1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. 2 00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree? 3 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: A five dollars? 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,480 Speaker 3: This is a raginal, but they tackled one. 5 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable, 6 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: humans need fantasy to be human? 7 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: My goodness, miss good I suppose the best, relentless, refusing 8 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: to give up. 9 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, Bayless. What's up everybody? 10 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:40,880 Speaker 2: And welcome to the Fantasy Flexed Podcast. I am your host, 11 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 2: Chris Raybon, and this is our AFC East edition. I 12 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 2: will be joined or I am joined, I should say 13 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 2: right now. But my dude, Sean Kerner, Sean, what's going on? 14 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: What's going on? Any exciting plans for Fourth of July Weekay? 15 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: Nothing yet. 16 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 3: I'm just kind of playing it by ear see what's up? 17 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 1: What about you? I'm just I'm trying to get through today. 18 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: But nothing crazy. Hopefully go to the beach a couple 19 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:16,199 Speaker 1: couple days or so and chill. But yeah, all. 20 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 2: Right, So, as you guys know, if you've been listening, 21 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 2: we're going to go over every player that's Fantasy relevant 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 2: on any AFC East in this episode. Before we jump 23 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 2: into the pod, just want to let you guys know 24 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 2: that if you rate and review the podcast, we will 25 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 2: call out a lucky winner with our favorite five star 26 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 2: review right here on the show, and that winner will 27 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 2: receive a free year of Action Network Pro where you 28 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 2: can get our weekly fantasy rankings and all that good stuff. 29 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: So be sure to leave us a five star rating 30 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 2: and review on Apple and you'll be eligible. This week's 31 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 2: contest winner is key Stein seven eight nine, So t 32 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 2: Stein seven eight nine. Thank you for the review, congratulations, 33 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 2: and hit up podcast at actionnetwork dot com to claim 34 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 2: your free year of pro. 35 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: Sean. 36 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: Let's start with the Buffalo Bills. How are you approaching 37 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 2: Josh Allen this year? I know he's I think he's 38 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 2: rightfully the QB one, But does he fit into your 39 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 2: draft plan or is he going a little bit too 40 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 2: early for quarterback? 41 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: Yeah? That's I mean, that's a good question because I 42 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: typically don't like to be, you know, the first person 43 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 1: in a draft to draft quarterback, but he seems like 44 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 1: the exception because I mean, he's finished TB one overall 45 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: each of the past two seasons, you know, barring injury, 46 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: he's the heavy favorite to do that again this year. 47 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: I mean, what's not to love about him? They're a 48 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: very pass heavy offense. They threw at the highest rate 49 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: on early downs last year in neutral game situations, and 50 00:02:56,080 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 1: he's you know, typically their leading rusher as well, so 51 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 1: I mean he's got every thing going on. The situation 52 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: is pretty much the same this year. I think it 53 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 1: might be a little bit better. The only concern really 54 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: is he's losing offensive coordinator Brian Dable, which you know, 55 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: I'm slightly concerned about, but they're they're hiring from within, 56 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: so Ken Dorsey was their QB coach, so I'm expecting 57 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: the same offense. So that's that's good. He's gonna have 58 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 1: continuity there. He loses Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders, but 59 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: he's getting Jamison Crowder and they're going to unleash Gave Davis, 60 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: So I think you could argue that that's kind of 61 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 1: an upgrade and in that aspect. But yeah, I mean, 62 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: he's QB one in. It's here all by himself, So 63 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: I think if they're ever a time to draft QB first, 64 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 1: it would be this year with Josh Allen. Yeah, I agree. 65 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 2: I think he's absolutely in a tier by himself, not 66 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 2: you know, Mahomes lost Tyreek k Yeah, you know Brady's 67 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 2: getting a little older and may have some some injuries 68 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 2: to deal with in his receiving core as well. 69 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: So I do like Josh Allen. 70 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: I think he's more of a best ball play for me, 71 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: just because you know, kind of mixing up the exposures 72 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: and things like that in a typical fantasy draft just 73 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 2: to redraft. I trust my ability to find to find 74 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: a quarterback a little later on. There's there's a ton 75 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 2: of them I think that offer value weight that I'm 76 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 2: just trying to stock up on running backs and receivers. 77 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,799 Speaker 2: But yeah, nothing to really complain about with Josh Allen. 78 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,919 Speaker 2: All Right, Stefan Diggs, I feel like it's kind of 79 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 2: the same same situation. 80 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 3: It's like, you know, nothing really to complain about. 81 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 2: He's the unquestioned number one receiver of the you know, 82 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 2: MVP favorite quarterback in Josh Allen. 83 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 3: But any thoughts on Diggs this year? 84 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I think he's where he needs to be 85 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 1: going at wide receiver five. And you know, guys like 86 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 1: DeVante Adams, Tyreek Hill, a J. Brown all changed teams 87 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: and you could certainly say their value took a hit. 88 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: So the top five's opened up. Diggs is in the 89 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: same exact situation as he has been the past couple 90 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: of season. Like you said, he's Josh Allen's number one 91 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: targ so that's that's very valuable. And you know last 92 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: year his catchable target rate was down a bit, so 93 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 1: I expect that to go up. You know, he had 94 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 1: an eighty two catchable target rate his first season with 95 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 1: Josh Allen, then last year dropped the seventy two percent, 96 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: so you could argue that could be a little bit 97 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,840 Speaker 1: better this year. So love digs at wide receiver five. 98 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: N really that that mid wide receiver one tier is 99 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: there's so much upside that I do like to come 100 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: up with at least one of these guys. Yeah, absolutely, 101 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: I think. 102 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,919 Speaker 2: And you and I were both hanging out watching the 103 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:40,480 Speaker 2: game where Gabe Davis went absolutely bonkers Banana's nuclear or 104 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:45,600 Speaker 2: whatever nuclear almost pulled at George Bush. But I feel 105 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 2: like that almost mess things up, I know, for his 106 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: value because now he's going where he should like. I 107 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 2: have him in the mid thirties in my wide receiver rankings. 108 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 3: My question to you is, you know. 109 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 2: Last year, I think, you know, he never really got 110 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 2: to a spot in terms of his routes per game, 111 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 2: routes run per dropback percentage that we want him to 112 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 2: see it until maybe you know, in the playoffs. 113 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 3: What are you projecting him in terms of routes run 114 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 3: this year? 115 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:18,840 Speaker 1: Oh, routes run? You know, I would say it's going 116 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 1: to be consistently above eighty five percent, right, I mean, 117 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: he's he's gonna be on the field all the time. 118 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: Crowder would be the guy that they pull up the 119 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: field when they're in two wide formation. So yeah, I 120 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: think that. You know, this time last year, I was 121 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:34,599 Speaker 1: super high on Gabe Davis and then they signed Manny 122 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: Sanders probably you know, shortly after July. I forget when 123 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,280 Speaker 1: it was, but then I knew we're gonna have to 124 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: probably weigh at least one more season for Gabe Davis 125 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 1: to go off. And then we sort of saw that 126 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:50,239 Speaker 1: happen in weeks fourteen through eighteen when Manny Sanders was down. 127 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: You know, Gabe Davis was running a route around eighty 128 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: five to nine percent of the time and he averaged white. 129 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: He was wide receiver twenty two in terms of average 130 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 1: half point half PPR points per game. So I think 131 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: that's what we could expect, right, he has he definitely 132 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 1: has the upside to be you know, wide receiver too, 133 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:11,119 Speaker 1: But I think serving that wide receiver three range sounds fair. 134 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: I agree. I think that that blow up game, that 135 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: nuclear game raises ADP. I would say ten slots, like 136 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,560 Speaker 1: if he didn't have that game, he'd probably in the forties, 137 00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: and you know that would be the sweet spot to 138 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: take him. But yeah, I would still kind of target 139 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: him in the you know, wide receiver thirty three thirty 140 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 1: five range because I think he has top thirty upside. 141 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: Where do you have him in terms of routes? Frount 142 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: Are you over eighty five percent? 143 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm right at eighty five and he's my wide 144 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 2: receiver thirty three and half PPR, So I'm pretty much 145 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 2: in line with ADP. But that's it's just disappointing because 146 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 2: I like him so much that I wanted to just 147 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 2: grab him as a value. 148 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 3: Now I'm still going to draft him. I don't think 149 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 3: there's anything wrong with him. 150 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 2: Anytime you're looking at little guys in this range, I think, 151 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 2: you know, having that quarterback, you know, if you're not 152 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 2: gonna if you don't have the upside to be like 153 00:07:57,160 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 2: the team's number one target, which invests Diggs goes down, 154 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 2: I don't think he will be, but you still have 155 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 2: that MVP favorite at quarterbacks, so I think that and 156 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 2: he's very talented guy. 157 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: How about touchdowns? How many touchdowns are you projecting? Because 158 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: I mean he has some ridiculous you know, rate stats 159 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: and it comes a touchdowns, so you know, I'm kind 160 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: of dialing back a bit, but he's proven to be, 161 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: you know, like one of Allen's favorite red zone targets. 162 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 3: I'm the seventh seven scores. 163 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: Oh okay, I have six and a half, which I 164 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: think is being all conservative. So I would not be 165 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 1: surprised if he scores double digit touchdowns this year though, right, 166 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: I mean he has certainly has that upside. 167 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 2: My favorite sleeper on this team, well, I have two, 168 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 2: but one of them is Jamison Crowder and it's not sexy, 169 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:50,199 Speaker 2: but I mean if you look at Cole Beesley, right, 170 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 2: it's a very similar kind of one for one comparison. 171 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Cole Breesley didn't come there till 172 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 2: he was like thirty crowders, you know, not quite that old, 173 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 2: but he's heading in that direction. And you look last year, 174 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 2: Cole bees we had about a twenty two twenty one 175 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 2: percent targets per per per route run and he ran 176 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 2: around on about seventy three percent of his of the 177 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 2: bills dropback. So I'm projecting Crowder around seventy three percent 178 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 2: seventy percent routes run and only a nineteen percent target 179 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 2: per route run. And he's still my wide receiver fifty 180 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 2: four and he's going as the wide receiver eighty one. 181 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 2: So you know, it's not sexy, but I do think 182 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 2: he's going way too late for the road that he's 183 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:36,200 Speaker 2: going to. 184 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: Have in his offense. Oh, I agree, and yes, yeah, 185 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 1: he's essentially replacing Cole Beasley, right, So if if Cole 186 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 1: Beasley was going wide receiver eighty one, I mean that 187 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: would be a steal as well. So I'm with you there. 188 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 1: You know, he may conced some work to Isaiah McKenzie 189 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: and even rookie kill Secure. I think that's how you 190 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: pronounce it. Yeah, and you know they run more three 191 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:03,440 Speaker 1: white sets, they're not as heavy four wide, but yeah, 192 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: he's certainly going to be out there most of the 193 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: time they have three wide. He has limited touchdown upside, 194 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,319 Speaker 1: but again, at this point in the draft, I think 195 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:13,839 Speaker 1: he's perfect if you just if you want a high 196 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: four wide receiver. Let's say you were taking you know, 197 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 1: a bunch of like rookie wide receivers, the guys that 198 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 1: are like, you know, pretty volatile, and you want a 199 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: high four guy. I mean, Crowder is the best bet, 200 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: especially at this range in the draft. So yeah, I 201 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: think he's about the top sleepers on this team, just 202 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: based on ADP as well. 203 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: And he's gonna be motivated because he signed a one 204 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 2: year kind of essentially approve it deal, you know, he didn't. 205 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 2: I think he's a better player than the deal he signed, 206 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 2: which is about one year for two mil or something 207 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:44,719 Speaker 2: like that, so you know, age twenty nine, I think 208 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 2: he's going to try to, you know, put up one 209 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:48,960 Speaker 2: more good year and get one more contract after this. 210 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 3: So yeah, I like Crowder a lot. I just think he's. 211 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 2: Going like a bunch of rounds too late. McKenzie, any 212 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 2: thoughts on him? I mean, you know, I know a 213 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 2: time they would use him, but then at times it's 214 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 2: like he would have a really good game and his 215 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 2: usage would spike, and then in next week he would 216 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 2: go right back to like ten percent routes run. So 217 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 2: I don't know if they view him as anything more 218 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: than that, the gadget kind of player that he's been these. 219 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 1: Past few years. Yeah, No, he's not fancy relevant, and 220 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: there was some time, especially towards the end of the season, 221 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 1: they were trying to incorporate anymore. I think I would 222 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 1: be more interested in Shakir the rookie White. I mean, 223 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 1: he went in the fifth round, but he's pretty sneaky, 224 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 1: especially if you were to take over the McKenzie role. 225 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: But either way, this offense is good enough where we 226 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 1: can at least monitor the wide receiver for battle. Right, 227 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:41,520 Speaker 1: these aren't guys we're drafting, you know, in late June necessarily, 228 00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 1: but you know, if one of the top three receivers 229 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: were to go down, either one of these guys could 230 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 1: have some value. So I think Shakier is probably the 231 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 1: guy I'd be most interested in, just because I think 232 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 1: McKenzie's always going to be limited. He's, like you said, 233 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 1: he's a gadget player. But Shakier could you know, potentially 234 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 1: be a fancy asset. You know, he probably needs one 235 00:11:59,920 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: or maybe two injuries to do it, but he's at 236 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: least worth you know, monitoring. Where are you want. 237 00:12:05,360 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 2: Dawshin Knox this year, He's going as the tight end 238 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:09,959 Speaker 2: number nine. 239 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:13,200 Speaker 1: That's actually exactly where I have. Yeah, that sounds about right. 240 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 1: I think, you know, I have him tight end ten. 241 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:18,600 Speaker 1: I think he has more added risk maybe than anybody 242 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 1: else sort of in this range because I think we 243 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 1: will see some touchdown regression. He scored nine tds last year, 244 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 1: but he only saw five in zone targets, so I think, 245 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: you know, he got a bit lucky when it comes 246 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 1: to touchdowns. But either way, any you know tight end 247 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 1: running around over eighty percent of the time in an offense, 248 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: like the Bills were very interested in them. I will 249 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: like to see what's up with Oj Howard. You know, 250 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:45,680 Speaker 1: they brought him in. Even if he's just running route, 251 00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: say like twenty twenty five percent of the time, that 252 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 1: might be enough to doc knocks down to that you know, 253 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: seventy percent range, which would be kind of you know, 254 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: scary if you're taking him in the top ten. So 255 00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 1: he does have some concerns. But either way, I think 256 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 1: he's going to be the main tight end. I'm not 257 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: too worried about Oj Howard, to be honest, but he's 258 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,439 Speaker 1: the only guy in this range that at least has 259 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 1: that baked in downside. Yeah, I have I have. 260 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 2: Knocks around seventy five percent routes run pretty game yet 261 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 2: eighty percent last year. But Howard, I you know, I 262 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 2: don't think he's gonna be much of a factor. I 263 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 2: you know, it seems like maybe they wanted that option. 264 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 2: I do think they have some success when they went 265 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:27,080 Speaker 2: with more heavy personnel. But uh, we're not a camp 266 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 2: at least from all the you know, the beat writers. 267 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 2: I'm reading that he's just not moving well and that's 268 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:32,960 Speaker 2: kind of why he struggled to get on the field, 269 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 2: even you know, in Tampa Bay coming back. 270 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:35,560 Speaker 1: From that injury. 271 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 3: So I don't Yeah, I just can't see him being 272 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 3: much of a factor and less something. 273 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,959 Speaker 1: Changes quick, yeah, exactly. And he really hasn't been the 274 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:46,080 Speaker 1: same since his achilles tear in twenty twenty, and that's 275 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: I mean, that's a very common injury to really, you know, 276 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:51,839 Speaker 1: derail a player's career. So I think that's that's what's 277 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:55,720 Speaker 1: happening with Howard. I'm not worried about him necessarily, you know, 278 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 1: stealing receptions and yards away from Knox, but I would 279 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 1: be concerned if he's more of like a Jimmy Graham, 280 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: you know, just a red zone target, an extra red 281 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: zone target for Allen, so that again that kind of 282 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 1: leads to you know, Knocks' touchdown, you know, rates kind 283 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:14,079 Speaker 1: of going down. Yeah, but either way, I don't think 284 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: he's that big of a threat. And he does have 285 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: injury upside. I mean, if Knocks were to go down, 286 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,960 Speaker 1: I think Howard b would be an intriguing tight end too. 287 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 1: So he has that, but he's just more going to 288 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 1: be just a nuisance I think for Knocks, especially in 289 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 1: the red zone. But yeah, he certainly lost the step 290 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 1: since his injury in twenty twenty. 291 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean there's obviously you know, you don't want to. 292 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 2: Completely ignore it, but like I can't really fade Knocks 293 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 2: at where he's going, just because at the end of 294 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 2: the day, once you get past those those tight ends 295 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 2: that are gonna be a threat for a thousand yards, 296 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 2: you're just looking for guys with touchdown upside, and I think, 297 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 2: you know, Knocks being attached to Josh Allen he has that. 298 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 2: So it's not really much you could do. You know, 299 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 2: tight end nine, tight end ten, that's kind of where 300 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 2: he's going. So that's that's I'll take him there if 301 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 2: I need that in all right, let's go to running back. 302 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 1: Oh did you want to recap the Sleepers and bust 303 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 1: real quick? No, I was gonna go running back. 304 00:15:06,880 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 3: We didn't touch the ring. 305 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: Oh we didn't even talk you know what this this year? 306 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, one of my favorite players, one of my 307 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 2: favorite running backs to draft now I know, is on 308 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 2: the Bills. But let's start with the other guy, Singletary. 309 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 2: Devin Singletary was pretty profitable for us. I feel like 310 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 2: down the stretch last year, playing him in dfs and 311 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 2: and props and things like that. I actually have him 312 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 2: right where he's going at RB twenty nine in my ranking, 313 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 2: So I don't really I'm not up or down in him. 314 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 2: I think he'll probably beat the eleven point one carries 315 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 2: he had last year. But one thing I did notice 316 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 2: the only average thirteen percent targets per route run or yeah, 317 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 2: a target on thirteen percent of his route. So that's 318 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 2: where I think Cook is gonna James Cook, the rookie 319 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 2: is going to come in. So I don't know if 320 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 2: Singletary has that like three down upside the way he 321 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 2: had in years past. 322 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 1: With the drafting of Cook. Yeah, I mean, so let's 323 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: talk about the end of the season. I mean week 324 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 1: fifteen on through the playoffs. I mean, they use them 325 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 1: as the true workhorse back. They really phased out Zach 326 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: Muss and that breed it completely. So Singletary was the 327 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 1: RB two overall in Fantasy the final four weeks, and 328 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: you know that's great because he was getting every touch. 329 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: But whenever the Bills have, you know, any kind of committee, 330 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: it's really hard to get value out of him because they, 331 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: like I said earlier, they're very pass heavy teams, so 332 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:33,520 Speaker 1: they don't run the ball much, so there's not many 333 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: carries to go around. So just having competition with Cook 334 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 1: is going to hurt. And like you said, Cook will 335 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 1: probably be the third down back on day one would 336 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 1: not surprise me. So that's going to really hurt Singletary's upside. 337 00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 1: But you mentioned Singletary's you know, his targets per oute run. 338 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,480 Speaker 1: I mean, Josh Allen doesn't really like checking down running 339 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: backs anyway. He tends to just run with the ball. 340 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 1: So I do have some caution when it comes to Cook, 341 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: just when it comes to that, but just I think 342 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 1: now that it's more of a timeshare. Singletary was the 343 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 1: RB thirty five in weeks one through fourteen last year, 344 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 1: so I think that's going to be closer to his 345 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 1: role and you know, I have him ranked closer to 346 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:14,399 Speaker 1: that range, you know, RB thirty five. So I think 347 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:17,120 Speaker 1: his ADP being you know, RB twenty nine, that's that's 348 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:20,359 Speaker 1: a little bit too expensive for him, especially with James 349 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: Cook in the mix. Now. 350 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 2: I mean they said Josh Allen didn't throw the ball 351 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 2: shortened over the middle, and then he got Kolb's we 352 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 2: you know what I mean. I think I think it's 353 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:30,679 Speaker 2: more of the players that he had at his disposal, 354 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 2: like Frank Gore, Devin Singletary, Zach Moss. Is that really 355 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 2: a guy you want to put you know, you want 356 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:38,800 Speaker 2: to put the ball in their hands, like it's not 357 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 2: really conducive to checking it down or you know, attacking 358 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 2: linebackers with those guys like Singletary's a solid back. 359 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:49,200 Speaker 1: And we saw what he could do with a good workload. 360 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 2: But he's not like a guy that you're saying, Okay, 361 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 2: let's put him one on one with a linebacker and 362 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 2: just let him go to work like that. 363 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 3: That's just not the type of player he is. 364 00:17:57,040 --> 00:18:00,399 Speaker 2: So that is why I do like James Cook, and 365 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 2: the actual real reason I like James could be on 366 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:05,400 Speaker 2: the fact that I think he's a talented player, went 367 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 2: in round two of the draft, has you know, ninety 368 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 2: fourth percentile speed, ran the forty yard dash and four 369 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:12,439 Speaker 2: to four two. 370 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 1: That's I like him for all those reasons. 371 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 2: But again, I think when you're projecting these guys, you 372 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 2: got to kind of get inside the mind of the organization. 373 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:22,400 Speaker 2: And remember what happened with the Bills in the offseason. 374 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:26,439 Speaker 2: Who do they sign JD. Mckissi, and then the Kissick 375 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 2: Reknick And then that's why they went and targeted running 376 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 2: back in the second round, because remember the Bill's roster 377 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 2: is pretty solid all around, so they can really start 378 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:38,760 Speaker 2: going in attacking needs in the draft. And you know, 379 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,639 Speaker 2: for them to spend a second round pick on a 380 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 2: guy like James Cook, I think he's going to be 381 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 2: used a lot like they would have used McKissick, who, 382 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:49,360 Speaker 2: over the last two years in Washington averaged four point 383 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 2: nine carries, six targets, four and a half receptions, and 384 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 2: that all equated to nine and a half touches per game. 385 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 2: So I've cooken about eight and a half touches per 386 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:02,119 Speaker 2: game and he's still my RB thirty nine, which is 387 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 2: ahead of his RB forty four ADP. 388 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 1: So that's why I like James Cook. Yeah, he's my 389 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 1: RB thirty nine as well. He's a great you know 390 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,920 Speaker 1: target if you're in a PPR format. I mean he 391 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,440 Speaker 1: has a high floor in this range where he won't 392 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: need an injury to have value. Like every game he 393 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: should be able to get a few receptions. And he 394 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,199 Speaker 1: does have upside if they were to kind of create 395 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,119 Speaker 1: sort of Isaiah McKenzie role for him and line him 396 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 1: up as a you know, slot wide receiver things like 397 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 1: that get him on the field. Even with Singletary, he 398 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 1: has that sort of upside. The only problem is the 399 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:39,200 Speaker 1: Bills won't have many trailing game scripts, so that does 400 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: hurt it a little bit there. But either way, like 401 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: he's going to be a member of the passing game 402 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,119 Speaker 1: in the Bills offense, so I am interested. But his 403 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,679 Speaker 1: playing style, he does, you know, have a cap ceiling, 404 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:53,680 Speaker 1: Like if Singletary were to go down, I don't think 405 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: he could be the workhorse back necessarily, so his upside 406 00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:58,400 Speaker 1: is cap But that's why I think he's a great 407 00:19:58,480 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: high floor play in this range. 408 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of like again going back to machistic. Remember, 409 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 2: you know, Gibson went down a few games. McKissick wasn't 410 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 2: like twenty touches, but he would get to like fifteen. 411 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, RB two, Yeah, especially when he's dominating the receiving work. 412 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 1: That's mid range RB two status. Yeah. 413 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,120 Speaker 2: And on top of that, if they if they keep 414 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 2: Zack Moss, he's not exactly a guy that you want 415 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:23,480 Speaker 2: to give like twenty touches like Alexander Madison, so Cook 416 00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,399 Speaker 2: would probably split work with him or maybe Duke Johnson 417 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 2: or whoever they end up calling up or keeping around. 418 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 1: But yeah, I think this guy's just too talented. 419 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,560 Speaker 2: So if you're you're in that, like if you're either 420 00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 2: doing zero RB or you just need a high upside 421 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,200 Speaker 2: guy to kind of compliment your top two. I really 422 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 2: like James because I think he's more of an RB 423 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 2: three or will be more of an RB three when 424 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 2: it's all said and done, and he's still going as 425 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 2: an RB four all right, Yeah, and now now now 426 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 2: Sleepers and bus for Buffalo he got. 427 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,159 Speaker 1: Oh, okay, I know you're going with Crowder that's a 428 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,439 Speaker 1: great one, but I'm going with Gave Davis. I just 429 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:01,159 Speaker 1: think there's still some value could squeeze out of you know, 430 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 1: wide receiver thirty three. I still think he has league 431 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:07,200 Speaker 1: winning upside. I know he's just you know, the second 432 00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 1: option in the passing game, but we've seen this in 433 00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:12,760 Speaker 1: the past with you know, like Ridley and Julio Jones 434 00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 1: or Antonio Brown and Juju Smith Schuster. I think we 435 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: have that potential here where we could have two guys 436 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 1: inside the top ten in our weekly projection. So I 437 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,119 Speaker 1: think gave Davis is considering he has that upside. I 438 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,560 Speaker 1: still think he's a sleeper pick at wide receiver thirty three. 439 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 2: I mean, that's my guy. I can't I can't begad 440 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 2: that I'll go sir this year. Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. 441 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 2: So if Frenny listeners that don't know Sean and I 442 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 2: were watching the game, the Chiefs game at my crib, 443 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 2: Chiefs Bills, and I thought we had we had big 444 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 2: money on the Bills, so I thought we won our bet. 445 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,640 Speaker 3: After gave Davis scores his bazillion. 446 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,560 Speaker 2: Touchdown, ripped my shirt off, which happened to say sh 447 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 2: money on it, and uh so that shirt is gone, 448 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 2: and then in the game and the game was gone too, 449 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:59,360 Speaker 2: So it was just a fiasco. But yeah, it's my dude, 450 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 2: gave David love him. Yeah, I'm going crowded though. I 451 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 2: just think again, he's going outside the top eighty and 452 00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 2: he's my wide receiver fifty four. I think he gets 453 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 2: the bees we roll and I don't even have him 454 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 2: getting targeted on a per route basis as much as Beesley, 455 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,560 Speaker 2: and he still lands in the in the mid fifties 456 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:18,560 Speaker 2: for me in this offense. So like Jameson Crowder and 457 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,400 Speaker 2: Cook as well, I think there's an honorable mention. Yeah, 458 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:24,040 Speaker 2: just because he's a talented guy in a good offense 459 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:25,520 Speaker 2: who's going to catch the passes. 460 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,040 Speaker 1: What about for busts, it's got to be I mean, 461 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 1: it's hard to find a bust in this offense because 462 00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 1: it's so good, but it's got to be singletary just 463 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,359 Speaker 1: that I think you're paying up for, you know, the 464 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,120 Speaker 1: end of last season's usage rates. But with Cook there, 465 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 1: it's to be tough. And we have to remember this 466 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 1: is Josh Allen's offense through there and on the ground, 467 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:47,320 Speaker 1: so you know, the running backs already kind of have 468 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 1: to fight for scraps and when he's you know, got 469 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,200 Speaker 1: competition back there, that makes it even tougher. So I'm 470 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:53,720 Speaker 1: with you on Cook by the way. So I just 471 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 1: think that kind of leads into why I think Singletary 472 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,120 Speaker 1: is the bust. Yeah, I mean I don't. 473 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 2: I don't really have a bust just because I even 474 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,160 Speaker 2: though I'm higher on Cook, I still have Singletary at 475 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 2: twenty ninth. I just you know, it's it's not a 476 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:07,399 Speaker 2: sexy pick. It's not really a guy that I'm going 477 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 2: to be taking too much. But let's go to Miami 478 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:15,160 Speaker 2: and you know the big offseason news. Obviously, they acquired 479 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:20,679 Speaker 2: Tyreek Cody, also get Cedric Wilson junior. So how do 480 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 2: you think this all sets up now for to a 481 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:23,120 Speaker 2: tone of aloe? 482 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this is definitely a make or break 483 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: year for his career. I mean they brought in Tyreek Hill, 484 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: Jaylen Waddell is going to be entering year two, so 485 00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 1: he's going to be even better if you could believe it. 486 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:36,399 Speaker 1: They improved the offensive line, you know, they brought in 487 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: Colin Williams, Tron Armstead. This scheme, you know, under Mike McDaniel, 488 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 1: is going to be the Kyle Shahan forty nine ers scheme, 489 00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: which should help take pressure off the O line. And 490 00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:50,159 Speaker 1: be good for fantasy, you know football, and you know 491 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,720 Speaker 1: things are lined up for two of this season. We 492 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,439 Speaker 1: really haven't seen him from him from him yet, but 493 00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,800 Speaker 1: with all the weapons around him, I don't see how 494 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 1: he can fail necessarily. So QB sixteen seems fair just 495 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 1: given his upside. But he's far from a slam dunk. 496 00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 1: I mean, we have to admit it. So I don't 497 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,120 Speaker 1: really like him at sixteen. I think if you're gonna 498 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:11,879 Speaker 1: take him, you got to do some stacks, right. You 499 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 1: got to stack him with you know, either Hill, Waddle, 500 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: possibly get sicky. You just got to go all in 501 00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 1: in the offense because it does depend on him, you know, 502 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 1: having a year free breakout. 503 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:24,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I mean I do like him coming out 504 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:26,919 Speaker 2: of schools just kind of he has that kind of 505 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,679 Speaker 2: it factor. But I don't know, like this could go 506 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:33,480 Speaker 2: south too, Like if Tyreek Hill was chirping about Mahomes 507 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:35,679 Speaker 2: and he wasn't used enough in that offense. It's like, 508 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 2: I mean, if he's running opening and to it doesn't 509 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 2: hit him DP. I mean I could I could see, 510 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 2: I could see some problems, but you know what I 511 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:46,640 Speaker 2: the thing is, you're not drafting him as your QB 512 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,720 Speaker 2: one anyway, and so he's a guy I'm probably just 513 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:53,440 Speaker 2: leaving on the waiver wire because he starts the year 514 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,800 Speaker 2: New England, which you know Belichick defense, I know, I 515 00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,120 Speaker 2: know they lost J. C. Jackson, but still not ideal 516 00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 2: for a streamer, and then they go to Baltimore and 517 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,640 Speaker 2: then they play the Bills. So those are three tough defenses, 518 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 2: three the better defenses in the AFC. So I don't 519 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 2: really think you're gonna start the year with much use 520 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 2: for him because you're not gonna trust him against the 521 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 2: Patriots in Week one, and then you know, even if 522 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 2: he had if he does have a big game, are 523 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 2: you going to go back and trust. 524 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 1: Him against Baltimore? Like? Probably not. 525 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:27,919 Speaker 2: So, you know, it's it's one of those things where, uh, 526 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 2: you know, in a two QB league final, you take 527 00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,840 Speaker 2: a chance on the improved weapons, you know, if you 528 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 2: can get them below ADP, But in a regular re 529 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 2: draft leak, I don't really see a point in drafting them. Uh, Tyreek, 530 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 2: he's going as the wide receiver eight. How do you 531 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 2: think his what do you think happens with his numbers 532 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:48,480 Speaker 2: going from Mahomes to Tua. 533 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna have to disagree with Tyreek. Going from 534 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 1: mahomes Atua is a downgrade, a clear downgrade. But he's 535 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,400 Speaker 1: still an elite talent. So I think wide receiver eight 536 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,640 Speaker 1: sounds fair for him. But he's going to be more 537 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:04,719 Speaker 1: inconsistent in this offense. You know, I don't think two 538 00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:06,680 Speaker 1: is going to be able to support Hill, Waddle and 539 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,480 Speaker 1: Gaseki every single week. So I think it's gonna be 540 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 1: sort of musical chairs where you get, you know, two 541 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:13,199 Speaker 1: of these guys that have a fancy, relevant game and 542 00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,959 Speaker 1: the other a dud. So yeah, I think Hill's going 543 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 1: to have a lower floor than he's seen, you know, 544 00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:21,359 Speaker 1: the past few seasons. But certainly, you know, in best 545 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: ball formats, he's going to have his big games. But 546 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 1: this is absolutely a downgrade. But when you're taking Tyreek, 547 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:29,640 Speaker 1: you're just betting on his elite talent. So I think 548 00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:32,000 Speaker 1: wide receiver eight is fair. That's exact where I haven't 549 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,160 Speaker 1: projected right now. How many touchdowns do you have them? Oh, 550 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 1: that's a great question, rushing and receiving. I'm at half 551 00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,879 Speaker 1: a touchdown rushing and eight receiving touchdowns, so eight and 552 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,280 Speaker 1: a half okay, So I have him seven point six. 553 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 2: I have seven receiving an end point six rushing, so 554 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:53,400 Speaker 2: seven was his He did seven twice over the last 555 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 2: five years, in twenty seventeen and twenty nineteen, so that's 556 00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,560 Speaker 2: kind of his been his floor. But I think that's 557 00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 2: fair given the downgrading quarterback. But somewhere between seven and eight, 558 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 2: where do you have him ranked? 559 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:06,119 Speaker 1: Based on that? 560 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 2: So I have a wide receiver ten right now, But 561 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,959 Speaker 2: that's because I'm like very high on Mike Evans. I 562 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:15,200 Speaker 2: have Evan ahead of him, and I don't have a J. 563 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 2: Brown ahead of him though, so I know I've seen, 564 00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 2: you know, a J. Brown kind of creeping up in there. 565 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,600 Speaker 2: I just think the past find is a little too low. 566 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 3: But yeah, he's a top ten guy. 567 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,439 Speaker 2: You take him anywhere and at you know, six to 568 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 2: ten range. I don't think you're gonna lose your league, 569 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 2: but you know it's Tyreek Kill Like, you're not going 570 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 2: to lose your league. 571 00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:35,360 Speaker 3: Drafted Tyreek Kill Waddle though. 572 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,520 Speaker 2: I mean this is I struggle with him because, like, 573 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:42,880 Speaker 2: I feel like his ADP didn't really change after Tyreek 574 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,359 Speaker 2: went to the Dobinson Listen. I know it's good for 575 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 2: like the offense being able to move the ball and 576 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:53,359 Speaker 2: get more first downs, YadA, YadA, YadA. But like, am 577 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,439 Speaker 2: I just going crazy here? Or is like, is Tyreek 578 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:59,439 Speaker 2: He's gonna cut into Wattles production more than just like 579 00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 2: for to drive to go to wide receiver thirteen, Like 580 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:02,680 Speaker 2: I feel like that's still. 581 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it is. It is too high, which is 582 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,960 Speaker 1: a shame because I love investing in really good wide 583 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 1: receivers in year two, year three, So it's it's tough 584 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 1: to kind of fade him. But that's that's horder what 585 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 1: I'm doing, because we have to remember last year he 586 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: benefited from Will Fuller and DeVante Parker missing you know, 587 00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 1: much of the season, so you know, his his target 588 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,600 Speaker 1: shat is massive, and you know Tyrek, Tyrek's presidence will 589 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 1: only hinder that. So yeah, his his target rate's going 590 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:33,040 Speaker 1: to be down. His touchdown rates probably down as well. 591 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,320 Speaker 1: So I think just why we're wide receiver thirteen is 592 00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 1: too close to his ceiling in my opinion, So I'd 593 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:40,240 Speaker 1: be more comfortable if he was sort of in the 594 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: wide receiver fifteen seventeen range. That would be a fun 595 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 1: range to take him. But yeah, I'm I'm probably out 596 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: at thirteen, which is you know, it sucks because I 597 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 1: think he's one of the more talented, you know, younger 598 00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 1: receivers in the game. So I just think with Tyrek, 599 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,120 Speaker 1: you know, coming in, I don't think the ADP really 600 00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 1: you know, affected that in enough. 601 00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is where you know, kind of modeling it 602 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 2: by using routes and targets per route really kind of 603 00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:11,920 Speaker 2: shines through and is illuminating. Because last year Wattle his 604 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,960 Speaker 2: targets per route were twenty three point eight percent, which 605 00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 2: is very very good. But let's look at the players 606 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 2: you already mentioned who were running routes alongside him. At 607 00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 2: wide receiver, Davonte Parker was twenty point eight percent, Albert 608 00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 2: Wilson was sixteen point eight percent, and Mac Collins who 609 00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 2: was twelve point eight percent. So now you have Tyreek Hills, 610 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:38,200 Speaker 2: who's twenty six point five percent. So like, not only 611 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 2: is he a massive step up from anyone else that 612 00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 2: was running around alongside Wattle, but he's even a couple 613 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:46,760 Speaker 2: of points above Wattle. He was eighth in the league 614 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:49,640 Speaker 2: of one hundred and fifty two receivers that had at 615 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 2: least one hundred routes around, So like this is it 616 00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,040 Speaker 2: just has to knock him down, Like just no, the 617 00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:58,240 Speaker 2: mass just doesn't work out. Even if you give Wattle 618 00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 2: that you know, like leave him at this, like you know, 619 00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 2: you don't knock. 620 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 3: Down his baseline rate. 621 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 1: Like it's just it's the math has. 622 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 2: To knock it down when you're competing with a guy 623 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,800 Speaker 2: that's higher than you and you bump from you know, 624 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 2: number one to number two in the total post in 625 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:16,120 Speaker 2: the pecking order. So I have a wide receiver twenty three. 626 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:18,560 Speaker 2: I think that's I think he's he's. 627 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: A low and wide receiver. Probably many shares. 628 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, any, honey, I don't think I'm getting. 629 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,480 Speaker 1: Any Yeah, you were This might segue into our next guy, 630 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 1: but you were talking about Terry have an impact and 631 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 1: you mentioned their their number three receiver was typically you know, 632 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,920 Speaker 1: Albert Wilson or MATC. Hollins. But their third receiver is 633 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 1: going to be Cedric Wilson now, so that he has 634 00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,120 Speaker 1: an upgrade at wide receiver three as well. 635 00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, Wilson is about eighteen percent targets per rout run 636 00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 2: and I was in the Dallas offense where it's not 637 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:51,080 Speaker 2: easy to get target exactly. Yeah, it's just every it's 638 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 2: just a downgrade around him in terms of the guys he's. 639 00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 3: Going to be competing with for for Wato. 640 00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,400 Speaker 2: So yeah, I you know, I love wide receiver entering 641 00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 2: year two. I think two is a new year three 642 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 2: in terms of guys breaking out. But there's just really 643 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 2: no way for him to beat really beat that ADP 644 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:11,600 Speaker 2: at wide receiver thirteen. So you know, Wilson, he's going 645 00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 2: eighty fifth at wide receiver. I don't really think you 646 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 2: need to touch him unless you're in this super deep 647 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 2: league then. 648 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:19,360 Speaker 1: I mean knock yourself out. 649 00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 2: But what about Gasiki He's going as a tight end 650 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 2: number twelve this year? 651 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess I misspoke because Gasiki's essentially their third 652 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:32,239 Speaker 1: wide receiver, right, I mean he he rarely lines up 653 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,720 Speaker 1: as tight end. Now he's basically their slot receiver. So 654 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 1: he's a guy where again, this kind of reminds me 655 00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 1: of Wattle, where you know, he's entering his age twenty 656 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 1: sixth season. He's an elite talent. I mean, he's smack 657 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: dab in the middle of his prime, but his upside 658 00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 1: is capped by Tyreek there by Wattle entering year two. So, 659 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 1: like I said earlier, it's just one of these guys 660 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:55,560 Speaker 1: every week is going to have to have a dud. 661 00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:57,840 Speaker 1: I don't see how all three of them can be 662 00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: putting up monster numbers every single week. So now, to 663 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 1: be fair, you know, once you get to this range 664 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 1: at tight end, you know, low end, tight end one, 665 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: you're expecting duds. So I think Kaseki sounds about right 666 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:12,880 Speaker 1: at about tight end twelve, but he's probably gonna need 667 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 1: to make a massive leap to really, you know, clear 668 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 1: this value at tight end twelve. So love the talent. 669 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 1: This situation is going to be murky week to week. 670 00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 1: But I think at tight end twelve he's priced about right. 671 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:28,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him tight end fourteen, So I'm actually 672 00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 2: I think he's a little bit overvalued. 673 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 1: Here's the thing. 674 00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 2: He ran the fourth most routes among tight ends last year, right, 675 00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:36,840 Speaker 2: and he still finishes the tight end eleven. 676 00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 3: And now you're adding another like. 677 00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:43,560 Speaker 2: Mid you know, mid twenty in terms of percent in 678 00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 2: terms of targets per out run wide receiver in Tyreek Koll. 679 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,840 Speaker 2: So you have Tyreek Hill who's at twenty seven percent, 680 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 2: you have Watto at twenty four percent. It just doesn't 681 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 2: weave much space for Kasicki to even match his nineteen 682 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:58,000 Speaker 2: point seven percent targets per route run from a year ago, 683 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:01,400 Speaker 2: so I not down to nineteen, so it's not even 684 00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 2: a massive downgrade, but yeah, he's still coming in below 685 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 2: below his ADP for me, what do you think of 686 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,160 Speaker 2: Edmund's going there to you know, coming over from Arizona. 687 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:14,640 Speaker 1: He's the RB thirty five and ADP. Yeah, so, I 688 00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:18,360 Speaker 1: mean this backfield's really murky. Like I said earlier, you know, 689 00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:22,120 Speaker 1: Mike Mike McDaniel's bringing over the Kyle Shanahan forty and 690 00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 1: iron scheme, which is great for fantasy running backs, but 691 00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 1: also you know, it can be pretty volatile. I think 692 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:31,240 Speaker 1: all three of these backs have different skill sets, and 693 00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:33,560 Speaker 1: Edmunds is the highest paid, like that that he's going 694 00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,200 Speaker 1: to be the week one starter. He'll probably have a 695 00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 1: pretty long leash, but still like he's sort of a 696 00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,920 Speaker 1: frozen pond kind of running back where you know, anything 697 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:46,280 Speaker 1: can happen after week one. You know, I think he's 698 00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 1: going late enough at RB thirty five where he's definitely 699 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:51,400 Speaker 1: worth the risk. This is where you kind of have 700 00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 1: you know, Tony Pollard, Alexander Madison kind of going and 701 00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:58,920 Speaker 1: Edmunds doesn't really need an injury to be the workhorse 702 00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 1: back all season. So I kind of like him at ADP, 703 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,360 Speaker 1: but he does have a pretty low floor. But I 704 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 1: just think where he's going, this is probably the area 705 00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:08,680 Speaker 1: I'd like to take him because there is, like I said, 706 00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:11,080 Speaker 1: there's a lot of upside in this scheme. So I 707 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:14,279 Speaker 1: think he could be a really good fet. Yeah, he's 708 00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 1: gonna be a good fit. Yeah. 709 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 2: Like you mentioned that, the contract, I think that is 710 00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:20,759 Speaker 2: at least somewhat illuminating because teams aren't paying running backs 711 00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:24,239 Speaker 2: these days. So for McDaniel to kind of go out 712 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,840 Speaker 2: and he because they could have just assembled a backfield 713 00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:28,760 Speaker 2: on the cheap, I mean they could have just gone 714 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:32,040 Speaker 2: with you know, they signed Michelle, They could have still 715 00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,480 Speaker 2: brought in Moster on the cheap anyway, and maybe you 716 00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 2: just give Myles Gaskin another chance. You know, he was 717 00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:40,480 Speaker 2: he proved that he could play as a starter, and 718 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:43,279 Speaker 2: he ran enough zone you know zone scheme that last 719 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:44,960 Speaker 2: year that I think you could have just done that. 720 00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:48,000 Speaker 2: So for them to bring in Edmonds and pay him 721 00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:50,319 Speaker 2: like they did, I think that is significant. 722 00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 3: So I am somewhat intrigued by him. 723 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 2: I have him a few spots higher than where he's 724 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:58,520 Speaker 2: going to have him at RB thirty two in my rankings. 725 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:03,319 Speaker 2: He's going as the RB thirty five. I don't think 726 00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 2: this back food is quite as murky. I think it's 727 00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:10,520 Speaker 2: more murky behind Edmunds, like cuz for Heim moster, he's 728 00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,399 Speaker 2: going to RB forty five. That's got to be a joke, right, 729 00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:14,919 Speaker 2: that's that's a joke. 730 00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,959 Speaker 1: Yeah, well there's a joke later on in the pod. 731 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,719 Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, just given only the only positive 732 00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,480 Speaker 1: thing you could say really is he's already familiar with 733 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,560 Speaker 1: the scheme, right, That's about it. But he's thirty years 734 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:31,560 Speaker 1: old now and he's injury prone. So yeah, while it's 735 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 1: kind of murky now while most are it's healthy. I 736 00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 1: guess once he's you know, on the pup list or 737 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,080 Speaker 1: the IR, that'll help clear things up a bit. But 738 00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:41,520 Speaker 1: I mean he has that home run hitting upside. But 739 00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:44,600 Speaker 1: again he's on the wrong side of thirty, so yeah, 740 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,680 Speaker 1: I'm not the one taking him at RB forty five. 741 00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: So yeah, that his ADP is sort of a joke 742 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:49,680 Speaker 1: right now. 743 00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, Like I have him fifty eight and that's being 744 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,280 Speaker 3: like probably generous. 745 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,240 Speaker 2: Because that's that's me kind of splitting. 746 00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,480 Speaker 3: Him in Michelle's workload. 747 00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 2: But like you said, his dude is thirty and he's 748 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:02,480 Speaker 2: missed thirty five of his thirty six excuse not thirty five. 749 00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 2: He's missed thirty six of his last eighty one games 750 00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:09,800 Speaker 2: over the past five years. And Michelle is twenty seventy 751 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,000 Speaker 2: three years younger. He's probably a better back. 752 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:12,440 Speaker 3: At this point. 753 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't get it. 754 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,680 Speaker 2: I think I think it's like he's dolphin ADP's It's 755 00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:21,239 Speaker 2: like they haven't adjusted to anything that's happened in the 756 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,120 Speaker 2: off season. It's like, okay, at the beginning of the 757 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:26,040 Speaker 2: off season, Yeah, they had no Tyree gill Awada, sure 758 00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 2: wide receiver thirteen. 759 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:30,719 Speaker 3: Okay, Miami, you know they brought in most. 760 00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,920 Speaker 2: There and they didn't have Sony Michelle Like, okay, fine, 761 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:34,879 Speaker 2: like it is. 762 00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:36,239 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't get it. 763 00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,920 Speaker 2: Michelle. He's already fifty four. Probably the better value. I 764 00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:44,440 Speaker 2: mean for me, I have him splitting the work evenly, 765 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:46,600 Speaker 2: and that might even be generous, being generous to most. 766 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's the cheapest back, so he probably has the 767 00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:54,399 Speaker 1: most value, I guess. But you know, like I can 768 00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:57,239 Speaker 1: see him being used in the short yardage situation, so 769 00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:59,120 Speaker 1: he might be the goallying back like that. That would 770 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:01,919 Speaker 1: hurt Edmunds value. Bet If Michelle is the goal line back. 771 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:03,839 Speaker 1: But he at the end of the day, he does 772 00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:07,960 Speaker 1: need probably you know, Edmonds go down to really have 773 00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:11,520 Speaker 1: weekly value. But again he's he's pretty cheap for a 774 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,759 Speaker 1: backup running back. So at fifty four, I mean, I'm 775 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 1: not running to get him there, but in certain drafts, 776 00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:20,799 Speaker 1: in certain situations, he certainly makes sense. 777 00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:23,759 Speaker 3: Yeah, like I have him below ADP too. 778 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 1: I have him RB sixty for now. 779 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,319 Speaker 2: But you know, if we start getting worried that, you know, 780 00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:29,920 Speaker 2: maybe most is going to go back to more of 781 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,840 Speaker 2: a special teams row or whatever or not, and and 782 00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:36,239 Speaker 2: Michelle kind of inches ahead, I'll not I'll bump them 783 00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:37,680 Speaker 2: up a little bit and he'll kind. 784 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:39,799 Speaker 3: Of end up at RB fifty four. But yeah, really 785 00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:40,279 Speaker 3: we're just. 786 00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:43,319 Speaker 2: We're drafting these Dolphins. RB two and three's a little 787 00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 2: bit too, h I know. I know it's the Shanahan's 788 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:48,400 Speaker 2: scheme and all that, so in some ways it makes sense. 789 00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:50,600 Speaker 2: But for all that, we might as well just draft 790 00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 2: Gasking again, like you're going to do all that. 791 00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:56,279 Speaker 1: If we're doing the Shanahan Yeah, like at least it's act. Yeah, 792 00:37:56,800 --> 00:38:00,200 Speaker 1: would absolutely be the minus three hundred favorite we're talking 793 00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,560 Speaker 1: about the Niners. Yeah, it's caasking all the way, or. 794 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,560 Speaker 2: Maybe Savon Ahmed was yeah, well he's a former Shanahan 795 00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:07,120 Speaker 2: guy or something. 796 00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,319 Speaker 1: Yeah or yeah, no, ties all these Gaskin coming off 797 00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:12,040 Speaker 1: the year where he thought he'd be the main bat 798 00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,319 Speaker 1: and he busted. This year, we're not talking about him 799 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 1: like that would be the Shanahan forty nine ers. 800 00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 3: Oh wait, No, it's just it's alec Ingold. 801 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:21,560 Speaker 1: He's going to be the use check. He's going to 802 00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:24,280 Speaker 1: get all their down work. Yeah, but we don't even draft, 803 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:26,919 Speaker 1: like we don't even check. But yeah, I could see 804 00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:27,480 Speaker 1: that happening. 805 00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:33,680 Speaker 2: Sure, Oh man, okay, uh sleepers on a fleet run 806 00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 2: it off un so you got. 807 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,719 Speaker 1: And it's it's tough. I think this whole offense is 808 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,600 Speaker 1: probably over valued. So I'm going to go with my 809 00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:43,719 Speaker 1: Tua stacks. So not just drafting naked to it. I 810 00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,760 Speaker 1: think you need to stack him because all these players 811 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:49,359 Speaker 1: need to to have your three leap to actually hit. 812 00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 1: So I think you'll want to make it to a stack. 813 00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:55,760 Speaker 1: So Tua with you know, Tyree kirk Hill or Waddle 814 00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:58,839 Speaker 1: and Gasiki something like that, a couple of teams where 815 00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:01,520 Speaker 1: you sort of go all in and not half asked 816 00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:03,200 Speaker 1: it I think that's the only way you can kind 817 00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,680 Speaker 1: of label a sleeper in this offense, because I think 818 00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:09,800 Speaker 1: everybody's kind of like ADP or like way too expensive. 819 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll go with Edmonds just because he's the only 820 00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:16,920 Speaker 2: guy would really that I have ranked above ADP. I 821 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:19,120 Speaker 2: have him RB thirty two. He's going RB thirty five, 822 00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,520 Speaker 2: So I'll go with him. 823 00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,520 Speaker 1: What about Bush, I think we're on the same page 824 00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:26,120 Speaker 1: on this, right, It's got to be Waddle, which is 825 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:29,359 Speaker 1: unfortunate because, i mean, heading in the year two, I 826 00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 1: was all excited, you know, they got McDaniel coming over, 827 00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 1: and then they add Terry Kill. So if you're not 828 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,359 Speaker 1: factoring in, you're doing it wrong. That is a huge 829 00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:41,120 Speaker 1: hit to his his target share. And unfortunately, you know 830 00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,759 Speaker 1: he's more of a lower end wide receiver too now 831 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:44,399 Speaker 1: because of it. 832 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:47,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean I'll add moster it to that mix, 833 00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 2: just because I just think, oh, well he should not be. 834 00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:55,720 Speaker 1: Going rbsy five. Yeah, fair enough. Yeah, it's just but yeah, wow. 835 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,640 Speaker 2: I mean ten spots you know, in my rankings, ten 836 00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:02,200 Speaker 2: spots that point in the draft is massive, you know, 837 00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:05,319 Speaker 2: in terms of over undervalued, because I mean, you could 838 00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:06,880 Speaker 2: get a guy like Keenan Allen like a couple of 839 00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:09,600 Speaker 2: spots ahead of Waddle, which I think is you know, 840 00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 2: a completely different situation, number one wide receiver versus number two. 841 00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:18,520 Speaker 2: So yeah, Waddle has some bust potential unfortunately. 842 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:20,680 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Patriots. 843 00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,560 Speaker 2: Any thoughts before we get into the players, just on 844 00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,200 Speaker 2: you know, are you gonna see kind of a like 845 00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 2: is this gonna be a clown show with Joe Jones 846 00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:34,120 Speaker 2: and Matt Patricia's or because Mac Jones you know, I 847 00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:36,920 Speaker 2: thought he was the best rookie quarterback last year. Is 848 00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 2: Mac Jones just gonna make it all move and just 849 00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,800 Speaker 2: is it just gonna be Mac Jones essentially calling the 850 00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:41,480 Speaker 2: plays this year? 851 00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, that would be great, right because he was arguably 852 00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:47,719 Speaker 1: the best rookie quarterback last year, but they held him 853 00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:50,320 Speaker 1: back probably too much in my opinion. Last year. I 854 00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 1: remember you and I anytime they were favored by like 855 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,720 Speaker 1: three or more points, we were just downgrade Mac Jones 856 00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,160 Speaker 1: in the passing offense completely, and they were just gonna 857 00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:04,160 Speaker 1: feed Damien Harris. So hopefully, you know, they they take 858 00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:07,719 Speaker 1: off the training wheels this year. You know, they brought 859 00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:12,319 Speaker 1: in DeVante Parker. They you know, they drafted Thornton, who's 860 00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:14,040 Speaker 1: a deep threat. So I think there's signs there that 861 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:17,560 Speaker 1: they do intend to let mac Jones let it rip 862 00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:20,799 Speaker 1: a bit more this year. So you know, ADB twenty one, 863 00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:23,319 Speaker 1: he doesn't offer any rushing up side, so it's it's 864 00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:25,879 Speaker 1: really hard to like him, but certainly in two QB 865 00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:28,719 Speaker 1: superplexed formats, I think he has a really high flour 866 00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:31,919 Speaker 1: and who knows, they could let him let it rip 867 00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:35,160 Speaker 1: this year and he could surprise us. But last year 868 00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,319 Speaker 1: it was the the offense and the coaching staff sort 869 00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:39,839 Speaker 1: of holding him back. So we'll see what he does 870 00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:40,239 Speaker 1: this year. 871 00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:44,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know, again, for anyone that hasn't been 872 00:41:45,160 --> 00:41:47,520 Speaker 2: kind of caught up on the off season news, Josh McDaniel, 873 00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:51,400 Speaker 2: a longtime coordinator for the Patriots, goes to the Raiders 874 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,239 Speaker 2: to become the head coach. So now they bring in 875 00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,920 Speaker 2: Joe Judge and they bring in Matt Patricia former you know, 876 00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:01,080 Speaker 2: former coaches who flamed out and coaching positions, and those 877 00:42:01,120 --> 00:42:03,359 Speaker 2: two are kind of running the offense, and we still 878 00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:05,319 Speaker 2: don't know who's the play call is. 879 00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:05,719 Speaker 1: Going to be. 880 00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:08,960 Speaker 2: Belichick hasn't decided yet. He's actually been more involved in 881 00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:11,080 Speaker 2: the offense as well, So there are a lot of 882 00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:12,880 Speaker 2: question marks as to who's going to be running it. 883 00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:16,080 Speaker 1: But I do like Mac Jones. 884 00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:17,840 Speaker 2: I mean I think I think he can beat this 885 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:19,920 Speaker 2: quarterback twenty one ADP. 886 00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:21,400 Speaker 3: I mean it's it's not hard to beat it. 887 00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:22,759 Speaker 2: He can be I think he can be one of 888 00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:26,040 Speaker 2: the better, like kind of tier two pocket paths. 889 00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:26,319 Speaker 1: You know. 890 00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:30,319 Speaker 2: So I am somewhat intrigued. What do you think of 891 00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:35,320 Speaker 2: the Parker edition? Uh, it's great for mac Jones. I 892 00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:38,160 Speaker 2: don't know if it's great for Parker necessarily. I mean, 893 00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:40,879 Speaker 2: they just have too many targets to go around, right, 894 00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:44,000 Speaker 2: I mean, Jacoby Myers will still be probably you know, 895 00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:46,680 Speaker 2: dominating sort of the target share when he's on the field. 896 00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:50,360 Speaker 2: Kendrick Bourne is sneaky. You know, they still have Hunter Henry. 897 00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:53,160 Speaker 2: So it's not it's not great, but you know, he's 898 00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:55,520 Speaker 2: wide receiver fifty four and ADP. He's got to be 899 00:42:56,480 --> 00:43:00,240 Speaker 2: the cheapest wide receiver one on any offense, right, he's 900 00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,600 Speaker 2: got to be, so he has that going from at least, 901 00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:05,760 Speaker 2: so I do kind of like him where he's going. 902 00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,359 Speaker 2: I think your cooked Myers is the wide receiver one. 903 00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:11,000 Speaker 2: I know, he's the slot wide receiver. But I think, 904 00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:13,719 Speaker 2: like you kind of alluded to it, people dominate target 905 00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,600 Speaker 2: sher when he's on the field. His targets per route 906 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,200 Speaker 2: run last year was twenty three percent. Parkers is twenty one. 907 00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:21,799 Speaker 2: So you know, even if they're both kind of running 908 00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:25,320 Speaker 2: routes together, which they will be, I would expect Myers 909 00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,040 Speaker 2: to still have the edge. So I like the value 910 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 2: on Myers. He's going as a wide receiver sixty two. 911 00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:33,440 Speaker 2: I actually have him at wide receiver forty seven. And 912 00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:36,919 Speaker 2: that's with giving him a bump down in in routes 913 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:39,520 Speaker 2: run per dropback, you know, per game. I bumped Hi 914 00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:42,560 Speaker 2: down about eighty percent, you know, because there's just a 915 00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,840 Speaker 2: lot of uncertainty as to how exactly the receiving snaps 916 00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,839 Speaker 2: are going to be distributed. So but yeah, I think 917 00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:52,040 Speaker 2: he's a value, especially in PPR full PPR and even 918 00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:54,760 Speaker 2: half PPR. And I think he finally got the monkey 919 00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:58,799 Speaker 2: off his back with the touchdown. So seriously, Yeah, So 920 00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,239 Speaker 2: I think you're right when it comes to Myers. I 921 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,919 Speaker 2: think really either Parker or Myers, you can make case 922 00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:05,800 Speaker 2: is going to be the top receiver. So they're both 923 00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:09,200 Speaker 2: sort of you know, offering value in the wide receiver 924 00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:13,560 Speaker 2: fifty five wide receiver sixty range. Unfortunately, for Myers, I 925 00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:15,840 Speaker 2: don't think we could project them for more than you know, 926 00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:20,520 Speaker 2: a couple touchdowns, so his upside is cap But either way, 927 00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:22,680 Speaker 2: just investing in either one of these guys is sort 928 00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:24,400 Speaker 2: of a way to invest in mac Jones having a 929 00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:26,839 Speaker 2: year or two leaps. So certainly I think these guys 930 00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:30,280 Speaker 2: are cheaper, you know, high higher floor options later. 931 00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:30,600 Speaker 1: In the draft. 932 00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:35,000 Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I like Parker's park Like I have Parker 933 00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:38,480 Speaker 2: and Myers like just inside the top fifty, so oh nice, Yeah, 934 00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:42,000 Speaker 2: I mean And also another thing with New England. Remember 935 00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:45,920 Speaker 2: because McDaniel's leaves they took, he took the full back 936 00:44:45,960 --> 00:44:49,760 Speaker 2: with him, like he took Yakov Johnson to the Raiders. 937 00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:51,200 Speaker 3: But what I mean by that is like they took 938 00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:51,799 Speaker 3: the full back with. 939 00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:54,560 Speaker 2: Them, Like they're not going to have a fullback this year, 940 00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:56,120 Speaker 2: Like they're going to be a little bit more wide 941 00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:58,760 Speaker 2: open as an offense. So I do think these Patriots 942 00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:01,439 Speaker 2: receivers are going to be and I agree, I think 943 00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:04,879 Speaker 2: Parker and and Meyers are going to be the top two. 944 00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:06,480 Speaker 3: You know, Born I like him a lot. 945 00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,560 Speaker 2: He's running ahead of Agalar and Thornton in camp, so 946 00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:12,040 Speaker 2: it looks like he'll be the number three guy. But 947 00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,319 Speaker 2: I do think there's some sneaky value here for these 948 00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,680 Speaker 2: Patriots receivers, and you draft him kind of in that, 949 00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:20,440 Speaker 2: Like you said that wide receiver fifty five to sixty range, 950 00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:22,839 Speaker 2: I think when by weeks start hitting, I think you'll 951 00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:26,839 Speaker 2: have a decent replacement for whoever you need to kind 952 00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:30,200 Speaker 2: of sit. So I do think these guys offer value. Again, 953 00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:34,120 Speaker 2: nothing sexy, but the target's got to go somewhere. And 954 00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,200 Speaker 2: this is without even counting that Mac Jones may very 955 00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:41,120 Speaker 2: well take a year or two lead. Okay, Hunter Henry, 956 00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:44,439 Speaker 2: he's going to tight end seventeen. I don't actually mind 957 00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:45,279 Speaker 2: him there at all. 958 00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:48,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I don't either, which is weird because I 959 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:51,360 Speaker 1: mean he's a touchdown dependent tight end, let's face it, 960 00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:55,759 Speaker 1: but he's going to score touchdowns. He tied to the 961 00:45:55,800 --> 00:45:59,520 Speaker 1: second most end zone targets last year with ten, and 962 00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:02,000 Speaker 1: it was kind kind of mind blowing how much he 963 00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:05,200 Speaker 1: dominated the tight end snaps after they had, you know, 964 00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 1: the massive signing with John new Smith and Hunter Henry. 965 00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:11,160 Speaker 1: I mean, Hunter Henry was the main tight end. So yeah, 966 00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,359 Speaker 1: I like him at Titan seventeen. You're gonna be drafting 967 00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:15,719 Speaker 1: him in Best Ball, so you don't really care or 968 00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:18,200 Speaker 1: you don't need to predict when he's gonna score his touchdowns, 969 00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:21,400 Speaker 1: but he's going to have those weeks. So yeah, I 970 00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:24,399 Speaker 1: like him at tight end seventeen, specifically for Best Ball. 971 00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:26,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, Henry, I mean he was a tight end eight 972 00:46:27,040 --> 00:46:31,000 Speaker 2: overall last year and half PPR tenth in points per game, 973 00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:35,520 Speaker 2: and you know he's going as the number seventeen. And 974 00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:37,560 Speaker 2: I do think John who could see some more routes, 975 00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:40,960 Speaker 2: but not necessarily at Henry's expense, just at the expense 976 00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,920 Speaker 2: of the fullback, So who's no longer there? So yeah, 977 00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:49,360 Speaker 2: like Henry, great best ball guy. As you said, what 978 00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:52,359 Speaker 2: do you what about Damia Harris at running back? I'm 979 00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 2: having a hard time, Like I love to touchdown upside upside. 980 00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:01,040 Speaker 2: They are kind of switching schemes a little bit, but 981 00:47:01,680 --> 00:47:03,600 Speaker 2: it's still hard for me to kind of get behind him. 982 00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:07,560 Speaker 3: Is RB twenty four? I have him twenty ninth, But 983 00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:08,520 Speaker 3: what do you think? 984 00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:11,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I don't love him at the current ADP. 985 00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:15,600 Speaker 1: He benefited a ton from the Pats, you know, leaning 986 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:18,040 Speaker 1: on the run and trying to limit Mac Jones last year. 987 00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:21,000 Speaker 1: So in theory, if they're gonna let mac let it 988 00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:22,840 Speaker 1: rip this year, that's gonna be sort of at the 989 00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,920 Speaker 1: expensive Harris and the running back dut chart was pretty 990 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:28,960 Speaker 1: thin last year once James White went down. I know 991 00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:30,880 Speaker 1: they have different skill sets, but either way that that 992 00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:33,600 Speaker 1: sort of helped Harris out a bit last year. So 993 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:36,960 Speaker 1: considering you know, AJ Dillon's going around this range and 994 00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,560 Speaker 1: they sort of have a similar role, but aj Dillon 995 00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:44,400 Speaker 1: has legit RB one upside if Aaron Jones were to 996 00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:46,960 Speaker 1: go down, like give me aj Dillon every time sort 997 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,840 Speaker 1: of in this range. So yeah, Harris just he doesn't 998 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,040 Speaker 1: offer enough upside in this range, and I think he 999 00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:55,160 Speaker 1: has a lower floor than people realize. 1000 00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:57,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean, we don't know if White's even 1001 00:47:57,440 --> 00:47:59,400 Speaker 2: going to be back, but if he does, this is 1002 00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:02,359 Speaker 2: another plication. But I also think, I mean, Stevenson's kind 1003 00:48:02,360 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 2: of a threat as well. 1004 00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:05,479 Speaker 3: You know, he's going to Harby thirty seven. 1005 00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,080 Speaker 2: I think that's a better value because at times those 1006 00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:10,880 Speaker 2: guys are kind of splitting reps fairly evenly. I do 1007 00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,759 Speaker 2: think Harris is a little bit better, but you know, 1008 00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:16,600 Speaker 2: we could see Stevenson kind of get more involved just 1009 00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,200 Speaker 2: like Harris. Did you know this with the Patriots kind 1010 00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:21,960 Speaker 2: of do they kind of you know, develop guys and 1011 00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,440 Speaker 2: then they phase out the next guy and then repeats. 1012 00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:28,319 Speaker 2: So yeah, I like Stevenson better at thirty seven than 1013 00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:32,080 Speaker 2: Harris at twenty four. Uh, okay, sleepers and bus So 1014 00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:35,040 Speaker 2: you got well for the sleeper. 1015 00:48:35,120 --> 00:48:38,360 Speaker 1: I mean once James White comes back, and it's possible 1016 00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:41,240 Speaker 1: he's ready by week one, but I think he's a sleeper, 1017 00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,120 Speaker 1: especially where he's going at ADP. I mean you can 1018 00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:44,600 Speaker 1: get him for free at the end of the draft, 1019 00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:47,040 Speaker 1: but just to have at the end of your bench. 1020 00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:50,160 Speaker 1: More of a high floor guy. In PPR formats, I 1021 00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:53,960 Speaker 1: mean he benefits from having Mac Jones under center. Last year. 1022 00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:55,840 Speaker 1: In the only two games James are is healthy, he 1023 00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,879 Speaker 1: caught six balls in each game. So I think ad 1024 00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:01,680 Speaker 1: him as a late late rounds stash for when he's healthy. 1025 00:49:01,719 --> 00:49:04,480 Speaker 1: In PPR formats, I think he's one of my favorite 1026 00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:06,359 Speaker 1: sleepers in that regard on this team. 1027 00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:09,160 Speaker 2: Oh wow, I did not chect you to say James why, 1028 00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:11,640 Speaker 2: I like, I could be wrong, but in my mind, 1029 00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:14,120 Speaker 2: he's cooked, like he's just he's cut, he's cooked. Well, 1030 00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 2: he's coming back from a hip injury. He's old, like 1031 00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:20,399 Speaker 2: they got JJ Taylor chomping at the bit. 1032 00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:24,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's a thirty year old receiving back. I mean, 1033 00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:27,799 Speaker 1: he doesn't need to do too much and we didn't 1034 00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:29,840 Speaker 1: really get to dive in him, so that might be 1035 00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:32,520 Speaker 1: why it came out of left field. But his ADP 1036 00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:35,359 Speaker 1: is like running back one hundred and fifty or something 1037 00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:38,880 Speaker 1: crazy like that. So I'm saying he's literally free, and 1038 00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,160 Speaker 1: when he is healthy, I would not be shocked if 1039 00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:44,080 Speaker 1: he provides that, you know, RB forty type of value 1040 00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:44,640 Speaker 1: in PPR. 1041 00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:49,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll go Myers Myers and Henry kind of. I 1042 00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:52,880 Speaker 2: mean I got Myers inside the top fifty he's going 1043 00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:55,400 Speaker 2: sixty two, and then I got Henry tight in twelve 1044 00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:57,160 Speaker 2: and he's going seventeen. So I think both of those 1045 00:49:57,160 --> 00:50:00,880 Speaker 2: guys qualify that they could give you value, a step up, 1046 00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:02,360 Speaker 2: a tear up from what they're doing. 1047 00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:05,000 Speaker 3: And then what about buss. 1048 00:50:05,120 --> 00:50:07,239 Speaker 1: Uh, it's got to be Damien Harris, just just like 1049 00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:10,319 Speaker 1: I said. You know, last year he banked on mac 1050 00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:13,640 Speaker 1: Jones being limited, so this year should be more pass 1051 00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,360 Speaker 1: heavy offense. Like you said, Stevenson is a fray. I 1052 00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:20,319 Speaker 1: think Stevenson's legit. It would not surprise me one bit 1053 00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:23,040 Speaker 1: if at some point he does leap frog Harris at 1054 00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:26,120 Speaker 1: some point, just considering Harris is limited sort of you know, 1055 00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 1: the workhorse back in the short yard situations. You know, 1056 00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:32,640 Speaker 1: Stevenson is a serious threat to his value, So he's 1057 00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:35,120 Speaker 1: sort of Harris is definitely in that frozen pond tier 1058 00:50:35,160 --> 00:50:38,440 Speaker 1: in my opinion. I'm probably fading him most drafts at 1059 00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:42,800 Speaker 1: adp RB twenty eight. Yeah, he's he's twenty four in 1060 00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:44,480 Speaker 1: a twenty four are you kidding? 1061 00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:48,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, Fantasy pros that half PPR Yeah yeah, no, yeah, 1062 00:50:48,560 --> 00:50:50,680 Speaker 2: I have him twenty nights. So it's like if I can, 1063 00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:52,520 Speaker 2: if he drops, fine, because I like the town, I 1064 00:50:52,600 --> 00:50:54,520 Speaker 2: think he's a talented guy, I think the whole line 1065 00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:57,120 Speaker 2: is solid, and I do still think he has a 1066 00:50:57,200 --> 00:51:00,480 Speaker 2: touchdown upside. But twenty four is just I can get 1067 00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:02,560 Speaker 2: a receiver in that range. So it's just doesn't really 1068 00:51:02,600 --> 00:51:06,200 Speaker 2: fit in to the draft plan for me. Was finished 1069 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:10,320 Speaker 2: off with the Jets. Zack Wilson put on thirteen pounds 1070 00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:13,200 Speaker 2: of muscle quote unquote, because you can't really do that 1071 00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:15,880 Speaker 2: in an off season, but sure, we'll. 1072 00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:16,040 Speaker 1: Go with it. 1073 00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:19,040 Speaker 3: Kenny Kenny jump thirteen spots in ranking is the question. 1074 00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:23,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, he has the talent for sure, but he had 1075 00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:26,600 Speaker 1: one of the most disappointing rookie seasons last year. This 1076 00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:30,200 Speaker 1: scheme does seem to be fantasy friendly. They had two 1077 00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:34,040 Speaker 1: quarterbacks last year have three hundred plus yard passing games. 1078 00:51:34,080 --> 00:51:37,400 Speaker 1: It was Mike White and Josh Johnson. Even Joe Flacco 1079 00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:39,720 Speaker 1: threw for two hundred and ninety one yards in his start, 1080 00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,279 Speaker 1: but the rest of the time was Zach will center 1081 00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:45,600 Speaker 1: center and it wasn't as fantasy friendly. Specific I was 1082 00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:49,120 Speaker 1: very disappointed in his lack of rushing up set last year. 1083 00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,920 Speaker 1: He didn't top twenty yards on the ground until I 1084 00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:54,920 Speaker 1: think Week fourteen, I think it was, and then he 1085 00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:57,160 Speaker 1: had three games of twenty plus rushing yards. He had 1086 00:51:57,160 --> 00:51:59,160 Speaker 1: that one game where he had ninety one. So I 1087 00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:02,480 Speaker 1: think if he tapped more into that this year, he 1088 00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,720 Speaker 1: could be sneaking in this range. And you know, unlike 1089 00:52:06,040 --> 00:52:09,160 Speaker 1: justin fields, they're starting to, you know, build around Zach Wilson. 1090 00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,479 Speaker 1: And they added Garrett Wilson with their first round pick, 1091 00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:16,759 Speaker 1: so he has a loaded trio at wide receiver, and 1092 00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:20,600 Speaker 1: they added you know, two veteran decent tight end, so 1093 00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:23,200 Speaker 1: he has enough talent around him. I do like the scheme, 1094 00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 1: so I think he does have the upside you like 1095 00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:27,719 Speaker 1: to see in QB twenty four. 1096 00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:31,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they really all around him. I mean 1097 00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:34,719 Speaker 2: the pieces are there. You got It's like you got 1098 00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:38,560 Speaker 2: Elijah Moore, Garrett Wilson, Cory Davis, Braxon Barius is a 1099 00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:41,920 Speaker 2: pretty good, you know, kind of number four receiver at 1100 00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:45,680 Speaker 2: that Uzoba and Conklin, Breisse Hall, they add to the 1101 00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,040 Speaker 2: running back room and the line is pretty I mean. 1102 00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:48,919 Speaker 1: The Lion is pretty good. 1103 00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:51,280 Speaker 2: You know, there's a lot of talent on that line 1104 00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:53,160 Speaker 2: if Beckton can just get his act together. 1105 00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:57,320 Speaker 3: So yeah, I don't I don't mind. 1106 00:52:57,160 --> 00:52:58,759 Speaker 1: It, but I think he does offer some upside. I 1107 00:52:58,760 --> 00:52:59,960 Speaker 1: think he has a lot of talent. 1108 00:53:00,800 --> 00:53:05,359 Speaker 2: But he's the issue is, you know, four for four 1109 00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:09,520 Speaker 2: does the schedule adjusted Fantasy points And you know, obviously 1110 00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:11,480 Speaker 2: it's gonna change from year to year, but right now, 1111 00:53:11,560 --> 00:53:13,799 Speaker 2: you know, just based on you know, the numbers from 1112 00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:16,960 Speaker 2: last year, he's he has the most difficult schedule or 1113 00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:22,000 Speaker 2: any quarterback does Zach Wilson, but it's the fifth easiest 1114 00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:23,640 Speaker 2: over the last three weeks of the season. So he's 1115 00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:27,880 Speaker 2: a guy that you know, may you may start slow again, 1116 00:53:28,080 --> 00:53:30,279 Speaker 2: but you might want to pick him up down a 1117 00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:33,720 Speaker 2: stretch last few weeks of the season. He's gonna gonna 1118 00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:35,680 Speaker 2: have a lot of time to gel with all those weapons. 1119 00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:37,480 Speaker 2: I think that's how you want to play it with 1120 00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:39,239 Speaker 2: with Zach Wilson. But he has worth some I think 1121 00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:41,400 Speaker 2: he's wor some best ball shares as well. But in 1122 00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:44,440 Speaker 2: standard redraft he starts out Baltimore and then at Cleveland. 1123 00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:47,320 Speaker 1: I don't really see any streaming. Do you think the 1124 00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:50,279 Speaker 1: thirteen pounds of muscle makes him more or less life 1125 00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:51,120 Speaker 1: big to run the ball? 1126 00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:54,600 Speaker 2: I think I think he will run the ball with 1127 00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:58,120 Speaker 2: I mean he did that down the stretch last year anyway, Right. 1128 00:53:58,520 --> 00:54:01,399 Speaker 1: That's what. Yeah, he didn't have twenty yard rush game 1129 00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,279 Speaker 1: until I confirmed a week fourteen, and then he had 1130 00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:06,560 Speaker 1: three of them in the final six games, and we 1131 00:54:06,640 --> 00:54:08,680 Speaker 1: knew he had that rushing up stet. He just wasn't 1132 00:54:09,000 --> 00:54:11,440 Speaker 1: He wasn't running at all. There was a ton of 1133 00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:15,120 Speaker 1: games where he ran maybe once twice. There was like 1134 00:54:15,239 --> 00:54:19,680 Speaker 1: Neil downs. He was getting touchdowns oddly enough, but he 1135 00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:22,560 Speaker 1: just wasn't letting it rip. So it was good to 1136 00:54:22,560 --> 00:54:24,320 Speaker 1: see that, at least towards the end of the season. 1137 00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:28,799 Speaker 2: Yeah, all four of his touchdowns after he came back 1138 00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:32,239 Speaker 2: from injury, and as you mentioned, yeah, all three of 1139 00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:35,279 Speaker 2: his twenty plus yard games after and all three of 1140 00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:39,560 Speaker 2: his four carry games came after yep, the injuries. So yeah, 1141 00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:42,920 Speaker 2: I think that's promising, not a guy of mine taking 1142 00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:44,080 Speaker 2: taking a flyer on that. 1143 00:54:44,160 --> 00:54:45,959 Speaker 1: Late Elijah Moore. 1144 00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:50,280 Speaker 2: I really liked the underlying metrics with Elijah Moore twenty 1145 00:54:50,320 --> 00:54:53,440 Speaker 2: four percent target per route run eighteenth of one hundred 1146 00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:56,240 Speaker 2: and fifty two wide receivers with at least one hundred 1147 00:54:56,280 --> 00:54:58,160 Speaker 2: routes run last year. What do you think of More 1148 00:54:58,280 --> 00:54:58,839 Speaker 2: entering year two? 1149 00:54:59,160 --> 00:55:01,440 Speaker 1: Oh? I love. He was one of my favorite rookies 1150 00:55:01,480 --> 00:55:05,760 Speaker 1: heading into the season last year. I mean, unfortunately injuries 1151 00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:09,320 Speaker 1: derailed his season, but weeks eight through thirteen was the 1152 00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:11,879 Speaker 1: stretch where he was healthy and he was the wide 1153 00:55:11,920 --> 00:55:14,239 Speaker 1: receiver two over that six game stretch, So we know 1154 00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:18,279 Speaker 1: his upside. I think, you know, drafting Garrett Wilson in 1155 00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:21,239 Speaker 1: the first round adding a couple of I guess you 1156 00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:25,759 Speaker 1: would call them competent tight ends does hurt Moore's upside, 1157 00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:29,399 Speaker 1: But I think, you know, having a Zach Wilson more 1158 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,480 Speaker 1: stack is pretty sneaky and best ball. In my opinion, 1159 00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:34,959 Speaker 1: he probably does need Zach Wilson to have a pretty 1160 00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:37,880 Speaker 1: big year two leap to really hit ADP. So like 1161 00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:40,640 Speaker 1: the idea of stacking them. But like you said, even 1162 00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:44,799 Speaker 1: Brax and Barrios is pretty legit for the wide receiver four, 1163 00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:47,680 Speaker 1: so he might not be as consistent. You know, they 1164 00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:49,719 Speaker 1: might spread around a bit much. But just Moore has 1165 00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:53,320 Speaker 1: a ton of upside, so you know, wide receiver twenty 1166 00:55:53,360 --> 00:55:55,360 Speaker 1: seven is his ADP. It's a bit rich, but I 1167 00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:57,880 Speaker 1: think just based on the talent, I'm definitely gonna have 1168 00:55:57,880 --> 00:55:58,360 Speaker 1: some shares. 1169 00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:01,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's actually exactly where I have him. 1170 00:56:01,560 --> 00:56:03,360 Speaker 1: So it's you know, I like the player. 1171 00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:04,480 Speaker 3: I won't shy away from him. 1172 00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:06,200 Speaker 2: There. I haven't a wide receiver twenty eighth. Okay, one 1173 00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:09,719 Speaker 2: spot down, but I think calls something. Yeah, I like 1174 00:56:09,800 --> 00:56:12,000 Speaker 2: the talent. Yeah, I think he's a threat for a 1175 00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:15,279 Speaker 2: thousand yards season. Guys always break out in year two. 1176 00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:18,160 Speaker 2: And again the underlying like twenty four percent targets per 1177 00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:22,200 Speaker 2: route run is again a very very good number. And 1178 00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:25,200 Speaker 2: that's and this year you're expecting him to be on 1179 00:56:25,239 --> 00:56:27,239 Speaker 2: the field, you know, ninety plus percent of the time. 1180 00:56:27,360 --> 00:56:32,359 Speaker 2: So yeah, there is some upside there. Garrett Wilson. You know, 1181 00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:34,760 Speaker 2: what do you think of him? He's going wide receiver 1182 00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:38,839 Speaker 2: fifty two. Yeah, I didn't like the landing spot at all. 1183 00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:41,040 Speaker 2: I really thought he was going to the Falcons. I 1184 00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:42,520 Speaker 2: thought that would have been perfect. He would have been 1185 00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:46,440 Speaker 2: the number one wide receiver on day one. Now you know, 1186 00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:49,040 Speaker 2: he's probably going to be the wide receiver two three, 1187 00:56:49,280 --> 00:56:51,360 Speaker 2: depending on you know, Corey Davis week the week. But 1188 00:56:52,040 --> 00:56:54,040 Speaker 2: I just don't like the landing spot and he he 1189 00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:57,520 Speaker 2: absolutely needs Zach Wilson to have a pretty big Year 1190 00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:01,239 Speaker 2: two leap to hit at this ADP. You know, I 1191 00:57:01,719 --> 00:57:04,799 Speaker 2: I'd rather take Elijah Moore at his steep ADP because 1192 00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:07,440 Speaker 2: we've seen it on the field already. So while I 1193 00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:10,000 Speaker 2: do like the talent, I just didn't like the landing spot. 1194 00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:11,920 Speaker 2: And obviously this is one of the reasons why I 1195 00:57:12,000 --> 00:57:14,840 Speaker 2: do kind of like Zach Wilson was because you know, 1196 00:57:15,040 --> 00:57:17,920 Speaker 2: they drafted Wilson, but man, if he was on the Falcons, 1197 00:57:18,280 --> 00:57:19,160 Speaker 2: he'd probably. 1198 00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:21,760 Speaker 1: Be, you know, in the low forties. So that the 1199 00:57:21,840 --> 00:57:24,360 Speaker 1: landing spot was a bit of a hit in my model. 1200 00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:27,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I actually have them ranked a couple of 1201 00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:31,000 Speaker 2: spots below that, but I don't mind taking some flyers 1202 00:57:31,040 --> 00:57:31,320 Speaker 2: on him. 1203 00:57:31,360 --> 00:57:33,880 Speaker 1: Again, I really like taking those first and second. 1204 00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:36,480 Speaker 2: Round receivers and just you know, seeing who hits and 1205 00:57:36,600 --> 00:57:38,520 Speaker 2: especially I mean, we're getting a guy who was four 1206 00:57:38,640 --> 00:57:40,600 Speaker 2: point was it four point three eight speed? 1207 00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:43,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, so you know, lots of light there. 1208 00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:45,840 Speaker 2: But when I just kind of break it down in 1209 00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:50,520 Speaker 2: terms of the you know, the routes, yeah, it's tough 1210 00:57:50,520 --> 00:57:52,240 Speaker 2: to know if he is he going to be like 1211 00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:55,040 Speaker 2: a ninety percent player or is he going to be 1212 00:57:55,120 --> 00:57:57,640 Speaker 2: more like a seventy percent player. You know, Corey Davis 1213 00:57:57,720 --> 00:57:59,800 Speaker 2: was you know, Elijah Moore in year one and he 1214 00:58:00,040 --> 00:58:02,360 Speaker 2: as good as he was. He ran around on sixty 1215 00:58:02,360 --> 00:58:05,480 Speaker 2: six percent of the dropbacks and games he was active. 1216 00:58:05,560 --> 00:58:06,560 Speaker 1: Corey Davis was. 1217 00:58:06,640 --> 00:58:09,200 Speaker 2: The de facto number one and he was at seventy 1218 00:58:09,240 --> 00:58:11,800 Speaker 2: six percent. Right, So this is a team that and 1219 00:58:11,840 --> 00:58:14,280 Speaker 2: now you have two tight ends that could be in 1220 00:58:14,280 --> 00:58:15,840 Speaker 2: the field a little bit more than they used it 1221 00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:18,400 Speaker 2: the position last year. So it's just tough to to 1222 00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:21,600 Speaker 2: get him to a route number on a per game 1223 00:58:21,640 --> 00:58:24,479 Speaker 2: basis right off the bat that that could pay that value. 1224 00:58:24,520 --> 00:58:25,960 Speaker 1: But he does have the upside to do it just 1225 00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:27,560 Speaker 1: on the talent. So yeah, and if he was on 1226 00:58:27,600 --> 00:58:31,080 Speaker 1: the Falcons, it'd be eighty five percent week one, right, yeah. 1227 00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:35,920 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah absolutely, so yeah that that's kind 1228 00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:39,000 Speaker 2: of I'm with you on Wilson. I think good bestball guy, 1229 00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:41,160 Speaker 2: good you know, flyer, if you have if your wide 1230 00:58:41,160 --> 00:58:43,680 Speaker 2: receivers are absolutely stacked, and then you kind of way 1231 00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:45,320 Speaker 2: off for a while and then you're just looking for 1232 00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:46,280 Speaker 2: some pure upside. 1233 00:58:46,320 --> 00:58:47,960 Speaker 3: You don't feel like you're gonna have to use him 1234 00:58:48,360 --> 00:58:48,840 Speaker 3: very much. 1235 00:58:49,520 --> 00:58:51,640 Speaker 2: Go ahead and do it, But he's very kind of 1236 00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:53,320 Speaker 2: he needs to fit in your draft strategies. 1237 00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:54,160 Speaker 1: I guess what I'm saying. 1238 00:58:54,400 --> 00:58:59,680 Speaker 2: Yep, c j Uzomah is going at tight end twenty 1239 00:58:59,680 --> 00:59:02,920 Speaker 2: four and conquence tight end thirty four. Nothing really to 1240 00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:06,320 Speaker 2: see there. I think his value. But let's talk about 1241 00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:08,680 Speaker 2: Breece Hall. I really he was my favorite running back. 1242 00:59:08,680 --> 00:59:10,120 Speaker 1: I liked him even more than Kenneth Walker. 1243 00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:14,400 Speaker 2: And we're hearing good things just like last year. I 1244 00:59:14,440 --> 00:59:16,959 Speaker 2: liked Michael Carter. We started hearing good things early about 1245 00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:19,800 Speaker 2: Michael Carter. You know in camp that he was kind 1246 00:59:19,800 --> 00:59:22,240 Speaker 2: of already running with it with the first team, and 1247 00:59:22,560 --> 00:59:25,960 Speaker 2: it worked out pretty well all things considered. Now we're 1248 00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:27,920 Speaker 2: hearing the same thing about Breese Hall that he's already 1249 00:59:28,000 --> 00:59:29,320 Speaker 2: kind of jumped Michael Carter. 1250 00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:29,840 Speaker 1: They play it. 1251 00:59:29,880 --> 00:59:32,640 Speaker 2: I've heard the word bell cow even used. Obviously, it's 1252 00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:34,600 Speaker 2: a puff piece season, so take it with a grain 1253 00:59:34,640 --> 00:59:35,040 Speaker 2: of salt. 1254 00:59:35,080 --> 00:59:36,280 Speaker 1: But we're hearing. 1255 00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:38,480 Speaker 2: At least we're hearing the right things because with running 1256 00:59:38,520 --> 00:59:40,080 Speaker 2: backs it's all about usage, and he does have some 1257 00:59:40,160 --> 00:59:43,520 Speaker 2: talent to go with it. Yeah, he's He's definitely my 1258 00:59:43,560 --> 00:59:46,720 Speaker 2: favorite rookie running back. I didn't love the landing spot, 1259 00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:49,520 Speaker 2: but that's that's what you get. And you know, he 1260 00:59:49,840 --> 00:59:52,960 Speaker 2: gives me some like Joe Mix and Cream Hunt vibes. 1261 00:59:53,120 --> 00:59:57,400 Speaker 2: He definitely can be a workhorse back, whereas Kenneth Walker, 1262 00:59:57,440 --> 00:59:59,840 Speaker 2: you know, he's very limited when it comes to receiving 1263 01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:03,320 Speaker 2: usage things like that. So Breese Hall's my favorite rookie 1264 01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:05,720 Speaker 2: running back. This does remind me sort of the Jaggars 1265 01:00:05,800 --> 01:00:08,080 Speaker 2: last year when they already had James Robinson they drafted 1266 01:00:08,080 --> 01:00:10,000 Speaker 2: Travis Btn. It's like, come on, what are you doing, 1267 01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:12,480 Speaker 2: at least in terms of fantasy, because I did like 1268 01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:15,120 Speaker 2: Michael Carter heading in this year, but it would not 1269 01:00:15,160 --> 01:00:19,240 Speaker 2: surprise me if Breese Hall becomes the workhorse back very 1270 01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:21,360 Speaker 2: early in the season. I think he's that talented, so 1271 01:00:21,880 --> 01:00:24,120 Speaker 2: you can get him at what RB twenty seven, So 1272 01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:27,120 Speaker 2: that's that's that's a good range to get a guy where. 1273 01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:30,440 Speaker 1: Just based on uncertainty, that's why he's going closer to 1274 01:00:31,160 --> 01:00:33,880 Speaker 1: once you start taking like backups. But he certainly offers 1275 01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:35,680 Speaker 1: enough upside to take him there. 1276 01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:40,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm he's my RB twenty four, So yeah, I 1277 01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:41,960 Speaker 2: think he's I think he's the lead. 1278 01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:42,280 Speaker 1: Back we won. 1279 01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:45,280 Speaker 3: Honestly, I think from everything I'm here and at a camp. 1280 01:00:45,480 --> 01:00:48,440 Speaker 1: If not, it'll be very soon, right, it'll be by 1281 01:00:48,560 --> 01:00:50,680 Speaker 1: week three? Right? Yeah? 1282 01:00:50,720 --> 01:00:52,840 Speaker 2: But I mean I just I actually don't. I don't 1283 01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:55,120 Speaker 2: see how Carter was the season as the lead back. 1284 01:00:55,120 --> 01:00:58,600 Speaker 2: I think Carter's over value. He's RB thirty three. I 1285 01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:02,760 Speaker 2: RB forty four. I just don't see enough usage to 1286 01:01:02,760 --> 01:01:05,040 Speaker 2: get to get me to RB thirty three, especially because 1287 01:01:05,680 --> 01:01:08,240 Speaker 2: you have Breese Hall in ADP at RB twenty seven 1288 01:01:08,280 --> 01:01:10,400 Speaker 2: and then Carter RB thirty three. That's just, first of all, 1289 01:01:10,400 --> 01:01:13,880 Speaker 2: that's just way too much production for the Jets facts combined. 1290 01:01:13,880 --> 01:01:16,040 Speaker 2: But yeah, I think Carter's the big loser for me. 1291 01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:20,240 Speaker 1: Oh absolutely, this is the ADP I was referring to earlier, 1292 01:01:20,280 --> 01:01:24,720 Speaker 1: saying it was a complete joke. Obviously he's won Bryce 1293 01:01:24,720 --> 01:01:28,680 Speaker 1: Hall injury away from you know, crushing this, but yeah, 1294 01:01:28,720 --> 01:01:32,480 Speaker 1: the fact that he's just a few slots behind Breecee 1295 01:01:32,480 --> 01:01:35,120 Speaker 1: Hall is just I don't know what's going on there. 1296 01:01:35,160 --> 01:01:37,400 Speaker 1: So yeah, I will have very little shares of Mike 1297 01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:42,240 Speaker 1: mccrter at RB thirty three. It's almost like they ignored 1298 01:01:42,800 --> 01:01:46,479 Speaker 1: that they drafted Breese Hall in the second round. So yeah, 1299 01:01:46,520 --> 01:01:48,919 Speaker 1: I'm completely off Carter at this point. Yeah, it's weird. 1300 01:01:48,920 --> 01:01:51,920 Speaker 2: It's like last week we talked about the NFC North 1301 01:01:51,960 --> 01:01:54,920 Speaker 2: and there's like value everywhere and in the AFC East. 1302 01:01:54,920 --> 01:01:57,080 Speaker 2: Now you get here and it's like it's like no 1303 01:01:57,120 --> 01:02:00,920 Speaker 2: one reacted to any of the moves an off season, right, 1304 01:02:01,240 --> 01:02:03,240 Speaker 2: We're just gonna slot these guys in for what they 1305 01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:04,400 Speaker 2: do last year and that's that. 1306 01:02:04,520 --> 01:02:06,440 Speaker 1: So uh yeah, I don't know. 1307 01:02:06,840 --> 01:02:09,400 Speaker 2: It's it's weird, but that's you know, that's obviously gonna 1308 01:02:09,440 --> 01:02:09,920 Speaker 2: be my buss. 1309 01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:13,720 Speaker 1: But any sweepers for the Jet not really. 1310 01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:14,080 Speaker 2: Uh. 1311 01:02:14,200 --> 01:02:17,600 Speaker 1: I mean, if anything Zach Wilson where he's going, Yeah, 1312 01:02:17,720 --> 01:02:20,080 Speaker 1: could be a hit, Like I said, especially if he 1313 01:02:20,160 --> 01:02:23,400 Speaker 1: taps into his rushing side starting Week one this year 1314 01:02:23,480 --> 01:02:25,440 Speaker 1: instead of towards the end of the season. But he 1315 01:02:25,560 --> 01:02:30,680 Speaker 1: has too much talent around him to fail in my opinion. 1316 01:02:30,760 --> 01:02:33,000 Speaker 1: But if he busts this year, then that's that's a 1317 01:02:33,120 --> 01:02:35,479 Speaker 1: very bad sign for him. So I think, just based 1318 01:02:35,520 --> 01:02:37,760 Speaker 1: on ADP, he's the only guy that I think offers 1319 01:02:39,000 --> 01:02:40,160 Speaker 1: enough upside to warrant. 1320 01:02:41,080 --> 01:02:43,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'll go, I'll say Breese Hall just 1321 01:02:43,360 --> 01:02:45,800 Speaker 2: because I do have him ranked above where he's going. 1322 01:02:45,880 --> 01:02:46,880 Speaker 1: Oh wait, a couple of spots. 1323 01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:49,600 Speaker 2: But I mean, you got four point three to nine speed, 1324 01:02:49,680 --> 01:02:51,880 Speaker 2: you got, you got talent you mentioned, you know, kind 1325 01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:54,880 Speaker 2: of mixed any Hunt he reminds you of. And we 1326 01:02:54,920 --> 01:02:57,680 Speaker 2: know the Jets will play rookies at this position because 1327 01:02:57,680 --> 01:03:00,720 Speaker 2: they did ask you with Carter, So uh yeah, like Caul, 1328 01:03:00,800 --> 01:03:03,760 Speaker 2: But I mean this, this whole offense. You know, we 1329 01:03:03,800 --> 01:03:05,880 Speaker 2: could be looking at this whole offense like a sleeper ADS. 1330 01:03:06,080 --> 01:03:09,120 Speaker 2: If they could all beat most of them could be ADP. 1331 01:03:09,200 --> 01:03:12,480 Speaker 2: Maybe not Carter, but uh, the rest of those guys. 1332 01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:12,920 Speaker 1: Could be ADP. 1333 01:03:13,040 --> 01:03:15,360 Speaker 2: If Wilson just takes that week like you said, I mean, heck, 1334 01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:17,160 Speaker 2: even Corey Davis, where's he going? 1335 01:03:17,200 --> 01:03:17,280 Speaker 1: Like? 1336 01:03:17,280 --> 01:03:20,520 Speaker 3: Why receivers? He was their number one receiver last year 1337 01:03:20,560 --> 01:03:21,439 Speaker 3: he's probably. 1338 01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:23,720 Speaker 1: He's probably, you know what, screw it, he's my sleeper 1339 01:03:23,760 --> 01:03:25,520 Speaker 1: just because he's he's so cheap and like you said, 1340 01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:30,000 Speaker 1: he's just sitting right there. So yeah, yeah, all right. 1341 01:03:30,360 --> 01:03:33,480 Speaker 2: That is going to do it for our AFC East 1342 01:03:33,640 --> 01:03:36,440 Speaker 2: Fancy Flex Podcast. You can find Sean on Twitter at 1343 01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:39,080 Speaker 2: the Underscore Odds Maker, you can find me at Chris Raybond, 1344 01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:41,040 Speaker 2: and you can find us at those same handles in 1345 01:03:41,080 --> 01:03:44,400 Speaker 2: the free award winning Action Network app. Be sure to 1346 01:03:44,480 --> 01:03:46,560 Speaker 2: check out all of our other episodes. We have six 1347 01:03:46,640 --> 01:03:50,200 Speaker 2: other divisions done already. We will finish up next week 1348 01:03:50,520 --> 01:03:54,080 Speaker 2: with the NFC East to keep it locked in the channel, 1349 01:03:54,080 --> 01:03:56,880 Speaker 2: and again, be sure to weave us a five star 1350 01:03:57,560 --> 01:04:00,200 Speaker 2: review if you enjoy the pod, and we will pick 1351 01:04:00,240 --> 01:04:02,040 Speaker 2: one out uh to get a free year of Action 1352 01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:09,640 Speaker 2: Pro Until next week, Let's get this money.