WEBVTT - Nasdaq's Big Two-Day Rally and the FTX Fallout

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Caroline Hyde in New York and this is Rumberg

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<v Speaker 1>Technology coming up in the next hour, the ft X fallout.

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<v Speaker 1>It continues, sam Anguin Freed steps down as CEO, laying

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<v Speaker 1>out as well the timeline for his company's bankruptcy. We're

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<v Speaker 1>going to dive into the implications for cryptocurrencies at large

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<v Speaker 1>and the future of the underlying technology. Plus, Twitter suspended

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<v Speaker 1>it's eight dollar subscription program to combat and growing problem

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<v Speaker 1>of user impersonating major brands. More on the revenue strategy

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<v Speaker 1>in a moment, And the text space is under a

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<v Speaker 1>major restructuring, but you never know it looking at the markets,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's like One just notched its biggest two day

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<v Speaker 1>record run in nine up nine, the best since two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight. Even though we see the meta layoffs,

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<v Speaker 1>even though we see Amazon looking at trimming its workforce.

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<v Speaker 1>Not to mention Dizzy me just now, we'll get to

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<v Speaker 1>all of that in by a moment. At first, Let's

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<v Speaker 1>stick with you, our audience, because we asked you to

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<v Speaker 1>admit the myriad of news that we're just hearing from Emily,

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that we have these layoffs, the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>we have f t X imploding, the fact that of

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<v Speaker 1>course we still have this run up in stocks. What

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<v Speaker 1>was the most important thing that caught your eye? You

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<v Speaker 1>took to Twitter. You told us knew it wasn't Twitter. No,

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<v Speaker 1>it wasn't Meta. It was f t X bankruptcy. That

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<v Speaker 1>is what rocked your world the most. Didn't rock our own,

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<v Speaker 1>Katie Greifeld's world the most. Is it the biggest shocker

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<v Speaker 1>for you? Katie? It was the biggest shocker? I would say.

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<v Speaker 1>I think back to who I was a week ago

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<v Speaker 1>last for a different post. I was so young, I

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<v Speaker 1>was so naive. I didn't know that f t X

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<v Speaker 1>was on sale. You had told me that we would

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<v Speaker 1>see f t X, the crypto exchange, one of the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest players in this space file for bankruptcy. I would

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<v Speaker 1>not have believed you if you would have told me

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<v Speaker 1>to that bitcoin would be trading around seventeen thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a coin after that too, I want to believed that

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<v Speaker 1>either it's you obviously have seen a really rocky crypto

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<v Speaker 1>a market this week, a little bit of resilience, though

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know's We're not talking about ten thousand, we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about seventeen. And then therefore, let's talk about the

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<v Speaker 1>ripple effects, the contagion concerns, the issue that therefore we

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<v Speaker 1>see across the rest of the markets, because that's sort

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<v Speaker 1>of where we're going with this, the fact that for

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<v Speaker 1>once the correlations broke down, yes you still have the

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<v Speaker 1>shock and all when it comes to ft X and

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<v Speaker 1>the rest of the crypto space, But actually that didn't

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<v Speaker 1>hold bout the NASTAC and was that something people were

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<v Speaker 1>talking about, not at all. It's really this is playing

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<v Speaker 1>out in the most dramatic way possible in markets in

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<v Speaker 1>that on the upside, you have the NASZAC one hundred,

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<v Speaker 1>what looking at one of its best weeks and years,

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<v Speaker 1>Like you said that headline at the top, it's best

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<v Speaker 1>two day run since two thousand and eight. It's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>because previously, until really this week, stocks and crypto were

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<v Speaker 1>tied at the hip. It was the same exact trade.

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<v Speaker 1>To really the detriment of the bitcoin bulls, the crypto

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<v Speaker 1>bulls that I would talk to, they would say, this decoupling,

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<v Speaker 1>when it happens from the equity market, it will be

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<v Speaker 1>such a relief for the crypto market. The decoupling happened,

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<v Speaker 1>it was not bolish for crypto at all, and man

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<v Speaker 1>tech stocks just really ripping after that CPI report. And

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<v Speaker 1>what's interesting though, of course, amid all of this is

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<v Speaker 1>the concerns about the tech layoffs, is the issue of

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that suddenly we're in a different, different paradigm

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<v Speaker 1>right now where companies that we thought were no matter what,

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<v Speaker 1>unstoppable and now having to trim themselves. We're just getting

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<v Speaker 1>the latest headline as the CNBC headline. We know from

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<v Speaker 1>Disney that they're looking at freezes, maybe even job cuts.

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<v Speaker 1>We saw it from Meta, the biggest layoffs that we've

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<v Speaker 1>ever seen in its history. Is that something that we

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<v Speaker 1>should prepare ourselves more for what we've got yet further

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<v Speaker 1>earnings next week for example. I mean, these are the

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<v Speaker 1>type of headlines that are unfortunately pretty common when you

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<v Speaker 1>have the FED hiking so aggressively. This is the impact

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<v Speaker 1>of tightening financial conditions. These are the sort of news

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<v Speaker 1>events that we unfortunately have to get used to. And

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<v Speaker 1>when you contrast that with what we're seeing in the markets,

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<v Speaker 1>this really goes to show sort of the cold blooded

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<v Speaker 1>nature of markets, that forward looking sort of stance of

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<v Speaker 1>markets that okay, when you start to see these type

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<v Speaker 1>of headlines, when you start to see the impact of

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<v Speaker 1>these fed rate hikes. Maybe that closer gets us closer

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<v Speaker 1>to the end destination. And you pair that again with

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<v Speaker 1>the CPI print that we've got a seven handle, nothing

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<v Speaker 1>to celebrate, but cooler than expected. That maybe gets us

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<v Speaker 1>closer to the end destination, maybe closer to that pivot.

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<v Speaker 1>As I read for many though, this market is kind

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<v Speaker 1>of dangerous now, and the fact that Jonathan God himself

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<v Speaker 1>a real bull saying that was an overreaction one to

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<v Speaker 1>bear in mind as we digest the data that's still

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<v Speaker 1>to come over the next week or so. Kitty Greifeld

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<v Speaker 1>a different person from one week ago. We thank hers

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<v Speaker 1>so much. Meanwhile, sticking on the crypto fallout, let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about f t X. Let's talk about the rippling across

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<v Speaker 1>the entire ecosystem here, but in by his utually Yang

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<v Speaker 1>is with us on the story. I've seen your byline

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<v Speaker 1>on every single piece of update that we've been having.

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<v Speaker 1>You must be exhausted, but probably not as exhausted as

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<v Speaker 1>man whose wealth went from sixteen billion to zero this week?

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<v Speaker 1>What are you? What is the next knock on effect?

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<v Speaker 1>What are we hearing and waiting for? In terms of

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<v Speaker 1>the news about the bankruptcy for example. Of course, the

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<v Speaker 1>bankruptcy news itself is a huge shocker for the industry.

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<v Speaker 1>No one has seen this coming me neither. When I

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<v Speaker 1>started the week, I did not know this is how

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to all pan out. We're starting to see

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<v Speaker 1>some contagion effect coming out. We know that for example, Voyager,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a bankrupt lender earlier on that was supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to be bailed out by f t X, they now

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<v Speaker 1>had to restart their biding process essentially because of this

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<v Speaker 1>bankruptcy procedure for for f t X. And then at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time, even for a big crypto market makers

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<v Speaker 1>such as Genesis, they have money that's being trapped in

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<v Speaker 1>their training account on ft X, and then they had

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<v Speaker 1>to get capital infusion for from their parent group DCG.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're expecting to see more companies coming out to

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<v Speaker 1>this close UH the impact, and we know from the

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<v Speaker 1>bankruptcy foulding itself, at least for Alameda, there's a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>thousand creditors listed and their library is UH is at

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<v Speaker 1>least to be over ten billion dollars. So the size

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<v Speaker 1>and scope should not be understated. It is the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>bankruptcy we're seeing this year. Extraordinary really and therefore the

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<v Speaker 1>full from grace of Sam Batman freed himself, there will

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<v Speaker 1>be movies written, that will be books. Of course, the

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<v Speaker 1>investigations that now continue into him and into what indeed

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<v Speaker 1>has occurred. Is that going to be happening in the

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<v Speaker 1>same time frame as we do understand who the creditors are,

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<v Speaker 1>where do you think the sort of the books are

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<v Speaker 1>going to stop dropping? So for investigations usually they're lagging behind.

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<v Speaker 1>But we do know that US regulators are investigating them.

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<v Speaker 1>Whether the conclusion will come out soon, that's uncertain. And

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<v Speaker 1>from UM and then a same bankman free himself is

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<v Speaker 1>also being investigated by the SEC as we reported yesterday. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>so we're going to see UM a lot of angry

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<v Speaker 1>customers and as a result of out of angry regulators

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<v Speaker 1>all over the world as well. Just looking at the

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<v Speaker 1>implications for this event. As many say, the lawyers are

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<v Speaker 1>really the only people that win in these scenarios. When

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<v Speaker 1>you've had more than five million customers, that's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be torturous process of unfolding this. How many people are

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<v Speaker 1>telling you at the moment that there are further counterparties

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<v Speaker 1>to go, that there is further We've already heard from

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<v Speaker 1>the sequoias of this world, for example, marking down there

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<v Speaker 1>their value the overall holding to zero. We've already seen

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<v Speaker 1>what SoftBank's implication was. Who we worried about? Are we were?

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<v Speaker 1>You mentioned Genesis for example. UM. So it is still

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<v Speaker 1>too early to say who's going to be, which company

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be the next one tool far completely um,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think there's one point that we should be

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully um more hopeful about for the industry, which is

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<v Speaker 1>um comparing to the event in April when the industry

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<v Speaker 1>has a huge leverage event are from the terror collapse.

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<v Speaker 1>The cryptal industry today is um much smaller than back then,

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<v Speaker 1>and then a lot of the lenders have already delivered. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is not not a good news. It is

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<v Speaker 1>a one to a punch. But at the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>the industry is already downside significantly from the beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>the year. Lunar Voyagers, Celsius ft X. I'm sure for

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<v Speaker 1>many they hope that there's some calming after that. Ang me,

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<v Speaker 1>thank hers so much. Let's talk about Twitter suspending. It

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<v Speaker 1>is a dollar subscription program that was launched just earlier

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<v Speaker 1>this week that in an effort to combat a growing

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<v Speaker 1>problem of users, of course impersonating major brands, maybe major

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<v Speaker 1>people as well. It's all according to people familiar with

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<v Speaker 1>the move at the moment, and I'm pleased to stay

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<v Speaker 1>across it all and rather exhausted. Is Alex Barrinka. Thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for joining us for a few moments, Alex,

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<v Speaker 1>and just talk to us at the moment about what

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be the u turns that are going on.

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<v Speaker 1>Is this sort of a startup culture once again with

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO just throwing things against the world is single sticks.

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<v Speaker 1>I think my neck and maybe a lot of others

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<v Speaker 1>are hurting with all the whip blash we've seen already

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<v Speaker 1>this week, in the first week that Elon Musk has

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<v Speaker 1>been at the helm of this business. This subscription move

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<v Speaker 1>is one of those things they rolled out, this idea,

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<v Speaker 1>this eight dollar subscription to get more users. Having this

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<v Speaker 1>an infamous blue check um that used to signify veracity

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<v Speaker 1>of an account and now has been impersonated by the

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<v Speaker 1>likes of folks pretending to be drug maker Eli Lily

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<v Speaker 1>saying insulin is now free. It's not um to government

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<v Speaker 1>accounts of governments and politicians, so kind of a big

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<v Speaker 1>uproar here because um, it all plays into the kind

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<v Speaker 1>of proliferation of misinformation that we've seen on the platform

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<v Speaker 1>before that in a free Elon Musk world, Twitter really

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<v Speaker 1>tried to lock down on but in just five business

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<v Speaker 1>days time, it seems like, um, the misinformation, whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>ingest or more serious, has started to really play a

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<v Speaker 1>bigger role on that platform. And then let's took us

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<v Speaker 1>through Actually the irony of this per aferation of businesses

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<v Speaker 1>that aren't actually those businesses getting these tacks is because

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk himself wanted to move away from an advertising

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<v Speaker 1>model because he was less. He was more concerned about

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<v Speaker 1>those businesses not advertising because they're worried about the fake

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<v Speaker 1>news factor and turning to a subscription model. But he's

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<v Speaker 1>also been talking about other things within the business model,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe becoming a checking account provider. I mean, what are

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<v Speaker 1>we hearing from this man in the leadership levels right

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<v Speaker 1>now about the direction of travel for the business. Yeah, sources,

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<v Speaker 1>I've told um Bloomberg that they're looking for these fifty

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<v Speaker 1>revenue to come from subscriptions. Elon Musk, remember came from PayPal. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>He has talked about payments could you send money to people.

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<v Speaker 1>Could we give everyone ten dollars to start having people

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<v Speaker 1>send money to other people via the platform. So it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like they're pushing some of these ideas really quickly. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like they're potentially pushing some of these ideas

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<v Speaker 1>before they thought through all of the implications, with the

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<v Speaker 1>with the blue check verification, the subscription issue being the

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<v Speaker 1>lead one. Now I want to underpin just how important

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<v Speaker 1>this is for Elon Musk to figure out how to

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<v Speaker 1>bring in more money and get this right, he told

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<v Speaker 1>employees in the past twenty four hours. He threw out

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<v Speaker 1>the word bankruptcy. If we don't figure out how to

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<v Speaker 1>make subscriptions work, the company could be in dire straits

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<v Speaker 1>from a revenue perspective. So lots of pressure to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out what is the thing. But it seems like kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the darts they're throwing at the board really quickly

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<v Speaker 1>this past week are not landing in a way that's

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<v Speaker 1>keeping Twitter a place that people and brands and governments

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<v Speaker 1>want to spend their time. Alex, it's in a motive

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<v Speaker 1>and a difficult question. But when I'm looking at Pommy Elson,

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<v Speaker 1>our opinion writer over in London, who's saying that basically

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<v Speaker 1>we might be watching two to implode in real time,

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<v Speaker 1>and that some are kind of debating as to whether

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<v Speaker 1>he's purposely running this business into the ground. How many

0:11:50.280 --> 0:11:53.440
<v Speaker 1>people are sort of echoing those concerns. If you spend

0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:56.280
<v Speaker 1>time on Twitter, you've seen that question posed in the

0:11:56.320 --> 0:12:01.319
<v Speaker 1>context of Okay, he remember he is very confidently talking

0:12:01.360 --> 0:12:04.800
<v Speaker 1>about how he's going to change the platform and reignite

0:12:04.800 --> 0:12:07.559
<v Speaker 1>freef speech at the HELM. But it was only weeks

0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:09.240
<v Speaker 1>ago that he was saying he did not want to

0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:12.040
<v Speaker 1>own this asset at So when you think about the

0:12:12.200 --> 0:12:14.600
<v Speaker 1>thirteen billion in debt that this company now has from

0:12:14.600 --> 0:12:18.280
<v Speaker 1>being taken private, the thirty seven hundred employees were fired

0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:21.720
<v Speaker 1>who are now getting severance paid out, UM, throwing around

0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:24.800
<v Speaker 1>that idea of bankruptcy is something that, you know, uh,

0:12:25.000 --> 0:12:27.640
<v Speaker 1>could be a knock on of of what could he do.

0:12:27.880 --> 0:12:31.559
<v Speaker 1>I will remind you that Elon Musk with Tesla and SpaceX.

0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:34.720
<v Speaker 1>In the context of those companies, he's also thrown out

0:12:34.760 --> 0:12:37.840
<v Speaker 1>that b word of bankruptcy. Ellen has proven himself not

0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:41.319
<v Speaker 1>to be the typical CEO who maybe would avoid that

0:12:41.600 --> 0:12:45.360
<v Speaker 1>um for for fear of stoking kind of UM bad

0:12:45.400 --> 0:12:48.320
<v Speaker 1>bad fears within a company, but he has used this

0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:51.439
<v Speaker 1>language before, so with him, perhaps there is a little

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:54.160
<v Speaker 1>bit of more of a wait and see if this

0:12:54.200 --> 0:12:56.680
<v Speaker 1>is something that he truly believes, um that the company

0:12:56.720 --> 0:12:59.480
<v Speaker 1>has head in that direction quickly, or if it is,

0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.280
<v Speaker 1>maybe it's motivation tactic or something of that sort of

0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:04.760
<v Speaker 1>internally to get folks to figure out an ex place

0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 1>to make some more money and make them do that

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:10.120
<v Speaker 1>from the office with no free food, which is just

0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a minor detail in what is a very complex story.

0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Alex Sperenca, we thank you so much for their latest

0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:17.959
<v Speaker 1>and let's now continue this conversation from an e commerce

0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:20.480
<v Speaker 1>perspective as well from a trust perspective. We've got a

0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:23.559
<v Speaker 1>real expert for you, Rachel Typograph, CEO and founder of

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:27.200
<v Speaker 1>make map. It's a global ecommerce enabling and analytics platform

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:30.320
<v Speaker 1>for multi channel brands, huge brands that depend on you

0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:33.319
<v Speaker 1>to understand where should I be putting my money to

0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:37.360
<v Speaker 1>work when it comes to spending to advertising to social media?

0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 1>What are you seeing in terms of media traffic at

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 1>the moment. What are your numbers telling you about how

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 1>fearful they are of Twitter or how much it's useful

0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:47.800
<v Speaker 1>for them at the moment. Yeah, absolutely. I mean right now,

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:50.680
<v Speaker 1>I feel like we're living a movie about social media,

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:53.440
<v Speaker 1>and except this time it's a different platform. In the

0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:57.000
<v Speaker 1>last thirty days, we've seen a seventy five decline in

0:13:57.040 --> 0:14:03.199
<v Speaker 1>Twitter traffic, seventy five of which of that decline happened

0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:07.520
<v Speaker 1>since October, which is when Ellen took ownership over Twitter.

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:11.160
<v Speaker 1>And just talk through that traffic drop, what is that meaning?

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:14.320
<v Speaker 1>That is meaning that you know, the companies that you're

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:15.880
<v Speaker 1>talking to, you just don't want to be anywhere near

0:14:15.920 --> 0:14:18.120
<v Speaker 1>affiliated they they're not posting on it, they're not putting

0:14:18.120 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 1>out their products center or it's more people on interacting

0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:22.000
<v Speaker 1>with them because they're so distracted by other things that

0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 1>are on the platform right now. Yeah, So at Nickmack,

0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:28.640
<v Speaker 1>we get trafficked through national digital media across all major

0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:32.240
<v Speaker 1>social platforms, and so when we see the client in traffic,

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:36.160
<v Speaker 1>it means that ad spend is being paused. The thing

0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>about advertising is that it's very easy to turn on

0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and off, and so while things are so volatile right now,

0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 1>it's better for advertisers to take a back seat then

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 1>expose their brand reputation. I was just speaking with the

0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:51.920
<v Speaker 1>m X CEO Steve Square yesterday and he was talking

0:14:51.960 --> 0:14:53.880
<v Speaker 1>about how where they put their money to work on

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:56.760
<v Speaker 1>a marketing perspective has to reflect their values. And this

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:58.520
<v Speaker 1>is what a lot of companies are doing. Why General

0:14:58.520 --> 0:15:01.120
<v Speaker 1>Mills are pulling back on Twitter. Why we've heard gm

0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:03.800
<v Speaker 1>and do the same. Some thought about competition there too,

0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 1>But I'm interested is this is also an environment, a

0:15:07.680 --> 0:15:11.280
<v Speaker 1>recessionary environment and slowing down economically environment where people might

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:14.680
<v Speaker 1>be pressing pause everywhere? Is that the case or is

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 1>this really idiosyncratic? It's actually not the case. Right now,

0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:21.360
<v Speaker 1>it's November and December Q four, this is when six

0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 1>of media spend normally happens. So we're seeing spend happened

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:29.280
<v Speaker 1>on Meta, on snap, on Pinterest, on TikTok, on Google.

0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:34.080
<v Speaker 1>People are spending, but spend is now being reallocated outside

0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>of Twitter into these other channels. And why it's benefiting

0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 1>the most. I have a feeling I can guess and

0:15:38.400 --> 0:15:41.880
<v Speaker 1>you could probably guess. But in the last seven days

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:46.520
<v Speaker 1>we've seen a increase in TikTok traffic. And is that

0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:49.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean today just me, I was on TikTok and

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 1>suddenly I found myself basically perusing some at leisure brand

0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>because it's Singles Day and then just I didn't even

0:15:55.000 --> 0:15:58.160
<v Speaker 1>realize I was doing it native within that overall app

0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 1>until I clicked out of it, and the naturally by

0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:02.160
<v Speaker 1>what is going to buy? But I'm interested is to

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:05.000
<v Speaker 1>is it because we're in that particular months and or

0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 1>is it actually a different reason. No, TikTok is inherently personalized.

0:16:09.640 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>It's probably scares you how well the appnos you, and

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 1>so when you open TikTok right there and then they

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 1>have a high consideration knowing what you want to buy.

0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:23.240
<v Speaker 1>We actually see amazing conversion on that platform, and unlike

0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:26.520
<v Speaker 1>other social platforms, you can get huge bang for your

0:16:26.560 --> 0:16:30.440
<v Speaker 1>buck organically or being influencers. Most of the other social

0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 1>platforms you have to pay to play. And a lot

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 1>of people have been sort of wringing their hands about

0:16:37.080 --> 0:16:39.040
<v Speaker 1>the noise that has been built into the system. Many

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>lay blame a lot of CEOs would like to lay

0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:43.720
<v Speaker 1>blame Apple's feed as to how perhaps some of the

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:47.720
<v Speaker 1>direct targeting has become less direct, less efficient in that respect,

0:16:47.760 --> 0:16:50.800
<v Speaker 1>and probably harder some of your clients. I'm interested in general,

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 1>like are you seeing at this moment, what are your

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:57.040
<v Speaker 1>clients wanting to do. Are they wanting to have more effective,

0:16:57.040 --> 0:17:00.040
<v Speaker 1>efficient use of social media? Are they backing away entirely? What?

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 1>What are they saying to you? Yeah? I mean changes

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:05.760
<v Speaker 1>in iOS fourteen have really undone brand media as we

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:09.200
<v Speaker 1>know it. Platforms like Meta used to be an amazing

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 1>conversion channel, but ever since the changes that Apple made

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:15.679
<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden, you're seeing spend shift out of

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 1>national brand channels into environments like retail media. If you

0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:24.879
<v Speaker 1>look at Amazon's most recent earnings advertising through quarter over quarter,

0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 1>there's really strong R o I within those environments as

0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:31.120
<v Speaker 1>well as brand safety. You don't have to worry about

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:34.480
<v Speaker 1>issues like you're experiencing in Twitter in an environment like Amazon. Okay,

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:36.479
<v Speaker 1>and I love you, I love that. You bring us

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:39.320
<v Speaker 1>back to the brand safety element. Is there anything in

0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:42.159
<v Speaker 1>the hair and the now that will change the centrol?

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:44.639
<v Speaker 1>Do you thing full Twitter traffic? Yeah? This is not

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:47.200
<v Speaker 1>the first time of moment like this happened. In two

0:17:47.200 --> 0:17:51.000
<v Speaker 1>thousand seventeen, brands paused on YouTube because of hate speech.

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 1>In summer, brands pause on Facebook because of hate speech.

0:17:56.359 --> 0:18:00.520
<v Speaker 1>Both of those platforms inevitably regain the trust of average tisers.

0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:04.160
<v Speaker 1>But what it took was the corporate executive team going

0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 1>from conference room to conference room and showing that they

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:12.120
<v Speaker 1>can stabilize their platform and deliver on their words. So

0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't think this has to be a forever thing

0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 1>for Twitter, but what the industry needs to see is stability,

0:18:18.480 --> 0:18:21.879
<v Speaker 1>and they need to see action not words. Well, we

0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:23.640
<v Speaker 1>thank you for your words. We thank you for coming

0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:25.560
<v Speaker 1>in the studio as well. Such a great voice for

0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:28.959
<v Speaker 1>Rachel topographic course, founder and CEO of make Mac. Meanwhile,

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:30.520
<v Speaker 1>we're going to be right back with more on bloom

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Bag technology after the spring. We're going to be talking

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.800
<v Speaker 1>so much more about the layoffs in particular across the sector.

0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Stay with us as a Bloomberg. Soft Bank founder, Mass

0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:51.920
<v Speaker 1>Yoshi's son says he will no longer speak at earnings presentations.

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:55.040
<v Speaker 1>He's not for decades. That's after the company's Vision Fund.

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:57.119
<v Speaker 1>Of course, the arm that is doing a lot of

0:18:57.160 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 1>investing had a seven point two billion dollar quarterly loss

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 1>due to the right downs on its tech investments. Now,

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:05.720
<v Speaker 1>soft Bank, which for years was the world's most aggressive

0:19:05.720 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>tech investor, has virtually halted new investments and focused instead

0:19:09.600 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 1>on his balancie. Meanwhile, Ali Baba decided not to disclose

0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:16.400
<v Speaker 1>full sales results for its signature Singles Day shopping festival,

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:18.760
<v Speaker 1>and that's for the first time ever. Alabama said in

0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 1>a statement that the gross merchandise value was in line

0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 1>with the last year's g m V performance, despite macro

0:19:25.080 --> 0:19:29.440
<v Speaker 1>challenges and COVID related impact. But some forecasts say, look,

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 1>the figure could suffer a decline that's unprecedented in the

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 1>events fourteen year history. I think this is the first

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 1>of many cuts that we're going to see, not only

0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:49.320
<v Speaker 1>for these companies. Okay, but the company is written large.

0:19:49.640 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 1>We've seen over hiring, over inventorying, over ordering, and then

0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:58.080
<v Speaker 1>I'll has to get wrong out of the system. These

0:19:58.119 --> 0:20:01.840
<v Speaker 1>companies are starting to take action right Finally the natal party.

0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:06.160
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology and Caroline Hide in New York.

0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 1>You were just hearing from Mike Wilson Morganestani's chief U

0:20:09.080 --> 0:20:12.159
<v Speaker 1>security strategist about the current landscape of tech layoffs and

0:20:12.600 --> 0:20:14.960
<v Speaker 1>stick into that a little bit more, plus much other

0:20:15.040 --> 0:20:18.080
<v Speaker 1>conversation topics to be having with the Activate founder and CEO.

0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Michael Wolfe, management consultant, previously CEO of President of MTV.

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:23.600
<v Speaker 1>He was also on the boards of companies such as

0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Yahoo for example, you're a man who understands what it's

0:20:26.680 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>like to run businesses have to slim down businesses to

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>see a restructuring. What do you make of not only

0:20:32.640 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 1>Disney now saying that they're going to be cutting their jobs, freezing,

0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:39.159
<v Speaker 1>hiring only essential travel. We had from Meta the Artists

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 1>formerly known as Facebook, but Meta eleven thousand jobs to go.

0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.000
<v Speaker 1>These are significant cuts. There are a lot of other

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:48.239
<v Speaker 1>companies Striped Lived. That's so many of these companies are

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 1>using this moment. But if you look at the numbers,

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:53.920
<v Speaker 1>it's in a lot of ways they overshot. They expected

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:57.360
<v Speaker 1>that the growth that they experienced during the pandemic would

0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:01.119
<v Speaker 1>be sustained. So if you look at but happened with Meta,

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 1>Meta two thousand seventeen had twenty five thousand employees. Two

0:21:05.240 --> 0:21:09.680
<v Speaker 1>thousand nineteen, they had fifty thousand after the cuts, After

0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:12.360
<v Speaker 1>the eleven thousand cuts, they're still gonna be at seventy

0:21:12.359 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 1>five thousand employees. So this is this is just going

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:19.760
<v Speaker 1>back to yesterday a little bit, and and and it's

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:21.879
<v Speaker 1>also a moment in which they need to say to

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:25.800
<v Speaker 1>their investors, we're going to focus on profitability and recognize

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 1>the realities of the web. I think what's interesting is

0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:32.760
<v Speaker 1>also the manner in which these are being announced. To

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:36.399
<v Speaker 1>his credit, Mark Zuckerberg had a mere colper moment. He

0:21:36.480 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 1>said he his personal responsibility. You've seen that echoed by

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:43.440
<v Speaker 1>other leaders as well, and whether or not it's more Previously,

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 1>Shopify was almost the first company to really announce that

0:21:46.080 --> 0:21:49.080
<v Speaker 1>really they'd they'd got the trajectory wrong. They've got the

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 1>COVID lift and they thought they could bring it into

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:54.000
<v Speaker 1>perpetuity and actually know the ark was going to fall

0:21:54.040 --> 0:21:56.440
<v Speaker 1>back down a little bit. And then on the other side,

0:21:56.560 --> 0:21:59.240
<v Speaker 1>you haven't eno mask who is doing it without much emotion.

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:01.800
<v Speaker 1>How do it as a business leader, as a management consultant,

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:03.919
<v Speaker 1>think about the way in which these messages are delivered.

0:22:04.240 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 1>Um well, overall in the tech business, we're losing about

0:22:07.400 --> 0:22:10.720
<v Speaker 1>a hundred thousand jobs but from those companies, but also

0:22:10.760 --> 0:22:13.439
<v Speaker 1>if you look at it from the perspective of the

0:22:13.640 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 1>overall market, all those people are going to find other jobs.

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:20.040
<v Speaker 1>There's a tremendous amount of demand for technology talent in

0:22:20.480 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 1>everything from finance to government, to healthcare and it even startups.

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:28.440
<v Speaker 1>There's about two fifty billion dollars and venture capital out

0:22:28.480 --> 0:22:30.879
<v Speaker 1>there waiting to be deployed. But when you look at

0:22:30.920 --> 0:22:34.440
<v Speaker 1>these companies and you think about about where their cuts

0:22:34.440 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 1>are going to come from, what they need to do.

0:22:36.400 --> 0:22:38.680
<v Speaker 1>The bigger issue is they've got to find new sources

0:22:38.680 --> 0:22:41.560
<v Speaker 1>of growth. In every one of these cases, from Apple

0:22:41.640 --> 0:22:45.040
<v Speaker 1>to Amazon to Meta, they're all dependent on the old

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:47.840
<v Speaker 1>sources of growth. And by that's why they're coming to

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:51.920
<v Speaker 1>our company activate, because they're looking for new places for growth.

0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:55.439
<v Speaker 1>Cost has a human, huge human toll, but it's actually

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:58.439
<v Speaker 1>much more difficult than growth. Okay, so let's talk about

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the growth that hopefully some of these people who are

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>now getting we hope decent severance packages and able to

0:23:03.320 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 1>go and set up their own startups or indeed a

0:23:05.920 --> 0:23:09.399
<v Speaker 1>meta that now doubling down on the continued trajectory of

0:23:09.440 --> 0:23:12.520
<v Speaker 1>a different kind of growth of focus on a web

0:23:12.560 --> 0:23:15.399
<v Speaker 1>three let's call it. You'll, of course a man in

0:23:15.440 --> 0:23:18.840
<v Speaker 1>puts together the future analysis you're putting together. What is

0:23:18.840 --> 0:23:21.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna look like for us? Is meta the right bet

0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:28.119
<v Speaker 1>um the challenges metas metaverse bet is all about virtual reality.

0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:32.240
<v Speaker 1>And what's happened overall with metaverse is we're already past

0:23:32.320 --> 0:23:34.639
<v Speaker 1>the hype cycle. I mean, we've already hit the peak

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:37.120
<v Speaker 1>of of hype, and now we are going to see

0:23:37.160 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 1>sustained investment, but the sustained investment may not be in

0:23:40.520 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the places that metas focused. So, for example, the metaverse

0:23:44.359 --> 0:23:48.679
<v Speaker 1>doesn't necessarily mean virtual reality, not necessarily virtual reality headset.

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 1>In fact, our research shows that most people don't spend

0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 1>more than thirty minutes at any one time in virtual reality,

0:23:56.640 --> 0:23:58.399
<v Speaker 1>So a lot of it's going to be too deep,

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:00.760
<v Speaker 1>and of a lot of it's going to art in

0:24:00.880 --> 0:24:03.240
<v Speaker 1>video games. And in fact, when you look at the metaverse,

0:24:03.680 --> 0:24:09.879
<v Speaker 1>you have between four video games, between Roadblocks, Fortnite, Minecraft, Um,

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 1>you end up having three hundred million people who are

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:16.880
<v Speaker 1>spending a great deal of their lives on average eleven

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:19.560
<v Speaker 1>hours a month, and some of them are spending forty

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:22.440
<v Speaker 1>hours a week in these games and so, and they're

0:24:22.480 --> 0:24:25.680
<v Speaker 1>all metaverse platforms. So the idea that this is way

0:24:25.680 --> 0:24:28.240
<v Speaker 1>off in the future and none of it is spending

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:32.000
<v Speaker 1>time with an Occulus headset. So it depends every company

0:24:32.080 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 1>is going to take a different bet. It just may

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:37.360
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily be the right bet. What you mentioned roadblocks

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:39.840
<v Speaker 1>and what roadblocks sort of for many helped with this

0:24:39.920 --> 0:24:43.280
<v Speaker 1>whole idea of a metaverse we could then see, oh,

0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 1>that's maybe where crypto comes in. That's maybe where the

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:47.679
<v Speaker 1>payment of you know, when you're buying skins and they're like,

0:24:47.680 --> 0:24:50.119
<v Speaker 1>suddenly you have a native currency. You have a digital

0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:52.960
<v Speaker 1>currency for one of a better expression. When we're starting

0:24:53.000 --> 0:24:55.040
<v Speaker 1>to see the fallout that we've just done with FTX

0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:58.080
<v Speaker 1>for crypto in general, is that going to impact the metaverse,

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 1>Web three, the direction of traveling anyway. Well, actually, the

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.720
<v Speaker 1>payments that are taking place inside of those large metaverse platforms,

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 1>they're not crypto. And when people look at metaverse they

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 1>think Web three and metaverse are the same thing. In

0:25:11.520 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of ways, they're not. Web three depends on

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:20.480
<v Speaker 1>really decentralized protocols. Crypto a metaverse is really the consumer layer.

0:25:20.520 --> 0:25:23.200
<v Speaker 1>So in the same way that we saw the browser

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:27.439
<v Speaker 1>was necessary for the Internet, metaverse is going to be

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:31.199
<v Speaker 1>necessary for Web three. But we're way far off and

0:25:31.280 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing the applications of these technologies in Web three and

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>what's happened even today with f t X shows that,

0:25:39.440 --> 0:25:42.560
<v Speaker 1>uh that the tools may be valuable, but their application

0:25:42.680 --> 0:25:44.880
<v Speaker 1>is going to take a while to be applied. Activate

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:47.560
<v Speaker 1>founder and CEO Michael Wolf come back when you are

0:25:47.600 --> 0:25:50.800
<v Speaker 1>talking to all these businesses looking for that steer. We

0:25:50.880 --> 0:26:04.720
<v Speaker 1>thank them for it. We have, you know, a few

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 1>billion on our balance sheet right now. We are profitable.

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:10.399
<v Speaker 1>We're in a relatively strong place from a financial perspective.

0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:13.120
<v Speaker 1>I want to be doing something that positive, like with

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:15.800
<v Speaker 1>the making money per like, like I want to be

0:26:15.840 --> 0:26:18.240
<v Speaker 1>good actor there. We'd raised a few billion dollars over

0:26:18.280 --> 0:26:20.679
<v Speaker 1>the course of the last last couple of years, and

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:23.960
<v Speaker 1>we're profitable business with Voyager. I think, you know, there's

0:26:24.000 --> 0:26:26.199
<v Speaker 1>seventy million dollars there that that that we put in

0:26:26.240 --> 0:26:28.920
<v Speaker 1>that I'm not sure ever seeing that seventy million. Again,

0:26:28.960 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>we have not used the majority of the cash that

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:33.320
<v Speaker 1>we have on our balance sheet. We want to be flexible.

0:26:33.400 --> 0:26:35.880
<v Speaker 1>We want to be in a position where we are

0:26:36.640 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, looking forward at uh you know what we

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>could be doing, where we could be most helpful um

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:45.400
<v Speaker 1>and where we can grow the most. I'm excited about

0:26:45.400 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>a pathway forward. I'm really excited about our leadership. Wow,

0:26:50.480 --> 0:26:53.320
<v Speaker 1>the ft X co found a former CEO, Sam batmanfree

0:26:53.400 --> 0:26:57.200
<v Speaker 1>talking to Bloomberg again and again about profitability, about growth

0:26:57.800 --> 0:26:59.760
<v Speaker 1>in a series of interviews in fact from July to

0:26:59.800 --> 0:27:02.880
<v Speaker 1>set Timber of this very year, and then the downfall

0:27:02.920 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 1>that we've just seen, the unraveling in one week, and

0:27:05.040 --> 0:27:07.879
<v Speaker 1>one that perhaps was slightly more prophesized by our next guest,

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:10.720
<v Speaker 1>Mike Alfred Eagle Book Advisors founding board member. Of course,

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:13.600
<v Speaker 1>a man who's deeply working within the world of crypto

0:27:13.640 --> 0:27:16.360
<v Speaker 1>also happened to be a value investor. So a man

0:27:16.400 --> 0:27:17.920
<v Speaker 1>who can give us take some whether you should be

0:27:17.920 --> 0:27:19.280
<v Speaker 1>an a b in bev at the same time as

0:27:19.280 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 1>whether you should be into certain cryptocurrencies. And Mike, first

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:26.919
<v Speaker 1>and foremost, why were you concerned? Were you concerned about

0:27:27.119 --> 0:27:31.120
<v Speaker 1>the closeness, shall we say, of a maid and indeed

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:34.399
<v Speaker 1>of what was happening at f t X. So I

0:27:34.480 --> 0:27:36.720
<v Speaker 1>was concerned about a lot of things over the last

0:27:36.720 --> 0:27:38.920
<v Speaker 1>two years in this space. Right So, I think there's

0:27:39.080 --> 0:27:42.600
<v Speaker 1>a couple of really big fundamental issues here. One is

0:27:42.640 --> 0:27:44.920
<v Speaker 1>just a lack of corporate governance. Right so, ft X

0:27:44.960 --> 0:27:48.000
<v Speaker 1>basically had no outside investors on their board. Many of

0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:49.920
<v Speaker 1>these other companies that blow up blew up this year

0:27:50.000 --> 0:27:53.119
<v Speaker 1>had similar setups where because they had so much leverage

0:27:53.119 --> 0:27:54.680
<v Speaker 1>when they were raising money, there was nobody you could

0:27:54.680 --> 0:27:56.719
<v Speaker 1>tell them what to do. Right then, there's a lot

0:27:56.720 --> 0:27:58.439
<v Speaker 1>of leverage. Right, you don't see blow ups like this

0:27:58.520 --> 0:28:00.720
<v Speaker 1>without a tremendous amount of ridge, right, that's going to

0:28:00.960 --> 0:28:03.840
<v Speaker 1>typically be there in every situation. And then the last

0:28:03.840 --> 0:28:06.160
<v Speaker 1>piece is just this overreach for yield in a low

0:28:06.200 --> 0:28:09.200
<v Speaker 1>interest rate environment. Right, So all of these firms are

0:28:09.280 --> 0:28:13.320
<v Speaker 1>essentially doing these sort of poorly structured arbitrage trades. And

0:28:13.359 --> 0:28:15.320
<v Speaker 1>so if you look back to the spring of one,

0:28:15.359 --> 0:28:17.800
<v Speaker 1>the gray scale arbitrage trade, who was in that trade

0:28:17.840 --> 0:28:21.080
<v Speaker 1>three A c celsius Block five? Right, when you look

0:28:21.080 --> 0:28:23.639
<v Speaker 1>at Tera Luna, that was also an arbitrage trade, borrow

0:28:23.720 --> 0:28:26.960
<v Speaker 1>money from a trading desk at ten to get anchor?

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:30.080
<v Speaker 1>Who was in that trade again three a c celsius

0:28:30.119 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 1>And of course f t X and so ft X

0:28:32.080 --> 0:28:36.320
<v Speaker 1>blows up, uh and uh. Indirectly, it's because of the

0:28:36.359 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 1>relationship with Alameda, right, because Alameda essentially lost so much

0:28:41.040 --> 0:28:43.240
<v Speaker 1>money in that anchor trade that they needed paper over it.

0:28:43.280 --> 0:28:45.840
<v Speaker 1>And that's where Sam crossed that bright line, right, because

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 1>up until that point it was just gambling with the

0:28:48.360 --> 0:28:51.280
<v Speaker 1>principle's money in a sense. But once he started gambling

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:54.120
<v Speaker 1>with the actual users money at ft X, I think

0:28:54.160 --> 0:28:57.040
<v Speaker 1>that's when things really went down. Help five million uses,

0:28:57.480 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 1>but also a proliferation of high profiles, celebrities of well

0:29:03.040 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 1>thought of and deep pocketing venture capitalists and now been burned.

0:29:07.000 --> 0:29:10.120
<v Speaker 1>And I'm sure incredibly angry at Mike. I'm what next

0:29:10.120 --> 0:29:12.960
<v Speaker 1>in terms of credibility, because as you've just been mentioning

0:29:13.000 --> 0:29:15.760
<v Speaker 1>the names, you've had lunar voyages, Celsius and then have

0:29:15.880 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 1>f t X. Is there another shoe to drop here?

0:29:18.320 --> 0:29:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Is there a contagion risk? Is there are the people

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:22.480
<v Speaker 1>that will be but so badly burned that there has

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:24.480
<v Speaker 1>to be further to full so eventually there won't be

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:27.040
<v Speaker 1>any contagient risk. But obviously those of us who felt

0:29:27.120 --> 0:29:31.280
<v Speaker 1>the contagion was mostly contained in June after Celsius were

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:34.400
<v Speaker 1>We're wrong. Um, you know remember at that time SPF

0:29:34.440 --> 0:29:36.480
<v Speaker 1>went on your program and a number of others and said,

0:29:36.520 --> 0:29:38.560
<v Speaker 1>look this is over right, there's not going to be

0:29:38.560 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 1>any more downside. And in retrospect, he was clearly doing

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 1>that to protect his own firms liquidation levels. He wasn't

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 1>doing it because he actually believed it. He wasn't doing

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:49.760
<v Speaker 1>it to be JP Morgan. He wasn't trying to save everybody.

0:29:50.000 --> 0:29:52.360
<v Speaker 1>He literally was just protecting his own ass and I

0:29:52.400 --> 0:29:54.280
<v Speaker 1>get why he was doing that now, but I should

0:29:54.280 --> 0:29:56.360
<v Speaker 1>have read kind of deeper into it and realized, Okay,

0:29:56.400 --> 0:29:58.520
<v Speaker 1>he probably has the same problems in his balance sheet.

0:29:58.720 --> 0:30:01.680
<v Speaker 1>So roll forward today. Who could actually have more risk

0:30:01.720 --> 0:30:03.400
<v Speaker 1>in their balance sheet than we know of? The one

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 1>firm I can think of as Binance. That's not a

0:30:05.880 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 1>popular opinion. There are a lot of people who want

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:10.440
<v Speaker 1>to believe that Finance is a good actor. But the

0:30:10.480 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 1>reality is there an offshore exchange that's thinly regulated, just

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:16.160
<v Speaker 1>like ft X. They don't even have a domicile, so

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:18.920
<v Speaker 1>it's hard to hold them accountable for anything. And I'm

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:21.120
<v Speaker 1>sure and I'm certain that in some ways they're engaging

0:30:21.120 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 1>in similar activities on the back end, so that that

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 1>would be the ultimate that would be the ultimate blow

0:30:25.520 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 1>up if something would happen to Finance. Well, of course

0:30:27.360 --> 0:30:29.440
<v Speaker 1>we'll go to Finance to try and get their take

0:30:29.520 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>and have them be able to defend themselves CZ in particular.

0:30:32.760 --> 0:30:36.280
<v Speaker 1>But there is an interesting interesting take them that this

0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:41.400
<v Speaker 1>is the centralization of Ultimately what is wanting to be decentralized.

0:30:42.360 --> 0:30:45.520
<v Speaker 1>Is there a way that you can have centralization other

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:48.840
<v Speaker 1>than perhaps a company that is public that is regulated,

0:30:49.120 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 1>How do you regulate non public, non u s domassailed companies.

0:30:54.000 --> 0:30:57.360
<v Speaker 1>Is there a way we can bring transparency the promise

0:30:57.440 --> 0:31:00.440
<v Speaker 1>of real transparency that's so excited many about the space.

0:31:00.840 --> 0:31:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Can we ensure that is happening when you do have

0:31:04.360 --> 0:31:09.000
<v Speaker 1>these deep pockets and indeed a level of hiding behind

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:12.000
<v Speaker 1>set in alvatrages. I mean, I think there's sort of

0:31:12.000 --> 0:31:14.680
<v Speaker 1>two ways. One is to just stick with a very safe,

0:31:15.160 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 1>regulated onshore exchange that holds all the assets one to one,

0:31:18.560 --> 0:31:20.840
<v Speaker 1>doesn't lend them out, doesn't run a hedge fund in

0:31:20.880 --> 0:31:24.880
<v Speaker 1>the background like ftx or or celsius um or go

0:31:24.960 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 1>all the way the other side into true decentralization and

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:32.360
<v Speaker 1>leverage defied protocols that are using code to offer these services,

0:31:32.440 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 1>right so unit swap and maker and compound. You know,

0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:38.120
<v Speaker 1>I think it needs to be noted that when you

0:31:38.160 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 1>look back at what happened during the period where Celsius

0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:44.240
<v Speaker 1>was being liquidated, um, you know, those protocols did a

0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:49.360
<v Speaker 1>good job, right They liquidated the counterparties immediately, no questions asked.

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:51.280
<v Speaker 1>They didn't care who you were, they didn't do any

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 1>credit check, they didn't call you and say please serve

0:31:53.800 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 1>deposit more collateral. They just did the job that was

0:31:56.120 --> 0:31:58.840
<v Speaker 1>written into the protocol, And so I think true truly

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:03.280
<v Speaker 1>decentralized DeFi could work at scale and may actually be

0:32:03.280 --> 0:32:06.840
<v Speaker 1>better in most cases to a centralized option. But if

0:32:06.920 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 1>in the in the meantime, while we're waiting for that

0:32:08.560 --> 0:32:10.960
<v Speaker 1>to happen, using a company like coin base in the

0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:13.000
<v Speaker 1>US is one of the safest sweats to approach it.

0:32:13.440 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about what regulation happens from

0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 1>now might because I'm pretty sure there's a lot of

0:32:18.600 --> 0:32:21.840
<v Speaker 1>sharpening of pencils going on at the moment because in

0:32:21.880 --> 0:32:24.920
<v Speaker 1>many ways he some Maguan freed himself, was seen as

0:32:24.960 --> 0:32:27.880
<v Speaker 1>the main lobbyist out there and talking and maybe have

0:32:27.920 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 1>been his undoing in many ways when it comes to

0:32:29.920 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 1>the relationship that disintegrated between himself and Ceasy because of

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:36.160
<v Speaker 1>that lobbying. But I'm interested when actually, in the clear

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:39.840
<v Speaker 1>light of day, in real trad fire traditional finance, you

0:32:39.920 --> 0:32:42.680
<v Speaker 1>still get these blow ups. You still have archagos who

0:32:42.680 --> 0:32:44.760
<v Speaker 1>still have Bill whim and you still have goodness a

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 1>liquidity issue that it happened just a month or so

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:48.960
<v Speaker 1>ago in the UK with its pension funds because of

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:52.040
<v Speaker 1>issues within the holdings of bonds and the movement. You know,

0:32:52.120 --> 0:32:54.960
<v Speaker 1>even in deeply regulated markets, we can sometimes have these

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:58.360
<v Speaker 1>desperate affairs. How do we make regulation fit for purpose

0:32:58.360 --> 0:33:01.400
<v Speaker 1>within crypto at the moment? So it's a it's again,

0:33:01.440 --> 0:33:03.560
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a tough question. But if you look

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:06.360
<v Speaker 1>at like MF Global, right, Um, you know, they went

0:33:06.400 --> 0:33:08.720
<v Speaker 1>into bankruptcy and it took a little bit of time,

0:33:08.840 --> 0:33:11.440
<v Speaker 1>but none of the sort of users of that platform

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:14.840
<v Speaker 1>lost any money. Um. Same thing with other brokerage platforms,

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:17.720
<v Speaker 1>other banks. The regulation is so stringent and there's so

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:20.920
<v Speaker 1>many protections that it's really hard for an end customer

0:33:21.360 --> 0:33:23.680
<v Speaker 1>to lose all their money. And so look, I mean

0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:26.680
<v Speaker 1>that that that sort of regulation may stifle some innovation,

0:33:26.800 --> 0:33:30.320
<v Speaker 1>but it also stops casual retail users from losing everything.

0:33:30.720 --> 0:33:32.360
<v Speaker 1>And so I would err on the side of being

0:33:32.400 --> 0:33:36.520
<v Speaker 1>more conservative generally. I don't think it makes sense to

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:39.680
<v Speaker 1>allow people to lever up ten x, twenty x, thirty X.

0:33:39.720 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it makes sense for these platforms to

0:33:41.480 --> 0:33:43.560
<v Speaker 1>take the money on the back end essentially gamble with it.

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 1>And so if that means less innovation, I'm sort of

0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:50.440
<v Speaker 1>okay with that, and interesting me of course, the innovation,

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the froth, the money that poured in has sort of

0:33:53.000 --> 0:33:55.680
<v Speaker 1>been pulled out, and then it's almost a year exactly

0:33:55.760 --> 0:33:58.960
<v Speaker 1>since bitcoin is a sixty and then since to today

0:33:59.000 --> 0:34:02.520
<v Speaker 1>when ft X is unraveling, Can you cool a bottom

0:34:02.560 --> 0:34:05.040
<v Speaker 1>in this market? Do? What do we need to instill

0:34:05.120 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 1>some sort of trust back to in the relative space

0:34:08.120 --> 0:34:12.439
<v Speaker 1>of of other cryptocurrencies on there. I think the most

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:14.360
<v Speaker 1>important thing once again is that there's not going to

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:18.040
<v Speaker 1>be any tax payer funded government bailouts here, and I

0:34:18.040 --> 0:34:21.319
<v Speaker 1>think that will give people confidence once it's clear that

0:34:21.400 --> 0:34:23.279
<v Speaker 1>there's no more dominoes left to fall. And I think

0:34:23.320 --> 0:34:24.920
<v Speaker 1>in the coming days and weeks, as we look at

0:34:24.960 --> 0:34:28.880
<v Speaker 1>the creditors to ft x, which they're just going to

0:34:28.960 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 1>be numerous companies like Block five, etcetera, that Block five

0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:35.439
<v Speaker 1>is probably gonna file for bankruptcy eminently here. I've heard

0:34:35.440 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 1>they've already hired counsel today, which makes sense. I sort

0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:40.120
<v Speaker 1>of said that on Twitter two days ago that you

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:42.360
<v Speaker 1>should pull your money off Block five because that was

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:45.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of an inevitable consequence of this um so. I look,

0:34:45.640 --> 0:34:46.960
<v Speaker 1>it's going to take a little bit of time, but

0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:50.040
<v Speaker 1>sometime in Q one Q two of this coming year,

0:34:50.120 --> 0:34:53.760
<v Speaker 1>there's gonna be a wonderful, potentially generational opportunity to buy bitcoin.

0:34:53.800 --> 0:34:55.160
<v Speaker 1>I want to say, just buy a bitcoin. I mean

0:34:55.160 --> 0:34:58.680
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin in cold storage, where there's no counterparty, where there's

0:34:58.719 --> 0:35:00.479
<v Speaker 1>no risk that you lose all your bit because bitcoin

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:02.279
<v Speaker 1>is a wonderful thing on its own. It's what we're

0:35:02.280 --> 0:35:05.439
<v Speaker 1>talking about is all the adjacent centralized businesses that took

0:35:05.440 --> 0:35:07.799
<v Speaker 1>on too much leverage that we're often unregulated, and they're

0:35:07.840 --> 0:35:10.680
<v Speaker 1>offshore and they messed up um. And that happens in

0:35:10.719 --> 0:35:13.080
<v Speaker 1>these sort of wild West environments. But bitcoin itself is

0:35:13.120 --> 0:35:15.400
<v Speaker 1>still going to make a new block every ten minutes

0:35:15.880 --> 0:35:18.480
<v Speaker 1>for the next hundred two five hundred years. That's what

0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:20.520
<v Speaker 1>we're betting on in the bitcoin space, and that comes true.

0:35:20.520 --> 0:35:22.280
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't matter what happens to any of these companies.

0:35:22.920 --> 0:35:25.880
<v Speaker 1>Oh well, here from the bitcoin maximalists and more, but

0:35:26.120 --> 0:35:28.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm not calling you one of those. But it's interesting

0:35:28.120 --> 0:35:30.760
<v Speaker 1>that we once again go back to perhaps where people

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:33.680
<v Speaker 1>feel that they can trust for the time being. Mike Alford,

0:35:33.719 --> 0:35:35.279
<v Speaker 1>really great to have some time with you. Thank you.

0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:38.400
<v Speaker 1>Eagle Brook Advisors founding board member. Of course, all about

0:35:38.680 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 1>institutional access to some of these defied protocols, well, I

0:35:43.160 --> 0:35:45.960
<v Speaker 1>actually got to speak with a key CEO in the

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:50.040
<v Speaker 1>traditional finance space, American Express CEO C Squary, just yesterday,

0:35:50.400 --> 0:35:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and talked about the fallout of crypto at the moment

0:35:53.280 --> 0:35:55.920
<v Speaker 1>and whether or not it could still be an innovative

0:35:55.920 --> 0:35:58.839
<v Speaker 1>space to be investing in, whether traditional payment methods could

0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 1>be disrupted through it. I spoke exclusively with him at

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:04.239
<v Speaker 1>the Economic Club of New York yesterday. Take listen. We've

0:36:04.239 --> 0:36:07.520
<v Speaker 1>looked at cryptocurrencies from when they first, you know, started

0:36:07.520 --> 0:36:11.640
<v Speaker 1>to gain traction. We've experimented with blockchain, We've got investments

0:36:11.640 --> 0:36:15.480
<v Speaker 1>in blockchain um companies. We have a partnership with Abra

0:36:15.719 --> 0:36:21.719
<v Speaker 1>where people earned cryptocurrency rewards. And you know, I've been

0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:26.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty public that I believe that cryptocurrency is an asset class,

0:36:26.160 --> 0:36:29.160
<v Speaker 1>and I think people like to invest in different asset classes,

0:36:29.160 --> 0:36:32.600
<v Speaker 1>and and and off you go. But I don't see

0:36:32.600 --> 0:36:36.960
<v Speaker 1>it um replacing the payment rails UM and and you know,

0:36:37.040 --> 0:36:39.600
<v Speaker 1>and when I think about cryptocurrencies, I put that under

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:42.239
<v Speaker 1>the umbrella of digital currencies, and so I have you know,

0:36:42.280 --> 0:36:45.600
<v Speaker 1>you have digital currencies, you have the cryptocurrencies, your bitcoins,

0:36:45.600 --> 0:36:47.440
<v Speaker 1>your theoryum and so forth. And then you've got your

0:36:47.440 --> 0:36:50.640
<v Speaker 1>stable coins UM. And then you've got you know, governmental

0:36:50.680 --> 0:36:53.640
<v Speaker 1>digital currencies as well. And and I think there there

0:36:53.719 --> 0:36:57.759
<v Speaker 1>certainly is a play um for digital currency in you know,

0:36:57.840 --> 0:37:01.040
<v Speaker 1>in the economy. UM. But it's it's hard for me

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:06.520
<v Speaker 1>to see right now, UM cryptocurrencies with the volatility, UM,

0:37:06.560 --> 0:37:09.839
<v Speaker 1>with the limited supply of some of them as well,

0:37:10.360 --> 0:37:14.480
<v Speaker 1>how it really um, you know, replaces the traditional payment methods.

0:37:14.600 --> 0:37:18.080
<v Speaker 1>The one thing with the traditional payments methods, they're not broken.

0:37:18.760 --> 0:37:23.000
<v Speaker 1>They work. UM. And uh so we'll see. Having said that,

0:37:23.120 --> 0:37:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you never say never, and and that's why you stay engaged.

0:37:27.239 --> 0:37:30.480
<v Speaker 1>You listen to people. UM. You know, there's a lot

0:37:30.520 --> 0:37:33.000
<v Speaker 1>of people that have a very different perspective than I have,

0:37:33.640 --> 0:37:35.400
<v Speaker 1>and they've made a lot of money. They may be

0:37:35.480 --> 0:37:37.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot smarter. But I think when I think about

0:37:38.280 --> 0:37:41.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of the business that that American expresses in which

0:37:41.120 --> 0:37:45.320
<v Speaker 1>is we're really a lifestyle brand that brings people experiences,

0:37:45.360 --> 0:37:51.080
<v Speaker 1>provides access, and combines a payment facility with that, the

0:37:51.600 --> 0:37:54.319
<v Speaker 1>horses that we have right now are are working for us.

0:38:03.880 --> 0:38:06.440
<v Speaker 1>So maybe just maybe we get a bit of calm

0:38:06.440 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 1>in the week ahead, let's have a quick look at

0:38:08.360 --> 0:38:10.719
<v Speaker 1>what we're actually covering, what's already on the agenda. We

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:12.800
<v Speaker 1>know that there might be some headlines we're not expecting,

0:38:12.840 --> 0:38:15.120
<v Speaker 1>but there could be some fireworks when it comes to

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:18.239
<v Speaker 1>the epic versus Apple trial Monday, of course a key

0:38:18.320 --> 0:38:21.360
<v Speaker 1>focus there. We're gonna be digging into key earnings of

0:38:21.560 --> 0:38:24.000
<v Speaker 1>large mega brands such as Walmart. Of course, we're going

0:38:24.040 --> 0:38:25.720
<v Speaker 1>to get a real sense check and where the retail

0:38:25.760 --> 0:38:29.200
<v Speaker 1>where the consumer is at, but also whether shopping online,

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:31.480
<v Speaker 1>how digital spenders going at the moment, of course, in

0:38:31.600 --> 0:38:34.600
<v Speaker 1>video front and center, when we're thinking of US China relations,

0:38:34.600 --> 0:38:36.120
<v Speaker 1>when we're thinking of chips, when we're thinking of the

0:38:36.120 --> 0:38:38.919
<v Speaker 1>semiconductor space at the moment, and well whether we are

0:38:38.960 --> 0:38:43.719
<v Speaker 1>in some sort of megacycle once again. And Abco Branchesky

0:38:43.800 --> 0:38:45.759
<v Speaker 1>is going to be joining Bloomberg on Thursday. You want

0:38:45.760 --> 0:38:49.000
<v Speaker 1>to be tuning into that exclusive conversation. And then of

0:38:49.040 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 1>course back to the courts come Friday, Elizabeth Holmes, the

0:38:52.120 --> 0:38:54.880
<v Speaker 1>sentencing the Themist trial. You do not want to be

0:38:54.960 --> 0:38:58.080
<v Speaker 1>missing that as we deep dive so much more of

0:38:58.120 --> 0:39:01.440
<v Speaker 1>course coming to Bloomberg, and please say, of course on Monday,

0:39:01.480 --> 0:39:04.040
<v Speaker 1>when we're having Sunny Sing one of FDx IS investors

0:39:04.040 --> 0:39:07.640
<v Speaker 1>from their funding round back in just how painful has

0:39:07.719 --> 0:39:09.680
<v Speaker 1>that trade been, What does he think of the future.

0:39:10.280 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 1>Check out our podcast as well. You can get on

0:39:12.040 --> 0:39:14.880
<v Speaker 1>an Apple, Spotify, and i Heeart. Have a good weekend.

0:39:15.400 --> 0:39:16.120
<v Speaker 1>This is Blomberg