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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I can just about that action all right?

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Speaker 3: Here we all throwing out. We're sitting up to cash.

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Speaker 4: Stop. That's all we see.

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Speaker 3: Most gamble is ships. When they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win. That's incredible, big bank small. I like

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Speaker 3: to make money, all right. This is the ultimate combine

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Speaker 3: if you want to.

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Speaker 4: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: What's up, everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings. I'm

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Speaker 2: your host, Chris Raybond. This is our NFL Week twelve

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Speaker 2: betting preview. We're gonna talk side totals, props, money line,

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Speaker 2: underdog parways, and as always, will go to our Sunday

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Speaker 2: six pack of against the spread beats with the help

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Speaker 2: of my co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 2: Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 3: What's going on?

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Speaker 1: Go on?

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Speaker 4: Brother? I can't believe at Week twelve. Next week's gonna

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Speaker 4: be crazy Thanksgiving week, especially for podcasts. I know, for

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Speaker 4: you and your fantasy me for NFL in college. But

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Speaker 4: we're we're in the storm and I already can't wait

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Speaker 4: for postseason football. But not getting ahead of myself, I'm

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Speaker 4: cherishing every one of these weeks. You got to remember,

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Speaker 4: like when you get in the midst of the grind,

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Speaker 4: you're like, oh, this is a lot. But then you

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Speaker 4: you think to like June and July when you're like

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Speaker 4: dying for football. So uh yeah, it's on to week

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Speaker 4: twelve and hopefully we can find some winners here. Was

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Speaker 4: a little disappointed last week. We got Dorch who was

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Speaker 4: we both love. Yeah, yeah, he got in the end

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Speaker 4: zone and Warren got hurt. Yep, so he couldn't complete

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Speaker 4: the parli. Yeah, well, just took all his touchdowns and

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Speaker 4: got all the looks because Warren came out with an

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Speaker 4: ankle injury. So that was unfortunate. But uh yeah, it

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Speaker 4: was Uh, it was decent NFL Sunday. It was entertaining,

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Speaker 4: very entertaining day, which we haven't had a lot of lately.

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Speaker 4: Officials are really bad across the board from start to finish.

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Speaker 4: But other than that, I thought it was an entertaining day.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, looking forward to getting under week twelve.

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Speaker 2: Yep, you're up thirty eight twenty seven. Been trying to

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Speaker 2: catch you all year, but you've been hot. So I've

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Speaker 2: got some work to do. Two points for our first,

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Speaker 2: to point for our third point for a total point.

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Speaker 2: If you sweep all those For those new listeners out.

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Speaker 1: There Thursday for action, let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: Let's start it off with the first pick of the

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Speaker 2: week twelve Sunday six Pack. I am going with the

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Speaker 2: New Orleans Saints minus one and a half against the

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Speaker 2: Atlanta Falcons. Kind of pissed them myself that I missed

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Speaker 2: the Saints as an underdog, but I still like them.

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Speaker 2: I think this should be close to three. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this Falcon team, when you take Drake London off of

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Speaker 2: this offense, it is against bad in a hurry. And

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Speaker 2: then you got Kirk Cousins in for Michael Pennix. And

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Speaker 2: I know, you know last year Cousins first half of

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Speaker 2: the year he was solid, but he hasn't been able

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Speaker 2: to move around at all. Uh So, I think that

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Speaker 2: that's a big downgrade for this offense. And then you

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Speaker 2: have the Saints coming off of buye and I think

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Speaker 2: Tyler Shuck gives them a little bit more at quarterback,

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Speaker 2: a little bit more upside at quarterback than yeah then

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Speaker 2: ratwer So, I mean fans metrics, you know, Shuck isn't

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Speaker 2: isn't great like he's actually I think a little worse

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Speaker 2: than rat wer in EPA per play, but he's improved

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Speaker 2: each of his three, you know, main appearances. He came

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Speaker 2: into relief a couple of weeks ago against maybe like

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Speaker 2: three weeks ago against Tampa Bay, and then uh, first

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Speaker 2: start he was better against the Rams through for seven

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Speaker 2: point three yards an attempt to touchdown uh sixty two

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Speaker 2: completion percent, but just didn't get to throw a lot.

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Speaker 2: And then last last game against Carolina he had a

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Speaker 2: couple of touchdowns two hundred and eighty two yards ten

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Speaker 2: point four in attempt. So overall, I mean, you know,

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Speaker 2: the EPA because it he's got some picks, are got

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Speaker 2: two picks, isn't great, but you know, you look at

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Speaker 2: the non turnover EPA, Uh, he's right around league average

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Speaker 2: seven point one yards per attempt. So I think there

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Speaker 2: is some upside here. And this Falcons defense has been

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Speaker 2: trending down as well.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 2: You know, I worry about their their offensive line a

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Speaker 2: little bit with with Cousins there instead of Penis. You know,

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Speaker 2: Penis had his own slaws. He wasn't really thrown to

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Speaker 2: the middle of the field. But now you take Drake

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Speaker 2: London out and I just I mean this Falcons offense

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Speaker 2: is probably just gonna go and show and try to

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Speaker 2: run the ball, you know, forty times if they can.

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Speaker 2: But the Saints have been solid on defense. You know,

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Speaker 2: they're not the worst defense in the league.

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Speaker 4: So you're good against the run on seventh and epa

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Speaker 4: eleventh and success right against the run.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's it's not a bad It's not as

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Speaker 2: bad of a match as it kind of looked. If

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Speaker 2: you know, Pennix and London would have been healthy. Not

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Speaker 2: that Penix was great this year, but yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: this thing's defense is a little bit underrated. And you know,

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Speaker 2: we saw them play like that game against the buff

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Speaker 2: The Bucks did try to run all over them and

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Speaker 2: succeeded a few weeks ago. But I generally like this

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Speaker 2: This Falcon team one dimensional. With the Saints amount of

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Speaker 2: thirty nine point five percent success rate, which is yeah,

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Speaker 2: number eleven against a run, I think that this Falcons

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Speaker 2: offense could be in trouble. I think this could be

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Speaker 2: a game where the Falcons score you know, under fourteen even,

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Speaker 2: and I think the Saints can get to you know,

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Speaker 2: twenty plus twenty twenty three in this matchup. So give

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Speaker 2: me the Saints minus one and a half. I think

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Speaker 2: this should be closer real field goal.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I played the Saints right early this week plus

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Speaker 4: two and a half's still play it now would play

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Speaker 4: literally anything under three. Like, let's first, I mean Cousins

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Speaker 4: is done. Yeah, you just watch him. I mean he's

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Speaker 4: forty second out of forty four quarterbacks in EPA plus

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Speaker 4: completion percentage over expectation only, ahead of McCarthy and Gabriel.

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Speaker 4: He's one of only four in the negative in that

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Speaker 4: stat along with cam Ward, Gabriel and McCarthy. And you

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Speaker 4: mentioned Drake London, Well, we already saw the faults offense

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Speaker 4: with Cousins and no London. It was a start at

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Speaker 4: home against the Dolphins and they lost thirty four to ten.

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Speaker 4: It was horrendous. I mean they have here's the thing

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Speaker 4: with Drake London on the field, five point six three

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Speaker 4: yards per play without him four point four to three.

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Speaker 4: And he hasn't been on the field. It's not like

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Speaker 4: they were playing elite defenses right like there were some

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Speaker 4: of the Panthers game the Dolphins. You are almost a

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Speaker 4: yard and a half difference. Here's a really important part

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Speaker 4: run game with Drake London four point seven yards per

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Speaker 4: carry without him three point five much easier to defend

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Speaker 4: this offense without London. You saw that with the Dolphins.

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Speaker 4: Stack the box, take away Vijon because the rest of

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Speaker 4: Mooney's been horrendous. Who are the other receivers out there.

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Speaker 2: David Sills, Caredarrow Hodge, and Casey Washington, who are all

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Speaker 2: just like Cardio King, Like they're all liable to just

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Speaker 2: run like already routes and not get a target between them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they put Warner in there, and it's the same thing.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So without Drake London, their EPA per play is

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Speaker 4: essentially and this is with or without Penis is essentially

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Speaker 4: equal to the Browns. The ep of the only team

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Speaker 4: worse than the Falcons offense without London is the Titans.

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Speaker 4: That's it. So And also I think the BI will

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Speaker 4: help Shuck and you know, build timing with his receivers.

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Speaker 4: He took over his starter. That can only help him.

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Speaker 4: Fulaga might be back, like the Saints are close to

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Speaker 4: fully healthy and Falcon's still dealing with some injuries on

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Speaker 4: the offensive line potentially on defense. But this spot, like

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Speaker 4: you have the Saints coming off of a bye, and

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Speaker 4: then you have the Falcons who were lost in overtime

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Speaker 4: overseas their defenses on the field seventy five eighty plays.

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Speaker 4: Last week, they lose again in overtime. Their defense is

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Speaker 4: on the field the entire game. Again.

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Speaker 3: Bryce Young thrown for four hundred and forty eight yards.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Bryce youngter for five hundred yards against them. But

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Speaker 4: their defense has been on the field back to back

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Speaker 4: overtime losses. So Number one, their defense could be completely gassed.

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Speaker 4: New Orleans should be able to run a little bit

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Speaker 4: here because everyone can run on the Falcons right now.

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Speaker 4: That'll help shut But the Falcons defense has to be gassed.

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Speaker 4: And then just from a an emotional standpoint, like you

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Speaker 4: lost London, you lost Panics, you just lost two straight

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Speaker 4: in overtime, and your season's pretty much over at three

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Speaker 4: and seven, like crazy flat spot where the Falcons just

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Speaker 4: might not get off the plane.

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Speaker 2: Do you want to hear a funny stat? Drake London

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Speaker 2: is responsible for thirty seven percent of the Falcons receiving yardage.

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Speaker 2: He missed a game like that? How do you miss

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Speaker 2: a game like that? Is absurd? Like they did just

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Speaker 2: nothing without this guy on the YEP.

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Speaker 4: I mean he almost single handedly beat the.

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Speaker 3: Patriots oh yeah, three touchdowns. Yep, AhR where you're going.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I would agree that was gonna be my

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Speaker 4: first one if you didn't pick it. So I was

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Speaker 4: mad when you went first this week, and it was

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Speaker 4: mad when you got the same. So for my first

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Speaker 4: pick in the second overall the week twelve Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 4: I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half.

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Speaker 4: Still some three and a half's out there against the

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Speaker 4: Philadelphia Eagles. I well, look, first of all, this Eagles team,

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Speaker 4: they are who they are at this point. Their offense

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Speaker 4: I don't think is going to figure it out. I

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Speaker 4: mean out of the by two straight weeks, we've seen nothing.

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Speaker 4: And for the whole season they can't build margin for anyone.

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Speaker 4: They have eight wins, seven of them have come by

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Speaker 4: one possession. They're seven and one and one possession games.

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Speaker 4: I do think their defense is trending up. Get some

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Speaker 4: guys back healthy, you add Phillips, their defense is going

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Speaker 4: to be a problem. Although golf certainly helped them. Golf

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Speaker 4: and weather with a glove is you know, essentially Kirk

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Speaker 4: Cousins at this point. But I like the Eagles defense

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Speaker 4: is trending up. I also think the Dallas defense is

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Speaker 4: trending up. Now. I get it's the Raiders, but I

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Speaker 4: think that they will be better against the run. Right

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Speaker 4: like you with their trade deadline acquisitions. I mean it

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Speaker 4: makes sense you add Williams in the middle of that

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Speaker 4: defensive line. They're going to be better against the run. Now,

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Speaker 4: the back end is still going to be leaky. This

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Speaker 4: is still not going to be a great defense, but

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Speaker 4: they're going to play a ton of zone and that's

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Speaker 4: what you want to do against Jalen Hurts and this

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Speaker 4: lackluster Eagles passing attack. Hurts has been significantly worse against

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Speaker 4: zone this year. And now Cam Jurgens banged up, you

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Speaker 4: won't have Lane Johnson, which might prevent you from going

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Speaker 4: with some of the jumbo packages that have unlocked some

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Speaker 4: potential for this offense, and they've done some nice things

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Speaker 4: with those looks. But Lane Johnson also is arguably the

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Speaker 4: best right tackle in the NFL. The Cowboys can get pressure.

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Speaker 4: I think they're going to be better against the run.

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Speaker 4: They play zone on the back end. Now, the Eagles

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Speaker 4: defense is nasty, but this is the Cowboys offense at home.

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Speaker 4: I trust them to put up points. Look, I know

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Speaker 4: that the Cowboys on a short week, but this is

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Speaker 4: the third game in thirteen days for the Eagles. At

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Speaker 4: their hard faught wins against the Packers and Lions kind

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Speaker 4: of washes that out Cowboys had to buy before the

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Speaker 4: Monday night game. It was a pretty easy win, didn't

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Speaker 4: have to exue much energy. So yeah, I think the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys can put up enough points here. Keep this close.

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Speaker 4: Probably what happens is the Eagles win by field goal

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Speaker 4: and run out the clock with like an eight minute

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Speaker 4: trive late. But yeah, I make this under three, and

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Speaker 4: I'll take anything over three, even if you have to

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Speaker 4: minus one twenties. Fine, Dak first the division for whatever reason.

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Speaker 4: This is an ATM thirty one and thirteen against the

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Speaker 4: spread seventy and a half percent, covering by seven points

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Speaker 4: per game. But actually think it's a decent matchup with

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Speaker 4: the Cowboys defense in its current form, since they can

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Speaker 4: stop the run much more effectively now. And I know

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Speaker 4: the Eagles defense is nasty and only getting better, but

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Speaker 4: I think with the weapons Dallas has and how well

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Speaker 4: Dak is playing, I think they can put up enough

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Speaker 4: points here. And it's just an Eagles offense that I

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Speaker 4: don't really trust. To win by margin, so I'll take

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Speaker 4: my chances with Dallas real quick.

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Speaker 2: What do you think of about the under on this game,

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Speaker 2: because I'm kind of like I won't.

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Speaker 3: Oh I got crushed. Yeah, it's down forty seven, right down.

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Speaker 4: To forty seven and a half, moved three points.

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Speaker 2: I still don't mind it that much, but it's it's

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Speaker 2: risky indoors with the Cowboys. They are always so much

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Speaker 2: better at home. But I feel like the Eagles might

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Speaker 2: not hitting over for the rest of the year.

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Speaker 4: The Eagles are dead not on their team, Like.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I might play that too, mostly I'm not.

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Speaker 3: I'm not.

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Speaker 2: I don't think I'm gonna go to it for the show,

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Speaker 2: but probably will end up playing it either way because

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Speaker 2: I don't. Yeah, I think the Eagles probably are just

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Speaker 2: gonna do what they've been doing, try to run against zone.

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Speaker 2: It's not like they played a twenty four to twenty game.

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Speaker 2: What they would both stopped scoring for like twenty minutes.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, somehow that game went under. That was insane.

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Speaker 3: Yeah all right for now? Yeah? Yeah, oh yeah, I

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Speaker 3: have this. Let's see, that would have been mine. That

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Speaker 3: would have been my second.

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Speaker 2: So if you I took New Orleans first, if you

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Speaker 2: didn't take Dallas second, that would have been my second,

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Speaker 2: and then this would have been my third.

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Speaker 3: But this is going to be my second, and that

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Speaker 3: is for.

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Speaker 2: The second for my second pick, and then third of

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Speaker 2: the week. So Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

263
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Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals plus three. Shop around for the best number.

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Speaker 2: It's been kind of fluctuated between two and a half

265
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Speaker 2: and three, but I think it will stay at three

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Speaker 2: because Marvin Harrison's been ruled out. But still like this

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Speaker 2: against the Jags at home. I think it's a letdown

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Speaker 2: spot for the Jags. You know, you called it with

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Speaker 2: them last week, you know, facing the Chargers going across

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Speaker 2: the country to Jacksonville. Now Jacksonville's going on the road,

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Speaker 2: and they just have not been as good on the road.

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Speaker 2: I have these teams about I have jackson about a

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00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:51,160
Speaker 2: point half point to a point better on a neutral field.

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Speaker 2: Now the Cardinals do have some injuries, so called a point,

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Speaker 2: so I just can't get to, you know, three for

276
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Speaker 2: the Jags on the road here, Dakobe Brissett has been great. Yes,

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Speaker 2: Harrison's ruled out, but we're seeing Brissett just elevate. You know,

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Speaker 2: whoever it needs to be. Like first it was McBride

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Speaker 2: with the touchdowns, and now last week we saw Michael

280
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Speaker 2: Wilson go off from buck eighty five have a career day.

281
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Speaker 2: So I'm not as concerned about Harrison being out as

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Speaker 2: I would have been.

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Speaker 3: Maybe with Kyler Murray. Greg Dortch is also playing well.

284
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Speaker 3: They're getting him involved.

285
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Speaker 2: And this Jaguar team, you know, they just they just

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00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:31,360
Speaker 2: kind of took advantage of this flat Chargers offense last week.

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Speaker 3: But if you look at.

288
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Speaker 2: You know, like EPA per play, the Jaguars are one

289
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:40,680
Speaker 2: of the worst passing offenses. Trevor Lawrence has not been great,

290
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,480
Speaker 2: Persett has been a lot better, and then you know

291
00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,720
Speaker 2: the Jags are getting something going with Tooting now he's

292
00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,200
Speaker 2: a little banged up. So I think this Jags team

293
00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,040
Speaker 2: is just gonna They're gonna try to run the ball

294
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Speaker 2: and they'll have some success. Like this Cardinal defense is

295
00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,200
Speaker 2: trending down, so that if this bat loser is it's

296
00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,120
Speaker 2: probably gonna be on the Cardinals defense. But I just

297
00:14:57,160 --> 00:15:01,680
Speaker 2: think my numbers have Brissett uh a couple like about

298
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:04,560
Speaker 2: a point better than Kyler Murray now, and so I

299
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Speaker 2: just can't get to this number on the road at

300
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Speaker 2: plus three, uh for the for the Cardinals. I mean

301
00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:13,120
Speaker 2: I would make this about to pick them Cardinals even

302
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,280
Speaker 2: a slight favorite depending on who plays. But yeah, give

303
00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:20,760
Speaker 2: me the Cardinals plus three at home against the Jaguarars.

304
00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:21,440
Speaker 3: Yeah.

305
00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:23,600
Speaker 4: A lot of injury uncertainly on both sides. Like the

306
00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:27,440
Speaker 4: Jags are they going to get Like last week they

307
00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,280
Speaker 4: ended up being short ended. They were much more short

308
00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:31,560
Speaker 4: ended than I thought, Like Jordan Lewis didn't come back,

309
00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:37,360
Speaker 4: Strange didn't come back, Harrison didn't play, so I think

310
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Speaker 4: Trayvon Walker got banged up too, and then that's big. Yeah.

311
00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:42,800
Speaker 4: The Cardinals side, you have their corners. Are they gonna

312
00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:44,520
Speaker 4: get who are their cornerback room? Are they going to

313
00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:48,240
Speaker 4: get back? They have some other injuries, they're Jonah Williams

314
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Speaker 4: their right tackle. So like there's a this could swing,

315
00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:53,800
Speaker 4: Like if one team gets all their guys back on

316
00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:58,920
Speaker 4: the other doesn't that could matter. But there's there's a

317
00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,080
Speaker 4: lot of injuriance there in here. But from a numbers perspective,

318
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Speaker 4: I would agree with you. I actually like the Cardinals

319
00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:07,200
Speaker 4: is a teaser piece this week. Maybe tease them with

320
00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:14,960
Speaker 4: the let's see. I think Steelers yeah, Steelers be a

321
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:19,160
Speaker 4: great teaser piece, but yeah, I mean, like the Jags.

322
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Speaker 4: The only my fear is that the I mean Brissett

323
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,479
Speaker 4: set an NFL record in completions last week without.

324
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Speaker 2: Without having and you've got the better quarterback at home

325
00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:30,800
Speaker 2: as a dog, Like that's really it's simple as that

326
00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:31,080
Speaker 2: for me.

327
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Speaker 4: Like, my fear is that the Jags will be able

328
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:36,600
Speaker 4: to run it because the Cardinals run defense hasn't been

329
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:42,120
Speaker 4: great and like they really want to take away explosive passes.

330
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:46,000
Speaker 4: That doesn't really matter against the Jags, but if the

331
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Speaker 4: like the Jags handicap is like are they able to

332
00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,480
Speaker 4: run the ball, And if they are, then that offense

333
00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:54,800
Speaker 4: is going to have success, which they might be able

334
00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,080
Speaker 4: to do here. But from a pure numbers perspective, yeah,

335
00:16:57,120 --> 00:16:59,200
Speaker 4: I mean I think this is just this is an overreaction.

336
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,720
Speaker 4: I mean the look at line, which isn't most efficient,

337
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,200
Speaker 4: was like, I think the Cardinals are favored by one

338
00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,800
Speaker 4: one and a half and then the Jags beat the

339
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,520
Speaker 4: Chargers with good a good matchup, I thought. I mean,

340
00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:11,199
Speaker 4: the Cardinals out game the forty nine ers by two

341
00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:13,000
Speaker 4: hundred and fifty yards. They just had a bunch of turnovers.

342
00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,399
Speaker 4: They give up a ninety yard kick return. It was

343
00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:19,080
Speaker 4: they were pretty unlucky in that game. That's my only fear.

344
00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,040
Speaker 4: But just to throw a comparison data point, the Jags

345
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,760
Speaker 4: were laying less than this number and against the Raiders

346
00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 4: and didn't cover. They won on a two point conversion fail. Yeah,

347
00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:30,200
Speaker 4: final play of overtime.

348
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:31,600
Speaker 2: I was about to say, if you look at the

349
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:35,359
Speaker 2: Jags on the road four point loss to the Bengals

350
00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,480
Speaker 2: and Jake Browning played, you know, the end of that game,

351
00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:44,159
Speaker 2: they beat the Niners by five on a you know,

352
00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 2: I think they got like a kick return there. So

353
00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:48,440
Speaker 2: they got out gained three eighty nine to three twenty five.

354
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:53,160
Speaker 2: Then that Raider game in overtime, a one point win,

355
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 2: and then the week after that they go to Houston

356
00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,119
Speaker 2: and lose to the Texans by giving up twenty six

357
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,879
Speaker 2: points to David's mill so in the fourth quarter. So

358
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:05,360
Speaker 2: like this, this team when it travels is not good.

359
00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,639
Speaker 2: When people come down to Jacksonville and they you know,

360
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,000
Speaker 2: they're they're not used to playing that humidity. They played

361
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 2: a lot of West Coast teams and just you know,

362
00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:15,360
Speaker 2: it's just it's just been a whole different kind of situation.

363
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,800
Speaker 2: So I think you know, going now, the Jag could

364
00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:20,280
Speaker 2: be a little banged up going across the country. I'm

365
00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:22,679
Speaker 2: gonna take my chances because Trevor Lawrence has not been good.

366
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:24,480
Speaker 2: It's been an all Leam Cohen and now you got

367
00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:26,920
Speaker 2: Touton banged up. So even the run game, I mean,

368
00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:28,920
Speaker 2: you can't give etn like thirty.

369
00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:29,240
Speaker 3: Carries, can you?

370
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,680
Speaker 2: I don't know, maybe you can, but uh, I think

371
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,080
Speaker 2: Touton's is an important part of that run game at

372
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Speaker 2: this point too. So yeah, like the like the Jags,

373
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Speaker 2: I mean, excuse me, like the Cardinals against the Jags,

374
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Speaker 2: hate the Jags, act on the road.

375
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Speaker 3: All right, stuck.

376
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Speaker 2: We're gonna get to your second pick in a moment,

377
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,399
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Speaker 3: The crown is yours, all right? Stut, where are we

407
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:10,120
Speaker 3: going with pick number two?

408
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Speaker 4: All right? Speaking of road fades, we are for my

409
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:16,879
Speaker 4: second pick and the fourth overall the week twelve Sunday

410
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 4: six pack. I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus

411
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 4: three and a half against the Cleveland Browns, laying three

412
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,639
Speaker 4: and a half with this Raiders team with a total

413
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 4: what is this total down to thirty five and a

414
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:35,200
Speaker 4: half indoors insane might sound crazy, but this is number one,

415
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 4: a pure fade of Shador Sanders. I don't think he's

416
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 4: ready to be an NFL quarterback right now, and from

417
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,199
Speaker 4: everything I've heard from people close to the team, that

418
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 4: is the case. From everything I seen, everything I saw

419
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 4: last week, that was the case. I mean he had

420
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 4: a negative thirty five percent completion percentage over expectation. He

421
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 4: was oh, I think he was oh of eight against

422
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 4: the blitz with one hundred percent pressure, right, he just

423
00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 4: puts them. He holds on the ball too long. He's

424
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 4: not even at enough to make up for it, and

425
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:04,639
Speaker 4: he can't read defenses. He can't re blitzes. The Browns

426
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 4: also have injuries at tackle. We don't know if they

427
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 4: might have to have the Leveston in there again, they

428
00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:11,360
Speaker 4: might have two backup tackles. We'll see. Yeah, both practice

429
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:14,360
Speaker 4: on limited capacity. Max Crosby might set an NFL record

430
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 4: for sax in a game. I just don't think she

431
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 4: was ready at this moment. And additionally, the Browns defense

432
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 4: isn't the same on the road. Talk about it every week.

433
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 4: Are the Browns at home? Yes, you can bet them.

434
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 4: Are they not? Yes, you can fade them. Over the

435
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 4: past three seasons, Brown's most profitable home team in the

436
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 4: NFL sixty three point six percent against the spread, on

437
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:43,639
Speaker 4: the road the least profitable five and seventeen against the

438
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,560
Speaker 4: spread twenty two point seven percent, failing to cover by

439
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:50,400
Speaker 4: almost a touchdown per game, the least profitable. But Browns, literally,

440
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 4: that's their defense. Their defense is a juggernaut at home.

441
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 4: But I can tell you. I'll tell you a quick story,

442
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 4: all right. So I had the Browns last week plus

443
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 4: eight and a half. I'm up six in the fourth quarter,

444
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 4: and I thought I was gonna lose because I was like,

445
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 4: Sanders is gonna throw a pick six? And I mean,

446
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 4: they're gonna The Ravens could score three touchdowns in like

447
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 4: a minute. Here he threw a pick on one of

448
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:17,160
Speaker 4: the worst stars I've ever seen. Hamilton dropped another pick

449
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,960
Speaker 4: six on like a rollout that he threw right to him.

450
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 4: He took multiple sacks. I mean it was he almost

451
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 4: he took one back inside the five yard line. Like,

452
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 4: I think it's just going to be a disaster, Gino Smith.

453
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:34,159
Speaker 4: This Raiders offensive line has been a disaster. I get it,

454
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 4: Like it's it's horrendous that wearries me against the Cleveland

455
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 4: defensive line. But the Cleveland defense isn't the same on

456
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,679
Speaker 4: the road. I just have a quarterback who is a professional,

457
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:46,560
Speaker 4: starting caliber quarterback and the other team does not. That's

458
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 4: all this is. I don't think like the market because

459
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 4: Gabriel's been argue that one of the three worst quarterbacks

460
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:55,639
Speaker 4: in the NFL. So you're like, how much can they

461
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 4: drop off feet? Well, there's a reason that Gabriel was

462
00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 4: in there and they weren't even looking at yet. Maybe

463
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 4: one day he can be a good quarterback. He's just

464
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:06,159
Speaker 4: not ready right now. Like there there's going to be

465
00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 4: short fields, turnovers, lots of sacks, fumbles, and I think

466
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:15,719
Speaker 4: the Raiders are going to take full advantage and get

467
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:16,360
Speaker 4: it done at him.

468
00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 3: All right, I got extra door Sanders staff for you.

469
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 2: It's pretty hilarious. Okay, last game against the Ravens, he

470
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 2: had eighteen dropbacks for twenty net passing yards, so eighteen

471
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,880
Speaker 2: for twenty right, and then in his previous like appearance

472
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 2: where he got some dropbacks, that was that last preseason

473
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 2: game where we were out in Chicago, I believe.

474
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 4: And he got sacks like five times in a quarter.

475
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 2: Eleven dropbacks negative twenty seven net yards. So over his

476
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 2: last two like you know, appearances where he got work,

477
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: he's had what's that thirty one dropbacks for negative seven yards.

478
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 4: You know, I don't think anyway, was that the Rams game? Yes,

479
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 4: the third they they didn't start, they started their entire

480
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 4: like fourth.

481
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,400
Speaker 3: Ess ter Win started at quarterback and played the entire game.

482
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 4: Their entire practice squad that game.

483
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, so yeah.

484
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:17,639
Speaker 4: I mean here's the other thing. Nadjoku also has banged up.

485
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 3: Well.

486
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 4: The Raiders. Patrick Graham is a smart defensive coordinate. We

487
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 4: both like him. They're just you can just blitz and

488
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 4: Crosby's could just have it down his own. But the

489
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,880
Speaker 4: Raiders also do a really like they're decent against the run,

490
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 4: Like that's what the Browns are going to try to

491
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,159
Speaker 4: do here. Raiders I think are I don't know, like

492
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 4: fourteenth fifteenth. They like league average against the run.

493
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, for fifteenth in EPA and.

494
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 2: Uh twenty second in success right.

495
00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, but if you if you adjust that for schedule,

496
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 4: they're like, I think thirteenth fourteenth, I think overall, like DDA,

497
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 4: they're above average. Maybe defensively, I couldn't say, yeah they were,

498
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,919
Speaker 4: like their schedule has been brutal at the offenses that

499
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 4: they faced. But regardless, while you're looking that up the

500
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 4: the the Raiders always do a good job of like

501
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,480
Speaker 4: they're schematically they want to prevent explosive plays.

502
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 2: Fourteenth and dboa overall, fifteenth against the pass and fifteenth

503
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 2: against the run.

504
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,439
Speaker 3: So they are yeah, like a league average defense.

505
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:24,639
Speaker 4: Yep. Uh, so they want to take away explosive plays, which,

506
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 4: so how do you like they're You're the Browns in

507
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 4: order to score and to need should order to drive

508
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 4: the field without turning it over and taking negative plays.

509
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 4: I don't think that they'll be able to do that.

510
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:36,880
Speaker 4: And again, the Browns defense is the same on the road.

511
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:38,920
Speaker 4: Give me the Raiders lank three and a half. It's disgusting,

512
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,480
Speaker 4: I know, but should or faith he might prove me

513
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 4: wrong and figure it all out in a week. But

514
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 4: I'll pay to find out.

515
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:47,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I might. I might actually be hon you with

516
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:47,720
Speaker 3: this one.

517
00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,639
Speaker 2: I was I was debating going with this over like

518
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 2: if if you hadn't taken this, I might have gone

519
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,239
Speaker 2: with this over my third. Uh. So it was kind

520
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,360
Speaker 2: of an interesting draft. I think we both drafted right

521
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 2: because we each had like the other picks. But for

522
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,439
Speaker 2: my third and final, No, for my third and the

523
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:07,200
Speaker 2: fifth overall pick of the week twelve Sunday six pack,

524
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 2: I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Plus seven plus

525
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 2: six and a half don't matter for the contest.

526
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,120
Speaker 3: Uh And this is just a big number here.

527
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:19,359
Speaker 2: I know the Rams have been amazing, but I trust

528
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 2: the Bucks offense here to put up enough points to

529
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:26,159
Speaker 2: hang with them. Hang with the Rams, I mean you

530
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 2: look at this even last week, I mean they were

531
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,120
Speaker 2: up thirty two to thirty one against the Bills. Yeah,

532
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 2: they give up some some plays late unfortunately, and it

533
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 2: ended up costing them. But overall, I don't think this

534
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 2: Bucks defense is as bad as it showed last week

535
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,159
Speaker 2: against Josh Allen. You know, Matthew Stafford can't do some

536
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 2: of those things that Josh Allen can. They're playing a

537
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 2: lot more, you know, heavy personnel, so I don't think

538
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 2: it'll be quite as explosive for the Rams Davante, Adams

539
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 2: and Poop and akuas they might be able to hurt.

540
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 2: I don't know they Davonte just looks weird out there,

541
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 2: like he looks like he's kind of almost like resting

542
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 2: up for the playoffs. And then who was only playing

543
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 2: like sixty seventy percent of snaps these days been like

544
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 2: three four week trend with him. So I think the

545
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 2: Bucks can hang in there. Uh you mentioned last week

546
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 2: you think the Rams defense a little overrated. I mean

547
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 2: the Seahawks turned it.

548
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 3: Over four times.

549
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 2: Sam Darnold came into the game average and you know,

550
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,480
Speaker 2: like ten yards in attempt just monstrous on the year,

551
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 2: no touchdowns and four interceptions, and the Seahawks have a

552
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:24,359
Speaker 2: chance to win it at the end of the game

553
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,879
Speaker 2: with a field goal. I just don't think this Rams

554
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:30,120
Speaker 2: team against really good offenses is gonna build margin. They'll

555
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:31,879
Speaker 2: still be in games. I have a Super Bowl ticket

556
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 2: on them, don't. I'm not knocking them, but seven is

557
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 2: a big number. I'd make this, uh you know, kind

558
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:42,239
Speaker 2: of like four high scores maybe five at most. So

559
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 2: plus seven give me the Bucks all you might get

560
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:48,879
Speaker 2: some guys back. Yeah, but Tucker has given them like

561
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 2: that gave him a second element in the Run Game universe.

562
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 4: And Baker was finally scrambling last week, which.

563
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 2: Was yes, and that was that was key five for

564
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 2: thirty nine and a touchdown.

565
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,520
Speaker 3: Tucker is Tucky. I just it's Tucky Irving.

566
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 2: Now it does the Matterford's Buckier, Like, as long as

567
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,440
Speaker 2: it's not Rashad White getting the twenty carries. If he

568
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 2: can get like five or six and just get the

569
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 2: passing downs.

570
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 3: I think this Bucks offense.

571
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 2: Is great because Baker's moving around again. Uh, those receivers

572
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 2: won't always have as bad a day as they had,

573
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 2: like a Buka's elite, Tess Johnson's progressed really well and

574
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:20,320
Speaker 2: uh and Shepherd's solid and the slot hot and solid.

575
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,639
Speaker 2: So Bucks just solid offense. I think they're gonna be

576
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 2: able to hang here. I think they could pull off

577
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 2: the upset, to be honest, but the Rams I don't.

578
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 2: They're not gonna always pull away from teams unless you

579
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 2: have a really bad defense. And this Bucks defense has

580
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 2: been you know last week. Now with standing, there's still

581
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 2: number seven in DVOA. They are eighth against the eighth

582
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 2: against the past seventh against the run, and that's important,

583
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 2: you know, you stop the Rams run game. But they're

584
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 2: doing with Kyron and Quorum and there's it's gonna be

585
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 2: a lot of passes to tight ends.

586
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 4: Now.

587
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 2: The one thing that worries me, and the reason this

588
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 2: number is, you know it's probably as high as it is.

589
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 2: Stafford has killed the blitz.

590
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:56,720
Speaker 3: The Bucks do.

591
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 4: Well the bullets. Yeah, we love to go Bo don't

592
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 4: blitz as much.

593
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, But but Boll, I mean he's good, he's I mean,

594
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 2: he's just kind of stayed out of the way the offense.

595
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 2: He always higres good offensive coordinators and so I don't

596
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 2: think he's gonna have a complete meltdown here. The Bucks

597
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 2: have been into every game, even like I said, last

598
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 2: week up thirty two thirty one on the Bills had

599
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:18,280
Speaker 2: a possession weight where they could have even you know,

600
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 2: backdoor covered. So I trust him to at least do that,

601
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 2: especially with the with the Rams playing more of these

602
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 2: you know tight ends. Like, yes, it's it's been working

603
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 2: for them, and they you know, get to keep Stafford

604
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 2: up right a little bit more, but in general, like

605
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 2: you're not gonna have as many explosive plays tight ends

606
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 2: like you're not. It's not like you have at well

607
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: and you know those guys back when they hooks, he's

608
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 2: just throwing it down the field and get these long touchdowns.

609
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 2: And now Adams he catches like one or two balls

610
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 2: a game. So yeah, I think this Rams team been.

611
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 3: Getting a little lucky.

612
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 2: And last week they they were really lucky to escape

613
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 2: that game with a win given. I mean, how like

614
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 2: they just kind of it was just it seemed like

615
00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 2: they were supposed to be blowing the Seahawks out and

616
00:29:57,400 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 2: you look up and it's just a two point game

617
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 2: and they're Seahawks and winding up for a field goal.

618
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think this RAMS team is going to

619
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 2: be in a lot of these kind of close games

620
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 2: against quality offenses like the Bucks. Here plus seven again,

621
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 2: I make this, you know, closer to four and a half.

622
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 3: Five.

623
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 4: Yeah. One of the good things that the Bucks do

624
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:20,680
Speaker 4: is they don't match these heavy personnel formations with base defense,

625
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 4: and that's like been a key like this is there's

626
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:25,959
Speaker 4: there's a heavy personnel revolution going on. They're even started

627
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 4: a couple of weeks ago. But I mean with the

628
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 4: with the Rams are doing, I don't know if they

629
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 4: stumbled into it by accident with like some of the

630
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 4: wide receiver injuries and then or like he was meaning

631
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 4: to do it. But like their use of thirteen personnel,

632
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 4: especially in the red zone, has been like it's cheat code.

633
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 4: You have Adams out there and they're depending on what

634
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 4: the secondary receiver deck. You could just throw to him,

635
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,960
Speaker 4: runn or throw it the tight ends. They've been really

636
00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:52,480
Speaker 4: good across the board, but they're using thirteen personnel.

637
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 2: I don't know, Like, yeah, last few weeks ever since

638
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 2: that Jacksonville game.

639
00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, and the Seahawks are using a lot of heavy personnel.

640
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 4: One of the best offenses in the NFL this year now,

641
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 4: the Seahawks, they did a really good job against the

642
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 4: Rams offense overall, and they don't match. You have a

643
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 4: lot of these teams that will match these heavy personnel

644
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 4: with your base defense, but no, you really should be

645
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,840
Speaker 4: matching the down and distance and whether it's a passing

646
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,960
Speaker 4: down or running right. So then these teams are growing

647
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 4: and taking advantage of these mismatches against heavier personnel defenses. Right,

648
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 4: the Seahawks run they match at the lowest rate in

649
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 4: the league. They're like the league average is seventy eight percent.

650
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 4: The Seahawks are at seventeen percent. They're the only team

651
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 4: under fifty. That's a nick even more a stat by

652
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 4: the way, because you can have him on there as

653
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 4: a linebacker. But the Bucks are like the third least

654
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,480
Speaker 4: match They're at like fifty percent. So they do a

655
00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 4: good job in that aspect. I don't think they'll get

656
00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 4: completely roasted little in the weeds.

657
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 3: But no, I totally agree.

658
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 2: I think it's it's silly how many teams still put

659
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 2: linebackers on the field. Like if you got to have

660
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 2: those safeties, if anything, if you're gonna do what, you

661
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 2: can't just put like a linebacker on the field. And

662
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:14,360
Speaker 2: it's like the Rams drafted Ferguson for this, Like they

663
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 2: they had Parkinson, who they gave a big contract to already,

664
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 2: they had Hagebe and then they had Allen who's a

665
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,400
Speaker 2: very solid number three, and they still drafted Ferguson and

666
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 2: like that gives him, you know, another guy to just

667
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 2: run away from people. And defense is just most defenses

668
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 2: haven't seemed to figure it out yet. So but I

669
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 2: think the Bucks, yeah, there's they're a well coach defense,

670
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 2: so I trust that they'll be able to handle that

671
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 2: person out and I trust they'll be able to score. Really,

672
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 2: I think I think this Rams defense is running a

673
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 2: little bit lucky this year, so give me.

674
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 4: I like to like Tyke Smith's role on the field

675
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 4: can help. He's very versatile. I like to see Dean

676
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,480
Speaker 4: might be out for the Bucks. But more than I like,

677
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 4: I mean, Dean is still big.

678
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 2: I mean it's you know, you're going against Adams and

679
00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 2: yeah and Nikula, but with the one the one three

680
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 2: personnel does kind of nuke them a bit because they,

681
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 2: like I said, they haven't been on the field as much.

682
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 2: So it's like, I don't I just it's the Rams

683
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 2: kind of are not that they don't remind me the

684
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 2: Eagles in the sense of like Stafford and they're quicken,

685
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,600
Speaker 2: but because Stafford doesn't really run and they you know

686
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,120
Speaker 2: a lot of one like heavy personnel, they're one of

687
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 2: those teams that I could see just not being able

688
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 2: to build margin down the stretch. Like they'll they'll win

689
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 2: a lot of games and they'll be in that mix

690
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 2: for that one seed, but uh yeah, I could see

691
00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:23,120
Speaker 2: them winning some close ones.

692
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:27,080
Speaker 4: All Right, we go my third pick and the sixth

693
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,200
Speaker 4: and final overall the week twelve Sunday six back. I'm

694
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 4: going with the Pittsburgh Steelers. So any threes out there,

695
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 4: is it just two and a half, I mean that's

696
00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 4: mainly two and a half.

697
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 3: Well, it doesn't matter for the contest.

698
00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 4: It doesn't matter for the contest. We'll go to Pittsburg

699
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 4: Steels plus two and a half at the Chicago Bears.

700
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 4: Speaking of heavy formations, the Bears really really struggle defending

701
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 4: heavy set and that's where you're gonna get a lot

702
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 4: of against the Steelers. They're giving up six point two

703
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 4: yards per play against twelve personnel. And that's like what

704
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 4: the Steelers' offense is. They can run it, they can

705
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 4: throw to their tight ends. And these are just like

706
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,480
Speaker 4: a the AFC NFC version of each other. These are

707
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 4: like the two voodoo teams this year. I mean, the

708
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:06,440
Speaker 4: Bears are five to zero in one possession games all

709
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 4: They won them all in the final minute against the Raiders, Commanders, Vikings, Bengals, Giants.

710
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 4: I mean, none of those teams are going to the playoffs.

711
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 4: Then they won all five of those games by one

712
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 4: possession in the final minute. The other wins game against

713
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 4: the Saints and the Cowboys. They have a minus six

714
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 4: scoring margin with a seven to three record, team's been

715
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 4: pretty lucky. Why well, extreme turnover luck. The plus sixteen

716
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,799
Speaker 4: turnover margin that's usually where the Steelers are next best

717
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 4: is plus ten league high fifteen picks. They fumbled nine times,

718
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:39,200
Speaker 4: only lost two. They had won last week inside the

719
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 4: ten yard line, recovered seven of their opponents ten fumbles.

720
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 4: Like they've been really lucky in close games. Now, you

721
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 4: got to give credit to Ben Johnson. I think he's

722
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 4: been incredible. The run game is cooking Calebe Johnson, I

723
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:52,480
Speaker 4: mean Kayleb Williams is making a lot of plays downfield,

724
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:56,680
Speaker 4: creating explosives, but it's still not an overly efficient passing attack.

725
00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 4: And the defense is really bad, Like it's just benefited

726
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:04,000
Speaker 4: from turnovers and from facing one of the easiest schedules

727
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:08,719
Speaker 4: in the NFL. So also with the Steelers, you have

728
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 4: the stronger kicking leg with their kicker outdoors. Maybe that

729
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 4: matters and what should be a close game, But if

730
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,920
Speaker 4: there's one team that can cause all the turn of

731
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 4: a regression that's due for the Bears, it's the Steelers.

732
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 4: And I don't think like, is Rogers going to play.

733
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,799
Speaker 4: I don't know if Rogers is going to play like.

734
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:30,040
Speaker 4: I think that this game should be basically a pick.

735
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 4: It's funny Rogers going into Chicago where he never loses.

736
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:35,760
Speaker 4: But if it's Mason Rudolph, I think he's fine enough.

737
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,399
Speaker 4: Both teams have some defensive injuries worth monitoring, but I'd

738
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 4: chop around, try to look for a three, even if

739
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,520
Speaker 4: an expensive three. But this game should come like most

740
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 4: Bears games, right down to the wire. And I don't

741
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 4: mind the matchup for the Steelers on either end. Now

742
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 4: they're run deep. That's been bad. So like Bears should

743
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 4: be able to run the ball here, which is a

744
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:57,520
Speaker 4: little bit worrisome, but the Steeler should be able to

745
00:35:57,560 --> 00:35:59,720
Speaker 4: move the ball too. It's this Bears defense is horrendous.

746
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:03,839
Speaker 4: I mean last week JJ McCarthy had one of the

747
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:07,240
Speaker 4: worst starts I've ever seen from a quarterback through three weeks.

748
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,720
Speaker 4: I mean through three quarters. He was missing wide open guys.

749
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 4: I mean he has no touch. It was stunning. They

750
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:16,800
Speaker 4: also got two picks, they were covered a fumble inside

751
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 4: there in five that went off the running backs, and

752
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 4: the Vikings still had the lead with a minute to go.

753
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 2: I'm just absurd absurdly Yeah, yeah, I kind of want

754
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,560
Speaker 2: to I'm out of more on this game, but I

755
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:33,719
Speaker 2: might not, so I'll talk. We'll talk about it in

756
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 2: the next segment either way, though. But yeah, I think

757
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 2: the Steelers. I think the Bears are just getting so lucky.

758
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 2: I mean, they're not good, and I don't think Ben

759
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 2: Johnson really trust Caleb.

760
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,239
Speaker 3: Like they have committed to the run game. It's been working.

761
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 2: They played an easy schedule for that, but overall, I

762
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 2: just really don't think that he trusts Caleb and this defense.

763
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 2: Steelers have been trending up schematically, and they could make

764
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 2: Caleb look really bad in this spot. So that's kind

765
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:00,879
Speaker 2: I was I was thinking about the under in this game.

766
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,280
Speaker 2: I might end up pivoting, uh, but yeah, I don't.

767
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:06,919
Speaker 2: I don't think Ben trust Cabb and I don't either.

768
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:10,879
Speaker 2: And DJ Morris trending down, you know, Uh, the Keys

769
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:13,360
Speaker 2: is trending down. Even if Doomsday has had some you know,

770
00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 2: up and down games, it's just the pass offense is

771
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:17,920
Speaker 2: very shaky and so it's just gonna come down and

772
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,800
Speaker 2: running and I don't think Rudolph is going to factor

773
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 2: in that much even if he goes.

774
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 3: So yeah, I don't mind this at all.

775
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 2: Steelers Tomin is a dog too, wins what sixty percent

776
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 2: of the time over his career, So uh, I can't.

777
00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:31,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, got to mention that.

778
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 3: Yep, all right, that is.

779
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 2: Gonna do it for our week twelve Sunday six pack.

780
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:41,759
Speaker 2: It's got a recap going, so Stuck, you got Dak Prescott,

781
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:48,240
Speaker 2: you got some Gino Smith and Bason Ruder for Aaron Rodgers.

782
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 2: So I mean, actually, if Aaron Rodgers plays, you actually

783
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:52,880
Speaker 2: have a decent, decent set of quarterbacks.

784
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:54,239
Speaker 3: I got I.

785
00:37:54,280 --> 00:38:01,440
Speaker 4: Had Gabriel turning into standards. Oh yeah, McCarthy and Trevor Lawrence.

786
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:02,720
Speaker 4: So it's better this week.

787
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,320
Speaker 2: But yeah, and then I got Baker, I got Brissette,

788
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 2: and I got Shucked. So that, yeah, Schuck is our

789
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 2: crown jewel of a bad quarterback sober, I mean maybe

790
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 2: it's Gino at this point, who knows, Yeah, probably Gino.

791
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:16,920
Speaker 2: All right, that's our twelve Sunday six pack. If you

792
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 2: want to tell some of these bets, but for the

793
00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:21,160
Speaker 2: quick swipt, wink in the podcast the video description and

794
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,640
Speaker 2: be sure to sign up for Action Pro for instant

795
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:25,680
Speaker 2: notifications when all of our.

796
00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 3: Bets are tracked.

797
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:31,080
Speaker 2: All right, Stuck, I went first on the six packs

798
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 2: so we just off with the total.

799
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, Ron came to an end last week because on

800
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 4: a great run with totals. But man, talk about being

801
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:39,240
Speaker 4: dead wrong. I had the Bucks Bills under clothes. Well

802
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 4: that was within ten minutes. I was like, this is

803
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 4: a loser. So I'm gonna go with the Seahawks Titans

804
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:56,840
Speaker 4: under forty and a half. The Titans offense, it's a

805
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:58,600
Speaker 4: monkst the wars in the league. We know that now

806
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 4: they're decimated at dress. I don't know how they're going

807
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 4: to move the ball here. On the other side, you

808
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 4: have the Seahawks. You know outdoor game. They have some

809
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 4: interior offensive line injuries, which could cause some issues because

810
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 4: that's the strength of the Tennessee defense with Simmons back

811
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 4: in there, saw him wrecking Havoc last week. That that's

812
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 4: the strength of Tennessee's defense. Sweat and Simmons interior pressure

813
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 4: can cause darnold issues. So yeah, I just I mainly

814
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,240
Speaker 4: don't know how the Titans are going to move the ball.

815
00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:33,839
Speaker 4: And I think that the Titans, into your defense, can

816
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 4: can do some things and you might have you might

817
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 4: have Seattle come out a little flat here, just off

818
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 4: that emotional game against the Rams now, you know, out

819
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 4: of conference game against the Doormat Outdoors in November on

820
00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:48,760
Speaker 4: the road. I could see them being a little flat

821
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,880
Speaker 4: here as well, so maybe you get some suppressed scoring early.

822
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,399
Speaker 4: So yeah, let's go Tennessee Seattle under forty and a half.

823
00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 2: It's I thought about it, and you are getting some

824
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 2: weather here Seattle, you know, but Seattle has just been

825
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 2: so like it's so hard to kind of pay, like

826
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:08,479
Speaker 2: they can just go off for forty plus, especially against

827
00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 2: this defense.

828
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:12,360
Speaker 3: It's yeah, I mean, yeah it could.

829
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 2: But yeah, Seahawks unders scare me a little bit at

830
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 2: this point. But Darnold probably is due for some regression

831
00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 2: a though, Like you could say you had it last week.

832
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:22,920
Speaker 2: But I think try to get the forty one right.

833
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:24,839
Speaker 2: I don't know, you think it'll get back there maybe

834
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 2: because forty one is a key number, but you can't

835
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 2: really pay for totals though, So hopefully it gets back

836
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:31,480
Speaker 2: to forty one.

837
00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:33,360
Speaker 3: I think that would make me feel a little more comfortable.

838
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 3: But I was initially gonna go.

839
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:39,879
Speaker 2: With the Steelers Bears under because I just think Kayle

840
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:43,120
Speaker 2: Williams is not gonna play well. I don't think they

841
00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:44,400
Speaker 2: trust him. I think there's gonna be a lot of

842
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:46,839
Speaker 2: running on both sides. But he brought up a good point.

843
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:49,680
Speaker 2: You know, both of these defenses are bad against the run.

844
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:55,399
Speaker 2: So I'm actually gonna pivot to these Eagles Cowboys under.

845
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:56,960
Speaker 3: I was initially gonna go with that.

846
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,320
Speaker 2: I haven't played either total yet, but I'm hoping that

847
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 2: Eagles Cowboys gets back to forty eight.

848
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:02,399
Speaker 3: It's forty seven and a half right now. We vote

849
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 3: that for the contest.

850
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 2: But I think this Eagles team could end up being

851
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 2: just a straight under team for the rest of the year.

852
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 2: I mean, you look at how they're playing. They got yeah,

853
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:12,480
Speaker 2: I know that A J. Brown getting the end zone

854
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:15,439
Speaker 2: last week, but they got them eleven targets, so it's

855
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 2: not as squeaky of a wheel.

856
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 3: This week.

857
00:41:17,120 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 2: They're playing a zone heavy defense, which means, you know,

858
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 2: just not as much from Hurts. He's a little more

859
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 2: hesitant against zone. His numbers are usually not as good

860
00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:29,720
Speaker 2: and he just plays more conservatively. That's why AJ Brown

861
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:31,879
Speaker 2: was kind of making a whole stink and that's one.

862
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:32,880
Speaker 3: Of his main gripes.

863
00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 2: And there were reports that other Eagles players are kind

864
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:37,560
Speaker 2: of concerned about it too. But we know what the

865
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:39,400
Speaker 2: Eagles are going to do. They're not going to jeopardize

866
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 2: the football. Hurts is not going to jeopardize the football

867
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 2: for you know, just because people are yapping. So I

868
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 2: think there's gonna be long drives and not many turnovers

869
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 2: necessarily in this one.

870
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:54,239
Speaker 3: I do try.

871
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:55,919
Speaker 2: I do think the Cowboys are going to play better

872
00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 2: offense at home. You know, but this Eagles defense is

873
00:41:58,239 --> 00:42:00,120
Speaker 2: really good. Pointed out a couple of weeks ago. You know,

874
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 2: when they come off that buy with big fan in

875
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:06,000
Speaker 2: a big fangio, defense tends to trend up just because

876
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 2: that scheme takes a while to learn. And uh, you

877
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 2: know they're you know, they made some they made some

878
00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 2: additions to the back end.

879
00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 3: So it's I think this defense is going to be

880
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 3: really good second half.

881
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 2: We saw that against the Lions, we saw that against

882
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:19,280
Speaker 2: the Packers, two of the best offenses in the league.

883
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,640
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't be surprised if you know, even Dallas

884
00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 2: at home, you know, struggles to get you know, much

885
00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:26,480
Speaker 2: higher than twenty twenty three. And I don't think the

886
00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:28,359
Speaker 2: Eagles are going to score as much on Dallas either.

887
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 2: Remember Dallas, you know, they added Quinn Williams. Their defense

888
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,720
Speaker 2: has been trending up a little bit as the season

889
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 2: has progressed. Still not great, but I think it's a

890
00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:38,520
Speaker 2: little bit underrated.

891
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,239
Speaker 3: This total did get steamed, but.

892
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:42,239
Speaker 2: Again, I just think this Eagles team is going to

893
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,759
Speaker 2: play a lot of like twenty to seventeen games. We

894
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:46,759
Speaker 2: saw it against the Chiefs, you know, we saw it

895
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 2: against the Packers and the Lions, and I mean it

896
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 2: might almost make the Lions set the NFL record for downs, Like,

897
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:54,760
Speaker 2: how what is the NFL record for turnover round downs?

898
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 3: Do you know? Because the Lions have like five in

899
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:57,760
Speaker 3: a row at one point.

900
00:42:57,880 --> 00:42:59,880
Speaker 4: Like they go zero for five.

901
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:03,560
Speaker 2: On fourth down five straight drives though, or something like

902
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 2: five out us. It was something crazy in the middle

903
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 2: of the game. It was just like downs, downs, downs.

904
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 4: The Lions in twenty twenty two when Oz of six,

905
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:17,359
Speaker 4: of course it was the Lions were is the most

906
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:20,360
Speaker 4: failed attempts at the NFL games since forever?

907
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, since they said it, they almost said it this

908
00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:25,239
Speaker 2: week because they I mean last week, because they went

909
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 2: so in the second quarter the first drive of the

910
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 2: second quarter down second drive downs, and then then they

911
00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 2: scored a touchdown end a half and then opened the

912
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:35,640
Speaker 2: third quarter with downs, downs, downs.

913
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 3: That's like nuts, that's just absolutely nuts. But yeah, that's

914
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:40,839
Speaker 3: what this Eagles defense is.

915
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 2: So I think the Cowboys are a live dog because

916
00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:46,400
Speaker 2: I don't think the Eagles offense is as good as

917
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 2: people think it is. And I mean they scored what

918
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,319
Speaker 2: sixteen points against the Lions or what was it? Yeah,

919
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,240
Speaker 2: sixteen points against the Lions, who you know, and Eagles

920
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 2: have two great receivers.

921
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 3: And the Lions had like no cornerbacks.

922
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 2: So that's that's and the Lions, you know, play man

923
00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:03,440
Speaker 2: coverage which kind of plays into the Eagles hands in

924
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:05,440
Speaker 2: the pass get he still score sixteen points.

925
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:06,759
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm.

926
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 2: Gonna take this under forty seven and a half in

927
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 2: a division game, second division game too. Cowboys Eagles, all right,

928
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 2: So that's heightened. Seahawks under forty and a half. Cowboys

929
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 2: Eagles under forty seven and a half. Now it's time

930
00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 2: for a money line underdog.

931
00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 1: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

932
00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

933
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 4: Let's get a little crazy. Let's go with the Bengals.

934
00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 4: I know Chase is out, I know Hendrickson is out.

935
00:44:39,640 --> 00:44:44,359
Speaker 4: The Bengals defense stinks, their offensive line stinks. But maybe

936
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 4: you just get a vintage Flacco game you can throw

937
00:44:47,160 --> 00:44:49,920
Speaker 4: in the Patriots. New England's have the easiest schedule in

938
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 4: the league. Maybe they're a little fat and happy here

939
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 4: and just they're they're due. For every NFL teams, you're

940
00:44:56,960 --> 00:44:58,360
Speaker 4: gonna have a couple games a year where you just

941
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:02,319
Speaker 4: don't show up. And this would like fit the bill,

942
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 4: Like at the Bengals, who are awful in November. You're

943
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:12,000
Speaker 4: on cruise control right now. Everything is great, so you know,

944
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,680
Speaker 4: no Milton Williams. Maybe the Bengals have found a run

945
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:17,879
Speaker 4: game of late Jamar Chase obviously hurts because you want

946
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:21,839
Speaker 4: to attack the Patriots for the year. But look out

947
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 4: for Mitchell Tinsley. Oh yeah, all that guy does is

948
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:28,480
Speaker 4: circus sessions. We'll have more than later, but that. Let's

949
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:30,160
Speaker 4: get a little crazy and go to the Bengals. Just gut

950
00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:30,600
Speaker 4: feel here.

951
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:33,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm kind of in the same boat. You know.

952
00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 2: There's a few money line dogs I think are live

953
00:45:35,640 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 2: this week. I think the Bucks could could win. I

954
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,920
Speaker 2: think the Steelers are obviously why the Cowboys are are

955
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:42,920
Speaker 2: a great are in a great spot as well.

956
00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,720
Speaker 4: Think too, just against that forty nine Ers defense.

957
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'd say I'd say that. I mean, they've

958
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 2: been playing a lot better. Like you look up, what

959
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 2: are they now six and five or something?

960
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 4: One half game back the division six and five?

961
00:45:57,239 --> 00:45:59,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, they've been solid, like they're actually no one

962
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 2: ever challenges the Bucks like the Panthers might be in

963
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:04,759
Speaker 2: it to the end. Like imagine, let's see, yeah, and

964
00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 2: week eighteen, Carolina goes to Tampa Bay and they go

965
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:10,880
Speaker 2: to and they Tampa Bay goes to Carolina in week sixteen,

966
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 2: so that's that should be very interesting. But yeah, a

967
00:46:14,960 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 2: lot of choices. I'm gonna go a little bit off

968
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:18,719
Speaker 2: the board here. Kind of a gut feel too, but

969
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:24,799
Speaker 2: also just kind of watching this Packers offense and something's off,

970
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:26,880
Speaker 2: something a little off with with the Packers.

971
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:29,120
Speaker 3: To me, I can't put my finger on it.

972
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:31,080
Speaker 4: It's very weird. I love is number one in EPA

973
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,399
Speaker 4: for drop that right. Yeah, and the offense looks off.

974
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:37,520
Speaker 4: I mean now obviously Misscraft and especially just Blitz here.

975
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:41,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, they know, like the tight end absence

976
00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:44,480
Speaker 2: is huge the Vikings. That's how teams attack them. You

977
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:46,200
Speaker 2: attacked them with tight ends. I think he Ben Johnson

978
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:48,719
Speaker 2: earlier in the year actually said, uh, because I think

979
00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 2: they were. They played the Vikings a week two and

980
00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:53,839
Speaker 2: like week one, No, they played him in week one. Yeah,

981
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:56,320
Speaker 2: and then they didn't get the tight ends and he

982
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:59,240
Speaker 2: was like lamenting it that in this week they played

983
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:02,000
Speaker 2: like commit and Love when like a combined, Like, I mean,

984
00:47:02,040 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 2: they were almost always out there, uh this week. So yeah,

985
00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 2: I think the the absence of.

986
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:08,760
Speaker 3: Craft is big. Uh.

987
00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 2: And Jacobs is banged up too, so you know you

988
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 2: might have to rely on Love a little bit more.

989
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 2: He's get taken us up sacks lately. He's right, I

990
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:17,680
Speaker 2: don't know, he just looks a little bit uncomfortable in

991
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 2: the pocket. And then they have no reliable kickers, Like

992
00:47:20,680 --> 00:47:23,920
Speaker 2: I mean, it doesn't matter who's kicking. McManus, have yoursec

993
00:47:24,040 --> 00:47:27,759
Speaker 2: I mean, it's just missed, missed extra points, miss field goals.

994
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,279
Speaker 2: So this Viking team a couple you know, what was

995
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,839
Speaker 2: it three weeks ago they went to Detroit and one,

996
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 2: and you know it keeps happening where McCarthy just has

997
00:47:36,960 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 2: these terrible games. Uh.

998
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:40,200
Speaker 3: But you know this team goes on the road. They're

999
00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:41,640
Speaker 3: not that banged up anymore.

1000
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:42,239
Speaker 1: Uh.

1001
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:44,440
Speaker 2: You know, they got you know, they got their offensive guys.

1002
00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:47,080
Speaker 2: They got most of their offensive line, most of their

1003
00:47:47,120 --> 00:47:50,279
Speaker 2: defense healthy, and the Packers a little bit more banged

1004
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 2: up and just.

1005
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:51,280
Speaker 3: Out of sorts.

1006
00:47:51,280 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 2: I mean ever since that, you know, uh, those those

1007
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,480
Speaker 2: opening two weeks of the year were great for the

1008
00:47:56,520 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 2: Packers and then it was it's just been disappointment. I

1009
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:03,359
Speaker 2: mean the Cleeve game, the Dallas tie. You come off,

1010
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 2: you get okay, you get a win against the Bengals,

1011
00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:07,560
Speaker 2: they score one late and barely you need two touchdown

1012
00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:10,239
Speaker 2: to come back against Arizona. Uh, you know, you're hanging

1013
00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:13,239
Speaker 2: around with Pittsburgh's hanging around until the you go for

1014
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:15,839
Speaker 2: a couple of touchdowns. Wait, you'll lose to Carolina. Then

1015
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:19,239
Speaker 2: you'll lose to Philly with seven points, and then you

1016
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 2: need to come back. The Giants were up twenty nineteen

1017
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:25,680
Speaker 2: with like five minutes ago. Last week, the Giants, with

1018
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 2: Jamis Winston making his first start of the year, We're

1019
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:31,960
Speaker 2: up on the Packers by a point with five minutes

1020
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 2: to go in the fourth quarter Injuren No, yeah, in

1021
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:36,839
Speaker 2: New York, but like still, it's this.

1022
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 4: Is the last thing. The Panthers at home a couple of.

1023
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 2: Weeks, Yeah, and then they scored seven against Eagles. So

1024
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:44,440
Speaker 2: being at home, they've lost their they've lost their last

1025
00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:48,400
Speaker 2: two at home, scored twenty combined points, and then and

1026
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 2: then they're they're down twenty nineteen to the Giants with

1027
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:54,800
Speaker 2: Jamis and no defense, so something's off which is packed

1028
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 2: and then maybe they just prove me wrong and just

1029
00:48:56,760 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 2: erupt here. They did it against the Steers weight, but

1030
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:01,799
Speaker 2: even that, everything is late for them. So maybe you

1031
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:04,080
Speaker 2: think about some first half as well. The McCarthy's been

1032
00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 2: kind of a fourth quarter guy himself. But I just

1033
00:49:07,719 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 2: think the Vikings are live here in a division game.

1034
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:14,120
Speaker 2: We've seen Flores's defense disrupt Love in the past two

1035
00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 2: which doesn't make me any more comfortable. Last year, it

1036
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:21,400
Speaker 2: was that you know that game where the the the

1037
00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:24,319
Speaker 2: Vikings went up big early to the pack and then

1038
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:25,799
Speaker 2: the you know, the Packers kind of came back late,

1039
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 2: but I mean loved I think it was four turnovers,

1040
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:31,400
Speaker 2: and then the second meeting. The Packers only put up

1041
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:33,680
Speaker 2: two hundred and seventy one total yards of offense in

1042
00:49:33,719 --> 00:49:36,240
Speaker 2: that game, So like there, that was their lowest output

1043
00:49:36,280 --> 00:49:39,160
Speaker 2: of the entire season in that second divisional match up

1044
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 2: against Minnesota last year, so I think there could be

1045
00:49:41,600 --> 00:49:44,720
Speaker 2: some more of this just flat Green Bay offense, especially

1046
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 2: if Jacobs is not one hundred percent. I know they

1047
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,920
Speaker 2: got Watson back that does help, but the receivers, I

1048
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:51,759
Speaker 2: mean it's got to drop like five, Like, I don't

1049
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:54,400
Speaker 2: know who's healthy outside of is watched it even healthy?

1050
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:56,719
Speaker 2: He might pop up on your injury report, who knows,

1051
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:58,600
Speaker 2: But yeah, sums off with this package offense.

1052
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:00,080
Speaker 3: Give me the Minnesota Vikings.

1053
00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:02,719
Speaker 2: At U plus two thirty five, so we got a

1054
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:05,320
Speaker 2: spicy plus twelve seventy.

1055
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:10,600
Speaker 3: Three money line. Part way if you likes that draft,

1056
00:50:12,360 --> 00:50:14,799
Speaker 3: oh my god, yeah right, yeah, I.

1057
00:50:14,760 --> 00:50:17,320
Speaker 2: Mean I still I don't know you think McCarthy is

1058
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,239
Speaker 2: just this bad. I know, I mean we always still

1059
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:21,320
Speaker 2: only got like four stars. It's got to be something good.

1060
00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:23,919
Speaker 4: To get better. But right now it's bad. Like there's

1061
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 4: no touch no on his short passes. He's he's inaccurate

1062
00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:30,680
Speaker 4: down field. Like it's bad right now. It doesn't mean

1063
00:50:30,680 --> 00:50:33,960
Speaker 4: he can't be a good starter, but you just have

1064
00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 4: to assume this is what it is until you see

1065
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:36,280
Speaker 4: something different.

1066
00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:39,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's you know, O'Connor tends to get

1067
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:40,399
Speaker 2: the best of these guys.

1068
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 3: It hasn't worked out with him.

1069
00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:44,480
Speaker 2: But I'm like the Panthers threw for what did bright

1070
00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:47,880
Speaker 2: Bryce Sung was eleven of twenty four, one hundred two yards,

1071
00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:51,120
Speaker 2: no touchdowns, one pick, and the Panthers won that game.

1072
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:53,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, they got our user. It's got to be a Flora's.

1073
00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:55,600
Speaker 3: Game yep, and again it could be so Yeah.

1074
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 2: Like the Vikings, uh, I think you just get to

1075
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 2: get the upside here because if mccar he's bad, they

1076
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 2: could still get blown out. I mean the Packers, like

1077
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:06,479
Speaker 2: you said, underlying metrics are good, but they can't kick

1078
00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:09,080
Speaker 2: and something's off with their offense and their running backs

1079
00:51:09,120 --> 00:51:12,719
Speaker 2: bang up. So golve seventy three. That's almost thirteen to

1080
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 2: one if you probably Bengals plus three, ten bikes plus

1081
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 2: thirty five. Now it's time for our anytime Touchdown Parlay,

1082
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 2: presented by DraftKings. All Right, stuck, like you said, almost

1083
00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:24,799
Speaker 2: should have got that, should have got that part way

1084
00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:28,080
Speaker 2: to hit last week with George coming through, and it

1085
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:30,839
Speaker 2: was just getting Steeler's running back was what we should

1086
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:31,239
Speaker 2: have gone with.

1087
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:33,759
Speaker 3: But it happens. Where are you going this week?

1088
00:51:34,960 --> 00:51:40,240
Speaker 4: Let's go this is your suggestion, Let's go with Devon

1089
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:42,080
Speaker 4: Velay for the Saints.

1090
00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:42,880
Speaker 3: Love it.

1091
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:47,359
Speaker 4: I love the Saints this week Falcons, gas defense, indoors,

1092
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:52,439
Speaker 4: chuck throw more downfield daylight, basically getting every snap. Now, yep,

1093
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:57,160
Speaker 4: without Shaheed there. They just caught Cooks, so he's gonna

1094
00:51:57,160 --> 00:51:59,839
Speaker 4: be on the field a ton, and I think we'll

1095
00:51:59,840 --> 00:52:02,280
Speaker 4: get some looks. I think there's value here with Vele.

1096
00:52:02,760 --> 00:52:03,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, and they traded for her.

1097
00:52:04,120 --> 00:52:08,719
Speaker 2: Remember they traded for him from Denvers and then then

1098
00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:09,920
Speaker 2: they traded Shaheat away.

1099
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:11,160
Speaker 3: He got one hundred.

1100
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:13,040
Speaker 2: Percent of the snaps in the pass game the first

1101
00:52:13,040 --> 00:52:16,000
Speaker 2: game Shea heat was out, and then they just released

1102
00:52:16,040 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 2: Brandon Cooks, so they clearly want to get vayway more involved.

1103
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,879
Speaker 3: And I was I would if not for this guy.

1104
00:52:24,080 --> 00:52:25,799
Speaker 2: I love both these guys. I bet both these guys

1105
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:28,120
Speaker 2: already already. It's it's already in.

1106
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 3: The action app.

1107
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:31,440
Speaker 2: I think these guys will end up posing shorter, so

1108
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:34,759
Speaker 2: I would lock these in as soon as you hear this.

1109
00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 2: But Mitchell Tinsley is who I'm going with that plus

1110
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:40,200
Speaker 2: four fifty and you mentioned it. This guy does nothing

1111
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:44,000
Speaker 2: but makes circus catches. I know that the Patriots like

1112
00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 2: to play a lot of single high coverage Tinsley. This year,

1113
00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:51,920
Speaker 2: he's got a twenty percent target per route rate against

1114
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:56,200
Speaker 2: single single high safety and he's got a touchdown on

1115
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:59,359
Speaker 2: just four targets twenty routes versus single high this year.

1116
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:01,120
Speaker 2: So he's a guy that they will look to in

1117
00:53:01,200 --> 00:53:04,080
Speaker 2: these spots. And Chase was their number one receiver obviously

1118
00:53:04,440 --> 00:53:07,360
Speaker 2: against single high coverages because of course you're gonna go

1119
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 2: to Chase. So there's a lot of targets up for

1120
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 2: grabs here. Tinsley probably plays anywhere from sixty to ninety

1121
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:18,279
Speaker 2: percent of the pass naps because Bengals tend to go

1122
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:21,680
Speaker 2: with a lot of one to one. They got Guseki practicing,

1123
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:24,360
Speaker 2: so maybe they'll maybe they'll activate him and go a

1124
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:27,759
Speaker 2: little less one one, But either way, Tinsley is that

1125
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:30,239
Speaker 2: clear number three receiver. He's a guy that can fill

1126
00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:33,279
Speaker 2: it on the outside. With Joseavash continuing to play in

1127
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:35,879
Speaker 2: the slot. They don't usually play Charlie Jones a Ton

1128
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:38,560
Speaker 2: because he's so valuable in the return game. And then Burton.

1129
00:53:38,600 --> 00:53:40,160
Speaker 2: I don't know what's up with him. He's like got

1130
00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:42,719
Speaker 2: an illness or something. He was just like he's been

1131
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 2: a scratch pretty much every game this year. So I

1132
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 2: think Tinsley could just get that full like Joseavash Slash t.

1133
00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:51,400
Speaker 2: Higgins type of like eighty ninety percent route rate, but

1134
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:53,640
Speaker 2: either way, just a guy who catches touchdowns. Yeah, think

1135
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:55,360
Speaker 2: what do you have a multi touchdown game in the

1136
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:56,520
Speaker 2: preseason against Washington?

1137
00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:57,920
Speaker 3: I remember correctly, yep.

1138
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 2: So he's go watch that if you If you don't

1139
00:54:00,520 --> 00:54:03,920
Speaker 2: know who he is, but you can ball so Tinsley.

1140
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:10,320
Speaker 2: They lay plus twenty six fifty at DraftKings anytime touchdowns

1141
00:54:10,320 --> 00:54:10,600
Speaker 2: for them.

1142
00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:11,759
Speaker 3: Both love this one.

1143
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,319
Speaker 2: This is probably my favorite one that we've done all year.

1144
00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:18,080
Speaker 2: So let's get a home. That's our anytime touchdown parlay

1145
00:54:18,080 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 2: for week number twelve, presented by DraftKings. All right, any

1146
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 2: games we didn't touch.

1147
00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:28,279
Speaker 4: On Ravens Jets. I think the line is well. I

1148
00:54:28,320 --> 00:54:30,400
Speaker 4: mean I maybe I show a little tiny value in

1149
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 4: the Jets. We're going to start to rob but thy god,

1150
00:54:33,600 --> 00:54:36,080
Speaker 4: ty God only does he covers. He usually doesn't turn

1151
00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:36,439
Speaker 4: it over.

1152
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:38,560
Speaker 3: They got new receivers too, Yeah.

1153
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:42,319
Speaker 4: New receivers. Their defense has been still okay, like from

1154
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:45,200
Speaker 4: a success rate standpoint, but obviously you don't have Williams

1155
00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:48,720
Speaker 4: and Gardner there. Raven's offense like the red zone semester.

1156
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:50,880
Speaker 4: Now Lamar is getting sacked on twenty percent of his

1157
00:54:50,960 --> 00:54:52,960
Speaker 4: red zone snap that like the highest over the past

1158
00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:56,160
Speaker 4: ten years is fourteen percent. Price young rookie year. They

1159
00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:58,439
Speaker 4: can't run the ball in the red zone. They're trying

1160
00:54:58,440 --> 00:55:00,840
Speaker 4: to figure that out too. It's really stunting some of

1161
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:03,120
Speaker 4: their scoring. The offense, it's a lot of it has

1162
00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 4: a lot of the blame goes to the offensive line defense.

1163
00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:11,440
Speaker 4: Trending up. Will see on Marlon Humphrey. Uh lower scoring

1164
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:14,760
Speaker 4: game though, like catching thirteen, especially because the fourteen lean Jets.

1165
00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:18,759
Speaker 3: But Hopkins washed like what I feel like he's I

1166
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:19,480
Speaker 3: would expect him.

1167
00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 4: Hopkins doesn't look great.

1168
00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:26,319
Speaker 2: Do they like Davonte is just kind of like a

1169
00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 2: problem in the practice or in the locker room or something,

1170
00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:31,640
Speaker 2: because I feel like he's got enough talent to get

1171
00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:32,319
Speaker 2: snaps over the.

1172
00:55:32,680 --> 00:55:35,240
Speaker 4: Lot of some it's I think it's practiced stuff.

1173
00:55:35,480 --> 00:55:38,040
Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, that's really what the problem is. They get

1174
00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 2: nothing from number three, four and five. I received nothing.

1175
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:47,040
Speaker 4: I haven't seen Bateman's status here this week yet, but.

1176
00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:47,440
Speaker 3: I mean he even he hasn't given him much. I

1177
00:55:47,480 --> 00:55:48,959
Speaker 3: mean last year it's a lot better.

1178
00:55:49,040 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 4: But yeah, but nothing nothing strong there. What else uh Giants?

1179
00:55:55,640 --> 00:55:58,400
Speaker 4: We'll see on Dart status. It's crazy on good. His

1180
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 4: numbers are superior, or like j Daniels last year his

1181
00:56:01,080 --> 00:56:04,360
Speaker 4: first seven starts. If you look at rushing, passing, touchdowns

1182
00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:06,440
Speaker 4: and he's playing with nobody.

1183
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:07,839
Speaker 2: He's so good he got the coach fired because he's

1184
00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:09,840
Speaker 2: takes the way into the fourth quarter every.

1185
00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:12,840
Speaker 4: Week yeap and catching ten at Detroit it is a

1186
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:16,520
Speaker 4: Detroit smash spot like all of lost at home. Their

1187
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:18,880
Speaker 4: run games should cook against the Giants.

1188
00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:23,400
Speaker 2: So Montgomery at Montgomery touchdown like Parlay Montgomery Gibs touchdown.

1189
00:56:23,400 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 2: That's another angle like that that that guyant Rundy is

1190
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:27,600
Speaker 2: going to get just a viscerated.

1191
00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:29,560
Speaker 4: I think, yeah, So I don't know. I think that

1192
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 4: headlines about right to me. We'll wait on Dart and

1193
00:56:33,680 --> 00:56:36,239
Speaker 4: then Chiefs Colts. This is an interesting one, the only one,

1194
00:56:36,280 --> 00:56:40,080
Speaker 4: the last one to talk about at now With Gardner.

1195
00:56:40,080 --> 00:56:41,680
Speaker 4: They played a little bit more man, which is what

1196
00:56:41,719 --> 00:56:43,600
Speaker 4: you want to do against Mahomes, and much better against

1197
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:46,920
Speaker 4: zone this year and throughout most of his career. You

1198
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:48,520
Speaker 4: just don't want to play zone against them, especially if

1199
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,600
Speaker 4: you can't get pressure at an elite level, and the

1200
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,440
Speaker 4: Colts can't and they want a Buckner still here. So

1201
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:56,719
Speaker 4: that's that's interesting to look. But like Spags dying up

1202
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:58,919
Speaker 4: the blitz here Jones over the past two weeks, taking

1203
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:02,360
Speaker 4: a ton of sacks, turning back into a pumpkin. But

1204
00:57:02,440 --> 00:57:06,240
Speaker 4: how much can Taylor carry the weight? It's the Chiefs

1205
00:57:06,239 --> 00:57:09,440
Speaker 4: aren't like the Falcons run dye, but they're a little vulnerable.

1206
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:11,600
Speaker 4: So Taylor is gonna have to do a lot of

1207
00:57:11,600 --> 00:57:14,799
Speaker 4: work here. Chiefs back against the wall like that. That

1208
00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:16,400
Speaker 4: line last week was insane. It got off the four

1209
00:57:16,400 --> 00:57:17,640
Speaker 4: and half. We talked about it, like I wanted to

1210
00:57:17,680 --> 00:57:21,280
Speaker 4: bet the Chiefs, but the price was couldn't. Luckily they lied.

1211
00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:23,520
Speaker 4: The price was outrageous. I didn't have to play the Chiefs.

1212
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 4: But if we get down to three here at home,

1213
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:32,520
Speaker 4: like a back against the wall spot, I don't think

1214
00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 4: there's that much of a premium. I'd like I make

1215
00:57:36,120 --> 00:57:41,560
Speaker 4: the line around three. So with Colts coming off of

1216
00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:45,680
Speaker 4: a bye, no Buckner matters. The Chiefs just don't have

1217
00:57:45,720 --> 00:57:46,600
Speaker 4: any balance right now.

1218
00:57:46,640 --> 00:57:46,760
Speaker 3: Man.

1219
00:57:46,760 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 4: They need like some form of balance. Like the last

1220
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:51,920
Speaker 4: week they they just they handed the hunt like thirteen

1221
00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:54,080
Speaker 4: times for forty yards and they throw it forty five

1222
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:56,680
Speaker 4: times against the Broncos defense, Like that's not what you

1223
00:57:56,680 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 4: want to do. James just hasn't been good throwing deep

1224
00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:01,080
Speaker 4: this year.

1225
00:58:01,600 --> 00:58:03,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, the coach are the better team. It's just like

1226
00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:05,720
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are in a spot. So's it's a tough

1227
00:58:05,720 --> 00:58:07,640
Speaker 2: one for me because I feel I got three and

1228
00:58:07,680 --> 00:58:08,240
Speaker 2: a half.

1229
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:10,840
Speaker 3: It's almost like Coats are nothing at three.

1230
00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:12,720
Speaker 2: It's like, yeah, you can make a case with the Chiefs,

1231
00:58:12,720 --> 00:58:15,080
Speaker 2: but would we would we really make them three if

1232
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:17,000
Speaker 2: they weren't any if there were anyone blet the Chiefs,

1233
00:58:17,040 --> 00:58:20,080
Speaker 2: I mean probably not. So it's it's it's kind of

1234
00:58:20,080 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 2: a tough one for me to say, Like, like the

1235
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 2: Chiefs are, they're a luck rankings play for us, so

1236
00:58:26,320 --> 00:58:28,439
Speaker 2: that that's that's they got that going in their favor

1237
00:58:28,480 --> 00:58:30,360
Speaker 2: and the first the first.

1238
00:58:30,200 --> 00:58:32,400
Speaker 4: Time there own five in one possession games.

1239
00:58:32,600 --> 00:58:35,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, but like Daniel Jones, Pump almost feel like this

1240
00:58:35,560 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 2: could be an underspot because you could get a great

1241
00:58:37,760 --> 00:58:40,320
Speaker 2: effort from Spags. You know, Daniel Jones and the coach

1242
00:58:40,440 --> 00:58:41,920
Speaker 2: just want to hand it off the tailor and not

1243
00:58:42,360 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 2: let Mahomes, you know, go up. Even though they got

1244
00:58:44,240 --> 00:58:46,560
Speaker 2: saut they don't want to let Mahomes just throw fifty

1245
00:58:46,560 --> 00:58:47,440
Speaker 2: times on that defense.

1246
00:58:48,360 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 4: Good job with Mahomes yeah.

1247
00:58:49,840 --> 00:58:51,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I can see it, and the total has

1248
00:58:51,680 --> 00:58:53,440
Speaker 2: been steamed up, so it's like it went from like

1249
00:58:53,480 --> 00:58:55,280
Speaker 2: forty seven five it went to the opposite of the

1250
00:58:55,280 --> 00:58:58,040
Speaker 2: Eagles Cowboys. So yeah, yeah, probably an underspot. But I

1251
00:58:58,040 --> 00:59:03,400
Speaker 2: can't I can't really make a great case for the Chiefs, especially.

1252
00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:03,960
Speaker 3: At over a field goal.

1253
00:59:04,080 --> 00:59:06,960
Speaker 2: At a field goal, okay, fine, but over a field goal,

1254
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 2: it's it's really tough.

1255
00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:10,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, she's probably win by a field goal. That's probably

1256
00:59:10,120 --> 00:59:10,720
Speaker 4: what happens here.

1257
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:14,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, like twenty three twenty yep, all right, and you said,

1258
00:59:14,840 --> 00:59:17,560
Speaker 2: like the uh Panthers on Monday night, right.

1259
00:59:17,560 --> 00:59:19,840
Speaker 4: So yeah, I just I took the seven. I assume

1260
00:59:19,880 --> 00:59:21,680
Speaker 4: Young is gonna be healthy. That's my only worry with

1261
00:59:21,680 --> 00:59:25,040
Speaker 4: his ankle. But you get an extra day here, helps

1262
00:59:25,040 --> 00:59:28,880
Speaker 4: with the travel and this forty nine Ers defense, Like,

1263
00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 4: I don't trust them to win by margin. Yeah, they

1264
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:32,200
Speaker 4: did it last week because they got a ton of

1265
00:59:32,200 --> 00:59:34,120
Speaker 4: turnovers and they got a kick return and they were

1266
00:59:34,160 --> 00:59:37,920
Speaker 4: playing I just decimated Cardinals team, but everything went the way.

1267
00:59:37,960 --> 00:59:39,560
Speaker 4: They were off game by two hundred yards. They gave

1268
00:59:39,640 --> 00:59:45,080
Speaker 4: up five hundred yards. Yeah, yep, And like the Panthers

1269
00:59:45,080 --> 00:59:46,680
Speaker 4: off of the State of the Panthers offense right now

1270
00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:49,280
Speaker 4: is and look the Fortyniners lost more guys like the foom.

1271
00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 4: I don't even know who's playing middle linebacker now. So

1272
00:59:52,320 --> 00:59:54,400
Speaker 4: like the Panthers be able to run it. There's no pressure.

1273
00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:58,680
Speaker 4: There's gonna be no pressure on Young. Like this forty

1274
00:59:58,760 --> 01:00:01,800
Speaker 4: nine Ers defense is horrendous. The Panthers defense will take

1275
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:04,080
Speaker 4: away explosive plays make the forty nine Ers earn. Now

1276
01:00:04,080 --> 01:00:07,000
Speaker 4: the fort offense I think is trending up, but there's

1277
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:09,720
Speaker 4: there's no way. There's no reason why the Panthers can't

1278
01:00:09,800 --> 01:00:11,800
Speaker 4: keep up. And you can catch him seven, like you

1279
01:00:11,800 --> 01:00:13,880
Speaker 4: can get them easy, like the back door we open.

1280
01:00:15,440 --> 01:00:17,360
Speaker 4: And the Panthers have showed like they're playing much better.

1281
01:00:17,400 --> 01:00:18,960
Speaker 4: They just went to Green Bay in one. They won't

1282
01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:22,720
Speaker 4: be intimidated here. Uh yeah, I think it's seven. It's

1283
01:00:22,720 --> 01:00:23,520
Speaker 4: Panthers or nothing.

1284
01:00:24,640 --> 01:00:25,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Panthers are.

1285
01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:27,320
Speaker 2: They're either going to be like the one of the

1286
01:00:27,320 --> 01:00:29,680
Speaker 2: stories of the year or just kind of like just

1287
01:00:30,520 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 2: completely implode. I think they're gonna hold on to it though,

1288
01:00:33,320 --> 01:00:35,600
Speaker 2: because like we kind of like we do like Canalis.

1289
01:00:35,920 --> 01:00:37,760
Speaker 2: You know, if Young is playing well, that's really the

1290
01:00:38,040 --> 01:00:40,360
Speaker 2: difference maker. But they've their defense has been a lot

1291
01:00:40,400 --> 01:00:41,120
Speaker 2: better this year.

1292
01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:43,760
Speaker 4: Yeah. Now is a really smart in game coach, Like

1293
01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:47,880
Speaker 4: he's he with the clock management, game management, all the

1294
01:00:47,920 --> 01:00:51,680
Speaker 4: little things he does really well, which some hidden edge

1295
01:00:51,880 --> 01:00:52,480
Speaker 4: edge there.

1296
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:54,280
Speaker 3: Such an edge.

1297
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:57,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, but it's like there's such an enigma because like

1298
01:00:57,040 --> 01:00:59,240
Speaker 2: in one sense, if they have a lot they have

1299
01:00:59,360 --> 01:01:04,120
Speaker 2: their blowout were the Patriots, the Bills, and the Jaguars,

1300
01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:06,760
Speaker 2: which is pretty solid, but then they lost two weeks

1301
01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:09,960
Speaker 2: ago at home to the Saints seventeen to seven. In

1302
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:12,880
Speaker 2: the game they gain one hundred and seventy five totally

1303
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,160
Speaker 2: are so Yeah, I don't know, it's talk. They're tough

1304
01:01:16,200 --> 01:01:18,680
Speaker 2: to figure out, but I would I think that they

1305
01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:19,919
Speaker 2: are clearly the right side.

1306
01:01:19,960 --> 01:01:22,960
Speaker 3: And it's probably an over game too because yeah.

1307
01:01:23,160 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 4: Defense, you gotta check win though this time.

1308
01:01:26,200 --> 01:01:28,280
Speaker 3: Yeah oh yeah, yeah in the bay. All right, that's

1309
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:28,640
Speaker 3: gonna do it.

1310
01:01:28,640 --> 01:01:33,360
Speaker 2: For our Week twelve Action Network podcast, be sure to

1311
01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:36,920
Speaker 2: check out Playbook on Twitter. It can build you bets

1312
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 2: at the books of your choice. Stuck, catch him on

1313
01:01:39,840 --> 01:01:43,280
Speaker 2: BBOC and the Favorites, Catch me on the Fantasy Flex

1314
01:01:43,320 --> 01:01:47,920
Speaker 2: with Sean Kerner. Shout out to our sponsor DraftKings, and remember,

1315
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:49,000
Speaker 2: if you want to tell something of the bet and

1316
01:01:49,040 --> 01:01:51,360
Speaker 2: we discussed today. You can find the quick slip link

1317
01:01:51,400 --> 01:01:54,400
Speaker 2: in the video and podcast description or is it Action

1318
01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:58,800
Speaker 2: Network dot com slash bet now. Stuck is on at

1319
01:01:58,840 --> 01:02:00,760
Speaker 2: Stucky to Him at Chris Ray were at those same

1320
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:04,120
Speaker 2: handles on the free award winning Action Network at two

1321
01:02:04,160 --> 01:02:06,040
Speaker 2: week thirteen's Get This Money, Let Go.

1322
01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:26,280
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1323
01:02:26,320 --> 01:02:29,120
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1324
01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:32,240
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler