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Speaker 1: What's up, guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: sports Talk Matt. And we are back after a paper

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Speaker 2: cut day where we go two and two. Michigan State

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Speaker 2: in Houston. Both came in for US, but TCU and

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Speaker 2: VCU the dogs they got smoked in the second half.

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Speaker 2: Why because every dog is getting smoked in the second

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Speaker 2: half at the moment, and we are down to a

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Speaker 2: single mid major left in this tournament and they play

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Speaker 2: Arizona today. More on Utah State in Arizona here in

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Speaker 2: just one second. So on social media, as I mentioned

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, my handle, this bothered some people

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Speaker 2: last night when I said that this tournament sucks because

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Speaker 2: it does that there is no other way around saying that.

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Speaker 2: Since Friday night favorites are twenty three and one, that

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Speaker 2: you can have the Nebraska game. That's great if you're

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Speaker 2: a Husker fan, that's I'm happy for you. That's tremendous.

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Speaker 2: If the shot goes at the end for Vandy, we

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Speaker 2: have the iconic moment of the tournament. I'll give you that.

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Speaker 2: That's awesome, but that's one game. That's that's one game

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Speaker 2: that doesn't make a tournament like it's boring when favorites

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Speaker 2: win and cover consistently, it's boring. Favorites of eight points

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Speaker 2: or more or forty five and one straight up in

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Speaker 2: the tournament over the last two years forty five and one,

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Speaker 2: twenty eight and eighteen against the spread, and you might go, Matt,

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Speaker 2: just bet favorites. Then, okay, I'll give you that. You

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Speaker 2: can you can do that, but that's boring. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it's just not fun to watch and to see this

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Speaker 2: tournament play out. And again, if your team is in it,

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Speaker 2: that's great. I'm happy for you, and you probably think

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Speaker 2: it's awesome. I just think when you have twenty straight

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Speaker 2: wins for favorites at one point going into last night,

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Speaker 2: that's where that number was after Duke and Houston both won,

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Speaker 2: and Duke and Houston both won. I mean, the Duke

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Speaker 2: game had its own problems, okay, Like TCU got screwed

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Speaker 2: in that game. The referees were ridiculous. The free throw

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Speaker 2: discrepancy between TCU and Duke was comical, So that game

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Speaker 2: had its own problems. But the VCU game, the Houston game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, these are just complete mismatches. And you can say, okay,

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Speaker 2: like this is great, but double digit favorites are now

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Speaker 2: fifty and three straight up.

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Speaker 1: Over the last three years in the tournament.

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Speaker 2: In the round of thirty two, we've seen seven double

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Speaker 2: digit favorites and we've got them more today. This is

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Speaker 2: tied for the most ever in this round of thirty two,

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Speaker 2: and the most since two thousand and one, when there

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Speaker 2: were seven games like this. It's just complete in total mismatches.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Friday was sixteen and oh straight up, twelve

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Speaker 2: and four ats for favorites, the second undefeated day in

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Speaker 2: the round of sixty four, in the first since nineteen

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Speaker 2: ninety two. I'm sorry, that's not a good tournament watching

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Speaker 2: all of these brand names.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm guessing.

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Speaker 2: The TV folks are going to be happy about this

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Speaker 2: week sixteen, and I'm guessing there are some folks out

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Speaker 2: there that will take some penance, that they'll take the

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Speaker 2: scraps of having, you know, three good games. The Arkansas game,

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Speaker 2: decent game there. Okay, fine, it's one game Vandy in Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: It's one game. I remember watching barn Berner after barn

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Speaker 2: Berner after a barn Burner.

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Speaker 1: Or are you just too young? I mean, I get it.

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Speaker 2: If you're a twenty five year old, bro, you've never

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Speaker 2: seen anything like this. But you haven't seen what I've seen.

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Speaker 2: You haven't covered what I've covered. And I'm telling you

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Speaker 2: this is not it. This is not what the tournament

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Speaker 2: is supposed to be. The tournament is supposed to be fun.

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Speaker 2: Watching twelve point in thirteen point favorites covering consistently. That sucks.

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Speaker 2: That's boring. That's not fun. And so maybe the games

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Speaker 2: get better. Everyone's telling me that this is gonna make

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Speaker 2: for an unbelievable Sweet sixteen and unbelievable Elite eight. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but I can tell you right now that Arizona, Houston,

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Speaker 2: and Florida and I guess Duke, but I don't really

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Speaker 2: like Duke.

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Speaker 1: But your you.

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Speaker 2: Know, four or five best teams in college basketball are

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Speaker 2: way better than everyone else in this tournament, like, way better.

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Speaker 2: Are we gonna get a great Final four?

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Speaker 1: Maybe? Are we gonna get a heavyweight fight? Okay?

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Speaker 2: But to get there, we have to slog through this crap.

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Speaker 2: We have to go through these games and watch these

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Speaker 2: games and be excited about twenty consecutive wins for favorites.

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Speaker 2: That's not what the NSAA tournament is all about. That

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Speaker 2: is not why it makes billions of dollars in TV revenue.

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Speaker 2: We are in a very weird place for sports. I'm

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Speaker 2: just the UFC is in a very precarious position at

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Speaker 2: the moment because of what they've done with their TV deal.

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Speaker 2: It just feels like whatever is going on right now

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Speaker 2: with Paramount, whatever's going on with this company, I would

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Speaker 2: be worried their big tent pole investments. People are going

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Speaker 2: to start to ask the right questions about what's going

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Speaker 2: on and the delivering when you're betting, when you're banking

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Speaker 2: on the unknown, which is what sports. Every time a

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Speaker 2: ball gets tossed up, a fight happens. The unknown is

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Speaker 2: what brings us to the TV set to go, okay,

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Speaker 2: what might happen?

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Speaker 1: Boy? Oh boy?

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Speaker 2: Not good at the moment, this tournament. People get upset

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Speaker 2: about this. You want to defend the NAA tournament, that's great.

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Speaker 2: You know you can have your fast food overheated hamburger.

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Speaker 2: I want the steak I want the Vegas Steakhouse. I

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Speaker 2: know what's out there, I know what this thing has been,

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Speaker 2: and the magic of this tournament has always been the

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Speaker 2: little guy. The magic of this tournament has always been

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Speaker 2: the high points of the world. Who did make a

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Speaker 2: good game out of Arkansas. But most years we don't

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Speaker 2: just have one high point because Arizona is going to

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Speaker 2: kick the living daylights out of Utah State today and

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Speaker 2: then there will not be a single mid major left,

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Speaker 2: which in a lot of ways is the j billis

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Speaker 2: Wet dream of like twenty ten. Okay, that I mean,

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Speaker 2: that's what that guy dreamt about, having dreamt about having

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Speaker 2: it be there to this is just the brand names,

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Speaker 2: and they got it. You know, all the big ten,

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Speaker 2: the sec the ACC folks that were angry about the

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Speaker 2: George Masons and the Butlers of the world right angry

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Speaker 2: about the you know, the Bradley Runs, and angry about

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Speaker 2: the Northern Iowa's. Well, congratulations, you guys have succeeded and

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Speaker 2: making it impossible for a mid major to make it

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Speaker 2: to the second weekend because there will not be a

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Speaker 2: mid major playing in the second weekend of this tournament,

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Speaker 2: and that, my friends, is not a good thing. Let's

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Speaker 2: get into the Bett sport today. I've got three plays

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Speaker 2: plus a hard rock bet of the day, so four

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Speaker 2: plays for us coming up for today. A reminder that

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Speaker 2: if you would like to jump in with our pick

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Speaker 2: and contest, you can still do that if you want

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Speaker 2: to get involved with us, if you know your college

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Speaker 2: hoops and want to take your bracket knowledge to the

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Speaker 2: next level. The brand new n SO DOUBLEA Pick Them contest,

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Speaker 2: You pick winners or make your predictions against the spread

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Speaker 2: all tournament long for a chance to win signed jerseys,

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Speaker 2: free annual annual Betting Pro subscriptions, Fantasy Pro store credit,

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Speaker 2: and more. The best part, it's completely free. Enter now

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Speaker 2: at bettingpros dot com slash pick. That's Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 2: slash Pick. The contest goes on throughout the entire nce

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Speaker 2: double A tournament. Okay, I mentioned Arizona. Look, I wish

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Speaker 2: I could sit here and tell you that Arizona is

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Speaker 2: going to have a hard time with Utah State, But

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Speaker 2: I do not believe they're going to have a hard

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Speaker 2: time with Utah State. The Mountain West Conference has been

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Speaker 2: horrifically bad in this tournament in Utah State just went

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Speaker 2: out there and looked pretty good. And I'm not gonna

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Speaker 2: I faded them in their last game, and I was wrong, Okay,

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Speaker 2: but this is Arizona. This is arguably the best team

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Speaker 2: in this tournament, and the talent mismatch is ridiculous, like

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Speaker 2: absolutely ridiculous. Villanova collapsed in the second half in the

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Speaker 2: game against Utah State. Arizona's not going to collapse. The

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Speaker 2: size of Arizona is going to be a major problem.

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Speaker 2: The glass rebounding for Utah State's going to be a

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Speaker 2: major problem. The athletes on the perimeter for the Aggies

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Speaker 2: is going to be a major problem. Sure, the three

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Speaker 2: point shot can be like the ultimate equalizer, but this

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Speaker 2: this Utah State team doesn't have the athletes to match

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Speaker 2: up with Arizona. I mean, the Wildcats are just so deep.

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Speaker 2: They looked focused in their game. They look like they

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Speaker 2: know what they have to do to go win a

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Speaker 2: national championship. They beat LIU ninety two fifty eight. Fine,

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Speaker 2: that's a different team and you know, not a very

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Speaker 2: good team. But I mean this team beat Houston to win.

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Speaker 2: They've won the regular season, they've won the tournament title

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Speaker 2: in the Big twelve, and I think at thirty three

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Speaker 2: and two and twenty one and fourteen eighteen, yes, this

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Speaker 2: team is very good on the road. They take apart

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Speaker 2: Utah State today. Okay, Arizona big lay in the eleven

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Speaker 2: and a half with Utah State. Let's just lay it

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Speaker 2: in the narrative of these double digit favorites going ahead

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Speaker 2: and winning. Let's go ahead and do that. Arizona big

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Speaker 2: over Utah State today. Next play, Let's talk Virginia and

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Speaker 2: Saint John's sorry, Virginia and Tennessee. Excuse me, Virginia and Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: This is a dead undergame because these two teams don't

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Speaker 2: know how to play anything else except slow basketball. Rick

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Speaker 2: Barnes all about defense, defense, defense, and I think if

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Speaker 2: you look at the way that Tennessee will play this game,

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Speaker 2: they're both next to each other in the Ken Palm rankings.

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Speaker 2: They're fifteenth and sixteenth. Rick Barnes got past Miami of

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Speaker 2: Ohio because athletically Tennessee was way better. And frankly, I mean,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee just got an insane shooting game from one of

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Speaker 2: their guards that just went absolutely crazy. Should Gillespie couldn't

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Speaker 2: miss in that game, Like he just couldn't miss. He

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Speaker 2: hit everything he took. And so here this is a

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Speaker 2: one point win, seventy to sixty nine for Tennessee. Virginia

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Speaker 2: is a basketball team that is going to just grind it.

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Speaker 2: Ryan Odom plays a very slow style and they have

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Speaker 2: played more up tempo this year than in the past.

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Speaker 2: But defensively they are three hundred and fifty fifth for

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Speaker 2: average length of possession. They make you work, and frankly,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee wants to work. I mean Tennessee doesn't play fast either.

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Speaker 2: In terms of their average possession they're two hundred and

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Speaker 2: thirty fifth. So it's just this is this game is

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Speaker 2: going to be extremely slow here in Philadelphia. On the

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Speaker 2: flip side, I mean Tennessee also two hundred and seven

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Speaker 2: average possession length defensively, Virginia's one hundred and forty seventh.

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Speaker 2: On offense, Virginia's shot the ball better this year from

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Speaker 2: behind the three point line, but Tennessee's defense is seventeen

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Speaker 2: and three point d in three point shooting, so they

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Speaker 2: did go They guard the arc really well, sixty eighth

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Speaker 2: and two point shooting. I just don't think that we

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Speaker 2: see a game in which either team goes up and down.

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Speaker 2: Either team has a lot of offensive success against the other,

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Speaker 2: and I think, frankly, this is just going to be

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Speaker 2: a grinder of a game all the way down to

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Speaker 2: the last possession to see who winds up winning this

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Speaker 2: on the road. This year, Tennessee is eleven and six

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Speaker 2: to the under. UVA actually is ten and eight to

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Speaker 2: the over. In the last five games for UVA have

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Speaker 2: gone over. But I think now you have a dance

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Speaker 2: partner in Tennessee that wants to play just as slow

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Speaker 2: as Virginia wants to play. I'm gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 2: bet the under here under one thirty seven and a

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Speaker 2: half for Virginia and Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Now, I like dogs.

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Speaker 2: I've talked a lot about dogs, I've bet a lot

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Speaker 2: of dogs, and in this tournament, betting dogs has been

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Speaker 2: a complete disaster. However, I know this game's not being

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Speaker 2: played at fog Allen, but this game is being played

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Speaker 2: in San Diego, and KU fans travel. I'm not saying

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Speaker 2: Saint John's fans don't travel, but KU fans travel. KAYU

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Speaker 2: fans live in California. It's going to be a whole

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Speaker 2: atmosphere for Kansas here against Saint John's. You don't get

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Speaker 2: KU catching points very often in the round of thirty two.

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Speaker 1: It just doesn't happen.

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Speaker 2: So here we are with Kansas catching three and a

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Speaker 2: half points against Saint John's at home.

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Speaker 1: KU was extremely.

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Speaker 2: Difficult and there were dogs two times at home. They

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Speaker 2: won the both games outright. Saint John's was twelve and

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Speaker 2: five away from home. They are twelve and five ats

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Speaker 2: away from home, including a twenty six point win over

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Speaker 2: Northern Iowa where they dominated. Look at the wins over

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Speaker 2: the last four wins for Saint John's by twenty six,

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Speaker 2: twenty ten, and thirteen. They have been tremendous, beating Yukon

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Speaker 2: by twenty, beating Northern Iowa by twenty. KU did not

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Speaker 2: cover against cal Baptist they won by eight. They lost

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Speaker 2: by twenty two points to Houston. However, however, I do

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Speaker 2: think that there are some favorable matchups here.

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Speaker 1: Namely, the best player on the court is going.

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Speaker 2: To be wearing a KU uniform, okay, And I do

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Speaker 2: tend to kind of shade my opinion towards these teams

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Speaker 2: when that happens. When we have a team that's highly talented,

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Speaker 2: but they've got the best player on the court, and

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Speaker 2: they're gonna have the Kansas have the best player on

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Speaker 2: the court, okay, And what does KU do with this

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Speaker 2: Peterson had a chance to go and make a lot

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Speaker 2: of money and go and show a lot of people

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Speaker 2: just how good he is and just he's capable of doing.

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Speaker 2: I just think Kansas right now can match up with

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Speaker 2: the physicality of Saint John's because that's what Saint John's

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Speaker 2: does people. They've got a great big and they can

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Speaker 2: push people around. I just think, Kay, you can handle

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Speaker 2: that physicality. I think KU will make Saint John's pay.

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Speaker 2: They'll hit their free throws, they'll get to the line,

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Speaker 2: they'll make the referees call fouls, and I think Kansas

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Speaker 2: you can sprinkle money line on this. I think KU wins.

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Speaker 2: On my bracket, I picked Saint John's to win this game.

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Speaker 2: But as I got kind of further into the game

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Speaker 2: and started breaking it down a bit more, I started

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Speaker 2: to get a little bit on the like, man, if

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Speaker 2: there's going to be a dog that's gonna win, because

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Speaker 2: everyone's gonna bet favorites blindly today because of what favorites

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Speaker 2: have done.

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Speaker 1: This is bill self.

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Speaker 2: Okay, this is a two point loss according to Kempom

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Speaker 2: seventy three to seventy one. I think it might wind

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Speaker 2: not be an outright win for Kansas. Both These defenses

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Speaker 2: are great. They're ninth and tenth in efficiency second and

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage in twenty third an effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage. KU's offense has not been good, but Darren

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Speaker 2: Peterson needs to be great. And if he is great,

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Speaker 2: and if he is putting the ball in the basket consistently, here,

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Speaker 2: this is a different Kansas team. I'll take the points.

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Speaker 2: I can see KU winning the game, but over one bucket,

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Speaker 2: I'll take the points, giming Kansas plus three and a

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Speaker 2: half up against Saint John's. Yes, it's taking a dog.

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Speaker 2: So far that's been really damaging and dangerous, but I'm

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Speaker 2: going to do it.

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Speaker 1: Here for that.

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Speaker 2: Before I give you the hard Rock Bet of the day,

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Speaker 1: Talked about parlays.

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Speaker 2: I don't normally do parlays, but I'm going to do

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Speaker 2: one here because I'm going to follow the same trend.

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Speaker 2: Arizona and Florida are not losing today, Okay, I will

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Speaker 2: be absolutely floored given what we have seen in this

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Speaker 2: tournament for the two best teams in college basketball, the

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Speaker 2: two teams I think are going to mate in the

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Speaker 2: national championship game to lose today. If Arizona loses to

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Speaker 2: Utah State, I will be completely and totally floored. Okay,

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Speaker 2: absolutely floored if that happens. Can upsets happen, Oh guess

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Speaker 2: they can. Of course they can, But I will be

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Speaker 2: completely stunned if that happens. I don't believe Iowa can

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Speaker 2: beat Florida. Okay, I just I don't think Ben McCollum

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Speaker 2: has the talent to beat Florida coming here to day.

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Speaker 2: So you're taking Florida and you're taking Arizona. Now you

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Speaker 2: can't bet that because that's minus two sixty minus two seventy.

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Speaker 2: It's an insane price. But if you take Iowa State

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Speaker 2: and you include Iowa State money line, you get it

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Speaker 2: down to a minus one ten bet. Now, this game

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Speaker 2: is essentially the handicap, right, We're not going to handicap

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Speaker 2: much besides Iowa State today because well there's no point

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Speaker 2: because again I think we have that. Can they beat Kentucky. Look,

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Speaker 2: Kentucky fans hate this team. Like Kentucky fans don't like

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Speaker 2: this team. Kentucky fans feel like this team is not good.

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Speaker 2: And yes they won their opening game, and yes Kentucky

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Speaker 2: is a difficult team, but they probably should have lost.

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Speaker 2: They got a miracle three at the buzzer that was

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Speaker 2: knocked down to send the game into overtime. Again Santa Clara,

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Speaker 2: They probably should have lost to Santa Clara. Okay, I

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Speaker 2: always say it's a much better basketball team, and even

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Speaker 2: though they do have some question with Jefferson about the

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Speaker 2: injury to Jefferson whether or not he's gonna play in

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Speaker 2: this game. It's an ankle sprain, so he probably doesn't

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Speaker 2: play in this game. But I always say it is

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Speaker 2: deep enough I think to beat Ku. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to lay the four and a half, the five and

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Speaker 2: a half, whatever the number winds up closing at. It's

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Speaker 2: five at most books. Right now, I don't want to.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to lay the points. Much like yesterday

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Speaker 2: with Michigan State, I don't want to lay the points.

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Speaker 2: I just want to take money line. But it's too

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Speaker 2: expensive to bet money. Mine's minus two twenty two thirty

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Speaker 2: on Iowa State on the money line, and that's just

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Speaker 2: you know, I could lay one ninety with Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to lay it with Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: So Iowa State money line, how do I get it

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Speaker 2: into a workable position? You add Florida and you at

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Speaker 2: Arizona and it's a three leg money line. Parlay that

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Speaker 2: we go ahead and jump in at hard Rock byt

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Speaker 2: of the day now is twenty fifteen and one Iowa

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Speaker 2: State Arizona Florida money line is min It's one ten

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Speaker 2: for one point one units. I think that's the play

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Speaker 2: you can make here if you want a moneyline parlay

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Speaker 2: with all favorites. To follow the trend as to what's

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Speaker 2: going on here in this tournament, it's been chalk, chalk, chalk.

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Speaker 2: Let's keep the chalk going here with three bets, a

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Speaker 2: three leg money line parlay and it's not plus money. Yikes.

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Speaker 2: Normally that's a dangerous play. In this tournament, it seems

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Speaker 2: almost too easy. But that's betting though, right. We gotta

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Speaker 2: see how it goes. But as Matt Parolt, you guys

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Speaker 2: can follow me across all my socials at sports dooc

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Speaker 2: Matt every morning, wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice