1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of the show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: dot com. 15 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:35,880 Speaker 2: Good morning, everybody, Welcome to Breaking Points. 16 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 3: Sager is out. 17 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 2: I don't know if I can disclose the reason that 18 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 2: he's out. 19 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 3: We can, oh, we can need just a message. 20 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 2: Well, he just respond So he's recording with Tucker right 21 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 2: now in Maine, reacting actually to the interview that Tucker 22 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:51,319 Speaker 2: just dropped with the President of Iran. So Sager will 23 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 2: be back on Wednesday. So we've got the wonderful and 24 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 2: brilliant Emily Tchishinski in today for Sager. 25 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 4: You're welcome everyone, No, I'm excited to hear all about 26 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 4: Sagers first. So I'm excited to listen to Sager's conversation 27 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 4: with Tucker and to hear all about what went on. 28 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, indeed, And I'm going to try to get doctor 29 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 2: Parcion also to react to that interview once we've had 30 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 2: a chance to review it. But that certainly will be 31 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: in the show tomorrow a lot in the show today. 32 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 2: The death toll continues to rise after those horrific floods 33 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 2: in Texas, So we'll tell you the latest there, show 34 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: you some of the truly horrifying images and also all 35 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: of the questions over whether the response was impacted and 36 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 2: the death toll increased by those cuts made by Doge 37 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 2: at the beginning of this administration. Speaking of Elon, he 38 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 2: is officially launching the America Party, or at least he. 39 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 3: Says that he is. What will that mean politically? 40 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 2: We also have this is sort of an Elon linked 41 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 2: story as well. Trump says Emily there is no Epstein conspiracy, 42 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: the Trump DOJ saying there was no client list. He 43 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 2: definitely killed himself releasing some video and a report. We 44 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 2: can all just put that to bed. Nothing to see here. 45 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 4: We've now had what ten hours of video they released 46 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 4: last night. Yeah, so we'll get into it, but basically, 47 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 4: this was a Sunday night news dump to Axios for 48 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 4: some reason about how they're just fully closing the Epstein investigation. Yes, 49 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 4: six months into the Trump presidency. No, no information, everything's fine. 50 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,839 Speaker 2: Right, No, no conspiracy, it's fine, it's fine. I don't 51 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 2: know why Glade Maxwell's in prison. Then if there was 52 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 2: no conspiracy, who was she trafficking to? 53 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 4: I wish we will. That's not what Trump said a 54 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 4: few years ago. Yeah, that's true. 55 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's exactly what he said. 56 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 2: And it's elon Links of course, because back when they 57 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 2: originally had their big blow up, he said Trump is 58 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 2: in the Epstein files, and that was sort of like 59 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 2: the nuclear bomb. And so now they're feuding again and 60 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,839 Speaker 2: this is coming out and bb Nan Yahoo is in town, which, 61 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 2: by the way, later in the show, we're going to 62 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 2: talk to Jeremy Scalhill about the implications the potential for 63 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 2: a ceasefire, what's going on with Iran as BBE comes 64 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 2: back to town. We're also going to take a look 65 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 2: at a couple of media stories. Zoran Mondani being attacked 66 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 2: by the New York Times really interesting story. 67 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 4: This one fascinating. Yeah, a lot of layers to peel back. 68 00:02:56,400 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 2: There are, indeed, and this is all over the boxes 69 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:04,919 Speaker 2: he checked when he was applying to Columbia University School. 70 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:07,839 Speaker 2: By the way, he didn't even get into but there's 71 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 2: a lot going on there. We also have Tim Dillon 72 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 2: and Joe Rogan unhappy with the Trump administration over immigration specifically. 73 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 2: Rogan also talking a bit about Gaza, so really interesting 74 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 2: always to dig into that. And then Emily and I 75 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 2: are going to do an AMA Live. 76 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 3: After this show. 77 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 2: For those of you who are not premium members, if 78 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 2: you want to become premium members and be able to 79 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 2: access all of those AMAS Breakingpoints dot com. We so 80 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: appreciate all of your support. And with that, let's go 81 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 2: ahead and jump into the very latest out of Texas, 82 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: where we can put some of these images of the 83 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 2: flooding and the aftermath of the flooding in Texas Hill 84 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:45,320 Speaker 2: Country right near San Antonio up on the screen. As 85 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: of this morning, we know the death toll is at 86 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: least eighty one. This marks one of the deadliest floods 87 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 2: in this country in a century. 88 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 3: Now. 89 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 2: This is an area where flooding is not a known 90 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 2: but the rapidity and the extent of the flooding here 91 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: was absolutely catastrophic, made worse by the fact that you 92 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 2: had a lot of families on vacation in campers near 93 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 2: this river, and also tragically a girl's summer camp. You 94 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 2: can see here This is a father who is searching 95 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 2: amid the debris here for his eight year old daughter, 96 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 2: who continues to be missing. We know there are still 97 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 2: dozens of people who are unaccounted for, including ten from 98 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 2: this camp. I believe those were nine girls and one 99 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 2: camp counselor who continue to be missing from that camp. 100 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 2: And the death toll here obviously utterly devastating, and made 101 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 2: even more so by the fact that so many children 102 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 2: were impacted. We're going to get to some of the 103 00:04:56,040 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 2: political questions here, of course, and immediately people to into Hey, 104 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 2: you guys, Republican Trump administration, you just cut a bunch 105 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 2: of positions at the National Weather Service. You just cut 106 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 2: a bunch of positions at these local offices that are 107 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 2: not only supposed to handle the weather forecast but also 108 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 2: supposed to communicate with the community. 109 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 3: Is that part of why this death toll is so high? 110 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 2: But before we get to that, Emily just your reaction 111 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 2: to the horror coming out of Texas right now. 112 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 4: You know, I think, like a lot of people, I 113 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 4: spent the weekend basically trying to avoid these stories. The 114 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 4: father of the video of the father that we just 115 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 4: saw in particulars is still unimaginable. Yeah, that one just 116 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:37,359 Speaker 4: stayed with me. We didn't hear it, but the audio 117 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 4: he says something to the extent of I know she 118 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 4: was here. And the fact that there are still ten 119 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 4: girls on accounting for, or ten people on accounted for 120 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 4: from the camp. Just thinking about what the families are 121 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 4: going through as you're sifting through debris from a flood 122 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 4: looking for little girls with the first responders whose job 123 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 4: it is to look for these little girls in the floodwaters. 124 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 4: Two of them, sisters were found clutching each other in 125 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 4: their arms. I mean, this is one of the worst, 126 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 4: one of the worst stories I think anyone can remember 127 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 4: reading in a long long time or living in a 128 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 4: long time. 129 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 2: Hopes are fading that they're going to find additional survivors 130 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 2: at this point, and the rescuers are concerned also because 131 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:28,039 Speaker 2: there's war rain in the forecast, another significant rainfall in 132 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:32,039 Speaker 2: the forecast for today, so you know, we are all 133 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 2: certainly thinking about those families who are impacted, those families 134 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 2: who are still holding out hope that their loved ones 135 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 2: will be found. And there was one remarkable rescue story 136 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 2: just recently, a young girl I think, who survived clinging 137 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 2: to a mattress, so you know, and there have been 138 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 2: obviously stories of absolute heroism from the rescuers. I know 139 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:53,360 Speaker 2: one in particular rescue like one hundred and fifty girls 140 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 2: at this camp, so just absolutely horrific. At the same time, 141 00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 2: as I said, you know a lot of questions here 142 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 2: what went wrong? And there's a lot of layers because 143 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 2: first of all, you have the question of, okay, the 144 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 2: forecast was wrong. The forecast underestimated the amount of rainfall 145 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 2: by about half, and so you're talking about very different 146 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 2: scenario when it's six inches of rain, still a lot 147 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 2: of rain, versus twelve inches, which is what ultimately fell. 148 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 2: You have questions about that, So that would be the 149 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 2: National Weather Service. You also have questions about, okay, well, 150 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 2: did the right warnings go out at the right time. 151 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 2: This was all complicated by the fact that this was 152 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: unfolding at nights, So of course you have people who 153 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 2: are asleep, so it may not necessarily be receiving all 154 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 2: of those alerts that are going out. And then the 155 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 2: other layer is okay, then you also have in these 156 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 2: local offices people whose job it is to communicate with 157 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 2: the community and make sure the community is prepared in 158 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,480 Speaker 2: these events. So was that were those relationships still active? 159 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 2: Was that communication happening in the way that it could 160 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 2: so that the community community could fully prepare. Texas officials 161 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 2: came out pretty hot blasting the National Weather Service for 162 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 2: the inability to predict the amount of rainfall that actually 163 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 2: fell here. Let's go ahead and take a listen to 164 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 2: a little bit of fat. 165 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 5: Original forecast that we received on Wednesday from the National 166 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 5: Weather Service predicted three to six inches of rain in 167 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 5: the Concho Valley and four to eight inches of rain 168 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 5: in the Hill country. We worked with our own meteorologists 169 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 5: to fine tune that weather statement, and as many of 170 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 5: you know, and many of you in broadcast journalism indieurology, 171 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 5: you can go back and look at your own forecast, 172 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 5: and the amount of rain that fell in this specific 173 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 5: location was never in any of those forecasts. 174 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 6: This rain event sat on top of that and dumped 175 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:38,599 Speaker 6: more rain than what was forecasted on both of those forks. 176 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 6: When we got the report, it was about seven feet 177 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 6: or so on the South Fork, and within a matter 178 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 6: of minutes it was up to twenty nine feet and 179 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 6: all of that converged at the Guadalupe and that's where 180 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 6: we saw those very quick rise and flood. 181 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 5: But listen, everybody got the forecast from the National Weather Service, right, 182 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 5: you all got it. You're all in media. You got 183 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 5: that forecast. It did not the amount of rain that 184 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 5: we saw. 185 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:02,720 Speaker 3: So Emily. 186 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 2: Look, sometimes weather forecasters sometimes they get it wrong. But 187 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 2: you also can't help but look at the fact that 188 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 2: the National Weather Service took significant hits from DOGE and 189 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 2: asked the question, would they have been better able to 190 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 2: estimate the amount of rainfall if they had full capacity here? 191 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 2: So what is your you know, what is your reaction 192 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:26,960 Speaker 2: to that from these Texas officials, who, by the way, 193 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 2: I mean many of these Texas officials are Republicans who 194 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 2: supported the cuts. So the blame shifting here is also 195 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 2: a little bit rich. 196 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, And in times like this, I always like to 197 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 4: go to people in the area who have some like 198 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 4: for Matt Lands as a meteorologist, a Texas based meteorologist, 199 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 4: and he posted on x in response to the Homeland 200 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 4: Security twitter feed. They posted this long thread about twelve 201 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 4: hours ago saying the mainstream media is deliberately lying about 202 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 4: the events leading up to the catastrophic flooding in Texas. 203 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 4: He responds and says the quote MSM isn't lying, They're 204 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 4: doing their job by asking completely and crucial questions since 205 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 4: the admin has proposed ring out essentially all NA research 206 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 4: in the twenty twenty six budget and as fire taken 207 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 4: by out some hundreds of NWS and boys in recent months. 208 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,560 Speaker 4: He though, has an interesting take. He says, while the 209 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 4: local NWS office did good work during this event, the 210 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 4: reality is that these questions are perfectly valid and reasonable 211 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 4: given the circumstances, and yes, the office is still understaffed, 212 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:23,559 Speaker 4: if not comparable to worse offices. He expanded on this 213 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 4: in a super interesting substack where he has basically complicated 214 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 4: meteorological language broken down in a more understandable way about 215 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:37,839 Speaker 4: how you had just this. You had such a I 216 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 4: don't know, I'm trying to avoid using the first perfect storm, 217 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 4: but like, really that's what you had for something between 218 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 4: one and four in the morning to escalate like it 219 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 4: did in ways that just you can predict. But it's 220 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 4: such a when you have an area that's so prone 221 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 4: to flooding, you have like eight out of ten times 222 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 4: you get a flash flood warning, and sometimes it's bad, 223 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 4: but it's never this bad. And so he says, did 224 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 4: budget cuts play a role role? No, in this particular case, 225 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 4: we have seen absolutely nothing to suggests that current staffing 226 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 4: or budget issues with NAA and NW has played any 227 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:11,960 Speaker 4: role at all in this event. Then he goes on 228 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 4: to say, in fact, weather balloon launchers played a vital 229 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 4: role in forecast messaging on Thursday night as the event 230 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 4: was beginning to unfold. But he said, use this event 231 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 4: as a symbol of the value of NAA and NWS 232 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 4: bring to society understanding that it's horrific and as this is, yes, 233 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 4: it could have always been worse. So where I find 234 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 4: myself as sort of I think the questions are entirely valid, 235 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 4: especially because Christal you alluded to this just moments ago. 236 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 4: It now seems like where the focus should be is 237 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 4: on what happened after the forecasting and as these warnings 238 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 4: were starting to hit. It's one in the morning, people 239 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 4: are asleep there's summer camps, there are children along the 240 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 4: river banks, was the message conveyed in ways that were reasonable. 241 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 4: I think these like these are entirely, entirely legitimate questions. 242 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 4: So we'll see as this comes out exactly what happened. 243 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 4: But when Republicans talk about cutting the administrative state, when 244 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 4: people like me talk about cutting the administrative straight administrative state, 245 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:13,679 Speaker 4: and events like this happen, you always have to own it. 246 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 4: I mean, you'll always have to own it. When it 247 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 4: looks like there's a correlation. I don't know. I'm not 248 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:20,960 Speaker 4: convinced that there is in this case. And I don't 249 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 4: have any particular position on whether the National Weather Service 250 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 4: was overstaffed, no idea, but you always end up politically 251 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 4: on the hook. 252 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go ahead and put the New York Times 253 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:36,839 Speaker 2: up on the specifics regarding those vacancies in the local offices. 254 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 2: So they said, as flood's hit key roles were vacant 255 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 2: at the weather surface, crucial positions at the local offices 256 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 2: in the National Weather Service were unfilled as severe rainfall 257 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 2: inundated parts of Central Texas. Their San Angelo office, which 258 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 2: is responsible for some of the area's hit hardest by 259 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:57,960 Speaker 2: Friday's flooding, they were missing a senior hydrologist, a staff forecaster, 260 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 2: and a meteorologist in charge. According to the legislative director 261 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:04,839 Speaker 2: for the National Weather Service Employees Organization, that is the 262 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 2: union that represents those workers. The nearby San Antonio office, 263 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 2: which covers other areas that were hit by the floods, 264 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 2: also had significant vacancies, including and this is the one 265 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 2: that people have really focused in on, specifically, a warning 266 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:24,199 Speaker 2: coordination meteorologist and science officer. THEFF members in those positions 267 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 2: are meant to work with local emergency managers to plan 268 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 2: for floods, including when and how to warn local residents 269 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:36,120 Speaker 2: and help them evacuate. That office's warning coordination meteorologists left 270 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 2: on April thirty after taking the early retirement package. So 271 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 2: that was the member of the fork in the Road 272 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 2: email that went out from Elon from DOJE. 273 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:45,920 Speaker 3: So this guy took that offer. 274 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 2: They used that offer, of course, to reduce the number 275 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 2: of federal employees. 276 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 3: Overall, and they did not rehire. 277 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 2: Someone, they go on to say, under the Trump administration, 278 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,440 Speaker 2: so overall, the Weather Service, like other federal agencies, has 279 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: been pushed to reduce its number of employee. 280 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 3: By this spring. 281 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 2: Through layoffs and retirements, the Weather Service had lost nearly 282 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 2: six hundred people. That's from a workforce that was only 283 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 2: four thousand, So six hundred down to four thousand is 284 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 2: a very significant cut. And so this individual in particular 285 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 2: who took the early retirement package, you know, I watch 286 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 2: videos of some of the local meteorologists talking about like, 287 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 2: this is the guy we know. This is the guy 288 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 2: we're constantly in communication with and talking about, you know, 289 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 2: and this is the person that the community knows. So 290 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 2: sometimes it is impossible to know what the impact is 291 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 2: ultimately of that person's departure, because even if you had 292 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 2: filled that slot, you don't have that individual who had 293 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 2: all of these relationships over all of those many years 294 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 2: and may have known to do something that was not 295 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 2: strictly inside of the protocol, but would have been thinking, 296 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 2: oh my god, this summer camp. 297 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 3: I got to let them know. 298 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 2: There's a lot of questions like that that I think 299 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 2: will probably forever be unanswered about the actual impact of 300 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 2: these cuts. Let's go ahead and put the local reporting 301 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 2: the next piece up on the screen here, just to 302 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 2: see how quickly this flooding escalated, which is horrifying. You 303 00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 2: can see this chart here. This is from the Texas Tribune. 304 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 2: They say, in a Texas region prone to catastrophic floods, 305 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 2: questions grow about the lack of warning. And you can 306 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 2: see how quickly and how rapidly this escalated, with the 307 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 2: river reaching its peak of thirty six feet in height 308 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 2: at seven am on July fourth, leading to absolute devastation 309 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 2: and catastrophe. And so you know, Texas Tribune is not 310 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 2: just the New York Times and national outlets, it's also 311 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 2: you know, Texas Tribune that are asking some of these 312 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 2: same questions about whether or not these cuts played a 313 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 2: role in the absolutely devastating toll again worst one of 314 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 2: the worst floods in terms of death toll in a 315 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 2: century that unfolded here. And of course, you know there's 316 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 2: a climate change question to this as well, as we 317 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 2: see these catastrophic extreme weather events, these once in one 318 00:15:56,000 --> 00:16:00,160 Speaker 2: hundred year floods happening on now a decade by decade 319 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 2: more and more frequently. That's, you know, a big piece 320 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 2: of this. 321 00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 3: And then the other. 322 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 2: Part as well is you have the Trump administration not 323 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 2: only cutting FEMA, or sorry not in cutting the National 324 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 2: Weather Service, but also wanting to cut FEMA so that 325 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 2: in the wake of these horrific tragedies, you also have 326 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 2: a lesson ability to help people who have survived and 327 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 2: helped communities be able to rebuild. Let's go ahead and 328 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:31,640 Speaker 2: go to a four. Trump yesterday evening got asked some 329 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 2: of these questions, both about FEMA and about whether the 330 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 2: cuts impacted the response and you know, created more death 331 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:41,480 Speaker 2: and destruction in the. 332 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:42,960 Speaker 3: Wake of these floods. Let's go ahead and take a 333 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 3: listen to that. Are you investigating whether some of the 334 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 3: cuts to the federal. 335 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 1: Government left tea vacancies of the National Weather Service or 336 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 1: the emergency For me. 337 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 3: I did not. 338 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 6: I'll tell you if you look at that that water situation, 339 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 6: that all is and that was really Biden set up. 340 00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 3: That was not our setup. 341 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 4: But I wouldn't blame Biden for it either. 342 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 5: I would just say, this is one hundred year catastrophe 343 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 5: and it's just so horrible to watch. 344 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,680 Speaker 3: Are you still planning to phase out FEMA? 345 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:20,919 Speaker 6: Well, FEMA is something we could talk about later, but 346 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,680 Speaker 6: right now they're busy working, so we'll leave. 347 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 4: It at that. 348 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 2: Go ahead, and Emily, to me, it's particularly sick because 349 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 2: Trump ran aggressively on the response to Hurricane Helene, claiming 350 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 2: that the Biden administration didn't do enough there, which there 351 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 2: may well have been failures from the Biden administration, you know, FEMA. 352 00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 2: I'm honestly not certain if there was more that they 353 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 2: could have done there or not. But he really positioned 354 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 2: himself in the closing days of the campaign as someone 355 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 2: who is going to be better on disaster preparedness and 356 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 2: disaster recovery, and then as soon as he gets in 357 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:54,400 Speaker 2: office runs in the polar opposite direction. And not only 358 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:57,080 Speaker 2: has he been talking about getting rid of FEMA altogether 359 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 2: and just sending it to the states, they're also diverting 360 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 2: FEMA funds too, for example building Alligator Alcatraz right now. 361 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,679 Speaker 2: So again, you not only have the Doge chainsaw that 362 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 2: came in and cut the National Weather Service cut Noah, 363 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 2: this has been a long time Conservative priority. By the way, 364 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:14,960 Speaker 2: it was in Project twenty twenty five. This didn't just 365 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:16,919 Speaker 2: come out of nowhere. But not only do you have 366 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 2: the time, the way, Yeah, we can put that up 367 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,159 Speaker 2: on the screen. This is something actually Soccer and I 368 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:22,720 Speaker 2: were talking and I think you were talking about it too, 369 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 2: even before Trump got elected. When we were talking about 370 00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:30,119 Speaker 2: Project twenty twenty five. There's an ideological project, you know, 371 00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 2: an attack here on the National Weather Service which comes 372 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:35,359 Speaker 2: both out of an ideological commitment to just cutting the 373 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:40,920 Speaker 2: government overall, but also out of ideological opposition to doing 374 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,520 Speaker 2: anything about the climate crisis. And that's spelled on, you know, 375 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 2: quite clearly here that they feel the National Weather Service 376 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:49,560 Speaker 2: is a key part of what they call the climate 377 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:54,159 Speaker 2: change alarm industry. And so there was, you know, a 378 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:57,359 Speaker 2: concerted effort to go after this, and so sometimes you know, 379 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,080 Speaker 2: I think some of the Elon cuts, Doge cuts were 380 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 2: sort of random and haphazard. This one was planned out, 381 00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 2: This one was messaged in advance, not that they talked 382 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 2: a lot about it on the campaign trail, but you know, Trump, 383 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:12,240 Speaker 2: of course they're just shifting it to the side and saying, actually, 384 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 2: the water situation there is somehow Biden's fault. 385 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 4: What's interesting also about this is people remember the leaked 386 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 4: video of russ vote talking about how the goal was 387 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:30,159 Speaker 4: to demoralize bureaucrats. So we talked about some of the 388 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 4: cuts Crystal earlier this year affecting tornado warnings, and I 389 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 4: pulled up an Associated Press article from May that said, 390 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 4: as of March some of the Weather Service offices issuing 391 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 4: tornado warnings Friday and Sunday were above the twenty percent 392 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:47,639 Speaker 4: vacancy levels that outside experts have said as a critical threshold. 393 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,119 Speaker 4: So those are offices with twenty five nine thirty two 394 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:54,439 Speaker 4: percent vacancy rate and for example Wichita. And what's interesting 395 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:58,639 Speaker 4: about that vacancy rate, that's positions that are unfilled that 396 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 4: they are trying to fill. That is not positions that 397 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:06,160 Speaker 4: were cut, which is really the sort of public marketing 398 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 4: of DOGE is that we are slashing, kind of permanently slashing. 399 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:14,480 Speaker 4: The idea was the size of the federal government. These 400 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,640 Speaker 4: are people who were, in all likelihood to the point 401 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:19,439 Speaker 4: that we were just talking about in the Kervel area, 402 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,679 Speaker 4: they were driven out of the work. It took early retirements, 403 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,199 Speaker 4: they decided to go work in the private sector. And 404 00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:31,359 Speaker 4: so I think it does crystal reflect on DOGE overall 405 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,239 Speaker 4: when you say these are positions that are actually not 406 00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 4: being cut, they're just vacant. They're just completely like they're 407 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 4: some of these If it's a vacancy, that implies that 408 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 4: they don't want to get rid of the position because 409 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 4: they're still actively filling the position, which is very different 410 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 4: from just slashing the size of the offices totally. 411 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 2: What also speaks to so for this individual in particular, 412 00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 2: who was known for doing the local coordination and was 413 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 2: a veteran and took the early buyout. 414 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 3: It also speaks to the fact that a lot of 415 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:05,360 Speaker 3: the people that. 416 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:08,639 Speaker 2: Were pushed out were some of the most effective, some 417 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 2: of the people that you would actually want to keep 418 00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 2: and prioritize keeping. So all the language about doj oh, 419 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 2: we need to get back to merit, et cetera, et cetera, 420 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,719 Speaker 2: but then the actual program that they used to go 421 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 2: about doing this was almost tailor made to push out 422 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 2: some of the most senior and most valuable individuals throughout 423 00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 2: the federal government who would be the most difficult to replace. 424 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,160 Speaker 2: And I went and look this guy up. He's on LinkedIn. 425 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,680 Speaker 2: He's now doing Yeah, private consulting. Who went to private industry. Yeah, 426 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 2: that's exactly what happened here. And so those vacancies continued 427 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:46,200 Speaker 2: to remain, But there's a hiring freeze at the agency, 428 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,679 Speaker 2: so it's not like they have the possibility of hiring 429 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,280 Speaker 2: it to fill these positions. Even and then they also 430 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,560 Speaker 2: things like the member there was that freeze on any 431 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 2: sort of expense reimbursement so that there was an inability 432 00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 2: to travel, to coordinate between you know, from the state 433 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:04,919 Speaker 2: office to the local communities, et cetera. So you know, 434 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:08,679 Speaker 2: I was telling you I was watching the This is 435 00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 2: going to seem like a total diversion, but I promise 436 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 2: it connects. I was watching the Titan Submersible right documentary 437 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:18,439 Speaker 2: on Netflix, And when you see that dude's Docton Rush 438 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,440 Speaker 2: who went down with the ship, the way he went 439 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:25,520 Speaker 2: about doing things, and just like there was no cost 440 00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 2: to all of the like I'm not going to get 441 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 2: my submersible classed and inspected by the federal government. I'm 442 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,080 Speaker 2: not going to play by the rules. I'm an innovator. 443 00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 2: And he talked about how he molded himself after Elon Musk. 444 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 2: There were so many personalities similarities there where it's just 445 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 2: like these guys think that none of this stuff matters, 446 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 2: Like there aren't going to be any real world impacts 447 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 2: of their willingness to cut corners and do things however 448 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 2: they want to do them. I mean, you see it 449 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 2: with Elon too, with like the USAAD cuts. He's in 450 00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 2: total denial that that has impacted anyone's life lives. Obviously, 451 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:04,359 Speaker 2: even if you're someone who doesn't like USAID, you have 452 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 2: to be honest and admit, of course, when you pull 453 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 2: funding for medicine away from kids who need it, that's 454 00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 2: going to impact people's lives. And so there were huge 455 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 2: warnings here about what this could ultimately mean for life 456 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 2: and death. The living heads of the National Weather Service, 457 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 2: all of the previous heads, they put out an open letter. 458 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 2: We can put this up on the screen. This is 459 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:31,919 Speaker 2: a seven warning of exactly this. They said that NWS 460 00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 2: staff will have an impossible task to continue their current 461 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,920 Speaker 2: level of service. Some forecast offices will be so short 462 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 2: staff they may be forced to go to part time services. 463 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 2: Not only are there fewer forecasters, there are fewer electronic 464 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 2: technicians who are responsible for maintaining the critical nextroad radars. 465 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 3: Our worst nightmare. 466 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 2: Is that weather forecast offices will be so understaffed there 467 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:52,840 Speaker 2: will be needless loss of life. We know that's a 468 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 2: nightmare shared by those on the forecasting frontlines and by 469 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 2: the people who depend on their efforts. 470 00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 3: So they weren't of this. 471 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 2: There was actually a warning from a Florida forecaster, again, 472 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,480 Speaker 2: a veteran meteorologist down in South Florida. That went viral 473 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 2: at the time and is now going viral again because 474 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 2: he also is sounding the alarm about what these cuts 475 00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 2: could mean as we had right now we're already into 476 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,880 Speaker 2: hurricane season. Let's go ahead and take a listen to that. 477 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,760 Speaker 7: When is it going to turn, John, It's not turning, 478 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:24,640 Speaker 7: It's coming straight to us. 479 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:26,880 Speaker 4: It's going to turn. 480 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 7: The turn will come Monday afternoon, Monday evening into Tuesday. 481 00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:35,679 Speaker 7: Remember that that was. 482 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 4: About six years ago. 483 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 7: That was Hurricane Dorian. As it was absolutely devastating the 484 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:43,080 Speaker 7: northwest Bahamas as a Category five sat over that region 485 00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 7: for two days. It was headed straight west. Lots of 486 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:50,680 Speaker 7: people in Florida were concerned the hurricane was heading here. Confidently, 487 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,160 Speaker 7: I went on TV and I told you it's going 488 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,359 Speaker 7: to turn. You don't need to worry. It is going 489 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 7: to turn. And I am here to tell you that 490 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:00,880 Speaker 7: I'm not sure I can do that. 491 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 4: This year. 492 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 7: Because of the gut cuts, the gutting, the sledgehammer attack 493 00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:12,960 Speaker 7: on science in general. And I could talk about that 494 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,720 Speaker 7: for a long long time. Let's talk about the federal 495 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 7: government cuts to the National Weather Service and to Noah, 496 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:21,880 Speaker 7: did you know that Central and South Florida National Weather 497 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:26,320 Speaker 7: Service offices are currently basically twenty to forty percent understaffed 498 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 7: from Tampa to Key West, including the Miami office twenty 499 00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:35,679 Speaker 7: to forty percent understaffed. Now, this type of staffing shortage 500 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 7: is having impacts across the nation because there's been a 501 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,919 Speaker 7: nearly twenty percent reduction in weather balloon releases launches that 502 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 7: carry those radio signs, and what we're starting to see 503 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 7: is that the quality of the forecasts is becoming degraded. 504 00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,399 Speaker 7: There's also a chance because of some of these cuts 505 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,919 Speaker 7: that NAWA Hurricane Hunter aircraft will not be able to 506 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 7: fly this year, and with less reconnaissance missions, we may 507 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 7: be flying blind and we may not exactly know how 508 00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 7: strong a hurricane is before it reaches the coastline, like 509 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:10,360 Speaker 7: happened a couple of years ago in Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico. 510 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 4: What you need to do is. 511 00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 7: Call your representatives and make sure that these cuts are stopped. 512 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:17,680 Speaker 3: So there you go. 513 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:20,440 Speaker 2: Dire warning there that was I think back in February 514 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 2: from that South Florida forecaster, and you know the immediate 515 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 2: wake of these cuts, and there are a lot of 516 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 2: questions about what happened here. And I think it's fair 517 00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,000 Speaker 2: to say we don't know at this point whether the 518 00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 2: cuts made a difference here or not, but a lot 519 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 2: of questions you can't help but ask, did the cuts 520 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,240 Speaker 2: to the National Weather Service, these local offices, these vacancies, 521 00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 2: these individuals who had longtime expertise in this community, longtime 522 00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:48,399 Speaker 2: relationships in this community. Could those people have made a 523 00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:52,120 Speaker 2: difference here if they hadn't been pushed out, if these 524 00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 2: offices were not you know, understaffed, with these significant vacancies, 525 00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:00,440 Speaker 2: And it's horrifying to see. And certainly this won't be 526 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,080 Speaker 2: the last time that these questions are raised, either with 527 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 2: regard to National Weather Service or anything else. And you know, Emily, 528 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,560 Speaker 2: this is anecdotal, but I will say we were, you know, 529 00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:10,159 Speaker 2: we were at the beach last week. We try to 530 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 2: plan out like our daily schedule. The forecasts were the 531 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:14,120 Speaker 2: worst I have ever seen. 532 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 3: They were. 533 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:16,760 Speaker 2: I was looking on the weather app which gets all 534 00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,439 Speaker 2: of that information comes from the federal government, and it 535 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 2: was just like, wildly wrong every single day. Yeah, and 536 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:26,679 Speaker 2: I look again, weather forecasts in the best of funding 537 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:27,920 Speaker 2: times can be wrong. 538 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 3: But I look at them. 539 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 2: Like this could be doge, Like this could the reason 540 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,719 Speaker 2: that this is all wrong could very well be that 541 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 2: they just don't have the resources to accurately forecast the 542 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,720 Speaker 2: way that they used to and it's you know, contributes 543 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:45,679 Speaker 2: to the sense of it. Also, like the loss of 544 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,879 Speaker 2: life here is obviously the critical thing to focus on 545 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,840 Speaker 2: in the fact that this is a major possibility again 546 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,240 Speaker 2: as we head into like the worst of hurricane season. 547 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 2: I think this is a dire warning for the country 548 00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 2: about the track we're on. 549 00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 3: And it's also just this sense of decline. 550 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 2: Like things that we used to be to do, used 551 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:02,919 Speaker 2: to be able to keep planes in there without like 552 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 2: you know, crashing into each other, crashing into a helicopter 553 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 2: or whatever. We can't forecast, we can't prepare the way 554 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,440 Speaker 2: that we could even a decade ago. I mean that 555 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 2: is it's with horrifying and tragic consequences. 556 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:19,800 Speaker 4: Well, and I'm very curious to see if this creeps 557 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,600 Speaker 4: into the abundance conversation at all, given that Texas is 558 00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:26,199 Speaker 4: such a focal point of the debate between Texas California 559 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 4: as an argument for abundance. Because Mike Baker the New 560 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 4: York Times runs down. Yeah, see he's been running down. 561 00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:35,680 Speaker 4: He has a thread on X Ray. He's running down 562 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:41,400 Speaker 4: all of the apparent, ostensible local cracks that led to 563 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 4: the situation that transpired on Friday, And it's pretty interesting. 564 00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,240 Speaker 4: You know, the people didn't want to, for example, pay 565 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:52,240 Speaker 4: for what they saw is way too expensive warning signs 566 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:56,959 Speaker 4: or warnings sirens. So there are a lot of I 567 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,560 Speaker 4: think important questions that are going to be asked because 568 00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 4: of all of this. The quick thought on the political 569 00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,840 Speaker 4: component that we were just talking about. I mean, I'm 570 00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 4: sure that there are defensible cuts to the National Weather Service. 571 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 4: I have no idea how many they are. I don't 572 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 4: even know what they look like. I'm sure you can 573 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 4: find an argument that there would be a more efficient 574 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 4: NWS or Noah whatever with a couple of precise cuts scalpel, 575 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 4: not sledgehammers, and not. What they ended up saying is 576 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:27,760 Speaker 4: those was sort of teetering on the brink. But the 577 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:33,960 Speaker 4: must mentality has probably damaged the project of making a 578 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 4: more efficient federal government for a generation because now it 579 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:44,480 Speaker 4: is inextricably emotionally viscerally linked with everything that happens afterwards. 580 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 4: Sometimes it'll be fair, sometimes it won't be fair. But 581 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 4: either way, these the way that he I just wanted 582 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 4: to make that point about Stockton Rush that you brought up, 583 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 4: I think that's super incisive because it's this people who 584 00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:01,640 Speaker 4: come from the tech world, who are super online and 585 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 4: or the highest echelons of business, and you know, they're airs. 586 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 4: I think Stockton Rush was an air, right, like yeah, 587 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 4: it was yeah right, and just tinkering with life and 588 00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,600 Speaker 4: death in a way that I think lacks the gravity 589 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 4: and the consequence of the decision making, and that I 590 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,640 Speaker 4: don't know the project of like actually shrinking the scope 591 00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 4: of the federal government will ever recover from, at least 592 00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 4: in the next couple decades, not to mention. 593 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 2: I mean, Elan, I'll tell you, first of all, they 594 00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 2: didn't save any money, no, no, none. They cost the 595 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 2: federal government money to make it worse. They made the 596 00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 2: federal government worse and less efficient and it costs more money. Right, 597 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 2: And they just passed the big beautiful bill which is 598 00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:45,040 Speaker 2: going to blow up the den and the deficit. So 599 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 2: if there was any pretense of, oh, this is all 600 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,840 Speaker 2: to get our spending under control, you know, because we 601 00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,320 Speaker 2: have such a large debt and deficit, I mean no, 602 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,160 Speaker 2: you just you just made things worse. 603 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 3: That's it. That's what you accomplished. 604 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,240 Speaker 4: That is the perfect segue into our next walk, which 605 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:07,280 Speaker 4: is the America Party is now I guess official, Crystal. 606 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:10,120 Speaker 4: We're going to learn more about filings and such in 607 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,600 Speaker 4: the days ahead, but let's put the first element on 608 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:15,479 Speaker 4: the screen. Elon Musk on the fourth of July tweeted 609 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 4: Independence Days of the perfect time to ask if you 610 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 4: want independence from the two party some would say uniparty system. 611 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 4: He started tweeting, like Trump, it's interesting, should we create 612 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 4: the America Party? 613 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 3: You know, because just a pause on that. Sorry. 614 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 2: One of my biggest pet peeves on the left, One 615 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 2: of my biggest pet paves is these people who all 616 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 2: will talk like Obama, Yes forever, Pete and Beato and 617 00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 2: Corey Booker, and there's Josh Pier or whatever. 618 00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 3: On the right. 619 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,920 Speaker 2: The way everyone posts like Trump and tries to talk 620 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,719 Speaker 2: like Trump is so annoying and grading, like can people 621 00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:50,240 Speaker 2: please have their own personality? 622 00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:54,280 Speaker 4: It's not only annoying and grading, it is also, I 623 00:31:54,280 --> 00:32:02,760 Speaker 4: don't know, Crystal, a little homo erotic. I see a post. 624 00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 3: From how about all the Daddy posting about Trump? It's 625 00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:05,480 Speaker 3: how about that? 626 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 4: It's a lot sometimes, but sometimes you see a post 627 00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:14,160 Speaker 4: from like I don't know, Charlie Kirk. He's really bad 628 00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 4: about it. He posts like when Trump started getting more 629 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 4: and more popular back like ten years ago. Now his 630 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 4: style changed so conspicuously on Twitter anyway, this is entirely 631 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 4: beside the point. But like Elon is playing that game 632 00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 4: as well now. But his poll results on x This 633 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 4: is another super Trumpian thing, right, Chris Well. Remember when 634 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,880 Speaker 4: Trump during the twenty fifteen to sixteen debates against other 635 00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 4: Republican candidates would constantly be citing Twitter polls, like in 636 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,120 Speaker 4: the debates and in media. 637 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 3: Does this time, remember he was citing that cat Turn poll. 638 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,360 Speaker 4: Here you go by a factor of two to one. 639 00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:50,400 Speaker 4: You want a new political party, Elon Musk says, and 640 00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,960 Speaker 4: you shall have it because people who follow Elon Musk 641 00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:57,320 Speaker 4: on Twitter he apparently got one point two million votes, 642 00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:01,239 Speaker 4: said that they want a new political party. Now, that 643 00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 4: is not a question that says they want an America 644 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 4: party necessarily, it says, you know, we live in a 645 00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,400 Speaker 4: one party system, not a democracy. So that could mean 646 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:10,240 Speaker 4: a lot of different things. But it's really there's no 647 00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:14,480 Speaker 4: point in parsing the seriousness of this pole at social media. 648 00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:21,840 Speaker 4: But Trump responded to this and this is our next element. 649 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:25,719 Speaker 4: This is B one B with a very long post 650 00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,480 Speaker 4: on X where he says, I am saddened to watch 651 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 4: Elon Musk or on True Social Elon Musk go completely 652 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 4: off the rails, essentially becoming a train wreck over the 653 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 4: past five weeks. He even wants to start a third 654 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 4: political party, despite the fact that they have never succeeded 655 00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 4: in the United States. The system seems not designed for them. 656 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 4: Seems yes, excellent. 657 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 3: Never is an overstatement that anyway, go ahead. 658 00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:54,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, he is from the Republican Party, which third parties. Yes, 659 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 4: and then he goes on, I mean this is like 660 00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,400 Speaker 4: a three hundred word post on True Social. He goes 661 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:03,000 Speaker 4: on to talk about the ev mandate. He says, my 662 00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 4: number one charge is to protect the American public. So 663 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:13,479 Speaker 4: they were trading barbs all weekend basically. Musk then went 664 00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,560 Speaker 4: on to say the Republican Party has a clean sweep 665 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,960 Speaker 4: of the executive, legislative and judicial branches and still has 666 00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,160 Speaker 4: the nerve to massively increase the size of the government, 667 00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,960 Speaker 4: expanding the national debt by a record five trillion dollars. So, Crystal, 668 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:31,319 Speaker 4: this all happened as promised after Donald Trump on the 669 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,560 Speaker 4: fourth of July, he got his perfect ceremonial moment signed 670 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 4: the one big Beautiful bill at the White House on 671 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,719 Speaker 4: the fourth of July. That is what Elon Musk said, 672 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,759 Speaker 4: basically would be the infantos for the America Party. And 673 00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,320 Speaker 4: just very quickly the next element he is now saying 674 00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,000 Speaker 4: that he could target just two to three Senate seats 675 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:53,520 Speaker 4: in eight to ten house districts by basically as this 676 00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:57,840 Speaker 4: person he interacts with a lot on ex Mario Naffal, Yeah, says, 677 00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 4: skipping the national circuit hit where margins are razor thin. 678 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:05,960 Speaker 4: Now that's actually a very smart political strategy. 679 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:07,960 Speaker 3: But it's a. 680 00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 2: Smart political strategy if you want to hand Democrats those 681 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,280 Speaker 2: two to three Senate stats in eight to ten house districts. 682 00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:16,399 Speaker 4: There it is, Yes, that's what you That's exactly what 683 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,600 Speaker 4: will in all likelihood happen. 684 00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:19,640 Speaker 3: Yeah. 685 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,359 Speaker 2: And by the way, Elon interacted with this post, which 686 00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,480 Speaker 2: gave me the sense that this was at least somewhat 687 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,880 Speaker 2: in the ballpark of what is actually happening here. Because no, 688 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,799 Speaker 2: Fall is not always the most reliable character and it 689 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,799 Speaker 2: drives me crazy, like the so many digressions today, but 690 00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:36,879 Speaker 2: the downgrading of links in the Twitter algorithm has made 691 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,400 Speaker 2: it so obnoxious so that you know, people like you 692 00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 2: can't go and check easily what people are actually saying 693 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,359 Speaker 2: with the used to be that you posted the links 694 00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:46,760 Speaker 2: so you can go actually see anyway. 695 00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:47,120 Speaker 4: Whatever. 696 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 3: So the Trump post is still very interesting to me. 697 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 2: Because yes it's long and goes after Elon and says 698 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,560 Speaker 2: he's gone off the rails or whatever. It still feels 699 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:01,920 Speaker 2: so mild to me to what he says about you know, 700 00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:06,000 Speaker 2: I remember how humiliated Ronda Santas came to me in tears. 701 00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:08,680 Speaker 2: It is us and he needs just like he knows 702 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:13,279 Speaker 2: how to absolutely humiliate people, and he doesn't really do 703 00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:14,120 Speaker 2: that in fact. 704 00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 3: To be honest with you, I'm. 705 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:19,360 Speaker 2: I you know, I don't like either of these guys. 706 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 2: I hope both of them fail. The points he made 707 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 2: about Elon were pretty reasonable. He's like, oh, he's mad 708 00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,800 Speaker 2: about his EV subsidies and he's mad that he didn't 709 00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:32,200 Speaker 2: get his like handpicked guy in t NASA so that 710 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 2: he could get whatever he wanted for SpaceX like. 711 00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,600 Speaker 3: True, yeah, true, correct. 712 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,839 Speaker 2: Perfectly reasonable points there, and so I don't know, it's 713 00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:42,600 Speaker 2: just interesting to me. And then this will tie into 714 00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:46,880 Speaker 2: the Epstein black too, since Elon had floated previously like hey, 715 00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:49,239 Speaker 2: Trump's on the you know, a pedo basically Trump's on 716 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,200 Speaker 2: the Epstein clientless and then once they sort of like 717 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:57,080 Speaker 2: calmed the waters, he deleted those posts and said he 718 00:36:57,120 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 2: had gone too far. 719 00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,120 Speaker 3: So I don't know. But in terms of the America Party. 720 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:05,520 Speaker 2: Do I think this is going to be some successful 721 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 2: effort to supplant either of the two main parties, which 722 00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:10,839 Speaker 2: is what a third party actually has to do in 723 00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 2: order to find significant success. No, I don't think so, 724 00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,239 Speaker 2: especially because what is it even, Like what is the 725 00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:22,440 Speaker 2: ideology here? I mean I got he's talking, yeah, deficit reduction, Okay, 726 00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:26,040 Speaker 2: then like what are the other pieces that go along 727 00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:30,120 Speaker 2: with that? And very unclear because Elon's ideology has been 728 00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,959 Speaker 2: kind of all over the place. I saw we could 729 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:37,600 Speaker 2: put just to steal man the argument for this sort 730 00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:40,840 Speaker 2: of like neoliberal austerity direction of a third. 731 00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 3: Party, which is not a new idea. 732 00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:44,600 Speaker 2: I mean, go talk to the no labels people, go 733 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:46,560 Speaker 2: talk to the Third Way people like this is their 734 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:50,920 Speaker 2: whole bag. And there's very little public support, while I 735 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,600 Speaker 2: think there is massive public support for like, hey, we'd 736 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,800 Speaker 2: like we're frustrated with this political system. We are frustrated 737 00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,480 Speaker 2: with these two political parties. We would like some options 738 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:00,040 Speaker 2: other than. 739 00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,320 Speaker 3: D or R. That would be great. 740 00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:04,759 Speaker 2: But then when you actually get down to the details 741 00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:07,760 Speaker 2: of oh, it's going to be a neoliberal austerity party 742 00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:11,279 Speaker 2: run by and for a billionaire, then that seems like. 743 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,200 Speaker 4: A little money in China, right, a little. 744 00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:17,719 Speaker 2: Right the America Party by a billionaire who makes this 745 00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:20,880 Speaker 2: money in China. I guess that is American actually, But 746 00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:23,839 Speaker 2: in any case, you know, the public support for that 747 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,960 Speaker 2: starts to dwindle pretty quickly once you get into that territory, 748 00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:29,360 Speaker 2: especially at a time when Elon Musk has completely nuked 749 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 2: his own personal favorability ratings, certainly with Liberals but also 750 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 2: with Republicans, with Maga Republicans. At this point, Nate content 751 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:40,160 Speaker 2: analysis saying, hey, you never know, this was from a 752 00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:40,759 Speaker 2: little while ago. 753 00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:42,439 Speaker 3: B five guys who could put this up. 754 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:45,360 Speaker 2: On the street, saying again, to steal me in the 755 00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,560 Speaker 2: case this is Nate Code's analysis. He says, listen, if 756 00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:52,480 Speaker 2: the two major parties truly go in this more populist 757 00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:56,000 Speaker 2: direction where you know, you're doing tariffs and you're doing 758 00:38:56,120 --> 00:39:01,839 Speaker 2: industrial policy, and you're doing you know, big spending, and 759 00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 2: you know maybe the Democrats actually go in a sort 760 00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:06,840 Speaker 2: of like Zoron AOC direction. 761 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:08,160 Speaker 3: This was pree Zorn. 762 00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:10,759 Speaker 2: But anyway, maybe the Republicans, you know, they actually go 763 00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 2: in this more populous nationalist stee Bannon type direction, and 764 00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:19,480 Speaker 2: then you're left with these neoliberal business market types who 765 00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:22,680 Speaker 2: don't really have a home. Then maybe there starts to 766 00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:28,160 Speaker 2: be some logic for this centrist third party. But you know, 767 00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,759 Speaker 2: to me where that analysis falls apart. It's like, I 768 00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,480 Speaker 2: think neoliberals already have two parties. 769 00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:34,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, that continue to serve them. 770 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:36,880 Speaker 2: I mean, this giant bill that just passes a big 771 00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 2: tax cut for the rich. You know, the tariffs have 772 00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:43,400 Speaker 2: ended up certainly not being the revolutionary change at this 773 00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:46,200 Speaker 2: point that Trump had originally advertised. 774 00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:47,880 Speaker 3: These backed off the most maximums. 775 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,880 Speaker 2: Position, and that's very responsive to the needs and desires 776 00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:52,200 Speaker 2: of billionaire oligarchs. 777 00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:54,760 Speaker 4: By the way, Yeah, that was big news over the weekend, 778 00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,719 Speaker 4: right and it's unclear exactly what's going to happen as 779 00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,760 Speaker 4: of right now, but they moved the July ninth tariff 780 00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:06,239 Speaker 4: tariff deadline to August first, and they're saying many more 781 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:07,960 Speaker 4: deals are going to come. So for they have the 782 00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 4: UK Vietnam and China. But they right now are even 783 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,319 Speaker 4: as we speak, actually like trying to do what they've 784 00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 4: been doing since April at this point, right there was 785 00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,879 Speaker 4: a July ninth deadline, and now it's it's suddenly August first, 786 00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:24,680 Speaker 4: a couple of days beforehand. So it just underscores exactly 787 00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:25,200 Speaker 4: what you were saying. 788 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, And then so there's both the fact that I think, 789 00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:31,080 Speaker 2: you know, neoliberals have plenty of places politically or not 790 00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:33,000 Speaker 2: politically homeless far from it. 791 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:34,719 Speaker 3: And we'll see what happens the. 792 00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:37,160 Speaker 2: Democratic primary in twenty twenty eight, whether there is any 793 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:38,080 Speaker 2: sort of significanthit. 794 00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:38,880 Speaker 3: I think it's possible. 795 00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,440 Speaker 2: I think there's a real rupture over a kind of 796 00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:45,960 Speaker 2: actually litmus test around Gaza that may end up shifting things. 797 00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:48,080 Speaker 2: But that's another conversation for another day. 798 00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,480 Speaker 3: But the other question is, like the public is done 799 00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:50,719 Speaker 3: with this. 800 00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:54,160 Speaker 2: So, yeah, you may have a lot of like rich 801 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,360 Speaker 2: business people, and this has always been the thing with 802 00:40:56,520 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 2: Third Way and with no. 803 00:40:57,600 --> 00:40:58,360 Speaker 3: Labels and whatever. 804 00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:00,440 Speaker 2: The problem is not getting a bunch of rich business 805 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:02,239 Speaker 2: people to be like, hey, let's have tax gets and 806 00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:05,680 Speaker 2: do regulation. The problem is that public support for that 807 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 2: at a time when the ideology of you know, standard 808 00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:13,799 Speaker 2: Reagan Clinton neoliberalism is so broken and failed, and what 809 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:17,360 Speaker 2: people are desperately questing for is something different that is 810 00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:19,760 Speaker 2: actually going to work and be responsive to the concerns 811 00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:20,600 Speaker 2: of a modern age. 812 00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:23,240 Speaker 4: Well, and this is where I think Nate Cohn's analysis 813 00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,960 Speaker 4: the history of it was I think really helpful context. 814 00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:28,319 Speaker 4: But he says over the last few years a new 815 00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:30,520 Speaker 4: constituency has begun to emerge. For now does not have 816 00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:32,040 Speaker 4: a home in either party, and it's not clear that 817 00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:34,640 Speaker 4: either party will be able to easily accommodate its demands. 818 00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:38,640 Speaker 4: He says it favors things like deficit reduction, deregulation, free trade, 819 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,919 Speaker 4: and high skilled immigration. And Chrystal, I do not think 820 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:46,400 Speaker 4: that is a constituency that exists outside of Wall Street 821 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:50,400 Speaker 4: and Silicon Valley, right, That is not a mass constituency. 822 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:52,959 Speaker 4: And that's really the problem with quote unquote America Party. 823 00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,640 Speaker 4: It's not that most Americans are satisfied with the two 824 00:41:56,640 --> 00:42:00,560 Speaker 4: party system. Basically nobody is satisfied with the two party system. 825 00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,600 Speaker 4: That doesn't mean it's still the It doesn't win in 826 00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:06,320 Speaker 4: a lesser of two evils versus some type of different 827 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:10,040 Speaker 4: system like UK or a lot of Europe. But at 828 00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:14,640 Speaker 4: the same time, this idea that there's a massive appetite 829 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:19,640 Speaker 4: for what does keln say, deficit reduction, deregulation, free trade, 830 00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:22,840 Speaker 4: and high skilled immigration. This is also interesting because that's 831 00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:27,520 Speaker 4: basically the Republican Party that Donald Trump changed forever. Like, 832 00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:30,400 Speaker 4: if you can describe it like that deficit reduction, deregulation, 833 00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:32,520 Speaker 4: free trade, in high schilled immigration, that is what every 834 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:37,000 Speaker 4: other twenty fifteen twenty sixteen Republican primary candidate was saying 835 00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:38,920 Speaker 4: that they were in favor of. Donald Trump created a 836 00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:42,760 Speaker 4: third party within the Republican Party essentially, and its success 837 00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:45,040 Speaker 4: is still post Trump up in the air, Like, we 838 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,760 Speaker 4: actually don't know what's going to happen to the Republican 839 00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,759 Speaker 4: Party after Trump, and there's certainly no constituency for the 840 00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:54,200 Speaker 4: old Republican Party. So the idea that maybe a bunch 841 00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:58,560 Speaker 4: of billionaires, this is exactly what you're saying, could create AstroTurf, 842 00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:03,080 Speaker 4: another no labels or third way. Yeah, of course you can. 843 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:05,160 Speaker 4: I mean you can pump a bunch of money into it. 844 00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,600 Speaker 4: You can maybe win a couple of Yeah, you can 845 00:43:07,640 --> 00:43:11,879 Speaker 4: win a couple of house races. Whatever. That doesn't mean 846 00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:14,839 Speaker 4: that he's breaking the third party system. I just think 847 00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:17,960 Speaker 4: that's the idea that that's actually gonna happen is obviously absurd, 848 00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:19,160 Speaker 4: but yeah, it's got a lot of money. 849 00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:20,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, he does. 850 00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:22,600 Speaker 2: And listen, my fondest hope would be for all of 851 00:43:22,600 --> 00:43:25,120 Speaker 2: the people that you mentioned to basically put themselves in 852 00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:27,960 Speaker 2: some fringe third party and consign themselves. 853 00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:30,760 Speaker 4: To a relegancy and elect Democrats in the process. 854 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:32,320 Speaker 3: Do that to go ahead. 855 00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:35,440 Speaker 2: You gonna have Andrew Cuomo, you got Michael Bloomberg, you 856 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,200 Speaker 2: have Mark Cuban. There's all speaking. Mark Cuban, put B 857 00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:40,040 Speaker 2: six up on the screen. He's very open to this. 858 00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:44,960 Speaker 2: Andrew Yang also, come on, Andrew, Andrew, Liz, I have 859 00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:49,239 Speaker 2: so much affection for Andrew m I absolutely do, and 860 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:51,640 Speaker 2: I genuinely, you know, and I still still talk to 861 00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:55,920 Speaker 2: him like semi regularly, Like I genuinely think his focus 862 00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,080 Speaker 2: is like we need to change it, like this system 863 00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:00,200 Speaker 2: is not working. And so anybody who's like, let's let's 864 00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:02,319 Speaker 2: do with something different things is like, yes, let's do it. 865 00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:06,640 Speaker 2: But then Cuban, I mean, it's just too it's just 866 00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 2: too perfect. Cuban is out there like, oh, I can 867 00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:10,280 Speaker 2: help you get ballid access. 868 00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:15,040 Speaker 3: Good, go for it, buddy, do it, do it well. 869 00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:17,799 Speaker 4: See, this is one of the problems that con identifies 870 00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:21,359 Speaker 4: is that typically people who are dissatisfied with the two 871 00:44:21,440 --> 00:44:25,000 Speaker 4: party system don't agree unmuch. Therefore, there's never a route 872 00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:28,680 Speaker 4: really towards a third party because to cobble together the 873 00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:32,400 Speaker 4: people upset about left and right, you have to also 874 00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 4: have some type of thread. You have to have some 875 00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:38,040 Speaker 4: type of unifying factor other than we just don't like 876 00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,040 Speaker 4: the other two parties. And if Musk thinks that it's 877 00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:44,360 Speaker 4: the national debt, that's insane, Like it's another thing that 878 00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:47,640 Speaker 4: people are upset about, of course, but it's nobody's priority, right. 879 00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:49,800 Speaker 4: Like again, if you polled most Americans and said, is 880 00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:51,560 Speaker 4: the national debt a problem? And do you not like 881 00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,560 Speaker 4: the two party system right now? People would be like, yeah, 882 00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 4: I've got like, yes, don't like the two party system. 883 00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:59,400 Speaker 4: National debt is a big deal. We're you know, we 884 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:01,080 Speaker 4: wish that the name should have had its fiscal house 885 00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:03,520 Speaker 4: in order. Most Americans would absolutely agree with both of 886 00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:07,080 Speaker 4: those things. That doesn't mean that it's their top voting priority. Well, 887 00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:09,560 Speaker 4: that they're going to be coerced into voting for a 888 00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:12,080 Speaker 4: third party when other people are speaking to their priority, 889 00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 4: not to mention. 890 00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:16,560 Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, in theory just like those was kind of 891 00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:17,840 Speaker 2: popular at the beginning. 892 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,920 Speaker 3: Yeah. Oh, should we cut the spent sure? 893 00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:21,359 Speaker 6: Yes? 894 00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:22,840 Speaker 3: Should government be more efficient? 895 00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:23,280 Speaker 1: Sure? 896 00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:28,040 Speaker 2: Should we gut the National Weather Service and FEMA so 897 00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:30,480 Speaker 2: that you know, little girls die in a flood? 898 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:31,160 Speaker 3: Should we do that? 899 00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,400 Speaker 4: Or should we push the most expense or the most 900 00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:35,759 Speaker 4: experienced people out out? Should we? 901 00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:38,319 Speaker 2: Do you want your Social Security cut? Do you want 902 00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:42,640 Speaker 2: your Medicare cut? Because Musk again is a gigantic federal 903 00:45:42,680 --> 00:45:45,840 Speaker 2: government contractor with the with the Pentagon, So it's not 904 00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:47,480 Speaker 2: going to be the military budget, I can tell you 905 00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:50,479 Speaker 2: that much, which also did not happen underdos that were cuts. 906 00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:53,680 Speaker 2: Yes to National Weather Service, No cuts the military. 907 00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:56,360 Speaker 4: We just put a bunch of money into the military. 908 00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:58,880 Speaker 2: Right, That's exactly right, Which is why just to go 909 00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:01,680 Speaker 2: back to your point about Trump, you know, I think 910 00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:05,080 Speaker 2: it is both fair to say to change the Republican 911 00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:07,520 Speaker 2: Party and fair to say that there are a lot 912 00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:11,760 Speaker 2: of just ramping up the previous Republican Party priorities in Trump. 913 00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:14,680 Speaker 2: And I think BBB is the perfect example of that. 914 00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,040 Speaker 2: The one big beautiful bill where you get you know, 915 00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:19,840 Speaker 2: cuss the Social safetyment, very Paul Ryan, us cuss the 916 00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:20,799 Speaker 2: social safety net. 917 00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:21,960 Speaker 3: You get very. 918 00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:25,680 Speaker 2: Paul Ryan tax CITs literally drafted by like Paul Ryan 919 00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:30,280 Speaker 2: and his accolyadtes tax cuts that predominantly benefit the wealthiest 920 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:35,160 Speaker 2: among us. You get a massive escalation in the military budget. Again, 921 00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:39,040 Speaker 2: these are key Republican priorities, and you know, Republicans have 922 00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:44,919 Speaker 2: I think he has significantly upped the rhetoric and the 923 00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:50,000 Speaker 2: I would say cruelty surrounding the immigration and deportation program. 924 00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:53,440 Speaker 2: But that's also not entirely new to the Republican Party. 925 00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:55,520 Speaker 2: I think that is the part that maybe is the 926 00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:58,839 Speaker 2: biggest break from the Republican Party the past, because I mean, 927 00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:03,960 Speaker 2: making ICE the largest federal law enforcement agency, making that 928 00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:08,840 Speaker 2: budget larger than the military budget of many significant countries 929 00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:14,000 Speaker 2: like Brazil and Israel. Like that, I mean, that is 930 00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:17,360 Speaker 2: that is truly different now. I think things like the terriffs, 931 00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:21,520 Speaker 2: the difference different approach to China, those sorts of things 932 00:47:21,560 --> 00:47:24,560 Speaker 2: are a genuine break. But it also can be overstated 933 00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:28,279 Speaker 2: how much the Trumpian approach is truly a break from 934 00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:31,839 Speaker 2: the Republican pass When you've got cuts to social safety net, 935 00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:34,759 Speaker 2: tax cuts, for the rich and a giant national security state. 936 00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:38,520 Speaker 2: That seems pretty consistent with the you know, Reagan era 937 00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,440 Speaker 2: Republican Party all the way up till today. 938 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,719 Speaker 4: But Trump voters are probably not going to be super 939 00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,080 Speaker 4: satisfied with it, and that'll be interesting to see how 940 00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:47,880 Speaker 4: the Republican Party deals with going. 941 00:47:47,719 --> 00:47:49,279 Speaker 3: Forward trying to get on board with it. 942 00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:51,080 Speaker 4: You know, Well, the Trump base is different, things like 943 00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:55,560 Speaker 4: the independence right, people who voted Trump or typical Republican 944 00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:58,160 Speaker 4: voter whatever it is, or people who went like Obama 945 00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:01,320 Speaker 4: Trump and are not big they're not going to the rallies. 946 00:48:01,920 --> 00:48:04,319 Speaker 4: But then they realize the man who promised not to 947 00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:07,600 Speaker 4: cut Medicaid now has a plan in place that requires 948 00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:10,120 Speaker 4: them to jump through all these hoops. Plus they lose 949 00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:13,239 Speaker 4: their medication something like that. Yeah, we'll see, because I 950 00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:16,160 Speaker 4: think that's one of the biggest unanswered questions open questions 951 00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:19,120 Speaker 4: in politics, is what happens after Trump to the Republican Party. 952 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:22,920 Speaker 4: What does it is just revert because one big, beautiful 953 00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:26,960 Speaker 4: bill suggests potentially reversion in the future. Now, on the 954 00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,919 Speaker 4: other hand, we got to roll this clip B three 955 00:48:30,560 --> 00:48:33,880 Speaker 4: of Steve Bannon because this gets to the question what 956 00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:36,480 Speaker 4: happens to the Republican Party after Donald Trump. One person 957 00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:39,359 Speaker 4: who's not going anywhere is Steve Bannon, and he has 958 00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:41,279 Speaker 4: a new nickname, and it's Elmo the Mook. 959 00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:42,839 Speaker 8: That's always human nature. 960 00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:44,360 Speaker 4: This is what we have here in the United States. 961 00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:48,840 Speaker 8: You have MAGA, you have the hardest core opposition to MAGA, 962 00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:50,360 Speaker 8: and you have a lot of people kind of in 963 00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:56,000 Speaker 8: the middle scene which way the buffoon, Elmo the Mook, 964 00:48:57,400 --> 00:49:02,400 Speaker 8: formerly known as Elon Musk, Elmo the Mock. He's today 965 00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:06,400 Speaker 8: in another smear and this only a foreigner could do this. 966 00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:09,759 Speaker 8: Think about it. He's got up on he's got up 967 00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:12,640 Speaker 8: on h on Twitter right now, a poll abt starting 968 00:49:12,680 --> 00:49:17,000 Speaker 8: an America Party, a non American starting an America party. No, brother, 969 00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:19,520 Speaker 8: you're not an American. You're a South African. 970 00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:22,560 Speaker 3: And if. 971 00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:26,839 Speaker 8: We take enough time and proved the facts of that, 972 00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:28,800 Speaker 8: you should be deported because there's a crime of what 973 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:30,120 Speaker 8: you did among. 974 00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:32,759 Speaker 4: Many and so christ Oll Bannon, I would say, is 975 00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:38,120 Speaker 4: arguably more so than Trump, uh the sort of primary 976 00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:42,719 Speaker 4: gatekeeper champion of what the mega agenda should look like 977 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:46,960 Speaker 4: based on his sense of the mega base. And he 978 00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:49,399 Speaker 4: has been critical of Dough, She's been critical of one 979 00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:54,480 Speaker 4: big beautiful bill and you know, ultimately trusts Donald Trump, 980 00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,640 Speaker 4: as he would say, But at the same time it 981 00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:01,600 Speaker 4: is sort of signaling waving the red flag, the warning 982 00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:05,719 Speaker 4: flags and being like this is veering off course. So 983 00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:08,080 Speaker 4: the idea that Elon Musk, I mean, it all is 984 00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:12,320 Speaker 4: so naive. And I think this is a fair criticism 985 00:50:12,320 --> 00:50:14,239 Speaker 4: that Andrew Yang has gotten over the years. Like a 986 00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:16,040 Speaker 4: bunch of Mark Cuban, there are a bunch of guys 987 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:18,040 Speaker 4: in the business world who for years have said, like, 988 00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:19,960 Speaker 4: we just need to run the country a little bit 989 00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:21,960 Speaker 4: more like a business. We need a break from the past. 990 00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:26,200 Speaker 4: We can do this cash infusion and disrupt and all 991 00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:29,680 Speaker 4: of that. But it's it's like turning the Titanic around. 992 00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:33,600 Speaker 4: And Elon Musk thinking that because Donald Trump sort of 993 00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:38,480 Speaker 4: surgically attached him to MAGA, meant that the MAGA base 994 00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:44,440 Speaker 4: wanted to prioritize austerity and actually putting the debt first 995 00:50:44,440 --> 00:50:47,960 Speaker 4: and foremost above anything else. That was just that was 996 00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:50,360 Speaker 4: always crazy, Like the idea of the Republican Party was 997 00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:54,400 Speaker 4: ever going to actually cut the debt is completely insane. 998 00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:56,719 Speaker 2: Well, and here's the other thing is Elon Musk is 999 00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:58,719 Speaker 2: not genuine about this. He doesn't have any problem with 1000 00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:00,600 Speaker 2: his subsidies that he gets for the federal government. 1001 00:51:00,680 --> 00:51:02,359 Speaker 4: It says he does, but he doesn't, right. 1002 00:51:02,520 --> 00:51:06,960 Speaker 2: I mean, look, Obama rescued SpaceX and Tesla Tesla. Yeah, 1003 00:51:07,040 --> 00:51:09,879 Speaker 2: and you know Elon is Look, I think the EV 1004 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:12,040 Speaker 2: credits are good. I think we should have the EV credits. 1005 00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:15,280 Speaker 2: I think we should be doing industrial policy around electric 1006 00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:17,920 Speaker 2: vehicles and the energy generation of the future. 1007 00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:18,839 Speaker 3: Like Elon and I. 1008 00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:22,719 Speaker 2: Are aligned on that. But you know, these guys don't 1009 00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:25,400 Speaker 2: actually want small government. They want a government that gives 1010 00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:27,800 Speaker 2: them what they want. And that is exactly the problem 1011 00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:30,560 Speaker 2: with the government is that is way too responsive to billionaires. 1012 00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:33,520 Speaker 2: It has created these billionaires who have been able to 1013 00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:36,040 Speaker 2: generate I mean most of these billionaires, they have been 1014 00:51:36,120 --> 00:51:39,080 Speaker 2: able to rig the system and create monopolies. So it's 1015 00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:42,520 Speaker 2: not like they really want a fair and competitive playing field. 1016 00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:46,520 Speaker 3: Quite the opposite. Many of these people absolutely despise. 1017 00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:51,440 Speaker 2: Lena Khan and her efforts to try to create actual 1018 00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:54,480 Speaker 2: market competition. And the other big problem at the core 1019 00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:57,080 Speaker 2: of this of this government that I'm talking about I'm 1020 00:51:57,120 --> 00:51:58,839 Speaker 2: not just talking about the Trump administration now, I'm talking 1021 00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:02,319 Speaker 2: about over decades, is that they have outsourced any sort 1022 00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:06,880 Speaker 2: of values and principles to market logic and thought that 1023 00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:09,400 Speaker 2: the markets would just figure it out for them, you know, 1024 00:52:09,520 --> 00:52:14,080 Speaker 2: to the like extent that even the FAA basically like 1025 00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:17,279 Speaker 2: the airlines regulate themselves. I mean, this is the sort 1026 00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:19,759 Speaker 2: of thing that happened during the neoliberal era. We went 1027 00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:22,440 Speaker 2: way too far in the direction of catering to the 1028 00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 2: Elon Musks and the Mark Cubans of the world. So 1029 00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:29,680 Speaker 2: that's what people are revolving against. The idea you're going 1030 00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:32,920 Speaker 2: to have any sort of grassroots, like, you know, mass 1031 00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:36,359 Speaker 2: support for this type of effort. I think it's preposterous, 1032 00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:38,520 Speaker 2: but that doesn't None of this is to say that 1033 00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:42,680 Speaker 2: it can't have some significant impact when you're talking about Look, 1034 00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:44,240 Speaker 2: what's the House margin at this point. 1035 00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:46,560 Speaker 3: Is like three seats or something. It's very close. In 1036 00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:46,879 Speaker 3: the House. 1037 00:52:46,920 --> 00:52:50,040 Speaker 2: There's another retirement, a guy in what Tennessee is retiring 1038 00:52:50,080 --> 00:52:52,880 Speaker 2: something like that. Anyway, there's another House Republican retirement. It's 1039 00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:56,120 Speaker 2: very narrow in the House. The Senate is also fairly narrow, 1040 00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:59,640 Speaker 2: although there's a bit more of an edge for Republicans there. 1041 00:53:00,160 --> 00:53:03,279 Speaker 2: If you field some candidates in a couple of key 1042 00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:08,080 Speaker 2: seats that can absolutely be enough to take away let's say, 1043 00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:10,680 Speaker 2: four percent from the Republican Party and hand some seats 1044 00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:12,640 Speaker 2: to Democrats. So I'm not saying that it won't have 1045 00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:14,799 Speaker 2: any impact. What I am saying is that it will 1046 00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:18,000 Speaker 2: not have the impact that Elon Musk is purporting that 1047 00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:18,400 Speaker 2: it will have. 1048 00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:22,439 Speaker 4: If it has impact, it will be disproportionate to the 1049 00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:26,239 Speaker 4: actual national appetite for what he's calling for, because it'll 1050 00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:29,960 Speaker 4: be like massive cash infusions that throw races in one 1051 00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:33,640 Speaker 4: direction or the other, not that capture the imagination of 1052 00:53:33,880 --> 00:53:38,280 Speaker 4: millions of Americans who want the debt to be prioritized 1053 00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:40,560 Speaker 4: in their political lives. 1054 00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:40,960 Speaker 3: Right. 1055 00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:43,320 Speaker 4: And it's one of the saddest things about the situation 1056 00:53:44,400 --> 00:53:46,840 Speaker 4: our political leads have put us in is that you 1057 00:53:47,000 --> 00:53:50,719 Speaker 4: now have, for example, Trump voters who are on Medicaid 1058 00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:56,040 Speaker 4: who again, just as an example, let's say they think 1059 00:53:56,080 --> 00:53:59,919 Speaker 4: the national debt is way too high. But at the poll, 1060 00:54:00,280 --> 00:54:03,880 Speaker 4: you now have a billionaire demanding that they put this 1061 00:54:04,080 --> 00:54:06,680 Speaker 4: abstract question of the national debt, which you know, I 1062 00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,799 Speaker 4: agree with Elon Musk and others that it has a 1063 00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:13,319 Speaker 4: serious effect on inflation. I don't think you can really 1064 00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:15,760 Speaker 4: say it doesn't. It's like pretty obvious that the higher 1065 00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:18,560 Speaker 4: the debt goes, the more that our budget is like 1066 00:54:18,719 --> 00:54:22,680 Speaker 4: paying interest on the national debt. That yes, prices are 1067 00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:25,160 Speaker 4: higher because of all this, and that is a significant problem. 1068 00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:29,839 Speaker 4: But you're asking people then to table their immediate urgent interests. 1069 00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:33,319 Speaker 4: It's the billionaire who can afford us, you know, to 1070 00:54:33,360 --> 00:54:35,879 Speaker 4: feed his family even though it's massive, and put food 1071 00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:39,240 Speaker 4: on his table and pay all of his bills, saying 1072 00:54:39,280 --> 00:54:44,200 Speaker 4: that the American people should should table their immediate, every 1073 00:54:44,280 --> 00:54:48,120 Speaker 4: day kitchen table issues in the interest of this like 1074 00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:50,080 Speaker 4: abstract question of the national debt that just is not 1075 00:54:50,120 --> 00:54:51,440 Speaker 4: a constituency that exists. 1076 00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:53,839 Speaker 2: Well, and they're going to ask you to sacrifice they're 1077 00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:55,400 Speaker 2: not going to well, yeah, of course they're not going 1078 00:54:55,400 --> 00:54:58,640 Speaker 2: to sacrifice their federal government subsidies. They're not going to 1079 00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:01,000 Speaker 2: be willing to pay any more. In tact, it's all 1080 00:55:01,040 --> 00:55:03,080 Speaker 2: going to come out from the people who can afford 1081 00:55:03,160 --> 00:55:05,760 Speaker 2: it the least, which is why it's such a thoroughly 1082 00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:09,360 Speaker 2: should be a thoroughly discredited political project. 1083 00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,080 Speaker 4: And when they fuck up, they get bailed out. Silicon 1084 00:55:11,120 --> 00:55:14,360 Speaker 4: Valley Bank. I mean, it's absolutely over and over again. Yeah, 1085 00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:19,000 Speaker 4: so it's insane. Finally, Musk did complain, well, he's had 1086 00:55:19,040 --> 00:55:21,520 Speaker 4: some a couple of interesting moments of self awareness, like 1087 00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:23,880 Speaker 4: you could just see like a glimmer of self awareness. 1088 00:55:23,920 --> 00:55:26,520 Speaker 4: A couple of times since he's gone back to posting 1089 00:55:26,560 --> 00:55:29,399 Speaker 4: a bunch on X and one of them was him 1090 00:55:29,440 --> 00:55:33,520 Speaker 4: saying that the chainsaw in retrospect actually looked like it 1091 00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:38,080 Speaker 4: lacked empathy, no kidding, caancing around with the chainsaw at seapack. 1092 00:55:38,160 --> 00:55:41,080 Speaker 4: But another one was him saying that Trump was happy 1093 00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:43,400 Speaker 4: to have him when his poll numbers were higher, but 1094 00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:47,200 Speaker 4: now that they're lower and Musk is less popular, you know, 1095 00:55:47,239 --> 00:55:50,680 Speaker 4: Trump is less inclined to keep him around. And Nate 1096 00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:54,480 Speaker 4: Silver does have an interesting net favorability of chart of ELM. 1097 00:55:54,560 --> 00:55:56,920 Speaker 4: Muss dating back to before he endorsed Trump, starting in 1098 00:55:56,960 --> 00:55:59,920 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four, and he is he does have a 1099 00:56:00,120 --> 00:56:03,640 Speaker 4: higher net favorability. It was up around like at its 1100 00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:06,520 Speaker 4: highest in twenty twenty four seven plus seven percent. In 1101 00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:09,279 Speaker 4: January twenty twenty four, right before he endorses Trump, it's 1102 00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:13,920 Speaker 4: like plus four percent, and it actually though declines after 1103 00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:17,040 Speaker 4: the Trump term begins, so it sort of stabilizes between 1104 00:56:17,080 --> 00:56:19,640 Speaker 4: the endorsement and the election, but after Trump takes office 1105 00:56:19,680 --> 00:56:22,800 Speaker 4: and Doge becomes an actual government program, which it was 1106 00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:25,560 Speaker 4: only supposed to be this outside advisory council. It starts 1107 00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:28,719 Speaker 4: to dip precipitously, like that's when it starts. Is really 1108 00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:32,440 Speaker 4: when Doge becomes real. So Musk, you know, kind of 1109 00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,920 Speaker 4: has himself to blame for the situation he finds himself in. 1110 00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:36,840 Speaker 3: I would say so for sure. 1111 00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:41,760 Speaker 2: All right, So we talk about this latest with regard 1112 00:56:41,800 --> 00:56:44,560 Speaker 2: to Epstein, because this is just you can't make it up. 1113 00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:46,600 Speaker 2: And as I said before, it connects to Elin because 1114 00:56:46,600 --> 00:56:48,440 Speaker 2: he threw out there. Oh, by the way, Trump is 1115 00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:51,640 Speaker 2: on the Trump is in the Epstein files, which Trump 1116 00:56:51,680 --> 00:56:55,920 Speaker 2: and Epstein were friends. Trump was on Epstein's plane multiple times. 1117 00:56:56,080 --> 00:56:59,520 Speaker 2: Trump is pictured at parties with Jeffrey Epstein, so he 1118 00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:03,960 Speaker 2: is in Epstein files. Exactly what that entails maybe another matter. 1119 00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:07,520 Speaker 2: In any case, we now have gone from the Trump 1120 00:57:07,560 --> 00:57:11,320 Speaker 2: administration promising doing their big photo op with the influencers, 1121 00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:15,720 Speaker 2: remember this where they got their binders Epstein files Phase 1122 00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:19,080 Speaker 2: one and Pambondy out there saying I've got the client 1123 00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:22,120 Speaker 2: list on my desk, I'm reviewing thousands of hours of videos. 1124 00:57:22,200 --> 00:57:25,240 Speaker 2: We're going to get you the truth to Now let's 1125 00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:28,160 Speaker 2: put this up on the screen. They're saying, nothing to 1126 00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:31,880 Speaker 2: see here, nothing to see here whatsoever. The DOJ and 1127 00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:34,920 Speaker 2: the FBI conclude Epstein had no client list. 1128 00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:37,720 Speaker 4: There was no client list, no client list. 1129 00:57:37,880 --> 00:57:39,200 Speaker 3: He committed suicide. 1130 00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:43,760 Speaker 2: Absolutely no indication that he was killed and that he 1131 00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:48,600 Speaker 2: had any sort of black mare material on any powerful people. 1132 00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:53,640 Speaker 2: They sound say, specifically, investigators found quote no incriminating client 1133 00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:55,160 Speaker 2: list of Epstein's. 1134 00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:57,880 Speaker 4: Pause right there. Yeah, the language, this is written by 1135 00:57:57,920 --> 00:58:03,960 Speaker 4: lawyers the Department of Justice. No incriminating clientient list, which 1136 00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:07,280 Speaker 4: is not the same thing as no client list. Incriminating 1137 00:58:07,400 --> 00:58:10,560 Speaker 4: is a very subjective term, which could mean that there 1138 00:58:10,560 --> 00:58:13,880 Speaker 4: are a bunch of names in the Epstein book. Basically, 1139 00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:17,320 Speaker 4: we know this, and it's true that not all of 1140 00:58:17,320 --> 00:58:22,480 Speaker 4: those people are incriminated by Jeffrey Epstein mingling with them 1141 00:58:22,560 --> 00:58:26,800 Speaker 4: at a Harvard business fundraising lunch and taking their number down. 1142 00:58:26,840 --> 00:58:30,840 Speaker 4: Absolutely absolutely, that is a hell of a wiggle word, 1143 00:58:31,040 --> 00:58:31,439 Speaker 4: right there. 1144 00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:37,520 Speaker 2: So, no incriminating client list, no credible evidence that Epstein 1145 00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:41,280 Speaker 2: blackmailed prominent individuals, and no evidence that could predicate an 1146 00:58:41,280 --> 00:58:44,000 Speaker 2: investigation against uncharged third parties. 1147 00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:45,800 Speaker 3: And this there you go. 1148 00:58:46,080 --> 00:58:49,680 Speaker 4: As by the way, Pam Bondy said just a couple 1149 00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:53,080 Speaker 4: of months ago that the Epstein client list was on 1150 00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:57,000 Speaker 4: her desk. Now the DOJ is saying there is quote 1151 00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,960 Speaker 4: no incriminating client list, which has been interpreted as them 1152 00:59:00,080 --> 00:59:04,360 Speaker 4: saying there's no client list, understandably because you would think 1153 00:59:04,480 --> 00:59:08,600 Speaker 4: that a client of Epstein would be not just a 1154 00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:13,160 Speaker 4: financial client of Epstein. But it's implied when Pam Bondi 1155 00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:15,600 Speaker 4: says she has the quote unquote client list on her 1156 00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:18,720 Speaker 4: desk just a couple of months ago, that is sex 1157 00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:22,360 Speaker 4: trafficking clients of Jeffrey Epstein. That's what she was implying 1158 00:59:22,400 --> 00:59:24,840 Speaker 4: when she said it. So for the DOJ to now, 1159 00:59:24,920 --> 00:59:27,840 Speaker 4: just a couple of months later say there's no incriminating 1160 00:59:28,000 --> 00:59:32,800 Speaker 4: Epstein client list is an incredibly suspicious I don't even 1161 00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:36,200 Speaker 4: need to say it, but it's an incredibly suspicious flip 1162 00:59:36,240 --> 00:59:39,800 Speaker 4: flop that is being done with some careful language, and 1163 00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:45,040 Speaker 4: absolutely nobody is buying it. People in MAGA world are 1164 00:59:45,080 --> 00:59:47,560 Speaker 4: not buying it. Nobody is buying it. The question is 1165 00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:49,320 Speaker 4: how important it is to the people who are not 1166 00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:51,360 Speaker 4: buying it, And I think it's going to be pretty 1167 00:59:51,400 --> 00:59:54,280 Speaker 4: damn important. You think so, yes, I think so, based 1168 00:59:54,320 --> 00:59:55,919 Speaker 4: on what I've seen so far? What have you seen 1169 00:59:56,160 --> 01:00:00,000 Speaker 4: so Robbie Starbuck, Mike Cernovich. A lot of these online 1170 01:00:00,040 --> 01:00:02,720 Speaker 4: and MAGA influencers are absolutely furious. And of course they're 1171 01:00:02,720 --> 01:00:05,160 Speaker 4: taking it out more on Pam Bondy than they are 1172 01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:07,840 Speaker 4: on Donald Trump, more because Bondi has so far and 1173 01:00:07,840 --> 01:00:10,360 Speaker 4: some of that actually might be reasonable. Julie K. Brown, 1174 01:00:10,360 --> 01:00:14,640 Speaker 4: who has done some of the most important Epstein reporting, 1175 01:00:14,800 --> 01:00:17,920 Speaker 4: posted back in February. It's interesting to note that Pam 1176 01:00:18,040 --> 01:00:21,560 Speaker 4: Bondi was Florida's attorney general from twenty eleven to twenty nineteen, 1177 01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:24,960 Speaker 4: a period of time when Jeffrey Epstein's plane records became public, 1178 01:00:25,080 --> 01:00:27,800 Speaker 4: victim's lawsuits were filed, and a lot of new evidence 1179 01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:31,160 Speaker 4: against Epstein's surface. So questions should be asked about why 1180 01:00:31,280 --> 01:00:33,840 Speaker 4: she didn't take up the case or launch a probe 1181 01:00:34,040 --> 01:00:37,440 Speaker 4: when she was attorney general in Florida. And this is 1182 01:00:37,480 --> 01:00:41,600 Speaker 4: a persistent problem for the Trump administration. This happened, actually 1183 01:00:42,120 --> 01:00:45,560 Speaker 4: the suicide, the quote unquote suicide of Jeffrey Epstein happened 1184 01:00:45,600 --> 01:00:48,400 Speaker 4: on Trump. And by the way, Bill Barr's watch, Bill 1185 01:00:48,400 --> 01:00:52,080 Speaker 4: Barr's dad was the first person to give Jeffrey Epstein 1186 01:00:52,160 --> 01:00:54,840 Speaker 4: that job. At a private boarding school. Despite the very 1187 01:00:54,840 --> 01:00:58,360 Speaker 4: strange qualifications he would have very very strange. It happens 1188 01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:01,480 Speaker 4: on Bill Barr's watch. He is Attorney General of the 1189 01:01:01,560 --> 01:01:05,520 Speaker 4: United States. Alex Acosta, donald Trump's first labor secretary, was 1190 01:01:05,520 --> 01:01:08,800 Speaker 4: involved in the Sweetheart play deal in Florida and said 1191 01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:11,480 Speaker 4: at the time he was told Jeffrey Epstein belonged to 1192 01:01:11,680 --> 01:01:14,959 Speaker 4: intelligence and to leave it alone. Pam Bondi was ag 1193 01:01:15,160 --> 01:01:20,240 Speaker 4: from twenty eleven to twenty nineteen. Trump himself was obviously, 1194 01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:23,480 Speaker 4: as Crystal mentioned earlier, very friendly with Epstein. 1195 01:01:23,640 --> 01:01:25,880 Speaker 3: Epstein said they were besties for a decade. 1196 01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:32,360 Speaker 4: It's the evidence is to suggest that there's something deeper 1197 01:01:32,400 --> 01:01:35,120 Speaker 4: going on. My personal theory, Crystal is not that it's 1198 01:01:35,320 --> 01:01:38,120 Speaker 4: related to Donald Trump himself. I think it's very unlikely 1199 01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:42,200 Speaker 4: that Donald Trump himself was out there talking about how Epstein, 1200 01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:44,600 Speaker 4: openly talking about how Epstein like quote unquote likes him 1201 01:01:44,680 --> 01:01:48,200 Speaker 4: young and hanging out with him when NBC News was 1202 01:01:48,240 --> 01:01:52,520 Speaker 4: profiling Trump at man A Lago. And this is personally implicated. 1203 01:01:52,720 --> 01:01:55,720 Speaker 4: But the Bill Bar stuff goes way deep. I mean 1204 01:01:55,760 --> 01:02:00,200 Speaker 4: we're talking like way decades. That stuff goes decades back, 1205 01:02:01,160 --> 01:02:04,280 Speaker 4: So I think it might be more like Trump's orbit 1206 01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:07,040 Speaker 4: and people that he's protecting that he's hired because it 1207 01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:10,240 Speaker 4: comes back to him for having hired them, that it 1208 01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:13,840 Speaker 4: happened on his watch. That they just released what footage 1209 01:02:13,840 --> 01:02:17,400 Speaker 4: of surveillance cameras? I pulled up an Inspector General report 1210 01:02:17,440 --> 01:02:18,400 Speaker 4: from twenty twenty three, the. 1211 01:02:18,920 --> 01:02:20,280 Speaker 3: NB two up. 1212 01:02:20,320 --> 01:02:24,600 Speaker 2: This is the video from outside of Epstein's cell. They 1213 01:02:24,680 --> 01:02:26,800 Speaker 2: released like ten hours of video that shows no one 1214 01:02:26,880 --> 01:02:29,919 Speaker 2: going into the cell that is supposed to definitively prove 1215 01:02:29,960 --> 01:02:31,720 Speaker 2: that he did, in fact, quote unquote kill himself. 1216 01:02:31,760 --> 01:02:33,800 Speaker 4: And this is the available footage that again an Inspector's 1217 01:02:33,840 --> 01:02:36,120 Speaker 4: General report from twenty twenty three talked about. They said 1218 01:02:36,160 --> 01:02:39,160 Speaker 4: the available recorded video footage from the one SAHU camera 1219 01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:41,240 Speaker 4: captured a large part of the commentary of the Sahu 1220 01:02:41,320 --> 01:02:43,520 Speaker 4: and portions of the stairways leading to the different tiers, 1221 01:02:43,520 --> 01:02:47,800 Speaker 4: including Epstein's cell tier. Thus, anyone entering or attempting to 1222 01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:50,840 Speaker 4: enter Epstein's tier from the commonary would have been picked 1223 01:02:50,880 --> 01:02:53,400 Speaker 4: up by that video camera and Epstein's cell door was 1224 01:02:53,440 --> 01:02:56,640 Speaker 4: not in the camera's field of view. And reviewed the 1225 01:02:56,720 --> 01:02:59,280 Speaker 4: video and found that between approximately ten forty and six 1226 01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:02,480 Speaker 4: thirty no one was seen entering Epstein cells here from 1227 01:03:02,480 --> 01:03:04,840 Speaker 4: that commentary. So again, we've known this stuff since twenty 1228 01:03:04,880 --> 01:03:08,240 Speaker 4: twenty three. The question is if Epstein cell door is 1229 01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:10,720 Speaker 4: not on the camera's field of view, what is going on? 1230 01:03:11,200 --> 01:03:13,800 Speaker 4: The question is why If you look at the letter 1231 01:03:13,840 --> 01:03:17,720 Speaker 4: that the DOJ put out, they say that they are 1232 01:03:17,760 --> 01:03:21,120 Speaker 4: not going to release any of the allegedly thousands They 1233 01:03:21,160 --> 01:03:24,680 Speaker 4: say they have thousands of videos of Jeffrey Epstein and images, 1234 01:03:25,200 --> 01:03:28,000 Speaker 4: some of which involve victims. They say they're not putting 1235 01:03:28,040 --> 01:03:32,080 Speaker 4: any of it out because it would be inappropriate to 1236 01:03:32,120 --> 01:03:36,760 Speaker 4: put basically this disgusting material into the public view, retraumatizing victims. 1237 01:03:36,800 --> 01:03:40,600 Speaker 4: Absolutely true. But to say that we are literally closing 1238 01:03:40,680 --> 01:03:43,960 Speaker 4: the case and you are not getting a single shred 1239 01:03:44,200 --> 01:03:46,920 Speaker 4: of evidence from this trove that we apparently have, some 1240 01:03:46,960 --> 01:03:49,320 Speaker 4: of which is just Epstein, I guess talking to a camera. 1241 01:03:50,040 --> 01:03:52,680 Speaker 4: That's insane. Right, We don't even need to say that 1242 01:03:52,720 --> 01:03:55,280 Speaker 4: it's insane, but it's worth saying, like, this is so insane. 1243 01:03:55,480 --> 01:03:58,080 Speaker 2: Well, okay, so we've got a few things going on here. 1244 01:03:58,160 --> 01:04:02,800 Speaker 2: We've got number one, the Trump Epstein connections, which you know, look, 1245 01:04:02,840 --> 01:04:05,000 Speaker 2: Steve Bannon himself said he thought that Jeffrey Epstein was 1246 01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:07,520 Speaker 2: the only person who could take Trump down. So there 1247 01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:12,600 Speaker 2: you know, long relationship who knows okay, And you have 1248 01:04:12,720 --> 01:04:16,600 Speaker 2: as Emily very effectively put out all of these different 1249 01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:19,680 Speaker 2: Epstein connected people in the first Strump administration and in 1250 01:04:19,720 --> 01:04:23,920 Speaker 2: this one. And you also have so you've got the 1251 01:04:24,240 --> 01:04:27,360 Speaker 2: battle with Elon Musk erupting again and Elon had threatened 1252 01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:29,600 Speaker 2: previously basically like oh, by the way, Trump's in the 1253 01:04:29,600 --> 01:04:33,480 Speaker 2: Epstein files accusing him of being a pedophile. And then 1254 01:04:34,240 --> 01:04:38,280 Speaker 2: you have baby Nottanyahu in town exactly. And there are 1255 01:04:38,520 --> 01:04:42,360 Speaker 2: a lot of suggestions that what Epstein was really up 1256 01:04:42,400 --> 01:04:46,760 Speaker 2: to is he wasn't just freelancing as you know, horrifying 1257 01:04:46,920 --> 01:04:52,120 Speaker 2: sex trafficking, pedophile monster, but he was linked to masads 1258 01:04:52,160 --> 01:04:57,280 Speaker 2: specifically and was trying to gather information about various powerful 1259 01:04:57,320 --> 01:04:59,960 Speaker 2: people so it could be used to coerce and inflow 1260 01:05:00,760 --> 01:05:04,320 Speaker 2: American policy and foreign policy around the world. We know that, 1261 01:05:04,440 --> 01:05:08,000 Speaker 2: you know, he had connections with Ahod Barock, invested in 1262 01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:13,320 Speaker 2: some Israeli defense startup. Glene Maxwell's father appears to have 1263 01:05:13,320 --> 01:05:17,640 Speaker 2: been linked to massades. So there's that's always been sort 1264 01:05:17,680 --> 01:05:21,080 Speaker 2: of I mean, the part about what powerful people were 1265 01:05:21,120 --> 01:05:25,120 Speaker 2: in stare obviously that's important. This like criminal mass enterprise, 1266 01:05:25,200 --> 01:05:28,680 Speaker 2: obviously that's important. But even more significant in terms of 1267 01:05:28,680 --> 01:05:32,720 Speaker 2: our ongoing foreign policy and the type of tactics that 1268 01:05:32,880 --> 01:05:36,560 Speaker 2: be deployed would be information around whether he was, in 1269 01:05:36,560 --> 01:05:40,520 Speaker 2: fact and a massad asset, who was, you know, trying 1270 01:05:40,560 --> 01:05:43,400 Speaker 2: to entrap people and coerce them and be able to 1271 01:05:43,520 --> 01:05:46,720 Speaker 2: drive American foreign policy. So it was also not lost 1272 01:05:46,760 --> 01:05:51,320 Speaker 2: on me that this nothing to see here, no incriminating 1273 01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:56,440 Speaker 2: client list case closed comes the night before ving Yahu 1274 01:05:56,680 --> 01:05:59,440 Speaker 2: arrives into town and at the time that he is 1275 01:05:59,480 --> 01:06:04,720 Speaker 2: having this with Elon Musk. That timing seems so incredibly suspicious. 1276 01:06:04,800 --> 01:06:07,560 Speaker 4: It is also quite interesting that on a Sunday night 1277 01:06:07,720 --> 01:06:11,800 Speaker 4: they gave Axios the exclusive on the story. It is 1278 01:06:11,960 --> 01:06:16,760 Speaker 4: beyond bizarre. Alex Eisenstadt obviously good for him forgetting the scoop, 1279 01:06:16,840 --> 01:06:19,240 Speaker 4: But on a Sunday night, the administration gives a memo 1280 01:06:19,360 --> 01:06:23,000 Speaker 4: saying they're just closing up the Epstein file. To Axios, 1281 01:06:23,480 --> 01:06:26,040 Speaker 4: they just have their big victory, one big beautiful bill, 1282 01:06:26,160 --> 01:06:29,880 Speaker 4: generational piece of Republican legislation as they see it, that 1283 01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:31,520 Speaker 4: they sign on the fourth of July. A couple of 1284 01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:35,760 Speaker 4: days earlier, they have Netta Yahu coming on Monday. What 1285 01:06:35,880 --> 01:06:39,200 Speaker 4: a great time if you're a political strategist to bury 1286 01:06:39,280 --> 01:06:41,080 Speaker 4: a piece of news like this, or to attempt to 1287 01:06:41,120 --> 01:06:43,520 Speaker 4: bury a piece of news like this, and the Masad 1288 01:06:43,600 --> 01:06:48,240 Speaker 4: connections cannot be understated. I'm reading from the Times of 1289 01:06:48,480 --> 01:06:53,760 Speaker 4: Israel here. The Times of Israel mentioned that Robert Maxwell, 1290 01:06:53,840 --> 01:06:55,880 Speaker 4: who many people actually think was killed by Massad. But 1291 01:06:55,880 --> 01:06:58,040 Speaker 4: we don't have to even go down that rabbit hole. 1292 01:06:58,240 --> 01:07:00,760 Speaker 4: He's buried on Jerusalemsmount of Olives. Many members of the 1293 01:07:00,800 --> 01:07:05,440 Speaker 4: Israeli intelligence community attended his funeral, so did Yitzak Shamir. 1294 01:07:05,560 --> 01:07:09,360 Speaker 4: Israel's then Prime Minister. Shmir eulogized the British tycoon for 1295 01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:12,520 Speaker 4: the political connections he brought to Israel during the nineteen 1296 01:07:12,560 --> 01:07:14,800 Speaker 4: eighties and for the money he invested in it. That's 1297 01:07:14,840 --> 01:07:18,040 Speaker 4: obviously Gillian Maxwell's father, as Crystal noted, is someone that 1298 01:07:18,080 --> 01:07:19,360 Speaker 4: Jeffrey Epstein knew. 1299 01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:20,440 Speaker 7: Well. 1300 01:07:20,600 --> 01:07:21,240 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1301 01:07:21,280 --> 01:07:23,840 Speaker 2: And for people out there who would say, okay, well, 1302 01:07:23,840 --> 01:07:28,040 Speaker 2: if there's anything anything bad about Trump in this information, 1303 01:07:28,520 --> 01:07:31,480 Speaker 2: why wouldn't the Democrats, why wouldn't have Joe Biden have put. 1304 01:07:31,280 --> 01:07:32,200 Speaker 3: This out previously? 1305 01:07:32,560 --> 01:07:35,560 Speaker 2: This is the answer is because they also I mean 1306 01:07:35,600 --> 01:07:37,560 Speaker 2: First of all, it's a bipartisan affair, like we know 1307 01:07:37,560 --> 01:07:40,680 Speaker 2: about Bill Clinton being on the plane and whatever as well, right, 1308 01:07:41,000 --> 01:07:45,840 Speaker 2: But second of all, no Republican or Democratic administration is 1309 01:07:45,880 --> 01:07:47,640 Speaker 2: going to want to reveal the truth if the truth 1310 01:07:47,760 --> 01:07:51,240 Speaker 2: is in fact that Jeffrey Epstein is a Masad asset 1311 01:07:51,320 --> 01:07:55,400 Speaker 2: or was a Masad asset. So I don't know, guys. 1312 01:07:55,520 --> 01:08:00,760 Speaker 2: I mean it just to me too, just the political stupidity. 1313 01:08:00,880 --> 01:08:05,680 Speaker 2: It's so so suspicious to be like on Eva bb Net, 1314 01:08:05,720 --> 01:08:07,960 Speaker 2: noawho coming to town while I'm having this fight with Elon 1315 01:08:08,040 --> 01:08:12,400 Speaker 2: and after my base has been really very interested in 1316 01:08:12,440 --> 01:08:14,480 Speaker 2: this whole case, to just be oh, nothing to see here, 1317 01:08:14,520 --> 01:08:16,680 Speaker 2: case closes, we're not giving you any evidence, and we're 1318 01:08:16,680 --> 01:08:19,479 Speaker 2: moving on after. By the way, we didn't play this up, 1319 01:08:19,479 --> 01:08:22,880 Speaker 2: but Pam Bonni had literally said just months ago, I 1320 01:08:23,000 --> 01:08:25,559 Speaker 2: had the Epstein client list on my desk. 1321 01:08:25,640 --> 01:08:26,839 Speaker 4: She said it on Fox News. 1322 01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:30,960 Speaker 2: On Fox News she says this, and you know, it 1323 01:08:31,040 --> 01:08:33,880 Speaker 2: indicates she's going through thousands of hours of material and 1324 01:08:33,920 --> 01:08:37,799 Speaker 2: it's all going to be revealed in the influencer Binder situation. 1325 01:08:37,920 --> 01:08:39,720 Speaker 2: That was just phase one, and she's going to get 1326 01:08:39,760 --> 01:08:42,439 Speaker 2: to it. And now she's gone from client list on 1327 01:08:42,479 --> 01:08:45,400 Speaker 2: my desk to there was no client list actually. 1328 01:08:45,280 --> 01:08:51,360 Speaker 4: And Cash Btel and Dan Bongino were pretty vocal members 1329 01:08:51,600 --> 01:08:55,559 Speaker 4: of the oh yeah, MAGA community, insisting that there was 1330 01:08:55,560 --> 01:08:58,840 Speaker 4: something weird about Epstein going on and that if they 1331 01:08:58,880 --> 01:09:03,240 Speaker 4: were putting government implications, that will come in and we'll 1332 01:09:03,840 --> 01:09:05,800 Speaker 4: be We're going to reveal the truth a parent and yeah, 1333 01:09:05,840 --> 01:09:06,839 Speaker 4: tell the public. 1334 01:09:06,920 --> 01:09:10,800 Speaker 2: Even though Trump himself was always very very squeamish, true 1335 01:09:10,880 --> 01:09:12,559 Speaker 2: country yes question. 1336 01:09:12,760 --> 01:09:16,120 Speaker 4: Rachel Campos Duffy asked him that question on Fox News, 1337 01:09:16,200 --> 01:09:18,800 Speaker 4: and you could see the squeamishist from Trump at that 1338 01:09:18,880 --> 01:09:21,040 Speaker 4: point where he said he was going to be open 1339 01:09:21,040 --> 01:09:24,800 Speaker 4: about RFK files and JFK files and MLK files and 1340 01:09:24,840 --> 01:09:27,920 Speaker 4: then Epstein, well, they will take a look at it. 1341 01:09:28,160 --> 01:09:30,000 Speaker 4: You'd have to go back and watch the video, but 1342 01:09:30,080 --> 01:09:32,439 Speaker 4: it was conspicuous at the time, and they. 1343 01:09:32,400 --> 01:09:34,120 Speaker 2: Edited it to make it look like he was just 1344 01:09:34,160 --> 01:09:37,840 Speaker 2: like yeah, but he goes, yeah, well we have to 1345 01:09:37,920 --> 01:09:40,200 Speaker 2: look and private people may be involved, and that's a 1346 01:09:40,200 --> 01:09:40,800 Speaker 2: tougher one. 1347 01:09:40,880 --> 01:09:41,599 Speaker 3: That's a tougher one. 1348 01:09:41,640 --> 01:09:43,920 Speaker 4: And he also people remember, as we're just like listing 1349 01:09:43,960 --> 01:09:46,840 Speaker 4: all of the interesting moments and connections from Trump World 1350 01:09:46,880 --> 01:09:51,840 Speaker 4: and Epstein world, he wished Gallaine Maxwell well when he 1351 01:09:51,880 --> 01:09:55,000 Speaker 4: got a question about her being in prison. This was 1352 01:09:55,040 --> 01:09:57,360 Speaker 4: I want to say, this was early twenty twenty, around 1353 01:09:57,400 --> 01:09:57,800 Speaker 4: that time. 1354 01:09:57,880 --> 01:09:59,960 Speaker 3: It was towards the end of his first administration. 1355 01:10:00,200 --> 01:10:03,000 Speaker 4: And then you have Cash Hotel going on, Joe Rogan 1356 01:10:03,479 --> 01:10:05,680 Speaker 4: and Dan Bungeno and Cash Hotel doing that joint. I 1357 01:10:05,680 --> 01:10:07,880 Speaker 4: think it was a Farm's News interview together looking like 1358 01:10:08,000 --> 01:10:13,280 Speaker 4: they were ash and faced and pale and just insisting 1359 01:10:13,800 --> 01:10:17,200 Speaker 4: that they absolutely there was nothing to see. No, they're there. 1360 01:10:18,120 --> 01:10:21,880 Speaker 4: I mean, it's just it's Chris. You started this spot 1361 01:10:21,920 --> 01:10:24,880 Speaker 4: by saying you couldn't write this. Technically, you could write this. 1362 01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:27,040 Speaker 4: It's just that everyone would be like they couldn't. They 1363 01:10:27,040 --> 01:10:29,840 Speaker 4: wouldn't be that dumb, right, It couldn't. 1364 01:10:29,479 --> 01:10:31,960 Speaker 3: Be that I do a little bit, a little bit 1365 01:10:31,960 --> 01:10:32,479 Speaker 3: better than this. 1366 01:10:32,920 --> 01:10:35,360 Speaker 4: You would think the strategy would just be to like 1367 01:10:35,520 --> 01:10:38,120 Speaker 4: not just say you're working on it. Yeah, just over 1368 01:10:38,160 --> 01:10:40,200 Speaker 4: and over say you're working on it, and it'll wear thin. 1369 01:10:40,479 --> 01:10:43,839 Speaker 4: But it's not a two term administration in all likelihood, 1370 01:10:45,200 --> 01:10:47,360 Speaker 4: just try to run out the clock. From a political 1371 01:10:47,520 --> 01:10:51,680 Speaker 4: cynical political strategy perspective, I can't even do that incredible 1372 01:11:02,080 --> 01:11:03,559 Speaker 4: boot to put