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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Peralta at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM. They

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Speaker 1: have a first user, new user first bet offer one

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars available first bet offer when that promo code

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Speaker 1: Juice is used at sign up at betmgm dot com.

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Speaker 1: All right to a two and two night last night,

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Speaker 1: it looked dicey for a little bit. Three nothing could

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Speaker 1: have been four nothing. They called one back against Tampa

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Speaker 1: and Florida. As I said last night, I needed one

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Speaker 1: of the two goaltenders to be good, and Barbrovsky was good.

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Speaker 1: Basilevski wasn't all that good for one final game went

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Speaker 1: under seven, So we got that right. Indiana bet was

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Speaker 1: a bad bet. Iowa steamrolled in Indiana. That was someone

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Speaker 1: of a shocker. Got that wrong. We had the first

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Speaker 1: period under all the way to the last minute, and

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Speaker 1: then the Wild gave up a goal one to one.

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Speaker 1: Was the final or they scored a goal? They scored

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Speaker 1: a goal. Yeah, it was Ryan Reeves of all people

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Speaker 1: scored a goal one one after one game? Did go under.

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Speaker 1: Then we had the final bet was oh, Buffalo over

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Speaker 1: six and a half, got that right as well. I

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Speaker 1: had a bunch of plays going in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: I posted all of them before and I ended up

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Speaker 1: going five and three on the night. Overall. Bruins helped

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Speaker 1: out gave me that winning day with a big win

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Speaker 1: over Calgary. The Bruins just swept the Western Canada Swing.

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Speaker 1: It's unbelievable. I mean, you just don't Edmonton, Calgary, Vancouver

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Speaker 1: go in there and sweep all the games, beat Seattle

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Speaker 1: as well. Okay, Bruins have won eight games in a row.

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Speaker 1: They're just just bet on them. The lose, just keep

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Speaker 1: on betting on them. It's unbelievable what they're capable of.

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Speaker 1: Don't really lay the puck line, but they're killing people.

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Speaker 1: So a couple of you guys were asking questions, and

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Speaker 1: so I went to dinner tonight or last night with

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Speaker 1: a friend of mine who I hadn't seen literally in

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Speaker 1: ten years, and it was great to see her. Its

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Speaker 1: great to see her brother, and it was great to

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Speaker 1: hang out and go downtown Vegas with my with her

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Speaker 1: son and my daughter. And so we ended up going

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Speaker 1: out and a bunch of you. I was trying to

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Speaker 1: check in once in a while on the Discord channel

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Speaker 1: and you were asking me like questions like what do

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Speaker 1: I do? What do I do? I lost the bet

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Speaker 1: for you know you were nervous about the Tampa Bay bet,

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Speaker 1: and just know I will try everything in my power

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Speaker 1: to be as active as possible on that on our

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Speaker 1: daily Juice Discord channel. Okay, on our betting Pros Discord Channel.

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Speaker 1: Just know that sometimes I'm not able to answer direct

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Speaker 1: questions immediately, like right when you want me to answer them,

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Speaker 1: I'm like, I do have a life. So a couple

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Speaker 1: of you guys were getting frustrated, like can you answer

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Speaker 1: this question? Like I understand you want me to ask,

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Speaker 1: and I want to be as accessible as possible, but

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Speaker 1: just understand that, like life gets in the way. I

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Speaker 1: was at dinner, like somebody asked me, like, what would

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Speaker 1: you bet right now for Tampa in Florida. I'm like,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, I'm not watching, I'm at dinner. I

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Speaker 1: can't I don't know. So I know it's great to

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Speaker 1: have access to me. It's why the Discord channel is

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Speaker 1: so great, because I can interact with you guys directly

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Speaker 1: just understand that sometimes I just can't. I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to be able to answer as quickly or easily as

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Speaker 1: I would like to do so. But for today, man,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I got two college basketball bets. I

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Speaker 1: have one bet in the NHL that I want to

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Speaker 1: give you. I don't really like any of them, to

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Speaker 1: be quite honest. This is going to be a smaller

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Speaker 1: day and I don't know how many personal plays I'll have,

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Speaker 1: Probably not many, but you know, I do add throughout

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Speaker 1: the day after the podcast posts, and if I do

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Speaker 1: like anything, I do put it in the discord channel.

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Speaker 1: Not official because not everybody's in there. But you know,

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Speaker 1: we've had a good week. We were down point three

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Speaker 1: five units yesterday, so I guess we just started off.

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Speaker 1: We were up point nine and then down point three five,

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Speaker 1: so you know, we're up what point five to five

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Speaker 1: units on the week, So small, but two and one

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Speaker 1: then two and two. As we head here into a Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: we have a lot coming on Thursday, and it's a

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Speaker 1: monster UFC weekend and I'm going to have I'm going

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Speaker 1: to start my work on that later today and start

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Speaker 1: to really get into get into the fights and the

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Speaker 1: serial gone versus John Jones fight obviously is huge, but

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Speaker 1: also just taking a look at some of the undercard fights,

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Speaker 1: this is an unbelievable card on Saturday. So I'll have

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Speaker 1: a lot going for the pay per view on Saturday

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Speaker 1: night here in Las Vegas for the UFC. But just

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Speaker 1: you know, so we can figure out where we are,

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm gonna go a little bit later on Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: going to Thursday Friday, obviously a monster college basketball weekend

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Speaker 1: that we'll get into later in the week. Okay, but

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Speaker 1: before we give you the picks, let's talk a little

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Speaker 1: appreciate you guys doing this and coming in and subscribing

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Speaker 1: the video, you guys. A bunch of guys have have

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Speaker 1: this very video to jump on in. Okay, let's talk

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Speaker 1: a little Alabama Auburn College basketball. Lines nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Alabama's in a world of controversy, still NATO's He described

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Speaker 1: the pat down of Brandon Miller as going through tsa.

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Speaker 1: That's how the players described it to him. Come on, man,

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Speaker 1: that's a little bit ridiculous, but whatever, they're trying hard.

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Speaker 1: Arkansas was the last home game BAMA did not cover.

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Speaker 1: They won, they didn't cover, but here comes Auburn. Kempom

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Speaker 1: has this as a ten point margin. Lines nine and

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Speaker 1: a half. Alabama is nine and five ATS at home.

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Speaker 1: They're eleven and five ATS in the SEC. At home,

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Speaker 1: they've covered by thirty and a half, six and a half,

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Speaker 1: eighteen and a half forty two since they did not

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Speaker 1: cover against Arkansas or the games before they didn't cover.

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Speaker 1: Against Arkansas, BAMA won the first meeting by eight points

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Speaker 1: at Auburn. On the planes as one and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites, Auburn is seven and nine ATS in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: They're one in four ATS over the last five. They

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Speaker 1: lost by thirty two points to Kentucky in their last

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Speaker 1: game on the road, and they lost by two point

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Speaker 1: favorites as favorites to Vanderbilt in the game before that

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Speaker 1: on the road. Here is a nine to out of

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Speaker 1: point margin. Alabama gets back to blowing people out. In

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Speaker 1: my opinion, I'm gonna lay the nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: I know it's a little scary, but I'm gonna lay

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Speaker 1: the nine and a half with Alabama at home to

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Speaker 1: write the ship a little bit, if you will, and

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Speaker 1: put a herding on their arch rival. You know, Bama

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Speaker 1: fans want to see a lopsided win. I mean, they've

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Speaker 1: beaten teams, like I said, by thirty and a half

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Speaker 1: and forty two points at home in the SEC. I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure it's going to be that bad, but give

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Speaker 1: me a fifteen point win here for Alabama up against Auburn.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to lay the nine and a half one

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Speaker 1: point one units down Alabama miss nine and a half

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Speaker 1: at home up against Auburn. Second bet. This is another

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Speaker 1: one of these discrepancies between ken Palm and the total.

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Speaker 1: So ken Palm has the total of Providence in Xavier

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Speaker 1: at one sixty. Current total is one fifty four and

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Speaker 1: a half. Providence has gone over four straight games by

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Speaker 1: eight and a half fifteen, nineteen and a half and

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Speaker 1: forty last two at home have gone way over. They

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Speaker 1: were set at one thirty seven and a half and

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Speaker 1: one forty one and a half. This is one fifty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. The first game between Xavier and

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Speaker 1: Providence was one fifty three and a half at Xavier.

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Speaker 1: The game went over by fourteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Xavier seven and six on the road to the over,

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Speaker 1: but one in four over the last five. That's a

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Speaker 1: little scary. Providence is eight and seven to the over

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Speaker 1: at home, but they are four and one to the

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Speaker 1: over over their last five. You look at where Providence

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Speaker 1: has been recently in who they have played. Georgetown, Connecticut, Villanova, Creighton. Okay, fine,

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Speaker 1: Georgetown stinks. Those other three teams can score, and Providence

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Speaker 1: has been scoring with them. Providence's tempo has been up,

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Speaker 1: They've been running more, which is good. Providence's offense is

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Speaker 1: up to nineteenth an adjusted efficiency. They're still middle of

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Speaker 1: the pack for average possession length. Xavier, though, well, they

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Speaker 1: actually make you play pretty fast. They'll speed you up.

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Speaker 1: Xavier's offense plays very fast. Xavier's offense is forty fifth

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Speaker 1: for average possession length, which is good for US. We

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Speaker 1: have the number nine affected field goal percentage in the

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Speaker 1: country with Xavier. Providence is one oh six. But they're

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Speaker 1: awesome at offensive rebounding. Their top twenty for offensive rebounding percentage.

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Speaker 1: They really get after the glass, which is very impressive.

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Speaker 1: This is a high scoring game. In my my opinion,

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Speaker 1: this is at what used to be called the dunk.

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Speaker 1: Providence is phenomenal at home. I lean towards Providence here

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Speaker 1: to win the game. Okay, I lean towards Providence minus three,

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Speaker 1: minus three and a half. I'll probably get involved with

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Speaker 1: that personally. Providence is ten and five ats at home.

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Speaker 1: There are there seven and three over your last ten ats.

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Speaker 1: But Xavier is eight and five on the road in

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Speaker 1: eleven and seven in conference play in the Big East,

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Speaker 1: and Xavier really could use this. They beat Providence at home,

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Speaker 1: they're laying three. They won by two. You got a

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Speaker 1: team in Providence. It's one three of four. But I mean,

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Speaker 1: I don't know this. It feels like Providence is due

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Speaker 1: to lose. I feel better about the over than I do.

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Speaker 1: But I like Providence laying the points. I like Providence over.

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Speaker 1: If you want extra action out take Providence minus three

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Speaker 1: mines three and a half. I'll take Xavier in Providence

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Speaker 1: to go over one point fifty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Third bet going to the NHL only one play. There

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Speaker 1: are a litany of games here where one team is

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Speaker 1: pointing one way and the other team is pointing the

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Speaker 1: total opposite way. And this is going to be difficult,

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Speaker 1: all right. Let me give you a couple examples, Toronto

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Speaker 1: and Edmonton. Right at first, blush, it's bet the over

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Speaker 1: six and a half, right, but given the starting goaltenders

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Speaker 1: as to who were thinking is going to be in

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Speaker 1: net here for these teams with Samsonov and Skinner, Toronto

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Speaker 1: isn't really a team. I mean they're thirteen to twelve

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Speaker 1: and one to the over on the road. Edmonton's five

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Speaker 1: to four and one to the over at home. Like

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Speaker 1: it's not an automatic, It's not like, yep, go ahead

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Speaker 1: and bet the over. I want to bet the over.

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Speaker 1: I just I don't know. I can't do it at

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Speaker 1: the moment. Arizona on the road at Dallas, I want

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Speaker 1: to bet the under ingram is guaranteed. Auditser probably starting

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Speaker 1: because Wedgwood's banged up. Dallas at home, right, we like

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Speaker 1: Dallas at home to be an under team, but it's

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Speaker 1: the Coyotes who stink and Ingram isn't good. So it's like,

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Speaker 1: all right, what do I do? Do I really want

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Speaker 1: to back a bad goaltender where Dallas could explode offensively

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Speaker 1: and just go ahead and put up six goals themselves. No,

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Speaker 1: I don't want any part of that. So I'm scared

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Speaker 1: about that. You want to talk about first period unders.

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Speaker 1: I mean it's kind of Arizona is six and four

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Speaker 1: to the over over the last ten and Dallas is

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Speaker 1: fifty percent of the time. Just like Arizona going over.

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Speaker 1: There's no real angle there to jump in from a

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Speaker 1: first period under perspective. You want to look at trends,

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Speaker 1: Toronto last four games has gone over first period one

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, maybe you bet over Toronto minus

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Speaker 1: one and a half goals if you want up against Edmonton.

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Speaker 1: That's not a bad play. I don't hate it, but

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Speaker 1: I've been cold on first period plays. It missed two

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Speaker 1: of them, personally yesterday with goals in the last minute.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'm just betting over, but I feel like when

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Speaker 1: I bet over, it goes under. When I met under,

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Speaker 1: it goes over. So I'm like, Okay, I don't really

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Speaker 1: know if I want to jump in with that. Edmonton

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Speaker 1: is still a team that you can feel comfortable with

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Speaker 1: going to the over, but they've slowed down. Edmonton is

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Speaker 1: five and five over their last ten games to a

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Speaker 1: first period, one and a half over and just fifty

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Speaker 1: four percent of the time. Now, Edmonton has slowed down dramatically,

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Speaker 1: They're still really hot to a gift, so you want

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Speaker 1: to do a goal in the first ten minutes. Edmonton

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Speaker 1: eight and two over their last ten games. That's obviously

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Speaker 1: very very good. Toronto, though, is not good just fifty

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Speaker 1: six percent of the time for a gift five and

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Speaker 1: five for them. So, like all these numbers start going

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Speaker 1: through the slate, there's nothing really that's jumping out at

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Speaker 1: me as like, yes, I want to put my money

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Speaker 1: on that. I feel really confident that that's a good bet.

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Speaker 1: The only play I really like on the board at

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Speaker 1: the moment. Like you know, Devil's on the road at Vancouver, right,

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Speaker 1: you go ahead and jump in on that. You're like,

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Speaker 1: all right, that's not bad play. It's six maybe minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty for the Avalanche Ducks in the Capitals. Okay,

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Speaker 1: bet the over or go ahead and take the Capitals. Eh,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. It's not a great slate. The only

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Speaker 1: game I really like here is Vancouver, Sorry, Vegas at

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Speaker 1: home against the Carolina Hurricanes. This is going to be

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Speaker 1: a barn burner of the game. It's five and a

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Speaker 1: half even money right now to the under. If you

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Speaker 1: want to bet the over five and a half, you

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Speaker 1: can jump in with laying not a lot of juice

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty on that even money. Why because right now,

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Speaker 1: and let's just assume we are getting Hill in net

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Speaker 1: for the Golden Knights and Anderson in net for the Hurricanes.

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Speaker 1: That's most likely. Okay, even if it's not, I still

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Speaker 1: feel okay with the under given the goaltenders what we've

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Speaker 1: seen here. But Anderson's going to a two point four

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Speaker 1: to seven goals against Rontas even bettert his you know,

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Speaker 1: two point three twos. If he's a net, I'm cool

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Speaker 1: with the under there. Thompson's got a two point six

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Speaker 1: to six. Hill's got a two point five to two.

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Speaker 1: You know, Thompson. There's been some goalie changes and there's

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Speaker 1: been some interesting, you know, rotations going on with Vegas.

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Speaker 1: It was a one goal you know, Thompson's last game,

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Speaker 1: he gave up one goal to the Wild which was nice,

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Speaker 1: but that was back on the ninth. He's been nicked up,

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Speaker 1: he's been banged up, so but on the ninth Hill

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Speaker 1: has been pretty good in net for the Golden Knights.

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Speaker 1: Vegas has been a good team at home to the

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Speaker 1: under Vegas or at home this season, Vegas to and under.

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Speaker 1: It's eighteen eighteen, eleven and three to the under at

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Speaker 1: home this season over the last ten for Vegas at

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Speaker 1: home they're five and five. But on the road, you've

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Speaker 1: got a team in Carolina who is an under team

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Speaker 1: on the year under team on the road. Good goaltending here.

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Speaker 1: Carolina actually gone six and four to the over over

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Speaker 1: their last ten. But their team that does play slow,

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Speaker 1: so they're a team that you know, they're three and

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Speaker 1: two to the under over the last five. Given the

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Speaker 1: goaltending given Vegas, this is you know what they do

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Speaker 1: to the under at home. I lean towards the Hurricanes

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Speaker 1: to win the game, but I feel I'm gonna bet it.

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Speaker 1: Let's do with a three to two final. Vegas and

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Speaker 1: the Carolina Hurricanes playoff matchup, maybe a Stanley Cup preview

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Speaker 1: playoff game type atmosphere here in Vegas late night game

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Speaker 1: for you guys on the East Coast. One or even money,

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Speaker 1: one unit down under five and a half for Vegas

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Speaker 1: and the Carolina Hurricanes. All right, so just three bets

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Speaker 1: for me going here today. Two in college basketball. One

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Speaker 1: in the NHL Alabama miss nine and a half over

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half Providence in Xavier, and we're

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Speaker 1: going under five and a half for Vegas and the

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Speaker 1: Carolina Hurricanes, some other stuff I'll sprinkle in and post.

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Speaker 1: A lot of some other things going I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: about in the Discord channel, but officially, we're just gonna

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Speaker 1: put one point one unit down each two point two

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Speaker 1: units down in college basketball, one unit down in the NHL,

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Speaker 1: so three point two and it's in play here for

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Speaker 1: a Wednesday. Min's Matt Proud followed me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt each In morning. It is the Dilijuce

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Speaker 1: Podcast being brought to you by bedam GM