WEBVTT - Ford Moves In Right Direction With Euro Job Cuts: Kudla

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Penl podcast on Paul Swing You.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Brahma Waits, each day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Ford announced that it will eliminate

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<v Speaker 1>about twenty percent of its workforce across Europe, closing six factories,

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<v Speaker 1>with some in Germany. The shares of the company up

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<v Speaker 1>two point two percent. UH, sort of showing how markets

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<v Speaker 1>are viewing this cut jobs as you try to streamline

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<v Speaker 1>your business, and they've been dealing with a host of

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<v Speaker 1>issues in Europe in particular. Joining us now to get

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<v Speaker 1>a sense of the implications of this announcement. David Kudla,

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<v Speaker 1>chief executive officer and chief investment strategist at Mainstay Capital

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<v Speaker 1>Management with two and a half billion dollars under management, UH,

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<v Speaker 1>sailing from Michigan, where for is based. Thank you so

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<v Speaker 1>much for being with us. David. We love having you on.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's just start with what was your initial knee

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<v Speaker 1>jerk reaction to Ford's announcement this morning about the job cuts.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Lisa, Well we expected this, we knew this

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<v Speaker 1>was coming. We've seen forward U continued to streamline, streamline

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<v Speaker 1>operations in Europe. The market there is weak overall, and

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<v Speaker 1>uh Ford, like GM, has UH the problem of working

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<v Speaker 1>in that middle market, selling in that middle market with

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of their products. There's a weak market overall.

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<v Speaker 1>UH they have strength in commercial vehicles, but they're not

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<v Speaker 1>in the luxury car market where the money is made

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<v Speaker 1>in Europe, and that's the problem they suffer from. And

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<v Speaker 1>so where General Motors decided finally to just exit by

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<v Speaker 1>selling their Opal unit, uh Ford is trying to stay there,

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<v Speaker 1>and the only way they can stay there is to

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<v Speaker 1>continue to restructure, restructure, structure, and we're seeing another big,

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<v Speaker 1>big step in that direction. It's interesting, Dave, that you

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned GM and OPAL and I look at the stock

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<v Speaker 1>today and I'm sure you know stock called does clearly

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<v Speaker 1>like this move here. Do you think Ford is considering

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<v Speaker 1>doing a GM and just kind of getting out of

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<v Speaker 1>the European market just seems so brutal to make a

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<v Speaker 1>profit there. It is brutal to make a profit there.

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<v Speaker 1>If you look, you know the the economic situation, the

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<v Speaker 1>political environment, regulatory environment in Europe, the the the current

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<v Speaker 1>economic environment in Europe, and you know the trouble that

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<v Speaker 1>American automakers have had competing there. It's a very different

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<v Speaker 1>market from the US. And the strength of American automakers

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<v Speaker 1>is um in in trucks UH and subs large trucks

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<v Speaker 1>which don't which don't sell there. They're not they're not made,

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<v Speaker 1>they're not popular in Europe, and so UH. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the money that's made in Europe is in luxury cars

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<v Speaker 1>and in commercial vehicles. Now Ford has strength and commercial vehicles.

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<v Speaker 1>They have a partnership with BW that they're they're doing

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<v Speaker 1>quite well with, but not really in the luxury vehicle

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<v Speaker 1>segment that belongs to the luxury brands there in Europe,

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<v Speaker 1>and and some some others that are imported UH. In

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<v Speaker 1>that middle market that that's where you can struggle. But

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<v Speaker 1>they do in the suv market, the Kuga that's sold

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<v Speaker 1>over hundred fifty thou units last year at the Ecosport

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<v Speaker 1>over a hundred thousand units last year. They have some

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<v Speaker 1>strength there. So the way they're streamlining now with the

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<v Speaker 1>three divisions are going from there talking about maybe bringing

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<v Speaker 1>in some you know, an iconic brand with the Mustang.

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<v Speaker 1>There might be some opportunity there, small opportunity in niche market,

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<v Speaker 1>but the uh, this streamlining I think has some potential,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's it's just a difficult market, I think for

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<v Speaker 1>an American automaker, how do we sort of view the

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<v Speaker 1>difficulties in the European auto market and lou in light

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<v Speaker 1>of some of the trade tensions and the global slow

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<v Speaker 1>down in growth up more generally, I mean, is this

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<v Speaker 1>a part of that story or is this idiosyncratic having

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<v Speaker 1>to do with the models that are popular and regulations

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<v Speaker 1>and just the sort of entrenchment of local companies there.

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<v Speaker 1>Well that you know, that's the other part of it. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, one of the the announcements with this is

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<v Speaker 1>that they that that four expects to more than triple

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<v Speaker 1>their passenger vehicle imports into Europe annually by And if

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to triple your passenger vehicle imports into Europe annually,

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<v Speaker 1>you need a favorable trade environment to do that, and

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<v Speaker 1>the current administration is made at quite difficult. So, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you have entrenched brands there that are are

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<v Speaker 1>there is a lot of brand loyalty on that continent. UH,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that's where there's been difficulty with you know,

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<v Speaker 1>some of the brands that import there. But now you

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<v Speaker 1>have these artificial barriers or let's call them real barriers,

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<v Speaker 1>barriers with uh, the the trade wars that are coming

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<v Speaker 1>up in the tariffs that that keep popping their head up,

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<v Speaker 1>or threats of terrorists that keep popping their head up. So, David,

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<v Speaker 1>I know in the States there's a growing discussion about

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<v Speaker 1>whether we have reached a peak auto in the US

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<v Speaker 1>art there's similar discussions in Europe like that. There's similar

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<v Speaker 1>discussions like that. But the concern in in in Europe

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<v Speaker 1>is is that is that auto sales have just been

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<v Speaker 1>stagnant really for for quite some time because of the

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<v Speaker 1>economic conditions. And for you know, GM before this and

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<v Speaker 1>Ford for years have just been operating at a loss.

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<v Speaker 1>They've had very few years over many years where they've

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<v Speaker 1>had a profit. Ford had a four million dollar loss

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<v Speaker 1>last year. And in Europe and we'll probably again this year,

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<v Speaker 1>UH with this restructuring. UH. As we get you know,

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<v Speaker 1>down the road, that may help, but it is just

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<v Speaker 1>a market where there have been more years in recent

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<v Speaker 1>year years many more years have lost than profit, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, how many do you sustain that? And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's why GM finally decided to cut the cord

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<v Speaker 1>with their Oval unit. David Couldla, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>David is the chief executive officer and chief investment strategist

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<v Speaker 1>at main Stake Capital Management based in Michigan, and we

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<v Speaker 1>love to have him on talking about the auto industry.

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<v Speaker 1>He's really plugged in there and it's just a big,

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<v Speaker 1>big issue for the US automakers. In Europe, we have

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<v Speaker 1>the Democratic debates underway. Tonight is the second night of

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<v Speaker 1>a to night extravaganza with twenty candidates at meeting, joining

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<v Speaker 1>us down to talk about what we heard last night.

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Leu, former Deputy Secretary of Labor under President Obama

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<v Speaker 1>and senior fellow at the University of Virginia's Miller Center. Chris,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with us. First of all,

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<v Speaker 1>i'd love to get your impression of last night's debate.

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<v Speaker 1>What was your thought? Well, you know, it's pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>what I expected. And it is one of the challenges

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<v Speaker 1>with the format of having ten people on stage trying

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<v Speaker 1>to share two hours. You know, if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>the recent path of debates, they really don't have a

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<v Speaker 1>big effect. We'll talk about them for about twenty four hours,

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<v Speaker 1>but short of somebody making a major gaff and I

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<v Speaker 1>didn't see that last night. Um you know, it's some

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<v Speaker 1>candidates will move up, some will move down a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think it's sort of status quo. Obviously. I

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<v Speaker 1>think Julian Castor did have a very nice night last night,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think it will cause people to look at

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<v Speaker 1>him a little differently. I was also frankly surprised by

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<v Speaker 1>mare de Blasio, who came out very strong, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he hasn't really had much traction in his race as well.

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<v Speaker 1>I also thought, um uh, Centator Warned did well as also.

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<v Speaker 1>The challenge, however, is that you know, in this twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four hour period, from less than twenty four before the

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<v Speaker 1>end of one debate to the start of another debate,

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<v Speaker 1>there's not much time and then by tomorrow we'll be

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<v Speaker 1>talking about date debate number two. So, Chris, were you

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<v Speaker 1>surprised at all that the candidates generally last night did

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<v Speaker 1>not go after Senator Elizabeth Warren, who, at least on

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<v Speaker 1>that stage, was the front runner. You know, I am

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<v Speaker 1>a little surprised by that, and you saw and there

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<v Speaker 1>was a place I think certainly to do that. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>that moment when the moderators asked them to to raise

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<v Speaker 1>their hands whether they would eliminate private insurance of health insurance,

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<v Speaker 1>you saw, Um, you saw Congressman Delaney a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>kind of go after that. But I think by and large,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the unfortunate thing about the format, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>at at about halfway through the people start cutting in

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<v Speaker 1>on each other. But by and large, for that first

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<v Speaker 1>period of time when she was doing most of the speaking,

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<v Speaker 1>the contenders are really just kind of waiting to be

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<v Speaker 1>asked questions, So it didn't really lend itself to kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a lot of back and forth. So you're a

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<v Speaker 1>d n C Democratic National Committee super delegate, so you're

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<v Speaker 1>intimately connected with the Democratic Party. And there is sort

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<v Speaker 1>of a very big question here embedded in these debates,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is can any of these candidates beat President Trump?

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<v Speaker 1>And from what you heard last night, did you feel

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<v Speaker 1>more confident or less confident of that? I'm not sure

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<v Speaker 1>I felt more or less confident, As I said, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think look, um, I was with President or Senator

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<v Speaker 1>about my back at two thousand and seven, we went

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<v Speaker 1>through an endless series of debates and uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if you go back and read the press accounts of

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<v Speaker 1>that first debate, Senator Obama was pretty underwhelming at the time.

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<v Speaker 1>And so look, it's early in the process. Um, candidates,

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<v Speaker 1>you get better, and I frankly what I think is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be more interesting for many of these candidates.

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<v Speaker 1>They're gonna have to post their second courter of fundraising

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<v Speaker 1>numbers at the end of June. It'll be interesting to

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<v Speaker 1>see because that you know, it is not cheap to

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<v Speaker 1>run some of these campaigns, and uh, some of them

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<v Speaker 1>have had a challenge raising money in this crowded field.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, look, I think last night we heard

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of substantive debates. It was largely free of insults. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it was completely free of insults. And that's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a mark change from I think what we saw in

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<v Speaker 1>the Republican bates with than candidate Trump. So, Chris, I

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<v Speaker 1>also noticed last night that the candidates didn't really attack

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's character or maybe some of those questionable policies and

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<v Speaker 1>actions and tweets. Do you think the sticking to the

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<v Speaker 1>policies strategy will work against Trump? You know, look, I

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<v Speaker 1>think I think I think they need to do both. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's highlighting um what UM Trump's policies, his

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<v Speaker 1>his demeanor in office. But I think it's also UM

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<v Speaker 1>putting forward an affirmative, positive agenda of what they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to do on things like healthcare, education, or immigration. Largely

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<v Speaker 1>the kind of anti Trump message I don't think really

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<v Speaker 1>needs to be made. It's being made here in Washington

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<v Speaker 1>every day, is being made on the cable news networks. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I just got back from I was in

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<v Speaker 1>Iowa yesterday meeting with some voters, and they really want

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<v Speaker 1>to hear about the issues that are affecting in their lives,

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<v Speaker 1>and so, UM, I don't know that they necessarily the

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<v Speaker 1>candidates nests that I need to draw that distinction, because

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<v Speaker 1>it really is being made for them. You know, you

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<v Speaker 1>started out talking about the limitations of this debate format.

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<v Speaker 1>Is there a way that it could have been done

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<v Speaker 1>that would have been more effective? Uh, it's sort of

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<v Speaker 1>lesson learned for next time, not to have two nights

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<v Speaker 1>of ten different candidates on the stage, each having about

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<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds to talk. Yeah, you know, it's unfortunate because

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<v Speaker 1>the Democratic National Committee I think was trying to address

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<v Speaker 1>the concerns that came out of sixteen that they may have,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, put their thumb on the scale, and so

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<v Speaker 1>what they wanted to do very early on is create

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<v Speaker 1>these objective criterias that everyone knew what they were, and

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<v Speaker 1>to try to meet them. In hindsight, they probably set

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<v Speaker 1>the criteria a little bit too low, this idea that

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<v Speaker 1>sixty five thousand donations could get you in UH. In

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<v Speaker 1>this day and age, it's relatively easy to do that,

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<v Speaker 1>and you can game it in a bunch of different ways.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the real interesting challenge will be when they

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<v Speaker 1>get this September, because then the donation threshold goes to

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and thirty thousand UH. It's also a two

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<v Speaker 1>percent polling threshold, so I think you may likely see

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<v Speaker 1>only you know, a dozen candidates on the debate stage

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<v Speaker 1>up come September. So, Chris, tonight, we have the second

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<v Speaker 1>night of debates, and of course um uh from a

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<v Speaker 1>vice president Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders as well the

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<v Speaker 1>front runners. What do you expect tonight? Well, I think

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<v Speaker 1>tonight is gonna be a fascinating contrast. I'm gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>looking at whether um uh, Senator Sanders and Vice President

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<v Speaker 1>Biden go after each other. I suspect they won't, but

0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:22.160
<v Speaker 1>I think what you will see is this kind of

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:28.280
<v Speaker 1>interesting um gender and generational contrast with Kamala Harrison stage

0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:31.560
<v Speaker 1>along with Pete Boutigge, who, even if they're not directly

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:35.560
<v Speaker 1>going after either Sanders or Biden, provide sort of an

0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:39.240
<v Speaker 1>interesting contrast for voters who want either a more diverse

0:12:39.280 --> 0:12:41.760
<v Speaker 1>candidate or a younger candidate. And who do you think

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:44.200
<v Speaker 1>is winning right now for the quote soul of the

0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:47.199
<v Speaker 1>Democratic Party, the more liberal wing, the sort of further

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:52.080
<v Speaker 1>left or this interest Well, it's it's interesting that there's

0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:54.480
<v Speaker 1>the contradiction between what we all see on social media

0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:57.480
<v Speaker 1>and Twitter, which is clearly a much more progressive audience

0:12:57.520 --> 0:12:59.680
<v Speaker 1>then and what you certainly see when you're out talking

0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:02.560
<v Speaker 1>to vote and what you see in public opinion polls. UM.

0:13:02.600 --> 0:13:04.440
<v Speaker 1>But I do think which is I think more moderate?

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:06.920
<v Speaker 1>I do think it's a challenge. I think ultimately when

0:13:06.920 --> 0:13:10.120
<v Speaker 1>you look at these candidates, there are some extremes, but

0:13:10.200 --> 0:13:12.520
<v Speaker 1>by and large they're united in the idea that we

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:15.600
<v Speaker 1>need to do more to make the economy work for everyone.

0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:17.719
<v Speaker 1>We need to do more to expand healthcare and make

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:20.800
<v Speaker 1>it um less expensive. We need to do more in

0:13:20.880 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 1>terms of building up our relationships with allies. I think

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:26.959
<v Speaker 1>it's gradations on the spectrum at this point. Chris lou

0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:29.520
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for taking the time today. Uh

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:31.920
<v Speaker 1>was she the best of luck. Chris lewis Senior Fellow

0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>at the University of Virginia Miller Center, former Deputy Secretary

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 1>of Labor under President Obama. Also he is a d

0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 1>n C super Delegate. Has just been in Iowa talking

0:13:43.160 --> 0:14:04.680
<v Speaker 1>to perspective voters. As Paul Sweeney was talking just minutes ago.

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 1>You might have heard some beeping in the background, and

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:08.680
<v Speaker 1>that's because I was up against the wall holding a

0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>smartphone in various places to try to get a size

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 1>of what clothes I should be buying. And that is

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:17.000
<v Speaker 1>because Ronan Luzon is here with us. He is founder

0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:21.080
<v Speaker 1>and chief executive officer of My Size, based in Israel,

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:23.560
<v Speaker 1>but joining us here in our Bloomberg Intta Active Broker Studios.

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:27.160
<v Speaker 1>Ronan my Size, from what I could tell, is an

0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 1>app on your phone that allows you to buy sensors

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 1>by just holding the phone in various places while I'm

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:37.360
<v Speaker 1>wearing some clothes I'm still wearing clothes to uh just

0:14:37.400 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 1>tell you exactly what size you'd be in different brands

0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:44.000
<v Speaker 1>to facilitate online shopping. Is that correct? Yeah? That's right? Right? Yeah,

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:48.160
<v Speaker 1>So how much has this been adopted so far? So? Um,

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 1>the company started two thousand fourteen, and we started as

0:14:51.120 --> 0:14:53.440
<v Speaker 1>a publicly traded company, but we just launched the product

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 1>last September in Fashion Week in New York. So we

0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 1>took us about four years to make this thing happen.

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:00.160
<v Speaker 1>He started as a dream as as a pro when

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:02.440
<v Speaker 1>that each and everyone of us suffer when we're buying

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>things online. We get always the wrong size, well not always,

0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:08.400
<v Speaker 1>but we get sometimes the wrong size. And it took

0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:10.800
<v Speaker 1>four years and we just launched it in last September

0:15:10.800 --> 0:15:14.280
<v Speaker 1>in Fashion Week and was great. Like, retailers are looking

0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:16.960
<v Speaker 1>for a solution because they're suffering for much from the

0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 1>online returns in the US alone, as between thirty and

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 1>fifty percent returns almost every second item is being sent back.

0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>It's an abslute situation for the retailers and for us

0:15:26.320 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 1>to consumers. So we just now start kicking off. We

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:33.160
<v Speaker 1>began romping up the the adoption of the technology both

0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:37.520
<v Speaker 1>on retailers and consumers alike, even though our business model

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.800
<v Speaker 1>is B two B. So who's paying for that technology

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 1>is the retailers the consumers completely free for use and

0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 1>uh and and try so that everybody can download it.

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>But who's paying for that is the retailers. So they're

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:53.680
<v Speaker 1>paying for every what we call a fit recommendation. Us

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:56.640
<v Speaker 1>as the users as consumers when we're going online for

0:15:56.680 --> 0:15:59.480
<v Speaker 1>our favorite retailer or a new retailer that we don't

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 1>know ourselves, eyes before we click on the button to

0:16:02.000 --> 0:16:04.720
<v Speaker 1>get our recommended size, and then when we as a

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:08.000
<v Speaker 1>my size charge to retailer for alright, So talking about

0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 1>the technology here again, I was working over here and

0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:13.320
<v Speaker 1>you guys are over there in the corner of the studio.

0:16:13.440 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 1>He raises his eyebrows. I wasn't working and I heard

0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:18.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of buzzing and peeping and phones being way

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 1>waved around. How does the technology work? So when I

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.320
<v Speaker 1>started that it's it was because of my my kid,

0:16:26.360 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>now today's fifteen, but he back then was ordering things online,

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 1>especially NBA suits, and it came wrong size, and I

0:16:33.920 --> 0:16:37.480
<v Speaker 1>was thinking something must change here. So there was some

0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 1>different technologies out there, and one of them was image processing.

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:42.640
<v Speaker 1>So you need to take a picture of yourself and

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:46.280
<v Speaker 1>then by the image it does the calculation off off

0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 1>of the sizing. The thing is that you need to

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.000
<v Speaker 1>take your clothes off. Now I would never get my

0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:54.080
<v Speaker 1>kid taking a picture with naked or half naked and

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 1>send it to doesn't matter how secure the server is,

0:16:57.240 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 1>it will never happen, especially for women, even even for

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 1>us as men, we will never do that. So I

0:17:03.200 --> 0:17:06.400
<v Speaker 1>was thinking what other possibilities can be to do that.

0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:09.240
<v Speaker 1>So we took the mobile phone sensors, the same sensors

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:12.080
<v Speaker 1>that are almost every mobile phone for kids when they're

0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:14.200
<v Speaker 1>playing with the phone, they moved from one place to another,

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:17.639
<v Speaker 1>it's the same sensors. It's accelerometer and the gyro that

0:17:17.760 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 1>result in the mobile phone and algorithm that we've developed.

0:17:20.880 --> 0:17:23.960
<v Speaker 1>So we know to take the information from the sensors

0:17:23.960 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 1>when you move the phone over your body from one

0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:29.040
<v Speaker 1>place to another, we know to measure the distance the

0:17:29.080 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 1>phone is moving between two points. And that's how we

0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:36.360
<v Speaker 1>actually make this technology work for the apparel. So what

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:39.480
<v Speaker 1>types of companies are you working with to sort of

0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 1>get more online traction and and understand how to sort

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:46.960
<v Speaker 1>of limit some of these returns. So it's amazing that

0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:52.440
<v Speaker 1>we've started actually demonstrating technology back in cs in two

0:17:52.440 --> 0:17:55.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand seventeen, and back then the technology didn't actually work.

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.520
<v Speaker 1>It was more like a proof of concept. Even that

0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 1>was not the best scenario. But the CSWO thousand eighteen

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:06.240
<v Speaker 1>we actually launched the the beta one, and when we

0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.199
<v Speaker 1>watched the beta, we understood that so many retailers followed

0:18:09.280 --> 0:18:12.320
<v Speaker 1>us because they have this issue of sizing and faith

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:15.719
<v Speaker 1>and they need to accommodate the problem. And starting two

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:19.760
<v Speaker 1>thousand eighteen, when we start demonstrating the actual body measurement

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:23.919
<v Speaker 1>technology that we're doing today, UM retailers start to sign

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:27.520
<v Speaker 1>up for air lies and pilots and try it out.

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:32.520
<v Speaker 1>And today we have to to one customers that sign

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:35.919
<v Speaker 1>up with our solution. It stakes it takes time for

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 1>the till one customers to start the integration. It takes

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 1>it takes longer than we actually anticipated because what we

0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:46.720
<v Speaker 1>see is that the retailer is not that much of

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:50.120
<v Speaker 1>a computer oriented of an I T company that can

0:18:50.160 --> 0:18:53.320
<v Speaker 1>have a technology like that and start working with it

0:18:53.480 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 1>as like as as we can see for the small

0:18:55.720 --> 0:18:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and medium size retailer that's doing it in in a

0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:02.520
<v Speaker 1>couple of days or we they actually integrated. So it's

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:05.800
<v Speaker 1>it's takes it takes the time to integrate it, but

0:19:06.200 --> 0:19:09.920
<v Speaker 1>we as well done the integration on Shopify platforms platform

0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 1>and light Speed platform. It's the same like Shopify, but Europe,

0:19:12.880 --> 0:19:16.480
<v Speaker 1>on Europe, Netherlands, and we can see these these small

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 1>ones are taking this technology and integrated within a couple

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 1>of hours and they stopped working with it, and it's amazing.

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:26.640
<v Speaker 1>It's amazing product. You see how they can save returns,

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 1>which kills their business if they don't. Right, absolutely running,

0:19:29.680 --> 0:19:31.800
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for coming on and measuring my co

0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 1>host here. Thank you for not measuring. As I said,

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:36.359
<v Speaker 1>I'm a forty two regular right off the rack down.

0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:38.760
<v Speaker 1>Don't have to worry about me running. Lucan founder and

0:19:38.800 --> 0:19:42.120
<v Speaker 1>CEO of my size. Just a really cool technology. Keep

0:19:42.200 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 1>us in the loop as this thing continues to develop.

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:46.399
<v Speaker 1>It really like to kind of see how this places

0:19:46.400 --> 0:20:02.240
<v Speaker 1>are very interesting technology as more and more clothing goes online.

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 1>We've talked a lot about Libra, which is the cryptocurrency,

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:12.159
<v Speaker 1>or at least it's been called a cryptocurrency. It's an

0:20:12.200 --> 0:20:15.680
<v Speaker 1>idea that Facebook is putting out there, and I really

0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:18.159
<v Speaker 1>am excited to bring in Aaron Brown. I always love

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:20.400
<v Speaker 1>speaking with him. He's the former managing director and head

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:23.200
<v Speaker 1>of financial market research at a q R Capital Management.

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 1>But I'm especially excited today because he wrote a column

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:30.359
<v Speaker 1>as a Bloomberg opinion columnist that I found incredibly compelling. Aaron,

0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:33.000
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with us. Uh. It

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:37.120
<v Speaker 1>was talking about how, in general, the bitcoin and cryptocurrency

0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 1>community is moving outside of the financial system that is

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of entrenched, and that Facebook was doing the exact

0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:47.160
<v Speaker 1>opposite and from the top down trying to come up

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 1>with some kind of monetary unit that could rival the dollar,

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 1>the euro, the yend. Can you explain how that's the case. Yeah,

0:20:56.080 --> 0:20:59.480
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me. The best term for what libra

0:20:59.720 --> 0:21:03.959
<v Speaker 1>is something called digital cash. Now cash is something that

0:21:03.960 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 1>it can be a dollar bill, it could be a

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:08.639
<v Speaker 1>gold coin. It can be anything that you can pass

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:11.600
<v Speaker 1>from one person to another without leaving a transaction record,

0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 1>and that the individual can identify, I can can validate.

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to counterfeit um. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 1>much broader ideas, you know, trying to re engineer both

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:28.919
<v Speaker 1>technology of exchange and financial system or whatever. Uh. Libre

0:21:29.040 --> 0:21:30.760
<v Speaker 1>is an old idea. It's a you know, it's it's

0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:33.359
<v Speaker 1>a gold coin, it's a dollar bill. It just happens

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 1>to be digital, meaning that it's a number. It's not

0:21:36.080 --> 0:21:40.320
<v Speaker 1>a physical piece of paper. It's not a piece of metal. Um.

0:21:40.320 --> 0:21:43.160
<v Speaker 1>So in one sense, it's very conservative idea. It's just saying, Okay,

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 1>let's take cash and let's let's make it digital, something

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:49.520
<v Speaker 1>that bitcoin does. But bitcoin does tons of other stuff too.

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:53.240
<v Speaker 1>I think Libra is a competitor to other forms of cash.

0:21:53.280 --> 0:21:55.280
<v Speaker 1>When I say it's a competitor to the US dollar,

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't mean the US dollar financial system, you know,

0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:01.160
<v Speaker 1>with a central bank and the fat banking. I mean

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 1>those physical pieces of paper that people use, whether you know,

0:22:04.880 --> 0:22:07.680
<v Speaker 1>buying a cup of coffee or putting a whole bunch

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:10.959
<v Speaker 1>in a suitcase to buy a boatload of drugs. Whatever. Uh,

0:22:11.359 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 1>that's what Libra is going to That's the market Libra

0:22:14.320 --> 0:22:17.800
<v Speaker 1>is going to attack. So it's interesting erin we've had,

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:20.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, thinking about the bitcoin, the volatility has really

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:23.240
<v Speaker 1>come back into that security. I sit down about eight

0:22:23.240 --> 0:22:26.520
<v Speaker 1>point seven percent today. It just had this incredible run

0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:29.359
<v Speaker 1>over the last couple of weeks, a couple of days,

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:33.919
<v Speaker 1>crazy trading who was actually trading this thing. Well, you know,

0:22:33.920 --> 0:22:36.280
<v Speaker 1>I wrote a call about ten days ago saying the

0:22:36.359 --> 0:22:40.320
<v Speaker 1>two thousand nineteen rally and bitcoin was completely different from

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:43.399
<v Speaker 1>the earlier one. It was not marked by access of volatility.

0:22:43.440 --> 0:22:45.879
<v Speaker 1>It was real money. It was based on fundamentals, and

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:48.600
<v Speaker 1>you could really you know, trace it. Uh for the

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:51.119
<v Speaker 1>last ten days made me a liar, And we're seeing

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 1>not a liar just you were postulating. It turns out

0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:57.000
<v Speaker 1>perhaps it's a little more volatile than that. Yeah, well

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll change. I mean, we're now seeing the last well,

0:22:59.640 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>certainly last week, we were just seeing a lot of

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:05.440
<v Speaker 1>kinds of stuff we saw on you know, late two

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:09.119
<v Speaker 1>thousand seventeen and in previous crypto rallies. Are seeing a

0:23:09.119 --> 0:23:12.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of retail investors. We're seeing real money selling, we're

0:23:12.520 --> 0:23:15.800
<v Speaker 1>seeing high volatility. We're seeing how you know, once it

0:23:15.840 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 1>starts going up, there's you know, just massive people piling in,

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:20.199
<v Speaker 1>and if it starts to go down a little bit,

0:23:20.240 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 1>that people pile out. Um. I hope this isn't just

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:24.720
<v Speaker 1>like a flash in the pan. I mean, I hope

0:23:24.720 --> 0:23:27.200
<v Speaker 1>this is just like a minor thing. It does seem

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.360
<v Speaker 1>to be connected around the libre announcement, which has no

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:34.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, I mean, it's not that tig an announcement period,

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:35.920
<v Speaker 1>and it certainly doesn't have a huge effect on the

0:23:35.960 --> 0:23:38.160
<v Speaker 1>long term value of crypto, but it got a lot

0:23:38.160 --> 0:23:40.120
<v Speaker 1>of people excited, and I think it got a lot

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:43.960
<v Speaker 1>of uh people piling in. So I think what we're

0:23:43.960 --> 0:23:47.199
<v Speaker 1>seeing uh in late June is you know, kind of

0:23:47.200 --> 0:23:50.840
<v Speaker 1>a mini boom and bust uh. And I hope that

0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:52.919
<v Speaker 1>the rest of two thousand nineteen is going to go

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:56.879
<v Speaker 1>along on a nice, steady fundamental move up or down,

0:23:57.000 --> 0:24:00.680
<v Speaker 1>but not you know, based on real investors, real money

0:24:00.680 --> 0:24:03.520
<v Speaker 1>and looking at the fundamentals as opposed to people afraid

0:24:03.560 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 1>of missing out. Well, Aaron, I want to pick up

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:08.040
<v Speaker 1>on the idea that some people connected this to Libra

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 1>and some people who were just speculating. But Danny Masters

0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:14.399
<v Speaker 1>was on our show earlier this week of coin shares,

0:24:14.840 --> 0:24:18.040
<v Speaker 1>and he was saying that there is direct connection in

0:24:18.200 --> 0:24:23.120
<v Speaker 1>terms of this creates a platform for people to potentially

0:24:23.320 --> 0:24:28.920
<v Speaker 1>use bitcoin right right next to dollars as transfer cash,

0:24:28.960 --> 0:24:32.400
<v Speaker 1>So it creates the piping for bitcoin to enter more

0:24:32.440 --> 0:24:36.080
<v Speaker 1>commonplace methods of payment. Do you ascribe to that kind

0:24:36.119 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 1>of idea, Yeah, that's absolutely true. Among other things, libra

0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:43.200
<v Speaker 1>is a very crypto friendly form of cash, and all

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the problems we've had with you know, bitcoin and financial

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:48.640
<v Speaker 1>mark and and cryptocurrencies and so on has been when

0:24:48.640 --> 0:24:51.480
<v Speaker 1>people try to connect them to dollars. That's where you

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 1>get the fraud. That's where you get the volatility, that's

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:56.360
<v Speaker 1>where you get the regulators upset. You know, as long

0:24:56.400 --> 0:24:59.439
<v Speaker 1>as people are just using cryptocurrency in itself, it's a

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:02.679
<v Speaker 1>very uh to day calm. You know. It's a rapidly

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:06.960
<v Speaker 1>changing technology, but it's one that has been clearly beneficial

0:25:07.040 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 1>and useful. So if Libra is successful, now that's a

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:12.720
<v Speaker 1>huge if. I mean, all we really have is twenty

0:25:12.720 --> 0:25:15.159
<v Speaker 1>eight logos of companies and Facebook saying they want to

0:25:15.160 --> 0:25:18.159
<v Speaker 1>do it. We don't really have the kind of you know,

0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:20.760
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure and commitment. I'm sorry. The other thing we do

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:22.920
<v Speaker 1>have is Facebook has invested a ton of money in

0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 1>writing code and developing this. But if it is successful,

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:30.800
<v Speaker 1>it will make it much easier to use cryptocurrencies, and

0:25:30.840 --> 0:25:33.440
<v Speaker 1>I think it would tame the volatility and cryptocurrency quite

0:25:33.480 --> 0:25:36.960
<v Speaker 1>a bit. Aaron, how do you think the regulatory environment

0:25:37.040 --> 0:25:40.400
<v Speaker 1>around crypto broadly defined, is going to evolve. I think

0:25:40.440 --> 0:25:44.120
<v Speaker 1>when the Facebook made its announcement about libra that kind

0:25:44.119 --> 0:25:46.440
<v Speaker 1>of perked up the ears of a lot of regulators

0:25:46.440 --> 0:25:48.320
<v Speaker 1>and politicians in Washington. How do you think this is

0:25:48.320 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>going to evolve? You know, I think my I usually

0:25:52.320 --> 0:25:53.720
<v Speaker 1>feel this. You know, we're we're going to work out

0:25:53.720 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>to a sensible consensus. There are some real advantages. They're

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 1>tremendous economic advantages to going to crypto, and libra is

0:26:01.720 --> 0:26:04.159
<v Speaker 1>a much better form of cash than dollars or gold

0:26:04.480 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 1>or or anything else people have used, you know, seashells

0:26:07.359 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 1>or salt or big rocks. But so so it's going

0:26:11.000 --> 0:26:15.400
<v Speaker 1>to happen. I think some form of global digital currency,

0:26:15.680 --> 0:26:19.320
<v Speaker 1>digital cash will be around, and I think regulators will

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:23.080
<v Speaker 1>allow the innovations and useful parts of crypto. But it

0:26:23.160 --> 0:26:26.400
<v Speaker 1>also raises you know, it kind of undermines a regulatory regime.

0:26:26.400 --> 0:26:30.280
<v Speaker 1>An awful lot of law, especially taxes, but also other

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:35.800
<v Speaker 1>laws are enforced through currency regulations. Uh, if everybody is

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:38.840
<v Speaker 1>using cash, you know, if there's no paper record, or

0:26:38.880 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>at least no traceable, searchable law enforcement record of transactions,

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:46.159
<v Speaker 1>an awful lot of crimes become a lot easier. We

0:26:46.240 --> 0:26:48.200
<v Speaker 1>used to have one of those common crimes we used

0:26:48.200 --> 0:26:50.920
<v Speaker 1>to have was mugging. Now people just don't carry enough

0:26:50.920 --> 0:26:54.879
<v Speaker 1>cash to make mugging worthwhile. Right now, the credit cards

0:26:55.680 --> 0:26:59.360
<v Speaker 1>is a huge issues switch to hacking, right so criminals

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:03.200
<v Speaker 1>are going to switch to whatever, uh whatever works for them.

0:27:03.240 --> 0:27:05.840
<v Speaker 1>But so there's a tremendous amount of regulatory work that

0:27:05.880 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>has to be done. You know, people have to agree

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:11.440
<v Speaker 1>on regulations. There are, of course many people in crypto

0:27:11.520 --> 0:27:14.639
<v Speaker 1>who feel that they can do without governments and go

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:17.040
<v Speaker 1>through it, but that's just not realistic. Very good. Thank

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Aaron Brown, Thank you so much. A calmness for Bloomberg

0:27:19.240 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 1>Opinion talking all things trip though. Thanks for listening to

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Penl podcast. You can subscribe and listen to

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:28.359
<v Speaker 1>interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer.

0:27:28.600 --> 0:27:31.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm Paul Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. I'm

0:27:31.280 --> 0:27:33.959
<v Speaker 1>Lisa bram Woods. I'm on Twitter at Lisa bram Woods.

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:36.920
<v Speaker 1>One before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide

0:27:36.920 --> 0:27:37.879
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.