1 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: I figured it might be a good opportunity for me 2 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: to sort of give you how I'm watching all of 3 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: these campaign cycles, develop campaign this calendar year, campaign twenty 4 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: twenty five, what we think we're learning nationally about what's 5 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:26,159 Speaker 1: going on directionally with the Democratic Party Republican Party? Is 6 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: Trump a drag? If so, how much that is? I 7 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 1: think you have to ask both questions there. How do 8 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: things look in twenty twenty six? So I just want 9 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:35,880 Speaker 1: to update. I know I do. I try to once 10 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: a week do sort of updates and key developments, but 11 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 1: this is more of a bigger picture, and I think 12 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: we're at an interesting I want you to watch for 13 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: something over the next thirty days. So this is the 14 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: last two weeks have been an intense partisan political debate 15 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: right about districting and the Texas issue, in the California issue. 16 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: If you're politically engaged, you've been totally wired in on this, 17 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: and I also understand that this is August and there 18 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 1: were If you're not sort of a political junkie, you 19 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: haven't been engaged in this. But this is why it's 20 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: important to follow the next thirty days to see what 21 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: is the fallout from this intense partisan debate over redistricting 22 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 1: in Texas and California, where partisans just are ready to fight, like, 23 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: let's pick up arms, let's do this. Is this going 24 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: to inspire more candidates to run for office? Is it 25 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: going to inspire more donations to one party or the other? 26 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: And that's the follow on effect that I'm curious to 27 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: watch out for at this point. Look, I've let you 28 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: know my feelings about where I think this redistricting, you know, 29 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: the long term negative impact and consequences that we could 30 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: be dealing with. But I'm very curious what is this 31 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: doing to a couple levels of enthusiam. What is this doing. 32 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: Let's look on the Democratic side, what is this doing 33 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: to democratic donor enthusiasm. It's not been a good year 34 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: so far fundraising. You haven't seen there's something in the 35 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: news cycle you haven't seen. Sometimes when you don't see headlines, 36 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:11,799 Speaker 1: that's news. You know. There haven't been a lot of 37 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: headlines that hey, Democratic candidate X, you know, raised x 38 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,679 Speaker 1: amount of money in the first twenty four hours of 39 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:22,519 Speaker 1: their candidacy, their announcement video garnered this many donations. You 40 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 1: know why I haven't heard many of that because there 41 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,919 Speaker 1: hasn't been any of these big moments. Remember in twenty 42 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: seventeen and there was this special election in Georgia and 43 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: John Ossoff was that time, the now senator from Georgia 44 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: was a House candidate then and he was breaking all 45 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 1: sorts of records with these money bombs and how fired 46 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: up based donors were to give money to this. I've 47 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 1: not seen any evidence so far. And like I said, 48 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 1: it is a vacation month right before the start of school, 49 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 1: so there certainly are plenty of reasons why maybe there 50 00:02:56,120 --> 00:03:00,360 Speaker 1: aren't as many people paying attention. But I've not since 51 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: any sort of bump yet that this fight that Gavin 52 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: Newsom has been leading for the party in this national 53 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 1: fight over redistricting in the state of Texas has had 54 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 1: this you know, has had an impact financially or has 55 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: had an impact on more candidates going, you know what, 56 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 1: I want to run for office. This time, you had 57 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: a record amount of candidates that wanted to run for 58 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 1: office right after the twenty sixteen election. There was a 59 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: real response to that, like, hey, you know, I need 60 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: to jump into this. I need to do my part. 61 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: In some places, you're seeing a bunch of candidates get 62 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: in Iowa, Senate, right, they can't seem to. They finally 63 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: a fifth candidate jumped into that race, and finally somebody 64 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: decided to get out and endorse that new candidate in 65 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: the race. But still you sort of take that away 66 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: and you're not you're not seeing it yet. And that's 67 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 1: the thing. I don't want to say that this is 68 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: definitive of anything. Yet. If a party out of power 69 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: is starting to gain momentum into a midterm election, you 70 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: do start to see certain things. You start to see 71 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: an advantage in fundraising. So far, we've not seen any 72 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 1: advantages on fundraising. If anything, the story is about how 73 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 1: a bunch of Democratic donors appear to be sitting on 74 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: their hands at least when it comes to the major committees, 75 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 1: and we know that seems to be that could be 76 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 1: just more about a lack of confidence in the leadership 77 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party and they don't want to give 78 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: it to the official committees. But it's not like we're 79 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 1: seeing candidates below the doors off in fundraising just yet. 80 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: I think Roy Cooper had a pretty good opening bid 81 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: fundraiser when he jumped into the North Carolina Center race. 82 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: But again, you know it doesn't fit. We're not yet 83 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 1: looking at twenty seventeen, twenty eighteen, which was right, which 84 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: was sort of peak sort of United Democratic Party fired up, donors, 85 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: fired up everything, right. So my point is things you 86 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: want to watch them. So we're not quite seeing that. 87 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: Are we seeing a whole bunch of candidates jump in races? Well, 88 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 1: you know, I was looking at it, and while you 89 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: are seeing it in sporadic places, it's not like you're 90 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: seeing there's such enthusiasm to jump in that things are 91 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: going to look so good for Democrats, that they've got 92 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 1: a viable candidate, say in an open seat in Kentucky, 93 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: you know, six years ago. You know, every six years, 94 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 1: it seems as if that they're you you know, I'm 95 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: not saying Kentucky should be what you measure. The ability 96 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 1: of whether or not Democrats can find a viable candidate 97 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: for Kentucky Senate should be a measure about whether the 98 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: party's going to do well in the midterms. I don't 99 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 1: expect them to win that race, but the fact that 100 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:53,280 Speaker 1: really isn't a candidate of note yet into that one 101 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: and in just in you know, it's you know, you 102 00:05:56,720 --> 00:06:01,239 Speaker 1: don't have candidates like rushing to the filing deadlines just yet, 103 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 1: perhaps this will come perhaps right, and you know, one 104 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:11,799 Speaker 1: could argue the official starting Gun four campaign twenty twenty 105 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 1: six as usually Labor Day twenty twenty five. But there's 106 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:18,479 Speaker 1: just it's an intangible when you've been doing this a 107 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: long time, you know, it's sort of like what the 108 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: kids like to say today, when you know, you know, 109 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: this is one of those that feels like there's something 110 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 1: happening here and it's just not developing in the same 111 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: way that we saw, for instance, during the first Trump midterm. 112 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean things could change. You heard that interview 113 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:38,480 Speaker 1: with Mark Zandi many of you, you know, the economy 114 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:40,679 Speaker 1: in the spring of twenty six. That may matter more 115 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 1: than anything I'm talking about right now than the disappointing 116 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: early fundraising or the not quite gangbuster candidate recruitment that 117 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:54,839 Speaker 1: we've seen. It's been good, not great. What's interesting is 118 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: Democrats have actually still done a little bit better on 119 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: the candidate recruitment front than Republicans. For instance, Republicans still 120 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:05,799 Speaker 1: don't have a sort of an agreed upon viable candidate 121 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 1: in the open Minnesota center race. And so there, you know, 122 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: it's almost as if there's this weird pause over things 123 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: because again it's it's not like things are that much 124 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: better on the Republican side. They're doing better on money, right, 125 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: there's more unity around Trump, but it isn't translating quite 126 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: like it's not like it's helping their candidate in Virginia. 127 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 1: And that's if anything, and you're not you know, to me, 128 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 1: what's interesting by campaign twenty twenty five, there's there is 129 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: sort of one swing race, but it's not Virginia this cycle, 130 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: and it's not New York City. It's New Jersey governor. 131 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: In the point in that it's gonna of all the 132 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 1: races this cycle, it's probably going to tell me the 133 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: most about what twenty twenty six could look like. It is. 134 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: You know, New Jersey is a very suburban state, right, 135 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 1: so if the suburbs or are they going to be 136 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: turning against Trump? Or did he those inroads he made 137 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four, are those sustained even when he's 138 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: not on the ballot, Right, he really improved Republican standing 139 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: in New Jersey, New Jersey, Illinois, those are two of 140 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: those states where Trump did dramatically better in losing them 141 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four that he did in either twenty 142 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 1: twenty or twenty sixteen. Was that a blip? Was that 143 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 1: an outlier? Or is there are we still in the 144 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: middle of some form of a realignment in some of 145 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 1: these other places. So the New Jersey governor's race, it's 146 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: an open governor's race. Republicans, haven't you know, this is 147 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 1: one of those states that it does sort of vacillate, right, 148 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: It's one of those that doesn't like to have any 149 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: party usually get more than eight to twelve years at 150 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:58,319 Speaker 1: a time on this front. So the Republican candidate Chidarelli 151 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 1: does sort of have a little bit he just feels Jersey. 152 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: You just sort of again like Phil Murphy feels Jersey, right, 153 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 1: Chris Christy feels Jersey. I say, this is a good 154 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: way sort of like do you feel like they're representative 155 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: of Jersey. I'm not saying Mikey Cheryl isn't the case. 156 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: It doesn't you know, the same thing. But there's something 157 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 1: I don't know. You see it. And he's running a 158 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 1: second time that you know, he's the second time candidates 159 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 1: in these governors races. Actually, there's a pretty decent track 160 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 1: record when you're nominee twice in a row. Jeb Bush 161 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 1: lost the first time he ran for governor, learned some 162 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: lessons got better the second time. Mikey Cheryl sort of 163 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 1: stumbled on the Mom Donnie question and that and that's 164 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 1: going to be something that I'm very curious about New Jersey, 165 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 1: which is, I don't think Mom Donnield is going to 166 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 1: be an issue for voters. But if Mikey Cheryl loses 167 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: or comes really close to losing, there's going to be 168 00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:00,959 Speaker 1: a perception that, hey, this may have been an overhang, 169 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: this may have been a problem, and it's going to 170 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: spook the party, if you will. It was interesting that 171 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 1: she was on air when she was first asked and 172 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: she said she was likely she couldn't imagine not supporting 173 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: The Democratic nominee Chidarelli campaign has been hitting her saying, 174 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: hey see she supports Mom Donnie. Meanwhile, the Cheryl campaign 175 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: is saying no, no, no, no. She hasn't officially endorsed. You know. 176 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:28,839 Speaker 1: It's one of those where you say, you know, if 177 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: she were, if you're a bit more nimble. When she 178 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: was first asked the question, the easy answer is, I 179 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:37,839 Speaker 1: don't think New Yorkers want a New Jersey person telling 180 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 1: them who to vote for And I certainly don't want 181 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 1: New Yorkers telling New Jersey who they should be electing 182 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:46,200 Speaker 1: as governor, you know, something along those lines. And I 183 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:48,319 Speaker 1: think it just shows you this is happening to a 184 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 1: lot of Democrats. Nobody's quite sure how progressive is the 185 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 1: Democratic base. Will you get punished if you sort of 186 00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 1: aren't seen as as sort of progressive enough? Is it 187 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 1: overrated or underrated? And I think I've sensed that quite 188 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 1: a few Democratic candidates aren't sure right because the people 189 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 1: that show up to the fundraisers, the people that show 190 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 1: up to the events, they're very progressive. But is that 191 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:20,800 Speaker 1: what you need? Are they not going to show up 192 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: if you sort of tack to the center. And I 193 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 1: think that New Jersey's going to be an interesting test 194 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: of this, of all the three races that we're all 195 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 1: going to be watching very closely on election night twenty 196 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:33,680 Speaker 1: twenty five, and I'm going to be watching a handful 197 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 1: of other mayor's races too. As I've pointed out, quite 198 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:40,559 Speaker 1: a few incumbent mayors are struggling. The incumbent mayor of 199 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 1: Seattle ended up being the number two vote get or 200 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 1: in that all party primary, or that non party primary 201 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 1: basically that Washington State holds. We've already seen the mayor 202 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh lose a primary, so there's definitely I think 203 00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:57,959 Speaker 1: there's in you know, it's not great to be an incumbent, right, 204 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:00,120 Speaker 1: This is like one of those which is also so 205 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: something else. You know, Mikey Cheryl has nothing to do 206 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 1: with Phil Murphy's administration, and yet it's a Democrat trying 207 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:10,720 Speaker 1: to replace a Democrat. So in some ways, she's kind 208 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:14,839 Speaker 1: of defending an incumbent administration where Abigail Spamberger, right, she's 209 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 1: not only gets the benefit of sort of running against 210 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: the White House in northern Virginia, but also it's a 211 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: Republican governor, and there's a sense of, you know, she 212 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 1: gets to sort of run as the outsider. And I 213 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 1: think we're more in an anti incumbent environment than any 214 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: sort of anti party environment. So that's one of those 215 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: cases where it could hurt the Democrat in New Jersey 216 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 1: but help the Democrat even more in Virginia. But the 217 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 1: point is is that there's this I don't think we 218 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: can barely say we really know if twenty twenty six 219 00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 1: is really tilting in one direction or the other. Right, 220 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:51,439 Speaker 1: history says it should already be tilting towards the Democrats. 221 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,559 Speaker 1: There's certainly plenty of underlying numbers showing that you'd probably 222 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 1: rather be a Democrat on the ballot in twenty twenty 223 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:03,680 Speaker 1: six than a Republican. But it's not as this doesn't 224 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 1: look like twenty eighteen. That doesn't mean it won't develop 225 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:12,079 Speaker 1: that way. Could. Like I said, I think the biggest 226 00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 1: uncertainty we have here is not what happens to a 227 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 1: candidate in New York City, or what happens in New 228 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 1: Year's e governor, or which candidates get recruited, or whether 229 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:25,080 Speaker 1: Democrats can put more Senate seats in play. You know, 230 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 1: can they put Florida in play? Can they put a 231 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,559 Speaker 1: Mississippi in play? Can they put a Kansas in play? 232 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 1: Can they put an Eyewa in play? You know, if 233 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: they're not putting two or three of those states that 234 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:37,599 Speaker 1: I just ticked off there, they're not really going to 235 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 1: be able to make a viable case I could win 236 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: the majority the Senate. So then it all goes to 237 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:46,280 Speaker 1: the House. Well, these redistricting fights, maybe that's also delaying 238 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:49,439 Speaker 1: candidate interest, right, that doesn't help, And all of that 239 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 1: just sort of delays delays. That said, if the economy 240 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 1: is as is as bad as some people fear, it's 241 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 1: going to be in the spring of twenty six, right, 242 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: and what is bad is bad sort of rising unemployment 243 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 1: and rising inflation. Right, are we in this stagflation moment 244 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 1: that folks are worried about? Or is it better than 245 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: you think? And then that could change the conversation quite 246 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: a bit. So right now you don't see the same 247 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: level where this anti Trump antagonism is supercharging financial enthusiasm 248 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: and other enthusiasm for the Democrats. And at the same time, 249 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 1: the big uncertainty, of course, is still going to be 250 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: the shape of the economy in the spring of twenty 251 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 1: twenty six. So that said, we are living in an 252 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: era of tumult, We are living in an era that 253 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: we vote more against than what we're four. And it's 254 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 1: that set up that probably works best in describing the 255 00:14:56,840 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 1: conversation that Charlie Cook and I have coming up. We'll 256 00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 1: sneak at a break here and when we come back, 257 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 1: Charlie Cook, all right, let's do a little lass Chuck 258 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: ask Chuck. I'm really fired up. I really like the 259 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: expanded overseas questions we're getting this one comes from another one. 260 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: I think this is our second one from the Netherlands. 261 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 1: I hope we can get a Dutch question at some point, 262 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: maybe holler at somebody from Holland will send one. See 263 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: if any of you get that joke. But let's see here. 264 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 1: This is Randall V. From Leiden, the Netherlands, and he writes, 265 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 1: with the recent developments between President Trump and Vladimir Putin 266 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: another meeting with no real results but clear advantages for Putin. 267 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: I left deeply frustrated. How is it possible that wealthy 268 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 1: democracies like the US and EU keep allowing him to 269 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: get what he wants time and again? Was so little pushback? 270 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 1: As someone from Leiden, this city the Pilgrims once left 271 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 1: in search of liberty, I feel a deep historical connection 272 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: to the United States, but it's hard to reconcile that 273 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: legacy with today's seeming powerlessness in the face of authoritarianism 274 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: authoritarian aggression. Have we reached the limits of democracy or 275 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: are we simply two divided and distracted to act? More 276 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 1: regards Randall, you know, I've thought about this question in 277 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: a few ways because it actually applies to and I 278 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 1: know you're going to find this at first odd, but 279 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 1: it sort of applies to why why folks aren't taking 280 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: this measles outbreak more seriously for instance, And you know, 281 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 1: I'm glad to see that the Texans feel like they're 282 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: finally getting this under control. You know, there's a point where, 283 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: you know, the whole point of history is where you know, 284 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: if you don't learn it, you're deemed to repeat it. 285 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 1: But it turns out we forget it in civilizations time 286 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 1: and time again. And it feels like about, you know, 287 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 1: once once something faded into third or fourth generation, it's 288 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 1: almost like we have to repeat it because I can 289 00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: tell you with what we're going through. One of the 290 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: reasons and you've heard me say this why I'm long 291 00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:10,680 Speaker 1: term optimistic but short term pessimistic about sort of where 292 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: this democracy is going is that we've done this. We 293 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 1: do this. We've done it a few times where we 294 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:24,199 Speaker 1: have veered into some undemocratic you know lanes here, and 295 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 1: then all of a sudden we correct ourselves. It's like 296 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 1: it's like we're about to swerve off the road and 297 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:34,320 Speaker 1: we somehow, just before we go into the ditch, we 298 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:38,439 Speaker 1: get back on the straight and narrow so there's a 299 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 1: part of me that wonders if it's if just Hitler's 300 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 1: too far away. What happened in Europe is too far away. 301 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: You know, my grandfather who fought has been dead for 302 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 1: forty five years, right, So here was a first person 303 00:17:56,800 --> 00:18:01,800 Speaker 1: account that I'm no longer right, which means my kids 304 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,399 Speaker 1: are getting second hand, third hand. So maybe it's that 305 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 1: I'm not you know, I'm just throwing that idea out 306 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:11,199 Speaker 1: there that sometimes we have to. You know, there's an 307 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 1: expression in this country this second you know, there's no 308 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:17,720 Speaker 1: new intelligence has learned from a second kick into the 309 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 1: head from a mule, meaning you know, once you've learned 310 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,200 Speaker 1: the way mules kick, you're going to sort of stay 311 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:25,240 Speaker 1: out of their way. I don't know about that. Sometimes 312 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 1: I think our country needs a kick in the head 313 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 1: about every eighty years, where we will go through an 314 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:34,399 Speaker 1: existential crisis or two. You know, where we were in 315 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 1: the eighteen fifties and where we were in the nineteen thirties, 316 00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,120 Speaker 1: and that was more global than just here, and then 317 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 1: here we are again arguably right, you know, now we're 318 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 1: just under one hundred years later, about eighty you know, 319 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 1: somewhere between eighty and ninety years later. So there's it 320 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:59,239 Speaker 1: may simply be that, as John m John McCain used 321 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,159 Speaker 1: to joke, it's always darker, you know, he used to 322 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 1: quote Mause saying, it's always darkest before it turns really black. 323 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 1: But I do think that that that some of this 324 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:15,640 Speaker 1: is just is some sort of it's not a it's 325 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,960 Speaker 1: not that we forget what happened. We just can't imagine 326 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 1: that our modern society we would allow the same things 327 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:25,360 Speaker 1: to happen that happened in the thirties. And yet now 328 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,640 Speaker 1: we're all finding out, Oh, this is how Germany might 329 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:35,200 Speaker 1: have happened. Right, So look, I'm surprised you're not more 330 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:39,400 Speaker 1: optimistic about Europe's response. I've been impressed with how United 331 00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:43,679 Speaker 1: Europe is stuck with Ukraine, and in some ways I 332 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: think it's it may be in the long term better 333 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,359 Speaker 1: for the EU, better for the continent as a whole, 334 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:59,160 Speaker 1: that that there was the possibility that the United States 335 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 1: wouldn't be that you ally anymore for one reason or 336 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,480 Speaker 1: the other. I'd like to think that will still never happen. 337 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 1: But the fact that you know, you see everybody in 338 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 1: your pivoting to collective security, I think that's it sort of. 339 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 1: It gives me some hope that, hey, there are you 340 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: know it. Obviously, the closer the war is to you, 341 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 1: the more serious you take the threat. This war's on 342 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 1: the other side of an ocean for us, and then 343 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: on the other side of a continent there right, it 344 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 1: is not for you. So perhaps we should take the 345 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:44,639 Speaker 1: fact that Europeans seemed to be a bit more united 346 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 1: have been. Look, I was extraordinarily impressed with how Europe's 347 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 1: responded to Trump two point out, and I think that 348 00:20:55,520 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: that maybe that's you might feel a bit more ouptate, 349 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: mystic if you focus on how's your respondent? I mean, look, 350 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 1: trust me, I don't like that the United States is 351 00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: not interested in being leader of the free world. I 352 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,119 Speaker 1: did not know we'd ever have an American president that 353 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 1: didn't want to be leader of the free world, that 354 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: didn't want to be the chief promoter of liberty and 355 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 1: democracy around the world. That's a big change for a 356 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: lot of us. Many of us hope it's temporary, all right. 357 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 1: Next question comes from Nate, a longtime listener viewer, and 358 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 1: understand your passion for baseball. I'm a gen xer like 359 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 1: you and a lifelong brewer. Fan. I fun little trivia 360 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 1: question out there for you folks. Can you name the 361 00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 1: original home of the Milwaukee Brewers. Of course I don't. 362 00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 1: It's not like I'm going to be having like seventh 363 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 1: Caller get surprize. But I always love having to teach 364 00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: my son that they were originally the Seattle Pilots. Anyway, 365 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 1: lifelong Brewer fan, so I do I am curious? Nate, 366 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,200 Speaker 1: let us know, were you ever a Seattle Pilot fan? 367 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 1: And do you collect Seattle Pilot's paraphernalia as sort of 368 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 1: an homage to the Brewers? Okay, any rights, I may 369 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,159 Speaker 1: be living in an alternative universe because it seems my 370 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 1: Brewers are not only the best team in the majors currently, 371 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:19,640 Speaker 1: but also reportedly have the top farm system as well. 372 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 1: I'm not sure how it all happened, but does this 373 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 1: give some hope for baseball competitiveness long term? Or is 374 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,199 Speaker 1: this just a blip and we'll be back to the 375 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: Dodgers and Yankees' usual domination by the end of the year. 376 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,400 Speaker 1: What can other organizations like your Nats learned from them 377 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 1: that can be replicated to maintain some semblance of competition? 378 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:39,160 Speaker 1: Keep up the excellent work. Look I mean, the fact 379 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 1: of the matter is the baseball playoffs are the great equalizer, right. 380 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 1: The one thing that baseball has to equalize things is 381 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 1: the five game series. Right, You get two hot pitchers 382 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 1: in a five game series and you can beat the 383 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 1: best team in baseball. You know, I've you know, I remember, 384 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 1: I remember when the Gnats were going to be the 385 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 1: wild card and I was telling them in son, I'm like, no, no, no, no, 386 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:04,480 Speaker 1: we want we want it this way. We don't want 387 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 1: to win the division. We win the division, we won't 388 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,359 Speaker 1: get to face if we face the Dodgers, it's in 389 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: a seven game. If we do it the wild card, 390 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: we get the Dodgers in the five game, and sure 391 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:16,159 Speaker 1: enough we got them in the five game and we 392 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 1: can meet them in a five game. So I do 393 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 1: think the playoffs, right like the playoffs in the NBA 394 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 1: are are not an equalizer, right, it almost you know, 395 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 1: you have to be deep, you have to be you know, 396 00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,920 Speaker 1: there isn't you know. There was a brief period where 397 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: the NBA. There was one year the Lakers got eliminated 398 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 1: in the first round in a best two out of three, 399 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 1: right like, So they tinkered early and then they went 400 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,879 Speaker 1: all seven games. I would love to see the NBA 401 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: go to a first round five game because it would 402 00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: it would create upsets, right, you know, a five game, 403 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 1: you cannot an eight seed will be to a one 404 00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 1: seed more often than in a seven game. Is an 405 00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 1: eight s going to be to one seed? I think 406 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,919 Speaker 1: it's ups the entertainment value, but it may not be 407 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 1: what the league wants right that. You know, if the 408 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 1: best players hurt for a game, all of a sudden, 409 00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 1: you're down two oh, and then it's one more game 410 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:16,159 Speaker 1: and it's over. Right, So I I understand why the 411 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 1: league went to just full seven slates across the board 412 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:23,399 Speaker 1: because it does almost always guarantee you're going to get, 413 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,119 Speaker 1: you know, two of the five best teams. I mean, 414 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 1: I get the best two teams, but you're going to 415 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,480 Speaker 1: get two of the five, five or six best teams. 416 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 1: So baseball does already have a great equalizer in its playoffs. 417 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 1: I'd like to know how the Brewers do it. You know, 418 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: did the Ceiling you know, did the Ceilings family just 419 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:45,640 Speaker 1: sort of figured like leave, did he like learn some 420 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,360 Speaker 1: secret code as commissioner Baseball and left it when they 421 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:53,879 Speaker 1: sold the team to the next I have kid, but 422 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 1: it seems that there are ways to do this, and 423 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: you watch how the you know, they're just they're just 424 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,920 Speaker 1: very careful about their money. You decide is this worth 425 00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 1: an eight game an eight year contract or not? Try this? 426 00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:08,879 Speaker 1: Try that, you know you've got to. It's almost like 427 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,119 Speaker 1: being making money as a poker player. You're going to 428 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 1: have to have a high tolerance for risk. It was 429 00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,120 Speaker 1: a risk to let Corbyn Burns go right not pay 430 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,679 Speaker 1: the money, but they decided not to do that. They 431 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:22,720 Speaker 1: knew what they had in their farm system. So if 432 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,720 Speaker 1: you manage it right right, you can always sort of 433 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 1: have something coming up in the farm system just as 434 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 1: you're trading off somebody you can't afford to sign. I say, 435 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 1: the Braves are sort of run very similarly, So you're 436 00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,680 Speaker 1: absolutely right the raise or the arguably the model franchise 437 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 1: for this. But that's what's so disappointing is that that 438 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,320 Speaker 1: there's plenty of role models out there for the Nats 439 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,159 Speaker 1: to emulate, and they're just choosing not to emulate it. 440 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 1: You know, look, I understand that the finances, I mean 441 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 1: I'm in more of of what the you guys have 442 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,920 Speaker 1: pulled off, because you also have that horrible TV contract 443 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 1: with I think you're one of those poor diamonds sports teams, 444 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,359 Speaker 1: which is just you know, unclear whether the revenue is 445 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 1: going to be there. So, you know, Baseball's challenges. They're 446 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:07,920 Speaker 1: just going to have to figure out how to share 447 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:12,760 Speaker 1: some revenue, right are you know, are the bigger market 448 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 1: teams committed to supporting a full league of thirty teams 449 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 1: and in order to do that, you're gonna have to 450 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 1: have more revenue sharing, you know, And I could argue that, 451 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 1: you know, the Dodgers aren't nearly as valuable without twenty 452 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,440 Speaker 1: nine other clubs coming to play them, right, rather than 453 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:32,359 Speaker 1: just eighteen other clubs or sixteen other clubs. You know, 454 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:36,280 Speaker 1: So if you don't do that, you're facing you're facing 455 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 1: then you should contract so that you at least it's 456 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:43,480 Speaker 1: all competitive. But that's that's no way to grow sport. 457 00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: So I guess I'm hopeful that they can figure out 458 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:53,120 Speaker 1: some revenue sharing, some sort of you know, I think 459 00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 1: you can create market, you know, sort of the NBA 460 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,360 Speaker 1: showed with the second Apron business that you can sort 461 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 1: of incentivize ways to limit how much money is spent 462 00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,480 Speaker 1: and then also raise the floor of minimum salaries to 463 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 1: sort of force some better salary competitiveness. So I want 464 00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 1: to be somewhat optimistic, but it is worth noting that 465 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:22,400 Speaker 1: quite Let's just say, word has it many a baseball 466 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:27,520 Speaker 1: franchise is pitching season tickleholders to renew by saying there 467 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 1: may not be baseball in twenty seven. And that's a 468 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:35,000 Speaker 1: real bummer to me. All right. Next one comes from 469 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 1: Matt and he writes first and enjoying the pod Monsie 470 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:40,879 Speaker 1: and meet the press, but enjoying your new endeavor. In 471 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,480 Speaker 1: your podcast with Colin Cowherd, you mentioned the shift from 472 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:47,120 Speaker 1: the Republican Party, moving from Reagan Republicanism to the Maga Party. Second, 473 00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: my question, as a former Pennsylvanian now Floridian for the 474 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:51,879 Speaker 1: last twenty five years, what would have happened to Florida 475 00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,640 Speaker 1: politics if Alex Sink had defeated Rick Scott in twenty ten. 476 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: It's not as if that was a huge majority, and 477 00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: the same was true in twenty fourteen against Charlie crist 478 00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 1: Met And he says, go Phillies like a typical Florida transplant, right, 479 00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,000 Speaker 1: They bring their fandom from another state, and that's why 480 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: the poor Marlins and the Rays can't develop real fan bases, right, Actually, 481 00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:14,880 Speaker 1: you don't have to go that. I go back even 482 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:19,840 Speaker 1: you know, Sandrew Gillham won the Democratic primary by three 483 00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 1: percentage points thirty four thirty one. A week earlier, he 484 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 1: was trailing by ten. He had a bunch of momentum 485 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders and George Soros dropped in a couple of 486 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 1: late bits of money just when he needed it. But 487 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 1: you know, Gwen Graham was facing attack ads from another 488 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:42,400 Speaker 1: candidate named Jeff Green, a Marl Lago member who was 489 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:46,640 Speaker 1: sort of a DEM donor but cranky, and he just 490 00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 1: was running these attack ads on her, just trying to 491 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 1: take her out. So she didn't, you know, but she 492 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 1: was definitely more of a center left candidate. She beats 493 00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 1: to Santas that race, I mean to say to almost 494 00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:03,600 Speaker 1: be Gillam. I mean, you see me, Guillam almost won 495 00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 1: that race. It was decided by less than a percentage point. 496 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 1: You know, both if you recall both the governor's race 497 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 1: and that Senate race almost went into I think one 498 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 1: of them went to auto recount, and they almost both 499 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,719 Speaker 1: did because it was less than a percentage point that that' 500 00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:21,320 Speaker 1: split on. But Gwen Graham wins that race. So you know, 501 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,360 Speaker 1: forget the Rick Scott Alex Sink race, right, I can, 502 00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 1: I can just you can go back to even more recently, 503 00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 1: which of course makes it it's such a head scratcher 504 00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:33,240 Speaker 1: that the Democratic Parties abandoned the state nationally, right, they've 505 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 1: just they've walked away. Biden only lost the state by 506 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 1: three points, and then they just but they treat it 507 00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,000 Speaker 1: as if it's turned into Idaho. And then when you 508 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 1: don't compete, then you stop behaving like a national party 509 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:48,680 Speaker 1: on this front. So, you know, I think it again, 510 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 1: I think when you have you know, I think the 511 00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:54,240 Speaker 1: part the Democratic Party has not been helped that they 512 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,760 Speaker 1: have not been able to succeed in some of these 513 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:00,920 Speaker 1: very purple states or sort of center right states, because 514 00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 1: those candidates would when they win, are able to sort 515 00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 1: of be a bit of a bulwark within the party 516 00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 1: when there's sort of a movement to sort of move 517 00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 1: things closer to the base, and we like, whoa, whoa, whoa, 518 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 1: this is why this doesn't work here, and then all 519 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 1: of a sudden, you know, you don't want to lose. 520 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 1: So I think the lack of those voices winning, you know, 521 00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,720 Speaker 1: you say, how does it change things? Well, first of all, 522 00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,640 Speaker 1: the second the Democrats ever elect somebody governor, that person 523 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 1: is going to be immediately in the shortlist for the 524 00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 1: national ticket, right like when you when you if you 525 00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,280 Speaker 1: have a Democrat winning in a state like that, you're 526 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:41,120 Speaker 1: going to quickly look at that person. They immediately get 527 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 1: some national attention, get national following, and and can potentially 528 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 1: rebrand the party a bit, you know, a bit closer 529 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,920 Speaker 1: to the to the middle than maybe where where the 530 00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: perception of the brand is today. So you know, that's 531 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,400 Speaker 1: that's what perhaps a victory by Alex I think would 532 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 1: eventual was definitely very much more of of a center 533 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 1: left candidate, not necessarily from the progressive base. So it's 534 00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 1: it's it's a head scratcher. Why the why these Again? 535 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,719 Speaker 1: You go back and you look at the results of 536 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,080 Speaker 1: basically every state wide race in Florida from two thousand 537 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 1: to twenty eighteen, twenty to twenty twenty, and then I 538 00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 1: show you the lack of investment and energy from in 539 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two in twenty twenty four, and you're really like, 540 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 1: why do they do that? And you know, I do 541 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: think the National Democratic Party is going to have to 542 00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 1: take a look at what what the what the map's 543 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,560 Speaker 1: going to look like in the twenty thirties, and ask 544 00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 1: themselves if they continue to sort of retreat into what 545 00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 1: they believe are safe blue states, they're just dropped. They're 546 00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 1: they're not going to get they're not going to have 547 00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 1: a competitive chance at majorities. And you know, if they 548 00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 1: don't figure out how to become competitive in Florida and 549 00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 1: in techs, look Florida, Texas, Ohio. They can't write all 550 00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,520 Speaker 1: three of those states off. They got to get the 551 00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: I think they got to try the goal out to 552 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:13,000 Speaker 1: be competitive in all three. But right now they're sort 553 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 1: of right in retreat in all three. And until the 554 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:18,719 Speaker 1: party cracks that code, I don't know if they're going 555 00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:22,400 Speaker 1: to crack a code nationally. And that might be one 556 00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,640 Speaker 1: way to follow this and one way to keep track 557 00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:32,840 Speaker 1: of this. All right, let's see here next question another 558 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 1: Pennsylvanian in here. No, a Misschigander who claims to be 559 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,960 Speaker 1: a Penn and State fan. Good luck with that anyway. 560 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 1: This comes from Mark for an arbor An. He writes, 561 00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:46,840 Speaker 1: even if research funding cuts are eventually restored, the damage 562 00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,440 Speaker 1: in the interim is so significant that alternative funding solutions 563 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 1: should be considered stage could issue bonds and relan the 564 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: proceeds to research institution, which would cover the interest and 565 00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 1: repay the bonds through future grants or fundraising. While not 566 00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 1: a complete replacement, this approached smiler to conduit issuances used 567 00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:04,920 Speaker 1: in infrastructure could help mitigate the harm. What say you, 568 00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,560 Speaker 1: that's an interesting thought that you you would do this 569 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 1: uh as as a as bond proposals. I mean, perhaps 570 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 1: this will You're right, we do it for school construction 571 00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 1: funding all the time in the county I live in, 572 00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,320 Speaker 1: or you know, it's you know where they basically have 573 00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,280 Speaker 1: to ask for permission to borrow money. But they do, 574 00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:28,520 Speaker 1: and and and they get these low interest loans and 575 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 1: and the taxpayers are barely in our LinkedIn, I feel 576 00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 1: like we get our money's worth from from what we pay. 577 00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,200 Speaker 1: That's an interesting I hope we don't have to resort 578 00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:44,080 Speaker 1: to that. But this is one of those questions whether 579 00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 1: if this is you know, in in our in our 580 00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:58,360 Speaker 1: in our NBC poll our posters used to say, wait 581 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 1: till you see a trend for a second straight poll 582 00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 1: before you make note of it amongst a demographic group. 583 00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,919 Speaker 1: And I might say the same thing about presidential terms. Right, 584 00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 1: if we get another president who's this you know, who 585 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: decides to politicize scientific research like this and create a 586 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 1: political litmus test for research grants, and this is sort 587 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,319 Speaker 1: of the place we go down. Well, I think all 588 00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,799 Speaker 1: this gets privatized in some form or another. And maybe 589 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 1: what you're describing, maybe this is you know, maybe you know, 590 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 1: if we go down this road, I think we're going 591 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:36,839 Speaker 1: to be more of a the states may behave more 592 00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:41,360 Speaker 1: as a more of a loose confederation. And then suddenly, 593 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:45,359 Speaker 1: and then so I could picture your idea, you know, 594 00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:51,400 Speaker 1: take Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, you know, Illinois all sort of 595 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,400 Speaker 1: agree to put something like it, and it's sort of 596 00:34:54,400 --> 00:35:01,000 Speaker 1: a regional research initiative where they all put and pull 597 00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:03,719 Speaker 1: it because ultimately, right, the more the more money you 598 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:05,840 Speaker 1: can pull, the more you can scale some of this research. 599 00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:09,799 Speaker 1: So my guess is that is probably what would happen 600 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,319 Speaker 1: if we if we can we continue on this road 601 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:16,600 Speaker 1: of having an unreliable federal government when it comes to 602 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:24,960 Speaker 1: scientific data, economic data, then you may see some consortiums, 603 00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: public private compacts, things like that that try to try 604 00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:33,719 Speaker 1: to be bridges right of some sort or a new 605 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:37,280 Speaker 1: form of a public utility, and maybe they are state based. 606 00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 1: I guess, I am man. I hope we don't have 607 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:46,680 Speaker 1: to go down that road. I hope there's some. I 608 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,279 Speaker 1: hope there's I hope this is a low point on 609 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:55,120 Speaker 1: that front. You know, speaking of research, there's a the 610 00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:58,600 Speaker 1: CDC director who was appointed CDC director by Jimmy Carter 611 00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 1: and who stayed in office for three years of Ronald Reagan. Okay, 612 00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:07,400 Speaker 1: meaning that's how non political the CDC job used to 613 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,080 Speaker 1: be seen at He just wrote an op ed in 614 00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:13,480 Speaker 1: Stat magazine, which is a healthcare journal. I'm going to 615 00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 1: read you this quote. It's it's an unbelievable qute. Because 616 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 1: many of you have made note that I'm pretty tough 617 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:23,320 Speaker 1: on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. H And I am because 618 00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:28,239 Speaker 1: I'm just I'm alarmed at the lack of alarm at 619 00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:33,279 Speaker 1: the direct You know how much how much pain he's 620 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:37,080 Speaker 1: causing this country already and physical pain that he's that 621 00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:39,840 Speaker 1: he's doing. But this is not my way. You know, 622 00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 1: if you thought I have been tough on him, let 623 00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:45,880 Speaker 1: me read you what. William Foge, the former CDC director, 624 00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:51,080 Speaker 1: again appointed by Carter, served through three years of Reagan. 625 00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:57,560 Speaker 1: So not a not not not an era where we 626 00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:01,360 Speaker 1: were politicizing the CDC. He wrote that Kennedy would be 627 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,640 Speaker 1: less hazardous if he decided to do cardiac surgery. Then 628 00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,880 Speaker 1: he would kill people only one at a time, rather 629 00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:13,520 Speaker 1: than his current ability to kill by the thousands. It's 630 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:17,399 Speaker 1: a pretty tough op, ed the headline in this again 631 00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:19,680 Speaker 1: it's in stat I encourage you to go to take 632 00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 1: a look at it. How public health can fight back 633 00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 1: in a time of dangerous nonsense. Look, there's not a 634 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:34,560 Speaker 1: mainstream public health official in an America, former or current 635 00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:41,520 Speaker 1: that isn't fully fully alarmed about the situation we're dealing 636 00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:48,920 Speaker 1: with anyway. Like I said, I certainly hope folks sober 637 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:52,840 Speaker 1: up on this one on the right. All right, last question, 638 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:57,480 Speaker 1: then we'll wrap things up here. This comes from CW 639 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 1: from Central New York or any elect Democrats actively calling 640 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,160 Speaker 1: for a constitutional convention. Frankly, I think the DNC is 641 00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:06,479 Speaker 1: guarding its power and has not yet come to terms 642 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,080 Speaker 1: with its failure since twenty sixteen. As you have said, 643 00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,600 Speaker 1: they haven't lost badly enough yet. I believe both parties 644 00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:14,440 Speaker 1: have reasons to be hesitant about a constitutional convention. I 645 00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:16,360 Speaker 1: think your idea to have a convention focusing on one 646 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 1: or two issues would be a good way to start. 647 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,600 Speaker 1: What issues do you think are ripe for amendments? Which 648 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,560 Speaker 1: amendment issues do you think could do the most to 649 00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,680 Speaker 1: move the country in a positive direction? Would you consider 650 00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: doing an episode on how a constitutional convention might unfold? 651 00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:34,200 Speaker 1: Thank you, CW. I like that idea about trying to, 652 00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:36,799 Speaker 1: you know, see how one would work and how one 653 00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:45,239 Speaker 1: might unfold if you will, And you know you asked me, 654 00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:47,640 Speaker 1: I guess I look at it this way. It's sort 655 00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:52,759 Speaker 1: of like what a successful constitutional convention is going to 656 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 1: have to be a give and take between the left 657 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:58,839 Speaker 1: and the right. I think a balanced budget amendment is 658 00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:03,439 Speaker 1: It's sort of like what what is what is the most? 659 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:08,080 Speaker 1: What is the most? I guess is confirmable the word 660 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,000 Speaker 1: that you would use for an amendment? Right, you know 661 00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:15,040 Speaker 1: which amendment that comes from team right has the best 662 00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:17,160 Speaker 1: shot at getting the seventy five percent that you need? 663 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:19,960 Speaker 1: All of those markers to me, it's the balance budget amendment. 664 00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:23,680 Speaker 1: Those that on the left, which are the ones? I 665 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:27,319 Speaker 1: think it would be campaign finance reform, right, So you know, 666 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:31,080 Speaker 1: those are the two issues. I think you have term 667 00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:35,839 Speaker 1: limits and age limits. I think it's campaign money, and 668 00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:39,000 Speaker 1: I think it's public debt, right, you know, those sort 669 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 1: of three entities, because I think ultimately right the convendor, 670 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:46,640 Speaker 1: you know, I think we need like a good I 671 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:51,360 Speaker 1: think we need Netflix to do an eight episode series 672 00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:57,359 Speaker 1: called The Continental Congress. Will Benjamin Franklin, you know, you know, 673 00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:00,440 Speaker 1: just try to maybe we could dramatize them omens and 674 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:02,600 Speaker 1: you have these cliffhangers. What are they going to do 675 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:06,120 Speaker 1: about this? How are they going to balance? The small 676 00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:09,160 Speaker 1: states are mad at Virginia and Massachusetts. What are they 677 00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:11,399 Speaker 1: going to do? You know? Are they going to pull 678 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:15,040 Speaker 1: out of this new country? Right? Maybe that would grab 679 00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,080 Speaker 1: people's attention and they could learn how the whole thing 680 00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:21,560 Speaker 1: worked so and then then that would then trigger. But 681 00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:25,719 Speaker 1: the point is the original Continental Congress, right, the original 682 00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:30,839 Speaker 1: Constitutional Convention was a series of compromises. Before we got 683 00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 1: our constitution, we had the failed Articles of Confederation. So 684 00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:38,160 Speaker 1: it's one of those that goes back to Charlie Cook's 685 00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:43,160 Speaker 1: frustration that we are civics education that particularly sort of 686 00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:47,359 Speaker 1: the rationale behind why our government is a republic, why 687 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:51,280 Speaker 1: we're formed the way we're formed, et cetera. I certainly 688 00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,920 Speaker 1: would want the entire country to understand that before we 689 00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:56,879 Speaker 1: went into one. But if you're looking for a way 690 00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,640 Speaker 1: to have a successful constitutional convention, I think the three 691 00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:03,720 Speaker 1: I think the three topics really are public debt, age 692 00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:07,560 Speaker 1: in term limits, and campaign money. Right. I think you 693 00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:10,360 Speaker 1: find ways to deal with those three. I think everything 694 00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:14,239 Speaker 1: else is probably problematic. You know, you might have people 695 00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,399 Speaker 1: that want to put a right privacy or a right. 696 00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 1: Maybe the Equal Rights Amendment get sort of does officially 697 00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,800 Speaker 1: get put in. There's some that argue that that that 698 00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:30,480 Speaker 1: that clock is still running. I think that's a I 699 00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:34,920 Speaker 1: I certainly wouldn't. That's probably not the best way for 700 00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:38,680 Speaker 1: that amendment to get ratified. I think you'd want to 701 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:44,760 Speaker 1: have it to be more more a more modern vote 702 00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:48,439 Speaker 1: on that one. But I think if you started there, 703 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,279 Speaker 1: you could deal with a lot of a lot of issues, right. 704 00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,319 Speaker 1: I think if we could figure out a way to 705 00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:58,120 Speaker 1: constitutionally limit money without it being seen as limiting speech, 706 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:02,799 Speaker 1: I do think we would, you know, we would, We could. 707 00:42:03,040 --> 00:42:04,960 Speaker 1: We could deal with a lot of a lot of 708 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,920 Speaker 1: problems that have sort of perverted our politics a little bit. 709 00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:12,080 Speaker 1: And I've not always been you know, for the longest time, 710 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,200 Speaker 1: it always felt like well, you know, money's always going 711 00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:16,240 Speaker 1: to find a way. But but but boy, we've gotten 712 00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:19,040 Speaker 1: really you know, it's gotten too easy to hide, it's 713 00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:20,960 Speaker 1: gotten too easy to you know, all of those things. 714 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:22,840 Speaker 1: So I think that I think those would be the 715 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:30,759 Speaker 1: topics that you would most likely have have success at 716 00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 1: getting past. But you know, I would love a constitutional 717 00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:39,880 Speaker 1: convention simply for the educational aspect. You know. Again, you know, 718 00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:44,719 Speaker 1: when I had Lindsay Shravinsky on my Newsphere show not 719 00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,080 Speaker 1: too long ago, if you have a chance to check 720 00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 1: it out, I asked her how the Founders would be 721 00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:53,359 Speaker 1: handling this moment. She said, you know, there's always one 722 00:42:53,520 --> 00:42:55,920 Speaker 1: thing that jumped out at me that that she says 723 00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,960 Speaker 1: that she says, you know, the founders didn't think the 724 00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:02,480 Speaker 1: Constitution would last more than a generation. That the biggest 725 00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:04,319 Speaker 1: thing that there are two things that would shock the 726 00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:07,120 Speaker 1: Founders that they came back today. One is that it's 727 00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:10,960 Speaker 1: still going, that we didn't rip it up and have 728 00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,440 Speaker 1: a new one. A lot of democracies do that. The 729 00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:19,440 Speaker 1: second is that it only has twenty eight amendments. They 730 00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:22,879 Speaker 1: thought there'd be a lot more amendments. And that goes 731 00:43:22,920 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 1: back to something I shared with you before. You know, 732 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:26,880 Speaker 1: one of the great observations to topful mate about the 733 00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:30,000 Speaker 1: strength of our democracy is sort of how into politics 734 00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:33,600 Speaker 1: we were at the local level. That seems to have 735 00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:39,759 Speaker 1: gone away, right, So maybe a constitutional convention will sort 736 00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:46,319 Speaker 1: of renew our renew our commitment to our citizenship and 737 00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:48,879 Speaker 1: realize that, you know, there is some responsibility that comes 738 00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:54,080 Speaker 1: with it. You know, if we want the benefits that 739 00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:56,160 Speaker 1: come with it, and we want good stuff to happen, 740 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,680 Speaker 1: you know, we can't just sit here and complain. We 741 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:04,560 Speaker 1: got to participate, right, Sometimes participation is just just being 742 00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:08,200 Speaker 1: knowledgeable and voting. You know, if you just do that, 743 00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:12,160 Speaker 1: you're doing your job as a citizen. I think we've 744 00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:15,960 Speaker 1: got plenty of people voting, and I fear we have 745 00:44:16,000 --> 00:44:18,080 Speaker 1: plenty of people who think they're knowledgeable. But we have 746 00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:20,799 Speaker 1: a lot of garbage information out there. And you know 747 00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:24,759 Speaker 1: that's that gets it to the bigger thing that we've 748 00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:29,640 Speaker 1: got to fix, right. You know, it is tough to 749 00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:31,800 Speaker 1: get a country of three hundred and fifty million people 750 00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:35,759 Speaker 1: to row in the same direction. If if if we're 751 00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:39,239 Speaker 1: siloed in you know, six hundred different if we're in 752 00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:43,120 Speaker 1: six hundred different silos and have no idea what everybody 753 00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:48,640 Speaker 1: else is seeing, hearing, or reading. So with that, when 754 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:50,840 Speaker 1: I see you next time, I will have tried to 755 00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:54,640 Speaker 1: figure out what's in this empty nest. Do I redesign 756 00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:59,279 Speaker 1: my kids' bedrooms immediately right? Or we wait a few 757 00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:01,640 Speaker 1: more years until until I do that. But either way, 758 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:04,680 Speaker 1: I will end this one here and we will see 759 00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:07,799 Speaker 1: you after a long weekend until we upload again.