WEBVTT - Best of BFFs 7/23-7/27

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<v Speaker 1>Do Do Do Do did it? Dude? You're listening the

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<v Speaker 1>best of the Fantasy best Friends for Ever with Mike Florio,

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<v Speaker 1>Frank Stample and me Greg Sausman. Thanks so much for

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<v Speaker 1>listening and we'll be back soon. We hope is that

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<v Speaker 1>Carson Wentz and Deshan de Sean Jackson Deshaun Watson both

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<v Speaker 1>returning from major a c L injuries. And Deshaun Watson

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<v Speaker 1>lit the world on fire last year before his a

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<v Speaker 1>CIL injury, and the same can be said for Carson Wentz.

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<v Speaker 1>Both of these guys were in Live for major awards,

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<v Speaker 1>Watson certainly the Rookie of the Year and went to

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<v Speaker 1>the NFL m v P both through touchdowns at remarkable

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<v Speaker 1>rates really unseen of, unheard of the obvious question is

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<v Speaker 1>can they do it again. Deshaun Watson's being picked earlier

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<v Speaker 1>and rightfully so he's coming back. The surgery was much

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<v Speaker 1>much earlier in this season than Wentz's. Watson's touchdown percentage,

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<v Speaker 1>as I mentioned, literally out of control, but he can

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<v Speaker 1>run a little bit, certainly has the deep arm. But

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<v Speaker 1>Carson Wentz is done before. It's two years in a row.

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<v Speaker 1>We saw steady improvement. I have to ask from their

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<v Speaker 1>draft price, Frank, which one d other have? This is

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<v Speaker 1>tough because I think at their price, I want to

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<v Speaker 1>say neither, because someone who's going in that range right

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<v Speaker 1>now is Cam Newton, and I think i'd rather have

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<v Speaker 1>Cam Newton just in a vacuum. I have Cam Newton

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<v Speaker 1>ranked higher than these quarterbacks right now, and then if

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<v Speaker 1>I want to wait a couple of rounds, I can

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<v Speaker 1>grab and Andrew look. Like Mike mentioned earlier on if

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<v Speaker 1>I had to choose one of them, I have Carson

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<v Speaker 1>Wentz ranked higher one spot than Deshaun Watson, and I

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<v Speaker 1>have walked warmed up to Deshaun Watson a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>I know I was very harsh on him a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks ago, but I am worried. I mean, he

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<v Speaker 1>tore his a c L last year. He's now torn

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<v Speaker 1>a c ls in both of his knees. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he is a mobile quarterback who has to get out

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<v Speaker 1>of the pocket and make plays. And he's gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>on the run this year. Greg The offensive line of

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<v Speaker 1>the Houston Texans is not good. But that being said,

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<v Speaker 1>I understand the opportunity that's presented right in front of him.

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<v Speaker 1>He has DeAndre Hopkins, he has Will Fuller, so he

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<v Speaker 1>has legitimate weapons. I mean DeAndre Hopkins, pound for pound,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the best wide receivers in the game. Um again,

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<v Speaker 1>Watson's gonna be able to make plays with his legs.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what we hope. But you know, coming back over

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<v Speaker 1>the to the torn a c L, maybe he's a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit apprehensive. I just think where he's going you

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<v Speaker 1>have to pay that price. You know, six seventh, even

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<v Speaker 1>eighth round range. They're just running backs wide receiver I'd

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<v Speaker 1>rather take, or if I'm gonna take a quarterback, I'd

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<v Speaker 1>rather take Cam Newton. You know, a guy that we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen do it year in and year out. Outside of

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<v Speaker 1>that one terrible season two years ago, the guy has

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<v Speaker 1>finished QB seven or higher in points per game every

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<v Speaker 1>single season. The rushing floor that he gives you. He

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<v Speaker 1>was number one across the board in every single rushing

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<v Speaker 1>statistic for quarterbacks last season. Cam Newton. So that's why

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<v Speaker 1>if I'm just putting these guys in a vacuum, they're

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<v Speaker 1>going in similar range. I'll pass on those guys. I'll

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<v Speaker 1>take a Cam Newton um and then Carson wentz Is.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we're hearing more and more now he might

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<v Speaker 1>not be ready for a week one one. He actually

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<v Speaker 1>had surgery early December, and it takes about, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>nine to twelve months to heal from an a c

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<v Speaker 1>L injury. Come September, it's gonna be around nine months.

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<v Speaker 1>So maybe he doesn't start the year off. That's there's

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<v Speaker 1>a chance that he can bust, just because where he's

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<v Speaker 1>being drafted right now. Maybe he doesn't play the first month,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe he lands on the publist. We just don't know

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<v Speaker 1>as of right now if you're doing drafts. So there's

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<v Speaker 1>definitely a lot of risk involved with both of these guys, again,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of upside, But in a vacuum, I'll take

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<v Speaker 1>Cam Newton over both of them. Who is being drafted

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<v Speaker 1>in a similar range. Okay, so that wasn't the question, Frank,

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<v Speaker 1>But then sorry, you know, I love Cam Newton, give you,

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<v Speaker 1>give it like I think Carson Wentz. But I'd rather

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<v Speaker 1>have Cam Newton not in the poll for a reason

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<v Speaker 1>because the answer is I don't really want either one

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<v Speaker 1>of them. There you go, that's the answer. You don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to you don't really want either of them. Florio,

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<v Speaker 1>I turned it over to you because we haven't really

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<v Speaker 1>heard a negative word when it comes to Carson Wentz, right, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>he's gonna be fine, he's gonna be healthy, he's working

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<v Speaker 1>his way back. Yeada, YadA, YadA. Obviously, Nick Foles proved

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<v Speaker 1>more than capable last year, winning the Super Bowl UM

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<v Speaker 1>for the Eagles. But I do take some solace into

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that went like showed that jump in the

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<v Speaker 1>year to you, like that efficiency, like Peterson knows what

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<v Speaker 1>he's doing. And maybe I just think Bill O'Brien is

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<v Speaker 1>like an idiot, but like he started Tom Savage last year, right,

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<v Speaker 1>like this is the same dude that was like all

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<v Speaker 1>right then with Shaun Watson in and maybe that efficiency

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<v Speaker 1>was just way out of whack. I think I'd really

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<v Speaker 1>have wentzton DeShawn Watson. I guess I'm going to be

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<v Speaker 1>the only one that has Watson ranked higher. And it's

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<v Speaker 1>a number of reasons. First, what Frank said is a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred percent true. There's a chance that Carson Wentz miss

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<v Speaker 1>his week one. There's a chance that he misses more

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<v Speaker 1>time than that. And like you said, they have a

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<v Speaker 1>comminent backup who won the Super Bowl for them, won

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<v Speaker 1>the Super Bowl m v P. So I think they're

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<v Speaker 1>okay saying, hey, Carson Wentz take a couple of weeks off.

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<v Speaker 1>We have Nick Foles here for a reason. That's one thing.

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<v Speaker 1>The other thing is, I think, first of all, Texas

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<v Speaker 1>Houston's defense is going to be worse than Phillies, So

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<v Speaker 1>I think Watson is going to be have to put

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<v Speaker 1>up some more points than Wentz will have to. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that also O'Brien is actually there. The talk is

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<v Speaker 1>this year that they're drawing up plays for Watson similar

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<v Speaker 1>to like what he did in college, because last year

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<v Speaker 1>he kind of had to conform to their playbook. Now

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<v Speaker 1>this year they're doing it the other way around, because

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<v Speaker 1>last year they didn't expect him to be their sudn quarterback,

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<v Speaker 1>like you said also, I expect touchdown regressions for both

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<v Speaker 1>of these guys. It was something I said last year

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<v Speaker 1>once DeShawn Watson towards a c L that I thought

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<v Speaker 1>he was gonna be overrated because I said, since two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand ten, no quarterback had a higher touchdown percentage. I

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<v Speaker 1>went all the way back to the post merger year

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<v Speaker 1>Greggy nineteen seventy. Deshaun Watson is tied last year minimum

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred passing attempts all time. Since nineteen seventy, he's

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<v Speaker 1>tied for the second highest touchdown percentage of all time,

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<v Speaker 1>behind only Payton Manning. In two thousand four, his was

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<v Speaker 1>Watson's was nine point four percent, Payton Mannings was nine

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<v Speaker 1>point nine percent. But you look at Carson Wentz in

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<v Speaker 1>those same two spans, since two thousand ten, Carson Wentz

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<v Speaker 1>I shared a seven point five touchdown percent Since two

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't tend that ranked six and since nineteen seventy, the

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<v Speaker 1>post merger that was the twenty six highest. So obviously

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<v Speaker 1>both of these guys are going to suffer some touchdown regression.

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<v Speaker 1>I think. So if if Carson Wentz isn't throwing touchdowns

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<v Speaker 1>like he was he was on pace last year for

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<v Speaker 1>forty one. That would have been seven more than Russell

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<v Speaker 1>Wilson who was second. So obviously he was on pace

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<v Speaker 1>by far to to set the touchdown record last season.

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<v Speaker 1>You take you scale those back a little bit. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you know how any games he had with less than

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred and fifty passing yards last year? Again, he

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<v Speaker 1>played thirteen games, seven of them he failed to reach

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred and fifty yards, and that's half more than

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<v Speaker 1>half the games. He only had four games at over

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<v Speaker 1>three hundred passing yards, So he was either throwing for

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<v Speaker 1>over three hundred or less than two fifty. There was

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<v Speaker 1>two games in between there, but so we know how

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<v Speaker 1>much up and down. The yardage was more down than up.

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<v Speaker 1>So to me, if he is going to lose some

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<v Speaker 1>of those touchdowns and I don't bank on him to

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<v Speaker 1>have the yardage that some of these other quarterbacks going

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<v Speaker 1>around that range can. And we're talking about this was

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<v Speaker 1>a guy who contributed with his legs last year. Why

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<v Speaker 1>are they going to let him run especially early on

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<v Speaker 1>in the season. We just said he might miss time

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<v Speaker 1>to start the year. I don't have any confidence at

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<v Speaker 1>all that they're going to let him run the ball.

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<v Speaker 1>And extend plays with his legs, whereas with DeShawn Watson

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<v Speaker 1>he's had more time to heal. They're already saying he's

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<v Speaker 1>playing without a brace and they are going to let

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<v Speaker 1>him to continue to make plays with his legs. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>with Frank on the fact that I don't want to

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<v Speaker 1>draft either of these guys, and I said it when

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<v Speaker 1>I walked in today to you guys, I said, I

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<v Speaker 1>have these guys ranked fifth and six, with Watson being

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<v Speaker 1>five once being six, and I don't feel great about it.

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<v Speaker 1>I might lower them just because I would never take

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<v Speaker 1>them at their current price, so it's hard for me

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<v Speaker 1>to advocate others to do the same. But while I

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<v Speaker 1>have them ranked highly, I'm not targeting them. I would

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<v Speaker 1>take Cam Newton over them. Like Frank said, I will

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<v Speaker 1>wait and take Andrew Luck. There's other quarterbacks I like later,

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<v Speaker 1>but if you had, if I had to pick one

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<v Speaker 1>of the two, I think the Shawn Watson is safer,

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<v Speaker 1>so I'm taking him. I will say this. You mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>Carson Wentz is touched on rate seven point five percent,

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<v Speaker 1>not nearly as high as Shaun Watson, and I do

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<v Speaker 1>think that some regression would be there with him. I

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't project him to throw more than forty touchdowns over

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<v Speaker 1>a sixteen game span, but it's a lot more manageable

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<v Speaker 1>than de Shaun Watson nine point three. But they're both

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<v Speaker 1>gonna get hit with it. No, yeah, absolutely, But I

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<v Speaker 1>do think, you know, there's something to what Gregg said about,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Doug Peterson putting his players in the right

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<v Speaker 1>position to make plays where you know, even when Carson

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<v Speaker 1>Wentz wasn't throwing for that many yards, once he got

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<v Speaker 1>into the red zone, got into the you know, right

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<v Speaker 1>parts of the field to get things done, like Doug

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<v Speaker 1>Peterson put him in that position and they you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he was able to do the same thing with Nick Foles.

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<v Speaker 1>Across the border. Are gonna see touchdown regression this year,

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<v Speaker 1>Like you've already poo pooed al Sean Jeffrey and you

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<v Speaker 1>don't think he's gonna repeat the nine touchdowns he had

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<v Speaker 1>last year. Zach Ertz had eight touchdowns, something that he's

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<v Speaker 1>never done in his career. He had never had more

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<v Speaker 1>than five. I believe he might be able to get

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<v Speaker 1>So I think there's gonna be some regression across the

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<v Speaker 1>board for this team, not just with Carson Wentz. Like

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<v Speaker 1>I think Philly's offense last year was amazing. It was

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<v Speaker 1>off the charts good to me. I don't like to

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<v Speaker 1>bank on history repeating itself, though, so like I think

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<v Speaker 1>across the board, especially when Wentz is coming off of

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<v Speaker 1>such a severe injury, it might not fully be ready

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<v Speaker 1>to start the season at the very best we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>see him with limited time and preseason. To me, it

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<v Speaker 1>just it screams that there's going to be regression for

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<v Speaker 1>both of these guys. So I'll just go with the

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<v Speaker 1>guy who I think is safer and going to start

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<v Speaker 1>the season healthy. If Watson and Wentz were being drafted

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<v Speaker 1>at the same point as guys like Andrew Luck and

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<v Speaker 1>Ben robs Burger, let's say in a vacuum, would you

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<v Speaker 1>still would you still pass on those guys to draft

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<v Speaker 1>like an Andrew Luck Because I like Andrew Luck a

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<v Speaker 1>lot as well. The reason why I would take him

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<v Speaker 1>is because you're getting the round, You're getting a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of round discount. If you're all going around the same range,

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<v Speaker 1>would you still pass on those quarterbacks? No, I would

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<v Speaker 1>probably take the Shawn Watson because I think he is

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<v Speaker 1>the upside to be the number one quarterback. I think

0:10:21.559 --> 0:10:23.320
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Luck has that upside as well. He does. Let's

0:10:23.320 --> 0:10:25.079
<v Speaker 1>talk about Luck here for a second before we move

0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:28.840
<v Speaker 1>on to Kirk Cousins. You want to do after the break? Um, So,

0:10:28.880 --> 0:10:31.640
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Luck supposed to be a full go. He talked

0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:34.199
<v Speaker 1>about that briefly last week week Frank Um supposed to

0:10:34.240 --> 0:10:37.440
<v Speaker 1>just be a full go throwing. He's not on the

0:10:37.440 --> 0:10:39.480
<v Speaker 1>pup list. He's not gonna throw over seven straight days.

0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:40.760
<v Speaker 1>But that's fine. But we don't need an throw over

0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:43.040
<v Speaker 1>seven straight days. You needn't be able to throw and

0:10:43.200 --> 0:10:46.800
<v Speaker 1>be normal in what was the last time, guys, that

0:10:46.800 --> 0:10:50.640
<v Speaker 1>he was truly healthy. We're looking at fifteen then, because

0:10:51.840 --> 0:10:55.360
<v Speaker 1>he always played seven games, so you're looking at that

0:10:55.400 --> 0:10:57.960
<v Speaker 1>was a long time since he was really really healthy.

0:10:58.160 --> 0:10:59.360
<v Speaker 1>What did he do? We know what? He finished that

0:10:59.480 --> 0:11:01.480
<v Speaker 1>in twenty four I know I can tell you his stats.

0:11:01.480 --> 0:11:08.199
<v Speaker 1>Well finished that f completions, he played fifteen games. Yeah,

0:11:08.240 --> 0:11:10.560
<v Speaker 1>but he wasn't healthy though, Like I mean, that was

0:11:10.640 --> 0:11:13.000
<v Speaker 1>it was very bad. He finishes QB five and points

0:11:13.000 --> 0:11:15.800
<v Speaker 1>per game. That's not even being healthy. So that's fine.

0:11:16.040 --> 0:11:18.360
<v Speaker 1>Have his finishes and points per game QB eleven and

0:11:19.200 --> 0:11:22.280
<v Speaker 1>when he was injured QB two, And that's that's why

0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:25.200
<v Speaker 1>I wanted that's where I wanted to get too, because

0:11:25.200 --> 0:11:28.000
<v Speaker 1>in sixteen he finished the top five quarterback and talking

0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:30.000
<v Speaker 1>with the naked eye, he was he wasn't good like

0:11:30.040 --> 0:11:32.640
<v Speaker 1>he was not and I remember the offensive line was horrific,

0:11:32.679 --> 0:11:35.520
<v Speaker 1>the coaching staff was horrific. All this stuff built in.

0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:39.720
<v Speaker 1>I get it. It was bad. He still finishes QB

0:11:39.840 --> 0:11:44.480
<v Speaker 1>five back. Was this the year with Braisarians? Do we

0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:47.480
<v Speaker 1>know that? Yeah? I believe so. Yes, it might even

0:11:47.480 --> 0:11:52.559
<v Speaker 1>it might not have before. I believe it was. Okay,

0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:54.360
<v Speaker 1>So that was the first last time he had a

0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:58.440
<v Speaker 1>real opensive coordinator because it let him throw the ball

0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:01.319
<v Speaker 1>down the field when he was the last time Bruce

0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:02.839
<v Speaker 1>arians is with the okay, So it was after the

0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:05.320
<v Speaker 1>braz Arians then, but the last time he was really

0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:06.920
<v Speaker 1>healthy and he was down he was number two, And

0:12:06.920 --> 0:12:08.360
<v Speaker 1>this is why he was one of the first quarterbacks

0:12:08.360 --> 0:12:12.360
<v Speaker 1>off the board in If he truly is healthy now,

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Luck has the ability to finish the top three

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:17.880
<v Speaker 1>quarterback because he's gonna we know what it is with

0:12:17.920 --> 0:12:20.360
<v Speaker 1>the legs. It's just being able to push the all

0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:24.080
<v Speaker 1>time Frank Reich one second Frank Reich put Carson Wentz

0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:27.280
<v Speaker 1>into or helped put Carson Wentz into a position to succeed.

0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:30.080
<v Speaker 1>He did the same with Philip Rivers before that. I

0:12:30.120 --> 0:12:32.280
<v Speaker 1>think Andrew Luck is in a much better place than

0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:36.160
<v Speaker 1>he was since two thousand and fourteen, and where he's

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 1>going off the board costing you nothing prett damn good.

0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:42.079
<v Speaker 1>And I know I promised never to be injury optimistic.

0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:45.720
<v Speaker 1>Ever again, I'm injury optimistic on injury lock. So I

0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 1>have him currently at QB nine, and a big part

0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:50.280
<v Speaker 1>of it is because not only do I want to

0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:52.720
<v Speaker 1>see if he's healthy as we get closer to the season,

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:54.560
<v Speaker 1>but I want to see him play a little bit

0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:56.680
<v Speaker 1>and make sure that you know, given all this time

0:12:56.720 --> 0:12:58.319
<v Speaker 1>off and all the injuries he's had to that on,

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:00.680
<v Speaker 1>that he is still the same player. If he starts

0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.240
<v Speaker 1>to show us a little bit in preseason, I'm gonna

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:06.000
<v Speaker 1>move him ahead of Watson and Wentz and he will

0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 1>be my QB five. That's that's as high as I'm

0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:11.000
<v Speaker 1>gonna put him if he shows us that he is healthy,

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.800
<v Speaker 1>uh in preseason. Yeah, I agree, that's the highest I

0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:15.440
<v Speaker 1>would put him as well. And you know something we

0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:18.400
<v Speaker 1>haven't even mentioned yet, the cult's offensive line got a

0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:20.360
<v Speaker 1>lot better in the off season. You know, they used

0:13:20.360 --> 0:13:23.920
<v Speaker 1>that high draft pick on Quentin Nelson. Pro Football Focus

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:26.800
<v Speaker 1>has already released their offensive line rankings. Last year, at

0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:30.560
<v Speaker 1>season's end, they were twenty five. As of today their seventeen,

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:33.560
<v Speaker 1>so they moved up eight spots there. You know about

0:13:33.600 --> 0:13:36.880
<v Speaker 1>an average offensive line now that's much better than than

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:40.000
<v Speaker 1>what Andrew Luck had had in years past. So you

0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:41.439
<v Speaker 1>want to see him throw a football, You want to

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:43.559
<v Speaker 1>see him get out there during the preseason. But I've

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:46.000
<v Speaker 1>said this before, going to continue to say it, there's

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:50.560
<v Speaker 1>no better year to take a shot on Andrew Luck because, um,

0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:53.400
<v Speaker 1>there's just so the position is so deep that like

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:56.840
<v Speaker 1>if he if he gets hurt or he bust, I mean,

0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:58.840
<v Speaker 1>there's so many guys you can pick up or you

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:03.959
<v Speaker 1>know even just draft Stafford Rivers, Eli Manning of all

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:06.439
<v Speaker 1>these like Tyrod Taylor. I mean, they have all these

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:09.160
<v Speaker 1>weapons at the quarterback positions, just so deep. This is

0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:10.840
<v Speaker 1>the year that if you wanted to take the shot

0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:13.200
<v Speaker 1>with all the insurance policies, it makes sense to do

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:16.480
<v Speaker 1>so with Andrew Luck. Okay, they don't have a run game.

0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 1>They have coordinators who love to pass, especially when they

0:14:19.080 --> 0:14:21.560
<v Speaker 1>get near the end zone. It is all lining up

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 1>for Andrew Luck to have a phenomenal season. My only

0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:27.480
<v Speaker 1>pause right now is I want to see if he

0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:30.120
<v Speaker 1>like once I see like footage of him throwing the

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 1>ball and he looks like the old guy. I told you, Boom,

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm putting in five but ahead of Wins, ahead of Watson,

0:14:36.560 --> 0:14:38.960
<v Speaker 1>and I would take him then over those guys in

0:14:38.960 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 1>that range. Yeah, just like I don't know, like that's

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.320
<v Speaker 1>there's more. No, It's just it's a matter of seeing

0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:50.000
<v Speaker 1>I want to see, not like, oh, I don't want

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 1>to see him do it for this whole season, But

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:53.280
<v Speaker 1>I just want to see him on the football field

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>with his teammates throwing the ball. There's no reason, by

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:57.360
<v Speaker 1>the way, Andrew Luck shouldn't be in priesas and football

0:14:57.360 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 1>this year. He already been cleared of everything. He's don't

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 1>even need to see him like play well. I just

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 1>need see him on the field. And I'm telling you

0:15:04.120 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 1>he's going to be the biggest climber from now until

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.239
<v Speaker 1>draft Day of all players. I truly believe. I don't

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 1>get that. What do you think it's gonna be higher? Um?

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:17.600
<v Speaker 1>I think you're gonna see who's the dude Ronald Jones more.

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:19.800
<v Speaker 1>I already have Ronald Jones like sixteen at running back,

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:22.160
<v Speaker 1>so's something like that. I have him in my top twenty.

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 1>You have him there, most people don't as of nowhere

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>where he's going drafted. I think Andrew Luck, like I know,

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 1>he's number eleven, we said for Fantasy pros, and he's

0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 1>eleven quarterback off the board. I don't know what the

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 1>discrepancy is between five and eleven. Have Ronald Jones twenty,

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 1>but I've debated putting him higher. So we we were

0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>talking two weeks ago now that we think Ronald Jones

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 1>is going to be like wherever Sean Penny is going

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:45.840
<v Speaker 1>in the fourth round, Like, Ronald Jones will be right there,

0:15:46.320 --> 0:15:49.120
<v Speaker 1>and I think he should be. We agree, that's why

0:15:49.200 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 1>he said he's gonna be THEES riser during draft season.

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:54.920
<v Speaker 1>I still think Andrew lucktill can because right now he's

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.600
<v Speaker 1>going and like you can get him pretty late, like

0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.360
<v Speaker 1>you're geting him like tant eleven, twelfth quarterback off the board.

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't think Frank and I are alone and saying

0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 1>once people start seeing him and because then there's that

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 1>you get rid of the old man. What if Andrew

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:08.960
<v Speaker 1>luck is is he's still gonna be hurried, or if

0:16:09.000 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>he's never gonna be the same, you put that to bed.

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:13.000
<v Speaker 1>People are gonna start looking at what he did when

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 1>he was healthy, in my opinion, and start ranking him

0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 1>as highly as we said we would. But he's the

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:19.720
<v Speaker 1>eleventh quarterback off the board right now. According to Fantasy

0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 1>pros at pick Well Nitchiel Droubisky take the step that

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Carson Wentz did in his second year, right both second

0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:33.680
<v Speaker 1>year guys too. Will Drubisky take that step? A lot

0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:35.800
<v Speaker 1>of people believe he will, like Floria, are you one

0:16:35.840 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 1>of them? Yes? And I think that first of all,

0:16:38.920 --> 0:16:40.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna start this off by saying he is my

0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:43.360
<v Speaker 1>pick to be this year's Carson Wentz of these four quarterbacks.

0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:45.840
<v Speaker 1>With that being said, though, I do think the other

0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 1>three are all safer than him. They're all more proven.

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:50.000
<v Speaker 1>We've seen them do it at the NFL level, so

0:16:50.320 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 1>but I do think Trubisky has the higher upside, highest

0:16:53.280 --> 0:16:55.640
<v Speaker 1>ceiling of them all to be that come out of nowhere.

0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Well he's not really coming out of nowhere, but to

0:16:57.320 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 1>be that breakout quarterback this season and it's more than

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:03.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm buying into the system and the supporting cast than

0:17:03.520 --> 0:17:06.520
<v Speaker 1>I am just Shrubisky. We look at it, they got

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.359
<v Speaker 1>rid of John Fox, like you said, Greggy, he was

0:17:08.400 --> 0:17:11.199
<v Speaker 1>a dinosaur. They brought in Naggie from the from Kansas

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>City and their offensive coordinator Mark Helfrich from Oregon. He

0:17:15.119 --> 0:17:18.360
<v Speaker 1>was Chip Kelly's heir to the Oregon Ducks. So right there,

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.080
<v Speaker 1>I believe those two minds. We've seen Naggie get a

0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:23.439
<v Speaker 1>lot out of the Kansas City offense last season, and

0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:26.000
<v Speaker 1>years before we saw we know Oregon as one of

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:29.000
<v Speaker 1>the was at least one of the best offensive schools

0:17:29.000 --> 0:17:31.280
<v Speaker 1>in college football. So I think there's gonna be a

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of creativity between those two offensive minds right there.

0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:38.359
<v Speaker 1>And then the popular narrative that and I'm buying into

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:40.400
<v Speaker 1>it is that he's going to be this year's golf

0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:44.240
<v Speaker 1>And it makes sense. He put young, innovative offensive coaches

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:47.239
<v Speaker 1>around him and a great supporting cast. You look at it,

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:50.680
<v Speaker 1>what Shrubisky was playing with last year compared to what

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.600
<v Speaker 1>he's playing with, we'll we'll be playing with this season.

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Josh Bell and me and Don Chell Edman is now

0:17:57.320 --> 0:18:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Allen Robinson and Zach Miller or Dion Sims is now

0:18:01.520 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Trey Burton, who Frank and I both think he's gonna

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.200
<v Speaker 1>break out this year. I agree with what Frank said

0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:08.280
<v Speaker 1>last week. I love Alan Robinson in the fourth round.

0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>Kendall Wright is now Anthony Miller, and I like Anthony

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:14.320
<v Speaker 1>Miller a lot, and early beat reporters and reports from

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:16.880
<v Speaker 1>training camp is that Anthony Miller can do it all.

0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:19.520
<v Speaker 1>He's apparently even a great threat inside the red zone,

0:18:19.600 --> 0:18:23.200
<v Speaker 1>so I love the the offensive weapons there. You have

0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 1>Trea Cohen, who Naggie continuously is talking up and saying

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:29.320
<v Speaker 1>that they're going to find creative ways to get him

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:31.560
<v Speaker 1>the ball. You have Jordan Howard, who not only is

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:34.240
<v Speaker 1>a great runner, who you know defenses are going to

0:18:34.320 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 1>have to pay attention to and it's gonna help open

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.600
<v Speaker 1>things up for Trubisky. But now we're seeing him catch

0:18:39.640 --> 0:18:42.000
<v Speaker 1>passes and stuff in training camp. So if he can

0:18:42.040 --> 0:18:43.920
<v Speaker 1>even just improve on that a little bit, not saying

0:18:43.920 --> 0:18:46.679
<v Speaker 1>he's ever gonna get confused with with Christian McCaffrey, but

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:49.040
<v Speaker 1>if he can just become a competent pass catcher, that's

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:51.840
<v Speaker 1>only going to help Mitchell Trubisky. And in fact, the

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:54.880
<v Speaker 1>biggest thing to me is that when Rubinsky came out

0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:57.199
<v Speaker 1>of college, what was it that we heard He has

0:18:57.240 --> 0:18:59.400
<v Speaker 1>all the physical tools in the world, but he does

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:01.440
<v Speaker 1>not have a lot of experience under his belt. He

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:03.639
<v Speaker 1>played the one year UNC and that was it. And

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:07.160
<v Speaker 1>in that one season, the offense was primarily ran exclusively

0:19:07.359 --> 0:19:09.679
<v Speaker 1>out of the shotgun. So what does John Fox do

0:19:09.760 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 1>last year when he gets this young quarterback and throws

0:19:11.880 --> 0:19:14.920
<v Speaker 1>him into the mix, makes him call almost every single

0:19:14.920 --> 0:19:17.280
<v Speaker 1>play from under center. You look at last season, the

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>Browns ran just fort pent in their plays from the shotgun,

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 1>and thtent of their passing plays were Uh, we're only

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:29.920
<v Speaker 1>from the shotgun. Both ranks twenty two in all of football.

0:19:30.040 --> 0:19:33.040
<v Speaker 1>So you have a quarterback who you know has limitations

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 1>as to the experience he has, and you try to

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:37.760
<v Speaker 1>make him into something he's not. And not only that,

0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:40.360
<v Speaker 1>they tried to limit him throwing as much as possible.

0:19:40.440 --> 0:19:42.680
<v Speaker 1>Just run the ball with Jordan Howard over and over again.

0:19:42.760 --> 0:19:44.480
<v Speaker 1>We've already heard the new regime say that's not what

0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:46.640
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna do. They're gonna open things up, they're gonna

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>be creative. So you're giving me a better coaching system.

0:19:50.040 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 1>I think they're gonna put a scheme into place that

0:19:52.280 --> 0:19:54.840
<v Speaker 1>fits their young quarterback and his strengths better than what

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.480
<v Speaker 1>John Fox did. Plus you give me that supporting cast

0:19:57.560 --> 0:19:59.840
<v Speaker 1>there is he the safest of the four? No, but

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:01.919
<v Speaker 1>who I think he has the highest upside. Yes, And

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 1>it's more because I'm buying into everything around him than

0:20:05.200 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 1>I am the player himself. And I think those are

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>all great points. And you know, you didn't even get

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:11.640
<v Speaker 1>to the fact that, I mean, a guy can make

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:13.480
<v Speaker 1>plays with his legs as well. I mean we just

0:20:13.520 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 1>spoke about Mariota. Mariota viewed as a you know, running

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:19.280
<v Speaker 1>quarterback at the NFL level, or you know, certainly a

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 1>guy that can make plays with his legs. Michel Trobiski

0:20:21.640 --> 0:20:23.960
<v Speaker 1>average twenty point seven rushing yards per game last year.

0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:26.240
<v Speaker 1>That's just a tick under what Mariota is that for

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:29.720
<v Speaker 1>his career. During his his final season at U n

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>C before he left for the NFL Draft, he averaged

0:20:33.000 --> 0:20:35.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty three rushing yards per game in his final season

0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:37.040
<v Speaker 1>at U n C as well. So I think you

0:20:37.080 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 1>know a guy who they can He can make plays

0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:42.359
<v Speaker 1>with his legs, he can get outside the pocket, he

0:20:42.359 --> 0:20:44.080
<v Speaker 1>can make throws down the field as well if you

0:20:44.080 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 1>need to take off and run a little bit. I

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:47.720
<v Speaker 1>think he adds a little bit of rushing production there

0:20:47.960 --> 0:20:50.600
<v Speaker 1>as well. I mean, for all the reasons Mike mentioned, right,

0:20:50.760 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 1>if we're excited about Trey Burton, if we're excited about

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:56.159
<v Speaker 1>Alan Robinson coming back, if we're excited about Tarik and

0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.919
<v Speaker 1>excited about Anthony Miller, that's all you hear everyone excited

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>about the Chicago Bears. That means you have to like

0:21:01.760 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 1>the guy who's throwing them the ball as well. And

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:06.560
<v Speaker 1>and that's going to be Mitch Rabinsky. I do have

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:12.199
<v Speaker 1>some post for concern with the volume, and I mentioned

0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:14.440
<v Speaker 1>that um last week as well. With the Bears, I

0:21:14.480 --> 0:21:15.720
<v Speaker 1>don't know. I think they want to be a more

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:18.320
<v Speaker 1>balanced attack. And they have Jordan Howard, so we've seen

0:21:18.400 --> 0:21:20.399
<v Speaker 1>him get the ball a lot. He can handle a

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 1>big workload. If they want to, you know, take him

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:24.119
<v Speaker 1>off the field for a bit, they could do things

0:21:24.240 --> 0:21:26.479
<v Speaker 1>with Treekoh and I think that their defense is going

0:21:26.520 --> 0:21:28.640
<v Speaker 1>to be improved as well this year. Uh, they could

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:31.040
<v Speaker 1>end up at some shootouts playing against the Lions, Packers,

0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:33.399
<v Speaker 1>teams like that in the division. But I do think

0:21:33.400 --> 0:21:36.280
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna be a more balanced attack. So that's not

0:21:36.359 --> 0:21:39.239
<v Speaker 1>only concerned with Ribsky, but everything is there in terms of,

0:21:39.280 --> 0:21:42.399
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting a new you know, offensive minded coach,

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 1>and there not only the head coach. The offensive coordinator

0:21:45.280 --> 0:21:47.840
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned coming over from Oregon told you last week

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:50.000
<v Speaker 1>they're going to run some more r p O s

0:21:50.480 --> 0:21:52.119
<v Speaker 1>this year as well as something that we saw the

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 1>Eagles do very successfully. So you bring in a college

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:57.560
<v Speaker 1>mind who can work well with you know, some of

0:21:57.600 --> 0:22:00.119
<v Speaker 1>the concepts that Trabinsky had at U n C. You

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 1>put all those things together and it's a recipe for success.

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:05.119
<v Speaker 1>To me, the only thing I worry about is maybe

0:22:05.200 --> 0:22:07.720
<v Speaker 1>volume here. But if I had to choose someone other

0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:10.560
<v Speaker 1>than Marcus Mariotta of this group to make that step,

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:13.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe not inside the top five, but top twelve, top ten,

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:15.639
<v Speaker 1>I think True Whisky is that guy. Not sure he

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:19.359
<v Speaker 1>has the same ceiling, but outside of Mariota, he would

0:22:19.359 --> 0:22:20.960
<v Speaker 1>be my second next vote of the poll of the

0:22:20.960 --> 0:22:24.720
<v Speaker 1>guys that we spoke about today, Greg. So to me,

0:22:24.920 --> 0:22:27.520
<v Speaker 1>True Whisky maybe one. But I do have this question.

0:22:27.920 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 1>You get a lot of great statistics there, Mikey. Is

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>there a chance that Mitchell True Whisky becomes this year's

0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Jared Goff rather than becoming this jewics question Wentz, Yes,

0:22:39.080 --> 0:22:41.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that is a better comparison, and Jared Goff

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:43.600
<v Speaker 1>last year was QB nine and points per game. I

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:46.639
<v Speaker 1>think that is a realistic expectation for Mitch tru Whisky

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:49.600
<v Speaker 1>if everything hits two Frank's point, everyone loves all the weapons.

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:52.359
<v Speaker 1>There is no way that Tarik Cohen is worth the

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:55.200
<v Speaker 1>fifth round pick. Allen Robinson is a wide receiver to

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>Anthony Miller is everyone's favorite, you know, late round wide

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:01.360
<v Speaker 1>receiver Trede and it is a top ten tight end.

0:23:01.480 --> 0:23:03.639
<v Speaker 1>There's no way all of that happens and Mitts dr

0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:06.560
<v Speaker 1>Whisky bust. So we believe in all the talent around him,

0:23:06.720 --> 0:23:08.520
<v Speaker 1>and we believe in the head coach and all that

0:23:08.760 --> 0:23:12.480
<v Speaker 1>we naturally have to believe in Mitts Dr Bisky. There's

0:23:12.520 --> 0:23:14.520
<v Speaker 1>no way one can go without the other. Totally agree

0:23:14.520 --> 0:23:18.879
<v Speaker 1>with that now, I totally totally agree with that. I

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 1>was like, ye, guy, Matt Ryan, you hated him last year.

0:23:22.240 --> 0:23:24.440
<v Speaker 1>He were very out on him. First year in a

0:23:24.480 --> 0:23:27.560
<v Speaker 1>new offense, chief Star Kasian Atlanta. Everything went right for

0:23:27.640 --> 0:23:29.399
<v Speaker 1>them two years ago. Matt Ryan was the m v P.

0:23:29.600 --> 0:23:31.800
<v Speaker 1>They go all the way to the Super Bowl before

0:23:31.840 --> 0:23:35.000
<v Speaker 1>the Monstros collapsed against the Patriots. But Matt Ryan had

0:23:35.000 --> 0:23:37.840
<v Speaker 1>a what a hell of a season, Damante Freeman, Julia Jones,

0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:40.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, everybody together, just the monsters. Monsters year. Last

0:23:40.880 --> 0:23:42.880
<v Speaker 1>year they fall back down to earth and Matt Ryan,

0:23:42.880 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 1>as you described throughout the year, Frank, You're like, hey,

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:50.840
<v Speaker 1>this guy sinks. He shouldn't be started. Much old, much

0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>less started. You want nothing to do with Matt Ryan.

0:23:53.560 --> 0:23:56.720
<v Speaker 1>Why is it different? Well, last year was just based

0:23:56.760 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 1>on the price that you had to pay for him.

0:23:58.119 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 1>So you know he was getting drafted as a top

0:23:59.800 --> 0:24:02.600
<v Speaker 1>five quarterback last season he was, you know, just behind

0:24:02.640 --> 0:24:06.119
<v Speaker 1>the Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, who another one

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:09.119
<v Speaker 1>who disappointed us last season. Um, But you know, you

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 1>look at Matt Ryan's career and there's a lot of

0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:15.480
<v Speaker 1>up and down. It's from twenty sixteen to seventeen, Falcons

0:24:15.480 --> 0:24:17.719
<v Speaker 1>went from first in points per game, they dropped all

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:20.160
<v Speaker 1>the way down to fifteenth in points per game last year.

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:22.760
<v Speaker 1>And you look at his fantasy finishes too, in points

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:25.840
<v Speaker 1>per game just in his career, You've been nineteen last

0:24:25.880 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>season QB two and twenty sixteen. That was the MVP

0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:31.880
<v Speaker 1>year phenomenal. He'd be twenty two and twenty fifteen, he'd

0:24:31.920 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>be seven and fourteen, he'd be sixteen and thirteen, he'd

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:37.480
<v Speaker 1>be seven and twenty twelve. So it just seems that

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:40.440
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of inconsistency from year to year with

0:24:40.520 --> 0:24:43.119
<v Speaker 1>Matt Ryan. It just seems like you want to buy

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:45.639
<v Speaker 1>him after the down years because you're getting such a

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 1>big discount on him for fantasy football. So that's why

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:51.800
<v Speaker 1>again you're seeing him draft around QB fifteen, QB sixteen.

0:24:51.960 --> 0:24:54.159
<v Speaker 1>We know what his upside can be. I think some

0:24:54.320 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 1>natural regression is in order for Matt Ryan as well.

0:24:57.240 --> 0:24:59.439
<v Speaker 1>He had only twenty touchdowns last year. Greg, I mean

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:01.640
<v Speaker 1>with the weapons that he has, Julio Jones, we talked

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:04.440
<v Speaker 1>about him another one natural regression. He only had three

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:07.360
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns last year. They still have Julio Jones. They bring

0:25:07.400 --> 0:25:10.560
<v Speaker 1>in Calvin Ridley, they have Mohammed Sano, they have Austin Hooper.

0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:14.200
<v Speaker 1>We're hoping DeVante Freeman Kevin Coleman are more involved in

0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the past game. This year's second season in Steve Sarkisian's offense,

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:20.439
<v Speaker 1>but the touchdowns had to come up last season, the

0:25:20.520 --> 0:25:23.719
<v Speaker 1>final eight games, including the playoffs. He didn't throw multiple

0:25:23.760 --> 0:25:27.400
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns in any game, one touchdown or less in eight

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:30.640
<v Speaker 1>straight games from Matt Ryan. You asked me there's natural

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:34.520
<v Speaker 1>regression coming. I will say this, I don't think it

0:25:34.560 --> 0:25:36.920
<v Speaker 1>fits the bill either of the guy that we're looking for,

0:25:36.960 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 1>the next Carson Wentz. I know that. I said he

0:25:38.680 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 1>has the upside, but if you look at it the

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:42.840
<v Speaker 1>m v P season, thirty eight touchdowns, that was a

0:25:42.880 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 1>phenomenal season. He's only had more than thirty touchdowns twice

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:49.960
<v Speaker 1>in his career and that's two, four or six eight,

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:52.880
<v Speaker 1>that's ten seasons. So I don't think that's the quarterback

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:56.000
<v Speaker 1>he yes, I think thirty touchdowns, that's what you should expect.

0:25:56.119 --> 0:25:58.160
<v Speaker 1>More so out of Matt Ryan. I think the natural

0:25:58.320 --> 0:26:01.080
<v Speaker 1>positive regression is coming. He probably closer to like a

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:04.040
<v Speaker 1>high m QB two, maybe sneaks in that that top twelve.

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:06.080
<v Speaker 1>But again, I don't think he's the guy. I don't

0:26:06.119 --> 0:26:08.480
<v Speaker 1>think he's top five worthy this year. I wouldn't have

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 1>him as my my Carson Wentz. He will be better

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:13.399
<v Speaker 1>than last year, but he's not getting back to m

0:26:13.440 --> 0:26:16.040
<v Speaker 1>v P format. I'll say that about Matt Ryan. Matt

0:26:16.119 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Ryan almost reminded me of his teammate DeVante Freeman. We

0:26:19.560 --> 0:26:21.520
<v Speaker 1>talked about that on the Todd Gurley Show, right like

0:26:21.760 --> 0:26:23.840
<v Speaker 1>who could be the next Todd Gurley and DeVante Freeman

0:26:23.920 --> 0:26:26.159
<v Speaker 1>seemed like the obvious answer. He was a guy that

0:26:26.200 --> 0:26:29.000
<v Speaker 1>we've seen do it before, find the end zone quite

0:26:29.040 --> 0:26:32.639
<v Speaker 1>a bit. It was being taken after a lot of

0:26:32.640 --> 0:26:35.200
<v Speaker 1>guys that just aren't better than him. And the injuries

0:26:35.200 --> 0:26:37.439
<v Speaker 1>are concerned. They're injuries are und concerned, Mike. When it

0:26:37.480 --> 0:26:40.680
<v Speaker 1>comes to Matt Ryan, it's really just production and performance,

0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:43.200
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately he's gonna go back to where he was

0:26:43.200 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 1>two years ago. He was the number one guy. No,

0:26:45.600 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>he's not. Is he as bad as he was last year?

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 1>Probably not? No, And the injury is not concerned at

0:26:50.720 --> 0:26:53.800
<v Speaker 1>always two games in his NFL career, and I figue

0:26:53.920 --> 0:26:56.240
<v Speaker 1>what Frank said. I think the touchdowns are a big factor,

0:26:56.520 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 1>and I think there are natural regression coming because you

0:26:59.119 --> 0:27:01.920
<v Speaker 1>look at it. In only sixteen he had ninety six

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:04.640
<v Speaker 1>passing attempts inside the twenty yard line and fifty one

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 1>inside the ten, which both would have led the league

0:27:07.320 --> 0:27:09.600
<v Speaker 1>last year. By the way, because we saw across the board,

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.800
<v Speaker 1>I think it's worth mentioning fewer passing attempts inside the

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:15.359
<v Speaker 1>red zone than we did in previous seasons, so that

0:27:15.520 --> 0:27:18.320
<v Speaker 1>is worth noting. But last season the number inside the

0:27:18.320 --> 0:27:21.240
<v Speaker 1>twenty drop from ninety six to seventy five and inside

0:27:21.240 --> 0:27:23.639
<v Speaker 1>the tan drop from fifty one to thirty five, so

0:27:23.680 --> 0:27:25.560
<v Speaker 1>we could see that climb up a little bit closer

0:27:25.600 --> 0:27:28.560
<v Speaker 1>to what it was in sixteen. That could be one

0:27:28.560 --> 0:27:31.760
<v Speaker 1>way whether those touchdowns start to increase. Also, his completion

0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:35.000
<v Speaker 1>percentage dropped from inside the twenty from sixty one point

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:38.240
<v Speaker 1>seven six to forty six point one, and then last

0:27:38.320 --> 0:27:40.400
<v Speaker 1>year inside the tan from fifty seven point four one

0:27:40.400 --> 0:27:43.840
<v Speaker 1>in sixteen to just fifty in uh inside the ten

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:47.520
<v Speaker 1>yard line last year. So if we're expecting Julio Jones

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>to suffer some positive touchdown regressions, I think it only

0:27:50.600 --> 0:27:52.800
<v Speaker 1>goes hand in hand with Matt Ryan seeing an uptick

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:55.639
<v Speaker 1>in his touchdowns. You know who Matt Ryan reminds me

0:27:55.680 --> 0:27:58.920
<v Speaker 1>of from a couple of years ago, Matt Ryan. So

0:27:59.359 --> 0:28:02.680
<v Speaker 1>coming into sixteen, I thought Matt Ryan was a good

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:05.679
<v Speaker 1>quarter value at the quarterback position because the year before

0:28:05.720 --> 0:28:10.080
<v Speaker 1>that the touchdowns were down in he threw just twenty

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:14.919
<v Speaker 1>one touchdowns, but he had four thousand, five hundred and

0:28:15.000 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 1>ninety one passing yards that ranked fifth in the NFL.

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 1>So my thinking that year was if the yards could

0:28:20.600 --> 0:28:22.720
<v Speaker 1>be there, even if I didn't expect thirty eight touchdowns.

0:28:22.720 --> 0:28:24.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna say that I did, but I thought, hey,

0:28:24.560 --> 0:28:26.760
<v Speaker 1>if he gets back into that twenty five through twenty

0:28:26.840 --> 0:28:29.320
<v Speaker 1>eight range, he is going to provide a good value

0:28:29.320 --> 0:28:32.440
<v Speaker 1>because he already has all the passing yards. Now, the

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 1>yards are down from what it was in fifteen, but

0:28:35.240 --> 0:28:38.160
<v Speaker 1>last year he threw four thousand and ninety five yards

0:28:38.480 --> 0:28:41.560
<v Speaker 1>that ranked sixth in all of football. Passing yards are down,

0:28:41.600 --> 0:28:44.360
<v Speaker 1>we're down. Last year across the board he ranked six.

0:28:44.560 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 1>So if he can get that touchdown percentage, which was

0:28:47.560 --> 0:28:49.280
<v Speaker 1>three point eight last year, if he gets step back

0:28:49.320 --> 0:28:51.280
<v Speaker 1>to his career norm of four point six, or maybe

0:28:51.320 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 1>he even builds on that just a little bit, because

0:28:52.960 --> 0:28:55.120
<v Speaker 1>we've seen him have multiple seasons where he was over five,

0:28:56.120 --> 0:28:58.040
<v Speaker 1>if he can get back into that twenty five to

0:28:58.200 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine touchdown range, he's going to provide good value.

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 1>He's a guy right now who if I'm in a

0:29:05.480 --> 0:29:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Best Ball draft, or even if I'm in a regular draft,

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:09.760
<v Speaker 1>if I'm waiting on quarterback, and I'm taking like a

0:29:09.800 --> 0:29:12.960
<v Speaker 1>Philip Rivers or whatever, or if I'm taking one of

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:15.840
<v Speaker 1>the upside guys and like Andrew Luck or Patrick Mahomes,

0:29:16.240 --> 0:29:18.280
<v Speaker 1>Matt Ryan is the perfect one pair there because he's

0:29:18.320 --> 0:29:20.440
<v Speaker 1>going to outlive his a DP. In my opinion, he's

0:29:20.480 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>looking about pairs and maybe he is. Maybe that is

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 1>a fine pair of Mahomes and Ryan. Maybe Ryan can

0:29:26.600 --> 0:29:31.400
<v Speaker 1>certainly do better. But maybe I'm just looking at this wrong.

0:29:31.440 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 1>But I'm looking for a break out. I'm looking for

0:29:33.200 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 1>a dude. And maybe Matt Ryan does have the ability

0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 1>to finish the top five quarterback because he's done it before,

0:29:37.520 --> 0:29:39.640
<v Speaker 1>Like we've seen that. He's only done it once though,

0:29:39.760 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 1>but he's done it the other years that he's performed well,

0:29:42.120 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 1>He's been around like QB seven in points per game.

0:29:43.960 --> 0:29:46.920
<v Speaker 1>That's solid. That's fine. If you got out of him,

0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:51.120
<v Speaker 1>that's fine. I'm I'm okay with that. But I'm trying

0:29:51.120 --> 0:29:53.040
<v Speaker 1>to find a guy's gonn make the jump out of

0:29:53.040 --> 0:29:55.160
<v Speaker 1>thin Matt Maryan is making the jump. And maybe again

0:29:56.600 --> 0:29:59.800
<v Speaker 1>that Ryan is almost like a slightly better version of

0:29:59.760 --> 0:30:02.520
<v Speaker 1>about X Smith. To me agree with you two, I

0:30:02.520 --> 0:30:05.320
<v Speaker 1>would expect more in the QB seven through ten range

0:30:05.400 --> 0:30:08.480
<v Speaker 1>rather than I would top five. And you think Smith's

0:30:08.520 --> 0:30:11.640
<v Speaker 1>quarterback eighteen. That's what I haven't ranked currently, Mike, where

0:30:11.640 --> 0:30:13.680
<v Speaker 1>do you have Met Ryan ranked? If you've done that

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:18.880
<v Speaker 1>portion of your rank I have Matt Ryan I do sixteen, okay,

0:30:18.920 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 1>So we're both gonna be the number thirty seven rankers

0:30:20.800 --> 0:30:23.000
<v Speaker 1>this year. I have met Ryan sixteen, okay. So so

0:30:23.160 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that's very interesting to me. So you had Alexmith a

0:30:25.480 --> 0:30:28.760
<v Speaker 1>eighteen max, Alex Smith at eight teen, Matt Ryan sixteen.

0:30:29.680 --> 0:30:33.880
<v Speaker 1>Not dissimilar, right, both quarterbacks? Things go right. You believe

0:30:33.960 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 1>that Alex Smith can finish QB twelve thirteen is kind

0:30:37.520 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 1>of what you said, and Matt Ryan seven to ten

0:30:40.120 --> 0:30:44.240
<v Speaker 1>range a little crazy, but that's fine. That's not dissimilar

0:30:44.400 --> 0:30:47.760
<v Speaker 1>these two guys. But those aren't necessarily the guys that

0:30:47.840 --> 0:30:49.640
<v Speaker 1>are making this jump. Yeah, you can draft the Matt

0:30:49.680 --> 0:30:51.800
<v Speaker 1>Ryan whenever, you can draft an Alex Smith whenever. And

0:30:51.840 --> 0:30:54.560
<v Speaker 1>there's always a million quarterbacks out there. I get that.

0:30:55.280 --> 0:30:57.200
<v Speaker 1>Let I'm looking for the best. This is a little

0:30:57.240 --> 0:30:59.440
<v Speaker 1>bit different than the Todd Gurley episode where the DeAndre

0:30:59.520 --> 0:31:02.120
<v Speaker 1>Hopkins up, so where there's all these talented guys, there's

0:31:02.120 --> 0:31:04.400
<v Speaker 1>so many quarterbacksually be starting a one quarterback league. I

0:31:04.440 --> 0:31:07.200
<v Speaker 1>get that, but I'm looking for the next Carson Wentz,

0:31:07.200 --> 0:31:10.840
<v Speaker 1>the undrafted guy that is going to finish as a

0:31:10.920 --> 0:31:15.120
<v Speaker 1>top five performer. And that leads me to Marcus Mariota.

0:31:15.520 --> 0:31:18.160
<v Speaker 1>Because it was two years ago. We all picked up

0:31:18.200 --> 0:31:21.120
<v Speaker 1>mac Marcus Mariota and we loved them right, and a

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:24.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of that was certainly due to the schedule. Every

0:31:24.440 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 1>week he was facing a bottom five, bottom ten defense,

0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 1>and he tore them apart. As we got closer to

0:31:30.120 --> 0:31:32.120
<v Speaker 1>the Fantasy playoffs, it was a disaster. His schedule got

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:36.000
<v Speaker 1>much much worse, and he was much worse in general.

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Last year, I remember him being one of the two

0:31:39.840 --> 0:31:44.080
<v Speaker 1>players that I think we're people were on polar opposite

0:31:44.080 --> 0:31:46.760
<v Speaker 1>sides of the conversation. Either you loved Marcus Mariota last

0:31:46.800 --> 0:31:50.120
<v Speaker 1>year or you hated Marcus Mariotta last year. I was

0:31:50.120 --> 0:31:52.000
<v Speaker 1>on the hate side. Personally, you are the love side,

0:31:52.000 --> 0:31:54.360
<v Speaker 1>if I remember correctly, I think I had all right.

0:31:54.440 --> 0:31:56.320
<v Speaker 1>You were pretty high on it. I was much I was.

0:31:56.640 --> 0:31:58.520
<v Speaker 1>I was more optimistic than you, but I was not

0:31:58.560 --> 0:32:01.160
<v Speaker 1>as high on him as I was a Damnus Winston,

0:32:01.200 --> 0:32:03.560
<v Speaker 1>who I had in my top five but you were

0:32:03.560 --> 0:32:05.200
<v Speaker 1>definitely a Mariota guy. If I you know, if I

0:32:05.240 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 1>remember number seven, and that's pretty high. That was pretty

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:12.320
<v Speaker 1>high for me. It closed my rankings because unprepared um.

0:32:12.360 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 1>But for me, Marcus Mariota was much was much lower.

0:32:15.400 --> 0:32:20.560
<v Speaker 1>He was for me a number I wasn't lower as

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:22.960
<v Speaker 1>I thought. That's nine. Uh, he wasnub eleven and I

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:25.120
<v Speaker 1>thought I thought it was gonna be even lower. That's

0:32:25.160 --> 0:32:27.240
<v Speaker 1>somewhat lower than the consensus. I came in in the

0:32:27.240 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 1>middle of you two. I at first was kind of

0:32:29.920 --> 0:32:31.760
<v Speaker 1>when I before I did my rankings, I thought I

0:32:31.760 --> 0:32:34.040
<v Speaker 1>was going to be closer to Frank. But I don't

0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:35.480
<v Speaker 1>have mind in front of me, but I believe I

0:32:35.520 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 1>had him like nine or ten. I think as we

0:32:37.880 --> 0:32:40.240
<v Speaker 1>got closer to the season, I think you started to

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 1>lower him. Yeah. I think that was something that we

0:32:42.160 --> 0:32:44.920
<v Speaker 1>all realized, like, Okay, he took advantage of a great

0:32:44.960 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 1>schedule year before. We all thought that they were going

0:32:47.520 --> 0:32:50.400
<v Speaker 1>to run the ball a bunch exotic smash mouth. So

0:32:50.480 --> 0:32:52.240
<v Speaker 1>I think we all kind of like started to sour

0:32:52.280 --> 0:32:54.080
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. I didn't do it as much, but

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:55.960
<v Speaker 1>I think I think that was the thinking heading into

0:32:56.040 --> 0:33:00.560
<v Speaker 1>last year with Mariota fair enough. Now this year, it

0:33:00.720 --> 0:33:04.600
<v Speaker 1>seems like the narrative itself, Frankie has changed a bit

0:33:05.120 --> 0:33:08.680
<v Speaker 1>because Marcus Mariota. The use of his legs were still

0:33:08.720 --> 0:33:10.280
<v Speaker 1>there last year. You can know these guys are gonna

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:11.840
<v Speaker 1>diamond on the numbers. I have a few myself, but

0:33:12.760 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the use of his legs were still there. But everybody

0:33:15.720 --> 0:33:19.800
<v Speaker 1>blamed the coaching staff for his inability to improve as

0:33:19.800 --> 0:33:24.440
<v Speaker 1>a passer. Mike Malarkey, he's old, no doubt about it.

0:33:24.600 --> 0:33:30.680
<v Speaker 1>Terry Rubiski even older. These two dudes were exotic, smash mouth,

0:33:31.280 --> 0:33:35.600
<v Speaker 1>but barely letting Marcus Mariota do anything. Incomes to Mike Rabele.

0:33:35.840 --> 0:33:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Offensive coordinator is Matt Lafleour. Certainly everybody knows him as

0:33:39.840 --> 0:33:42.480
<v Speaker 1>being the opensive coordinatre with the Rams last year, and

0:33:42.520 --> 0:33:45.160
<v Speaker 1>now he comes in and this is his offense and

0:33:45.240 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 1>people expect Marcus Mariota to have this major, major jump,

0:33:50.880 --> 0:33:54.760
<v Speaker 1>but last year he was just eighteen in deep balls attempted.

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Are we blaming the coaching or are we blaming Marcus Mariota.

0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:02.800
<v Speaker 1>That's the question we're going to need to answer before

0:34:02.800 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 1>we know how high his ceiling could be. Mike, what

0:34:05.840 --> 0:34:08.680
<v Speaker 1>do you think about Marcus Marietta. I think he'll be

0:34:08.680 --> 0:34:12.560
<v Speaker 1>better than last year, obviously, but to me, he we

0:34:12.600 --> 0:34:14.640
<v Speaker 1>need to see him do something that he's never done before,

0:34:14.719 --> 0:34:17.320
<v Speaker 1>and we need to see him see a lot of volume.

0:34:17.600 --> 0:34:20.000
<v Speaker 1>You look at it, his hot career high and passing

0:34:20.040 --> 0:34:23.080
<v Speaker 1>attempts was last season at four hundred and fifty three.

0:34:23.360 --> 0:34:25.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry. If you're not throwing the ball at least

0:34:25.480 --> 0:34:27.880
<v Speaker 1>five hundred times, I don't think you can be a

0:34:27.920 --> 0:34:30.200
<v Speaker 1>top five quarterback. And I know he gives you a

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:32.120
<v Speaker 1>lot with his legs. I'm not going to take that

0:34:32.160 --> 0:34:34.960
<v Speaker 1>away from him. He does. But another thing I noticed

0:34:35.000 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 1>about him that I didn't like last year as they

0:34:38.040 --> 0:34:40.279
<v Speaker 1>got closer to the end zone, he didn't throw the

0:34:40.280 --> 0:34:43.360
<v Speaker 1>ball much. Last year. He had forty nine attempts inside

0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:45.319
<v Speaker 1>the red zone, not even inside the ten, where he

0:34:45.360 --> 0:34:48.080
<v Speaker 1>only had eighteen forty nine attempts inside the red zone.

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Quarterbacks who had more uh it includes Trevor Simeon, Jay Cutler,

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:56.880
<v Speaker 1>Case Kingdom, Andy Dalton, Tyrod Taylor, Dak Prescott, not guys

0:34:56.920 --> 0:34:59.440
<v Speaker 1>that you know we're extremely high on this season, But

0:34:59.480 --> 0:35:01.319
<v Speaker 1>they were still throwing the ball more as they got

0:35:01.320 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 1>closer to pay dirt. Than Marcus Mariota was. So for me,

0:35:05.120 --> 0:35:07.880
<v Speaker 1>I do think Marcus Mariota has a lot of upside,

0:35:08.920 --> 0:35:11.200
<v Speaker 1>but we have to see him do something. And maybe

0:35:11.320 --> 0:35:13.520
<v Speaker 1>he does because they brought in a new head coach,

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:15.480
<v Speaker 1>a new offensive coordinator, and I know while none of

0:35:15.520 --> 0:35:19.279
<v Speaker 1>them have ever called UH plays before, they both do

0:35:19.480 --> 0:35:23.080
<v Speaker 1>come from systems that rely heavily on the past. So

0:35:23.239 --> 0:35:25.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe that is something that they're going to implement. They're

0:35:25.480 --> 0:35:28.800
<v Speaker 1>gonna be like, hey, we think that we trust Marcus Mariota,

0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 1>and we come from offenses and from teams that have

0:35:30.680 --> 0:35:33.799
<v Speaker 1>had a lot of success being passed first teams. And

0:35:33.880 --> 0:35:35.640
<v Speaker 1>I do think it is words bringing that up because

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:38.120
<v Speaker 1>the whole exotic, smash mouth and everything from the previous

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:40.920
<v Speaker 1>regime that's all gone. But they do have Dean Lewis here,

0:35:40.960 --> 0:35:42.759
<v Speaker 1>they have Derrick Henry. I do think they are going

0:35:42.800 --> 0:35:45.400
<v Speaker 1>to rely on the run a lot, maybe not as

0:35:45.480 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 1>much as in years past. So I do think Marcus

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:49.680
<v Speaker 1>Mariota has a lot of upside, but he's gonna have

0:35:49.680 --> 0:35:51.040
<v Speaker 1>to do a lot of things that we have yet

0:35:51.080 --> 0:35:53.719
<v Speaker 1>to see him do at the NFL level. Yeah, that's

0:35:53.719 --> 0:35:56.239
<v Speaker 1>exactly right. Um, you know, my pick to be this

0:35:56.280 --> 0:35:58.960
<v Speaker 1>year's Carson Wentz would be Marcus Mariota. And you know

0:35:59.040 --> 0:36:01.200
<v Speaker 1>he's actually leading the right now, and he does have

0:36:01.239 --> 0:36:03.920
<v Speaker 1>to do something we've never seen before. QB twenty last

0:36:04.000 --> 0:36:06.600
<v Speaker 1>year in points per game, q'd be eleven the year before,

0:36:06.640 --> 0:36:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and QB fifteen as a rookie. So he hasn't finished

0:36:09.040 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 1>higher than QB eleven. Yet you know we're saying that

0:36:11.320 --> 0:36:13.640
<v Speaker 1>he has the upside to finishes a top five quarterback. Well,

0:36:13.680 --> 0:36:15.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna put words in your guys mouth, but

0:36:15.280 --> 0:36:17.280
<v Speaker 1>I do think of all the guys that we've mentioned

0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:20.640
<v Speaker 1>so far kind of in this you know, QB QB

0:36:20.760 --> 0:36:23.480
<v Speaker 1>twenty range, I think he is the guy because you know,

0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:26.520
<v Speaker 1>completely new offense. Like you mentioned, you get Mike Malarkey

0:36:26.520 --> 0:36:28.920
<v Speaker 1>out of here, you bring in Roger la Flour who

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:33.880
<v Speaker 1>worked under Sean McVeigh. What am I saying? Er? Was that?

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:36.879
<v Speaker 1>Was that from Dodgeball? Is that with Peter le fleur

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:42.360
<v Speaker 1>er we used to work with us. Oh, he was

0:36:42.680 --> 0:36:44.920
<v Speaker 1>feels like a subconscious thing. I mean to write Matt

0:36:45.000 --> 0:36:48.600
<v Speaker 1>la Floor Roger la Flour because it was like from

0:36:48.680 --> 0:36:50.720
<v Speaker 1>emails from back in the day. I don't tell anyone

0:36:50.760 --> 0:36:54.640
<v Speaker 1>I did that, but nobody but Matt Lafleur. You're right,

0:36:54.640 --> 0:36:57.520
<v Speaker 1>greg Is, Matt la Floor takes over the offense. So

0:36:57.560 --> 0:37:00.000
<v Speaker 1>I think we'll see some new concepts here for sure.

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:04.120
<v Speaker 1>Mike Freebel, the head coach here, you know, had worked

0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:06.840
<v Speaker 1>with Dan Lewis when they were in New England. Obviously

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:09.080
<v Speaker 1>didn't actually work together, but he knows about Dan Lewis,

0:37:09.120 --> 0:37:11.840
<v Speaker 1>so you bring that, You bring that versatility here to

0:37:11.880 --> 0:37:13.920
<v Speaker 1>the run game, where you know you don't know what's

0:37:13.920 --> 0:37:16.759
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen when Dean Lewis is in the backfield. A

0:37:16.800 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 1>lot went wrong for Marcus Mariota last year. He was injured.

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:21.960
<v Speaker 1>We know he was coming back from the broken leg

0:37:22.000 --> 0:37:24.319
<v Speaker 1>the year before. Then he suffered the hamstring injury in

0:37:24.360 --> 0:37:27.040
<v Speaker 1>Week four. He was never the same after that. Corey

0:37:27.120 --> 0:37:28.920
<v Speaker 1>Davis missed a lot of the season. So yeah, it

0:37:28.920 --> 0:37:31.480
<v Speaker 1>sounds like I'm just making excuses for Marcus Mariotta, but

0:37:31.760 --> 0:37:33.520
<v Speaker 1>there were a lot of excuses to be made, And

0:37:33.719 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, we would have made excuses for Carson Wentz

0:37:36.200 --> 0:37:38.479
<v Speaker 1>from his rookie season to his second season as well.

0:37:38.680 --> 0:37:41.239
<v Speaker 1>The same thing for the year Matt Ryan broke out

0:37:41.239 --> 0:37:42.879
<v Speaker 1>and was the m v P. We would have made

0:37:42.880 --> 0:37:44.799
<v Speaker 1>excuse for him from one year to the next as well.

0:37:45.120 --> 0:37:48.160
<v Speaker 1>There were legitimate excuses with Mariotta. He had that old

0:37:48.160 --> 0:37:50.480
<v Speaker 1>style offense. He was hurt last year, didn't have his

0:37:50.600 --> 0:37:53.480
<v Speaker 1>number one target in Corey Davis, who we are all

0:37:53.560 --> 0:37:56.240
<v Speaker 1>very excited about this season. Still has the Laney Walker,

0:37:56.360 --> 0:37:58.759
<v Speaker 1>still has Rachardon Matthews has the running backs that you

0:37:58.760 --> 0:38:01.440
<v Speaker 1>guys have mentioned. Has that rushing floor as well, three

0:38:01.560 --> 0:38:04.880
<v Speaker 1>hundred and four rushing yards perse per season. That's twenty

0:38:04.880 --> 0:38:07.360
<v Speaker 1>one point seven rushing yards per games. So you know,

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:09.680
<v Speaker 1>if he turns the ball over he kind of had,

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:12.840
<v Speaker 1>it gets mitigated by those rushing yards. And then I

0:38:12.840 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 1>mean the touchdown percentage last year was two point nine percent.

0:38:17.000 --> 0:38:18.839
<v Speaker 1>His first and second year it was five point one

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:22.040
<v Speaker 1>percent and five point nine percent, respectively. If that touchdown

0:38:22.080 --> 0:38:24.719
<v Speaker 1>percentage was just five percent last year, you would have

0:38:24.760 --> 0:38:27.480
<v Speaker 1>had twenty two passing touchdowns. And again you want more

0:38:27.520 --> 0:38:31.480
<v Speaker 1>than that. But his path to being Carson Wentz is

0:38:31.520 --> 0:38:34.600
<v Speaker 1>being exactly what Carson Wentz was last year, efficient making

0:38:34.600 --> 0:38:37.080
<v Speaker 1>touchdown throws in the red zone, not doing it with

0:38:37.120 --> 0:38:39.239
<v Speaker 1>a lot of passing yards per game. But we're gonna

0:38:39.320 --> 0:38:42.800
<v Speaker 1>have to see a real touchdown efficiency out of Marcus Mariotta,

0:38:42.840 --> 0:38:45.280
<v Speaker 1>and I think with the weapons they have new offensive

0:38:45.280 --> 0:38:47.560
<v Speaker 1>minds that they have there. If anyone's going to do

0:38:47.600 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 1>it from this group that we're talking about, it is

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:55.200
<v Speaker 1>Marcus Mariot. So today we're not going to do busts. Instead,

0:38:55.320 --> 0:38:57.360
<v Speaker 1>we are going to do Bush tomorrow the quarterback like

0:38:57.760 --> 0:39:01.120
<v Speaker 1>so would whoever busted last year that I was completely

0:39:01.160 --> 0:39:04.439
<v Speaker 1>off of. Drew Brees also not good. Jabres massive bust

0:39:04.520 --> 0:39:07.279
<v Speaker 1>last year. So we're gonna talk about that tomorrow. But

0:39:07.360 --> 0:39:10.239
<v Speaker 1>today we're gonna do it. But differently, we're gonna talk

0:39:10.280 --> 0:39:13.000
<v Speaker 1>about the player that broke out that cost you absolutely

0:39:13.040 --> 0:39:16.399
<v Speaker 1>nothing but finished as a top five quarterback, and that

0:39:16.680 --> 0:39:19.719
<v Speaker 1>was Carson Wentz, which I draft the Carson Wentz around

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:21.799
<v Speaker 1>after we draft the Carson Palmer I think last year

0:39:21.920 --> 0:39:23.480
<v Speaker 1>in the GSD league, and he was a savior, I

0:39:23.520 --> 0:39:27.480
<v Speaker 1>mean Carson Carson. Yeah, Carson Carson, and he was let's

0:39:27.480 --> 0:39:30.160
<v Speaker 1>put your elbow out of my shot, thank you. Um.

0:39:30.280 --> 0:39:35.200
<v Speaker 1>He was a superstar for a superstar for all fantasy players,

0:39:35.200 --> 0:39:38.120
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately he would have been the most valuable player

0:39:38.160 --> 0:39:40.480
<v Speaker 1>had he not gotten hurt. Obviously he did, and he

0:39:40.480 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>crushed a lot of fantasy owners as well. Fantasy experts

0:39:43.040 --> 0:39:44.359
<v Speaker 1>tell you all the time you don't need the draft

0:39:44.400 --> 0:39:47.399
<v Speaker 1>a quarterback early, Carson Wentz being a prime example of that. Well,

0:39:47.400 --> 0:39:50.560
<v Speaker 1>the experts don't always tell you, though, is which quarterback

0:39:50.640 --> 0:39:53.400
<v Speaker 1>do you draft? Which one of these guys are going undrafted?

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Are costing you basically nothing in draft? Is the guy

0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:58.160
<v Speaker 1>that you really want? Is the guy that cannot just

0:39:58.560 --> 0:40:01.239
<v Speaker 1>be suitable weekend and week out, but finished as a

0:40:01.320 --> 0:40:04.799
<v Speaker 1>top five player at his position. That's what we're trying

0:40:04.840 --> 0:40:07.719
<v Speaker 1>to uncover this week. That's where we're trying to uncover today.

0:40:07.840 --> 0:40:09.840
<v Speaker 1>So I want to get to that. On the Fantasy

0:40:09.840 --> 0:40:11.640
<v Speaker 1>pof of Twitter account, we launched the pole as we

0:40:11.760 --> 0:40:15.280
<v Speaker 1>do as we do each and every day during this series,

0:40:15.600 --> 0:40:18.080
<v Speaker 1>and today which quarterback would be this year's Carson went

0:40:18.360 --> 0:40:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Here are your options Number one Marcus Mariota, number two

0:40:21.719 --> 0:40:25.480
<v Speaker 1>Alex Smith, number three Matt Ryan, or number four Mitchell

0:40:25.640 --> 0:40:29.840
<v Speaker 1>true Bisky. Which of those four have the best chance

0:40:30.120 --> 0:40:33.440
<v Speaker 1>this year to become Carson Wentz? We try to answer

0:40:33.520 --> 0:40:37.880
<v Speaker 1>that right now. All right, gentlemen, I want to start

0:40:37.880 --> 0:40:40.879
<v Speaker 1>off with the guy that I wanted on this poll,

0:40:41.320 --> 0:40:47.960
<v Speaker 1>and that was Alex Smith. We can all laugh. You

0:40:48.080 --> 0:40:55.040
<v Speaker 1>all cry, I understand, White, but go ahead. I can't

0:40:55.080 --> 0:40:58.680
<v Speaker 1>do that, laugh Frank, And that that sounds like it's

0:40:58.680 --> 0:41:01.640
<v Speaker 1>straight out of Grandma's Boy. It's still it's fine, it's fine.

0:41:01.960 --> 0:41:07.320
<v Speaker 1>But Alex Smith, hold on last year finishes the number

0:41:07.320 --> 0:41:09.439
<v Speaker 1>five top five quarterback. What is all said and done?

0:41:09.760 --> 0:41:13.760
<v Speaker 1>Right now? Year about rushing quarterbacks, you mentioned DeShawn Watson

0:41:14.000 --> 0:41:17.080
<v Speaker 1>and and and certainly Cam Newton, Aaron Rodgers, Kirk Cousins,

0:41:17.120 --> 0:41:19.480
<v Speaker 1>and Marcus Mariota, who will get to but Alex Smith

0:41:19.480 --> 0:41:22.840
<v Speaker 1>has the fifth most rushing yards of any quarterback over

0:41:22.920 --> 0:41:26.319
<v Speaker 1>the last three years. All right, So that's that's that's

0:41:26.320 --> 0:41:31.319
<v Speaker 1>pretty solid, nothing spectacular, no doubt, three of them. And

0:41:31.440 --> 0:41:33.080
<v Speaker 1>all these statistics are about to read you come from

0:41:33.080 --> 0:41:36.480
<v Speaker 1>Matthew Berry's article. Three of the past four years, a J.

0:41:36.600 --> 0:41:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Gruden offense has been top twelve in the NFL in

0:41:38.680 --> 0:41:44.080
<v Speaker 1>past percentage. All right, it's pretty solid. Jay Gruden offense

0:41:44.120 --> 0:41:47.040
<v Speaker 1>has finished top tens in terms of total quarterback fantasy

0:41:47.040 --> 0:41:50.800
<v Speaker 1>to fantasy points four times in the last five years.

0:41:52.680 --> 0:41:56.200
<v Speaker 1>And Alex Smith, who was quarterback four overall, is being

0:41:56.239 --> 0:42:01.319
<v Speaker 1>drafted as quarterback eighteen. Now you may ask, we've done

0:42:01.360 --> 0:42:03.520
<v Speaker 1>this oxy thing before. He's not fantasy friendly. He's a

0:42:03.560 --> 0:42:07.320
<v Speaker 1>fine NFL quarterback, but he's not a good fantasy football quarterback.

0:42:07.400 --> 0:42:10.239
<v Speaker 1>And you maybe right, But as I said last year,

0:42:10.280 --> 0:42:14.520
<v Speaker 1>he was QB four overall, he's going to an offense

0:42:14.719 --> 0:42:18.319
<v Speaker 1>that is quarterback friendly. Was it Kirk Cousins that was

0:42:18.400 --> 0:42:22.279
<v Speaker 1>really that good? Or was it the system? People love

0:42:22.400 --> 0:42:25.680
<v Speaker 1>Jamison Crowder this year? Why dunt buff don't buff don't

0:42:25.680 --> 0:42:27.960
<v Speaker 1>buff dub offf Well, dumb buff ub buff up off

0:42:28.440 --> 0:42:31.320
<v Speaker 1>leads the yards and at least the fantasy points. The

0:42:31.400 --> 0:42:33.439
<v Speaker 1>running game for Washington over the past couple of years

0:42:33.440 --> 0:42:37.040
<v Speaker 1>have been pretty non existent. I get that. And the

0:42:37.040 --> 0:42:39.560
<v Speaker 1>thought process here is Darius Guys is going to fix that,

0:42:39.640 --> 0:42:44.080
<v Speaker 1>and maybe he will. But Alex Smith, he's going to

0:42:44.120 --> 0:42:46.400
<v Speaker 1>do exactly what Kirk Cousins did in my opinion, And

0:42:46.440 --> 0:42:48.560
<v Speaker 1>I love Kirk Cousins last year, and I love Alex

0:42:48.560 --> 0:42:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Smith this year. Frankie, Yeah, Alex Smith, it's interesting. I

0:42:53.200 --> 0:42:55.360
<v Speaker 1>feel like he's being a little bit disrespected. One of

0:42:55.360 --> 0:42:57.120
<v Speaker 1>the first things when I came in today, you read

0:42:57.160 --> 0:42:59.200
<v Speaker 1>me some of these Alex Smith's status. You're very excited

0:42:59.200 --> 0:43:02.760
<v Speaker 1>about him. Of the Matthew Barrio, I want, yes, absolutely, um,

0:43:02.800 --> 0:43:05.440
<v Speaker 1>But I mean I still do have questions because they

0:43:05.520 --> 0:43:08.280
<v Speaker 1>draft Darius guys very early in the draft. Their offensive

0:43:08.320 --> 0:43:10.480
<v Speaker 1>line I think is better than people realize. So I

0:43:10.480 --> 0:43:12.600
<v Speaker 1>think I think that they are I think they want

0:43:12.640 --> 0:43:14.759
<v Speaker 1>to be more of a balanced attack, and they use

0:43:14.800 --> 0:43:16.759
<v Speaker 1>a high draft pick for a reason on Darius guys,

0:43:16.760 --> 0:43:18.200
<v Speaker 1>so I think that you know they're gonna run the

0:43:18.200 --> 0:43:20.680
<v Speaker 1>ball quite often. The defense, I think there's still some

0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:23.600
<v Speaker 1>question marks, so they could find themselves in some shootouts.

0:43:23.640 --> 0:43:26.239
<v Speaker 1>But you look at the last four years, and I

0:43:26.280 --> 0:43:29.239
<v Speaker 1>know it's a completely new system. But Alex Smith last

0:43:29.320 --> 0:43:32.440
<v Speaker 1>year QB four and points per game, great phenomenal, his

0:43:32.480 --> 0:43:35.600
<v Speaker 1>best fantasy season ever three years before that QB twenty,

0:43:35.880 --> 0:43:39.239
<v Speaker 1>KB seventeen, QB eighteen. You're right that he adds some

0:43:39.840 --> 0:43:43.759
<v Speaker 1>um rushing floor because of those rushing yards. He add

0:43:43.840 --> 0:43:46.600
<v Speaker 1>some fantasy floor, so I could cancel out any interceptions.

0:43:46.600 --> 0:43:49.360
<v Speaker 1>But you know he's not that aggressive down the field.

0:43:49.640 --> 0:43:52.279
<v Speaker 1>I don't think the weapons are amazing there. He's got

0:43:52.400 --> 0:43:56.120
<v Speaker 1>Jamison Crowder, Jordan Reed went healthy, if healthy, Paul Richardson

0:43:56.160 --> 0:43:58.439
<v Speaker 1>they bring him in, Josh Doson. They have some guys

0:43:58.480 --> 0:44:00.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't I don't I'm not a name with his weapons,

0:44:00.880 --> 0:44:02.960
<v Speaker 1>but you know I said too, I'm fine with him

0:44:03.040 --> 0:44:05.719
<v Speaker 1>as my QB two. Just me personally, I don't think

0:44:05.719 --> 0:44:08.160
<v Speaker 1>that there's enough upside here. I don't know that they're

0:44:08.200 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 1>going to I feel like they want to be a

0:44:10.520 --> 0:44:12.719
<v Speaker 1>more balanced offense. I'm gonna keep beating that one into

0:44:12.719 --> 0:44:15.040
<v Speaker 1>the ground. I just don't know that there's enough upside

0:44:15.080 --> 0:44:16.960
<v Speaker 1>here with Alex Smith. I think he's being I think

0:44:16.960 --> 0:44:19.480
<v Speaker 1>he's being drafted adequate. He might be a little bit undervalued.

0:44:19.760 --> 0:44:21.360
<v Speaker 1>He's quarter back eighteen. You don't think he finishes a

0:44:21.440 --> 0:44:24.600
<v Speaker 1>QB one this year? Really, no, I think he's got

0:44:24.600 --> 0:44:25.840
<v Speaker 1>I think he's got a long way to climb. I

0:44:25.840 --> 0:44:28.040
<v Speaker 1>have him as I actually haven't a way to a

0:44:28.040 --> 0:44:30.439
<v Speaker 1>long way to climb. He's never four overall quarterback last week,

0:44:30.440 --> 0:44:33.040
<v Speaker 1>and the guys that have ranked right ahead of him though,

0:44:33.360 --> 0:44:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Jared Goff, Matt Ryan, Marcus, Mariota, Matt Stafford, Philip Rivers

0:44:37.680 --> 0:44:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and alexand could beat a lot of those guys. I mean,

0:44:40.800 --> 0:44:42.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm down to here your take on it, but

0:44:42.560 --> 0:44:45.560
<v Speaker 1>I just feel like I currently have Smith eighteen as well.

0:44:46.000 --> 0:44:47.920
<v Speaker 1>So you guys are underrating them this year. I'll tell

0:44:47.920 --> 0:44:52.080
<v Speaker 1>you this, Greggy. So at first I looked into it

0:44:52.120 --> 0:44:54.640
<v Speaker 1>and I thought, maybe, like am I Could I be

0:44:54.680 --> 0:44:56.520
<v Speaker 1>wrong about this and you'd be a d percent right,

0:44:56.960 --> 0:45:01.040
<v Speaker 1>can't I see that receiver target separation? Yes, last season

0:45:01.200 --> 0:45:03.040
<v Speaker 1>was the best in the league for Alex Smith. So

0:45:03.080 --> 0:45:05.280
<v Speaker 1>he was throwing two wide open receivers. It was almost

0:45:05.280 --> 0:45:08.120
<v Speaker 1>two yards of separation per target. So I looked at

0:45:08.160 --> 0:45:10.120
<v Speaker 1>Kirk Cousins because it's a lot of the same weapons.

0:45:10.280 --> 0:45:12.960
<v Speaker 1>He ranked seventh in that al right, not a huge

0:45:13.160 --> 0:45:15.880
<v Speaker 1>fall off, so he his guys are getting open as well.

0:45:16.520 --> 0:45:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Then I look at it. Alex Smith. Last year his

0:45:18.920 --> 0:45:22.520
<v Speaker 1>a DOT at seven point nine, which is high for him,

0:45:22.760 --> 0:45:26.319
<v Speaker 1>ranked thirty third out of forty quarterbacks the year before that.

0:45:26.440 --> 0:45:30.520
<v Speaker 1>What a dot his average depth of target? I know

0:45:30.560 --> 0:45:32.440
<v Speaker 1>what that means, I was explaining to everybody. Yes, so

0:45:32.480 --> 0:45:35.400
<v Speaker 1>it's how far down the field his target is, not

0:45:35.480 --> 0:45:37.840
<v Speaker 1>including like he could throw in a one yard to

0:45:37.880 --> 0:45:39.840
<v Speaker 1>Tyreek Hill and he could take it the distance that

0:45:39.920 --> 0:45:41.960
<v Speaker 1>counts as a one yard a dot because that is

0:45:41.960 --> 0:45:43.880
<v Speaker 1>where the target was to brank it down for those

0:45:45.480 --> 0:45:49.040
<v Speaker 1>six point nine ranked thirty five or thirty six quarterbacks

0:45:49.560 --> 0:45:53.800
<v Speaker 1>from fifteen he ranked dead last and a dot every

0:45:53.840 --> 0:45:56.520
<v Speaker 1>single season, and he topped out at six point nine.

0:45:56.719 --> 0:45:59.120
<v Speaker 1>He's not a guy who throws down the field at all.

0:45:59.440 --> 0:46:02.040
<v Speaker 1>And he does and have Tyreek Hill. He doesn't have

0:46:02.239 --> 0:46:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Travis Kelsey, Kareem Hunt, guys like that who Tyreek Hill.

0:46:05.719 --> 0:46:07.720
<v Speaker 1>We saw it against the Cowboys. He threw a short

0:46:07.719 --> 0:46:10.680
<v Speaker 1>pass and he took it and somehow got in between

0:46:10.680 --> 0:46:12.759
<v Speaker 1>three defenders and scored a touchdown on that And I

0:46:13.080 --> 0:46:17.240
<v Speaker 1>wish I remember who tweeted it, but it's it shows

0:46:17.239 --> 0:46:20.719
<v Speaker 1>you just how volatile fantasy is. They tweeted the two

0:46:20.760 --> 0:46:22.839
<v Speaker 1>plays and it was that Tyreek Hill one member against

0:46:22.880 --> 0:46:24.880
<v Speaker 1>the Cowboys where he somehow at the end of the

0:46:24.880 --> 0:46:27.719
<v Speaker 1>half broken in between three defenders and scored a touchdown,

0:46:27.920 --> 0:46:30.840
<v Speaker 1>and another one where Smith threw deep and the defensive

0:46:30.880 --> 0:46:33.120
<v Speaker 1>back smacked the ball up in the air and it

0:46:33.360 --> 0:46:36.520
<v Speaker 1>ricochet to Albert Wilson for a touchdown. He said, if

0:46:36.560 --> 0:46:38.719
<v Speaker 1>you take those two plays away, because they were both

0:46:38.719 --> 0:46:41.680
<v Speaker 1>like sixty yard touchdowns, Alex Smith goes from QB five

0:46:41.760 --> 0:46:45.160
<v Speaker 1>to like I think it was borderline top twelve. I

0:46:45.239 --> 0:46:47.920
<v Speaker 1>can't remember who tweeted it out, but I just in

0:46:48.000 --> 0:46:50.439
<v Speaker 1>my opinion on Alex Smith is last year, everything broke

0:46:50.520 --> 0:46:52.719
<v Speaker 1>right for him and he doesn't have the playmakers that

0:46:52.760 --> 0:46:54.879
<v Speaker 1>he had last year on this team. Do I think

0:46:54.880 --> 0:46:57.200
<v Speaker 1>he can be an efficient quarterback? Yes? Do I think

0:46:57.239 --> 0:46:59.279
<v Speaker 1>he is the safest of the four guys that we

0:46:59.320 --> 0:47:02.920
<v Speaker 1>were talking about day probably arguably only Matt Ryan. You

0:47:02.920 --> 0:47:05.759
<v Speaker 1>can make that argument, I think. But the upside, I

0:47:05.800 --> 0:47:07.359
<v Speaker 1>do not think he is the highest upside of these

0:47:07.360 --> 0:47:11.839
<v Speaker 1>four quarterbacks. I don't. So Listen, there's no argument that

0:47:11.880 --> 0:47:15.759
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't have the highest upside, right like obviously, but

0:47:16.280 --> 0:47:18.719
<v Speaker 1>I think of the four quarterbacks we listed, if I

0:47:18.760 --> 0:47:21.239
<v Speaker 1>told you he finished the best out of any of

0:47:21.239 --> 0:47:27.000
<v Speaker 1>the four of them, that shock you. It wouldn't shock me. No, no, no,

0:47:27.080 --> 0:47:30.399
<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't shock me either. But like again, it's gonna

0:47:30.440 --> 0:47:32.600
<v Speaker 1>be high end QB two, and I think that's fine.

0:47:32.600 --> 0:47:34.600
<v Speaker 1>That's where he is. But if we're talking about who

0:47:34.719 --> 0:47:37.200
<v Speaker 1>can be this year's Carson Wentz, I don't. And it's

0:47:37.200 --> 0:47:39.160
<v Speaker 1>crazy to say because he just finished QB four, But

0:47:39.440 --> 0:47:42.719
<v Speaker 1>Mike laid out all the numbers gracefully, and that you know,

0:47:42.760 --> 0:47:44.480
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't have the weapons he had last year, and

0:47:44.520 --> 0:47:47.800
<v Speaker 1>he's not an aggressive quarterback downfield. So the possibility of

0:47:47.880 --> 0:47:50.239
<v Speaker 1>him finishing as a top five quarterback again this year.

0:47:51.040 --> 0:47:53.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean to me, it's like under ten percent.