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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game?

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Speaker 2: Do us proud red? Hello, they're running a game so smooth,

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Speaker 2: so sweet, splendid sixteen just glorious execution. This, guys, all

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Speaker 2: I'm looking for is sixty percent efforts, four thousand percent

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Speaker 2: of the time.

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Speaker 1: How shut with.

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Speaker 2: That shop of mind, man, buddy, And that's why you

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Speaker 2: see your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements, the.

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Speaker 1: Most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up. I'm again a wol.

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Speaker 2: It's left to of the wide eyed drill piffeus. How

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Speaker 2: old earth that happens?

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Speaker 3: Hellori one and welcome back to Wondergirl, the soccer betting

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Speaker 3: podcast from the Action Network, presented to you by BET

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Speaker 3: three sixty five. My name is Michael Eboff, and joining

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Speaker 3: me for this hour COPA America Futures Preview is BJ

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Speaker 3: Cunningham and Bj, I mean, what a summer for soccer punters.

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Speaker 3: We're recording this just a little bit before Germany and

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Speaker 3: Scotland kickoff the Euros and then we've also got Copa

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Speaker 3: America that involves North America and South American and Central

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Speaker 3: American teams. So if you're a soccer punter, which I'm

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Speaker 3: assuming you are. If you're listening to the show, you're

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Speaker 3: in for quite the summer. Let's quickly just run through

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Speaker 3: the odds and then we'll get handed over to you

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Speaker 3: for your favorite outright. I'll give you my favorite outright.

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Speaker 3: Then we'll go group by group, give out some golden boots,

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Speaker 3: some other stuff as well on the way, and then

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Speaker 3: we'll get out of here and watch Germany and Scotland.

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Speaker 3: This is a sixteen team tournament.

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Speaker 1: Group four groups of four.

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Speaker 3: Top two teams in each group move on. Then they

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Speaker 3: are separated into a bracket of eight, single elimination until

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Speaker 3: the final, and one team's left, and according to the

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Speaker 3: odds makers, that team is most likely Argentina there plus

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Speaker 3: one seventy five is the favorites. They are the defending

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Speaker 3: World Cup champions. Brazil are plus two to twenty five,

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Speaker 3: so right behind them. Then you get a little bit

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Speaker 3: of a jump to Uruguay at five to one. Then

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Speaker 3: we're into double digits with Mexico at eleven to one,

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Speaker 3: Colombia twelve to one, the United States at twelve to one,

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Speaker 3: Ecuador sixteen to one. Then another jump to Chile in

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Speaker 3: their tier of their own at twenty eight to one.

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Speaker 3: Then we start to get into some long shots with

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Speaker 3: Peru at fifty to one, Venezuela sixty six to one,

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Speaker 3: Paraguay sixty six to one, Canada is sixty six to one.

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Speaker 3: Costa Rica, your bogie team is eighty to one, Jamaica

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Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty to one, so is Panama and Bolivia.

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Speaker 3: So if you had to play something, if you are

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Speaker 3: playing something in the on the outright board, I know

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Speaker 3: you know a lot of this podcast is going to

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Speaker 3: be about the odds not being as fun from a

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Speaker 3: betting standpoint as perhaps the euro but we'll still get

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Speaker 3: some get some sweats in.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. So they set this tournament tournament up just perfectly

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Speaker 2: for Argentina and Messi. Four of the five best teams

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Speaker 2: in the tournament are on the bottom half of the

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Speaker 2: brag with USA, Uruguay, Brazil, and Colombia. But for me,

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Speaker 2: I actually like Erguay five to one quite a bit. Here.

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Speaker 2: Marcella Bielsa has taken over the national team. We have

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Speaker 2: an affinity for Bielsa on this podcast, and I think

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Speaker 2: that his style of play works so much better at

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Speaker 2: the international level than it does at the club level.

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Speaker 2: And I'll kind of explain why. So he's somewhat of

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Speaker 2: an innovator. He's like one of the first guys to

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Speaker 2: play this high pressing like transitional type style that you

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Speaker 2: have seen with you know, the Leipzig teams forever, even

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Speaker 2: though he never even coached them. You know, his previous

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Speaker 2: team Leads was one of the craziest like up and down,

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Speaker 2: back and forth teams in that the Premier League has

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Speaker 2: pretty much ever seen. But the personnel that he has

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Speaker 2: with Uruguay sets up for system so well. Darwin Nunez,

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Speaker 2: as you've seen at Liverpool, is a unbelievable transition striker

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Speaker 2: and they utilize him so well at getting in behind defenders,

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Speaker 2: utilizing his pace and you know, obviously he doesn't have

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Speaker 2: great finishing ability, but his ability to create that chance

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Speaker 2: is so big. For Uruguay, they have two incredible midfielders,

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Speaker 2: a great ballstopper in Nugartea plays for PSG, the one

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Speaker 2: of the best all round midfielders in the world in

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Speaker 2: Federico Valverde. A very solid center back pairing. So the

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Speaker 2: spine of this team is actually really really good and

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Speaker 2: really exciting. And for Bielsa, his team's at the club level,

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Speaker 2: they would tend to burn out, and we talked about

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Speaker 2: on this podcast for the bielsa burnout whereas we get

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Speaker 2: to match twenty eight, twenty nine to thirty, this team

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Speaker 2: that's doing running over and over and over again and

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Speaker 2: pressing so much tends to tire out. At the international level,

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Speaker 2: when you have a maximum of six matches, it works

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Speaker 2: out actually very very well. South America played six World

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Speaker 2: Cup qualifiers in late twenty twenty three. Uruguay averaged just

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Speaker 2: under two expected goals per ninety minutes. They beat Argentina

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Speaker 2: and Brazil. They are well capable of not only upsetting

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Speaker 2: the big boys, but going deep into this tournament. And

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Speaker 2: averaging close to two expected goals in South America is

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Speaker 2: actually an amazing feat because the matches are, as we'll

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Speaker 2: talk about as we get further this podcast, they're incredibly

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Speaker 2: low event. Those that late twenty twenty three, the collection

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Speaker 2: of all the matches only average two point one expectacles

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Speaker 2: per ninety minutes. This is like three or four years

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Speaker 2: ago La Liga type of like low event. So for

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Speaker 2: Uruguay to average that high of an XG per ninety

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Speaker 2: is incredible. They're very well set up to play without

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Speaker 2: the ball again, they're gonna be in the bottom half

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Speaker 2: of the bracket. Their favor to win their group over

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Speaker 2: the United States. They'll probably get a date with Columbia,

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Speaker 2: which will be a very chaotic match. But again they've

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Speaker 2: they've beaten Brazil and they've beaten Argentina, so they're very

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Speaker 2: well capable of doing it. So it's hard to bet

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Speaker 2: both Brazil or Argentina in this tournament at such low odds.

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Speaker 2: I know the tournament sets up well for Argentina and all,

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Speaker 2: and I have another bet along those lines as well.

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Speaker 2: But I really do like Argentina at five to one.

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Speaker 2: And if you're somebody who is like I don't see

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Speaker 2: how Argentina loses this tournament, like they put on it,

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Speaker 2: like they have the easiest past the final, I have

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Speaker 2: arlaid Argentina to win Cope America. And if you've listened

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Speaker 2: to our euro show, you'll know that I like Germany

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Speaker 2: to win the Euros. I've parlayed those two together to

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Speaker 2: get about to seventeen to one as a little cover

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Speaker 2: just in case Argentina just runs through this tournament and

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Speaker 2: hopefully Germany makes a run with the Euros.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you in basically everything. This thing,

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Speaker 3: it's a very unbalanced draw. It's lopsided towards the bottom

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Speaker 3: half of the bracket. Group C and D will meet

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Speaker 3: each other in the knockout stages, so that means that.

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Speaker 3: And that's with Brazil, Columbia, USA, an Orguay like, and

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Speaker 3: then you look at the A and B side of

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Speaker 3: the bracket with Argentina and you look, you're trying to

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Speaker 3: look around for another team that could threaten them, and

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Speaker 3: it's hard to And that kind of is what is

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Speaker 3: playing into my favorite outright here. I like Canada. They're

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Speaker 3: ninety to one, as high as ninety to one. They

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Speaker 3: play Argentina in the first match, so you can actually

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Speaker 3: assuming Argentina wins, Like if let's say you're betting ten

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Speaker 3: dollars on this, If you wanted to bet ten dollars

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Speaker 3: on this, you could either just wait and see if

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Speaker 3: they lose Argentina, which is the likeliest outcome, or you

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Speaker 3: can maybe bet five dollars now and then put the

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Speaker 3: second half of your steak, whatever your steak would be,

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Speaker 3: on Canada at a bigger number after they lose to

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Speaker 3: Argentina if they do that. But it's about the path here,

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Speaker 3: So if you look at the group that they're in

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Speaker 3: with Argentina, Peru, and Chile, they are a they're the

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Speaker 3: third favorite.

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Speaker 1: In the group to advance.

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Speaker 3: Obviously, Argentina is a whopping minus four thousand favorite to

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Speaker 3: qualify for the knockout stages. Then it's Chile and actually Peru,

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Speaker 3: so at some books they are the fourth favorite ticket

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Speaker 3: out that it's Peru and then Canada. I actually think

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Speaker 3: these three teams behind Argentina are basically on the same level,

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Speaker 3: and I think Canada has the most upside. The one

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Speaker 3: downside I guess you would say, is that these other teams,

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Speaker 3: Peru and Chile would have have more experience playing against

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Speaker 3: one another, and that can definitely help because of what

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Speaker 3: the World Cup qualifying regions that they're in, Canada being Conca,

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Speaker 3: Calf the other three being incommable. That said, if Canada

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Speaker 3: can get out of this group, which would likely be

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Speaker 3: in second place, they can absolutely win their next match

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Speaker 3: or their first match in the knockout stage. Because Group

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Speaker 3: B is so soft, it is Mexico as the favorite.

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Speaker 3: They are joined by Ecuador as a second favorite, Venezuela

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Speaker 3: and Jamaica. Whoever comes out of that group, Canada has

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Speaker 3: a chance to beat, and it would likely be Mexico.

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Speaker 3: If the odds hold right, Mexico would finish first in

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Speaker 3: Group B, Canada second in Group A, and Canada obviously

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Speaker 3: has wealth of experience playing Mexico over and over again

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Speaker 3: in Conca CAFF. So I really like the path here

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Speaker 3: for the price you're getting at ninety to one, and

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Speaker 3: we know that Canada has the upside with guys like

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Speaker 3: Alfonso Davies and Jonathan David, all those, all those characters

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Speaker 3: right like this, this is a team that is I

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Speaker 3: don't want to call them like an emerging power in soccer,

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Speaker 3: but they're they're starting to climb the ranks right like

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Speaker 3: they are. They're not yet into even emerging power, but

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Speaker 3: they're they're they're they're plucky. We saw them play pretty

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Speaker 3: well at the World Cup. So yeah, I like this

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Speaker 3: Candada team as a long shot.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I definitely agree, And we'll get to have

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Speaker 2: another bed on Canada later in the podcast. But they

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Speaker 2: you know, obviously Jesse Marsh has taken over, right which

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Speaker 2: you know, you can have your thoughts about Jesse Marsh,

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Speaker 2: but the way that this group kind of sets up,

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Speaker 2: if we're just going on pure Town alone, there's absolutely

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Speaker 2: no reason why they should be the favorite to be

185
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Speaker 2: at the bottom of this group, right. I don't know

186
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Speaker 2: if they're just pricing it in because they they faced

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Speaker 2: Argentina first, obviously, I think that's part of it. Yep,

188
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Speaker 2: that's part of it, I guess. But we'll get to

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Speaker 2: Peru and Chile in a second. But like, if you

190
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Speaker 2: just look at transfer mark dot Com, Canada's total the

191
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Speaker 2: squad value is one hundred and eighty four million, Chile's

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Speaker 2: is eighty three million, and Peru's is thirty four million. Like,

193
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Speaker 2: there are a clear, clear talent edge above those two teams,

194
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Speaker 2: and those two teams honestly weren't that great during qualifying either.

195
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Speaker 2: So I it's crazy that they at the bottom of

196
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Speaker 2: this like the favor to be at the bottom. So

197
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Speaker 2: I love Yeah, I love ninety to one. You know,

198
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Speaker 2: even if they lose to Argentina and they have a

199
00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:10,200
Speaker 2: date with them again in the semi finals, they'll least

200
00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,760
Speaker 2: be able to change some things tactically and hopefully be

201
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:15,040
Speaker 2: able to and as we'll get you know, the one

202
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,800
Speaker 2: the way you beat Argentina, you know one team has

203
00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,520
Speaker 2: done it. You have to have effective transition pieces and

204
00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:25,320
Speaker 2: Canada definitely has that like Uruguay does, so yeah, without

205
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Speaker 2: a doubt, they're the best long shot on the board. Yep.

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Speaker 3: Okay, So let's look at Group A. Argentina, of course,

207
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Speaker 3: is a whopping favorite. They're minus four hundred to win

208
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Speaker 3: the group. The second favorite is Chile at six to one.

209
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Speaker 3: Then it's Peru at ten to one, in Canada at

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Speaker 3: twelve to one. I don't really see much here besides

211
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Speaker 3: that my thoughts on Canada, which is I think that

212
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Speaker 3: they are that they will be the biggest rabble rousers

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Speaker 3: in this group. I think that they are the team

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Speaker 3: that has the best chance to out run their odds.

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Speaker 3: But we just talked about that, so not too much

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Speaker 3: more to get into for me at least.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like, uh, well, I got two bets in this,

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Speaker 2: so I like Canada to advance. But I'm going to

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Speaker 2: wait until after they play Argentina because I'm assuming unless

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Speaker 2: the books are just completely pricing in the fact that

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Speaker 2: they're facing Argentina first, which I think is kind of

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Speaker 2: stupid honestly, then they're probably going to be a better

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Speaker 2: price after they lose Argentina. So that would be my

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Speaker 2: method to play Canada to advance. But another way I

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Speaker 2: want to play Group A is Peru to finish at

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Speaker 2: bottom of this group at plus one point fifty. Peru

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Speaker 2: during their six World Cup qualifiers scored one goal. They

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Speaker 2: averaged point four to seven expected goals per ninety minutes.

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Speaker 2: They had an average shot distance of close to twenty

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Speaker 2: five yards and only averaged a little over seven shots

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Speaker 2: per ninety This is an incredibly in terms of talent,

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Speaker 2: like very barren offense. In terms of what they want

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Speaker 2: to do. They're relying on a very few transition attacks here.

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Speaker 2: They like to keep it, you know, a very tight

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Speaker 2: low block. After they had that you know, horrible run

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Speaker 2: of qualifiers, they fired their manager. They brought in a

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Speaker 2: new manager, but it's still kind of the same system. Yes,

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Speaker 2: if you look through some of their friendlies, they scored

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Speaker 2: you know, combined six goals against the Dominican Republic and Nicaragua.

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Speaker 2: Well then they played Paraguay and to friendly and they

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Speaker 2: created point three expected goals. So nothing's really changed here,

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Speaker 2: Like it's still a really really bad offense. They're gonna

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Speaker 2: play Chile in the first match. Chile beat them two

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Speaker 2: nothing in qualifiers and Peru created a whopping point one

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Speaker 2: to three expected goals. They're an okay defensive team. They're

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Speaker 2: really bad in transition though, like they're really really struggle

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Speaker 2: when you get them out of their defensive structure, which

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Speaker 2: is a problem because the two teams that they faced

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Speaker 2: in this group, or at least three of Argentina, Chile

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Speaker 2: and Canada can all beat you in transition, Argentina obviously

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Speaker 2: being the best build up team in this tournament, but

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Speaker 2: they are you know, like we already said, Canada is

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Speaker 2: the favorite to beat the bottom of this group, which

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Speaker 2: I really don't agree with. So the next team that

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Speaker 2: I would look at is Chile at plus one fifty,

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Speaker 2: and I also like them nine to one to be

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Speaker 2: the lowest scoring team in this tournament because well, if

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Speaker 2: they weren't able to create anything East Chile, they created

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Speaker 2: next to nothing against Argentina as well. It's going to

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Speaker 2: come down to their match against Canada for them to

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Speaker 2: even like create anything. So at nine to one, I

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Speaker 2: know there's teams like Bolivia and Costa Rica in this

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Speaker 2: tournament that are going to struggle to score as well,

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Speaker 2: but we'll get too later in the program. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of these mid tier South American teams that just

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Speaker 2: can't create anything, So taking the longer shot on them,

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Speaker 2: I think is the way to go. So Perua finished

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Speaker 2: bottom this group plus one fifty lowest scoring team nine

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Speaker 2: to one, and then all play in Canada to advance

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Speaker 2: after they lose to Argentina.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the best way to think about this

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Speaker 3: tournament is the stereotype you have in your head when

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Speaker 3: you picture a Syria a match. It's like kind of

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Speaker 3: like that, right, very.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, It's like I said, like I said earlier, it's

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Speaker 2: like La Liga from like three or four years ago

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Speaker 2: when they were exact fifteen teams that all play four

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Speaker 2: four two's, And.

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Speaker 3: Just the reason I like Siria is I feel like

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Speaker 3: it's so physical too, like in like the weather kind

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Speaker 3: of it's funky, and it's just it's it's very you.

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Speaker 2: Know what else it is, Michael, is just a lot

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Speaker 2: of teams and you know, I'll get in this when

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Speaker 2: I talk about Brazil, but the philosophies of football comparatively

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Speaker 2: to Europe and South America, it's just different, Like South

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Speaker 2: America relies more on a lot of individual quality as

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Speaker 2: opposed to and it's you know, if you want to

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Speaker 2: get in the debate between relationism and positionalism. That's you know,

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Speaker 2: for another for some other podcasts that talks about football

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Speaker 2: and philosophies. We're a betting podcast, but since they rely

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Speaker 2: on a lot of individual quality, it's harder to create

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Speaker 2: a lot of high quality chances and teams are much

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Speaker 2: more compact. So to get like, guys, just settle for

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Speaker 2: a lot of shots from outside the box is kind

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Speaker 2: of what it comes down to. So just be prepared.

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Speaker 2: Like if you watch full day of the Euros and

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Speaker 2: then you get into Cope America and you're like awesome,

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Speaker 2: like Chile and it might be a snooze fest and

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Speaker 2: put you to bed, Like, just just be prepared for that. Well,

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Speaker 2: we'll obviously bet into that as we go throughout the tournament,

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Speaker 2: but just I want to make everybody aware that South

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Speaker 2: American football is a lot differ than European.

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Speaker 3: Okay, we'll be on to Group B next, but before that,

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Speaker 3: a reminder that wonder goal is proudly presented by bet

305
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306
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00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:32,160
Speaker 3: twenty one or older in present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

315
00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:34,840
Speaker 3: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, and eighteen and older

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00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 3: in Kentucky. And if you or anyone you know has

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Speaker 3: a gambling problem wants help, please call one eight hundred

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00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,760
Speaker 3: gambler or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms

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Speaker 3: conditions and restrictions apply. Okay, Group B, Now, this is

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Speaker 3: Mexico's group. They are a favorite. They are the only

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Speaker 3: favorite that's not odds on. At the moment. They're plus

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Speaker 3: one ten. Ecuador is the second favorite plus one sixty,

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Speaker 3: Venezuela plus five point fifty, and then you have Jamaica

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Speaker 3: plus nine hundred. You can I think you can make

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Speaker 3: an argument for.

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Speaker 1: Venezuela and Ecuador.

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Speaker 3: To go on a little to make runs here, but

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Speaker 3: the situation, it's so important to win this group. That's

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Speaker 3: the thing, right because you have to avoid Argentina in

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Speaker 3: the quarter final.

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Speaker 1: So if you think that.

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Speaker 3: Venezuela or Ecuador, you know, or Jamaica, who are nine

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Speaker 3: to one long shots to win it, Like if you

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Speaker 3: if you think that one of these teams can finish second,

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Speaker 3: and I think in the group that wide open, you

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Speaker 3: can absolutely make an argument for anyone. Then you could

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Speaker 3: start talking about, you know, stage of elimination bets and this,

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Speaker 3: or betting a team, you know, betting one of these

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Speaker 3: teams to go to the semi finals because they can,

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Speaker 3: excuse me, if they win the group, because then then

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Speaker 3: they can, you know, beat Chile or Canada or Peru.

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Speaker 3: I would say the best option out of them, just

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Speaker 3: in terms of the odds would be Venezuela. And I

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Speaker 3: know you agree.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm looking at Venezuela right now. You know,

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Speaker 2: obviously Mexico and Ecuadora your two favorites here. I think

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Speaker 2: there's a little bit of concerns with both those teams.

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Speaker 2: So this is going to be a different Mexican team

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Speaker 2: that you've seen in years past. They left ral Jumenez

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Speaker 2: Memohoa and Herving Lozano off their Copa America roster. They're

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Speaker 2: going younger and it may very well pay off. And

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Speaker 2: I think that meant the perception of Mexico, I think

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Speaker 2: is really down right now. But they still are a

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Speaker 2: very good team. I mean there's the Gold Cup champions.

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Speaker 2: Like if you look at through their underlying numbers throughout

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Speaker 2: conckcaff like, they're close to a plus one expected gold

357
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Speaker 2: differential per ninety minutes. So it's still a very good

358
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Speaker 2: team and they have young talents. San Diego Menez is

359
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Speaker 2: a great striker at faianord Van Sanalvarez, obviously one of

360
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Speaker 2: the best holding midfielders in the Premier League. But in

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Speaker 2: terms of you know, Venezuela, you know, it seems way

362
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Speaker 2: too straightforward throughout this entire tournament. Michael of like the

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Speaker 2: two teams that are just going to go through, right

364
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Speaker 2: once we get into a Group CE and Group D,

365
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Speaker 2: there's a clear one too, even if people would see

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Speaker 2: in this group it's player one too. But I think

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Speaker 2: I have little bit of concerns with Ecuador. You know,

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Speaker 2: if you look at their roster, there's there's you know,

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Speaker 2: they're starting eleven there's a lot of talent. You know,

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Speaker 2: Casado and Cape Patcho. You know that's a great center

371
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Speaker 2: back pairing. The problem with Ecuador is is I'm a

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Speaker 2: little concerned with their tech. Kendri Paiez, who's on the

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Speaker 2: books at Chelsea, is their main, you know, number ten

374
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Speaker 2: creative threat guy who links up a lot of their

375
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Speaker 2: build up play. But relying on a sixteen or seventeen

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Speaker 2: year old to be everything for you is, especially at

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Speaker 2: a major national tournament, is a little concerning. And Everton

378
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Speaker 2: legend Enter Valencia is injured right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they don't.

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Speaker 2: They don't have another striker like that can actually even

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Speaker 2: get close to his type production, even though he is

382
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Speaker 2: very old. Their wingers aren't very good at winning one

383
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Speaker 2: v one situations. They're in these six World Cup qualifiers,

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Speaker 2: they only average point eight expected goals per ninety minutes.

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Speaker 2: Like they're a very low event type team. So there

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Speaker 2: are some concerns here. Even though Ecuador's got obviously great

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Speaker 2: ball stopping with Casato and like I said, a great

388
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Speaker 2: center back pairing, good fullbacks that get forward, I'm just

389
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Speaker 2: really concerned with their attack and their ability to actually

390
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Speaker 2: produce a lot Venezuela from a talent perspective, there's not much.

391
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Speaker 2: You know, Yanga Horrera a plays for Girona, is a

392
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Speaker 2: fantastic midfielder. It'll be solid. Another Everton legend, Solomon rondn

393
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Speaker 2: up top for them. He's thirty seven playing in Mexico.

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Speaker 2: But the way that they play, they're very good. When

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Speaker 2: they're in their defensive block, they're you know, ron Don

396
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,960
Speaker 2: is a great hold up striker to allow them to

397
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Speaker 2: you know, guys to make runs off the back line.

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Speaker 2: And during these six South American qualifiers, they had the

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Speaker 2: third best expected gole differential, which you know, obviously raises

400
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Speaker 2: some eyebrows and you're like, okay, that's kind of impressive.

401
00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,760
Speaker 2: They played Ecuador in a very very low event type

402
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 2: match that ended zero zero, so they're very very capable

403
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Speaker 2: of upsetting these two teams. The problem is the price

404
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Speaker 2: in them to the advance. I would love something two

405
00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:54,080
Speaker 2: to one or more, I really would, but that's not

406
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Speaker 2: the price we're getting right now. So instead, I'm probably

407
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Speaker 2: going to end up playing them against Ecuador in some

408
00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:03,360
Speaker 2: type of fashion and their first match. But if you want,

409
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Speaker 2: you know, a team that maybe nobody's talking about to

410
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 2: make a run, I think, you know, like we already

411
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Speaker 2: mentioned Canada and Venezuela, I think are those two teams

412
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Speaker 2: that can potentially do it, but right now nothing for

413
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Speaker 2: me in this group will probably just end up playing

414
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Speaker 2: Venezuelan an individual basis throughout the tournament.

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Speaker 1: Okay, that brings us to Group C.

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Speaker 3: So we're now into the bottom half of the bracket.

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Speaker 3: As we were saying, A and B in the knockout stage,

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Speaker 3: just C and D C. The team that wins Group

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Speaker 3: C plays a team that finish the second in Group D,

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Speaker 3: and you can piece it from there. That's why we're

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Speaker 3: saying it's so important to win Group B because you

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Speaker 3: want to avoid the likely Argentina matchup in the quarterfinals.

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Speaker 2: Group C.

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Speaker 3: Though Uruguay is the favorite at their odds out minus

425
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 3: one thirty eight at bet three six five to win

426
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,200
Speaker 3: the group, they are minus two thousand and to qualify.

427
00:20:56,680 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 3: The US is plus one thirty seven to win the group,

428
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Speaker 3: minus seven hundred to qualify, so the bookies are expecting.

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Speaker 1: This one to be pretty straightforward.

430
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,360
Speaker 3: Panama and Bolivia are the two long shots behind them,

431
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,919
Speaker 3: sixteen to one for Panama to win the group and

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00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 3: eighteen to one for Bolivia. They're both seven to one

433
00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 3: to advance, so big picture wise, it's it's hard to

434
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 3: find actual, like outright value. I think on Team USA,

435
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,119
Speaker 3: they're fourteen to one ish to you know, around the

436
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 3: market to win the tournament.

437
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:32,640
Speaker 1: I think that's attached short.

438
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,760
Speaker 3: I also don't think it's going to move, so you

439
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:38,600
Speaker 3: can just kind of wait until we see I guess

440
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,159
Speaker 3: it would you know, shrink if they do avoid that

441
00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 3: Brazil matchup in round two.

442
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 2: But well, if they do avoid that, I guess who

443
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 2: they're playing exactly.

444
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not it's not it's the team that they

445
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 3: just drop them, right, So it's like it's and that's Columbia.

446
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 2: But the.

447
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 1: Don't.

448
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 3: I just don't see much value in the United States.

449
00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:00,800
Speaker 3: I'll talk about it, Bet, I actually do like that's

450
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,920
Speaker 3: sort of correlated to the Americans, you know, making a

451
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:08,920
Speaker 3: run later. I don't see anything here. You talked about Urguay.

452
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:12,240
Speaker 3: I think you can probably sit back on this one too,

453
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 3: like you like you can if they get to the quarterfinals,

454
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 3: then you can start playing, you know, doing a rolling

455
00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 3: parlay with them to advance past Orguay, Brazil, Argentina and

456
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:24,159
Speaker 3: probably come out just a little bit ahead of the

457
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 3: five to one, but of course that things would have

458
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 3: to shake out.

459
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 1: But I do agree with you.

460
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 3: I think that the Marcelo Bielsa's men are are definitely

461
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 3: live to win this thing. So those are my thoughts

462
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 3: here hoping for Team USA. Maybe we get the Team

463
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 3: USA Cricket T twenty cricket Hope America double.

464
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 2: That'd be nice. Let's talk Team USA for a little bit,

465
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:49,959
Speaker 2: you know. There there are obviously other podcasts that specifically

466
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 2: focused on Team USA that you can go listen to

467
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 2: if you really just want to know about them, Like

468
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,280
Speaker 2: we are a betting podcasts, Like we're gonna cover Cope

469
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,320
Speaker 2: America as a whole, not just Team USA. But let's

470
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 2: talk about them just for a little bit. So obviously

471
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:05,040
Speaker 2: everybody hates Bear Halter right now, right like everybody thinks

472
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,399
Speaker 2: he sucks and that the United States has no chance

473
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:11,879
Speaker 2: in this tournament. I'm of kind of like I'm in

474
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,160
Speaker 2: the middle of that type of thing, Like I actually

475
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 2: think Bear Halter for Conker Calf and he sets up

476
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 2: the United States very very well, right Because the United

477
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 2: States when they play all these smaller teams throughout North America,

478
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 2: the Caribbean and Central America, they're facing a ton of

479
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 2: passive low blocks, right, So you want to be a

480
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:33,880
Speaker 2: good possession team that can build out of the back

481
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 2: and that is effective at breaking down low blocks, which

482
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 2: the United States is. I know people don't think that,

483
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,359
Speaker 2: but they are. They average two point one five expect

484
00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 2: goals for ninety minutes since September of twenty twenty one,

485
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 2: and non friendlies, they do really good jobs of getting

486
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 2: overloads everywhere. Like the combination on the left side with

487
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: Rayna Polisich and Robinson is actually very very good, and

488
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:56,639
Speaker 2: they tend to rely on a lot of that individual

489
00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 2: quality to play through these type of low blocks. The

490
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,560
Speaker 2: problems that come in is kind of what you saw

491
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 2: against Columbia is that if you are of the mindset

492
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,479
Speaker 2: like Bearhalter is of, like we're going to play out

493
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:10,959
Speaker 2: of the back and that's the only thing we're going

494
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: to do well, you have Matt Turner who's not really

495
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 2: great with the ball at his feet. You have center

496
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:19,920
Speaker 2: backs and fullbacks who don't play traditionally in dominant build

497
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 2: out of the back type systems at the club level.

498
00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 2: So against good pressing teams like Columbia and even for

499
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 2: Brazil for that matter, you're going to struggle, and I

500
00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,360
Speaker 2: think that his ability not to adapt and play more

501
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 2: direct is what's going to hold the United States back

502
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 2: offensive standpoint defensively, I actually think he's a very good

503
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 2: out of possession coach. The United States, like as you

504
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 2: saw with their match against snelling Brazil. But even if

505
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: you go back to the World Cup when they played England, right,

506
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 2: they did a such a good job at denying space

507
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:49,959
Speaker 2: in the middle, forcing the ball out wide, and they

508
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 2: held them under one expected goal and got a clean

509
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 2: sheet in that match. What happens, or what the problems

510
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 2: tend to come in, is that they're not great defending

511
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 2: in wide areas. And when you're like so compact, teams

512
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 2: that can hurt you from out wide are generally the

513
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 2: teams that give them problems, like the Netherlands, for example,

514
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,159
Speaker 2: who beat them in the round of sixteen. So for

515
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 2: the United States, the bet that I have is them

516
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 2: to be eliminated in the quarterfinals at minus won ten.

517
00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:19,199
Speaker 2: They closed as a pick them against Colombia in that

518
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,479
Speaker 2: five to one dropping right, So if they face Columbia

519
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 2: again in the quarter finals, let's say they win this group,

520
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 2: or even if Columbia wins their group, I'm gonna go

521
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:28,600
Speaker 2: out on a lim Michael and say that it's not

522
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,439
Speaker 2: gonna be a pick them again just for matters, So

523
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,639
Speaker 2: you're definitely gonna get a better price on that. And

524
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 2: then if they end up playing Brazil, while Brazil was

525
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 2: you know, minus two to twenty against the United States

526
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,920
Speaker 2: and that friendly, so and even though the United States

527
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,160
Speaker 2: played well, Brazil is still going to be a heavy favorite.

528
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:45,440
Speaker 2: So either way that the United States gets it, unless

529
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,879
Speaker 2: you know, Paraguay pulls off a great upset or something,

530
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 2: you're generally going to get a good price on the

531
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,680
Speaker 2: United States to advance in the quarter finals. So that's

532
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 2: my one bet here for the United States if you

533
00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:57,560
Speaker 2: wanted to play something. The other bet that I like

534
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 2: for this group is Bolivia to finish at the bottom

535
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:05,199
Speaker 2: at minus one twenty. Bolivia, Michael, and I know you

536
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 2: know this, but they have this really distinct advantage, like

537
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 2: home field advantage, because they play at such a crazy

538
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 2: high altitude in Bolivia. Actually, their capital is the highest

539
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 2: capital in terms of elevation of any capital in the

540
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:24,439
Speaker 2: entire world. So when teams go there, like they generally

541
00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 2: have a good advantage, and they've even pulled off upsets

542
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,120
Speaker 2: over the years. They've beaten Uruguay there, they've beaten Peru

543
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:32,639
Speaker 2: there twice. But since September of twenty twenty one, they

544
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 2: have not won a match, or they have not excuse me,

545
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 2: they haven't even drawn a match outside of Bolivia. They've

546
00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:42,240
Speaker 2: lost every single one of them. All but three players

547
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:46,360
Speaker 2: on their roster are playing domestically in Bolivia. During these

548
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,879
Speaker 2: six World Cup qualifiers, they average point four to three

549
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 2: expected goals and conceded one point seven to seven. It's

550
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 2: a very untalented roster. They're very direct. Even when they

551
00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 2: play in a little block, they're not effective at all.

552
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 2: And Panama is no pushover in CONCACAF. If you remember,

553
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,160
Speaker 2: they beat the United States the Gold cop They got

554
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 2: to the semifinals against Mexico of the Nation's League and

555
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,120
Speaker 2: actually won the expected goals battle pretty handily against them

556
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 2: in a three nothing defeat. So Bolivia is only minus

557
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 2: one twenty to finish bottom of this group, which I

558
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 2: think is far too short. In that final match when

559
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,200
Speaker 2: they play Panama, I have Panama's a minus one fifty

560
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:27,360
Speaker 2: favorite projected, So Bolivia to finished bottom of this group

561
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 2: of minus one twenty I think is a pretty decent bet.

562
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 3: Okay, that brings us to our final group, which is

563
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,479
Speaker 3: Group D, where Brazil is a minus two to fifty favorite.

564
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 3: Then there's Colombia plus two seventy five, Paraguay is twelve

565
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:45,400
Speaker 3: to one, and Costa Rica team you near and dear

566
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 3: to your heart. Yeah, eighteen to one. I know I'm

567
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:54,280
Speaker 3: sighing there. I just I don't see much here. Yeah,

568
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 3: if you if you think Columbia can win the group,

569
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 3: I would just bet him to upset Brazil on the

570
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 3: three way line when that time comes. But I think

571
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 3: this is pretty straightforward, and I got very little to

572
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 3: two in terms of actionable bets for Group D.

573
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 2: Yeah. The only thing that I like I hear because

574
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 2: I agree it's it's very straightforward. It's going to be

575
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,720
Speaker 2: Brazil and it's probably gonna be Columbia going to the

576
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 2: round sixteen, and the odds definitely reflect that. But if

577
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 2: I were to bet anything, I actually like Paraguay to

578
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 2: be the lowest scoring team at ten to one. They've

579
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 2: scored one goal in the last calendar year, one goal.

580
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 2: It was against Bolivia, two of all teams they've played

581
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 2: even a couple of friendlies here and still have not

582
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:42,600
Speaker 2: been able to find the back then net. Now here's

583
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 2: the core of the problem, because you know, if you

584
00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 2: look at the roster, they have a couple of good wingers,

585
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 2: you know, and Ciso from Brighton and Miguel Almeron from Newcastle.

586
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 2: So you know, if you look at them comparatively to

587
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 2: a team like Chile or Peru or even Bolivia, like

588
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 2: you're like, hey, this team actually kind of has something

589
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 2: in their attack. During these six South American qualifiers, they

590
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: averaged point nine expect goals for ninety minutes. So they

591
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 2: didn't or perform, but they averaged the second most shots

592
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 2: of anybody. That's crazy. They scored one goal and averaged

593
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 2: close to twelve shots a match. And here's the problem

594
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 2: is that all of those shots are just incredibly low quality.

595
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:28,520
Speaker 2: Their x chiefer shot is point zero seven, which I

596
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:31,479
Speaker 2: was looking for a team to compare that to at

597
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,719
Speaker 2: the club level, that would be like severe of like

598
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 2: two years ago when they were like, you know, one

599
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 2: of the just dreadful, god awful teams that just couldn't

600
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 2: even like muster any type of big scoring chance. You know.

601
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:46,800
Speaker 2: And Siso hasn't played for the national team because he

602
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: was injured most of the season, so you can give

603
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 2: him excuse there, but the reality is is that since

604
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 2: September of twenty twenty one, they have created twelve point

605
00:29:56,560 --> 00:30:00,200
Speaker 2: nine expected goals in eighteen matches. Twelve point nine in

606
00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: eighteen That is lower than Bolivia. That's lower than Peru.

607
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 2: That is the lowest of anybody in South America. You

608
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 2: look at this group. Yes, they do get Costa Rica,

609
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 2: who's the worst defensive team in this tournament. Colombia plays

610
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 2: a very up and down, high paced style. But they

611
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:18,080
Speaker 2: played Columbia and they only created point seven expected goals

612
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 2: against them just by getting eleven shots. They're not going

613
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,959
Speaker 2: to score against Brazil. So even though they have the talent,

614
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 2: like ten to one for a team to score one

615
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 2: goal in twelve months and has twelve point nine expected

616
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: goals since the September of twenty twenty one, I think

617
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:36,480
Speaker 2: is a decent shot in this tournament. So Paraguay be

618
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 2: lowest scoring team at ten to one, is the only

619
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 2: better half of this group.

620
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think that's actually kind of pushed me over.

621
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:44,680
Speaker 3: So I'll join you on that one, just to give

622
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 3: myself something in this bottom half of the bracket. Aside

623
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 3: from I do like a couple of player futures.

624
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: So let's talk.

625
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:56,360
Speaker 3: About Golden Foot odds top goal scorer. What did you know,

626
00:30:56,480 --> 00:31:00,080
Speaker 3: Leo Messi is your favorite three to one, Venetia's and

627
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 3: your Vinnie Junior he's right behind him at four to

628
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 3: one for Brazil, Darwin Nunez of Uruguay is five to one.

629
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 3: Another Argentinian, Julian Alvarez is seven to one. Rodrigo for

630
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 3: Brazil is eight to one. That it's another Argentinian at

631
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 3: nine to one. So here, but I wanted to read

632
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 3: it out like this because I think it actually will

633
00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 3: help you find value on the board.

634
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 1: If you look at bet three sixty.

635
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 3: Five's odds boords between Messi at three to one and

636
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 3: Luis Suarez at twenty eight to one, there are only

637
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 3: three countries represented. It's Argentina, it's Brazil, and it's Orgy

638
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 3: the three favorites. So right away, that's telling you that

639
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 3: it's very likely that the winner of this Golden Brewed

640
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 3: is going to come from one of these three countries.

641
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 3: But that's also a little bit of a paradox because

642
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 3: it also tells you that it could be any one

643
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: of these folks, right like the scoring is going to

644
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 3: be spread around. I think outside of Darwin Nunez, you know,

645
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,480
Speaker 3: like I think Orguay is probably most of its goals

646
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 3: are going to be set up up to come from Nunez.

647
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: But there's still other people in this roster. There's four

648
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 3: between Nunyaz and forty to one with Brian Rodriguez, Facunda, Palestri,

649
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 3: Suarez and Nunyas.

650
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 1: That means it does behoove you to go.

651
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:19,120
Speaker 3: To another team. And I actually think, and you're going

652
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 3: to talk about a guy we both agree with. I

653
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 3: actually think there's a little bit of value in looking

654
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:28,160
Speaker 3: at an American, and I settled on Christian Poolicit just

655
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:31,480
Speaker 3: because I feel most confident that he's going to play.

656
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 1: All the time.

657
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 3: Like I don't you have known who's going to lead

658
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 3: the line?

659
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:36,960
Speaker 1: Is it going to be recible?

660
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:38,479
Speaker 2: It should be Baligan, but we don't know.

661
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,800
Speaker 1: We just don't know the problem. That's the whole problem.

662
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 3: Whereas at least you know that Polisick is going to

663
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 3: be there, right, He's going to be playing, He's going

664
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 3: to be in attacking areas.

665
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 1: And the whole point of betting.

666
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 3: An American here is you hope that they would be

667
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 3: able to put up a crooked number against at least

668
00:32:57,200 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 3: one of Panama or Bolivia get to three or four

669
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 3: goals in one of those games, perhaps two. Those are

670
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 3: their first two matches, so if Pulisa can get off,

671
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 3: you know, could score two or three in those first

672
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 3: two matches.

673
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 1: This this bet is live. Obviously.

674
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 3: The problem is you just don't know how far the

675
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 3: United States is gonna go with Columbia or Brazil waiting

676
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 3: for them at the other uh in the quarterfinals. But

677
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 3: I do think that there is and it's a Homer

678
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 3: pick and you can call it square and fish fish

679
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 3: play whatever, But I do think that there's actual logical

680
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 3: value to backing an American, just like I wouldn't hate

681
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:42,959
Speaker 3: a play on someone like you know, Jonathan David, I guess,

682
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 3: or for Canada, similar similar logic, right, like, can Canada

683
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 3: get to two or three goals in one of their games,

684
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 3: maybe perhaps against Peru, get a get a can he

685
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 3: score against Chile and maybe get one or two in

686
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 3: the rest of the tournament. I don't know, give this

687
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 3: bets some legs though. The problem there is that that

688
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 3: group is so much tougher than what the Americans are

689
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,799
Speaker 3: dealing with, so That's what I do think that there,

690
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 3: if you took a pencil on paper out like, there

691
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:15,359
Speaker 3: is some logic to backing an American to come out

692
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 3: in this.

693
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 1: In this market.

694
00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 3: But as you said it, if if I see Ballagoon

695
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 3: getting the start match one, I think I would maybe

696
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 3: I would maybe think about shifting to him, but I

697
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,360
Speaker 3: just don't at this time. There's no there's no sense

698
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 3: of that. So that's that's my thinking here. And I

699
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 3: do think that that logic does apply to another guy.

700
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 3: We like it at a good price here.

701
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:46,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, Luis DS Luis CS forty to one. So, Michael,

702
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 2: in these again, we keep talking about these six South

703
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:51,319
Speaker 2: American qualifiers because it's the data we have to go off,

704
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 2: go off of. Right, that's very very recent. Besides, since

705
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 2: the World Cup, not Lionel Messi, not Darwin Nunyaz, not Veni,

706
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 2: Louis Luis Warres, Luis Diez led everybody in shots per

707
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 2: ninety four point four. He is the main attacking threat

708
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,399
Speaker 2: for this Colombian side. He is the one that's going

709
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,320
Speaker 2: to be taking most of the shots. The thing about Colombia,

710
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:21,239
Speaker 2: they're the biggest chaos team in this tournament. As you

711
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 2: saw when they play the United States, right like, they

712
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 2: are a team that will press high. They want to

713
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 2: play in transition, and they're one of the few South

714
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,319
Speaker 2: American teams like Uruguay that want to get into high

715
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 2: event type of matches, and they did that throughout qualifying.

716
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 2: And if you look at the teams they're going to

717
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,279
Speaker 2: face in their group, they're gonna get into up and

718
00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 2: down battle. They're gonna try to get into up and

719
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 2: down battle with Brazil, who is under a new manager

720
00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:52,200
Speaker 2: and is a guy who you'll love, this guy Michael,

721
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 2: he's more of like he's like the Brazilian Ancelotti or

722
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 2: he's he admits he's not a tactole savant. He's more

723
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:01,080
Speaker 2: of an adapter and he actually wants Brazil to play

724
00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 2: more direct as opposed to Fernando Denise, which when we

725
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 2: get into the actual individual matches, I'll go through what

726
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 2: happened with Brazil during qualifying. But Brazil is going to

727
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:14,360
Speaker 2: want to play more transitional. He's going to get a

728
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 2: match this Costa Rica, who's the worst defensive team in

729
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 2: this tournament. Against Paraguay, they created well over to expected

730
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 2: goals against them, so and then if they you know,

731
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:26,400
Speaker 2: let's say they finished second, they get to play the

732
00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 2: United States again, Well, we all saw that happened. So

733
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 2: for a guy who's getting that elite level of shot

734
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 2: production forty to one, and like you mentioned all the

735
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,840
Speaker 2: other teams, I'd say, honestly, and I'll get to a

736
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:40,920
Speaker 2: bet that I like about Messi, But like Brazil, the

737
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,120
Speaker 2: scoring is completely spread around, like there is not going

738
00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:45,279
Speaker 2: to be one guy that's going to get a lot

739
00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 2: of the shots. And even if you look at Argentina,

740
00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:50,960
Speaker 2: you know Messi is getting a little bit more production

741
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 2: than anybody else, and yes the path is easier, but

742
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 2: he's three to one, Like, we're not going to bet

743
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 2: a guy of three to one to lead this tournament

744
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,319
Speaker 2: in goals. Like, so a guy of forty to one

745
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:03,680
Speaker 2: who averaged more shots than Messi during qualifying, I think

746
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:06,800
Speaker 2: that's crazy good value given the style play that Columbia

747
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:10,000
Speaker 2: actually plays, which is very high events. So I know

748
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:12,880
Speaker 2: Diaz didn't have the best season at Liverpool in terms

749
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 2: of goal scoring, but it's a complete He's he's the

750
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:18,120
Speaker 2: guy for Columbia, like he's not the guy for Liverpool.

751
00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 2: So I really like Luis Dias at forty to one

752
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:22,479
Speaker 2: to win the golden boot.

753
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think he's actually may I would say Luis

754
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 3: Diaz at forty to one is the best value on

755
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 3: the board for the entire tournament, across team futures and

756
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 3: player futures. I think because as you said, like he's

757
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 3: the guy, they have a group that they can pummel

758
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 3: the bottom half, like yeah, whatever. Things will be tough

759
00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 3: to come by against Brazil, but yep.

760
00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:48,760
Speaker 2: Easily get to five matches in this tournament.

761
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, they can get to five.

762
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:52,239
Speaker 3: And it's really if you think about even if they

763
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 3: get to four or five, they should score enough that

764
00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 3: it would be like they play played all six, like

765
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,240
Speaker 3: they should have a goal total of because of playing

766
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:02,400
Speaker 3: playing Costa Rica.

767
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:06,880
Speaker 2: And one thing I'll say also about Argentina, I'll go

768
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 2: to deepen this because it kind of leads into my

769
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:12,080
Speaker 2: our first round preview episode, which will be coming out

770
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:14,279
Speaker 2: I believe on Monday or Tuesday of next week, so

771
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 2: make sure to check that out. But Argentina is not

772
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 2: a team that runs up the score. They are very

773
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 2: much a team of one that's once they score, they

774
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 2: want to control the ball and completely shut a matchdown,

775
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:27,600
Speaker 2: and they showed that throughout qualifying. So Colombia is in

776
00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:30,760
Speaker 2: this weird realm of like they want to continue pushing

777
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:32,759
Speaker 2: and they want to continue running up the score as

778
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:34,800
Speaker 2: opposed to shutting a game down once they get ahead.

779
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 2: So if you're looking for a reason to not back

780
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:40,600
Speaker 2: one of the Argentinian guys on the top board, or

781
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,800
Speaker 2: Messi for that matter, that could be a reason why

782
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 2: he doesn't get to you know, five or six goals.

783
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,320
Speaker 1: Okay, so those are our goal to boot picks.

784
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:53,480
Speaker 3: We're both on the same side with with DS. I

785
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 3: think Kristin Pools sick. Like I said, there are some

786
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 3: caveats there, but at the time of recording, he would

787
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 3: be my favorite of the Americas if we were talking

788
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 3: long shots, anything ten to one or longer. We're both

789
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:06,720
Speaker 3: on the same side here. I did my spiel on Canada.

790
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 3: You did your spiel on Canada. I think that they

791
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 3: are a good bet at ninety to one.

792
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 1: You should. They should if they can.

793
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:16,759
Speaker 3: Get out of if they can get a result in one,

794
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:18,680
Speaker 3: if they can get four points in their group and

795
00:39:18,760 --> 00:39:21,320
Speaker 3: advance there, they should be a good bet to outrun

796
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 3: those odds.

797
00:39:22,640 --> 00:39:23,279
Speaker 1: There's also we.

798
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 3: Haven't talked about it really, but this this tournament is

799
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 3: being played in in the United States, right, So it's

800
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 3: it's not like it's it's Canada's traveling down to play

801
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 3: in Buenos Aires. This is a These are environments that

802
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:37,320
Speaker 3: these guys will.

803
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 2: Be I don't might be a little bit indoors too, Yes.

804
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly right, So there is that as well, like

805
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 3: the familiar conditions for them. Anything else you want to

806
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:49,760
Speaker 3: add on Canada before we move on to close.

807
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, we I mean we kind of laid it

808
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,719
Speaker 2: out right, So like Canada is Canada stage of elimination

809
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:58,600
Speaker 2: eleven to one to be in the semifinals, like we

810
00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 2: already mentioned, like if they can get out of their

811
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 2: group and finish second, they're gonna get a very soft

812
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,320
Speaker 2: team coming out of Group B, whether that be Venezuela, Ecuador,

813
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:10,719
Speaker 2: or Mexico, who they're all very capable of beating. And

814
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 2: then you know, in my thinking of it is, it's

815
00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 2: like I would much rather take if you're somebody who's

816
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:17,919
Speaker 2: just like I don't have it. I don't see any

817
00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:20,399
Speaker 2: reason why they would beat Argentina, even if they lose

818
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 2: to him in the first match. I'd rather take a

819
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 2: stage of elimination eleven to one rather than seven to

820
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 2: one to make the semifinals because of who they're going

821
00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:31,319
Speaker 2: to face, right, Like, it's pretty I'd say there's like

822
00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:35,160
Speaker 2: the highest percentage probability of any like matchup in this

823
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 2: tournament is going to be you're gonna play Argentina in

824
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 2: the semis if you're on the top half of the bracket,

825
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 2: right in that other section, Like, that's just that's basically

826
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 2: how it's going to be. So stage of elimination eleven

827
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 2: to one I think has a lot of legs. Obviously,

828
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 2: as you know, Canada to win the entire tournament at

829
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 2: ninety to one does so that'd be my only you know,

830
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 2: it's hard because you know, as I was we were

831
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:56,360
Speaker 2: filling out this sheet, I was just like, you know,

832
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 2: for the Euros, for long shots, we do anything twenty

833
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,040
Speaker 2: to one or longer. There's not a lot of that.

834
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 2: There are twenty to one longer in this tournament that

835
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:05,000
Speaker 2: actually have a lot of value because you know, just

836
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,600
Speaker 2: the reality of the tournament is the smaller tournament, the

837
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 2: markets that are being offered are like half of what

838
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:14,120
Speaker 2: it was offered during the Euros. So we're working with

839
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 2: what we have to play with, right, So anything ten

840
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 2: to one or longer. I think Canada stays in nation

841
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 2: at eleven to one in the SEMIS would be has some.

842
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:25,239
Speaker 3: Value, okay, and real quick you have a couple other

843
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 3: hyper specific player props to get it. Yeah, so we

844
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 3: at least have markets for a couple of teams for

845
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 3: the top goal scores for individual teams. Like I already

846
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:37,720
Speaker 3: mentioned Luis Diaz and the amount of shot productions he's getting.

847
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 3: He's plus one sixty to lead Columbia in goals, which

848
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:43,000
Speaker 3: since they're going to have a lot of shots, a

849
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:45,799
Speaker 3: lot of high event tie matches, that generally leads to,

850
00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 3: you know, comparatively to a team that you know might

851
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 3: only score one or two goals, like it leads you

852
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 3: more towards taking a favorite, especially at that price, because

853
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:54,879
Speaker 3: there's going to be a lot of goals and he's

854
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 3: getting the one that's getting a lot of.

855
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 2: The shot production. And this is probably the squarest bed

856
00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:01,799
Speaker 2: I've ever played in my life. But theds are a

857
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 2: little too low in my opinion. But Messi to be

858
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 2: Argentina's top goal score at minus one twenty five, probably

859
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:10,799
Speaker 2: the most no duh like that, but Messi got three

860
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,959
Speaker 2: point nine shots per ninety when he played in six

861
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 2: South American qualifiers. That was one point seven more than

862
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 2: anybody else on the team. He's the penalty taker, he's

863
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:21,799
Speaker 2: the free kick taker. He is still the main guy

864
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:25,239
Speaker 2: for Argentina. So at minus one twenty five, since they

865
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 2: are going to score a lot of goals and he's

866
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,759
Speaker 2: getting most of the shot production, minus one twenty five,

867
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:33,239
Speaker 2: in my opinion, is a little short and probably should

868
00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:36,240
Speaker 2: be closer to minus one fifty. I know Lutro Martinez

869
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 2: and Julian Alvarez are unbelievable strikers, but for Argentina, it's

870
00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:42,719
Speaker 2: all about Messi, so him to be their top goal

871
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:44,000
Speaker 2: score at minus one twenty.

872
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:46,480
Speaker 3: Five, yeah, it really does feel like this. Not only

873
00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:48,319
Speaker 3: is this tournament set up for Argentina, but it's like

874
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:50,759
Speaker 3: set up for Messi's set you right, you know.

875
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:53,879
Speaker 2: In the United States, too funny, right, Like yeah, they

876
00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 2: just I still can't believe they put four to the

877
00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:57,960
Speaker 2: five best teams in the bottom half of the bracket.

878
00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:01,440
Speaker 2: Like that was just like Taylor made and it's just

879
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,000
Speaker 2: tailor made for Messi and everything like that. I mean,

880
00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 2: the odds reflect though, Michael, like I was looking at

881
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:07,799
Speaker 2: other day, like Artichie has minus one forty to make

882
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 2: the final, Like I know, like this, like what are

883
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 2: we doing? Like this is not fun?

884
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:15,840
Speaker 3: Well, we got through it, and I do think that

885
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,080
Speaker 3: we gave out a forty to one bet in Luis

886
00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 3: dis to win the Golden Boot that I really feel

887
00:43:21,680 --> 00:43:24,479
Speaker 3: like it's just terrific, terrific value. So if you were,

888
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 3: if you are listening still, if you made it this far,

889
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 3: I would think that that's the bet that you'd want

890
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 3: to walk away from here with in your pocket.

891
00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:33,959
Speaker 1: But that'll do it for us here.

892
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 3: We'll be back again doing Euros, We'll be doing Copa

893
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,799
Speaker 3: America matches, all all sorts of stuff, so you'll be

894
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 3: hearing a lot from us over the next month.

895
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 1: And then of course we only.

896
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:44,520
Speaker 3: Have a couple of weeks off between the end of

897
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 3: the tournaments and the Premier League, so I get used

898
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:51,719
Speaker 3: to it. For BJ I'm Michael. Thank you to our

899
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:54,520
Speaker 3: sponsors BET three sixty five. Thank you to you for listening.

900
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:57,640
Speaker 3: Thank you to our producer David for all the hard work.

901
00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 1: On the back end. Best of luck with all your bets.

902
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 3: Will talk to you against soon.

903
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

904
00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:19,480
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

905
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:22,359
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906
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:23,240
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