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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. I'm with you every morning at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt my handle on our Discord channel and all socials

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slast chat to come on in more

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Speaker 1: on that here in just one second. I got a

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Speaker 1: couple of things to say here at the top. But

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Speaker 1: wide sale going on right now. Okay, two and one

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Speaker 1: night last night, good in college basketball, Radford came in.

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Speaker 1: You've bet the money line. You got Radford even better there.

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Speaker 1: They beat West Virginia on the road. That was good.

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Speaker 1: We got the North Carolina win, which was nice, and

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Speaker 1: then Alabama had it and then they didn't both of

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Speaker 1: my losses last night. I went one and two on

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Speaker 1: the Creighton game, but they both had the same problem.

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Speaker 1: Teams in college basketball that are heavily reliant on the three,

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Speaker 1: they go cold, you're gonna lose. And the Blue Jays

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Speaker 1: went ice cold. Awful, awful game. Baylor Shinerman had a

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Speaker 1: horrible game for the Blue Jays. It's gonna be interesting

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Speaker 1: to see too, because of the national the name, image

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Speaker 1: and likeness deals that these kids are getting. Does that

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Speaker 1: mean you can criticize a college kid more? Remember that

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Speaker 1: whole line, like you can't talk about a college kid

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Speaker 1: because he's not making any money playing the sport. Does

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Speaker 1: that mean that the rules are off? Because I thought

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Speaker 1: about that, I was like, man, Baylor is not young.

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Speaker 1: Though Baylor is. I think he's twenty four, so it's

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Speaker 1: not like he's a kid. But man, his streak for

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Speaker 1: three pointers got broken, and he took a three at

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Speaker 1: the end of the game with five seconds left that

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Speaker 1: was complete hero ball, like took the ball himself. He

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Speaker 1: missed a free throw, a one in one he could

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Speaker 1: have tied the game up the line. He didn't had

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Speaker 1: a chance to hit the game winner, but could have

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Speaker 1: made a play for a teammate, could have driven the basketball,

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Speaker 1: kicked out, could have gone to the rim. A variety

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Speaker 1: of things could have happened. Besides a pull up forty

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Speaker 1: foot jump shot that was woefully off. It just looked

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Speaker 1: like a lot of me ball for Creighton. Not good.

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Speaker 1: They got point guard problems. I mean, Steve Ashwood is

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Speaker 1: a he's a good spot up shooter, but he's not athletic.

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Speaker 1: He can't handle I mean in the Big East. I

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Speaker 1: think he's gonna have a really hard time. I really

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Speaker 1: don't think he's athletic enough to guard the guards in

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Speaker 1: the Big East. He got pushed around and he can't

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Speaker 1: get to the rim either. So Alabama's same problem. They've

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Speaker 1: got Sears. I love Sears. He's a really good player,

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Speaker 1: but he's undersized. Arizona's now nine and one ats. They

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Speaker 1: are just they're phenomenal. They're a lot of fun. We'll

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Speaker 1: ride them a lot in the back twelve. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: have a big year team that you may I'm close

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Speaker 1: to pulling the trigger on them to win the national championship.

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Speaker 1: I think that they've got the horses to do it.

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Speaker 1: They're really really good top to bottom, So we may

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Speaker 1: get into that coming up for next week before the

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Speaker 1: PAC twelve conference schedule begins. But two and one point

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Speaker 1: nine up good there. Officially, that was nice, and then

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Speaker 1: I ended up getting some toup. I mean I got

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Speaker 1: the Creighton first half line right total wrong, and then

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Speaker 1: I bet the Jays to cover seven and they didn't.

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Speaker 1: They lost the game outright in overtime, so I went.

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Speaker 1: I went one and two in that game personally, But

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Speaker 1: then we wound up in the Evansville game, right, So

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Speaker 1: that was nice Evansville team till it came in, so

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Speaker 1: he played that it. So overall it was pretty much

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Speaker 1: a flat I think it was down a little bit

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Speaker 1: because of the creaton game Igo a little bit too

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Speaker 1: Kerry crazy, but officially up zero point nine units on

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Speaker 1: the day, So we've had a flat day, a bad day,

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Speaker 1: and a good day. Here we are on Thursday. One

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Speaker 1: quick thing, So before I taped here tonight, I was

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Speaker 1: in our Discord channel, and look, the Daily Juice part

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Speaker 1: of the Discord channel is the only place I hang out,

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Speaker 1: so I'm protective of it. Somebody came in and tried

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Speaker 1: to get everyone to bet a same game parlay, and

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Speaker 1: I'm perfectly comfortable with people going in there in place,

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Speaker 1: all your place. I mean, d Nizzy was so successful

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Speaker 1: that we made a subchannel for him, okay, his handle.

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Speaker 1: We made a subchannel on the Daily Juice because his plick,

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Speaker 1: his picks, he had so many plays. People wanted to

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Speaker 1: know every day, like what are you betting? And I'm

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Speaker 1: perfectly cool with that, Like, my job is to help

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Speaker 1: you guys make money in any way former possible. So

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Speaker 1: I said, go ahead and make a subchannel for d Nizzy.

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Speaker 1: And you know, d Nizzy watch basketball. I think it's

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Speaker 1: called off the Juice channel. I love that. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I love the guy. He's tremendous, But not when someone

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Speaker 1: comes in and recommends same game parlays and I said,

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Speaker 1: you know, look, it's a bad bet. Same game parlays

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Speaker 1: are a bad bet. Okay. This is the dirty little

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Speaker 1: secret going on right now in sports betting that nobody

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Speaker 1: wants to talk about. You know the companies and I'll

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Speaker 1: let them be nameless, but you know the companies that

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Speaker 1: do the six game, the six leg parlays for props.

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Speaker 1: You know those companies. Now there's a lot of questions

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Speaker 1: about the legality of it, but I don't care about that.

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Speaker 1: It's legal in most states at the moment. But the

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Speaker 1: odds aren't true. Did you know that a six game parlay,

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Speaker 1: a six leg parlay should pay somewhere from forty five

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Speaker 1: to fifty five to one, but they offer twenty five

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Speaker 1: to one. Now, even when you win, they're not paying

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Speaker 1: you the true odds of what you should be getting.

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Speaker 1: They're still winning when you do that. So you put

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Speaker 1: ten bucks down and you win two fifty and you're like,

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Speaker 1: I want Yeah, but you should have won four to fifty,

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Speaker 1: not two fifty. So that's the problem with what's going

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Speaker 1: on in betting right now. Same game parlays are everywhere.

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Speaker 1: And I will stand behind my take on him that

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Speaker 1: there's a reason why the books push him so hard. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I get it. Everybody, every single outlet I work for,

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Speaker 1: has asked me to do a same game parlay. I

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Speaker 1: tell them the same thing all the time. No, I'm

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Speaker 1: not doing it. I'm not going to carry the water.

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Speaker 1: Betting is hard enough. Eleven versus ten is hard enough.

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Speaker 1: I've told you. I don't think parlaying is great, but

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Speaker 1: two leg parlays are nothing compared to same game parlays.

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Speaker 1: The correlation, the difficulties. Sure, some people make money, absolutely,

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Speaker 1: some pros take advantage. Some sharps do very very well.

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Speaker 1: But we had somebody come in and said the odds

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Speaker 1: don't matter. He said, I'm not kidding you. This person

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Speaker 1: on this court channel. Go look, Kennedy. He said, the odds.

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Speaker 1: Look at the odds. The odds don't matter. The odds

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Speaker 1: don't matter. The odds are the only thing that matters.

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Speaker 1: That's the only thing that matters. I mean, sure, it's

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Speaker 1: great when you're betting four legs at minus two hundred

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Speaker 1: and you think you're gonna go ahead in cash. He

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Speaker 1: claimed he was hitting at a seventy percent clip. Again,

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Speaker 1: you claim you hit seventy percent of anything. I'm calling

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Speaker 1: BS right away. I'm calling BS. So just I kind

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Speaker 1: of want to tell you guys where I am on

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Speaker 1: this stuff, because I don't know. Somebody took one of

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Speaker 1: my tweets and they did a Twitter spaces about one

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Speaker 1: of my tweets, and the guy hosting it said Matt Perrault,

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Speaker 1: who has been known to like to question things, put

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Speaker 1: this tweet out that's how he introduced me. I wasn't there.

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Speaker 1: I wasn't invited to that to that conversation. They just

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Speaker 1: had it without me about my tweet, and it was

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Speaker 1: questioning about what happened on Monday night with the Gino

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Speaker 1: Smith news and how the total moved and how the

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Speaker 1: side moved and Smith was active, and we saw tweets

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Speaker 1: coming out that he looked great. To the gm cit

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Speaker 1: he looked great in warmups. Surprised how good he looked.

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Speaker 1: Didn't play a single snap. He was never gonna play.

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Speaker 1: Drew Locke was told he was playing the second he

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Speaker 1: arrived at the building three and a half hours prior

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Speaker 1: to kickoff. The Seahawks told Drew Locke, you're starting. Seahawks

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Speaker 1: used the media, They used Adam Schefter, they used the

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Speaker 1: media to do some clandestine misdirection trying to confuse the Eagles. Okay, so,

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Speaker 1: like I just thought that was a little interesting that,

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Speaker 1: you know, a team can use the media, members can

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Speaker 1: move markets. And the ESPN reporter who got it wrong.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he just throws his hands up and says, oh, well,

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Speaker 1: but remember ESPN is a book. Oh no, pens the book, Matt. Well, yeah,

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Speaker 1: but ESPN bets on the name, right, So I'm just

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Speaker 1: saying like, I'm a little different. Okay, I'm a little

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Speaker 1: different in this space. Everyone wants to get along, to

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Speaker 1: go along at the moment, and they just want to

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Speaker 1: get paid, and I it's hard to get paid in

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Speaker 1: this business, and I don't get paid because of my

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Speaker 1: stances on a lot of things. People don't want to

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Speaker 1: do business with me because they're like, oh, Matt, you

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Speaker 1: know you're too honest. You know that Matt Parrelzi asks

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Speaker 1: too many questions. Okay, but I'm doing this for you guys.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm trying. As a guy who has learned

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Speaker 1: a lot from people in the business who actually book games,

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Speaker 1: people who are in the world of actually taking bets.

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Speaker 1: These people I talk to I've learned from. I listen,

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Speaker 1: and then I get to come and relay that to

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Speaker 1: you guys. That's how I feel. I am. I am

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Speaker 1: a conduit to this information because I think when people

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Speaker 1: find out that a six game or six leg parlay

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Speaker 1: with props should pay you fifty to one or forty

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Speaker 1: five to one and not twenty five to one, you

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Speaker 1: might stop and go, Huh, that's weird. Why isn't that

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Speaker 1: Why don't you pay that? Why are you paying me

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Speaker 1: almost half of what you should be paying me by

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Speaker 1: the math? And I am a math guy. Anybody who

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Speaker 1: knows me, I'm not great with the math. But I

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Speaker 1: know that forty five is more than twenty five. I

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Speaker 1: do know that. So just to kind of tell you

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Speaker 1: guys where I'm at, because my gut tells me that's

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Speaker 1: going to continue in our discord channel, and that's going

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Speaker 1: to continue with our daily juice community, and people are

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Speaker 1: going to go back and forth on these things and

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Speaker 1: chance to do. If you're young, and if you're a

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Speaker 1: guy in your twenties and you've been firing on same

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Speaker 1: game parlays, you think that that's part of that's what

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Speaker 1: you should be doing. You think that's what betting is.

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Speaker 1: That's not betting, guys, Okay, it's it's it's not it's

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Speaker 1: a lottery. You're buying lottery tickets, and lottery tickets hit sometimes, sure,

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Speaker 1: scratch tickets hit sometimes, no debating, but you're dealing with

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Speaker 1: the same type of odds, and even when you do hit,

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Speaker 1: most of the time, you're not being paid the true odds.

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Speaker 1: And a parlay calculator should be your best friend. If

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Speaker 1: you don't know what that is, you could DM me

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Speaker 1: and ask me. I'll show you a couple of them.

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Speaker 1: But go Google Parlay calculator to see what the odds

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Speaker 1: should be versus what the odds are that you're being offered,

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Speaker 1: and you might be surprised. Okay, you might be a

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Speaker 1: little bit angry, and you might be a little bit

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Speaker 1: surprised about what the odds should be versus what the

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Speaker 1: odds are on these contests, these websites, these books. It's

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Speaker 1: a little bit frustrating. Okay, just as I'm in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: I'm around people who've been doing this for twenty thirty years.

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Speaker 1: Guys like Robert Walker, Guys like Dave Sheripan, guys like

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Speaker 1: Jeffrey Benson. Okay, these are life first, These are the legends.

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Speaker 1: These are the people who built this thing. And when

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Speaker 1: they talk, I listen, and then I get to come

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Speaker 1: and talk to you guys and tell you if you

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Speaker 1: don't know who those three guys are, google the three

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Speaker 1: of them. You're gonna go WHOA. Okay, they have been

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Speaker 1: at the forefront of all of this stuff. And when

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Speaker 1: they start raising their hands going, hey, this is a

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Speaker 1: little weird I listen, so sorry for the rant, but

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Speaker 1: I just it's beyond Just like Matt says, don't bet parlays,

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Speaker 1: it's beyond that. Okay, it's more aggressive than that. My

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Speaker 1: opinion is a lot sharper than that than just don't

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Speaker 1: bet parlays. There's math behind reasons why. There's math behind

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Speaker 1: why don't bet same game parlays. Don't bet parlays generally

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Speaker 1: two leggers. Okay, I'm not really against them. Teasers technically

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Speaker 1: are same game parlays in a way. But it's all spreads, okay.

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Speaker 1: But there's an equation that a thought process is a

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Speaker 1: long system behind it. So and it's two legs, you

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Speaker 1: add that third leg, go through the math, and see

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Speaker 1: how more difficult it is to win in the long

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Speaker 1: term by adding the third, the fourth, the fifth leg

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Speaker 1: to a parlay. All right, enough of that, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the games tonight. So I've got a player prop

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Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football that I'm gonna put a half

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Speaker 1: a unit down, and then I'm gonna give you an

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Speaker 1: NBA player prop off of the bet the the the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet that we have off of the

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Speaker 1: betting pros app that you can go download that for

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Speaker 1: free right now. If you want really cool, I should

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Speaker 1: do that. That does not get populated until the lineups

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Speaker 1: are set. All right. So, speaking of Discord channel, I

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Speaker 1: will give you a player prop in the NBA that

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Speaker 1: I like. I'm gonna bet for a half a unit

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Speaker 1: here tonight. Okay, but I don't have it on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be put in the Discord channel bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot Com slash chat to get in. I'll put it

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Speaker 1: in the Daily Juice channel for there, and I will

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Speaker 1: at everybody so everybody gets alerted. Have your notifications on

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Speaker 1: so you get to see when I do that, and

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Speaker 1: you know that I've posted the player prop there so

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Speaker 1: you can fade or follow it. Okay, let's talk Rams

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Speaker 1: in the Saints LINEES four, I'm taking the Rams. Here's why.

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Speaker 1: Rams are eight five and one ATS on the year.

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Speaker 1: The Saints are four nine and one ATS. The Saints

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Speaker 1: are four and three at home, but their wins having

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Speaker 1: against Cleveland, Washington and Seattle three straight wins at home

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Speaker 1: and covers for the Rams two four and one on

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Speaker 1: the road. Here. Now, for the Saints, they have covered

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Speaker 1: their last two games, but those games are at home.

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Speaker 1: This is a different team. This is Jekyll and Hyde.

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Speaker 1: Offense on the road is not good. Saints offense at

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Speaker 1: home is pretty decent. I lean towards the under forty

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Speaker 1: six in this game. I don't know how many points

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Speaker 1: the Saints are going to score. Their offense is highly

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Speaker 1: ineffective on the road. It is very good at home,

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Speaker 1: but their defense is pretty good against the pass. Well,

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Speaker 1: what happens here for the Rams Matthew Stafford, Cooper Cup, Pukaakua.

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Speaker 1: Obviously they're gonna throw the rock, right, They're gonna look

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Speaker 1: to throw. Saints are hard to throw on except the

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Speaker 1: Saints give up about ninety two yards per game on

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Speaker 1: the ground. And this is the problem because Karen Williams

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Speaker 1: has been absolutely epic. It's going over over one hundred

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Speaker 1: yards in for the last five games. He's gone over

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Speaker 1: eighty nine and a half yards in five to the

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Speaker 1: last seven. Guess what we're betting over eighty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half yards rushing half a unit. Karen Williams running

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Speaker 1: the rock here for the Rams. I think they run

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Speaker 1: the ball down the Saints' throats and I think they

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Speaker 1: do play action and they hit some big plays there.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think this Saints offense can score enough

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Speaker 1: on the road against the Rams. It's indoors. Yes, it's

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Speaker 1: a Dome team against another Dome team, but this is

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Speaker 1: not a fan base that travels all that well. There

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Speaker 1: will be Saints frans there, but it's not like you're

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Speaker 1: gonna see Raider fans. You're not gonna can see Chief

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Speaker 1: fans or Charger fans. It's not gonna be anywhere near

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Speaker 1: like that, you know, coming all over here. This is

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Speaker 1: the Rams who still pretty much have a fan base

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Speaker 1: in Los Angeles. The Chargers don't. The Rams do. And

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Speaker 1: the Rams are trying to make the playoffs, and Matthew

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Speaker 1: Stafford's playing an elite level. Their offense is clicking. I

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Speaker 1: think the game probably does go under because I think

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Speaker 1: it's like a twenty four to ten type game, and

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Speaker 1: I think you could bet the team total is twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. It's heavily juiced. If you see

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Speaker 1: twenty three and a half, it's like minus one forty.

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Speaker 1: Twenty four and a half is like minus one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: So twenty four is the number for the Rams tonight.

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Speaker 1: The books are projecting, and I think it feels kind

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Speaker 1: of right Thursday Night football. Saints are good against the pass.

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Speaker 1: See the Saints really getting lit up by the Rams.

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Speaker 1: But running the football is gonna get the clock running,

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Speaker 1: and that's gonna prevent possessions for the for the Saints offense.

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Speaker 1: And I don't think they capitalize even when they do

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Speaker 1: of the ball. I don't think they capitalize Rams minus

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Speaker 1: four one point one units. I'm gonna back Stafford at

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Speaker 1: home here, and then I'm gonna take Karen Williams over

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Speaker 1: eighty nine and a half rushing yards. I'm really excited,

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Speaker 1: by the way, Just so you know, Karen Williams has

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Speaker 1: run for one fifty eight one forty three, eighty eight

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Speaker 1: one fourteen, one fifty two over his last five games

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Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, twenty one, twenty five, twenty seven carries for

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Speaker 1: the Rams. He's been tremendous. Okay, just absolutely tremendous coming

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Speaker 1: out of our name and a guy that I think,

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Speaker 1: well tonight maybe be featured. Look, it's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: very popular prop bet Okay, everyone's gonna be on it.

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Speaker 1: It's why I gave it to you early, because the

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Speaker 1: number is gonna run. Okay, some books are already at

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Speaker 1: ninety one so I'm at eighty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Gave that out on the Discord channel earlier tonight, said hey,

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Speaker 1: this number is going to go. Get on this now,

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Speaker 1: eight nine and a half. I think Williams runs the ball,

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Speaker 1: and I think it's going to be a very prop

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Speaker 1: popular prop. Last game on the road, they gave up

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Speaker 1: the Saints, gave up ninety one yards rushing to be

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Speaker 1: Jean Robinson of the Falcons, So give you a comparable

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Speaker 1: opportunity there, So half a unit on Williams over eight

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Speaker 1: nine and a half yards rushing, one point one units

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Speaker 1: down on the Rams minus four. I do think the

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Speaker 1: under is a decent play at forty six, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna make it because I'm trying to stay away

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Speaker 1: from totals. Just they haven't told me. Haven't been the

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Speaker 1: best of friends. But my hockey bet is a total bet.

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Speaker 1: This number six and a half, and I really can't

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Speaker 1: believe at six and a half. I'm actually kind of

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Speaker 1: surprise this number is six and a half because I

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Speaker 1: think it should be seven. I think it might wind

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Speaker 1: up being seven, but you know it's seven now. By

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Speaker 1: the way, the first seven and a half of the

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Speaker 1: year popped the Oilers and the Devils is seven and

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Speaker 1: a half, which is unbelievable. Under is minus one sixty

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Speaker 1: two at FanDuel if you want to jump on that.

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Speaker 1: But Vancouver and the Dallas Stars, it's Wedgewood who is

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Speaker 1: in net because he has to be in net because

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Speaker 1: they're they're carrying one goaltender right now up against the

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Speaker 1: up against Vancouver's Dell Demco is starting. Demco's goals against

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Speaker 1: average is not awful, but it's high. It's two point eight.

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Speaker 1: He's giving up three goals tonight. Denco will give up three,

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Speaker 1: Wedgewood will give up three. Game will be three to three,

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Speaker 1: hopefully four to three. Final, we go over. Okay, now,

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Speaker 1: is that a perfect ride? Maybe? But Dallas at home

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Speaker 1: is eleven and four to the over this season, and

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Speaker 1: on the road this year, Vancouver is eleven to four

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Speaker 1: and two to the over. So we've got, like you know,

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Speaker 1: Dempco's great at home, not as good on the road.

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Speaker 1: Wedgewood's the number two goaltender because Aton just hurt. Both

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Speaker 1: teams score a ton I've been ice cold and hockey.

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Speaker 1: You want to fade that, bet, I don't blame you

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Speaker 1: in the least to fade that bet. But the numbers

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Speaker 1: are all pointing towards an over between Vancouver. In Dallas

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Speaker 1: here over six and a half one point one units

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Speaker 1: down minus one ten. That's widely available right now. I

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Speaker 1: think it might might be at seven. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what to do. The other thought, I mean, like I said,

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Speaker 1: Oilers and the Devils, the over probably is the right

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Speaker 1: play there. But like my god, seven everyone's at seven

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Speaker 1: fanduels at seven and a half. They're always they don't

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Speaker 1: do whole numbers, they always go to the half. Over

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Speaker 1: seven is plus money, under one, fifteen under seven. Pretty

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Speaker 1: much everywhere opened at seven. The highest juice is fifteen

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Speaker 1: right now. Circle in Vegas is at fifteen, DraftKings is

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Speaker 1: at fifteen, Seedsars is fifteen, So nash one fifteen there.

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Speaker 1: So that was the other thought. In Nashville in Philadelphia,

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Speaker 1: you want to do first period over, you want something

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Speaker 1: an extra Nashville and Philadelphia first period overs have been

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Speaker 1: very good for Nashville. They continue to be one of

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Speaker 1: the best teams in all of hockey to a first

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Speaker 1: period over. It hit last game. We'll see if you want,

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Speaker 1: if you want to jump in on that, you can

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Speaker 1: do that as well, if you want something the extra

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Speaker 1: here today, but the place for day one pending half

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Speaker 1: a unit NBA player prop will hit you, guys, I'll

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Speaker 1: give it you in the Discord channel, Bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: slash chat rams minus four Karen Williams over eight nine

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Speaker 1: and a half yards rushing for a half a unit

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Speaker 1: over six and a half Vancouver and Dallas for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. Let's build off of yesterday's good day.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep it going minus Matt Parld following me across

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Speaker 1: all socials at sports Doc Matt every morning. The dal

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast being brought to you by Omaha Stakes dot

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Speaker 1: Com