1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 3: Karen, Yeah, futures are following this morning after President Donald 5 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,760 Speaker 3: Trump unleashed his final round of tariff announcements on countries 6 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:25,799 Speaker 3: around the world hours before his August first deadline. The 7 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:29,479 Speaker 3: President slapped thirty five percent tariffs on Canadian goods not 8 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:33,560 Speaker 3: covered under the US Mexico Canada trade agreement. Switzerland's products 9 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:36,480 Speaker 3: were hit with a thirty nine percent rate, and Taiwan's 10 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 3: exports are facing a twenty percent duty, though that country 11 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 3: says it expects to keep negotiating. We get more from 12 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News Global Trade editor Brendan Murray. 13 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 4: The bottom line here is that the average US tariff 14 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 4: rate is going from about two and a half percent 15 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 4: before Trump was sworn in in January to around fifteen 16 00:00:55,480 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 4: percent according to Bloomberg Economics. And that's, in any economist book, 17 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 4: a difficult thing for an economy to absorb. So I 18 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,279 Speaker 4: think we'll see some more talks going on in the weeks. 19 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 4: In the days and weeks ahead. 20 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Brenton Murray says most countries are facing a baseline 21 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 3: ten percent rate, while roughly forty nations are jumping to 22 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 3: fifteen percent. The new tariffs won't take effect until August seventh, 23 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 3: to give US Customs and Border Protection time to prepare. 24 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 3: Former US trade negotiator Steven Olsen says that could add 25 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 3: to market uncertainty. 26 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 5: We do have a week to go, and this is 27 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 5: a man who thrives on chaos and unpredictability and sometimes 28 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 5: seems to be running his trade policy like a reality 29 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 5: TV show. So until these tariffs actually go into effect 30 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 5: on August seventh, let's sit back and see what happens. 31 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 3: Former trade negotiator Steven Olsen says President Trump has embraced 32 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 3: tariffs for decades, so these moves should not come as 33 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 3: a surprise. 34 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 6: Well, Nathan. 35 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 2: President Trump is also escalating his campaign to pressure pharmaceutical 36 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 2: companies to lower drug prices, and Bloomberg's John Tucker joins 37 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 2: us with the very latest John, good morning. 38 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 7: And good morning Karen. In letters send to Eli, Lilly, Novo, Nordis, Pfizer, 39 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 7: and others, Trump insisted the companies immediately lower what they 40 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 7: charge Medicaid for existing drugs. He also asked them to 41 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 7: guarantee that future medicines be launched and remain at prices 42 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 7: on par with what they cost overseas. He gave the 43 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 7: world's seventeen largest drug makers sixty days to comply. If 44 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 7: they don't, he writes, his administration will quote deploy every 45 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 7: tool in our arsenal to protect American families. The pharmaceutical 46 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 7: industry has long protested the idea of globally linked drug 47 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 7: prices as a threat to years of US dominance in 48 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 7: biomedical research. They've urged the administration instead to turn its 49 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 7: attention to the middle men in the supply chain. Right now, 50 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 7: in European trading, shares of Novo nordis down another four 51 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 7: point eight percent. That company loses its spot among Europe's 52 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 7: ten most valuable companies. Peiser pre market is down six 53 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 7: tenths of a percentw Yor Income John Tucker Bloomberg. 54 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 3: Okay, John, thank you. Earnings are also very much in 55 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 3: focus this morning. We're watching shares of Amazon. They are 56 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 3: down more than eight percent pre market. The online retail 57 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 3: giants projecting weaker than expected operating income and is trailing 58 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 3: the sales growth of its cloud rivals. That has investors 59 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 3: questioning whether Amazon's huge investments and artificial intelligence are paying off. 60 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 3: Anarag Rana is a senior tech analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. 61 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 8: Do you see you know, they met expectations on Aw's 62 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 8: growth of seventeen percent in constant currency. But you know, 63 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 8: this is where we are saying that this is probably 64 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 8: not good enough because Microsoft beat by a big number. 65 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 8: Google beat by a big number, and the big question 66 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 8: is going to be, you know, why didn't Amazon beat 67 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 8: by a big number? 68 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Intelligence is on arag Rana says Amazon spenter record 69 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 3: thirty one point four billion dollars on capital expenditures in 70 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 3: the quarter. That was up about ninety percent from the 71 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 3: same period a year earlier. 72 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: On the flip side, Nathan shares of Apple are at 73 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 2: more than one and a half percent. The iPhone maker 74 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 2: posted as fast as corely revenue growth in more than 75 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 2: three years. Strong iPhone sales and a rebound in Shana 76 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 2: helped beat estimates despite a projected tariff hit. 77 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 6: Mark German covers Apple for Bloomberg. 78 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 9: There are people who still have iPhones that are several 79 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 9: years old, four to six even older years of iPhone right, 80 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,279 Speaker 9: There's people on Android, there's people new to the smartphone market, 81 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 9: and clearly the impact of tariffs didn't have a negative. 82 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:25,239 Speaker 7: Impact on Apple. 83 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 9: It had a positive impact on Apple. That's because a 84 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 9: lot of people were anticipating major price hikes to the 85 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 9: iPhone and they flooded Apple retail stores. 86 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 2: Bloomer's Mark German says Apple predicted that fourth quarter revenue 87 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 2: would be up by a percentage in the mid to 88 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 2: high single digits. CEO Tim Cook also says the company 89 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 2: is helping investment in artificial intelligence. 90 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 3: Well, this morning, Karen, the earnings focus turns from big 91 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 3: tech to big oil. We'll hear from both ex On 92 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:53,799 Speaker 3: Mobile and Chevron. We get a preview from Bloomberg's Tom Busby. 93 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 10: Investors at Exon Mobile eager to hear about the company's 94 00:04:57,040 --> 00:05:00,719 Speaker 10: progress and developing a massive oil field in Guyana, also 95 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 10: the latest shale production plans in the Permian Basin. Bloomberg 96 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 10: consensus calls for revenue of eighty point three nine billion 97 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 10: dollars and adjusted earnings per share of a dollar fifty six. 98 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 10: Chevron investors want to hear about the company's long delayed 99 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 10: but now completed acquisition of Hess and how that'll impact 100 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 10: its share buyback plans. Bloomberg consensus calls for revenue of 101 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 10: forty six point seventy five billion on adjusted earnings per 102 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 10: share of a dollar seventy one. Tom buzzby Bloomberg. 103 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:28,279 Speaker 11: Radio, All right, Tom, Thanks. 104 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 2: A busy week on the economic front concludes this morning 105 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 2: with the July jobs report. Economists are forecasting a gain 106 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 2: of one hundred and four thousand jobs at an unemployment 107 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 2: rate of four point two percent. Begin more with Bloomberg's 108 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 2: Michael McKee. 109 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 12: Job growth will slow and unemployment will have ticked up 110 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 12: in July, economists forecasts. But it's not the end of 111 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:49,479 Speaker 12: the world or even the economic expansion. Once again, it's tariffs. 112 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 12: Companies have been suspending guidance and announcing price increases to 113 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:56,799 Speaker 12: offset tariffs, but they have not yet resorted to cutting jobs. 114 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 12: It won't matter much to the FAD if unemployment does 115 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 12: rise by a tenth or so, but a quick jump 116 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 12: to say four and a half percent, would worry policymakers, 117 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 12: who may take it as a signal policy is too tight. 118 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 12: There will be time to consider the implications no matter 119 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 12: what we get. The next FED meeting is not until 120 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 12: September seventeenth. Michael McKee, Bloomberg radio. 121 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:19,799 Speaker 3: All right, Mike, thanks and speaking of the Fed, President 122 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 3: Trump is keeping up his pressure campaign on j. Powell 123 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,359 Speaker 3: to lower rates, once again, taking to social media to 124 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 3: criticize the FED chair. Lyle Brainerd is a former vice 125 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 3: chair of the Federal Reserve. 126 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 13: What has been surprising to me is to hear the 127 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:37,160 Speaker 13: President talk about lowering rates as though it is the 128 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 13: Federal Reserves responsibility to lower rates for US Treasury debt management. 129 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 13: And that, of course, is exactly how central banks go 130 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 13: wrong in emerging markets. 131 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 3: Former FED Vice chair Lyle brainer also says she thinks 132 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,359 Speaker 3: the President's higher tariff rates will hamper economic growth. 133 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 2: And finally, Nathan and of an Era, Ray Dalio has 134 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 2: sold his last remaining stake in Bridgewater Associates and also 135 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 2: left the hedge Funds board. Dalio first announced his succession 136 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 2: plan more than a decade ago, but he did not 137 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 2: fully hand over the rains until twenty twenty two, when 138 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 2: he transferred his voting rights to its board of directors 139 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,240 Speaker 2: and stepped down as one of its three co chief 140 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 2: investment officers. He stayed on the board at the time, 141 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 2: and Dalio founded the firm in nineteen seventy five. Time 142 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 2: now for a look at some of the other stories 143 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 2: making news in New York and around the. 144 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 6: World, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's and Michael Barr. Michael, 145 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:34,239 Speaker 6: good Morning, Good morning, Karen. 146 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 14: Storms have been lashing the East Coast from Virginia to Connecticut, 147 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 14: flooding roadways in New York. Vehicles were stranded in pockets 148 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 14: of high water and water pouring over a train in 149 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 14: Manhattan's Grand Central Terminal. Commuter rail lines into suburban Long 150 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 14: Island and New Jersey were suspended in places, flash flood 151 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:58,679 Speaker 14: warnings and effect for parts of New York City, New Jersey, 152 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 14: and Philadelphia. States of emergency have been declared in New 153 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 14: Jersey and New York City. With more on the weather, 154 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 14: here's Bloomberg meete religius Craig Allen. 155 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 15: The delus from last evening. That's gone. There are still 156 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 15: some showers around. They'll be moving out of the area. 157 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 15: All flood alerts have been canceled. I mean, it must 158 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:19,240 Speaker 15: have been frightening for some of those caught in the 159 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 15: flooding range that caused the flash flooding on some of 160 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 15: the major interstates around the region. 161 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 14: Bloomberg Media relogist Craig Allen. The storms delayed flights from 162 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 14: Boston to Washington, d C. The NYPD and politicians gathered 163 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 14: at the funeral Thursday for the officer killed in the 164 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:40,200 Speaker 14: Midtown Manhattan mass shooting this week. Ditital Islam was off 165 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 14: duty working security when he was fatally shot by a 166 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:47,199 Speaker 14: gunman at three forty five Park Avenue. Islam is one 167 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 14: of three funerals these past few days. Also yesterday, funeral 168 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 14: services took place for Blackstone executive Wesley Lapatner. Her fourteen 169 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 14: year old daughter gave the eulogy. 170 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,960 Speaker 11: My mom was like my Rocky. 171 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 2: I would talk to her and I can't or canny news, 172 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 2: nothing else would make it better. 173 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 14: Funeral services were held for Roudent employee Julia Hyman on Wednesday. 174 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 14: Israel's military intelligence agency is undergoing changes. The service is 175 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 14: making profound revisions, including reviving an Arabic language recruitment program 176 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 14: for high school students and training all troops in Arabic 177 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:30,079 Speaker 14: and Islam. It comes after the October seventh, twenty twenty 178 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 14: three attack by hamas global news twenty four hours a 179 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 14: day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News 180 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:37,960 Speaker 14: Now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg. 181 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 6: Karen all right, Michael Barr, thank you. 182 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 2: Time now for the Bloombergy sports Okay, brought to you 183 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:49,200 Speaker 2: by Flushing Bank, and here's John stash Hour. 184 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 6: John, good morning, Good morning, careen. 185 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 16: It was let's make a deal day throughout baseball and 186 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 16: perhaps no team busier just before the trade deadline than 187 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 16: the Yankees. They had already added three players. They added 188 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 16: four more. There are three relief pitchers. David Bednar was 189 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,079 Speaker 16: a two time All Star in Pittsburgh. Camillo de Val 190 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,960 Speaker 16: had over one hundred career saves, while in San Francisco, 191 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 16: Jake Bird comes from Colorado. And then in the eighth 192 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 16: inning of the Yanks seven to four went over Tampa Bay. 193 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:15,360 Speaker 16: They acquired a player who was in the opposing dugout. 194 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,839 Speaker 16: Jose Caballero has been Baseball's best base dealer of the 195 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 16: past two seasons. Aaron Boom impressed with what the front office, 196 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 16: SA chief. 197 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:24,319 Speaker 11: Love what they were able to do. 198 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,760 Speaker 17: I think we're a better club today than yesterday, and 199 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 17: certainly today than we were last week. And now we 200 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,760 Speaker 17: know what we were going with and what we got, 201 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 17: you know. 202 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 16: Onward, they win over the Rays the third in a row. 203 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 16: They jumped to a seven nothing lead. It was seven 204 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 16: to four when there was a rain delay of nearly 205 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 16: three hours and then no scoring after that. Yanks down 206 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 16: three and a half behind Toronto, playing tonight in Miami 207 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 16: and the Metz Hosta Giants. Mets have a new center fielder, 208 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 16: Cedric Mullin spent eight seasons in Baltimore. A few years ago, 209 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:59,320 Speaker 16: had thirty home runs and stolen bases. Carlos Correa, going 210 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:02,439 Speaker 16: from Minnesota back to Houston, where he spent seven years, 211 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 16: helped the Astros win a World Series. The Red Sox 212 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 16: landed pitcher Dustin May from the Dodgers. They beaten May 213 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 16: in a game a few days ago at Benway. Taylor Rogers, 214 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,560 Speaker 16: whose twin brother Tyler was just acquired by the Mets, 215 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 16: was traded for the second day in a row. He's 216 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 16: touring the NL Central, went from Cincinnati to Pittsburgh and 217 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 16: now the Cubs. A year ago, the Knicks sent a 218 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:24,199 Speaker 16: boatload of draft picks to the Nets from Michel Bridges. 219 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 16: He averaged eighteen points a game, led the NBA AD 220 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 16: minutes played in. Bridges now has a new contract with 221 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 16: the Knicks four years, one hundred and fifty million, he 222 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,440 Speaker 16: has never missed a game in his seven year career. 223 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:37,599 Speaker 11: John Staneshawer Bloomberg Sports. 224 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 225 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 1: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 226 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business Altum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 227 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager here. It is August first, 228 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 3: and as promised, President Donald Trump has announced a slew 229 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 3: of new terror frights on countries around the world, after 230 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 3: announcing deals with a handful of them in recent weeks. 231 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:05,760 Speaker 3: But former US trade negotiator Steven Olsen says he wouldn't 232 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:06,840 Speaker 3: call these deals. 233 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 18: What we've got here are a series of extremely vague 234 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 18: framework agreements which will require additional negotiations before they're actually 235 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 18: translated into anything even approximating well, we could legitimately refer 236 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 18: to a trade agreement. 237 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:27,000 Speaker 3: Steven Olsen is now a senior fellow at the Institute 238 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 3: of Southeast Asian Studies and for more. We're joined this 239 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 3: morning by Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill Ferries. So, Bill, 240 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:34,720 Speaker 3: what do we have this morning? 241 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 11: Good morning, Good morning. So yeah, we're here. 242 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 19: It's been a long bumpy road since those April second 243 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:46,320 Speaker 19: Liberation Day tariffs were first announced, We've seen a lot 244 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 19: of pauses and fits and starts since then. This does 245 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 19: seem to be a kind of the moment. 246 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 14: Now. 247 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 19: President Trump, as you said, unleashed a whole slew of tariffs, 248 00:12:56,320 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 19: some some big surprises in there, some countries getting more 249 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 19: than they bargained for, and I think the baseline rate 250 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,840 Speaker 19: of ten percent kind of a pleasant surprise to other 251 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 19: countries who maybe had been expecting that to increase. So 252 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 19: the market's kind of still digesting this, and it's you know, 253 00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:20,840 Speaker 19: there's still countries, big, big outliers there like China and 254 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 19: India still looking to make deals. So it does seem 255 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 19: like the deadline has been reached, but there's still going 256 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:29,480 Speaker 19: to be a lot going on in the days and 257 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 19: weeks in head. 258 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 3: Well, let's get into that. What could we see over 259 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 3: the next few days here, particularly when we're seeing you know, 260 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:41,080 Speaker 3: some countries like Switzerland and Canada getting hit with much 261 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 3: higher rates than that ten percent baseline you just mentioned. 262 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,359 Speaker 19: Yeah, I think those are two of the big surprises, 263 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:51,880 Speaker 19: particularly Switzerland getting a thirty nine percent tariff when you 264 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 19: consider that many of its neighbors who are EU nations 265 00:13:55,800 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 19: got about a fifteen percent. Switzerland, of course, exports huge 266 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:03,080 Speaker 19: amount of pharmaceuticals to the US, so that's going to 267 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 19: have an immediate hit on drug prices once that comes 268 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 19: into effect August seventh. And out in Asia, you've seen 269 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:16,959 Speaker 19: countries or governments like Taiwan getting twenty percent, while two 270 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 19: of its biggest rivals, Japan and South Korea, were at 271 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 19: fifteen percent. So the effect of these tariffs as it 272 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 19: plays out in the days and weeks ahead, is going 273 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 19: to be shifting kind of the competitive landscape between countries 274 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 19: that may you know, have typically competed in similar products 275 00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 19: but have different rates when it comes to exporting to 276 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 19: the US. 277 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 3: To your point, I guess we've heard from Taiwan as 278 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 3: well that they consider that twenty percent rate that you 279 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:46,280 Speaker 3: just mentioned temporary and that more negotiations could be to come. 280 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 3: Is that what we should expect here, that even more 281 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 3: of these countries could keep negotiating even after this August 282 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 3: first deadline that's coming gone. 283 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 19: Yeah, I mean, so the August first deadline that will 284 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 19: those tariffs are sposed to kick in August seventh. In theory, 285 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 19: I think there's going to be time there to negotiate 286 00:15:05,520 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 19: But last, yes, I think nations, if they've learned anything 287 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 19: about President Trump, it's that he's a deal maker. He 288 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 19: likes to make deals. They the White House may feel 289 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 19: like it has made those deals. But I think if 290 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 19: a if a country comes in, if India or a 291 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 19: Taiwan comes in, and they say, you know, they find 292 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 19: a way to perhaps buy more American products or or 293 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 19: make some changes. I don't think that down the road 294 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 19: we're you know, I think down the road, I think 295 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 19: we're going to see more deals getting tweaked. And that's 296 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 19: what a lot of governments are going to be banking 297 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 19: on going forward. 298 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 3: So if we do see these terrif rates kicking in, 299 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 3: as you mentioned on August seventh, once the US Customs 300 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 3: and Border Protection gets that time to adjust to this, 301 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 3: what's the potential economic impact from where these terif rates lie. 302 00:15:57,000 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 19: Now it's a huge global economic experiment and an experiment 303 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 19: for the US economy. I mean, these tariffs, these US 304 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 19: tariffs are now going to be at the highest rate 305 00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 19: since World War Two. And even if some countries are 306 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 19: breathing a sigh of relief that they got just ten percent, 307 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 19: and I'm thinking, you know, countries like Singapore for instance, 308 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 19: ten percent. The average US tariff was about two percent 309 00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 19: six months ago. So these are huge changes and they 310 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 19: will continue to trickle through into the US economy and 311 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 19: it's hard to not see that starting to affect inflation 312 00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 19: more seriously in the months ahead. 313 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 3: And on top of all this bill, I guess we're 314 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 3: still waiting for a lot of sectoral tariff announcements as well. 315 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 3: I mean, what could that mean when it comes to 316 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 3: certainty in the market. 317 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 19: Yeah, there is still a lot of uncertainty. There are 318 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 19: products pharmaceuticals are chief among them, semiconductors, those are still 319 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 19: being subject to what the US calls these Section two 320 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 19: three two investigations to see if there's a national security risk, 321 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 19: and presumably if there are, that allows Donald Trump to 322 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:12,480 Speaker 19: put additional tariffs on those products. So, by no means 323 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 19: is this the end of it, just because countries have 324 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 19: gotten their number some of the products they export Switzerland 325 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,640 Speaker 19: I said thirty nine percent, but a big pharma exporter, 326 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 19: they could be seen increased tariffs on those products once 327 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 19: the US reaches those decisions. 328 00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 3: And not the end of it, but maybe the market 329 00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 3: adjustment to what's happening now is just beginning. Thank you. 330 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 14: For this. 331 00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:38,959 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill ferries with us on this 332 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 3: August first, Karen. 333 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 2: Nathan, we're also focusing on the markets in big tech 334 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:47,199 Speaker 2: earnings this morning. Shares of Amazon, they are down more 335 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 2: than eight percent, Apple up. It's higher by almost two 336 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 2: percent right now. And this follows yesterday's After the Bell 337 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 2: reports for more, We're pleased to welcome Bloomberg Radio and 338 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,119 Speaker 2: TV anchor Kreedie Goopta Creedy. 339 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 6: Good morning, Hey, Chriatie. 340 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 2: Let's start with Amazon, because it's really hard to ignore 341 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 2: the stock move this morning. 342 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:05,480 Speaker 6: What are investors reacting to? 343 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 20: Good morning, Karen, Yeah, it's been a really interesting tech 344 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 20: earning story, A tale of two. I think is fair 345 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 20: to say Amazon cheres down by eight percent, treating about 346 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 20: two hundred and fifteen. 347 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 11: Dollars a share. 348 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 20: This is all about weakness when it comes to Amazon 349 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 20: Web services. When you think Amazon, we think about the packages, 350 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 20: we think about the e commerce business. But ultimately they 351 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 20: are pivoting firmly in the tech direction and that's where 352 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 20: they've disappointed the market. 353 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 1: Now. 354 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 20: It doesn't help that we also got Microsoft earnings just 355 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:35,000 Speaker 20: twenty four hours before, which really set a positive tone 356 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,679 Speaker 20: for cloud adoption for the Asia kind of services that 357 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:41,120 Speaker 20: they had, So the expectations were pretty high for Amazon 358 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,880 Speaker 20: to impress the market, and to be fair, they did 359 00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 20: in some ways. Their revenues did come in better than expected, 360 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 20: but not by much. And this is a market that 361 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 20: is very tough on tech companies right now that the 362 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 20: expectations are high and you have to be even better 363 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 20: than the expectations. You have to get an A plus 364 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,399 Speaker 20: plus instead of just and a plus. And this is 365 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 20: where Amazon kind of finds itself right now because they're 366 00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 20: also talking about weaker than expected operating income as well 367 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 20: as some of the sales growth when it comes to aws. 368 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:12,920 Speaker 11: So that big idea of spend. 369 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 20: Big on AI, spend big on cloud and see that 370 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,960 Speaker 20: kind of multiply ultimately over time. That's the shadow of 371 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 20: doubt that's being cast from Wall Street this morning. 372 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 2: And it really did seem like CEO Andy Jasse he 373 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 2: had a longer view when it came to all of this, 374 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 2: but he still couldn't ease those concerns on the earnings call, 375 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 2: could he? 376 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 11: He couldn't. 377 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 20: He's trying to use that magic word that I think 378 00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 20: we've seen and not just the tech companies in the 379 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 20: tech space, but across corporate America and arguably the global 380 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,400 Speaker 20: corporate sphere, which is artificial intelligence. And there was an 381 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:44,440 Speaker 20: era where every time you said artificial intelligence, the stock 382 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 20: would just spike because of this kind of momentum driven story. 383 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:49,639 Speaker 20: And he's making that point. He says, look, we're very 384 00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,919 Speaker 20: early days in that investment story. We know Amazon has 385 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,400 Speaker 20: that massive anthropic venture as well, and they are competing 386 00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 20: with the likes of Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle among others as 387 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 20: well in the out space. 388 00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,760 Speaker 11: There. He's saying, give it some time. 389 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 20: But this is now at a point where Wall Street 390 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,679 Speaker 20: is looking at these AI kind of expectations, looking at 391 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 20: these AI investments and say when is it going to 392 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 20: pay off? And Andy Jesse wasn't able to make that case. 393 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:16,440 Speaker 2: All right, well, we're seeing better reaction to Apple this 394 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 2: morning it reported fastest revenue growth in more than three years. 395 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:21,199 Speaker 6: What else did you take away from this? 396 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 20: You know, it's funny because we go into Amazon with 397 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:27,200 Speaker 20: such a strong earnings expectations. With Apple, you went in 398 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 20: with some pretty beat up earnings expectations. 399 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,640 Speaker 11: The idea that the tariff story would really. 400 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 20: Eat into the bottom line, would eat into the supply chains, 401 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 20: especially as Apple tries to move their supply chain from 402 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:41,439 Speaker 20: China to India. And you actually saw the opposite on 403 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,119 Speaker 20: two key fronts. One that so much of those tariffears 404 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 20: actually showed up and people buying iPhones ahead of time 405 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 20: expecting the prices to go up, So that was good 406 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,400 Speaker 20: news for their bottom line revenue. But also the fact 407 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 20: that they are actually doing better than expected in China. 408 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,399 Speaker 20: And this has been a key sticking point for Apple. 409 00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,920 Speaker 20: Because Apple is ultimately an American lug product, there are 410 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 20: plenty of competitors in Asia as well, and they haven't 411 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 20: been able to have the foothold and the growth in 412 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 20: that part of the world that they were really hoping for, 413 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:10,679 Speaker 20: to the point that just this week has been reported 414 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,160 Speaker 20: that they shuttered their first retail store in China, really 415 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 20: kind of showing that weakness that they've had there. I 416 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:18,920 Speaker 20: think it's crucial though, that Apple has at least today 417 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 20: convinced investors that is no longer the narrative. The question 418 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 20: now moving forward is cand of sustain that growth in 419 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,399 Speaker 20: the iPhone picture, but also in Asia. 420 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:30,520 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the 421 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 2: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 422 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 3: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 423 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:40,200 Speaker 3: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 424 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 425 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,920 Speaker 2: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 426 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,920 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 427 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 2: Bloomberg ninety two to nine in Boston, and nationwide on 428 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,840 Speaker 2: serious XM Channel one twenty one. 429 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,800 Speaker 3: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 430 00:21:57,840 --> 00:21:59,840 Speaker 3: Now with Apple CarPlay and Android Otto. 431 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,920 Speaker 2: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 432 00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:06,679 Speaker 2: the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 433 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,880 Speaker 2: or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast 434 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 2: platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 435 00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 3: And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for 436 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,360 Speaker 3: all the news you need to start your day right 437 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 3: here on Bloomberg Day Ray