1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:08,559 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. We've had to look 2 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: at all the evidence. There is quite a lot of 3 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: uncertainty in the world at large. But I do think 4 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 1: that the course of interest rates the path is downwards, 5 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: but there is more uncertainty around and so we had 6 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: to weigh that up very carefully, and I think the 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: appropriate thing to do this meeting was to keep interstraights 8 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: on hold. But we'll come back at the beginning of 9 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: February for our next meeting and start it all over 10 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: again and review the evidence. But I think the fact 11 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: that there is a difference of view within the committee, 12 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: I think first of all, I think it underlines the 13 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 1: strength of that process. There's no group think on the NPC. 14 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: Reasonable people can take a different view at this point, 15 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,520 Speaker 1: and that's exactly what they've done. Markets have to form 16 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: their view. I would say this, I think the path 17 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: is downwards, but I really would caution that the stage 18 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: with the amount of uncertainty, we can't tell you by 19 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: how much when particular moves are going to take place, 20 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: as the world is two uncertain So we will come 21 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: back in February at our next meeting and review it again. 22 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 1: And that's important and I think you can see that 23 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 1: in immediate market pricing. The market says, well, they might 24 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: cut in February, they might not pretty reasonable starting point. 25 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 1: I think we're now back in what I would call 26 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: more normal conditions, or when we were going through the 27 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: COVID period, you know, the labor market wasn't it wasn't 28 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: functioning as normal. So so wages are set in markets, 29 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 1: that's important. And we're at the Bank of England when 30 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: we determine interest rates respond to how those the evidence 31 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 1: that we see. I would caution a bit on the 32 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 1: numbers we've seen this week. There were a bit of 33 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: a surprise. I think espicely everybody actually now there was 34 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: quite a bit of noise in the data coming from 35 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 1: things that happened a year ago. There was a fairly 36 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: unusual fall in the rate of growth of wages last 37 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: year this time last year, which didn't last and that's 38 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 1: coming out of the series. So just a bit of 39 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: caution there that what we're really interested in is how 40 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: much momentum are we seeing now. So there was a 41 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: bit of a surprise, but it's nothing like what you 42 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: saw in the headline number. When I look at markets, 43 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: I think for quite one. Our markets have really not 44 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 1: been expecting us to move rates at this meeting, So 45 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:08,079 Speaker 1: I don't think you should regard anything we did today 46 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: as a surprise in that sense. It isn't. We are 47 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: looking very carefully at the economy. We're looking very carefully 48 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: at the degree of uncertainty. I think today you know 49 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 1: the right decision was to hold and say we'll come 50 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: back to it. So there's no surprise in that. Really,