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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt PEARLTZ. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. We had a big day yesterday, a

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Speaker 2: lot of bets coming through, So let's start with the

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Speaker 2: recap here. We did get the Creighton Blue Jays again.

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Speaker 2: Coach McDermott owning Dan Hurley. I had no problem with

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Speaker 2: the dunk by Jeremiah Neil at the end. Remember the

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Speaker 2: coach Hurley wants threatened to Creighton students, so no problem

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Speaker 2: with the running rubbing it in Hurley is a complete dink.

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Speaker 2: No problem there. Oregon loses, Louisville wins, but that knocks

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Speaker 2: out the Clemson acc bets, so that's flat there. Parlay

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Speaker 2: hits with San Diego and Saint John's win a unit there,

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Speaker 2: and again both NBA player props come in under on

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Speaker 2: his points. DeAndre Hunter over points and rebounds win a

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Speaker 2: unit there, five and two day up one point nine

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Speaker 2: units on.

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Speaker 1: The day overall for us.

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Speaker 2: Now, a couple things first, we are ending or getting

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Speaker 2: near the end of the NBA season. Okay, it kind

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Speaker 2: of stinks, to be quite honest, given what we've done

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Speaker 2: in the NBA player prop market, we are hitting at

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Speaker 2: nearly seventy five percent this season. Since the start of

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Speaker 2: the year on January first, in NBA player prop markets,

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Speaker 2: we are now thirty eight and thirteen thirty eight and

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Speaker 2: thirteen NBA player props. That's seventy four point five percent

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Speaker 2: if you want to do the math. That's unbelievable. That's

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Speaker 2: really rare and has completely saved me from what has

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Speaker 2: been a very bad college basketball season. So that's been

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Speaker 2: kind of the benefit there. Hopefully we'll end strong here.

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Speaker 2: More on college basketball here and one second, but the

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Speaker 2: NBA future bets that we had placed on win totals

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Speaker 2: the Bulls at twenty seven and a half that went

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Speaker 2: over yesterday. The Bucks are not going to get there.

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Speaker 2: We played over forty nine and a half. That's not

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Speaker 2: going to get there. They would have to go a

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Speaker 2: ridiculous I think what thirteen and three, I believe the

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Speaker 2: rest of the way or thirteen and four, I think

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Speaker 2: the rest of the way for them to get it.

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Speaker 1: They're not getting that, so that's not going to happen.

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Speaker 2: But the third bet was Indiana Pacers over forty six

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Speaker 2: and a half wins. They need to go ten and

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Speaker 2: seven the rest of the way for us to get there.

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Speaker 2: That's possible, Okay, that's not impossible. Ten and seven may happen,

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Speaker 2: so we might get the Pacers. We may go two

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Speaker 2: and one for NBA future bets for win totals. So

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Speaker 2: it's all riding on the Indiana Pacers over forty six

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Speaker 2: and a half wins for Indiana. So we will watch

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Speaker 2: that closely as we head towards the down the stretch

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Speaker 2: here for us, now, I've got a bunch of college

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Speaker 2: basketball plays. I have two NBA player props for you

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Speaker 2: here tonight. I put those on the app yesterday. Hopefully

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Speaker 2: you guys went and downloaded the app and you followed

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Speaker 2: that you found them, and hopefully you played Max Christie

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Speaker 2: under points, rebounds and assists again, because that's hit I

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Speaker 2: believe nine straight games. Now, just keep on betting that

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Speaker 2: the books are getting wise to it. They're dropping it

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Speaker 2: down and they're holding it back to like right before

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Speaker 2: tip off. But Max Christie has been I mean he

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Speaker 2: was zero for eleven at one point from behind from

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Speaker 2: the field. So keep on riding the under there with

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Speaker 2: Max Christie. So if you bet that you went three

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Speaker 2: and oh yesterday on NBA player props like I did,

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Speaker 2: so hopefully you guys took that advice again, continue to

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Speaker 2: hammer the Max Christie train with points, rebounds and assists

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Speaker 2: going under. It was eighteen and a half or seventeen

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Speaker 2: and a half depending on your book. Both went under.

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Speaker 2: So we've got NBA player props for you, guys. I

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Speaker 2: will give it to you here on the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 2: I got a couple of college basketball bets to give you,

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Speaker 2: one parlay to give you and maybe more. I will

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Speaker 2: do the live stream, but it's going to be pretty fast,

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Speaker 2: probably going to be somewhere around twenty minutes this morning,

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Speaker 2: eight o'clock Pacific, eleven am Eastern. I'm doing a four

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Speaker 2: hour TV stretch on sports Grid today, so I have

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Speaker 2: to set up for sports Grid, so I don't have

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Speaker 2: a lot of time in the morning. So sports Grid

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Speaker 2: is a TV station, a fast channel. Go look it

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Speaker 2: up and you probably have it on your television. Say

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Speaker 2: if you want to watch me, you can do that.

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Speaker 2: I'm doing four hours. So Tom Vechio and I are

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Speaker 2: doing it for four hours. He's my cost on that show.

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Speaker 2: So we're doing a lot of college basketball, will take

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Speaker 2: you and preview all the big games, talk about all

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Speaker 2: the line movement, everything else that's going on for college basketball.

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Speaker 2: So we'll do all of that on Sports Grid television.

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Speaker 2: So that does not give me a lot of time

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Speaker 2: for the Discord channel chat. Okay, so we'll come in,

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Speaker 2: I'll hit some of the bigger thoughts, some of the

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Speaker 2: bigger line moves, bigger games, and then we'll just have

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Speaker 2: to wrap it after about twenty minutes or so. So

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Speaker 2: I might add, I might not, I don't know, but

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Speaker 2: just no eleven am Eastern on the Discord Channel. We

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Speaker 2: will be live twenty minutes or so talking college basketball

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Speaker 2: here tonight. Before we get to the picks in the

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Speaker 2: plays for tonight, let's talk about our friends at bet

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Speaker 2: three six five.

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Speaker 1: That offer is still available.

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Speaker 2: Turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty dollars of

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Speaker 2: bonus bets when you join bet three six five. To

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Speaker 2: claim the offer, just go to bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 2: three six five and deposit at least ten dollars. If

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Speaker 2: you place a bet of at least five dollars, you'll

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Speaker 2: earn one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again,

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Speaker 2: that's Bettingpros dot Com Slash three six five twenty one

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Speaker 2: plus only must be present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Luisiana,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling problem called

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Speaker 2: one hundred gambler or one hundred bets off if you

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Speaker 2: live in Iowa. Terms and conditions do apply. I used

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Speaker 2: it when I was in Kentucky, so I know it

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Speaker 2: works for bet three six five Betting pros dot Com

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Speaker 2: Slash three six five. Okay, let's start with what you

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Speaker 2: guys care about, and we'll get to college basketball in

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Speaker 2: a second. Yes, I know it's kind of strange, but

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Speaker 2: we'll talk about NBA player props two of them to

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Speaker 2: give you guys here today. Let's start with Moses Moody

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Speaker 2: of the Golden State Warriors. They have the Knicks coming

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Speaker 2: to their place here today. It is a five point

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Speaker 2: thirty Pacific time eight thirty Eastern time tip for this game.

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Speaker 2: Moody points and rebounds is set at fifteen and half

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Speaker 2: for him. Now, this number is moving, Okay, it might

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Speaker 2: go up. Okay, but fourteen and a half or fifteen

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Speaker 2: and a half. If you can find a fifteen and

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Speaker 2: a half in the market, one hundred percent, grab onto it.

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Speaker 2: I played fourteen and a half on this for Moses Moody,

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Speaker 2: points and rebounds to go under. This is a thirty

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Speaker 2: eight percent positive ev play. It's a five star play.

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Speaker 2: Head to head. The one time that he played Golden State,

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Speaker 2: this number did not come in. He has hit this

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Speaker 2: sixty percent of the time over the last five games. However,

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Speaker 2: looking at how he put against the Knicks, it came

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Speaker 2: in at thirteen and that number was fifteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: This number opened at fifteen and a half and it

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Speaker 2: was bet down to fourteen and a half. Hopefully it

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Speaker 2: goes back up. Moody has hit this in four straight games. However,

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Speaker 2: in the five games before this stretch where he was hot,

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Speaker 2: he went under, including a game against the Knicks, which

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Speaker 2: was the last game of that cold streak for him.

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Speaker 2: So the number has been fourteen and a half, fourteen

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Speaker 2: and a half, sixteen and a half in fourteen and

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Speaker 2: a half. The one that went over at sixteen and

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Speaker 2: a half was against Portland, a really bad defensive team.

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Speaker 2: Knicks are a pretty good defensive team. Here fifteen and

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Speaker 2: a half was the number against the Knicks. As I said,

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Speaker 2: he came in with thirteen points and rebounds, nine points

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Speaker 2: and four rebounds. Let's get something similar here today. We'll

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Speaker 2: go with Moses Moody under fourteen and a half points

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Speaker 2: and rebounds at minus one ten. Bet number two. Let's

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Speaker 2: stay with the same game, different player. Josh Hart for

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Speaker 2: the Knicks points and rebounds last two games did not

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Speaker 2: get this for Josh Hart. Josh Hart consensus is twenty

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Speaker 2: four and a half here. The juice may be moving around.

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Speaker 2: You may get right now. It's heavily juiced to the over.

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Speaker 2: I came in at minus one ten. The number the

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Speaker 2: juice has moved. It's not minus one h two. So

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Speaker 2: you guys, after I've bet this, you guys are gonna

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Speaker 2: either it might go up to twenty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: That's possible. That's what it was against Portland's last game out.

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Speaker 2: It came in with twenty two. It was twenty five

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Speaker 2: and a half. Against Sacramento, it came in at twenty four.

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Speaker 2: So we're here at twenty four and a half. It

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Speaker 2: might rise up to the number that it was, because

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Speaker 2: when it was twenty three and a half, the previous

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Speaker 2: two games against the Clippers and the Lakers, this number

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Speaker 2: went over thirty four and twenty eight, but the previous

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Speaker 2: four game before that twenty six and a half, twenty

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Speaker 2: two and a half, twenty three and a half, and

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Speaker 2: twenty six and a half all under for points and

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Speaker 2: rebounds for Josh Hart.

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Speaker 1: Prop bet cheat sheet likes this to go under.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna ride with the prop bet cheat sheet here

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Speaker 2: and there projection of going under twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: They've got a production of twenty two, thirty four percent

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Speaker 2: positive ev and a five star play again coming in

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Speaker 2: with the under twenty four and a half points and

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Speaker 2: rebounds for Josh Hart. Okay, so our two NBA player

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Speaker 2: props Moses Moody points and rebounds under fourteen and a half,

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Speaker 2: Josh Hart points and rebounds under twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Both those at Miss one ten where I played it.

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Speaker 2: But you may get different juice point five to five

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Speaker 2: units down to win a half of unit coming back.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about the biggest championship create and

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays up against the Saint John's Red Storm. Johnny's.

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Speaker 2: It's a home game. It's a home game. The Jays

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Speaker 2: are exhausted. Okay, they are straight exhausted. I want them

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Speaker 2: to win this game so bad. They're in the tournament.

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Speaker 2: But if they beat Saint John's they might get away

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Speaker 2: from an eight to nine matchup. I don't understand the committee,

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Speaker 2: Like if they give Kansas a seventh seed on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna freak out. Ku lost to Creighton. Creyton has

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Speaker 2: a better resume and a head to head win. Why

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Speaker 2: aren't they the seven? Why is in Kansas? The nine?

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Speaker 2: Eight is what Yukon is? The Jays beat Yukon two

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Speaker 2: games out of three. Why is Yukon eight? No, it

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Speaker 2: doesn't eight, nine doesn't matter, but it does in terms

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Speaker 2: of like who are being sent in who you play.

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Speaker 2: So I want Creighton to win this game to get

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Speaker 2: away from the number one seed if they can to

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Speaker 2: get to a seven seed. But maybe if they lose

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Speaker 2: this game, if there are a nine, maybe the committee

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Speaker 2: will drop them to a ten seed and they'll play

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Speaker 2: a seven seed. I would much rather play a seven

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Speaker 2: seed than an eight seed. I wish it was Kansas.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if the committee wanted to really do a favor,

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Speaker 2: have Creighton play against Kansas and then the Jays can

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Speaker 2: beat Kansas again and stay away from a one seed,

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Speaker 2: it might have a shot at making the second weekend.

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Speaker 2: Right now, it's gonna be really hard for the Jays

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Speaker 2: to make a second weekend. But they put a double

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Speaker 2: overtime game and then a really physical game against Yukon,

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Speaker 2: and now they must play Saint John's, the team that

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Speaker 2: they beat by one point. And then when they went

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Speaker 2: to Saint John's they were never in the game. They

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Speaker 2: lost the game by six, but they were never in

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Speaker 2: the game. This has late game blowout written all over it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I don't like it, but I laid six points. It's

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Speaker 2: six and a half at most books. It's rising it

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Speaker 2: might be seven. Chop around and find the best price.

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Speaker 2: Call it an emotional hedge, but this is just I

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Speaker 2: hope I'm dead wrong. Okay, it'll stink if the Jays

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Speaker 2: lose in Saint John's or the Jay's cover in Saint

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Speaker 2: John's wins, that's possible, But look for an in game number.

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Speaker 2: If Saint John's gets off to a fast start, you know,

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Speaker 2: try to middle Creighton you can take. If you don't

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Speaker 2: like the bet, take the Jay's plus six and a

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Speaker 2: half and then try to get the Johnny's Lower So

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Speaker 2: what I'm just I'm gonna be an emotional wreck out

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Speaker 2: of this game. I just Saint John's is the better

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Speaker 2: basketball team. Saint John's has Rick Patino the Great, and

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays are zero to four under coach McDermott in

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Speaker 2: the Big East Final. They've never won this thing. I

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Speaker 2: was there for the first one up against Providence when

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Speaker 2: Ed Cooley and Providence beat the js at MSG. Coach

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Speaker 2: Mack wants this thing desperately. This would be gigantic to

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Speaker 2: be able to hang a Big East Championship tournament banner.

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Speaker 2: After coming in second place this year in the Big East,

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Speaker 2: to come in second place again would stink. But I

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Speaker 2: think that's what's gonna happen here. I just I think

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Speaker 2: you're asking too much of this team that doesn't go

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Speaker 2: that deep already to play three physical games in three

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Speaker 2: days and basically have two of those games be road games.

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Speaker 2: I mean, last night was a road game against Yukon

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Speaker 2: and they still were able to win the game because

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Speaker 2: they shut the lights out. I mean, you shoot seventy

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Speaker 2: five percent in the first half, you're gonna beat most

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Speaker 2: teams you play in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Don't see that happening again here for the Jays.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I want to be wrong, but I'm glad they

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Speaker 2: eat the unit and be wrong. If the Jays win

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Speaker 2: this game but Saint John's minus six, I'm gonna lay

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Speaker 2: it here. I don't want to lay more than that.

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Speaker 2: Don't lay six and a half. Buy it down if

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Speaker 2: you have to, don't leave seven.

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Speaker 1: But St.

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Speaker 2: John's minus six, I mean it might get away from

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Speaker 2: the Jays. Let me say that I could see this

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Speaker 2: being a double digit win for Saint John's. It wouldn't

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Speaker 2: shock me in the least if Saint John's won the

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Speaker 2: game by double digits. Let's go to a two leg

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Speaker 2: money line parlay Houston and Maryland. Houston is playing in

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Speaker 2: the Big Twelve Championship game. Houston is arguably the best

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Speaker 2: team in college basketball. According to Kempom, Houston will win

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Speaker 2: this game over Arizona.

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Speaker 1: By about seven points. Number seven.

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Speaker 2: Right there, I'm just gonna go money line, Houston's winning

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Speaker 2: the Big twelve Championship. Houston's going. I mean, they beat Colorado.

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Speaker 2: They destroyed BYU seventy four fifty four, a BYU team

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Speaker 2: that scored ninety nine up against the Iowa State Cyclones,

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Speaker 2: and they scored half of that against Houston. Defensively, I

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Speaker 2: don't think Arizona's going to have the guns here, even

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Speaker 2: with them jacking threes and trying to go more up tempo.

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Speaker 2: They're fifty sixth than tempo. Houston is in the three

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Speaker 2: hundreds for tempo. I like Caleb Love at times, but

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Speaker 2: only a you know, two hundred and fortieth thirty two

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Speaker 2: point five percent from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: For Arizona.

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Speaker 2: They're forty third in two point shooting, but that's because

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Speaker 2: they get to the rim a lot. You don't get

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Speaker 2: to the rim against Houston. In the one game these

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Speaker 2: two teams played at home in Arizona, it was a

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Speaker 2: sixty two to fifty eight win for Arizona in that game.

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Speaker 2: I was on Arizona at home.

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Speaker 1: They lost.

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Speaker 2: Houston covered money line Houston. Now it's too expensive just

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Speaker 2: to lay that. So I'm gonna go with a dance

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Speaker 2: partner like we did yesterday, and I'm gonna go to

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Speaker 2: Maryland in the semi finals of the Big Ten up

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Speaker 2: against Michigan. Maryland is a sneaky team. They're really good.

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Speaker 2: They lost to Michigan State, they lost to Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: they lost Northwestern, they lost to Oregon, they lost to Washington,

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Speaker 2: and they lost to Purdue.

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Speaker 1: Okay, but.

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Speaker 2: They worked Illinois yesterday. Eighty eight sixty five. They worked them.

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Speaker 2: Three and a half is the number. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to lay it. I just think Maryland wins. I don't

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Speaker 2: like Michigan, to be straight. I don't like the way

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Speaker 2: Michigan plays. Michigan entered the Big Ten Tournament losing three

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Speaker 2: straight games to Illinois, to this Maryland team by six

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Speaker 2: in the Michigan State by seventeen. They did be Purdue

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Speaker 2: handily eighty six sixty eight yesterday and looked pretty good

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Speaker 2: doing it. But I think Maryland and Michigan State on

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Speaker 2: a collision course to play tomorrow in the Big Ten Championship.

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Speaker 2: Maryland parlayed with Houston money line for both. Here it

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Speaker 2: is a plus one oh four play for Houston Maryland

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Speaker 2: money line, and finally, Florida up against Alabama numbers three

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Speaker 2: and a half. I bought it down to three. You

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Speaker 2: might need to do that, you may need to lay it,

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Speaker 2: but I can't stand losing when they win by three

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Speaker 2: and I get hooked. This game has a total of

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Speaker 2: one to seventy five at the moment, which is ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: Kempom has this thing falling one seventy three, eighty eight,

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Speaker 2: eighty five.

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Speaker 1: So they have as a three point win for Florida.

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Speaker 2: Alabama's defense when they played up against Florida the first time,

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Speaker 2: I mean, Alabama couldn't stop anybody. They gave up ninety

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Speaker 2: nine points in this game to Florida, lost ninety nine

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Speaker 2: to ninety four. I mean, that's just insane. We could

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Speaker 2: see a similar situation here, but that game was in

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Speaker 2: Tuscaloosa and it was a five point win for Florida

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Speaker 2: on the road against the Tide. Now this is in Nashville. Well,

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's gonna be a lot of I mean

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Speaker 2: Kentucky fans are gone, so I'll be curious who scoffs

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Speaker 2: those up. A lot of Alabama fans, be a bunch

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Speaker 2: of Florida fans too, but more Bama and Auburn obviously

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Speaker 2: for the semi final day today, just the proximity that

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Speaker 2: they have. But Tennessee will bring quite a bit of

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Speaker 2: people too. It's their homes to hometown, so I'll be

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Speaker 2: curious to see who Tennessee wants to make it to

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Speaker 2: the final Alabama or Florida. They hate both teams with passions.

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Speaker 2: They let the Florida cave in with both those teams,

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Speaker 2: but I like Florida. I bought it down to three

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Speaker 2: minus one twenty five, pay little extra juice on it

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Speaker 2: to lay the three for the Gators up against Alabama again,

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Speaker 2: it's a three point win. According to KEMPOM, Bama's offense

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Speaker 2: is fourth and efficiency in eleventh in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: Florida's offense is third in efficiency in thirty eighth in

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage, but Florida's defense is ninth in

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Speaker 2: efficiency in fifth effective field goal percentage. Bama's defense is

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Speaker 2: twenty sixth in efficiency in thirty seventh in effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage. They do guard the three really well, but

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Speaker 2: they don't guard the two as well as they should.

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Speaker 2: They give up a lot of points in the paint,

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Speaker 2: a lot of dribble penetrations. And look Alabama's offense, I

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Speaker 2: mean shooting free throws. They're one hundred and ninety seventh

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Speaker 2: in free throw shooting. Florida's not my much better, by

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Speaker 2: the way, they're two hundred and sixteenth. They're worse, which

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Speaker 2: is gonna scary. Both these teams have a tough time

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Speaker 2: hitting their free throws. But I like this offense more

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Speaker 2: for Alabama, sorry for Florida. Bama does not turn you

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Speaker 2: over at all. They're three hundred and forty seventh in

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Speaker 2: turnover percentage. Florida's one hundred and seventy third. Well that's

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Speaker 2: not great. It's half. It's better double what Alabama's is.

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Speaker 2: Give me the Gators. I think Florida's more talented here.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Alabama looked good yesterday, but Kentucky was short

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Speaker 2: handed and didn't look like Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: I mean, just not a good time. Caught them at

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Speaker 1: the right time.

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Speaker 2: Maybe too easy for Alabama because this Florida game is

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Speaker 2: going to be a war. I'll lay the three points

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Speaker 2: Florida minus three for one point one units. Okay, so

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Speaker 2: plays for today, Saint John's minus six, Houston Maryland moneyline.

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Speaker 2: Parlay Florida minus three. Moses Moody points and rebounds under

364
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Speaker 2: fourteen and a half, Josh Hart points and rebounds under

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Speaker 2: twenty four and a half, and maybe one or two

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Speaker 2: extra plays. Coming on the live stream, coming at you sorry,

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Speaker 2: Coming on the discord chat. Coming at eight o'clock Pacific,

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Speaker 2: eleven a m. Eastern time on our Discord channel to

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Speaker 2: join that. It's Bettingpros dot Com slash chat. It's going

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Speaker 2: to be quick, about twenty minutes, but I'll talk to

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Speaker 2: you later this morning here on the Betting Pros Discord

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Speaker 2: channel again, Betting Pros dot Com slash Chat.

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Speaker 1: My min is Matt Parol.

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Speaker 2: Do you guys following Micross all my socials at sports

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Speaker 2: dot Matt every morning wherever you get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice