
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:57,040
Speaker 1: this for myself too. Yeah, a one league snapshot, a

1137
00:54:57,120 --> 00:55:01,879
Speaker 1: two league snapshot. It might look absolutely heinous and frustrating

1138
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,720
Speaker 1: and crazy, right, but if you play this long enough,

1139
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 1: and you play in more leagues, whatever the case may be,

1140
00:55:07,960 --> 00:55:10,319
Speaker 1: you will eventually be on the other side of that.

1141
00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:13,920
Speaker 1: And maybe right now you're on the wrong side. I

1142
00:55:13,960 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 1: am too. I feel you. I'm in the same boat.

1143
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:21,040
Speaker 1: But try your best to focus on the positives and

1144
00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:23,200
Speaker 1: other leagues where you got buys or whatever the case

1145
00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:25,960
Speaker 1: may be, and it should help you out the tilt.

1146
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:28,360
Speaker 1: When I tilt, it's usually like a three minute tilt.

1147
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:30,440
Speaker 1: Sometimes I throw jugs in those three minutes, in that

1148
00:55:30,440 --> 00:55:32,600
Speaker 1: three minute period, But you know, I can get over

1149
00:55:32,640 --> 00:55:34,400
Speaker 1: it pretty quickly because you have to have that kind

1150
00:55:34,440 --> 00:55:37,320
Speaker 1: of mindset. After things you'll go awry.

1151
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, crazy things can happen. Best of luck to everybody

1152
00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:45,000
Speaker 2: in their Week fifteen matchups.

1153
00:55:45,080 --> 00:55:47,239
Speaker 3: And thank you for just being with us. Thank you

1154
00:55:47,280 --> 00:55:47,960
Speaker 3: for being with us.

1155
00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:51,360
Speaker 2: Staying with us and hopefully we'll see you Week sixteen

1156
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:55,800
Speaker 2: with active playoff teams here on the late round Fantasy

1157
00:55:55,840 --> 00:56:09,520
Speaker 2: football show piece and when, Bill