WEBVTT - Spike in Divorces Likely After the Lockdowns

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Law with June Grasso from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Four words have been said in countless movies with anger,

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<v Speaker 1>sorrow or relief, I want a divorce, So did you design?

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<v Speaker 1>Will more Americans be saying I want a divorce after

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic? It's no secret that living in isolation with

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<v Speaker 1>your spouse during these trying times can cause tension, conflict,

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<v Speaker 1>and stress. If China is any example, divorces will skyrocket.

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<v Speaker 1>Many cities in China are reporting a record high number

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<v Speaker 1>of divorce filings after couples began to emerge from mandated shutdowns,

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<v Speaker 1>leading to long backlogs at government offices where clerks are

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<v Speaker 1>struggling to keep up. Joining me is Peter Stambleck, a

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<v Speaker 1>partner at Aaronson, Mayevski and Sloan, a matrimonial law firm. Peter,

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<v Speaker 1>have you been seeing an uptick in calls from people

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<v Speaker 1>wanting a divorce during the pandemic in the past week?

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<v Speaker 1>There has been a bit of an uptick up until

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<v Speaker 1>this point. The truth of the matter is things have

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<v Speaker 1>been a bit quiet, and that was anticipated as people

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<v Speaker 1>are confined in their own space with the uncertainty that

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<v Speaker 1>presents itself. Couples are not necessarily running into more uncertainty,

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<v Speaker 1>in other words, into a divorce. As things begin to

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<v Speaker 1>open up and the courts begin to open up, offices

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<v Speaker 1>begin to open up, we expect to see a large

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<v Speaker 1>uptick in our planning accordingly. So now the uptick this

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<v Speaker 1>week is that due to New York courts lifting the

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<v Speaker 1>moratorium on new cases as of Monday, new actions, brand

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<v Speaker 1>new litigation was able to be commenced. Prior to that,

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<v Speaker 1>it was only matters that were deemed essential were permitted,

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<v Speaker 1>So our hands were tied on many different levels. If

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<v Speaker 1>somebody reached out to us and wanted to commence an

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<v Speaker 1>action for divorce, we were not permitted to do so.

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<v Speaker 1>Effective Monday, we are now permitted to do so. I

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<v Speaker 1>actually don't think that it has to do necessarily with

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<v Speaker 1>the courts opening up. I actually think it has to

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<v Speaker 1>do with the state opening up and the country opening

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<v Speaker 1>up a little bit, piece by piece, phase by phase.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe that that is going to be the crux

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<v Speaker 1>of what gets people back into the process, whether they

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<v Speaker 1>were contemplating it prior to the pandemic and just waited

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<v Speaker 1>it out, whether or not the pandemic and being isolated

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<v Speaker 1>with their spouse created additional frictions, or they're already underlying

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<v Speaker 1>issues and the pandemic just exascerbated them. Those are the

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<v Speaker 1>reasons that people are calling us, and I do believe it.

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<v Speaker 1>It has little to do with the courts and is

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<v Speaker 1>more have to do with, believe it or not, the weather,

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<v Speaker 1>people getting outside, Memorial Day, the state opening up more,

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<v Speaker 1>country opening up a little bit more. Even if just

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<v Speaker 1>it's the perception, I believe that's what the uptick this

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<v Speaker 1>past week or so has has been a result of.

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<v Speaker 1>In times of crisis, whether national crisis or personal crisis,

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<v Speaker 1>do you often see an increase in divorces. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think problems in marriages are most certainly magnified during a crisis.

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<v Speaker 1>And needless to say, this is a crisis like we've

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<v Speaker 1>never seen before, especially given that we've been in isolation

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<v Speaker 1>with our families, with our spouses for the better part

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<v Speaker 1>of March April May, over three months now. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>think we've seen a crisis that has caused couples and

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<v Speaker 1>families to be in such close quarters for such a

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<v Speaker 1>period of time. I was thinking about this the other day.

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<v Speaker 1>If you just take a quick look back prior to

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic, what our typical day was like for couples.

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<v Speaker 1>They got up, you know, they spent a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>time together in the morning, they went off to work,

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<v Speaker 1>they did their things, they came back, they spent a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of time together in the evenings. Certainly more

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<v Speaker 1>time together on the weekends. Anybody who's kids know, as

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<v Speaker 1>you're running around on the weekends with your kids, So

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<v Speaker 1>this is unprecedented time being spent with your spouse. After

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<v Speaker 1>the crash in two thousand eight, we saw an uptick uncertainty,

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<v Speaker 1>and I expect that our phones will continue to ring,

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<v Speaker 1>and we will continue to see an uptick in people

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<v Speaker 1>who realize life is too short and there were problems

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<v Speaker 1>to begin with, Now is an opportune time to to

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<v Speaker 1>get out. I think that for all those reasons, we

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<v Speaker 1>will probably see an increase in rates. And the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>is the undercurrent of all that. So now you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to have some people with less money, some people unemployed

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<v Speaker 1>for one case, that are down, bank accounts that are down.

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<v Speaker 1>Is there a detriment or benefit to getting divorced now?

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<v Speaker 1>And does it depend on how much money you have?

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<v Speaker 1>I was gonna say, I guess it depends on what

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<v Speaker 1>side you're on. So the things that you've just identified

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<v Speaker 1>certainly provide incentive to the so called money spouse, the

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<v Speaker 1>wage earner, or the asset holder. You know, the crux

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<v Speaker 1>of a divorce is valuing and dividing assets. So what

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<v Speaker 1>assets will be worth on the other side of this

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic right now is without question unknown. But for most

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<v Speaker 1>businesses and most assets, especially small businesses and small business owners,

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<v Speaker 1>the predictions from across the board are that these assets

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<v Speaker 1>will be worth far less. New York City real estate,

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<v Speaker 1>for instance, maybe taking a hit as well as a

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<v Speaker 1>result of people wanting out of the city. Certainly portfolios

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<v Speaker 1>are down. Defer, compensation values are down. So for the

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<v Speaker 1>moneyed spouse it is an opportune time to commence an

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<v Speaker 1>action for divorce. The less things are valued, the less

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<v Speaker 1>there is to share, especially if that particular spouse feels

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<v Speaker 1>that at some point in the not too distance future,

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<v Speaker 1>he or she may get back on his or her feet,

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<v Speaker 1>or values may ultimately increase because anything that theoretically is

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<v Speaker 1>accumulated post divorce or host commencement of a divorce would

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<v Speaker 1>not be subject to distribution so that's one incentive for

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<v Speaker 1>the moneyed spouse to pursue a divorce. Now. Another reason

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<v Speaker 1>maybe that support, both child and spousal support is an issue,

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<v Speaker 1>and if those issues need to be addressed, the less

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<v Speaker 1>a spouse made, the less In theory he or she

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<v Speaker 1>would be paying in both spousal and child support. Support

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<v Speaker 1>is primarily based on income, and if income is down,

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<v Speaker 1>one is going to be expected to pay less support,

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<v Speaker 1>so there is real incentive obviously if if somebody was

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about a divorce or the pandemic push them through divorce,

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<v Speaker 1>there is certainly incentive at this juncture for the quote

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<v Speaker 1>unquote moneyed spouse to push forward with this now as

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<v Speaker 1>opposed to later. On the flip side of it, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the non money spouse may not be in a great position.

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<v Speaker 1>They may want to hold off to see how things rebound.

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<v Speaker 1>But of course, in most states it really only takes

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<v Speaker 1>one party to pursue the divorce action. And I wonder

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<v Speaker 1>if some couples who don't have money might be holding

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<v Speaker 1>out now because of the cost of divorce and also

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<v Speaker 1>having to split things up, having to have two residences

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<v Speaker 1>and health insurance. Absolutely divorces costly, and I don't necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>mean the process. You have to replicate two households. You

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<v Speaker 1>need to take whatever income stream exists at the time,

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<v Speaker 1>and you need to kind of split that amongst two households,

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<v Speaker 1>and two households are just more expensive than one. Health

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<v Speaker 1>insurance is a huge issue. So those are certainly reasons

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<v Speaker 1>why I think pandemic or no pandemic, those are reasons

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<v Speaker 1>why people don't get divorced in the first place, even

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<v Speaker 1>if they live separate lives. Throughout my career, I've met

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<v Speaker 1>with numerous people who have stayed in the marriage but

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<v Speaker 1>live completely separate lives except financially, because they just can't

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<v Speaker 1>afford to They can't afford to get that second house,

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<v Speaker 1>and they can't afford to get their own insurance, so

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<v Speaker 1>they stay married. There must be thousands and thousands of

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<v Speaker 1>couples around the country who who do that. Have you

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<v Speaker 1>gotten calls about problems with child custody or visitation during

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic, for example, issues about children traveling from parent

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<v Speaker 1>to parent, So that's that's kind of eased a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>But at the very beginning you had people beholding their

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<v Speaker 1>ground mothers or fathers, not trusting what the other parent

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<v Speaker 1>was doing, or where they were, who they were with

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<v Speaker 1>that they were taking social distancing and the quarantine seriously enough.

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<v Speaker 1>You had people who maybe even started their spring break

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<v Speaker 1>somewhere and weren't willing to come home. What we found

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<v Speaker 1>is that to the extent that we were able to

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<v Speaker 1>get in touch with the courts, the majority of the

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<v Speaker 1>judges and the courts wanted the parties to adhere to

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<v Speaker 1>the parenting schedule that was implemented prior to that absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>unique circumstance. They wanted the parents to adhere to the

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<v Speaker 1>schedule that they had previously agreed to. Judge Sunshine, who

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<v Speaker 1>is out of Brooklyn, he issued a statement the New

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<v Speaker 1>Yorkloor Journal maybe in late March early April, basically noting

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<v Speaker 1>that parents should adhere to the schedules that they previously

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<v Speaker 1>agreed to, and if they take it upon themselves or

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<v Speaker 1>engage in what we call self help, with the theory

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<v Speaker 1>that nobody can run into court where the courts were

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<v Speaker 1>backed up or closed, that one day soon those parents

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<v Speaker 1>would be before the court and not liking what he

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<v Speaker 1>or she would be here. So, by all accounts, the

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<v Speaker 1>courts were trying to direct that parents were cooperatively during

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<v Speaker 1>this difficult time, take this seriously, but adhere to the

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<v Speaker 1>schedule that had been administered to. Obviously, with everything that

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<v Speaker 1>we've had, we experienced a handful of cases here and

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<v Speaker 1>there where phone calls were required with the court where

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<v Speaker 1>motions had to be made with the court to ask

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<v Speaker 1>that a parent abide by the schedule. But truth be told,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of parents stepped up to the plate and

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<v Speaker 1>did the right thing and work cooperatively. And whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>altering their schedule or just getting the children back and

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<v Speaker 1>forth to the necessary place, a lot of parents stepped

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<v Speaker 1>up to the plate. I certainly saw that. Quite frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>I think I saw that more then I saw adversarial behavior.

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<v Speaker 1>Domestic violence calls have been on the rise during the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>Have victims of domestic violence been able to get help

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<v Speaker 1>from the courts? They were? The Family Court was open

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<v Speaker 1>for domestic violence related issues emergency filings. That was one

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<v Speaker 1>of the matters wherein you were able to get into

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<v Speaker 1>court immediately from day one. That was part of the

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<v Speaker 1>essential matters that could be filed in court from day one,

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<v Speaker 1>at least in New York, you were able to get

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<v Speaker 1>in right away. By all accounts, and by the people.

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<v Speaker 1>I've spoken with um an officer of the Family Law

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<v Speaker 1>section of the New York State Bar Association, so have

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of communication with attorneys from across the state.

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<v Speaker 1>The calls have been substantially increased across the country for

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<v Speaker 1>domestic violence related issues. Thanks Peter. That's Peter stand Black

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<v Speaker 1>of Aaron Senmayevski and Sloan. And that's it for the

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<v Speaker 1>edition of Bloomberg Long I'm June Grosso. Thanks so much

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<v Speaker 1>for listening, and remember to tune to The Bloomberg Long

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<v Speaker 1>Show weeknights at anth m Eastern right here on Bloomberg Radio.