1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene along 3 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: with Paul Sweeney. Join us each day for insight from 4 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: the best in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You 5 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 2: can also watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube to see the show weekday 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: mornings from seven to ten am Eastern from our global 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 2: headquarters in New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 9 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen, and always I'm Bloomberg Radio, 10 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. David Bianco 11 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 2: over this right now, CEO America's DWS. 12 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 3: How'd your view change after last week? 13 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 4: Not much a little bit of a surprise with the 14 00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 4: overall reaction on the legendary yen care trade and you 15 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:04,320 Speaker 4: know the way it really hit Japanese stocks. We do 16 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,960 Speaker 4: think there's a buy an opportunity in Japan and I think, 17 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 4: you know, the yen carry trade is important, but American investors, 18 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 4: particularly American technology investors, they really shouldn't be scared off 19 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 4: by that phenomenon. I would tell you that while we 20 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 4: were watching global markets and all kinds of other issues 21 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 4: in the world, we were paying attention to earning season. 22 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 4: I'm going to say right up front that I have 23 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 4: a different take on the second quarter earning season than 24 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 4: what many are saying. While it's true that the growth 25 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 4: overall is strong ten percent year on year, and even 26 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 4: excluding the Magnificent seven Grade eight it's up about four percent, 27 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 4: and we haven't seen growth outside of the magate Magnificent 28 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 4: seven Grade eight for a while, there's no rotation or 29 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 4: change in earnings growth leadership, and I don't think we 30 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 4: should have a change in performance leadership either. Actually, the 31 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 4: earnings growth is still really mostly tech and communications and 32 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 4: still the same leading very big companies out of financials, 33 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 4: certain ones that are healthcare. Really it's been mixed elsewhere, 34 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 4: and it's been still weak at consumer goods, and it's 35 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 4: getting weaker at consumer services now. So I have to 36 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 4: say we have not seen a broadening of earning strength 37 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 4: at the SMP, not at the wrust of two thousand 38 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 4: and either are still sluggish. 39 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:25,920 Speaker 5: So as we think about performance in a stock market 40 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 5: going forward, will it be the same old leaders the 41 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 5: big tech names and some of the other sectorship, Is 42 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 5: that still going to be what's going to lead this 43 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 5: market higher. 44 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,519 Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's hard to get a change in leadership 45 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 4: without a little bit of volatility along the way. Regime 46 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 4: chains changes don't tend to be entirely peaceful. But I 47 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:49,799 Speaker 4: think the market overall has a little bit more downside 48 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,359 Speaker 4: into the autumn, about five percent. I think this is 49 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 4: still a good time to lighten up and prepare for 50 00:02:55,440 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 4: some better opportunities in the autumn. But financials, healthcare, those 51 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:02,399 Speaker 4: are things we still like. We still like utilities too. 52 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 4: That's doing very well. Defense stocks, But when it comes 53 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 4: to auto retailers, transportation, we don't see it yet. 54 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 2: Well, I haven't asked this question in age is up 55 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 2: one bent crewed eighty dollars fifty four cents. 56 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 3: Nobody's talking energy all my radars. 57 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's been quiet there. The energy sector was not 58 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 4: an earnings growth contributor during the second quarter. But now 59 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 4: the energy sector is no longer that big of a sector, 60 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 4: not even that big of an earnings contributor anymore. Like, 61 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 4: I think energy earnings will be flatish for the rest 62 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 4: of the year and for possibly quite a long time. Nevertheless, 63 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 4: it does represent value, it does it's cheap, It represents 64 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 4: a geopolitical hedge that could be useful in the coming 65 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 4: months and years, but it's not exactly the most promising 66 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 4: high return industry. 67 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 6: So how about valuation here? I'm just looking. 68 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 5: You know, when we did trough that Monday morning last week, 69 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 5: we were down eight nine percent on S ANDP. That's 70 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 5: recent high. We've bounced back a little bit here. How 71 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 5: do you think that valuation. 72 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 4: Still very demanding even with the little bit of a 73 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 4: retreat in ten year yields and ten year tips yields, 74 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 4: which is welcome. It's very welcome to see tenure yields 75 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 4: drop during an equity sell off rather than climb and 76 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 4: be a cause of inequity sell off. So we're getting 77 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 4: that diversification across asset classes. But it also then leaves 78 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 4: us with, well, is this decline in yields temporary on 79 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 4: the idea that people are still nervous about things like 80 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:33,920 Speaker 4: getting carry trade online or geopolitical It's hard to know, 81 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 4: and I'm still doubtful that the tenure yield is going 82 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 4: to stay under four percent outside of our session. 83 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 5: Okay, So I guess the questionnaire is what are we 84 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 5: doing on the fixed income space here? Do we sit 85 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 5: in my two year treasury at four point zero six percent, 86 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 5: or do I take some credit risk here? 87 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 6: Do someone? Yeah? 88 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 4: So up until recently, there are really good opportunities at 89 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 4: the two year three year duration point. I might even 90 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 4: go shorter than that now to year. I still think 91 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 4: there are opportunities in muni markets. 92 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:05,599 Speaker 6: Nice, that's what we're talking about. 93 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I know it's not like but and there 94 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:12,359 Speaker 4: you I think. I think in the muni market you 95 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 4: can take some credit risk and even some maturity, longer 96 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 4: duration risk. And for those who believe that tax rates 97 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 4: are going up, but you'll you'll value that part of 98 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:21,799 Speaker 4: the portfolio. 99 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 2: You have a confidence like you're not a strategy sure, 100 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:28,279 Speaker 2: a guy that runs real money. But the answer is 101 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,720 Speaker 2: people have a confidence when they say the SMP are 102 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 2: your twelve month target is fifty six hundred? Was that 103 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 2: confidence shattered last week? 104 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 4: There's been plenty of things to be not confident about 105 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 4: the past year and a few years. And thank you. 106 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 4: I you know, we we do run real money at 107 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 4: d WS, and I still think of myself as a 108 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 4: macro minded intrinsic investor and spend a lot of time 109 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 4: focused on the S and P five hundred and it's 110 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 4: fundamental drivers like earnings, and you know, trying to give 111 00:05:57,440 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 4: indications sort portfolio managers with sector industry references. But the 112 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 4: point is this is not a time to be confident 113 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 4: about anything. There's a lot of uncertainty out there from 114 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 4: the basics, will earnings, will we have a recession or not? 115 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 4: Will there be a change in earnings leadership, performance leadership 116 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 4: or not? And we do have an important election ahead 117 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 4: and still an uncertain world. 118 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 2: David Bianco, thank you so much, thank you, greatly appreciate. 119 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 2: With DWS, everybody's got to like republish. It's August, and 120 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 2: you're like, you're supposed to wait, well, we're going to 121 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 2: put out a big piece six days after Labor Day. 122 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 3: And I'm like, okay, we'll write it now after what. 123 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:35,559 Speaker 6: We heard last week. 124 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 3: And you know, are you do you? Are you taking 125 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 3: an you work for a German bank? Are you taking 126 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 3: a month off? 127 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 4: A couple of weeks? 128 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 3: And those are Wall Street weeks. You know, I got 129 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 3: to call it on Monday. But we're fine. 130 00:06:50,200 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 2: David Bianco, thank you, thank you. Ellen Wild is definitive 131 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 2: her book Saudi. All I can say is read it. 132 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 2: Senior fellow at the Atlanta Council. Ellen, there's a decline 133 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 2: in commodities across the board. Obviously China slow down. How 134 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:20,239 Speaker 2: linked is your world of oil with a general commodity malaise. 135 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 7: So it's definitely linked, but it's definitely not one to 136 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 7: one because as we've seen, oil is rising now and 137 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 7: I think that has a lot to do with concerns 138 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 7: over tensions in the Middle East and also with the 139 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 7: news that we've got a whole bunch of draws in 140 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 7: terms of the stockpiles in the US, and so that's 141 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 7: a signal that consumption is doing well, that demand is 142 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 7: doing pretty well, although there are some hints that maybe 143 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 7: it's not quite as good as we think, mostly because 144 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 7: refineries are not running at full speed. There really isn't 145 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 7: an indication that they need to, and so we're just 146 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 7: kind of drawing more on our stock piles. 147 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 8: And then you've got economic data. 148 00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 7: Recently, it seems that traders have taken the recent unemployment 149 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 7: data as very heartening in terms of the economy, though 150 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 7: personally I would caution against reading too much into any 151 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 7: kind of unemployment data. 152 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 5: So what's really driving the show here today for global 153 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 5: cru to Ellen, is it demand concerns. Is it supply 154 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 5: what's really moving these markets here today? 155 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 8: That's that's a good question. I think it's both. 156 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 7: I think it's really concerns in the Middle East right now, 157 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 7: because you've. 158 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 8: Got it's definitely got. Demand is always an issue. 159 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 7: Although you'd think that if OPAK is trimming it's uh, 160 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 7: you know, demand forecast for the rest of the year, 161 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 7: that that would spell problems for oil. Although it could 162 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 7: be that people think that because OPAK is trimming a 163 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,959 Speaker 7: demand forecast, that the OPEC countries will then decide not 164 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 7: to increase production ever so slightly in October, which will 165 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 7: then help keep oil prices up. 166 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 8: So that's definitely a. 167 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 7: Possibility, and I do think that that's really a big 168 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 7: move to keep an eye out for. Is what is 169 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 7: OPAK going to do because they are set to increase supply, 170 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 7: not by all that much, but definitely increased supply starting 171 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:12,599 Speaker 7: in October. But if the economic signs aren't there that 172 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 7: the market can handle an increase, then they will be 173 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 7: facing a lot of pressure to roll that back. 174 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 2: So who has power now, OPECK plus the United States 175 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 2: with a huge oil success we've had, or the market. 176 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:29,679 Speaker 8: I think it's definitely the market. 177 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:31,679 Speaker 7: In this case, I think the market is really running 178 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 7: the show here and Opek is just kind of tweaking 179 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 7: here there. 180 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:37,680 Speaker 8: And in terms of the United States, it's. 181 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 7: Kind of ignoring the market in a sense. You know, 182 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:44,480 Speaker 7: oil production is high, oil production is strong, but that 183 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 7: has a lot to do with exports. The fact that 184 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 7: Europe is basically sanctioning all of Russian oil has definitely 185 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 7: been a boon for the US export market because you know, 186 00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 7: they are available, they've got oil, we can export it. 187 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 7: And in addition, there's no impediment really other than you know, 188 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 7: anything happening in the Gulf of Mexico potentially any kind 189 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:09,239 Speaker 7: of hurricanes to getting. 190 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 8: That oil to Europe, the same way there is. 191 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 7: In the Middle East when you've got to use thee 192 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 7: As Canal, you've got to get through the Persian Gulf. 193 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 7: You know, those are real hotspots right now, and we 194 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 7: don't really see that in terms of US exports. 195 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 5: So Ellen has Europe effectively weaned itself completely off of 196 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 5: Russian energy. I mean, we're a couple of years into 197 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 5: this war here. I know there's big, big concerns that 198 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 5: first winter, but it's they seem to have kind of 199 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 5: found other sources. 200 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 8: I guess that is a really good question. 201 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 7: And I think that this this independence from Russian energy 202 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 7: has not really been put to the test because we 203 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 7: haven't seen a difficult winter. If the coming winter is 204 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 7: somewhat more difficult, somewhat colder than I think, we'll really 205 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 7: be putting that to the test. But really what's happened 206 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 7: is American liquefied natural gas came to the rescue and 207 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 7: we were able to really increase our exports of liquified 208 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 7: natural gas to meet that demand from Europe. And now 209 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 7: we even see Britain thinking about putting in an LNG 210 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 7: import terminal just so it doesn't have to rely on 211 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,200 Speaker 7: the rest of Europe to get natural gas. 212 00:11:14,559 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 8: Really, natural gas is a huge. 213 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 7: Issue here and I don't think that we have seen 214 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 7: the last of this story. 215 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 2: So the forty seven meetings I went to forty seven 216 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 2: years ago on LLNG and it never happened. Can you 217 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 2: now say the LNG market is distributing and supplying and 218 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 2: demanding what the promises were thirty and forty years ago. 219 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 8: I do think so. 220 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 7: And you know it's funny because I remember back in 221 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 7: you know, twenty thirteen, when I was speaking of some 222 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 7: some oil guys and they were like, Nah, this We're 223 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 7: never going to be exporting LNG. 224 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 8: It's just it's not going to happen. 225 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 2: Well, it's happening, okay, Ellen Wild, thank you so much, 226 00:11:57,880 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 2: greatly appreciate it. 227 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:00,959 Speaker 3: Ellen Wild, Atlantic Council There. 228 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 2: I'm really excited about this conversation because I can tell 229 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 2: you on an HR basis, you talk about a career shift, 230 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 2: this is truly on Global Wall Street, the mother of 231 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 2: all career shifts. She was unhappy with her corner office 232 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 2: at the new Tower of JP Morgan, so she said, 233 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 2: forget that, I'm going with a ute of America. 234 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 3: Steph Guild. What was it like your first meeting with Robinhood? 235 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 2: Did you walk in, like, you know, with the basic 236 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 2: JP Morgan blazer look? 237 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:37,680 Speaker 3: And they said what? 238 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 9: At first, I was like, who are you talking about? 239 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:44,559 Speaker 9: Who had the mother of all career shifts? I actually 240 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 9: was told in advance, don't wear a suit, really make 241 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 9: sure you put a T shirt on, and so I 242 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 9: had to, you know, I thought about that and I said, wow, 243 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 9: this really like it was that outfit recommendation was the 244 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 9: reinforcing to me that this was quite a shift. 245 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:01,320 Speaker 6: And it took me a why. 246 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 9: I mean, it took me a while to make the 247 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 9: decision to tell us. 248 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,079 Speaker 2: Your obser I mean, I mean, frankly, seriously, folks, this 249 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 2: could be a three hour conversation. 250 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 3: For Global Wall Street. 251 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:15,720 Speaker 2: What do you do in strategy at Robinhood that is 252 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:19,720 Speaker 2: different than doing strategy the big five banks? 253 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:20,560 Speaker 1: Yeah? 254 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,719 Speaker 9: I think, well, your clients are very different. I mean, 255 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 9: so I spent eleven years in the private bank at 256 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:28,959 Speaker 9: JP Morgan and then ten years in the asset management 257 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:31,439 Speaker 9: business prior to that, mostly in the US equity part 258 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 9: of it, and so I I you're working with people 259 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:38,680 Speaker 9: who either have spent their entire years getting advice from 260 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 9: really good people or they themselves have been managing money. 261 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 9: So when I made the switch, I my job to 262 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 9: me is twofold. One is contributing to bringing really strong, 263 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 9: innovative investment products to a customer base that hasn't always 264 00:13:53,960 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 9: had access to everything. And second is teaching there are 265 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 9: a customer base about the markets, but in a way 266 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 9: that isn't just explaining terms like actually using the real 267 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 9: terms and not using all these you know, oh you're 268 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 9: in a garden like I would rather use the term. 269 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 9: So when they watch Bloomberg. They understand what the host this. 270 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 2: Is true value of the conversation for me to make 271 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 2: jokes about you and the memes tas because Lisa's Lisa's 272 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 2: kids are trading Robinhood off the couch. 273 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 8: Oh nice. 274 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 3: It's how do you. 275 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 2: Get well meaning, well intentioned people to pull out the 276 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 2: time frame to long term thirty day investment that was 277 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 2: a joke. How do you get them to pull out 278 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 2: to a longer term investment perspective. 279 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 9: I just think it's a matter of education, meeting them 280 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 9: where they are, and they are on social media, they 281 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:49,720 Speaker 9: are on YouTube, They're on you know, my kids, I 282 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 9: have kids do there. They learn everything from YouTube. They 283 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 9: know more than me about some things because of it. 284 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 9: And I also think that you need to you need 285 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 9: to they're gonna. I think they've all learned a lot. 286 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 9: Actually when we when we look at like the way 287 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 9: that they trade and the way that they invest. We've 288 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 9: got the Robin Hood investor index, and we get to 289 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 9: kind of look at what they're doing regularly. They you know, 290 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 9: our average age customer is actually increased. And I think 291 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 9: with time to. 292 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 3: What fourteen out to Lisa, how old is your daughter seventy. 293 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: She's seventy. But my sons in his twenties and he's 294 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: doing that. Yeah, so he's going on, but he's looking 295 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:29,360 Speaker 1: to the social media. How you're talking about So how 296 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 1: do you find. 297 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 8: Like, I mean, our average age is thirty three? 298 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: Okay, okay, But what advice do you have for them? 299 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: I mean a lot of these young kids who are 300 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: going on what advice do you have for them? Who 301 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 1: are going on social media and they're just believing whatever 302 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: they hear. 303 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 9: Yeah, just be curious non stop, be like why did 304 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 9: they say that? You know, what are they what's in 305 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 9: it for them? Like every I mean even when I 306 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 9: read things from analysts or even from hedgephen managers, I think, 307 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 9: you know, what's what's in their book? Like what's helping them? 308 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:03,320 Speaker 9: Just always be curious and wondering, like why is someone 309 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 9: saying that? And what would the other side of that say. 310 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 9: I just think that's like who is a Peter Lynch 311 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 9: that said, you know, if you got through fifth grade math, 312 00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 9: like you can analyze the company. It's you can do it. 313 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 9: You just have to spend the time doing it. And 314 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 9: that's why we you know, I try to explain things 315 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 9: in the context of the market. 316 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 8: Like I have a weekly blog and I do this. 317 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 3: You have a weekly blog that's really good stuff. Killed 318 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 3: what did you learn and what would you like The. 319 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 2: Message to the robin Hood audience off of Vix at 320 00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 2: sixty five closing the week. 321 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,760 Speaker 9: At twenty one, Well, maybe you should go to sleep 322 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 9: on Sunday and wake up on Friday. But besides that, 323 00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 9: I think, actually, like when VIX gets to those levels, 324 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 9: it's usually historically an opportunity. I mean, I'm not saying 325 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 9: you should always jump in, because sometimes it is a 326 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 9: part of a greater problem. But if you take a 327 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 9: step back and looked at what was happening in the world, 328 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 9: I just think the markets was we're throwing a temper tantrum, right, 329 00:16:58,040 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 9: just like they did in like December of twenty eighteen 330 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,400 Speaker 9: when the FED wanted to keep raising rates and the 331 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 9: market said no, you should not, and they, like the 332 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 9: FED listened and I mean, you said, you have kids. 333 00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 9: When you didn't give them what they wanted, what did 334 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:13,119 Speaker 9: they do? They threw a temper tantrum. And you know, 335 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 9: also the Fed I think in twenty eighteen taught the 336 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 9: markets that like, well, we listened to you, and so 337 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 9: I think they were trying to do that this time, 338 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:22,399 Speaker 9: like you need to cut, you need to cut, and 339 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 9: you didn't commit enough to us. 340 00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 2: Tell me about particularly with Robin Hood's age thirty three demo, 341 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 2: whatever that demo was, and that's open to debate, But 342 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 2: tell me how you, as an adult blog advise on 343 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 2: meme stocks because we're sitting here as a comedy act 344 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 2: making jokes about it, except there's some people making money 345 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 2: and there's a lot of people getting crushed by the volatility. 346 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:51,280 Speaker 6: Yeah, stocks have to know. 347 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 9: I mean a couple of things. One is that like 348 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,960 Speaker 9: I think the memestock stuff, we're the vehicle. We don't 349 00:17:57,960 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 9: come out and say, like, go out and do this 350 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 9: right like. But secondly, I think they're I think it's 351 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 9: kind of interesting that you are watching a generation of 352 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 9: people express their views and they are they fundamentally are 353 00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 9: changing the makeup of a company. Right Like if you 354 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 9: think about some of these companies, like they have been 355 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 9: able to raise capital and they've been able to take 356 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,600 Speaker 9: down debt, and it's they could end up being like 357 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 9: completely turned around companies because of it, because of their 358 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 9: shareholder base believing in them and whatever that means for them. 359 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 9: But you have to, you know, stay diversified. I always say, 360 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 9: like everyone's money is kind of like a pyramid. You 361 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 9: need to have an emergency cash, you know, just so 362 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 9: you lose your job, whatever happens. Like you've got that 363 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 9: for at least six months. Then the next layer make 364 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 9: sure you have some diversification and our customer base. Like 365 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 9: we were seeing it this past you know, week of volatility. 366 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,640 Speaker 9: They were they weren't just buying the names that are 367 00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 9: in our robin Hood Investor index, they were also buying 368 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 9: broad based index funds. 369 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 6: This is really using is like a. 370 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 9: Way to add to it. And then after that, you know, yes, 371 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,120 Speaker 9: like invest in your aspirational things because I think if 372 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 9: you always just ever say fully diversified, you're never gonna 373 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,439 Speaker 9: see it. You have to take risk to get return 374 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:17,480 Speaker 9: that always comes with it. 375 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,360 Speaker 2: That's the smartest thing I've heard in the show. It's 376 00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,960 Speaker 2: Monday for the week. This has been great. Steph Wild, 377 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,119 Speaker 2: thank you so much with robin Hood running strategy for 378 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 2: them in a blog. 379 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 9: What's the name you have some fans investors guild just 380 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 9: like my last. 381 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 3: Oh I get the medieval positively medieval, very good stuff 382 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 3: and gil with Investor skills branding. Which social is the 383 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 3: biggest reach for Robinhood. 384 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 9: Well, we have just Robinhood app on social, and then 385 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,240 Speaker 9: I have Steph guild n y c myself. 386 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,439 Speaker 3: Okay, like, are you working TikTok every day? 387 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 8: I don't go. 388 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:59,840 Speaker 9: I'm on Instagram and X I heard you talking about it. 389 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,119 Speaker 8: I'm just learning how to do these. 390 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm sitting over here. You know, Paul saved me today. 391 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 2: I'm over here trying to figure out how to put 392 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 2: out Instagram. Don't be a stranger stuff Caill, Thank you 393 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:09,400 Speaker 2: so much. 394 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 3: With Robin. 395 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 2: You tell a look at the front pages of Lisa 396 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 2: Matteo hour. It's brought to you by ib k R 397 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:29,920 Speaker 2: with the Interactive Brokers Forecast Trader. You can trade your 398 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:34,720 Speaker 2: views on key economic and climate indicators. Visit ibkr dot 399 00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 2: com slash forecast and get started today. 400 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 3: Incredibly busy weekend. Lisa. I saw her slave in a way. 401 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 3: She had like an hour's worth of stuff. 402 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 1: Go. 403 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 6: Thank you. 404 00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,600 Speaker 1: Artificial intelligence. You know everybody's talking about it, right, So 405 00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 1: it wants to count your calories. So let me explain. Okay, 406 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,199 Speaker 1: researchers developing this technology, it's going to analyze what you 407 00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 1: eat bite by bite. So basically what you do this 408 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 1: from the Wall Street Journal. You record yourself eating whatever 409 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 1: as I'm eating, you know, a spoonful of chobani. It's 410 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,160 Speaker 1: recording the portion sizes of the spoon as it goes 411 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:13,119 Speaker 1: into my mouth. But the only thing that is, I know, 412 00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:14,720 Speaker 1: don't don't huff puff just yet. 413 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:15,160 Speaker 6: Okay. 414 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 1: But what it's not recording, it's not up to date with, 415 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 1: is what kind of food you're eating. So that they 416 00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 1: say is gonna, you know, come in the next few 417 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: months or so. 418 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 3: But such an ai. 419 00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:27,200 Speaker 6: It's an AI thing. 420 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,879 Speaker 1: So at tracks the spoon how much is in the 421 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:31,680 Speaker 1: spoons as you But you've. 422 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 5: Already got one of those crazy watches on your wrist. 423 00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:34,520 Speaker 5: Doesn't that count everything? 424 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:35,880 Speaker 8: No, it doesn't count calorie. 425 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 1: Oh, there's a lot of apps and stuff. 426 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: But I'll say, I got to solve this. I'm sitting 427 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:42,960 Speaker 2: there with a Manhattan up. We're out of cherry, so 428 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 2: I'm just sitting there on the deck with a Manhattan. 429 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 3: I'm watching the sun set over Sweeney's house. 430 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:49,679 Speaker 2: Okay, I could see him in the distance on his 431 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 2: vestma vet bills on my lap and kennel feet is 432 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 2: right next to vet Bill and I got a box 433 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:57,800 Speaker 2: of Whole Foods crackers. 434 00:21:57,920 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 3: Okay, Chrich they love. 435 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:03,000 Speaker 2: Yes, I have one, then vet Bill has one, Then 436 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:04,080 Speaker 2: Kelfy has one. 437 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,640 Speaker 1: AI is gonna keep track of that, It'll keep track 438 00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:12,159 Speaker 1: of yours if it's on a spoon. They're working on 439 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 1: the technology. Yes, next it could, it could go somewhere. 440 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:18,159 Speaker 6: Okay. 441 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:18,679 Speaker 7: Uh. 442 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 1: Disney they held the D twenty three convention over in 443 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,119 Speaker 1: California over the weekend, so they revealed all those details. 444 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:25,640 Speaker 1: Remember they said they were going to spend so much 445 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,760 Speaker 1: money on their parks, so they broke it down for you. 446 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:29,639 Speaker 6: So stay with me. 447 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 8: Moms and dads take notes. 448 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,160 Speaker 1: Okay, So Walt disney World's Magic Kingdom in Florida, they're 449 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: going to get a new land devoted to villains. Frontier 450 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:41,000 Speaker 1: Land is getting an upgrade that includes a cars themed area. 451 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:44,240 Speaker 1: Then you have the Hollywood Studios in Florida. They're getting 452 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:47,000 Speaker 1: land based on the Pixar's Monsters franchise. 453 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 6: Then over an. 454 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 1: Animal Kingdom, they have a new Indiana Jones ride and 455 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 1: they're recreating the house from that film Encanto. And then globally, 456 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 1: I mean, you have Spider Man attractions coming to Disney 457 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,959 Speaker 1: parks in Shanghai Hong Kong Paris. The company is building 458 00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,840 Speaker 1: a log flume ride based on the Lion King and 459 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 1: here's the top er. They're planning four new cruise so 460 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,960 Speaker 1: it's not just yeah, the parks, but the cruise. 461 00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 6: Each one of those babies cost a billion dollars. Scared. 462 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 6: Oh my god, awesome though. 463 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,119 Speaker 5: I mean, I'm not a cruise person, but I went 464 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 5: out on an investor cruise they had for ust a 465 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:20,880 Speaker 5: bunch of years ago. 466 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:21,920 Speaker 6: Pretty nice. 467 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: We go to surveillance. Oh he's not there. He's on 468 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 3: his break. He's got a break. It's a union job. 469 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 3: You know. 470 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:32,480 Speaker 2: Side Benson is is our cruise guy, and say, you know, 471 00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 2: I wanted to ask him, which is the geography, like 472 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:36,520 Speaker 2: which cruise does he like best? 473 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:39,359 Speaker 3: But he's on it's a it's a union break. 474 00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:40,400 Speaker 8: It's a union break. 475 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 6: Lots of money. 476 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,080 Speaker 1: But those Disney cruise I did take a tour, you're right, 477 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,159 Speaker 1: and it's amazing the ships and how much stuff they 478 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 1: have on it. But they broke it down, you know, 479 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:49,679 Speaker 1: they said how much And this is even you know, 480 00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 1: they've been talking about how the park's business is starting 481 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:57,440 Speaker 1: to slow. So it's just a little little thing. Okay, 482 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:02,160 Speaker 1: corporations that whole in and out flying on one day. 483 00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,199 Speaker 1: It's starting to change, Like a lot of corporations are 484 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,280 Speaker 1: cutting back on that. So this is the head of 485 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:10,080 Speaker 1: Global Business Travel Association tells the Financial Times the way 486 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: companies traveling are different. So they're declining on those one 487 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,200 Speaker 1: day flight trips. Frustration with flights because they're just getting 488 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,360 Speaker 1: tired of being delayed and just for in and out 489 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: in one day. Environmental concern so they're packing more meetings 490 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: into fewer trips. 491 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 5: So yeah, So coming to the longest one day trip 492 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 5: that I did on a fairly regular basis was Denver, 493 00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 5: New York. 494 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:31,440 Speaker 6: Did Denver I would be done on a one day? Yeah, 495 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:32,119 Speaker 6: you could. 496 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:33,959 Speaker 5: You could get in there, get two or three meetings 497 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:34,880 Speaker 5: and get back at it. 498 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 6: Not a crazy time. That's the max. Yeah, only for 499 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 6: Janis Would I do that? 500 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:40,480 Speaker 2: Yeah? 501 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,119 Speaker 3: Like is zoom a replacement is the heart of the man. 502 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:44,879 Speaker 3: I don't think. 503 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 2: Yes, I'm in the camp on Jamie Diamonds heated about this. 504 00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:52,680 Speaker 2: He's at JP Morgan. I believe he's get on the plane, 505 00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 2: go see her, Go see your clients, have lunch, talk 506 00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:58,639 Speaker 2: about you know which. 507 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,160 Speaker 3: I'm fully on board that you know where Emi Lisa 508 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 3: and zoom, Yes you do? You have one for I do? 509 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm not sure if you have one of these times? 510 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 1: Do you have a pet trust or a pet direction? 511 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 3: I actually worked on this this weekend. 512 00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 2: You did? 513 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:16,439 Speaker 6: Yes? 514 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 3: I got one hundred and. 515 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 2: Fifty pages from Keith when are you going to die? 516 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:24,920 Speaker 2: Great Law Firm? And uh, Keith, when are you? 517 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 3: You know when where are you going to die? Dot com? 518 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:28,240 Speaker 3: And back? 519 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 2: You know, like there's six pages in the way back 520 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:35,240 Speaker 2: on the dog trust and it's it's there so you 521 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:36,640 Speaker 2: trust care. 522 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, So it's not so the pet trust where like 523 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,560 Speaker 1: you know, when people are the millions of dollars, so 524 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 1: they're you know, to Fido. But now it's the directives, 525 00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,439 Speaker 1: which is basically saying who's going to care for your 526 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,120 Speaker 1: pet and then they'll leave money for that care. 527 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 3: We called a side letter in sideline. 528 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,000 Speaker 2: I said to Keith, uh, I said, do you understand 529 00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,959 Speaker 2: what dog walking costs in Manhattan? 530 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:02,359 Speaker 3: And he had never seeing those numbers and you know 531 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:02,959 Speaker 3: it's crazy. 532 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,080 Speaker 1: Well that's what they're saying, because you're spending money on that. 533 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 1: The food is ridiculous. Healthcare, you know, the dentist isn't 534 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 1: another one for the tea. 535 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:12,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, well the dentists, isn't. 536 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,399 Speaker 2: We're just featuring the dentist on our new Instagram account. 537 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 2: But you know, the Horseman's School of Veterinarian Medicine just 538 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:24,440 Speaker 2: might just make the checkout tuition payments. Horse Man. But Paul, 539 00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:27,439 Speaker 2: this is serious stuff and the answer is I have 540 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,119 Speaker 2: to write into the trust chewing. 541 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:34,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it writes the trust demanded. So this 542 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 3: is like a new thing. 543 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 1: So it's becoming more prevalent for people who are not rich, 544 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 1: just everyday people who just have pets and they want 545 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 1: to make sure they take care of who's taking care 546 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: of their pets. 547 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 2: Lisa Matteo our newspapers this morning. This is the Bloomberg 548 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:53,200 Speaker 2: Surveillance Podcast, bringing you the best in economics, finance, investment, 549 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:57,000 Speaker 2: and international relations. You can also watch the show live 550 00:26:57,240 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 2: on YouTube. 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