WEBVTT - AI Backstop Debate, Musk’s $1 Trillion Pay Package

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and ever Low in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Open AI execs U turn and David Sachs says no

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<v Speaker 3>on a federal backstop to fund AI infrastructure.

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<v Speaker 4>Markets react, Plus Mosk's one trillion dollar compensation package gets

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<v Speaker 4>approved by TESLRA investors seventy five percent of votes cast

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<v Speaker 4>in favor.

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<v Speaker 5>We dig into the bold new promises and we.

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<v Speaker 3>Break down more tech earnings with the CEOs of a

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<v Speaker 3>firm and draftings.

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<v Speaker 4>Later this hour, we go to these markets, though in

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<v Speaker 4>sell off mode ed on the day and on the week.

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<v Speaker 4>Over the past five days, we've shed more than four

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<v Speaker 4>percent in market capitalization. It is the worst weeks in

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<v Speaker 4>April of the NASDAT.

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<v Speaker 5>One hundred, and anxiety is.

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<v Speaker 4>Really building when it comes to AI infrastructure and whether

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<v Speaker 4>people have got the money you're digging into it.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, here's a story that's played out driving markets. We

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<v Speaker 3>begin with open AI and Wall streaks, anxiety that followed

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<v Speaker 3>fresh comments about potential government financing in.

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<v Speaker 2>The AI race.

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<v Speaker 3>Speaking at The Wall Street Journal's Tech conference This Wednesday,

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<v Speaker 3>Open Ai CFO Sarah Fryer called investors' attention after hinting

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<v Speaker 3>at a potential government backstop for AI chip investment, to

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<v Speaker 3>remark interpreted by some as Friar signaling open Ai had

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<v Speaker 3>federal guarantees for the costly infrastructure behind large AI models.

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<v Speaker 3>David Sachs the White House, AI and cryptos are seem

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<v Speaker 3>to be paying attention and posted on X Thursday there

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<v Speaker 3>will be no federal bailout for AI. The US has

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<v Speaker 3>at least five major frontier model companies. If one fails,

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<v Speaker 3>others will take its place. That in turn prompted open

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<v Speaker 3>ai CEO Sam Altman to step in and clarify on X, writing,

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<v Speaker 3>we do not have or want government guarantees for open

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<v Speaker 3>ai data centers, emphasizing that the company is not seeking

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<v Speaker 3>a federal safety net. Let's get the latest. Bloomberg's AI

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<v Speaker 3>editor Seth Figgerman joins us, Now, where do we stand?

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<v Speaker 3>This is a multi day story, markets paid attention to it.

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<v Speaker 2>What's the net result? At least from open AI's perspective.

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<v Speaker 6>Funny here, Ergre, is that really the intention behind Sarah

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<v Speaker 6>Friar's overall remarks of that event was to kind of

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<v Speaker 6>calm people's nerves about what has felt like growing anxiety

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<v Speaker 6>this week on the markets about AI spending, and instead

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<v Speaker 6>the takeaway was what felt like an off the cuff

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<v Speaker 6>and vagrant mark that just heightened those concerns. I think

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<v Speaker 6>where things currently stand as the company has repeated up

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<v Speaker 6>and down that there's no discussions or plans for any

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<v Speaker 6>kind of federal backstop. Instead, they're hinting at, well, maybe

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<v Speaker 6>there's a role for government to invest in its own

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<v Speaker 6>AI infrastructure that might somehow reduce some of the capital

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<v Speaker 6>burdens here or other indirect ways in which government could

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<v Speaker 6>help the wider market. But advice to say, the message

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<v Speaker 6>that she intended to deliver seems to have been completely lost.

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<v Speaker 4>Sam Altman went to great lengths to try and reverse

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<v Speaker 4>or to correct in whatever way make clear, and talked

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<v Speaker 4>about maybe chip manufacturing, if they went into fabrication of chips,

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<v Speaker 4>that might be an area that they lean on for

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<v Speaker 4>government input. But what's interesting is we then look at

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<v Speaker 4>that piece from sam Altman saying that basically they've got

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<v Speaker 4>one point four trillion dollars of commitments. This is where

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<v Speaker 4>the market's trying to rab its head around how can

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<v Speaker 4>they afford that, he's saying, they feel good about their

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<v Speaker 4>prospects for revenue growth.

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<v Speaker 6>They've big on the defense about this a little bit

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<v Speaker 6>in recent days, including on a recent podcast where Altman's

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<v Speaker 6>seemed taken off guard to even be asked that question.

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<v Speaker 6>What he's trying to stress here is that our revenue

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<v Speaker 6>is growing much faster than anyone has expected, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>on pace for twenty billion and annualized run ray, and

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<v Speaker 6>that we expect that these commitments over a seven or

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<v Speaker 6>eight year time period are more than achievable based on

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<v Speaker 6>that revenue growth that I think the overall market is

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<v Speaker 6>looking at AI spending generally, Mega shares had their worst

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<v Speaker 6>four day routes since chatgybut launched three years ago. You know,

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<v Speaker 6>chipstocks are seeing slump right now on valuation concerns. Michael

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<v Speaker 6>Burry is getting out there the one predicted the housing

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<v Speaker 6>bubble and and basically pointing out to our graphic on

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<v Speaker 6>uncircular investments that's center around opening eye across the industry

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<v Speaker 6>and the markets. There's just really heighten concerned how achievable

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<v Speaker 6>and sustainable the spending is.

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<v Speaker 4>Megs sethimgan breaking all down. We thank you so much

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<v Speaker 4>happy weekend. Now we're also watching shares of Nvidia. That's

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<v Speaker 4>after its CEO Jensen Wang said that the company isn't

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<v Speaker 4>in active discussions to sell its Blackwell AI chips to

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<v Speaker 4>Chinese firms, waving off that speculation that it's trying to

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<v Speaker 4>engineer a return to the world's largest chip maker market. Indeed,

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<v Speaker 4>Quang explained that he merely intended to point out China's

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<v Speaker 4>prowess in AI when he said, quote China will win

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<v Speaker 4>the US China AI race ed.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's look at shares of Tesla down almost four percent.

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<v Speaker 3>More than seventy five percent of votes from shareholders were

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<v Speaker 3>in favor approving the one trillion dollar compensation package for

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<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk that is over ten years and has a

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<v Speaker 3>very strong set of mandatory milestones he needs to achieve

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<v Speaker 3>to unlock the comp but also the voting power that

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<v Speaker 3>comes with it. Let's talk about that with Alexandra Mertz.

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<v Speaker 3>She's the CEO of LLENF Investor Services, but also a

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<v Speaker 3>Tesla shareholder who discusses her views about Tesla on social

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<v Speaker 3>media under the handle Tesla boomer Mamma Mertz was present

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<v Speaker 3>at the shareholder meeting last night. Was also acknowledged by

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<v Speaker 3>other shareholders who are reading out a proposal for Tesla

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<v Speaker 3>to invest in Xai, which we'll get to.

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<v Speaker 2>Alexandra.

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<v Speaker 3>This paves a way for Elon Musk to take his

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<v Speaker 3>stake in Tesla to twenty five percent over the course

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<v Speaker 3>of the ten years. Could you just explain what the

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<v Speaker 3>sentiment was like last night into this morning about how

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<v Speaker 3>comfortable investors feel handing over that control to Elon Musk

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<v Speaker 3>and the belief that you do or do not have

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<v Speaker 3>that he can hit the milestones that have been set

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<v Speaker 3>for him by the.

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<v Speaker 7>Oh I'm very confident that he will hit the milestones.

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<v Speaker 7>Has shown us before what is possible. Nothing's never easy,

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<v Speaker 7>but if you set goals to Elon, he's very competitive.

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<v Speaker 7>He's obviously, in my views, the best executor there is

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<v Speaker 7>on this planet, and.

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<v Speaker 5>He will execute.

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<v Speaker 7>So that's not the question. The question is whether we

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<v Speaker 7>would get sufficient retail and institutional shareholder support, and we

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<v Speaker 7>should it. Seventy five percent is astoundingly high. It is

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<v Speaker 7>higher than the previous compensation packages votes and revotes in

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<v Speaker 7>twenty eighteen and twenty twenty four. So this was a

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<v Speaker 7>clear victory. I am so grateful for everybody who voted.

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<v Speaker 7>I would like to see the twenty five percent that

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<v Speaker 7>voted against it, because how can you be against this

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<v Speaker 7>if you are a shareholder.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's more of the topic.

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<v Speaker 3>For example, we had the investment director of Calper's on

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<v Speaker 3>the show yesterday. CalPERS voted no, and the rationale was

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<v Speaker 3>that in aggregate they saw Elon Musk and board members

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<v Speaker 3>already having sixteen percent of the company and.

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<v Speaker 2>The issue of key man risk.

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<v Speaker 3>So if Musk does get there right and achieves twenty

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<v Speaker 3>five percent stake, what if he something happens to him,

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<v Speaker 3>or what if something distracts him XAI SpaceX for example.

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<v Speaker 3>That was the concern they had. Why don't you share

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<v Speaker 3>the concern?

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<v Speaker 7>Well, first of all, that's the same concern at sixteen

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<v Speaker 7>percent or twenty five percent, right, So that Culpers argument

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<v Speaker 7>is just nonexistent, even though it's a nice world word salad.

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<v Speaker 7>There is no doubt in my mind that that's what

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<v Speaker 7>they try to do. It's not an issue about whether

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<v Speaker 7>he as a key man.

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<v Speaker 2>Is a risk.

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<v Speaker 7>To test that he is the same way he is

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<v Speaker 7>the key person, he's also the key man risk. That

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<v Speaker 7>is just a fact and actually part of the structure

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<v Speaker 7>of this compensation plan addresses that as the last two

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<v Speaker 7>tranches are linked to a succession plan, to a more

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<v Speaker 7>formal succession plan, that what is currently in place. So

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<v Speaker 7>sixteen or twenty five percent, that's not a question. But

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<v Speaker 7>at twenty five percent, Elon is sufficiently strong to prevent

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<v Speaker 7>activist shareholders trying to take over, bringing board members in

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<v Speaker 7>that are not aligned with Tesla's mission. And I think

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<v Speaker 7>that is the key point. Retail has always stood with

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<v Speaker 7>Elon and has always been very active. Knows what this

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<v Speaker 7>company is about, so that is not the concern. But

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<v Speaker 7>it is institutional institutional funds that are in Tesla, despite

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<v Speaker 7>the fact that they don't really like the company, don't

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<v Speaker 7>understand the company, vote against interest of the company, and

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<v Speaker 7>that can become stronger just by the pure mechanism of

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<v Speaker 7>index funds of political activism. And he wants to make

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<v Speaker 7>sure that that can be prevented. And he's right, and

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<v Speaker 7>the fact of being in Texas helps a lot. But

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<v Speaker 7>him getting to twenty five percent obviously.

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<v Speaker 5>Is a good shield.

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<v Speaker 4>But that's exactly the worry is that he does get

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<v Speaker 4>the twenty five percent control and can fend off activism

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<v Speaker 4>that might be in some way trying to course correct

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<v Speaker 4>as others feel outside of Tesla. Why is that You're

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<v Speaker 4>saying it's a word salad, But for many that's exactly

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<v Speaker 4>the fear that he has control over what he calls

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<v Speaker 4>a robot army.

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<v Speaker 7>I understand that, I understand that there is a fear.

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<v Speaker 7>But ask those activists what is their idea about Tesla?

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<v Speaker 7>What is their idea about the better world? They never

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<v Speaker 7>talk about that. They talk about the fact that they

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<v Speaker 7>fear Elon is too powerful. They never talk about what

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<v Speaker 7>Tesla is all about. I never hear a culpers or

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<v Speaker 7>god forbid, a Klaus lewis Iss or the New York

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<v Speaker 7>Controller talk about the mission of Tesla, talk about where

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<v Speaker 7>Tesla is going. And you know, I rather, as a shareholder,

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<v Speaker 7>have Elons have the keys to an army of bots

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<v Speaker 7>than anybody else, including the four companies I just mentioned.

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<v Speaker 5>We'll put that too coveries.

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<v Speaker 4>I feel that he in many ways was trying to

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<v Speaker 4>articulate that they are about the long term vision, whether

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<v Speaker 4>it's about electric vehicles, whether it's about supporting the climate,

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<v Speaker 4>whether it's about humanoid robots. They just don't think that

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<v Speaker 4>perhaps another CEO couldn't achieve really significant phenomenal growth.

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<v Speaker 5>For this business.

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<v Speaker 4>Even if it wasn't Enon Musk, Why is he alone

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<v Speaker 4>the only person who could meet these milestones and drive

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<v Speaker 4>optimists to.

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<v Speaker 5>Be on the moon on Mars?

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<v Speaker 4>I mean that seemed to be the next area of growth.

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<v Speaker 4>Was that what you wanted to hear that we're going

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<v Speaker 4>to have optimists doing surgery but also eventually going to Mars.

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<v Speaker 7>Yes, we should do. We should want to hear that.

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<v Speaker 7>We also were absolutely excited thinking about chip manufacturing. I

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<v Speaker 7>don't think that has really gotten through yet to the press,

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<v Speaker 7>and I Holp Bloomberg is going to talk about it.

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<v Speaker 7>If Tesla goes into chip manufacturing, can you imagine? So

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<v Speaker 7>I would like to ask culpers, show me one other

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<v Speaker 7>CEO would it even have for what Elon has accomplished?

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<v Speaker 7>If you show me one where you would have the

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<v Speaker 7>feeling that that person could do something even comparable. I

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<v Speaker 7>am ready to sit down and discuss it with him,

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<v Speaker 7>but we've got to wait for a long time.

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<v Speaker 3>Alexandro I would push back a little bit because I

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<v Speaker 3>wrote the story about Elon's comments from the Earning School

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<v Speaker 3>about clarifying the Samsung TSMC relationship, and I sent the

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<v Speaker 3>headline last night about his comments on chip manufacturing. So

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<v Speaker 3>I'm going to look into it. I need to ask

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<v Speaker 3>you about Xai. You were in the room and were

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<v Speaker 3>waiting on the eight K. What appeared to happen was

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<v Speaker 3>Brendan Arhart, the corporate secretary, say, there were more four

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<v Speaker 3>votes than against, but a very large number of abstentions,

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<v Speaker 3>and so they're basically reserving the right to wait, look

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<v Speaker 3>at the non binding proposal and go back to it.

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<v Speaker 3>Is that your understanding of where things stand, and also

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<v Speaker 3>just your reaction to it because you were involved in

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<v Speaker 3>the process of getting that proposal on the docket.

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<v Speaker 7>Yes, yes, well, thank you very much. Yes, very good question.

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<v Speaker 7>And as you point out, we haven't seen the eight

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<v Speaker 7>K yet, so I don't have the underlying numbers, but

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<v Speaker 7>I know exactly what happened. The's recommendation was neutral. They

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<v Speaker 7>did not give a recommendation. Lots of retail shareholders just

0:12:14.360 --> 0:12:18.000
<v Speaker 7>follow blindly the board's recommendation. So by going after the

0:12:18.040 --> 0:12:22.080
<v Speaker 7>board's recommendation instead of voting none, they abstained. That is

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:24.800
<v Speaker 7>the logical way, and that's actually how it is automated.

0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:27.640
<v Speaker 7>We had this issue with a Norwegian bank who gave

0:12:27.679 --> 0:12:31.720
<v Speaker 7>their shareholders only a certain limited number of options to vote,

0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 7>and then the shareholders from Norway, which are very numerous interests,

0:12:35.200 --> 0:12:37.760
<v Speaker 7>I could not vote for question six. They were abstaining.

0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:42.280
<v Speaker 7>So abstaining was also just a consequence of the way

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:45.160
<v Speaker 7>the proxy was laid out, and there was no better choice.

0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:47.600
<v Speaker 7>It was a bad choice to not be able to

0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:49.960
<v Speaker 7>give a guidance, but there was another choice. Because what

0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:52.560
<v Speaker 7>the board is trying to do here, and we have

0:12:52.600 --> 0:12:56.000
<v Speaker 7>to understand why that is, is to stay out of

0:12:56.040 --> 0:12:59.079
<v Speaker 7>it until they get a clear mission from the shareholders.

0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:01.600
<v Speaker 7>Why are they doing that well, because it is a

0:13:01.640 --> 0:13:05.080
<v Speaker 7>conflicted situation. Elon is the key man in both Xai

0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:08.680
<v Speaker 7>and Tesla, and as Solar City has shown us, it

0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 7>is always difficult to invest from one company A into

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:14.920
<v Speaker 7>a company B that are both led by the same

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:17.320
<v Speaker 7>by the same key person. So the board tries to

0:13:17.520 --> 0:13:20.240
<v Speaker 7>stay out of it until there is a clear mission.

0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:22.440
<v Speaker 7>Now we have to see the eight K numbers to

0:13:22.559 --> 0:13:25.800
<v Speaker 7>understand whether this is now a clear call from shareholders

0:13:25.840 --> 0:13:28.320
<v Speaker 7>to do it. If there were so many stains, it

0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:30.839
<v Speaker 7>may not be. But you also have to know that

0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:35.199
<v Speaker 7>this shareholder proposal number seven was always only advisory. It

0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:39.160
<v Speaker 7>was never that this vote would have been an automatic investment.

0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:42.439
<v Speaker 7>If the board now convinced that they want to invest,

0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:45.760
<v Speaker 7>we will certainly have another shareholder vote on the exact

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 7>proposal of investment, not just on the general idea.

0:13:49.200 --> 0:13:52.160
<v Speaker 4>Pushing us forward and with great energy after what was

0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:55.640
<v Speaker 4>a pretty extraordinary day the annual General Meeting yesterday. You

0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:58.480
<v Speaker 4>were there, We saw all the dancing. Alexandra maz We

0:13:58.559 --> 0:14:00.840
<v Speaker 4>love catching up with you. Thank you, a shareholder known

0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:01.760
<v Speaker 4>non social.

0:14:01.720 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 5>As Tesla Booma Mamma.

0:14:03.480 --> 0:14:07.600
<v Speaker 4>Now coming up, Grand Theft Auto six, it hits another

0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:10.080
<v Speaker 4>bump in the road. We'll discuss why the latest title

0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 4>in the popular video game franchise is being delayed again.

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:14.520
<v Speaker 5>This is a Bloomberg Tech.

0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 4>Srees of Take two having their worst day since February

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:28.360
<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty four, down almost eight percent. Yesterday, the video

0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 4>game publisher pushed back the release of Grand Theft Auto

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:34.760
<v Speaker 4>Six again until November twenty twenty six. Let's walk through

0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 4>this of Bluebog's games reporter Jason Schreier. Basically, it's going

0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:40.880
<v Speaker 4>to be a year late. Now, Why this second pushback?

0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:42.040
<v Speaker 4>What's going on with Rock Start?

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:43.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:46.200
<v Speaker 8>I mean video games are complicated. To make this is

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:48.280
<v Speaker 8>going to be one of the biggest video games of

0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:53.440
<v Speaker 8>all time, will probably be the best selling entertainment product

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 8>of all time, and so the pressure is very high

0:14:56.400 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 8>Rockstar and take two. They want this game to be

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:02.800
<v Speaker 8>as perfect as part. They wanted to hit ninety five

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:07.600
<v Speaker 8>plus in Metacritic, that's the review score aggregator. And yeah,

0:15:07.760 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 8>in these games the.

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:12.120
<v Speaker 3>Time I get that, you know, wanting to hit ninety

0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:14.800
<v Speaker 3>five plus on Metacritic. What you just said about it

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:20.400
<v Speaker 3>probably being the biggest entertainment title to sell of all time,

0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:24.760
<v Speaker 3>go back to GTA five and explain the data that

0:15:24.880 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 3>tells us this might be worth waiting for. From Take

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:29.920
<v Speaker 3>Two's perspective, they want to get this right. From a

0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:31.040
<v Speaker 3>sales point of view.

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, there's a simple number here, which is that GTA five,

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:36.880
<v Speaker 8>the last game in the series, which was released in

0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 8>twenty thirteen, has sold two hundred and twenty million units,

0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:45.080
<v Speaker 8>which I mean, that's more. This one game alone has

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 8>sold more than most franchises Final Fantasy Assassin's Creed. This

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.600
<v Speaker 8>makes it the second best selling game of all time,

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:56.120
<v Speaker 8>only only second to Minecraft, which was released on phone.

0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:58.760
<v Speaker 8>So that's kind of a different a different playing field.

0:15:58.880 --> 0:16:00.840
<v Speaker 8>So yeah, I mean, the sixth are very high. And

0:16:00.920 --> 0:16:05.000
<v Speaker 8>again I think that people tend to underestimate how difficult

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:08.080
<v Speaker 8>it is to make games, especially a game as big

0:16:08.120 --> 0:16:13.160
<v Speaker 8>and ambitions and technologically impressive as this one. I mean,

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:14.520
<v Speaker 8>we've seen the trailers, We've seen what.

0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:15.000
<v Speaker 2>It looks like.

0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 8>It looks more realistic than any game we've ever seen.

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:20.200
<v Speaker 8>It's going to have a huge open world. The people

0:16:20.200 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 8>at Rucks are just are still working on it, still

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 8>making new stuff for it, still building this world and

0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 8>fixing bugs and ed. You know well that games like

0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 8>Cyberpunk have come out in recent years and needed more

0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:34.280
<v Speaker 8>time in the oven and came out too early, and

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 8>that is just disastrous for the companies involved.

0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:40.680
<v Speaker 3>City and they needed patch after patch. But I still

0:16:40.760 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 3>went back and played it from the start after the patch.

0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 3>Bloombergs Jason Schreyer, thank you very much. Okay, Sticking with gaming,

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 3>A quick update. In the Google versus Epic Game case,

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 3>a federal judge is withholding approval of Google's anti trust

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 3>settlement with Epic Games. The company says it will improve

0:16:57.080 --> 0:17:00.760
<v Speaker 3>the distribution and monetization of apps on Android foes, but

0:17:00.880 --> 0:17:04.280
<v Speaker 3>US District Judge James Donato says he wants to look

0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:07.080
<v Speaker 3>closer at the terms of a deal first to make

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.320
<v Speaker 3>sure it benefits consumers and boosts competition.

0:17:10.480 --> 0:17:10.680
<v Speaker 2>Caro.

0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:13.440
<v Speaker 5>Meanwhile, we've got a lot still to digest.

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 4>We speak with a firm holding CEO Max Levchin on

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:17.720
<v Speaker 4>the lates's earnings results.

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 5>That's a bit big tech.

0:17:30.520 --> 0:17:32.959
<v Speaker 3>Shares of a firm off session highs up about five

0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:35.600
<v Speaker 3>percent at one point in the session up almost twelve percent.

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 3>The company posting a first quarter earning speed, But really

0:17:38.880 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 3>the focus is on it raising its twenty twenty six

0:17:41.160 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 3>forecast for gross merchandise volume, but it sets us up

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:48.119
<v Speaker 3>for an incredible fiscal twenty six. Joining us on set

0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:52.879
<v Speaker 3>is Max Levchin at firm CEO. There's a lot of emphasis,

0:17:52.920 --> 0:17:56.479
<v Speaker 3>at least from Bloomberg Intelligence in house on card and

0:17:56.520 --> 0:17:59.880
<v Speaker 3>that driving volumes. But what we've learned across this early

0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:03.160
<v Speaker 3>period in your domain is it's worth spending a minute

0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:06.439
<v Speaker 3>on the underlying behaviors of your consumers that drove this

0:18:06.520 --> 0:18:07.240
<v Speaker 3>growth in the quarter.

0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:12.200
<v Speaker 9>What are you seeing so despite the vibe session we're

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:14.800
<v Speaker 9>seeing in a market today in the last few days,

0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:18.359
<v Speaker 9>a firm's consumer is really healthy. They're shopping, they're buying,

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:22.560
<v Speaker 9>they're paying their bills. They're energized by the upcoming holidays.

0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:26.360
<v Speaker 9>I think, frankly, the rumors of the American consumer's death

0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:27.359
<v Speaker 9>are greatly exaggerated.

0:18:27.560 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 3>It's interesting because, like different segments of the technology sector

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:34.120
<v Speaker 3>tell different stories right now, is there a specific product

0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 3>category or method of spending that is is demonstrating that

0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 3>more than others.

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 9>I think we are quite unique in the sense a

0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:45.399
<v Speaker 9>firm's brand A promise really is use us when it

0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 9>matters to you, because you'll have total control and great

0:18:48.840 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 9>degree of transparency. And as the outside pressures, you know,

0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:56.119
<v Speaker 9>even the stories you read wagh people down, it's easy

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:57.800
<v Speaker 9>to say, you know what Affirm is at least one

0:18:57.840 --> 0:19:00.919
<v Speaker 9>thing that's going to keep me clear and in good control.

0:19:00.960 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 9>And so we think people are coming to us a

0:19:03.240 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 9>little bit more. Certainly, we saw great demand for our

0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:10.880
<v Speaker 9>recent zero day promotion, but you know, I think so far,

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.119
<v Speaker 9>so good, at least in the Affirm consumer world.

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:16.240
<v Speaker 4>The funny thing is max sometimes the market likes to

0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:19.920
<v Speaker 4>see use of Affirm or maybe more standard by now

0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:22.359
<v Speaker 4>pay later offerings as the VIBE session.

0:19:22.840 --> 0:19:23.639
<v Speaker 5>Is that not the case?

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 9>You know, we have twenty four more than sway from

0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:30.080
<v Speaker 9>a million active consumers last quarter. At this point, it's

0:19:30.119 --> 0:19:32.560
<v Speaker 9>really dangerous to just say, oh, the affirm consumer is

0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 9>doing X or Y. We have quite a number of segments.

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:38.480
<v Speaker 9>Folks that are using our zero pcent promotions are typically

0:19:38.600 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 9>leaning into just frankly, saving money, getting a great deal.

0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:46.040
<v Speaker 9>Folks that favor longer terms to repay care a lot

0:19:46.119 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 9>less about total costs, very much care about individual calf flow,

0:19:49.760 --> 0:19:52.080
<v Speaker 9>and so depending on sort of which segment you look at,

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:54.800
<v Speaker 9>you'll see a slightly different behavior. I think the unifying

0:19:54.840 --> 0:19:58.159
<v Speaker 9>factor is they're all getting a really clear deal. There

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:00.440
<v Speaker 9>are no late fees, there's no gimmis, there's no gotchas,

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:01.040
<v Speaker 9>and that that's.

0:20:00.880 --> 0:20:02.760
<v Speaker 4>The way they keep coming back to us and why

0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 4>you keep seeing growth merchandise volumes going up and to

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:08.359
<v Speaker 4>the right. What's interesting is your partnership model and it

0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 4>really works what Amazon, Shopify, Apple, Costco.

0:20:10.920 --> 0:20:12.680
<v Speaker 5>Where else do the partnerships make sense?

0:20:12.760 --> 0:20:18.000
<v Speaker 9>Max, you know, to be honest, everywhere. We just announced

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:21.520
<v Speaker 9>a really strong push into services. So for a long

0:20:21.600 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 9>time you would think of buying out palliator as a

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:25.959
<v Speaker 9>thing you buy and pay over time, people buy more

0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:30.080
<v Speaker 9>than things. They remodel their kitchens, they refurbish various parts

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 9>of their house and which announced the great partnership with

0:20:32.359 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 9>Service Titan are a variety of other platforms, so we

0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:40.120
<v Speaker 9>partner very widely because this model really works for any purchase,

0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 9>you know, anything from a couple hundred dollars all the

0:20:41.880 --> 0:20:42.959
<v Speaker 9>way out of two thousands.

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:45.720
<v Speaker 5>What about you leaning into the moment?

0:20:45.880 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 4>There is a lot of competition and smaller scale, and

0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 4>many times you stand out because they're more dependent on

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:52.640
<v Speaker 4>late fees and other such charges.

0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:54.879
<v Speaker 5>Would you do any m and A? Is this the

0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 5>environment in which you'd look to do that?

0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:02.399
<v Speaker 9>You know, I think our current growth tracks so well,

0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:04.679
<v Speaker 9>I'm not sure. I have a lot of time to

0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:08.959
<v Speaker 9>consider and able to, you know, never saying obviously we're

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 9>doing really well. The company is performing. I always found

0:21:13.160 --> 0:21:19.960
<v Speaker 9>that building is my strong suit. But you know who knows.

0:21:19.640 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 3>Max This earning season, we've had the opportunity to speak

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 3>to the CEOs of Chime Robinhood so far and now

0:21:27.560 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 3>you I appreciate their differences in those companies, but in

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:35.840
<v Speaker 3>how people transact with money, what you will have in

0:21:35.880 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 3>common is looking at varied products that you offer. What

0:21:39.880 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 3>is your new product strategy going into twenty six and

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 3>do you have any sort of ideas about this generational

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:47.880
<v Speaker 3>wealth transfer that all the others are.

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Going on about at the moment.

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:52.600
<v Speaker 9>You know, I think we are a payment company first

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 9>and foremost. Our job is to be there, be available.

0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:57.280
<v Speaker 9>You know, we talk a lot about there are many

0:21:57.320 --> 0:22:00.480
<v Speaker 9>doors digital and real world where they're lots of little

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:02.359
<v Speaker 9>logos of payment systems. Our job is to be on

0:22:02.440 --> 0:22:04.959
<v Speaker 9>every door, to be available, to make sure we are

0:22:05.000 --> 0:22:07.400
<v Speaker 9>there to serve when people are buying goods and services.

0:22:07.400 --> 0:22:09.760
<v Speaker 9>And so we're very, very focused on executing what we have.

0:22:10.400 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 9>You know, forty two percent doesn't come easy, and we

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:18.119
<v Speaker 9>write book you trying to hit really good growth. You know,

0:22:18.800 --> 0:22:21.080
<v Speaker 9>I've learned the hard way not to pronounce new products.

0:22:21.080 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 9>We have all sorts of really exciting things we're cooking.

0:22:23.080 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 9>You know, have me back and I'll announce it.

0:22:25.040 --> 0:22:26.879
<v Speaker 2>But it's ready to go fair enough.

0:22:27.440 --> 0:22:30.919
<v Speaker 4>Beaten raised trajectory Sabloom, meg Intelligence, is it, Max Levchin,

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:32.720
<v Speaker 4>we appreciate it if I'm CEO.

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:39.560
<v Speaker 8>Six.

0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 10>Then finally, on the twenty twenty five CEO Performance Award

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:49.040
<v Speaker 10>to our founder and CEO Elon Musk, with over seventy

0:22:49.080 --> 0:22:53.679
<v Speaker 10>five percent voting in favor, Hop Road.

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 3>That was Brandon Eh reading the results of test, the

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 3>shelled about Yeah. Today, the company's corporate secretary and general counsel,

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:06.200
<v Speaker 3>and as we've been discussing, Musk's pay package, worth potentially

0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:09.760
<v Speaker 3>up to a trillion dollars was approved today. The shares, however,

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.600
<v Speaker 3>are lower by four percent. Is that sell the news?

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Is there something in reaction to the vote itself? Not

0:23:16.200 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 3>SURECARC that's.

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:18.560
<v Speaker 5>Got an invest to take.

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:21.359
<v Speaker 4>Then we bring in Gene Monthster, managing partner at Deepwater

0:23:21.400 --> 0:23:22.120
<v Speaker 4>Asset Management.

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:22.959
<v Speaker 5>Thrilled to have you on.

0:23:23.000 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 4>So much to talk about, but the seventy five percent

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:29.000
<v Speaker 4>is a lot, but there also comes some significant milestones

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:32.920
<v Speaker 4>and also then talk of fifty percent growth in car

0:23:32.960 --> 0:23:34.880
<v Speaker 4>production by the end of twenty twenty six.

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:36.240
<v Speaker 5>Can he make that, Gene.

0:23:37.520 --> 0:23:40.720
<v Speaker 11>Now, The simple answer is that probably not. But that's

0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:44.159
<v Speaker 11>what Elon did. A master class is as ultimately is

0:23:44.359 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 11>throwing a ball out there that is difficult to achieve,

0:23:48.760 --> 0:23:51.199
<v Speaker 11>but he has the wherewith to do that.

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:52.400
<v Speaker 2>And so that ball you.

0:23:52.400 --> 0:23:56.800
<v Speaker 11>Talked about, the production piece, this fifty percent, He puts

0:23:56.840 --> 0:23:59.640
<v Speaker 11>that target out there, but then he adds these kind

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:02.280
<v Speaker 11>of qualqualifiers that say that yes, we can do it,

0:24:02.280 --> 0:24:04.800
<v Speaker 11>but we can only move as fast as the slowest

0:24:04.840 --> 0:24:07.680
<v Speaker 11>part of the production chain that pipeline to get them

0:24:07.720 --> 0:24:12.439
<v Speaker 11>to build the whole capacity, to get them to build capacity.

0:24:12.840 --> 0:24:15.280
<v Speaker 11>And separately, when he thinks about Optimists and what the

0:24:15.280 --> 0:24:17.720
<v Speaker 11>potential is there, I mean, this is something that he

0:24:17.840 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 11>outlined as a kind of a five year ten year plan,

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:25.760
<v Speaker 11>but it is ultimately something that you know, getting the

0:24:25.840 --> 0:24:27.720
<v Speaker 11>ten million robots here, I just want to put that

0:24:27.760 --> 0:24:31.120
<v Speaker 11>in a perspective. Ten million a year. They're doing two

0:24:31.119 --> 0:24:34.399
<v Speaker 11>million cars a year and they really got moving in

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:37.560
<v Speaker 11>earnest on the car production in twenty nineteen, and so

0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:39.800
<v Speaker 11>it's taken them six years to get to two million.

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:43.159
<v Speaker 11>These are huge targets and Caroline at the most basic level,

0:24:43.480 --> 0:24:46.080
<v Speaker 11>he put big targets out there. That's what he does,

0:24:46.119 --> 0:24:49.719
<v Speaker 11>and that's the mandate that investors gave him with this

0:24:49.840 --> 0:24:52.440
<v Speaker 11>vote of this pay package is they want these big

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:55.199
<v Speaker 11>targets out there, and he's delivering on that, whether it's

0:24:55.240 --> 0:24:57.679
<v Speaker 11>the production or the commentary about optimists.

0:24:57.800 --> 0:24:59.479
<v Speaker 5>Best is excited. Your dog's excited.

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 4>Gene interested about what therefore he has to do to

0:25:04.280 --> 0:25:07.399
<v Speaker 4>keep up with the momentum. Now, because look, let's just

0:25:07.440 --> 0:25:10.720
<v Speaker 4>ask your basic question. Many were worried about a twenty

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:13.960
<v Speaker 4>five percent ownership for Elon because of the control. Not

0:25:14.000 --> 0:25:16.400
<v Speaker 4>so much the one trillion dollar pay package. It's more

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:18.680
<v Speaker 4>about that he's going to be controlling a robot army.

0:25:18.880 --> 0:25:21.240
<v Speaker 4>Is that something you want to see that generally society

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 4>wants to see.

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:27.080
<v Speaker 11>Well, that's what he wants control. And the answer is no.

0:25:27.119 --> 0:25:30.240
<v Speaker 11>One wants an army of robots to be controlled by

0:25:30.240 --> 0:25:34.240
<v Speaker 11>one person. But most seventy five percent plus of Tesla

0:25:34.359 --> 0:25:38.520
<v Speaker 11>investors want a company that's building that to be controlled

0:25:38.560 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 11>by one person or controlled by Elon, And I think

0:25:42.000 --> 0:25:45.119
<v Speaker 11>that that makes sense. Elon has been very clear that

0:25:45.200 --> 0:25:47.240
<v Speaker 11>if he wants to build this army, if he wants

0:25:47.280 --> 0:25:49.919
<v Speaker 11>to build this AI vision company, he doesn't want to

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 11>be pushed out. He also left open the option for

0:25:53.760 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 11>him to get pushed out, in his words, if I

0:25:56.119 --> 0:25:59.440
<v Speaker 11>go insane, and so I think that's an important distinction too.

0:25:59.480 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 11>He has, But that doesn't mean that he's going to

0:26:01.720 --> 0:26:02.679
<v Speaker 11>be a tussle forever.

0:26:04.560 --> 0:26:07.480
<v Speaker 3>I think going back to basics is really critical here, Gene.

0:26:07.760 --> 0:26:10.320
<v Speaker 3>So there's the mechanics of what happened the vote past.

0:26:10.400 --> 0:26:14.160
<v Speaker 3>The package was approved, and then Elon Musk spoke afterwards,

0:26:14.760 --> 0:26:18.639
<v Speaker 3>and he actually gave some information that relates directly to

0:26:18.680 --> 0:26:21.280
<v Speaker 3>the milestones the company is set. So in the middle there,

0:26:21.280 --> 0:26:23.800
<v Speaker 3>we're saying the board is tasking him over ten years

0:26:24.160 --> 0:26:26.240
<v Speaker 3>to deliver twenty million vehicles.

0:26:26.320 --> 0:26:26.520
<v Speaker 7>Right.

0:26:28.240 --> 0:26:31.920
<v Speaker 3>He told us in his remarks that twenty twenty six

0:26:31.960 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 3>would see fifty percent annualized growth. That was something material,

0:26:36.400 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 3>was it not?

0:26:38.359 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 11>He said fifty percent in yourized growth. But then he

0:26:40.840 --> 0:26:44.320
<v Speaker 11>put the caveat if the if the supply chain can

0:26:44.440 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 11>provide the components to get them to increase the capacity

0:26:47.000 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 11>about that much. It's a similar caveat that happens when

0:26:50.119 --> 0:26:54.000
<v Speaker 11>he says we're going to have Autonomy full first approved

0:26:54.040 --> 0:26:56.120
<v Speaker 11>in one or two months. That was his comments yesterday,

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:57.440
<v Speaker 11>pending regulatory approval.

0:26:57.840 --> 0:26:58.160
<v Speaker 12>And so.

0:26:59.680 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 11>I'm a shareholder of Tesla. I think that this company

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:05.199
<v Speaker 11>is grossly undervalued. That may sound like it's out of

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:08.080
<v Speaker 11>touch with reality, that comment, but I think it's grossly undervalued.

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 11>But I also am realistic about what goes on here.

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:13.440
<v Speaker 11>There's this these targets that could put out there, but

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:17.280
<v Speaker 11>then there's these caveats that are out of his control

0:27:17.320 --> 0:27:19.520
<v Speaker 11>that will be put on any sort of Some of

0:27:19.560 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 11>these really big targets.

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:26.840
<v Speaker 3>You noted, as many have done, Musk's comments on Silicon,

0:27:27.480 --> 0:27:30.200
<v Speaker 3>and it was a throwaway comment that the idea that

0:27:30.640 --> 0:27:34.400
<v Speaker 3>Tesla might do its own fab Are you taking that seriously?

0:27:36.640 --> 0:27:39.919
<v Speaker 11>So I'm not taking it seriously. I think that you know,

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:42.159
<v Speaker 11>Elon wants to make a point, and the point is

0:27:42.200 --> 0:27:44.880
<v Speaker 11>I think he's frustrated about what he is paying for Silicon.

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:50.119
<v Speaker 11>If you look at all of his enterprises, SpaceX XAI, Tesla, Neuralink,

0:27:50.160 --> 0:27:54.200
<v Speaker 11>all those combined, the biggest line item on those outside

0:27:54.200 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 11>of people is around Silicon. I mean, there's he spends

0:27:57.520 --> 0:27:59.640
<v Speaker 11>a ton of money on that. What he talked about

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:03.240
<v Speaker 11>here is having similar performance as Blackwell and videos black

0:28:03.240 --> 0:28:05.760
<v Speaker 11>Ole GPU at a ten percent.

0:28:05.400 --> 0:28:05.920
<v Speaker 2>Of the cost.

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:08.320
<v Speaker 11>You think that that's doable, And I just want to

0:28:08.440 --> 0:28:12.320
<v Speaker 11>kind of put that to the test. Is that kind

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:15.639
<v Speaker 11>of performance, that kind of costs performance is something that

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:18.679
<v Speaker 11>is I think unrealistic at least for the next few years.

0:28:19.040 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 11>It's the same reason why in Nvidia has been so

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 11>bullish on their business is that these customers would love

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:29.159
<v Speaker 11>to find an alternative, whether it's through customs, Silicon or

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 11>through AMD for example. But the reality is is that

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:35.560
<v Speaker 11>in Nvidia still is the best bang for the buck

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.640
<v Speaker 11>when it comes to silicon, and that's a very expensive

0:28:38.640 --> 0:28:41.600
<v Speaker 11>buck in this case. So I think that I generally

0:28:41.640 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 11>don't think Tesla is going to or should do their

0:28:46.320 --> 0:28:48.920
<v Speaker 11>own fab. I think twenty billion dollars can be spent

0:28:49.360 --> 0:28:52.040
<v Speaker 11>in much better places. He kind of threw the lifeline

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:55.040
<v Speaker 11>out there. Maybe we work through Intel has been a

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:58.840
<v Speaker 11>challenging road for Intel on the fab side, and building

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:02.440
<v Speaker 11>a fab advances fab is really tough. These advanced nodes

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:05.520
<v Speaker 11>are very tough, and Intel's never shown they were competent

0:29:05.560 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 11>in that.

0:29:06.080 --> 0:29:09.680
<v Speaker 4>Gene broadened that out therefore, because the whole market has

0:29:09.720 --> 0:29:12.280
<v Speaker 4>a lot of anxiety on its shoulders right now around

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:15.600
<v Speaker 4>the build out a generative AI infrastructure. Now, in particular,

0:29:15.640 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 4>we saw at sam Altman trying to navigate what had

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.840
<v Speaker 4>become a bit of a explosion that the CFO had

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:25.360
<v Speaker 4>set off on Wednesday by saying maybe they'd looked to

0:29:25.400 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 4>some sort of government to support for their infrastructure spend.

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:30.120
<v Speaker 4>Sam Altman came out and said, look, the only way

0:29:30.120 --> 0:29:32.480
<v Speaker 4>when one government support is perhaps if we became a

0:29:32.480 --> 0:29:35.280
<v Speaker 4>fabricator of chips. But what do you make about the

0:29:35.280 --> 0:29:38.680
<v Speaker 4>weight that is currently on this market about vindicating one

0:29:38.680 --> 0:29:41.160
<v Speaker 4>point four trillion dollars spending by a company that's making

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:43.640
<v Speaker 4>maybe twelve billion, call it, maybe even twenty billion a

0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:44.640
<v Speaker 4>year in terms of revenue.

0:29:46.360 --> 0:29:51.120
<v Speaker 11>So there is a switch that flipped since the end

0:29:51.200 --> 0:29:53.360
<v Speaker 11>of October. I think it was like the twentieth of

0:29:53.360 --> 0:29:57.200
<v Speaker 11>October is when Jensen came out and said that video

0:29:57.320 --> 0:30:01.400
<v Speaker 11>is going to essentially beat the expectation by fifteen percent

0:30:01.440 --> 0:30:03.400
<v Speaker 11>plus over the next five quarters. He put out this

0:30:03.480 --> 0:30:08.000
<v Speaker 11>five hundred billion dollars in Blackwell revenue, and that was

0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:11.040
<v Speaker 11>a really big point. And then we had the hyperscalers,

0:30:11.160 --> 0:30:14.280
<v Speaker 11>and then this conversation started to shift. There's a change

0:30:14.320 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 11>in terms of how the AI investor is thinking about this,

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:21.280
<v Speaker 11>and this shift is this sense of like, wow, maybe

0:30:21.320 --> 0:30:23.120
<v Speaker 11>this is just getting to be too much. We saw

0:30:23.160 --> 0:30:25.480
<v Speaker 11>what happen with MetaStock, and then on top of that,

0:30:25.600 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 11>Sarah Fry and the Sam Altman and the Golden or

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 11>the Wall Street Journal event, all that kind of I

0:30:32.720 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 11>think you put all this together and there all of

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:39.600
<v Speaker 11>a sudden, this vortex of what's really going on here,

0:30:40.080 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 11>whether it's the government piece, whether it's the expectations that

0:30:43.280 --> 0:30:45.480
<v Speaker 11>VIDIA has about how much they're going to sell over

0:30:45.520 --> 0:30:48.040
<v Speaker 11>the next few quarters, whether it's Meta saying how much

0:30:48.040 --> 0:30:51.320
<v Speaker 11>they're going to spend and Amazon, it just feels like

0:30:51.360 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 11>there's investors are now at a point where they're uncomfortable

0:30:54.800 --> 0:30:57.920
<v Speaker 11>that they don't believe that this ultimately is going to

0:30:57.920 --> 0:31:01.400
<v Speaker 11>be prosper There's going to be a press around this investment,

0:31:01.440 --> 0:31:03.760
<v Speaker 11>and so I think that's the shift we've seen. That's

0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:05.880
<v Speaker 11>why I think we've seen sell off in these companies.

0:31:06.080 --> 0:31:10.640
<v Speaker 11>The fundamentals are rock solid. Opening Eye doesn't need government support,

0:31:10.640 --> 0:31:14.080
<v Speaker 11>there's no question, but there's a psychology piece to this trade,

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 11>and I think it's just gotten softened by some of

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:20.240
<v Speaker 11>these conversations. Just too many moving parts now for our investors.

0:31:20.680 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 11>That will settle down once they start to see the

0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 11>December quarter results and understand that in fact, we are

0:31:27.480 --> 0:31:29.040
<v Speaker 11>still early in this AI build out.

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:33.840
<v Speaker 3>Gem Monster managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. Great to

0:31:33.840 --> 0:31:35.840
<v Speaker 3>have you back on the show, Thank you very much.

0:31:36.200 --> 0:31:38.200
<v Speaker 3>Coming up, we're going to be joined by Draft Kings

0:31:38.320 --> 0:31:41.800
<v Speaker 3>CEO Jason Robbins following the company's earnings and it's new

0:31:41.880 --> 0:31:43.440
<v Speaker 3>deal with Disney.

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:46.240
<v Speaker 2>More on that next. This has been bag Tech.

0:31:54.080 --> 0:31:57.680
<v Speaker 3>Welcome to our TV and radio audiences worldwide. We head

0:31:57.760 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 3>back to earnings with Draft Kings out with every Results,

0:32:00.480 --> 0:32:03.000
<v Speaker 3>cutting its revenue forecast for the full year. The company

0:32:03.000 --> 0:32:05.720
<v Speaker 3>also out though, with news that Disney signed a new

0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:08.440
<v Speaker 3>multi year deal to make the Sports Betting Company the

0:32:08.480 --> 0:32:12.600
<v Speaker 3>official betting site and odds provider for the ESPN Sports Network.

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:16.440
<v Speaker 3>Let's bring in Draftking CEO Jason Robbins. It's an interesting

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 3>partnership and I think that's where we should start. How

0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:21.640
<v Speaker 3>much does this move the needle for you? You know,

0:32:21.720 --> 0:32:24.239
<v Speaker 3>we've talked in the past on this program, Jason with

0:32:24.240 --> 0:32:27.800
<v Speaker 3>you about the integration of the live sports event and

0:32:27.840 --> 0:32:30.440
<v Speaker 3>the broadcast with the betting activity.

0:32:31.400 --> 0:32:37.000
<v Speaker 2>Your big picture goal with this deal. Well, first of all.

0:32:37.160 --> 0:32:40.560
<v Speaker 13>ESPN is a you know, iconic brand. It's you know,

0:32:40.800 --> 0:32:44.080
<v Speaker 13>by far the biggest name in sports in the United States,

0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:49.959
<v Speaker 13>and they have an incredible portfolio, unmatched portfolio of sports content, influencers, talent.

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:53.760
<v Speaker 13>So it's really, you know, for us, just the greatest

0:32:53.800 --> 0:32:56.440
<v Speaker 13>partner you can have when you're in the space we're

0:32:56.480 --> 0:33:00.920
<v Speaker 13>in and Jimmy Pataro runs it really understands in I think,

0:33:01.040 --> 0:33:04.120
<v Speaker 13>values the sports betting space and understands that the customer

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:07.400
<v Speaker 13>overlap is high, and it's important that they engage their

0:33:07.440 --> 0:33:12.200
<v Speaker 13>customers by being partnered with somebody like Drafting, so really excited.

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 2>To embark on it.

0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:14.520
<v Speaker 13>We've been partners with them many times in the past,

0:33:14.560 --> 0:33:16.840
<v Speaker 13>so it's familiar territory. We know all the people there

0:33:16.840 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 13>and we're looking forward to working together. And you add

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 13>that to our deals with NBC, Universal and Amazon and others,

0:33:23.240 --> 0:33:26.000
<v Speaker 13>we have an unmatched I think, presence across the sports

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:30.600
<v Speaker 13>landscape over the next several years prediction markets.

0:33:31.560 --> 0:33:34.280
<v Speaker 3>Wednesday night, we were with Robin Hood at their in

0:33:34.360 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 3>person earning school.

0:33:35.560 --> 0:33:36.160
<v Speaker 2>That was wacky.

0:33:36.240 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 3>Don't know if you consider that, but the month of

0:33:38.800 --> 0:33:42.959
<v Speaker 3>October massive volumes for them. You're being super thoughtful about predictions.

0:33:43.080 --> 0:33:46.240
<v Speaker 3>I understand that, and you have a clear strategy. My

0:33:46.360 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 3>question has always been how much a growth in a

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:53.640
<v Speaker 3>nascent predictions market cannibalizes other offerings that you have.

0:33:55.480 --> 0:33:56.560
<v Speaker 2>I think very little.

0:33:57.000 --> 0:33:59.920
<v Speaker 13>If you look at the UK, for example, exchange based

0:34:00.440 --> 0:34:04.040
<v Speaker 13>is about five percent of the total pie, so you

0:34:04.080 --> 0:34:05.840
<v Speaker 13>know that's probably about right. And I think a lot

0:34:05.880 --> 0:34:09.880
<v Speaker 13>of it is largely incremental because they're market makers and

0:34:09.920 --> 0:34:12.480
<v Speaker 13>others that are not present on traditional sports books to

0:34:12.600 --> 0:34:15.000
<v Speaker 13>generate a lot of the volume. So I think it's

0:34:15.160 --> 0:34:18.080
<v Speaker 13>very much an incremental opportunity for us, and that's why.

0:34:17.880 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 2>We're so excited about it.

0:34:19.560 --> 0:34:22.640
<v Speaker 13>We acquire real Bird and we're also looking to you know,

0:34:22.800 --> 0:34:25.520
<v Speaker 13>enter the market sometime in the next couple months.

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:29.879
<v Speaker 4>What's interesting, Jason is investors analysts out there called out

0:34:29.880 --> 0:34:34.080
<v Speaker 4>on the actual earning script talking about how marketing expenses,

0:34:34.200 --> 0:34:37.719
<v Speaker 4>higher sales expenses did eat into the results, and they

0:34:37.760 --> 0:34:40.239
<v Speaker 4>call them also some ugly outcomes when it comes to

0:34:40.280 --> 0:34:43.000
<v Speaker 4>the sports games for that you can't control. But what

0:34:43.080 --> 0:34:45.080
<v Speaker 4>about the expenses you're going to have to have on

0:34:45.200 --> 0:34:46.240
<v Speaker 4>the predictions markets.

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:50.319
<v Speaker 13>Well, we do plan to make some investment there. We

0:34:50.400 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 13>mentioned this on the call that we're going to be

0:34:52.560 --> 0:34:55.520
<v Speaker 13>more i think conservative in terms of the paybacks we're

0:34:55.520 --> 0:34:57.799
<v Speaker 13>looking for, just given how nis in a space it

0:34:57.920 --> 0:35:00.399
<v Speaker 13>is and the fact that you know, it's unclear kind

0:35:00.440 --> 0:35:02.480
<v Speaker 13>of how this will all play out, but we are

0:35:02.520 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 13>going to make some investment there. First, of course, and

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:07.680
<v Speaker 13>getting a product developed and making sure that that's the

0:35:07.719 --> 0:35:09.799
<v Speaker 13>best in class. You can't win, and we've always said

0:35:09.800 --> 0:35:12.359
<v Speaker 13>this product is the most important thing. You can't win

0:35:12.400 --> 0:35:15.440
<v Speaker 13>if you don't have a great product. And then assuming

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:18.560
<v Speaker 13>that the numbers check out, will spend marketing Accordingly, We're

0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:20.440
<v Speaker 13>going to be very data driven like we always are,

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:21.280
<v Speaker 13>and everything we will.

0:35:21.200 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 2>Test into it.

0:35:22.480 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 13>But we did want to make sure as we guided

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 13>that we were thoughtful about giving the team some space

0:35:26.600 --> 0:35:29.200
<v Speaker 13>to be able to accelerate spend if the numbers look good.

0:35:29.600 --> 0:35:33.440
<v Speaker 4>And therefore the guide did pull back rather than uplift

0:35:33.600 --> 0:35:34.160
<v Speaker 4>going forward.

0:35:34.280 --> 0:35:35.840
<v Speaker 5>Jason, but you say it's conservative.

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:39.680
<v Speaker 4>You talk about an incremental opportunity from predictions, and I'm

0:35:39.719 --> 0:35:41.439
<v Speaker 4>really interested as to how you make sure this doesn't

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:43.239
<v Speaker 4>cannibalize what you already.

0:35:43.000 --> 0:35:43.520
<v Speaker 5>Have out there.

0:35:43.640 --> 0:35:45.680
<v Speaker 4>You've talked a lot about how this might actually make

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.160
<v Speaker 4>more states accessible to sports better because at the moment

0:35:48.160 --> 0:35:51.239
<v Speaker 4>you can get fifty states with this predictions market, but

0:35:51.560 --> 0:35:53.760
<v Speaker 4>what you've got twenty five at the moment for your offering,

0:35:53.960 --> 0:35:55.560
<v Speaker 4>and you're about to have and you also have DC

0:35:55.640 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 4>and then you're adding Missouri.

0:35:58.280 --> 0:36:01.560
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, I mean, I think you're exactly right that this

0:36:01.640 --> 0:36:04.399
<v Speaker 13>will hopefully lead more states to decide that they might

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:07.880
<v Speaker 13>as well legalize sports betting. It's I think predictions are

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:11.120
<v Speaker 13>a powerful talking point for that, because you know, same

0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:12.960
<v Speaker 13>as the illegal market, same as anything in this case,

0:36:12.960 --> 0:36:16.480
<v Speaker 13>it's regulated, but the bottom line is it's activity that's

0:36:16.520 --> 0:36:19.600
<v Speaker 13>already happening in the state at some level that they

0:36:19.600 --> 0:36:22.279
<v Speaker 13>are not directly benefiting from and regulating. So I do

0:36:22.360 --> 0:36:25.440
<v Speaker 13>think that'll motivate some states, But for us, really the

0:36:25.480 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 13>cannibalization thing isn't a huge concern. We haven't seen that happen,

0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:32.279
<v Speaker 13>not just here, but as I mentioned, overseas where there's

0:36:32.360 --> 0:36:34.960
<v Speaker 13>long established I mean, it's not a brand new thing

0:36:35.040 --> 0:36:38.239
<v Speaker 13>like it is here. There's been predictions and sports exchanges

0:36:38.280 --> 0:36:41.560
<v Speaker 13>around for decades in the UK, for example, So we

0:36:41.600 --> 0:36:43.719
<v Speaker 13>feel like there's pretty good data out there to show

0:36:43.760 --> 0:36:46.880
<v Speaker 13>that head to head, the traditional sports betting product is

0:36:46.880 --> 0:36:49.320
<v Speaker 13>a much far superior product for customers.

0:36:50.440 --> 0:36:52.799
<v Speaker 3>Jason, you said that this is the most bullish you've

0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:57.720
<v Speaker 3>ever felt about the company's future. What are the underlying trends,

0:36:57.840 --> 0:37:00.880
<v Speaker 3>data points, behaviors of your customer? Is that give you

0:37:00.920 --> 0:37:03.840
<v Speaker 3>that conviction? Why do you have it now that you

0:37:03.880 --> 0:37:04.840
<v Speaker 3>didn't have previously?

0:37:06.280 --> 0:37:08.719
<v Speaker 13>Well, I think if you take a step back, you know,

0:37:08.800 --> 0:37:11.440
<v Speaker 13>it really starts with the progress that we've made over

0:37:11.480 --> 0:37:13.799
<v Speaker 13>the last few years in the position we put ourselves in.

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:17.319
<v Speaker 13>Remember two years ago, we weren't even profitable. Three years ago,

0:37:17.719 --> 0:37:20.440
<v Speaker 13>we had nearly a billion dollar adjusted EBIT to loss.

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:22.880
<v Speaker 13>At that point, you know, we were getting killed in

0:37:22.880 --> 0:37:24.799
<v Speaker 13>the market because people thought we were going to run

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:27.440
<v Speaker 13>out of money and go out of business. We really

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:31.239
<v Speaker 13>buckled down, we grew revenues, we managed costs, and you know,

0:37:31.440 --> 0:37:33.640
<v Speaker 13>just a few years later we've had an over billion

0:37:33.680 --> 0:37:36.560
<v Speaker 13>and a half swing. So I think that shows that

0:37:36.600 --> 0:37:38.960
<v Speaker 13>we are in a great position. But also more importantly

0:37:39.360 --> 0:37:42.200
<v Speaker 13>now we're in a position to play offense. We are profitable,

0:37:42.280 --> 0:37:45.240
<v Speaker 13>we have scale, we have the best product in the market,

0:37:45.520 --> 0:37:48.440
<v Speaker 13>we have the absolute best partnerships and presence across the

0:37:48.520 --> 0:37:51.880
<v Speaker 13>media landscape. We're about to launch Sports Predictions, which I

0:37:51.960 --> 0:37:55.239
<v Speaker 13>believe represents a huge incremental opportunity for us. So a

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:57.560
<v Speaker 13>lot of really exciting things going on, and the only

0:37:57.600 --> 0:37:59.840
<v Speaker 13>real negative on the quarter was the sport outcomes. I

0:37:59.840 --> 0:38:02.800
<v Speaker 13>think think all the stereover predictions is kind of nonsense,

0:38:02.880 --> 0:38:05.239
<v Speaker 13>but the really only negative sport outcomes. But that's a

0:38:05.280 --> 0:38:07.640
<v Speaker 13>temporary thing, that's not something that has anything to do

0:38:07.680 --> 0:38:09.160
<v Speaker 13>with the fundamentals of the business.

0:38:11.320 --> 0:38:16.359
<v Speaker 3>Draftking CEO Jason Robbins, thank you very much, Caroline.

0:38:16.920 --> 0:38:19.200
<v Speaker 4>Well it's time now for talking tech ed first up

0:38:19.360 --> 0:38:22.239
<v Speaker 4>Bitcoin when it's fallen as much as twelve percent of

0:38:22.239 --> 0:38:24.120
<v Speaker 4>per cent so far this week on trap for its

0:38:24.120 --> 0:38:26.520
<v Speaker 4>worst weekly performances all the way back in March. Since

0:38:26.520 --> 0:38:29.080
<v Speaker 4>spite of President Trump's push to cement US as the

0:38:29.120 --> 0:38:32.520
<v Speaker 4>world's crypto epicenter, the market value of the digital assets

0:38:32.560 --> 0:38:35.399
<v Speaker 4>is now lower than I Need took office Plus China

0:38:35.480 --> 0:38:37.880
<v Speaker 4>when it's allowing Dutch chip maker and Nick Sperior to

0:38:37.960 --> 0:38:40.840
<v Speaker 4>export again from its operations in the country. This sets

0:38:40.840 --> 0:38:43.239
<v Speaker 4>the stage for the Netherlands government to kind of back

0:38:43.280 --> 0:38:46.280
<v Speaker 4>down and suspend its powers over the Chinese own company

0:38:46.440 --> 0:38:49.520
<v Speaker 4>after a conflict that had threatened to disrupt global automotive

0:38:49.560 --> 0:38:53.360
<v Speaker 4>production and Apple's streaming service when it went down briefly

0:38:53.520 --> 0:38:56.239
<v Speaker 4>for some users last night, shortly after the debut of

0:38:56.280 --> 0:38:57.240
<v Speaker 4>the widely.

0:38:56.880 --> 0:39:00.239
<v Speaker 5>Anticipated pluribus It's a new series from the Career or

0:39:00.239 --> 0:39:00.959
<v Speaker 5>are breaking bad?

0:39:01.120 --> 0:39:01.279
<v Speaker 11>Look?

0:39:01.360 --> 0:39:03.920
<v Speaker 5>This came and a bad time for Apple, which build plur.

0:39:03.840 --> 0:39:06.560
<v Speaker 4>Of us as one of the major exclusive attractions at

0:39:14.040 --> 0:39:16.560
<v Speaker 4>We're at a time when consumers are more cost conscious

0:39:16.600 --> 0:39:19.480
<v Speaker 4>than ever. Brands well, they're racing to meet them where

0:39:19.480 --> 0:39:23.600
<v Speaker 4>they actually shop. Creator commerce platform LTK is expanding to

0:39:23.640 --> 0:39:27.040
<v Speaker 4>include brand profiles, giving companies a new way to connect

0:39:27.080 --> 0:39:29.960
<v Speaker 4>directly with value driven shoppers within the creator community.

0:39:30.200 --> 0:39:33.040
<v Speaker 5>For more Ammaven's Box. LTK co found it joins us.

0:39:33.080 --> 0:39:35.319
<v Speaker 4>Now it's really interesting because you have what I think

0:39:35.400 --> 0:39:39.919
<v Speaker 4>forty million monthly users globally on LTK. But they come

0:39:39.960 --> 0:39:43.240
<v Speaker 4>because they're creators, their favorite creator is they're telling them,

0:39:43.440 --> 0:39:46.160
<v Speaker 4>advising them on what they could purchase. Why is therefore

0:39:46.239 --> 0:39:48.880
<v Speaker 4>Nike putting itself there as a brand individually?

0:39:50.440 --> 0:39:54.000
<v Speaker 12>You know, LTK is the single largest creator commerce platform.

0:39:54.040 --> 0:39:55.400
<v Speaker 5>We have thirty percent of Gen.

0:39:55.360 --> 0:39:58.719
<v Speaker 12>Z and millennial women in the US using the platform.

0:39:59.080 --> 0:40:03.680
<v Speaker 12>There's spending every sixty seconds. Let's see, they're going I

0:40:03.680 --> 0:40:06.880
<v Speaker 12>think sixty people shopping every second. They're buying eleven thousand

0:40:06.920 --> 0:40:08.720
<v Speaker 12>dollars with a product every single minute.

0:40:08.719 --> 0:40:09.960
<v Speaker 5>That's six billion a year.

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:13.320
<v Speaker 12>That's the equivalent of an Eras tour every single quarter.

0:40:13.800 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 12>There's a lot of demand here and that's only growing

0:40:16.239 --> 0:40:19.600
<v Speaker 12>by a billion since twenty twenty four. You're seeing that

0:40:19.640 --> 0:40:23.120
<v Speaker 12>consumers are rotating their trust directly into creators. That creator

0:40:23.160 --> 0:40:26.000
<v Speaker 12>trust is up over twenty percent year over year, and

0:40:26.120 --> 0:40:29.280
<v Speaker 12>brands want to have more opportunity to reach their customer

0:40:29.320 --> 0:40:31.960
<v Speaker 12>on the platform where they are today. So just this week,

0:40:32.200 --> 0:40:35.000
<v Speaker 12>we've had brands like you mentioned, whether it's Nike Target

0:40:35.560 --> 0:40:40.080
<v Speaker 12>in the beauty category, Alta, Sephora, Tart on the sport

0:40:40.120 --> 0:40:43.880
<v Speaker 12>and athletic, it's Alo, it's Nike gets Adidas, huge global

0:40:43.880 --> 0:40:47.440
<v Speaker 12>brands launching their presence on the LTK social app to

0:40:47.440 --> 0:40:50.080
<v Speaker 12>be able to meet creators and their audiences in a

0:40:50.200 --> 0:40:51.320
<v Speaker 12>high trust environment.

0:40:51.360 --> 0:40:53.600
<v Speaker 5>That's so unique right now. So what are they actually doing?

0:40:53.600 --> 0:40:55.880
<v Speaker 5>I went onto the Nike offering for example, and the moment.

0:40:55.800 --> 0:40:58.440
<v Speaker 4>It looks like they're getting creative content and sort of

0:40:58.440 --> 0:40:59.799
<v Speaker 4>putting it onto their own landing.

0:41:00.280 --> 0:41:02.360
<v Speaker 5>How will they differentiate do you think going forward?

0:41:03.000 --> 0:41:05.200
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, so this is a whole new experience. This doesn't

0:41:05.200 --> 0:41:07.759
<v Speaker 12>exist anywhere else. What we've done is we've launched a

0:41:07.760 --> 0:41:10.279
<v Speaker 12>platform where these brands can come in and see all

0:41:10.320 --> 0:41:13.240
<v Speaker 12>the content that's being written about them on the LTK platform.

0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:16.520
<v Speaker 12>So that's been about seven million pieces of original content

0:41:16.920 --> 0:41:19.760
<v Speaker 12>just on the LTK platform alone from these.

0:41:19.560 --> 0:41:20.879
<v Speaker 5>Creators year over year.

0:41:21.239 --> 0:41:23.600
<v Speaker 12>So for example, Nike would come in, they see all

0:41:23.640 --> 0:41:27.240
<v Speaker 12>the content written about them, they can curate for their audience,

0:41:27.480 --> 0:41:30.120
<v Speaker 12>their favorite creators and the best content talking about the

0:41:30.120 --> 0:41:32.040
<v Speaker 12>products that they love. So if I'm a Nike fan,

0:41:32.400 --> 0:41:34.560
<v Speaker 12>not only can I go through my favorite creators to

0:41:34.640 --> 0:41:36.759
<v Speaker 12>find that product, but I can just search Nike, follow

0:41:36.840 --> 0:41:39.120
<v Speaker 12>Nike and see the things that they are curating. So

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:42.000
<v Speaker 12>brands are not creating the content on LTK. It's still

0:41:42.080 --> 0:41:44.920
<v Speaker 12>creator driven, but they are able to curate it, which

0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:48.399
<v Speaker 12>is giving their audience really another path to discovery. On

0:41:48.480 --> 0:41:51.480
<v Speaker 12>the LTK app we found that one in five searches has.

0:41:51.360 --> 0:41:51.920
<v Speaker 5>A brand name.

0:41:52.120 --> 0:41:54.680
<v Speaker 12>So people might be looking for like Nike running shoes,

0:41:55.120 --> 0:41:58.400
<v Speaker 12>maybe they're looking for Abercrombie Dnum, they're looking for a

0:41:58.600 --> 0:42:01.600
<v Speaker 12>Christmas tree from Target. We see that happening one in

0:42:01.680 --> 0:42:04.120
<v Speaker 12>five times, and so this gives our brands the opportunity

0:42:04.160 --> 0:42:06.280
<v Speaker 12>to have a little bit more influence over the curation

0:42:06.440 --> 0:42:09.800
<v Speaker 12>of what that customer ultimately sees. By following that brand,

0:42:10.040 --> 0:42:12.280
<v Speaker 12>it takes a little further because what's unique on LTK

0:42:12.480 --> 0:42:15.040
<v Speaker 12>is when you follow someone, it actually means something. Our

0:42:15.080 --> 0:42:17.360
<v Speaker 12>following feed means that you get to choose that content

0:42:17.400 --> 0:42:19.400
<v Speaker 12>that shows up and when they want to meet their

0:42:19.400 --> 0:42:22.759
<v Speaker 12>customers every day. That's a really important part of building community.

0:42:23.200 --> 0:42:26.040
<v Speaker 12>It's something that is unique to LTK given the age

0:42:26.120 --> 0:42:29.560
<v Speaker 12>of AI and algorithms, but very.

0:42:29.520 --> 0:42:32.440
<v Speaker 3>Quickly we had thirty seconds. You have rich data about

0:42:32.480 --> 0:42:36.839
<v Speaker 3>behaviors in September and October. Is the consumer healthy through

0:42:36.880 --> 0:42:38.520
<v Speaker 3>your data?

0:42:38.640 --> 0:42:38.920
<v Speaker 2>They are.

0:42:38.960 --> 0:42:41.479
<v Speaker 12>We're seeing that they're spending average order values up seven

0:42:41.480 --> 0:42:43.880
<v Speaker 12>percent year over year on LTK. They're spending almost a

0:42:43.880 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 12>billion more this year than they did last year. The

0:42:46.480 --> 0:42:49.120
<v Speaker 12>biggest shift on the consumer side is that they are

0:42:49.200 --> 0:42:51.799
<v Speaker 12>expecting for out of stock products. So we saw search

0:42:51.840 --> 0:42:55.359
<v Speaker 12>for gifting gope over three hundred percent in September, more

0:42:55.400 --> 0:42:57.640
<v Speaker 12>than half of those in our consumer studies. So they

0:42:57.680 --> 0:43:00.680
<v Speaker 12>expect for creators to help them source alternative the products.

0:43:00.800 --> 0:43:02.600
<v Speaker 12>This is a huge shift because last year it was

0:43:02.640 --> 0:43:05.440
<v Speaker 12>all about price. This year it's all about in stock.

0:43:05.880 --> 0:43:08.399
<v Speaker 12>We're excited to help our brands navigate this. D're all new,

0:43:08.719 --> 0:43:11.880
<v Speaker 12>all in one creator platform that's completely free for brands

0:43:11.880 --> 0:43:15.040
<v Speaker 12>that we've just launched, where they're paying for success, not access.

0:43:15.080 --> 0:43:16.719
<v Speaker 5>It's bring it all together for them this year.

0:43:17.400 --> 0:43:20.640
<v Speaker 3>Amber Ven'sbox LTK co founder, Thank you very much. Sadly

0:43:20.680 --> 0:43:23.239
<v Speaker 3>that does it for the edition of Bloomberg Tech. Check

0:43:23.239 --> 0:43:26.120
<v Speaker 3>out the podcast you know where to find it. Happy Friday.

0:43:26.400 --> 0:43:27.479
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Tech